AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Friday, 18 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:03 UTC
Range-bound, grinding higher off the week low · RSI 52 · price 0.71261
Series of higher lows since the post-Fed flush, lower highs below 0.7136.
Wednesday's Fed hike to 3.75-4.00% with a hawkish dot-plot took AUDUSD straight out of the 0.7130s in a single hour to 0.7075, and the whole back half of the week has been a slow repair job — higher lows at 0.70885, 0.71034 and price now back above EMA(20) around 0.71212. The 0.71358 prior day high capped the NY session rebound on Thursday, and the late-Friday grind stalled short of it, leaving the pair pinned in the upper half of the week's 0.7075-0.7140 band. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 after cycling from oversold at the low, and price is sitting on the 78.6% retracement of the post-Fed drop.
Support: 0.71212, 0.71034, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.71409
What it said to watch
An H1 close above 0.71358 and then the 0.71409 week high would end the lower-highs sequence
Loss of the 0.71034 day low re-opens the 0.7095 area and the 0.70744 week low
Failure to hold EMA(20) at 0.71212 would put the retest read back in the lower half of the range
RBA Governor Bullock speaking Tue 03:10 UTC and US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the events capable of breaking this range
Higher lows off the week low compressing under lower highs.
Wednesday's hawkish FOMC hike knocked AUD/USD roughly 50 pips lower in a single hour and extended to the 0.70744 week low before Thursday's hawkish Bullock testimony fuelled a grind back into the low 0.71s. Since then price has ranged 0.7103–0.7136: the 0.71358 thu high rejected the NY push, while the 0.71034 day low was defended in Friday's London hours ahead of a recovery back above EMA(20) into the close. RSI(14) near 51 and ATR(14) around 7 pips describe compression beneath the 0.71409 week high, with the post-drop retracement stalling in the upper half of the move.
Support: 0.7120, 0.71034, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.71409
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.71358 thu high, then 0.71409 week high, would end the lower-highs sequence
Loss of the 0.71034 day low re-opens the 0.70744 week low
Slipping back under ema20 on the Monday open would neutralise the recovery off the week low
Australian flash PMIs Mon 23:00 GMT and Bullock Tue 03:10 GMT are the first scheduled risks to this range
Range between 0.7103 and 0.7136 after Wednesday's impulsive break lower.
The dominant move of the week was the single-bar collapse from 0.7134 into 0.7074 on Wednesday's NY session, when the hawkish Fed hike and lifted dots drove the dollar to seven-week highs. Price has since ground back up in two sessions — helped by Bullock's hawkish parliamentary remarks — and spent Friday inside a 0.71034–0.71358 band, with the NY dip under Thursday's base holding as a false break and closing back above the ema20 near 0.7119. RSI(14) is mid-range at ~48 and ATR has compressed to roughly 7 pips, consistent with the flat Friday range rather than continuation.
Support: 0.7119, 0.71034, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140, 0.7145
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 0.71400 round number, and then the 0.71450 week high, would end the lower-highs sequence off Monday's open
Loss of the 0.71034 friday low re-exposes the 0.70744 post-fed low and invalidates the rebound read
Sustained trade back under the ema20 would flatten the two-day recovery structure
RBA Bullock speaking Tue 03:10 GMT and Australian employment Thu 01:30 GMT are the events most able to reset this range
Higher lows off Wednesday's spike low, lower highs into Friday's close.
Wednesday's Fed hike and hawkish dots knocked AUDUSD out of a tight 0.7130s consolidation in a single hour and on to the 0.70744 week low; two sessions of grinding recovery, aided by Bullock's hawkish parliamentary remarks, retraced most of that move into Friday's 0.71358 friday high. Price then faded through the NY session to the 0.71034 friday low before reclaiming EMA(20) on the closing bars, leaving it mid-range with RSI(14) back near 44. The 0.7140 capping level has not been tested since the drop, and each bounce this week has produced a lower high.
Support: 0.71034, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.7140 capping level would invalidate the 0.7095–0.7140 range read
Loss of the 0.71034 friday low reopens the 0.70744 week low
Monday's session open plus Fed's Goolsbee (Mon 10:30 GMT) are the first live risks; RBA's Bullock speaks Tue 03:10 GMT
0.7075–0.7140 weekly range; lower highs since Friday's peak.
The week's dominant move was the single-bar collapse from 0.7134 into 0.70744 on the hawkish Fed hike, after which AUD/USD spent two sessions grinding back to 0.71358 on Bullock's hawkish parliamentary remarks. That recovery has stalled: the late NY session has printed lower highs and price has slipped back below the H1 EMA(20) near 0.71180, with RSI(14) fading to the low 40s. The session low at 0.71034 is the near-term floor being tested, with the week low at 0.70744 the deeper reference.
Support: 0.71034, 0.70885, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.7118, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
An hourly close above 0.71400 psych cap would invalidate the 0.7075–0.7140 range read
Reclaiming the ema20 at 0.71180 would be the first sign the lower-highs sequence is breaking
Failure to hold 0.71034 session low exposes the 0.70885 prior low and the 0.70744 week low
Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT and US PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT could materially shift this read
15:04 UTC
Post-Fed recovery stalling, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 0.71079
Lower highs since Friday's Asia high, price back under the flat EMA20/50 cluster.
The week's dominant move was the Fed drop in Wednesday's NY session, which sliced AUDUSD from 0.7138 to the 0.70744 week low in two bars; the 48 hours since have been a grinding recovery that topped out at the 0.71358 friday high early in the Asia session on hawkish RBA repricing. That high has since been rejected, London and NY hours have printed a clean series of lower highs, and price is back below the 0.71168 EMA20/50 cluster with those two averages now flat and crossing — a loss of directional information rather than fresh trend. RSI(14) at roughly 42 has slipped under the midline without reaching oversold, and the 0.7107 lows are the immediate shelf being tested for a third time.
Support: 0.71074, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71168, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
An H1 close back above the 0.71168 ema20/50 cluster would neutralise the lower highs sequence
Failure to hold the 0.7107 lows opens the 0.7100 round number and Wednesday's 0.70744 week low
0.71400 psych remains the cap above the friday high; a close through it would invalidate the post-Fed range read
Bullock speech Tue 22 Sep and US flash PMIs Tue 23 Sep are the next catalysts capable of resetting this structure
Lower highs since Friday's high after a V-shaped bounce off the week low.
The dominant move of the week was Wednesday's NY-session collapse from 0.7134 to the 0.70744 week low on the hawkish FOMC hike, after which the pair ground back up in a steady sequence of higher lows through Thursday and into Friday's London session, peaking at 0.71358 on hawkish Bullock commentary. That high has been rejected and price has since faded through EMA20 near 0.71180, closing at 0.71097 into the NY open with RSI(14) back at 43. The 0.71000 round number is the floor of this two-day recovery leg.
Support: 0.7100, 0.7086, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.7118, 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
An hourly close back above the 0.71180 ema20 would reinstate the higher-low sequence off the week low
Failure to hold the 0.71000 round number exposes the post-fed base at 0.70860 and then the 0.70744 week low
A close above 0.71400 pivot res is the level that would neutralise the lower-high structure
RBA Governor Bullock's speech early Tuesday is the nearest catalyst capable of reshaping this range
Lower high Friday inside a 0.7112-0.7135 consolidation above Wednesday's low.
Monday's push to the 0.71486 week high faded through Tuesday, and Wednesday's NY session did the damage: the hawkish 25bp Fed hike drove the post-Fed drop of ~50 pips in a single hour to 0.70744. Two sessions of recovery on hawkish Bullock/RBA repricing clawed back roughly two-thirds of that leg, but the Asia-session pop stalled at the 0.71345 friday high and London has faded price back below EMA(20) to the 0.71126 session low. RSI(14) sits flat near 50 and ATR(14) has compressed to about 6.7 pips, consistent with the tight range of the last ten bars.
Support: 0.71126, 0.7110, 0.71052
Resistance: 0.71345, 0.7140, 0.71486
What it said to watch
An hourly close above the 0.7140 pivot cap would put the 0.71486 week high back in play
Loss of the 0.71100 round number and Thursday's 0.71052 thu low would confirm the recovery leg has failed
Friday's lower highs and the recovery lows off 0.70744 are converging; a break of either edge resolves the consolidation
US Industrial Production at 13:15 UTC is the last data of the week and could decide whether the 0.71126 session low holds
Higher lows off Wednesday's low, upper-range consolidation.
The dominant move of the week was the hawkish Fed hike, which dropped AUDUSD in a single NY-session bar from 0.7138 to 0.70744 and away from the 0.71486 week high. Price has since built higher lows across two sessions, reclaimed the ema20 and ema50, and stalled beneath the 0.71358 session high posted in yesterday's NY hours, with hawkish Bullock commentary doing the lifting on the AUD side. The last twelve bars are a tight 0.7120–0.7134 consolidation with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s and ATR compressing under 9 pips.
Support: 0.71198, 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140, 0.71486
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.71400 pivot cap would extend the recovery toward the 0.71486 week high
Loss of the 0.71069 swing low and the 0.71000 round number would end the higher-low sequence
Sustained trade back below the ema20 near 0.71198 would neutralise the recovery read
RBA Bullock speech early Tuesday is the nearest scheduled catalyst for this pair
11:04 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the post-FOMC low, momentum easing · RSI 62 · price 0.71265
Higher lows since Wednesday's 0.70744 low; capped under this week's 0.7148 high.
The week's dominant move was the single-bar 50-pip flush from 0.7134 to 0.7089 on Wednesday's hawkish Fed hike, with the extension low at 0.70744 in the following hour. Since then AUDUSD has built a steady higher-low sequence through the London and NY sessions, broke the 0.7120 ceiling of its post-drop consolidation at the prior high of 0.71345, and has been retesting that break while holding above EMA20 — helped by hawkish Bullock commentary lifting the Aussie. RSI(14) sits near 62 with price roughly two-thirds of the way back up the post-FOMC recovery leg; the week high at 0.71486 and the 0.7140 area above remain untested.
Support: 0.7120, 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71345, 0.7140, 0.71486
What it said to watch
An hourly close back below the 0.7120 ema20 zone, and then the 0.71069 swing low, would end the higher-low sequence
Loss of the 0.7100 round number would put the week's recovery structure back in question
A close above the 0.7140 pivotal resistance would open the path to the 0.71486 week high
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the nearest catalyst; RBA's Bullock Tue 03:10 GMT could materially shift this read
Series of higher lows off 0.70744, capped below 0.7140.
The week's dominant move was the single-bar FOMC slide that took AUDUSD from 0.71384 down to 0.70744 in the NY session on Wednesday; everything since has been a grinding recovery channel of higher lows, with the last 0.71069 swing low holding and price now back above both EMA(20) near 0.7119 and EMA(50). Hawkish Bullock commentary overnight helped the retracement extend to roughly 78% of the FOMC drop, but supply has capped the last two attempts at the 0.71358 NY high, just under the 0.71384 prior high. RSI(14) near 58 sits in the upper half of its range without pressing extremes, and the last six bars have compressed into a 0.7121–0.7136 consolidation.
Support: 0.7119, 0.71069, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.71384, 0.71486
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.71384 prior high invalidates the capped-recovery read and puts the 0.71486 week high in play
Loss of the 0.71069 swing low and the 0.7100 round number would confirm a lower low and re-expose the week's 0.70744 base
Sustained trade back below EMA(20) at 0.7119 would break the higher-low sequence in the recovery channel
RBA Governor Bullock speech Tue 03:10 GMT is the next scheduled event risk for this pair
09:04 UTC
Recovery off the week low, momentum flattening · RSI 60 · price 0.71251
Higher lows since Wednesday's flush, capped under 0.7136.
The dominant move of the week was Wednesday's single-bar FOMC flush from 0.71384 to the 0.70744 week low, and price has since ground back up in a sequence of higher lows, aided by hawkish Bullock commentary. Yesterday's NY session pushed into 0.71358 before supply capped it, and the last five bars have coiled in a 0.7122-0.7134 band with price holding just above the ema20 near 0.71190. RSI(14) near 60 has stopped expanding as the recovery slows into the prior high.
Support: 0.7119, 0.71062, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140, 0.71486
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 0.71400 psych cap would invalidate the capped-recovery read and expose the 0.71486 week high
Loss of the 0.71062 base low would break the higher-low sequence and re-expose the 0.70744 week low
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT is the nearest catalyst for this H1 range
08:04 UTC
Recovering off the week low, grinding higher · RSI 59 · price 0.71251
Sequence of higher lows since Wednesday's flush, capped under 0.7136.
The week's dominant move was a single-bar collapse from 0.7134 to the 0.70744 week low as the hawkish Fed hike hit the wires; everything since has been a steady repair, with higher lows off 0.71070 through the Asia and London sessions. Price has reclaimed both EMA20 and EMA50 and printed a day high of 0.71358 in the early London hours before being turned back, leaving RSI(14) mid-to-high 50s rather than extended. The 0.71400 psych pivot flagged by desks remains untested and the 0.71486 week high is still the ceiling of the window.
Support: 0.7119, 0.7107, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140, 0.71486
What it said to watch
An H1 close above 0.71358 day high would extend the recovery toward the 0.71400 psych pivot
Loss of the 0.71070 swing low breaks the rising higher-lows line and re-exposes 0.70744 week low
Slipping back under the EMA20 near 0.71190 would flatten the recovery read
Today's BoJ decision and US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT are near-term catalysts that could reshape this structure
07:04 UTC
Recovery leg inside a broader weekly downswing · RSI 57 · price 0.71271
Higher lows since Thursday's low, retesting pre-FOMC shelf.
Wednesday's NY session knocked AUDUSD off a tight 0.7130 shelf after the Fed's hawkish 25bp hike, driving a single 45-pip bar down to the 0.70744 week low in early Asia. Price has since ground back in a sequence of higher lows through Thursday's London and NY hours, and Friday's Asia session pushed into the old shelf, where the friday high at 0.71358 has so far capped. EMA20 near 0.7117 has contained every pullback of the recovery and RSI(14) sits around 57, well off the post-FOMC washout.
Support: 0.7117, 0.71069, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.71413, 0.71486
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.71358 turns the retest into acceptance and reopens the 0.71413 prior high and 0.71486 week high
Loss of the 0.71069 swing low ends the higher-low sequence and refocuses the 0.70744 week low
Sustained trade back below ema20 near 0.7117 would flatten the recovery structure
Fed's Bowman (07:30 GMT) and US Industrial Production (13:15 GMT) fall inside the next bars and could reprice the USD leg
06:03 UTC
Recovering off the week low, grind higher · RSI 58 · price 0.71248
Higher lows since Wednesday's flush, capped under 0.7136.
The dominant move of the week was a single-bar 50-pip drop into the 0.70744 week low as the hawkish FOMC hike landed, and price has since ground back up in a sequence of higher lows through the last two sessions. The NY session yesterday pushed into 0.71358 — the prior high — before fading back to close near 0.71248, leaving that shelf as the immediate cap while price holds above the H1 ema20 near 0.71155. RSI(14) has cycled up to the high-50s from oversold at the flush, matching the recovery rather than leading it.
Support: 0.71155, 0.71069, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140
What it said to watch
An hourly close above 0.71358 puts the 0.7140 round number in play
Loss of 0.71069 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and re-exposes the 0.70744 week low
Slipping back under the ema20 near 0.71155 would flatten the recovery read
BoJ decision before the London open, plus Fed's Bowman later today, can materially shift this read via the dollar leg
05:04 UTC
Recovering off the post-FOMC low, momentum improving · RSI 64 · price 0.71282
Chain of higher lows since Wednesday's low; consolidation top cleared.
AUDUSD shed roughly 50 pips in a single NY-session hour on Wednesday after the hawkish FOMC hike, basing at 0.70744 — the week low — before grinding back up through a series of higher lows across Thursday's London and NY hours. Price has since reclaimed EMA(20) near 0.71170 and pushed out of the 0.7109-0.7120 consolidation, tagging 0.71358 as the day high in the Asian session with RSI(14) near 64. The 0.71400 psych level is the immediate area to watch for rejection or break, with Monday's 0.71486 week high the ceiling of the weekly range.
Support: 0.7117, 0.71069, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71358, 0.7140, 0.71486
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.71400 psych level would extend the recovery toward the 0.71486 week high
Failure to hold the 0.71069 swing low would confirm a lower low and re-expose the 0.70744 week low
Loss of EMA(20) near 0.71170 would neutralise the breakout read
BoJ decision pre-London today can shift this read via AUDJPY carry positioning
04:03 UTC
Recovery leg inside a weekly downtrend · RSI 72 · price 0.71349
Higher lows off 0.70744, breakout from consolidation.
AUDUSD dropped hard through the NY session mid-window, printing 0.70744 as the week low after the hawkish Fed hike, then ground back up over three sessions of successively higher lows as US yields retreated. The latest Asia-session bar cleared the 0.7105–0.7126 consolidation and price sits at 0.71349, above EMA(20) near 0.71150, with RSI(14) near 72 and therefore overbought on this timeframe. The 0.71400 round number is the immediate cap, with the week high at 0.71504 the next reference above it.
Support: 0.7115, 0.7105, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.7140, 0.71504
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.71400 round number would extend the recovery toward the 0.71504 week high
Hourly closes back under ema20 at 0.71150 would neutralise the breakout read
Loss of the 0.71050 higher low breaks the ascending line drawn off the week low
BoJ decision due ahead of the London session can reprice AUD via AUD/JPY carry positioning
Post-FOMC low at 0.70744, higher lows since, capped under 0.71259.
Wednesday's hawkish FOMC hike flushed AUD/USD out of the 0.71340 pre-fomc shelf down to 0.70744 in NY hours, and the two sessions since have been a steady grind back up, with price now holding above the EMA20 at 0.71136 through Friday's Asia session. Thursday's London push stalled at the 0.71259 thu high and faded, leaving the last 12 hours pinned in a tight band above the 0.71052 range low. RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) at just under 6 pips describe a compressing, corrective structure rather than fresh trend expansion.
Support: 0.71136, 0.71052, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.7134
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.71052 range low would put the 0.71000 psych level back in play, with the 0.7075 week low beneath it
An H1 close above the 0.71259 thu high would extend the recovery toward the 0.71340 pre-fomc shelf
Failure to hold the ema20 on the next pullback would end the sequence of higher lows off 0.70744
US Industrial Production at 13:15 GMT and Fed speakers are the near-term catalysts capable of breaking this range
Lower highs since Monday, higher lows since the 0.7074 spike low — compressing range.
The dominant move of the week was the single NY-session slide through Wednesday's FOMC, a hawkish 25bp hike that dumped price from 0.7138 to the 0.70744 week low in two hours. Since then the recovery has been mechanical and USD-led rather than AUD-led, stalling under the 0.71259 prior day high and leaving four sessions of congestion between the 0.71070 range low and there, with price now hugging EMA(20) around 0.7112. RSI(14) has flattened near 47 through the Asia session, matching a range that has narrowed to roughly 20 pips over the last 12 bars.
Support: 0.7107, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.71384, 0.7140
What it said to watch
An hourly close above 0.71259 prior day hi would break the lower-high sequence and put the 0.71384 pre-fomc hi back in play
Failure to hold the 0.71070 range low, and a close below the 0.71000 psych level, would resume the week's downtrend toward the 0.70744 week low
BoJ decision ahead of the London open and US Industrial Production later are the USD-side risks that could break this consolidation
Post-FOMC drop then sideways consolidation under 0.7120.
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.71491 and ground lower through Monday and Tuesday before the FOMC hawkish hike in Wednesday's NY session cut it 50 pips in one hour, printing the week low at 0.70744. Thursday's USD profit-taking lifted price back to a rebound high of 0.71206, but the pair has since coiled in a 0.71062-0.71206 range with hourly bars averaging under 7 pips and RSI(14) flat around 53. Price is pinned on EMA(20) near 0.7112 with EMA(50) just beneath, and the sequence of lower highs since the NY high shows supply still capping ahead of pre-fomc levels at 0.71340.
Support: 0.71062, 0.7100, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71206, 0.7134, 0.7140
What it said to watch
An hourly close above the 0.71206 rebound high would extend the recovery toward 0.71340 and the 0.71400 psych level
Loss of the 0.71062 session low and the 0.71000 round number would re-open the 0.70744 week low
Asia-session AUD headlines and RBA hike repricing are the near-term variable while the range holds
Lower highs into a tight post-Fed consolidation above the week low.
The dominant move of the week came in one bar during Wednesday's NY session, when the hawkish Fed hike knocked AUD/USD ~45 pips out of the 0.7130s pre-Fed base to the week low at 0.70744. Thursday's London and NY hours produced a grinding recovery that capped at the prior day high of 0.71259, and price has since coiled in a 0.7105–0.7126 band around the 0.7110 pivot, sitting fractionally above EMA(20) at 0.7111 and EMA(50) at 0.7114. RSI(14) has cycled back to a neutral 52 from the post-Fed washout, so the sequence of lower highs from Monday's 0.71562 remains intact while the 0.7140 cap is untested.
Support: 0.7110, 0.71052, 0.70744
Resistance: 0.71259, 0.7134, 0.7140
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 0.71259 prior day high would extend the corrective leg toward the pre-Fed base at 0.7134 and the 0.7140 cap
Failure to hold the 0.71052 day low re-exposes 0.70889 and the 0.70744 week low
Loss of the 0.7110 pivot with price slipping back under EMA(20)/EMA(50) would end the balanced read of this consolidation
RBA Governor Bullock and US Industrial Production (13:15 GMT) are the near-term events capable of breaking the 0.7105–0.7126 band