EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Wednesday, 10 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
22:39 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.15321
Lower highs, lower lows; basing above 1.1500.
Sustained downtrend across the window, with a sharp range break on Feb 5 dragging price off 1.1640 toward the 1.1500 two-month low as the dollar firmed after the NFP beat and in-line CPI. Since then EUR has consolidated in a tight band just above 1.1500, capped repeatedly near the 1.1575 area, with price below both EMA20 and EMA50. ATR(14) remains elevated from the breakdown leg, keeping range edges live.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1586
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms continuation toward the 1.1445 next support
Reclaim and close above the 1.1575 cap would neutralise the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
22:39 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15321
Lower highs, basing above two-month low.
EURUSD broke sharply from the 1.1665 prior swing to the 1.15 zone on Feb-5, a downtrend that aligns with a firm broad USD after the hot NFP and in-line CPI. Price is now basing in a tight 1.1530-1.1575 range just above the two-month low, capped repeatedly at 1.1575 while demand holds 1.15. ATR(14) stays elevated from the breakdown, and price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14994, 1.15176
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1665
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser is the dominant risk to this read
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1445
H4 close above the 1.1575 range cap invalidates the basing read
Price broke sharply from 1.1645 to a two-month low at 1.1499 on the broad USD bid, then stabilised into a tight 1.1500-1.1575 band over the last sessions. Both EMA20 and EMA50 sit above spot and slope down, keeping the structure bearish, while RSI near 45 reflects the loss of downside momentum during the consolidation. EUR is pinned ahead of Thursday's ECB, with the 25bp hike fully priced and direction hinging on Lagarde's guidance.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1620
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1575 cap would break the consolidation and challenge the descending lower-highs
Failure to hold 1.1500 reopens the 1.1499 swing low and the 1.1445 zone
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus US PPI 12:30 UTC can materially reset this read
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 46 · price 1.15387
Lower highs/lows; boxed 1.1505-1.1575.
EURUSD remains in a multi-week downtrend off the 1.1718 high, accelerated by last Friday's sharp drop to 1.1500 as the firmer Dollar (hot NFP, in-line CPI) drove the move. Price has since stabilised in a tight 1.1505-1.1575 band with ATR(14) compressing, and both EMAs sit overhead. Demand is stepping in around the 1.1500 two-month low while supply caps the 1.1575 range high.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1522, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600, 1.1686
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US PPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1575 range high opens the path back toward 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a lower-low, exposing the 1.1499 swing low
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.15387
Lower highs and lower lows; ranging above 1.1500.
EURUSD has trended lower since early month, carving consistent lower highs and lower lows, with last Friday's sharp drop to ~1.1500 marking a two-month low. Price is now boxed in a 1.1500-1.1575 band as a Dollar story, with the bid leaning on a priced 25bp ECB hike rather than growth data. ATR(14) remains elevated from the impulse leg, with price pinned below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1575 then 1.1600 invalidates the consolidation read
Failure to hold 1.1500 opens the path toward 1.1445
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US PPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:06 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.15409
Lower highs / lower lows, now ranging 1.1505-1.1575.
EURUSD remains in a clear H4 downtrend after last Friday's sharp drop from ~1.1645 to the 1.1500 area, a move driven by a firm Dollar following the strong NFP and sticky US CPI. Price has since stalled, coiling in a tight 1.1505-1.1575 band with price pinned below both the EMA20 and EMA50. ATR has eased from the drop-day spike, signalling compression while the market waits on Thursday's ECB decision.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus US PPI same day could materially shift this read
A clean H4 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1445 downside level
A close above 1.1575 range top opens the path to 1.1600
20:06 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15409
Lower highs into a tight range above the 1.1500 low.
Price rolled over from the 1.1685 area and accelerated lower on the sharp drop near 1.1500, leaving a clean lower-high structure beneath both EMAs. EUR is now boxed in a 1.1505-1.1575 band as a Dollar story after in-line US CPI, with the two-month low at 1.1500 holding so far. ATR is steadier post-impulse, signalling consolidation rather than fresh trend extension.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600, 1.1645
What it said to watch
A clean H4 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1445 zone
A close above 1.1575 invalidates the consolidation read and opens 1.1600
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US PPI Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15503
Boxed in a tight range above the two-month low after a sharp impulse drop.
EURUSD remains in a broader downtrend after Friday's NFP-driven flush down to the 1.1500 area, and price is now consolidating in a 1.1505–1.1573 band just above the two-month low. The probe to 1.14994 was bought back, leaving a false break of the 1.1500 psych level, but rallies are capping below the 1.1573 swing high with price still under the EMA50. With ATR(14) around 24 pips the pair is compressing into Thursday's ECB decision, the next directional catalyst.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1573, 1.1586, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1445 down target
Close above 1.1573 challenges the 1.1586 pre-drop level and 1.1600 round number
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating off lows · RSI 46 · price 1.15503
Lower highs into a tight range above the 1.1500 swing low.
EURUSD remains in a multi-week downtrend, with the sharp leg lower into ~1.1500 following last Friday's NFP shock that rebuilt USD longs. Price has since coiled in a 1.1505-1.1575 band, holding above the two-month low but capped by lower highs; ATR(14) stays elevated from the impulse. EMA20 has flattened beneath EMA50, reflecting the stall rather than a turn.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1530, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600, 1.1636
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H4 close above 1.1575 invalidates the range read and opens 1.1600
Break below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1445
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after sharp drop · RSI 44 · price 1.15366
Lower low at 1.1499, now ranging 1.1500-1.1575.
H4 remains in a clear downtrend after the sharp early-month break that drove price from the 1.1660 region down to a 1.1499 low, with the slide tied to renewed USD strength into US CPI. Price has since stabilised into a tight 1.1500-1.1575 band and ATR(14) has compressed, with both EMA20 and EMA50 capping overhead. The band edges frame the next directional move.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1500 opens the 1.1445 downside target
Close above 1.1575 invalidates the consolidation read toward 1.1600
US CPI today and ECB Thursday could materially shift this range read
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15524
Broke range, now 1.1500-1.1575 base.
H4 sold off sharply from the 1.1640 shelf, crashing through to a two-month low near 1.1500 as the dollar drew safe-haven flows and hawkish Fed repricing after the hot NFP. Price has since stabilised in a 1.1500-1.1575 base below EMA50, with ATR(14) compressing after the spike. The 1.1555 pivot is capping the recovery attempts while the 1.1500 floor has held.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1573, 1.1600
What it said to watch
US CPI today 12:30 GMT is the nearest catalyst and can break the consolidation either way
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1445
Reclaim of 1.1600 needed to challenge the downtrend structure
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 50 · price 1.15524
Lower highs into 1.1500 base, consolidating.
EURUSD remains in a multi-week downtrend off the 1.1717 high, capped by a chain of lower highs and a sharp washout into the 1.1500 base. Price has clawed back above EMA20 and is consolidating in a tight 1.1500-1.1573 band, with a double-bottom forming around the 1.1500 lows. The pair is trading as a dollar inverse into today's US CPI, which is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1573, 1.1600, 1.1686
What it said to watch
US CPI today 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H4 close above 1.1573 opens the 1.1600 cap
Loss of the 1.1500 base confirms a lower low toward 1.1445
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 48 · price 1.15495
Lower highs and lower lows, basing above 1.1500.
Sustained downtrend through the window, with a sharp impulse leg lower into the 1.1500 two-month low as the post-NFP USD rally dominated the EUR story. Price has since consolidated in a tight 1.1530-1.1573 band just above the floor, with EMA20 reclaimed but EMA50 still capping overhead. ATR(14) has cooled from the drop-day spike, leaving a compressed range pressed against the 1.1500 pivot.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1522
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1573, 1.1600
What it said to watch
US CPI today 12:30 UTC can break this compression either way
H4 close below 1.1500 confirms downtrend continuation toward lower targets
Reclaim of 1.1573 then 1.1600 needed to challenge the lower-high structure
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 48 · price 1.15495
Range break below 1.1600, consolidating above 1.1500.
EURUSD broke down out of its multi-week 1.1600-1.1650 range on the USD rally that followed the blowout NFP print, posting a two-month low at 1.14994. Price is now consolidating between the 1.1500 floor and the 1.1555 pivot, with EMA20 reclaimed but EMA50 still capping overhead near 1.158. ATR(14) remains elevated from the breakdown, keeping the 1.1500-1.1555 band the immediate structure.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14994, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1600, 1.16441
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1555 pivot opens the path back to the 1.1600 range base
Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1445
US CPI today 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.15338
Lower highs into a range above 1.1500.
EURUSD remains in a multi-week downtrend, having printed a fresh two-month low at 1.1522 on the sharp slide from the 1.1685 area, and is now compressing in a 1.1500-1.1575 band as ECB hike hopes cushion the downside. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the broader bias heavy, while ATR has cooled from the breakdown spike into a tighter consolidation. Buyers have defended 1.1500-1.1522 repeatedly, but each bounce has stalled below 1.1575.
Support: 1.1522, 1.1500, 1.1441
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600, 1.1645
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1575 would break the consolidation band toward the 1.1600 cap
Failure to hold 1.1500 exposes the 1.1441 support
US CPI today 12:30 UTC and ECB Thursday could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.15338
Lower highs and lower lows, basing above 1.1500.
EURUSD has trended lower through the window, carving a sequence of lower highs and a sharp range break below the 1.1585 shelf that drove price to a two-month low at 1.1500. The pair is now consolidating in a 1.1500-1.1573 band as the market positions into Thursday's ECB decision, with hawkish hike pricing cushioning the downside. Price holds below both EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the broader bias to the downside intact.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1573
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1445 zone
Reclaim of the 1.1585 shelf would ease downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 11 Jun 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read