AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 28 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:47 UTC

Range, drifting higher off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.69757

Consolidation after bounce from session low.

Thin Asia-session chop, AUDUSD holding a 0.6970-0.6977 band after bouncing off the 0.69621 session low and stalling below the 0.69859 bounce high. RSI(14) neutral near 54 with volume drying up into the Q2 CPI print.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69771, 0.69859

What it said to watch

  • Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~2h) is a binary re-pricing event for this read
  • Close above 0.69771 targets the 0.69859 bounce high
  • Break below 0.69700 exposes the 0.69621 session low

23:47 UTC

Sideways, Asian drift · RSI 54 · price 0.69757

Range after intraday recovery stalled.

AUDUSD is chopping in a tight 0.6970–0.6977 band through the thin Asia session after the recovery to 0.69859 stalled. Volume has bled to near-nothing into the current bar; no setup in play ahead of the Q2 CPI print.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859

What it said to watch

  • Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~1h45m) is a binary re-pricing event for this read
  • M15 close above 0.69790 opens the path to the 0.69859 swing high
  • Failure to hold 0.69700 exposes the 0.69630 session low

23:32 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69755

Consolidation after fade from NY high.

AUDUSD faded from the NY session high at 0.69859 and is grinding a tight Asian-session range around 0.6970–0.6976 on thin volume, RSI(14) flat near 47.5. Price sits near a 50% retrace of the prior rally with no directional structure in play.

Support: 0.69698, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.69773, 0.69859

What it said to watch

  • Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~2h) is a binary re-pricing event for this range
  • M15 close above 0.69773 reopens the 0.69859 high
  • Loss of 0.69698 exposes the 0.69644 swing low

23:32 UTC

Range, drifting after recovery · RSI 49 · price 0.69755

Consolidation below session high.

AUDUSD recovered from the 0.69621 swing low to a session high at 0.69859, then faded into a tight 0.6970-0.6979 range on thin Asia-session volume. Price is pinned near EMA20 with RSI flat around 49, no directional impulse ahead of Australia's Q2 CPI.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859

What it said to watch

  • Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~2h) is a binary re-pricing event that can break this range either way
  • Close above 0.6979 opens a retest of the 0.69859 session high
  • Loss of 0.6970 asia low exposes the 0.69621 swing low

23:17 UTC

Sideways, range-bound · RSI 48 · price 0.69743

Consolidation sub-0.7000, tight Asian range.

AUDUSD is coiling in a tight Asian-session range between 0.69700 and 0.69790 after fading the 0.69859 NY high. RSI(14) neutral near 48, ATR compressed to ~3 pips — no setup in play ahead of Q2 CPI.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859

What it said to watch

  • Australia Q2 CPI in ~2h is a binary re-pricing event that will break this range
  • M15 close below 0.69700 exposes the 0.69621 session low
  • M15 close above 0.69790 reopens the 0.69859 session high

23:17 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69743

Range after failed push to session high.

AUDUSD is chopping in a tight 0.69700–0.69790 band through a thin Asia session after the earlier push to 0.69859 was rejected. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 and price is pinned around the EMA20, with no directional structure ahead of the Q2 CPI print.

Support: 0.69698, 0.6970, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859

What it said to watch

  • Australia Q2 CPI at 01:30 GMT (~2h) is a binary re-pricing event that can break this range either way
  • M15 close above 0.69790 targets the 0.69859 session high
  • Loss of 0.69698 opens the 0.69625 swing low

23:02 UTC

Pullback within recovery, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69719

Consolidating below 0.6985 swing high.

AUDUSD recovered off the 0.69627 session low to tag 0.69859 before fading back to 0.6972; last bars are low-volume drift in the quiet Asia hours. RSI(14) near 44, price pinned just under EMA20 with no active setup — ranging 0.6970-0.6985.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69627

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 psych area
  • Loss of 0.69627 confirms a lower low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next volatility trigger for this pair

23:02 UTC

Downtrend off session high, drifting · RSI 44 · price 0.69719

Lower highs into Asia consolidation.

AUDUSD rejected the 0.69859 session high and slid back to 0.69719, now consolidating in thin Asia-session trade. Price is pinning the 61.8% retrace of the 0.69621-0.69859 up-leg with RSI(14) neutral-soft near 44.

Support: 0.69698, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69765, 0.69859

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69698 confirms continuation toward the 0.69621 session low
  • Reclaim of 0.69765 pivot needed to re-approach the 0.69859 session high
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the primary catalyst to break this range

22:47 UTC

Pullback after rejection, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69708

Range, testing lower half.

AUDUSD rejected the session high at 0.69859 and has drifted lower into Asia hours, now testing the 61.8% retrace of the London-NY rally near 0.6971. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s; the pair stays penned below the 0.7000 cap the digest flags.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.6970 exposes the 0.69621 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.6979 puts the 0.69859 session high back in play
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the key near-term risk to this range read

22:47 UTC

Mild intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69708

Lower highs after 0.6985 peak, drifting into range mid.

AUDUSD rolled off the 0.6985 session high through the NY session and is drifting near 0.6971 in thin late-day/Asia-open trade, RSI(14) mid-40s. Price sits mid-range having retraced ~60% of the 0.6963–0.6985 bounce, capped by lower highs into the 0.6976 area.

Support: 0.69695, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6976, 0.6985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6976 reopens the 0.6985 session high
  • Break below 0.6963 confirms a lower low toward the session floor
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT (within hours) could materially shift this read

22:32 UTC

Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69726

Consolidation after rejection off session high.

AUDUSD is drifting in a quiet late-session range between 0.69700 and 0.69790 after buyers pushed to 0.6986 and were rejected mid-window. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; AUD stays capped sub-0.7000 ahead of tomorrow's Q2 CPI.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69790 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69700 exposes the 0.69625 session low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can break this range decisively

22:32 UTC

Mild downtrend after session-high rejection · RSI 44 · price 0.69726

Rejected at session high, drifting back into range.

AUDUSD stalled at the 0.6986 session high and has drifted back to 0.6972 on thin Asian-hour volume. Price sits mid-range between 0.6965 and 0.6986, slipping under EMA20 with no clean structure in play ahead of tomorrow's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.6965, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can break this Asian range in either direction
  • Loss of 0.6965 confirms a push toward the 0.69621 range low
  • M15 close back above 0.6986 reopens the 0.7000 psych level

22:17 UTC

Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69742

Consolidation after faded rally.

AUDUSD is coiling around 0.6974 on thin late-session flow after the bounce from 0.69627 stalled at the 0.69859 session high. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR has compressed to ~2.5 pips — no directional setup in play ahead of Australian CPI.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69627

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Australian Q2/June CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this compression
  • M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of the 0.6970 range floor exposes the 0.69627 swing low

22:17 UTC

Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 45 · price 0.69742

Consolidation below session high after rally faded.

AUDUSD rallied to a session high at 0.69859 during the prior window then faded, and now ranges quietly around 0.6974 in thin late-Asia trade — right on the 50% retof that leg. AUD stays heavy sub-0.7000, capped ahead of tomorrow's Q2 CPI; RSI(14) neutral near 45.

Support: 0.69713, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69859 session high reopens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can break this range

22:02 UTC

Range, drifting off session high · RSI 47 · price 0.69745

NY rally faded, mid-range in thin Asia trade.

NY session pushed to 0.69859 before fading; price has since drifted back to 0.6974 in thin Asian trade, tracking sub-0.7000 heaviness as the market waits on Australian CPI. Holding a narrow 0.69700–0.69790 band with RSI near neutral, no clean setup in play.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69790 reopens the session high at 0.69859
  • Loss of 0.69700 exposes the session low at 0.69644
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range decisively

22:02 UTC

Downtrend faded to flat range · RSI 45 · price 0.69745

Consolidation after NY fade off session high.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.69860 session high back to 0.6974 and is now coiling in a tight 0.69700–0.69790 range through the Asia open, volume thinning and RSI(14) neutral near 45. Price sits right on EMA20 with the window low at 0.69625 still intact.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.6986

What it said to watch

  • Australian Q2/June CPI at 01:30 GMT (~3.5h) is the dominant near-term catalyst
  • M15 close below 0.69700 reopens the 0.69625 swing low
  • Close above 0.69790 reactivates the 0.69860 session high

21:47 UTC

Recovery stalling, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69723

Bounce off lows, now consolidating.

AUDUSD bounced off the 0.69645 swing low during NY and peaked at the 0.69859 session high, but has drifted back to 0.6972 into the thin Asia open. Move is retracing toward the 61.8% of the NY bounce; pair remains penned sub-0.7000 ahead of Australian CPI.

Support: 0.69645, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Australian Q2/June CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst
  • Break below 0.69621 range low confirms a lower low
  • M15 close above 0.69859 session high reopens the 0.7000 psych level

21:47 UTC

Pulling back after NY rally faded · RSI 43 · price 0.69723

Session high rejected, drifting lower into Asia.

NY session rallied off 0.69629 to a 0.69859 session high, then rejected and faded steadily through late NY into Asia. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.6971–0.6976 band, RSI(14) cooling near 42; the 0.7000 psych cap remains untested ahead of Wed's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.69695, 0.69629

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 psych mark
  • Break below 0.69695 session low exposes the 0.69629 swing low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this consolidation

21:32 UTC

Drifting lower into thin Asian trade · RSI 44 · price 0.69719

Faded off session high, back mid-range.

AUDUSD recovered through the London-NY session to a high of 0.69859 before fading back to 0.69719 as liquidity thinned into the Asian handover. RSI(14) sits in the mid-40s with no momentum; price now hovers at the 61.8% retrace of the 0.69621-0.69859 leg, capped under 0.6976.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69759, 0.69859

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69700 psych level exposes 0.69625 session low
  • Reclaim of 0.69759 swing high needed to re-approach 0.69859
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for the next Asian bars

21:32 UTC

Pullback from NY high, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69719

Retrace into thin Asia trade, consolidating below session high.

NY session pushed to 0.69859 then rejected, and price has drifted back through the 61.8% retrace to 0.69719 in thin, low-volume Asia trade. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with ATR compressed near 3-4 pips — no active momentum with AUD heavy sub-0.7000.

Support: 0.69644, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.69961, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69644 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.69621
  • Reclaim of 0.69859 needed to negate the pullback
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst

21:17 UTC

Range after recovery bounce · RSI 46 · price 0.69738

Ranging 0.6970-0.6980 post rebound off session low.

AUDUSD is drifting in a tight 0.6970-0.6980 range in late NY/low-volume hours, having recovered off the 0.69625 session low up to 0.69859 before fading. Price now sits mid-fib of that bounce with RSI(14) neutral near 46; AUD stays heavy sub-0.7000 into Wednesday's CPI.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Break below 0.69625 session low reopens downside
  • M15 close above 0.69790 bounce high needed to retest 0.69859
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read

21:17 UTC

Range, drifting lower late session · RSI 45 · price 0.69738

Recovery off session low, now consolidating.

AUDUSD recovered off the 0.69625 session low back to 0.6985 before fading to 0.6974, now consolidating on thin late-session volume with RSI(14) neutral near 45. Pair remains capped well below the 0.7000 psych mark, in line with the AUD's heavy tone into tomorrow's Q2 CPI.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6985, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69850 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69700 puts session low 0.69625 back in play
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read

21:03 UTC

Faded off session high, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69733

Rally rejected, retracing prior up-leg.

NY session pushed AUDUSD up to a session high at 0.69859 before rejection, then faded steadily through late NY into Asia back to the 0.69730 session low. Price now coils in a tight 0.69730–0.69760 band below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range around 43; the 0.7000 psych ceiling remains untested.

Support: 0.6973, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69730 session low exposes the 0.69644 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69790 prior high needed to re-open the session high
  • AUD CPI Wed 01:30 GMT (~4h out) likely dictates the next leg

21:03 UTC

NY rally faded, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 0.69733

Pullback off session high, holding above session low.

AUDUSD ran from the 0.69649 session low to 0.69859 during NY then faded back to 0.6973, stalling well below the 0.7000 cap. Price now churns between the session high and 0.6965, RSI(14) mid-range and offering no extreme; Aussie remains penned sub-0.7000 into tomorrow's Q2 CPI.

Support: 0.69649, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next catalyst for this range
  • M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 test
  • Loss of 0.69649 confirms a lower low and opens 0.69621

20:47 UTC

Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69742

Consolidating mid-range after bounce.

AUDUSD sold to a 0.69628 range low during the session then recovered to reject 0.69859, and is now flat around 0.69742 into late NY/early Asia hours. Price sits mid-range just under EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 46 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips.

Support: 0.6973, 0.69644, 0.69628

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69730 exposes the 0.69644 swing low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT (~5h) can break this consolidation

20:47 UTC

Intraday rally faded, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.69742

Pullback into consolidation below 0.6985 high.

AUDUSD rallied through NY from 0.6965 to a session high at 0.69852 before rejection dragged it back to 0.6974, where it has gone flat into the Asia open. Price sits below EMA20 but is holding the 50-61.8% retrace of the up-leg; 0.6985 caps and 0.69644 marks the pullback floor.

Support: 0.69725, 0.69644, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69852, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can break this consolidation either way
  • Close above 0.69852 reopens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69644 swing low confirms a lower-low

20:32 UTC

Choppy, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.6974

Recovery faded, consolidating below recent high.

NY session recovered off the 0.6962 window low up to 0.6986 before supply capped and price faded into the late session, now coiling quietly around 0.6974. Range-bound sub-0.7000, with the psych mark and the 0.6986 swing high untested from below.

Support: 0.6965, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6982, 0.6986, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range decisively
  • Loss of 0.6965 session low opens the 0.6962 window low
  • Reclaim of 0.6982 supply needed to re-test the 0.6986 swing high

20:32 UTC

Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.6974

Recovery from session low stalled below 0.6985, pulling back.

AUDUSD bounced from the 0.6962 session low to 0.6985 through the NY session, then rejected and drifted back to 0.6974 — roughly a 50% retrace of that leg with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Aussie stays heavy sub-0.7000, penned between 0.6965 and 0.6985 ahead of Wednesday's Q2 CPI.

Support: 0.6965, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6985, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6965 reopens the 0.6962 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.6985 needed to challenge the 0.7000 psych cap
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range

20:17 UTC

Pullback within range, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.6975

Retraced off session high, coiling near mid-range.

AUDUSD eased to 0.6975 after rejection at the 0.6986 session high, roughly the 50% retrace of the London-NY rally off 0.6965. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with bars compressing into 3-4 pip candles; the pair holds sub-0.7000 in line with the heavy AUD tone.

Support: 0.6974, 0.6965

Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6965 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
  • reclaim of 0.6986 needed to challenge the 0.7000 psych cap
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range

20:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.6975

Consolidating below NY session high.

AUDUSD rounded off the session low at 0.69625 through NY, peaked at 0.69859, and has since gone flat near 0.6975 with volume drying up into the Asia handover. Price sits around the 50% retrace of that recovery, still capped well below the 0.7000 mark ahead of Australian CPI.

Support: 0.6974, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next range-breaker
  • Failure to hold 0.6974 reopens 0.69625 session low
  • Close above 0.69859 puts the 0.7000 psych cap in play

20:02 UTC

Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 43 · price 0.69742

Faded off session high, mid-range drift.

AUD recovered off the 0.69644 swing low to a session high at 0.69859 before fading, now drifting into 0.69742 around the 50% retracement of that leg with RSI(14) mid-range. Aussie stays heavy sub-0.7000, capped ahead of Wednesday's Q2 CPI.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.6977, 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69770 reopens the 0.69859 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69700 exposes the 0.69644 swing low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can override this intraday read

20:02 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69742

Consolidating below session high after pullback.

AUDUSD recovered off the 0.69625 swing low through NY, tagged the 0.69859 session high then faded to consolidate near 0.6974 at the mid-point of the move. RSI(14) sits neutral around 46 with price pinned just below EMA20 into tomorrow's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.69735, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.70000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69735 session low exposes 0.69644 swing low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can force a break of this range

19:47 UTC

Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 47 · price 0.69762

Rally into 0.6986 rejected, tight consolidation.

AUDUSD recovered off the 0.6962 session low through NY, tagging a 0.6986 session high before rejection, and is now drifting in a tight 0.6973-0.6978 consolidation with RSI(14) neutral. The advance stalled below the 0.7000 psych cap, and price has slipped back under EMA20.

Support: 0.6973, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.6973 range low reopens the 0.6962 session low
  • Close above 0.6986 session high revives the push toward 0.7000 psych
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read

19:47 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 0.69762

Consolidating below session high after retracing half the NY bounce.

NY session bounced twice off 0.6964 and ran to a session high at 0.69859 before stalling; price has since retraced roughly half the move and is coiling around 0.6975. Aussie stays penned below the 0.7000 pivot with tomorrow's Australian CPI the next directional catalyst.

Support: 0.69739, 0.69643

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the path toward the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.69739 exposes the 0.69643 swing low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read

19:32 UTC

Recovery stalling, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.69768

Tight consolidation under session high.

AUDUSD pushed off the 0.6965 base to a NY session high of 0.69859 before the level rejected it, and price is now coiling tight around 0.69768 — the 38.2% retracement of that up move. Volume thinning into the NY close with ATR compressed to ~4 pips.

Support: 0.6965, 0.69624

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.6965 base reopens the 0.69624 session low
  • Reclaim of 0.69859 session high puts the 0.7000 psych level in play
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next binary risk for this pair

19:32 UTC

Intraday bounce, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 0.69768

Rally off session low stalling at highs.

AUDUSD bounced off the 0.69625 session low during NY hours and pushed to 0.69859 before rejection capped the move. Price has since eased back toward the 38.2%-50% retrace of that leg and is drifting in a tight 0.69738-0.69770 band as the session winds down, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.

Support: 0.69738, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69859 session high reopens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69738 pullback low exposes the 0.69625 session low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT (~6h out) likely to break this range

19:17 UTC

Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.69754

Tight range under session high after intraday bounce.

AUDUSD carved out a session low at 0.69625 then rallied through NY hours to a session high of 0.69859 before easing back to 0.6975. Price is now pinned in a tight ~5 pip range, RSI(14) neutral near 47, coiling ahead of tomorrow's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.69695, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.70000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69695 swing low reasserts the downside toward 0.69625
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range decisively

19:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum flattening · RSI 50 · price 0.69754

Pullback within intraday uptrend leg.

NY session rallied off the London low near 0.69625 to a session high at 0.69859, then faded back to 0.6975 where price has gone flat. Move stalls into the 50-DMA/0.7000 cap flagged ahead of tomorrow's Australian CPI; RSI(14) back to neutral after the pullback.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69700 reopens the 0.69625 session low
  • Close above 0.69859 puts the 0.70000 psych level in play
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC ~16h later can override this intraday read

19:02 UTC

Recovery fading, momentum cooling · RSI 45 · price 0.69755

Pullback after London-NY rally off session low.

AUDUSD recovered off the 0.69621 swing low through London-NY, tagged a session high at 0.6986 and was rejected, fading back to 0.69755. Now coiling in a tight 0.69735-0.6976 range, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s; the pair remains heavy sub-0.7000 per the risk-off tone ahead of Australian CPI.

Support: 0.69735, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.6985, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6986 reopens the 0.7000 psych cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69735 exposes the 0.69644 swing low
  • Australian CPI ~6h out could break this consolidation

19:02 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.69755

Higher low off 0.6962, consolidating below session high.

AUDUSD rallied from the 0.6962 swing low through London to a session high of 0.6986, then faded into NY to consolidate around 0.6975, just under EMA20. Move stalled short of the 0.7000 psych level flagged as the cap into tomorrow's CPI; price now sits near the 38-50% retrace of the intraday leg.

Support: 0.69734, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69734 range low reopens the 0.69625 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69859 session high needed to challenge 0.7000 psych
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC ~16h later can materially shift this read

18:47 UTC

Recovery leg fading, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69747

Bounce off 0.6962 lows, retracing rally into 0.69859.

NY session rallied off the 0.6962 session low to 0.69859 then faded, retracing roughly half the move to 0.69747 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Aussie stays heavy sub-0.7000 ahead of tomorrow's Australian CPI, penned between 0.69660 and the session high.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6966, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.6979, 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69660 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.69621
  • Reclaim of 0.69790 puts the 0.69859 session high back in play
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC could materially shift this read

18:47 UTC

Intraday bounce, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 0.69747

Pullback after session-high rejection.

NY session rallied off 0.69649 to a session high of 0.69859 before rejecting; price has since faded to 0.69747, holding around the 50% retrace of that leg with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. AUD stays capped sub-0.7000 into Wednesday's Australian CPI, in line with the broader risk-off tone.

Support: 0.6974, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69740 opens the 0.69625 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69859 needed to retest the 0.7000 psych level
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could reset this range

18:32 UTC

Intraday rally fading, pullback underway · RSI 44 · price 0.69746

Pullback into 50% of the NY rally after rejection at 0.69859.

NY session pushed AUDUSD off the 0.69621 base up to a session high of 0.69859 before sellers rejected there; price has since faded back to ~0.69746, roughly the 50% retrace of that leg. AUD stays heavy sub-0.7000, capped ahead of tomorrow's Q2/June CPI.

Support: 0.69695, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69695 opens the 0.69621 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69859 session high needed to revive the rally
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially reset this read

18:32 UTC

Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69746

Rally rejected at 0.69859, retracing intraday move.

NY session pushed up to 0.69859 then got rejected, and price has faded back to 0.69746, roughly the 50% mark of that leg. Still capped well below the 0.7000 psych level; sub-range chop between the 0.69859 session high and the 0.69649 swing low.

Support: 0.69649, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69859 reopens the run toward 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.69649 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.69621 range low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT (~7h) can materially shift this read

18:17 UTC

Recovery stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69759

Rally off 0.69621 rejected at 0.69859, drifting lower.

AUDUSD based at 0.69621 and rallied through late NY to a session high of 0.69859 before sellers capped it, unwinding to 0.69759 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price now sits just under EMA20 and the pullback is testing the 0.69742 area, with the pair penned sub-0.7000 ahead of Australian CPI.

Support: 0.69738, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.6982, 0.69859

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69738 pullback low reopens the 0.69621 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.69820 prior high revives the push toward the 0.69859 session high
  • Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read

18:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum fading · RSI 49 · price 0.69759

Rally capped at session high, pulling back.

AUDUSD clawed off the 0.6963 demand zone through the NY session but the rally stalled at 0.69859 and has since faded to 0.6976, back below the EMA20. Aussie stays penned sub-0.7000 with the 50-DMA/psych cap intact ahead of Wednesday's Q2 CPI.

Support: 0.6966, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69859 reopens the 0.70000 psych cap
  • Loss of 0.69660 demand exposes the 0.69620 swing low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can override this intraday read

18:02 UTC

Recovered off lows, pullback underway · RSI 49 · price 0.69753

Higher high at 0.69859, now retracing.

NY session drove a recovery off the 0.69663 base up to a session high at 0.69859, but the move faded into late NY back to 0.69753, dipping under the EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral near 49 as the rally unwinds; the pullback holds above the session low for now.

Support: 0.69663, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.69859

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69663 session low confirms the recovery has failed
  • Reclaim of 0.69859 session high needed to resume the up-leg
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC thereafter could reset this read

18:02 UTC

NY uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 52 · price 0.69753

Recovery off session low, pulling back from session high.

NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69621 session low up to a session high at 0.69859, with the Aussie the G10 laggard sub-0.7000 into tomorrow's CPI. Last six bars have faded back to 0.69753, RSI cooling to ~52 as price dips under EMA20.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close back above 0.69859 puts the 0.70000 psych cap in play
  • Loss of 0.69700 swing pivot exposes the 0.69621 session low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC ~16h later can override this read

17:47 UTC

Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.69751

Higher lows into NY, now retracing off session high.

NY session drove AUDUSD up to a session high at 0.69859, capped well below the 0.7000 psych level, and price is now retracing toward the 0.69663 swing low. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-40s as the pullback develops; AUD stays heavy sub-0.7000 ahead of tomorrow's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.69663, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could reset this read entirely
  • M15 close below 0.69663 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69859 needed to re-target the 0.7000 psych cap

17:47 UTC

Intraday bounce fading into pullback · RSI 45 · price 0.69751

Rally to session high, now retracing.

NY session pushed AUDUSD off the 0.6962 range low up to a session high at 0.69859 before sellers capped it; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price retraces to 0.69751, back below EMA20. Pullback is holding above the 0.697 swing area while the 0.7000 psych cap stays untested, consistent with the AUD staying penned sub-0.7000 into tomorrow's CPI.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69644, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 psych cap
  • Loss of 0.69644 session low confirms a lower-low and unwinds the bounce
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next material driver for this pair

17:32 UTC

Recovering, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 0.69778

Higher lows into NY, pullback from session high.

NY session rallied from the 0.6966 range base to a session high at 0.69859 before easing back to 0.69778, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. AUD stays heavy sub-0.7000 into tomorrow's Q2 CPI, with buyers previously stepping in around 0.6963.

Support: 0.6966, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69859 reopens the 0.7000 psych cap
  • Failure to hold the 0.69660 range base confirms a lower low toward 0.69630 session low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can override this intraday read

17:32 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 0.69778

Higher lows off session low, pulling back from session high.

NY session drove a recovery off the 0.69621 swing low up to 0.69859, then price faded to 0.69778 with RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range. AUD stays penned below the 0.7000 psych cap ahead of tomorrow's Q2 CPI, keeping the bounce corrective for now.

Support: 0.6966, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69859 session high extends the recovery toward the 0.7000 psych cap
  • Loss of 0.6966 pullback low negates the intraday higher-low chain
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could override this read

17:17 UTC

Recovery off lows, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 0.69793

Rally off 0.6962 base, pulling back below session high.

NY session drove a steady recovery off the 0.6962 base, reclaiming through 0.69745 to tag a session high at 0.69859 before easing back to 0.69793. Advance capped below the 0.7000/50-DMA ceiling flagged as the recurring cap; RSI cooling from the rally.

Support: 0.69745, 0.69645, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69859 opens the path to the 0.7000 cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69745 breakout puts 0.69645 swing low back in play
  • Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could reset this read

17:17 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 55 · price 0.69793

Higher lows off 0.6962, pulling back from session high.

NY session drove a clean rally off 0.6965 to a session high at 0.69859, and price is now pulling back to the 0.6976 breakout shelf near the 38.2% fib. RSI(14) has cooled off its highs toward mid-range as the impulse loses steam ahead of tomorrow's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.6976, 0.6966, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.69859

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.69760 breakout shelf negates the pullback-continuation read
  • Reclaim of 0.69859 session high extends the intraday uptrend
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially reset this range

17:03 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 0.69825

Higher lows off session low, capped below 0.7000.

NY session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.6962 session low to a 0.69859 high, now easing back to 0.69825 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Buyers stepped in repeatedly along a rising support off 0.6966, but the 0.7000 psychological/50-DMA cap flagged in the AUD read remains untested.

Support: 0.6966, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69660 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
  • Rejection at session high 0.69859 keeps price penned below 0.7000
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read

17:03 UTC

Intraday uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 0.69825

Higher lows off session low, stalling under 0.6986.

NY session rallied ~20 pips off the 0.69621 session low into 0.69860 before stalling, now easing to 0.69825 with RSI(14) cooling from mid-60s. AUD stays heavy sub-0.7000, capped ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI; the 0.6986 session high and 0.7000 psych remain the immediate ceiling.

Support: 0.6966, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69860 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych
  • Failure to hold 0.69660 swing low reopens 0.69621 session low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could reset this range

16:47 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum firm · RSI 64 · price 0.6982

Higher lows off session low, breaking recent range top.

NY session drove a clean recovery from the 0.69625 session low up to 0.69859, breaking the 0.6976 range top and pushing price above both EMAs. Last bar stalled at 0.6982 with RSI cooling from the mid-60s; the 0.7000 psych cap sits just overhead.

Support: 0.6976, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69859 session high opens the 0.7000 psych mark
  • Loss of 0.6976 prior range top negates the breakout read
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next material driver for this pair

16:47 UTC

Short-term uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 0.6982

Higher lows off session base, pullback from session high.

NY session rallied off 0.6965 to a session high at 0.69859, breaking the 0.6976 shelf before easing back to 0.6982 with RSI cooling from the low 60s. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around the 0.69645 swing low earlier; 0.7000 psych cap remains the ceiling into tomorrow's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.6976, 0.69645

Resistance: 0.69859, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.6976 breakout level negates the recovery read
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read
  • Rejection or break at 0.7000 psych — area to watch

16:32 UTC

Recovering uptrend off session base · RSI 66 · price 0.6984

Range floor held, breakout higher into NY.

AUDUSD based around 0.6963 through the Asian/early-London hours then lifted through 0.6975 into NY, printing a session high at 0.6986 with RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched. The 0.7000 psych level, aligned with the 50-DMA/38.2% Fibo cap flagged for AUD, remains the ceiling into Wednesday's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6986, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back below 0.6975 negates the breakout and returns price into the range floor
  • Rejection or break at the 0.7000 psych level — area to monitor
  • Australian Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read

16:32 UTC

Intraday recovery, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 0.6984

Higher lows off session low, rallying into resistance.

AUDUSD carved a rounded base near 0.6963 through the Asian/early-London hours, then pushed higher into NY to 0.6986 with RSI(14) heating toward 71. Rally stalling just under the 0.7000 psych mark that has capped every attempt.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6965, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6986, 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 psych extends the recovery leg
  • Failure to hold the 0.6975 breakout base confirms fade
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read

16:17 UTC

Recovering off session lows · RSI 72 · price 0.69849

Double bottom, higher lows into NY.

NY session bid off a double bottom at 0.6962, with buyers stepping in twice around the swing low before a clean recovery leg into 0.6985. RSI(14) is hot near 72 as price probes the session high; the 0.7000 psychological cap sits overhead.

Support: 0.6970, 0.6965, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6994 opens the path to the 0.7000 psych cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 negates the recovery and re-exposes the 0.6962 double bottom
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant AUD catalyst and could reset this read

16:17 UTC

Uptrend, near session high · RSI 69 · price 0.69849

Breakout from base, higher highs.

NY session rallied out of a 0.6963–0.6972 base, printing a fresh session high at 0.69849 with RSI(14) elevated near 70. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 0.6962 through the London-NY transition; the 0.70000 psych cap and 38.2% fibo hurdle now sit overhead.

Support: 0.6975, 0.6966, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.69849, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.70000 clears the psych cap and opens path higher
  • Loss of 0.69750 negates the breakout and returns price into the base
  • AUD CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

16:02 UTC

Recovering, short-term uptrend into NY · RSI 66 · price 0.69832

Double bottom off session low, range break higher.

AUDUSD based twice at the 0.69621 session low through the mid-window drift, then NY hours drove a clean break above the 0.6963–0.6973 range up to 0.6983, retracing ~62% of the earlier decline. RSI(14) near 66, hot but not extreme; the 0.6989 prior-high shelf and 0.70000 psychological/50-DMA cap sit just overhead into Wed's CPI.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.6989, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Rejection at 0.6989–0.70000 caps the bounce and reasserts the range
  • M15 close back below 0.69700 negates the range break
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant AUD catalyst

16:02 UTC

Recovering, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 0.69832

Higher lows off session base, testing prior swing.

NY afternoon session: AUDUSD carved a double base near 0.69620 through the mid-window and has rallied ~20 pips into 0.69832, clearing 0.69754 with RSI(14) near 68. Recovery aligns with a two-way risk read ahead of Wednesday's AU CPI; supply sits at the 0.69940 prior swing and the 0.70000 psych cap.

Support: 0.69754, 0.69621, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69827, 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69940 opens the path toward the 0.70000 psych cap
  • Failure to hold 0.69754 breakout re-exposes the 0.69621 session low
  • AU CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC later Wed are the dominant catalysts

15:47 UTC

Recovering off session lows · RSI 64 · price 0.69804

Higher lows late NY after intraday decline.

AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6962-0.6964 through NY hours and rallied to 0.698, reclaiming both short EMAs as risk-off pressure eased. The prior session high at 0.69824 caps the bounce, with 0.7000 the standing psych barrier flagged into Wednesday's Australia CPI.

Support: 0.69644, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69824, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69824 opens the path back toward the 0.7000 psych cap
  • Loss of 0.69644 session base re-exposes the 0.69621 session low
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant AUD catalyst and could reset this read

15:47 UTC

Recovering off session lows · RSI 64 · price 0.69804

Double bottom, higher lows building.

AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6962 through the day and rallied into the NY session, reclaiming EMA20/50 and pressing the session high at 0.69824. RSI(14) near 64, room before it runs hot; the bounce fits AUD stabilising after this week's risk-off slide, but 0.6994/0.7000 remains the overhead cap.

Support: 0.69713, 0.6966, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69824, 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69824 exposes the 0.69940 prior high and 0.7000 psych cap
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 reopens the 0.6962 session low
  • AUD CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

15:32 UTC

Recovering off session lows · RSI 64 · price 0.69799

Double-bottom bounce off 0.6962, HL chain into NY.

AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6962 through the London session then pushed higher into NY, last printing 0.6980 with RSI(14) around 64. The Aussie stays sub-0.7000 amid tech-led risk-off, but buyers stepped in twice at 0.6962 and the recovery has reclaimed both fast EMAs.

Support: 0.69649, 0.69621, 0.6975

Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 0.69649 reopens the 0.6962 swing low
  • Close above 0.69940 exposes the 0.7000 psych cap
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is a binary risk that can override this read

15:32 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum firming · RSI 67 · price 0.69799

Double bottom near 0.6962, higher lows into NY.

AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6962 through London and has since climbed to 0.6980 into NY hours, RSI(14) firming to the high-60s. Price is now testing the 0.6800 round level after a clean recovery off the session low.

Support: 0.6966, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6994

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6980 round opens the path to the 0.6994 prior high
  • Loss of 0.6966 recent pivot reopens the 0.6962 session low
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC could materially shift this read

15:16 UTC

Downtrend stabilising, bounce in play · RSI 60 · price 0.69756

Consolidation off session low, testing 38.2% retrace.

AUDUSD carved a base at 0.6962 through the NY session and just popped to 0.69756 on the final bar, tagging the 38.2% retrace of the 0.69989–0.69621 slide. Demand held twice at 0.6962–0.6966; the 0.69765 session high is the immediate cap.

Support: 0.6966, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69765, 0.6989

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 0.69765 opens the 0.6989 prior high
  • Loss of 0.6966 reopens the 0.69621 session low
  • Australia CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) and FOMC are binary risks that could override this read

15:02 UTC

Sideways after intraday slide · RSI 45 · price 0.69678

Range-bound near session lows.

AUDUSD slid from 0.6999 to a 0.6962 session low through London hours then stabilised, and NY has since chopped in a tight 0.6962–0.6974 band with RSI(14) neutral near 45. Price sits mid-range at 0.6968, capped below EMA20/50 with no directional impulse in play.

Support: 0.69621, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6994

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6974 reopens the 0.6994 area
  • Loss of 0.69621 confirms a lower low toward 0.6960
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC later are twin catalysts that could break this range

15:01 UTC

Intraday downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 0.69678

Range base after London selloff.

AUDUSD faded from 0.6996 through the London session and has since coiled in a 0.6963-0.6974 band, printing at 0.69678 near the range base with RSI in the mid-40s. Price sits just under EMA20/50; movement is muted ahead of the AUD CPI and FOMC double-header.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.69738

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower-low and opens the range base
  • Reclaim of 0.69738 puts the range top back in play
  • Australia CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) and FOMC later that day are twin catalysts that can override this range

14:47 UTC

Leg down stalling into range · RSI 48 · price 0.69688

Ranging 0.6963-0.6974 after intraday decline.

AUDUSD slid from the 0.6996 area to a 0.69625 session low as an AI/chip-stock risk-off tone weighed on the Aussie, then based and is now ranging 0.6963-0.6974. RSI(14) back to neutral near 47 with price pinned to EMA20; the pair holds the 0.6970-0.7000 band flagged into CPI.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.69738, 0.69961, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
  • Reclaim of 0.69738 needed to challenge the 0.6996 prior high
  • AUD CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) ~11h out is the dominant catalyst for this read

14:46 UTC

Downtrend easing into range · RSI 46 · price 0.69688

Consolidation above session low.

AUDUSD slid from 0.6990 toward a 0.6962 session low through the London session as an AI/chip-driven risk-off tone weighed on the Aussie, and has since gone flat, ranging 0.6963-0.6974. Price is pinned to EMA20 with EMA50 capping overhead; RSI(14) mid-range near 46, no momentum edge into NY.

Support: 0.6963, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6990

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6963 range floor confirms a lower-low continuation
  • Close above 0.6974 range top reopens 0.6990 prior high
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT then FOMC are the twin catalysts that will break this range

14:31 UTC

Range after intraday selloff · RSI 50 · price 0.69693

Chopping 0.6962-0.6974 post-decline.

AUDUSD slid from ~0.6994 to a 0.69621 session low through London, then settled into a tight 0.6962-0.6974 range into the NY afternoon with RSI(14) flat near 50. AUD stays capped well below the 0.7000 psych level as traders hold fire ahead of the CPI/Fed double-header.

Support: 0.69644, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69738, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69738 recent high opens 0.69800
  • Break of 0.69621 session low confirms a lower low
  • Australia CPI 01:30 GMT then FOMC are twin catalysts that could void this range read

14:31 UTC

Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 0.69693

Range after lower low, holding ~0.6965-0.6974.

AUDUSD sold off through the London-NY transition, printing a session low at 0.69621 before recovering into a tight 0.69645-0.69738 range. Price now sits mid-range at 0.69693 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; no directional setup while the range holds.

Support: 0.69645, 0.69621

Resistance: 0.69738, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69621 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69738 swing high reopens 0.69800
  • Australia CPI (~11h) and FOMC are twin catalysts that could override this range

14:17 UTC

Choppy, mild downside drift stabilising · RSI 48 · price 0.69683

Range-bound sub-0.7000.

AUDUSD faded from a failed push toward 0.7000 into the 0.69625 session low, and is now consolidating a tight 0.6962-0.6974 band during NY hours with RSI(14) hovering near 48. Traders are sitting on hands ahead of Wed CPI and FOMC; ATR(14) around 5 pips reflects the compressed range.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6954

Resistance: 0.69738, 0.6990, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69738 opens a retest of 0.6990
  • Break below 0.69625 confirms a lower low toward 0.6954
  • Australia CPI ~11h away could break this range

14:16 UTC

Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 49 · price 0.69683

Consolidation in lower part of range after fade from 0.6996.

AUDUSD faded through the London-NY session from the 0.6996 area down to a session low at 0.6963, and is now chopping in a tight 0.6963-0.6974 band with RSI(14) flat near 49. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with no directional impulse as traders hold ahead of Australian CPI and FOMC.

Support: 0.6963, 0.69695

Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6982

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6974 opens a retest of the 0.6982 prior high
  • Loss of 0.6963 session low confirms a lower-low and extends the fade
  • Australia CPI (~11h) then FOMC are the dominant catalysts that could break this range

14:02 UTC

Downtrend stalling, basing · RSI 53 · price 0.69721

Double bottom at 0.6962 after fade from 0.6994.

AUDUSD faded from 0.6994 to a 0.6962 double bottom through the London-NY sessions, then ground back to 0.6972 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Recovery is shallow and capped under the 0.6974 swing high; traders are sitting on hands ahead of Wed CPI and FOMC.

Support: 0.6962, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6980, 0.6994

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a lower low and voids the double bottom
  • Close above 0.6974 opens the path back toward 0.6980
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT then FOMC could materially shift this read

14:02 UTC

Downtrend stalling, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.69721

Session decline, now basing with higher lows.

AUDUSD faded through the NY session from 0.6996 toward a 0.6962 base, then carved higher lows back to 0.69721 with RSI(14) mid-range. Pair remains pinned under 0.7000 as traders sit on hands ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.6962, 0.6965

Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6974 opens the path to 0.6980
  • Failure to hold 0.6962 confirms a lower low
  • Australian CPI (~11h out) is the next structural catalyst

13:46 UTC

Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69663

Faded from 0.6999, ranging above session low.

AUDUSD faded through the London-NY transition from 0.6999 down to the session low at 0.69620, then chopped in a 0.6962–0.6974 range with a firm USD reasserting into the FOMC event risk. Price is fading back toward the lower half at 0.69663, sub-EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral around 44.

Support: 0.6962, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.6974

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69620 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Close above 0.69740 breaks the range top
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read

13:32 UTC

Range, mild recovery off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.69704

Consolidation between 0.6962 and 0.6974.

AUDUSD faded from a failed 0.7000 test early in the window to a 0.69621 session low, then based twice near 0.6963 and ground back to 0.6970 through the London-NY transition. RSI(14) mid-range and ATR ~3.6 pips; price is consolidating just under the 0.6974 recent high with Australia CPI ahead.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69621, 0.6963

Resistance: 0.6974, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6974 opens a retest of the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of the 0.69621 session low confirms a lower low
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range

13:31 UTC

Intraday down, stabilising · RSI 56 · price 0.69704

Range base after selloff, higher lows.

AUDUSD faded from near 0.7000 to a 0.6962 double bottom through the London session as a firm USD reasserted, then ground back up into NY hours on a chain of higher lows. Price holds 0.6970 inside a 0.6962-0.6976 range, coiling ahead of Australian CPI.

Support: 0.6962, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close above 0.69758 swing high opens the path to 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.6962 double bottom confirms a lower low
  • Australian CPI in ~12h could break this range decisively

13:17 UTC

Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 51 · price 0.69709

Lower highs into a range base near 0.6965.

AUDUSD faded through the window from the 0.7000 area to a 0.69621 session low as a firm USD held bid into the FOMC. Price is now basing in a tight 0.6962-0.6976 band; RSI(14) neutral near 51, no directional impulse into event risk.

Support: 0.69621, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69621 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Close above 0.69758 opens the path back toward 0.6980
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT then FOMC later — can reset this range

13:16 UTC

Downtrend fading, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69709

Session low base, grinding higher.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 area across the window to a London-session low at 0.69625, where buyers stepped in twice, and is now grinding back to 0.6971. RSI(14) recovered off its lows to mid-range; ATR(14) sits near 4 pips with price back above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69747, 0.69804, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69747 swing high needed to confirm the recovery
  • Loss of 0.69625 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • AUD Q2/June CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the near-term risk that can break this range

13:02 UTC

Downtrend, bounce forming · RSI 52 · price 0.6969

Faded from 0.7000, basing above session low.

AUDUSD faded from a failed test of 0.7000 through the London-NY window down to a session low at 0.6962 as a firm USD reasserted, now recovering to 0.6969 and holding just above the EMA20. Bounce is shallow — price sits below the 38.2% fib of the down move (0.6977) with RSI(14) mid-range around 52.

Support: 0.6967, 0.6962

Resistance: 0.6977, 0.6990, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6977 (38.2 fib) extends the recovery toward 0.6990
  • Failure to hold 0.6962 session low confirms a lower low
  • US Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC could move the USD leg; AU CPI Wed 01:30 GMT the larger risk

13:02 UTC

Downtrend fading, consolidating near lows · RSI 51 · price 0.6969

Session low base after fade from 0.7000.

AUDUSD faded from a failed 0.7000 test through the session down to a base near 0.6962, twice defended, and is now consolidating tightly around 0.6965-0.6970. RSI(14) has recovered off the lows to mid-range as price sits on hands ahead of AU CPI.

Support: 0.6962, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6990, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.6990 needed to unwind the fade
  • AU CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the next material catalyst for this read

12:47 UTC

Downtrend easing, basing near lows · RSI 49 · price 0.69696

Consolidation above session low after morning fade.

AUDUSD faded from 0.7000 through the London morning to a session low at 0.69621, with a firm USD capping the pair. Price is now grinding back toward 0.6970, carving higher lows off the base as traders sit on hands ahead of Australian CPI.

Support: 0.69621, 0.69565

Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69730 swing high opens a retest of 0.6980
  • Loss of 0.69621 session low resumes the downtrend toward the range floor
  • Australia CPI (~13h) and FOMC could materially shift this read

12:46 UTC

Downtrend easing, basing near lows · RSI 54 · price 0.69696

Faded from 0.6996 to double bottom at 0.6962, recovering.

AUDUSD pinned under 0.7000 ahead of CPI, faded from 0.6996 through the session to a double bottom at 0.6962 during London hours. Price is grinding back toward 0.6970 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range; lower highs at 0.6996 and 0.6975 still cap the bounce.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6975 breaks the lower-high sequence and opens 0.7000
  • Loss of 0.6962 double bottom confirms a lower low
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst

12:31 UTC

Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 49 · price 0.69682

Lower highs into a 0.6962-0.6975 base.

AUDUSD slid through the London-NY transition to a session low of 0.6962, with a firm USD pre-FOMC weighing on the Aussie. Price is basing 0.6962-0.6975 with twin lows near 0.6962; RSI(14) recovered to mid-range as the sell-off stalled.

Support: 0.69621, 0.6960

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.6960 psych
  • Reclaim of 0.6975 swing high would neutralise the intraday downtrend
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is a binary event that will override this base

12:17 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69667

Consolidation above a double bottom at 0.6962.

AUDUSD sold off through London into the mid-0.696s and is now consolidating, with matched lows at 0.69625 and 0.69621 forming a double bottom. Price sits below the 0.69730 swing high under a descending resistance line; RSI(14) mid-range near 44 as the market drifts ahead of Aus CPI.

Support: 0.6962, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6973

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69620 confirms a lower low and negates the double bottom
  • Break above 0.69730 clears the descending resistance line
  • Aus CPI 01:30 GMT then FOMC are binary events that can override this read

12:16 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 0.69667

Boxed at session lows after leg down.

AUDUSD leaked lower through the London session, printing a swing low at 0.69621 before stabilising. Price is now boxed 0.6962–0.6976 with RSI(14) mid-range, USD firm on pre-FOMC caution while AUD stays pinned sub-0.7000.

Support: 0.69621, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69758, 0.6994

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6962 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Close above 0.6976 exits the range toward 0.6970-round breach then 0.69758
  • Aus CPI (~13h) then FOMC are binary catalysts that override this intraday read

12:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 0.69652

Lower highs into session-low consolidation.

AUDUSD ground lower through the London session from ~0.6996 to a session low at 0.69621, and is now consolidating in a tight 0.6962-0.6965 band just above it. RSI(14) is subdued near 43 with price capped under EMA20/50; the pair stays boxed sub-0.7000 as traders sit on hands ahead of Australia CPI and the FOMC.

Support: 0.69621, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.69707, 0.69758, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69621 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.696 psych
  • Reclaim of 0.69707 minor pivot would ease the lower-highs sequence
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC ~16h later could reset this read entirely

12:01 UTC

Downtrend, now flatlining at lows · RSI 44 · price 0.69652

Lower highs into a tight range near session low.

AUDUSD ground lower through the session from the 0.7000 rejection, bottoming at 0.6962 and now consolidating in a 0.6962-0.6970 range with RSI(14) parked in the mid-40s. Price sits below EMA20/50; sub-0.7000 cap intact ahead of tomorrow's Aus CPI.

Support: 0.6962, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69758, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6970 range top breaks the recent lower-high chain
  • Loss of 0.6962 range low confirms continuation of the downtrend
  • Aus CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) then FOMC are the catalysts that resolve this range

11:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 41 · price 0.69645

Lower highs into session low, now consolidating.

AUDUSD ground lower through the session, printing a session low at 0.69620 before basing in a tight ~15-pip range just above it. RSI(14) around 41 as the sell-off loses pace; price remains below EMA20 and EMA50 with the pair pinned under 0.7000 into Wednesday's CPI.

Support: 0.6962, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6976

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69620 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69730 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • AUD trimmed-mean CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read

11:31 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.69632

Lower highs into 0.6963-0.6973 range.

AUDUSD slid off 0.6994 through the NY session, printing a session low at 0.69625 before stabilising in a tight 0.6963-0.6973 band. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, ATR compressed near 5 pips as price coils just under 0.7000 into Wednesday's CPI.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.6973 needed to break the consolidation
  • AUD CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could materially shift this read

11:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 0.69661

Lower highs into a base above session low.

AUDUSD ground lower from the 0.7000 area through London, printing a session low at 0.69621 before stabilising near 0.6966. Price is consolidating just above the low with RSI mid-range; sellers capped the last bounce at 0.69735, and the whole tape stays coiled ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.69621, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.69735, 0.69804, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69621 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
  • Reclaim of 0.69735 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Australian CPI in ~14h could break this consolidation either way

11:01 UTC

Downtrend, steady grind lower · RSI 43 · price 0.69652

Lower highs, lower lows.

AUDUSD leaked lower through the London session, sliding off the 0.7000 pivot and printing fresh session lows at 0.69621 as a firm USD ahead of the FOMC capped bounces. Recovery attempts stalled at 0.69747, keeping the lower-high sequence intact; RSI(14) mid-40s, no oversold stretch yet.

Support: 0.69621, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.69747, 0.69805, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69747 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 0.69621 extends the downtrend toward 0.6960
  • Australia CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) and FOMC ~16h later could reset this read

11:01 UTC

Downtrend, pressing session lows · RSI 42 · price 0.69652

Lower highs, lower lows since London.

AUDUSD ground lower through London, slipping from 0.6996 to fresh session lows at 0.69621 with price pinned below EMA20/50. The 0.70000 pivot capped early and each bounce has stalled near 0.69735; RSI(14) around 41, no oversold stretch yet.

Support: 0.69621, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.69735, 0.69758, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69621 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 0.69735 would break the lower-high chain
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC same day could materially shift this read

10:46 UTC

Downtrend, pressing session lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69626

Lower highs into fresh session low.

AUDUSD ground lower through the London session from the 0.7000 area, printing a fresh session low at 0.69621 with EMA20/50 stacked above price. Chain of lower highs (0.69758, 0.69747, 0.69667) keeps the downside sequence intact; RSI(14) near 37, soft but not yet extended.

Support: 0.69621, 0.6954

Resistance: 0.69747, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69621 confirms the next lower-low; a reclaim of 0.69747 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC same day are the dominant catalysts and can override this intraday structure

10:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 39 · price 0.69657

Lower highs, lower lows.

London session broke the 0.697 base and printed a fresh session low at 0.69625, AUDUSD now hovering 0.69657 under the 50-day SMA cap flagged into Wednesday's CPI. RSI(14) soft near 38 but not yet oversold; sellers holding the 0.69747 swing high on the last bounce.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.69747

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69747 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 0.69625 opens continuation lower
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this pair

10:16 UTC

Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 38 · price 0.69636

Lower highs, lower lows since 0.7005.

AUDUSD rolled over from 0.7005 through the NY session, breaking below the 0.6970 shelf and printing fresh session lows at 0.69636, retesting the prior swing low near 0.69625. RSI(14) around 38, no oversold extreme yet; pair coiling below 0.7000 with the 50-day SMA capping the daily read into Wednesday's AU CPI.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms continuation lower toward 0.6960
  • Reclaim of 0.6975 breaks the lower-high chain
  • AU CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC ~16h later can override this intraday read

10:01 UTC

Downtrend, retesting lows · RSI 40 · price 0.69644

Lower highs, testing session low.

AUDUSD ground lower through London off the 0.7000 area, dropping to a session low at 0.69644 as the pair eased ahead of Wednesday's CPI. A bounce into the 0.69758 swing high faded and price is now back retesting the session low; RSI(14) sub-40, no oversold extreme yet.

Support: 0.69644, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Break below 0.69625 swing low confirms lower-low continuation
  • Reclaim of 0.69758 swing high would neutralise the down-leg
  • AUD CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) and FOMC could materially shift this read

10:01 UTC

Downtrend, testing session lows · RSI 42 · price 0.69644

Lower highs, consolidation breaking down.

AUDUSD leaked lower through the London session from 0.7005 toward the 0.69625 swing low, consolidating 0.6968-0.6976 before the last bar broke down to retest lows. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; move ties to the softer-USD grind and positioning ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.69804, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 0.69625 swing low confirms continuation lower toward 0.6960
  • Reclaim of 0.69758 swing high negates the breakdown read
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC same day can override this structure

09:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 0.69714

Lower highs into a base near session lows.

AUDUSD sold off through 0.6980 into early London, sweeping a session low of 0.69625 before stabilising in a 0.6965–0.6975 band. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to the mid-40s as price coils below the 0.69758 range top, sitting just above EMA20 but under EMA50.

Support: 0.69644, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.69807

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69758 range high opens the path back toward 0.69807
  • Failure to hold 0.69644 confirms continuation to the 0.69625 swing low
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC later that day could materially shift this read

09:32 UTC

Downtrend, stabilizing into range · RSI 45 · price 0.69714

Sharp London-open leg down, now consolidating above session low.

AUDUSD sold off at the London open from 0.6980 to a 0.69625 session low, then recovered into a tight 0.69695–0.69758 range. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-40s and price is chopping just above EMA20 but under EMA50; no clean intraday setup in play ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.69695, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.69804

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower-low and voids the range floor
  • Reclaim of 0.69758 session high opens the path back toward the 0.69804 pre-drop high
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC same day are the dominant catalysts and can reset this read

09:32 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 46 · price 0.69714

Lower highs into a tight consolidation.

AUDUSD leaked lower from the 0.7000 area through the session, with a sharp early-London leg down to a session low of 0.69644 as a firmer USD weighed. Price is now consolidating 0.6965-0.6975 just under the 0.6980 swing high, RSI(14) recovering to mid-40s from the drop.

Support: 0.69644, 0.69695

Resistance: 0.6975, 0.69804

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69644 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of the 0.6975 recent high reopens the 0.69804 swing high
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT and FOMC same day could materially shift this read

09:17 UTC

Downtrend, recovery stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.69722

Session low carved, now consolidating.

AUDUSD slid off 0.7000 through the Asian session to a session low near 0.69625, then buyers stepped in twice to base and lift price back to a 0.6970-0.6976 consolidation into London. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-40s; the 0.69758 session high caps for now.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69758 opens the path to 0.69800
  • Failure to hold 0.69625 confirms a lower low
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk for this pair

09:17 UTC

Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 0.69722

Based near session low, ranging.

AUDUSD sold off through 0.69804 during the Asia-London transition into a session low at 0.69625, then stabilised and is now consolidating 0.69660-0.69758 with price back on the EMA20. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range as the pair pins around the 0.7000 pivot theme ahead of Wednesday's CPI.

Support: 0.6966, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.69804, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
  • Reclaim of 0.69804 negates the breakdown read
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this pair

09:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 52 · price 0.69731

Basing above session low after sell-off.

AUDUSD slid from the 0.7000 area through the NY session, sweeping down to a session low of 0.69625 before demand stabilised it into a 0.6965–0.6975 base. USD held firm ahead of Wednesday's FOMC while AUD idled near the 0.7000 pivot; RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range as the sell-off flattened.

Support: 0.69695, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.6976, 0.69935, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69760 breaks the consolidation and reopens the 0.6993 area
  • Loss of 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair

09:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 0.69731

Sold off then basing near session low.

AUDUSD leaked lower through the London hours, sliding from 0.6994 to a session low at 0.69644 as the pair drifts off 0.7000 into Wednesday's CPI. Price has since based in a 0.69644–0.69760 range with RSI back to neutral; range top capping, session low holding so far.

Support: 0.69644, 0.69695

Resistance: 0.6976, 0.69804, 0.6990

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69760 opens the path back toward 0.69804
  • Loss of 0.69644 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for the next legs

08:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 0.69699

Lower lows into 0.69625, now ranging.

London session extended the slide from 0.70000 down to a 0.69625 swing low, with a softer USD failing to lift AUD ahead of Wednesday's CPI. Price has since chopped in a 0.69625-0.69758 band, RSI(14) flat mid-40s and price capped under EMA20/50.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69695

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6985, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69758 range top breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.69625 swing low confirms fresh lower-low continuation
  • Australia CPI (Wed 01:30 GMT) and FOMC are the dominant catalysts and can override this range read

08:47 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating off lows · RSI 45 · price 0.69699

Lower highs into session low, now basing near 0.6970.

London session pushed AUDUSD down from 0.6994 to a session low at 0.69625, and price is now consolidating around 0.6970 just below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Move stalled ahead of Wednesday's Australia CPI and the FOMC; the swing high at 0.69758 caps the recovery.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6985

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69758 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can override this range read

08:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 0.69692

Lower highs into a base near session lows.

Asian session ground AUDUSD down from 0.7003 to a swing low at 0.69625, price now consolidating 0.6965–0.6975 below EMA20/50. RSI(14) recovered off the lows to the mid-40s as the sell-off stalled; pair pinned near 0.6969 into Wednesday's CPI.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.69747, 0.6990, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.69747 session high opens 0.6990
  • AUD CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the range-breaking catalyst

08:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 46 · price 0.69692

Consolidating above session low after leg down.

AUDUSD sold off through the London session from 0.7000 to a session low of 0.69625, then based twice around 0.6963 and clawed back to ~0.6970. Price is now pinned in a 0.6966-0.6976 range, RSI(14) mid-band, with the 0.7000 psych level capping any recovery ahead of Wednesday's CPI.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69656

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69758 swing high opens the path back toward 0.7000 psych
  • AUD CPI Wed 01:30 GMT could break this range decisively

08:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 45 · price 0.69684

Lower highs, consolidating near session low.

AUDUSD sold off from the 0.7000 handle through the London session, sweeping down to 0.69625 before buyers stabilised the pair. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6965-0.6975 band as the market defers to Wednesday's Australian CPI, RSI(14) recovered off oversold to the mid-40s.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT is the key risk and can break this consolidation either way
  • Loss of 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower-low and extends the downtrend
  • M15 close above 0.69758 negates the lower-high sequence

08:17 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 44 · price 0.69684

Lower highs into session low, now basing.

AUDUSD sold off through the NY session from 0.6994 to a session low at 0.69625, then bounced to 0.69758 before easing back to 0.6968. Price is basing just under the descending swing highs, RSI mid-40s, with AUD pinned ahead of Wednesday's CPI.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69758 needed to challenge 0.69800
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can break this range

08:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 47 · price 0.69688

Consolidating above session low.

AUDUSD drifted down through Asia from 0.70050 and the London open pushed price to a session low of 0.69625 before buyers stepped in. Now chopping 0.69625–0.69758 near the 0.7000 psych pivot, RSI(14) mid-range, as the pair squares up ahead of Aus CPI and FOMC.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69658

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69758 opens the path back to the 0.69800 swing high
  • Failure to hold 0.69625 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
  • Aus CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read

08:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 0.69688

Lower highs into a base above 0.6962.

AUDUSD slid off 0.6996 through the London open, printing a session low at 0.69625 before basing between there and 0.69758, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 45. Price is holding just under the 0.7000 pivot with buyers stepping in twice at 0.6964.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69644

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Reclaim of 0.69758 opens the path back toward 0.7000
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read

07:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 47 · price 0.69692

Session low at 0.69625 holding, higher lows since.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 handle through the session, bottoming at 0.69625 in early London before a grind back to 0.69758. Price now consolidating around 0.6969 with higher lows forming, but still capped below the 0.6975–0.6980 supply and stalled below EMA20.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69686

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69758 opens the path back toward 0.6980
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC ahead can override this intraday read

07:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.69692

Leg down to 0.6962, now basing.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.7000 psych level through the session, printing a low at 0.69625 where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom. Price now consolidating 0.6963–0.6976 below EMA20, RSI(14) recovering off the lows. AUD is squaring ahead of Wednesday's Aus CPI and the FOMC.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69686

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69758 swing high shifts the near-term structure
  • Loss of 0.69625 swing low confirms a lower-low continuation
  • Aus CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read

07:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilising · RSI 46 · price 0.69728

Lower highs, bounce off session low.

AUDUSD slid off the 0.7000 pivot through the Asian hours, printing a session low at 0.69625 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 0.6973. The move fits the digest read of a pair capped below 0.7000 into Wednesday's CPI/FOMC; RSI(14) has recovered from oversold but the sequence of lower highs is intact.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69695

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.69805, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69805 needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Australia CPI Wed and FOMC could materially shift this read

07:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 45 · price 0.69728

Lower highs, basing above session low.

AUDUSD sold off through the London session from 0.6994 down to a 0.69625 low, then buyers stepped in and the pair is consolidating 0.69625–0.69758. Slide off the 0.7000 pivot fits the two-way tone as traders square into Wednesday's CPI/FOMC.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69695

Resistance: 0.69758, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69800 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read

07:17 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.69739

Lower highs, double bottom forming at lows.

AUDUSD sold off through late Asia toward 0.69625 as traders squared into Bullock and Wed CPI, with buyers stepping in twice around 0.6963 to form a double bottom. Price has recovered to 0.69739, retracing roughly a third of the drop; RSI(14) lifting from the low-40s but still below EMA20/50.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69695

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a lower low and negates the double bottom
  • Reclaim of 0.69800 needed to challenge the 0.7000 psych pivot
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that could reset this read

07:17 UTC

Downtrend, bounce underway · RSI 47 · price 0.69739

Lower highs into session low, recovering.

AUDUSD leaked lower through the London morning, capped below 0.7000 and printing a session low at 0.69625 as traders squared into Wednesday's CPI/FOMC double-header. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.69625-0.69695 and price is grinding back toward the 0.69808 swing high, RSI(14) recovering from oversold territory.

Support: 0.69695, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69808, 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69808 opens the path back toward 0.69940
  • Loss of 0.69625 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum cooling · RSI 44 · price 0.69691

Lower highs into session low, consolidating.

London session drove AUDUSD down from 0.6994 to a session low at 0.69625, price now consolidating ~0.6969 below both EMAs as traders square into Bullock's speech and Wednesday's CPI. RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 43; the sequence of lower highs is intact.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69691

Resistance: 0.69747, 0.6994

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69747 session high needed to break the lower-high chain
  • Bullock speech today and Wed CPI/FOMC are the material risks ahead

07:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 0.69691

Lower highs, lower lows; bounce off session low.

London session extended the slide, sweeping to 0.69625 before buyers stepped in twice near 0.6963; pair bounced to 0.69747 then eased back to 0.6969. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling, AUD capped ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI and FOMC.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6944

Resistance: 0.69747, 0.6990

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.69747 then 0.6990 would negate the lower-high structure
  • Failure to hold 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read

06:47 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 0.69721

Lower highs and lower lows, corrective bounce.

AUDUSD lost 0.7000 and sliced through 0.6980 into the late Asian session, printing a session low of 0.69625 before buyers stepped in for a bounce to 0.69721. RSI(14) recovering from oversold; the pair remains pinned to its downside as it consolidates ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI and the FOMC.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69695

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69800 negates the breakdown read
  • Loss of 0.69625 exposes sub-0.6970 continuation
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could reset this range

06:47 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 0.69721

Lower highs, lower lows; broke 0.6980.

Asia session drifted lower, breaking the 0.6980 shelf and sweeping to a 0.69625 session low before buyers lifted it back to 0.69721. Price holds below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI recovering off oversold levels, AUD pinned near 0.6970 into Wed CPI and FOMC.

Support: 0.69625, 0.69695

Resistance: 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6980 negates the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 0.69625 confirms a lower low
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read

06:32 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 39 · price 0.69708

Lower highs, lower lows below 0.6980.

AUDUSD broke down through 0.6980 in late-Asian trade, printing a new session low at 0.69625 before stabilising just under the 0.6970 psych level as 0.7000 failed to hold. RSI(14) near 39 with price capped by prior support turned resistance at 0.69807; structure remains a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows.

Support: 0.6970, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.69807, 0.6994

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.69807 negates the breakdown read
  • Loss of 0.69625 swing low extends the downtrend
  • Australian CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) and FOMC could reset this read

06:32 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 43 · price 0.69708

Lower highs and lower lows since London.

AUDUSD broke the 0.70000 psych into early London and sold to a session low at 0.69625 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 0.69708. RSI(14) recovering from oversold as the pair consolidates the drop ahead of Wed CPI and FOMC; overhead 0.69740 swing high caps the bounce.

Support: 0.69695, 0.69625

Resistance: 0.6974, 0.6988, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.70000 psych invalidates the downtrend read
  • Loss of 0.69625 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
  • Australian CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) + FOMC could materially shift this read

06:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 34 · price 0.69682

Range break lower, fresh session low.

AUDUSD lost the 0.6985-0.7000 Asian range and accelerated lower, printing a session low at 0.69625 before a shallow bounce to 0.69682. Move fits the soft AUD tone into Wed CPI; price now capped under 0.6970 with RSI(14) near 33, not yet oversold.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6979, 0.6994

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6970 would negate the range-break read
  • Loss of 0.69625 opens the sub-0.6970 zone flagged as deeper support
  • Australian CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

06:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fresh lower · RSI 37 · price 0.69682

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

AUDUSD lost the 0.7000 pin and broke lower through the London session, printing a session low at 0.69625 as the extended-pause RBA narrative weighed. Price is now consolidating just under the reclaimed 0.6970 psych level after a small bounce, still below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.6970, 0.69725, 0.6980

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69700 psych would ease the fresh lower-low read
  • Loss of 0.69625 session low extends the down leg toward 0.6950
  • Australian CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read

06:03 UTC

Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 34 · price 0.69664

Lower highs, lower lows; broke below 0.7000.

AUDUSD lost the 0.7000 psych level during Asia and extended to a 0.69625 session low as the softer commodity-currency tone weighed. A modest bounce off the low has stalled below 0.6969, with RSI(14) near oversold.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6969, 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.69625 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.6969 needed to ease the corrective tone
  • AUD CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could reset this read

06:02 UTC

Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 0.69664

Lower highs and lower lows, breakdown from 0.6990 shelf.

AUDUSD rolled over through the 0.6980 shelf during Asian hours and printed a fresh session low at 0.69625, RSI(14) near 34 but not yet stretched. The failure to hold above 0.7000 earlier in the window has given way to a clean lower-low sequence into 0.6966.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6973, 0.69804, 0.69952

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69804 breakdown level would neutralise the lower-low read
  • Loss of 0.69625 session low extends the decline toward 0.6960
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC same day will dominate the next sessions

05:47 UTC

Downtrend, extending · RSI 32 · price 0.69679

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

AUDUSD leaked lower through the Asian session, breaking 0.6980 and sweeping to a session low at 0.69625 after failing to hold the 0.7000 pivot. RSI(14) near 31 shows momentum stretched but not yet at an extreme; a shallow bounce to 0.6968 is capped below the 0.6973 pivot.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6980, 0.6994

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 0.69625 exposes the 0.6960 psych level
  • Reclaim of 0.6980 would neutralise the downside break
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC later that day can reset this read

05:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 32 · price 0.69679

Lower highs, lower lows.

AUDUSD failed above 0.7000 through the Asian session and rolled over sharply into the London-NY handover, printing a chain of lower highs and lows down to 0.69625. RSI(14) sits near 31, short-term stretched, with price extended below both EMAs after the break of the 0.6990 shelf.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6990 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.69625 swing low confirms continuation toward 0.696
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC same day can override this intraday read

05:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 33 · price 0.69669

Lower highs, lower lows; range shelf broken.

Asian session broke AUDUSD below the 0.6985 shelf that held through the prior day, cascading to a session low of 0.69625 with RSI(14) near 33. AUD easing off 0.7000 as it squares into Wednesday's Aussie CPI and the FOMC.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.698 prior shelf would negate the breakdown
  • Loss of 0.69625 session low extends the down leg toward 0.6950
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC later that day could reshape this read

05:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 32 · price 0.69669

Lower highs and lower lows.

AUDUSD sold off through late Asia, breaking the 0.6980 swing and printing a fresh session low at 0.69625, with the 0.7000 psych pivot now well overhead. RSI(14) near 31 reflects the extended leg down but is not yet at a sub-20 extreme; the decline fits the digest's failed-hold-above-0.7000 corrective tone.

Support: 0.69625, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6980 would stall the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 0.69625 session low extends the down leg toward 0.6960 psych
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

05:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 27 · price 0.69644

Lower highs, fresh session lows.

AUDUSD sold off sharply through the 0.6982 prior support into fresh session lows at 0.69642, RSI(14) around 27 and oversold. Move fits the digest read of the pair failing to hold 0.7000 and easing under a firm USD ahead of Wednesday's Aussie CPI and FOMC.

Support: 0.69642, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.6982, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6982 prior support needed to ease the corrective tone
  • Failure to hold the 0.69642 session low confirms continuation of lower lows
  • 0.6950 round number is the next downside reference below current price
  • Aussie CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC same day could reset this read

05:17 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 25 · price 0.69644

Lower highs, lower lows; breakdown below 0.6980.

AUDUSD sold off through the Asian session, snapping the 0.6980 shelf and printing fresh lows at 0.69642 with RSI(14) near 24. Price stalled below 0.7000 all day as traders square into Wednesday's CPI and FOMC; the last leg was one-directional with no bounce yet.

Support: 0.69642, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.6973, 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.6980 would negate the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 0.69642 confirms continuation toward the 0.6950 round number
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read

05:03 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating lower · RSI 30 · price 0.69704

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

AUDUSD sold off through the Asian session, slipping from the 0.6996 swing high and breaking the 0.6980 shelf to print a session low at 0.69695. RSI(14) is oversold near 30 and price sits well below EMA20/50; the pair is squaring near the lows ahead of Wednesday's Aussie CPI and FOMC.

Support: 0.69695

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.69961

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6980 would neutralise the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 0.69695 confirms continuation lower
  • Aussie CPI Wed 01:30 UTC then FOMC could reset this read entirely

05:03 UTC

Downtrend, fresh breakdown · RSI 31 · price 0.69704

Broke below 0.6990-0.7000 range, lower lows.

AUDUSD spent most of the last 24h pinned in a 0.6985-0.7000 range before selling off sharply into the Asia session, breaking down to a session low of 0.69695. RSI(14) near 31 as the pair sits below EMA20/50; a softer USD read hasn't stopped the corrective slide with the market squaring ahead of Wednesday's CPI/FOMC double header.

Support: 0.69695, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.6990 would invalidate the breakdown and put price back in range
  • Failure to hold 0.69695 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • AUD CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC could materially shift this read

04:47 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 33 · price 0.6973

Lower highs, lower lows into a new low.

AUDUSD sold off through the late-Asia hours, breaking the 0.6980 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 0.69695 as the 0.7000 pivot held as a cap all day. RSI(14) near 32 with price below both EMAs; the pair leans on 0.6970 with 0.6994 the nearest lower high.

Support: 0.69695, 0.6950

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 0.6980 would negate the breakdown
  • Failure to hold 0.6970 confirms the lower low, exposing 0.6950
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC later that day can materially reset this read

04:47 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 31 · price 0.6973

Lower highs, breakdown below 0.6980.

Asian session slid off 0.6994 and broke the 0.6980 shelf, driving a 90-pip leg to a session low at 0.69695, RSI(14) near 31. Price now hovering at 0.6973 below EMA20/50 as AUD stays pinned under 0.7000 ahead of Wednesday's CPI.

Support: 0.69695, 0.6900

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6980 negates the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 0.69695 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
  • AUD CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC same day could reset this read

04:32 UTC

Turning lower, momentum accelerating · RSI 30 · price 0.69709

Range break to fresh session low.

Price broke the 0.6980 floor of the day's 0.6980–0.7011 range and slid to a fresh session low at 0.69695, dropping ~24 pips in the last hour of the Asian session. RSI(14) is pressing into oversold near 30 as the pair sits below EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 0.69695, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.7000, 0.7011

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6980 negates the breakdown read
  • Loss of 0.6970 psych opens the 0.6960 round level
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read

04:32 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 29 · price 0.69709

Range break lower, new lower low.

AUDUSD broke below the 0.6985–0.7000 Asian range and slid to a fresh session low at 0.69695, RSI(14) near 29. The 0.6980 prior support now caps as the move stays one-directional into the Sydney close.

Support: 0.69695

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6980 negates the downside break
  • Failure to hold 0.69695 confirms continuation lower
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could reset this intraday read

04:17 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating lower · RSI 34 · price 0.69722

Lower highs, broke below intraday range.

Sharp leg lower into the Asian session broke below the 0.6985–0.6994 range and printed a session low at 0.69713, RSI(14) near 34. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with the 0.6994 swing high and 0.70000 round number capping above.

Support: 0.69713, 0.6960

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69800 prior swing would neutralise the downside break
  • Failure to hold 0.69713 session low opens further downside
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the key risk that could reprice AUD

04:17 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 32 · price 0.69722

Lower highs, breakdown below range floor.

Late Asia sold off through the 0.6980 range floor to a fresh session low at 0.6971, RSI(14) near 32 as the day's grind lower accelerated. AUD context stays pinned below 0.7000 with the pair failing to hold the figure ahead of Wednesday's CPI.

Support: 0.69713, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6980, 0.6990, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6980 (broken supp) invalidates the breakdown read
  • Sustained trade below 0.6970 psych confirms the lower-low
  • AU CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially reset this intraday read

04:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 32 · price 0.69764

Lower highs, lower lows below 0.7000.

Asia session sliced below the 0.7000 psych level and extended to a fresh session low at 0.69763, RSI(14) near 31. Sellers pressed a chain of lower highs off the 0.7011 top; 0.7000 now caps as prior support flips overhead ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.69763, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6994

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.70000 psych would neutralise the lower-high chain
  • Failure to hold 0.69763 opens the path toward the 0.69700 psych
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC later Wed can materially shift this read

04:02 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 31 · price 0.69764

Lower highs, lower lows.

AUDUSD slid through the Asian session, breaking below 0.6980 to print a fresh session low at 0.69763 as it failed to reclaim the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) is cooling into the low 30s but not yet extreme, and the lower-high, lower-low chain remains intact after rejection at 0.6994.

Support: 0.69763, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6994 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 0.69763 confirms continuation lower toward 0.6970
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC later Wed could materially shift this read

03:47 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 41 · price 0.69819

Range break lower into Asia.

AUDUSD slipped from the 0.70108 window high and broke below the 0.6985 range floor into early Asia, printing a session low at 0.69807 with RSI(14) around 40. Price capped repeatedly below the 0.6994 swing high and the 0.7000 psych pivot, consistent with the digest's 'pinned near 0.7000, capped above' read ahead of CPI.

Support: 0.69807, 0.6985

Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.69940 negates the range break lower
  • Failure to hold 0.69807 confirms a lower-low extension
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:47 UTC

Downtrend, drifting lower · RSI 40 · price 0.69819

Lower highs, breaking below 0.6985 into 0.6980.

Asian session drifting lower, slipping from the 0.7010 area to a fresh session low at 0.69807 as the last bar broke the 0.6985 shelf, RSI(14) near 40. The 0.7000 psych level and descending lower highs have capped every bounce into the current session.

Support: 0.69807, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.69936, 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 0.6980 opens continuation lower
  • Reclaim of 0.69936 swing high negates the breakdown read
  • Australia CPI Wed 01:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

03:32 UTC

Range, pinned below 0.7000 · RSI 52 · price 0.69906

Intraday range, recovery off session low.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.7010 prior high through London/NY and bottomed at 0.6981 into the Asia open, where buyers stepped in twice. Price is grinding back toward the 0.7000 psych pivot, holding just above its EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 52 — no clean break in play.

Support: 0.6981, 0.6985

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6996, 0.7010

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens the path back toward the 0.7010 prior high
  • Failure to hold 0.6981 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.6985 session low downside
  • Australia Q2 CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) and FOMC this week could materially shift this read

03:32 UTC

Range, mild recovery off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.69906

Consolidating below 0.7000 after downswing from 0.7010.

AUDUSD is ranging 0.6981–0.7000 in the Asia session after fading from the 0.7010 high, with buyers stepping in near 0.6981 and price now grinding back to 0.6990. The 0.7000 psych cap remains intact; RSI(14) neutral near 53, ATR ~5 pips.

Support: 0.6981, 0.6985

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6996, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 psych invalidates the range top
  • Failure to hold 0.69810 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Australia Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:17 UTC

Range under 0.7000, drift lower · RSI 48 · price 0.69868

Capped at 0.7000, ranging above 0.6981.

AUDUSD was rejected off the 0.7000 psych level early in the window (peak 0.7011) and slid to 0.6981 through the NY session before recovering. Price now ranges 0.6981–0.6996 in quiet Asian hours, pinned near the 0.7000 pivot ahead of the Fed and Australian CPI.

Support: 0.6981, 0.6985

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6996, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 invalidates the capped-range read
  • Loss of 0.6981 exposes a lower low toward 0.6900
  • Australia Q2 CPI (Wed 01:30 UTC) and FOMC could materially shift this read

03:17 UTC

Mild downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.69868

Range after fade from 0.7010.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.7010 prior high through the London-NY session and is now consolidating in Asia between 0.6981 and 0.6994, pinned just below the 0.7000 psych level. RSI(14) is flat around 47 with price sitting on both EMAs; the market context read of consolidation, not breakout, holds ahead of Wednesday's Australian CPI.

Support: 0.6981, 0.6985

Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6994 opens the path back to the 0.7000 psych level
  • Failure to hold 0.6981 session low confirms a lower low
  • Australia Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read

03:03 UTC

Recovering off session low, capped below 0.7000 · RSI 58 · price 0.6993

Range below psych 0.7000, higher lows off 0.6982.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.70108 day high through the session to a 0.69818 low, then rounded back up to 0.6993 in Asia — stalling exactly at the 38.2% retrace of that drop. Price is consolidating below the 0.7000 pivot with RSI(14) back to neutral.

Support: 0.69818, 0.6987

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could immediately shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7000 psych opens a retest of the 0.70108 day high
  • Failure to hold 0.6987 exposes the 0.69818 session low

03:02 UTC

Consolidation, recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 0.6993

Range under 0.7000, bounce from 0.6981.

Asia session grinding back toward 0.7000 after tagging the session low at 0.6981; price now 0.6993 with RSI mid-range, no extreme. AUD remains pinned below the 0.7000 psych cap ahead of the Bullock speech.

Support: 0.6981, 0.69875

Resistance: 0.6996, 0.7000, 0.7011

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.6996 recent high opens the path back to 0.7000 psych
  • Failure to hold 0.6981 session low confirms a lower-low

02:47 UTC

Ranging, mild recovery off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.69908

Consolidation below 0.7000.

AUDUSD is coiling in a tight Asian range near 0.6990 after being capped at the 0.7000 psych level early in the window and sweeping down to 0.69810. Price has clawed back to the middle of the range with RSI(14) neutral around 53 and ATR compressed at ~5 pips.

Support: 0.6981, 0.69875

Resistance: 0.6996, 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could break this range
  • Close above 0.70000 reopens the 0.70108 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69810 confirms a lower low

02:47 UTC

Consolidating below 0.7000 · RSI 53 · price 0.69908

Range after pullback off session high.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.70108 session high to 0.6981 through the London-NY session, then stabilised and is grinding back toward 0.6991 into the Asia session. Price is pinned below the 0.7000 psych cap with RSI(14) neutral near 53; consolidation, no clean setup in play.

Support: 0.6981, 0.69855

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC (in ~20m) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7000 opens a retest of the 0.70108 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.6981 confirms a lower-low

02:32 UTC

Intraday downtrend, recovering · RSI 54 · price 0.69931

Lower highs off 0.70108, bounce from session low.

AUDUSD rejected from the 0.70108 session high early London and drifted lower through the day, sweeping the 0.69810 low during Asian hours before recovering to 0.69931. Pair remains pinned below the 0.7000 psychological pivot as flagged in the macro read, with two-way risk into the Bullock speech.

Support: 0.69875, 0.6981

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70061, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC (imminent) could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.70000 reopens 0.70061 prior high
  • Loss of 0.69810 session low confirms a lower-low

02:32 UTC

Range, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.69931

Consolidation below 0.7000, session low reclaimed.

AUDUSD pinned in a tight range below 0.7000, having faded from the 0.70108 session high to a 0.69810 low before recovering to 0.6993 during Asian hours. RSI(14) neutral near 54, no directional impulse yet with the pair capped ahead of the 0.7000 psych level.

Support: 0.6981, 0.69875

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could materially shift this read
  • M15 close above 0.7000 reopens 0.70108 session high
  • Failure to hold 0.69810 confirms a lower low

02:17 UTC

Recovery off session low, momentum modest · RSI 58 · price 0.69927

Consolidating below 0.7000 after pullback from 0.70108.

AUDUSD ground down from the London high at 0.70108 through NY, printing a session low at 0.69810 late in the day before Asia buyers stepped in and carried it back to 0.69940. Price is now consolidating around 0.6993 just below the 0.7000 pivot, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips in the overnight lull.

Support: 0.6981, 0.69855

Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.7000 reopens the path to the 0.70108 prior high
  • Failure to hold 0.69810 session low confirms a lower-low

02:17 UTC

Downtrend earlier, recovering into Asia · RSI 55 · price 0.69927

Session low swept, base building below 0.7000.

AUDUSD slid through the London-NY hours from the 0.70108 high to a session low of 0.69810, which was swept and reclaimed early in the Asia session. Price has since recovered toward 0.6994, RSI(14) back to mid-range near 55; still capped below the 0.7000 pivot flagged as the 38.2% Fibo cap.

Support: 0.6981, 0.69855

Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.7000 opens path toward the 0.7025 prior high
  • Failure to hold 0.69810 confirms a lower-low

02:02 UTC

Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 0.69895

Sliding off 0.7010, ranging near 0.699.

Asian session: AUDUSD is consolidating 0.6981–0.6994 after sliding off the 0.70108 prior high, the move USD-driven with the pair capped sub-0.7000. A sweep of the session low at 0.69810 was bought back, RSI(14) neutral near 51 and ATR compressed to ~3.6 pips.

Support: 0.6981, 0.69855

Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.6994 opens a retest of the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69810 confirms a lower low
  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could materially shift this read

02:02 UTC

Downdrift, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 0.69895

Range below 0.7000 psych after fade from London high.

AUDUSD faded from the London high at 0.70108 and has spent the Asia session consolidating in the low 0.6990s, with the 0.7000 psych cap intact. A dip to the session low at 0.69818 was bought back toward 0.6994, RSI(14) mid-range near 47.

Support: 0.69818, 0.69855

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.6994, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC (~1h out) could break this consolidation
  • M15 close above 0.70000 psych reopens the London high at 0.70108
  • Loss of the 0.69818 asia low confirms a fresh lower-low

01:47 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 56 · price 0.69911

Recovery from session low toward 0.7000 pivot.

Asia session drifted lower from the 0.7011 prior high to a 0.6981 session low, then recovered to 0.6991 with RSI(14) lifting back to mid-range. Pair is pinned just under the 0.7000 psych pivot per the AUD-glued-to-0.7000 read, holding above reclaimed EMA20/EMA50.

Support: 0.6981, 0.69875

Resistance: 0.6994, 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 0.7000 opens the path back to the 0.7011 prior high
  • Failure to hold 0.69810 confirms a lower session low
  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC (in ~1h) could materially shift this read

01:47 UTC

Downdrift, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69911

Ranging below 0.7000 after sweep of session low.

Asia session swept the 0.69810 session low then recovered to 0.69911, still trading below the 0.7000 psych level. Pair pinned in a tight range as USD softness holds AUD near 0.7000 ahead of RBA Bullock and Q2 CPI.

Support: 0.6981, 0.69875

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.7000 psych opens the path back toward the 0.70108 prior high
  • Break of the 0.69810 session low confirms a lower-low
  • RBA Gov Bullock speech at 03:05 UTC and CPI on 29 Jul could reprice the range

01:32 UTC

Downtrend, bouncing off session low · RSI 52 · price 0.69915

Lower highs into 0.6981 low, minor recovery.

AUDUSD ground lower through the session from 0.7011 to a 0.6981 low, then recovered to 0.6990 into early Asia as the pair stays pinned near the 0.7000 pivot on USD softness. Dip below 0.6985 was swept and bought back, RSI(14) mid-range around 52.

Support: 0.6981, 0.6985

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7005

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech at 03:05 UTC could shift this read
  • M15 close back above 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.7005 prior high
  • Failure to hold 0.6981 session low confirms a fresh lower-low

01:32 UTC

Downtrend easing, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.69915

Consolidation under 0.7000 after intraday slide.

AUDUSD slid off 0.7010 through London-NY and swept 0.6981 before buyers lifted it back toward the 0.7000 psych pivot in Asian hours. RSI(14) recovered to mid-range as the pair coiled in a tight 0.6981–0.6992 band; price sits above EMA20, below EMA50.

Support: 0.6981, 0.69865

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7005

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 0.7000 psych reopens the 0.7005 prior high
  • Loss of 0.6981 session low confirms a lower-low
  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could break this range

01:17 UTC

Drifting lower, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.6986

Lower highs into consolidation at session lows.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.70108 session high in a chain of lower highs and now sits pinned below 0.7000 near 0.6986, a USD-led drift on Mideast de-escalation. Late-session trade swept the 0.6981 low before a shallow bounce to 0.6992; thin Asia volume has price consolidating, RSI(14) neutral near 46.

Support: 0.6981

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • Break below 0.6981 session low opens fresh lower-lows
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 psych needed to challenge the descending highs
  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could shift this read; Q2 CPI 29 Jul 01:30 UTC looms

01:17 UTC

Downtrend, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 0.6986

Lower highs into session low, thin Asia trade.

Thin early-Asia trade sees AUDUSD grinding lower under the 0.7000 psych level, a chain of lower highs from the 0.7011 window high on USD softness. Session low 0.6981 held into a shallow bounce to 0.6992 that faded; price back at 0.6986, below both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-40s.

Support: 0.6981, 0.6987

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000, 0.7011

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.6992 recent high would break the sequence of lower highs
  • Loss of 0.6981 session low confirms continuation lower toward 0.6968
  • RBA Gov Bullock speech 03:05 UTC and AUD Q2 CPI 29 Jul 01:30 UTC could reprice this read

01:03 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 49 · price 0.69889

Consolidating above session low.

AUDUSD drifted off the 0.70108 high through London/NY and swept the 0.69810 session low before recovering into thin Asia hours, now pinned around 0.6989. Move is USD-led on Mideast de-escalation; RSI(14) flat near 49 with ATR compressed to ~8 pips.

Support: 0.6981, 0.6985

Resistance: 0.69925, 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech 03:05 UTC could shift this read
  • Q2 CPI 29 Jul 01:30 UTC is the primary risk into the next sessions
  • Reclaim of 0.70000 psych would negate the lower-high structure
  • Loss of 0.69810 session low confirms continuation lower

01:03 UTC

Faded from highs, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69889

Range after lower highs off 0.7010.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.7010 session high through the NY session and is now pinned near 0.6989 in thin Asian-hours trade, with the pair glued to 0.7000 on broad USD softness. Price dipped to a 0.69810 session low before recovering; RSI(14) neutral near 47 and the 38.2% fib at ~0.6992 caps the bounce.

Support: 0.6981, 0.6986

Resistance: 0.69924, 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech 03:05 UTC could inject volatility
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 psych re-opens the 0.7010 session high
  • Loss of 0.69810 session low extends the downside leg

00:47 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 42 · price 0.69875

Lower highs, drifting under 0.7000.

AUDUSD sold off from 0.7010 through the NY session on broad USD softness, then coiled just under 0.7000 into thin Asia hours. Last bars swept the session low at 0.69810 and recovered, RSI(14) around 42 with the pair pinned near the 38.2% fibo cap at 0.69924.

Support: 0.6981, 0.69826

Resistance: 0.69924, 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 0.69924 (38.2% fibo) reopens the 0.7000 psych level
  • Loss of 0.69810 session low confirms continuation lower
  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could shift this read

00:47 UTC

Downtrend, drift lower · RSI 42 · price 0.69875

Lower highs, testing session lows.

AUDUSD ground lower off the 0.70108 session high, slipping under the 0.7000 psych pivot and breaking a multi-hour consolidation to a fresh low at 0.6981 during Asia hours. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; no extreme, just steady drift.

Support: 0.6981, 0.69826

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.7000 negates the lower-high sequence
  • RBA Gov Bullock speech 03:05 UTC could shift this read
  • AU CPI 29 Jul 01:30 UTC is the next major driver

00:32 UTC

Downtrend, slowing into Asia · RSI 43 · price 0.6985

Lower highs, session low swept.

AUDUSD drifted lower through the session off the 0.7010 prior high, capped below the 0.7000 psych pivot. Thin Asia bars swept the session low at 0.6981 before a minor recovery to 0.6985; RSI(14) mid-range near 43, price under both EMAs.

Support: 0.6981, 0.6968

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7010, 0.7028

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could shift this read
  • Break below 0.6981 session low opens the 0.6968 downside pivot
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 psych needed to challenge the 0.7010 prior high

00:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 0.6985

Lower highs, grinding to session low.

AUDUSD capped at the 0.7000 psych level through London-NY and drifted lower on thin overnight flow, printing a fresh session low at 0.6981 before a small bounce to 0.6985. Sequence of lower highs intact; RSI(14) mid-40s, no reversal signal yet.

Support: 0.6981, 0.6968

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7010

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC (~2.5h out) could shift this read
  • Sustained break below 0.6981 session low exposes the 0.6968 area
  • Reclaim of 0.7000 psych needed to break the lower-high sequence

00:17 UTC

Downtrend, grinding to session lows · RSI 34 · price 0.6982

Lower highs, fresh session low.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.7010 prior high through the London-NY session and is grinding into a fresh session low at 0.6982 during thin Asia hours, price below both EMAs. Gains capped at the 0.7000 psych pivot all session; RSI(14) near 34, weak but not yet extreme.

Support: 0.6981, 0.6968

Resistance: 0.6992, 0.7000, 0.7010

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 broker time could jolt AUD in the next bars
  • Break of 0.6981 session low exposes the 0.6968 swing low
  • Reclaim of 0.6992 swing high needed to challenge the 0.7000 psych pivot

00:17 UTC

Downtrend, low-volatility drift · RSI 37 · price 0.6982

Lower highs, pressing session low.

Asia session grinding lower off the 0.7000 pivot, price sitting on the 0.6981 session low with RSI(14) mid-30s and trading below both EMAs. Momentum is faint — bars are running under 3 pips — but the sequence of lower highs from 0.7011 stays intact.

Support: 0.6981, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.6990, 0.7000, 0.7009

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 0.6990 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 0.6981 opens the 0.6970 area
  • RBA Gov Bullock speech at 03:05 UTC could materially shift this read

00:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat at lows · RSI 41 · price 0.69849

Lower highs, grinding near session low.

AUDUSD faded from the 0.7010 early-session peak and has been pinned near 0.6985 through thin, low-volume Asia hours. Descending highs remain intact and RSI(14) sits mid-40s; price is capped by the 0.6990 zone with the 0.69826 session low the immediate floor.

Support: 0.69826, 0.6980

Resistance: 0.69896, 0.69966, 0.7000

What it said to watch

  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~3h out could shift this read
  • M15 close below 0.69826 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 0.69966 needed to break the descending-highs sequence

00:02 UTC

Downtrend, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 41 · price 0.69849

Lower highs, capped below 0.7000.

AUDUSD drifted off the 0.7000 psych cap through NY into a thin Asian session, printing a session low at 0.69826 before basing near 0.6985 on subdued RSI. Price rejected the 50-DMA/0.7028 zone earlier and now trades below EMA20/50 with volume light ahead of RBA Bullock.

Support: 0.69826, 0.6970

Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70108

What it said to watch

  • Break of 0.69826 session low exposes the 0.6970 digest low
  • Reclaim of 0.70000 psych neutralises the lower-high sequence
  • RBA Gov Bullock speech ~03:05 UTC could jolt this quiet range

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