A blowout 172K NFP triggered a sharp EURUSD selloff from 1.1644 to 1.1518, erasing the prior London grind higher. Price now consolidates in a tight 1.1518–1.1533 band into the NY close, RSI(14) flat near 43 with no momentum either way.
Support: 1.15176, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15327, 1.15463
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1518 opens path toward the 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.1533 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
US CPI on Jun 10 is the next major catalyst for this pair
Lower highs, lower lows; grinding at session lows.
NFP's 172K beat drove a broad USD bid, slicing EUR/USD from 1.1644 to a session low of 1.15176. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1519-1.1527 band before nudging to a fresh low on the last bar, RSI(14) holding the high-30s.
Support: 1.15176, 1.1500, 1.14941
Resistance: 1.1527, 1.1547, 1.1586
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1527 negates the fresh lower-low push
Break below 1.1500 psych opens room toward the 1.1594-area low
US CPI on Jun 10 is the next macro catalyst for the read
20:16 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.1525
Lower lows into session low, now flat.
The May NFP beat (172K vs 85K) drove a sharp EUR/USD selloff from 1.1644 to the 1.1519 session low as USD longs rebuilt. Price has since gone flat in a tight band just above 1.1519 into late NY, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50.
Support: 1.1519, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1528, 1.1546
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1519 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1528 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
The 172K NFP beat (vs 85K f/c) flipped the dollar, triggering a sharp NY-session selloff from 1.1644 to a 1.1519 low. Price is now basing in a tight 1.1519-1.1532 band, RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 43.
Support: 1.15186, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15327, 1.15463
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1532 reopens the 1.1546 swing
Failure to hold 1.1519 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
US CPI Jun 10 is the next major catalyst for this read
EUR/USD sold off from ~1.1640 to 1.1518 after the May NFP beat (172K vs 85K) wrong-footed pre-payroll USD long-trimming. Price is now basing in a tight 1.1519-1.1528 band late in the NY session, RSI(14) lifting off oversold with the prior lower-high chain still intact.
Support: 1.1518, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15327, 1.15462
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15327 breaks the descending lower-high structure
Loss of 1.15180 session low extends the down-leg toward 1.1500
US CPI (Jun 10) is the next major USD-side driver for this read
The 172K NFP beat versus 85K forecast triggered a sharp drop from 1.1644 into 1.1519, breaking the prior 1.1555 range floor during NY hours. Price is now basing just above the 1.15186 session low, RSI(14) flattening near 40 after the impulsive leg.
Support: 1.15186, 1.1510
Resistance: 1.15327, 1.15462, 1.15555
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15186 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15327 swing high eases downside pressure
US CPI Jun 10 is the next major catalyst for this read
NY session selloff after the NFP beat (172K vs 85K f/c) drove EUR/USD from 1.1644 down to 1.1519, a clean USD-led move. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.1519-1.1532 band with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; lows holding for now.
Support: 1.1519, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1532, 1.1555
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1519 confirms continuation toward the 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.1532 opens room back toward 1.1555
US CPI Jun 10 is the next major USD catalyst for this read
The 172K NFP beat (vs 85K f/c) crushed expectations and slammed EURUSD from the 1.1640 highs to a session low of 1.1519. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1519-1.1533 band with ATR compressed near 6 pips, RSI(14) basing in the high-30s after the slide.
Support: 1.1519, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1533, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1519 opens the path toward the 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.1533 needed to ease downside pressure
US CPI Jun 10 is the next catalyst; NFP-driven move may fade into the close per the digest
EUR/USD sold off through NY hours from 1.1644 to 1.1519 as USD caught a bid post-NFP, a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1519–1.1533 band just above the session low, RSI(14) basing near 40 after the impulsive leg down.
Support: 1.1519, 1.1490
Resistance: 1.1533, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1519 extends the downtrend toward the 1.1490 round number
Reclaim of 1.1533 recent high would stall the lower-low sequence
US CPI Jun 10 is the next major catalyst for this pair
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating near session low.
EUR/USD slid through the NY session from the 1.1644 highs as the dollar caught a post-NFP bid, printing a string of lower lows down to 1.1519. Price is now grinding sideways just above the session low, RSI recovering off oversold; the 1.15327 swing high caps the latest bounce.
Support: 1.1519, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15327, 1.15463, 1.1555
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1519 extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.15327 swing high needed to ease downside pressure, 1.1555 range base above
US CPI Jun 10 is the next high-impact catalyst for this pair
The 172K NFP beat (vs 85K f/c) drove a USD bid that broke EURUSD down from 1.1640 through the NY session, printing a chain of lower lows into 1.1519. Price is now stabilising in a 1.1519–1.1533 band with RSI lifting off oversold; descending resistance from the drop caps near 1.1533.
Support: 1.1519, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15327, 1.15463, 1.1555
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1519 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.15463 would weaken the intraday downside read
US CPI Tue 10 Jun could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
NY session sold off hard from 1.1644 after the 172K NFP beat revived USD demand, dropping EURUSD over 120 pips to a session low at 1.15217. Price is now stalling in a tight micro-range around 1.1522 with RSI(14) near 33; the 1.15327 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 1.15217, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15327, 1.15512, 1.15861
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15217 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.15327 would ease the downside pressure
Lingering USD bid from the NFP beat keeps the path of least resistance lower
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
EURUSD sold off hard through the NY session after the hot US NFP print (172K vs 85K), dropping from 1.1640 to a session low at 1.15222. Price is now basing in a tight 1.1522–1.1533 band with RSI(14) lifting off oversold but no reclaim of structure yet.
Support: 1.15222, 1.15492
Resistance: 1.15327, 1.15463, 1.15598
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15327 would ease the immediate selling pressure
Failure to hold 1.15222 confirms a fresh lower-low
US CPI Tue 10 June could materially shift this read
USD bid after the 172K NFP beat smashed EUR/USD from the 1.1644 range top down to 1.15222 in a clean M15 chain of lower highs and lower lows. Price is now basing between 1.15222 and 1.15327, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near the session low.
Support: 1.15222, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15327, 1.15463, 1.15587
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15463 swing high would stall the downtrend
May NFP printed 172K vs 85K f/c, sparking a sharp USD bid that broke EUR/USD down from 1.1640 through the 1.1594 pivot to session lows at 1.1522. RSI(14) near 29 flags oversold conditions; the last bar staged a minor bounce off 1.1522 but lower highs remain intact.
Support: 1.15222, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15462, 1.15587, 1.15806
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15462 would ease the downside pressure
EUR/USD sold off hard from 1.1644 into 1.1522 after the May NFP blowout (172K vs 85K f/c) revived USD bid through the NY session. Clean lower-high, lower-low chain intact; RSI(14) pinned near 27 and price stalling just above the 1.1522 session low.
Support: 1.15222, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15462, 1.15587, 1.1590
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15462 would break the descending lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.15222 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1500 psych level
Payroll-day volatility often fades into the close — a reversion bounce can develop without changing the broader downtrend
EUR/USD broke down sharply from 1.1640 after May NFP printed 172K vs 85K forecast, reviving the USD bid through NY hours. Price is carving a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows into 1.1523, RSI(14) near 31 but not yet at a sub-20 extreme.
Support: 1.15229, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15463, 1.15587
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1546 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1523 opens the 1.1500 round number
US CPI Wed Jun 10 is the next major USD catalyst
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 27 · price 1.15268
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session lows.
The blowout US NFP print (172K vs 85K) flipped the day USD-positive and broke EUR/USD down from 1.1640 through the 1.1590 and 1.1555 supports during NY hours. Price prints fresh session lows at 1.1527 with RSI(14) near 26 — short-term stretched but momentum still pointing down.
Support: 1.15261, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15587, 1.1590
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.1559 swing high needed to ease downside pressure
Break below 1.1500 psych opens further downside
USD remains the swing factor post-NFP; CPI next week is the next major catalyst
The blowout May NFP (172K vs 85K) flipped the dollar bid mid-session and EUR/USD broke hard from 1.1640, slicing through the 1.1590 and 1.1555 supports to print a session low at 1.1530. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 26 with price stacked well below EMA20/50; the decline is intact and unrelieved, no base yet.
Support: 1.15299, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15587, 1.1586, 1.16069
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1560 would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 1.1530 confirms continuation toward the 1.1500 round number
1.1555/1.1587 now flip to resistance — area to watch for rejection
EUR/USD broke hard out of the 1.1610-1.1640 consolidation after the blowout US NFP (172K vs 85K), shedding roughly 100 pips into the NY session to print 1.1534. RSI(14) sits near 27 with price stacked below both EMAs; momentum is firmly down but stretched short-term.
Support: 1.15341, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15614, 1.15806, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15614 swing high would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold the 1.15341 session low confirms continuation lower toward 1.1500 psych
Post-NFP USD spikes can fade by the close — a stall here would cap the move
The 12:30 GMT NFP beat (172K vs 85K f/c) ripped EUR/USD out of its 1.1620 consolidation, sending it from ~1.164 to a session low at 1.15436. Price is grinding lower under a chain of lower highs into the NY session, RSI(14) at 33 but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.15436, 1.1540
Resistance: 1.1560, 1.15715
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15436 session low opens 1.154 then the 1.155 psych failure toward 1.1500
Reclaim above 1.156 swing high would stall the post-NFP downtrend
Lingering NFP-driven USD volatility could fade into the daily close
Lower lows after range break, modest bounce off session low.
A blowout US NFP print (172K vs 85K) crushed EUR/USD from 1.1644 to a 1.1549 session low during NY hours, slicing through the 1.1590 support. Price has clawed back to 1.1560, RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 33; the prior support at 1.1590 is now the first cap.
Support: 1.15492, 1.1537
Resistance: 1.1590, 1.1621
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1590 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.1549 confirms continuation toward the 1.1537 range bottom
NFP printed 172K vs 85K, sparking a sharp USD bid that tore EUR/USD out of its 1.1610-1.1640 consolidation and down to 1.1549. RSI(14) sits near 25, short-term oversold after a near-100-pip impulse off the session high; price now hovers just under the 1.1555 psych mark.
Support: 1.15492, 1.15555
Resistance: 1.15614, 1.1590, 1.16069
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim 1.1561 keeps the lower-low sequence intact
Break below 1.1549 swing low extends the downside
Close back above 1.1590 would invalidate the breakdown read
EURUSD collapsed from 1.1644 after the May NFP beat (172K vs 85K), tearing through the prior 1.1610–1.1640 grind and printing a fresh session low at 1.15537. Chain of lower lows is clean and RSI(14) sits sub-25, short-term stretched but consistent with the impulsive leg; ATR has blown out to ~110 pips on the news bar.
Support: 1.15537, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.1586, 1.16069
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15860 would stall the post-NFP slide
Failure to hold 1.15537 confirms continuation lower toward 1.1555 zone
US CPI Jun 10 is the next major catalyst, beyond this window
Range break to the downside, sitting at session lows.
EUR/USD broke hard out of its 1.1610–1.1644 consolidation after the May NFP beat (172K vs 85K), slicing through the 1.1590 prior support and printing fresh session lows at 1.15600. RSI(14) is deeply oversold near 24 as price stalls just above the low.
Support: 1.1555, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.1586, 1.1590
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.1590 prior supp would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold the 1.1560 session low opens 1.1555 uob target
EUR/USD broke down hard during NY hours as US NFP printed 172K vs 85K forecast, slicing through 1.1620 and the prior consolidation to mark session lows at 1.1570. The bounce stalled at 1.15990 and price is back at the lows with RSI(14) near 29 — short-term stretched but in a clear one-way move.
Support: 1.1570, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1599, 1.1632
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15700 opens the 1.15550 support
Reclaim of 1.15990 bounce high would stall the breakdown
NFP volatility often fades into the close unless rate expectations durably shift
The US NFP beat (172K vs 85K) at 12:30 GMT bid the dollar and broke EUR/USD out of the 1.1610–1.1644 range it held through London, dropping it to 1.15768. The bounce to 1.15953 was sold back; RSI(14) sits sub-40 with price trading well below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15768, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.15953, 1.16069, 1.1633
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.16069 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.15768 opens 1.1555
Ongoing post-NFP volatility can fade by NY close per Commerzbank
EUR/USD collapsed out of the 1.1610–1.1640 range after the US NFP beat (172K vs 85K) bid the dollar, dropping ~60 pips to a fresh session low at 1.1583. RSI(14) is oversold near 23 and price sits well below EMA20/50; momentum is one-directional with no rebound yet.
Support: 1.15827, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1602, 1.1644
What it said to watch
A reclaim above 1.1602 would neutralise the post-NFP breakdown
Failure to hold 1.1583 exposes 1.1590-zone air toward 1.1555
NFP-driven volatility can fade into the close per typical post-print behaviour
NY session saw a sharp breakdown after the 172K NFP beat (vs 85K f/c), EURUSD shedding ~60 pips from 1.1644 to a 1.15838 session low. Price has since reclaimed 1.1590 and is consolidating near 1.1594 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. The pre-drop 1.16333 shelf is now overhead resistance.
Support: 1.15838, 1.1590, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1600, 1.16333, 1.16441
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15838 confirms a fresh lower low, opening 1.1555
Reclaim of 1.16000 would negate the downside break
The 172K NFP beat (vs 85K f/c) snapped EUR/USD out of its 1.1605-1.1640 NY range, driving a ~55 pip plunge to 1.1586 and a fresh session low at 1.15838. RSI(14) is oversold near 21 and ATR has spiked to ~70 pips post-data; 1.1555 is the next flagged support below.
Support: 1.15838, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.16051, 1.1632
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.16051 invalidates the downside break
Loss of 1.15838 opens the 1.1555 support
US CPI Jun-10 is the next high-impact catalyst for this read
The 12:30 GMT NFP beat (172K vs 85K) sparked a sharp USD bid that drove EUR/USD ~30 pips off 1.1644 to print a 1.1605 session low on the heaviest bar of the window. Price had ranged 1.1610–1.1644 through NY before the break; 1.1633 prior support now caps as resistance.
Support: 1.1605, 1.1590, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1633, 1.1644
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1590 confirms the lower-low and opens 1.1555
Reclaim of 1.1633 would repair the broken range base
NFP-day USD strength can fade into the US close, lifting price back toward 1.1633
12:31 UTC
Rally stalled, pulled back on NFP · RSI 48 · price 1.16197
Uptrend off 1.1613 base capped at 1.1644.
EUR/USD rallied through the NY session from a 1.1613 base to a 1.1644 session high, twice rejected there forming a double top. The 12:30 GMT NFP print knocked price sharply to 1.16152 before a partial recovery to 1.1620; RSI(14) cooled back toward 47.
Support: 1.16152, 1.1610
Resistance: 1.1629, 1.1644
What it said to watch
Close below 1.16100 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the NY rally
Reclaim of 1.1644 reopens the upside toward the 1.1750 range top
NFP just released — intraday volatility elevated, reaction prone to fade
12:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, near session high · RSI 62 · price 1.16395
Higher highs off the 1.1608 base.
EUR ground higher through the London-NY transition, breaking out of the 1.1610–1.1615 consolidation toward the 1.16441 session high as USD softened pre-NFP. Price holds just under that high with RSI(14) mid-60s; a brief dip to 1.16355 was bought.
Support: 1.16355, 1.16127, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.16441
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and can override this structure
M15 close above 1.16441 extends the breakout; failure to hold 1.16127 negates the higher-low chain
London-NY session ran a clean leg up from 1.16126 to the session high at 1.16441, where price was rejected; EUR/USD now consolidates around 1.1635 with RSI(14) back near neutral. The grind higher ties to a softer pre-NFP dollar, but US payrolls at 12:30 GMT dominate the next move.
Support: 1.16341, 1.16213, 1.16126
Resistance: 1.16441, 1.1650
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could break this consolidation either way
M15 close above 1.16441 reopens the path toward 1.1650
London session ground higher off the 1.1608 low into a 1.16441 session high, which was rejected twice to form a small double top. RSI(14) cooling from the rally and price is now consolidating just below the high; US NFP in under an hour is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.1635, 1.1614, 1.1608
Resistance: 1.16441, 1.1750
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1644 invalidates the double top and opens the 1.1750 range top
Failure to hold 1.1635 exposes the 1.1614 consolidation low
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 56 · price 1.16356
Higher highs into session high, now retracing.
EURUSD ground higher through the London session from the 1.1608 low to a session high at 1.1644, clearing the 1.1620 breakout level. Price is now retesting 1.1635 after the rejection at the high, RSI(14) cooling from the rally. NFP looms within the hour as the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.1635, 1.1620, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.16441, 1.1650
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~1h) could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.1620 invalidates the breakout retest
Rally off the base, consolidating under session high.
London session lifted EUR/USD off the 1.1610 base in a clean run to 1.16441, now consolidating just under the high after USD softened pre-NFP. RSI cooling from the rally but holding above mid; price sits above both EMAs.
Support: 1.16363, 1.16291, 1.1610
Resistance: 1.16441, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read
M15 close above 1.16441 opens the path toward the 1.1750 range top
Failure to hold 1.16363 unwinds the rally back toward 1.16291
11:00 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 65 · price 1.16415
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below 1.1644.
EUR/USD ran a steady leg up from the 1.1608 session low through 1.1644, now consolidating just under that high. Move tracks a softer USD into today's NFP; RSI cooling from the rally but holding above neutral.
Support: 1.16363, 1.16213, 1.16084
Resistance: 1.16441
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the primary near-term driver — could override this read
M15 close above 1.16441 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of 1.16363 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot into NFP · RSI 69 · price 1.16427
Higher highs/higher lows off session low.
London session rallied off 1.1608 to a session high at 1.16441, EUR/USD now pressing the highs with RSI(14) near 69. The advance builds a clean higher-high/higher-low chain into the 12:30 GMT US NFP print, the primary near-term driver.
Support: 1.16363, 1.16245, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.16441, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT can override this structure within one bar
Close above 1.16450 extends the breakout toward the 1.1750 range cap
Loss of 1.16363 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Higher highs/lows off intraday low, consolidating near session high.
London session rallied off the 1.1608 intraday low to a 1.1644 session high, RSI(14) cooling from the move. Price now consolidating just below 1.1644 ahead of US NFP at 12:30 GMT, the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.1631, 1.16245, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.16441, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT can override this structure
M15 close above 1.16441 session high opens room toward the upper range
Failure to hold 1.16310 minor pivot threatens the higher-low chain
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 64 · price 1.16389
Higher highs off intraday low, consolidating below session high.
EURUSD ground higher through the London session, breaking out of the 1.1610-1.1620 consolidation toward a session high at 1.16441, helped by a softer USD into NFP. Price now coiling just below that high near 1.1639, RSI(14) easing from the rally peak; ATR around 5 pips signals a quiet pre-data tape.
Support: 1.16363, 1.1621, 1.16084
Resistance: 1.16441
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the primary near-term driver and could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 1.16441 session high opens the path toward 1.1675
Close back below 1.16363 breaks the intraday up-leg and reopens 1.1621
EUR/USD broke out of a long Asia/early-London base around 1.1615 and rallied through the London session to a session high at 1.1644, now consolidating at 1.1638. The leg followed a softer USD into NFP, with buyers defending the 1.1629 breakout area on the pullback.
Support: 1.1629, 1.1616, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.16441, 1.1650
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h out) is the primary near-term driver
Close back below 1.16290 negates the breakout retest
Break and hold above 1.16441 session high opens 1.16500
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, intraday leg extended · RSI 66 · price 1.16397
Breakout from consolidation, higher highs.
London session lifted EUR/USD off the 1.1614 range floor up to a session high at 1.1644, breaking the prior consolidation. Pullback has been shallow, holding above 1.1630 with RSI(14) elevated near 66 after the leg up. US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the swing factor for the next bars.
Support: 1.1630, 1.1614, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.16441, 1.1650
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the primary near-term driver — could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.1630 negates the breakout and returns price to the 1.1614 range
Close above 1.1644 opens the path toward the 1.1650 round number
EUR/USD broke out of a tight 1.1610–1.1615 midday range and rallied back to the 1.1644 session high, RSI(14) near 67. Move is squaring-up flow into US NFP at 12:30 GMT, with EUR underpinned by a softer USD; prior swing low at 1.16076 marks the base of the move.
Support: 1.1620, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.16441, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the primary driver — could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close above 1.16450 extends the breakout; failure here keeps 1.1644 as the cap
Loss of 1.16200 reverses the breakout back into the prior range
Higher highs into session top after basing at 1.1608.
EUR/USD based around 1.1608 through the Asia-London transition then rallied roughly 35 pips into the European session, tagging 1.1643 ahead of US NFP, RSI(14) near 69. The breakout above the 1.1630 range stalled at the 1.1643/1.1645 session high; soft Q1 Eurozone GDP is a background drag but a weaker USD is doing the lifting.
Support: 1.16313, 1.1616, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.16432, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) is the primary near-term driver and can override this read
M15 close above 1.16450 opens room toward the 1.1750 range cap
Failure to hold 1.16313 breaks the intraday rally structure back into the 1.1616 range
09:00 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 66 · price 1.16368
Higher highs off the 1.1610 base.
London session rallied EUR/USD off the 1.1610 base to a session high at 1.16395, with RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price consolidates just below the high. Move tracks a softer Dollar into Friday's US jobs report; structure remains a chain of higher lows above 1.16300.
Support: 1.1630, 1.1621, 1.16085
Resistance: 1.16395, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.16395 opens the path to 1.16450
Failure to hold 1.16300 breaks the rising intraday structure
08:46 UTC
Uptrend resuming, momentum hot · RSI 71 · price 1.16379
Higher highs off London low.
EURUSD ground higher through the London session, breaking the 1.1620s consolidation and tagging 1.16395 with RSI(14) hot near 71. Euro firm on hawkish ECB pricing while the Dollar drifts into May NFP; the last bar is a partial print, momentum cooling slightly at the session high.
Support: 1.16313, 1.16213, 1.1610
Resistance: 1.16395, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.16313 breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.16395 opens the path to 1.16450
08:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 71 · price 1.16377
Breakout from consolidation, HH-HL chain.
London session rallied EUR/USD off the 1.1612 Asian consolidation, breaking back above the morning range to 1.16395 with RSI(14) near 71. The move fits a softer Dollar tone, but US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 1.16313, 1.16126, 1.16084
Resistance: 1.16395, 1.1645, 1.1650
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16450 opens path toward the 1.1650 psych level
Failure to hold 1.16313 confirms a lower-high and stalls the breakout
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh momentum · RSI 68 · price 1.16391
Breakout from intraday range.
London hours broke EUR/USD out of a tight Asian consolidation around 1.1612-1.1616, rallying to 1.16392 with RSI(14) near 68. The prior session high at 1.1645 is the next resistance overhead; the breakout shelf sits at 1.16216.
Support: 1.16216, 1.16127, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 1.16450 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.16216 returns price into the prior range
EURUSD coiled in a tight 1.1614 base through the Asian hours, then broke higher into London to print a session high at 1.16368, RSI(14) pushing near 70. EUR firm on hawkish ECB pricing; price now consolidating just under the high after the impulse.
Support: 1.16216, 1.1614, 1.1608
Resistance: 1.16368, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the key cross-driver and could override this read
Close back below 1.16216 negates the breakout and returns price to the range
Acceptance above 1.16368 opens the path to the 1.1645 prior high
EURUSD broke out of a tight 1.16110–1.16160 range during the London session, spiking to 1.16368 with RSI(14) running hot near 73. EUR stays firm on hawkish ECB pricing; the move is stretched into Friday's US NFP at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.1621, 1.1613, 1.16084
Resistance: 1.16368, 1.1645
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.16210 breakout level reopens the prior 1.16130 range floor
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 1.16368 puts the 1.16450 prior high in focus
07:31 UTC
Uptrend, recent breakout from range · RSI 66 · price 1.16295
Higher lows, pushing out of consolidation.
EURUSD broke out of a long consolidation around 1.1612-1.1615 during the London session, grinding up to 1.1630 as a soft US jobs-data cluster capped the Dollar ahead of NFP. RSI(14) near 66, hot but not extended; price holding above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.16215, 1.1610, 1.16084
Resistance: 1.1634, 1.1645
What it said to watch
Close above 1.16340 opens the path to the 1.1645 window high
Failure to hold 1.16215 returns price into the 1.1610-1.1615 range
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the key cross-driver and could reset this read
07:16 UTC
Recovering after intraday pullback · RSI 69 · price 1.16274
Asian range broken to upside on London open.
EURUSD chopped sideways near 1.1612 through the thin Asian session, then London open drove a clean leg up to 1.16274, reclaiming the upper end of the prior range with RSI(14) near 68. Price is retesting the 1.16280 area after a third firm session for the Euro into NFP.
Support: 1.16127, 1.16084, 1.16001
Resistance: 1.1628, 1.16438
What it said to watch
US May NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.16280 opens the path back to 1.16438
Loss of 1.16127 reopens the Asian range floor at 1.16084
07:01 UTC
Recovering off intraday lows · RSI 64 · price 1.16226
Breaking up from tight consolidation.
EURUSD ground higher through the London session, breaking out of the multi-hour 1.1610-1.1616 consolidation to print 1.16226, supported by a softer USD into NFP. RSI(14) firmed into the low-60s; price holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.16126, 1.16084
Resistance: 1.1632, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the key cross-driver and could materially shift this read
Close above 1.16320 opens the path toward the 1.16450 session high
Failure to hold 1.16126 reopens the 1.16084 intraday low
06:46 UTC
Recovering off intraday lows · RSI 64 · price 1.16215
Tight range, fresh upside break.
EURUSD ground sideways in a 1.16127–1.16177 range through the Asian session, then the last two bars pushed up to 1.16215, clearing the range top with RSI(14) firming into the low 60s. EUR stays supported near 1.1620 on a soft USD and hawkish ECB pricing ahead of payrolls.
Support: 1.16127, 1.16084, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16177, 1.1645
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close back below 1.16127 negates the upside break and restores the range
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~6h) is the main cross-driver and could override this read
Tight consolidation after pullback from session high.
EUR/USD pushed to a session high near 1.1645 early in the window then drifted back, settling into a tight 1.1610-1.1619 range through the low-volatility overnight hours. Price is ticking back toward the range top at 1.16188 with RSI mid-range; EUR ground higher for a second day on firm ECB hike pricing, but flows are sidelined ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.1610, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.16188, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16188 opens the path back toward 1.1645
Failure to hold 1.16100 exposes the 1.16076 swing low
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the key cross-driver and will likely break this range
06:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.1614
Tight consolidation after fading London high.
EURUSD has gone flat into the Asian session, coiling in a 1.1610-1.1618 band after London faded the 1.1645 session high. RSI(14) near 50 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no setup in play with US NFP roughly 6h out.
Support: 1.1610, 1.1598
Resistance: 1.1618, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1618 reopens the path to 1.1645
Loss of 1.1610 exposes the 1.1598 swing low
US NFP at 12:30 GMT will likely break this range
06:02 UTC
Pullback stalling into range · RSI 53 · price 1.16143
Consolidation in lower half of yesterday's range.
EURUSD coiling around 1.1614 through quiet Asia hours after fading from the 1.1645 NY high; RSI(14) flat near 53, ATR compressed. Demand has held the 1.1610 session floor repeatedly while supply caps near 1.1620.
Support: 1.1610, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.1620, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1610 opens the path to 1.1598 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1620 puts 1.1645 prior high back in play
US NFP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.16167
Tight consolidation after pullback.
EURUSD coiling in a 1.1610–1.1617 band through Asian hours after the London push to 1.1645 was sold back, RSI(14) neutral near 54. Price sidelined ahead of US May NFP, holding the 1.16100 base.
Support: 1.1610, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1619, 1.1625, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT today is the dominant driver and can break this range
M15 close above 1.16250 reopens the path to the 1.16450 session high
Failure to hold 1.16100 exposes the 1.16000 swing low
05:31 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.16162
Tight consolidation after intraday pullback.
EURUSD coiled in a tight 1.1609–1.1616 band through Asian hours, volume thinning into the pre-London lull as traders sideline ahead of US NFP. The earlier push to 1.1645 faded to 1.1609 before price stabilised; current bar sits at the range top with RSI flat near 54.
Support: 1.16089, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.16164, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16164 reopens the path toward 1.1645
Loss of 1.16089 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1598
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~7h) is the dominant driver and will likely break this range
Tight consolidation after pullback from session high.
EURUSD ground into a tight Asian-session range around 1.1610–1.1616 after fading from the London session high at 1.1645, with RSI(14) flat near 53. Price is pinned to the 61.8% retracement of that move as traders sit on hands ahead of US NFP; volumes thinned to almost nothing into the close.
Support: 1.1610, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.16165, 1.1628, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16165 reopens the 1.1628 swing
Loss of 1.16100 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1598
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~7.5h) is the dominant cross-driver
EURUSD faded the London push to 1.16450 and has coiled into a 6-pip range between 1.16100 and 1.16165 through low-volume Asian hours, with RSI(14) flat near 52. Price is pinned at the range top into the US NFP release, no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.1610, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.16165, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US May NFP at 12:30 GMT (~7.5h) is the dominant driver and could break this range
M15 close above 1.16165 reopens the path toward 1.16450
Loss of 1.16100 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.15982
04:46 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.1615
Tight consolidation after NY pullback.
EURUSD is grinding in a tight 1.1610-1.1616 band through the Asian session after NY faded the move off the 1.1645 London high. RSI(14) sits flat near 49 with ATR compressed to ~9 pips, reflecting positioning ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.1610, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.16164, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and could break this range
M15 close above 1.16164 reopens the path toward 1.1645
Loss of 1.16100 exposes the 1.15982 swing low
04:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.16137
Tight Asian range after fading prior high.
EURUSD coiling in a tight 1.1610–1.1616 Asian range, volume thin, after fading from the 1.1645 prior-session high. RSI(14) flat near 51 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips — traders sidelined ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.1610, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.1616, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16160 opens the path back to 1.1645
Loss of 1.16100 exposes the 1.15982 swing low
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and could break this range
04:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.16143
Tight consolidation after fade from day high.
EURUSD coiled in a tight 1.1610–1.1616 band through the Asian session after fading from the day high at 1.1645. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 and ATR has compressed to ~15 pips, reflecting pre-NFP sidelining.
Support: 1.1610, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.16164, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 GMT is the dominant driver and can break this range
M15 close above 1.16164 reopens the path toward 1.16450
Loss of 1.16100 exposes the 1.15982 swing low
04:01 UTC
Fading from session high, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.16146
Tight consolidation after pullback.
EURUSD coiling near 1.1615 in thin Asian trade after fading from the session high at 1.1645 during the prior London-NY run. Range has compressed to a few pips with RSI flat near 52; price holds the 1.1610 floor but caps under 1.1616.
Support: 1.1610, 1.16084
Resistance: 1.16164, 1.16438
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16164 reopens the path toward 1.1644
Loss of 1.16100 confirms a lower low into London
US NFP at 12:30 GMT (~8h) is the key cross-driver and could break this range
03:46 UTC
Flat, range-bound · RSI 51 · price 1.1614
Tight consolidation post-pullback.
EURUSD is pinned around 1.1614 in a tight Asian-session range after fading from the 1.1645 session high, with volume thinning into the close. Price has coiled between 1.1610 and 1.1616 for several hours as traders sit on their hands ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.1610, 1.1608, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1616, 1.1632, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range either way
M15 close above 1.1632 reopens the path to 1.1645
Failure to hold 1.1608 confirms a lower-low
03:31 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.1614
Tight consolidation after NY fade.
EURUSD ground into a tight Asia-session range around 1.1612–1.1616 after fading from the NY session high at 1.1645, with EUR flatlined ahead of US NFP. RSI(14) neutral near 50 and ATR compressing to ~9 pips, confirming the low-volatility holding pattern.
Support: 1.16084, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.16165, 1.16438
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range
M15 close above 1.16165 reopens the path toward 1.1645
Failure to hold 1.16084 confirms a lower-low
03:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.16143
Tight consolidation post pullback.
EURUSD is grinding sideways between 1.16085 and 1.16164 through the low-volume Asian session, flatlined near 1.1614 after fading the earlier 1.1645 peak. Price stalled here as traders sit on the sidelines ahead of today's US NFP, with RSI(14) neutral around 53.
Support: 1.16085, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.16164, 1.1628
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16164 reopens the path toward 1.16280
Loss of 1.16076 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range
03:01 UTC
Flat, range-bound · RSI 52 · price 1.16137
Tight Asian range after London fade.
EURUSD is grinding sideways in a 1.1609-1.1616 Asian range after fading the London push to 1.1645, with ATR compressed near 2-3 pips on thin overnight flow. Price sits just above EMA20 but below EMA50; RSI(14) mid-range, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1609, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.16164, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range
M15 close above asian high 1.16164 reopens the path toward 1.1645
Break below asian low 1.16090 exposes 1.16076 swing low
02:46 UTC
Sideways after pullback · RSI 49 · price 1.16137
Consolidation under 1.1620 after rejection at 1.1645.
Asian session is flatlining in a tight 1.1610-1.1616 band on thin volume after the London push to 1.1645 was rejected and faded back through the day. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with ATR compressed to ~8 pips, price hovering just under the 61.8% retracement of the prior leg up.
Support: 1.1610, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.16158, 1.1620, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16200 reopens the 1.1645 session high
Loss of 1.16100 confirms a lower-low toward 1.15982
US NFP ~12:30 UTC (~10h) is the dominant driver and can break this range
02:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.16151
Tight consolidation after London rally faded.
EURUSD is locked in a tight Asia-session range around 1.1612 after the London push to 1.16450 faded back through 1.1620. RSI(14) sits flat near 53 with ATR compressed to ~19 pips; price is glued to EMA20 with no intraday setup in play ahead of US NFP.
Support: 1.16092, 1.16076, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.16164, 1.1628, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP ~12:30 UTC (~10h) is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range
M15 close above 1.16164 reopens the path toward 1.16280
Failure to hold 1.16092 exposes the 1.16076 asia low
02:16 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 54 · price 1.16154
Asia-session consolidation after NY pullback.
EURUSD is grinding sideways near 1.1615 through the Asia session after NY faded the move off 1.1645 back to 1.1609. Price is pinned in a tight 1.16092–1.16156 band on thin overnight volume, RSI neutral around 54 with ATR compressed to ~2 pips.
Support: 1.16092, 1.1603
Resistance: 1.16156, 1.1620
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16156 opens the path back toward 1.1620
Loss of 1.16092 confirms a lower-low and ends the range
US NFP ~12:30 UTC (~10h) is the dominant near-term driver
02:01 UTC
Flat, Asia consolidation · RSI 52 · price 1.16134
Tight range after London fade.
EURUSD is pinned in a 1.1610–1.1615 Asia-session range after the London rally to 1.1645 faded back through the day. Price flatlined near 1.1613 as the digest notes traders sit on hands ahead of US NFP, RSI(14) neutral around 52 and ATR compressed to ~2 pips.
Support: 1.1610, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.1615, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US NFP ~12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can break this range
M15 close above 1.1615 reopens the path toward 1.1645
Failure to hold 1.1610 exposes the 1.15982 swing low
01:46 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.16132
Tight Asia consolidation after NY pullback.
EURUSD is grinding a tight 1.1609-1.1614 Asia-session range after fading from the 1.1645 NY high; ATR is compressed and RSI sits near 50. Price flatlined around 1.1620 earlier as traders sat on hands ahead of US NFP, which is the dominant driver into the next sessions.
Support: 1.16092, 1.16076
Resistance: 1.16138, 1.16201
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16140 breaks the Asia range top
Loss of 1.16092 opens a retest of 1.16076
US NFP ~12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver
01:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.16109
Asia consolidation after London-NY fade.
EURUSD grinding a tight 1.1609-1.1614 band through the Asia session after London-NY drove to 1.1645 and faded. RSI(14) flat near 47, ATR compressed to ~3 pips with no setup in play. US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.1609, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16140 ends the asia range read
Break below 1.16090 exposes the 1.15982 swing low
US NFP ~12:30 UTC likely to expand range and override this read
01:16 UTC
Rolled off highs, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.16124
Tight range after NY pullback.
EURUSD rolled off the 1.1644 session high during NY and has gone flat near 1.1612 through Asia on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral. Holding just above the 1.1608 session low with no setup in play.
Support: 1.16084, 1.1600
Resistance: 1.1620, 1.16438
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1608 session low opens the 1.1600 round number
Reclaim of 1.1620 swing needed to retarget the 1.1644 session high
US May NFP ~12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Pullback off intraday high, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.16124
Range-bound after retrace into 1.1610.
EURUSD rallied to 1.1645 during London, aided by a softer USD on rising jobless claims, then faded steadily back into the 1.1610 area where price has gone flat through Asia. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 and ATR has compressed to ~17 pips; price is coiling just above the 1.1610 session low.
Support: 1.16096, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.1620, 1.1645
What it said to watch
NFP today ~12:30 UTC is the dominant risk and can break this range either way
M15 close below 1.1610 exposes the 1.1598 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1620 reopens the path toward 1.1645 session high
00:46 UTC
Pullback faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.16108
Lower highs into tight consolidation.
EUR/USD ran to a session high of 1.16450 during NY hours, was rejected, then faded back to 1.16100 and has gone flat in the thin Asian session. Price is now coiled in a 1.16100–1.16140 micro-range with RSI(14) neutral near 46 and volume drying up.
Support: 1.1610, 1.16076, 1.16037
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.1623, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.16140 reopens the path toward 1.16230
Failure to hold the 1.16100 round level exposes 1.16037 swing low
US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Pullback stalling, flat · RSI 49 · price 1.16128
Tight range after fade from session high.
EURUSD faded from the 1.1645 session high and is now coiling in a tight 1.1610-1.1613 band through low-volume Asian hours, RSI(14) flat near 49. Price holds 1.1610 but sits below the EMA50 after the pullback.
Support: 1.1610, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.1628, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16100 confirms a lower-low toward 1.15982
Reclaim of 1.16280 reopens the 1.1645 session high
US NFP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Pullback stalling, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.16122
Tight range after decline from 1.1645.
EURUSD topped at the 1.1645 session high during the London-NY rally then bled back to 1.1610, holding above 1.1600 as a softer USD cushioned the move. Now coiled in a 1.1610-1.1614 range through the thin Asian session, RSI(14) flat near 49 with ATR compressed to under 3 pips.
Support: 1.1610, 1.1603
Resistance: 1.1614, 1.1620, 1.1645
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16100 opens the 1.16030 swing low
Reclaim above 1.16140 reopens 1.16200
US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the key cross-driver into this read
00:01 UTC
Pullback then flat · RSI 46 · price 1.1612
Intraday range, lower highs faded.
EUR/USD rallied through the London-NY session to an intraday high of 1.16438 before fading the full move back to 1.1610, helped earlier by a softer USD into the Asian session. Price has since gone flat, ranging 1.1610-1.1613 on thin Asian volume with no setup in play.
Support: 1.16097, 1.15982
Resistance: 1.1615, 1.16395, 1.16438
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.16097 confirms a lower-low extension
Reclaim of 1.16150 reopens the path toward 1.16395
US NFP at 12:30 UTC Friday could materially shift this read