AUDUSD has drifted lower for a fifth session, pinned to the 0.7000 handle after a sharp Friday flush from 0.7075 tied to renewed USD strength on the hawkish-Fed repricing. Price sits below EMA20 with RSI cycling sub-50, and the last day has compressed into a tight band just under 0.7000 above the 0.6979 11-week low. Lower highs have capped each bounce, with supply repeatedly stepping in toward 0.7045.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6989, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.7045, 0.7075
What it said to watch
AU Q-CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.6979 opens the path toward 0.6900
H1 close above 0.7045 invalidates the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD has slipped for a fifth straight session, pinned to the 0.7000 handle below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) holding sub-50. The dominant move came after the hawkish-Fed USD bid early in the window dropped price from 0.7075 to 0.6989; since then price has consolidated in a tight 0.6995–0.7012 band, grinding lower toward the 0.6979 11-week low.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6979, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australia Q-CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.6979 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6900
H1 close above 0.7045 week cap invalidates the downtrend read
AUDUSD sold off from Monday's 0.7075 area into the 0.6990s on hawkish-Fed USD strength and risk-off, then spent the back half of the week grinding sideways just below the 0.7000 handle. Price sits under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) holding sub-50, and the 0.7045 cap has not been challenged since the drop. Demand has repeatedly stepped in near 0.6989-0.6979 to keep the floor intact.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6979 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.7045 would invalidate the consolidation-lower read
AU Q-CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD slipped for a fifth straight session and is pinned to the 0.7000 handle, a USD-led move as the hawkish-Fed repricing kept the dollar firm. Price sits below EMA20 with RSI cycling sub-50, and the week's range has compressed between 0.6979 and 0.7045 after the sharp mid-week drop off 0.7075. Demand has so far held the 0.6990 area, with rallies capped under 0.7012.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Break of 0.6979 11-week low opens the path toward 0.6900
Hourly close above 0.7045 negates the downside read
AU Q-CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:03 UTC
Downtrend, basing at 0.7000 · RSI 42 · price 0.69999
Fifth-session slide flattening into tight consolidation above week low.
AUDUSD slid for a fifth session into the 0.7000 psych level, the bulk of the move coming in Thursday's NY hours when the pair cracked from 0.7075 on hawkish-Fed USD strength and Hormuz risk-off. Price has since based in a tight consolidation just above the 0.6994 week low, holding below EMA(20) with RSI(14) parked in the low 40s. Descending lower-highs cap each bounce into 0.7021/0.7045.
Support: 0.6994, 0.6979, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7003, 0.7021, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.6979 11-week low opens the 0.6900 path
Reclaim of 0.7045 / 100-day SMA breaks the descending lower-highs
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD sold off through the FOMC window mid-week, dropping from the 0.7075 area to sub-0.7000 on the hawkish Fed and risk-off Hormuz headlines, and has since gone flat against the 0.7000 handle. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) parked in the low-40s; rallies have stalled at descending lower highs while the 0.6979 11-week low caps the downside so far. The 0.70135 range top has repeatedly absorbed bounces.
Support: 0.69946, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.70135, 0.70412, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.6979 11-week low opens the path toward 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.70135 range top, then 0.7045 100-day sma, would unwind the lower-high sequence
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the next material catalyst for this read
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7065 and slid for a fifth session, breaking lower in NY hours mid-window as a hawkish Fed and risk-off Hormuz headlines bid the USD. Price is now pinned just under the 0.7000 psych level, capped below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) stuck in the low 40s. The week low at 0.6989 and the 0.6979 11-week low mark the floor that has so far held.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6979, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7024, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Acceptance below 0.6979 11-week low opens the 0.6900 zone
H1 close back above 0.7024 lower high would break the descending sequence
Consolidation above the week's low after a sharp impulse down.
AUDUSD has slid for a fifth straight session, with the dominant move a sharp break from 0.7075 down through 0.7000 mid-week on the hawkish Fed and risk-off Hormuz headlines. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.6989–0.7035 band, pinned at the 0.7000 handle and holding just above the 0.6979 11-week low. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hugging the low-40s, reflecting fading downside momentum without recovery.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7045, 0.7075
What it said to watch
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Acceptance below 0.6979 opens the path to 0.6900
Reclaim above 0.7045 wk resistance would invalidate the lower-high structure
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7050 after the hawkish FOMC repricing lifted the USD, extending a multi-session slide to the 0.7000 handle. Since then price has coiled into a tight range between 0.7021 and the 0.6988 swing low, trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low-40s. The 0.6979 11-week low is the structural pivot just beneath spot.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6988, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.6979 opens the path toward 0.6900
H1 close above 0.7021 range top, then 0.7045, would ease the downside structure
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD is pinned at the 0.7000 handle after a five-session slide, the bulk of which came on the hawkish-FOMC USD breakout that knocked the pair off 0.7075 mid-window. Price has since gone flat, coiling in a tight 0.6995–0.7020 band just above the 0.6979 11-week low with RSME cycling in the low-40s. EMA20 and EMA50 both cap from above, keeping the bias structurally heavy.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.6979 11-week low opens the 0.6900 path
Close above 0.7045 / 100-day SMA needed to shift the heavy read
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 24 Jun 01:30 UTC could materially reset this range
Consolidation under 0.7000 after impulsive leg lower.
AUDUSD remains in a downtrend after a sharp range break mid-window dropped it from the 0.7075 area to sub-0.7000, with hawkish-FOMC USD strength doing the heavy lifting this week. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.6995-0.7012 band just below the round number, with RSI(14) hovering in the mid-40s and price capped under EMA20. The week low at 0.6995 and the 11-week low at 0.6979 sit just beneath as the structural floor.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6979, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7040, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the key risk and could materially shift this read
Acceptance below 0.6979 11-wk low opens the path toward 0.6900
H1 close above 0.7040 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
18:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 0.70013
Consolidation above 0.7000 after impulsive drop.
AUDUSD broke lower mid-window on the hawkish FOMC and risk-off Hormuz headlines, dropping from 0.7075 to sub-0.6990 in two sessions. Since then price has consolidated into a tight band around the 0.7000 handle, capped below EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near 46. The 0.6988 swing low has absorbed repeated tests while the 0.7040 range top has gone untested.
Support: 0.6988, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.7040, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC can break this range either way
Acceptance below 0.6979 11-wk low opens 0.6900
H1 close above 0.7040 invalidates the range read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.70021
Consolidation above 0.6990 after impulsive drop.
AUDUSD broke sharply lower mid-week as the hawkish FOMC and risk-off Hormuz headlines drove the dollar, slicing from 0.7075 to the 0.6990 area. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.6990–0.7040 range straddling the 0.7000 handle, with RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s and both EMA(20)/EMA(50) capping rebounds. The 0.6990 swing low is being repeatedly probed without acceptance below.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7040, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Acceptance below 0.6990/0.6979 opens the path toward 0.6900
H1 close above 0.7040 invalidates the range-top read
AUDUSD slid for a fifth session into the 0.7000 handle, driven by a hawkish FOMC and Iran-linked risk-off lifting the USD, with the sharp Tuesday flush from 0.7075 setting the tone. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.6993–0.7012 band beneath EMA20/EMA50, RSI(14) hovering near 46. Lower highs off 0.7037 have capped each bounce while 0.6979 remains the floor.
Support: 0.69935, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.70135, 0.7037, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.6979 11-week low opens the path toward 0.6900
H1 close above 0.7037 prior high breaks the lower-high sequence
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 43 · price 0.69994
Ranging below 0.7000 after a sharp breakdown.
AUDUSD broke down from the 0.7075 area mid-window — a single impulsive leg that sliced through 0.7000 as the post-FOMC USD bid dragged the Aussie to a fifth down session. Since then price has coiled in a tight 0.6989–0.7020 range below 0.7000, holding under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) stuck in the low-40s. The 0.6979/80 11-week low remains the downside magnet; 0.7045 has capped this week.
Support: 0.69888, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.70135, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 0.70135 range top would ease the breakdown pressure
Failure to hold 0.69888 swing low opens the 0.6980 11wk low
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and US flash PMIs Tue 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69994
Range below 0.7000 after FOMC-driven leg lower.
AUDUSD broke sharply lower mid-week as a hawkish FOMC powered the USD, dropping from 0.7075 to sub-0.7000 in two sessions. Since then price has gone sideways, pinned around the 0.7000 psych level with RSI(14) cycling in the 40s and trading under both EMA20 and EMA50. The week low at 0.6988 and the 11-week low at 0.6979 sit just below as the downside magnet.
Support: 0.69888, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.70186, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.6988 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6979 11-week low
Reclaim of 0.7045 needed to flip the near-term range read
AU Q-CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
The hawkish FOMC repricing slammed AUDUSD off 0.7075 mid-week, with a single-session leg down to sub-0.7000 that has framed everything since. Price has consolidated in a tight 0.6990–0.7020 band, drifting toward the 0.6979/80 11-week low as risk-off USD demand persists. RSI(14) is hovering near 50 with no recovery thrust, and a chain of lower highs from 0.70403 keeps the structure capped.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.70186, 0.70403, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6990 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6979/80 area
Reclaim of 0.7045 needed to flip the near-term structure
AU Q-CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD slid for a fifth session and broke below 0.7000 mid-window as a hawkish FOMC powered the USD and risk-off Iran headlines added a haven bid. Since the impulse leg into 0.6989 the pair has chopped sideways between 0.6995 and 0.7020, with each push toward 0.7037 capped by lower highs. RSI(14) is mid-range near 45 and price sits just under EMA(50), keeping the bias defined by the 0.7000 pivot.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6988
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.6988 confirms a lower low toward the 0.6979 magnet
H1 close above 0.7050 flips the near-term structure
AUD/USD sold off through 0.7050 on the hawkish FOMC mid-week, dropping to a 0.69888 week low before stabilising into a tight range around the 0.7000 handle. Price is hugging EMA(20) near 0.7004 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s, a coiled consolidation. The 0.7000 psych level has held as a floor for a third session, while attempts back toward the range top at 0.7019 have stalled.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7019, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.69888 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 0.7050 needed to neutralise the FOMC drop
Aussie Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the catalyst to break the 0.7000 range
14:02 UTC
Range after sharp drop · RSI 45 · price 0.70026
Consolidation pinned to 0.7000 handle.
AUDUSD remains coiled at the 0.7000 handle after the hawkish FOMC drove the steep mid-week drop from 0.7075 through 0.7050 to sub-0.6990. Price has chopped in a tight 0.6990-0.7012 band for two sessions with RSI(14) hovering mid-40s and EMA20 capping rebounds. The 0.6989 swing low marks the range floor; the 0.7041 post-drop high and pre-FOMC 0.7050 area cap the upside.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.70412, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the first domestic catalyst to break the range
Sustained H1 close below 0.6989 swing low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.7041 post-drop high reopens the 0.7050 area
13:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 46 · price 0.70077
Sideways consolidation pinned to 0.7000 after Mon-Tue drop.
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7072 and sold off sharply through Monday into the NY session — a hawkish-FOMC USD repricing dragged it to a 0.6989 week low. Since then price has consolidated in a tight band around the 0.7000 psychological pivot, with RSI(14) hovering in the mid-40s and price riding just above EMA(20) but capped under EMA(50). The 0.70186 range top has held repeated attempts while sellers keep leaning on lower highs toward 0.70350.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.70186, 0.7035
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.69888 week low confirms a lower-low and reopens sub-0.7000 downside
Reclaim of 0.70186 range top needed to challenge the 0.70350 prior high
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the first domestic catalyst and could break the 0.7000 range
13:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 48 · price 0.70077
Coiled around 0.7000 after week's leg lower.
The week's defining move was the hawkish-FOMC-driven break below 0.7050 and the impulsive flush through 0.7000 mid-week, after which AUDUSD has gone sideways pinned to the 0.7000 psych handle. RSI(14) is cycling sub-50 with price hugging EMA(20) but capped under EMA(50); the 0.69935 swing low and 0.70186 prior high frame a tight range. Lower highs back toward 0.7035 still mark the dominant pressure.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69935
Resistance: 0.70186, 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.69935 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
Reclaim of 0.70186 then 0.7050 would neutralise the range-low pressure
AUD Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the first domestic catalyst and could break this 0.7000 range either way
The hawkish FOMC dragged AUDUSD through 0.7050 mid-week and the pair has gone sideways since, pinned at the 0.7000 handle with repeated sub-0.7000 probes. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) idling in the low 40s, and supply near 0.7040 has rejected each bounce. The thin holiday-style tape into NY hours leaves the 0.6989 weekly low as the structural pivot.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7040, 0.7050
What it said to watch
AUD Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC — key domestic catalyst that could break the 0.7000 pivot either way
Sustained H1 close below 0.6989 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.7050 breaks the range top
12:02 UTC
Down then range, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.7002
Consolidating on the 0.7000 handle after a sharp leg lower.
AUDUSD broke sharply through 0.7050 mid-week as the hawkish Warsh-led FOMC dragged the pair onto the 0.7000 handle, and it has since gone sideways between 0.7035 and the 0.6990 weekly low. Price sits just under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) parked in the low-40s, reflecting flat momentum after the drop. Repeated sub-0.7000 probes have been bought back, but each bounce has stalled at progressively lower highs into 0.7035.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
AUD Q2 CPI Wed 24 Jun 01:30 UTC is the key domestic catalyst and could break the range
Hourly close above 0.7050 invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 0.6990 confirms continuation toward weekly lows
Waller speech 13:00 UTC today could shift the USD leg
AUDUSD sold through 0.7050 mid-week on the hawkish FOMC repricing and has since been pinned at the 0.7000 handle, with repeated sub-0.7000 probes failing to extend. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering in the low 40s, but the slide has flattened into a tight base around the psychological level. Lower highs near 0.7020 and 0.7037 have capped each bounce in the latest sessions.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.6989 confirms a lower-low and resumes the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.7050 range top invalidates the lower-high structure
AUD Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the key domestic catalyst — likely to break this 0.7000 base
The hawkish FOMC drove AUDUSD through 0.7050 mid-week and the pair has since been pinned at the 0.7000 handle, ranging 0.6989–0.7040 with RSI(14) cycling sub-50. Sub-0.7000 probes have been bought back twice but each bounce stalls under the falling EMA(20), keeping the structure heavy. The 0.6989 weekly low is the line in the sand into Wednesday's Australian Q2 CPI.
Support: 0.69946, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70237, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.7050 range cap invalidates the sub-0.7000 range read
Failure to hold 0.6989 weekly low confirms a lower-low
AU Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the key domestic catalyst and could break the range
Lower highs since FOMC drop, pinned at psych pivot.
The hawkish FOMC mid-week sliced AUDUSD from above 0.7050 down to the 0.7000 handle, and price has consolidated under it since, capped by a string of lower highs into 0.7012-0.7037. Last close at 0.69989 is now testing acceptance below the psych pivot with RSI(14) sub-42 and price holding below both EMA20 and EMA50. The 0.69935 swing low and 0.69888 weekly low mark the floor that has absorbed two probes this week.
Support: 0.69935, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012, 0.7037
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.69888 confirms a lower-low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.7050 needed to ease the bearish structure
Australia Q-CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has been pinned to the 0.7000 psych handle for three sessions after the hawkish-FOMC leg lower dragged it off 0.7050+ earlier this week. Price is now drifting to the lower edge, slipping below 0.7000 into the NY session with RSI(14) holding in the low-40s and price trading under both EMAs. The 0.7035 range top has capped every rally, while USD strength and Iran risk-off keep the Aussie heavy.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Australia Q-CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant risk — could break this range either way
Acceptance below 0.6989 swing low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.7035 range top needed to neutralise the soft tone
09:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 0.69957
Three-day consolidation pinned at 0.7000, now testing below.
A hawkish FOMC dragged AUD ~80 pips through 0.7050 mid-week to the 0.7000 handle, after which price has consolidated in a tight 0.7000–0.7040 band for three sessions. Into NY hours price is slipping below 0.7000 with the pair holding under EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s. The 0.7000 psychological mark has flipped to overhead resistance with the recent session low at 0.69935 now being probed.
Support: 0.69935, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7040, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 acceptance below 0.7000 opens the path toward the 0.69888 weekly low
A reclaim of 0.7040 puts the range top back in focus
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could break this range
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 41 · price 0.69957
Post-FOMC drop, range probing 0.7000.
AUDUSD shed ~80 pips through 0.7050 on Wednesday's hawkish FOMC and has consolidated along the 0.7000 handle since, with price below both EMA20 and EMA50. The last NY session has drifted the pair back to the lows, RSI(14) sitting in the low 40s and the week low at 0.69888 in focus. Lower highs from 0.70403 cap each bounce, keeping the bias heavy into Wednesday's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.70185, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.69888 confirms a lower low and acceptance below 0.7000 psych
Reclaim of 0.70185 would relieve pressure toward the 0.7050 range top
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC can materially shift this range read
Consolidation above the 0.7000 handle after a step-down.
AUD/USD broke through 0.7050 and traded sub-0.7000 last week after the hawkish FOMC surged the dollar; price has since coiled around the 0.7000 handle into Monday's open. RSI(14) sits in the mid-40s with price pinned below EMA20 and EMA50, and the 0.6989 swing low has capped two probes lower. The 0.7050 / 100-day SMA barrier remains untested since the drop.
Support: 0.6989, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6989 confirms a lower low and opens the 61.8% Fibo zone
Reclaim of 0.7050 / 100-day SMA needed to negate the step-down
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the marquee catalyst for this consolidation
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7067 and was knocked roughly 80 pips lower after the hawkish FOMC dot-plot shift, slicing 0.7050 and the 0.7000 handle to a weekly low at 0.69888. Since then price has coiled along the 0.7000 handle with a series of lower highs capping each bounce and RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with sellers leaning on rallies into 0.7004.
Support: 0.69888, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70035, 0.70412, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the marquee risk and can break this coil
Hourly close below 0.69888 confirms a lower low and extends the down leg
Reclaim of 0.7050 / 100-day SMA needed to negate the post-FOMC break
07:02 UTC
Down-leg done, now ranging near 0.7000 · RSI 44 · price 0.70034
Consolidation under prior support after FOMC break lower.
AUDUSD has gone net-flat near 0.7000 after the hawkish FOMC hold knocked it out of the 0.7070 zone mid-week during NY hours. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling sub-50, consolidating in a 0.6989–0.7037 band. The 0.7000 handle remains the pivot the week keeps gravitating back to.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6989 confirms a lower low and acceptance below the 0.7000 handle
Reclaim of 0.7050 / 100d sma needed to negate the down move
AU CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could break this range either way
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.70034
Consolidation above 0.7000 after mid-week breakdown.
AUD/USD broke down through 0.7000 after the hawkish FOMC repriced the USD higher mid-week, dropping from the 0.7079 area to a 0.69888 low. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.6996-0.7019 band, pinned to the 0.7000 handle with RSI cycling sub-50 and price holding below both EMA20 and EMA50. Lower highs have capped each bounce this week.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7019, 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
AU CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst and could materially shift this read
Acceptance below 0.7000 / 0.69888 confirms a lower-low extension
An H1 close above 0.7019 then 0.7037 would break the lower-high sequence
06:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 0.70027
Consolidation just above 0.7000 after impulsive drop.
The hawkish Fed dot-plot repricing knocked AUDUSD ~80 pips through 0.7050 to sub-0.7000 mid-week, and price has since coiled in a tight 0.7000-0.7040 band. Price holds below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling under 50, keeping the lean to the downside while the 0.7000 psych floor absorbs repeated tests. Resistance at 0.7035 has capped the recovery attempts.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Acceptance below 0.7000 confirms a lower-low and opens deeper downside
Reclaim of 0.7050 break level would neutralise the downside lean
06:01 UTC
Downtrend this week, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.70027
Consolidation above 0.7000 after impulsive drop.
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7050 mid-week on the hawkish Fed dot-plot repricing, an ~80 pip impulse into the NY session that briefly probed sub-0.7000. Price has since coiled in a tight band around the 0.7000 psychological level, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) stuck under 50. The 0.69888 swing low has held while attempts back toward 0.7037 have faded.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.70447, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.7000 / 0.69888 confirms continuation of this week's lower-low sequence
An H1 close back above 0.7050 negates the breakdown read
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 46 · price 0.70041
Consolidation above 0.7000 after impulse drop.
AUDUSD got knocked ~80 pips through 0.7050 to sub-0.7000 on the hawkish Fed dot-plot shift, and has churned in a tight 0.6990–0.7024 band since. Price sits just under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI pinned below 50, and the 0.7000 psychological level has been repeatedly tested without acceptance below. Lower highs off 0.70412 keep the post-drop structure capped.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7011, 0.70237, 0.7037
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Acceptance below 0.7000 opens a deeper pullback toward 0.69888
H1 close back above 0.70237 swing high neutralises the lower-high sequence
05:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 0.70041
Tight range above 0.7000 after breakdown.
AUDUSD shed roughly 80 pips through 0.7050 mid-week as the Fed's hawkish dot-plot shift drove the USD bid, and price has since churned in a tight 0.6999–0.7037 band pinned at the 0.7000 psych level. Trading below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI sub-50, the recovery attempts have repeatedly faded into a sequence of lower highs. The 0.7000 round number has absorbed several tests while 0.7037 caps the range top.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk for this read
Acceptance below 0.7000 toward the 0.6989 swing low confirms a lower low
H1 close back above the 0.7037 range top would neutralise the breakdown structure
04:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling at 0.7000 · RSI 44 · price 0.70031
Consolidation above 0.7000 after FOMC leg lower.
AUDUSD sliced 0.7050 and briefly pierced 0.7000 on the Fed's hawkish hold mid-week, then steadied into a tight 0.7000–0.7020 coil through the Asia session. Price sits just below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) idling in the low-40s, reflecting a heavy tone that has yet to force acceptance below the 0.7000 handle. The 0.7000 psych level / 61.8% retrace remains the immediate battleground.
Consolidation above the 0.7000 handle after a hawkish-Fed leg lower.
AUDUSD shed roughly 80 pips into Wednesday's session after the FOMC's hawkish hold, slicing the weekly open at 0.7050 and briefly piercing 0.7000 before stabilising. Price has since coiled in a tight band just above the 0.7000 handle, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the mid-40s. The 0.7000 psych level is the immediate battleground heading into the Australian CPI print.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.70507
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.7000 confirms a cleaner break toward the 0.69888 swing low
Hourly close back above 0.70200 reopens the path to the 0.7050 weekly open
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could break the 0.7000 consolidation either way
Consolidation after post-FOMC drop, pinned at 0.7000 handle.
The hawkish FOMC repricing slammed AUDUSD ~80 pips mid-window, slicing 0.7050 and briefly piercing 0.7000. Since then the pair has consolidated in a tight 0.6995–0.7035 band, hugging the EMA20 just under EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s. Price is pinned at the 0.7000 handle with neither side gaining traction.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6995
Resistance: 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.6995 confirms a lower-low and opens deeper downside
Reclaim of 0.7035 range top needed to ease the heavy bias
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the key catalyst for this range
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near 0.7000 · RSI 47 · price 0.70084
Post-impulse range above 0.7000 handle.
AUDUSD was slammed ~80 pips midweek as the Fed's hawkish hold sliced 0.7050 and briefly pierced 0.7000, leaving price pinned in a tight range just above the handle through thin holiday sessions. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering near 47, reflecting heavy but stabilising tone. The 0.7000 psychological level / 61.8% fib is the immediate battleground.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7025, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.7000 opens a cleaner break toward the 0.69888 week low
Reclaim of 0.7050 and the 100d cap needed to undo the downside lean
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could materially shift this read
AUDUSD was knocked roughly 80 pips through 0.7050 to sub-0.7000 mid-week after the hawkish-Fed dot-plot repricing, and has since coiled in a tight 0.6989–0.7019 band around the 0.7000 psychological pivot. Price sits just under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering in the mid-40s — momentum flat after the impulse leg lower. The 0.70185 range top has capped repeated bounces into the recent sessions.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.70185, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this read
Hourly close above 0.70185 reopens the 0.7050 area
Failure to hold 0.7000 exposes the 0.69888 week low
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 0.70082
Consolidation pinned to 0.7000 after FOMC drop.
AUDUSD shed roughly 80 pips through 0.7050 into sub-0.7000 on the hawkish-Fed dot-plot shift mid-week, then settled into a tight consolidation hugging the 0.7000 psychological mark. Price is tracking just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat near 46, and the 0.7037 area has capped each bounce since the drop. The 0.6989 swing low marks the floor of this week's base.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could break this 0.6989-0.7037 balance
H1 close below 0.6989 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.7037 needed to neutralise the post-FOMC drop
01:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 49 · price 0.7013
Consolidation above 0.7000 after FOMC drop.
AUDUSD has spent the back half of the week pinned around 0.7000 after the hawkish-Fed dot-plot shift knocked it ~80 pips through 0.7050 and down to a 0.6989 week low. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.7000–0.7037 range, with RSI(14) flat near 50 and price hugging EMA(20) while EMA(50) caps overhead. The psych level at 0.7000 has held repeatedly, but follow-through above 0.7037 has been absent.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Aussie CPI Wed 24 Jun 01:30 UTC can break this range either way
Hourly close below 0.6989 week low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.7050 range top negates the consolidation read
01:02 UTC
Downshift, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 0.7013
Tight range above 0.7000 after Wed drop.
AUD/USD was knocked roughly 80 pips through 0.7050 into Wednesday's hawkish-Fed repricing, then stabilised in a tight band pinned to the 0.7000 psychological mark. RSI(14) is sitting near 50 as price oscillates around EMA20 with EMA50 capping from above; the 0.7025 range top has held back each bounce attempt this week. Volatility has compressed sharply through the Asia hours into a sub-15-pip equilibrium.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6989
Resistance: 0.7025, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this range read
H1 close below 0.7000 confirms a lower low and opens 0.6989 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7050 prior high negates the downside tilt
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 43 · price 0.70019
Tight range pinned above 0.7000 psych after mid-week breakdown.
AUD remains pinned at the 0.7000 psychological mark after Wednesday's hawkish-Fed dot-plot shift knocked the pair ~80 pips through 0.7050 to sub-0.7000. Since the Fed bar it has consolidated in a tight 0.6990–0.7035 band, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) capped under 50 on each bounce. Demand has stepped in twice near 0.6990 but rallies keep stalling beneath the falling lower-high line.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7011, 0.7035, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 24 Jun 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.69888 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.7035 needed to challenge the 0.7050 weekly pivot
AUD/USD was knocked ~80 pips through 0.7050 to sub-0.7000 after the hawkish Fed dot-plot shift, and has since spent the back half of the week basing along the 0.7000 psychological mark with shrinking ranges into thin Asia hours. Price is capped below the H1 EMA(20) near 0.7011, with RSI(14) holding in the mid-40s — no bullish follow-through. The 0.69888 week low and the round number define the floor buyers have defended on each dip.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69888
Resistance: 0.7011, 0.7037, 0.7050
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 24 Jun 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close below 0.6989 confirms a lower-low and breaks the base
Reclaim of 0.7037 / EMA20 needed to question the downtrend