AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 19 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
London up-leg stalled, now sideways · RSI 55 · price 0.69813
Post-NY fade into tight range, rising lows under 0.6983.
London broke above the Asian range (0.6961–0.6977) on the China-GDP/hawkish-Kent AUD bid, and the move topped at the 0.6993 day high in NY before fading to the 0.6974 NY low. Since then price has held a tight 0.6977–0.6983 band, rising lows pressing the range top into early Asia, with price parked near the 50% of the London leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 and ATR(14) is under 2 pips.
Support: 0.6977, 0.6974
Resistance: 0.6983, 0.6993, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6983 range top reopens the 0.6993 day high, with 0.7000 psych just beyond
Loss of the rising lows and the 0.6977 range low exposes the 0.6974 NY low and a deeper retrace of the London leg
Tokyo-hours expansion from sub-2-pip ATR would end the compression read
Post-breakout pullback holding above the Asian range top; higher lows since the NY low.
London broke the Asian range top near 0.6980, with AUD bid on hawkish RBA Kent comments and the China GDP beat. NY set the day high at 0.6992, then pulled back to the NY low at 0.6974, near the 61.8% fib of the day's advance. Early Asia is compressing between the rollover low at 0.6977 and the NY cap at 0.6981 on thin post-rollover range.
Support: 0.6977, 0.6974, 0.6968
Resistance: 0.6981, 0.6992, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6981 NY cap reopens the 0.6992 day high and the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.6974 NY low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.6968 London low
Range below 0.6981 likely persists through thin Asia hours; no AU/US data due in the next 8h
22:46 UTC
London up-leg faded, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69791
Lower highs off day high, tight range.
AUD rallied through London on Kent's hawkish remarks and the China GDP beat, from a 0.6969 london low to a 0.6993 day high, short of the 0.7000 psych level. NY then faded the move to a 0.6974 ny low, close to the 78.6% of the london leg fib. Since then price has compressed between a 0.6977 range floor and a 0.6981 range cap below a descending line from the day high, with RSI(14) neutral near 47 into early Asia.
Support: 0.6977, 0.69739, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69813, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6981 range cap and descending line ends the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.6993 day high back in focus
Failure to hold the 0.6977 range floor exposes the 0.6974 ny low; a break there extends the retracement of the london leg toward the 0.6969 london low
0.7000 psych remains the cap of the broader range; no scheduled AU/US data in the next 8h, so the Asia session range is likely to stay tight and RBA/USD headlines become the swing factor
22:32 UTC
Flat after London-NY rally, lower highs since peak · RSI 53 · price 0.69799
Tight 0.6977–0.6981 coil at 61.8% of London-NY leg.
London broke Monday's Asian range high near 0.6980 on hawkish RBA Kent and the China GDP beat, with a rejection at the 0.6992 session high early in NY. The pullback held the NY low at 0.6974, near the 78.6% level of the London-NY leg fib. Price is now coiling in thin early Asia between the 0.6977 range base and the 0.6981 range top, beneath a falling trendline of lower highs, with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.6977, 0.69739, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69813, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6981 range top breaks the lower-high trendline and opens the 0.6992 session high, then 0.7000 psych
Failure of the 0.6977 range base exposes the NY low at 0.6974; a break there targets the London low at 0.6969
No scheduled AUD or USD data in the next 8h; US yields and AI-equity tone are the swing factor for the Asian range
London broke the Asian range high near 0.6980 on Kent's hawkish RBA remarks and China's GDP beat, but the push was rejected at a 0.6992 day high, short of 0.7000 psych. NY faded to the 0.6974 NY low, and price is now compressing in a 0.6977–0.6981 range into the Asia open. It sits at the 50% retrace of the London-NY leg, with NY lower highs capping it.
Support: 0.6977, 0.69739, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69813, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6981 range top reopens the 0.6992 day high and 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold the 0.6977 range low and the 0.6974 NY low exposes the 0.6969 London low, the base of the London-NY leg
Thin post-NY liquidity; China or RBA headlines in the Asia session could break the range
22:03 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69795
Double top under 0.7000, tight 0.6977–0.6981 range.
AUD ran to a 0.6992 session high during London-NY on the China GDP beat and Kent's hawkish remarks. It stalled short of 0.7000 psych, and a double top broke the 0.6978 neckline into the 0.6974 NY low. Price is now compressing in a 0.6977–0.6981 range through the rollover, sitting between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the London leg, with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.6981, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6981 range top breaks the lower highs line and reopens the 0.6992 session high
Close above 0.6992 session high negates the double top and puts 0.7000 psych in play
Failure to hold the 0.6974 NY low exposes the 0.6969 London low and a full retrace of the London leg
Thin Asia session with no scheduled AU/US data; range read holds until 0.6974 or 0.6981 gives
Lower high at 0.6981 after the NY session high rejection; tight post-NY range.
London cleared the Asian range high near 0.6980, and NY extended to a 0.6992 session high on the hawkish-RBA and China GDP tailwind. A rejection there sent price back to the 0.6974 NY low. Price is now flat at 0.6978 in thin post-NY trade, sitting on the 61.8% fib of the London–NY leg and capped by a 0.6981 lower high.
Support: 0.69739, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69813, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.6981 lower high reopens the 0.6992 session high and the 0.7000 round number
Break below the 0.6974 NY low exposes the 0.6969 London low and a deeper unwind of the leg
Thin liquidity into the Asia session open can produce outsized wicks relative to the ~2-pip ATR
21:31 UTC
Range after rejected intraday push, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 0.69774
Lower highs from NY session high, compressing 0.6974–0.6981 into rollover.
Kent's hawkish remarks and the China GDP beat carried AUD to a session high of 0.6992 early in NY hours. The move was rejected short of the 0.7000 round number as US 10y yields firmed. Price has since printed lower highs and sits at the 61.8% retracement of the London-NY leg, coiling between the NY low at 0.6974 and the late NY high at 0.6981 in thin rollover trade.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69813, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6981 late NY high breaks the lower-highs trendline and reopens the 0.6992 session high
Failure to hold the 0.6974 NY low exposes the 0.6969 London low and the base of the London-NY leg
Asia session open is the next liquidity test; no scheduled AU/US data in the next 8h
0.7000 round number remains the range top; a push there needs a fresh break of 0.6992
Lower highs off 0.6993 session high, compressing 0.6974–0.6981.
London lifted AUD from the 0.6969 london low to a 0.6993 session high early in NY, helped by hawkish RBA Kent remarks and the China GDP beat. The high was rejected as US yields firmed, and price is now pinned between the 0.6974 ny low and a 0.6981 lower high, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the London rally and below both EMAs. ATR has shrunk to about 2 pips into the Asia handover.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69685, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6981, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6981 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and reopens the 0.6993 session high
Failure to hold the 0.6974 ny low (78.6% retrace) exposes the 0.6969 london low, then the 0.6961 asian low
0.7000 round number is the range top in focus; no scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h, so the Asia session open sets direction
21:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, fading from session high · RSI 52 · price 0.69788
Lower highs since 0.6993, compressing in a tight late-NY range.
Hawkish RBA Kent remarks and the China GDP beat drove the Asia-to-London climb, but supply capped the move at the 0.6993 session high, short of the 0.7000 round number. NY faded the move to a 0.6974 NY low. Price is now compressing in a 0.6977–0.6981 range near the 61.8% retrace of the London rally, with RSI(14) flat around 52.
Support: 0.69774, 0.69739, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69813, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6981 range high breaks the lower-high line from the session high
Failure to hold the 0.6977 range low, then the 0.6974 NY low, exposes the 0.6969 London low
Session high at 0.6993 and the 0.7000 round number remain the cap on any Asian session push
US housing starts and permits Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC could shift the read after the Asian range forms
Lower highs off 0.6992 session high, compressing 0.6974–0.6981.
AUD broke the Asian range high near 0.6980 during London on hawkish RBA Kent remarks and the China GDP beat, then set a session high at 0.69925 in early NY before stalling short of the 0.7000 psych level. Since then the pair has printed lower highs and sold off to the 0.6974 NY low. Late NY is compressing between 0.6974 and the 0.6981 late NY high, sitting on the 61.8% fib of the London low-to-session-high leg.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.6981, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.6981 late NY high breaks the lower-high trendline and reopens the 0.69925 session high
Failure to hold the 0.6974 NY low exposes the 0.6969 london low at the 78.6% fib
0.7000 psych is the three-week range top; a test needs a reclaim of the 0.69925 session high first
Thin liquidity around rollover and into the Asia session, with no AU data due, can produce false breaks of this narrow range
20:31 UTC
Intraday rally stalled, lower highs since NY open · RSI 53 · price 0.69781
Lower highs off 0.6993, compressing 0.6974–0.6981 late NY.
London broke the Asian range high near 0.6980, helped by Kent's hawkish RBA remarks and the China GDP beat. The rally peaked at a 0.6993 session high early in NY, rejected short of the 0.7000 round number, and has since retraced about 78% of the London rally fib to the 0.6974 NY low. Price is now compressing between that NY low and a 0.6981 range top into the rollover, with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.6981, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6981 range top and the NY lower-highs trendline reopens the 0.6993 session high and the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold the 0.6974 NY low exposes the 0.6969 London low and a full retrace of the London rally
Thin Asia-session liquidity after rollover; US housing starts and permits Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC could shift this read
Late-NY compression between 0.6974 and 0.6981 after rejection below 0.7000.
London broke above the Asian range high near 0.6980 on the hawkish Kent remarks and China GDP beat, and the day high at 0.6993 came in early NY, short of the 0.7000 psych level, before a rejection. Price is now compressing in a 7-pip band between the ny low at 0.6974 and the late ny cap at 0.6981, sitting on the 61.8% of the london-ny leg fib under a lower-high trendline.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69813, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6981 late ny cap and the lower-high trendline reopens the 0.6993 day high and 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold the 0.6974 ny low, a double low, exposes the 0.6969 london low and breaks the london-ny leg fib
Thin Asia session open next; ATR near 2.6 pips points to a narrow range until London
US housing starts and permits Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC could shift the USD side of this read
Gap-up open, London broke Asian high, NY rejected below 0.7000; now 7-pip range 0.6974–0.6981.
AUD gapped ~20 pips higher at the weekly open on hawkish RBA Kent remarks and the China GDP beat. London broke the Asian high near 0.6980 and NY extended to the 0.6993 session high before a rejection short of the 0.7000 psych level. Price has since slipped back to the 50% level of the Asia-NY fib and is coiling between the 0.6974 NY low and the 0.6981 range top into the late NY close, with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.6974, 0.6969
Resistance: 0.6981, 0.6993, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6981 range top reopens the 0.6993 session high and the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.6974 NY low exposes the 0.6969 London low and the 61.8% of the Asia-NY fib
No scheduled data into the Asia session; US housing starts and permits Tue 12:15 UTC are the next scheduled risk
Rejection from 0.69925 session high, higher lows off 0.69739 NY low.
After a weekend gap higher, London broke the Asian range high near 0.6980 and NY extended to a 0.69925 session high before a rejection under the 0.7000 round number dropped price to the 0.69739 NY low. Late NY is now building higher lows into the 0.6981 late high, with RSI(14) near 56 and AUD supported by hawkish RBA Kent remarks and the China GDP beat.
Support: 0.69739, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69813, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6981 late high reopens the 0.69925 session high, and the 0.7000 round number sits beyond it
Break of the 0.69739 NY low cancels the higher-lows read and exposes the 0.69685 London low
US housing starts and permits Tue 12:15 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk
Post-rejection pullback, rising lows above NY low.
AUD extended the Sunday gap higher on hawkish RBA Kent remarks and the China GDP beat, but the session high at 0.6993 in early NY stalled short of the 0.7000 round number. The pullback held the NY low at 0.6974 twice, and rising lows have carried price back to 0.6980 late in NY, pinned on EMA20/EMA50 with ranges compressing.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the ny low at 0.6974 breaks the rising lows and exposes the london low at 0.69685
Close above the 0.6993 session high puts the 0.7000 round number range top back in play
No AU or US data before Tue 12:30 UTC housing starts, so a thin Asia session may keep this compression intact
19:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, now pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.69791
Late NY consolidation below the day high after a rejection short of 0.7000.
AUD gapped higher at the weekly open on the China GDP beat and Kent's hawkish RBA remarks. London cleared the Asian range high near 0.6980 and NY extended to a 0.6992 day high before a rejection short of the 0.7000 round number. Price is now consolidating near 0.6979 after the ny low at 0.6974 held around the 78.6% level of the london-ny leg, with descending highs capping at the 0.6981 minor high.
Support: 0.69739, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69813, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6981 minor high breaks the descending highs and reopens the 0.6992 day high
Failure to hold the 0.6974 ny low exposes the 0.6969 london low and a full retrace of the london-ny leg
0.7000 round number remains the upside reference; US housing starts Tue 12:30 UTC are the next scheduled USD data
19:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.69796
Lower highs off 0.69925 session high, base holding above 0.6974 NY low.
AUD gapped higher at the weekly open and climbed out of the Asian range through London, helped by hawkish RBA Kent remarks and China's Q3 GDP beat. The advance was rejected at the 0.69925 session high in early NY, short of the 0.7000 range top. The pullback held the 0.6974 NY low near the 38.2–50% fib of the day's advance, and price is now coiling around 0.6980 late in NY hours, wedged between flat EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69813, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6981 lower high puts the 0.69925 session high back in play, with the 0.7000 range top above
Break below the 0.6974 NY low exposes the 0.69685 London low and ends the higher-low sequence from Asia
Descending highs line from 0.69925 caps price while it holds
No high-impact AUD or USD data in the next 8h; the Asia open is the next liquidity test of this coil
Lower highs from the 0.6993 session high, NY low at 0.6974 held twice.
AUD opened the week with a ~21-pip gap higher. London broke the Asian high at 0.6980 and ran to a 0.6993 session high on hawkish RBA Kent remarks and the China GDP beat, stalling short of the 0.7000 round number. Late NY has since retraced ~78% of the London leg along a line of lower highs. Buyers stepped in twice at the 0.6974 NY low, and price is now retesting the Asian high on flat EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 45.
Support: 0.6974, 0.6969, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6981, 0.6993, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6981 Asian high and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.6993 session high, then 0.7000
Failure to hold the 0.6974 NY low exposes the 0.6969 London low, then the 0.6950 Asian low at the weekly gap fill
Bullock speech Fri 10:00 UTC and Thu/Fri flash PMIs are the next scheduled catalysts for a 0.7000 test
Lower highs below 0.6993 session high, flat lows at 0.6974.
Monday's gap-up extended in London on hawkish RBA Kent comments and the China GDP beat. Price broke the asian high at 0.6980 and printed a session high at 0.69925, then rejected short of 0.7000 psych as the US yield bounce lifted USD. Late in NY, the ny low at 0.6974 has held twice and price is back at the asian high, the 50% level of the London leg, capped so far by the 0.6984 lower high. RSI(14) ~46, ATR(14) ~3.3 pips.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69838, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6984 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence and reopens the 0.69925 session high
Break of the 0.6974 ny low opens the 0.69685 london low, the base of the London leg
0.7000 psych remains the cap after today's rejection
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; thin late-NY into Asia liquidity
18:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 0.69791
Lower highs off session high, NY low holding.
AUD gapped higher at the weekly open, and the hawkish RBA Kent remarks plus the China GDP beat carried London through the Asian range to a 0.6993 session high in NY, where it was rejected short of the 0.7000 psych level. Since then lower highs have walked price back to the 61.8% fib near 0.6978. The NY low at 0.6974 is holding into late NY with RSI(14) soft near 41.
Support: 0.6974, 0.6969
Resistance: 0.6984, 0.6993, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6974 ny low exposes the 0.6969 london low and voids the 61.8% fib hold
Reclaiming the 0.6984 lower high would break the pullback sequence and reopen the 0.6993 session high
A second test of the 0.7000 psych level is the range-top check; Tue 12:30 UTC US Housing Starts is the next USD-side input
Lower highs from 0.6992 session high, basing at 0.6974.
AUD gapped higher at the Monday open on hawkish RBA Kent and the China GDP beat. It cleared the 0.6980 Asian high in London and topped at the 0.6992 session high in early NY, short of the 0.7000 psych level. That rejection has printed a lower-high sequence back to the 0.6974 session low, and late NY is basing just under the Asian high near the 61.8% fib.
Support: 0.69742, 0.69688
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6974 session low exposes the 0.6969 london low and the bottom of the London leg
M15 close back above the 0.6980 asian high and the lower-high trendline near 0.6984 reopens the 0.6992 session high
A push through 0.6992 brings the 0.7000 psych level into play, where the three-week range top has capped before
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; US housing starts Tue 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst
17:31 UTC
Intraday pullback after London breakout, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 41 · price 0.69775
Asian high breakout faded; price back at 0.6980 breakout zone with lower highs and lows.
The week opened with a gap up from Friday's 0.6943 close on hawkish RBA Kent and the China GDP beat. London then broke the Asian high at 0.6980, and NY extended to a session high of 0.69925 before rejection below the 0.7000 psych level. Late NY has carved lower highs back to 0.6977, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the 0.69685–0.69925 leg, with the 0.6974 NY low as the nearest floor.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close back above the 0.6980 asian high reinstates the breakout read
Failure to hold the 0.6974 ny low extends lower lows toward the 0.69685 london low
Retest of the 0.69925 session high puts 0.7000 psych back in focus
No scheduled AU/USD data in the next 8h; US Housing Starts Tue 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst
17:16 UTC
Intraday pullback after rally, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 34 · price 0.69756
Lower highs and lower lows off 0.6993 day high, price back below the Asian high.
AUD cleared the 0.6980 Asian high in London on hawkish RBA Kent and the China GDP beat, then topped at the 0.6993 day high in NY, just short of 0.7000. The rejection there has printed a lower-high sequence into late NY. Price is back below the Asian high, sitting on the 0.6974 session low past the 61.8% retrace of the London-low rally, with RSI(14) near 34.
Support: 0.6974, 0.69685, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6984, 0.69925
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6974 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.6969 london low, then the 0.6961 asian low
Recovery above the 0.6980 asian high and the 0.6984 lower high breaks the descending lower-high line and negates the pullback read
A move through the 0.6993 day high puts 0.7000 psych back in focus
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h. Tuesday Asia open is the next liquidity test of the pullback low.
17:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, pulling back from session high · RSI 40 · price 0.69754
Lower highs since the 0.6993 NY peak; price back at the 0.6975–0.6980 Asian-high breakout zone.
AUD gapped up at the Monday open. London broke the 0.6980 Asian high on hawkish RBA Kent comments and the China GDP beat, and NY printed a session high at 0.6993 that was rejected short of 0.7000 psych. A string of lower highs has since taken price back to retest 0.6975–0.6980, about 71% retraced of the London-low rally, with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.69744, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.6980 Asian high restores the breakout read and reopens the session high at 0.6993
Failure to hold the 0.6974 NY low exposes the London low at 0.6969 and the 78.6% fib near 0.6974
Price is moving into the Asia session with no high-impact AUD or USD data in the next 8h, so ATR near 4 pips points to a compressed range
Lower highs trendline from 0.6993: a break above it negates the pullback structure
Lower highs and a lower low since the 0.6993 session high.
Hawkish RBA Kent remarks and a China GDP beat drove AUD through the Asian high at 0.6980 in London. The rally ran out at the 0.6993 session high, short of 0.7000 psych, and price has slipped back below the Asian high. Late NY has set a lower low at the 0.6974 ny low, with RSI(14) near 37 below both EMAs.
Support: 0.69744, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69795, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6980 asian high reopens the session high at 0.6993
Failure to hold the 0.6974 ny low exposes the 0.6969 london low and the start of the London-NY leg
A test of 0.7000 psych would bring the three-week range top back into play
Descending highs trendline from 0.6993 caps the pullback while it holds
Lower highs from 0.6993 session high, retesting Asian high.
AUD gapped about 21 pips higher at the weekly open. London then broke the Asian high near 0.6977, helped by Kent's hawkish remarks and the China GDP beat, and NY extended to a 0.6993 session high just short of 0.7000 psych. Late NY has rolled into lower highs, and price is back at the Asian high and the 61.8% of the London-NY leg, a few pips above the 0.6974 NY low.
Support: 0.69744, 0.69685, 0.69613
Resistance: 0.69838, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6974 NY low exposes the 0.6969 London low, then the 0.6961 Asian low
Close above the 0.6984 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and reopens the 0.6993 session high
Rejection again at the 0.6993 session high would keep 0.7000 psych intact as the day's cap
No scheduled AU/US data in the next 8h; China headlines into the Asia session are the main near-term catalyst
16:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, rolling over in late NY · RSI 41 · price 0.69754
Double top 0.6991/0.6992 below 0.7000, 0.6979 neckline broken.
AUD gapped higher at the weekly open on Kent's hawkish remarks and the China GDP beat. London broke the Asian high near 0.6980, and NY printed a marginal session high at 0.6992 that stalled short of 0.7000 psych. Late NY has since cut through the 0.6979 neckline to 0.6974 under a line of NY lower highs, with RSI(14) at 41 and price between the 61.8% and 78.6% fib of the London-NY leg.
Support: 0.6972, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6979 neckline negates the double top read
Failure to hold the 0.6972 asian shelf exposes the 0.6969 london low, the base of the London-NY leg
A break of the NY lower highs and the 0.6992 session high reopens 0.7000 psych
No scheduled AU/US data in the next 8h; AI-equity swings and US yields remain the USD driver
16:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, pullback from session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69785
0.6978–0.6993 range under session high, floor tested three times.
AUD gapped ~20 pips higher from Friday's 0.6943 close on Kent's hawkish remarks and the China GDP beat. London broke the Asian range high near 0.6980 and extended to a 0.69925 session high in NY. That high was rejected, and price is now back on the 0.6978 ny floor for a third test, near the 61.8% fib of the 0.6969–0.6993 leg, below both EMAs.
Support: 0.6978, 0.6969
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6978 ny floor opens the 0.6969 london low and breaks the range read
Reclaim of 0.6990 puts the 0.69925 session high and the 0.7000 round number back in play
No scheduled events in the next 8h; US Housing Starts Tue 12:30 UTC is the next USD test
Asian range break higher, NY rejection back into breakout zone.
Pair gapped higher at the weekly open and London broke the Asian high near 0.6979, helped by Kent's hawkish remarks and the China GDP beat. NY printed a session high at 0.69925 that met rejection, and price is back retesting the 0.6979 asian high into the London close. RSI(14) sits near 46 and price trades below both EMAs.
Support: 0.6979, 0.69685, 0.69501
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6979 asian high negates the breakout and opens the 0.69685 london low
A break of the london low exposes the Asian low at 0.69501 and the 50–61.8% fib zone above it
Close above the 0.69925 session high puts the 0.7000 psych range top back in view
Thin flow after London close; US Housing Starts Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD risk
Post-breakout range 0.6979–0.6993 above Asian high.
AUD gapped ~21 pips higher at the Monday open on Kent's hawkish remarks and the China GDP beat. London then broke the Asian high near 0.6980, and NY has since held a 0.6979–0.6993 range, with the session high at 0.69925 rejected short of 0.7000 psych. The range floor has held three retests in the London leg, and RSI(14) sits neutral near 48.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6969
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6979 range floor puts price back inside the Asian range and exposes the London low at 0.6969
Acceptance above the 0.69925 session high brings 0.7000 psych, the digest's range top, into play
Liquidity thins after London close (16:00 UTC), so range edges may hold into the Asia session
15:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling after NY rejection · RSI 44 · price 0.69802
HH/HL chain from the London low intact; price testing the swing low after a false break of the London high.
A weekend gap higher, the China GDP beat and Kent's hawkish remarks carried AUD through the Asian high near 0.6980 in London. The NY session printed a marginal new session high at 0.69925, then rejected. Price is back at 0.6980, below EMA20, sitting on EMA50 and the 50–61.8% fib of the London low to session high leg, just above the 0.69785 swing low.
Support: 0.69785, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69785 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.69685 London low
Recovery through the 0.69925 session high brings the 0.7000 round number into view
No scheduled AUD or USD events in the next 8h; next USD input is Housing Starts, Tue 12:30 UTC
15:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 47 · price 0.69842
Higher lows above Asian high, pullback from 0.6993 session high.
AUD gapped higher at the open and London broke the asian high near 0.6980, helped by the China Q3 GDP beat and Kent's hawkish neutral-rate remarks; the NY dip held that level at 0.6979 before a session high at 0.6993, just under the 0.7000 round number. Price has slipped back to 0.6984, below EMA20, and is sitting on rising support and the 38.2% fib of the London-NY leg.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6969
Resistance: 0.6993, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6980 asian high breaks the higher-low chain and undercuts the London breakout
Loss of the 0.6969 london low would negate the London-NY leg
M15 close above the 0.6993 session high puts the 0.7000 round number in play
No AUD or USD calendar risk in the next 8h; US housing data Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC is the next scheduled input
London breakout above 0.6980 retested in NY, fresh session high.
AUD gapped up from Friday's 0.6943 close and extended on Kent's hawkish remarks and the China GDP beat. London broke the 0.6980 cap at 10:30 UTC, and the early-NY dip to the 0.6979 retest low held. A higher low at 0.6980 then fed a new session high at 0.69925, which printed an upper-wick rejection just shy of the 0.7000 psych level and range top.
Support: 0.6979, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 psych would clear the range top flagged in the macro read
Break below the 0.6979 retest low and the rising trendline ends the NY higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.6969 London low unwinds the London breakout
No AUD/USD calendar risk in the next 8h; AI-equity and US yield swings remain the USD driver
Asian range break higher, higher lows on rising trendline.
London broke the Asian high near 0.6980 and NY extended to a session high of 0.69925, with dips to 0.69785 and 0.69803 holding the rising trendline from the 0.69685 London low. Kent's hawkish remarks, the China GDP beat and a softer USD frame the move, and price is now compressing just under the 0.7000 round number.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6980 asian high breaks the higher-low chain and the trendline
Close above the 0.69925 session high puts the 0.7000 round number in play
Failure to hold 0.69685 london low would invalidate the London breakout read
No scheduled AUD/USD catalysts in the next 8h, so swings in AI-equity sentiment driving USD are the main risk to this read
14:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 58 · price 0.69886
Higher lows since London open; 0.6980 breakout retested and held.
Monday gapped about 21 pips above Friday's close. London broke the 0.6980 cap at 10:30 UTC, extending the lift from the China GDP beat and Kent's hawkish remarks, and a pullback to 0.69785 retested that breakout level. Price held there and early NY is back testing the 0.6991 session high, with the 0.7000 psych level just above.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69685, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.69906, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6991 session high puts the 0.7000 psych level and range top in play
Loss of the 0.6980 breakout level and the rising support line returns price to the morning range, with the 0.6969 london low next
Below 0.6969, the 0.6961 asian low is the next swing reference
No AUD data in the next 8h; USD moves are tracking tech equities and front-end yields, with US housing data due Tue 12:30 UTC
London break of 0.6980, retest held, NY pressing session high.
AUD extended Monday's gap higher on Kent's hawkish remarks and the China GDP beat. London cleared the Asian range high at 0.6980 and set a 0.6991 session high. The breakout level then held on the 0.6979 pullback, around the 50–61.8% retracement of the London leg. The first hour of NY printed a higher low at 0.6980 and price is back testing the session high, with RSI(14) at 59 and room left before stretched readings.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69906, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6991 session high opens a test of 0.7000 psych, the digest's range top
Close back below the 0.6980 breakout zone breaks the higher-low sequence
Loss of the 0.6969 london low unwinds the London leg fib structure
US tech-equity swings and front-end yields remain the live USD driver through NY hours
Asian high broken, retest held; lower high at 0.6988.
The China GDP beat and Kent's hawkish remarks lifted AUD through the Asian range high at 0.6980 during London, printing a session high at 0.6991 short of 0.7000 psych. The pullback retested 0.6979, near the 50% fib of the London leg, and held, but the first NY bar was rejected from a lower high at 0.6988. Price sits at EMA20 with RSI(14) near 53.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69882, 0.69906, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close below 0.6979, the Asian high and retest low, negates the range break and brings the London low at 0.6969 back into play.
A close above the 0.6991 session high opens a test of 0.7000 psych, the top of the broader range.
A break of rising support from the London low would turn the intraday swings into lower highs and lower lows.
US tech-equity moves and front-end yields drive USD into the NY session; no scheduled AUD or USD data falls in the next 8h.
Asian range break, higher lows, retest of the break level held.
AUD firmed from the Asian session after the China Q3 GDP beat. London broke the Asian high at 0.6980 and printed a session high at 0.6991, which capped twice. The NY open pullback retested 0.6980 (about 55% of the London-low-to-high leg) and held, with price back near 0.6986.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69685, 0.69613
Resistance: 0.69906, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6980 asian high puts price inside the Asian range and negates the retest
Close above the 0.6991 session high opens the 0.7000 round number, the top of the broader range
Break of the 0.69685 london low snaps the rising lows and exposes the 0.6961 asian low
No AUD or USD calendar events in the next 8h; US tech-equity swings and Fed pricing remain the USD driver
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, early-NY pullback held · RSI 59 · price 0.69855
London break of the Asian range top, retest of 0.6980 held, higher low in place.
Monday gapped about 20 pips above Friday's close on the China GDP beat, Kent's hawkish neutral-rate comments and a softer USD. London broke the 0.6980 Asian range top to a 0.6991 session high. The first hour of NY retraced to the breakout level at 0.6979 near the 61.8% of the London leg, where buyers stepped in, and price is back at 0.6985.
Support: 0.6979, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69906, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6979 breakout level puts price back inside the Asian range and exposes the 0.6969 London low
Clearance of the 0.6991 session high puts the 0.7000 round number in play
A second rejection at the session high with lower highs below it would turn the retest into a range
AI-equity swings and US front-end yields remain the main intraday USD driver; no scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h
13:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 51 · price 0.69811
London break of Asian high, now retesting it.
AUD/USD gapped higher at the weekly open and London broke the Asian high at 0.6980, helped by the China GDP beat and Kent's hawkish neutral-rate remarks. Price was capped twice at the 0.6991 session high. The pullback into the NY open is retesting the broken Asian high, a 50–61.8% fib retrace of the London leg, with RSI(14) back near 51.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69685, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69906, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asian high (0.6979–0.6980) and the trendline from the london low would turn the breakout into a false break, exposing 0.6969
Failure of the london low at 0.6969 puts the asian low at 0.6961 back in play
Clearance of the 0.6991 session high opens the 0.7000 round number, the digest's range top
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; NY equity tone (AI-stock selling) could materially shift USD
12:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 51 · price 0.69811
London breakout above 0.6980, early-NY retest of the breakout.
AUD gapped higher at the open and built higher lows through Asia, helped by the China GDP beat and Kent's hawkish remarks. London cleared the 0.6980 breakout level to a 0.6991 session high, short of the 0.7000 round number. Early NY has pulled back into the breakout zone, near the 50% fib of the London leg, with RSI back to neutral.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6969, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6991, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6979 breakout puts price back in the pre-London range and exposes the 0.6969 london low
A break of the rising lows line and the 0.6961 asia low undoes the session's higher-low structure
Close above the 0.6991 session high puts the 0.7000 round number, the AUD range top, in play
No scheduled AUD or USD data in the next 8h; USD moves are tracking AI-equity sentiment
12:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 59 · price 0.69825
Asian range break, early-NY retest of 0.6980.
London broke the 0.6980 asian high and ran to a 0.6991 session high, capped there twice, as AUD firmed on Kent's hawkish neutral-rate remarks and the China GDP beat. Early NY is retracing to the 38.2% fib of the London leg and retesting the asian high, with price sitting on EMA20 and RSI(14) cooled to ~59.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69906, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6980 asian high turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the 0.69685 london low
A close above the 0.6991 session high puts the 0.7000 round number in play, the range cap flagged in the AUD digest
No scheduled AUD or USD data in the next 8h. AI-equity sentiment and US yields are the near-term USD drivers
HH/HL from London low; Asian-high breakout, twin highs capping.
AUD/USD gapped higher at the weekly open, then London cleared the Asian high at 0.6980, helped by China's GDP beat, Kent's hawkish neutral-rate remarks and a softer USD. Twin tests of the 0.6991 session high stalled the move below the 0.7000 round number. The first hour of NY is easing back toward the rising trendline from the London low, with RSI(14) cooling to 63.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69906, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6980 asian high (50% fib of the London leg) negates the breakout
Failure to hold the 0.6969 london low breaks the HL chain
Close above the 0.6991 session high puts the 0.7000 round number in play
No AUD/USD tier-1 data in the next 8h; US AI-equity direction remains the main USD driver
11:47 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after breakout · RSI 66 · price 0.6987
London break of 0.6980 cap, higher lows, holding below 0.7000.
AUD opened the week with a ~20-pip gap above Friday's 0.6943 close and extended after the China GDP beat. The 0.6980 cap held from Asia through mid-London, then broke at 10:30 UTC to a 0.6991 session high. Price is now compressing just under the 0.7000 psych range top, with RSI(14) near 66 and the 38.2% of the London leg fib at 0.6982 overlapping the breakout lvl.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69685, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.69906, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Holding the 0.6980 breakout lvl keeps the London breakout intact. A close back below it reads as a false break.
A close below rising support and the 0.6969 london low ends the intraday higher-low chain and exposes the 0.6961 asian low.
0.7000 psych is the multi-week range top. It is the area to watch for rejection or a break above the 0.6991 session high into NY open.
No US data is scheduled in the next 8h. US AI-equity tone at NY open is the main USD swing factor for this read.
London broke the Asian high; higher lows since the London low.
AUD gapped higher at the weekly open on the China Q3 GDP beat and a soft USD, then London broke the 0.6980 Asian high and printed a 0.6991 session high. Price is consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) near 74, while the trendline off the 0.6969 London low and the 50% fib near the Asian high mark the nearest support.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6969
Resistance: 0.6991, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7000 psych clears the prior two-week high
Return below 0.6980 asian high (50% fib) turns the London breakout into a false break
Break of the trendline and the 0.6969 london low ends the higher-low chain
Rejection at the 0.6991 session high during NY hours would mark a lower high
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, higher lows since Asia · RSI 66 · price 0.69866
Asian range high broken in London, holding above it.
AUD extended Monday's ~21-pip gap-up on the China Q3 GDP beat and a soft USD. Late in the London morning it cleared the 0.6980 asian high and printed a 0.6990 session high, and price is holding just below it with RSI(14) near 66. The 0.69685 london low and 0.69614 asian low form a higher-low trendline, with the 0.7000 psych mark overhead.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69685, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6980 asian high (also the 50% fib of the london leg) would turn the breakout into a false break
A break of the 0.69685 london low ends the higher-low chain off the asian low trendline
0.7000 psych / two-week high: area to watch for rejection or break. A close above the 0.6990 session high puts it in play
No AU/US data in the next 8h. US housing data Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD input
11:02 UTC
Uptrend, extending into the 0.70 handle · RSI 70 · price 0.69879
Higher lows since the gap open; London cleared the 0.6980 cap.
AUD gapped about 21 pips higher at the weekly open on the China GDP beat and soft USD, then held a series of rising lows through Asia. London pushed above the Asian high at 0.6977, was rejected twice at the 0.6980 prior high, then broke it late in the London morning. The breakout printed a session high at 0.6990, with RSI(14) near 70 and price about 12 pips below the 0.7000 psych mark.
Support: 0.69805, 0.69774, 0.69685
Resistance: 0.69898, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Holding the 0.6980 prior high on a retest keeps the breakout read intact; a close back below it flags a false break
0.7000 psych is the prior two-week high, an area to watch for rejection or extension
A close below the 0.6968 London low breaks the rising lows sequence
No scheduled AUD or USD data in the next 8h; the move is running on the China GDP beat and broad USD softness
Higher lows since Asia; 0.6980 cap broken mid-London.
AUD/USD broke the 0.6980 prior cap mid-London after three failed tests and printed a session high at 0.6987, extending the Monday gap-up on the China GDP beat and a soft USD. Higher lows from the asian low at 0.6961 and the london low at 0.6969 hold the intraday uptrend. RSI(14) near 66 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69685, 0.69613
Resistance: 0.69871, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Retest of the 0.6980 prior cap: holding above keeps the breakout intact, while an M15 close back below marks a false break
0.7000 psych sits 13 pips above the session high, an area to watch for rejection or break
M15 close below the 0.6969 london low breaks the higher-low chain
Into the NY open, US yields and AI-equity direction are the main USD driver for this read
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, compressing under session high · RSI 57 · price 0.69788
Higher lows into flat 0.6980 cap, London session.
AUD opened the week about 21 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close on the China GDP beat and a soft USD, and held the Asian gains. Mid-London, price is stacking rising lows from the 0.69685 London low and the 0.69755 swing low into a flat cap at the 0.69805 session high, tested four times, with ATR down to about 3 pips.
Support: 0.69755, 0.69685, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.69805, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.69805 session high opens the path to 0.7000 psych, the two-week high
Failure to hold the 0.69755 swing low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.69685 London low
Loss of the London low puts the friday close gap at 0.6943 back in view
No scheduled AU or US data in the next 8h; the broad USD tone and AI-equity sentiment are the drivers
10:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 61 · price 0.69798
Higher-low chain from the London low, pressing the 0.6980 session high.
AUDUSD gapped about 21 pips higher at the weekly open on China's Q3 GDP beat and RBA Assistant Governor Kent's hawkish lean on rates. Price held the gap low at 0.6950 through Asia. London's dip to 0.69685, near the 38.2% retracement of the gap-low fib, was bought back. Rising lows now press the 0.6980 session high, with RSI(14) at 61 and no extreme, and the 0.7000 psych mark about 20 pips above.
Support: 0.6977, 0.69685, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69805, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 session high opens the path to 0.7000 psych
Break of the rising lows trendline near 0.6977 stalls the intraday higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.69685 London low (38.2% gap-low fib) negates the post-gap uptrend read
No scheduled AUD or USD data in the next 8h; broad USD moves on AI-equity sentiment remain the main swing factor
10:02 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 60 · price 0.69792
Higher lows since weekly-open gap; double test of 0.6980.
AUD/USD gapped ~21 pips higher at the weekly open on the China GDP beat and a soft USD, then built higher lows through Asia along rising support. Mid-London, price has cleared the Asian high at 0.6977, but the 0.6980 session high has capped it twice. The dip to the 0.6969 London low held near the 61.8% retracement of the Monday rally, and RSI(14) sits near 60.
Support: 0.69774, 0.69685, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69804, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level, the prior two-week high.
Slip back below the 0.6977 Asian high would turn the London break into a false break.
Failure to hold the 0.6969 London low breaks rising support and the higher-low chain, putting the 0.6961 Asian low in focus.
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 62 · price 0.69792
Higher lows since weekly open gap; London range 0.6969–0.6980 being retested from below.
AUDUSD gapped about 21 pips above the 0.6943 Friday close at the weekly open, lifted by the China GDP beat and a soft USD. Asia printed higher lows off the 0.6961 Asia low. The London open spike to the 0.6980 session high was rejected to the 0.6969 London low, the 61.8% retrace, and price is now retesting the session high mid-London.
Support: 0.69685, 0.69614, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.69801, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 session high opens the 0.7000 psych mark
Break below the 0.6969 London low and rising trendline turns the read into a range
Loss of the 0.6961 Asia low exposes the unfilled gap to the 0.6943 Friday close
Higher lows since Asia; tight range just under 0.6980.
AUD gapped up over 20 pips from Friday's 0.6943 close on the China GDP beat and Kent's hawkish RBA remarks. Asia held higher lows above the 0.6950 Asia low. London open tagged the 0.6980 session high, dipped to the 0.69685 London low and recovered, and price is now compressing just under the high with ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 0.69685, 0.69614, 0.69501
Resistance: 0.69801, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Break below the 0.69685 London low ends the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.6961 Asia HL and the trendline
Only a loss of the 0.6950 Asia low would fill the weekend gap
No scheduled AU or US data in the next 8h; USD moves likely track the AI-equity selloff and yields
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, stalling under session high · RSI 56 · price 0.69766
Higher lows since weekly-open gap; London holding 61.8% pullback, pressing 0.6980.
AUD gapped about 21 pips higher at the weekly open on the China Q3 GDP beat, hawkish Kent remarks and a softer USD, then built higher lows through Asia off the 0.6961 asia low. London tagged a 0.6980 session high, pulled back to a 0.69685 london low at the 61.8% retrace of the Asia–London leg and has recovered to just below the high, with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 0.69685, 0.69613, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.69801, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level, last week's two-week high
Break below the 0.69685 london low and the rising trendline undercuts the higher-low chain toward the 0.6961 asia low
Unfilled weekend gap down to the 0.6943 fri close; a slide into it would erase the Monday bounce
No scheduled AU/US data in the next 8h; USD tone off the AI-equity selloff is the main swing factor
09:05 UTC
Uptrend, pausing under 0.6980 · RSI 55 · price 0.69765
Higher lows through Asia; London dip held at the 61.8%.
Monday gapped about 20 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close on the China GDP beat and a softer USD. Asia built higher lows up to the 0.6980 session high, where London opened with a rejection. The dip held 0.69685, the London low and the 61.8% of the Asia rally, and price is back near 0.6977 with RSI(14) neutral around 55.
Support: 0.69685, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Break below the 0.69685 London low and the Asia trendline ends the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.6961 Asia low
No AU/US data in the next 8h; USD tone via the AI-equity selloff is the swing driver
Higher lows since Asia, compressing 0.6969–0.6980.
AUD gapped ~21 pips higher at the weekly open and lifted from the 0.69614 asian low after the 02:00 UTC China GDP beat. London open printed a session high at 0.69801. The pullback to the 0.69685 london low held the 61.8% retracement of the Asian leg, and price is back near 0.6977 with RSI(14) at 56.
Support: 0.69685, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69801, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.69801 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.69685 london low and rising support exposes the 0.69614 asian low
No scheduled AUD or USD data in the next 8h; USD headline risk (AI stocks, Hormuz) is the main swing factor
London false break above Asian high, holding 61.8% pullback; mid-range 0.6969–0.6980.
AUDUSD gapped ~21 pips higher at the Monday open and extended to 0.6977 in Asia after the China Q3 GDP beat. London open briefly cleared the Asian high to a 0.6980 session high, then failed and dropped to a 0.69685 london low, a 61.8% retracement of the Asia-London leg. Price has since recovered to 0.6975 mid-range, with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 0.69685, 0.69613, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.69801, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 session high reopens the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.69685 london low exposes the 0.6961 asia pivot, then the 0.6943 gap fill
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; China or RBA headlines are the main intraday risk
Weekend gap higher, Asia HL chain, London rejection at 0.6980.
AUD gapped ~20 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close on the China Q3 GDP beat and Kent's hawkish RBA remarks, then printed higher lows through Asia to the 0.6977 Asian high. London open poked a session high at 0.6980 before a false break flushed to a 0.69685 London low, right at the 38.2% fib of the 0.6950–0.6980 leg, and price has recovered to 0.6974 with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 0.69685, 0.69614, 0.69501
Resistance: 0.69774, 0.69801, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.69685 London low exposes the 0.6961 asia pivot, then the 0.6950 gap low
Price is pinned at EMA20 inside the 0.6969–0.6980 band; a hold beneath the 0.6977 Asian high keeps the rejection read intact
Calendar thin into NY; US housing and ADP data Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC is the next scheduled USD risk
Higher lows since Asia; early-London rejection at the session high.
AUD gapped about 21 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close on the China Q3 GDP beat and Kent's hawkish remarks. Asia then built higher lows off the 0.6961 asian low, and the 06:45 push printed a 0.6980 session high at London open. Supply capped that high, and price is holding near 0.6977, above the 0.6970 swing low and the Friday high at 0.6967.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69669, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69801, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.6970 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 0.6967 Friday high in focus
Acceptance above the 0.6980 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the rising support line from the 0.6961 asian low points to a fade toward the gap area
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; a USD rebound on Fed-hike repricing is the main risk to the read
Higher lows since weekend gap; Asian high briefly cleared at London open.
AUD/USD gapped about 21 pips higher at the weekly open on the China GDP beat and Kent's hawkish tilt. It then built a higher-low chain through the Asia session from the 0.6961 asia pivot. London open pushed past the 0.6977 Asian high to a 0.6980 session high before easing to the 38.2% fib and higher low near 0.6973, with RSI(14) mid-50s.
Support: 0.69735, 0.69695, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69801, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.6980 session high opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych mark
M15 close below the 0.6970 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline and the 61.8% fib
Loss of the 0.6961 asia pivot exposes the weekend gap back toward Friday's 0.6943 close
No scheduled AUD or USD data in the next 8h; Fed-hike repricing or Hormuz headlines could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, pausing at session high · RSI 52 · price 0.69756
Higher lows through Asia, rejected at 0.6980 into London open.
AUDUSD gapped about 20 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close on the China GDP beat and Kent's hawkish tilt. Asia then built higher lows from 0.6961 to a session high at 0.6980. The first London bar was rejected at that high and has pulled back toward the rising trendline, with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6961, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6980 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Break below the 0.6970 swing low ends the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.6961 asian low
Monday's gap fill at 0.6943 is still open below; no scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h, so China and Fed headlines drive the tape
Higher lows through Asia, compressing below session high.
AUD/USD gapped about 21 pips higher at the Monday open on the China Q3 GDP beat and hawkish RBA commentary. Asia built higher lows up to the 0.6977 session high, then pulled back to the 0.69695 swing low, the 50% pullback fib of the 0.6961–0.6977 leg. Price is coiling just above EMA20 heading into London open, with the Friday close at 0.6943 still an unfilled gap below.
Support: 0.69695, 0.69614, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.69774, 0.7000
What it said to watch
London open at 07:00 UTC is likely to resolve the 0.6970–0.6977 compression
M15 close above the 0.6977 session high opens the path to 0.7000 psych
Break of the 0.69695 swing low and the higher lows trendline exposes the 0.69614 higher low
Failure to hold 0.6961 puts the gap toward the Friday close at 0.6943 back in play
Tight 0.6970–0.6977 range below Asia high, marginal lower highs.
AUD/USD gapped about 21 pips higher at the weekly open and ran to a 0.6977 Asia high after the China Q3 GDP beat. It has since stalled in a 0.6970–0.6977 band with marginal lower highs. The 0.69695 pullback low sits on the 50% fib of the 0.6961–0.6977 leg, with RSI(14) near 45 and price just under EMA20 ahead of London open.
Support: 0.69695, 0.6967, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69774, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69695 pullback low exposes the Friday high near 0.6967, then the 0.6961 swing low
M15 close above the 0.6977 Asia high reopens the 0.7000 psych level
The weekend gap from Friday's 0.6943 close is still unfilled; London open liquidity will show whether the Asia range holds
Asian upleg capped at 0.6977, now pulling back into 0.6970.
Monday opened about 21 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close after the China GDP beat. The Asian session then climbed from the 0.6961 swing low to a 0.6977 session high. Into London open, price has slipped below the 0.6972 shelf to the fib 50% near 0.6970, with RSI(14) near 45 and lower highs forming under the session high.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69613, 0.69501
Resistance: 0.69774, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6977 session high resumes the Asian upleg, with 0.7000 psych as the next cap
Failure to hold the 0.6970 fib 50% exposes the 0.6961 swing low
A break of the 0.6950 asian low puts the gap toward Friday's 0.6943 close back in play
No scheduled AUD or USD data in the next 8h; London open is the near-term catalyst for range extension
Gap-up open, higher low at 0.6961, tight Asian range 0.6972–0.6977.
AUD gapped about 20 pips above the 0.6943 friday close and printed a higher low at the 0.6961 swing low. It then took a leg up on the China Q3 GDP beat at 02:00 UTC to a 0.6977 session high. Since then the Asia session has compressed into a 0.6972–0.6977 range just above the rising support line, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR under 3 pips.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6961, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6977 session high breaks the Asian range and opens the path toward 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold the 0.6972 range low and the rising support line exposes the 0.6961 swing low and the 50–61.8% fib zone at 0.6969–0.6968
A loss of 0.6961 puts the gap fill toward the 0.6943 friday close in play
London open in about an hour may expand the compressed Asian range
05:31 UTC
Post-gap uptrend, stalling below Asia high · RSI 54 · price 0.69732
Higher-low chain from 0.6961 into a 0.6972–0.6977 coil with lower highs.
AUD gapped about 21 pips higher at the weekly open on the China Q3 GDP beat and RBA Kent's hawkish tilt. Price then built higher lows from the 0.6961 swing low through the 0.6968 breakout to an Asia high at 0.69774. Late in the Asia session, price is coiling between 0.6972 and 0.6977 with slipping highs, testing the range low near the 38.2% of the Asia leg fib, and RSI(14) is neutral at 54.
Support: 0.69716, 0.6968, 0.69613
Resistance: 0.69774, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.69716 range low exposes the 0.6968 breakout base and the 61.8% of the Asia leg fib near 0.6968
M15 close above the 0.69774 Asia high reopens the path to the 0.7000 psych cap
Break of the 0.69613 swing low would erase the post-gap higher-low chain
London open in about 90 minutes is the likely test of the coil; no scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h
Higher lows since 0.6961; tight 0.6972–0.6977 consolidation late Asia.
Monday opened with an unfilled ~21-pip gap over Friday's 0.6943 close. The China Q3 GDP beat around 02:00 UTC drove price through the Friday high at 0.6967 to a 0.6977 session high, and the Asian range is now compressing between the 0.6972 pullback low and the session high, with RSI(14) near 60 and London open roughly two hours out.
Support: 0.6972, 0.69669, 0.69613
Resistance: 0.69774, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6977 session high opens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
Close below the 0.6972 pullback low (38.2% fib) puts the friday high at 0.6967 back in play
Loss of the 0.6961 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the gap toward 0.6943
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; RBA speakers, China headlines or US-yield moves at London open could shift this read
Weekend gap higher, Asia higher lows, tight consolidation under 0.6977.
AUDUSD gapped about 21 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close. Asia extended higher on the China Q3 GDP beat, printing a session high at 0.6977. Late in the Asia session price is coiling just below that high, holding the 0.6972 pullback low and the rising trendline from the 0.6961 Asia low.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6967, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.69774, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6977 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Break of the 0.6972 pullback low and the rising trendline shifts focus to Friday's prior high at 0.6967, near the 50% of the Asia leg fib
Failure to hold the 0.6961 Asia low leaves the unfilled weekend gap toward 0.6943 in view into London open
No scheduled AU/USD data in the next 8h; RBA or Fed speaker headlines could shift this read
04:46 UTC
Uptrend through Asia, stalling near highs · RSI 60 · price 0.69731
Higher lows from 0.6961 into a 0.6977 session high; shallow pullback underway.
Asia opened with a ~21-pip gap above Friday's 0.6943 close on the China GDP beat. Price built higher lows off the 0.6961 asia low and printed a 0.6977 session high. Late in the session price is easing toward the 0.6970 swing low, holding above Friday's high at 0.6966.
Support: 0.6970, 0.6966, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.69774, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6970 swing low exposes the friday high at 0.6966 and the 61.8% fib near 0.6968
Break of the 0.6977 session high puts the 0.7000 psych level in range
Loss of the 0.6961 asia low would break the session's higher-low sequence
London open in roughly 2h is likely to expand the narrow Asian range
04:32 UTC
Uptrend, pausing under session high · RSI 64 · price 0.69735
Asia HH/HL chain above Monday gap-up open; Friday high 0.6967 cleared.
Monday gapped about 21 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close. The opening dip held at the 0.6950 open low, and the Asia session has since printed higher lows up to a 0.6977 session high. China's Q3 GDP beat drove the push through Friday's 0.6967 high, and price is now stalling just under the high with RSI(14) near 64, not stretched.
Support: 0.69705, 0.69613, 0.69501
Resistance: 0.69774, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6970 higher low breaks the higher-lows trendline and exposes the 0.6961 swing low
Acceptance above the 0.6977 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
London open in roughly 2.5h tends to test the Asian range edges
The gap to Friday's 0.6943 close stays unfilled while the 0.6950 open low holds
Weekend gap up, higher lows through Asia, breakout above 0.6972 now holding.
Monday opened about 21 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close. After the 02:00 UTC China Q3 GDP beat, price broke the 0.6972 prior high and set a 0.6977 session high, with the 0.6961 swing low holding twice overnight. Late Asia session is compressing just under the high, RSI(14) near 64.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6961, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.6977, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6972 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
A break of the rising trendline points to the 50–61.8% fib of the China leg at 0.6969–0.6968
Loss of the 0.6961 swing low leaves the 0.6943 gap fill exposed
Acceptance above the 0.6977 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
London open is the first test of whether the Asian range extends or breaks
04:03 UTC
Uptrend, higher lows through Asia · RSI 68 · price 0.69767
AUDUSD gapped about 21 pips higher at the weekly open after China's Q3 GDP beat (4.5% vs 4.4%) and hawkish RBA Kent remarks, then cleared the friday high at 0.6967 during the Asia session. Price is stepping up from the 0.6961 swing low in a higher-low chain and sits at the 0.6977 session high, RSI(14) firm near 68 but not stretched. Friday's 0.6943 close leaves the gap unfilled.
Support: 0.69702, 0.69669, 0.69613
Resistance: 0.69774, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close back below the 0.6970 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
Return below the friday high at 0.6967 would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.6961 swing low opens the gap back toward Friday's 0.6943 close
Rejection at the 0.6977 session high vs acceptance above it into the London open
HH/HL chain through the Asia session, Friday high broken.
AUDUSD gapped about 21 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close at the weekly open. Buyers absorbed the open-hour dip to 0.6950, then built a higher low at 0.6961 and cleared the 0.6967 Friday high. The China Q3 GDP beat (4.5%) at 02:00 UTC extended the Asia leg to a 0.6977 session high, with RSI(14) near 67 and not stretched.
Support: 0.69725, 0.69669, 0.69613
Resistance: 0.69774, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.6972 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline and stalls the Asia-session advance
A close above the 0.6977 session high leaves the 0.7000 psych level as the next reference
A return below the Friday high at 0.6967 exposes the 0.6961 higher low and the 50% retracement of the Asia leg near 0.6964
London open in about 3h typically expands the Asian range; the Friday gap down to 0.6943 is still unfilled
03:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extending to new session highs · RSI 63 · price 0.69756
Higher lows since Monday gap open; opening high and Friday high both cleared.
Asia session opened Monday about 21 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close on the China Q3 GDP beat and RBA Kent's hawkish remarks. Price has since cleared the opening high at 0.6972 and the Friday high at 0.6967, printing a session high at 0.6976. Rising lows at 0.6950 and the 0.6961 swing low underpin the move, and RSI(14) near 63 is not stretched.
Support: 0.69722, 0.69669, 0.69614
Resistance: 0.6976, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6967 Friday high puts price back inside Friday's range.
An M15 close below the 0.6961 swing low breaks the rising-lows trendline.
Holding above the 0.6972 opening high keeps the breakout intact.
Continuation above the 0.6976 session high brings the 0.7000 psych level into view, the squeeze level flagged by short positioning.
London open could test the session high and the Asian range.
03:17 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 64 · price 0.69736
Higher highs and higher lows since Asian lows; Friday's high broken.
The week opened with a roughly 21-pip gap above Friday's 0.6943 close. The China Q3 GDP beat around 02:00 UTC then lifted price out of the Asian lows at 0.6961 and through Friday's prior high at 0.6967 to a 0.6976 session high. The pullback low at 0.6970 held, and RSI(14) at 64 is warm but not stretched, with mid-Asia session ranges compressing near the top.
Support: 0.6970, 0.69669, 0.69613
Resistance: 0.69757, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6967 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.6970 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the asian lows at 0.6961 back in focus
Acceptance above the 0.6976 session high leaves the 0.7000 psych level, about 26 pips away, as the next reference
London open in about 4h could test whether the Asia breakout holds; the Friday gap down to 0.6943 is still unfilled
US housing data (Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC) is the next scheduled USD risk; no events fall in the next 8h
Weekend gap up, then early-Asia range break above 0.6972 with higher lows.
AUDUSD gapped about 21 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close on the China Q3 GDP beat and a softer USD, clearing the friday high at 0.6967. Asia has since broken the early prior high at 0.6972 to a session high of 0.6975 after two dips held at the 0.6961 swing low. RSI(14) near 63 is not stretched.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6967, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.69752, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6972 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.6961 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and puts the 0.6943 gap fill in view
Acceptance above the 0.6975 session high leaves the 0.7000 psych level as the next reference
Fed speakers or a US yield rebound during London/NY could reverse the soft-USD tone behind the gap
AUD gapped about 21 pips higher at the weekly open, above Friday's 0.6943 close, after the NY-session slide to 0.6936, with the China Q3 GDP beat and a softer USD behind the bid. The opening whipsaw left a spike low at 0.6950. The Asian range then built twin lows at 0.6961, and price is now clearing the 0.6971-0.6972 prior high to print a new session high at 0.6975, with RSI(14) at 64 and not stretched.
Support: 0.6971, 0.6961, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.69746, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6971 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.6961 asia low breaks the higher-low sequence and puts the 0.6950 spike low and the gap toward 0.6943 in view
Acceptance above the 0.6975 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
London open in about 4h typically expands the Asian range; ATR is only about 4.6 pips
Gap-up open, higher lows from 0.6961, retest of breakout above 0.6972.
AUD opened Monday about 21 pips above the 0.6943 Fri close on the China Q3 GDP beat. After a thin-liquidity dip to 0.6950, the Asia session built higher lows off the 0.6961 swing low and printed a 0.6974 session high. Price is now pulling back into the 0.6972 opening-hour high, still above Friday's 0.6967 prior high, with only a shallow move on the pullback fib so far and RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 0.69669, 0.69614, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6974 session high opens the path toward 0.7000 psych
Failure to hold the 0.6967 prior high puts the 0.6961 swing low and the 61.8% pullback fib in play
Loss of the 0.6961 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the gap toward the 0.6943 Fri close
London open in ~4.5h typically tests the Asian range edges at 0.6950 and 0.6974
Fed speaker headlines or a Treasury yield rebound could reverse the softer-USD tone behind the gap
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 67 · price 0.69729
Weekend gap up, higher lows, break of opening spike high.
AUDUSD gapped ~20 pips higher at the Monday open on softer Fed-hike rhetoric and RBA Kent's hawkish tilt. It cleared Friday's 0.6967 high, and the Asia session has now pushed through the 0.6972 open high to a 0.6974 session high. Twin higher lows at 0.6961 underpin the move, and RSI(14) at 67 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.6972, 0.6967, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.6974, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Chinese activity data due in early Asia could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.6974 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.6972 open high would mark the break as a false break
Loss of the 0.6967 fri high and the 0.6961 higher low shifts focus to a weekend gap fill toward 0.6943
Hormuz/Iran headlines could revive haven USD demand
02:03 UTC
Gap-up, ranging near session high · RSI 61 · price 0.69692
Asian range 0.6961–0.6972, price testing the top.
AUD opened the week with a ~21-pip gap above the Friday close at 0.6943, helped by Fed officials signalling no urgency to hike and a hawkish-leaning RBA Kent. After the thin-liquidity open spike to 0.6950, Asia has held a 0.6961–0.6972 range. The asian low at 0.6961, the 50% retrace of the open fib leg, held twice, and price is now pressing the session high at 0.6972.
Support: 0.6961, 0.6950, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6972 session high opens the path to 0.7000 psych
Break below the 0.6961 asian low exposes the 0.6950 open spike and a gap fill toward the 0.6943 fri close
Chinese activity data due in early Monday Asia could materially shift this read
Hormuz/Iran headlines could trigger a haven USD bid and pull price back into the gap
01:46 UTC
Gap higher at Monday open, stalling under session high · RSI 56 · price 0.69669
Asian range 0.6961–0.6972 holding above Friday's close.
Monday Asia gapped about 21 pips above Friday's 0.6943 close on fading Fed-hike bets. A thin-liquidity spike low at 0.6950 was bought back quickly, and two dips held the 50% fib of the open spike near 0.6961. Price is now coiling inside a 0.6961–0.6972 Asian range, with Friday's 0.6966–0.6967 double high acting as the pivot.
Support: 0.6961, 0.6950, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6972 asian high exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.6961 asian low puts the 0.6950 spike low and the 0.6943 gap fill back in play
Chinese activity data due imminently in Asia session could break the range either way
Hormuz/Iran headlines at the Asia open could jolt USD and move this read quickly
01:31 UTC
Gap higher at Asia open, now consolidating · RSI 58 · price 0.69653
Monday Asian range 0.6950–0.6972, two tests of the session high, holding above the fib 50%.
AUD opened Asia with a ~21-pip gap above Friday's 0.6943 close, helped by softer Fed rhetoric and Kent's hawkish tilt. After an early spike low at 0.6950, price ran to the 0.6972 session high, where a second test was rejected. Price now sits in a 0.6961–0.6972 band, with the fib 50% of the opening spike holding twice.
Support: 0.6961, 0.6950, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Chinese activity data due in early Asia could break the 0.6950–0.6972 session range either way
M15 close above the 0.6972 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold the 0.6961 fib 50% exposes the 0.6950 spike low, then the gap fill toward the 0.6943 Fri close
Hormuz/oil headlines are a haven-USD risk to the gap-up hold
01:16 UTC
Gap higher, now ranging in early Asia · RSI 56 · price 0.69647
0.6961–0.6972 range above Friday's close, highs slipping.
Monday Asia opened about 21 pips above the 0.6943 Friday close, helped by soft Fed rhetoric and a hawkish tilt from RBA's Kent. Buyers absorbed the opening spike to the 0.6950 open low, near the 61.8% fib of the Friday low to session high move. Price has since been rejected twice at the 0.6972 session high and is drifting toward the 0.6961 swing low, pivoting around the 0.6967 Friday high with RSI(14) neutral and ATR near 5 pips.
Support: 0.6961, 0.6950, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.6967, 0.6972, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 swing low exposes the 0.6950 open low and 61.8% fib
Loss of 0.6950 puts a gap fill toward the 0.6943 Friday close in play
Close above the 0.6972 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Chinese data due imminently in Asia and Hormuz/oil headlines could materially shift this read
Monday's Asia session opened with a ~21-pip gap above Friday's 0.6943 close on RBA Kent's neutral-rate remarks. The 0.6972 session high capped twice, and price has slipped back below the 0.6967 friday high and retraced most of the Asia leg. It now sits on the 0.6961 swing low, with RSI(14) near 54 and ATR inflated by the thin open.
Support: 0.6961, 0.6950, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.6967, 0.6972
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 swing low completes a small double top and exposes the 0.6950 open low.
Failure at 0.6950 brings the gap fill toward Friday's 0.6943 close into view. Hormuz/oil headlines are the USD-side risk.
Reclaiming the 0.6967 friday high, then breaking the 0.6972 session high, invalidates the double-top read.
Calendar is thin until Tuesday's US housing data, so RBA speakers are the likelier AUD catalyst.
00:46 UTC
Gap higher, stalling below session high · RSI 59 · price 0.69656
Early-Asia range 0.6961–0.6972, minor higher lows.
Monday's Asia session opened with a gap above Friday's 0.6943 close on RBA Kent's rising-neutral-rate remarks. Price has twice stalled at the 0.6972 session high, just above the 0.6967 Fri high, while higher lows off the 0.6961 session low hold.
Support: 0.69613, 0.69501, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.69669, 0.69722, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 session low breaks the higher-low line, exposing the 0.6950 open low and then the 0.6943 gap fill
Close above the 0.6972 session high clears the double stall and opens the 0.7000 psych level
Hormuz/oil headlines into the London open could revive the haven USD bid and pressure the gap
Early Asia range 0.6950–0.6972 after weekend gap, two rejections at session high.
Monday's Asia session opened with a ~21-pip gap above Friday's 0.6943 close on RBA Kent's rising-neutral-rate remarks. The opening dip held at the 0.6950 open low, and the 0.6972 session high has now seen two rejections. Price is back at 0.6964, just under the 0.6967 Friday high and mid-way through the opening swing, with RSI(14) at 60 and the gap fill below still unfilled.
Support: 0.6961, 0.6950, 0.6943
Resistance: 0.6967, 0.6972
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6972 session high breaks the double rejection and extends the gap move
Loss of the 0.6961 pullback low exposes the 0.6950 open low, then the 0.6943 gap fill
Holding below the 0.6967 Friday high keeps the opening swing in a range
Hormuz / oil headlines through Asia could materially shift USD tone; no scheduled data in the next 8h
00:16 UTC
Short-term uptrend after the opening gap, stalling at highs · RSI 63 · price 0.69678
Higher low at 0.6961 beneath a double cap at 0.6972, holding above the Friday high.
AUD/USD gapped up about 21 pips at the Sunday open from Friday's 0.6943 close, helped by Kent's higher-neutral-rate remarks. It now sits on the 0.6967 Friday high. Early Asia session has been capped twice at the 0.6972 monday high, while the 23:00 UTC pullback held the 0.6961 swing low at the 50% retracement of the opening swing, keeping a rising lows sequence intact.
Support: 0.69669, 0.69613, 0.69501
Resistance: 0.69722, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6972 monday high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
Break of the rising lows line and the 0.6961 swing low puts the 0.6950 open low and the 0.6943 gap fill back in view
Hormuz shipping or oil headlines during the Asia session could shift USD tone and materially change this read
Gap-up open, higher low at 0.6961, testing 0.6972.
The Asia session opened with a ~21-pip gap up from Friday's 0.6943 close, extending the bounce driven by Kent's higher-neutral-rate remarks. The early dip held the 0.6950 session low without filling the gap, and a higher pullback low at 0.6961 has held along a rising trendline. Price is now retesting the 0.6972 session high just above the 0.6967 Friday high, with RSI(14) near 71.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6961, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6972, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6972 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
A drop back below the 0.6967 Friday high would mark the push as a false break, with the 0.6961 pullback low and rising trendline next
Losing the 0.6950 session low reopens the gap toward Friday's 0.6943 close
Hormuz and oil headlines during the Asia session carry USD haven gap risk