AUDUSD has trended lower since Tuesday's session, shedding roughly 1.2% off the 0.7020 area as broad USD strength and a soft May CPI print kept the Aussie heavy. Price is now basing just above the 0.6882 week low, with the 0.6900 pivot capping bounces through the NY and Asia sessions. RSI(14) sits mid-range and price holds below both EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 0.6882, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6960, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia jobs print in ~4.8h is the nearest catalyst and could materially shift this read
Sustained acceptance below 0.6882 opens the path toward 0.6835 key support
Reclaim of the 0.6900 pivot would ease the downside structure
AUDUSD slid for a third straight session from Monday's ~0.7020 open to a fresh sub-0.6884 low, pressured by USD strength at multi-month highs and a soft May CPI print that failed to lift the Aussie. Price has stalled and is consolidating just under the 0.6900 pivot over the last several bars, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold but still capped below 50. Both EMA(20) and EMA(50) sit above price, framing the bias of the week as down.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6950, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia jobs print in ~5h is the nearest catalyst and could materially shift this read
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 opens the path toward 0.6835
H1 close back above 0.6900 would challenge the lower-high structure
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating sub-0.6900.
AUDUSD has slid for a third straight session to a fresh sub-April low near 0.6900, the move driven by USD exceptionalism at 13-month highs and a barely-reactive Aussie after Tuesday's soft headline CPI. Price is now coiling between 0.6884 and the 0.6900 psych pivot, with RSI(14) basing in the mid-40s after the extended decline. EMA(20) has flattened just below price while EMA(50) caps overhead, keeping the lower-high structure intact.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69057
What it said to watch
Australia jobs print (~4.8h) is the nearest catalyst and could shift this read
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 opens 0.6835 key support
H1 close back above 0.6900 needed to challenge the lower-high sequence
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.68999
Lower highs and lower lows, basing at 0.6900.
AUDUSD slid for a third straight session this week, shedding roughly 1.2% off Tuesday's 0.7005 area as USD exceptionalism dominated and the cooler May CPI print failed to lift the Aussie. Price carved a fresh sub-April low near 0.6884 in the NY session before basing back at the 0.6900 pivot, where it now sits just above a flattening EM(20). RSI(14) has lifted off its lows to mid-40s as the slide loses momentum, but the broader sequence of lower highs stays intact below EMA(50) near 0.6940.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6940, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia jobs in ~4.8h is a high-impact catalyst that could materially shift this read
Sustained close below 0.6884 opens the path toward 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.6940 EMA(50) would challenge the lower-high structure
AUDUSD slid for a third straight session into the NY close, carving lower highs from ~0.7024 early-week down to a fresh sub-0.6900 low at 0.6882, with USD at one-year highs and a soft May CPI doing little to lift the Aussie. Price is now scraping back above EMA(20) near 0.6898 after a tentative double-bottom around 0.6882, with RSI(14) lifting off its lows. The 0.6900 round level remains the immediate pivot, having flipped to a cap after weeks of acting as support.
Support: 0.6882, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69189, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia jobs print in ~4.8h is the nearest catalyst and could materially shift this read
Sustained acceptance below 0.6882 opens the 0.6835 april low
Reclaim of 0.6900 and the 0.69189 lower high would break the descending sequence
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 42 · price 0.68996
Sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
AUDUSD has slid for a third straight session, grinding from ~0.7020 Tuesday to a fresh sub-0.6890 low as USD strength at one-year highs and a soft AU May CPI print kept the Aussie heavy. Price trades below EMA(20) and EMA(50) for the entire week with each pullback into the falling EMA(20) being sold; RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, oversold on the impulse but not yet diverging. The 0.6900 psych pivot now caps, with the late session showing a modest bounce off 0.6884.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6960, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance below 0.6900 opens the path toward 0.6835
A close back above 0.6900 would challenge the lower-high structure toward 0.6960
Australia jobs print in ~4.8h is the nearest high-impact catalyst and could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 38 · price 0.68921
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh range lows.
AUDUSD has fallen for a third straight day, leaking from the 0.7020s toward fresh lows near 0.6884 after the soft Aussie CPI miss met a broad, risk-off USD bid. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with a clean chain of lower highs, and the 0.6900 psych level that capped this week's bounces has now broken to the downside. RSI(14) is pressed into oversold territory, reflecting how stretched the move has become.
AUDUSD has trended lower for a third straight day, accelerating after yesterday's soft Aussie CPI miss and a firm-USD, risk-off tape, printing a fresh week low near 0.6884. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory, but the descent has slowed into the 0.6900 psych area where buyers absorbed two probes during the NY session. The 0.6900 round number is the immediate cap, with the April low at 0.6835 the next reference below.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6918
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 week low opens the 0.6835 april low
H1 close back above 0.69180 prior low would break the lower-high sequence
Australian jobs Thu 01:30 UTC and US Core PCE 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended into lows · RSI 38 · price 0.68862
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh weekly low.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's ~0.7013 open to a fresh weekly low near 0.6884 after the soft Aussie CPI print and a firm, risk-off USD bid. Price sits below both EMA20 (~0.6906) and EMA50, with rallies into the 0.6900 psych pivot repeatedly capped. RSI(14) near 38 reflects sustained downside pressure without yet reaching oversold extremes.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6906, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Australian jobs Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 week low opens the 0.6835 april low
Reclaim of the 0.6900 psych pivot and EMA20 would challenge the lower-high structure
Series of lower highs and lower lows, fresh week low.
AUDUSD has fallen for a third straight day from the ~0.7013 weekly open to a fresh low near 0.6884, pressured by soft Aussie CPI and a firm risk-off USD. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 31, oversold but with no divergence yet. The descending lower-high structure since Monday remains intact and the 0.6900 psych pivot is now capping any bounce.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69595, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian jobs Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 opens the 0.6835 April trough
An H1 close back above 0.6900 would challenge the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD has trended lower all week from Monday's 0.7013 open, accelerating after Tuesday's soft Aussie CPI and a hawkish-Fed, risk-off USD bid that pinned the pair to fresh April lows near 0.6884. Price has held below EMA(20) since the breakdown with RSI(14) cycling in the low-30s — stretched but offering no bullish divergence yet. The 0.6900 psych pivot has now flipped to resistance after this week's clean break.
Support: 0.68836, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6950, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian jobs Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 opens the 0.6835 april trough
H1 close back above 0.6900 would neutralise the breakdown read
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 36 · price 0.68839
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh low.
AUDUSD has trended steadily lower since Monday's open near 0.7018, accelerating through the 0.6900 psych pivot during the NY session as soft Aussie CPI met broad USD strength at 13-month highs. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI pressed into oversold, printing a fresh low at 0.68836. The 0.6900 level that capped has flipped to resistance, with the April 0.6834 trough now the next reference below.
Support: 0.68836, 0.6834
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69229, 0.69595
What it said to watch
Australian jobs Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
US PCE Fri 12:30 UTC into the USD-driven leg
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 keeps focus on 0.6834
AUDUSD slid a third straight day to a fresh 2-month low near 0.6884 after the soft Aussie CPI print and a broad risk-off USD bid through the NY session. The descent has tracked a clean string of lower highs below EMA(20) and EMA(50), but a repeated base around 0.6884 and a lift back toward 0.6900-0.6920 has RSI(14) recovering off oversold. Demand has stepped in twice at the week low.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 week low opens the 0.6835 april trough
Reclaiming 0.6950 prior cap would challenge the lower-highs structure
AU jobs Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has trended lower for a third straight session, sliding from the 0.7020 area to a fresh low near 0.6884 after yesterday's soft Aussie CPI print and a broad risk-off USD bid. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) holding the low-40s after dipping into oversold, and the last few NY-session bars have stabilised just above the 0.6900 round number. The 0.6920 EMA20 zone has capped recovery attempts; demand stepping in around 0.6884 is the only structural support before the April 0.6835 trough.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6960, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 opens the path to 0.6835
An H1 close above 0.6960 would break the week's lower-high sequence
Australian jobs Thu 01:30 UTC and US Core PCE 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has trended lower for a third straight session, sliding from above 0.7020 at Monday's open through 0.6950 to fresh lows near 0.6884, driven by broad USD strength as soft Aussie CPI was largely ignored. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned near 33, deeply oversold but holding the descending channel. The 0.6900 psych pivot, lost in the NY session, now caps the structure.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6950, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC (~10h) could materially shift this read
A reclaim of 0.6900 would be the first sign of relief from oversold RSI
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, oversold · RSI 33 · price 0.68934
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh April lows.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from above 0.7019 at Monday's open through 0.6950 to fresh April lows near 0.6900 — a USD story on hawkish-Fed repricing and soft Aussie CPI. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned around 33; the last several bars have stalled in a tight 0.6884–0.6905 band after the latest leg down. Each pullback this week has been sold into the descending lower-highs line.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.6950, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia jobs Thu 25 Jun 01:30 UTC (~10h) could materially shift this read
Sustained close below 0.6884 swing low opens the path toward 0.6835
Reclaim of EMA20 near 0.6913 would challenge the downtrend's lower highs
15:02 UTC
Downtrend, oversold and stretched · RSI 34 · price 0.6893
Successive lower highs and lower lows, fresh week low.
AUDUSD has fallen for a third straight day, sliding from Monday's ~0.7020 open to a fresh post-April low near 0.6884 as USD exceptionalism and hawkish-Fed repricing dominated. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 34 — deeply oversold — and the 0.6900 round number now caps each intraday bounce. Yesterday's softer Australian CPI sparked only a brief relief pop that faded fast.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6957, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next directional catalyst
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained close below 0.6884 week low opens the 0.6835 next support
Reclaim of the 0.6900 round number needed to ease downside pressure
AUDUSD slid for a third straight day into the NY session, printing fresh lows near 0.6884 as USD exceptionalism and a hawkish-Fed repricing dominated. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) parked in the low 30s; the relief bounce after the softer May CPI faded under 0.6925. The 0.6900 pivot is now acting as overhead resistance after capping the latest attempt.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69229
What it said to watch
Australia jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next directional catalyst
Sustained acceptance below 0.6884 opens the 0.6835 target
Reclaim of 0.6900 would ease the oversold downside read toward 0.6925
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating at April lows.
AUDUSD has slid since Monday's open under broad USD strength, with the dollar at a 13-month high dragging price from above 0.7000 to fresh April lows near 0.6884. Yesterday's softer headline CPI sparked only a brief bounce into the 0.6920-0.6925 cap before sellers returned. Price is now consolidating between 0.6884 and 0.6900 with RSI(14) hugging oversold, well below EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 0.68837, 0.6880
Resistance: 0.6923, 0.69595, 0.6998
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 0.6884 opens fresh downside extension
Reclaim of the 0.6920-0.6925 cap would ease the immediate pressure
Australian jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC and US Core PCE 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, near lows · RSI 41 · price 0.68981
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating at week lows.
AUDUSD has slid for a third straight day, dragged from above 0.7035 early in the week to fresh lows near 0.6900 as the hawkish-Fed dollar at 13-month highs dominated. A soft May CPI print yesterday produced only a brief lift to the 0.6920-0.6925 area before sellers returned, and price now hugs the 0.6884-0.6900 zone below both EMAs. Last several H1 bars have flattened into a tight consolidation just above the week low.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6880
Resistance: 0.6923, 0.6950, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained H1 close below 0.6884 confirms bearish extension
Reclaim of 0.6923 would relieve immediate downside pressure
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is a USD-side risk for the pair
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 36 · price 0.68896
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh week low.
AUDUSD has slid all week from above 0.7035 at Monday's open through 0.7000 and 0.6950 to a fresh week low at 0.68837, driven by broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price now sits just below the 0.6900 psych level having lost it during the NY session, with EMA20 and EMA50 capping well above. Softer Australian headline CPI yesterday gave only a brief 0.6920-0.6925 bounce before sellers returned.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6920, 0.6950
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.6900 would ease the bearish extension; 0.6920 caps intraday
Australian jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended near lows · RSI 39 · price 0.68896
Sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
AUDUSD has bled lower all week from above 0.7000 to fresh April lows near 0.6884, a steady descending channel as hawkish-Fed USD strength dominated and yesterday's softer Australian CPI gave only a brief bounce before sellers returned. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the high-30s, and the 0.6900 figure has flipped from support to a near-term cap. Rejection has been repeated at the 0.6920-0.6925 intraday band through the NY sessions.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6870
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69229, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Australian jobs data Thu 25 Jun 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has slid for a third straight session to fresh April lows after Tuesday's soft CPI pop faded and USD strength dominated, pressing through the 0.6900 psych pivot to print 0.6884. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the low-30s, and the late stall at 0.6884 is the only sign of pause. The 0.6920-0.6925 supply zone has capped every bounce this week, with 0.6900 now acting as overhead.
H1 reclaim of 0.6900 puts the broken pivot back in play toward 0.6920 supply
Australia jobs Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read — a strong print risks a short-covering squeeze
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, third straight down leg · RSI 32 · price 0.68964
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh week lows.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week from Monday's 0.7035 open, accelerating into the NY session as USD strength and the AI-led risk-off rout drove a third straight down day. The brief CPI pop faded at the 0.6920 supply zone, and price now sits sub-0.6900 at fresh April-7 lows with RSI(14) pinned in oversold territory below EMA(20) and EMA(50). The 0.6900 psych pivot has flipped to overhead resistance after the break lower.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6920, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close back above 0.6900 would neutralise the breakdown read
Acceptance below the 0.6884 swing low confirms downside extension
Australia jobs Thu 25 Jun 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has fallen for a third straight day, slipping under the 0.6900 psych pivot to fresh April lows after Tuesday's CPI-miss pop faded near 0.6925 supply. The move is USD-led — DXY at 13-month highs on hawkish-Fed repricing and risk-off flows — with price trading well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) since the week's selloff began. RSI(14) sits near oversold but momentum has not yet diverged.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6925
What it said to watch
Australia jobs Thu 01:30 UTC could squeeze shorts or extend the break below 0.6900
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC may shift the USD-led tape
An hourly reclaim of 0.6900 would neutralise the breakout read
AUDUSD has bled lower for a third straight session into fresh April lows, with the brief CPI-miss pop faded near 0.6920-0.6925 and hawkish-Fed USD strength doing the heavy lifting. Price now sits just under the 0.6900 psych pivot, holding below EMA(20) and EMA(50) all week as RSI(14) presses into oversold without a clear divergence. The 0.6884 swing low is the immediate floor after acceptance below the round number.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6923
What it said to watch
Australia jobs at 01:30 UTC and US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained close below 0.6884 confirms downside extension
Reclaim of 0.6900 and a push into 0.6920-0.6925 supply would stall the down-leg
Series of lower highs and lower lows, fresh weekly low.
AUDUSD has trended lower for a third straight session from Tuesday's 0.7037 high, accelerating through the NY hours on broad USD strength and a soft Australian CPI print that cemented RBA-on-hold bets. Price now sits below the 0.6900 psych level at a fresh weekly low, holding under EMA20 and EMA50 with no meaningful pullback. RSI(14) is pressing into oversold territory, consistent with the one-way move rather than signalling exhaustion.
Support: 0.6888
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6925, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Australian jobs Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read — a strong print risks a short-cover bounce toward 0.6925 fade zone
AUDUSD has trended lower since Monday's open near 0.7005, sliding a third straight session and breaking below the 0.6900 psych level into the NY session. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressed into the low 30s; the soft CPI print (4.0% vs 4.4%) reinforced the RBA-on-hold story while a broadly bid USD kept the pair heavy. The 0.6920-0.6925 zone has capped every bounce this week.
Persistent downtrend since Monday's open as broad USD strength (DXY at 13-month highs) dragged AUDUSD off the 0.7037 weekly high. The decline accelerated through the NY session, slicing the 0.6900 April low; price now prints fresh lows at 0.68918 with RSI(14) holding oversold. EMA20 and EMA50 stack above price, confirming the downside momentum.
Support: 0.68918
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6918, 0.6950
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 0.6900 April low needed to neutralise the breakdown
Reclaim of the 0.6950 channel top would ease downside pressure
Australia jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 32 · price 0.68973
Lower highs, lower lows; pressing fresh lows.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from the 0.7037 high to fresh lows near 0.6892 as broad USD strength (DXY at a 13-month high) dominated and yesterday's soft Australian CPI did little to stem the bleed. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the low-30s, flagging an oversold but persistent down-leg. The 0.6900 April low has now given way intraday, with the prior consolidation around 0.6920–0.6938 as the nearest overhead supply.
Support: 0.68918, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69229, 0.69377, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Australia jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst
Hourly close back above 0.69229 would ease the lower-high sequence
Sustained acceptance below 0.6892 confirms continuation of the down-leg
AUDUSD has bled lower in a clean descending channel all week, sliding from 0.7035 to a fresh ~3-month low at 0.6899 as USD exceptionalism and a tech-led risk-off bid dominated. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned around 31, flagging oversold conditions after six straight sessions of selling; today's mixed Australian CPI did little to break the trend. Each NY-session pullback has stalled into the falling channel resistance rather than reclaiming structure.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68988
Resistance: 0.69229, 0.6950, 0.7018
What it said to watch
Australian jobs Thu 25 Jun 01:30 UTC is the key catalyst — an upside surprise risks a relief bounce given oversold RSI
Hourly close below 0.6900 psych confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.6950 channel top would challenge the descending structure
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended into oversold · RSI 34 · price 0.68999
Successive lower highs and lower lows, descending channel.
AUDUSD has trended lower since Tuesday's session, sliding from the 0.7037 high to a fresh leg low at 0.68988 as broad USD strength and risk-off flows pinned the Aussie. Price is well below EMA20 and EMA50 with each bounce capped under the descending channel; RSI(14) is parked near 33, flagging oversold conditions as the round 0.6900 level is tested. The May CPI mix (core hotter, headline softer) gave no relief, leaving the move external-driven.
Support: 0.68988, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6923, 0.6950, 0.7018
What it said to watch
Australian jobs Thu 01:30 UTC is the primary near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
Sustained H1 close below 0.6900 confirms continuation toward the next leg lower
Reclaim of the 0.69230 lower high would be the first sign the channel decline is stalling
AUDUSD extended a six-session slide, breaking 0.7000 and the 11-week low at 0.6979 as hawkish-Fed USD strength and a mixed Australian CPI (headline 4.0% miss, sticky 3.6% trimmed mean) kept the Aussie pinned. Price now sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50), basing in a tight 0.6903–0.6923 range near the 3-month low. RSI(14) is depressed in the low 40s without a clear bullish divergence yet.
Support: 0.69027, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69229, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC and US Core PCE 12:30 UTC are the next catalysts that can reshape this read
Loss of 0.6900 confirms downside continuation toward fresh lows
H1 close back above 0.6979 would relieve the breakdown structure
AUDUSD has fallen for six straight sessions, breaking 0.7000 and grinding to a fresh ~3-month low near 0.6903 as hawkish-Fed USD strength and a mixed Australian CPI print (soft 4.0% headline but sticky 3.6% trimmed mean) kept the Aussie pinned. Price has spent the last 12 bars consolidating in a tight 0.6903–0.6918 band after the NY-session leg lower, sitting well below EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) is cycling near oversold without a clear bullish divergence yet.
Support: 0.69027, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69189, 0.6946, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australian jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC is the next high-impact AUD catalyst and could break this consolidation
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC feeds the hawkish-Fed/USD narrative
Loss of 0.6900 psych opens further downside; hourly close back above 0.6919 eases downside pressure
AUDUSD has bled lower all week on hawkish-Fed USD strength, extending a six-session slide that took the pair from above 0.7030 to a fresh 0.6903 low in the NY session. Price sits below EMA20 (~0.6930) and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 33, flagging oversold conditions after the impulse down from 0.7019. A minor stabilization off the 0.6903 swing low has stalled near 0.6911 with the prior-high cluster at 0.6922 capping.
Support: 0.69027, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69229, 0.6930, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Australia jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC — could materially shift this read
Sustained break below 0.6900 psych extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.6930 ema20 needed to unwind oversold pressure
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC — USD driver feeding into the pair
Series of lower highs and lower lows, flattening near base.
AUDUSD has slid for six straight sessions to 11-week lows near 0.6903, broken below 0.7000 on hawkish-Fed repricing and a firmer USD, with price holding well below the H1 EMA20 and EMA50. The slide has slowed into the latest sessions, with bars compressing in a 0.6903–0.6922 band and RSI(14) sitting near oversold around 33. Mixed AU CPI (hot core 3.6%, soft headline 4.0%) did little to interrupt the downtrend.
Support: 0.69027, 0.6900, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.69229, 0.6935, 0.6956
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.6900 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.69350 ema20 would signal an oversold unwind
Australia jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 0.7040 open to a fresh week low at 0.6903 as hawkish-Fed USD strength dominated and a soft Australian headline CPI (4.0% vs 4.4%) kept the RBA sidelined. Price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50), with the NY session driving the latest leg down before stabilising around the 0.6900–0.6920 area into the Asia session. RSI(14) near 39 is flagging fading downside momentum without a confirmed turn.
Support: 0.6900, 0.69027
Resistance: 0.69229, 0.6945, 0.6979
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.6900 opens 0.6979 channel-bottom extension lower
Reclaim of 0.6945 needed to challenge the lower-high structure
Australia jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 34 · price 0.69093
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD has fallen a sixth straight session, breaking 0.7000 and the 0.6979 prior low as hawkish-Fed USD strength dominated; a soft headline CPI (4.0% vs 4.4%) gave the RBA no support. Price trades well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near oversold around 34, and the descending channel from Monday's open remains intact. A shallow bounce off the 0.69027 swing low into the Asia session has yet to challenge any structure.
Support: 0.69027, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69229, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia jobs Thu 01:30 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back above 0.69790 prior low would ease the downside structure
Loss of 0.69027 swing low opens the 0.6900 round number
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 33 · price 0.69061
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh week low.
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, breaking 0.7000 and slicing the 0.6979 11-week low during the NY session before pressing fresh lows at 0.6903. The move is driven by broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing, with the softer AUD CPI print keeping the RBA sidelined. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) parked in oversold territory near 33.
Support: 0.6900, 0.69027
Resistance: 0.6918, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC is the next structural catalyst
Sustained break of 0.6900 round number opens further downside
Reclaim of 0.6979 11-wk low would ease the downside pressure
RSI oversold flags squeeze risk on any jobs beat
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 31 · price 0.69061
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUD has fallen a sixth straight session, breaking 0.7000 mid-week and drifting to fresh 11-week lows near 0.6903 as USD holds 13-month highs on hawkish-Fed repricing. Price is pinned well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) oversold near 30, the descending channel still intact off Monday's highs. The prior 0.6979 low now caps as resistance after the breakdown.
Support: 0.6903, 0.6900, 0.6880
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 0.6900 opens 0.6880
H1 close back above 0.6950 challenges the channel top
Australia jobs Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended into lows · RSI 33 · price 0.69036
Lower highs, lower lows.
AUDUSD has trended steadily lower all week, slipping below the 0.7000 round number and grinding down to 0.6903 — a sixth straight leg lower as the hawkish-Fed USD bid dominated and a softer headline CPI print kept the RBA sidelined. Price sits well below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 33, flagging oversold conditions but no divergence yet. The 0.6900 psych level and the 0.69027 swing low are the immediate floor in focus.
Support: 0.69027, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69229, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.6900 extends the downtrend toward fresh lows
Reclaim of 0.69229 then 0.6979 would be the first signs of a relief squeeze off oversold
AUDUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from 0.7040 toward fresh lows under 0.6905 as a hawkish-Fed risk-off bid for the USD dominated and softer Australian headline CPI kept the RBA sidelined. Price sits well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with every rally capping at lower highs; RSI(14) is pinned near 31, flagging oversold but not yet diverging. The 0.6900 psych line is the immediate level being tested after the latest NY-session leg down.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6895
Resistance: 0.6919, 0.6944, 0.6979
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 0.6900 opens the 0.6895 channel base
Reclaim of 0.69190 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Australia jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has trended lower all week on USD dominance, sliding from 0.7040 toward the 11-week low after a mixed Australian CPI (headline miss 4.0%, core sticky 3.6%) left the RBA sidelined. Price is pinned below EMA20 and EMA50, but the last several hours have flattened around 0.6914-0.6918 after basing at 0.69065, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold. The descending sequence of lower highs from 0.7019 remains intact.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6928, 0.69595, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Australia jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC is the next high-impact catalyst and could shift this read
Break of 0.69065 week low opens the path toward 0.6900 psych
H1 close back above 0.6980 channel pivot would invalidate the lower-high structure
AUDUSD has fallen for a sixth straight session, sliding from Monday's ~0.7040 open to an 11-week low at 0.69065 as broad USD strength on the hawkish-Fed repricing dominated and the mixed May CPI gave the Aussie no lift. Price has flattened around 0.6915 over the last several bars, holding above 0.69065 with RSI(14) basing near oversold after the steep decline. Both EMA20 and EMA50 sit well above price, keeping the H1 structure firmly lower.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69229, 0.69595, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Australia jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC (Employment +25K f/c, Unemployment 4.4% f/c) is the next major AUD catalyst and could reset this read
Loss of 0.69065 confirms continuation toward 0.6900
H1 close back above 0.69229 then 0.69595 would break the chain of lower highs
AUDUSD has trended lower all week from Monday's 0.7041 open, pinned sub-0.7000 by hawkish-Fed dollar strength and risk-off flows, printing a fresh week low at 0.6907. The last several bars have flattened into a tight consolidation just above that low with a modest bounce to 0.6917, while RSI(14) lifts off oversold but price stays well below EMA20 (~0.6928). Australia CPI is imminent — the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6928, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia CPI in ~108 min (Trimmed Mean f/c 3.5%) is the immediate driver of the next leg
A close below 0.6907 confirms continuation and opens the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaiming EMA20 at 0.6928 would challenge the descending-channel read; 0.6979 11-wk low is the pivot above
AUD has bled steadily lower since Monday's 0.7040 open, accelerating through the NY session on hawkish-Fed dollar strength to print a week low at 0.69065. Price is now sat below both EMA20 and EMA50, consolidating in a tight 0.6910–0.6920 band with RSI(14) crawling off oversold but no recovery yet. The 0.69440 prior high and EMA20 near 0.6960 cap any bounce; the 0.6900 round number sits just under the week low.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6960, 0.6979
What it said to watch
Australia CPI in ~30min (01:30 UTC) — high-impact catalyst that can break this base either way
H1 close below 0.69000 confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 0.69440 prior high needed to question the downtrend
AUDUSD extended its slide through the NY session, dropping from the 0.7000 shelf to a fresh session low at 0.69065 as broad dollar strength on hawkish-Fed repricing kept the Aussie heavy for a sixth session. Price has since stalled in a tight 0.6910-0.6920 band, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold while staying capped below 50. Both EMA(20) and EMA(50) sit overhead and the 0.6979 prior pivot now acts as the first meaningful supply.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6979, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Australia CPI at 01:30 UTC (~90m) is the immediate catalyst and can override this consolidation
Hold of 0.69065 keeps the basing intact; an hourly close below opens the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim of 0.6920 then 0.6979 would be the first sign the lower-high sequence is stalling
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 34 · price 0.69172
Lower highs and lower lows within descending channel.
AUD has trended lower all week, breaking below 0.7000 and the prior 11-week low at 0.6979 as hawkish-Fed repricing kept the dollar near 13-month highs. Price now probes the descending-channel base, with the last several bars consolidating around 0.6912–0.6917 after the slide into Asia. RSI(14) sits near 34 with price held well below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.69566, 0.6979
What it said to watch
Australia CPI at 01:30 UTC (~90 min) is a high-impact catalyst that could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.6900 extends the channel toward the base
Reclaim of 0.6979 would challenge the lower-high structure