21:04 UTC
Downtrend easing, basing below 0.7000 · RSI 53 · price 0.69849
Higher lows off June trough, capped at 0.7000.
AUDUSD sold off from the early-May peak at 0.7277 into a mid-June trough near 0.6865, and has since ground out a series of higher lows while capped by the 0.7000 psychological mark, the 50-DMA and the 38.2% retracement around 0.7025. The last two weeks are a tight consolidation between 0.6965 and 0.7000, with EMA20 supportive but price still below a flat EMA50 — the recovery reads as corrective within the broader down-move. AUD remains the G10 laggard, penned under 0.7000 ahead of Wednesday's Q2/June CPI.
Support: 0.6965, 0.6913, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7025
What it said to watch
- Australian CPI Wed 01:30 GMT can force a break of the 0.6965–0.7000 range
- Daily close above 0.7025 clears the 38.2% cap and 50-DMA
- Loss of 0.6965 confirms a lower low and reopens the June-low path
- FOMC ~16h after CPI could reset the USD leg of this read