AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 27 May 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:45 UTC
Downtrend, base building · RSI 47 · price 0.71385
Lower-high sequence, basing near session lows.
AUDUSD sold off from 0.7177 during NY hours into a 0.7124 spike low, then reclaimed quickly in a false break before settling into a tight 0.7133–0.7144 range through late NY and into early Asia. Price is grinding under prior high 0.71440 with RSI flat near 47 — no directional commitment heading into Asia open.
Support: 0.71283, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.7144, 0.71491, 0.71615
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71440 prior high reopens 0.71491 wick high then 0.71615 supply
Break below 0.71283 session low exposes the 0.71235 spike low
BoJ/yen carry headlines and AUD-linked RBNZ spillover could disturb the range
23:30 UTC
Downtrend, base forming · RSI 55 · price 0.71428
Lower highs, basing near session low.
Asia session is grinding sideways in a tight 0.71340–0.71430 band after London-NY hours swept the 0.71235 session low and reversed sharply, leaving a spike high at 0.71491. RSI(14) at 55 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips reflect a low-volatility holding pattern into Asia open with BoJ/yen and RBNZ-driven AUD/NZD flows in the background.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71304
Resistance: 0.71491, 0.71456, 0.71617
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71491 spike high opens path back to 0.71617 prior high
Loss of 0.71304 swing low re-exposes 0.71235 session low
BoJ/Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) in Tokyo today could lift volatility from current compression
23:15 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 47 · price 0.7141
Lower highs from 0.7179, holding 0.7124 floor.
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7179 Asia high in two clean legs, then swept to 0.71235 before snapping back to print a spike low rejection wick. Since then price has coiled in a tight 0.7134–0.7142 range through late NY and into the Asia handover, with RSI(14) flat near 47 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 0.7134, 0.71244, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71425, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.71425 intraday cap opens room back toward the 0.71491 rejection wick
Loss of the 0.71340 range floor exposes the 0.71244 session low and the 0.71235 spike low
RBA / Fed speakers in Tokyo today (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) could break the range
23:01 UTC
Downtrend, base forming · RSI 49 · price 0.7141
Lower highs, range floor at 0.7124.
AUDUSD sold off through London hours from 0.7179 to a session low at 0.7124, then carved out a tight range between 0.7133 and 0.7145 into the NY-Asia transition. Price is hugging the upper edge of that range at 0.7141 with RSI(14) flat near 49 — no momentum in either direction, low ATR(4.2 pips) typical of late-NY chop.
Support: 0.7135, 0.71244
Resistance: 0.7145, 0.7156, 0.7179
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7145 session high opens path back to 0.7156
Loss of 0.7135 range floor exposes 0.7124 session low
Tokyo central bank speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) could lift volatility in next session
22:45 UTC
Downtrend, base forming · RSI 53 · price 0.71406
Lower highs into 0.7125 base, bounce stalling.
AUDUSD sold off through the London session from 0.7177 down to a 0.71235 NY-session low, with a sharp wick recovery printing a false break before settling into a tight 0.7130–0.7142 range. Late NY drift is grinding back toward the 0.71427 recent high with RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR holding under 5 pips — consolidation, not a fresh leg.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71304
Resistance: 0.71427, 0.71491, 0.71615
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71427 recent high opens path to 0.71491 spike high then 0.71615 London supply
Break of 0.71304 prior swing exposes 0.71235 session low
Asia session open with RBNZ Breman hawkish-hold spillover could re-introduce volatility via AUD/NZD flows
22:30 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 50 · price 0.71423
Lower highs from 0.7179, base forming near 0.7125.
AUDUSD sold off through London into NY from 0.7179 down to a 0.7124 swing low, then printed a sharp recovery candle to 0.7149 (spike high) before stalling. Late-session price is grinding sideways around 0.71400 with RSI back at midline; consolidation in play above the session low.
Support: 0.71343, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71491, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71343 session low reopens 0.71235 swing low
Reclaim of 0.71491 spike high needed to challenge 0.71792 prior high
RBNZ Breman hawkish commentary weighing on AUD via AUD/NZD flows
Lower highs from 0.7179, base building near 0.7130.
AUDUSD sold off sharply through London after softer Australian CPI, breaking from 0.7179 down to a session low of 0.7124 before stabilising. NY hours have produced consolidation between 0.7130 and 0.7149, with the spike high at 0.7149 capping bounces and RSI flat near 47.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71304
Resistance: 0.71491, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71235 extends the downtrend to fresh session lows
Reclaim of 0.71491 spike high neutralises the bearish read
Asian session opening with central bankers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) speaking in Tokyo could shift USD tone
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 47 · price 0.71406
Lower highs, lower lows; flattening into range.
AUDUSD sold off through the London session after soft Australian inflation data, sweeping down to 0.71235 before snapping back to 0.71491. Since the NY close it has flattened into a tight 0.7133–0.7142 range with RSI(14) hovering near 47.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71304
Resistance: 0.71467
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71304 reopens the session low at 0.71235
M15 close above 0.71467 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Asia open with BoE/Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) in Tokyo could shift this read
21:45 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 0.71356
Lower highs into base near 0.7130.
AUDUSD sold off through the London session from 0.7177 to a 0.7124 session low after soft Australian CPI, with a sharp wick rejection back to 0.7149 before fading again. Price is now compressing in a tight 0.7130–0.7142 base into late NY with ATR collapsing, RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71304
Resistance: 0.71491, 0.71565, 0.71773
What it said to watch
close back above 0.71491 spike high reopens 0.71565
break of 0.71235 session low extends the downtrend
Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) in Tokyo Asia session could shift the read
AUDUSD sold from 0.7179 through the London-NY transition after soft Aussie CPI, basing around 0.7125 session low before a sharp wick to 0.7149 absorbed sellers. NY session has drifted into a tight consolidation between 0.7133 and 0.7142, with price now sitting on the intraday base at 0.71405 into Asia open.
Support: 0.7135, 0.71244, 0.71125
Resistance: 0.71425, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71244 session low extends the downtrend toward psych 0.7100
Reclaim of 0.71491 spike high invalidates the lower-high structure
Asia open headlines from RBNZ/Fed speakers in Tokyo could break this range
AUDUSD sold off through London and NY after soft Australian CPI, printing a session low at 0.71235 before a sharp spike to 0.71456 and fade back into the 0.7130-0.7142 range. Late NY/Asia handover has flattened into tight consolidation just under the spike high, RSI mid-range and ATR compressing.
Support: 0.71354, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71456, 0.7157
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71456 spike high opens path back to 0.71570 prior support
Break of 0.71354 session low re-exposes 0.71235 NY spike low
Asia session with multiple Fed speakers in Tokyo could disrupt the current consolidation
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 54 · price 0.71411
Lower highs lower lows, intraday base forming.
AUDUSD sold off through London after soft Australian inflation, breaking from 0.71792 down to 0.71235 session low before a sharp wick recovery to 0.71467. Last several hours have compressed into a tight 0.71300–0.71420 range with RSI lifting off oversold — bullish divergence on the lows, but no reclaim of the spike high yet.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71305
Resistance: 0.71467, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71467 spike high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.71305 swing reopens 0.71235 session low
APAC central bank speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene) in Tokyo could lift volatility
20:45 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 51 · price 0.71419
Lower-high sequence after sharp NY-session drop, current bounce capped.
AUDUSD sold off through London-NY into a 0.71235 session low after softer Australian CPI, with the rebound high at 0.71491 quickly rejected. Last 4 hours have been a tight grind between 0.71300 and 0.71420, RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR compressed — late-NY drift, no setup in play.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71304
Resistance: 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71491 rebound high would break the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.71235 session low extends the downtrend
Asian session open with BoE/Fed speakers in Tokyo could shift volatility
Lower-high sequence stalling, base forming above session low.
AUDUSD slid from 0.7179 to a 0.7124 session low after soft Australian CPI, with a sharp spike to 0.71491 quickly rejected back into the range. Last few hours have stabilised between 0.7130 and 0.7142, price now grinding higher above EMA20/50 but capped well below the 0.71467 spike high.
Support: 0.71244, 0.71316, 0.7139
Resistance: 0.71467
What it said to watch
Close above 0.71467 spike high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.71316 swing low reopens session low at 0.71244
Thin late-NY liquidity may exaggerate moves near 0.71421
20:15 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising into NY close · RSI 51 · price 0.71413
Lower highs into 0.7125 sweep, recovery to mid-range.
AUDUSD sold off through London-NY hours after the soft Australian CPI print, sweeping 0.7125 before snapping back to 0.7146. Last few hours have coiled in a tight 0.7133–0.7142 consolidation as NY winds down, RSI back to neutral at 51.
Support: 0.71354, 0.71283, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71467, 0.71542
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.7146 rebound high opens path to 0.7154 prior swing
Loss of 0.7128 session low re-exposes the 0.7123 sweep low
Thin late-NY liquidity may exaggerate moves; structure can shift quickly
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 48 · price 0.71413
Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.
AUDUSD sold off through London-NY after the soft Australian CPI print, sweeping 0.71235 before a sharp spike high to 0.71491 that immediately faded. Late NY has consolidated in a tight 0.71320–0.71420 range, RSI flat near mid-zone, with price grinding back to the intraday base.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.71491, 0.71617
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71491 spike high reopens 0.71617 prior shelf
Break of 0.71300 intraday base exposes 0.71235 session low
Asia open liquidity could break the current tight range
Lower highs into 0.7125 swing low, recovery to 0.7140 pivot.
AUDUSD sold off through NY hours after softer Australian CPI, printing a session low at 0.71235 before a sharp wick recovery to 0.71491. Price has since carved a basing pattern between 0.71283 and the 0.71418 pivot, with the late-session bid pushing back toward the pivot.
Soft Australian CPI pushed AUDUSD off 0.7179 through London into NY, with a sweep of 0.71235 followed by a sharp reclaim to 0.71491. Late-NY drift has settled into a tight 0.7130–0.7142 consolidation, RSI back to neutral and ATR compressing.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71304
Resistance: 0.71491, 0.71617, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71491 spike high opens path back to 0.71617
Break of 0.71304 intraday base reopens the 0.71235 session low
Thin late-NY liquidity could exaggerate any headline-driven move
Lower highs into 0.7124 sweep, recovery into mid-range.
AUDUSD slid through London after soft Australian CPI, dropping from 0.7179 to a 0.7124 session low before a sharp recovery candle into 0.7149 was faded. NY session has settled into a tight consolidation between 0.7128 swing low and 0.7142, RSI(14) flat near 46 with price pinned around EMA20.
Support: 0.71283, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71283 swing low reopens the 0.71235 session low
Reclaim of 0.71491 rejection wick would invalidate the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD slid through London and early NY after soft Australian CPI, printing a session low at 0.71244 before a sharp recovery wick into 0.71491. NY afternoon has stabilised in a tight 0.7132–0.7140 band with RSI lifting off oversold, suggesting downside momentum is cooling rather than reversing.
Support: 0.71244, 0.71125
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491, 0.71773
What it said to watch
Close above 0.71418 swing high opens room back toward 0.71773
Break of 0.71244 session low exposes the psych 0.7100 zone
Headline risk from Iran deal commentary could spike USD intraday
18:45 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.71362
Lower highs into 0.7125 sweep, modest recovery.
AUDUSD trended lower through London into NY after the soft Australian CPI print, sweeping below 0.7125 before recovering to 0.7136. Price is now coiling in a tight 0.7130–0.7140 range with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; momentum has stalled but structure remains lower-high.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71304
Resistance: 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71491 post-sweep hi would break the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD trended lower through London and NY after soft Australian CPI, with a sharp flush to 0.71235 before a sweep back to 0.71491 and fade. Last six bars coiling 0.71317–0.71404 just under the swing high, RSI(14) mid-range — no resolution yet.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Close above 0.71418 swing high opens path back to 0.71491
Break of 0.71300 psych exposes session low at 0.71235
Headline risk from ongoing US-Iran negotiations could spike USD
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
AUDUSD slid through the NY session after soft Australian CPI, sweeping below 0.71260 before bouncing into a tight 0.71300–0.71418 range. Price is now compressing around 0.71345 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the recent high at 0.71418 caps the bounce while session low at 0.71235 remains the line in the sand.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71235 session low extends the downtrend
Reclaim above 0.71418 recent high invalidates the bearish read
AUDUSD sold off through NY hours after soft Australian CPI, sweeping into 0.7124 before a sharp wick recovery to 0.7149. Price has since drifted lower into a tight 0.7132–0.7141 consolidation, with RSI(14) flat in the low 40s — no momentum in either direction late in the NY session.
Support: 0.71244, 0.71283, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7124 swing low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.7149 spike high neutralises the lower-high sequence
Late-NY liquidity thinning out, expect Asia open to redefine range
AUDUSD broke down through 0.71600 during NY hours after softer Australian CPI, extending to a session low at 0.71235 before a sharp wick reclaim to 0.71491 then fade. Last few bars are coiling in a tight 0.71300–0.71400 range with RSI(14) flat in the low 40s, no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.7140, 0.71491, 0.7160
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71235 session low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.71400 intraday pivot neutralises the NY break
AUDUSD trended lower through London and into NY after a sharp drop from 0.71790 following soft Australian inflation data, with the session low at 0.71235 swept and reclaimed in a single-bar spike to 0.71491. Price has since stalled in a tight 0.71300–0.71418 range with RSI(14) recovering toward neutral; downtrend intact but momentum cooling.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71418 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.71300 psych reopens the 0.71235 session low
Headline risk around Iran talks could drive USD volatility
17:15 UTC
Downtrend, base forming · RSI 51 · price 0.71387
Lower highs into 0.7124 sweep, recovery into 0.7140.
AUDUSD trended lower through NY hours from 0.7179 into a sweep low at 0.71235, then snapped back to 0.71491 before settling into a tight 0.7135–0.7140 coil. Momentum has flattened with RSI near 51 and price pinned just above EMA20 but below EMA50.
Support: 0.7135, 0.71244, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.7142, 0.71491, 0.7157
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71491 rebound high opens room back to 0.71570 shelf
Loss of 0.71244 session low re-exposes the 0.71235 sweep low
Iran headline flow remains a live risk to USD direction
AUDUSD ground lower through the NY session, with a sweep of 0.71235 followed by a sharp recovery wick into 0.71491 before fading back. Price is now consolidating around 0.7138 with RSI lifting off oversold, suggesting the downside impulse has paused into late NY.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71304
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71491 spike high would neutralise the downtrend read
Loss of 0.71235 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Iran headline flow remains a tail risk for risk-FX
Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.
AUDUSD trended lower through the NY session from 0.71792 to a sweep low at 0.71235, then snapped back to 0.71491 before settling into a tight 0.71270–0.71390 consolidation. Price is basing just above the session low with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; no clean structure shift yet.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71283
Resistance: 0.71491, 0.71792
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.71491 spike high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.71235 session low extends the downtrend
Headline risk from Iran negotiations remains a wildcard
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.7179 down to a 0.71235 session low, where a sharp wick rejection swept the swing low before recovering to 0.71491. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.7130–0.7140 range with RSI(14) hovering mid-40s, no follow-through in either direction.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71283
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71235 session low confirms continuation
Reclaim of 0.71491 spike high signals deeper unwind of the down leg
Iran headlines remain a live tape risk into the close
AUDUSD trended lower through the NY session, printing a session low at 0.71244 before a sharp spike to 0.71491 was sold back into the range. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.71283-0.71418 band with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but momentum still skewed lower.
Support: 0.71244, 0.71283
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71244 session low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.71418 micro pivot neutralises the bearish read
Repeat false break above 0.71491 spike high would flag exhaustion
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, late NY · RSI 41 · price 0.71353
Lower highs, lower lows since London.
AUDUSD sold off through London and into NY, sweeping below 0.71254 before a sharp wick recovery to 0.71491 that immediately failed. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.7128–0.7140 band, RSI(14) at 41 with both EMAs overhead.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71283
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71418 micro lh would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.71235 session low extends the downtrend
Iran-US MoU headlines remain a binary risk into Asia open
Lower highs, lower lows since London session high.
AUDUSD has traded lower through the NY session, printing a clean sequence of lower highs from the 0.71792 swing into a session low at 0.71244. A spike high to 0.71491 was rejected back into the range, and price is now consolidating in the 0.7126–0.7140 band with RSI(14) recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.71244, 0.71304
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71244 session low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.71418 recent swing neutralises the lower-high structure
Iran MoU headline risk remains a wildcard that could shift the read
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 0.71500 shelf and printing fresh lows at 0.71235 before a sharp wick-back to 0.71491 that was immediately faded. Price now sits mid-range around 0.71347 with lower highs intact and RSI(14) near 40 — no reversal structure yet.
Support: 0.71244, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71418 swing breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.71235 spike low extends the downtrend
Iran MoU headlines remain a risk-sentiment driver for AUD
AUDUSD has trended lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 0.71244 after the breakdown level at 0.71565 gave way. A sharp wick up to 0.71491 was rejected and the pair is now grinding a chain of lower highs, last LH at 0.71418, with RSI(14) at 36 leaving room before oversold.
Support: 0.71244, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491, 0.71565
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71418 LH would break the lower-high sequence
Sustained break of 0.71244 session low extends the downtrend
Iran/US MoU headline flow remains a risk to the read
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, sellers in control · RSI 38 · price 0.71263
Lower highs and lower lows since London.
AUDUSD broke down from the 0.7174 area during NY hours and has stair-stepped lower, with a sharp sweep into 0.71235 quickly rejected back to 0.71491 before sellers reasserted. Price is now grinding near session low at 0.71263 with RSI(14) at 38 — momentum bearish but not stretched, ATR around 5.6 pips.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71283
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Break and hold below 0.71235 session low extends the downtrend
M15 close back above 0.71418 recent lh would neutralise the bearish read
Iran-US MoU headline flow remains a wildcard for risk FX
14:45 UTC
Downtrend, NY session selling · RSI 41 · price 0.71365
Lower highs and lower lows since London.
AUDUSD trended lower through London and into NY, printing a session low at 0.71254 before a sharp wick down to 0.71235 swept the low and snapped back to 0.71491 on Iran MoU headlines. Price has since faded the spike high and is consolidating in the 0.7131–0.7141 zone, RSI(14) recovering from oversold but still below 50.
Support: 0.71254, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71418, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71418 recent high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.71254 session low resumes the downtrend
Ongoing Iran-US MoU headlines could drive sharp two-way moves
14:30 UTC
Downtrend, sellers in control · RSI 38 · price 0.71364
Lower highs, lower lows after NY break.
AUDUSD broke down sharply during NY hours from 0.71792, with a fast sweep to 0.71235 followed by a snapback wick to 0.71467 before sellers reclaimed control. Price is now grinding in the lower half of the post-break range, RSI(14) near 38 and below both EMAs.
Support: 0.71254, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71467, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.71467 spike high would neutralise the downside read
Break of the 0.71254 session low opens continuation toward fresh intraday lows
RBNZ hawkish hold spillover and soft US ADP pulse already weighing on AUD tone
AUDUSD broke down through 0.71550 during NY session and extended to a fresh low at 0.71235 before a sharp wick recovery to 0.71491. Price has since faded back toward the lows, holding a downtrend with sellers stepping in on every push back into 0.7140s.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.71467
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71235 extends the downtrend toward 0.71300 psych break
Reclaim of 0.71467 spike high would neutralise the late-session breakdown
RBNZ hawkish hold spillover into AUD crosses could distort the read
AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY transition, breaking the 0.7155 shelf and printing a spike low at 0.71235 before snapping back to 0.71491. Price has since consolidated in a tight 0.7130–0.7138 range with RSI flat in the low 40s — sellers in control on structure but momentum has stalled.
Support: 0.71283, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71491 rebound high would neutralise the downtrend read
Break below 0.71235 spike low extends the leg lower
BBH note flagging 0.7000 as fair value keeps macro pressure on rallies
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7160 during NY hours and printed a session low at 0.71235 before a sharp mechanical bounce to 0.71491 that has since faded. Sellers stepped back in below 0.7140, with the most recent bars consolidating near the lows and BBH commentary citing 0.7136 fits the structural read.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71283
Resistance: 0.71491, 0.71617
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71491 bounce high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD slid through the NY session, breaking the 0.71557 shelf and extending to a session low at 0.71235 before a sharp rebound high at 0.71467 was rejected. Price has rolled back over toward the lows with RSI(14) near 36; sellers remain in control while below the rebound high.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.71467, 0.71557
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71467 rebound high would neutralise the downtrend read
Break of 0.71235 session low extends the lower-low sequence
BBH note flagging settlement near 0.7000 aligns with the prevailing downside drift
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.71792 down to a 0.71235 sweep, then snapped back to 0.71491 before fading again. Price is pinned below both EMAs with RSI in the high 30s; sellers respected the 0.71491 reclaim attempt.
Support: 0.71235, 0.71304
Resistance: 0.71491, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71491 spike high would neutralise the downtrend read
Break of 0.71235 session low confirms continuation lower
BBH note flags 0.7000 as medium-term gravitational level if 0.71235 fails
AUDUSD broke down through 0.71500 during NY hours and printed a fresh session low at 0.71235 before a sharp wick recovery to 0.71491 and immediate rejection. Price is pinned in the lower third of the 24h range with RSI(14) at 38 — soft but not stretched.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.71491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71491 spike high would neutralise the downtrend read
M15 close below 0.71235 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Headline risk on US-Iran MoU could disrupt the structural read
Lower highs and lower lows, last bar reclaims mid-range.
NY session swept the session low at 0.71235 before a sharp reclaim candle pushed price back to 0.71490, the wick high. Sellers had controlled the day with stacked lower highs from 0.71790, but the rejection at the low coincided with RSI lifting off oversold, leaving price now mid-range below the broken shelf at 0.71570.
Support: 0.71235, 0.7130, 0.7139
Resistance: 0.7149, 0.7157, 0.7168
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.71570 broken shelf would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Failure under 0.71390 prior pivot reopens the session low at 0.71235
Ongoing US-Iran headlines could whip risk-sensitive AUD intraday
AUDUSD extended its slide through NY hours, breaking the 0.71540 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 0.71236 on the latest bar. The sequence of lower highs from 0.71790 down has been clean, RSI(14) now around 26 — stretched but consistent with trend, no divergence yet.
Support: 0.71236, 0.7115, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.7134, 0.7146
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71340 micro pivot would stall the lower-low sequence
AUDUSD has trended lower through NY hours after a sharp rejection from 0.71792 during London, with sellers pressing through 0.71456 swing high and now printing a fresh session low at 0.71283. Soft Australian CPI and RBA pause commentary cited by BBH targeting 0.7000 align with the bearish drift; RSI(14) at 31 is stretched but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.71283, 0.7125, 0.7107
Resistance: 0.7139, 0.71456
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71390 micro pivot would stall the lower-low sequence
AUDUSD broke down from the 0.7174–0.7179 NY range with a sharp 0.71557 impulse and has since printed a chain of lower highs into 0.71283. RSI(14) at 33 — pressured but not yet extreme, and price grinding fresh session lows on the last bar.
Support: 0.71283, 0.7125
Resistance: 0.7139, 0.71456, 0.71557
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71390 micro pivot would stall the downtrend read
Break of 0.71283 session low extends toward 0.71250 psych
Headline risk from US-Iran deal flow could whip risk FX
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7156 during NY hours after soft Australian CPI and reduced RBA hike bets, extending to a fresh session low at 0.71296 with RSI(14) near 29. Sequence of lower highs from the 0.71720 NY high remains intact; no reclaim attempt yet.
Support: 0.71296, 0.7125, 0.7120
Resistance: 0.7145, 0.7156, 0.7172
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71450 micro pivot would break the lower-high sequence
Acceptance below 0.71250 psych opens 0.71200 round number
RSI oversold — risk of mean-reversion bounce into 0.71450
AUDUSD slid through London into early NY, breaking 0.7150 after a soft-AUD CPI narrative and a hawkish Kashkari Fed line capped the 0.7179 session high. Price prints fresh lows at 0.71306 with RSI(14) near 32 — extended but not yet washed out. Sequence of lower highs from 0.71792 → 0.71522 → 0.71456 keeps the intraday structure heavy.
Support: 0.71306, 0.7125, 0.7115
Resistance: 0.7144, 0.71522, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71440 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.71792 session high during London hours on the back of soft Australian CPI commentary, breaking the 0.71557 shelf and grinding to a fresh session low at 0.71316 into early NY. Bounces have stalled at the 0.71460 micro lower-high, RSI(14) sitting near 30 and price beneath both EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 0.71316, 0.7130, 0.7139
Resistance: 0.7146, 0.71557, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71460 micro lh would neutralise the lower-high chain
loss of 0.71316 session low opens path toward 0.71300 psych
0.7070 area flagged by Societe Generale as broader support if selling extends
AUDUSD sold off sharply from the 0.7179 session high after the soft Australian CPI print, breaking the 0.7154 broken support during NY hours and now grinding to a fresh session low at 0.7131. RSI(14) at 32 shows momentum extending without yet reaching oversold; bounces have capped at the 0.7146 swing high.
Support: 0.71316, 0.71354, 0.71425
Resistance: 0.7146, 0.71542, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71460 swing high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Sustained acceptance below 0.71316 session low extends the downtrend
Thin late-session liquidity may exaggerate moves into the close
10:45 UTC
Intraday downtrend after soft AU CPI · RSI 38 · price 0.71388
Lower highs, lower lows since 0.7179 rejection.
London session sold the 0.7179 supply zone after soft AU CPI cooled RBA hike bets, breaking the 0.7155 floor and extending to 0.7135. NY hours have stabilised in a tight 0.7138–0.7145 base, RSI(14) lifting off 30 but price still capped under the 0.7146 lower high.
Support: 0.71354, 0.71425
Resistance: 0.71456, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71456 breaks the lower-high chain
Lower highs and lower lows after NY-session break of 0.7175.
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7175 during the NY session on soft Australian CPI, printing a session low at 0.7139 before stalling. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.7141–0.7145 range just above the session low with RSI(14) lifting from oversold but no reclaim of the 0.7153 micro pivot.
Support: 0.7139, 0.7146
Resistance: 0.7153, 0.71615
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71530 micro pivot would weaken the downtrend read
Break below 0.71390 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.71615 prior shelf invalidates the intraday breakdown
AUDUSD rejected hard from the 0.71792 session high during early European trade after a soft Australian CPI print, breaking the prior range and printing successive lower lows into 0.71354. Price is currently consolidating just above the session low with RSI(14) at 33, no reversal structure yet.
Support: 0.71354, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.7146, 0.71792
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71460 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-low sequence
NY session sold the 0.71792 session high sharply, breaking the prior 0.71540 floor and printing a fresh session low at 0.71354. Price is grinding sideways near the lows with RSI(14) at 33, no reclaim of the 0.71460 micro pivot yet.
Support: 0.71354, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.7146, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71460 micro pivot would neutralise the lower-high structure
Loss of 0.71354 session low opens the 0.71300 psych handle
Ongoing US-Iran headline risk can spike ATR with no warning
NY session sold the 0.71792 session high with a sharp impulsive leg, breaking the prior consolidation and driving to 0.71354 before stabilising. Price now grinding sideways around 0.71440 with RSI lifting off oversold into the high 30s — early bullish divergence forming against the lows but no reclaim of the 0.71495 swing high yet.
Support: 0.71354, 0.71425
Resistance: 0.71495, 0.71792
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71495 swing high would neutralise the downtrend read
Break of 0.71354 session low extends the breakdown
US-Iran headline risk remains live and can override structure
09:30 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 36 · price 0.71423
Lower highs, lower lows post-NY drop.
Sharp NY-session drop from the 0.71792 session high sliced through 0.71557 and extended to a 0.71354 session low, putting price firmly below EMA20/EMA50. Last few bars show a shallow bounce off the lows with a mild bullish RSI divergence as RSI lifts from oversold; drop origin at 0.71557 caps the recovery.
Support: 0.71354, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.7146, 0.71557, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71460 micro pivot would neutralise the downside push
Break of 0.71354 session low extends the downtrend toward 0.71300 round number
US-Iran headline risk remains live and can override structure
09:15 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 0.71396
Lower highs, lower lows after NY break.
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7160 during the NY session after a failed push to 0.7179, printing a session low at 0.71354 with RSI(14) at 33. Sellers have stacked lower highs from the pullback high at 0.71524, and price now hovers just above the lows into the late-NY hours.
Support: 0.71354, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.7146, 0.71524, 0.71617
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71460 micro pivot weakens the lower-high chain
Break of 0.71354 session low extends the leg toward 0.71300 psych
Ongoing US-Iran headline risk could whipsaw the read
Lower highs and lower lows after NY break of session range.
AUDUSD broke down sharply during the NY session from 0.7179, slicing through the 0.7160 asia high support and extending to a fresh session low at 0.71354. Price is now consolidating just above that low with RSI(14) near 31 and EMA20/50 capping above; the move follows Kashkari's hawkish inflation remarks earlier in the European session.
Support: 0.71354, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.7146, 0.7154, 0.71617
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71540 broken support would neutralise the lower-low read
Break of 0.71354 session low extends the downtrend toward the 0.7130 psych level
Further Fed / US-Iran headlines could materially shift this read
08:45 UTC
Downtrend accelerating into NY morning · RSI 26 · price 0.71373
Lower highs, lower lows after London-session breakdown.
AUDUSD broke the 0.71522 shelf during London hours and has trended lower through the NY open, printing fresh session lows at 0.71353 with RSI(14) at 26 — stretched but consistent with the impulse. Sellers rejected the 0.71615 prior-support-turned-resistance on the corrective bounce and price is now grinding the lows.
Support: 0.71353, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.7145, 0.71522, 0.71615
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71522 breakdown lvl would neutralise the downtrend read
Acceptance below 0.71353 session low opens the 0.71300 psych area
Headline risk around US-Iran truce talks remains a wildcard for AUD risk tone
08:30 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 21 · price 0.71373
Lower highs, lower lows post-NY.
AUDUSD broke down through the 0.71617 floor during NY hours and has trended lower for the last 5 hours, printing fresh session lows at 0.71354. RSI(14) at 21 shows the move is stretched but momentum is one-way with no rejection wick yet at the lows.
Support: 0.71373, 0.71354
Resistance: 0.7146, 0.71617
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71460 would signal the downside leg has stalled
Continued closes below 0.71354 extend the lower-low sequence
Backdrop driven by Kashkari hawkish inflation comments and US-Iran headline risk
Sharp NY-session breakdown from 0.71790 dragged price to fresh session low at 0.71370, with each bounce capped lower (0.71617, 0.71542). RSI(14) at 22 is stretched, but no rejection wick yet — the lower-highs chain remains intact into the close.
Support: 0.7137, 0.71447
Resistance: 0.7146, 0.71542, 0.71617
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71460 broken support would neutralise the lower-highs read
Sustained acceptance below 0.71370 session low extends the down-leg
Fed Kashkari hawkish tone and US-Iran headlines keeping USD bid into NY
Sharp rejection from the 0.71792 session high triggered a steady leg lower through London hours, breaking the 0.71617 prior support and extending to fresh session lows at 0.7137. RSI(14) sub-25 flags short-term oversold but no reversal signal yet on this TF.
Support: 0.7137, 0.71447, 0.7150
Resistance: 0.71524, 0.71617, 0.71792
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71524 pullback high would neutralise the lower-high chain
Continuation through 0.7137 session low extends the downtrend toward 0.715 psych
Fed/Kashkari hawkish tone in headlines keeps USD bid risk live
AUDUSD broke down through the 0.71640 shelf during NY hours after the soft Australia April CPI print and Kashkari's hawkish inflation tilt, printing a fresh session low at 0.71423. Sellers extended through 0.71570 and 0.71490 without a meaningful bounce, RSI(14) deep at 28 but no divergence yet.
Support: 0.71423, 0.7140
Resistance: 0.7149, 0.7157, 0.7164
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.71490 micro pivot would soften the downtrend read
Loss of 0.71400 psych opens room for continuation
RSI bullish divergence on a retest of session low would flag exhaustion
AUDUSD sold off sharply through late Asia into early London after tagging a session high at 0.71792, with a clean break of the 0.71540 support shelf and follow-through to fresh lows at 0.71447. RSI(14) at 28 reflects a stretched move; price now sits pinned at the lows with no reclaim attempt yet.
Support: 0.71447, 0.7140
Resistance: 0.7153, 0.71792
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71530 micro pivot would neutralise the downside extension
M15 close below 0.71447 session low extends the leg toward the 0.71400 round number
Kashkari hawkish inflation comments keep USD bid into NY
07:15 UTC
Downtrend after sharp NY drop · RSI 31 · price 0.71469
Lower highs and lower lows from 0.7179.
AUDUSD sold off sharply during NY hours, breaking the session range with a clean drop from 0.7179 to 0.7152 after softer Australian April CPI. Price made a fresh session low at 0.71455 on the last bar with RSI(14) near 31; lower highs at 0.71617 and 0.71529 capping the bounces.
Support: 0.71455, 0.71522
Resistance: 0.71529, 0.71617, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71529 micro pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Break and hold below 0.71455 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Kashkari hawkish-leaning USD inflation comments could keep pressure on AUD into London close
AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.7179 session high during NY hours after the soft Australian April CPI print, with a sharp impulse leg through prior support around 0.7162 sending price to fresh session lows at 0.71455. RSI(14) at 30 reflects the late-NY momentum push, with the pair pinned near the lows into the Asia handover.
Support: 0.71455, 0.7140
Resistance: 0.71525, 0.7162, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71525 micro pivot would stall the lower-low sequence
Break of 0.71455 session low opens the path toward 0.7140 psych
Reclaim of 0.71620 prior shelf needed to neutralise the downtrend read
Lower-high printed at 0.7179, breakdown back through session lows.
Asian session printed a lower high at 0.7179 before a sharp rejection on the soft Australian April CPI miss (4.2% vs 4.4% expected), dragging price back through the 0.7160 shelf. Last six bars have stair-stepped lower into a fresh session low at 0.7146, RSI(14) at 28 — extended but not yet stabilising.
Support: 0.71464
Resistance: 0.7160, 0.71692, 0.71792
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.7160 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown read
Sustained acceptance below 0.7146 session low extends the lower-low sequence
ATR of ~5 pips is thin; a NY-session expansion could reset the structural picture
06:30 UTC
Intraday downtrend after Asian CPI drop · RSI 32 · price 0.7152
Lower highs into 0.7150, retesting session low.
AUDUSD broke down sharply from 0.7179 during the Asian session after the soft April CPI print (4.2% vs 4.4% expected), losing roughly 25 pips on the release bar. Price has since chopped between 0.7156 and 0.7166 before resuming lower into the European handover, now retesting the session low at 0.7150 with RSI(14) at 32.
Support: 0.71507, 0.71522
Resistance: 0.71617, 0.71669, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7150 extends the post-CPI drop leg
Reclaim of 0.7166 recent swing neutralises the lower-high sequence
London open in ~1h could re-price the post-CPI move
06:15 UTC
Intraday pullback after rejection · RSI 33 · price 0.71543
Range broken to downside post-CPI.
Price was grinding higher through Asia toward 0.71792 before a sharp rejection during the London handover dropped AUDUSD 25 pips back into the prior range and through it, with sellers stepping in twice at the broken shelf around 0.71630. Last bars are pressing the session low at 0.71522 with RSI cooling into the low 30s; soft Australian April CPI earlier is the backdrop.
Support: 0.71522, 0.7146
Resistance: 0.7163, 0.7170, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71630 broken shelf would neutralise the downside break
Loss of 0.71522 session low opens path toward 0.71460 psych
AUDUSD rallied to a session high of 0.7179 before the soft Australian April CPI print (4.2% vs 4.4% expected) triggered a sharp leg lower, breaking the prior NY range and printing a session low at 0.71522. Price has since chopped in a tight 0.7157-0.7163 band with lower highs forming; RSI(14) at 33 reflects the post-CPI weakness without yet reaching oversold extremes.
Support: 0.71522, 0.7145
Resistance: 0.7163, 0.7172, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71630 intra pivot would neutralise the post-CPI break
Loss of 0.71522 session low opens path toward 0.71450 psych level
RBNZ Governor Breman commentary still flowing — cross-AUD spillover risk
Price pushed to 0.71792 into the Asia CPI window then collapsed nearly 30 pips to 0.71522 after the soft headline 4.2% print, a clean rejection of the pre-CPI high. Since then AUDUSD has rebuilt into a tight 0.71570–0.71670 range with RSI(14) basing in the low 40s, no resolution yet.
Support: 0.7157, 0.71522
Resistance: 0.7168, 0.71739, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71680 range mid reopens the pre-CPI high at 0.71739
Break of 0.71570 session low exposes the 0.71522 CPI spike low
London open in ~3h likely to set direction out of the current range
Lower high printed at 0.7179, holding 0.7155 floor.
AUDUSD dropped from 0.7179 to 0.7152 on the softer-than-expected Australian April CPI print, then stabilised into Asia-Europe handover around 0.7160. Price is consolidating below the broken intraday pivot at 0.7168 with RSI(14) recovering from sub-30, structure now a tight range between the cpi spike low and that pivot.
Support: 0.71557, 0.71522, 0.7150
Resistance: 0.7168, 0.71792, 0.71739
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7168 intraday pivot would neutralise the post-CPI breakdown
Loss of 0.7152 session low opens room toward the 0.7150 psych level
Thin Asia liquidity — moves into London open can extend either side of the range
Range with failed breakout to 0.7179, recovery into mid-range.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.7179 in the late Asia session before a sharp 25-pip flush to 0.7152 on the softer-than-expected Australian April CPI print, then bid back into the mid-range. Price now sits at 0.7160, hugging below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 44, no directional impulse since the recovery.
Support: 0.71557, 0.71522
Resistance: 0.7168, 0.71773, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71522 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 0.71680 mid-range would neutralise the post-CPI rejection
Sustained move above 0.71773 pre-drop high invalidates the false break read
04:45 UTC
Intraday pullback after CPI miss · RSI 42 · price 0.7160
Session high rejected, range developing.
Asian session printed a session high at 0.71792 before the softer-than-expected Australia April CPI (4.2% vs 4.4% forecast) triggered a sharp 23-pip drop to 0.71522. Price has since stabilised in a tight range between the post-CPI low and 0.71673 mid-range, RSI(14) recovering toward neutral.
Support: 0.71557, 0.71522
Resistance: 0.71673, 0.71792
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71673 mid-range would neutralise the CPI-driven leg lower
Break below 0.71522 session low extends the post-CPI downside
RBNZ Governor Breman presser still in play, AUD sensitive via NZD correlation
04:30 UTC
Intraday range, sharp rejection from session high · RSI 41 · price 0.71611
Range broken to upside then swept back inside.
Asian session pushed to 0.71792 then collapsed 23 pips in a single bar after the soft April CPI print, sweeping back through prior pivots. Price has stabilised in a 0.71570–0.71670 band, RSI(14) recovering from sub-30 toward neutral and ATR elevated at 4.3 pips.
Support: 0.71557, 0.71522
Resistance: 0.71792, 0.71729, 0.71686
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71686 intraday lvl would negate the CPI-driven rejection
Loss of 0.71557 session low opens 0.71522 spike low
RBNZ Breman presser headlines still crossing — AUD cross-flow risk
04:15 UTC
Intraday range, sharp rejection from session high · RSI 41 · price 0.71593
Range with failed breakout to 0.7179.
Price grinded up to 0.7179 in early Asia before a sharp rejection on the Australian April CPI miss (4.2% vs 4.4%), dumping 25 pips to 0.7152 in two bars. Buyers stepped in at 0.7155 but the recovery has stalled below the 0.7168 mid-range, RSI cooling around 41 with price back near session lows.
Support: 0.71557, 0.71522, 0.7146
Resistance: 0.7168, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71522 session low extends the post-CPI leg
Reclaim of 0.71680 mid-range neutralises the rejection read
London open in ~3h could redefine the intraday range
Range broken lower after soft AU CPI follow-through.
Price drifted higher through the Asian session to 0.71792 before a sharp drop sliced through the 0.71680 shelf to a session low of 0.71522, with the AU April CPI undershoot (4.2% vs 4.4%) weighing on AUD. Subsequent bars have retested the broken shelf from below and rolled over again, RSI cooling near 40.
Support: 0.71522, 0.71557
Resistance: 0.7168, 0.71792
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71680 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown
M15 close below 0.71522 session low extends the leg lower
RBNZ Breman press conference commentary on AUD-NZD crosses could spill into AUD
03:45 UTC
Intraday range broken lower · RSI 38 · price 0.71619
Session high swept then sharp rejection back into range.
Asian session pushed to 0.71792 session high before a sharp rejection dumped 27 pips into 0.71522, retracing the entire post-CPI advance. Price now consolidating near 0.71619 with RSI(14) at 38 after the flush; session low and breakout px at 0.71729 frame the new intraday range.
Support: 0.71522, 0.71561
Resistance: 0.71792, 0.71729, 0.7167
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71522 session low extends the breakdown
Reclaim of 0.71670 micro pivot neutralises the rejection
Soft Australia April CPI (4.2% vs 4.4%) already absorbed in the dump
03:30 UTC
Intraday range broken lower · RSI 41 · price 0.7161
Range break after CPI miss, attempting recovery.
AUDUSD ran up to 0.71792 in late Asia before the April CPI miss (4.2% vs 4.4% expected) triggered a sharp drop to 0.71522, breaking the prior session shelf at 0.71670. Price has since clawed back roughly half the drop and is currently testing the broken shelf from below, RSI(14) recovering off oversold.
Support: 0.71522, 0.71561
Resistance: 0.7167, 0.71729, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71670 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown
Failure at 0.71670 and break of 0.71522 session low extends the post-CPI leg
RBNZ press conference in progress — AUD cross flows could distort the read
Range 0.7155-0.7178, sharp flush, partial recovery.
AUDUSD ran up to 0.7179 during early Asia then took a sharp 25-pip flush to 0.7152 following the softer-than-expected Australian April headline CPI print. Price has since recovered half the drop and is consolidating around 0.7161 below the prior range floor at 0.7166, RSI(14) lifting from oversold.
Support: 0.71557, 0.71522
Resistance: 0.71665, 0.71792
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71665 prior range would neutralise the flush
M15 close below 0.71522 session low extends the lower-low sequence
RBNZ Governor presser at 03:00 GMT can spill into AUD via the cross
03:01 UTC
Intraday range, late drop on CPI · RSI 41 · price 0.71612
Range broken lower, attempting reclaim.
AUDUSD spent most of the Asia session ranging 0.7160–0.7180, then dumped to a session low of 0.71522 on the soft Australia April CPI print (4.2% vs 4.4% expected). Price has clawed back to 0.71612 but stalled into the 0.71650 post-CPI high, with RSI(14) still sub-50.
Support: 0.71522, 0.71561
Resistance: 0.7165, 0.71792
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71650 post-CPI high would negate the downside break
Failure to hold 0.71522 session low extends the CPI-driven leg lower
RBNZ Governor press conference at 03:00 GMT could spill into AUD
02:45 UTC
Intraday range broken lower · RSI 33 · price 0.71569
Range top rejected, fresh lower-low printed post-CPI.
Asian session sold sharply after the soft Australian April CPI print (4.2% vs 4.4% f'cast), with a clean rejection at the 0.71792 session high and a 60-pip flush to 0.71522. Price is consolidating just under the broken 0.71615 shelf, RSI(14) at 33 after the impulse, ATR expanded to ~4 pips per bar.
Support: 0.71522, 0.71549
Resistance: 0.71615, 0.71692, 0.71792
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71615 broken shelf would neutralise the lower-low read
Loss of 0.71522 session low extends the post-CPI leg
RBNZ Governor presser at 03:00 GMT could spill into AUD via cross flows
02:30 UTC
Intraday range broken lower, sharp reversal in progress · RSI 33 · price 0.71606
Session high swept then aggressive flush, attempting to base.
Asian session pushed to a session high at 0.71792 then collapsed ~27 pips into 0.71522 after the softer-than-expected Australian April CPI print (4.2% vs 4.4% expected). Price now attempting to base above 0.71522 with RSI(14) at 33; the 0.71680 broken shelf is the first level supply will be tested at on any bounce.
Support: 0.71522, 0.71549
Resistance: 0.7168, 0.71732, 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71680 broken shelf would neutralise the flush
Loss of 0.71522 session low extends the downside leg
RBNZ Governor press conference at 03:00 GMT may inject AUD/NZD-driven volatility
AUDUSD spent most of the Asia session ranging 0.7160–0.7170 before pushing to a session high at 0.71792, then flushed sharply to 0.71522 on the soft Australian April CPI print (4.2% vs 4.4% expected). Price is now consolidating just above the post-CPI low with RSI(14) near 31; range mid at 0.71680 caps any bounce attempt.
Support: 0.71547, 0.71522
Resistance: 0.7168, 0.71792, 0.71732
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71680 range mid would neutralise the post-CPI flush
Loss of 0.71522 post-CPI low extends the downside leg
RBNZ Governor press conference at 03:00 GMT could spill into AUD
02:01 UTC
Intraday range, sharp late drop · RSI 32 · price 0.71575
Range broken to downside after CPI miss.
AUDUSD held a tight 0.7160–0.7180 range through Asia before the softer Australian April CPI print (4.2% vs 4.4% expected) sparked a sharp 25-pip drop to 0.71522. Price now sits at 0.71575, RSI(14) at 32 reflecting the impulse lower without yet stretching into oversold.
Support: 0.71522, 0.71549
Resistance: 0.7168, 0.71792
What it said to watch
Reclaim of broken floor at 0.71680 would neutralise the CPI-driven break
Failure to hold session low at 0.71522 extends the downside leg
China industrial profits and PBOC fix already digested; thin calendar from here
AUDUSD chopped in a 0.7160-0.7173 range through Asia, then pushed to a session high at 0.71792 right as the soft April CPI print (4.2% vs 4.4% expected) hit. The current bar swept back to 0.71670 and closed at 0.71678 — sharp rejection of the breakout, range floor at 0.71600 still intact.
Support: 0.7167, 0.7160, 0.7156
Resistance: 0.71792, 0.71732
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71792 reasserts the breakout
Loss of 0.71600 range floor confirms a lower-low
CPI follow-through still developing — read may shift on next 1-2 bars
Higher low at 0.7155 then push through 0.7172, fresh session high at 0.7179.
Asia session pushed AUDUSD through 0.7172 resistance with a clean break to a session high at 0.7179, RSI(14) near 68 but not yet stretched. Price now consolidating just under the high with ATR around 4 pips reflecting thin Asian conditions ahead of the Australia April CPI release.
Support: 0.7170, 0.7166
Resistance: 0.7179, 0.7182
What it said to watch
Australia April CPI print due in the upcoming session — trimmed mean above ~3.5% could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 0.7170 would invalidate the breakout retest
Intraday range 0.7155–0.7177, current bar at session high.
Price held a tight 0.7155–0.7177 range through the Asia session before pushing through prior intraday highs into 0.7179 on the last few bars. RSI(14) at 67 is firming but not extended; ATR small at ~3 pips reflects pre-CPI compression.
Support: 0.7170, 0.71549
Resistance: 0.71792
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.71700 negates the breakout and returns price to range
Sustained acceptance above 0.71792 session high opens path higher
Australian April CPI release later today will materially shift this read
AUDUSD coiled in a tight 0.7160–0.7170 band through the Asia session before pushing higher into the local lift, tagging 0.71792 as the session high. Last bar pulled back to 0.71756 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 0.7170, 0.7165, 0.7158
Resistance: 0.7179, 0.7173
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71790 session high opens path toward 0.7185
Loss of 0.71700 asia mid reopens the 0.71580 ny low
Australia April CPI release later today could materially shift this read
00:45 UTC
Recovering from session low, momentum picking up · RSI 68 · price 0.71745
Range with late push to session highs.
AUDUSD chopped in a tight 0.7160–0.7170 range through Asia before a clean push into the late session took price to 0.71747, just shy of the prior 0.71759 swing high. RSI(14) at 68 reflects the impulse but not yet stretched; ATR sits compressed at ~3.6 pips so the breakout move stands out against thin overnight conditions.
Support: 0.7164, 0.7160
Resistance: 0.71747, 0.71759
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance above session high 0.71747 would extend the breakout toward 0.71759
Rejection back below 0.71700 puts price back inside the prior Asia range
Australia April CPI release imminent — could materially shift this read
AUDUSD chopping in a tight 18-pip band through Asia, with a small late-session push lifting price to 0.7173 before settling at 0.7171. No structural setup in play; market positioning ahead of the Australian April CPI print due in this session.
Support: 0.7156
Resistance: 0.7174, 0.7176, 0.7173
What it said to watch
Australian April CPI release imminent — likely to materially shift this read
AUDUSD chopped in a 0.7156–0.7176 range through the US session, with a brief spike to 0.7176 fading back into the intraday base at 0.7165. Asia is now nudging back toward the session high at 0.7174 ahead of the Australian April CPI print, but volume and ATR have collapsed — ranging, no setup in play.
Support: 0.7165, 0.7160, 0.7156
Resistance: 0.71739, 0.71759
What it said to watch
Australia April CPI release is the binary risk for this read
M15 close above 0.71739 session high opens 0.7180+
Break below 0.71600 session low invalidates the upward drift
00:01 UTC
Range, drift higher into Asia open · RSI 64 · price 0.71699
Intraday range 0.7155-0.7175, late push toward range high.
AUDUSD has chopped in a 30-pip range between 0.7155 and 0.7175 through the NY-to-Asia transition, with buyers stepping in twice at the 0.7160 area. Late session push tagged 0.7174 before pulling back to 0.7170, RSI(14) at 64 with no divergence. Range still intact ahead of the Australian April CPI release.
Support: 0.7165, 0.7161, 0.71549
Resistance: 0.71739, 0.71759
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7175 opens the prior session high at 0.7176
Loss of 0.7165 asia floor exposes 0.7161 swing low and the 0.7155 ny session low
Australia April CPI print due in Asia hours — material risk event for this read