AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Tuesday, 23 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:03 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 28 · price 0.69116
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh multi-week lows.
AUDUSD is in a clean H4 downtrend, having broken below the prior 0.6979 11-week low and extended a six-session slide sub-0.70 on USD strength tied to the hawkish-Fed repricing. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, with ATR(14) expanding as the move accelerates into the 0.6900 area. RSI near 27.5 flags oversold conditions, but no momentum reversal is visible yet.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7018, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australia CPI today 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.6900 psych opens room toward the lower 0.68s
H4 close back above 0.6979 11wk low would ease downside pressure
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh multi-week lows.
AUDUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, having broken the 0.6979 11-week low and accelerated to a fresh low at 0.69065 amid hawkish-Fed USD strength and risk-off tone. ATR(14) is expanding as the move extends, with price stacked well below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI near 27 flags oversold, but no swing high has been reclaimed to break the sequence of lower highs.
Support: 0.69065, 0.6900, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70185
What it said to watch
Australia CPI in ~4.5h could materially shift this read into stretched net-short positioning
A close back above 0.7000 then 0.70185 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.6900 round number opens the path toward 0.6850
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 30 · price 0.69242
Lower highs / lower lows in descending channel, 11-week lows.
Clean downtrend on H4: lower highs and lower lows inside a descending channel, with the 0.6950 channel base giving way this session to print fresh 11-week lows near 0.6920. The slide is USD-driven — the hawkish Fed dot shift and firm US PMIs have kept AUD pinned. RSI near 30 flags oversold, the kind of stretch that fuels relief squeezes if a catalyst surprises.
Support: 0.6900, 0.69208
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6979
What it said to watch
Australia Q2 CPI Wed 24 Jun 01:30 UTC (Trimmed Mean f/c 3.5%) is the dominant near-term risk and could reset this read
Sustained trade below 0.6920 keeps the path open toward 0.6900
Recovery back above the 0.6950 channel base would soften the lower-low read, with 0.6979 the next pivot
AUDUSD has been carving lower highs and lower lows since the 0.7200 swing, with the slide accelerating into the last 24h as the pair broke the 0.6950 channel base and prior 0.6979 low on hawkish-Fed USD strength. Price now sits at 0.6924 below both EMAs with RSI near 30, leaving the 0.6900 psych level as the next reference below. ATR(14) holds a steady ~20-pip regime as the decline extends rather than compresses.
Support: 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6979
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above 0.6950 channel base would ease the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.6900 psych opens deeper extension
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended and oversold · RSI 29 · price 0.69327
Lower highs and lower lows, descending channel.
Persistent downtrend on the H4 with a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows since the 0.7200 area, driven by hawkish-Fed USD repricing weighing on AUD. Price has cracked the 0.7000 psych level and the 0.6950 descending-channel base, now probing toward the 0.6900 round number with RSI deep in oversold territory. The slide is stretched, leaving room for a snap-back if Australia CPI surprises hot tomorrow.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6890
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australia Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained close below 0.6900 extends the channel and opens 0.6890
Reclaim of 0.6950 then 0.7000 would neutralise the breakdown
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended and oversold · RSI 32 · price 0.69327
Lower highs/lows, channel base broken.
AUDUSD has carved a clean descending channel through June, printing six consecutive lower H4 closes as hawkish-Fed USD strength weighs on the Aussie. Price has now slipped through the 0.6950 channel base to 11-week lows near 0.6933, with EMA20 and EMA50 stacked overhead and RSI around 31 flagging an oversold, momentum-stretched read. ATR(14) near 21 pips shows volatility expanding as the slide accelerates rather than compressing.
Support: 0.69311, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.7018, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant risk — a hot print risks an oversold snap-back toward 0.7018
Sustained acceptance below 0.6950 keeps the 0.6900 psych level in focus
A reclaim of 0.6950 channel base would neutralise the breakdown read
AUDUSD is in a clean H4 downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows through six down sessions as hawkish-Fed USD strength dominates. Price has broken the 0.6979/0.6980 11-week base and printed fresh lows at 0.69438, leaving 0.6900 as the next reference below. RSI is in oversold territory and ATR remains elevated, consistent with an extending move rather than compression.
Support: 0.6900, 0.69438
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Sustained H4 close below 0.6900 extends the breakout; reclaim of 0.6980 negates the break
High-impact Aussie Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 24 Jun 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read — a hot print risks short-covering toward 0.7045
A move back above 0.7045 cap would negate the bearish structure
AUDUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, printing a sixth straight lower close and breaking the 0.6980 11-week base as hawkish-Fed USD strength dominates. ATR(14) is expanding as the breakdown accelerates, with price stretched below both EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI pressing into oversold territory near the 0.6944 low. Supply has capped every bounce attempt at successively lower highs since the 0.7088 peak.
Support: 0.6944, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Hot Aussie Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could trigger a short-covering pop toward 0.7045
Sustained acceptance below 0.6944 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
H4 close back above 0.6980 negates the base break and the bearish read
AUDUSD is in a clean multi-week downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows since the 0.7200 rejection, with price now closing below the 0.6979/80 11-week low after five down-days driven by hawkish-Fed/USD strength and risk-off flows. Price sits beneath both EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI is sub-40 without divergence, signalling momentum still pointed down. Acceptance below 0.6980 opens room toward the 0.6900 level flagged in the forecasts.
Support: 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC — Trimmed Mean f/c 3.5% is the key catalyst for this read
A reclaim of 0.6980 then 0.7045 would negate the breakout and the lower-low structure
US Core PCE Fri 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone into the Aussie
AUDUSD has ground steadily lower for three weeks, sliding from the 0.7200 area to break the 0.6979/80 11-week low on the latest bar, which printed a low of 0.6967. The move tracks hawkish-Fed USD strength and a heavy AUD pinned near its lows, with price entrenched below both EMA20 and EMA50. ATR has compressed versus the early-month sell-off, leaving a tight grind into Wednesday's Australian CPI.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6967 confirms a fresh lower low, opening 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.7045 needed to negate the downside structure
Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has ground lower from 0.7200 since early month and is now compressed at the 0.7000 handle, just above the 0.6979 11-week low. Price holds below both EMA20 and EMA50 with ATR easing as it coils inside a 0.6979-0.7045 band; the post-FOMC USD strength that dragged the pair here is the dominant driver. Australia Q2 CPI Wednesday is the first domestic catalyst that could resolve the compression.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6991
Resistance: 0.7012, 0.7045
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6979 confirms a lower-low, opening the path toward 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.7045 range cap needed to escape the band
Australia Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has rolled over through the window, carving lower highs from the 0.7200 swing top as a hawkish FOMC repricing dragged USD broadly higher and pinned the pair to the 0.7000 handle. Price now compresses just above the 0.6979 11-week low, holding inside a tight 0.6979-0.7045 band with ATR(14) cooling. Both EMAs sit overhead, keeping structure heavy while sellers fail to force a clean break of the floor.
Support: 0.6979, 0.6990
Resistance: 0.7045, 0.7200
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6979 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the path toward 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.7045 range cap negates the basing read
Australia Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst and could materially shift this read