AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 13 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Uptrend from Asia, stalled below day high · RSI 54 · price 0.69833
Higher highs and higher lows through London and NY, now a tight 0.6976–0.6986 consolidation.
AUD/USD broke the Asian high at 0.6967 in London and printed a day high of 0.6986 in NY as the USD eased with yields and crude, with hawkish RBA minutes in the background. Since the NY close the pair has held a 10-pip box. Buyers absorbed the thin post-rollover dip at the 0.6976 swing low, and price is pinned near 0.6983 with RSI neutral and ATR under 2 pips.
Support: 0.69762, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6986 day high resumes the HH chain and brings the 0.7000 psych cap into view
Failure to hold the 0.6976 swing low, near the 23.6% fib of the Asian low to day high move, breaks the HL sequence
Deeper slip back toward the 0.6967 asian high puts the London breakout level to a retest
Fed Bowman at 09:40 UTC and US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:32 UTC
Flat after London rally, range-bound · RSI 49 · price 0.69822
10-pip range 0.6976–0.6986 since NY; higher-low chain from Asian range intact.
London broke above the Tuesday Asian high at 0.6967 and rallied as US yields pulled back. NY was capped twice at the 0.6986 session high, and price has since held a 0.6976–0.6986 range. The post-rollover dip to the range low recovered to 0.6982 in thin early Asia trade, with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR(14) compressed to about 2 pips.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6986 session high breaks the range top and opens the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold the 0.6976 range low exposes the 0.6972 38.2% retrace of the London rally and the 0.6967 Asian high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% MoM) is the likely catalyst for a range break; Bowman at 09:40 UTC is an earlier risk
Tuesday's leg from the 0.6950 Tuesday low to the 0.6986 day high came on softer US yields and hawkish RBA minutes. Since the NY session it has stalled into a 0.6976–0.6986 range. Early Asia is holding mid-range near 0.6982 after the post-rollover dip found demand at the range low, with RSI(14) neutral around 51 and ATR near 2 pips in thin pre-CPI trade.
Support: 0.69762, 0.69722, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6976 range low (23.6% of Tuesday's rally) exposes the 38.2% fib at 0.6972
Close above the 0.6986 day high opens 0.7000 psych
US CPI 12:30 UTC Wed (core f/c 0.2% MoM) and Fed Bowman 09:40 UTC could materially shift this read
23:02 UTC
Uptrend, stalling into a flat range · RSI 47 · price 0.69823
Higher lows from the 0.6950 Asian low, now boxed 0.6976–0.6986.
AUD climbed from the 0.6950 Asian low through London and NY as US yields eased and the hawkish RBA minutes lent support. The rally has been capped at the 0.6986 session high since late NY. Buyers stepped in twice at the 0.6976 range floor, including the thin post-rollover dip, holding the 23.6% fib of the day's rally.
Support: 0.69762, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6976 range floor opens the prior asian high at 0.6967 near the 38.2% fib
Close above the 0.6986 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia-London advance from 0.6950, then a 0.6976–0.6986 range through NY.
AUDUSD climbed from the 0.6950 Asian low through the 0.6967 Asian high in London as US yields eased after the hawkish RBA minutes, then met rejection twice at the 0.6986 session high in NY. A thin post-close dip to the 0.6976 range low was bought back. Price now sits mid-range in early Asia with RSI(14) near 47.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6967
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6986 session high breaks the range top and opens the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold the 0.6976 range low exposes the 0.6967 Asian high and the 38.2% fib near 0.6972
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC, with Fed Bowman at 09:40 UTC, could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from Asian low, now a 10-pip range 0.6976–0.6986.
AUDUSD climbed from the 0.6950 Asian low through the asian high at 0.6967 during London as US yields eased. It capped at the 0.6986 session high in NY and has since held a 0.6976–0.6986 range, where the rollover dip into the range low drew demand. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR is about 2.6 pips in a thin early Asia session.
Support: 0.69762, 0.69722, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6976 range low exposes the fib 38.2 at 0.6972, then the asian high at 0.6967
Close above the 0.6986 session high reopens the 0.7000 psych level
US CPI on Wed 12:30 UTC, with Fed Bowman due earlier at 09:40 UTC, could materially shift this read
22:17 UTC
Uptrend stalled into a tight range · RSI 51 · price 0.6982
London break of Asian range, HL chain to 0.6986; NY range 0.6975–0.6986.
London broke the 0.6950–0.6965 Asian range and built higher lows into a 0.6986 session high as USD eased on lower yields and crude. Since NY open price has held a 0.6975–0.6986 range, with two rejections at the session high and the thin post-rollover dip to 0.6976 bought back. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 and ATR is about 2 pips in early Asia.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6969, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6986 session high opens the 0.7000 psych cap
Failure to hold 0.6975 range low exposes the 0.6969 london low near the 38.2% fib at 0.6972
Loss of 0.6950 asian low would erase the London breakout
Fed Bowman 09:40 UTC and US CPI 12:30 UTC Wed (~14h) are the likely range-break catalysts
London broke the Asian high at 0.6967 and ran to a 0.6986 session high as the USD eased on softer yields and crude ahead of CPI. NY then compressed into a 0.6976–0.6986 range. A thin rollover dip tested the range floor twice, and buyers stepped back in to lift price to 0.6981, hugging the EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.69765, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6976 range floor breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 38.2% of the rally fib at 0.6972, then the asian high at 0.6967
Close above the 0.6986 session high reopens the 0.7000 psych cap
Early Asia liquidity is thin; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and AU jobs Thu 00:30 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from 0.6950 day low; capped 0.6985–0.6986 since NY, now testing 0.6975 swing low.
The rally from the 0.6950 day low, helped by the US yield pullback, stalled at twin highs near the 0.6986 day high during NY hours. A thin post-NY drop has put price on the 0.6975 swing low and rising support, below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 32. The 50% retrace of the rally sits at the 0.6967 asian high.
Support: 0.69751, 0.69669, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 swing low breaks rising support and confirms the double top, exposing the 0.6967 asian high
Recovery through the 0.6986 day high resumes the HH/HL chain toward 0.7000 psych
Early Asia liquidity is thin; the rollover drop may not reflect real demand
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London HH/HL leg out of Asian range, now flat 0.6976–0.6986 NY range.
London broke above the 0.6950–0.6967 Asian range, with the Asian high now below price. Price climbed into NY as USD eased off Monday's highs on softer Treasury yields, and the advance capped at the 0.6986 session high. Price has since drifted into a 0.6976–0.6986 NY range in thin post-close trade, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.69763, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6986 session high opens the path to 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold the 0.6976 NY range low exposes the 0.6967 Asian high and the 38.2% retrace of the Asia-NY leg near 0.6972
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC, with Bowman at 09:40 UTC beforehand, could materially shift this read
21:04 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling under session high · RSI 56 · price 0.69828
Tight consolidation 0.6975–0.6986 after London/NY breakout above Asian range.
A yields-led USD pullback lifted AUD out of the 0.6950–0.6967 Asian range in London. NY then extended to a 0.6986 session high, where three tests met rejection. Price is now drifting at 0.6982 in thin post-NY trade, holding above the 0.6981 late NY low with ATR(14) compressed to about 2 pips.
Support: 0.69813, 0.69751, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6986 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.6981 late NY low turns focus to the 0.6975 NY low
Break below the 0.6975 NY low ends the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.6967 Asian high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and Fed's Bowman at 09:40 UTC could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling late NY · RSI 55 · price 0.69819
London break above Asian range, NY ranging 0.6975–0.6986.
London lifted AUDUSD out of the 0.6950–0.6967 Asian range as US yields pulled back. NY has held a 0.6975–0.6986 range, with equal highs at the 0.6986 session high. Late in the NY session, price is drifting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 55, and the 38.2% fib of the Asia-NY leg sits at 0.6972.
Support: 0.69763, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6986 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.6976 swing low breaks the NY range and exposes the 0.6967 Asian high and 38.2% fib
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from Asian low, now a 0.6976–0.6986 band.
London lifted AUD/USD out of the 0.6950–0.6967 Asian range as US yields pulled back. A HH/HL chain ran into NY, with the session high capped at 0.6986. Since then the pair has rotated in a 0.6976–0.6986 band, holding the swing low with RSI(14) neutral near 52 in late NY.
Support: 0.6976, 0.6972, 0.6967
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6986 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.6976 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain and exposes the 38.2% fib at 0.6972
Loss of 0.6972 brings the 0.6967 asian high back in play as the deeper reference
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and Bowman at 09:40 UTC could materially shift this read
20:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling late NY · RSI 58 · price 0.69828
Higher lows from the Asian low, now consolidating 0.6976–0.6986 below the session high.
AUDUSD built a higher-low chain from the 0.6950 Asian low through London and NY as US yields pulled back, capped so far at a 0.6986 session high. Late NY trade is a tight 0.6976–0.6986 consolidation, price sitting on the ema20 with RSI(14) near 58 and the 0.6976 swing low intact.
Support: 0.69823, 0.69763, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6986 session high extends the higher-high chain toward 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold the 0.6976 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.6967 Asian high
Bowman (09:40 UTC) and US CPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling in late NY · RSI 54 · price 0.69826
Higher lows from Asia into NY, now a 0.6976–0.6986 range below the session high.
AUD/USD climbed from the 0.6950 Asian low through London as US yields eased and the dollar slipped off Monday's highs. During NY the pair compressed into a range: the range floor at 0.6975–0.6978 held three times, and the session high at 0.69863 capped two pushes. Late-session drift back to 0.6982 sits on EMA20, with RSI(14) at 54 and ATR(14) under 3 pips.
Support: 0.6976, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.69863 session high reopens the 0.7000 psych cap
Failure to hold the 0.6976 range floor exposes the rally fib 38.2% near 0.6972 and the 0.6967 Asian high
Thin liquidity into the Asia session; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read
19:32 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 59 · price 0.69847
HH/HL leg off Asia low, NY range 0.6976–0.6986 capping.
AUD broke the asian high at 0.6967 in London and extended the Asia-NY leg from 0.6950 as US yields dipped and the dollar eased off Monday's highs. Late NY, price is pressed under the 0.6986 session high after a third test, with the ny range low at 0.6976 holding and RSI(14) near 59.
Support: 0.69763, 0.69669, 0.69679
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6986 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.6976 ny range low exposes the asian high at 0.6967, near the fib 50% at 0.6968
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read; Asia session liquidity is thin ahead of it
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, compressing at the highs · RSI 61 · price 0.69853
Higher lows from the Asian low, tight NY range 0.6976–0.6986.
AUD/USD has climbed about 37 pips off the 0.6950 Asian low as US yields eased and the USD gave back part of Monday's highs, breaking the 0.6967 asian high during London. In the late NY session price is pressing the 0.6986 session high at the top of a 0.6976–0.6986 range, with RSI(14) near 61, ATR around 2.6 pips and the 0.7000 psych level 15 pips above.
Support: 0.69763, 0.69722, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6986 session high breaks the NY range and opens the path to 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold the 0.6976 ny range low exposes the fib 38.2 at 0.6972 and the 0.6967 asian high
Thin flow into the Asia session could produce a false break of the 0.6986 range top
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) is the main event risk for this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, compressing near highs · RSI 66 · price 0.69856
Steady London advance from the Asian low; NY holding a tight 0.6975–0.6986 range with the top pressed late.
AUD climbed from the 0.6950 Asian low through London as US yields dipped and USD eased off Monday's highs. NY has compressed between the 0.6976 swing low and the 0.69863 session high, which was retested late NY with RSI(14) at 66. ATR near 3 pips reflects thin late-session conditions.
Support: 0.69811, 0.69763
Resistance: 0.69863, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.69863 session high opens the 0.7000 psych cap
Failure to hold the 0.6981 pullback low returns price to the NY range
Break of the 0.6976 swing low and rising support ends the higher-low sequence; 38.2% of the Asia-NY leg sits near 0.6972
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session highs late NY · RSI 56 · price 0.69842
HH/HL chain from the Asian low; fresh session high just set.
AUD/USD has climbed steadily from the 0.6950 Asian low through London and NY. The USD has eased on softer yields ahead of CPI. The NY open low at 0.6975 and the 0.6976 swing low both drew demand, and the late-NY spike to a 0.6986 session high leaves price about 15 pips under 0.7000 psych.
Support: 0.69763, 0.69751
Resistance: 0.69862, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6976 swing low and 0.6975 ny open low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising support line
Acceptance above the 0.6986 session high brings 0.7000 psych into play; rejection there keeps the pair in a late-session range
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read; Bowman remarks at 09:40 UTC are an earlier risk
HH/HL chain from Asian low; late-NY push to new session high.
AUD/USD has printed higher lows all day from the 0.69495 Asian low, lifted from the Asian range in London as US yields pulled back and the USD eased. The 18:00 UTC bar pushed through 0.69855 to a fresh session high at 0.69862, about 14 pips below the 0.7000 psych cap. RSI(14) is near 58 and ATR is about 3 pips, so the tape is quiet into late NY.
Support: 0.69763, 0.69747, 0.69613
Resistance: 0.69862, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A close back below 0.6983 would turn the session-high push into a false break.
Failure to hold the 0.69763 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline.
A move below the 0.69747 NY low exposes the 0.69613 Asian high.
Acceptance above the 0.7000 psych cap would extend the session breakout.
US CPI on Wed at 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% MoM) could materially shift this read.
Lower highs off 0.6986 since 14:45 UTC, NY lows near 0.6975 holding.
London cleared the Asian range high near 0.6964, and the leg ran to a 0.6986 session high in NY as US yields eased and the USD softened. Since then price has printed lower highs and drifted to 0.6979 after London close. The NY lows at 0.6975, aligned with the 38.2% fib of the London leg, are still holding, and RSI(14) sits neutral near 49.
Support: 0.69755, 0.6969
Resistance: 0.69833, 0.69855, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 ny lows confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.6969 london low
Reclaim of the 0.6983 lower high reopens the 0.6986 session high and the 0.7000 psych cap
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% MoM) could materially shift this read; Asia session likely quiet until then
HH/HL chain from Asia low; lower highs since NY high.
AUD/USD climbed from the 0.6950 Asia low through the asian high at 0.6967 in London as US yields eased, then set a session high at 0.6986 during NY hours. Late NY, a run of lower highs has pressed price toward the 0.6978 pullback low, just under EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral at 47 and the ny dip low at 0.6975 below. The 23.6% fib of the Asia-to-NY leg sits on the pullback low.
Support: 0.6978, 0.6975, 0.6967
Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6978 pullback low and 0.6975 ny dip low opens the 38.2% fib near 0.6972 and the asian high at 0.6967
Close above the lower highs line and the 0.6986 session high puts the 0.7000 psych cap in play
US Monthly Budget Statement at 18:00 UTC is minor; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the event that could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from Asian low, now lower highs under 0.69855.
London broke the Asian range high near 0.6967 and NY extended to a 0.69855 session high as Treasury yields eased and USD slipped off its highs. Since then a lower high at 0.69833 has capped price, which is drifting at 0.6979 just under EMA20 and holding the pullback low at 0.69777, near the 23.6% fib of the Asian-low-to-session-high leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 52.
Support: 0.69777, 0.69751
Resistance: 0.69833, 0.69855, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69777 pullback low exposes the 0.69751 ny low
Break of the 0.69751 ny low ends the HH/HL chain and brings the 38.2% fib near 0.6972 into view
Close above the 0.69855 session high reopens the 0.7000 psych cap
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main risk for this read; Asia session ahead is likely thin
17:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading late NY · RSI 47 · price 0.69785
HH/HL chain from Asia low; lower high now pressing higher low.
AUD/USD climbed steadily from the 0.6950 Asia low through London and NY as US yields pulled back, topping at a 0.69855 session high at 15:15 UTC. After London close a lower high at 0.69833 formed and price is now testing the 0.69776 higher low. It is slipping under the rising trendline from the London dip, back below EMA20, with RSI(14) near 47.
Support: 0.69776, 0.69751, 0.69689
Resistance: 0.69833, 0.69855, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.69776 higher low breaks the intraday HL chain and exposes the 0.69751 ny dip low and the 38.2% fib near 0.6972
A drop through the 0.69689 london dip unwinds most of the London-NY leg
A close back above the 0.69833 lower high reopens the 0.69855 session high, with the 0.7000 psych level above
US Budget Statement 18:00 UTC is minor; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the event that could materially shift this read
Higher lows from 0.6950, compressing below 0.69855 session high.
AUD/USD bottomed at 0.6950 early in the Asia session, then London broke the asian high at 0.69669 as softer Treasury yields pulled the USD back. NY extended to a 0.69855 session high before price compressed in a 0.6978–0.6985 band. The ny low at 0.6975 and the 0.69776 swing low form a higher-low chain, with RSI(14) near 58 and price above both EMAs.
Support: 0.69776, 0.6975, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69855, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69776 swing low and then the 0.6975 ny low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above the 0.69855 session high opens the 0.7000 psych cap
Loss of the asian high at 0.69669 would bring the 38.2% fib of the Asia-to-NY leg into play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read; Monthly Budget Statement at 18:00 UTC is lower-tier
Higher lows from the Asian low; consolidating 0.6978–0.6986 late NY.
AUD/USD recovered from the 0.6950 Asian low as US yields pulled back. London broke the asian high at 0.6967, and NY set a 0.69855 session high. The 0.69776 swing low then held as a third higher low, and RSI(14) is cooling to 58 as price compresses under the high.
Support: 0.69776, 0.6975, 0.6967
Resistance: 0.69855, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69776 swing low and rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain; 0.6975 higher low is next
Close above the 0.69855 session high opens the 0.7000 psych cap
Loss of 0.6967 asian high would put the 50% retracement of the Asia-NY leg in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read; Budget Statement 18:00 UTC today is minor
HH/HL chain from Asian low; Asian range broken in London, higher lows holding in NY.
A steady HH/HL climb from the 0.69495 Asian-session low broke the Asian range during London. It set a 0.69855 session high in NY hours as the dollar eased on softer yields. Dips to the 0.6975 NY low and the 0.69776 swing low, near the 23.6% fib, have held, and price is compressing just under the session high with RSI(14) neutral near 59.
Support: 0.69776, 0.6975
Resistance: 0.69855, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.69855 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych cap
Failure to hold the 0.69776 swing low and the 0.6975 NY low breaks the higher-low chain
US Monthly Budget Statement at 18:00 UTC is minor; Wed 12:30 UTC CPI is the larger risk to this structure
15:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 54 · price 0.69781
HH/HL chain from Asian low, now testing NY higher lows.
AUD climbed steadily from the Asian low at 0.69495, cleared the Asian high at 0.69669 at the London open and extended into NY as softer US yields eased the dollar. Rejection from the 0.69855 session high has price back near 0.6978, just under the EMA20, with the NY lows at 0.6975 still intact.
Support: 0.6975, 0.69717, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69855, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 ny lows breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 38.2% fib at 0.69717
Failure there puts the asian high at 0.69669 back in focus
Reclaim of the 0.69855 session high puts the 0.7000 psych level in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst; 18:00 UTC budget statement is minor
HH/HL chain from Asian low, Asian range broken higher in London.
AUD/USD has climbed about 36 pips from the 0.6950 Asian low set around the RBA minutes. London cleared the asian high at 0.6967 and NY extended to a session high at 0.69855 as softer US yields eased the USD. Two NY dips at 13:00 and 13:45 UTC both held the ny swing low near 0.6975, keeping the rising lows intact. RSI(14) sits at 66, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.6975, 0.69689, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69855, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 ny swing low breaks the rising lows and the HH/HL chain
Loss of the 0.6969 london low exposes the 38.2–50% retracement zone near 0.6972–0.6968, just above the 0.6967 asian high
Close above the 0.69855 session high opens the 0.7000 psych cap
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC, with core m/m as the swing factor, could materially shift this read; ATR near 3 pips suggests pre-CPI compression
Asian range broken higher in London; NY printing HH/HL above 0.6975.
London cleared the 0.6950–0.6967 Asian range, with the asian high at 0.6967 left behind, and NY extended to a 0.69855 session high as softer Treasury yields and easing oil trimmed the USD. Buyers stepped in at the 0.6975 ny lows twice, and the climb has held above the 0.6969 london low on a rising-lows line. RSI(14) is near 64, not stretched.
Support: 0.6975, 0.69689, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69855, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 ny lows breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.6969 london low and the asian high at 0.6967
Close above the 0.69855 session high opens the 0.7000 psych cap, a level the AUD digest flags as the range ceiling
Loss of the rising lows trendline would flatten the intraday structure
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from Asian low, NY at fresh session high.
London broke above the Asian high at 0.6965 and the pair has stepped up through the session as US yields and oil eased. NY printed a session high at 0.69855 after the 0.69751 NY low held twice, and RSI(14) sits near 61, not stretched. The 0.7000 psych cap is 15 pips overhead.
Support: 0.69751, 0.69689, 0.69645
Resistance: 0.69855, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69751 NY low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline
Loss of the 0.69689 London low puts the 38.2% retracement of the Asian-low rally in play
Rejection at the 0.69855 session high leaves a lower high under the 0.7000 psych cap
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC (core f/c 0.2% m/m) could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, retesting session high · RSI 64 · price 0.6982
HH/HL chain off the 0.6950 Asian low; NY pressing 0.6983.
AUD has climbed steadily from the 0.6950 Asian low as Treasury yields eased and the RBA minutes leaned hawkish. London and NY built higher lows at 0.6969 and 0.6975. Price is now back at the 0.6983 session high after the first-hour-of-NY rejection there, RSI(14) at 64 and not stretched.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6969, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6983 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Loss of the 0.6975 NY swing low breaks the rising trendline and the HL chain
Below the 0.6969 swing low, the 38.2% retrace of the Asian-low rally gives way
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the range-break trigger for this pair
HH/HL chain from the Asia low at 0.6950; NY open rejection at 0.6982, twin lows at 0.6975 holding.
AUD climbed steadily from the 0.6950 Asia low after the hawkish RBA minutes. London broke above the asian high at 0.6967 as Treasury yields eased. The NY open printed a session high at 0.6982 and was rejected sharply, but the twin lows at 0.6975 absorbed the drop and RSI(14) has cooled to about 59.
Support: 0.6975, 0.69689, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69825, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 twin lows breaks the HL chain and exposes the 0.6969 pullback low, then the 0.6967 asian high
Close above the 0.6982 session high opens the 0.7000 round number, the cap flagged in the digest
Holding above the 0.6970 38.2% fib keeps the Asia-to-NY leg intact
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main range-break risk; pre-CPI moves in Treasury yields could shift this read
HH/HL chain from the Asian low; first NY-hour rejection at 0.6982 held at 0.6975.
London broke above the 0.6967 Asian high and NY extended the higher-low chain to a 0.6982 session high, with softer US yields denting the dollar. The sharp rejection from the session high held at the 0.6975 swing low and the rising trendline. RSI(14) is near 59, with no extreme.
Support: 0.6975, 0.6969, 0.6967
Resistance: 0.69825, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline, exposing the 0.6969 london low and 0.6967 asian high
The 0.6969 london low sits near the 38.2% fib of the Asia-NY leg, the first retracement marker if 0.6975 gives way
Close above the 0.6982 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
US Budget Statement at 18:00 UTC is second-tier, while US CPI on Wed at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, first rejection at the high · RSI 57 · price 0.69762
HH/HL chain from the 0.6950 Asia low; NY bar reversed off 0.6983.
The Asia dip to 0.6950 after the RBA minutes was absorbed. London then broke the asian high at 0.6967, and the first hour of NY extended to a 0.6983 session high as softer US yields eased the dollar. A sharp 6.7-pip reversal bar has pushed price back onto the 0.6975 swing low and the london trendline, with RSI(14) cooling to ~57 and the 23.6% retrace of the asia-ny leg at the same level.
Support: 0.69747, 0.69689, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69825, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 swing low breaks the HL chain and the london trendline, exposing the 0.6969 pullback low and the 0.6967 asian high (near the 38.2% of the asia-ny leg)
Reclaim of the 0.6983 session high resumes the HH sequence toward the 0.7000 round number
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC; pre-release USD and yield moves during NY hours could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from the 0.6950 Asian low, above the Asian range.
Price broke the Asian high at 0.6967 at London open and has since built higher lows at 0.6969 and 0.6975. It printed a fresh session high at 0.6983 early in the NY session as DXY eased off its highs on softer yields. RSI(14) near 75 is warm but not extreme, and the 0.7000 psych level sits about 18 pips overhead.
Support: 0.69747, 0.69689, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69825, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 swing low breaks the rising tl and the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.6969 higher low puts the 0.6967 Asian high and the 50% fib near 0.6966 in focus
Acceptance above the 0.6983 session high brings 0.7000 psych into play
US Existing Home Sales at 14:00 UTC is minor; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger risk to this read
HH/HL chain from Asian range break, now at session high.
London broke the Asian high at 0.6961 and stair-stepped higher, with the dip to the 0.69689 swing low, a fib 38.2 match, holding during the morning as softer US yields eased the dollar. Early NY dipped to a 0.69747 swing low before buyers stepped in to print a 0.69809 session high, RSI(14) near 71, now about 20 pips under the 0.7000 round number.
Support: 0.69747, 0.69689, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.69809, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69747 swing low breaks the HL chain and the rising trendline
0.7000 round number: area to watch for rejection or a break
Loss of fib 38.2 at 0.69689 puts the asian high at 0.6961 back in focus
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain since London open, Asian range broken to upside.
London extended the Asian rebound off the 0.6950 low set around the hawkish RBA minutes. It cleared the 0.6967 asian high and Monday's 0.6969 prior high, and softer US yields are taking the shine off the dollar. Higher lows are stacking along a rising trendline, but the 0.6979 session high has capped twice into the London-NY transition and the 13:00 UTC swing low at 0.6975 is the nearest pivot.
Support: 0.69747, 0.6969, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69792, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6975 swing low and rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain
Failure to hold the 0.6969 prior high puts price back inside the Asian range near 0.6967
Close above the 0.6979 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Fed's Bowman at 14:55 UTC during NY hours; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger swing risk
13:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, early NY holding near highs · RSI 72 · price 0.69778
HH/HL chain since Asian low; Asian range broken higher in London.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.6967 and stair-stepped a HH/HL chain from the 0.6950 Asian low to a 0.6979 session high as softer yields eased the dollar. First hour of NY is holding just under that high with RSI(14) near 72, and the 0.7000 round number sits about 22 pips above.
Support: 0.69755, 0.69716, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69792, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6979 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Close below the 0.6976 swing low signals early-NY exhaustion
Loss of the 0.6972 higher low breaks the HH/HL chain on the trendline; 0.6967 Asian high and the 38.2% fib near 0.6968 come into play
Pre-positioning ahead of Wed 12:30 UTC US CPI could stall the London leg
12:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extended into NY · RSI 72 · price 0.6978
Higher-high/higher-low chain from Asia low, pressing session high.
AUDUSD has climbed about 30 pips off the 0.6950 Asia low, where price steadied after the hawkish RBA minutes. London kept stacking higher lows into a 0.6979 session high as DXY eased on softer yields and oil. RSI(14) near 72 is stretched but typical of a trend, ATR(14) about 2.5 pips, and the 0.7000 round number sits about 20 pips above as the NY open approaches.
Support: 0.69755, 0.69689, 0.69643
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.6975 higher low breaks the last leg of the HH/HL chain
Failure to hold the 0.6969 pullback low and the rising trendline puts the fib 50% at 0.6964 in focus
A push through the 0.6979 session high runs into the 0.7000 round number, an area to watch for rejection or break
Renewed Gulf headlines lifting oil and US yields would undercut the current USD pullback; US CPI on Wed 12:30 UTC is the next major risk
HH/HL chain since London open, compressing under 0.6979 session high.
The Asian low at 0.6950 held after the RBA minutes. London broke the 0.6967 asian high and has built higher lows since, helped by DXY easing on softer yields and oil. Into the London-NY transition, bar ranges have narrowed to 1-2 pips under the 0.6979 session high, with price sitting on the rising trendline.
Support: 0.6973, 0.6967, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6973 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the HH/HL chain
Acceptance above the 0.6979 session high exposes the 0.7000 psych cap
Return below the 0.6967 asian high puts the London breakout in question; 38.2% fib sits near 0.6968
Bowman at 14:55 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
HH/HL chain above broken Asian range, testing session high.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.6964 and the prior session top near 0.6970, then built a HH/HL chain to a 0.6979 session high as easing US yields took the edge off USD. Price is sitting on the London trendline in the London-NY transition, with the 0.7000 cap 21 pips overhead and RSI(14) near 64, not stretched.
Support: 0.69689, 0.69645, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69788, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the London trendline and the 0.6969 swing low breaks the HH/HL chain
Rejection at the 0.6979 session high would mark a lower-high attempt; 0.7000 cap has repeatedly capped rallies
Loss of the 0.6964 Asian high puts price back inside the Asian range, toward the 0.6950 Asian low
US ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) and Existing Home Sales (14:00 UTC) could jolt USD during NY hours
London broke above the 0.6967 Asian high and has stacked higher lows from the 0.6950 Asian low into a 0.6978 session high, clearing Monday's 0.6974 prior high as easing US yields and oil take the edge off USD. RSI(14) near 68 is firm but not stretched, and the late-London pullbacks have held above the rising trendline.
Support: 0.69745, 0.69689, 0.69669
Resistance: 0.69781, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6969 swing low breaks the London HL chain and the rising trendline
A return below the 0.6967 Asian high would turn the range break into a false break
0.6978 session high, then the 0.7000 round number: areas to watch for rejection or extension into NY
Losing 0.6974 prior high on a close puts the 38.2% retrace of the Asian low to session high leg near 0.6967 in play
NY open and US ADP (12:15 UTC) could shift the read; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger risk
Asian range broken higher in London; HH/HL chain into the session high.
AUD recovered from the 0.6950 Asian low and London cleared the 0.6967 Asian high, as USD eased on softer yields. Price is now pressing the 0.6977 session high and has retaken Monday's 0.6975 area. RSI(14) sits near 67, firm but not stretched, with the rising trendline intact and the 0.6969 pullback low beneath.
Support: 0.69689, 0.69669, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69767, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.6969 pullback low breaks the London higher-low chain
A loss of the 0.6967 Asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
Rejection at the 0.6977 session high leaves the 0.7000 psych cap untested
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC and NY open flows could shift this read; Bowman speaks Wed, US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC
Asian range broken higher in London, testing prior high.
London extended the break above the Asian range (asian low 0.6950, asian high 0.6967) in a steady HH/HL chain along rising support, with the USD easing on softer yields. Late London, the latest bar printed a 0.6977 session high above yesterday's 0.6975 prior high but closed back below it. RSI(14) near 65 is not stretched and ATR(14) is under 3 pips.
Support: 0.69689, 0.69669, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69749, 0.69767, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.6977 session high clears the prior high and opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
A loss of the 0.6969 swing low breaks rising support and the higher-low chain, exposing the asian high at 0.6967
US ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) and the NY open could shift this read; US CPI on Wed is the larger risk
11:17 UTC
Uptrend, pressing prior-day high · RSI 66 · price 0.69734
Higher-low chain from the Asian low, double test of 0.6975.
AUD/USD lifted off the 0.6950 Asian low and broke the 0.6962 Asian high in early London as softer US yields eased the dollar. Price has now tagged the 0.6975 prior high twice this session, with higher lows riding a rising trendline and RSI(14) near 66.
Support: 0.69689, 0.69618, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6975 prior high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
A break of the rising trendline and the 0.6969 swing low ends the higher-low chain, with the 0.6962 Asian high next
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC and the NY open could test the read, and US CPI on Wed at 12:30 UTC is the larger risk
Higher lows since Asian low, capped at Monday high.
Pair climbed off the 0.6950 Asian low and London broke the 0.6967 Asian high, but the London high at 0.6975 met rejection at Monday's prior high around 09:00 UTC as easing US yields took some heat out of the USD. Higher lows hold, with price sitting on the rising trendline and the 0.6969 swing low just below, mid-London with NY yet to open.
Support: 0.69689, 0.69669, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69749, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6969 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.6967 Asian high retest in play
Close above the 0.6975 prior high clears the double test and opens 0.7000 psych
Loss of the rising trendline turns the read to a pullback within the Asia low to London high leg
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC near NY open; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger risk to this read
10:47 UTC
Uptrend, pressing prior high · RSI 67 · price 0.69737
Higher-low chain from Asian low; Asian range broken above.
London cleared the 0.6950–0.6967 Asian range (Asian low to Asian high) and is retesting Monday's prior high at 0.6975 after a first rejection there around 09:00 UTC. Higher lows hold along the rising trendline, with the 0.6969 swing low beneath. RSI(14) is near 67 as the USD eases with softer Treasury yields.
Support: 0.69689, 0.69669, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69749, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6975 prior high clears the double test and opens the 0.7000 psych level
Break of the 0.6969 swing low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.6967 Asian high puts price back inside the Asian range, with the 50% fib near 0.6962
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC, early in the NY session, could shift this read; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the bigger risk
10:17 UTC
Uptrend since Asia, stalling at prior high · RSI 68 · price 0.69721
Higher lows off the 0.6950 Asian low; London broke the Asian range, capped at 0.6975.
London broke above the 0.6965 Asian high as US yields eased and USD stepped back from its 18-month high. The move stalled at 0.6975, matching Monday's prior high, and was rejected there. The pullback held the 0.6969 London low on the rising trendline, and price is pinned near 0.6972 mid-London.
Support: 0.6969, 0.6965, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6975 prior high opens the 0.7000 psych cap
Break of the rising trendline and 0.6969 London low exposes the 0.6965 Asian high, near the 38.2% of the overnight rally
Failure back below the 0.6950 Asian low unwinds the overnight rally
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC into NY open could shift this read; US CPI Wed is the larger risk
10:03 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 66 · price 0.69723
HH/HL chain from Asia low, pullback off 0.6975.
London extended the Asia rebound from the 0.6950 session low through the Asian range high, then met rejection at 0.6975, matching Monday's prior high, as easing US yields after the holiday trimmed the USD bid. Price is holding above the 0.6969 pullback low with RSI(14) in the mid-60s and ATR near 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.69689, 0.69644, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69749, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6975 prior high clears the rejection and opens the 0.7000 psych cap
Failure at the 0.6969 pullback low, then the 0.6964 swing low, breaks the HL chain toward the 50% fib near 0.6962
Session low at 0.6950 is the floor of the Asia-to-London leg
US ADP at 12:15 UTC around the NY open, with US CPI on Wed, could materially shift this read
09:47 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 63 · price 0.69704
Higher lows from the Asian low; London broke the Asian range high.
Easing US yields lifted AUDUSD off the 0.6950 Asian low, and hawkish RBA minutes left little mark. London broke the 0.6967 Asian high and ran into yesterday's 0.6975 prior high, where the 09:00 UTC bar was rejected. Price is holding 0.6970 above the rising trendline, with RSI(14) near 63.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6964, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6975 prior high opens the 0.7000 round number
A close back below the 0.6967 asian high returns price to the Asian range
A break of the 0.6964 london low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low chain
US ADP 4-wk avg at 12:15 UTC early in the NY session could shift the read
09:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 62 · price 0.6970
Higher lows from Asian low, London breakout above Asian range met rejection.
Mid-London, the pair has extended a higher-low chain off the 0.6950 asian low, cleared the asian high at 0.6967 and stalled at Monday's 0.6975 prior high, where one bearish bar gave back 5 pips. The climb tracks USD easing off its highs after the holiday. RSI(14) is cooling to 62 and ATR(14) is about 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6964, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6975 prior high reopens the 0.7000 round number
Loss of the 0.6967 asian high and the 0.6964 swing low breaks the London higher-low chain; the 50–61.8% fib of the asia-london leg sits at 0.6962–0.6959
Failure at 0.6975 for a second time would make it a double cap with Monday's high
US ADP 4-wk average (12:15 UTC) and Existing Home Sales (14:00 UTC) during NY hours could shift the read; Wed CPI is the larger risk
HH/HL chain from Asian low, Asian range broken higher.
London extended the Asian-session grind higher, clearing the asian high at 0.6967 and tagging Monday's prior high at 0.6975 as the USD eased with Treasury yields. The HH/HL chain from the 0.6950 asian low is intact above the rising trendline, and RSI(14) is near 71 into the test.
Support: 0.69669, 0.69644, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69749, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6975 prior high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych cap
Rejection at 0.6975 and a slip back below the 0.6967 asian high would mark the London break as a false break
Loss of the 0.6964 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the HH/HL chain; 50% fib of the Asia rally sits near 0.6962
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC is second-tier; US CPI on Wed is the larger risk to this read
Asian range broken higher, HH/HL chain into prior high.
AUD bounced from the 0.6950 Asian low set around the RBA Minutes and has built rising lows since, helped by the USD easing with Treasury yields. Two hours into London, price has cleared the 0.6967 asian high and is pressing yesterday's 0.6975 prior high, with RSI(14) near 71: warm, not stretched.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6964, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6975 prior high opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych cap
Slip back below the 0.6967 asian high and the 0.6964 swing low turns the London break into a false break
Loss of the rising lows line back toward the 0.6950 asian low would undo the Asia-London leg
US ADP (12:15 UTC) and Existing Home Sales (14:00 UTC) are second-tier; Wednesday's US CPI is the larger risk to this read
08:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since Asia · RSI 68 · price 0.69685
HH/HL chain from the 0.6950 Asian low; London broke above the Asian high.
Asia dipped to the 0.6950 Asian low around the RBA Minutes, then built a steady higher-low chain as USD gave back ground with yields and oil easing. London open cleared the Asian high at 0.6965 and printed a 0.6970 session high, with RSI(14) near 68 and Monday's 0.6975 prior high just above.
Support: 0.69645, 0.69591, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69749, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6965 Asian high would mark the London breakout as a false break
Loss of the 0.6959 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline
Close above the 0.6975 prior high opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
NY open with US ADP data could shift the read; US CPI on Wednesday is the larger risk
London broke above Asian range; higher-low chain from 0.6950.
Asia dipped to the 0.6950 asian low around the RBA Minutes before recovering as US yields and oil eased. London broke the 0.6962 asian high and set a 0.6969 session high, with higher lows stacking along the trendline and RSI(14) firm near 67. Yesterday's 0.6975 prior high is the next overhead reference.
Support: 0.6962, 0.69591, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69685, 0.69749
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6959 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and trendline
Clearance of the 0.6975 prior high opens the 0.7000 psych cap
Slip back inside the Asian range below 0.6962 turns the breakout into a false break
US Sept CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main event risk; ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC today could stir the NY session
Higher-low chain from Asia low; Asian range high broken at London open.
Monday's slide from the 0.6975 prior high bottomed at the 0.6950 Asia low just after the RBA Minutes. Higher lows have built since then on the higher-low trendline, with the USD easing as yields pull back. London open broke the 0.6965 Asia high, and the session high at 0.69685 is stalling near the 61.8% retracement of Monday's drop.
Support: 0.69645, 0.69591, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69685, 0.69749, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6965 Asia high puts price back inside the Asian range
Break of the higher-low trendline and the 0.6959 swing low ends the intraday HL chain
Close above the 0.6975 prior high reverses Monday's drop and opens the 0.7000 psych cap
US ADP (12:15 UTC) is minor; Wednesday's US CPI is the larger risk to this read
Steady HH/HL climb off the 0.6950 asian low has carried into early London, with the open clearing the 0.6964 breakout level and printing a 0.69685 session high as US yields soften. RSI(14) near 64 is not stretched; next overhead is Monday's 0.6975 swing high.
Support: 0.69645, 0.69591, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69685, 0.69749
What it said to watch
Waller speaking from 07:45 UTC; a hawkish tone could quickly reverse the London push
M15 close back below the 0.6964 breakout level points to a false break
Failure to hold the 0.6959 higher low breaks the HH/HL chain and the rising trendline
Acceptance above the 0.69685 session high opens the 0.6975 swing high
07:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, early London extension · RSI 65 · price 0.69665
Higher lows from Asian low; Asian high broken at London open.
The rebound from the 0.6950 Asian low has built a higher-low chain along a rising trendline. London open cleared the 0.6964 Asian high to a 0.6968 London high as softer US yields trimmed Monday's oil-driven USD bid. RSI(14) near 65 and ATR(14) under 3 pips show a steady rather than stretched advance, with the 0.6975 prior swing and 0.6979 prior high from Monday's slide overhead.
Support: 0.69645, 0.69591, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69677, 0.69749, 0.69791
What it said to watch
Fed Waller at 07:45 UTC could materially shift this read
A close back below the 0.6964 Asian high would turn the London move into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.6959 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and trendline
Acceptance above the 0.6975 prior swing brings the 0.6979 prior high into play
07:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 60 · price 0.69635
Higher-low chain off the Asian low; London open poked above the Asian range high and faded.
AUD carved an Asian low at 0.6950 around the RBA minutes and has built higher lows since, helped by USD profit-taking off its highs. Early London pushed through the Asian range top at 0.69645 to a 0.6967 session high but met rejection, leaving price just under it with RSI(14) near 60 and moves running about 3 pips per bar.
Support: 0.69591, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69669, 0.69749
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6967 session high opens Monday's NY high at 0.6975
Close below the 0.6959 swing low breaks the Asia trendline and the higher-low chain
Asian low at 0.6950 is the floor of today's structure; losing it re-opens Monday's downtrend
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could materially shift this read via USD
07:03 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off Asia low · RSI 61 · price 0.69634
HL chain from 0.6950; false break above Asian high.
AUD dipped to the 0.6950 asia low around the RBA minutes and NAB release, then built higher lows as USD saw mild Asia profit-taking. The pre-London spike to the 0.6967 session high was rejected back inside the Asian high near 0.6965. Price is holding between the 50% and 61.8% retracement of Monday's slide from the 0.6975 monday high, with the 0.6959 swing low just below.
Support: 0.69591, 0.69546, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69669, 0.69749
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6967 session high opens the 0.6975 monday high
Break of the Asia HL line and the 0.6959 swing low ends the higher-low chain, exposing the 0.6955 monday low and the 0.6950 asia low
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could materially shift this read in the first hour of London
06:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asian low, momentum moderate · RSI 58 · price 0.6963
Higher-low chain from 0.6950, pressing the 0.6965 session high.
Monday's slide from 0.6982 stalled at the 0.6955 NY low as the oil-driven USD bid paused. The pair then dipped to a 0.6950 Asian low around the hawkish-leaning RBA minutes and has since built a higher-low chain along the rising trendline. Price is now back under the 0.69645 session high after a mild rejection there, with London open next.
Support: 0.6959, 0.6955, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69645, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.69645 session high opens the 0.6970 round number, Monday's London-hours shelf
Break below the 0.6959 higher low and the rising trendline ends the Asia higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.6955 NY low
Loss of the 0.6950 Asian low turns the Asia recovery into a lower-low
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC (about 1h) could shift USD tone into London; ATR near 2.6 pips leaves room for an outsized bar
Higher lows off 0.6950 since the RBA minutes, capped at the 0.69645 Asian high.
Monday's USD-driven slide on oil and a hawkish Hammack took AUD from 0.6984 to the 0.6955 monday low. Asia then double-bottomed at the 0.6950 asian low around the RBA minutes and built higher lows from there. That rebound met a rejection at the 0.69645 asian high, between the 38.2% and fib 50% retracement of the Monday drop, and price is now pressing the asia trendline near 0.6960 with London open 30 minutes out.
Support: 0.6958, 0.6955, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69645, 0.6967, 0.6975
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.6958 hl pivot breaks the Asia higher-low chain and the asia trendline, exposing the 0.6955 monday low and the 0.6950 asian low
A London break of the 0.69645 asian high puts the 0.6967 fib 50% and the 0.6975 swing high in play
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could materially shift this read; US CPI follows Wed 12:30 UTC
06:17 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off Asian low · RSI 58 · price 0.69621
HH/HL chain since the Asian sweep low, pressing the Asian high.
Around the RBA minutes, Asia swept Monday's 0.6955 low to the 0.69495 asian low. Price then built a higher-low chain along a rising trendline and cleared the 0.6961 prior cap to a 0.69645 asian high, despite the firm USD backdrop. Late Asia, ahead of London open, price is holding just above the prior cap with RSI(14) at 58. Monday's 0.69749 swing high sits above.
Support: 0.6961, 0.6958, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69645, 0.6970, 0.69749
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.6961 prior cap and the rising trendline undoes the Asian breakout
Loss of the 0.6958 higher low breaks the HL chain and puts the 0.69495 asian low back in view
Acceptance above the 0.69645 asian high opens the 0.6970 round number, then the 0.69749 swing high
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC and ADP at 12:15 UTC could shift the USD leg during London/NY
US CPI on Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger event risk for this read
Late Asia session, ahead of London open. Price has stacked higher lows off the 0.6950 asian low and just cleared the 0.6962 asia cap as DXY eased on profit-taking, now pressing the 61.8% fib of Monday's slide from the 0.6975 monday high. RSI(14) near 66 and ATR about 2.6 pips keep the move compact.
Support: 0.69618, 0.69582, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69652, 0.6970, 0.69749
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6962 asia cap would mark the breakout as a false break
Acceptance above the 61.8% fib at 0.6965 brings the 0.6970 breakdown zone from Monday's London session into play, then the 0.6975 monday high
Loss of the 0.6958 higher low breaks the Asian rising-lows trendline and exposes the 0.6950 asian low
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could materially shift this read; US CPI due Wed 12:30 UTC
Monday's 34-pip slide from 0.6984 came on the oil- and Fed-driven USD bid and bottomed in a double low at 0.6950 in early Asia, around the hawkish RBA minutes. Late Asia is pressing the 0.6962 asian high, which sits at the 38.2% fib of the Monday drop, on a chain of rising lows. RSI(14) is neutral near 57 and ATR(14) is about 2.5 pips, so range is compressing into the London open.
Support: 0.6958, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6962, 0.6970
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6962 asian high (38.2% fib) opens the path to the 0.6970 prior pivot from Monday's London lows
A break of the rising lows line near 0.6958 shifts focus back to the 0.6950 double low
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC in early London could materially shift this read; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger event risk
05:32 UTC
Down day, Asia basing with higher lows · RSI 58 · price 0.69596
Asian range 0.6950–0.6962, higher lows under a flat cap.
Monday's slide from the 0.6984 prior high bottomed at the 0.6950 asia low around the NAB release, and the post-RBA minutes dip held above it. Higher lows along a rising trendline are now pressing the 0.6962 asia high, which lines up with the 38.2% retracement of the decline fib, while the late-NY base at 0.6955 sits below.
Support: 0.69546, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69618, 0.69749, 0.69838
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6962 asia high clears the decline fib 38.2% and opens the 0.6975 swing high
Break of the rising trendline and the 0.6955 ny base returns price to the lower half of the Asian range
Loss of the 0.6950 asia low resumes the decline toward the 0.6935 range floor
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could materially shift this read in early London
Asia swept Monday's prior low near 0.6955 to an Asian low at 0.6950, then reclaimed it after the RBA minutes' 'act promptly' language. Late in the Asia session, a chain of higher lows is pressing a flat Asian high at 0.6962. RSI(14) is near 61 and ATR is under 3 pips, so the range is compressing ahead of London open.
Support: 0.69582, 0.69546, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69618, 0.6970, 0.69749
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6962 Asian high opens the 0.6970 round number, then Monday's 0.6975 swing high
Break of the 0.6958 higher low and the rising line negates the Asia recovery and puts the 0.6955 prior low back in play
Loss of the 0.6950 Asian low would turn the sweep into a lower-low extension
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, early in the London session, could materially shift this read
Asia grind off 0.6950 low, capped at 0.6962 session high.
Monday's London-NY slide from 0.6984 to the 0.6955 monday low, driven by the broad USD bid, has given way to a late-Asia consolidation. A dip to the 0.6950 asian low around the RBA minutes was absorbed, and price has since built small higher lows along a rising line off that low. The bounce is stalling at the 0.6962 session high, just under the 38.2% fib of the slide, with RSI(14) neutral near 57.
Support: 0.6955, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6962, 0.6967, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6962 session high opens the 50% fib at 0.6967 and the 0.6970 pivot
Loss of the rising line off the asian low (~0.6954), then the 0.6955 monday low, puts the 0.6950 asian low back in play
A break of 0.6950 resumes Monday's lower-low sequence
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, around the London open, could materially shift this read
Higher lows off Asian low, compressing under session high.
Monday's London-NY selloff from 0.6984 to the 0.6955 NY low came on the firm USD. Asia swept below it to the 0.6950 Asian low around the RBA minutes, then printed a higher-lows chain that is now pressing the 0.6962 session high. RSI(14) is near 57 and ATR is only about 3 pips, so the range is tight into London open.
Support: 0.69546, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69618, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6962 session high opens the 0.6970 prior shelf from Monday's London breakdown
Close below the higher-lows line and the 0.6955 NY low puts the 0.6950 Asian low back in play
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, shortly after London open, could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Intraday recovery after Monday's slide, higher lows in Asia · RSI 63 · price 0.69614
Higher-low chain off 0.6950 Asia low, pressing session high.
Asia briefly swept below Monday's late-NY prior range (0.6955–0.6958) to a 0.6950 low around the RBA minutes. Price then built higher lows from 0.6951 back to the 0.6962 session high, RSI(14) near 63. Price is now at the 38.2% retrace of Monday's 0.6984–0.6950 slide, with the oil- and haven-driven USD bid still the backdrop.
Support: 0.6958, 0.69508, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69616, 0.69667, 0.69707
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6962 session high opens the 50% fib at 0.6967, where Monday's NY breakdown started
61.8% fib near 0.6971 is the upper limit of the retrace read
Loss of the 0.6958 prior range breaks the higher-low chain and points back to the 0.6951 higher low and 0.6950 Asia low
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, near London open, could materially shift this read
04:17 UTC
24h downtrend stalled, Asia rebound in progress · RSI 60 · price 0.69602
Double bottom at 0.6950, higher lows, pressing Asian high.
Monday's slide from the 0.6984 london high ran through NY, and around the RBA minutes in Asia it dipped to a 0.6950 double bottom (asian low 0.69495, then 0.6951). That dip was bought. Price is now on a higher-low chain above the 0.6955 ny low and pressing the 0.6961 asian high, with RSI(14) near 60 and ATR around 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.6955, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69613, 0.6975, 0.69838
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6961 asian high completes the double bottom and opens the 0.6975 swing high, the last lower high of the sell-off
Failure at 0.6961 keeps price inside the Asian range; a break of the 0.6955 ny low puts the 0.6950 asian low back in play
A close below 0.6950 resumes the lower-low sequence from the 0.6984 london high
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, near London open, could shift the USD side of this read
04:03 UTC
Bounce off lows after Monday's decline · RSI 60 · price 0.69598
Rising lows capped by the 0.6961 Asian high.
Monday's slide from 0.6984 on the oil-driven USD bid stalled at the 0.6955 NY low. The Asian low at 0.6950 printed around the RBA minutes release, but that false break below the NY low was quickly reversed. Late in the Asia session, rising lows are now pressing the 0.6961 Asian high, with RSI(14) near 60 and ATR around 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.69546, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69613, 0.69749
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6961 Asian high opens the path to the 0.6975 prior high, Monday's 12:00 UTC spike
Close back below the 0.6955 NY low and a break of the rising lows trendline negate the bounce
Loss of the 0.6950 Asian low confirms a lower-low and resumes Monday's decline
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, around the London open, could shift the USD leg; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger risk
03:32 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off Asia low · RSI 63 · price 0.69606
Asian range 0.6950–0.6961, price at range top.
Around the hawkish RBA minutes at 00:30 UTC, AUD/USD briefly slipped through the 0.6955 Monday low to 0.6950 (asia low), then reclaimed it and built higher lows through the Asia session. Price is now pressing the 0.6961 asia high with RSI(14) near 63. The 0.6970 round number, Monday's London consolidation floor, sits just above.
Support: 0.69546, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69613, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6961 asia high breaks the Asian range and puts the 0.6970 round number in play
Loss of the higher lows line and a close back below 0.6955 monday low turns the reclaim into a range failure toward the 0.6950 asia low
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, shortly after London open, could shift USD tone and this read
03:18 UTC
Downtrend stalled, Asia ranging · RSI 55 · price 0.69584
Tight Asian range 0.6950–0.6960 with rising lows.
Monday's London-NY slide from the 0.6984 prior high carried into an Asian low at 0.6950 on the RBA minutes. The hawkish tone sparked a bounce that has met rejection twice at the 0.6960 Asian high. Price is coiling inside the Asian range above EMA20, just under EMA50, with a minor low at 0.6954 and rising lows beneath; RSI(14) is neutral at 55 and ATR is about 3 pips.
Support: 0.69537, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69603, 0.69749, 0.69838
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6960 Asian high breaks the range and opens the path to the 0.6975 spike high, then the 0.6984 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.6954 minor low and the rising lows exposes the 0.6950 Asian low
A break of the 0.6950 Asian low resumes Monday's lower-low sequence
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC around London open could materially shift this read
03:03 UTC
Downtrend stalling, sideways in Asia · RSI 52 · price 0.69578
Tight Asian range 0.6950–0.6960 after Monday's lower-high chain.
Monday's London-NY slide from 0.6984 stalled near 0.6955. Mid-Asia session, price dipped to the 0.6950 asian low around the hawkish RBA minutes and reclaimed it, a false break of Monday's low. It is now coiling under the 0.6960 asian high, capped three times near EMA50 and the 23.6% retracement of the monday drop.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6970
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6960 asian high opens the 0.6970 breakdown area from Monday's London session
Failure to hold the 0.6950 asian low resumes the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6935 range floor
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC around London open could break the Asian range
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger USD risk for this read
02:47 UTC
Downtrend stalling, Asian range rebound · RSI 52 · price 0.69579
Asian range 0.6950–0.6960 after Monday's lower-high, lower-low slide.
Monday's London-led slide from the 0.6984 day high, on a firm USD and $93+ oil, stalled at the 0.6955 NY low through thin Columbus Day hours. Asia dipped to a 0.6950 asian low around the hawkish RBA minutes, then recovered. Price now sits at the 0.6960 asian high after two rejections there, and RSI(14) is neutral near 52.
Support: 0.69546, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69603, 0.69749, 0.69838
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6960 asian high breaks the Asian range and opens the 0.6975 london spike high
Loss of the 0.6950 asian low resumes the lower-low sequence below the 0.6955 ny low
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC and the London open could shift the range read
Reclaiming the 38.2% of Monday's decline near 0.6963 would be the first sign of structural repair
02:33 UTC
Downtrend stalling, Asia rebound · RSI 56 · price 0.69584
Higher lows under flat 0.6960 cap.
Monday's decline from 0.6984 stalled in a 0.6955–0.6960 range through late NY. The hawkish RBA minutes at 00:30 UTC landed on a false break to the 0.6950 asia low that was quickly reclaimed. Mid Asia session, price is pressing the 0.6960 asia high off higher lows, with RSI(14) neutral near 56 and price sitting on EMA50.
Support: 0.69537, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69603, 0.69626
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6960 asia high opens the fib 38.2 retracement of Monday's decline at 0.6963
Loss of the 0.6954 higher low, then the 0.6950 asia low, resumes Monday's decline
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could shift the read via USD
02:17 UTC
Downtrend, stalling in Asia · RSI 47 · price 0.69547
Lower highs from 0.6984; Asian range 0.6950–0.6960.
Monday's London-NY slide from 0.6984 stalled near 0.6955 as a firm USD hit 17-month highs. Early in Tuesday's Asia session, the hawkish RBA minutes produced a whipsaw: a dip to the 0.6950 session low, then a rejection at the 0.6960 session high, with price now back mid-range near 0.6955. The lower-high trendline from the 0.6975 lower high is still intact; RSI(14) ~47 is neutral and ATR is ~3 pips.
Support: 0.69495, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.69603, 0.69749
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6960 session high breaks the Asian range top and the lower-high trendline
Failure to hold the 0.6950 session low extends the downtrend toward the 0.6935 band floor
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC around London open could shift USD tone
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger event risk for this structure
02:03 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near 0.6950 · RSI 43 · price 0.69545
Lower highs from 0.6984; late-NY range 0.6955–0.6960 swept lower in Asia, bounce capped at 0.6960.
Monday's slide from the 0.6975 spike high ran through London and NY on a bid USD, then flattened into a 0.6955–0.6960 range into the rollover. Asia dipped to a 0.69495 asian low before the hawkish RBA minutes drove a bounce to the 0.69603 rba high, just above the 38.2% fib, where it was rejected. Price is back at 0.6955 below EMA20, with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.69495, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.69603, 0.69749
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69495 asian low resumes the downtrend toward the 0.6935 band floor
Close above the 0.69603 rba high clears the fib 38.2% and opens the 0.6975 spike high
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, during London, could shift the read ahead of Wednesday's US CPI
01:47 UTC
Downtrend, Asia bounce rejected · RSI 37 · price 0.69524
Lower highs from 0.6975; NY base at 0.6955 broken in Asia.
Asia session broke the late-NY base at 0.6955 to a 0.69495 asia low. The hawkish RBA minutes lifted price to a 0.6960 asia high, but the move was rejected near the 38.2% retrace of the drop from the 0.6975 london high. Price is back at 0.6952 with lower highs intact against a firm USD.
Support: 0.69495, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.69555, 0.69603, 0.69749
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6960 asia high breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 0.69495 asia low opens the 0.6935 band floor
Reclaim of the 0.6955 ny base would turn the range break into a false break
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could shift the USD leg
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, Asia bounce fading · RSI 43 · price 0.69549
Lower highs since Monday NY; Asia swept 0.6950, rebound capped at 0.6960.
The USD-led slide from the ny spike at 0.6975 extended in Asia to a session low at 0.69495, before the hawkish RBA minutes lifted AUD to a minutes high of 0.6960. That high sits at the 38.2% retrace of the ny-asia fib and was rejected, with price back under EMA20 near 0.6955.
Support: 0.69495, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.69603, 0.69749
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69495 session low resumes the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6935 band floor
Close above the 0.6960 minutes high and 38.2% retrace breaks the lower-high chain
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC, ahead of the London open, could materially shift this read
01:17 UTC
Downtrend, early Asia rebound · RSI 53 · price 0.69578
Lower highs from 0.6990, 0.6955 base swept and reclaimed.
Lower highs held from 0.6990 through London and a thin Columbus Day NY session. The late-NY range low at 0.6955 gave way in the first Asia hour to a 0.69495 session low. Price snapped back to 0.6958 after the hawkish RBA minutes, making the break a false break for now, with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.6955, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.6960, 0.69749
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.6960 range top (near the 38.2% fib) breaks the lower-high chain and exposes the 0.6975 lower high
Slip back below the 0.6955 range low reopens the 0.69495 session low
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could reset the USD leg of this read; US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the larger risk
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, early Asia extension · RSI 37 · price 0.69524
Lower highs under descending line; late-NY 0.6955–0.6960 range broken lower.
AUD/USD's slide from 0.6992 in thin Columbus Day trade extended in early Asia. The pair broke the 0.6955 late-NY floor and set a session low at 0.69495 around the hawkish RBA minutes and the soft NAB confidence print. The bounce stalled at the underside of that broken floor and the descending resistance line, with ATR near 2.3 pips and RSI(14) at 37.
Support: 0.69495, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.6955, 0.6960
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6955 broken floor and descending resistance line negates the range break
Failure to hold the 0.69495 session low exposes the 0.6935 band floor
A reclaim of the 0.6960 NY bounce high breaks the lower-high sequence
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could shift USD tone heading into the London session
The 0.6995–0.6950 decline unfolded through Monday's Columbus Day trade as USD firmed on oil, haven demand and hawkish Fed talk, printing lower highs at 0.6984, 0.6975 and the 0.6960 NY high. Tuesday's Asia session opened with a break of the 0.6955 range floor, and the hawkish RBA minutes produced only a shallow bounce off the 0.6950 session low.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.6955, 0.6960, 0.69749
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6955 range floor turns the Asia break into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.6950 session low opens the 0.6935 band floor
Close above the 0.6960 NY high breaks the lower-highs trendline; 0.6975 lower high is next
Fed's Waller at 07:45 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
00:32 UTC
Downtrend, fresh low at Asia open · RSI 31 · price 0.69513
Lower highs since Monday Asia; NY range broken to the downside.
Monday's sell-off from the 0.6995 Asia high, driven by oil-driven haven USD demand, broke out of the 0.6955–0.6960 NY range at the Tuesday Asia open and printed a session low at 0.6950. Rallies have been capped by descending highs since London. RSI(14) is near 31 and ATR is only about 2 pips heading into the RBA minutes.
Support: 0.69502, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.69546, 0.69599, 0.69725
What it said to watch
RBA minutes due 00:30 UTC could materially shift this read; a hawkish tone into crowded AUD shorts risks a squeeze back through the ny range low
A reclaim of the ny range low at 0.6955 would turn the range break into a false break; the range top at 0.6960 sits above it
Failure to hold the 0.6950 session low exposes the 0.6935 band floor
The descending highs line and the fib 50% of the Monday sell-off near 0.6972 frame the upside if a bounce develops
00:17 UTC
Downtrend, fresh low into Asia open · RSI 34 · price 0.69529
Lower highs since Monday Asia high; NY range broken lower.
Lower highs since Monday's 0.6995 Asia high, with haven USD and WTI above $93 pressing the pair through London and NY. The opening Tuesday Asia bar broke the 0.6955–0.6960 NY range and printed a 0.6950 session low ahead of RBA minutes. RSI(14) near 34 is soft but not oversold, and ATR is compressed at about 2 pips.
Support: 0.69502, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.69546, 0.69599, 0.69749
What it said to watch
RBA minutes at 00:30 UTC (~15 min) could materially shift this read; a hawkish read would test the range break
M15 close back above the 0.6955 range floor negates the range break and returns price to the 0.6955–0.6960 range
Failure to hold the 0.6950 session low exposes the 0.6935 band floor
Close above the 0.6975 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence; the 38.2% fib of the 0.6995–0.6950 drop sits near 0.6967
00:03 UTC
Downtrend, stalled into tight range · RSI 41 · price 0.69554
Lower highs from 0.6995, 5-pip range at session low.
AUD bled from the 0.6995 Asia high through London and holiday-thin NY. Oil-driven haven USD demand left a string of lower highs and a 0.69546 low late in NY. Since then a 0.6955 range floor and 0.6960 range top have boxed price through the Asia open, with RSI(14) near 41 and ATR under 2 pips ahead of the RBA minutes.
Support: 0.69546, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69599, 0.69655, 0.69749
What it said to watch
RBA minutes at 00:30 UTC (~30 min) are the likely catalyst to resolve the 0.6955–0.6960 range
M15 close below the 0.6955 range floor exposes the 0.6950 round number, then the 0.6935 band floor
Close above the 0.6960 range top and the lower-highs line opens the 0.6965 prior lows, with the 0.6975 swing high above that