AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 26 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 48 · price 0.7016
Lower highs 0.7039 → 0.7027, lower low at 0.7009; early-Asia bounce into descending trendline.
The London push to the 0.7039 session high was rejected short of the 100-day SMA zone. Broad USD buying ahead of the FOMC then produced a lower-high chain through NY, with the 0.7027 swing high capping and a late-session low at 0.7009. The early-Asia bounce sits at the descending trendline and the 38.2% fib near 0.7016, with RSI neutral and ATR compressed near 2 pips.
Support: 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close above the descending trendline and the 0.7027 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.7009 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.7000 psych level
Rejection at the 50–61.8% fib (0.7018–0.7020) keeps the lower-high structure intact
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC; Bullock speech and AU CPI Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend from London high, stabilising · RSI 45 · price 0.7015
Lower highs since London; Asia sweep low reclaimed.
London's push to a one-month high at the 0.7039 london high was rejected, and pre-FOMC USD short-covering drove NY below Monday's Asian range to 0.7012. Early Tuesday Asia ran a sweep low at 0.7009 and snapped back to 0.7015, with lower highs at the 0.7027 bounce high and the 0.7017 asia high still capping on ATR near 2 pips.
Support: 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7027, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7017 asia high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.7009 sweep low exposes the 0.7000 round number
Close above the 0.7027 bounce high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 0.7039 london high back in play
Fib 50% near 0.7024 sits just under the bounce high, a confluence zone for rejection or break
US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence later Tuesday could reset the USD leg ahead of FOMC
Lower highs 0.7039 → 0.7027, fresh Asia low at 0.7009.
London set the day's high at 0.7039 and was rejected inside the 0.7035 cap. Pre-FOMC USD short-covering then pushed the pair below the 0.7022–0.7034 Asian range, and the NY bounce stalled at 0.7027 (ny high). Early Asia has swept the 0.7012 NY low to a session low of 0.7009, with price sitting under both EMAs, RSI(14) near 35 and ATR around 2 pips.
Support: 0.7009, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7027, 0.7039
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7009 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
Reclaim of the 0.7017 swing high would stall the lower-low sequence
Close above the 0.7027 ny high breaks the lower-high trendline from the 0.7039 london high
Bullock speech and AU CPI (Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC) and the FOMC are the next catalysts that could reset this structure
23:03 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 33 · price 0.70118
Lower highs 0.7039 → 0.7027 → 0.7017; early Asia retesting the NY low.
Rejection at the 0.7039 London high, near the 100-day SMA the digest flags, gave way to a NY slide to 0.7012 as pre-FOMC USD short-covering kicked in. The 0.7027 NY bounce and the 0.7017 lower high both capped price. Early Asia is now pressing the session low at 0.7012 below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 33 and ATR around 2 pips.
Support: 0.70116, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.70269, 0.70389
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below the 0.7012 session low puts the 0.7000 round number in play, the handle the digest says AUD has held
M15 close above the 0.7017 lower high and the falling trendline breaks the lower-high chain
Reclaiming the 0.7027 NY bounce would put the London high at 0.7039 back in view
Tue US Durable Goods at 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could move the USD leg ahead of Wed's Bullock, CPI and FOMC
22:47 UTC
Downtrend from London high, momentum soft · RSI 37 · price 0.7015
Lower highs since 0.7039, equal lows near 0.7012.
The London high at 0.7039 was rejected near the 100-day SMA cap. Pre-FOMC USD short-covering then drove NY to the 0.7012 NY low, and price has since put in a descending sequence of the 0.7027 NY high and the 0.7017 lower high. In thin post-rollover trade, price is drifting just above the 0.7012 NY low, which has now held twice.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7027, 0.7039
What it said to watch
Close below 0.7012 NY low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.7000 round number
Close above the 0.7027 NY high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high sequence
Thin early-Asia liquidity keeps ranges near ATR of about 2 pips until London
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg ahead of Wed's AU CPI and FOMC
Lower highs since the London high, second test of the 0.7012 day low.
London stalled at the 0.7039 london high near the 100-day SMA cap, and the London-NY drop broke the Asian low into 0.7012 as pre-FOMC USD short-covering weighed. Lower highs followed at the 0.7027 ny bounce and the 0.7017 micro high. Early Asia session is retesting the 0.7012 day low, with RSI(14) near 39 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7017, 0.7027, 0.7039
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.7012 day low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.7000 round number
A close above the 0.7017 micro high and then the 0.7027 ny bounce breaks the lower-highs trendline
Tue US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg ahead of Wed's RBA/CPI and FOMC risk
22:18 UTC
Downtrend from London high, stalling at day low · RSI 51 · price 0.70166
Lower highs 0.7039 → 0.7027; 0.7012 day low tested twice and holding.
AUD set its day high at 0.7039 in the London session, near the 100-day SMA cap flagged in the digest. It then slid into the NY open on pre-FOMC USD short-covering to a 0.7012 day low. Early Asia retested 0.7012 and bounced 4 pips, forming a potential double bottom below the 0.7027 NY high. RSI(14) is neutral at 51 and ATR(14) has compressed to about 2 pips.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70269, 0.70389
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7027 NY high breaks the lower-high sequence and confirms the double bottom
Failure to hold the 0.7012 day low extends the downtrend toward the 0.7000 round number
Recapture of the 0.7039 day high would put price back above the 100-day SMA zone
Tue 12:30 UTC US Durable Goods, then Wed Bullock (00:15 UTC) and AU CPI (00:30 UTC), could materially shift this read
22:03 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since London peak · RSI 39 · price 0.70158
Lower highs from 0.7039; 0.7012 day low retested and holding.
Asia and early London both capped near the 0.7039 session high, then a pre-Fed USD bid from short-trimming dragged the pair to a 0.7012 day low in the NY session. The 17:00 UTC bounce stalled at the 0.7027 ny high near the 50–61.8% fib and was rejected. Thin post-rollover Asia trade retested the day low at 0.7012, with a small lift off it on the latest bar.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7012 day low extends the lower-low chain and puts the 0.7000 round number in play
Close back above the 0.7027 ny high breaks the lower-high sequence off the descending line
Session high at 0.7039 is the top of the day's range; it was rejected in both Asia and London
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg ahead of Wednesday's Bullock, CPI and FOMC
21:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 36 · price 0.70128
Lower highs and lower lows; Asian low broken in NY, price back at the day low.
London's push to the 0.7039 London high stalled near the 100-day SMA zone. USD short-trimming into the Fed then drove NY through the Asian low to a 0.7012 day low. The 17:15 UTC bounce capped at the 0.7027 swing high, about 55% of the drop, and thin post-NY drift is now retesting the day low.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70217, 0.70269, 0.70389
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7012 day low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.7000 round number
Reclaim of the 0.7022 Asian low, then a close above the 0.7027 swing high, breaks the lower-highs trendline
Asia session liquidity is thin; Tue 12:30 UTC US Durable Goods is the next scheduled USD catalyst
Lower high at 0.7027 under the 0.7039 London high, retesting the 0.7012 NY low.
London rejected at the 0.7039 high, just above the 100-day SMA zone near 0.7035. NY then set a 0.7012 session low as USD firmed into the Fed. The 17:15 UTC bounce stalled at a 0.7027 lower high inside the 50–61.8% retracement and failed back through the 0.7018 breakdown. Price is now drifting toward the session low on thin post-rollover ranges, with RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7018, 0.7027, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7012 session low extends the lower-low sequence and opens the 0.7000 round number
Recovery above the 0.7018 breakdown and the 0.7027 lower high would break the descending trendline from the London high
Asia session ranges are compressed (ATR ~2 pips); no scheduled data until US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC
Lower highs from 0.7039 session high, price parked above 0.7012 day low.
London's push stalled at the 0.7039 session high, just under the Asian range top and near the 100-day SMA cap flagged in the digest. NY then broke the Asian low to a 0.7012 day low, the bounce capped at the 0.7027 NY high, and price is drifting above the day low into the Asia handover, with ATR near 2 pips as caution ahead of the CPI and the Fed compresses ranges.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70214, 0.70269, 0.70389
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7012 day low extends the lower-low sequence and puts the 0.7000 psych handle in play
Recovery through the 0.7021 lower high and the 0.7027 NY high breaks the lower-highs trendline and neutralises the intraday downtrend
Tue US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC), then Wed Bullock and Australian CPI from 00:15 UTC, could materially shift this read
21:06 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into late NY · RSI 41 · price 0.70158
Lower highs from London peak, NY lower low, price drifting back to session low.
London stalled just shy of the 0.7039 Asian high near the 100-day SMA cap. NY then broke the 0.7022 Asian low to a 0.7012 session low as USD short-covering into the Fed set in. The bounce stopped at a 0.7027 lower swing high (~55% of the London drop fib), and price has eased back toward the session low in late NY with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70217, 0.70269, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7012 session low extends the lower-low sequence and opens the 0.7000 round number
Recovery through the 0.7022 Asian low and the 0.7027 swing high breaks the lower-high trendline
Asian high at 0.7039 remains the range ceiling while below the 100-day SMA area
Thin post-NY liquidity into Asia; US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC could reset the intraday range
20:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, grinding lower into NY close · RSI 40 · price 0.70159
Lower high at 0.7027 after double rejection at 0.7039; price pressing session low.
The 0.7039 day high was tagged in both Asia and London near the 100-day SMA zone and rejected. NY then broke the 0.7022 Asian low and printed a 0.7012 session low. The bounce stalled at the 0.7027 lower high, a 55% fib retrace, and price is drifting back toward the session low into the NY close with ATR(14) near 2 pips.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70217, 0.70269, 0.70393
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7012 session low extends the lower-low sequence and exposes the 0.7000 psych handle
A close above the 0.7027 lower high and the lower-highs trendline invalidates the intraday downtrend read
A reclaim of the 0.7022 Asian low in Tuesday's Asia session would turn it back into support
Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC Bullock speech and Q3 CPI are the main AUD event risk and could reset this structure
London met rejection at 0.7039, just shy of the Asian high and inside the 100-day SMA zone the digest flags as the recent cap. NY then broke the 0.7022 Asian low to a 0.7012 session low as the dollar firmed into Fed week. The 0.7027 bounce printed a lower high, and price is fading back onto the 0.7014 NY base in thin post-NY trade, with RSI(14) at 36.
Support: 0.70142, 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70217, 0.70269, 0.70393
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.7012 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.7000 psych handle
Recovery above the 0.7022 Asian low, now acting as resistance, neutralises the breakdown
Break of the lower-high trendline and 0.7027 voids the intraday downtrend read
Tue 12:30 UTC US Durable Goods and 14:00 UTC Consumer Confidence could shift the USD leg
20:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 42 · price 0.70165
Lower high at 0.7027 under day high 0.7039, testing NY lows late session.
London stalled at 0.7039, matching the Asian high to form an intraday double top. NY then made a range break below the Asian low to a 0.7012 session low as the dollar firmed into Fed week. The late-NY bounce faded at a 0.7027 lower high near the 55% fib, and price is drifting back toward 0.7016 with RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) about 3 pips.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70269, 0.70389
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.7012 session low extends the downtrend toward the 0.7000 psych handle
M15 close above the 0.7027 lower high and the descending trendline negates the lower-high sequence
Rejection at the 0.7039 day high on any recovery keeps the double top intact
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could reset the session range
Double top at 0.7039, Asian low broken in NY, lower high at 0.7027.
Rejection at the 0.7039 double top (Asia and London highs) gave way to a NY break of the 0.7022 Asian low and a 0.7012 NY low, as USD firmed on pre-FOMC repositioning. The NY bounce stalled at a 0.7027 lower high near the 50% retracement, and late-NY price sits back under the Asian low and both EMAs with RSI(14) at 44.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70217, 0.70269, 0.7039
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7012 NY low opens the 0.7000 round number
Reclaim of the 0.7022 Asian low and a close above the 0.7027 lower high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
M15 close above the 0.7039 double top invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Tue 12:30 UTC US durable goods, then Wed Bullock (00:15 UTC), CPI (00:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read
19:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, compressing late NY · RSI 46 · price 0.7019
Lower highs from 0.7039; 0.7012 low holding, higher low at 0.70175.
London was rejected at the 0.7039 day high, forming a double top with the Asia open spike. NY then broke the Asian range low to a 0.7012 session low as the dollar firmed in pre-Fed repositioning. The bounce stalled at a 0.7027 lower high, just past the 50% retrace of the London high–NY low leg. Late in NY, price sits at 0.7019 on the descending trendline, with the late NY low at 0.70175 just below.
Support: 0.70175, 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7027 lower high breaks the descending trendline sequence
Failure to hold the 0.7012 session low exposes the 0.7000 round number
Loss of the 0.70175 late NY low cancels the higher-low attempt into the thin Asia session
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC; Bullock and AU CPI from Wed 00:15 UTC plus FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC can reset the range
19:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, stalling late NY · RSI 48 · price 0.70197
Lower highs from 0.7039; tight 0.7017–0.7027 range above session low.
A double top at 0.7039 formed between the Asia session high and the London high. It mirrors the digest's repeated failure at the 100-day SMA, and the 0.7022 neckline gave way during the London-NY transition, sending the pair to a 0.7012 session low. The NY bounce stalled at a 0.7027 swing high near the 61.8% fib, and price is now holding just above the 0.70175 swing low late in NY with RSI(14) near 48.
Support: 0.70175, 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70269, 0.70389
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70175 swing low re-exposes the 0.7012 session low and the 0.7000 round number
Close above the 0.7027 swing high breaks the lower-high trendline from the 0.7039 double top
Thin Asia session ahead; Tue US Durable Goods and Wed Australia CPI plus FOMC could materially shift this read
Double top at 0.7039, NY break of Asian low, lower high at 0.7027.
Monday was capped twice at the 0.7039 double top, in Asia and again in London, in line with the 100-day SMA ceiling flagged in the digest. NY then broke below the 0.7022 Asian low to a 0.7012 session low as the USD firmed into FOMC week. The late-NY bounce stalled at the 0.7027 swing high, between the 50% and 61.8% retracement, and price is back near the session low with the NY session winding down.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7022, 0.7027, 0.7039
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.7012 session low extends the lower-low sequence and puts the 0.7000 psych level in play
Reclaiming the 0.7022 Asian low and then the 0.7027 swing high breaks the lower-high chain off the double top
US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) on Tuesday could shift USD tone ahead of Wednesday's Bullock speech, Australia CPI and FOMC
Lower highs from 0.7039; Asian low broken, price back below it.
London stalled twice at the 0.7039 Asian high, a double top just above the 100-day SMA cap. The NY open then broke the 0.7022 Asian low to a 0.7012 session low as USD firmed on short-trimming. The late-NY bounce high at 0.7027 stopped between the 50% and 61.8% fib of that drop, and price is slipping back under the Asian low with RSI(14) at 44.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70217, 0.70269, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7022 Asian low and the 0.7027 bounce high would break the lower-highs sequence and expose the 0.7039 Asian high
Failure to hold the 0.7012 session low extends the lower-low chain toward 0.7000 psych
Thin Asia session ahead; US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Australia CPI Wed 00:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Double top broke at NY open; lower high 0.7027 under 0.7039.
London's push to 0.7039 stalled at the Asia high, forming a double top that broke at the NY open down to a session low of 0.7012 as the dollar firmed into FOMC. The late-NY bounce stalled at 0.7027, near the 50% fib, and price is now retesting the Asian low at 0.7022. RSI(14) is neutral at 48 and ATR is tight at about 3 pips.
Support: 0.70217, 0.70142, 0.7012
Resistance: 0.70269, 0.70391
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the asian low at 0.7022 reopens the ny base at 0.7014 and the session low at 0.7012
A close above the late ny high at 0.7027 (50% fib) would break the lower-high sequence, with the double top at 0.7039 next
Tue US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence (12:15–14:00 UTC) are the nearer event risk; Bullock and Australia CPI follow Wed 00:15–00:30 UTC
Double top at 0.7039, lower low at 0.7012, bounce holding above the Asia low.
Asia and London both capped at 0.7039, forming a double top under the 100-day SMA cap cited ahead of Wednesday's CPI and FOMC. NY then broke the Asia low to a 0.7012 session low. The late-NY bounce reclaimed the 0.7022 Asia low and stalled at the 0.7027 bounce high near the 50% fib, with price pinned at its EMA50.
Support: 0.7022, 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7027, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7027 bounce high reopens the 61.8% fib near 0.7029 and the 0.7039 double top
Losing the 0.7022 Asia low and the recovery line turns the NY break back into a lower-low sequence toward the 0.7012 session low
A break of the 0.7012 session low exposes the 0.7000 round number
US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence (Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC) could reset the intraday range ahead of Wed CPI/FOMC
Double top broke in early NY; late-NY bounce now retesting the neckline from below.
The 0.7039 double top formed at the Sunday open high and the London retest. It gave way in early NY, as the neckline at 0.7022 broke to a 0.7012 session low with the pair failing again under the 100-day SMA cap and USD firm into FOMC week. Late-NY bounce has run back to the broken neckline and stalled at the 0.7027 bounce high near the 50% retracement. RSI(14) sits mid-50s and price is hugging EMA50.
Support: 0.70218, 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70269, 0.70391
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.7027 bounce high and the lower-highs trendline negates the neckline retest read and puts the 0.7039 double top back in play
Failure to hold the 0.7022 neckline marks a retest rejection and exposes the 0.7012 session low, then 0.7000 psych
Asia session is thin ahead; Tue US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence (12:15–14:00 UTC) could shift the read ahead of Wed AU CPI and FOMC
18:03 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off NY low · RSI 62 · price 0.70247
HH/HL chain off 0.7012, back inside the Asian range below the 0.7039 London high.
London was rejected at the 0.7039 london high, under the 100-day SMA cap flagged in the digest. The firmer USD into the Fed then drove a NY break below the Asian low to 0.7012. That break has failed: a higher-low chain has reclaimed the asian low at 0.7022, and late NY is pressing the 0.7027 recovery hi just under the fib 61.8 of the London-NY drop.
Support: 0.70217, 0.7012
Resistance: 0.70269, 0.70286, 0.70389
What it said to watch
M15 close above the fib 61.8 at 0.7029 opens the london high at 0.7039
Failure to hold the asian low at 0.7022 turns the false break into a lower-high and reopens the 0.7012 ny low
Recovery hi at 0.7027 capping on a retest marks a lower high inside the day range
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then Bullock/AU CPI and FOMC Wed, could materially shift this read
Double top at 0.7039, lower highs, retracing from 0.7012 low.
Asia high at 0.7039 was rejected again in London, forming a double top near the 100-day SMA cap, and the selloff ran to a 0.7012 session low early in the NY session. After London close price lifted off the 0.7015–0.7020 base into the 50–61.8% fib zone, stalling at a 0.7027 rebound high and sitting on EMA50.
Support: 0.7020, 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70269, 0.70286, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7027 rebound high and the 61.8% fib at 0.7029 breaks the lower-highs trendline from the double top
Slip back below the 0.7020 base top puts the 0.7012 session low and the 0.7000 psych level back in play
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC and Australia CPI Wed 00:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Double top at 0.7039, false break of Asian low, bounce to 50% retrace.
AUD set a double top at 0.7039 across Asia and London, again capped near the 100-day SMA zone, then slid through the 0.7022 Asian low to a 0.7012 session low into the NY open as the dollar firmed. A late-NY bounce after London close reclaimed the Asian low and is stalling at the 0.7027 NY high, near the 50% retrace of the London leg, with RSI(14) at 59.
Support: 0.70217, 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70269, 0.70391
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7022 Asian low turns the reclaim into a failed bounce and reasserts the breakdown
Close above the 0.7027 NY high and the 61.8% retrace near 0.7029 opens a retest of the 0.7039 double top
Loss of the 0.7012 session low exposes the 0.7000 round number
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD-side driver
Lower highs off 0.7039 double top; NY base range broken higher.
Asia set a one-month high at 0.7039, again capped near the 100-day SMA. London's retest at 0.70389 formed a double top before NY broke the Asian low to a 0.7012 session low. Late NY has cleared the 0.7014–0.7020 range top and is retesting the 0.7022 Asian low, sitting between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the London-NY decline with price back at EMA50.
Support: 0.70217, 0.70199, 0.7012
Resistance: 0.70255, 0.70289, 0.70391
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.7020 range top re-exposes the 0.7012 session low
Close above the 0.7029 london pivot (61.8% fib) breaks the lower-high sequence from the double top
Thin late-NY/Asia liquidity; Tue 12:30 UTC US durable goods is the next scheduled USD input ahead of Wed AU CPI and FOMC
Asian high rejected, Asian low broken, tight NY-hours box above session low.
London stalled just under the 0.7039 asian high, the one-month high near the 100-day SMA, and sold off as USD firmed. That move broke the 0.7021 asian low into a 0.7012 session low in the first hour of NY. Since then price has compressed in a 7-pip box below EMA20, capped under the 38.2% fib of the London drop near 0.7022.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7021, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7021 asian low reclaims the broken range and the 38.2% fib of the London drop
Failure to hold 0.7012 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.7000 psych
Tue US durable goods, then Wed Australia CPI and FOMC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.7039, tight base 0.7014–0.7020 after NY low.
Two failures at the 0.7039 day high, at the Sunday open and again at the London high, held below the 100-day SMA cap. NY then broke the 0.7025 Asian low to a 0.7012 session low as the firmer USD held ahead of the Fed. Since then price has held a tight base between the 0.7014 range floor and the 0.7020 base top, pressing the top of it late in NY with RSI(14) near 48.
Support: 0.70142, 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7020, 0.70253, 0.70392
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7020 base top and the 38.2% fib at 0.7022 puts the 0.7025 Asian low back in play
Loss of the 0.7014 range floor and 0.7012 session low extends the lower-low chain toward 0.7000 psych
Thin late-NY and Asia session trade; US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled driver ahead of Wed's Australia CPI and FOMC
Lower highs from 0.7039 double top; Asian low broken, tight base at 0.7014–0.7020.
Asia and London both failed at 0.7039, forming a double top. Lower highs followed as USD firmed into the Fed, and the NY open broke the Asian low at 0.7022 to a session low of 0.7012. Price has since held a tight 0.7014–0.7020 base after London close, still below both EMAs.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7022, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7022 Asian low turns the range break into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.7012 session low exposes 0.7000 psych
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next USD-side catalyst for this range
Lower highs from 0.7039 double top; Asian low broken, tight range since.
London's retest of the 0.7039 Asian high failed, forming a double top just above the ~0.7035 100-day SMA cap the digest flags. A lower-highs sequence then broke the asian low at 0.7022 at NY open and set a 0.7012 session low. With the dollar firm into the Fed, price has since compressed mid-NY session between a range floor at 0.7014 and a range top at 0.7020, with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.70142, 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70196, 0.70217, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7022 asian low, which is also the 38.2% retracement, and the lower-highs line would neutralise the breakdown read
A close below the range floor at 0.7014 and the 0.7012 session low leaves the 0.7000 round number exposed
A break of the range top at 0.7020 that fails at the asian low would mark the old Asian low acting as resistance
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then Bullock and Australia CPI Wed 00:15–00:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs since London rejection, Asian low broken, compressing above session low.
London's push to 0.7039 stalled just under the Monday open day high. NY open then broke the Asian low at 0.7022 and printed a 0.7012 session low as USD firmed into Wednesday's Fed. Price is now compressing in a 0.7012–0.7020 band below the descending trendline, with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7022, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7022 asian low, also the 38.2% fib of the drop, reclaims the range and tests the descending trendline
Failure to hold the 0.7012 session low exposes the 0.7000 round number
Day high at 0.7039 marks the London rejection; a return there would negate the lower-high sequence
Tue 12:30 UTC US durable goods, then Wed AU CPI (00:30 UTC) and FOMC, could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower in NY; lower highs since the London high.
Two failures at the 0.7039 Asia high formed a double top. A firmer USD into Wednesday's Fed then took NY through the Asian low at 0.7022 to a 0.7012 session low. Price is basing at 0.7012–0.7020, just under the lower highs line and the 38.2% retrace near 0.7022, with RSI(14) near 36.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7022, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7022 asian low, which lines up with the 38.2% retrace, negates the range break
Loss of the 0.7012 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.7000 round number
A close through the lower highs line near 0.7019 is the first sign the sequence is breaking
Tue 12:30 UTC durable goods is the next USD catalyst; Wed AU CPI and FOMC are the larger risk
15:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing after NY sell-off · RSI 34 · price 0.70155
Lower highs since London; Asian range broken lower, tight range above session low.
London stalled at 0.7039, matching the Asian high for a double top. NY then broke the Asian low at 0.7022 and printed a 0.7012 session low as the USD firmed into the Fed. Price is now holding a range top near 0.7020, just under the lower-high trendline, with RSI(14) near 34 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70196, 0.70217, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7022 asian low (38.2% of the London-NY drop) negates the range break
Clean break of the 0.7020 range top and the lower-high trendline ends the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.7012 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.7000 psych level
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC and RBA Bullock/AU CPI from 00:15 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
15:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 36 · price 0.70172
Asian range broken lower in NY, basing above 0.7012.
London's push to the 0.7039 session high stalled just under the Asian high (0.70393), and a sequence of lower highs then took price through the 0.7022 asian low into a 0.7012 ny low in early NY as the firmer USD into Wednesday's Fed weighed. Price is now holding a 0.7014 ny base just under the descending trendline near 0.7019, with RSI(14) near 36.
Support: 0.70142, 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7019, 0.70217, 0.70389
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7022 asian low (38.2% fib zone) puts price back inside the Asian range and negates the break
Clean break of the lower-highs trendline near 0.7019 ends the London-to-NY sequence of lower highs
Loss of the 0.7012 ny low exposes the 0.7000 psych level
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then Bullock and AU CPI at 00:15/00:30 UTC Wed, could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.7039 double top; Asian range low broken in NY.
With USD firming into the Fed, London stalled at 0.7039, forming a double top with the Asia high. NY then broke the Asian low at 0.7022 to a 0.7012 session low. RSI(14) is near 30, and the rebound is capped at the descending trendline around 0.7019.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7022, 0.7039
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.7022 asian low (38.2% fib) would undo the range break
Failure to hold the 0.7012 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych level
A break of the descending trendline near 0.7019 would end the lower-high sequence
No data due in the next 8h; durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then Bullock/AU CPI and FOMC Wed, could shift this read
14:47 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since London high · RSI 30 · price 0.70154
Asian range low broken in NY; consolidating just above session low.
London met rejection at the 0.7039 London high, just shy of the Asian high. NY then broke the 0.70217 Asian low to a 0.7012 session low as the USD firmed into the Fed. Price is now pinned below the 0.70188 bounce high with RSI(14) near 30, and lower highs remain intact under the falling trendline.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70188, 0.70217, 0.70389
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.70217 Asian low, which also sits at the fib 38.2% of the drop, would mark the range break as a false break
Failure to hold the 0.7012 session low exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Close above the falling trendline from the London high breaks the lower-high sequence
Clearing the 0.70188 bounce high is the first sign the consolidation is resolving higher
Lower highs and lower lows since London; Asian range low broken in NY.
London stalled at the 0.7039 session high, a double top with the Asia peak. The NY session then pushed the downtrend through the 0.7022 Asian low to a 0.7012 session low as a firmer USD into the FOMC weighed. RSI(14) is near 36 on a small bounce that remains below the descending trendline and the Asian low.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7022, 0.7029, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7022 asian low (38.2% fib) would negate the range break
A close above the 0.7029 lower high (61.8% fib, trendline) breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.7012 session low exposes the 0.7000 round number
14:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 29 · price 0.70169
Double top at 0.7039, Asian low broken in NY hours.
London's push to 0.7039 stalled at the Asia session high and formed a double top. NY hours then broke the Asian low at 0.7022 and printed a session low at 0.7012 as USD firmed into the Fed. RSI(14) sits near 29 with price below both EMAs, and the lower-highs line from the London high still caps bounces.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7022, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the Asian low at 0.7022, which is also the 38.2% of the London-NY drop, would undercut the range-break read
A break of the 0.7012 session low exposes the 0.7000 round number
Failure to clear the lower-highs line keeps the sequence of lower highs from the 0.7039 double top intact
No scheduled data in the next 8h. Wednesday's AU CPI and FOMC are the next catalysts that could materially shift this read
14:03 UTC
Intraday downtrend, extending in early NY · RSI 28 · price 0.70148
Lower highs since London; Asian range low broken.
Twin rejections at the 0.7039 session high, near the 100-day SMA cap flagged in the digest, left a double top, and lower highs have followed since London. Early NY broke the 0.7022 Asian low and printed a 0.7012 session low as USD firmed into the FOMC. RSI(14) near 28 is stretched but not extreme.
Support: 0.7012, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7022, 0.7030, 0.7039
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.7022 asian low would turn the range break into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.7012 session low exposes the 0.7000 round number
Recovery through the 0.7030 london base, near the 61.8% fib, breaks the lower-highs sequence
Tue Durable Goods (12:30 UTC), then Wed AU CPI and FOMC, are the next event risks for this read
13:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London · RSI 39 · price 0.70215
LH/LL chain from 0.7039, Asian low broken in NY.
The London push was rejected at the 0.7039 london high near the 100-day SMA. Since then the pair has printed lower highs along a falling trendline as USD firmed into Wednesday's FOMC, slipping through the 0.7022 asian low to a 0.7018 session low around the NY open. RSI(14) near 39 is not stretched, and the broken asian low now sits overhead with the trendline near 0.7024.
Support: 0.70182, 0.7010, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70217, 0.7029, 0.70389
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7022 asian low and the lower-high trendline negates the breakdown
Failure to hold the 0.7018 session low exposes the 0.7010 range low, then 0.7000 psych
Close above the 0.7029 lower high breaks the LH sequence, with the 0.7039 london high above
No scheduled data in the next 8h; USD repositioning ahead of Wednesday's FOMC is driving the tape
13:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs and lower lows since London peak · RSI 36 · price 0.70202
Asian range broken to the downside at NY open; lower-high chain intact.
London's push to the 0.70389 London high stalled just shy of the Asian top, under the 100-day SMA cap near 0.7035 flagged in the digest. Since then a chain of lower highs has formed as USD firms pre-Fed, and the first hour of NY broke the 0.70217 Asian low to print a 0.70182 NY low, RSI(14) ~36 with no oversold reading yet.
Support: 0.70182, 0.7010, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70217, 0.70269, 0.70389
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.70217 Asian low would turn the break into a false break
Close above the lower-high trendline and 0.70269 lower high ends the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.70182 NY low exposes the 0.7010 range low, then the 0.7000 round number
US Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC), then AU CPI and FOMC on Wed, could materially shift this read
13:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London peak · RSI 38 · price 0.70208
Double top at 0.7039, Asian low broken, testing day low.
London's push to 0.7039 matched the Asia high and was rejected near the 0.7035 cap flagged in the news flow, leaving a double top. Lower highs since then have carried price through the Asian low at 0.7022 into the London-NY transition as USD firms pre-FOMC. Price is now at the 0.7020 day low with RSI(14) at 38 and ATR near 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.7020, 0.7010, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7022, 0.7029, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7022 Asian low would turn the range break into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.7020 day low exposes the 0.7010 range low, then 0.7000 psych
Close above the 0.7029 lower high breaks the lower-high chain; the 0.7039 double top stays the session cap
US Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC), then Bullock and AU CPI (Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
0.7022–0.7039 range; London high rejected, price back in the lower half.
London's push to 0.7039 matched the opening-hour high and was rejected, forming a double top. The move unwound back to the session low at 0.7022 in the first hour of NY, where buyers stepped in again. Price holds in the lower half of a 0.7022–0.7039 range that also contained Friday's trade. A firm USD into the Fed is capping AUD under the prior shelf at 0.7030. RSI(14) is at 41.
Support: 0.7022, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7030 prior shelf breaks the descending highs from the London peak
Failure to hold the 0.7022 session low exits the range and exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Rejection again at the 0.7039 double top keeps the range intact
US-Iran or oil headlines could jolt the USD side during NY hours
0.7022–0.7039 day range, lower highs since London peak.
London lifted AUDUSD from the 0.7022 day low to 0.7039, a test of the overnight session high. The move met rejection there and was fully retraced to 0.7023 by midday as USD firmed ahead of the Fed. Price is mid-range near 0.7028 into the NY open, capped by a lower-high line from 0.7039 with a 0.7031 lower high overhead; RSI(14) is near 41 and ATR around 3.3 pips.
Support: 0.7022
Resistance: 0.7031, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7022 day low breaks the range floor
Close above the 0.7031 lower high clears the lower-highs line and puts the 0.7039 session high back in play
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then RBA Bullock and AU CPI from 00:15 UTC Wed, could materially shift this read
12:17 UTC
Intraday range, rolling over from highs · RSI 42 · price 0.70268
Double top at 0.7039, lower highs into the London-NY transition.
London rallied from the 0.7022 Asian low but rejected at 0.7039, forming a double top with the Asia high. Price has slipped back to 0.7027 into the NY open, capped by a lower high at 0.7031, with RSI(14) near 42. The Monday gap below the Friday close at 0.7036 is still unfilled as AUD stalls ahead of Wednesday's CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.70217, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70311, 0.70359, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7022 Asian low breaks the session range and puts the 0.7000 round number in play
Close above the 0.7031 lower high reopens the gap toward the 0.7036 Friday close
Break of the 0.7039 double top invalidates the rejection read
No data scheduled for the next 8h; AU CPI Wed 00:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC are the next catalysts
12:03 UTC
Range, fading from session high · RSI 43 · price 0.70262
Monday range 0.7022–0.7039, lower highs since London peak.
London's push to 0.7039 stalled at the Asian session high, the same 0.7035–0.7039 cap that has repeatedly turned AUD back, and price has faded to 0.7026 on a run of lower highs. Price is sitting just above the 0.7025 Asian low with the 0.7022 session low below. RSI(14) at 43 and price is under the ema20 at 0.7030 heading into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.7025, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 asian low exposes the 0.7022 session low and the bottom of Monday's range
Reclaim of the ema20 at 0.7030 breaks the lower-highs sequence and returns focus to the 0.7039 session high
A close above the 0.7039 session high breaks the range top
USD tone around the NY open as dollar shorts are trimmed before Wednesday's FOMC; AU CPI at 00:30 UTC Wed is the larger catalyst for a range break
11:46 UTC
Range-bound, rejected at session high · RSI 52 · price 0.70298
London lifted AUDUSD from the 0.7022 session low to 0.7039 but stalled at the session high, a second failure there after the Asia-open spike, near the ~0.7035 100-day SMA zone cited in the news digest. Price has since slipped to the 50% fib near 0.7030, printing a lower high at 0.7032 with a swing low at 0.7027. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR is about 3 pips, so moves are compressed into the NY open ahead of Wednesday's AU CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.70272, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.70315, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7039 session high breaks the double rejection
Close above the 0.7032 lower high and its trendline ends the post-London fade
Loss of the 0.7027 swing low exposes the 0.7022 session low and the 61.8% fib at 0.7028 fails
Event risk is thin before Tue's US durable goods (12:30 UTC); Wed AU CPI and FOMC are the larger catalysts
11:31 UTC
Range, London rally faded · RSI 51 · price 0.70293
Inside Asian range 0.7022–0.7039, lower high forming off the session high.
The London rally from the 0.7022 asian low was capped at 0.7039, matching the session high set at the open and sitting just above the ~0.7035 resistance cited in the AUD digest. That leaves a double top, and price has retraced into the 50–61.8% fib zone near 0.7029. Late in the London session, ahead of the NY open, the pair is still inside the Asian range with RSI(14) neutral and a ~3 pip ATR, as the market sidelines into Wednesday's AU CPI and FOMC.
Support: 0.70272, 0.70217, 0.70183
Resistance: 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7039 session high invalidates the double top and breaks the Asian range
Failure to hold the 0.7027 london low exposes the 0.7022 asian low; a break there opens the 0.7018 friday low
A hold of the 61.8% fib near 0.7028 keeps the range read intact into the NY session
US Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and AU CPI (Wed 00:30 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts that could break the range
Double top at 0.7039 Asian/London highs, pullback holding above 0.7027 London low.
London rallied from the 0.7022 Asian low but stalled at 0.7039, just under the Asian high, carving a double top as AUD again failed below 0.7035–0.7040 with USD dip-buyers active. The pullback held the 0.7027 London low near the 61.8% of the London leg, leaving price mid-range around 0.7030 with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 0.70272, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7039 double top breaks the session range high
Failure to hold the 0.7027 London low exposes the 0.7022 Asian low
Iran/Middle East headlines into the NY session could shift risk tone for AUD
11:02 UTC
Range, London rally rejected · RSI 53 · price 0.70299
Back inside Asian range after a false break of its high.
London cleared the asian high at 0.7034 but stalled at 0.7039, matching the Sunday-open day high in a double top at the 100-day SMA cap flagged in the digest. Price has slipped back to the 50% retrace of the London rally near 0.7030 with RSI(14) neutral at ~53 and ATR ~3.5 pips. The 0.7022–0.7034 Asian range is back in control mid-London.
Support: 0.70272, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70391
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the asian high at 0.7034 reopens the 0.7039 day high; a break there voids the double top
Failure to hold the 0.7027 pullback low exposes the 0.7022 day low at the Asian range floor
No scheduled data in the next 8h; AU CPI (Wed 00:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the next catalysts that could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Range, London rally faded · RSI 49 · price 0.70289
Double top at 0.7039 session high, pullback into 61.8% fib.
Mid-London Monday: the rally off the 0.7022 session low stalled at 0.7039, matching the Asia-open high for a double top. That is another rejection near the 0.7035 ceiling the digest flags, with a supported USD offsetting hawkish-RBA talk. Price is back at the 61.8% fib near 0.7028, under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 49. The 0.7034 lower high now caps the bounce.
Support: 0.70283, 0.7025, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.70343, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7039 session high breaks the double top and the range cap
Loss of the 0.7025 london base exposes the 0.7022 session low
Hold of the 61.8% fib keeps price inside the 0.7022–0.7039 session range
US durables Tue 12:30 UTC, then AU CPI and FOMC Wed, are the next scheduled catalysts
London break of Asian range stalled at 0.7039; price back inside the range.
London opened with a dip to the 0.7022 session low, then broke above the Asian range (0.7025–0.7034) at 09:00 UTC. The rally stalled at 0.7039, matching the Sunday-open high for a double top in line with the cap near 0.7035 flagged in market context. The 10:00 bar gave back half the leg to the 38.2% fib near 0.7032, putting price just under the asian high.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70391
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7039 double top removes the cap and invalidates the rejection read
Failure to hold the 0.7025 asian low confirms a false break of the range and exposes the 0.7022 session low
NY open in about 2h; US durable goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and AU CPI (Wed 00:30 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts
Inside Asian range; double top at 0.7039 Asia high.
London lifted AUDUSD from the 0.7022 session low back to the 0.7039 Asia high, which capped price a second time and formed a double top. Price then rejected to 0.7032, the 38.2% retracement of the London leg, just above the ema20 near 0.7031. The digest flags AUD supply under 0.7040 into Wednesday's CPI and FOMC, consistent with the cap.
Support: 0.70307, 0.7025, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7039 Asia high invalidates the double top and extends the London leg
M15 close below the ema20 near 0.7031 breaks the London higher lows and exposes the 0.7025 range floor
Loss of the 0.7022 session low resets the London leg and opens the lower half of the Asian range
Iran headlines could hit AUD intraday with no scheduled data in the next 8h
Higher lows off the 0.7022 session low, London breakout testing session high.
Monday's gap below Friday's close filled early in Asia. A run of higher lows on a rising trendline off the 0.7022 session low set up a London breakout from the 0.7030 break base, and the 09:00 UTC bar pushed price into the 0.7039 session high set early in Asia, just above Friday's 0.7038 high. RSI(14) sits near 71, with price holding above the 100d sma area near 0.7035 that the digest flags as a repeated cap on AUD.
Support: 0.7035, 0.7030, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.70393, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7039 session high clears the Asia and Friday highs and opens the 0.7045 uob cap
Failure to hold the 100d sma near 0.7035 puts the move back inside the prior range, with the 0.7030 break base and the 50% fib of the London leg next
Break of the rising trendline from the 0.7022 session low ends the higher-low sequence
Bullock speech and AU CPI (Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC) remain the main catalysts and can override intraday structure
Higher lows since the 0.70217 low, Asian range broken higher.
Higher lows at 0.70244 and 0.70252 followed the 0.70217 session low. The 09:00 UTC London bar broke through the 0.70321 breakout level and out of the 0.7025–0.7033 Asian range, and price is now pressing the 0.70393 Asia high above Friday's 0.70379 top. Softer US yields are backing the move, and RSI(14) near 77 is hot but not extreme.
Support: 0.70321, 0.70252, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.70393, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70393 Asia high puts the 0.7045 resist zone in play
Slip back below the 0.70321 breakout level returns price to the Asian range
Break of the 0.70252 higher low and the rising support undoes the higher-low chain toward the 0.70217 session low
Tue US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) and Wed AU CPI/FOMC sit beyond this window but frame the 0.7045 resist zone
Asian range break higher; higher lows from 0.7022 session low.
London lifted AUDUSD out of the 0.7022–0.7034 Asian range in a 7-pip bar, carrying price into the 0.7038–0.7039 open high that capped the post-gap Sunday spike. RSI(14) is near 72 and higher lows hold above the late-Asia session low. Hawkish RBA commentary and softer US yields are behind the bid.
Support: 0.70335, 0.7030, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.70393, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7039 open high opens the 0.7045 res cluster flagged in the news read
Rejection at 0.7039 with a slip back under the 0.7033 asian high puts the breakout at risk of a false break
Loss of the 0.7030 fib 50% and the rising support line exposes the 0.7022 session low
AU CPI and the FOMC on Wed are the event risk; pre-positioning could cap follow-through
09:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend from Asian low, testing highs · RSI 68 · price 0.70361
Higher lows since 0.7022, rejection under the Monday high.
Early London lifted price out of the 0.7022–0.7032 Asian range, putting the asia cap at 0.7032 behind it. The 7.7-pip 09:00 UTC bar ran to 0.7038 and was rejected between the friday high and the 0.7039 monday high, with rising lows intact beneath. RSI(14) near 68 is firm but not stretched, and the move fits the digest's firm-AUD tone on a hawkish RBA and softer US yields.
Support: 0.7032, 0.70266, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.70379, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7039 monday high clears both Friday and Monday highs and opens the 0.7045 resistance cited in the digest
A return below the 0.7032 asia cap puts price back inside the Asian range and turns the push into a false break
Loss of the 0.7027 rising lows trendline, then the 0.7022 asian low, breaks the intraday higher-low chain
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; Wed AU CPI and the FOMC are the larger catalysts for this range
08:46 UTC
Sideways, recovering from day low · RSI 50 · price 0.70287
Lower highs from 0.7039, higher lows off 0.7022; compressing inside Asian range.
The early Monday push to a one-month high at 0.7039 (monday high) met rejection. The pair then slipped to a 0.7022 day low before London; follow-through is lacking despite a hawkish RBA and softer USD. Early London has carried price back to the 38.2% level of the Monday drop fib near 0.7028, with higher lows forming but the Asian range still intact between 0.7025 and 0.7033.
Support: 0.7025, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7033 asian high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.7039 monday high back in view
Loss of the 0.7025 asian low and the higher lows line re-exposes the 0.7022 day low
No scheduled data in the next 8h; Tue US Durable Goods, then Wed AU CPI and FOMC, are the next catalysts that could shift this read
Lower highs from the 0.7039 Monday high, now a tight 0.7025–0.7029 range.
Monday's opening gap filled early and price printed a 0.7039 Monday high, then faded through lower highs. A 06:00 UTC dip through the Asian low to a 0.7022 session low was bought back, and the bounce is stalling at the 0.7029 range top, near the 38.2% retrace of the Monday drop. Early London is flat at EMA20 with RSI(14) at 43, as softer US yields and hawkish RBA talk keep AUD above 0.7000.
Support: 0.70245, 0.70217
Resistance: 0.7029, 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 range top reopens the 0.70335 Asian high
A close below the 0.7025 range low exposes the 0.7022 session low; a break there extends the lower-low chain
Lower-high sequence stays intact unless price reclaims the 0.7039 Monday high
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; Wed AU CPI and the FOMC are the next event risks
Lower highs from 0.7039 Monday high; Asian low false break reclaimed.
The weekend gap filled straight away to the 0.7039 Monday high. Price then faded through Asia in a lower-high sequence (0.7034 lower high, 0.7029 swing high), consistent with the digest's read of AUD capped below the 100-day SMA while softer US yields keep dips shallow. A pre-London dip below the 0.7025 Asian low to the 0.7022 session low was reclaimed. At the London open price is compressed at 0.7024–0.7029, under the lower-high trendline and the 38.2% retracement of the Monday decline.
Support: 0.7025, 0.70217, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70292, 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 swing high and lower-high trendline breaks the descending sequence and opens 0.7034
Failure to hold the 0.7025 Asian low exposes the 0.7022 session low; below that, the 0.7000 psych level
No scheduled data in the next 8h. Iran/oil headlines are the main intraday event risk for AUD
08:02 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Monday high · RSI 40 · price 0.70255
Lower highs from 0.70393 pressing a flat 0.7025 floor, London just opening.
Asia filled Friday's weekend gap and printed a one-month high at 0.70393 (monday high), then faded into a run of lower highs. Early Europe dipped to the 0.70217 session low at the 61.8% fib of the Friday rally before recovering to the 0.7025 asian low into London open. RSI(14) sits near 40 and ATR(14) is about 3 pips; the softer USD has kept dips shallow so far.
Support: 0.7025, 0.70217, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70292, 0.7032, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70217 session low breaks the Asia floor and exposes the 0.70113 friday low
M15 close above the 0.70292 lower high and the 0.7032 swing high breaks the lower-highs trendline from the monday high
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst ahead of Wed AU CPI and FOMC
07:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia peak · RSI 43 · price 0.70258
The small weekend gap filled early in Asia, and the pair printed the 0.7039 Asia high before rejection set off a run of lower highs. A 06:00 UTC dip set the 0.7022 session low; the rebound stalled at a 0.7029 lower high near the 38.2% fib, leaving price under both EMAs with ATR compressed near 3 pips into London open.
Support: 0.70217, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70292, 0.70393
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.7022 session low extends the lower-high/lower-low chain toward the 0.7011 friday low
M15 close above the 0.7029 lower high and the descending trendline neutralises the Asia fade, reopening the 0.7039 asia high
London open liquidity could break the compressed sub-3-pip ATR conditions
RBA Bullock and Q3 CPI (Wed 00:30 UTC) remain the main AUD event risk beyond this session
07:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia open · RSI 44 · price 0.70263
Lower-high chain below 0.7034, late-Asia low at 0.70217 holding.
Monday gapped down from Friday's 0.7036 close. The early-Asia pop to the 0.70393 Asia high, just above Friday's high, failed in a false break, leaving a chain of lower highs as AUD stayed capped under resistance despite the softer USD. The late-Asia sell-off found a floor at the 0.70217 Asia low, and price is now in the pre-London lull below the 0.70292 swing high, with RSI(14) near 44 and both EMAs overhead.
Support: 0.70244, 0.70217, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70292, 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70292 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and the descending trendline from the Asia high; 0.70335 range top and the 50% fib near 0.7030 sit just above
Failure to hold the 0.70244 micro low, then the 0.70217 Asia low, extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.70113 friday low
London open within the hour typically expands the 17-pip Asian range
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then RBA Bullock, AU CPI and FOMC Wed, carry the larger event risk for this read
07:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia open · RSI 45 · price 0.70261
Lower highs off 0.7039 session high; Asian range floor swept, now rebounding under trendline.
The weekend gap filled in early Asia, but the 0.7039 session high was rejected. AUD has carved lower highs at 0.7034, 0.7033 and 0.7029 since, with the 0.7025 Asian floor swept to a 0.7022 session low before the London open. The bounce stalled near the 38.2% of the session drop under the lower-high trendline. Softer US yields keep a floor under the pair per the digest, but the M15 chain still points lower.
Support: 0.70217, 0.70113, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70292, 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7029 lower high and the trendline breaks the lower-high chain; 0.7034 swing high is next
Failure to hold the 0.7022 session low exposes the 0.7011 Friday low, with 0.7000 psych below
London open liquidity could extend the Asian range in either direction
Durable Goods Tue and RBA's Bullock plus Q3 CPI early Wed are the next scheduled catalysts beyond this session
07:02 UTC
Intraday lower highs, rebounding off the low · RSI 50 · price 0.70288
Failed break of Friday high, then lower highs inside a 0.7022–0.7039 Asian range.
The weekend gap lower filled fast, and the Asian session briefly pushed above Friday's 0.7038 high to a 0.7039 session high. That break failed despite softer USD, leaving a run of lower highs and a late dip to the 0.7022 Asian low. Into the London open, price is at 0.7029, about a 40% retrace of the Asian decline, pressing the descending trendline near 0.7030 with RSI(14) flat at 50.
Support: 0.70217, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7030, 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the trendline near 0.7030 and the 0.7034 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 0.7039 session high.
Rejection at the trendline and a break of the 0.7022 Asian low extends the post-false-break decline toward 0.7000 psych.
There is no scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h. RBA Bullock and Q3 CPI, then FOMC on Wed, are the next events that could materially shift this read.
Lower highs since Asia high; range floor broken, being retested.
Asia filled Monday's opening gap and swept Friday's 0.7038 high to a 0.7039 session high and one-month high, then stalled despite a softer USD on easing yields. Lower highs followed, and the late-Asia break of the 0.7025 floor to a 0.7022 session low is being retested from below into London open.
Support: 0.70217, 0.70113, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7033, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7033 range top invalidates the lower-highs read
Failure to hold the 0.7022 session low exposes the 0.7011 friday low and the 0.7000 psych level
London open range expansion against an ATR of ~2.6 pips
Bullock remarks and Q3 CPI at 00:30 UTC Wed are the main AUD event risk for this structure
06:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 39 · price 0.70244
Asian range floor broken late session, session low 0.7022.
Monday's Asia session filled the weekend gap and briefly cleared Friday's 0.7038 high to a 0.7039 session high. It then reversed as risk appetite stayed thin on Middle East tensions, printing lower highs at 0.7034, 0.7033 and 0.7032. Late Asia broke the 0.7025 range floor to a 0.7022 session low, with RSI(14) near 39 and price under both EMAs ahead of London open.
Support: 0.70217, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.7025, 0.7032, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.7025 range floor would mark the break as a false break
Close above the 0.7032 lower highs line ends the Asian lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.7022 session low extends the leg toward the 0.7011 friday low
London open at 08:00 UTC typically expands the Asian range; Iran headlines could add a haven USD bid
06:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia open · RSI 38 · price 0.70228
Asian range low broken late session; lower highs from 0.70393.
AUDUSD gapped below Friday's 0.7036 close at the Asia open. The early pop to the 0.70393 session high faded into a 0.7025–0.7033 Asian range. That range low gave way in late Asia, printing a new session low at 0.70217 ahead of London open. The digest's Middle East risk-off and pre-FOMC pause fit the capped price action, while RSI(14) at 38 is soft but not oversold.
Support: 0.70217, 0.70113, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70253, 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
Recovery and hold back above the 0.70253 asian low would turn the move into a false break of the range
Failure to hold the 0.70217 session low exposes the 0.70113 friday low, then the 0.7000 psych level
Close above the 0.70335 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence off the session move
London open in under an hour could extend or reject the range break
Asian range with lower highs against a flat 0.7025 base.
Monday Asia filled the weekend gap and briefly topped Friday's high at the 0.7039 asian high. That false break gave way to a string of lower highs near 0.7033, pressing a flat 0.7025 asian low that sits on the 50% retracement of Friday's rally. Late in the Asia session, RSI(14) near 46 and a tight ~2.7-pip ATR(14) point to compression, with soft USD offset by Middle East risk-off.
Support: 0.7025, 0.7022, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7033, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 asian low breaks the Asian base and the 50% retracement, exposing the 0.7022 friday pivot, then 0.7000 psych
M15 close above the 0.7033 lower highs line ends the compression read and reopens the 0.7039 asian high
London open liquidity is the near-term catalyst, with no scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h
Tue US Durable Goods (12:30 UTC) is the next scheduled risk for this read
Monday opened with a weekend gap down to 0.7027. The early pop to the 0.7039 session high was rejected, and the Asia session has since compressed between a flat Asian low at 0.7025 and a run of lower highs near 0.7033. ATR is under 3 pips and RSI is neutral near 52, consistent with the digest's read of AUD consolidating around 0.7030 ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70113, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 asian low breaks the base and exposes the 0.7011 friday low, then 0.7000 psych
M15 close above the 0.7033 lower highs line ends the compression and brings the 0.7039 session high back into view
London open is the first test of the Asian range; RBA Bullock speech and AU CPI on Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC are the larger risk to this read
05:16 UTC
Flat, range-bound in late Asia · RSI 57 · price 0.7031
Asian range 0.7025–0.7034 after a gap fill and a false break of the Friday high.
Monday opened with a 9-pip gap below Friday's 0.7036 close. It filled quickly and briefly cleared the friday high near 0.7039, but reversed in a false break. Asia has since held a 0.7025–0.7034 range, with the asian low sitting on the 50% fib of Friday's rally, while softer USD on lower yields keeps dips contained. Price is pinned near EMA50, RSI(14) is around 57 and ATR is under 3 pips.
Support: 0.7025, 0.7011
Resistance: 0.7034, 0.7039
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7034 range top reopens the 0.7039 friday high
Failure to hold the 0.7025 asian low / 50% fib exposes the friday low at 0.7011
London open liquidity is likely to resolve the tight Asian range
RBA Gov. Bullock (Wed 00:15 UTC) and AU CPI (00:30 UTC) sit beyond this window but could materially shift the read
05:04 UTC
Flat, mild downside drift since open · RSI 51 · price 0.70295
Asian range 0.7025–0.7034 with lower highs.
Monday opened with a gap below Friday's 0.7036 close. The early push to a 0.7039 session high met rejection, and the Asia session has since compressed in a 0.7025–0.7034 range, with buyers defending the asian low three times beneath a falling trendline of lower highs. AUD is holding near 0.7030 as RBA hike bets offset Middle East risk-off, and price is coiling mid-range at 0.7030 ahead of London open.
Support: 0.70253, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 asian low breaks the floor and puts the 0.7000 round number in view
Close above the 0.7034 asian high and the lower-highs trendline reopens the 0.7039 session high
Hold of the asian low into London open keeps the range read intact
Middle East / Iran headlines can jolt the pair outside the Asian range with no scheduled data in the next 8h
04:46 UTC
Sideways, lower highs inside Asian range · RSI 48 · price 0.70309
Asian range 0.7025–0.7034 after false break above Friday high.
Monday Asia opened about 9 pips below Friday's close. Price filled the gap and briefly cleared the friday high at 0.7038, but the false break dropped it back into a 0.7025–0.7034 range. Late in the Asia session, lower highs now sit at the range high with RSI(14) flat near 48 and ATR around 3 pips; softer USD on lower yields has kept dips toward the range low shallow.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70221
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70379
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7034 range high clears the lower-highs line and the Asian range
Loss of the 0.7025 range low exposes the prior ny low at 0.7022
Acceptance back above the 0.7038 friday high would negate the false break
London open in ~2h is the first test of the Asian range
Monday Asia opened on a gap down to 0.7027. Price filled the gap and briefly took out Friday's 0.7038 high, printing an Asia high at 0.7039, then rejected to the 0.7025 session low. Since then the pair has compressed in a 0.7025–0.7034 range under a line of lower highs, with RSI(14) neutral near 45 and ATR down to about 3 pips, consistent with the digest's AUD consolidation around 0.7030 ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70113
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 session low exposes the 0.7011 friday low
Close above the 0.7034 range top and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.7039 asia high
London open in roughly 2.5h is the likely trigger for range expansion out of the Asian compression
Middle East or oil headlines could jolt AUD inside an otherwise quiet calendar window
Monday opened with a gap lower to 0.7027. A pop to the 0.7039 monday high briefly cleared Friday's 0.7038 high, then reversed within the hour, a false break that left the Friday-close gap unfilled. Asia session has since compressed between the 0.7025 range low and 0.7034 range top, with RSI(14) flat near 50 and Middle East risk-off headlines capping the bounce.
Support: 0.70254, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 range low breaks the Asian range and brings 0.7000 psych into view
Close above the 0.7034 range top reopens the 0.7039 monday high and the gap toward 0.7036
London open in ~3h is the first test of the Asian range
Fresh US-Iran headlines could break the range before London
04:03 UTC
Flat, mild lower highs · RSI 47 · price 0.70283
Tight Asian range after gap-fill rejection.
Monday opened with a gap down to 0.7027 that filled within the first hour. The push to the Monday high at 0.7039 was rejected, and price has since held a tight Asian range of 0.7025–0.7034 with lower highs. Rebounds have stalled in the 50–61.8% fib zone of the gap-fill drop. RSI(14) is near 47 and ATR is about 3 pips, with AUD steady near 0.7030 ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.70253, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
Break of the Asian low at 0.7025 into London open shifts focus to the 0.7000 round number
Close above the Asian high at 0.7034 and the lower-highs line reopens the Monday high at 0.7039
Tue US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence, then Wed Bullock (00:15 UTC) and CPI (00:30 UTC), are the next catalysts that could break the range
03:46 UTC
Sideways after failed push to new highs · RSI 48 · price 0.7029
Tight Asian range 0.7025–0.7033 below a lower high.
Monday opened with a ~9-pip gap lower. A false break above Friday's 0.7038 high to a 0.7039 session high reversed, and Asia has since held a tight 0.7025–0.7033 range with lower highs. The asian low at 0.7025 matches the 50% retrace of Friday's rally, and price sits on the 38.2%, with hawkish RBA pricing and a soft USD offset by Mideast risk-off.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70221, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 asian low exposes the 0.7022 swing low and the 0.7000 psych level
Close above the 0.7033 range top breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.7039 session high back in play
London open is the first test of the Asian range; ATR near 3 pips signals compressed conditions
US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence Tue from 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:31 UTC
Sideways after gap lower, below both EMAs · RSI 48 · price 0.70285
Asian range 0.7025–0.7034 after failed push through Friday high.
Monday Asia gapped about 9 pips below Friday's 0.7036 close. An early push to the 0.7039 asian high briefly cleared Friday's 0.7038 high, then failed back to 0.7025 as Middle East risk-off weighed on AUD. Since then, demand has held the 0.7025 asian low three times and supply has capped the 0.7034 range top near the 61.8% retrace; price is mid-range at 0.7029, with RSI(14) near 48 and ATR(14) about 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70221
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 asian low exposes the 0.7022 swing low from Friday NY
M15 close above the 0.7034 range top reopens the 0.7039 asian high and Friday's peak
London open is the next likely catalyst to resolve the Asian range
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; Middle East headlines are the main intraday risk
03:16 UTC
Sideways, compressing after gap fill · RSI 51 · price 0.70302
Tight Asian range 0.7025–0.7034, lower highs into a flat floor.
Monday Asia opened with a gap down to 0.7027 from Friday's 0.7036 close. The gap filled to a 0.7039 session high within two hours, then a rejection sent price back to 0.7025. Since then price has held a 0.7025–0.7034 range, with the asian low tested twice and lower highs pressing into the trendline. RSI(14) is flat near 51 and ATR(14) is about 3.5 pips, with AUD held near 0.7030 ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70221, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 asian low breaks the range floor and exposes the 0.7022 friday low, then 0.7000 psych
Close above the 0.7034 range high and the lower-highs trendline reopens the 0.7039 session high
London open in ~4h typically tests the Asian range edges
US-Iran / Middle East headlines remain a risk-off drag on AUD intraday
The weekend gap down to 0.7027 filled within the first hour. The push to the 0.7039 open high, just above Friday's 0.7038 top, failed, and Asia has since held a 0.7025–0.7034 range under a line of lower highs. RSI(14) near 46 and ATR around 3 pips show a quiet session, with AUD holding near 0.7030 on RBA hike bets ahead of Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.70253, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 asian low breaks the range and opens the 0.7000 round number
Reclaim of the 0.70335 asian high and the lower-highs line puts the 0.7039 open high back in play
London open is the first test of whether the Asian range holds
Middle East risk-off headlines could break the range on either side
Lower highs pressing a flat Asian low near 0.7025.
Monday gapped down to 0.7027, filled the gap, then made a false break above Friday's 0.7038 high with a session high at 0.7039 before rejection. Asia has since compressed into lower highs at 0.7034 and 0.7030 against a flat asian low at 0.7025. Price sits on that floor below both EMAs, with fragile Middle East risk sentiment capping AUD.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.7025 asian low breaks the base and leaves the 0.7004 friday low as the next reference
A close back above the 0.7034 lower high invalidates the descending-highs read and reopens the 0.7039 session high
Iran/Houthi headlines in Asia hours could materially shift this read; RBA's Bullock and CPI on Wed are the larger AUD risk
Asian range 0.7025–0.7039 after rejection at Friday high.
The weekend gap down to 0.7027 filled quickly, and the push to a 0.7039 Asia high briefly traded above Friday's 0.7038 top before rejection. Since then, price has held a tight 0.7025–0.7034 band in late Asia session. The bounce stalled at a lower high near the 61.8% retrace, and the 0.7025 Asia low was retested at 02:00 UTC. This fits the digest's read of AUD consolidating near 0.7030, with RBA hike bets underpinning it and Middle East risk-off capping it.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70221, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 asia low opens the 0.7022 swing low, with 0.7000 psych next
Close above the 0.7034 lower high breaks the descending trendline and negates the downside tilt
Reclaim of the 0.7039 asia high would turn the Friday-high false break into acceptance
London open could expand the Asian range given ATR(14) near 3.5 pips
Middle East or Iran headlines remain the main swing risk, as no scheduled AUD/USD data falls before London
Asia session range 0.7025–0.7034 after gap fill and rejection.
Asia opened with a gap below Friday's 0.7036 close. Price filled it and briefly cleared Friday's high to a 0.7039 session high before rejection, then settled into a 0.7025–0.7034 range. Spot is now pressing the session low under both EMAs with RSI(14) near 36, as AUD consolidates around 0.7030 between hawkish RBA hike bets and weak PMIs.
Support: 0.70253, 0.70221
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70359, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.7025 session low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 0.7022 swing low from Friday NY
Recovery above the 0.7034 range top reopens the 0.7036 friday close and the 0.7039 session high
London open is the first test of whether the Asian range holds
Bullock speech and CPI (Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC) can reset intraday structure
02:03 UTC
Short-term down, ranging after Asia rejection · RSI 40 · price 0.70282
Lower high under 0.70393 Asia high, tight range above 0.70254 Asia low.
Monday's Asia session opened about 9 pips below the friday close at 0.70359. The gap filled into a 0.70393 asia high before a rejection drove price to the 0.70254 asia low, with Middle East risk-off weighing on AUD. Since then a lower high at 0.70335 has capped price, stalling near the 61.8% of the asia high-low drop, and price is compressing in a 0.7025–0.7034 band below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.70254, 0.70221, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70359, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70335 lower high breaks the asia lower highs line and reopens the friday close at 0.70359
Failure to hold the 0.70254 asia low exposes the 0.70221 swing low, with the 0.7000 round number below
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; US-Iran/Houthi headlines remain the main intraday swing risk
01:46 UTC
Intraday pullback, now flat · RSI 40 · price 0.70279
Asia session range 0.70254–0.70393 after a rejection at the session high; lower high at 0.70335.
AUD opened the week with a gap down to 0.7027 and filled it past the fri close at 0.70359. It was then rejected at the session high of 0.70393 and slid to a session low at 0.70254, a move consistent with Middle East risk-off headlines weighing on the Aussie. Since then price has ranged 0.7026–0.7033 in the Asia session below both EMAs, with a lower high at 0.70335 capping the bounce.
Support: 0.70254, 0.70221
Resistance: 0.70335, 0.70359, 0.70393
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.70254 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the fri ny low at 0.70221
A close above the 0.70335 lower high breaks the descending lower-highs line and brings the fri close at 0.70359 back into play
US-Iran or Houthi headlines during thin Asia trade could break the current range
Monday's Asia session opened about 9 pips below the 0.70359 Friday close. Price filled the gap and briefly cleared Friday's 0.70379 high to a 0.70393 session high before a false break dropped it to the 0.70254 session low. Rising lows have since lifted price back to the 50% session fib near 0.7032, with RSI(14) neutral. Hawkish RBA rate remarks are offset by a fragile, headline-driven risk tone.
Support: 0.70283, 0.70254, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70359 friday close reopens the 0.70393 session high
Break of the rising lows and the 0.70254 session low turns the recovery into a lower-low, with 0.7000 psych next
Thin Asia liquidity: US-Iran or China countermeasure headlines could materially shift this read
Tight Asia consolidation 0.7025–0.7032 below a lower-high line.
Monday's Asia session opened with a gap down to 0.7027 that filled quickly. Price then made a false break above Friday's 0.7038 high to a 0.7039 session high and was rejected back to a 0.7025 session low. Since then it has held a tight 0.7025–0.7032 consolidation under a lower-high line, sitting on EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 45, a quiet pre-CPI tone consistent with the AUD digest.
Support: 0.70254, 0.70222, 0.70044
Resistance: 0.70319, 0.70393, 0.7045
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.7032 range top and the lower-high line reopens the 0.7039 session high, then the 0.7045 sma cluster
Failure to hold the 0.7025 session low exposes the 0.7022 prior pivot and the 0.7004 friday low
Fib 23.6% of the friday low–session high leg sits at 0.7031; acceptance below 38.2% near 0.7026 extends the retrace
US-Iran / Middle East headlines in thin Asia flow could shift this read; Bullock and AUD CPI (Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC) are the larger scheduled risk
Monday's Asia session opened with a roughly 9-pip gap down from Friday's 0.7036 close. The gap filled, and price briefly cleared the Friday high at 0.7038 to print a 0.70393 session high, then reversed sharply to a 0.70254 session low. Price is now holding 0.7026–0.7032, below both EMAs and capped near the 50% fib of that drop, with RSI(14) at 42 in a weekend-quiet, headline-led tape.
Support: 0.70254, 0.70221, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70324, 0.70379, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70324 50% fib reopens the friday high at 0.70379 and the 0.70393 session high
Failure to hold the 0.70254 session low exposes Friday's 0.70221 swing low, then the 0.7000 psych level
Bullock speech and AU CPI on Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC are the next scheduled drivers; Iran headlines are the main swing factor until then
00:46 UTC
Short-term down after opening false break · RSI 41 · price 0.70292
Tight range 0.7025–0.7032 beneath EMA20/EMA50.
Monday opened with a ~9-pip gap below the 0.70359 Friday close. The gap filled within the first hour and price briefly cleared Friday's high to a 0.70393 session high. That false break unwound to a 0.70254 session low, and early Asia session trade is now compressing in a 0.7025–0.7032 band under both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 41 and no new AUD flow after a headline-only weekend.
Support: 0.70254, 0.70221, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70319, 0.70359, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.70254 session low exposes the 0.70221 swing low from Friday's NY session
Close back above the 0.70319 range top (≈50% fib of the session drop) and the 0.70359 fri close would neutralise the false break
A slide toward the 0.7000 round number would bring the digest's key pivot into play
No scheduled AUD/USD data in the next 8h; Iran headlines remain the main swing factor for this read
Weekend gap filled, false break above Friday high, now ranging 0.7026–0.7032.
Asia opened with a ~9-pip gap below Friday's 0.7036 close. The gap filled quickly and price briefly printed a 0.70393 session high above the 0.70379 Friday high, then reversed to a 0.70254 session low. Price is now holding a tight 0.7026–0.7032 range under EMA20, sitting on EMA50 near the 38.2% of the session drop fib, with no new weekend AUD flow and Iran headlines the only input.
Support: 0.70254, 0.70221
Resistance: 0.70319, 0.70379, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.70319 micro high and the 50% of the session drop fib (0.70324) reopens the 0.70379 Friday high and the 0.70393 session high
Failure to hold the 0.70254 session low extends the Asia pullback toward the 0.70221 fri pivot
Second rejection near the Friday high would confirm the false break read
Iran headlines can lift the USD safe-haven bid and break the Asian range before London open
00:16 UTC
Intraday pullback after failed push to new highs · RSI 39 · price 0.70282
False break above Friday high, lower high then session low at 0.7025.
The weekly open gapped down to 0.7027 and filled within the hour. The push through Friday's 0.7038 high failed at the 0.7039 session high and reversed to a 0.7025 session low. Early Asia session now sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 39, stalling under the fib 38.2% of that drop at 0.7031 in thin liquidity.
Support: 0.70254, 0.70221, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70307, 0.70393
What it said to watch
Loss of the 0.7025 session low exposes Friday's 0.7022 NY swing low, with the 0.7000 psych handle below
A close back above the 0.7031 fib 38.2% reopens the 0.7039 session high and the false-break zone
Bullock speech and Australian CPI on Wed 00:15/00:30 UTC are the main risk to this read. US data from Tue 12:15 UTC comes first
00:03 UTC
Intraday pullback after failed push to new high · RSI 41 · price 0.70284
Gap filled, Friday high taken then rejected; lower high under 0.7036.
Asia session opened with a 9-pip gap under the 0.70359 Friday close. The gap filled and price briefly cleared Friday's 0.70379 high to a 0.70393 session high, then was rejected back to a 0.70254 session low. Price now sits near 0.7028, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 41 on a thin weekend news flow.
Support: 0.70254, 0.70221, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.70359, 0.70393
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.70393 session high negates the false break read
Price staying below the 0.70359 fri close keeps the Asian range capped
Failure to hold the 0.70254 session low exposes the 0.70221 swing low from Friday NY, then the 0.7000 round number
Early Asia liquidity is thin. Wed's Bullock speech and AU CPI (00:30 UTC) are the larger scheduled risk