AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Wednesday, 24 June 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

21:03 UTC

Downtrend, extended · RSI 29 · price 0.68922

Lower highs, lower lows since mid-window.

AUDUSD is in a clean H4 downtrend, printing successive lower highs and lower lows as USD trades 13-month highs on hawkish-Fed repricing and soft Australian CPI weighs on the AUD. Price has broken and accepted below the 0.6900 pivot, now pressing the 0.68837 swing low with both EMAs sloping lower overhead. RSI near 28 flags an oversold, stretched move rather than a turn.

Support: 0.68837, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6900

What it said to watch

  • H4 close back above 0.6900 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Sustained acceptance below 0.6835 extends the trend toward the April trough
  • Australia jobs print in ~5h is the nearest catalyst and could trigger a sharp short-covering reaction

21:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 30 · price 0.68922

Lower highs and lower lows, below broken 0.6900.

AUDUSD remains in a clean downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows since the ~0.7073 swing and accelerating after this week's USD exceptionalism and a soft Australian headline CPI print. Price has broken and now trades below the 0.6900 psych pivot, with the move stretched and RSI in oversold territory near April lows. ATR(14) holds a steady ~20 pip regime as the leg lower extends without sign of compression.

Support: 0.6882, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6900, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Australia jobs print in ~5h is the nearest catalyst and could spark a sharp short-covering bounce
  • Sustained acceptance below 0.6900 keeps the path open toward 0.6835
  • An H4 reclaim of 0.6900 would neutralise the downside break

17:02 UTC

Downtrend, extended · RSI 32 · price 0.68935

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh multi-week lows.

AUDUSD is in a clean multi-week downtrend, printing successive lower highs and lower lows after breaking the 0.7000 round number and the 0.6900 pivot. The latest leg accelerated on yesterday's soft Aussie CPI (4.0% vs 4.4%) and a firm-USD, risk-off tape, leaving price pinned at the 0.68837 swing low with RSI near 31 — stretched but not yet reversing. Both EMA20 and EMA50 cap price overhead.

Support: 0.68837, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6900, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Sustained acceptance below 0.6900 keeps the path open toward the 0.6835 april trough
  • Reclaim of the 0.6900 pivot and a push back into 0.6950/0.7000 would relieve the oversold downtrend
  • Australian jobs Thu 25 Jun 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read

17:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 32 · price 0.68935

Sequence of lower highs and lower lows, fresh 2-month lows.

AUDUSD is in an established H4 downtrend, printing lower highs and lower lows since the 0.7200 area and breaking the 0.7000 round number on the way to fresh 2-month lows at 0.68837. The slide accelerated after the soft Aussie CPI miss while hawkish-Fed USD strength keeps the pair offered, with price trading well below both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI near 31 flags oversold conditions even as the 0.6900 pivot gives way.

Support: 0.68837, 0.6835, 0.6833

Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6950, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Sustained acceptance below 0.6900 opens the 0.6835/0.6833 trough zone
  • A reclaim of 0.6950 would stall the lower-low sequence
  • Australian jobs Thu 01:30 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Oversold RSI leaves room for a short-covering bounce on any AUD upside surprise

13:02 UTC

Downtrend, extending · RSI 28 · price 0.68961

Lower highs and lower lows, below broken 0.6900.

AUDUSD remains in a clean downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows since the rejection near 0.7188 and accelerating after the USD repriced hawkishly post-FOMC. Price has broken and closed below the 0.6900 psych level, with the soft headline CPI doing little to slow the slide given sticky trimmed mean. EMAs are stacked above price and momentum is oversold, consistent with extension rather than exhaustion.

Support: 0.68837, 0.6850

Resistance: 0.6925, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Sustained acceptance below 0.6900 confirms bearish extension toward 0.685
  • A reclaim of 0.6925-0.6950 would challenge the lower-high structure
  • Australian jobs (Thu 01:30 UTC) and US Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

13:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 25 · price 0.68961

Successive lower highs and lower lows, fresh April-area lows.

AUDUSD is in a clean H4 downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows since the early-month break under 0.7050 and now testing fresh April-area lows at 0.6884. The slide accelerated this week as hawkish-Fed USD strength dominated and a soft headline CPI cooled the Aussie, with price extending well below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI near 25 flags oversold conditions, but momentum remains firmly to the downside.

Support: 0.68837, 0.6900, 0.6840

Resistance: 0.6946, 0.7008

What it said to watch

  • Sustained acceptance below 0.6900 confirms bearish extension toward the 0.6840 prior low
  • Reclaim of 0.6946 swing high needed to ease the lower-high structure
  • AUD jobs data Thu 01:30 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read

09:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 28 · price 0.6900

Lower highs / lower lows, descending channel.

AUDUSD is in a clean H4 downtrend, printing lower highs and lower lows inside a descending channel, and has now broken below the 0.7000 psychological mark to test the 0.6900 April low. The leg lower is driven by broad USD strength (DXY at 13-month highs on hawkish-Fed repricing) while soft AU CPI keeps the RBA sidelined. RSI is oversold near 27, with price holding well below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 0.6900, 0.6880

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.7018

What it said to watch

  • H4 close below 0.6900 april low confirms a fresh lower-low and opens channel-break risk
  • Reclaim of 0.6950 channel base would be the first sign of easing pressure
  • AU jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC and US Core PCE could materially shift this read

09:02 UTC

Downtrend, extending lower · RSI 27 · price 0.6900

Sequence of lower highs and lower lows, pressing April lows.

AUDUSD has rolled over through the 0.7000 psych level and is grinding into the April lows near 0.6900 as a 13-month-high USD and risk-off flows dominate; softer Australian headline CPI keeps the RBA sidelined and offers no support. Price holds well below both EMAs with lower highs and lower lows intact, and ATR(14) has expanded as the breakdown accelerated. RSI near 27 flags oversold conditions, but momentum remains firmly negative into the next support shelf.

Support: 0.6900, 0.6850

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.7000, 0.7018

What it said to watch

  • H4 close below 0.6900 confirms a fresh lower low and opens the next leg
  • Reclaim of the 0.6950 channel base would question the breakdown
  • Australia jobs Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read

05:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 29 · price 0.69059

Lower highs, lower lows; broke 11-week low.

Downtrend extending: AUDUSD has rolled through the 11-week low at 0.6979 and the broken channel floor near 0.6950, printing successive lower highs and lower lows toward the 0.6900 round number. The slide tracks the digest's hawkish-Fed risk-off theme, with softer Australian headline CPI keeping the RBA sidelined. RSI sits oversold near 28, flagging squeeze risk into Thursday's Australia jobs print.

Support: 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6979

What it said to watch

  • H4 close back above 0.6979 would ease the breakdown read
  • Loss of the 0.6900 round number opens further downside
  • Australia jobs report Thu 25 Jun could materially shift this read

05:02 UTC

Downtrend, extending · RSI 25 · price 0.69059

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh cycle low.

AUDUSD remains in a clean downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows since the 0.7200 rejection and now printing a fresh cycle low at 0.6901 after breaking the 0.6979 11-week floor. Broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing, against a soft Australian headline CPI miss, has driven the leg lower. RSI near 24 flags stretched oversold conditions, raising squeeze risk on any relief.

Support: 0.6900, 0.6901

Resistance: 0.6979

What it said to watch

  • Australia jobs report Thu 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Sustained H4 close below 0.6900 opens deeper downside
  • Reclaim of 0.6979 would challenge the breakdown and lower-high structure
  • US Core PCE Thu is the primary USD driver into next session

01:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 26 · price 0.69152

Lower highs, lower lows below 0.7000.

AUDUSD has trended lower for six straight sessions, breaking decisively below the 0.7000 psych level and accelerating to fresh lows near 0.6915 as hawkish-Fed dollar strength and risk-off flows pin the Aussie. Structure is cleanly bearish — successive lower highs and lower lows with price well below EMA20 and EMA50 — and the 0.6988 prior support now caps as resistance. ATR is moderate while RSI sits oversold, reflecting an extended but orderly decline into the CPI print.

Support: 0.69065, 0.6900, 0.6850

Resistance: 0.6988, 0.7000, 0.7045

What it said to watch

  • Australia CPI in ~108 min (Trimmed Mean f/c 3.5%, headline 4.4%) — a hot print could trigger a short-covering pop toward 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.69065 swing low extends the down-leg toward 0.6900 psych
  • H4 close back above 0.6988 broken support would challenge the lower-high sequence

01:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 29 · price 0.69152

Lower highs and lower lows, fresh multi-week low.

AUDUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, lower highs and lower lows intact since the early-window 0.7200 peak, with a sixth consecutive down leg driving price through the 0.6980 11-week low on hawkish-Fed-led USD strength. The break below 0.6980 has accelerated into 0.6915 with no clean basing yet, though RSan(14) near 29 flags an oversold regime. The 0.6900 round number is the next downside reference, while reclaimed 0.6980 would mark a failed break.

Support: 0.6900, 0.69065

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.70185

What it said to watch

  • AUD CPI (01:30 UTC) prints inside the next bar — a hot trimmed-mean read risks an oversold short-squeeze back toward 0.6980/0.7000
  • H4 close back above 0.6980 invalidates the breakout and signals a false break
  • Sustained trade below 0.6900 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence

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