EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Tuesday, 9 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.15427
Lower highs, consolidating above 1.1500.
EURUSD remains in a multi-week downtrend, printing a fresh two-month low at 1.1500 on broad USD strength after Friday's blowout NFP, then stabilising into a 1.1500-1.1575 band. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with momentum recovering off oversold, but the lower-high sequence is intact. The week's structure is positioning into Wednesday's US CPI and Thursday's ECB decision.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms continuation toward the 1.1445 area
H4 close above the 1.1575 swing high opens room toward 1.1600
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD remains in a multi-week downtrend off the mid-1.17 area, printing a fresh two-month low at 1.1500 before stabilising into a 1.1500-1.1575 band as hawkish-ECB hopes cushion the downside. Price holds below both EMA20 and EMA50, and the twin lows near 1.1500 give the base a double-bottom look. ATR has expanded on the recent break, so the consolidation is sitting on an extended move rather than a quiet compression.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600, 1.1650
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 11 Jun 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
H4 close above 1.1575 then 1.1600 negates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.1445
20:53 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.15406
Lower highs / lower lows, now consolidating above 1.1500.
EURUSD remains in a clear H4 downtrend; the drop through 1.1600 accelerated into a two-month low at 1.1500 as a firm dollar pressed in on hawkish Fed repricing. Price has since stabilised in a 1.1522-1.1577 band, sitting below both EMA20 and EMA50. ATR has cooled from the breakdown spike, with demand stepping in repeatedly around 1.1500.
Support: 1.1522, 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1577, 1.1600, 1.1645
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1445 zone
Reclaim of 1.1577 then 1.1600 needed to challenge the downtrend
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
20:52 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 44 · price 1.15406
Lower highs into a two-month low, then sideways near 1.1500.
EURUSD remains in a clear H4 downtrend, printing a fresh two-month low at 1.1500 before stabilising; the steep sell-off into 1.1500 was driven by the firm dollar after Friday's blowout NFP. Price is now consolidating in a 1.1500–1.1573 band beneath both EMAs, with the recent bounce off 1.1500 showing milder momentum than the prior leg lower. ATR has expanded through the decline, so the compression into this band is the key tell into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1573
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 11 Jun 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the nearest-term USD-side risk to the range
Sustained close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1445 bear target
H4 close back above 1.1573 would break the lower-high sequence
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating off the low · RSI 45 · price 1.15544
Lower highs into a 1.1500 two-month low, now ranging.
Downtrend intact: a sharp bearish leg broke the 1.1600 floor and drove price to a 1.1500 two-month low as the dollar stayed firm after Friday's hot NFP and weak EUR data (Q1 GDP -0.2%, factory orders -3.8%). Price has since stabilised into a tight 1.1505-1.1577 consolidation, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50. ATR remains elevated from the breakout candle, but the recent range is compressing ahead of event risk.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1577, 1.1636
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US CPI Wed are the dominant drivers for the next leg
H4 close above 1.1577 reclaims the range high and eases the downside pressure
Close below 1.1500 confirms a fresh lower low and extends the downtrend
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.15544
Lower highs, lower lows; basing after breakdown.
Downtrend intact — lower highs and lower lows across the window, with price marking a fresh two-month low at 1.1518 after the sharp breakdown that followed hawkish-Fed repricing on Friday's NFP beat. Price is now consolidating roughly 1.1505–1.1577 and pressing the 1.1555 pivot, holding below both EMAs. ATR(14) stays elevated post-breakdown; US CPI Wednesday and the ECB decision Thursday are the swing factors into the next sessions.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15176, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1577, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 1.1555 pivot opens room back toward the 1.1600 cap
Failure to hold the 1.1500 two-month low confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1445
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
Price broke the 1.1600-1.1640 range last Friday on the blowout US NFP, cascading to a two-month low at 1.1500 before stabilising. The current bounce to 1.1572 is testing back into the 1.1575/1.1600 resistance zone that has capped the prior structure; the broader sequence of lower highs since early-June keeps the downtrend intact. ATR has expanded on the breakdown, signalling the move is still active rather than ranging.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600, 1.1645
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read into the ECB
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is a major event risk
H4 close above 1.1575/1.1600 would halt the downtrend
Break below 1.1500 opens the path toward 1.1445
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 48 · price 1.15724
Lower highs and lower lows; reaction off the 1.1500 break.
EURUSD remains in a clear lower-high/lower-low downtrend, capped under the 1.1575 supply zone after Friday's sharp leg lower on USD strength following the 172K NFP beat. Price swept the 1.1500 two-month low to 1.14994 and has since clawed back toward 1.1572, but ATR(14) is elevated from the impulse drop and the bounce sits below the EMA50. The recovery is testing the 1.1575 resistance edge that capped the prior consolidation.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600, 1.1636
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
H4 close back below 1.1500 reopens the path toward 1.1445
Reclaim of the 1.1575/1.1600 zone would halt the lower-high sequence
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.15371
Lower highs/lows, basing above 3-month low.
A sharp leg lower Friday on the 172K NFP shock broke the multi-week 1.1600-1.1620 base and drove EUR/USD to a 3-month low near 1.1499. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1500-1.1555 band, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50, with ATR(14) still elevated from the impulse. The downside bias coincides with EUR pinned ahead of Thursday's ECB and a firm dollar.
Support: 1.1499, 1.1508
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1586, 1.1600
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the key USD driver and could extend or reverse this read
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift the structure
H4 close below 1.1499 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.1575/1.1600 needed to negate the downside structure
Lower highs and lower lows; range broken to downside.
EUR/USD broke down from the multi-week 1.1600-1.1660 range on Friday's strong US payrolls, accelerating to a 3-month low near 1.1499 before stabilising around 1.1530. Lower-high/lower-low structure is intact and ATR(14) has expanded with the move, while price holds below both EMAs. The recent dip swept the 1.1500 figure and recovered, but the broader read stays heavy ahead of US CPI and the ECB.
Support: 1.1499, 1.1522, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1600, 1.1644
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1499 confirms lower-low extension toward 1.1445
H4 close back above 1.1600 range floor would challenge the downtrend read
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, near 3-mo lows · RSI 38 · price 1.15372
Range break to downside, lower highs.
Price broke down through the multi-week 1.16/1.165 floor on Friday's blowout NFP, collapsing to a 3-mo low at 1.1499 before stabilising near 1.1537. EMA20 and EMA50 are rolling over with price beneath both, and ATR(14) expansion confirms the trend leg is live rather than a noise spike. Lower highs into the 1.1575 resistance keep structure heavy ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1517, 1.1499, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H4 close back above 1.1600 psych level would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold the 1.1499 3-mo low opens the 1.1445 uob target
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 41 · price 1.15372
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near 3-mo low.
EUR/USD remains in a clear H4 downtrend, lower highs and lower lows intact, with Friday's blowout US NFP driving an impulsive break through 1.1600 down to the 3-mo low at 1.1499. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1500-1.1555 band as demand steps in around the psychological 1.1500 handle. Price sits well below both EMA20 and EMA50, and the elevated ATR after the impulse reflects the recent expansion.
Support: 1.14994, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1499 confirms the next leg lower toward 1.1445
Close above 1.1575 supply zone would break the lower-high sequence
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 41 · price 1.15269
Lower highs/lows, fresh 3-month lows.
Downtrend intact since the 1.176 high, with a sequence of lower highs and lower lows; price broke decisively through the 1.156 area to three-month lows after Friday's strong US NFP repriced Fed expectations and lifted the USD. The last several bars are consolidating just above the 1.1499 floor while ATR(14) sits elevated from the breakdown bar. Both EMA20 and EMA50 cap from above.
Support: 1.1499, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1575
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1499 opens the 1.1445 path
Reclaim of 1.1545 swing high needed to challenge the lower-high structure; 1.1575 supply cap beyond
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended after break · RSI 37 · price 1.15269
Lower highs and lower lows, pressing 3mo low.
EUR/USD is in an established H4 downtrend, accelerating after Friday's 172K NFP beat drove a sharp two-bar break through the 1.1586 shelf toward the 1.1499 three-month low. ATR(14) has expanded with that impulse and price is now consolidating just above the low after tagging 1.15222. Both EMAs sit overhead and momentum is depressed but not yet oversold-extreme.
Support: 1.1499, 1.1522, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1575
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1499 opens the 1.1445 path
Reclaim of 1.1575 needed to challenge the lower-high structure
ECB rate decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read