AUDUSD has bled lower all week on hawkish-Fed risk-off, sliding from Monday's 0.7022 open through 0.7000 into a fresh swing low at 0.69065 during the NY session. Price is now basing in a tight 0.6910-0.6917 band below EMA20 (~0.6955), with RSI(14) lifting off oversold but no reclaim of structure yet. The descending lower-highs sequence remains intact.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6955, 0.6979
What it said to watch
Australia May CPI in ~2.5h could materially shift this read
Hourly close back above 0.6955 ema20 would challenge the downtrend
Loss of 0.69065 swing low opens the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim of 0.6979 11-wk low needed to neutralise the weekly drop
AUDUSD has fallen in a clean stair-step from Monday's 0.7041 high, accelerating through the NY session yesterday on hawkish-Fed risk-off and USD strength. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 37, basing in a tight 0.6906–0.6917 range after tagging the 0.69065 swing low. The prior 0.6979 11-week low has flipped to a recovery barrier with lower highs capping every bounce this week.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69595, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia May CPI in ~3h could materially shift this read
Break of 0.69065 swing low opens the 0.6900 psych level
H1 close above 0.69790 11-wk low would break the lower-high sequence
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 31 · price 0.69161
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD extended a six-session slide, breaking the 0.7000 psych level into the NY session and sliding to a 0.69065 recent low; the move is USD-led on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price sits well below EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 30, flagging oversold. The 0.6979 11-week low and 0.7000 psych now cap from above, while 0.6900 round number is the next downside reference.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia CPI at 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A close back above 0.6979 11wk low would ease the downside pressure
Break of 0.6900 round number opens further downside
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 38 · price 0.69161
Lower highs and lower lows, basing at lows.
AUDUSD has bled lower for the entire window, breaking the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.6979 prior support as hawkish-Fed USD strength dominated through the London-NY sessions. Price now bases just above the 0.69065 session low with RSI(14) near 38, flagging oversold conditions while holding well below both EMA20 and EMA50. The descending channel of lower highs remains intact and rallies have been sold into.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.6950, 0.6979
What it said to watch
Australia CPI at 01:30 UTC (~3.5h) — trimmed mean f/c 3.5%, can materially shift this read
Loss of 0.69065 session low opens the 0.6900 psych zone
H1 close back above 0.69500 channel top would break the lower-high sequence
21:03 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 31 · price 0.69155
Lower highs and lower lows, descending channel.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 0.7041 area through the 0.7000 psych level and printing a fresh session low at 0.69065 — extending the broader AUD losing streak as hawkish-Fed USD strength dominated. Price sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pinned near 31, flagging oversold conditions but no divergence yet. The descending channel remains intact, with prior support at 0.6950 now capping as resistance.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6979
What it said to watch
Australia CPI in ~4.5h (01:30 UTC) is the next catalyst and could materially shift this read
Sustained close back above 0.69500 channel top would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69000 round number opens deeper downside extension
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, breaking the 0.7000 psych level and accelerating through the descending channel toward an 11-week low; price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with a 6-day losing streak intact. The slide is USD-led on hawkish-Fed repricing rather than domestic data. RSI(14) near 33 flags emerging oversold conditions as price stalls just above 0.6900.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6979
What it said to watch
Australia CPI in ~4-5h (Trimmed Mean f/c 3.5%) could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.6900 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.6950 channel top would relieve the downside pressure
AUDUSD spent the first three days of the week pinned around the 0.7000 psych level before the floor gave way during the NY session, accelerating to a fresh week low at 0.69065 — a sixth straight losing leg as hawkish-Fed USD strength dominates. Price is trading well below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 27, flagging oversold but not yet diverging. The broken 0.6950 prior low and the 0.6979 11-week low now stand as overhead supply.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6979
What it said to watch
Australia CPI ~5h away (Trimmed Mean f/c 3.5%) could materially shift this read; a hot print risks a short-squeeze back toward 0.6979
H1 close back above 0.6950 would challenge the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.6900 psych opens room beneath the current week low
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, accelerating through the 0.7000 psych level during the NY session and printing fresh lows near 0.6907 on a six-day USD-strength run. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory, and the 0.6950 prior channel base has flipped to resistance. The slide reflects hawkish-Fed repricing overwhelming firmer Aussie data.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.7000, 0.7018
What it said to watch
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI ~5h away could materially shift this read into stretched shorts
H1 close back above 0.6950 would break the descending lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.6900 psych opens further downside
AUDUSD extended its six-day slide through the week, losing the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.6979 11-week low before sweeping the 0.6950 channel base into the NY session; price now probes the 0.6900 round number with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory. The move is USD-led — hawkish Fed repricing and risk-off flow have overwhelmed Aussie data — and price has tracked well below EMA(20) on every pullback. No bar has reclaimed the broken 0.6950 shelf, which now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI at 01:30 UTC (~6h) is the next catalyst and could materially shift this read
An hourly close back above 0.6950 channel base would ease the breakdown read
Acceptance below 0.6900 psych confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Stretched net-short positioning leaves squeeze risk on a hot CPI toward 0.6979/0.7000
AUDUSD extended a 6-session slide, breaking the 0.7000 psych level decisively into the NY session and pressing fresh lows near 0.6910 on hawkish-Fed USD strength. Price sits well below EMA20 (~0.6981) with RSI(14) at 27 flagging oversold but no divergence yet. The descending channel from Monday's open remains intact with each pullback capped under prior swing highs.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.6981, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (f/c 3.5%) is the immediate catalyst — a hot print risks a short-squeeze toward 0.6981 EMA20
Hourly close back above 0.6937 would break the run of lower highs
Loss of 0.6900 psych opens the descending-channel extension lower
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended and oversold · RSI 29 · price 0.69135
Lower highs and lower lows, descending channel.
AUDUSD extended a six-session skid through the NY hours, slicing the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.6980 prior low to print 0.69121 as hawkish-Fed risk-off drove the dollar. Price sits well below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 28, stretched into oversold within a clean descending channel. The 0.6980 prior low now caps as resistance; 0.6950 marks the last intraday bounce high.
Support: 0.69121, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69536, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 24 Jun 01:30 UTC — a hot trimmed-mean print could squeeze this oversold downtrend
Loss of 0.69000 psych extends the slide and confirms continuation
H1 close back above 0.69536 swing high challenges the descending channel
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 28 · price 0.69135
Lower highs, lower lows in descending channel.
AUDUSD has fallen for six straight sessions, slicing through the 0.7000 psych level and breaking the 0.6979 11-week low as a hawkish-Fed risk-off tape pressured the Aussie. Price prints fresh lows at 0.69121 well below EMA20/EMA50, with RSI(14) parked in oversold territory through the NY session. The descending channel remains intact and 0.6979 now caps as overhead resistance.
Support: 0.69121, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6955, 0.6979
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read, with a hot trimmed-mean print fuelling an oversold squeeze
Reclaim of 0.6979 prior low would challenge the lower-high structure
Sustained break of 0.69121 swing low opens the path toward 0.6900 psych
Lower highs and lower lows in a descending channel.
AUDUSD extended a sixth straight session of losses, slipping under 0.6950 into the NY session and printing fresh lows at 0.6916, with price stretched well below both EMA20 and EMA50. The descending channel that has framed the week broke lower as hawkish-Fed USD strength stayed in control; RSI(14) sits near 28, deep in oversold territory after the latest leg. The 0.6979 11-week low now caps as resistance, with prior support at 0.6950 flipped overhead.
Support: 0.69162, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69536, 0.6979, 0.7018
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC — a hot Trimmed Mean print could squeeze stretched shorts back toward 0.7018
Hourly close back above 0.6979 would neutralise the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 0.6916 opens the path toward the 0.6900 psych level
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 28 · price 0.69165
Lower highs, lower lows in descending channel.
AUDUSD extended a sixth-session skid, slicing through the 0.6950 prior base into the NY session and pressing 0.6916 with RSI(14) deep in oversold territory near 28. Price has tracked the lower edge of a descending channel all week, never reclaiming EMA20, as hawkish-Fed USD strength kept the pair offered. The 0.7000 round level and the 11-week structure remain a distant ceiling.
Support: 0.69162, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69595, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC — a hot Trimmed Mean print could squeeze stretched shorts off 0.6916
Loss of the 0.6900 round number confirms channel-base extension
An H1 close back above 0.6950 prior base would neutralise the breakdown
AUDUSD has extended a sixth straight session of losses, sliding from the 0.7075 week high through the 0.6950 channel base into the 0.6920 session low under broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price is pinned well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 31, flagging oversold but no divergence yet. The descending channel of lower highs has capped every NY-session bounce this week.
Support: 0.69208, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6956, 0.6979, 0.7018
What it said to watch
RBA Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Sustained break of 0.6900 psych confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.6979 11-wk low would challenge the descending-channel read
Hold of 0.6950 with bullish RSI divergence would flag exhaustion
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 29 · price 0.69245
Lower highs and lower lows, channel base broken.
AUDUSD extended its losing streak into a sixth session, sliding through the 0.6950 descending-channel base during the NY session as hawkish-Fed USD strength dominated. Price sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 29, in oversold territory, and no bullish divergence yet as each push made a fresh low. Better-than-prior PMIs gave no lift; the bid stayed firmly with the USD.
Support: 0.69208, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950
What it said to watch
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
An hourly close back above 0.6950 would invalidate the channel-base breakdown
Loss of 0.6920 opens the path toward the 0.6900 psych level
RSI near 29 flags oversold — watch for divergence if 0.6920 holds
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended into oversold · RSI 29 · price 0.69351
Successive lower highs and lower lows, descending channel.
AUDUSD has bled lower through the week, accelerating during the NY session yesterday after losing the 0.7000 handle on a broad hawkish-Fed USD bid. Price now trades sub-0.6950 against the descending-channel base, with RSI(14) pinned near 29 — oversold and flagging stretched momentum. The slide from 0.7075 has been a clean one-way move with EMA(20) capping every shallow bounce.
Support: 0.69302, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6979, 0.7018
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC (trimmed mean f/c 3.5%) is the swing factor for this read
Hourly close below 0.6930 confirms continuation toward the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim of 0.6950 would challenge the channel break; 0.6979 prior low now overhead resistance
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended into oversold · RSI 30 · price 0.69351
Lower highs and lower lows, descending channel.
AUDUSD has bled for a sixth straight session, accelerating through the NY hours yesterday from the 0.7000 shelf to a fresh swing low at 0.69302 as a firmer USD on hawkish-Fed repricing drove the move. Price is pinned well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 30, flagging oversold conditions as the descending-channel base around 0.6900 comes into view. The 0.6979 prior low now caps as resistance after giving way.
Support: 0.69302, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69566, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the swing factor — a hot trimmed-mean could squeeze stretched shorts toward 0.6979
H1 close below 0.6900 opens the channel base break
Recovery above 0.6979 would neutralise the lower-low structure
RSI near 30 limits fresh downside follow-through absent a dovish surprise
AUDUSD extended a six-day slide, breaking the 0.6950 channel base during the NY session and printing fresh weekly lows near 0.6931 — a USD-led move on hawkish Fed repricing that ignored firmer June PMIs. Price trades well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned near 31, stretched into oversold. The 0.6950 zone that capped this week's range now sits overhead as the first reference.
Support: 0.6931, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950
What it said to watch
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI in ~12h (01:30 UTC) is the next catalyst and can snap an oversold market either way
Break below 0.6931 swing low exposes the 0.6900 psych level
H1 close back above 0.6950 channel base would negate the breakout read
AUDUSD extended a sixth straight down day, breaking the 0.6950 channel base into the NY session for 11-week lows near 0.6931, with the slide USD-led on hawkish Fed repricing. Price sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) and RSI(14) is sub-30, the most stretched reading of the week. The 0.6950 base now caps as resistance, with 0.7000 the broader round-number ceiling.
Support: 0.69311, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the next test — a hot print risks an oversold snap-back toward 0.6950
An hourly close back above 0.6950 channel base would neutralise the fresh breakdown
Failure to hold 0.6931 swing low exposes the 0.6900 psych level
AUDUSD extended a sixth straight day of declines, slicing below the 0.7000 round number into the NY session and printing fresh lows at 0.6931. The move has been USD-led on hawkish-Fed repricing while June PMI improvement was ignored; price sits well below EMA(20)/EMA(50) with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory near 25.
Support: 0.69311, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70186
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read — a hot print risks a snap-back off the oversold base
Loss of 0.6931 keeps the descending channel intact and exposes the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim of 0.7000 would challenge the lower-high structure
AUDUSD extended a sixth straight session of selling, sliding under 0.7000 and accelerating through the NY session to fresh lows at 0.69311 — a USD-led move on hawkish Fed repricing that overrode firmer June PMIs. Price trades well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned near 28, deep in oversold territory after the 0.6950 channel base gave way. Each bounce this week has been capped at progressively lower highs, the latest near 0.69566.
Support: 0.6931, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69566, 0.7000, 0.7018
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
An hourly close back above 0.69566 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69310 opens the path toward the 0.6900 psych level
RSI near 28 leaves room for a snap-back if CPI surprises hot
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended into oversold · RSI 31 · price 0.69438
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh break below 0.6950.
AUDUSD has slid in a clean staircase of lower highs and lower lows all week, USD-led on hawkish-Fed repricing rather than Aussie data. The 0.7000 round number gave way and price has now pushed through the 0.6950 channel base into the NY session, printing a 0.69419 swing low with RSI(14) near 31. Move is stretched and trading well below the EMA cluster, but no sign of basing yet.
Support: 0.69419, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.7000, 0.7018
What it said to watch
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the key swing factor for this read
An hourly close back above 0.6950 would put the break into retest/false-break territory
Failure to hold 0.69419 extends the slide toward the 0.6900 psych level
US PCE Thu could drive the USD leg further
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 31 · price 0.69438
Lower highs and lower lows, channel down.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, breaking the 0.70000 round number into the NY session yesterday and accelerating to a fresh swing low at 0.69419 on hawkish-Fed USD strength. Price sits well below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 31, pressing the descending-channel base around 0.6950. Each bounce this week has stalled below the falling EMA20, the latest rejection coming at the 0.69595 session high.
Support: 0.69419, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69595, 0.6985, 0.7000
What it said to watch
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Hold below 0.69595 keeps lower-high sequence intact
H1 close back above 0.70000 round number would challenge the downtrend
RSI(14) near 31 raises mean-reversion risk into the channel base
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended and oversold · RSI 33 · price 0.69583
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh range lows.
AUDUSD extended its slide into a sixth session, slipping below 0.7000 and printing fresh lows near 0.6946 as broad dollar strength on the hawkish-Fed repricing dominated. Price has held below EMA20 throughout this week's window with RSI(14) parked near 33 — oversold but not yet diverging. The 0.6979 prior low now caps as resistance while 0.6950 channel base is the active downside pivot.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69419, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000, 0.70185
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read — a hot trimmed-mean print risks a squeeze back toward 0.7018
Hourly close back above 0.6979 would break the sequence of lower highs
Sustained break of 0.6950 channel base opens the path toward 0.6900
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 32 · price 0.69583
Lower highs and lower lows, sixth session of slide.
AUDUSD extended its decline for a sixth session, breaking below 0.7000 and printing fresh lows near 0.6942 before a shallow bounce into the 0.6958 area. The move is USD-driven on hawkish-Fed repricing rather than Aussie-specific, with price pinned below EMA20 and EMA50 the whole window. RSI(14) sits near 32 — oversold, but no divergence has formed against the latest lower low.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69419, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000, 0.7018
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC (Trimmed Mean f/c 3.5%) — a hot print carries squeeze risk back toward 0.6979
Break and hold below 0.6942 session low opens the 0.6900 round number
Reclaim of 0.6979 11-wk low needed to challenge the downtrend read
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 28 · price 0.69473
Lower highs, lower lows; base broken.
AUDUSD extended a sixth straight down day, slicing through the 0.6980 11-week base into the NY session as hawkish-Fed USD strength dominated. Price has tracked below EMA20 and EMA50 all week with RSI(14) pressed into oversold territory after the latest leg from 0.7075 toward 0.6940. The 0.6980 prior base now caps as resistance, with 0.6900 the next reference below.
Support: 0.69419, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 reclaim above 0.6980 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.6940 session low opens 0.6900
Aussie Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could revive RBA-hike bets and trigger short-covering, shifting this read
Series of lower highs and lower lows, fresh 11-week base.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week as a hawkish-Fed USD bid dragged it from above 0.7070 through the 0.7000 handle to fresh 11-week lows near 0.6942. The break below 0.7000 came in the NY session and momentum extended, with RSI(14) pressed into the low 30s and price holding well under EMA(20). Firmer June PMIs failed to stem the slide; the move stayed USD-led.
Support: 0.69419, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
High-impact Aussie CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Clean break below 0.6980 base exposes the 0.6900 psych target
H1 close back above 0.7045 weekly cap would negate the bearish structure
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 27 · price 0.69471
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh 11-wk lows.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, slipping through the 0.7000 handle into the NY session and extending to fresh 11-week lows near 0.6944 on broad USD strength after the hawkish FOMC. Price sits well below EMA(20) with RSI(14) pressed into oversold territory, and every pullback this week has stalled at progressively lower highs. The 0.6980 prior-support shelf now caps from above.
Support: 0.69438, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Break below 0.6900 extends the down leg
Reclaim of 0.7000 would challenge the lower-high structure
Only a move above 0.7045 flips the broader bias
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 26 · price 0.69471
Lower highs, lower lows, fresh lows.
AUDUSD broke below 0.7000 and slid to 11-week lows near 0.6944 as broad USD strength on the hawkish Fed kept the Aussie pinned. The decline accelerated through the NY session with price well below EMA(20) and EMA(50); RSI(14) is oversold but momentum stays one-directional. The prior 0.6979 low has flipped to overhead resistance and the 0.7000 round number now caps from above.
Support: 0.69438, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000, 0.70186
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.6979 11-week low would ease the downside pressure
Sustained break below 0.6944 keeps the 0.6900 psych level in focus
AUDUSD extended a fifth straight down leg, slicing through the 0.6980 11-week low into the NY session in a USD-led move after the hawkish FOMC repricing and Hormuz risk-off. Price has held below EMA(20) and EMA(50) all week, with RSI(14) now in oversold territory as the 0.7000 handle flipped to resistance. The structure remains a clean staircase of lower highs and lower lows.
Support: 0.69492, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.70135
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.6980 keeps the path open toward 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.7000 would challenge the breakdown read
Australian Q-CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read — a hot trimmed-mean print risks squeezing into 0.7045
A fifth straight down session, USD-led off the hawkish FOMC repricing, has driven AUDUSD through the 0.6980 11-week low into the NY transition, with price now testing 0.6950. Sellers have controlled every pullback toward EMA(20) near 0.6998 since Monday, and RSI(14) sits oversold near 27 as the move accelerates. Acceptance below 0.6980 opens the 0.6900 path flagged in the macro read.
Support: 0.6949, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australian Q-CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the key risk — a hot trimmed-mean print could squeeze shorts back toward 0.7045
Acceptance below 0.6980 keeps the 0.6900 target in play
An H1 close back above 0.6980 negates the breakdown and reopens 0.7000
AUDUSD slid for a fifth session and broke the 0.6980 11-week low into the NY session, now probing 0.696 with RSI(14) pressed into oversold. The leg is a USD story — hawkish FOMC repricing plus Hormuz risk-off — with price trading well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) all week. Acceptance below the broken low keeps the path toward the 0.6900 psych target open.
Support: 0.69606, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 0.6980 confirms the breakdown; reclaim back above it would neutralise the lower-low read
Australian Q-CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the upside wildcard — a hot trimmed-mean print could squeeze price back toward 0.7045
Failure to hold 0.69606 session low opens the 0.6900 psych target
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 25 · price 0.69618
Sequence of lower highs / lower lows, below 0.6980.
AUDUSD opened the week near 0.7058 and has bled lower for a fifth session, a USD story after the hawkish FOMC repricing kept the dollar firm. The accelerating leg through the NY hours broke the 0.6980 11-week low and price now prints fresh lows at 0.6960, holding well below EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 25, reflecting the one-way slide rather than a turn.
Support: 0.69606, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.6980 keeps the 0.6900 target in view
A reclaim back above 0.6980 would invalidate the breakout
Australian Q-CPI Wed 01:30 GMT (Trimmed Mean f/c 3.5%) could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into lows · RSI 29 · price 0.69648
Range break lower, fresh lows.
AUDUSD has trended lower since the week opened near 0.7058, with hawkish-Fed USD strength dragging the pair under 0.7000 and into the 0.7000-0.7045 band for two days. That band broke down through the Asia session, with price now printing fresh lows at 0.6964 and RSI(14) pressed into oversold territory below 30. Price sits well under both EMA(20) and EMA(50), and the prior 0.6979/80 11-week low has given way.
Support: 0.69637, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.6980 opens the path toward 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.7000 would negate the breakdown
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 0.69648
Lower highs, lower lows; sub-0.7000 break.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, losing the 0.7000 handle and printing fresh lows at 0.6964 as the firm dollar dominated the post-FOMC tape. RSI(14) sits near oversold after the latest NY-hours leg through 0.6980, the prior 11-week low now capping as resistance. Price trades well below both EMAs and no pullback this week has reclaimed the 20-period.
Support: 0.69637, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Acceptance below 0.6964 opens the path toward 0.6900
An H1 close back above 0.7000 would challenge the breakdown read
AUDUSD has trended lower all week from the weekly open near 0.70606, with price stacking lower highs and slipping below the 0.6980 11-week low into the latest Asia session as broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing kept the Aussie a passenger. Price sits beneath both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed toward 30, having just printed a fresh session low at 0.69673. The round 0.7000 level capped every bounce attempt overnight.
Support: 0.69673, 0.6979, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7045, 0.70606
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 0.69790 confirms the lower-low and exposes the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim of the 0.7000 round number would neutralise the breakout read
Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read — a clear beat targets the 0.7045 ceiling, a miss pressures 0.6980/0.6900
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 0.69772
Lower highs, range breakdown.
AUDUSD slipped below the 0.7000 round number into the Asia session, extending a fifth straight down-leg toward the 0.6979 eleven-week low as broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing kept the Aussie a passenger. After Wednesday's sharp drop from 0.7075, price consolidated 0.7000–0.7035 for two days before the latest breakdown; RSI(14) sits sub-35 with price under both EMAs. The 0.7000 handle that previously held is now capping rallies as resistance.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.7000 needed to neutralise the breakdown read
Clean break of 0.6979 exposes 0.6900
AUD Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 0.69747
Lower highs, lower lows; broke below 0.7000.
AUDUSD has stair-stepped lower all week off the 0.7075 high, with the dominant leg down on the hawkish-Fed USD bid; price coiled around the 0.7000 round number for several sessions before slipping to a fresh 11-week low at 0.6974 into the latest session. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) near 31 reflects the extended decline, but the move is stretched and unsupported below.
Support: 0.6974, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI at 01:30 UTC Wed could materially reprice this read
Clean H1 close below 0.6974 opens the path toward 0.6900
Recovery back above the 0.7000 round number neutralises the fresh-lows read
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 0.69747
Lower highs, lower lows; range floor broken.
AUDUSD broke the multi-session 0.7000–0.7045 range floor and printed fresh lows near 0.6974 into the Asia session, extending the slide on broad USD strength after the hawkish Fed re-rating and Middle East risk-off. Price has held below EMA20 and EMA50 all week with RSI(14) pinned in the low 30s, and the prior 0.6979/0.6980 low is now behind it. The 0.7000 handle, which capped the week's bounces, is the immediate overhead reference.
Support: 0.69737, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) is the next catalyst and can materially shift this read
Sustained acceptance below 0.6979 keeps the path toward 0.6900 open
H1 close back above 0.7000 would neutralise the range-break read
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, accelerating after the hawkish-FOMC USD bid sliced through 0.7000 mid-week and capped every bounce below the figure since. The latest NY hours pushed price to a marginal new low at 0.69787, just under the 0.6979/0.6980 11-week base, with RSI(14) holding in the low-30s. Price sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50), with 0.7000 now acting as overhead resistance.
Support: 0.69787, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70045, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) is the next major catalyst and could materially shift this read
A clean H1 close below 0.69787 opens the path toward 0.6900
Reclaiming 0.7000 would relieve the sub-figure pressure; 0.7045 caps the broader range
AUDUSD spent most of the week pinned in a 0.7000-0.7020 range before sellers forced a clean break lower into the latest sessions, dragging price to 0.69787 as a firmer USD and Middle East risk-off weighed on the Aussie. RSI(14) sits in the low 30s with price below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), and the 0.7000 round number that capped this week's consolidation now acts as overhead resistance. The 11-week low at 0.6979/0.6980 is the immediate structural floor.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.6979 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 0.6900
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the next catalyst and could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.7000 would neutralise the breakdown; 0.7045 caps the broader range
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, testing range floor · RSI 38 · price 0.69876
Range 0.6979-0.7045, pressing lows.
AUDUSD has bled lower all week, the mid-window drop driven by the hawkish-Fed USD breakout rather than anything from Canberra, then chopped sideways around the 0.7000 handle for two days. The Asia session has now pushed a fresh leg down through 0.7000 toward the 0.6979 11-week low, with RSI sub-40 and price holding below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6979 confirms a range break and opens the path toward 0.6900
Australia Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the first domestic catalyst and could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 0.7000 round number would neutralise the downside pressure
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69876
Lower highs into 11-week low.
AUDUSD has stayed heavy since the sharp drop early last week, grinding below 0.7000 with price capped under EMA20/EMA50 the whole way down. The pair slid through the round number into the latest NY hours and is now pressing the 11-week low at 0.6979, with RSI(14) holding sub-50. The Aussie remains a passenger in the hawkish-Fed USD trade ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australian Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.6979 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.7000 round number would ease downside pressure
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, grinding to lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69922
Lower highs, pressing range floor.
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7075 week high after the hawkish FOMC repricing and has trended lower ever since, capped under EMA20 with RSI(14) holding sub-50. Since Monday the pair has chopped in a 0.7000-0.7045 band but the latest sessions have leaked below the 0.7000 handle, with price now grinding toward the week low at 0.6989. The 11-week low at 0.6979 sits just beneath as the next reference.
Support: 0.6989, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australian Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.6979 11-wk low confirms a fresh lower-low, opening 0.6900
H1 close back above 0.7045 break level invalidates the downside grind
AUDUSD has bled lower all week, dropping out of the 0.7065-0.7075 shelf during last Wednesday's NY session and settling into a tight grind around the 0.7000 handle as a hawkish-Fed USD keeps the pair pinned. Price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) sub-50, and the latest bars are slipping back toward the 0.6988 swing low and the 0.6979 11-week low. Each bounce into 0.7012 has been capped, leaving the structure a string of lower highs.
Support: 0.6988, 0.6979
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7012, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australian Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.6979 confirms a lower-low, opening 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.7045 break level would invalidate the lower-highs structure