NY session ripped through 0.71280 into 0.71690 on Iran-US headline flow, then went sideways through Asia with RSI cooling to neutral. Price pinned around 0.7163, holding the breakout base at 0.71470 but unable to retest the session high.
Support: 0.7155, 0.7147, 0.7128
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
Break above 0.71690 session high reopens upside extension
M15 close below 0.71470 breakout base invalidates the bullish read
Headline risk from ongoing US-Iran exchange could spike volatility
NY session drove a clean breakout from the 0.7125 base to 0.7169 session high, then stalled and is consolidating in a tight 0.7155–0.7164 range into Asia. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought back to neutral, and the 0.7155 dip was bought during the late-session retest.
Support: 0.7155, 0.71478, 0.71262
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71604
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71690 session high resumes the breakout leg
Loss of 0.71550 session dip opens the breakout base at 0.71478
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could inject volatility
London session ripped through 0.7148 with a 60-pip impulse to 0.7169, then drifted into a tight consolidation around 0.7162 through the quiet Asia open. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought back to neutral while price holds the breakout base, with the session high at 0.7169 capping.
Support: 0.7155, 0.7129, 0.7113
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.7182
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7169 opens path to 0.7180 psych
M15 close below 0.7155 session low breaks the higher-low chain
Iran-US headlines remain a risk-off tail risk for AUD
23:01 UTC
Uptrend off NY lows, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.71626
Higher highs into 0.7169, now consolidating sub-0.7165.
NY session ripped through 0.7150 with a 50-pip impulse to 0.7169 session high, then faded into a tight Asia drift. Price has spent the last 6 hours coiling between 0.71550 and 0.71615, with RSI(14) reset to neutral after the earlier overbought run.
Support: 0.7155, 0.71478, 0.7129
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
Asia close above 0.71615 reopens the path to session high 0.7169
Loss of 0.71550 asia dip exposes the 0.71478 breakout base
Iran-US headline risk could whipsaw the range without warning
22:45 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 54 · price 0.71629
Higher highs and higher lows since 0.7099, now consolidating below 0.7169.
AUDUSD ramped from 0.7099 through London into NY, posting a clean breakout candle through 0.7148 and topping at 0.7169 before drifting sideways. Price now coiling around 0.7162 in the Asia session, RSI cooling to mid-50s after the impulse. Geopolitical headlines around US-Iran are driving USD whipsaw — risk of a fresh impulse in either direction.
Support: 0.7155, 0.7143, 0.7127
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.7182
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71690 opens the path toward 0.71820
Loss of 0.71550 voids the intraday recovery structure
Tokyo CPI in the upcoming Asia session could move AUD via cross-flows
US-Iran headline risk could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below session high.
AUDUSD ramped during NY hours on USD weakness tied to US-Iran ceasefire headlines, breaking from 0.7128 to a session high at 0.71690 before stalling. Asia session is drifting sideways in a tight 0.71550–0.71640 range with RSI(14) back to neutral after the impulse.
Support: 0.7155, 0.7148, 0.7129
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
Asia close above 0.71690 extends the breakout leg
Loss of 0.71550 session dip opens room back to the 0.71480 breakout base
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could inject volatility via JPY crosses
AUDUSD ripped from 0.7100 to 0.7169 during NY hours on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and a soft US GDP print, then drifted into a tight consolidation under the NY high. Late-session pullback printed a session low at 0.71550 before buyers stepped back in toward 0.71632; RSI cooled to mid-range as the impulse digests.
Support: 0.7155, 0.71478, 0.7129
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71690 reopens the NY high extension
Loss of 0.71550 session low exposes the 0.71478 prior swing
Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below session high.
AUDUSD ripped from 0.7124 to 0.7169 during the NY session on US-Iran ceasefire MOU headlines and a soft US GDP print, then stalled below the 0.7169 session high. Last few bars dipped to 0.7155 and recovered to 0.7163, holding above the 0.7148 breakout base.
Support: 0.7155, 0.71478, 0.7129
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7155 recent low opens room back to the 0.7148 breakout base
Reclaim and hold above 0.7169 session high needed to extend the intraday uptrend
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could shift USD risk tone
AUDUSD ripped from 0.7126 to 0.7169 during NY hours on Iran-US MOU headlines and a softer US GDP read, then stalled into a tight 0.7160-0.7166 consolidation. Late-session drift has pulled price back to 0.7155 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral; session high at 0.7169 remains intact.
Support: 0.71478, 0.71262, 0.71131
Resistance: 0.71615, 0.7169
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71615 reopens 0.7169 session high
Loss of 0.71478 swing low invalidates the breakout structure
Asia open headline risk on US/Iran MOU approval could re-price the pair
Higher highs into NY, now flagging below session high.
AUDUSD ripped from 0.7125 to 0.7169 during NY hours on US-Iran ceasefire MOU headlines and a soft US GDP print, then stalled into the Asia handover. Price has spent the last few hours grinding sideways in a 0.7160–0.7169 box and just slipped to test the breakout base near 0.7155 on thin late-session volume.
Support: 0.71554, 0.71478, 0.7129
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.71554 session pivot opens 0.71478 breakout base retest
Reclaim of 0.71615 micro cap puts session high 0.71690 back in play
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could inject volatility into AUD crosses
Higher highs and higher lows post-breakout, now consolidating below session high.
NY session ripped through 0.71270 on the US-Iran MOU headlines and Q1 GDP miss, tagging a session high at 0.71690 before fading. Last 12 bars have coiled in a 20-pip range above the 0.71570 micro low, RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s as momentum unwinds.
Support: 0.7157, 0.71478, 0.7127
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71570 breaks the micro low and opens 0.71478 breakout base
Reclaim of 0.71690 session high resumes the intraday uptrend
Headline risk from Iran/US ceasefire approval can void the structural read
21:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after impulse · RSI 54 · price 0.7162
Higher highs and higher lows since Asia low.
NY session impulse off 0.7099 carried price into 0.7169 on the back of risk-on flows after the US-Iran MOU headlines, with the 0.7148 breakout zone now acting as a shelf. Last 4 hours have ranged tightly between 0.7158–0.7169, RSI(14) cooled back to mid-50s as momentum unwinds.
Support: 0.71575, 0.71478, 0.71262
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.7175
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71575 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
Break above 0.71690 session high opens path toward 0.7175 psych
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could inject volatility into AUD crosses
AUDUSD ripped higher during NY hours on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and weaker US GDP, breaking from 0.71270 up to 0.71690 before stalling. Last 4 hours have gone sideways in a tight 0.71600–0.71690 range with RSI cooling back to mid-50s, classic post-breakout consolidation.
Support: 0.7156, 0.71478, 0.71262
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71553
What it said to watch
15m close above 0.71690 session high extends the up-leg
Loss of 0.71560 pullback low opens a deeper retrace toward 0.71478 breakout base
Tokyo CPI in Asia session could shift risk tone
20:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling after NY spike · RSI 56 · price 0.71621
Higher highs into 0.7169, now consolidating below.
NY session ripped AUDUSD from 0.7125 to 0.7169 on US-Iran MOU headlines and a soft US GDP print, then stalled. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.7160–0.7167 range below the session high, RSI cooling from overbought to mid-50s.
Support: 0.71565, 0.71478, 0.7129
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7169 session high extends the impulse
Loss of 0.7156 pullback low signals deeper retrace toward 0.7148 breakout base
Higher highs into 0.7169, pullback holding above 0.7160.
AUDUSD ripped from 0.7125 to 0.7169 during NY hours on US-Iran MOU headlines and softer US GDP, then settled into a tight consolidation around the session pivot at 0.7160. Momentum has cooled with RSI back near 55, price drifting sideways into the late NY session.
Support: 0.7160, 0.71478, 0.7128
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.71600 session pivot opens room back to the 0.71478 breakout base
Reclaim of 0.71690 session high needed to extend the intraday uptrend
Headline risk remains — US-Iran MOU still pending Trump approval
Higher highs, higher lows after impulsive NY breakout.
AUDUSD impulsed from 0.7097 into 0.7169 during NY hours on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and a softer USD, then settled into a tight consolidation just under the session high. Price is drifting along 0.7161 with RSI cooling from earlier highs, and buyers stepping in repeatedly around the 0.71575 swing low.
Support: 0.71575, 0.71478, 0.71262
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71575 swing low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
Break and hold above 0.71690 session high extends the uptrend
Failure to reclaim 0.71615 keeps price pinned in consolidation
Fresh US-Iran ceasefire headlines could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since NY session low at 0.70975.
AUDUSD ripped higher during NY hours on US-Iran ceasefire MOU headlines, breaking from 0.71270 to a session high at 0.71690 in three impulsive M15 candles. Price has since coiled in a tight 30-pip range above the 0.71600 breakout base, momentum flattening as RSI cools back to mid-50s.
Support: 0.7160, 0.71478, 0.71265
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.7175
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71600 breakout base would unwind the NY impulse
Break and hold above 0.71690 session high opens 0.71750 round number
Trump approval of the US-Iran MOU is the next headline risk
19:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 56 · price 0.7162
Higher highs and higher lows after NY breakout.
AUDUSD ripped through 0.7130 during NY hours on US-Iran MOU headlines and a soft US GDP print, tagging a session high at 0.71690 before fading. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.71575-0.71690 range with RSI cooling back to mid-50s.
Support: 0.71575, 0.71478, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.71575 swing low opens path back to 0.71478 breakout base
Reclaim of 0.71690 session high extends the NY leg
Fed Musalem hawkish comments could cap further USD weakness
NY session ripped higher on US-Iran MOU headlines and a soft US GDP print, with a clean breakout through 0.7148 to a session high at 0.7169. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.7160–0.7167 range, RSI cooling from overbought back to 58.
Support: 0.71575, 0.71478, 0.7131
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.7175
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.71575 pullback low opens a deeper retrace toward the 0.71478 breakout base
Sustained move above 0.71690 session high exposes the 0.7175 psych level
Trump approval headline on the US-Iran MOU could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 0.7162
Higher highs into 0.7169, pullback to 0.7160.
NY session ripped from 0.7100 to a 0.7169 session high on US-Iran MOU headlines and a soft US GDP print, then stalled. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.7160–0.7167 range late NY, RSI cooling from the post-breakout push.
Support: 0.7160, 0.7148, 0.7128
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.7180
What it said to watch
Break above 0.7169 session high extends the move toward 0.7180 psych
Loss of 0.7160 session base opens a retest of the 0.7148 breakout lvl
Asia open liquidity could expand range from current consolidation
Higher highs and higher lows after NY-session breakout.
AUDUSD rallied sharply through NY hours on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and a soft US GDP print, breaking from the 0.7120s and printing a session high at 0.7169. Price has since consolidated in a tight 30-pip range below that high with RSI cooling from the mid-70s into the low 60s.
Support: 0.71558, 0.71478, 0.71262
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
M15 close below the breakout base at 0.71558 would unwind the NY breakout structure
Sustained break above the session high at 0.71690 extends the intraday uptrend
Headline risk remains live on US-Iran MOU pending Trump approval
Higher highs and higher lows since NY open, consolidating near session high.
AUDUSD ripped higher during NY hours on US-Iran ceasefire MOU headlines and a soft US GDP print, breaking from 0.71260 to a session high at 0.71690 in two impulsive legs. Price has since paused into a tight consolidation between 0.71636 and 0.71690, with RSI cooling from overbought back to the low 60s.
Support: 0.7160, 0.71478, 0.7132
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.7175
What it said to watch
M15 close above session high at 0.71690 opens the path toward the 0.71750 psych level
Loss of 0.71600 intraday HL would mark first lower-low and challenge the uptrend read
Trump approval (or rejection) of the Iran MOU could materially shift this read
Higher highs from 0.7097 swing low, now ranging near session top.
AUDUSD ripped from 0.7097 through 0.7148 on the Iran-US ceasefire MOU headlines and soft US GDP, tagging a session high at 0.71690 before stalling. Last six bars compressing in a 5-pip range just under the high, RSI(14) cooled from the spike to ~62.
Support: 0.7160, 0.71478, 0.7129
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.7175
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71690 session high opens path to 0.71750 round number
Loss of 0.71600 intraday base would unwind the post-spike consolidation back toward 0.71478 breakout level
Trump approval on the Iran MOU is the binary headline risk that can re-rate the move
NY session lit up with a sharp breakout from 0.7126 to 0.7169 on US/Iran MOU headlines and a softer US GDP print, with buyers stepping in on the 0.71478 pullback. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.71636–0.71690 band, RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward 62 as momentum fades into late NY.
Support: 0.71586, 0.71478, 0.71262
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71690 extends the breakout leg
Loss of 0.71586 breakout base signals failed continuation
Trump approval headline on US/Iran MOU could materially shift this read
Higher lows building into NY breakout above 0.7150.
NY session impulse drove AUDUSD from 0.7125 through 0.7150 on the Iran MOU/soft US GDP headlines, with price now consolidating just under the 0.71690 session high. RSI(14) at 68 is hot but not extended; pullbacks into the 0.71558 breakout base are the structural test.
Support: 0.71558, 0.71478, 0.7130
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.7175
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71478 would break the higher-low sequence and invalidate the breakout retest read
Acceptance above 0.71690 session high opens path toward the 0.71750 psych level
Headline risk remains live — Trump approval on the Iran MOU could whip price either direction
AUDUSD ripped through 0.7130 into NY hours on Iran-US ceasefire MOU headlines and a softer USD post-GDP, tagging a session high at 0.7169. Price is now consolidating just below that high with RSI(14) cooling from overbought; breakout base at 0.71478 has held as support.
Support: 0.7157, 0.71478, 0.7129
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.7175
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71690 opens the path to the 0.7175 psych level
Loss of pullback low 0.71570 puts the 0.71478 breakout base back in play
Trump approval headline on the Iran MOU could materially shift this read
17:15 UTC
Uptrend, fresh impulse leg · RSI 72 · price 0.7167
Higher highs after NY breakout.
NY session ripped through 0.71478 on the Iran ceasefire-MOU headlines, extending to a 0.71690 session high. Price has held above the breakout base at 0.71600 on the pullback, RSI(14) hot at 72 but normal in this kind of impulse.
Support: 0.7160, 0.71478, 0.71275
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.7175
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.71600 breakout base would signal failed breakout
Break above 0.71690 session high opens 0.71750 psych
Pending Trump approval on Iran MOU is the headline risk into Asia
NY session ripped through 0.71478 on an impulsive expansion candle, with buyers stepping in on the pullback to 0.71570 before extending to a fresh session high at 0.7169. RSI(14) is hot at ~71 but consistent with trend; price is consolidating just under the high into Asia handover.
Support: 0.71615, 0.71478, 0.7129
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71725
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7169 opens path toward the 0.7172 round number
Loss of 0.71615 minor pivot would signal momentum stalling
Failure to hold 0.71478 breakout base invalidates the trend leg
Headline risk around US/Iran MOU approval could spike volatility
16:45 UTC
Uptrend, fresh impulse leg · RSI 74 · price 0.71674
Higher highs from session low, breakout in play.
NY session impulse off 0.71248 broke the 0.71359 range top with a sharp expansion bar, tagging 0.71690 as the session high. Price is consolidating just under highs with RSI(14) stretched at 74; 0.71586 marks the breakout retest reference.
Support: 0.71586, 0.71478, 0.71248
Resistance: 0.7169, 0.71615
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.71478 session pivot would neutralise the breakout read
Acceptance above 0.71690 session high extends the impulse
Headline risk on US/Iran MOU pending Trump approval could whip risk-FX
16:30 UTC
Downtrend reclaimed by sharp NY rally · RSI 73 · price 0.71615
Lower lows into 0.7099, then impulsive recovery breaking session highs.
AUDUSD bottomed twice near 0.7098–0.7108 during the European session before NY ripped through 0.71439 and the session high at 0.71622 on the Musalem headlines. Price now consolidating tight under the high with RSI(14) at 73 — short-term hot but typical for an impulse leg.
Support: 0.71478, 0.7127, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71622, 0.71439
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.71478 breakout base reopens the 0.71270 prior pivot
Sustained acceptance above 0.71622 session high extends the recovery
Further Fed speak in NY hours could shift the read
16:15 UTC
Intraday reversal higher · RSI 71 · price 0.71577
Range break above 0.7135 after NY low at 0.7097.
Aggressive NY rally lifted price off the 0.7097 session low through 0.7135 and 0.7148, printing a fresh session high at 0.71615 with RSI(14) at 71. Last four bars stalling between 0.7157 and 0.7161 after soft US Q1 GDP and new home sales weighed on the dollar; momentum cooling into the round 0.7160 zone.
Support: 0.71478, 0.71262, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71615, 0.71604
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.71478 breakout retest weakens the reversal read
Sustained acceptance above 0.71615 session high extends the move
Failure to reclaim 0.7160 with RSI rolling over opens a pullback toward 0.71262 session pivot
AUDUSD bottomed twice around 0.7098 during the London session before NY drove a sharp impulse from 0.7127 to 0.7615, helped by a soft US Q1 GDP revision (1.6% vs 2%) and weak new home sales. Price now consolidating just below the 0.71615 session high, RSI(14) hot at 72 but no rejection yet.
Support: 0.71478, 0.7129, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71615
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.71478 pullback low would signal the NY impulse is fading
Break above 0.71615 session high opens room toward 0.7170
Hawkish Fed commentary (Musalem) still in the tape — risk of USD bid returning
15:45 UTC
Intraday reversal higher, breakout in play · RSI 76 · price 0.7159
Range break above 0.7135, fresh session high at 0.7160.
AUDUSD ripped through 0.7135 on the NY session open after a double-bottom around 0.7098–0.7100 during London, currently printing fresh session highs at 0.7160 with RSI(14) stretched above 76. Move accelerated alongside soft US Q1 GDP revision (1.6% vs 2.0%) and weak new home sales, though hawkish Musalem comments have not yet capped price.
Support: 0.71478, 0.71262, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71604
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.7148 breakout base would invalidate the breakout read
Sustained trade above 0.7160 session high extends the impulse
RSI above 76 — pullback risk into the breakout base elevated
Broke down to 0.7099, V-recovery, fresh session high.
AUDUSD swept lower into 0.7099 around the London-NY transition then reversed sharply, with NY hours driving an impulsive breakout through 0.7148 to a session high at 0.71604. RSI(14) at 76 flags short-term overextension but the structure is a clean higher-high after a double bottom.
Support: 0.71478, 0.7129, 0.71131
Resistance: 0.71604, 0.71553
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.71478 breakout retest would invalidate the recovery
Sustained acceptance above 0.71604 session high opens room for continuation
Hawkish Fed Musalem commentary still on the wires — headline risk to the USD leg
15:15 UTC
Downtrend reversed by NY spike · RSI 72 · price 0.71517
Range break higher after NY session sweep of lows.
AUDUSD spiked sharply during the NY session, breaking out of a 71170–71360 range to print a session high at 71553 after weak US Q1 GDP and durable goods data weighed on the dollar. RSI(14) at 72 is hot but consistent with the breakout; price now consolidating just under the high with the 71430 spike base as nearest support.
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 71430 spike base signals failed breakout
Sustained acceptance above 71553 session high extends the impulse
Loss of 71280 breakout point reverts to prior range
AUDUSD ripped from 0.7125 to 0.7155 in the NY session after Q1 GDP was revised down to 1.6% and durable goods printed a hot +7.9%, with the dollar fading on the GDP miss. Asian/London range low at 0.70975 held as a double bottom, and the breakout above 0.71280 cleared the prior consolidation. RSI(14) now stretched at 73.8, current bar pulling back into the 0.71430 spike base.
Support: 0.7143, 0.7128, 0.7115
Resistance: 0.71553, 0.7160
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.71430 spike base would unwind the breakout
Sustained acceptance above 0.71553 session high opens 0.71600 psych
RSI cooling from 74 while price holds keeps the reversal read intact
14:45 UTC
Downtrend reversed by late NY spike · RSI 78 · price 0.71545
Range break higher after lower-low sweep.
AUDUSD ripped from 0.7126 to a session high at 0.71553 in the last three bars of NY, breaking the 0.71290-0.71360 ceiling that capped price for hours after the soft US Q1 GDP and weak new home sales prints. Earlier London-NY sweep of 0.70975 formed a double bottom base; RSI(14) now stretched at 78, ATR ~5 pips.
Support: 0.71478, 0.7129, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71553, 0.7160
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the spike base at 0.71478 on pullback weakens the breakout
Sustained trade above the 0.71553 session high opens the 0.71600 psych level
RSI extreme at 78 raises odds of a mean-revert toward the 0.71290 breakout lvl
14:30 UTC
Downtrend, sharp recovery into NY · RSI 72 · price 0.71461
Lower lows into 0.7099, late NY squeeze through prior swings.
AUDUSD spent London grinding from 0.7142 down to a 0.70975 session low after the soft US Q1 GDP revision and weak new home sales, then ripped 50+ pips into NY through the prior swing at 0.71250 and tagged 0.71530. RSI(14) at 72 is hot post-spike and the last bar shows a small upper-wick rejection.
Support: 0.7125, 0.7113, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7153, 0.7142
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.71250 prior swing would mark the squeeze as a false break
Sustained acceptance above 0.71420 asia high keeps the recovery intact
Fed-speak follow-through from Williams could extend USD softness
Lower low printed in NY, bounce capped under 0.7136.
AUDUSD took a clean leg lower into the NY low at 0.70975 after the soft Q1 GDP print, then recovered to 0.71359 before sellers rejected the move. Price now consolidating around 0.7126 with a bounce high at 0.71327 capping; structure remains lower highs into a defended support shelf at 0.71250.
Support: 0.7125, 0.71175, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71327, 0.71359, 0.7144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71359 negates the lower-high read
Break of 0.71250 reopens the path to the NY low at 0.70975
Late NY session — liquidity thinning into the close
Lower highs into 0.7100 sweep, recovery into mid-range.
AUDUSD swept down to 0.70975 during early NY then snapped back, with buyers stepping in after the soft US GDP revision and rebound in jobless claims. Price now pinned mid-range around 0.7126 after a failed push to the NY high at 0.71359; structure remains a lower-high sequence off London until 0.71359 gives way.
Support: 0.7121, 0.7113, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71359, 0.71439
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71359 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.71130 reopens the NY swing low at 0.70975
Late NY session — liquidity thinning into Asia handover
Pair sold off through NY open down to a session low at 0.7097 following the softer US Q1 GDP revision, then carved a double bottom and rallied back to 0.7136 before rejecting. Current bar sits mid-range after a sharp NY-afternoon push higher faded into supply at the prior swing.
Support: 0.7126, 0.7113, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7136, 0.7144
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71360 reopens the path to the London high at 0.71440
Loss of 0.71260 swing low reactivates the downtrend leg toward 0.70975
Thin late-NY liquidity could exaggerate either move
Range break lower, retracing into prior support turned resistance.
AUDUSD broke down through the 0.7130 floor during early NY hours, tagging 0.70975 on a soft US Q1 GDP revision before recovering. Price has rallied back into the prior support shelf around 0.7130, now acting as resistance, with the last bar stalling at 0.71270 after a sharp push.
Support: 0.71175, 0.71033, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71327, 0.71359, 0.71439
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71327 reopens path to the 0.71439 asia high
Rejection here and a return below 0.71175 swing low reasserts the NY downtrend
Strong US durable goods print already in; no further US data due in next 8h
AUDUSD swept the Asian range high at 0.71439 in early London, then flushed to a session low of 0.70975 on the US durable goods beat. NY session has clawed back the move with a clean break above 0.71250 and price now testing the session high at 0.71332.
Support: 0.7118, 0.7100, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71332, 0.71425, 0.71439
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 0.71332 opens the path back to 0.71425 prior high
Rejection here and loss of 0.7118 swing low reopens the 0.70975 session low
Upcoming US core PCE print could materially shift this read
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7119 swing low into the NY session after the hot US durable goods print, tagging 0.70975 before a sharp recovery leg into 0.7133. Price is now retesting the prior breakdown zone from below with RSI(14) at 68 — area to watch for rejection or continuation back into the 0.7144 prior swing.
Support: 0.7119, 0.71033, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71332, 0.71439, 0.71418
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71332 current high opens path to 0.71439 prior swing
Rejection here and loss of 0.7119 reopens the 0.71033 session low
US core PCE release could materially shift this read
AUDUSD sold off sharply during early NY hours, dropping from 0.7144 to a spike low at 0.70975 on the strong US durable goods print, then recovered to chop in a 0.7115–0.7127 range. Current bar is pressing the recent high at 0.71267 with RSI(14) recovering through the midline; supply still capping below the 0.71340 prior pivot.
Support: 0.71175, 0.71105, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.7134, 0.71439
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71267 recent high opens path back to 0.71340 prior pivot
Rejection at 0.71267 and break of 0.71175 session low reopens the 0.70975 spike low
US core PCE release within hours could materially shift this read
Lower low printed then bounce, now stalling under prior swing.
Pair sold off through London into NY, printing a session low at 0.70975 before a steady recovery into 0.712. Bounce stalled at 0.71267 with sellers stepping back in, RSI(14) back to neutral around 51.
Support: 0.71105, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71267 bounce high opens path back to 0.71429 prior high
Break of 0.71105 swing low reopens 0.70975 session low
US core PCE release at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
12:15 UTC
Downtrend, base forming · RSI 44 · price 0.71179
Lower-low at 0.7097, recovery stalling near 0.7120.
London sold AUDUSD from 0.7143 down to a swing low at 0.7097 before NY recovered into a tight 0.7115–0.7124 range. Rejection at 0.7124 with RSI(14) drifting under 50 leaves price compressed mid-range ahead of US PCE.
Support: 0.71117, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7124, 0.71429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7124 reopens 0.7143 prior high
Loss of 0.7112 session low exposes 0.7097 swing low
US core PCE print at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 45 · price 0.71179
Lower-high sequence, basing above 0.7100.
Price sold off from 0.7143 into a 0.7098 swing low during NY hours, then carved a sloppy base between 0.7108 and 0.7124. Currently 0.71179, drifting mid-range with RSI back to neutral; PCE print due shortly is the obvious catalyst.
Support: 0.7108, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7124, 0.7134, 0.7143
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71240 intraday hi opens path back to 0.71340
Break of 0.71080 session low risks retest of 0.70975 swing low
US PCE release in ~1h could materially shift this read
11:45 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near lows · RSI 43 · price 0.71166
Lower highs into range base.
AUDUSD slid through London into NY, breaking the 0.7120 base to print a swing low at 0.70975 before grinding back to 0.7117. Price is now consolidating below the 0.71240 intraday lower high, with RSI(14) mid-range and EMAs sloping down — sellers still in control but momentum cooling ahead of US PCE.
Support: 0.71079, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7124, 0.71275, 0.71439
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71240 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.71079 session low opens 0.70975 swing low
US PCE release at 12:30 GMT likely to drive the next leg
Lower highs after London selloff, micro-range forming.
London session sold AUDUSD from 0.71429 down to 0.70975 before a corrective bounce stalled at 0.71240. NY session opening near 0.71150 with price drifting back toward the session low, RSI(14) mid-range at 41 — bounce momentum is fading.
Support: 0.71079, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7124, 0.71275, 0.71429
What it said to watch
Break of session low 0.71079 extends the leg toward London low 0.70975
Reclaim of 0.71240 bounce high opens room back to 0.71275
US core PCE release at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD broke down through 0.71150 during European hours after a steady drift lower, tagging 0.70975 before a corrective bounce capped at 0.71267. Current bar back at 0.71128 after a fresh push to 0.71079, with sellers defending the retest cap and RSI rolling over again from the mid-40s.
Support: 0.71079, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7122, 0.71267, 0.71429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71079 reopens the asia low at 0.70975
Reclaim of 0.71220 retest cap would neutralise the breakdown
US PCE later in the session is the next material catalyst
AUDUSD broke the London range during NY hours, slicing from 0.71388 down to a 0.70975 prior low before stabilising in a 0.71130–0.71267 corrective range. Last bars are fading from the swing high at 0.71228 back toward the session low at 0.71079, with RSI(14) at 38 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.71079, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71228, 0.71267, 0.71388
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71079 reopens the path to the 0.70975 prior low
Reclaim of 0.71267 NY high would invalidate the lower-high sequence
US PCE later in the session could materially shift this read
10:45 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 43 · price 0.71197
Lower-low printed at 0.7097, shallow bounce stalling near 0.7125.
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7133 during the European session, extending to an intraday low at 0.7097 before a corrective bounce stalled near 0.7125. Price now consolidates just above 0.7115 session low with RSI recovering off oversold but momentum still capped below the breakdown shelf at 0.7133.
Support: 0.7115, 0.7105, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7125, 0.7133, 0.7144
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.7133 breakdown level would neutralise the downside read
Loss of 0.7115 session low reopens the 0.7097 intraday low
US PCE later today is the next material catalyst for the pair
London session sold AUDUSD from 0.7144 down through 0.7100 into a swing low at 0.70975, with buyers stepping in to reclaim the 0.7120 handle ahead of NY. Price now consolidating in a 0.7117–0.7127 range below the recent high at 0.71267, RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s. AUD weakness flagged by FXStreet earlier sits with this picture — no clear setup until the range resolves.
Support: 0.71174, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71439, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71267 opens the path back to 0.71439
Failure to hold session low at 0.71174 reopens 0.70975
US PCE later today could materially shift this read
10:15 UTC
Downtrend, modest bounce · RSI 43 · price 0.71195
Lower highs, lower lows; bouncing off session low.
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7120 during the European session with a sharp leg to 0.70975, then clawed back to 0.7120 area where supply capped. Bounce stalling under the 0.71267 swing high; price coiling tight into late-European hours with ATR compressing.
Support: 0.70975, 0.71105
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71439, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71267 swing high would neutralise the lower-high structure
Break below 0.70975 session low extends the downtrend
US PCE later today could materially shift this read
Lower highs from session top, basing above 0.7100.
NY session opened with a clean break of the 0.7125 base and an extension to 0.70975 swing low, before a recovery stalled at the 0.71257 intraday LH. Price now coiling in a tight 0.7115–0.7124 range with RSI(14) flattening near mid-zone — no setup in play.
Support: 0.7115, 0.71024, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71257, 0.71429, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71257 intraday LH invalidates the lower-high structure
Loss of 0.71150 session low reopens 0.70975 swing low
Headline risk from ongoing US-Iran strikes near Hormuz could spike volatility
09:45 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 46 · price 0.71224
Lower-high formed, basing above session low.
AUDUSD sold off through London into a NY swing low at 0.70975 before staging a recovery toward 0.71275 where supply capped twice. Price now drifts in a tight 0.71150–0.71275 band, RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s as the pair consolidates the bounce.
Support: 0.7115, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71275, 0.71425
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71275 opens a path back to the 0.71425 session high
Loss of 0.71150 reopens the NY swing low at 0.70975
Middle East headline risk could disrupt the consolidation
09:30 UTC
Downtrend, bounce in progress · RSI 42 · price 0.71204
Lower-low at 0.7098, corrective rebound capped at 0.7126.
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 0.7120 shelf and printing a session low at 0.7098 before a corrective bounce capped at 0.7126. Price now drifts back toward the 0.7115 session low with RSI(14) near 42 — bounce momentum already fading.
Support: 0.7115, 0.7103, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7125, 0.7139, 0.7149
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.7126 bounce high opens room back to the 0.7139 prior swing
M15 close below 0.7098 swing low extends the downtrend
US PCE release later today could materially shift this read
09:15 UTC
Downtrend, attempting base · RSI 41 · price 0.71165
Lower-low at 0.7098, bounce stalling.
Aussie sold off sharply through the NY session, breaking 0.7120 and printing a session low at 0.70975 on the back of risk-off flow from US-Iran strike headlines. Bounce to 0.71267 has rolled over, with price now drifting back toward the swing low — RSI(14) at 41 reflects soft momentum, no oversold reset.
Support: 0.71105, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71355, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71267 bounce high would neutralise the downside read
Loss of 0.70975 session low confirms continuation of the leg lower
Further Middle East escalation headlines could extend risk-off pressure on AUD
Aussie sold through the London session on Middle East risk-off, printing a session low at 0.70975 before a bounce stalled at the 0.71267 NY high. Current bar drifting back lower around 0.71165 with RSI(14) near 41 — recovery losing steam under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.71024, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71388, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71267 NY high opens path back to 0.71388
Break of 0.70975 prior low confirms continuation of the downtrend
Further US-Iran headlines could spike volatility on this pair
Aussie slid through the European session into a swing low at 0.7098 on the Iran/US headlines, then bounced to 0.7127 before stalling. Price now rolling over again from the bounce high with RSI mid-40s, session low at 0.7115 the immediate pivot.
Support: 0.7115, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7127, 0.7139, 0.7149
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.7115 session low reopens the 0.7098 swing low
Reclaim of 0.7139 prior shelf would neutralise the downtrend read
Further Middle East headline risk could drive volatility outside ATR
Lower lows into 0.7098, bounce stalling at 0.7126.
Aussie sold off through the NY session, breaking the 0.7110 swing low to print 0.7098 before buyers stepped in for a recovery to 0.7126. That bounce high is now capping price and momentum has faded, with RSI(14) rolling over from the mid-50s back to 41 as risk-off headlines around US-Iran strikes weigh.
Support: 0.71105, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.71395, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 0.71267 bounce high would neutralise the downtrend read
Loss of 0.70975 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Further Middle East escalation headlines could materially shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; recovery off session low.
AUDUSD slid through London hours to a session low at 0.70975 on risk-off flow and soft Aussie household spending, then recovered to 0.71257 before stalling. Price now drifts back toward 0.712 with RSI(14) near 43, leaving the recovery looking corrective rather than impulsive.
Support: 0.71105, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71257, 0.71372, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.71105 reopens session low and 0.70975
Reclaim of 0.71372 prior pivot would break the lower-high sequence
FXStreet flagged a head-and-shoulders breakdown risk near 0.7100 — failure to hold session low validates that read
AUDUSD sold off sharply during early London hours, printing a session low at 0.70975 before recovering to 0.71223. The pullback has stalled under the 0.71267 recent high with RSI back at neutral; bullish divergence visible against the spike low.
Support: 0.71174, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.7137, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71370 prior swing reopens the upper range
Loss of 0.71174 session low exposes the 0.70975 spike low
Iran-US headline risk could whip risk-sensitive AUD
07:45 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 48 · price 0.7120
Lower highs and lower lows, recovery underway.
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7120 during the European session, printing a swing low at 0.70975 before recovering to 0.7120. RSI(14) shows bullish divergence into that low and price has reclaimed EMA20, but the recent high at 0.71267 capped the bounce.
Support: 0.7112, 0.70975, 0.7100
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.7139, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71267 invalidates the lower-highs structure
Loss of 0.70975 swing low extends the downtrend
Headline risk from Iran-US developments could move the pair
07:30 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.71229
Lower-low printed, retracing into prior support-turned-resistance.
AUDUSD sold off sharply during NY hours, breaking down through 0.71190 to print a swing low at 0.70975 before recovering back toward the prior support zone. Price is now retesting the 0.71267 recent high after a clean bounce, with RSI(14) back to neutral and EMA20 reclaimed.
Support: 0.7119, 0.70975, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71267, 0.7134, 0.7144
What it said to watch
rejection at 0.71267 recent high keeps the downtrend read intact
M15 close above 0.71340 prior support invalidates the head and shoulders breakdown
loss of 0.71190 session low reopens 0.70975 swing low
Lower low printed at 0.7098, bouncing into prior support-turned-resistance.
NY session sold AUDUSD through the 0.7119 swing low into 0.7098 before buyers stepped in, with the fxstreet head-and-shoulders breakdown call playing out cleanly. Price has since clawed back to 0.7124, retesting the broken neckline area around 0.7127 from below.
Support: 0.7119, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71275, 0.7143, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Acceptance back above 0.71275 micro pivot would neutralise the head-and-shoulders breakdown
Failure under 0.71190 swing low reopens 0.70975 session low
RSI(14) recovery to neutral despite the leg lower — momentum no longer confirming downside
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 50 · price 0.71224
Lower-low at 0.7098, corrective rebound underway.
NY session drove a clean breakdown through 0.7120 to a session low at 0.7098, validating the H&S read flagged in the news flow. Price has since rebounded to 0.7122 with RSI(14) back at neutral; sellers stepped in twice around 0.7124 during the bounce.
Support: 0.7119, 0.71035, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7126, 0.7137, 0.7149
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.71260 micro pivot would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.71190 intraday opens a retest of 0.70975 session low
Iran/US headline risk could inject volatility outside structural levels
06:45 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 41 · price 0.71227
Lower highs into break of 0.7110, weak bounce.
NY session sold AUDUSD through the 0.7120 shelf into 0.70975, completing the H&S breakdown flagged in news. Bounce off 0.7100 has reclaimed 0.7122 but stalled at the prior swing at 0.7126, RSI(14) only back to 41.
Support: 0.7103, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7126, 0.7139, 0.71495
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71260 prior swing would neutralise the breakdown
Rejection at 0.71260 with new low under 0.70975 swing low extends the leg
Risk-off headlines around Iran could drive further USD bid
Lower highs, lower lows; corrective rebound off 0.7098.
Aussie slid through the Asian session, breaking the 0.7120 shelf to print a swing low at 0.70975 — completing the h&s neckline break flagged in Asian commentary. Late-window bounce has reclaimed 0.7120 and tagged 0.71214, with RSI lifting back to the mid-40s from oversold.
Support: 0.71033, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.71214, 0.71275, 0.71388
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.71033 session low reopens 0.70975 swing low
Rejection at 0.71275 prior shelf keeps the broader downtrend intact
Reclaim of 0.71388 h&s neckline invalidates the breakdown read
06:15 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.7120
Lower-high, lower-low chain into 0.7098 sweep, modest recovery.
Aussie sold off through the Asia session, breaking 0.7120 support and sweeping into 0.7098 before buyers stepped in. Current bounce has reclaimed the 0.7120 area with price now testing the intraday LH near 0.7122; recovery still inside the broader downtrend.
Support: 0.7100, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7122, 0.7139, 0.7149
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.7139 prior pivot would invalidate the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.7098 swing low extends the downtrend
Thin late-Asia liquidity — moves into early London open can be sharp
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 45 · price 0.71154
Lower highs and lower lows, recent capitulation low at 0.7097.
AUDUSD sold off sharply during Asia, breaking 0.7120 support and printing a swing low at 0.70975 on the back of soft household spending data and risk-off tone. Price has since reclaimed 0.7115 with a steady bounce, but supply at the prior pivot near 0.7120 is the immediate test.
Support: 0.7103, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7120, 0.71275, 0.7142
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.71200 prior pivot would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Break of 0.70975 swing low extends the leg lower
Stall under 0.71200 with rejection keeps sellers in control
05:45 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 0.71159
Lower highs, lower lows, recovering from session low.
Aussie slid through Asian hours, sweeping 0.71000 with a wick to 0.70975 before buyers stepped in and reclaimed 0.71100. Current bounce stalling at 0.71184 recent high with RSI lifting from oversold.
Support: 0.7100, 0.70975, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71184, 0.71275, 0.7136
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.71184 recent high opens path to 0.71275 prior swing
Loss of 0.70975 swing low extends the downtrend
Stall below 0.71184 keeps the lower-high structure intact
AUDUSD slid through 0.7120 during the Asian session on soft April household spending, breaking down to 0.7099 before a modest bounce to 0.7114. Buyers stepped in at the round-number 0.7100 but the M15 structure remains a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Support: 0.7100, 0.70975
Resistance: 0.7114, 0.71275, 0.71429
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.71275 prior swing would neutralise the downtrend read
Sustained break of 0.70975 swing low extends the leg lower
Risk-off tone from Iran/US headlines continues to weigh on AUD
05:15 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 32 · price 0.7106
Lower highs, lower lows; just broke session range.
AUDUSD broke the 0.7118 shelf during the late Asia / early London transition with an impulsive drop to 0.70975, printing a fresh session low alongside reduced RBA hike bets and Mideast tension headlines. RSI(14) at 32 reflects the move but hasn't reached oversold; current bars are basing just above the session low with no reclaim of broken structure yet.
Support: 0.70975, 0.7090
Resistance: 0.7112, 0.7124, 0.7139
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71120 broken shelf would neutralise the downside break
M15 close below 0.70975 session low extends the leg toward 0.7090 psych
London open in next hour could re-accelerate the move
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 23 · price 0.71019
Lower highs, lower lows; breaking session range.
AUDUSD broke down through 0.71200 into the early NY hours, accelerating to a session low at 0.70975 with RSI(14) at 23 — extended but in trend. Last two bars are basing just under the 0.71120 breakdown shelf without any meaningful reclaim.
Support: 0.70975, 0.7090
Resistance: 0.7112, 0.7124, 0.71427
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71120 breakdown would neutralise the down leg
Mideast headline risk (IRGC threats) remains live and could whip AUD
04:45 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 27 · price 0.71019
Session lows broken, accelerating south.
AUDUSD broke the 0.7118 session floor during late NY/early Asia and extended sharply to 0.70975, with RSI(14) pressed near 27 — oversold but consistent with an impulsive leg. Price is now basing just above 0.71000 round number after data showed soft Aussie household spending despite the capex beat.
Support: 0.70975, 0.7090
Resistance: 0.7112, 0.7124, 0.7143
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71120 breakdown lvl would neutralise the fresh leg lower
Loss of 0.70975 session low opens the 0.70900 round number
Oversold RSI raises odds of mean-reversion bounce into 0.71120
04:30 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 25 · price 0.71005
Lower highs, lower lows; breakdown from 0.7120 base.
AUDUSD broke down through the 0.7120 base during late NY/early Asia, extending a lower-high, lower-low sequence to a fresh session low at 0.70975. RSI(14) at ~25 is oversold and price is consolidating in a tight 0.70975–0.71045 band just under the breakdown level.
Support: 0.70975, 0.7090
Resistance: 0.7112, 0.7124, 0.7143
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71120 breakdown level would neutralise the downside extension
Mideast headline risk (IRGC/US) could drive impulsive moves outside ATR
04:15 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 26 · price 0.71031
Lower highs into break of 0.7120 support.
AUDUSD broke down through 0.7120 in the last hour of the Asian session, printing a fresh session low at 0.70975 after soft April household spending data weighed on the Aussie. RSI(14) is at 26 — stretched but consistent with the impulsive leg; price is now consolidating just above the low.
Support: 0.70975, 0.7090
Resistance: 0.71175, 0.71275, 0.7143
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71175 prior swing would neutralise the downside break
London open in ~3h likely to define whether the breakdown extends
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 22 · price 0.71034
Lower highs, lower lows, breaking down.
AUDUSD accelerated lower into late Asia, breaking the 0.7117 floor and printing a session low at 0.70991 before a small bounce to 0.7103. RSI(14) sub-25 flags short-term oversold but the structure is cleanly lower highs / lower lows with no reclaim of the 0.7117 breakdown shelf.
Support: 0.7100, 0.70991
Resistance: 0.71175, 0.71275, 0.71429
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71175 breakdown level would neutralise the fresh leg lower
Sustained acceptance below the 0.7100 psych level extends the downtrend
Soft AU household spending and reduced RBA hike bets remain the backdrop pressuring AUD
AUDUSD sold off through the Asian session, breaking the prior low at 0.71177 and printing a fresh session low at 0.71100 on the last bar. RSI(14) at 22 flags stretched conditions but price is closing on the lows with no rejection wick yet.
Support: 0.7110, 0.71177
Resistance: 0.7124, 0.71335, 0.71429
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71240 micro pivot would ease the downside pressure
Sustained trade below 0.71100 session low extends the leg lower
AUDUSD broke the 0.7118 prior low into the Asian session close and printed a fresh session low at 0.7110, RSI(14) deep oversold near 22. Price extended below both EMA20 and EMA50 with no reaction yet from buyers.
Support: 0.7110, 0.71177
Resistance: 0.71275, 0.71439, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71275 micro lh would neutralise the downside extension
Oversold RSI raises odds of a corrective bounce into 0.71275 before next leg
03:15 UTC
Downtrend resuming after consolidation · RSI 28 · price 0.71157
Lower highs, fresh session low.
AUDUSD broke down through the 0.7129 base during Asia trade and has just printed a fresh session low at 0.71157, with RSI(14) at 28 confirming sellers are in control. The earlier 0.71275–0.71429 consolidation built a clean range top that capped every rally since the London spike to 0.71491.
Support: 0.71157, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.71275, 0.71429, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71275 prior swing neutralises the breakdown
Acceptance below 0.71100 psych extends the downtrend
Mideast strike headlines flagged in news flow could spike volatility
AUDUSD broke the 0.71300 floor during the Asia session, marking a fresh session low at 0.71177 with RSI(14) at 34 — weak but not stretched. Soft April household spending and AUD pressure from reduced RBA hike bets, alongside Mideast risk flows, align with the M15 lower-high/lower-low chain capped at 0.71429.
Support: 0.71177, 0.7115
Resistance: 0.7130, 0.71429, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71300 neutralises the breakdown read
Failure to reclaim 0.71300 keeps session low 0.71177 in focus
Sellers pressed AUDUSD through the 0.71235 prior swing during the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 0.71177 with RSI(14) at 33. Price now consolidating just under 0.71253 micro high; the late-Asia bounce stalled at the broken level.
Support: 0.71177, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71253, 0.71429, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71253 micro high would neutralise the downside break
Sustained trade below 0.71177 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Thin Asian liquidity — moves can extend on light flow into London open
Asia session broke the 0.71280 shelf and extended to a fresh session low at 0.71177, with sellers stepping in on the bounce attempt near 0.71429. Price now consolidating just above the session low after softer Aussie household spending data; RSI(14) at 32 reflects momentum but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.71177, 0.7115
Resistance: 0.7130, 0.71429, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71300 broken shelf would neutralise the lower-low read
Price broke the 0.7130 shelf during the late Asian session and extended to a fresh session low at 0.71177, with RSI(14) pushing into oversold near 28. Soft April household spending and reduced RBA hike pricing have weighed on AUD all session despite the Q1 capex beat; the broken shelf at 0.71300 is now first resistance.
Support: 0.71177, 0.7110
Resistance: 0.7130, 0.7143, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71300 broken shelf would neutralise the range break
Failure to hold 0.71177 session low opens 0.71100 psych
London open in ~6h could re-test the asia range hi at 0.71430
AUDUSD broke the Asian session floor at 0.71250 during early Asia hours and printed a fresh session low at 0.71177, with RSI(14) at 28 confirming the downside push. Sellers capped the bounce at 0.71429 earlier and price has now sliced through 0.71300 broken support with no sign of demand yet.
Support: 0.71177, 0.7113
Resistance: 0.7130, 0.71429, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.71300 broken support would neutralise the breakdown
Continuation through 0.71177 session low opens 0.71130 psych zone
Mideast headline risk after fresh US strikes on Iran could spike volatility
AUDUSD broke the 0.7125 floor in the late Asia session and printed a fresh session low at 0.71197, RSI(14) pushing into oversold near 28. Sellers built a clean lower-highs sequence from the 0.71491 spike high through 0.71429 asia high and 0.71335 micro pivot; price now trading right at session low with no rejection yet.
Support: 0.71197, 0.7115
Resistance: 0.71335, 0.71429, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.71335 micro pivot would neutralise the breakout
AUDUSD broke the 0.7129 intraday pivot in the Asia session and is printing a fresh session low at 0.7124, with price pinned below both EMAs and RSI(14) sliding into the low 30s. Lower highs from the 0.7149 spike have stacked cleanly; sellers have controlled every bounce since the late-NY rejection at 0.7143.
Support: 0.7124, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71295, 0.71429, 0.71491
What it said to watch
reclaim of 0.71295 broken pivot neutralises the lower-high sequence
M15 close below 0.71235 prior low confirms continuation
PBOC fix already weaker than expected — AUD remains sensitive to further CNY weakness
AUDUSD drifted lower through the Asia session after rolling off 0.7178 yesterday, basing in a tight 0.7128–0.7144 range during the last six hours. Recent rejection from the 0.71439 swing high and a fresh session low at 0.71277 keep the short-term tilt heavy, RSI mid-40s with no divergence.
Support: 0.71277, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71439, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.71439 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
Break of 0.71277 session low extends the downtrend toward 0.71235
BoK decision and BoJ-side Fed speakers (Jefferson, Lane) in Tokyo could inject AUD/USD volatility
AUDUSD has drifted lower through the Asia session, printing a fresh leg down to 0.71277 with sellers capping each bounce near 0.71429. Price is coiling in a tight 15-pip band just above the session low, RSI(14) at 41 reflects fading downside momentum without a reversal signal.
Support: 0.71277, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71429, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Break and hold below 0.71277 opens 0.71235 spike low
M15 close back above 0.71429 micro high neutralises the downside pressure
BoK decision and BoJ-related yen flows could spill into AUD risk tone
Price grinding lower through the late NY / early Asia handover, retesting the 0.7128 session low after rejection at 0.7143. RSI(14) at 38 with ATR(14) around 4-5 pips — slow drift, not impulsive selling.
Support: 0.71277, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71429, 0.71491
What it said to watch
Break and hold below 0.71235 prior low extends the downtrend
M15 close back above 0.71429 swing high invalidates the lower-high structure
Iran/US headline risk could spike volatility outside the structural read
Price drifted lower from 0.7177 through London-NY hours, with a sharp spike to 0.71491 absorbed and faded back into the 0.7130–0.7143 range that has defined the Asia session. Current bar prints right at session low 0.71283 with RSI hovering mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — late-Asia coil, no clean directional read.
Support: 0.71283, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71429, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71283 session low extends the downtrend toward 0.71235 swing low
Reclaim of 0.71429 asia high invalidates the lower-high sequence
Jefferson/Lane/Greene speaking in Tokyo during Asia hours could materially shift this read
AUDUSD broke down from 0.7174 yesterday and has spent NY hours grinding sideways between 0.7129 and 0.7143, with a brief NY spike high at 0.7149 rejected. Current bar is testing the session low again as Asia opens, RSI(14) at 38 with ATR around 5 pips signalling compressed range.
Support: 0.71294, 0.71235
Resistance: 0.71429, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71294 opens the asia low at 0.71235
Reclaim of 0.71429 recent high would break the lower-high sequence
BoJ/yen carry story and APAC central bank speak in Tokyo could spill into AUD
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 45 · price 0.71363
Lower highs from 0.7179, base forming 0.7125-0.7145.
Asia session drifting after the London/NY leg lower; price coiled between 0.7131 swing low and the 0.7144 recent high, RSI mid-range with no momentum. Last bars failed at 0.7144 and rolled back into the base — sellers still capping rallies but no fresh low.
Support: 0.71316, 0.71244
Resistance: 0.71439, 0.71491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.71244 swing low extends the downtrend
M15 close above 0.71439 recent high invalidates the lower-high sequence
BoJ/yen carry headlines and Jefferson/Lane Tokyo remarks during Asia session could shift risk tone