M15 ground lower through late NY into thin Asian hours, slipping from the 1.15705 session high toward the two-month-low zone and printing 1.15254. A modest bounce has lifted price back to 1.15356 with RSI near 43; lower highs still intact below 1.15470.
Support: 1.15254, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15705
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15254 extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.15000 two-month low
Reclaim of 1.15470 prior swing breaks the descending sequence
ECB decision 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser 12:45 UTC can override this read
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into Asia · RSI 43 · price 1.15356
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.1572 peak.
EURUSD rolled off the 1.1572 session high in steps, printing lows at 1.1525 before a thin-volume Asia bounce stalled near 1.1536. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 43; range has compressed to ~5 pip bars as traders sideline ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.15254, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.1547, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1525 confirms continuation toward the 1.1500 two-month low
Reclaim of 1.1540 would challenge the descending lower-high structure
ECB decision (Thu 12:15 UTC) is the dominant risk and can reset this read
EURUSD ground lower through the Asia session from the 1.15728 window high, sweeping the 1.15254 low before a thin-volume bounce back to 1.15359. RSI(14) near 41, structure remains a chain of lower highs with price pinned below EMA20/50 ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.15254, 1.15289
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15470 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.15254 confirms a fresh lower-low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser will override this intraday read
EUR slid through the Asia session from the NY high at 1.15728 to a session low of 1.15254, a fresh probe toward the two-month-low zone, before a thin bounce to 1.15359. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; intraday rallies have been capped near 1.15410.
Support: 1.15254, 1.15302, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1541, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15410 needed to ease the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.15254 confirms continuation toward the 1.1500 round number
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and presser could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into Asia session · RSI 35 · price 1.1527
Lower highs and lower lows since the 1.1573 swing.
EURUSD ground lower through the thin Asia session, printing fresh lows at 1.1525 and slipping below the prior swing structure as it edges toward the two-month low at 1.1500. RSI(14) near 35 with traders sidelined ahead of Thursday's ECB; no setup in play, just a slow drift.
Support: 1.1525, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.1557
What it said to watch
Break of 1.1525 session low opens the path to 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.1557 swing high needed to neutralise the lower-high chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD drifted lower through a thin Asian session, printing a fresh session low at 1.1525 with price pinned just above the 1.1500 two-month low ahead of Thursday's ECB. Chain of lower highs intact from 1.1573; RSI(14) at 36 with a mild bullish divergence on the latest leg, but no rejection of the lows yet.
Support: 1.1525, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1539, 1.1573
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1500 opens the two-month low extension
Reclaim of 1.1539 would break the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and presser 12:45 UTC could reset this read
Lower highs since session peak, pressing session low.
EURUSD rolled over from the session high at 1.15705 and has bled lower through thin late-session liquidity, now probing 1.15342 just above the 1.15280 session low. RSI(14) near 39 with price below EMA20 and EMA50; the descending highs cap every bounce ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15705
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.15280 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.15000 two-month low
A reclaim of 1.15470 breaks the lower-high chain
ECB decision 12:15 UTC and presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR faded off the 1.15728 session high through the NY-Asia transition and is grinding the session low near 1.15280 on thin late-session volume. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to ~40; the 1.15575 prior-support shelf has capped each bounce, consistent with EUR pinned near two-month lows ahead of the ECB.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1533
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15575, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15280 confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of 1.15470 would neutralise the late-session downdrift
ECB decision 12:15 UTC and US PPI 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
Lower highs from NY peak, fresh session low printed.
EURUSD rolled over from the NY high at 1.15728 and ground out a chain of lower highs through the late-NY/Asia transition on thin volume, printing a fresh session low at 1.15280 before a shallow bounce to 1.15334. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39 — soft but not oversold; this is pre-ECB drift, not a fresh impulse.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15280 opens the path toward the 1.1500 two-month low
Reclaim of 1.15470 would break the descending lower-highs structure
ECB decision 12:15 UTC and US PPI 12:30 UTC (~13h out) can override this read
Lower highs, lower lows since NY rejection at 1.1570.
EURUSD rolled over after rejection at the 1.1570 NY-session high and has bled lower through the Asia session to print a session low at 1.1528, pressing two-month-low territory. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 38 — soft but not yet oversold, and Asian-hours volume is thin.
Support: 1.15285
Resistance: 1.1541, 1.15473
What it said to watch
Break below 1.15285 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15473 broken support negates the downtrend read
ECB decision 12:15 UTC and presser 12:45 UTC can override this intraday structure
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 38 · price 1.15309
Lower highs and lower lows off the 1.1573 peak.
EURUSD has bled lower since tagging a session high at 1.15728 during NY hours, printing a clean chain of lower highs into thin Asia trade and now resting on the 1.15280 session low. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 38, pressing toward the 1.1500 two-month low ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15465, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15280 opens the 1.1500 two-month low
Reclaim of 1.15465 swing needed to break the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD peaked near 1.1573 during NY then bled lower through the thin London-NY-to-Asia transition, printing a session low at 1.1528 with RSI(14) sub-35. Price stays capped below the 1.1575 area and is grinding back toward the 1.1500 two-month low ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1547
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1528 opens the 1.1500 two-month low
Close back above 1.1547 breaks the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum easing into Asia · RSI 38 · price 1.15294
Lower highs / lower lows off 1.15728.
EURUSD ground lower through late NY into thin Asian hours, printing a chain of lower highs from the 1.15728 peak and sliding to a session low at 1.15280. Volume is sparse and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37, pinned at two-month lows ahead of the ECB.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1520, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.1547
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Break of 1.15280 opens 1.15200 then the 1.15000 two-month low
M15 close above 1.15370 challenges the lower-high sequence
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading in thin Asia · RSI 42 · price 1.15347
Lower highs off 1.1573, drifting near session lows.
EUR topped at 1.1573 in NY hours then faded through the afternoon, printing lower highs into the late session and a sweep of the session low at 1.15289. Price now hovers in the low 1.153s, ATR thin as Asia trade dries up; the 1.1575 cap remains untouched.
Support: 1.15289, 1.15333
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15289 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim above 1.15470 swing high softens the downtrend read
ECB decision at 12:15 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
Lower highs since 1.15728 peak, testing session lows.
EUR drifted off the 1.15728 session high through NY into a string of lower highs, tagging 1.15289 before stalling near 1.15347 on thin Asia-session volume. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 40; movement is corrective and low-conviction ahead of Thursday's ECB and US PPI.
Support: 1.15289, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15412, 1.1547
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15289 opens the path toward the 1.1500 two-month low
Reclaim of 1.15470 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB (12:15 UTC) and US PPI (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
21:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, fading from NY highs · RSI 41 · price 1.15362
Lower highs, lower lows into Asia open.
EUR/USD faded the NY-session high at 1.15728 and has stair-stepped lower into the Asia open, printing a fresh session low at 1.15289 before stalling near 1.1536. RSI(14) sits sub-45 with no extreme; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.15289, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1547
What it said to watch
Break below 1.15289 opens the 1.1500 two-month low
Close back above 1.15470 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde 12:45 UTC could reset this read
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum easing into Asia · RSI 43 · price 1.15362
Lower highs since the NY high, grinding toward session low.
NY high at 1.15728 was rejected and EURUSD has bled lower in a chain of lower highs, now at 1.15362 on thin Asia-open volume. Price probed the 1.15289 session low and bounced modestly; RSI(14) sits mid-40s, no extreme.
Support: 1.15289, 1.15352
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15289 confirms a lower low, exposing the 1.1500 area
Reclaim of 1.15470 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US PPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Rolled over from intraday high, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 1.15354
Lower highs since 1.1573, fading into session low.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.1573 during NY hours then faded steadily, printing lower highs and drifting back to the 1.1529 session low into the late close. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) near 41 and price below the short EMAs; volume thinned out as the session wound down ahead of the ECB.
Support: 1.15289, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15573, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Break of 1.15289 session low extends the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of 1.15466 minor res needed to challenge the 1.15573 swing high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since 1.15728, drifting into late-session low.
Clean M15 downtrend off the 1.15728 high, printing lower highs through the NY-Asia transition. Thin late-session bars swept the 1.15289 session low and recovered to 1.15354 on minimal volume; the lower-high chain stays intact below 1.15470.
Support: 1.15289, 1.15333
Resistance: 1.1547
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15470 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.15289 session low confirms continuation lower
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk to this read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend within range, fading off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.15378
Lower highs since 1.1572 peak, back at session lows.
NY session spiked to 1.1572 mid-window then faded steadily through a chain of lower highs back to the session low near 1.1535 into a thin close, RSI(14) cooling around 42. Price sits below EMA20/50; EUR stays a Dollar story after in-line US CPI, pinned in the 1.1500–1.1575 band.
Support: 1.1533, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1557, 1.1572
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde 12:45 UTC will override this intraday read
Loss of 1.1533 session low opens the 1.1500 two-month low
M15 close back above 1.1557 negates the lower-high sequence
NY drifted off the session high at 1.15728 in a chain of lower highs, now pressing the 1.1534 swing low in thin late-session liquidity (last bar a 1.15289 wick). Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39; this remains a Dollar story ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1534, 1.15289, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15340 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1500 two-month low
Reclaim of 1.15470 needed to break the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus US PPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, fading from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.15365
Lower highs since 1.1573, sliding into Asia open.
EURUSD faded from the 1.1573 NY high and has bled lower into the Asia open, printing a chain of lower highs and now testing the 1.1535 area. RSI(14) cooling near 41, price below EMA20/50, with the prior swing low at 1.15341 the immediate floor.
Support: 1.15341, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15464, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15341 opens the 1.1500 two-month low
Reclaim above 1.15464 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision and US PPI Thu (12:15/12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
EURUSD drifted lower through late NY hours, printing a chain of lower highs off the 1.1573 rejection toward the 1.1534 session low, RSI(14) cooling near 38. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with volume thinning into the close.
Support: 1.15341, 1.1530
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15705
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1534 confirms a fresh session lower-low toward 1.1530
Reclaim of 1.1547 neutralises the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US PPI 12:30 UTC are the next directional drivers
20:46 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 37 · price 1.15365
Lower highs, fading toward session low.
NY session faded from the 1.15728 day high back toward the 1.15341 session low, printing a chain of lower highs into the late-NY thin-volume close. RSI(14) near 37 reflects the down-bias but is not yet stretched; price sits just above the session low.
Support: 1.15341, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15341 opens the path to the 1.1500 2mo low
Reclaim of 1.15466 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD rolled off the 1.1573 zone and is grinding session lows near 1.1536 in thin late-NY trade, holding the two-month-low area at 1.1500 in view. The lower-high chain off 1.1573 stays intact and RSI(14) is cooling near 38; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 as the market sits on hands ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.15341, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15469, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1534 confirms continuation toward the 1.1500 two-month low
Reclaim of 1.1547 breaks the lower-high chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US PPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum easing into late NY · RSI 39 · price 1.15388
Lower highs since 1.1573, pressing session lows.
EURUSD bled lower through late NY, sliding off the 1.1573 high into 1.1537 with a chain of lower highs; EUR remains pinned near two-month lows as a Dollar story after in-line US CPI. Supply capped each bounce below 1.1550 and RSI(14) sits sub-40 with ATR thin at ~5 pips.
Support: 1.15369, 1.15341, 1.1530
Resistance: 1.15469, 1.1553
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1537 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.1534
Reclaim of 1.1550 needed to challenge the 1.1573 session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC will reset this read
20:31 UTC
Intraday pullback lower off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.15388
Lower highs since the 1.1573 peak, retracing the NY rally.
EURUSD faded off the 1.15728 NY-session high and has been grinding out lower highs into late session, now hovering at 1.1539 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. The in-line US CPI gave no fresh fuel, leaving the pair pinned in its 1.1535–1.1575 consolidation band near two-month lows.
Support: 1.15367, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15466
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15341 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.15466 would put the descending lower-highs line in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US PPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Short-term downtrend, fading into session close · RSI 38 · price 1.15367
Lower highs since 1.1573, pressing session low.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1573 swing high through NY hours, stamping a chain of lower highs back to the 1.1537 session low as RSI(14) cooled toward 37. Move sits just above the 1.1534 session low and the broader 1.1500 two-month floor with traders parked ahead of tomorrow's ECB.
Support: 1.15341, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15573, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15341 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.1500 two-month low
Reclaim of 1.15573 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus US PPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.15367
Lower highs into session lows.
EUR/USD faded through the NY afternoon, slipping back toward session lows at 1.15367 after rejection at 1.15573; chain of lower highs intact with RSI(14) near 39. In-line US CPI gave the dollar 'no fresh fuel', leaving the pair drifting within its 1.1505–1.1573 consolidation band.
Support: 1.15341, 1.1530
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15573, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15341 confirms a fresh lower-low and exposes the 1.1500 two-month low
Reclaim of 1.15466 would break the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 38 · price 1.15407
Lower highs, testing session low.
Price rolled off the 1.15728 high printed early NY and built a chain of lower highs into 1.15573, with the 1.15500 psych level now capping. M15 is grinding back toward the session low near 1.15404, RSI(14) cooling to the high 30s as EUR sits pinned near its two-month low.
Support: 1.15404, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.1550, 1.15573
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15404 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.15341
Reclaim of 1.15500 needed to challenge the 1.15573 swing high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could fully reset this read
EURUSD rejected the session high at 1.15728 and bled back toward the 1.154 base into late NY, with RSI(14) cooling near 40 and price under both EMAs. Holding inside a 1.15341–1.15573 band, no clean break in play.
Support: 1.15404, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15573, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15470 challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.15341 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1500 lows
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
19:47 UTC
Pullback after NY session high · RSI 42 · price 1.15459
Lower highs from 1.1573, holding above 1.1543.
NY session tagged a session high at 1.15728 then faded, carving lower highs into the late session; price now 1.15459 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Capped below 1.1557, with demand holding the 1.1543 area on the latest dip.
Support: 1.1543, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15573, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1543 opens the 1.1534 session low
Reclaim of 1.1557 would ease the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.15459
Lower highs after rejection at 1.1573.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.1573 during NY hours then faded, printing lower highs back into 1.1546 with RSI(14) mid-range. Price sits below the 0.618 retrace of the 1.1536–1.1573 leg and is grinding toward the 1.1543 swing low ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.15432, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15573, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15341 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15573 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs below 1.15573, idling at session lows.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.15728 session high through the NY afternoon, slipping back toward the 1.15425 recent low with RSI(14) cooling near 40. A chain of lower highs has formed under 1.15573; price is idling at session lows as it sits on hands ahead of Thursday's ECB and US PPI.
Support: 1.15425, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15573, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15425 opens the 1.15341 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15573 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US PPI 12:30 UTC could reset this read
19:31 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.15439
Lower highs since 1.15728 peak.
EURUSD topped at 1.15705 in the NY session and has bled lower into the close, printing a chain of lower highs with price now sub-EMA20/50 at 1.15439. RSI(14) near 40 reflects the fade; sellers capped each bounce below 1.15573 while 1.15432 is the immediate floor.
Support: 1.15432, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15573, 1.15705
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15432 opens the path to the 1.15341 session low
Reclaim of 1.15573 lower high needed to neutralise the downward drift
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus US PPI 12:30 UTC could reset this read
19:17 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.15428
Lower highs since 1.1573, drifting into 1.1543.
EURUSD faded off the 1.15728 session high through NY hours, stamping a chain of lower highs into 1.1543 with RSI(14) in the low 40s. Move is a Dollar story after in-line US CPI; price sits inside the broader 1.1505–1.1575 consolidation band.
Support: 1.15432, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15573, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Break below 1.15341 confirms a lower low
M15 close back above 1.15573 negates the pullback
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
19:16 UTC
Intraday pullback after rally · RSI 40 · price 1.15428
Lower highs since session peak 1.15728.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.15728 mid-window on tentative Middle East de-escalation, then faded into a chain of lower highs through the NY afternoon, last printing 1.15428. Price now sits back at the session low with RSI(14) near 40 and below both EMAs; the 1.15573 area capped the latest bounce.
Support: 1.15432, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15573, 1.15705
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15432 exposes the 1.15341 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15573 would break the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US PPI 12:30 UTC could overwrite this read
EUR ran to a session high of 1.1573 during NY after softer US core CPI MoM, then was rejected and has ground back toward 1.1546 into late NY. Lower highs since the spike with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s; price holding above the 1.1544 session low.
Support: 1.15443, 1.15341, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15573, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.15573 negates the lower-highs sequence
Loss of 1.15341 swing low opens the 1.1500 2-month low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially reset this read
London drove EUR/USD up to the session high at 1.15728 before NY hours faded it back to 1.1546, with EUR trading as a Dollar story after in-line US CPI kept the USD supported. Price now consolidates in a 1.1544–1.1557 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 44 and below both EMAs.
Support: 1.15443, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15573, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15443 confirms a lower-low and re-exposes the 1.15341 spike low
Reclaim of 1.15573 swing high needed to re-engage the 1.15728 session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
18:47 UTC
Range after CPI spike faded · RSI 49 · price 1.1550
Consolidation below 1.1573 session high.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1573 on the in-line US CPI print around 13:30 UTC, then faded back into a tight band around 1.1550 through the NY afternoon. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips; the 1.1573 high capped the move and 1.1544 has held the lows since.
Support: 1.1544, 1.1535, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1573, 1.1590, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1573 reopens 1.1590/1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1535 exposes the 1.1500 two-month low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 1.1550
Consolidation below session high after CPI spike faded.
NY session spiked to a 1.15728 session high on the in-line US CPI print before fading back to 1.1550. Price now consolidates in a 1.1544–1.1557 band, rejected at the session high and sitting just under EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.
Support: 1.1544, 1.15341, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1557, 1.15728, 1.1575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15570 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Loss of 1.15440 swing low exposes the 1.15341 spike low
ECB decision tomorrow 12:15 UTC could reset this range
EUR/USD spiked to 1.15728 on the in-line US CPI print then faded, now drifting in a 1.15440–1.15573 band with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Price sits below both EMAs, mid-range; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1544, 1.15341, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15573, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15573 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Close below 1.15341 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.1500 two-month low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC will override this intraday read
EUR/USD spiked to a 1.15728 session high during NY hours then faded, now consolidating around 1.1551 below the 1.15573 swing high. RSI(14) flat near 47, price hugging EMA20/50 — no directional setup in play, two-month lows at 1.1500 still the broader anchor.
Support: 1.15448, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15573, 1.15705
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15573 reopens the 1.15705 session high
Loss of 1.15448 swing low exposes the 1.15341 spike low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
18:17 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.15539
Consolidation below CPI spike high.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.15728 on the in-line US CPI print early NY, then faded through the afternoon as the data gave no fresh hawkish fuel. Price now consolidating around 1.1550, capped under 1.15573 with the 1.15341 session low swept earlier and holding.
Support: 1.15443, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15573, 1.15643, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15573 reopens 1.15643 then the 1.15728 cpi high
Loss of 1.15443 exposes the 1.15341 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could reshape this read
18:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.15539
Consolidation below session high after fade.
EURUSD pushed to a session high at 1.15728 mid-NY after the in-line US CPI print, then faded and has been consolidating around 1.1554 into the late session. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 with price hugging the EMA20 — no directional impulse as traders sit ahead of tomorrow's ECB decision.
Support: 1.1544, 1.1549, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15575, 1.15705, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15575 reopens the session high and 1.15705
Failure to hold 1.15440 exposes 1.15341 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 1.15541
Consolidating mid-range after impulse up.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.15728 into the NY session as the in-line US CPI gave no fresh USD fuel, then faded and is now consolidating near the 50% retrace of that move around 1.1554. RSI(14) is neutral and ATR has cooled to ~7 pips; price sits between the 1.15441 recent low and the 1.15592 minor swing.
Support: 1.15441, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15592, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15592 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Break of 1.15441 confirms a lower low toward 1.15341 spike low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde 12:45 UTC could override this range
18:01 UTC
Range, no clear bias · RSI 51 · price 1.15541
Consolidating below NY session high after sweep of lows.
NY session swept the lows to 1.15341 then recovered, with price now coiling around 1.1554 inside a 1.15341–1.15728 band. RSI(14) neutral near 51; in-line US CPI gave no fresh impulse and price is rangebound below the session high.
Support: 1.15441, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15592, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15592 reopens the 1.15705–1.15728 session high
Loss of 1.15441 puts the 1.15341 session low back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
17:47 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.1546
Consolidation between 1.1533 and 1.1573, lower highs forming.
EUR/USD has drifted back to 1.1546 in the NY afternoon after rejection at the 1.1573 session high, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price sits mid-band between the 1.1533 swing low and that session high, capped below the 1.1575 prior-support zone and pinned near two-month lows; pair trading as a Dollar story after in-line US CPI.
Support: 1.1533, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1573, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1533 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.1500 two-month low
Reclaim of 1.1575 reopens the 1.1600 area
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
The in-line US CPI spike pushed EURUSD to a session high of 1.1573 during NY hours before the move faded; price has since carved lower highs back toward the 1.1534 spike low. Now at 1.1546, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42 — momentum has rolled over within the 1.1534–1.1573 band.
Support: 1.1534, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1573
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1534 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1500 psych low
Reclaim of 1.1558 swing high reopens the session high at 1.1573
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
17:32 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.15484
Lower highs off session peak, consolidating.
NY session pushed to 1.15728 then faded sharply, leaving a false break and a chain of lower highs into 1.15584. Price now drifts back toward the session low at 1.15482 with RSI(14) cooling near 43, well into the prior intraday move's retracement.
Support: 1.15482, 1.15341, 1.15352
Resistance: 1.15584, 1.15705, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15341 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday range floor
Reclaim of 1.15584 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus US PPI 12:30 UTC will reset this read
Consolidating below 1.1558 after rejection from 1.1573.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.15728 during the NY session then was rejected, and is now grinding lower inside a 1.1547-1.1558 band with price under EMA20/50. RSI(14) cooling near 43 as buyers fail to reclaim the 1.1558 supply shelf; move stalled into the late NY session ahead of tomorrow's ECB.
Support: 1.15467, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15584, 1.15705
What it said to watch
Break below 1.15467 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.15341 session low
M15 close back above 1.15584 reopens the 1.15705 session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
In-line US CPI sparked a spike to the 1.1573 session high before fading; EUR/USD now consolidating around 1.1550, capped by the 1.1558 range top and holding the 1.1549 swing low. RSI(14) neutral near 46 with price hugging EMA50 — no setup in play into the ECB.
Support: 1.1549, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1558 reopens the 1.1573 session high
NY session spiked to a 1.15728 session high on the post-CPI move, then faded back to 1.15504 with sellers capping the 1.15575 prior support-turned-resistance. Price now sits below EMA20/50 in the lower half of the day's range, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.15341, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15575, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.15575 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Failure to hold 1.15341 session low confirms a lower-low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Ranging after CPI spike · RSI 53 · price 1.15545
Consolidation in 1.1549–1.1572 band.
NY session spiked to 1.15705 on the US CPI print then faded straight back into the 1.1550s, with core CPI MoM softening. Price is now mid-range around 1.1554, RSI neutral; a 1.15341 dip was bought back, capping below 1.15592.
Support: 1.1549, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15592, 1.15705
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15592 reopens the 1.15705 session high
Failure to hold 1.15490 exposes the 1.15341 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Choppy consolidation mid-range after a swept high.
NY session spiked to 1.15728 on a US-Iran headline then was rejected straight back, leaving a false break of the session high; price has since settled near the 1.1555 mid-range. RSI(14) neutral around 52 after the volatility, consolidating in the 1.1534-1.1573 band into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1549, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.1559, 1.15705
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15590 reopens the 1.15705 session high
Loss of 1.15490 exposes the 1.15341 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC / Lagarde 12:45 UTC could break this range either way
16:47 UTC
Intraday up move stalling · RSI 52 · price 1.15552
Consolidation under session high after rally.
EUR/USD rallied off the 1.15340 session low to spike 1.15728 during NY hours before sellers rejected the high, and price has since coiled in a 1.15490–1.15590 band on de-escalation flows. RSI(14) back to neutral ~52; no momentum edge while the consolidation holds.
Support: 1.1549, 1.1534
Resistance: 1.1559, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15590 reopens 1.15728 session high
Loss of 1.15490 exposes the 1.15340 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Rangebound, no clear bias · RSI 52 · price 1.15552
Consolidating mid-band after CPI spike faded.
NY session spiked to 1.15728 after the soft US core CPI MoM print, then faded straight back into the 1.1505–1.1575 band and is now consolidating near 1.1555. RSI(14) neutral around 52; the 1.15575 zone capped the recovery while 1.1549 has absorbed dips.
Support: 1.1549, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15728, 1.15575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15575 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Loss of 1.15341 confirms a lower-low and breaks the band
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Sideways after CPI spike · RSI 53 · price 1.1557
Consolidation band, capped below session high.
NY session spiked to 1.1573 on the in-line US CPI print then rejected, settling into a 1.1534–1.1573 consolidation band. RSI(14) neutral near 53, price holding above EMA20/50 but no clean break of the session high.
Support: 1.1534, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1573, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1573 session high opens path to 1.1600
Loss of 1.1534 swing low exposes the 1.1500 two-month low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed EUR to 1.15728 on the in-line US CPI print before fading back into the 1.1535–1.1573 band; the spike high was rejected and price has since coiled near 1.1557. RSI(14) mid-range at ~58, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.1547, 1.15341, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15728, 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1575 opens the 1.1600 zone
Failure to hold 1.1534 range low exposes 1.1500 two-month low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially reset this read
16:17 UTC
Sideways after NY spike faded · RSI 52 · price 1.15555
Consolidation below session high.
NY session spiked to 1.15728 on the in-line US CPI print then faded, with a sweep of the 1.15341 session low quickly recovered. Price now consolidating in a 1.15485–1.15592 band, RSI(14) flat around 52 — no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 1.15485, 1.15341
Resistance: 1.15592, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15592 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Loss of 1.15485 exposes the 1.15341 session low
ECB decision and US PPI tomorrow are the next material catalysts
16:17 UTC
Ranging after spike fade · RSI 52 · price 1.15555
Consolidation below session high.
NY session spiked to a session high at 1.15728 then faded back, leaving a false break; price now consolidating around 1.1555 with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Buyers stepped in twice at the 1.15341 swing low earlier in the window, keeping the lower band intact.
Support: 1.15485, 1.15341, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15633, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15633 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Loss of 1.15485 exposes the 1.15341 swing low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Range after NY rally, momentum cooling · RSI 49 · price 1.15511
Consolidating below session high, mid-range.
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.15728 after the in-line US CPI print, then was rejected and faded back to 1.1551. The last bar swept the 1.15341 low and recovered, leaving price mid-range between 1.15341 and the session high.
Support: 1.15341, 1.15397, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15728 reopens the rally; loss of 1.15341 confirms a lower-low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Range, choppy after NY spike · RSI 48 · price 1.15511
Consolidating in 1.1505–1.1555 band, capped below session high.
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.15728 on USD flows before fading back into the 1.1505–1.1555 consolidation band. The last bar swept the 1.15341 low and recovered to 1.15511, leaving price mid-range with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.15341, 1.15467
Resistance: 1.15592, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15592 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Loss of 1.15341 confirms a lower-low and breaks the band
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
15:47 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY spike · RSI 45 · price 1.15517
Spike to session high faded, lower highs.
NY session spiked to 1.15728 after the soft US core CPI MoM, then faded back to 1.1552 with sellers capping at the 1.15575 prior high. Price now sits mid-range above the 1.15467 session low, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.15467, 1.1550, 1.15359
Resistance: 1.15575, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15575 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Failure to hold 1.15467 exposes 1.15500 and the 1.15359 swing low
EUR spiked to 1.15705 on the in-line US CPI print (soft core MoM gave the dollar a mild knock), but the move was rejected at 1.15728 and has since faded back to consolidate around 1.1552 in the NY session. Price now sits mid-range of the CPI leg, holding above the 1.15467 session low.
Support: 1.15497, 1.15467, 1.15359
Resistance: 1.15705, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15643 reopens the 1.15705 session high
Failure to hold 1.15467 confirms a lower low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant directional risk beyond this window
Spiked to session high then reverted, now consolidating.
US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked EUR/USD to a session high of 1.15728 (core MoM miss softened the dollar) before the move faded back under 1.1560. Now consolidating around 1.1550 with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.15497, 1.15467, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.15633, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.15633 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Loss of 1.15467 confirms a lower-low on the session
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session spiked to 1.15728 after US CPI core MoM came soft at 0.2%, then faded back to 1.1554 as the move was sold. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and price is consolidating between 1.1547 and 1.1564, holding above EMA50.
Support: 1.15467, 1.15352, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15643, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.15643 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Loss of 1.15467 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.1535
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
15:17 UTC
Pulling back after CPI spike · RSI 44 · price 1.15494
Faded off session high, lower highs forming.
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.15728 on the in-line US CPI print then faded the move, retracing more than half the rally back to 1.15494 below EMA20. Lower highs at 1.15633 cap the pullback; price now sits mid-band with momentum cooling.
Support: 1.15467, 1.15352
Resistance: 1.15633, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15467 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.15352
Reclaim of 1.15633 reopens the 1.15728 session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde could materially shift this read
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.15728 on the US CPI print (core MoM soft at 0.2%), then faded straight back below 1.1556 and is now drifting near 1.1550. Price holds inside a 1.15467–1.15728 band with RSI(14) back near neutral after cooling from the spike.
Support: 1.15467, 1.15358
Resistance: 1.15728
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15467 exposes the 1.15358 swing low
Reclaim and close above 1.15728 reopens the upside
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
NY rally fading, pulling back · RSI 49 · price 1.15513
Spike to session high then retrace into mid-range.
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.15728 after in-line US CPI, then sellers rejected the level and price retraced to 1.15513, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral near 49. Currently holding above the 1.15497 session low; the 1.15575 prior pivot now caps from above.
Support: 1.15497, 1.1547, 1.15352
Resistance: 1.15575, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15575 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Failure to hold 1.15470 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the NY rally
ECB decision tomorrow 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Spike faded, back mid-range · RSI 46 · price 1.15513
Rejection at session high, retracing.
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.15728 after in-line US CPI, then faded back to 1.15513 — clean rejection off the high. Price now mid-range, holding above the 1.15500 psych level with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1550, 1.15352
Resistance: 1.15728, 1.15643
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15500 exposes the 1.15352 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15643 spike high puts the 1.15728 session high back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
14:47 UTC
Choppy, post-CPI pop fading · RSI 54 · price 1.15591
Spike to session high then pullback into consolidation.
In-line US CPI spiked EUR/USD to the session high at 1.15728 during NY hours before sellers faded it back below 1.1560. Price now consolidating between the 1.15548 swing low and the high, RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s.
Support: 1.15548, 1.15358, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15728, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15728 opens the path toward the 1.1600 round number
Failure to hold the 1.15548 swing low exposes 1.15358 then the 1.15284 day low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and PPI could materially shift this read
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
NY session drove a breakout above the 1.1550 band to a session high of 1.15728 after an in-line US CPI print, then rejection there pulled price back to 1.15591. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the post-spike pullback develops, with buyers having stepped in twice off 1.15359 earlier in the session.
Support: 1.1550, 1.15359
Resistance: 1.15728, 1.15633
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15633 keeps the path open back to the 1.15728 session high
Loss of 1.15500 round level shifts the read back toward the 1.15359 swing low
Pullback into prior support-turned-resistance after session-high spike.
NY session pushed to a session high at 1.15728 before fading back into the 1.1555-1.1575 prior support-turned-resistance zone, with RSI(14) cooling to neutral after the spike. Price sits right at that zone after in-line US CPI kept the dollar steady.
Support: 1.1550, 1.1544, 1.15352
Resistance: 1.15575, 1.15705, 1.15728
What it said to watch
Sustained reclaim above 1.15575 needed to negate the rejection
Loss of 1.15500 exposes 1.15440 then the 1.15352 NY low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser will override this intraday read
14:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 56 · price 1.15571
Higher highs into NY, rejected at session high.
NY session drove EUR from the 1.15359 swing low up to a session high of 1.15728 before sharp rejection back under 1.1560. Price now consolidating in the 1.1556–1.1563 zone above EMA20/50, RSI(14) cooling from the spike.
Support: 1.1547, 1.15359
Resistance: 1.15728, 1.1560
What it said to watch
Sustained reclaim of 1.1560 psych and 1.15728 session high needed to extend the up-leg
Loss of 1.15470 recent low reopens the 1.15359 swing low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus Lagarde 12:45 UTC will override this intraday read
Higher highs off intraday low, pulling back from session high.
NY session afternoon pushed to a session high of 1.1573 before fading to 1.1559, with RSI(14) cooling from the leg high. Price reclaimed the 1.1556 region after basing near 1.1535 through the London-NY transition; the 1.1575 prior support-turned-resistance still caps.
Support: 1.15485, 1.15352, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15728, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.1575 negates the resistance cap and opens 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1548 reopens the 1.1535 swing low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
NY session rallied off the 1.15359 low to print a session high of 1.15728 before sellers rejected the spike, leaving price back at 1.15591. The advance came as in-line US CPI kept the dollar steady rather than bid; price holds above the 1.15545 swing, RSI(14) cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.15545, 1.15471, 1.15359
Resistance: 1.15643, 1.15728
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15643 reopens the 1.15728 session high
Failure to hold 1.15545 negates the NY breakout toward 1.15471
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR ran from the 1.15358 session low to a high at 1.15728 in NY hours, breaking the prior 1.1556 ceiling, then rejected straight back to 1.15608 with RSI cooling. The push followed in-line US CPI that left the dollar steady; the spike high is unconfirmed until price reclaims 1.15643.
Support: 1.1550, 1.1547, 1.15358
Resistance: 1.15728, 1.15643
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.15500 round number negates the breakout
Failure to reclaim 1.15643 leaves the 1.15728 high as a false push
ECB decision tomorrow 12:15 UTC plus US PPI 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
NY session rallied off the 1.15360 session low to spike 1.15728, then saw a sharp rejection back to 1.15608, stalling under the 1.15575 prior support-turned-resistance zone. RSI cooling from the push; intraday structure remains a recovery but the upper wick shows supply capping the move.
Support: 1.1549, 1.1536, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15728, 1.15575
What it said to watch
Sustained reclaim above 1.15728 opens the 1.1600 area
Loss of 1.15360 reopens the 1.15284 prior low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser will override this read
13:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 1.15692
Breakout from intraday range, higher highs.
NY session pushed EUR off the 1.15352 swing low in a sharp leg up, printing a session high at 1.15706 as a softer US core CPI MoM eased the USD bid. Price now presses the 1.1575 cap with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.15455, 1.15352
Resistance: 1.15706, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.1575 cap opens 1.1600
Rejection at 1.1575 and loss of 1.15455 reopens 1.15352
ECB decision Thu 12:00 GMT is the dominant near-term risk
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, NY breakout in play · RSI 68 · price 1.15692
Higher highs after range break.
NY session drove EURUSD off the 1.15352 swing low up to a fresh session high at 1.15705, clearing the 1.1550-1.1556 consolidation as the soft US core CPI MoM eased the dollar. RSI(14) ~68 and price now presses the 1.1575 support-turned-resistance cap.
Support: 1.15545, 1.15359, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15705, 1.1575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1575 cap opens the path to 1.1600
Loss of 1.15545 reopens the 1.15359 swing low
ECB decision Thu 12:00 GMT could materially shift this read
NY session pushed a spike to 1.15643 after the in-line US CPI print, but it was rejected straight back to 1.15482 — a false break of the 1.15575 cap. Price has since recovered to 1.15597, pressing the 1.15600 round number with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1547, 1.15359
Resistance: 1.1560, 1.15643, 1.15575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15643 invalidates the rejection and opens room higher
Failure to hold 1.15470 reopens the 1.15359 swing low
ECB decision Thu 12:00 GMT could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Recovering off intraday lows · RSI 61 · price 1.15597
Higher lows, capped below session high.
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.15643 then sharply reversed to 1.15478, leaving a false-break wick after the in-line US CPI print. Price has since recovered to 1.15597 on higher lows but stays capped below the 1.1575 zone.
Support: 1.15478, 1.15352, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15643, 1.1575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1575 opens a retest of 1.15643 session high
US CPI (in line, soft core MoM) spiked EURUSD into the session high at 1.15643 before it was rejected and faded back to 1.15478. Price has since recovered to 1.15553, holding above the 1.15471 pullback low but still capped well below the 1.1575 resistance.
Support: 1.15471, 1.15355, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15643, 1.15575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15643 reopens the path to the 1.1575 cap
Loss of 1.15471 reasserts the move toward 1.15355 swing low
ECB decision Thu 12:00 GMT is the dominant risk to this read
13:16 UTC
Range, leaning higher into NY · RSI 56 · price 1.15553
Ranging 1.1535–1.1564, recent sweep of session high.
NY session spiked to 1.15643 to sweep the session high then rejected straight back to 1.15482; price has since recovered to 1.15553 but stays capped below the 1.1575 zone. Mostly ranging 1.1535–1.1564, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.1547, 1.15359, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15643, 1.1575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1575 cap would extend the range higher toward 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.15359 reopens the 1.15284 window low
ECB decision Thu 12:00 GMT + presser could materially shift this read
US CPI landed at 12:30 GMT and EUR/USD spiked to 1.15643 before rejecting straight back to 1.1548, leaving a clean sweep of session highs. Price is ranging 1.1535–1.1564 with RSI(14) neutral near 51 and back below EMA20.
Support: 1.15355, 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15575, 1.15643
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15575 prior support resistance would negate the rejection and reopen 1.15643
Loss of 1.15355 swing low confirms a lower low toward the 1.15284 session low
Continued CPI follow-through over the next hours could shift this range read
US CPI landed on the 12:30 UTC bar, spiking EUR/USD to 1.15643 before sellers slammed it straight back to 1.1548 — a false break of the session high. Price is back inside the 1.1535-1.1564 band that has held all session, RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.15352, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15643, 1.1575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15643 reopens the 1.1575 prior support zone
Failure to hold 1.15352 swing low exposes the 1.1500 psych level
ECB decision + Lagarde Thursday is the next major mover
12:47 UTC
Recovery off lows, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 1.15598
Breakout above session high after CPI.
US CPI landed around 12:30 and EUR first dipped to the 1.1535 swing low before a sharp V-recovery pushed price back through the 1.1559 session high. RSI(14) near 63 and price now sits above both EMAs after the breakout; the prior support zone at 1.1575 is the next overhead area to watch.
Support: 1.15352, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1559 negates the breakout and reverts to the 1.1505–1.1555 band
Sustained move above 1.1575 prior support opens the path toward 1.1600
First reaction to CPI can reverse as the print is digested
12:47 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 1.15598
Sweep of session low then sharp reclaim into consolidation band.
EURUSD swept the session low at 1.15355 then snapped back to 1.15598 on the US CPI reaction, reclaiming the prior consolidation band on the heaviest volume of the window. RSI(14) near 62, ATR(14) ~7 pips; the 1.1575 prior-support zone caps overhead.
Support: 1.15355, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15594, 1.1575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1575 opens the path toward 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.15355 reopens the 1.15284 window low
Follow-through from today's CPI and Thu ECB could materially shift this read
12:32 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 51 · price 1.15512
Consolidation between 1.1535 and 1.1558.
EURUSD chopped inside 1.1535-1.1558 through the NY morning, then spiked to 1.15575 on the US CPI release before settling at 1.15512. RSI(14) is neutral near 51, no momentum extreme; the range top is being tested as the data hits.
Support: 1.15352, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15575, 1.15594
What it said to watch
US CPI just released at 12:30 GMT — expect whipsaw on the print
Sustained M15 close above 1.15575 negates the range and opens 1.1560+
Break below 1.15352 reopens the 1.15284 swing low
12:32 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.15512
Ranging 1.1535-1.1559, CPI spike at top.
US CPI (12:30 GMT) printed into the last bar: EUR/USD spiked to 1.15574 then faded back to 1.15512, leaving the move unconfirmed. Price remains boxed inside the 1.1535-1.1559 band that has held through the NY session.
Support: 1.15352, 1.15284, 1.1505
Resistance: 1.15574, 1.15594, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15574 opens the 1.1559/1.1600 cap
Loss of 1.15352 reopens the 1.15284 session low
CPI volatility still unwinding — first post-print bar may extend the range break either way
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.1559 session high and broke the prior consolidation, sliding into 1.1535 ahead of US CPI; RSI(14) near 37, not yet oversold. Price is hugging the session low after a sharp NY-hours drop, with a shallow bounce back to 1.1540.
Support: 1.15352, 1.15284, 1.1505
Resistance: 1.15471, 1.15594, 1.1555
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT is imminent — likely to dominate the next bars
Loss of 1.15352 opens 1.15284 then the 1.1505 range base
Reclaim of 1.15471 negates the immediate downside push
Broke mid-1550s consolidation, probing lows into CPI.
EUR/USD slipped from the 1.1559 swing high to 1.1535 in the last two hours, breaking the mid-1550s consolidation as traders de-risked into the US CPI print. RSI(14) near 40, price holding just above the 1.1535 session low; market is coiling ahead of the data.
Support: 1.15352, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15594
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~14m) — imminent driver, will likely override this structure
EURUSD dropped out of the 1.1550-1.1559 consolidation in the last hour and is grinding into the session low at 1.15352 ahead of US CPI (12:30 GMT). RSI(14) cooling near 36, no oversold extreme yet; price sits just above the 1.15327 swing low.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1552, 1.15594
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~30min) — the dominant near-term driver, likely to break this range
Break below 1.15327 opens 1.15284
Reclaim of 1.15520 negates the downside break
12:01 UTC
Rolling over, momentum down · RSI 36 · price 1.15362
Range broken to downside.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1559 session high and dropped sharply through the 1.1550 base into 1.1535 as traders de-risked ahead of US CPI (12:30 GMT), RSI(14) sliding to the mid-30s. Price now sits on the 1.15352 session low with the prior NY range broken to the downside.
Support: 1.15352, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15557, 1.15594
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read within the next bars
EURUSD rejected the session high at 1.15594 and dumped through the 1.1550 broken level in the last three bars, printing a session low at 1.15350 with RSI(14) near 37. Price had held the 1.1505–1.1555 band all day; this is the lower edge breaking into the US CPI print.
Support: 1.1535, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1550, 1.15594
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~45m) is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read
Reclaim of the 1.15500 broken level neutralises the downside push
Loss of 1.15284 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1505 range base
11:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 38 · price 1.15368
Breakdown from 1.1550 consolidation.
EUR/USD broke below the 1.1550 consolidation in the last hour, sliding to 1.1537 and probing the 1.1535 area into US CPI. RSI(14) near 37 with price under both EMAs; the 1.1528 swing low is the next reference below.
Support: 1.15347, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15517
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 GMT (~45m) is the dominant near-term driver — could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.15284 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15517 negates the breakdown
11:32 UTC
Range, slipping lower late · RSI 40 · price 1.15431
Rejected session high, fresh leg down inside band.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1559 session high and slid through the 1.1530s into a fresh leg lower, now sitting at the 61.8% retrace of the intraday up-leg around 1.1543. RSI(14) cooling to the high-30s as price holds inside the broader 1.1505–1.1555 band ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.15359, 1.15284, 1.1505
Resistance: 1.15594, 1.1555
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~1h) is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range
Loss of 1.1536 session low exposes 1.1528 then the 1.1505 range base
Reclaim of 1.1555 puts the 1.1559 session high back in play
EUR/USD slipped from the 1.15594 session high back to 1.15431, with a sharp 15-min drop into 1.15359 ahead of US CPI. Price has held the 1.1528–1.1559 band all session and now sits in its lower third, RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 1.15359, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15557, 1.15594
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range
Loss of 1.15359 then 1.15284 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15557 reasserts the range mid
11:17 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 1.15478
Consolidation inside 1.1535–1.1555 band.
EURUSD is grinding inside a tight 1.1535–1.1555 band, the last M15 bar spiked down to 1.15359 before recovering to close 1.15478. ATR sits near 5 pips — compression typical of a market sitting on its hands into US CPI just over an hour away.
Support: 1.15359, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15555, 1.15594
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC (~1h) is the dominant near-term driver and could break this band
M15 close above 1.15555 opens the 1.15594 session high
EURUSD chopping inside the 1.1535-1.1559 band, with a rejection off the 1.15594 session high and a sharp one-bar drop to 1.15359 before stabilising near 1.1548. Price sits below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) is mid-range — no clean directional structure ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.15359, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15594, 1.1555
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h out) is the dominant near-term driver
M15 close above 1.1555 opens the 1.1600 area
Loss of 1.15359 then 1.15284 confirms a lower low within the range
11:01 UTC
Range, drifting mid-band · RSI 48 · price 1.15513
Consolidation after recovery off session low.
EURUSD is ranging 1.1550–1.1559 into the NY session after recovering from the 1.15284 session low during London. Price slipped from the early high near 1.1572 then based, RSI(14) flat near 47 with no momentum extreme. US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the immediate driver, with the pair pinned in its 1.1505–1.1555 band.
Support: 1.1550, 1.1544, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15594, 1.15555
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could break the consolidation in either direction
EURUSD coiled in the 1.1505-1.1555 band through the session, recovering off the 1.15284 session low and stalling just under the 1.15594 session high. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR has compressed to ~13 pips as traders sit on hands into US CPI.
Support: 1.15284, 1.1505
Resistance: 1.15594, 1.1555
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 GMT (~1.5h) is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range
M15 close above 1.1555 range cap opens 1.1600
Loss of 1.1505 range base exposes 1.1445
10:47 UTC
Ranging, no directional bias · RSI 53 · price 1.15529
Consolidation band, rising lows off session low.
EURUSD is grinding sideways through the London session inside the 1.1530–1.1559 band, RSI(14) neutral near 53. Price recovered off the 1.15284 session low and has built a series of higher lows, but the 1.1555/1.15594 cap is still containing the upside.
Support: 1.1544, 1.15284, 1.1505
Resistance: 1.15594, 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range
M15 close above 1.15594 opens a retest of 1.15778
Loss of 1.1544 reopens the 1.15284 session low and band base at 1.1505
Consolidation band, higher lows into session high.
EURUSD ranging 1.1528–1.1559 into US CPI, with price recovering off the session low and building higher lows through the London session. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.1548; the 1.1559 cap still holds and price sits mid-band at 1.1553.
Support: 1.15489, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15594, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range
Higher lows since the 1.1528 base, capped at 1.1559.
EURUSD ground higher through the London session off the 1.1528 swing low, stalling into 1.1559 with RSI(14) mid-range. Price now coils just below the session high in a tight 1.1548-1.1559 band, with US CPI pending the next catalyst.
Support: 1.1548, 1.1533, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1578
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1559 session high opens the path to 1.1578
Loss of 1.1548 rising support reopens 1.1528 swing low
EURUSD ground higher through the London session off the 1.1528 day low, now probing the 1.1559 session high with RSI(14) around 60. Price holds above EMA20/50 on a chain of higher lows, but is pinned ahead of US May CPI (12:30 GMT) which sits roughly 2h out.
Support: 1.1549, 1.15348, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15595, 1.15765
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1560 opens the path to 1.1577
Failure to hold 1.1549 breaks the higher-low chain
Higher lows off NY session low, grinding into resistance.
EUR/USD has recovered off the 1.15284 session low set during NY hours and ground back to 1.15563 through the Asian range and into London, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range. The 1.1555-1.1559 band is the immediate cap, with 1.1577 the prior range high above.
Support: 1.15477, 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15594
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the near-term USD driver and could reset this read
Close above 1.15594 opens the path to the 1.1577 range high
Loss of 1.15477 negates the higher-low sequence
10:16 UTC
Recovering off lows, grinding up · RSI 61 · price 1.15563
Range with higher lows since the 1.1528 base.
EUR/USD carved a base at 1.1528 in the prior NY session and has ground higher through Asia and into London, printing higher lows toward the 1.1559 session high. Price is pinned around 1.1545-1.1560 ahead of US CPI at 12:30 GMT — the immediate two-way catalyst.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15594, 1.1578
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is the near-term USD driver — likely to break this range
M15 close above 1.1580 reopens the prior high; failure to hold 1.1528 confirms a lower low
Higher lows since the 1.1528 base, retracing prior drop.
EURUSD has clawed back to 1.1558 after basing at 1.1528 mid-window, with a chain of higher lows lifting price into the 61.8% retrace of the earlier 1.1578-1.1528 decline. Price is testing the session high at 1.1559; ATR is compressed near 7 pips as the pair coils ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.15454, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15594, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) is the immediate USD driver and can break this range
Sustained M15 close above 1.1559 opens the path back toward 1.1578
Loss of 1.15454 breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 1.1528 base
Higher lows off session low, climbing into session high.
EURUSD bottomed at 1.15284 mid-window and has ground out higher lows through London hours, now pressing the session high at 1.15594 with RSI(14) near 61. Move sits inside the broader 1.1500-1.1600 reaction band ahead of US CPI; pair is pinned near 1.1555 awaiting the catalyst.
Support: 1.15489, 1.15443, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15594, 1.15683, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) is the immediate driver and can override this structure
Close above 1.15594 session high opens path toward 1.15683
Loss of 1.15489 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
09:47 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 60 · price 1.15582
Higher lows building from 1.1528.
EURUSD has clawed back to 1.1558 after twice basing near 1.1528-1.1533, retracing roughly 0.618 of the earlier slide from 1.15778. Higher lows are intact off the session low and price holds above EMA20/50, with the 1.1564 swing high the immediate cap. US CPI at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk into this band.
Support: 1.1548, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1564, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT can override this intraday structure
Close above 1.1564 swing high opens the path to 1.15778
Loss of 1.1548 breaks the higher-low chain back toward 1.1528
Higher lows from 1.15284 base, testing recovery high.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.15284 session low and is grinding back to retest the 1.15583 recovery high, with a chain of higher lows holding through the Asia-London transition. Price now sits at the 61.8% retrace of the earlier 1.15778-1.15284 drop, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with room either way.
Support: 1.1548, 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15583, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15583 opens the path back toward the 1.15778 prior high
Loss of 1.15480 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~3h) can materially shift this read
London morning grinding higher off the 1.1528 NY-session low, price reclaiming 1.1550 with RSI(14) mid-range. Consolidating 1.1545-1.1558, no setup in play ahead of US CPI in ~3h.
Support: 1.15489, 1.15347, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15583, 1.1560, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.15583 opens the path toward the 1.1600 psych level
Failure to hold 1.15489 reopens the 1.1535 recent low
EURUSD is pinned in a 1.1528-1.1558 band, grinding back to the top after the London-session dip held above 1.1528. Higher lows since the 1.15284 low keep price firm into the US CPI release, but momentum is shallow with RSI(14) only mid-range and ATR compressed near 5 pips.
Support: 1.1550, 1.1540, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15583, 1.1560, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the main driver and could break this range either way
Close above 1.15583 session high opens 1.1560 then 1.1578
Loss of 1.1550 and the rising support reverts focus to 1.1540 then the 1.15284 swing low
EURUSD recovered off the session low at 1.1528 to retrace roughly 50% of the prior down-move, now ranging 1.1544-1.1558. RSI(14) neutral near 56 and price sits right on the EMA20, with the pair coiling ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1544, 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1578
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) can materially shift this read
Close above 1.1558 session high opens the path to 1.1578 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1544 reopens the 1.1528 swing low
09:16 UTC
Sideways, no directional bias · RSI 53 · price 1.15517
Range-bound after recovery off session low.
EURUSD is consolidating in the 1.1546-1.1558 band after recovering from the 1.15284 dip during the European session, RSI(14) flat near 53. Price is pinned and two-way ahead of US CPI, with no clean intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.15463, 1.15327
Resistance: 1.15583, 1.1560
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) likely to break this consolidation band
Close above 1.15583 opens the path back toward 1.1560
Loss of 1.15463 reopens 1.15327 swing low
09:02 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.1553
Consolidation between 1.1530 and 1.1558.
EUR/USD is grinding in a 1.1530–1.1558 range during the London session, having recovered off the 1.1528 window low and now sitting near the 50% retrace of the prior 1.1578–1.1528 leg. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI near 56, but the band top at 1.1558 still caps. Trade is compressed into US May CPI at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.1548, 1.1530, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1578
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1558 opens the path back to 1.1578
Failure to hold 1.1548 reopens the 1.1530 swing low
US CPI in ~3.5h (12:30 GMT) is the catalyst that resolves this range
09:01 UTC
Range, mid-range drift · RSI 53 · price 1.1553
Consolidation after recovery off 1.1528 low.
EURUSD pinned mid-range near 1.1553 after the London-session drop to 1.1528 was bought back, leaving price at the 50% retrace of the move down from 1.1578. RSI(14) neutral around 53; pair is consolidating in a 1.1545–1.1558 band into the US CPI release.
Support: 1.1545, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1578
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h) is the nearest catalyst and can break the 1.1545–1.1558 range
M15 close above 1.1558 session high opens the path back toward 1.1578
Loss of 1.1545 pivot re-exposes the 1.1528 session low
08:47 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 1.15494
Consolidation after morning selloff.
London session has EUR/USD pinned in a 1.1546–1.1558 range after the morning leg down from 1.1578 to the 1.15284 swing low. RSI(14) is neutral near 47 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips as the market coils into the US CPI print.
Support: 1.1546, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15583, 1.1565
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~4h) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.15583 reopens the path toward 1.1565
Loss of 1.1546 puts the 1.15284 session low back in play
08:46 UTC
Range, no directional bias · RSI 51 · price 1.15494
Consolidation after recovery off session low.
EURUSD ranging 1.1533-1.1556 through the London session after a flush to 1.1528 earlier; RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR compressed to ~10 pips. Price has recovered to mid-range and stalled just under the 1.1556 pivot, with the market pinned into the US CPI release at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1556, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the catalyst that breaks this range
M15 close above the 1.1556 pivot opens the path to 1.1578
Failure to hold 1.1533 reopens the 1.1528 session low
08:32 UTC
Range, mild recovery off NY low · RSI 53 · price 1.15513
Ranging 1.1528–1.1558 after NY sell-off.
Price unwound the June 9 push to 1.1578 with a NY drop to 1.15284, then carved a range and ground back to mid-1.1550s into early London. Holding above the 1.15463 swing low with RSI(14) neutral near 53; session high at 1.15583 still capping.
Support: 1.15463, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15583, 1.1564
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC (~4h) is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
M15 close above 1.15583 opens the path back toward 1.1564
Loss of 1.15463 reopens the 1.15284 NY low
08:32 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 54 · price 1.15513
Rangebound between 1.1528 and 1.1578.
EURUSD has ranged 1.1528–1.1578 over the last 24h after the London selloff bottomed at 1.1528; price recovered through NY and now hovers near 1.1551 below the 1.1558 session high. RSI(14) neutral around 53, ATR ~28 pips. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the immediate catalyst into the London session.
Support: 1.15455, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15583, 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1558 reopens the 1.1578 day high
Loss of 1.1545 exposes the 1.1528 range low
US CPI in ~6h could break the range either direction
08:17 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 48 · price 1.15497
Ranging after recovery off 1.1528 low.
London morning has EURUSD chopping between 1.1544 and the 1.1558 session high after recovering from the 1.1528 swing low during the prior session. Price sits back at the EMA20 with RSI(14) near neutral; the 1.1555 cap flagged in the macro read is still holding.
Support: 1.1544, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15583, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the dominant near-term driver
Close above 1.15583 / 1.1555 cap opens the path to 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.15440 reopens the 1.15284 window low
08:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 49 · price 1.15497
Balanced range after intraday pullback.
EURUSD is hemmed into a 1.1540–1.1558 range through the London morning after fading from the 1.1578 prior high and basing at the 1.1528 swing low overnight, in line with the choppy, headline-driven USD story. RSI(14) sits near 49 with price pinned around EMA50, no setup in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1540, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range either way
Close above the 1.1558 session high opens the path back to the 1.1578 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.1540 session low exposes the 1.1528 swing low
08:02 UTC
Recovering off lows, ranging into CPI · RSI 51 · price 1.15523
Higher lows since the London dip, capped near 1.1558.
EURUSD clawed back from the 1.1528 London-session low to print higher lows, but the early-London push stalled at 1.1558 and price has eased to 1.1552. Choppy, range-bound action consistent with the headline-driven USD tone ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1546, 1.1535, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1566, 1.1578
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1558 opens the path toward 1.1566/1.1578
Failure to hold 1.1546 exposes 1.1535 and the 1.1528 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h) is the dominant near-term driver
Choppy range after the early swing high at 1.1578 gave way to 1.1528, then price clawed back to mid-range near 1.1552. EUR stays boxed in the 1.1500–1.1555 zone as a USD story into today's US CPI, RSI(14) neutral around 54.
Support: 1.1540, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15583, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.1500–1.1555 box
M15 close above 1.1558 recent high reopens 1.1578 session high
London morning has EURUSD grinding back up to a session high of 1.15583 before easing to 1.15532, RSI(14) neutral near 56 and ATR thin at ~5 pips. Price remains pinned under the 1.1555 pivot in a tight consolidation, holding rising support off the 1.15443 low ahead of US May CPI.
Support: 1.15443, 1.15353, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15583, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US May CPI in ~6h is the immediate driver and can break this range
Close above 1.15583 opens the path back to the 1.15778 prior high
Loss of 1.15443 rising support exposes 1.15353 then the 1.15284 window low
07:46 UTC
Ranging, modest recovery · RSI 54 · price 1.15532
Consolidation inside 1.1530-1.1558.
London session has EURUSD pinned in a 1.1530-1.1558 range, consistent with the pre-CPI consolidation in the digest. Earlier flush to the 1.15284 swing low was bought back, and price has crept up to retest the 1.1558 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 54, ATR a thin ~4.6 pips.
Support: 1.1530, 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1578
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1558 opens the path back toward 1.1578
Loss of 1.1530 reopens the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~5h) is the immediate driver and could break this range
EUR faded from 1.1578 into the NY session yesterday, bottoming at 1.1528 before grinding back up into the 1.1555 cap during the Asia–London handover. Price now sits mid-range at 1.1554, a tick below the 1.1558 session high, RSI(14) near 58 — tight consolidation ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1543, 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15583, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the dominant near-term driver for this range
M15 close above 1.1558 opens the path back toward 1.1578
Loss of 1.1543 reopens the 1.1528 swing low
07:32 UTC
Recovering within range · RSI 57 · price 1.15541
Consolidation, bounce off intraday floor.
EUR recovered off the 1.1530 intraday floor back toward the 1.1558 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 57. Pair stays pinned in its 1.1528-1.1558 consolidation through the London morning, awaiting US CPI.
Support: 1.1548, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15583, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI in ~5h could break the consolidation either way
M15 close above 1.1558 opens the path toward 1.1578
Failure to hold 1.1530 reopens the 1.1528 session low
London session has lifted EURUSD off the 1.15284 session low back to retest the 1.15579 session high, RSI(14) near 61 with price above both EMAs. Move is part of the tight 1.1500-1.1555 consolidation flagged in the macro read, with US CPI in roughly 6h the next catalyst.
Support: 1.15484, 1.15443, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15579, 1.1565, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15579 opens the path to 1.15650/1.15778
Failure to hold 1.15484 risks a rotation back toward the 1.15284 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation either way
07:16 UTC
Range, edging higher into London · RSI 61 · price 1.15563
Consolidation between 1.1530 and 1.1578.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1543 session low through early London and is now pressing the 1.1558 intraday high, RSI(14) mid-range near 60. Pair stays pinned in its 1.1530–1.1578 consolidation, holding above EMA20/50, with US May CPI in roughly 5h the next catalyst.
Support: 1.1543, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1558 opens the path back to the 1.1578 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1543 reopens the 1.1528 swing low
US May CPI in ~5h could break the 1.1530–1.1578 range
Consolidation under 1.1555 pivot after NY selloff.
After June 9 London/NY pushed to 1.15778 then sold off to the 1.15284 swing low, price has consolidated overnight and recovered into London toward the 1.1555 pivot, where it was rejected back to 1.15472. RSI(14) flat near 49, ATR thin at ~5 pips — no setup in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.15579
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1555 pivot and 1.15579 session high opens room higher
Loss of 1.1535 range low exposes the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
EURUSD recovered from the 1.15284 session low back toward the 1.1555 pivot during early London, then faded to 1.15472, holding above the 1.15346 swing low. RSI(14) flat near 48, ATR muted at ~5 pips — no setup in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.15346, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15564, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the dominant driver for the next session
M15 close above 1.15564 reopens the path to 1.15778
Loss of 1.15346 puts the 1.15284 session low back in play
EUR ground back up off the 1.15284 swing low through the 1.1555 pivot, roughly a 50% retrace of the prior down leg, with the 1.15580 session high now capping. ATR sits near 4 pips — typical pre-London quiet — and RSI is mid-range. US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.1544, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1566
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.15580 session high opens the path to 1.15660
Failure to hold 1.15440 reopens the 1.15284 swing low
06:46 UTC
Recovery, higher lows building · RSI 57 · price 1.15541
Micro-uptrend off range low, grinding into prior highs.
EURUSD has clawed back from the 1.15284 range low to ~1.1555, building a chain of higher lows through the Asia-into-London hours as the digest's 1.1555 pivot comes back into play. Price is consolidating just under the 1.15580 session high with RSI(14) mid-range; the 1.15600 psych cap remains untested.
Support: 1.1544, 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1560
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15580 opens the path to the 1.15600 psych cap
Loss of 1.15440 swing low breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
US CPI in ~6h (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
EURUSD recovered from the 1.15284 session low into the London session, printing higher lows back to 1.15551 just under the 1.15579 session high. RSI(14) near 61, no extreme; price holds above EMA20/50 as the bloc claws back toward the 1.1555 pivot flagged in the macro read.
Support: 1.15446, 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15579, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15579 opens the path back to the 1.15778 prior high
Loss of 1.15446 swing low reopens the 1.15327 range low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
EURUSD recovered off the 1.15284 session low through the Asia-into-London window, reclaiming the 1.1555 pivot with RSI(14) near 60 as easing Mideast risk trimmed the USD bid. Higher lows have built off the base around 1.15330; price is now pressing the 1.15579 recent high. US CPI in ~6h is the dominant risk into the next session.
Support: 1.15443, 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15579, 1.15765
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15579 opens the path toward the 1.15765 session high
Failure to hold 1.15330 reopens the 1.15284 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since 1.15284, grinding back to 1.1555 pivot.
Early London grinding back to the 1.1555 pivot after the Asia-session flush to 1.15284, building a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 61, price holding above EMA20/50 but capped just under the 1.15580 session high; US CPI in ~6h is the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.1544, 1.15347, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15580 opens the path to 1.15660-1.15778
Failure to hold 1.15440 reopens 1.15347 and the session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since 1.15284, grinding into session high.
EURUSD bounced from the 1.15284 session low through Asia and into the London morning, building higher lows back to ~1.15552 as easing Mideast risk capped USD demand. RSI(14) near 61, price above both EMAs, now pressing the 1.15579 session high. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the next driver into the ECB.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15579, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15579 opens the path back toward the 1.15778 prior high
Loss of 1.15330 higher low breaks the recovery sequence
US CPI in ~6h could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 1.15545
Higher lows off the Asian session low, pressing pivot.
EURUSD swept to a 1.15284 session low during Asian hours then carved a double bottom near the 1.15344 base, lifting back to the 1.1555 pivot flagged as the cap on rallies. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.15440 and price now breaks the prior intraday range top, RSI(14) ~62.
Support: 1.1544, 1.15344, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15778
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 1.1555 pivot opens the path to the 1.15778 session high
Failure to hold 1.15440 reopens the 1.15344 base
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD swept down to 1.15284 during the European afternoon then carved a double bottom near 1.1533, recovering through the Asia session to retest the 1.1555 pivot flagged as the bounce zone. RSI(14) at ~59 with price above both EMAs; price is now pressing the range top into the London open.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15555 opens the path to 1.15778
Failure to hold 1.15330 reopens the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD recovered from the 1.15284 swing low through the Asian session, basing around 1.15355 before pushing back to the 1.1555 pivot during early London. RSI(14) mid-60s, price above both EMAs; the day hinges on US CPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.15355, 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1555 pivot opens the path to 1.15778
Failure to hold the 1.15355 base reopens the 1.15284 swing low
EURUSD swept the 1.1528 low yesterday then carved a rounded recovery, now testing the 1.1555 pivot into early London. Higher lows have stacked off 1.1533; RSI(14) near 61, room before stretched.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15552, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1555 opens the path back to the 1.1578 session high
EURUSD sold off to 1.15284 during NY hours then ground back up through the Asian session, now ranging 1.1533-1.1550 and testing the 1.15505 cap. Price holds above EMA20/50 but momentum is flat with RSI near 56. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the next driver.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15505, 1.15555
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15505 opens the path to 1.15555
Failure to hold 1.15330 reopens 1.15284 session low
US CPI 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
EURUSD swept down to a session low of 1.15284 during the prior session before reclaiming the 1.1540s; price now consolidating 1.1530–1.1553 with RSI mid-range. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the immediate driver into this range.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.1557
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.15528 opens the path to 1.15570
Failure to hold 1.15405 reopens the 1.15284 session low
05:17 UTC
Range after NY drop, flat · RSI 49 · price 1.15455
Consolidation off the 1.15284 sweep low.
EURUSD swept 1.15284 during NY hours then recovered, and has spent the Asia session ranging 1.15330–1.15530 with RSI(14) flat near 49. Price is pinned to EMA20 around 1.1545 with no momentum either way into the London open.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1553, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15330 reopens the 1.15284 sweep low
M15 close above 1.15530 exposes 1.15580 and the 1.15778 prior high
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can break this range
05:16 UTC
Range after recovery off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.15455
Consolidating 1.1540-1.1550 post-rebound.
Quiet Asia-into-early-London consolidation between 1.1540 and 1.1550 after price rebounded from the 1.1528 swing low and the prior slide off the 1.1578 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips, typical pre-London. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1550, 1.15555
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15500 opens the path back to the 1.15555 pivot
Loss of 1.15405 reopens the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range outright
05:01 UTC
Ranging, no directional bias · RSI 53 · price 1.15457
Consolidation after selloff from session high.
EUR/USD sold off from the session high at 1.15778 to a 1.15284 sweep, then settled into a tight range through the Asia session, now coiling near 1.1546 with RSI neutral. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.1533 while the 1.15517 swing high and 1.1555 pivot cap rallies; structure is balanced into the London open.
Support: 1.15333, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15517, 1.1555
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1555 pivot opens the path back toward 1.15778
Break below 1.15284 session low confirms a lower-low
05:01 UTC
Ranging after pullback from highs · RSI 50 · price 1.15457
Consolidation mid-range, choppy.
EURUSD ran to 1.15778 then dumped to a 1.15284 session low before stabilising; price now chops in a 1.15330–1.15517 range, currently mid at 1.15457 with RSI(14) flat near 50. No directional structure in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15517, 1.15555
What it said to watch
US CPI today 12:30 UTC is the next-bar driver for this pair
M15 close above 1.15517 reopens the 1.15555 pivot
Loss of 1.15330 range floor exposes the 1.15284 session low
04:46 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 1.1545
Consolidation inside 1.1528–1.1552.
EURUSD is grinding sideways in thin pre-London hours, coiled between 1.1533 and 1.1552 with ATR(14) compressed to ~5 pips. Price recovered roughly half the 1.1578–1.1528 drop and is now pinned around EMA20 with RSI flat near 53 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1533, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1552, 1.1578
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the catalyst that breaks this range
Close above 1.1552 opens the path back toward 1.1578
Failure to hold 1.1528 confirms a lower-low
04:46 UTC
Rangebound, no momentum · RSI 54 · price 1.1545
Consolidating in 1.1530-1.1552 box after intraday selloff.
EURUSD is grinding sideways in a 1.1530-1.1552 box through the quiet Asia session after yesterday's selloff from 1.1578 found a base at the 1.1528 day low. RSI(14) is flat near 53 and price is pinned to its EMA20 — no setup in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15517, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~8h) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 1.1552 reopens the 1.1578 prior high
Loss of 1.1528 day low confirms a lower low and resumes the downmove
04:32 UTC
Recovering from NY low, grinding higher · RSI 55 · price 1.15474
Range after NY sell-off, rising intraday lows.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session to 1.15284 as the late risk-off flip re-armed the dollar, then recovered into a 1.1533–1.1552 range. Asia is grinding higher and price sits on the 38.2% fib of the NY drop near 1.15474, RSI mid-range with the 1.15517 swing high capping.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15517, 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15517 / 1.15550 pivot opens the path back to 1.15778
Failure to hold 1.15330 reopens the 1.15284 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Recovering off lows, range-bound · RSI 56 · price 1.15474
Consolidation after sweep of 1.1528.
EURUSD swept the 1.15284 low mid-window then recovered into a tight Asia-session box between 1.1533 and the 1.15517 session high, now at 1.15474 just under the 1.1555 pivot. Volume thinned through Asia hours with ATR(14) around 6 pips; structure is balanced ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15517, 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the session's key catalyst and can break this range
A close above the 1.1555 pivot opens the path back to the 1.15778 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1533 reopens the 1.15284 swing low
04:17 UTC
Ranging, micro-bounce off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.15475
Consolidation after NY drop, recovering.
EURUSD sold off through NY hours to a 1.15284 session low, then carved a tight 1.15330–1.15526 range into the Asia session. Buyers have stepped in repeatedly near 1.15330 and price is now grinding back toward the range top with RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.1565
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15526 range top opens the 1.15650 prior high
Loss of 1.15330 swing low re-exposes the 1.15284 session low
US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:17 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 1.15475
Consolidation box after pullback from session high.
EUR/USD is grinding higher through the Asia session, recovering toward the 1.1552 swing high after the NY pullback from 1.15778 down to the 1.15284 spike low. Price is back above both EMAs but volume and ATR are thin pre-London, keeping action boxed between 1.1533 and 1.1552.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15517, 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1555 pivot opens the path back to the 1.1578 ny high
Loss of 1.1533 range floor reopens the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation box ~1.1530–1.1555 after sweep of 1.1528.
EURUSD swept down to 1.15284 during NY hours then recovered into Asia, now mid-range at 1.15492 between the 1.1530 floor and the 1.1555 pivot. RSI(14) neutral near 56 with ATR around 5 pips; no setup in play while the box holds.
Support: 1.1530, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI today 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and can break this range
M15 close above 1.1555 pivot opens the path to 1.1578 session high
Failure to hold 1.1530 floor re-exposes the 1.1528 swing low
Consolidation under 1.1555 pivot after drop to session low.
Thin Asia-session bars: EURUSD is grinding back toward the 1.1555 pivot after the earlier slide from 1.15778 to a session low at 1.15284. Last few candles printed higher lows off 1.1533 with RSI(14) near 60 — price coiling beneath the pivot cap.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1555 pivot opens the path back to the 1.15778 session high
Failure to hold 1.1533 reopens the 1.15284 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and can override this intraday read
03:47 UTC
Ranging, recovered off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.15451
Consolidation above 1.1530 after a sharp selloff.
EUR/USD is ranging roughly 1.1533–1.1553 through the Asian session after a sharp drop to 1.15284 during the prior NY hours. Price has clawed back to the 1.1545 mid-area, holding the 38.2% retrace of that down-leg; RSI(14) neutral near 54 with ATR compressing to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1553
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15530 reopens the path to 1.1555
Failure to hold 1.15330 reasserts the move toward 1.15284
EURUSD slid from the 1.1578 window high to a 1.1528 swing low during NY hours, then ground sideways into the Asia session between 1.1533 and 1.1549. Price is grinding back up toward 1.1549 session resistance with RSI near 53 and ATR compressed to ~8 pips — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15493, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15493 opens the path to the 1.1555 pivot
Loss of 1.15327 reopens the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~9h) is the key catalyst and could break this range
03:32 UTC
Ranging, drifting up off lows · RSI 58 · price 1.15465
Consolidation after NY selloff, higher lows forming.
NY session sold the move from the 1.15778 high down to a 1.15284 low, and price has since gone quiet in the Asia session, ranging 1.1533–1.1547 on thin 5-pip ATR with a mild upward drift. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 1.1533, building shallow higher lows into the 1.1553 pivot. No setup in play ahead of the catalyst.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1553, 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~9h) is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
Close above 1.15530 opens the path back to 1.15660
Failure to hold 1.15330 reopens the 1.15284 session low
Price ground higher through the Asian session off the 1.1535 base, retracing part of the NY selloff that ran from the 1.1578 high to the 1.15284 swing low. Now 1.15465 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 1.1551 swing high is the immediate cap on the bounce.
Support: 1.1535, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1551, 1.1578
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1551 extends the recovery toward 1.1578
Price recovered off the NY-session low at 1.15284 to 1.15475 through the Asian session, with RSI(14) mid-range and EMAs reclaimed. The 1.15284–1.15528 range holds, capped by the 1.1555 pivot flagged ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15528 swing high opens the 1.15778 session high
Failure to hold 1.15330 recent low risks a retest of the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:17 UTC
Range, drifting off NY high · RSI 54 · price 1.15475
Consolidation inside NY range, Asia base building.
EURUSD swept to 1.15284 during NY hours after rejecting the 1.15778 high, then recovered into a tight 1.15330–1.15528 box. Asia session is ranging with price ticking back up to 1.15475, RSI(14) mid-range near 54 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.1558
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15528 reopens the path toward the 1.15580 pivot
Failure to hold 1.15330 puts the 1.15284 swing low back in play
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~9h) is the key catalyst that can break this range
03:02 UTC
Ranging after pullback from session high · RSI 52 · price 1.15427
Consolidation between 1.1533 and 1.1544.
Price drifted off the 1.15778 session high through London-NY, tagging a 1.15284 swing low before recovering, and is now coiled in a tight 1.1533–1.1544 range into the Asia session. RSI(14) sits near 52 and ATR is compressed around 5 pips — no momentum, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1544, 1.1553, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1544 range top opens a retest of the 1.1553 prior pivot
Failure to hold 1.1533 range low exposes the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will override this range read
03:01 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.15427
Consolidation above 1.15284 swing low.
Late Asia session, EURUSD ranging 1.1533-1.1547 after recovering from the 1.15284 swing low set during the prior NY hours. Tape is quiet and directionless ahead of US CPI; price pinned around EMA20 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15565
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can break this range
M15 close above 1.15470 reopens the 1.15565 swing
Failure to hold 1.15330 exposes the 1.15284 swing low
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from 1.15778 to a 1.15284 low before partially reclaiming to 1.1553; Asia has since coiled into a tight 1.1533-1.1544 band. RSI(14) flat near 52, ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15526
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15440 reopens the 1.15526 recovery high
Loss of 1.15327 puts the 1.15284 swing low back in focus
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst into the session
02:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 52 · price 1.15438
Consolidation after recovery off swing low.
EURUSD sold off to a 1.15284 swing low during the London-NY tape, then recovered and has been consolidating 1.1533-1.1543 through the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 52. Price sits just above EMA20 but capped by EMA50, with no setup in play.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.15555
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15526 reopens the 1.15555 range top
Failure to hold 1.15330 exposes the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:32 UTC
Range after pullback from highs · RSI 50 · price 1.15434
Consolidating in lower half of session range.
After the NY-session slide from 1.15778 to a 1.15284 low, EURUSD has gone flat through Asia, ranging 1.1533-1.1543 with RSI(14) mid-range. Price sits just under the 1.15470 swing, ATR compressed near 6 pips into the quiet pre-London hours.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15526
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15470 reopens 1.15526 swing high
Loss of 1.15330 reexposes the 1.15284 day low
US CPI 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that can break this range
02:32 UTC
Ranging after NY decline · RSI 52 · price 1.15434
Consolidation above session low.
NY session faded the 1.15778 high down to a 1.15284 sweep before a bounce stalled at 1.15526. Asia session is now ranging 1.15327–1.15434, RSI(14) flat near 52 and ATR thin at ~5 pips.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.15555
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15327 reopens the 1.15284 session low
M15 close above 1.15526 challenges the 1.15555 range cap
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
02:17 UTC
Range after selloff · RSI 49 · price 1.15406
Consolidation 1.1533-1.1545 above the 1.15284 swing low.
Quiet Asia session ranging 1.1533-1.1545 after the London-NY leg lower from the 1.1577 high to the 1.15284 swing low, where buyers stepped in. Price now sits mid-band near EMA20 with RSI flat around 49.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15452, 1.15526
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15452 opens the path to 1.15526
Failure to hold 1.1533 reopens the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.15406
Tight range below mid-session pivot.
EUR/USD is grinding in a tight 1.1533-1.1542 band through the Asian session after the prior NY leg down from 1.1578 to 1.1528 and a partial recovery. RSI(14) sits flat near 49, ATR has compressed to ~8 pips — no setup in play, price pinned just under the range high.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15426, 1.15506, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15426 reopens 1.15506 swing high
Loss of 1.15330 confirms a retest of the 1.15284 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
02:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now sideways · RSI 46 · price 1.15383
Range after NY selloff, holding mid.
Pair sold off through the NY session from the 1.1578 high to a 1.15284 swing low, then recovered into a tight Asia-session range between 1.15330 and 1.15425. Price now hovers at 1.1538 just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI near neutral — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15425, 1.15528
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15330 asia low reopens the 1.15284 swing low
M15 close above 1.15425 recent high targets the 1.15528 ny pivot
US CPI 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could break this range
02:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.15383
Consolidation after intraday drop.
EURUSD sold off from 1.15778 to a 1.15284 session low through the NY hours, then recovered to ~1.1555 before fading. Thin Asian session now ranging 1.1533-1.1543 with RSI(14) flat near 47; price sits just below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15425, 1.1550
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15330 reopens the 1.15284 session low
Reclaim of 1.15425 unwinds the ranging read toward 1.15500
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
01:46 UTC
Ranging after pullback · RSI 47 · price 1.15387
Range-bound, sub-EMA.
EURUSD ran up to a session high at 1.15778 before reversing hard to 1.15284, then recovered into a tight Asia-session range between 1.15330 and 1.15425. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with price hugging the EMA20; thin volume, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15425, 1.1551, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15425 reopens the path toward the 1.15510 swing high
Failure to hold 1.15330 exposes the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and ECB Thursday are the dominant catalysts and could override this range read
01:46 UTC
Down off London high, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.15387
Tight Asian range after intraday leg lower.
EUR/USD faded from the London high at 1.15778 down to a session low of 1.15284, then settled into a tight Asian range between 1.1533 and 1.1542. Price sits at 1.15387 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1542, 1.15506, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1542 range top reopens 1.15506 swing high
Break of 1.1533 range low exposes 1.15284 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + presser is the week's dominant catalyst
01:32 UTC
Down off session high, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.15368
Lower-high sequence into consolidation.
EUR rejected the 1.15778 session high during NY hours and slid to a 1.15284 session low, the retracement of that NY drop holding shallow. Since then price has consolidated 1.1533–1.1542 in quiet Asia trade, holding below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 43 and the range floor at 1.15327 capping the downside.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15425, 1.15526
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15284 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 1.15526 bounce high needed to challenge the session high
US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Down off intraday high, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.15368
Consolidation in lower half of range after EU-session selloff.
EUR/USD sold off through European hours from the 1.15778 high to a 1.15284 sweep, then recovered into a tight Asia-session band between 1.15330 and 1.15425. Volume thin and RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no setup in play, price coiling below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15425, 1.15565
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15425 reopens the path toward 1.15565
Failure to hold 1.15330 exposes the 1.15284 swing low
US May CPI at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
01:16 UTC
Pullback stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.15392
Tight range after decline from session high.
EURUSD rallied to 1.1578 during the NY session before fading to 1.15284, and has since coiled into a tight 1.1533-1.1543 range through Asia hours. Price is hovering at the EMA20 with RSI flat near 48 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15426, 1.15526
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15426 opens a retest of the 1.15526 swing high
Failure to hold 1.15327 exposes the 1.15284 session low
US May CPI at 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
01:16 UTC
Range, no clear bias · RSI 47 · price 1.15392
Consolidation mid-range after down-move.
EURUSD is ranging 1.1533–1.1543 through the Asia session after rolling over from the 1.15578 session high and tapping a 1.15284 swing low. Price sits mid-range below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; no setup in play.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15426, 1.1550, 1.15578
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15426 range top reopens the 1.155 psych level
Break of 1.15327 session low exposes the 1.15284 swing low
US May CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Down off session high, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.1542
Consolidating 1.1533–1.1550 after the drop from 1.1578.
EURUSD sold off from the session high at 1.1578 to 1.1528 during the London-NY hours, then settled into a tight 1.1533–1.1550 band through the Asia session, now at 1.1542. Range top capped each push higher; ATR has compressed to ~6 pips as flows thin out ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1550, 1.1578
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1550 reopens the 1.1578 session high
Loss of 1.1533 exposes the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu can break this range
01:02 UTC
Pullback off highs, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.1542
Consolidating after NY selloff from 1.1578 to 1.1528.
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.1578 high down to 1.1528, and price has since drifted into a thin 1.1530–1.1551 Asian-session range on light volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with price pinned around EMA20; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1551, 1.1578
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1528 exposes the 1.1500 psych floor
Reclaim of 1.1551 reopens the 1.1578 session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
00:47 UTC
Pulled back from highs, now ranging · RSI 43 · price 1.15346
Lower highs since peak, consolidating above session low.
NY session faded EUR from the 1.1578 high to a 1.1528 swing low, then recovered to 1.1553 before slipping back under the EMAs. Asian session now ranging 1.1533–1.1542 on very thin volume, RSI(14) mid-40s, price pinned just above the session low at 1.1533.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15417, 1.15528
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1533 exposes the 1.1528 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1542 then 1.1553 needed to break the lower-highs sequence
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Thursday's ECB are the dominant risks that can break this range
00:46 UTC
Pullback off session high, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.15346
Lower highs since 1.1578, basing near 1.1535.
EUR rolled over from the session high at 1.1578 down to 1.15284 during NY hours, then bounced and has since drifted into a tight 1.1533–1.1541 band on thin Asian-session volume. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-40s — no momentum either way as the market waits on Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1541, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15410 swing high would reopen the path toward 1.15500
Loss of the 1.15327 asia low exposes the 1.15284 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk into this consolidation
00:32 UTC
Pullback off session high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.15411
Consolidating after a lower-high sequence.
EURUSD sold off from the session high at 1.15778 to 1.15284 through the NY hours, then bounced and stalled, now consolidating in a tight 1.1534-1.1541 band through thin Asia trade. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 44; no setup in play.
Support: 1.15344, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15528
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15466 reopens the path toward the 1.15528 swing high
Loss of 1.15344 exposes the 1.15284 session low
US May CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Down off session high, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.15411
Lower highs after rejection, ranging into Asia.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.15778 during London then sold off to 1.15284, mirroring the late USD safe-haven bid on Strait of Hormuz headlines. Now coiling 1.1533–1.1542 in the Asia session, RSI(14) flat near 47 and price holding below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.1533, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15506, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15506 reopens the path toward 1.15778
Failure to hold 1.1533 exposes the 1.15284 session low
US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:17 UTC
Pullback from session high, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.15398
Tight Asian range after NY sell-off.
London/NY rally peaked at the 1.1578 session high before a sharp leg lower swept the 1.1528 swing low, with a recovery capping at 1.1553. Price has since drifted into a quiet Asian range between the 1.1533 session low and the 1.1544 range top; RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15445, 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1553 recovery high reopens the path toward the 1.1578 session high
Loss of 1.1533 session low exposes the 1.1528 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:17 UTC
Off the highs, drifting into a range · RSI 45 · price 1.15398
Consolidation after a swing low.
EUR rejected the 1.1578 NY high and sold to a 1.15284 session low before recovering; late-session trade has compressed into a tight 1.1533–1.1541 band with ATR down to ~4 pips and RSI flat near 45. Price is sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 with no momentum either way.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1541, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15327 reopens the 1.15284 session low
Break above 1.15410 puts the 1.15500 prior pivot back in play
Lower highs since 1.15778, ranging near session low.
Price topped at 1.15778 mid-window then sold off sharply to 1.15284 during NY hours; the recovery stalled at 1.15528 (50% of the drop) before drifting lower into a quiet Asian session. Now ranging near the session low around 1.1534 with RSI(14) subdued. US CPI later today is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15528 swing high needed to negate the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.15284 swing low opens downside continuation
EURUSD rallied to a session high of 1.15778 then reversed sharply to 1.15284 before bouncing to 1.15526. Price is now fading in low-volume Asian hours back toward the 1.1533 session lows, RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 1.15327, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15284 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.15526 negates the fade and reopens the session high
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT (high impact) could materially shift this read