EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 9 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Downtrend off intraday peak, now flat · RSI 41 · price 1.15356
Tight Asia consolidation after NY sell-off.
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.15778 London-session high into NY and now drifts in a tight 1.1534–1.1540 band through the Asia session, volume thin and RSI(14) mid-40s. Price sits near the lower edge of the band, having retraced ~80% of the prior up-leg; 1.15284 session low marks the floor below.
Support: 1.15343, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1550, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15343 reopens the 1.15284 session low
Reclaim of 1.1550 round number would negate the lower-high sequence
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT and ECB Thu can override this consolidation read
EUR rolled off the 1.15778 session high and swept down to 1.15284 during NY hours, then settled into a tight 1.1535–1.1545 band in thin Asian trade. RSI sits mid-40s, price below both EMAs; no setup in play.
Support: 1.15344, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15426, 1.1550
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15500 pivot reopens the upper range
Loss of 1.15284 session low confirms a lower-low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:32 UTC
Pullback after rejection, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.15346
Lower highs off 1.1578, tight Asian range.
EUR/USD was rejected at the 1.1578 session high during London-NY hours, then dropped to 1.15284 before a roughly 50% bounce to 1.1553. Price is now drifting in a thin Asian range near 1.1534 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR around 3 pips; no setup in play ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.15344, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15455, 1.15526, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15284 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.15455 puts the 1.1553 bounce high back in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:32 UTC
Downtrend off session high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.15346
Lower highs after rejection, consolidating above sweep low.
EURUSD rejected the session high at 1.15778 and sold off sharply to a sweep low at 1.15284 before bouncing into the 1.15526 bounce high. Price is now drifting in a thin Asia-session range around 1.1534, holding below EMA20 with RSI mid-40s and no momentum.
Support: 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15526, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15470 intraday cap would unwind the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.15284 sweep low confirms continuation lower
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT and ECB Thu can override this intraday read
EURUSD sold off from the intraday high at 1.15778 to 1.15284, then bounced to 1.15528 before fading. Now stalling around 1.1538 in quiet Asia hours, RSI(14) mid-range and volume thin; price holding above the 1.15284 swing low.
Support: 1.15344, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.1566
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15344 reopens the 1.15284 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15528 swing high needed to resume upside
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this range
23:16 UTC
Pullback after NY selloff, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.15376
Lower highs since 1.1578 peak, recovering off session low.
EURUSD topped at 1.1578 then sold off sharply through NY to a 1.15284 session low before recovering to 1.1553. Price is now drifting lower around 1.1538 in thin Asian trade (volume collapsing), capped by a chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.15347, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.1566
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15284 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15528 negates the lower-high structure
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the dominant risk and can override this read
Lower highs off NY peak, coiling near session lows.
NY session ran up to 1.15778 then reversed hard to 1.15284 before a 50% bounce stalled at 1.15526. Price now drifting in a tight 1.1535–1.1543 band on thin Asia volume, holding just above the session low.
Support: 1.15347, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1543, 1.15526
What it said to watch
Break below 1.15284 confirms a fresh lower low
M15 close above 1.15430 range top reopens 1.15526
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:01 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.15362
Lower highs off 1.1578, consolidating low 1.1530s.
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.1578 into a sharp 1.1528 flush, then bounced and stalled, now drifting flat near 1.1536 in thin late-NY/Asia hours. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI mid-40s; no setup in play between 1.1535 support and 1.1543 resistance.
Support: 1.15347, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1543, 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.15430 reopens 1.15528
Loss of 1.15347 exposes the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs since 1.1578 peak, holding above swing low.
M15 faded from the session high at 1.1578 to a swing low at 1.1528, then recovered to a recent high near 1.1553 before drifting back to 1.1537 on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s with price below EMA20/50, printing lower highs since the peak.
Support: 1.1535, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1543, 1.1553, 1.1578
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.1553 recent high reopens the 1.1578 session high
Loss of 1.1528 swing low confirms a lower-low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the next macro driver for this read
22:47 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 42 · price 1.15369
Lower highs off 1.1578, holding above session low.
NY session pushed to a 1.15778 high then reversed sharply to a 1.15284 low; price recovered roughly 50% of that drop before drifting back to 1.15369 in thin Asia-hours trade. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under EMA20 and EMA50 — momentum has cooled into the close.
Support: 1.15347, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1542, 1.1553, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15347 then 1.15284 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.15530 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT and ECB Thu can materially shift this read
Lower high after 1.1578 rejection, ranging 1.1534-1.1551.
NY session rejected the 1.1578 session high and sold off to a 1.1528 swing low before a bounce stalled at the 1.1551 bounce high. Price is now drifting around 1.1540 in thin, low-volume late-session trade, holding a 1.1534-1.1551 band ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.15344, 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1528 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1551 bounce high needed to repair the structure
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
NY session topped at 1.1578 then sold off hard to 1.15284 before stabilising into a tight 1.1535–1.1553 band. Low-volume Asia hours show price drifting under EMA20 (~1.1543), RSI(14) flat near mid-range with no momentum.
Support: 1.15344, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1543, 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15430 EMA20 would shift the drift back toward 1.15528 lower high
Loss of 1.15344 swing low re-opens the 1.15284 session low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Pulled back off highs, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.15394
Lower high after sweep, range developing.
NY session peaked at 1.15778 then sold off, with a sharp spike sweeping the 1.15284 low before buyers stepped in toward 1.15526. Price is now drifting in the 1.1535–1.1550 band on thin late-session volume, holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15344, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15284 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.15526 reopens the path toward 1.15778
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower high after rejection near 1.1578, ranging at lows.
EURUSD topped near 1.1578 in the NY session before a sharp flush to 1.15284; the bounce stalled at 1.15528, leaving a lower high. Price now drifts in thin Asian-session trade around 1.1539, RSI(14) mid-range and EMAs capping above.
Support: 1.15347, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15528 would negate the lower-high read
Loss of 1.15347 reopens the 1.15284 session low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT and ECB Thu can materially shift this read
EUR/USD rallied through the London-NY window to a 1.1578 high before a sharp late-session reversal as USD haven bid returned on Iran/Hormuz headlines, bottoming at 1.1528. The bounce stalled at 1.1553 — the 50% mark of that drop — and price is now drifting lower into thin Asia trade near 1.1539, RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.15344, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1528 session low confirms continuation of the down-leg
Reclaim of 1.1553 reopens the 1.1578 high
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term risk
EURUSD topped at 1.1578 in NY hours then sold off, sweeping to 1.15284 before recovering to ~1.1552. Price now drifts lower into thin Asia trade around 1.1539, printing lower highs with RSI(14) mid-range — no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.15347, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15506, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.15506 challenges the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.15284 confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
NY session printed a high at 1.15778, then sold into a sweep of 1.15284 before bouncing to 1.15528 — that recovery has since faded back toward 1.1535 on thin Asia-hours volume. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42, holding inside the 1.1505–1.1555 consolidation band flagged into Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.15284, 1.1539
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15284 confirms a fresh lower-low and exposes the 1.1505 area
Reclaim of 1.15528 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
21:46 UTC
Rolled over from intraday highs, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 1.15348
Lower high after rejection at 1.1578, holding above session low.
NY session topped at 1.1578 then sold off hard to 1.1528, helped by USD haven flows after the Hormuz headline; the bounce stalled at 1.1553, leaving a lower high. Price is now drifting toward 1.1535 on thin late-session volume, below both EMAs.
Support: 1.15284, 1.15347
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1553 needed to negate the lower-high structure
Loss of 1.1528 session low confirms continuation lower
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the next major catalyst and could override this read
21:32 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 44 · price 1.15389
Lower high off 1.1578, holding above 1.1528 low.
EUR/USD tagged the session high at 1.15778 then sold off sharply to 1.15284 before bouncing to 1.1551. Price has since faded back and is now coiling in a tight 1.1539-1.1543 band in thin Asian-open trade, RSI mid-40s.
Support: 1.15353, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15513, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15513 swing high reopens the 1.15778 session high
Loss of 1.15284 session low confirms a lower low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the next major risk for this read
21:32 UTC
Pullback after NY rally faded · RSI 43 · price 1.15389
Lower high below 1.1578, holding above 1.1528 swing low.
NY session pushed to a 1.15778 high then sold off sharply to the 1.15284 swing low. The recovery stalled near 1.1552 — a lower high — and price is now drifting back toward 1.1539 in thin late-session liquidity, RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1552, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1552 bounce high needed to re-challenge the 1.15778 session high
Close below 1.15284 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
21:17 UTC
Pullback off session high, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.15426
Range after sweep of lows, capped by lower highs.
NY session ran up to a session high at 1.15778 before reversing hard, with a sweep of lows to 1.15284 as a late-day Iran risk-off flip revived the USD. Price has since stabilised, consolidating around 1.1542 on thin late-session liquidity and holding below EMA20, capped by a series of lower highs.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1551, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1551 breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold 1.15405 reopens the 1.15284 sweep low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next major risk to this range
Lower high after 1.1578 top, consolidating ~1.1542.
EUR rallied through the NY session to a high at 1.15778 before reversing hard, sweeping the 1.15284 low as the late-session Iran risk-off flip revived USD haven flows. Price has since stabilised into a low-volume Asia-transition drift around 1.1542, below EMA20/50, holding a lower high beneath 1.15526.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.1565, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.15526 reopens the 1.1578 session high
Loss of 1.15284 confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) and ECB Thu are the next macro catalysts
Faded from 1.1578, holding above 1.1528 sweep low.
EURUSD rallied to a session high of 1.1578 before a sharp, high-volume drop swept 1.1528; the bounce stalled under 1.1551 and price has drifted back to 1.1543 on fading late-NY volume. No fresh setup — sits mid-range between 1.1528 and 1.1551.
Support: 1.1540, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1551, 1.1578
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1551 reopens 1.1578 session high
Loss of 1.1528 sweep low confirms a lower-low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk for the next sessions
21:01 UTC
Downtick after session-high rejection · RSI 45 · price 1.1543
Consolidating below 1.1553 after sweep of 1.1528.
NY session faded the 1.1578 session high, swept down to 1.1528 then bounced to 1.1553; price now drifts at 1.1543 into the close, RSI(14) mid-range near 45. Sits below EMA20/50 inside a 1.1528-1.1553 band with no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1553, 1.1578
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1528 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.1553 reopens the 1.1578 session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk into the rest of the week
NY session topped near 1.15778 then sold off sharply to a 1.15284 sweep low before recovering to 1.15528. Price now consolidating around 1.1543 on thin late-session volume, holding a ~30% retrace of the NY pullback and sitting below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15405 reopens the 1.15284 session low
Reclaim of 1.15528 needed to challenge the 1.15778 session high
Thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves until London
EURUSD topped at the session high 1.15778 during NY then swept the session low at 1.15284 before recovering to 1.15526. Late-session volume is thinning and price is now compressing between 1.15390 and 1.15526, trading below both EMAs with RSI(14) mid-range near 44.
Support: 1.1539, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.1565, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Break above 1.15526 reopens 1.15650 toward the session high
Loss of 1.15390 puts the 1.15284 session low back in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu are the cross-asset USD/EUR drivers ahead
EUR slid from the 1.15778 session high into Lagarde's 16:30 UTC remarks, printing a session low at 1.15284 before recovering. Price is now boxed in a tight 1.1540–1.1553 consolidation, RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR around 7 pips. The bounce stalled near the 50% fib of the down-leg.
Support: 1.1540, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1553, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1553 reopens the 1.15778 session high
Failure to hold 1.1540 exposes the 1.15284 session low
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the cross-asset drivers that can break this range
20:31 UTC
Pulled back from highs, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.1543
Consolidating below session high after rejection.
EUR pushed to a session high at 1.1578 before a sharp NY-hours sell-off swept the 1.1528 low, helped by a late safe-haven USD bid. Price now consolidates near 1.1540, sitting below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1540, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1553, 1.1578
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1553 reopens the 1.1578 session high
Loss of 1.1528 confirms a lower low
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu can override this intraday read
EUR slid sharply to 1.15284 around Lagarde's 16:30 UTC speech, then bounced to 1.15528 — roughly a 50% retrace of the drop — before fading into late NY. Now consolidating near 1.15435 with RSI(14) mid-range and price below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15528 negates the lower-high
Loss of 1.15405 reopens the 1.15284 swing low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session swept the session low at 1.15284 then snapped back to the recovery high near 1.15526 before stalling. Price now drifts in the 1.1540–1.1551 zone below EMA20, RSI(14) flat in the mid-40s — no momentum either way.
Support: 1.15353, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.1566
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15526 recovery high reopens the 1.15660 swing high
Loss of 1.15353 swing low reverts toward the 1.15284 session low
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the multi-day drivers, not in play this session
NY session pushed to a session high at 1.15778 then sold off sharply, sweeping down to 1.15284 before a bounce stalled at 1.15526. Price now consolidates near 1.1540, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) mid-range as the move loses steam into late hours.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15526 would break the lower-high sequence off the 1.1578 peak
Failure to hold 1.15405 reopens the 1.15284 session low
US CPI Wednesday and ECB Thursday are the dominant cross-asset drivers ahead
Lower high after session-high rejection, recovery fading.
NY session topped near the 1.15778 session high then reversed hard to a 1.15284 session low. Price recovered to a 1.15526 recovery high but is now grinding lower into the close below EMA20, RSI cooling around 43. US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the looming drivers.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15284 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15526 recovery high needed to reassert the bounce
US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Downtrend after NY peak rejection · RSI 41 · price 1.15407
Lower highs off 1.15778, breaking late-session range floor.
NY session pushed to 1.15778 then reversed hard, a wide bar swept down to 1.15284 before a bounce stalled at 1.15528. Late NY is now grinding back below the 1.1546 consolidation floor toward 1.15405, RSI(14) sub-42 with price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.15284, 1.15375
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15284 confirms continuation of the decline
Reclaim of 1.15528 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the cross-asset USD driver into this read
EURUSD peaked near 1.1578 during NY hours then sold off sharply, sweeping the session low at 1.15284 before a bounce to 1.15526. Price has since faded back toward the recent lows, RSI(14) sub-45 and price under both EMAs as the lower-high sequence holds.
Support: 1.15284, 1.15405
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.1555
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15284 confirms a fresh lower low
Close back above 1.15526 negates the lower-high structure
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant USD driver into this range
NY session pushed to a 1.15778 high then sold off sharply to a 1.15284 swing low around 16:30 UTC. The bounce stalled at 1.15526 and price is now drifting back toward 1.1542 into the late session, EUR offered as USD haven bids rebuild on Iran headlines. RSI(14) mid-40s, sitting below both EMAs.
Support: 1.15353, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15284 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15526 needed to negate the lower-high read
US CPI Wednesday is the cross-asset USD driver into this range
19:31 UTC
Pulled back from session high, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.15425
Lower high after sweep of session low.
NY session faded from the 1.15778 high, a sharp drop swept the 1.15284 low before buyers recovered it to 1.15528. Price is now drifting back toward mid-range at 1.15425 with RSI(14) cooling near 43, sitting below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.15353, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.15353 opens the 1.15284 session low
Reclaim of 1.15528 invalidates the lower-high fade
US CPI Wednesday and ECB Thursday are the broader cross drivers, not imminent this session
19:16 UTC
Rejected from highs, consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.15452
Session high swept, recovery into mid-range.
NY session ran up to a session high at 1.15778 then was sharply rejected, dropping to a 1.15284 sweep low as USD caught a late safe-haven bid on Iran headlines. Price has since recovered into a 1.15405–1.15528 range, with the current bar holding mid-range near 1.15452.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15528 reopens the 1.15778 session high
Failure to hold 1.15405 reopens the 1.15284 sweep low
US CPI Wed and Lagarde could materially shift this read
19:16 UTC
Pullback off session high, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.15452
Consolidating mid-range after sweep of session low.
EURUSD rallied through NY to a session high at 1.15778 before a sharp drop swept the session low at 1.15284, where buyers stepped in on the recovery toward 1.1550. Price now consolidating just under EMA20 around 1.1545, RSI near neutral; the 1.15528 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15528 swing high reopens the session high at 1.15778
Loss of 1.15405 swing low exposes a retest of the 1.15284 session low
US CPI Wednesday is the cross-asset USD driver that could break this range
EUR/USD sold off sharply to 1.15284 around the 16:30 UTC Lagarde speech, then recovered to stall near the 1.1553 0.5 fib of the 1.15778–1.15284 leg. Late-NY trade is now ranging 1.1546–1.1553 just below EMA20, momentum neutral with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1553 0.5 fib opens path back toward the 1.15778 session high
Failure to hold 1.15405 reopens the 1.15284 session low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next major USD driver for this read
EUR rolled over from the session high at 1.15778 down to 1.15284 late in the day as a fresh Iran risk-off headline re-bid the dollar. Price has since recovered to consolidate around 1.1549 between 1.15405 and the 1.1553–1.15555 pivot, RSI(14) back to neutral.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.15555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15555 pivot opens the path back toward the 1.15778 session high
Failure to hold 1.15405 reopens the 1.15284 session low
US CPI Wednesday is the cross-asset USD driver that could break this range
18:46 UTC
Pullback then recovery, two-way · RSI 51 · price 1.15497
Sold to 1.15284, recovered into a range.
EUR/USD spiked down to a session low of 1.15284 around the 16:30 UTC Lagarde speech, then recovered and is now consolidating near 1.15497 below EMA20/50. Buyers rejected the lows but the swing high at 1.15528 still caps; the session high sits at 1.15778.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15528, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15528 reopens the 1.1555 pivot and session high at 1.15778
Loss of 1.15405 swing low reopens the 1.15284 session low
ECB decision Thursday and US CPI Wednesday could reset this read
Lower high after 1.1578, holding above 1.15284 low.
Sharp selloff to 1.15284 as Lagarde spoke at 16:30 UTC, breaking below the prior range before a fast recovery back to 1.1550. Price now coiling just under the 1.1555 pivot after rejecting the 1.1578 session high; RSI mid-range near 47.
Support: 1.1540, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1555 pivot reopens the 1.1578 session high
Failure to hold 1.1540 risks a retest of the 1.15284 session low
US CPI Wednesday is the cross-asset USD driver that could shift this read
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1578 session high and sold off to a 1.1528 low into the 16:30 UTC Lagarde speech, then clawed back to mid-range near 1.1552. RSI(14) recovered to ~54; price holds above EMA20 but is capped under the 1.1555 pivot.
Support: 1.15284, 1.1540
Resistance: 1.15555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15555 pivot reopens 1.15778 session high
Failure to hold 1.15284 confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the cross-asset drivers ahead
EUR/USD rallied to a 1.1577 session high before a sharp late-session reversal swept the lows to 1.1528, coinciding with renewed USD safe-haven demand on Iran risk-off headlines. Price has since recovered to 1.1551, sitting mid-range with RSI back near neutral; the 1.1555 pivot is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1555 pivot reopens the 1.1577 session high
Failure to hold 1.15284 confirms a fresh lower-low
US CPI Wednesday is the cross-asset USD driver into the read
EUR/USD topped at the 1.1578 session high during NY hours then sold off sharply into a 1.15284 spike low as the Iran helicopter headline revived USD safe-haven demand. Price has since clawed back above 1.1540 and is consolidating near 1.1549, RSI(14) recovering from sub-40 after the flush.
Support: 1.1540, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.1555 pivot opens the path back toward the 1.1578 high
Failure to hold 1.1540 reopens the 1.15284 spike low
US CPI Wednesday is the cross-asset USD driver that could shift this read
18:16 UTC
Pullback after rejection of session high · RSI 46 · price 1.15489
Lower high off 1.1578, recovering off session low.
EUR/USD slid off the 1.1578 session high into late NY, with a sharp flush to 1.15284 around Lagarde's 16:30 UTC remarks before buyers stepped back in toward 1.1549. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral after the dip and price is trading below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.1558, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15580 pivot would reopen the 1.15778 session high
Failure to hold 1.15405 reopens the 1.15284 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US CPI Wed are the dominant upcoming risks
18:01 UTC
Pullback after intraday selloff · RSI 46 · price 1.15485
Lower high off 1.1578, bouncing from session low.
NY session topped near 1.1578 with a double-top rejection, then sold off sharply to 1.15284 in late hours; price has since recovered to 1.15485, stalling around the 38.2% retrace of that drop. RSI(14) is mid-range and price sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15526, 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.1555 pivot reopens the 1.1578 session high
Failure to hold 1.15405 swing low reopens 1.15284
US CPI Wednesday is the cross-asset USD driver that can reset this range
EUR/USD climbed through the London-NY window to a session high of 1.15778, then sold off sharply during NY hours and swept the 1.15284 low before bouncing to 1.1550. Price now sits mid-range below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) recovering near 44; the 1.1555 pivot caps the rebound.
Support: 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1555 pivot reopens the 1.15778 session high
Failure to hold 1.15284 swing low exposes the 1.1500 floor
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the cross-asset USD driver into the ECB
Rejected at session high, swept lower low, bouncing.
NY session pushed to 1.15778 then faded, with a sharp flush into 1.15284 sweeping the session low before buyers stepped in. Price has recovered to 1.15501, sitting just under the 1.1555 pivot and below EMA20/50 after Lagarde's 16:30 UTC remarks.
Support: 1.15454, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.15568, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15568 pivot opens the path back toward the 1.15778 swing high
Failure to hold 1.15454 swing low reopens the 1.15284 session low
US CPI Wednesday is the cross-asset USD driver that could override this range
Lower high at 1.1577, swing low 1.1528, bounce underway.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1577 session high and sold off through NY hours after Lagarde's 16:30 UTC remarks, sweeping the lows at 1.15284 before bouncing. Price is now retracing toward the 1.1555 pivot, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range from oversold at the low.
Support: 1.1540, 1.15284
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1555 pivot opens path back to 1.15778 session high
Failure to hold 1.15400 reopens the 1.15284 swing low
Lower high off 1.15778, sweep of 1.15284 then bounce.
NY session rolled over from the 1.15778 session high, dropping to a 1.15284 low around the 16:30 UTC Lagarde window before a sweep-and-recover left price back at 1.15501. RSI(14) near 45 after the bounce; price holds below EMA20/50 with the 1.15555 pivot capping the recovery.
Support: 1.15284, 1.1540
Resistance: 1.15555, 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15555 pivot reopens the 1.15660–1.15778 zone
Failure to hold 1.15400 exposes the 1.15284 session low again
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the cross-asset USD driver into this read
EUR slid from the session high at 1.15778 on Lagarde's 16:30 UTC remarks, sweeping down to 1.15284 before buyers stepped in, now back at 1.15501 just under the 1.1555 pivot. RSI(14) recovered from the lows into the mid-40s; price sits below EMA20/50 after the drop.
Support: 1.15284, 1.15405
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15550 reclaims the pivot and opens the path back to 1.15660
Failure to hold 1.15284 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1500 floor
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next cross-asset USD driver
17:16 UTC
Intraday downturn after rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.15426
Lower high off 1.1578, bouncing from session low.
EUR faded off the 1.1578 session high after Lagarde's 16:30 UTC remarks, driving the down leg into a 1.15284 session low before a shallow bounce to 1.15426. RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 42; price sits below EMA20/50 with the 1.1555 pivot capping.
Support: 1.15284, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1555 pivot invalidates the lower-high read
Failure to hold 1.15284 session low opens the path toward 1.1500
US CPI Wednesday is the next cross-asset USD driver into the ECB
EUR sold off into Lagarde's 16:30 UTC remarks, sweeping the session low to 1.15284 before a recovery to 1.15426. Price sits below EMA20/50 with lower highs capping near 1.15470 after the rejection at the 1.15778 session high; the late NY-hours decline still dominates.
Support: 1.15284, 1.15405
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15558, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15558 pivot would negate the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 1.15284 session low opens further downside
US CPI Wednesday and ECB Thursday are looming risk events for this pair
17:01 UTC
Downtrend on the session, bounce off lows · RSI 40 · price 1.15405
Lower high at 1.1578, selloff to 1.1528, retracing.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1578 session high and sold off through the NY hours, accelerating into a 1.1528 low on Lagarde's 16:30 UTC remarks. Buyers stepped in at 1.1528 and price is retracing toward 1.1547; both EMAs sit overhead.
Support: 1.15284, 1.1530
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15284 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.15470 negates the session downtrend read
US CPI Wednesday and ECB Thursday are the dominant near-term risks
NY session reversed the London rally; the 1.15578 session high was rejected and price sold off sharply to a 1.15284 low before bouncing to 1.1540. Structure now shows lower highs with RSI(14) recovering from the dip near 42.
Support: 1.15284, 1.15333
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15578, 1.1555
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15470 challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.15284 confirms continuation lower
US CPI Wednesday is the next major cross-asset USD driver
Lower high off 1.1578, breaking session range down.
Late NY session reversed hard off the 1.1578 session high, slicing through the 1.1547 pivot and printing a fresh low at 1.15284 before the current bar closed at 1.15353, RSI(14) near 31. The roll-over came as EUR faded from session highs into Lagarde's speech, with US CPI Wednesday and the ECB Thursday the larger risk events flagged ahead.
Support: 1.15284, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1547 would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 1.15284 confirms a lower-low extension
Lagarde and US CPI ahead could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ran to a session high of 1.1578 through the NY session, then dropped sharply into Lagarde's 16:30 UTC remarks, sweeping down to 1.1528 before stabilising near 1.1535. RSI(14) cooled to the high-30s as the move retraced almost the entire prior advance off 1.1527.
Support: 1.15284, 1.15405
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15470 swing high would ease the downside read
Loss of 1.15284 session low confirms continuation lower
ECB decision Thursday and US CPI Wednesday are the dominant near-term drivers
EUR/USD topped at the session high 1.1578 in early NY hours then rolled over, printing a chain of lower highs back to the session low near 1.1540. RSI(14) is cooling in the high-30s and price sits below both EMAs; Lagarde's 16:30 UTC remarks are the immediate driver into this leg.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15276, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.15568, 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15405 confirms a lower low, opening 1.15276
reclaim of 1.15568 swing high needed to negate the lower-high sequence
Lagarde headlines (16:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 40 · price 1.15451
Lower highs since 1.1578, retracing the London-NY rally.
EUR/USD has unwound the NY rally, sliding from the 1.1578 session high back toward 1.1540 with RSI(14) near 40 as Lagarde's 16:30 UTC remarks landed. A chain of lower highs is now in place; price holds just above the 1.15405 session low.
Support: 1.15405, 1.15276
Resistance: 1.1557, 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15405 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 1.15570 swing high would neutralise the downtrend read
Lagarde speaking now — tone shift could materially move the next bars
16:16 UTC
Intraday reversal, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 1.15465
Double top off session high, lower highs into the slide.
NY session topped twice near 1.1578 then rolled over, sliding to a 1.1545 session low with RSI(14) cooling near 40. Price now sits on the 61.8% retrace of the London-NY rally; the move tracks broad two-way EUR/USD flow ahead of Lagarde and Wednesday US CPI.
Support: 1.15451, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15581, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech ~16:30 UTC could shift this read immediately
Close below 1.1545 opens the path toward the 1.1527 asia low
Reclaim of 1.1558 invalidates the breakdown read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend reversing, momentum down · RSI 37 · price 1.15465
Rolled over from session high, printing lower highs.
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.15778 then faded hard back to the 1.15454 lows, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s as price slipped below both EMAs. A pair of equal highs near 1.15778 capped the advance and price is now sitting on the session floor.
Support: 1.15454, 1.15266, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15454 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.15266
Reclaim of 1.15660 swing high negates the downside rotation
ECB decision Thu and US CPI Wed are the dominant near-term risks
16:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back from highs · RSI 45 · price 1.15545
Lower highs after session-high rejection.
NY session pushed to a session high at 1.15778 before a sharp rejection dropped price to 1.15454, leaving a chain of lower highs. EUR's bounce off the 1.1500 two-month low is stalling around 1.1554, with RSI(14) mid-40s as the intraday leg unwinds.
Support: 1.1550, 1.15454, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.15660 reopens the 1.15778 session high
Break below 1.15454 confirms a lower low toward 1.1500
US CPI Wed is the next major driver into the ECB
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 47 · price 1.15545
NY rally rolling into a pullback after rejection at 1.1578.
NY session drove EUR/USD up to a session high at 1.1578 before rejection set in, with the pullback sweeping below 1.1550 to 1.15454 where buyers stepped back in. EUR is holding off Monday's 1.1500 lows on mild USD softness after the Iran de-escalation; RSI(14) has cooled to mid-40s from the rally peak.
Support: 1.15454, 1.1550, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.1566, 1.1578
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15454 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
Reclaim of 1.15780 needed to resume the NY uptrend
15:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back from highs · RSI 44 · price 1.15515
Lower highs after rejection at session high.
EURUSD climbed steadily through the London-NY transition to a session high at 1.15778, then was rejected and sold sharply to 1.15454 before a small bounce to 1.15515. The pair is carving lower highs after the rejection, with EUR still firm off the 1.1500 low ahead of the ECB.
Support: 1.15454, 1.15276
Resistance: 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech ~16:30 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
M15 close below 1.15454 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.15660 reopens the session high at 1.15778
NY afternoon rolled over from the 1.15778 session high after a steady London-NY climb; the last bar swept down to 1.15454 then recovered to close 1.15515, RSI(14) cooling toward 44. Price now sits below the 1.15580 pivot with the pullback active.
Support: 1.15454, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15454 confirms a lower low and opens 1.15280
Reclaim of 1.15580 negates the pullback toward the 1.15778 session high
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 45 · price 1.1559
Pullback off session high after HH chain.
EUR/USD ran a clean HH chain through the NY session from the 1.1527 base to a 1.1578 high, then rejected and faded to 1.1559 as EUR firmed off Monday's 1.1500 low ahead of the ECB. RSI(14) has cooled back into the mid-40s and price has slipped under EMA20; current pullback sits near the 38% retrace of the up-leg, with 1.1557 holding so far.
Support: 1.1557, 1.1546, 1.1527
Resistance: 1.1578, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1557 session low confirms a lower-low and stalls the uptrend
Reclaim of 1.1578 session high reopens the path toward 1.1600
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC (~1h out) could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.1559
HH/HL chain into session high, now retracing.
EUR/USD climbed through London-NY off the 1.1527 base to a session high at 1.1578, helped by ECB tightening hopes and softer USD, before rejecting and fading to 1.1559 — a 38.2% retrace of the leg. RSI(14) has cooled back toward 46 as the pullback holds the 1.1557 swing low.
Support: 1.1557, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.1578, 1.1573
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1557 opens the path toward the 1.1550 two-month low
Higher highs into session top, now consolidating below 1.1578.
NY session drove EURUSD from the Asian low near 1.1527 up to a session high of 1.1578 before stalling, with the bounce off Monday's 1.1500 area extending ahead of Thursday's ECB. Price has since pulled back and is consolidating around 1.1563, holding above the 1.1558 swing low as RSI cools back to neutral.
Support: 1.1558, 1.1535, 1.1527
Resistance: 1.1578, 1.1573
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech today 16:30 UTC could shift the EUR tone intraday
M15 close above 1.1578 reopens the upside; loss of 1.1558 confirms a lower-low
US CPI Wednesday is the cross-current for the USD side
HH/HL chain off 1.1527, now consolidating below session high.
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1527 base up to a session high at 1.15778 before stalling, RSI(14) cooling back to ~52 as price slips under EMA20. Pair now consolidating in the 1.1558-1.1577 band, holding the swing low at 1.1558 after rejection at the high.
Support: 1.1558, 1.1555, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15778, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15778 opens the path toward the 1.1600 round number
Failure to hold the 1.1558 swing low exposes the 1.1555 consolidation band and 1.1500
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are imminent risks that could reset this read
NY session drove EUR/USD to a session high of 1.15778 before sellers capped it, RSI(14) cooling back toward neutral as price pulled into 1.1558. Consolidating near 1.1562 below EMA20 but above EMA50, the move stalling sub-1.1600 ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.1558, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.15778, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15778 reopens the path to the 1.1600 cap
Loss of 1.15580 session low exposes the 1.1500 two-mo low
US CPI Wednesday is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read
NY session rallied off the 1.1527 low to a session high at 1.1578 on softer USD and ECB hike bets, then rejected and pulled back to ~1.1562, RSI(14) cooling from its earlier push. Price now consolidating just under the session high with the 1.1558 pullback low holding.
Support: 1.1558, 1.15355, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15778, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1578 reopens the path toward the 1.1600 psych cap
Failure to hold 1.1558 exposes 1.15355 then 1.15266
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift this read intraday
EUR ground higher through the NY session off the 1.1527 base to a session high of 1.15778 before stalling and pulling back to 1.1558, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Now consolidating near 1.1564 below EMA20 — the move stays capped sub-1.1600 as flagged into Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.1558, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.15778, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1558 exposes the 1.1550 two-month low
Reclaim of 1.15778 needed to resume the intraday uptrend
US CPI Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst
EUR ground higher through the London-NY transition to a session high at 1.15778 on ECB hike bets, then was rejected and is pulling back to 1.15644, slipping under EMA20. Buyers held the 1.15580 session low so far; the 1.1600 psych cap and the 1.1500 two-month floor still frame the broader range.
Support: 1.1558, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.15778, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15580 confirms a lower low and threatens the 1.15500 two-month floor
Reclaim of 1.15778 reopens the path toward the 1.16000 psych cap
US CPI Wednesday is the dominant USD-side catalyst into this read
London-NY rally peaked at the 1.15778 session high before sellers faded it, RSI(14) cooling back to ~50 as price retraced to 1.1564. Pullback low at 1.1558 holding so far; move stalled sub-1.1600 in line with this week's ECB/CPI consolidation.
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
NY session extended the London grind, tagging a 1.15778 session high before rejecting back to 1.15580 and stalling near 1.1564. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought into the low-50s as price slips below EMA20 but holds above EMA50; the broader leg up from 1.15266 stays intact while 1.15580 holds.
Support: 1.1558, 1.1550, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15778, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15580 exposes the 1.15500 round level
Reclaim of 1.15778 session high reopens the path toward 1.16000
US CPI Wed is the dominant USD-side risk into this week
14:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 51 · price 1.1563
Higher highs into session high, now pulling back.
During the London-NY transition EUR/USD broke above the 1.1555 range top and ran to a session high at 1.1578 before being rejected, RSI(14) cooling back toward neutral. Price has pulled back to 1.1563 and is testing the broken 1.1555 level as support.
Support: 1.1563, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.1578
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.1555 keeps the breakout structure intact; loss of it reverts price into the prior range
Reclaim of 1.1578 session high reopens the upside toward 1.1600
Lagarde speech ~16:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 1.1563
HH/HL chain, pulling back from session high.
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1527 base up to a session high of 1.1578, then sellers rejected the high and price pulled back into 1.1563. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and price slipped under EMA20; the 1.1600 cap from the consolidation range remains untested.
Support: 1.1547, 1.1530
Resistance: 1.15778, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1578 opens the path to the 1.1600 cap
Failure to hold 1.1547 negates the higher-low structure
US CPI / ECB this week are the key external drivers for the next legs
EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session from the London lows near 1.1527 into a session high at 1.15778, then rejected and pulled back to 1.15633 before stabilising around 1.1568. Momentum has cooled with RSI(14) easing back from the highs as positioning freezes ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.15633, 1.1556
Resistance: 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15633 swing low opens a deeper pullback toward the ema50 at 1.1556
Reclaim of 1.15778 session high resumes the intraday leg
US CPI Wednesday is the key external driver and could materially shift this read
Higher highs / higher lows, rejected at session high.
NY session pushed a clean HH/HL chain off the 1.1527 base up to 1.15778, where price was rejected and snapped back to 1.15633 before basing near 1.1567. RSI(14) cooling from the highs around 58; ECB hike expectations are underpinning EUR but the 1.15778 session high capped the advance.
Support: 1.15633, 1.1555
Resistance: 1.15778, 1.1574
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15633 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.15778 reopens the path toward 1.1600
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back off session high · RSI 54 · price 1.15649
HH/HL chain into 1.15778, latest bar a sharp pullback.
NY session drove a clean HH/HL leg to a session high at 1.15778 before a sharp rejection dumped price back to 1.15633, RSI cooling off the highs. EUR has clawed higher into Thursday's ECB, but the last bar shows supply capping the advance just shy of 1.1578.
Support: 1.15633, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15633 opens the path back toward the 1.15500 floor
Reclaim of 1.15778 resumes the intraday up leg
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground higher through London into NY off the 1.1527 base, tagging a 1.15778 session high before a sharp two-bar rejection back to 1.15633. Price now sits just under EMA20 with RSI cooling to ~51; the broader bid reflects hawkish-ECB positioning ahead of Thursday's decision.
Support: 1.15633, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.1572, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15633 swing low opens the 1.15500 floor
Reclaim of 1.15720 reopens the 1.15778 session high
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift the intraday read
HH/HL chain off the 1.1527 low, pulling back from session high.
EURUSD ground higher through the London-NY session, rallying from the 1.1527 low to a session high of 1.15778 on hawkish-ECB positioning. Last two bars rejected 1.1578 and price slipped back to 1.1571; RSI cooling but trend structure intact above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1569, 1.1562
Resistance: 1.15778, 1.1580
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15778 reopens the 1.1580 round number
Failure to hold 1.15690 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Lagarde speech ~16:30 UTC (3h out) could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, pulling back from session high.
EUR ground higher through the London-NY session, posting a session high at 1.15778 before fading back to 1.15707 as buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.15650. RSI(14) cooling from the high-60s as the move loses pace; price still holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1565, 1.15362
Resistance: 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15650 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.15778 reopens the upper range
ECB Thu and US CPI Wed are the dominant risk events that could override this read
EUR ground higher through the London-NY transition, climbing off the 1.1527 session low to print a 1.1578 session high on hawkish-ECB positioning ahead of Thursday's decision. RSI(14) near 67, hot but normal for this trend; structure of higher lows intact.
Support: 1.1569, 1.1565
Resistance: 1.15778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1569 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US CPI Wednesday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to clear 1.1578 leaves the session high capping
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum mature · RSI 69 · price 1.15756
Rising HH/HL chain into session high.
EUR/USD ground steadily higher through London into the NY open, lifting off the 1.1527 low to a session high at 1.15778, supported by hawkish-ECB positioning ahead of Thursday's decision. RSI(14) near 69 is hot but not extreme; price stalling just under 1.1580 with the rising structure intact.
Support: 1.1569, 1.1565
Resistance: 1.15778, 1.1580
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15690 breaks the rising HL chain
Close above 1.15800 extends the move; rejection there caps the session
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could override this intraday read
13:01 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 69 · price 1.15757
Higher highs and higher lows since London lows.
EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session, climbing off the 1.15266 low to print a fresh session high at 1.15773, RSI(14) hot but not extreme near 68. Demand stepped in at successive higher lows; the 1.1575/1.1600 resistance zone flagged in the macro read is now in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1569, 1.1550, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15773, 1.1580
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15773 opens the path to 1.15800
Failure to hold 1.15690 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
13:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum mature · RSI 68 · price 1.15757
Higher highs and higher lows since London low.
EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session, rallying from the London low near 1.1527 to a fresh session high at 1.1577, with price holding well above EMA20/50 and RSI(14) elevated near 68. The grind up came despite a soft EUR tone, with buyers stepping in repeatedly on shallow pullbacks around 1.1569.
Support: 1.1569, 1.15558, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15773, 1.1600
What it said to watch
A close above 1.1577 opens the path toward the 1.1600 psych level
Failure to hold 1.1569 would break the rising-low sequence
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
European morning saw EURUSD grind up off the 1.1527 Asian low to a session high at 1.1575, tracking a softer dollar after Iran-Israel de-escalation. Price now consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) around 64, holding well above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1565, 1.15558, 1.15395
Resistance: 1.15747, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15747 session high opens the path to the 1.1600 supply zone
Loss of the 1.15650 swing low breaks the rising structure
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and Lagarde today 16:30 UTC could materially reset this read
NY session drove EURUSD up from the London low at 1.1527 to a session high of 1.15747 as the dollar softened on Middle East de-escalation. Price holds just under the high with RSI cooling from the mid-60s; the rising-low sequence stays intact above 1.1565.
Support: 1.1565, 1.1550, 1.1539
Resistance: 1.15747, 1.1580
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15747 opens the 1.1575/1.1600 resistance zone
Loss of 1.1565 breaks the intraday rising-low sequence
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term risk to this read
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 61 · price 1.15703
Higher highs/higher lows off 1.1527, pausing below session high.
EUR/USD rallied through the NY session from 1.1527 to a session high at 1.15747, EUR firming on a softer dollar as Iran-Israel de-escalation drained the safe-haven bid. Price is now consolidating just below that high with RSI cooling off the move; the 1.15650 pivot has held the pullback.
Support: 1.1565, 1.1550, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15747, 1.1580
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15747 opens the path toward 1.1580/1.1600
Failure to hold 1.15650 puts the higher-low chain at risk
Higher highs and higher lows, pulling back from session high.
EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session, rallying off the 1.15276 session low to print 1.15747 as the soft dollar and Iran-Israel de-escalation drained safe-haven demand. Last two bars stalled and ticked back to 1.15703, RSI cooling from the highs — buyers held the 1.15650 area on the latest dip.
Support: 1.1565, 1.15276
Resistance: 1.15747, 1.1580
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15747 opens the path back toward 1.15800
Loss of 1.15650 breaks the higher-low chain
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift this read ahead of Thursday's ECB
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum mature · RSI 67 · price 1.15714
Rising lows, fresh session high.
EUR/USD ground higher through the London session off the 1.15266 range low, printing a fresh session high at 1.15747 with RSI(14) in the high 60s — hot but not stretched. Rising support held each dip on the way up; price now consolidating just below the high after the bounce off the two-month low noted in the macro read.
Support: 1.15647, 1.15391, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15747, 1.1580
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.15647 swing low would break the rising support sequence
Close above 1.15747 session high opens the 1.158 psych and 1.1575/1.1600 zone
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term USD risk for this read
EURUSD ground higher through the session from the 1.1527 swing low to a fresh session high at 1.15747, RSI(14) elevated near 67. Price holds above the 1.1565 minor support with a clean chain of higher lows; consolidation just under the high as US CPI looms.
Support: 1.1565, 1.1550, 1.1527
Resistance: 1.15747, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.1565 breaks the higher-low chain and stalls the uptrend
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu can override this intraday structure
Acceptance above 1.15747 opens the 1.1575/1.1600 zone
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 72 · price 1.15723
Higher highs and higher lows off intraday low.
EURUSD climbed steadily through the London-NY transition, printing a chain of higher lows off the 1.1527 intraday low and now testing the session high at 1.1574, RSI(14) running hot near 72. Price is pressing into the 1.1575 resistance zone the EUR digest flags ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.1565, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.1574, 1.1575
What it said to watch
A clean break and hold above 1.1575 opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of the 1.1565 swing low would break the higher-low sequence
US CPI Wednesday is the dollar leg that could override this intraday read
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 69 · price 1.15723
Rising HH/HL chain off intraday low.
NY session pushed EUR/USD off the 1.1527 intraday low in a clean HH/HL chain to a fresh session high at 1.15738, RSI(14) near 69 but not yet stretched. The 1.1575/1.1600 zone flagged in the macro read is the next overhead area as price holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1565, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.15738, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15738 opens the path toward the 1.1575/1.1600 zone
Loss of 1.15650 rising support breaks the HL chain
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift this read intraday
EUR/USD ground higher through the London session, rallying from the 1.15266 swing low to a session high at 1.15727 despite the broader EUR-soft backdrop. RSI(14) near 70 and stalling at the top of the move, with the 1.1575/1.1600 resistance cap now in play.
Support: 1.1555, 1.15266, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15727, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Rejection at 1.15727 session high stalls the rally; break above opens the 1.1600 cap
Loss of 1.1555 swing low breaks the rising sequence
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift the read; US CPI Wed is the larger external risk
NY session pushed a clean rally from the 1.1528 session low to a 1.1572 high, with price now easing back to 1.1567 as RSI(14) cools from overbought. The 1.1575/1.1600 resistance cap flagged on the macro read remains untested; needs a fresh hawkish catalyst to clear.
Support: 1.1565, 1.1545, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1572, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1572 opens the path toward the 1.1600 psych cap
Loss of the 1.1565 swing low breaks the rising HL chain
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the main external driver into this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 70 · price 1.15713
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
London hours pushed a steady chain of higher highs off the 1.1527 low to a fresh session high at 1.15723, EUR firming as the safe-haven USD bid eased. RSI(14) near 70 — hot but consistent with the trend; price now pressing the 1.1575 supply cap flagged into the ECB week.
Support: 1.15558, 1.15396, 1.1550
Resistance: 1.15723, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1575 supply cap opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of the 1.15558 prior high would break the higher-low chain
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, breaking toward range top.
NY session pushed EUR/USD off the 1.1530 base in a clean grind higher, now pressing the 1.1575 resistance cap with RSI(14) running hot near 72. The move firms a chain of higher lows off the 1.15266 swing; the dollar leg softening on easing Iran-Israel headlines fits the bid.
Support: 1.1565, 1.1550, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.1575 resist cap opens path toward 1.1600 psych
Loss of 1.15650 recent low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US CPI Wed is the main external driver into the ECB
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 72 · price 1.15678
Higher highs, higher lows from 1.1528.
EURUSD ground higher through the London-NY transition, rallying off the 1.1528 session low to print a fresh session high at 1.1569 with RSI(14) hot near 72. The 1.1575/1.1600 resistance cap noted in the EUR read sits just above; momentum intact while the HH/HL chain holds.
Support: 1.15558, 1.15396, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15693, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1575 needs a fresh hawkish catalyst to clear the cap
Loss of 1.1556 breaks the higher-low chain
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift this read into the ECB
London session pushed EURUSD off the 1.15266 swing low through the 1.15600 round level, printing a session high at 1.15693 with RSI(14) near 70. The advance lines up with the softer dollar as the Iran-Israel halt trims the safe-haven bid; price is consolidating just under the high in the latest bars.
Support: 1.1560, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15693
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.15693 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of 1.15600 round level would stall the uptrend read
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift the EUR read
US CPI Wed is the main external driver into this pair
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong into NY · RSI 72 · price 1.15665
Higher highs / higher lows since mid-session.
EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session, climbing from the 1.1527 session low to a fresh session high at 1.15691 as the dollar's safe-haven bid eased on Iran-Israel de-escalation. RSI(14) is hot near 71 and the last two bars are stalling at the highs, but the higher-low chain remains intact.
Support: 1.1555, 1.1544, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.15691, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 1.15691 exposes the 1.1575 supply cap
Loss of the 1.15550 higher low breaks the intraday up-sequence
US ADP print at 12:15 UTC could disturb this read
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 1.15665
Rising HH/HL chain off intraday low.
EURUSD ground higher through the London session, breaking out of the 1.1530s into a fresh session high at 1.15691 with RSI(14) hot near 71. Climb tracks the USD softening off its highs as Iran-Israel de-escalation trims the safe-haven bid; price holds well above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15503, 1.15362, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15691, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.15691 opens the 1.1575 supply cap
Loss of 1.15503 breaks the rising HL chain
US ADP 12:15 UTC and Lagarde 16:30 UTC could shift the read
EUR/USD ground steadily higher through the London session, last printing 1.15677 at a fresh window high on a clean chain of higher lows off 1.15266. RSI(14) is hot near 73 as price closes in on the 1.1575 supply cap, with USD softer as the Iran-Israel halt trims the safe-haven bid.
Support: 1.1544, 1.1530, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1575 opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1544 breaks the rising-low chain
US CPI tomorrow is the main external driver into the next sessions
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 72 · price 1.15677
Higher highs / higher lows off mid-session low.
EURUSD ground higher through the London session, rallying from the 1.15266 mid-window low to a fresh session high at 1.15683 as the USD safe-haven bid eased. RSI(14) running hot near 71 but no rejection yet; price now pressing the 1.1575 cap flagged ahead of the ECB.
Support: 1.15558, 1.15362, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15683, 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Rejection at 1.1575/1.1600 cap would stall the uptrend
Loss of 1.15362 higher low breaks the HH/HL chain
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC and US CPI Wed could reshape this read
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, NY momentum extending · RSI 73 · price 1.15647
Higher highs / higher lows off mid-window low.
NY session rallied EUR/USD off the 1.15266 low straight into a fresh session high at 1.15658, RSI(14) running hot near 73 as the dollar's safe-haven bid eased on ceasefire headlines. Chain of higher lows intact; 1.15500 round number now acts as the floor of the advance.
Support: 1.1550, 1.15362, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15658, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.15658 opens the path toward the 1.15750 area
Loss of 1.15500 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 1.15362
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD broke the 1.1545 prior high during the London-NY transition and ran to a session high at 1.15658, RSI(14) near 73 and short-term hot. The advance off the 1.15266 session low has held a clean higher-low chain; demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.1536.
Support: 1.1544, 1.15362, 1.15276
Resistance: 1.15658, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15440 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 1.15362
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A push through 1.15658 exposes the 1.1575 area
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 76 · price 1.15625
Fresh session highs, HH/HL chain intact.
EUR pushed up through the London session into NY, breaking the 1.1550 prior cap and printing fresh session highs near 1.15633, RSI(14) running hot above 76. A clean HH/HL chain built off the 1.1527 session low; the move stays disciplined despite the stretched oscillator into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1550, 1.1539, 1.1527
Resistance: 1.15633, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15500 breakout level breaks the HH/HL chain
Acceptance above 1.15633 session high opens 1.15750
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm into NY · RSI 75 · price 1.15625
Higher highs, fresh session highs.
NY session drove EURUSD to fresh session highs at 1.1563 after basing through London near 1.1530, with RSI(14) hot around 74. The 1.1549 breakout shelf now flips to support; rally stalling just under the 1.1575 UOB resistance.
Support: 1.1549, 1.15388, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15633, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1549 breakout shelf reopens the 1.1539 swing low
Close above 1.1575 extends the leg toward the 1.1600 area
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 72 · price 1.15609
Higher highs, breaking above range top.
London session drove EURUSD out of the 1.1527-1.1550 band, printing a session high at 1.1563 with RSI(14) hot near 72. The prior cap at 1.1550 has flipped; price is extending into the 1.1575 resistance noted by UOB.
Support: 1.1550, 1.15395, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15633, 1.1575
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1550 negates the breakout and returns price to range
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift the read
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the main USD-side risk into this rally
EUR ground higher through the European morning, breaking the 1.1544 congestion to print a session high at 1.15633, RSI(14) hot near 71. The leg builds on the recovery from the 1.15266 day low; momentum intact but extended into the 1.1575 resistance cited by UOB.
Support: 1.1544, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15633, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1544 would break the higher-low chain and stall the advance
Acceptance above 1.15633 opens the path to the 1.1575 resistance zone
ECB decision Thu and US CPI are the dominant near-term risks for this pair
EURUSD ground higher through NY hours to a fresh session high at 1.15597, clearing the prior 1.1553 swing on a clean breakout. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but typical for a trending push; demand stepped in repeatedly off the 1.1544 pivot. Move sits inside the 1.1575/1.1600 resistance band flagged by the macro digest.
Support: 1.1544, 1.15266, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1560, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.1575 opens the path to the 1.1600 psych zone
Loss of 1.1544 breaks the rising-low chain and reopens 1.15266
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London session pushed EURUSD to a fresh session high at 1.15597, RSI(14) hot near 71 as the recent leg from 1.15266 extended. Price now sits just under the 1.1575 capped resistance flagged ahead of Lagarde; demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.1539-1.1546 on the way up.
Support: 1.1546, 1.15395, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15597, 1.1575
What it said to watch
A close above 1.15597 opens the path toward 1.1575 capped resistance
Failure to hold 1.15460 swing low stalls the higher-high sequence
Lagarde speech later today could materially shift this read
European session pushed EUR/USD to a new session high at 1.15592, clearing the early-window 1.1554 cap with RSI(14) near 68. Buyers stepped in at the 1.1527 swing low and the higher-low chain stayed intact into the breakout.
Support: 1.1544, 1.1539, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.15440 breaks the higher-low chain
Hold above 1.15592 opens the path toward 1.1575 capped resistance
Lagarde speech today 16:30 UTC could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into London · RSI 66 · price 1.15558
Higher highs / higher lows, at session high.
London hours drove EUR/USD off the 1.15266 low to a fresh session high at 1.15592, now 1.15558 with RSI(14) easing from the high-60s. Structure is a clean chain of higher highs and higher lows; 1.15600 is the next cap flagged into Wednesday's US CPI and Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1544, 1.1539, 1.15276
Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1560
What it said to watch
Sustained move through 1.15600 opens the 1.1575/1.1600 cap zone
Loss of 1.15390 breaks the rising intraday-low chain
US CPI (Wed) is the next catalyst that can reset this read
09:16 UTC
Recovery, pushing to session high · RSI 71 · price 1.15556
Break above Asian range into London.
Asia coiled tight in a 1.1530–1.1535 range; London pushed through it and printed a fresh session high at 1.15565, RSI(14) near 71 and running hot. Demand stepped back in off 1.1540 on the run-up, with the 3-month low at 1.1520 still untested.
Support: 1.1540, 1.1530, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15565, 1.1560
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15300 reopens the 1.15266 swing low
Close above 1.15565 exposes the 1.1600 cap
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant near-term risks
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, recent breakout · RSI 71 · price 1.15556
Higher highs off session low, breaking congestion.
London session lifted EUR/USD off the 1.1527 swing low to a fresh session high near 1.1557, breaking the 1.1545 congestion that had capped most of the day. RSI(14) is hot near 71 as the move extends into midday, with demand having held at the 1.1539 area on the prior dip.
Support: 1.15445, 1.1539, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15565, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.15445 would negate the breakout and put 1.1539 back in play
1.1565/1.1600 is the area to watch for rejection or continuation
US CPI (Wed) and ECB (Thu) are the dominant catalysts that can override this intraday read
Higher lows since mid-window low, pressing session high.
EURUSD ground back up from the 1.15266 session low to retest the 1.15531 session high, holding a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) near 61, no extreme; price above EMA20/50 with ~5 pip ATR. Move is corrective within the broader 3-month-low zone ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.1539, 1.15266, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15531, 1.1560
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15531 opens the path toward the 1.1560 ECB cap
Failure to hold 1.15390 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.15266
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
EURUSD recovered through the London session back to the 1.1550 psych level, capped just below the 1.1545/1.1554 session high where supply has appeared twice. EUR is pinned near 3-month lows ahead of US CPI and Thursday's ECB; this is an intraday bounce within a 1.1527-1.1554 range, RSI(14) firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.1539, 1.1530, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.1550, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15545 invalidates the range top and opens room higher
Loss of rising support near 1.1539 puts 1.15266 swing low back in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term USD driver
EURUSD chopping in a 1.1528–1.1553 range through the Asia and early-London hours, price now recovering to 1.1546 after a dip held above 1.1539. Move stays capped near the session high with EUR pinned close to 3-month lows on a firm USD and Middle East risk overhang.
Support: 1.1539, 1.15276, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15531, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1553 opens the path toward the 1.1575/1.1600 cap
Loss of 1.1528 session low confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.1500 area
US CPI Wed and Thursday's ECB decision are the dominant catalysts for this pair
08:46 UTC
Recovery off lows, range-bound · RSI 54 · price 1.15461
Ranging, higher lows into London.
EUR/USD churning in a 1.1527-1.1553 range through the London morning, pinned near 3-month lows as a firm dollar and Middle East headlines cap the upside. Buyers carved higher lows off the 1.1527 base; session high at 1.1553 still respected with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1539, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15531, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1553 opens the path back toward 1.1575
Loss of 1.1527 reopens the 3-month low at 1.1500
US CPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) is the next cross-asset catalyst and can break this range
08:31 UTC
Range, mild intraday bid · RSI 56 · price 1.15453
Ranging 1.1528-1.1553, near range top.
EURUSD ranging 1.1528-1.1553 with EUR pinned near 3-month lows on a weak German macro tint and firm USD. Asian session was thin and quiet; London open has nudged price back toward the range top after a double-top capped twice near 1.1553. RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1536, 1.1528
Resistance: 1.1553, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1553 invalidates the double-top cap and opens 1.1575
Loss of 1.1528 range low confirms a lower-low toward 3-month lows
US CPI Wednesday and Lagarde speech are the next directional catalysts
London hours have held a tight range, buyers stepping in twice around 1.1527 while the 1.1553 session high keeps capping rallies. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, price holding above EMA20/50 but no fresh breakout in play.
Support: 1.1536, 1.1527, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1553, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1553 opens the path back toward 1.1560
Loss of 1.1527 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1499 Asia low
US CPI Wednesday and Lagarde 16:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Range, no clear momentum · RSI 49 · price 1.15401
Consolidating after Asia rally, holding mid-range.
EURUSD rallied off the 1.1499 Asia low to 1.1554, then settled into a 1.1527–1.1553 range with rejection at the highs; price now sits mid-range near 1.1540 with EUR pinned near 3-month lows on a firm USD. RSI(14) flat around 49, ATR ~5 pips — quiet, no setup in play.
Support: 1.15362, 1.15276, 1.15199
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15531
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1527 reopens the 1.1499 low
Close above 1.1553 breaks the session range top
US CPI Wednesday is the main pre-ECB USD catalyst and could shift this read
EURUSD is grinding sideways into the London session, holding a 1.1527-1.1553 range after tapping the session high. Price stalled near 1.1553 and eased back to 1.1540; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 with no momentum extreme. EUR remains pinned near 3-month lows with the ECB decision Thursday and US CPI Wednesday still ahead.
Support: 1.15362, 1.15276, 1.1505
Resistance: 1.15531, 1.1547
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1553 session high would extend the intraday up-leg
Loss of 1.1536 swing low exposes 1.1527 range low
US CPI Wednesday is the main near-term driver and could break this range
08:01 UTC
Range, recent push faded · RSI 49 · price 1.15377
Consolidating 1.1528–1.1553 after rejection of session high.
EURUSD ranging 1.1528–1.1553 through the London session, with the push to 1.15531 rejected and price slipping back under the short EMAs near 1.15377. EUR remains pinned near 3-month lows with the ECB decision Thursday; price is holding the 38.2% retrace of the earlier 1.14994–1.15545 rally.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1515
Resistance: 1.15461, 1.15531
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15531 invalidates the range top and opens 1.1560+
Break below 1.15276 confirms a lower low
US CPI Wednesday is the main pre-ECB USD driver and can reset this range
08:01 UTC
Sideways, no directional momentum · RSI 48 · price 1.15377
Intraday range, capped below 1.1555.
EURUSD is ranging 1.1537–1.1555 after fading from the 1.15531 session high, with EUR pinned near 3-month lows on soft German data and a firm USD. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 and ATR is thin at ~5 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1537, 1.15276, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15498, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1537 exposes the 1.15276 swing low
M15 close above 1.15545 breaks the range top
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC and US CPI Wednesday could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 51 · price 1.15413
Ranging below session high after rejection.
London session pushed EURUSD to a session high of 1.1553 before fading back to 1.1541; the move stalled into resistance and price now sits just under the EMA20. After a quiet Asian range near 1.1530-1.1535, the pair is holding above the 1.1527 swing low with no clean break in either direction.
Support: 1.1527, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1553, 1.1575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1553 reopens the path toward the 1.1575 cap
Failure to hold 1.1527 exposes the 1.1499 3-month low
US CPI Wednesday is the main pre-ECB USD driver and could shift this read
London session lifted EUR off 1.1527 into a session high at 1.1553, where price was rejected and has eased back toward 1.1540, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. The pair stays pinned near 3-month lows with USD bid into Wednesday's US CPI; the intraday higher-low chain off 1.1527 is still intact.
Support: 1.15395, 1.15266, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15531
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.1553 reopens the path to 1.1575
Loss of 1.1527 session low negates the intraday higher-low chain
US May CPI Wednesday is the main USD catalyst and can shift this read
07:31 UTC
Range, edging higher · RSI 51 · price 1.15388
Broad range 1.1528-1.1554, recent push rejected at session high.
Early London is grinding inside a 1.1528-1.1554 range; the push to the 1.15531 session high was rejected and price has eased back to 1.15388, RSI(14) flat near 51. EUR remains pinned near 3-month lows with US CPI Wednesday the next catalyst.
Support: 1.15276, 1.15161, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15531, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15545 opens room beyond the range top
Failure to hold 1.15276 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1516
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 50 · price 1.15388
Intraday range, pullback from rejection.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.15531 session high during the London morning and faded back to 1.15388, with EUR pinned near 3-month lows on USD strength ahead of Wednesday's US CPI. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range; price now sits between the 1.15276 swing low and the 1.15531 cap.
Support: 1.15276, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15531, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15531 reopens the 1.15545 prior high
Loss of 1.15276 exposes the 1.14994 range low
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift this read
07:16 UTC
Range-bound after intraday recovery · RSI 50 · price 1.15393
Rotating below session high, capped near 1.1553.
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1499 session low to print a session high at 1.1553 during London-NY hours, then faded back to 1.1539 as USD stayed bid near 2-month highs. Price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) flat around 50; rejection at 1.1553 keeps the recent range intact ahead of London open.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1500, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15531, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1553 reopens the path toward 1.1575
Failure to hold 1.1528 swing low exposes 1.1500
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC and US CPI Wednesday are the next directional catalysts
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 51 · price 1.15393
Higher lows since the 1.1499 base; rejection at session high.
London push tagged 1.15531 before rejecting, with price now back to 1.15393 sitting on the 50% retrace of the prior NY up-leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s as the move from the 1.14994 session low consolidates; EUR remains pinned near 3-month lows ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.15276, 1.15161, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15531, 1.15479
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15531 reopens the path toward the 1.1575 cap
Loss of 1.15276 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI Wednesday is the main pre-ECB USD driver and could reset this read
07:01 UTC
Ranging, recent leg higher · RSI 61 · price 1.15466
Range-bound, drifting toward range top.
Asia session ground higher, reclaiming the upper half of the day's 1.1500–1.1555 range and stalling just under session high 1.1553. RSI(14) near 60 after the bounce off the 0.5 retrace at 1.1527; EUR stays pinned near 3-month lows with the ECB hike priced.
Support: 1.1539, 1.15276, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15531
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1553 session high opens the 1.1575 supply cap
Failure to hold 1.1527 swing low reopens the 1.1500 3-month low
US CPI Wednesday is the main pre-ECB USD driver
07:01 UTC
Recovery grind, momentum up · RSI 62 · price 1.15466
Higher lows off session low, retesting session high.
EURUSD held above the 1.1500 session low through Asia and ground higher into the London open, retesting the 1.15531 session high before easing to 1.15466. Higher lows have built off the 1.15276 swing; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1539, 1.15276, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15531, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15531 session high opens path toward the 1.1560 round number
Failure to hold the 1.15390 intraday low exposes the 1.15276 swing low
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift the EUR read ahead of Thursday's ECB
06:46 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 62 · price 1.1545
Rising lows under a capped swing high.
Asian-into-London hours ground EUR/USD back up to the 1.1554 swing high on a chain of rising lows after holding the 1.1530 range floor; RSI(14) near 62, price above EMA20/50. Pair is coiling under a double-top at 1.1554 with the 3-month low at 1.1505 well below.
Support: 1.1530, 1.1505
Resistance: 1.1554, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1554 opens room toward 1.1560
loss of 1.1530 range floor exposes the 1.1505 3-month low
US CPI Wednesday is the main USD catalyst into this read
London session lifted EUR back toward the session high at 1.1555 after the 1.1530 range floor held repeatedly through Asia. Price has held a 1.1500-1.1555 range all 24h; the move sits within that range with RSI(14) firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.1530, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1575
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1555 opens the path toward the 1.1575 cap
Failure to hold 1.1530 reopens the 1.1500 3-month low
US CPI Wednesday is the main pre-ECB driver and could shift this read
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 67 · price 1.15485
Higher lows, breaking consolidation top.
EUR ground higher through the European morning, breaking the 1.1530–1.1540 consolidation and pressing the session high at 1.15531, RSI(14) firm near 67. Buyers stepped in repeatedly along a rising base off 1.15276 with price pinned just under 1.1554 ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.15391, 1.15276
Resistance: 1.15531, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15545 opens the path to the 1.1575 area
Loss of 1.15391 rising support negates the breakout read
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London session pushed EUR back above the 1.1540 consolidation toward the session high at 1.15545, RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not extreme. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.1527 through the Asia-London transition; the higher-low chain remains intact as price holds the recovery off 3-month lows.
Support: 1.15395, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.15395 negates the breakout and re-opens 1.15266
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
Rejection at 1.15545 caps the session range top
06:16 UTC
Recovering, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 1.15495
Double bottom off 1.1527, retesting day's high.
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.1527 through the Asian session and has climbed back to 1.15495, retesting the day's high at 1.15545 as RSI(14) firms into the low-60s. Price holds above EMA20/50 with the pair pinned just above the 1.1500 3-month low into a heavy event week.
Support: 1.15276, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15545 opens the path toward 1.1560
Failure to hold 1.1527 reopens the 1.1500 3-mo low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London open lifted EURUSD off the Asian range toward the 1.15545 swing high, RSI(14) firm near 68 but not extreme. Demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.1528 overnight; price now grinding higher into the prior session high with EUR pinned just above 1.1500 ahead of Wednesday's US CPI and Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1539, 1.15276
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1560
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15545 opens the 1.1560/1.1600 cap noted in context
Loss of 1.15390 reopens the 1.15276 session low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR climbed off the 1.14994 intraday low and is grinding through early London, holding the 1.15391 pullback low and pressing back toward the session high at 1.15479. RSI mid-60s, no extreme; price hugging the upper consolidation band after recovering near 3-month-low support.
Support: 1.15391, 1.15276, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15479, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15479 opens the path to 1.15545 swing high
Failure to hold 1.15391 exposes the 1.15276 swing low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:01 UTC
Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 58 · price 1.15431
Higher lows under 1.1548 cap.
London session edging back toward the 1.15479 session high after holding higher lows around 1.1540, with EUR pinned near 3-month lows ahead of Wednesday's US CPI. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, ATR a thin ~5 pips reflecting a tight overnight-to-London grind.
Support: 1.15391, 1.15276, 1.15016
Resistance: 1.15479, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15479 opens the path to the 1.15545 prior high
Loss of 1.15276 confirms a lower low and reopens the 1.15016 session low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Grinding higher above 1.1500, chain of higher lows.
EURUSD ground higher off the 1.1527 swing low through the Asia-London handover, tagging the session high at 1.1548 with RSI(14) near 61. Price holds above EMA20/50 and remains consolidated above the 1.1500 handle ahead of US CPI and Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15479, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1554 opens path back toward the prior-day high
Failure to hold 1.1527 swing low exposes the 1.1500 psych level
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian range broken to the upside, pressing yesterday's swing high.
Early London is lifting EUR back toward yesterday's 1.15545 swing high after an Asian session that coiled tightly between 1.1530 and 1.1540. The 1.15479 session high is the immediate cap; RSI mid-60s leaves room before stretch. EUR remains pinned near 3-month lows with ECB Thursday and US CPI Wednesday in view.
Support: 1.15391, 1.15276, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15479, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15479 opens the path to 1.15545
Failure to hold 1.15391 reopens the Asian range toward 1.15276
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 58 · price 1.15425
Ranging above 1.1500, holding mid-range.
EUR is grinding within 1.1530–1.1548 in Asian hours after bouncing off the 1.1500 psych level to a 1.15545 session high earlier. Price reclaimed 1.1545 on the last push, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with no extreme. Tight ATR (~6 pips) — chop, no clean setup as the market sits on its hands into Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.1539, 1.15276, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1548, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15545 session high opens room toward the 1.1575 zone
Loss of 1.15276 swing low reopens the 1.1500 psych level
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu can materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 57 · price 1.15425
Consolidation between session low and high.
EURUSD bounced off the 1.14994 session low and rallied to 1.15545 before settling into a tight 1.1528–1.1546 range through the Asia session. Price is ticking back toward the 1.15479 recent high into the London handover, RSI(14) mid-50s with no extreme. Pair pinned near 3-month lows ahead of Wednesday's US CPI and Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15479, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15479 opens a retest of the 1.15545 session high
Loss of 1.15276 reopens the 1.15140/1.14994 lows
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian session ground back up off the 1.1500 area, recovering into the 1.1545/1.1555 supply zone where the latest push stalled and faded to 1.1540. Choppy range with RSI(14) neutral near 58; EUR is pinned just above 3-month lows ahead of US CPI Wednesday and ECB Thursday.
Support: 1.15266, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15479, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1555 swing high opens room higher; rejection there keeps the range intact
Failure to hold 1.1527 swing low reopens the 1.1500 area
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Range with rising intraday lows, session-high retest.
EUR held a tight 1.1530–1.1545 band through a thin Asia session, then ticked up into early London with a probe to the 1.15479 session high before fading to 1.1540. RSI(14) near 58, no extreme; price sits above EMA20/50 on rising intraday lows but the move stalled at the session high.
Support: 1.1530, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15479, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15479 opens the path to the 1.15545 prior high
Loss of 1.15300 range floor exposes the 1.15266 swing low
ECB Thu and US CPI Wed are the dominant near-term risks for this pair
05:01 UTC
Recovering off lows, near session highs · RSI 63 · price 1.15445
Consolidation above 1.1500 after bounce from 3-mo low.
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1499 three-month low through London-NY yesterday, peaking at the 1.1555 session high before consolidating 1.1527–1.1545 overnight. Current bars are edging back toward the recent high at 1.1548; RSI mid-60s, ATR around 9 pips.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15479, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1548 opens the 1.1555 session high
Loss of 1.1527 swing low reopens the 1.1500 psych level
German Trade Balance / Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could move EUR
05:01 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 1.15445
Range, pressing session high.
Price bounced off the 1.1499 session low through London-NY and built a range between 1.1527 and 1.1554; Asian hours were thin and inside the range. London open is now pushing back toward the 1.15479 session high with RSI(14) firming near 63, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1530, 1.1516, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15479, 1.15545, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15545 opens a retest of the prior high zone
Loss of 1.1530 reopens the 1.14994 session low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
EUR recovered from the 1.1499 three-month low set during the prior session and has been consolidating in a tight 1.1528–1.1555 band through quiet Asian hours, with a small push back toward the session high on the last two bars. RSI(14) near 63 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — range conditions, no extension yet.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1575
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1555 opens the path to the 1.1575 resistance zone
Failure to hold 1.1528 risks a retest of the 1.1500 handle
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
EUR carved a rounded recovery off the 1.1500 session low, peaking at 1.15545 before settling into a 1.1527-1.1545 range through Asia. The last two bars are pressing the range top at 1.1545 with RSI near 62 — buyers stepping in on each dip to 1.1527.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.1560
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15545 swing high opens the path to the 1.1560/1.1600 ECB resistance zone
Failure to hold 1.15276 swing low reopens the 1.1500 session low
London open could expand the Asian range either direction
04:31 UTC
Range, drifting toward top · RSI 62 · price 1.15406
Consolidation in upper half of intraday range.
After London/NY rallied off 1.1499 to the 1.1554 session high, the Asian session ranged thin between 1.1527 and 1.1545. Price is grinding back toward range top at 1.1544 into the European open, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15436, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15436 opens the path to the 1.15545 session high
Thin Asian-hours grind: EURUSD recovered off the 1.15276 session low back toward the 1.15493/1.15545 range top, RSI(14) near 61. Pair remains boxed inside the 24h range with EUR pinned near 3-month lows ahead of US CPI and Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1516, 1.15016
Resistance: 1.15493, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15545 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 1.15276 reopens the 1.15016 range low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Tight range near session high after bounce from 1.1499.
EUR/USD bounced off the 1.1499 three-month low and ground back to the 1.1539 session high during Asia hours, RSI(14) mid-50s with ATR cooling to ~13 pips. Price is coiling just under session resistance ahead of the London open, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15393, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15393 opens the path back toward 1.1545/1.1555
Loss of 1.15276 reopens the 1.1500 three-month low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC dominates positioning into the back half of the week
Asian-session range in upper third of prior swing.
Asia session grinding sideways in the upper third of the London bounce off 1.1502, price drifting toward the 1.1540 session high on thin pre-London volume. RSI(14) neutral near 58; the broader leg is the recovery from three-month lows ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.15016
Resistance: 1.15425, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15425 reopens the 1.15545 prior high
Failure to hold 1.15276 exposes the 1.15140 session low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.15371
Tight consolidation above intraday base.
EURUSD is locked in a tight 1.1530–1.1540 range through the thin Asia session after London/NY rallied off the 1.1499 base to 1.1554 then drifted back. Volume has dried up into the pre-London hours with RSI(14) flat near 53 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1530, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.15493, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15400 reopens the 1.15493/1.15545 session highs
Loss of 1.15276 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.14994 base
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu are the dominant upcoming risks
04:01 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.15371
Consolidation in upper half of range.
EUR/USD recovered from the 1.1499 session low during London hours and peaked at 1.1545 before stalling. Price is now grinding in a tight 1.1528-1.1545 band through quiet Asia hours, RSI(14) flat near 54 with no momentum either way.
Support: 1.1528, 1.15188, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1575
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1528 reopens the 1.1499 session low
M15 close above 1.1545 puts 1.1575 cap in play
EZ Industrial Production 06:00 UTC could break the range
Quiet Asia session grind: EUR/USD has clawed back to 1.1537 after basing at 1.15266, posting a series of higher lows but stalling under the 1.15410 prior high. The pair sits ~0.9% below Friday's USD-driven highs and pinned near three-month lows with ECB on Thursday.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1530, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1541, 1.15493, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15410 opens the path to 1.15493 then session high 1.15545
Loss of 1.15276 reopens the move toward session low 1.14994
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde tone could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Rangebound after bounce off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.15375
Asian range inside prior bounce, mid-range drift.
EUR/USD is grinding in a tight Asian range around 1.1530-1.1545 after London/NY rallied it off the 1.1499 three-month low to 1.15545. Volume is thin and RSI(14) sits neutral near 55; no setup in play while the swing high at 1.15545 caps and 1.15276 holds beneath.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15473 reopens the 1.15545 swing high
Close below 1.15276 puts the 1.1500 3-mo low back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde will reset this range
Asia session is thin and grinding higher, with price ticking up from 1.1527 toward the 1.1540 minor cap after the earlier recovery off the 1.1499 three-month low. ATR(14) is compressed near 3 pips and RSI mid-range — no directional thrust into the European open.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1514, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.15473, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15473 reopens the 1.15545 swing high
Loss of 1.15266 ends the session uptick and exposes 1.1514
US CPI (Wed) and ECB (Thu) are the dominant risks ahead
Asian session grinding higher off 1.15266, reclaiming 1.1537 with RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Price boxed between the 1.15399 session high and the 1.1527 base after yesterday's NY drift; no clean breakout in play.
Support: 1.15266, 1.14994, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15399, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15399 opens the path to 1.15545
Loss of 1.15266 negates the Asian recovery and exposes 1.1500
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
EURUSD is grinding higher through the Asia session after recovering off the 1.1499 three-month low, now pressing 1.1540 with a chain of higher lows since 1.15276. RSI mid-range and ATR thin (~4 pips) — momentum is slow and the 1.1545 swing high still caps.
Support: 1.1530, 1.15276, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1545 opens the 1.15545 session high
Loss of 1.1530 breaks the higher-low chain
EZ Industrial Production 06:00 UTC could disturb the thin Asia range
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant risks ahead
EURUSD is ranging between 1.1528 and 1.1545 in thin late-Asia trade, grinding back to 1.1540 with a chain of higher lows off the 1.15276 session low. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 58, no extreme; price holds just above EMA20/50 with no setup in play.
Support: 1.15276, 1.15016
Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1545 opens a retest of the 1.15545 session high
Failure to hold 1.15276 reopens the 1.1502 window low
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant pending risks for this pair
03:01 UTC
Rebound off lows, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 1.15366
Tight Asia range above 1.1530 after London/NY push to 1.1554.
EUR/USD rebounded off the 1.1499 session low during London/NY hours to tag 1.15545, then settled into a tight Asia-session range around 1.1535. RSI(14) neutral near mid-50s; price holding above EMA20/50 but capped below the 1.1547 swing high.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15473 reopens the 1.15545 session high
Loss of 1.15276 range low exposes 1.1514 and the 1.1499 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 56 · price 1.15366
Tight consolidation above range low.
Asia session grinding in a tight 1.1530-1.1545 band after the earlier rejection at the 1.15545 session high. RSI(14) neutral near 56 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips — no intraday setup in play. Price holds well above the 1.1500 range low into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1530, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1545 reopens the 1.15545 session high
Loss of the 1.1530 floor exposes the 1.1500 range low
Consolidation above 1.1527 after rally from 1.1499.
EUR bounced from the 1.1499 three-month low to a 1.15545 session high during NY hours, then settled into a tight consolidation between 1.1527 and 1.1546. Asian session is grinding higher again on thin volume, currently 1.1538 with RSI mid-range and no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15473 reopens the 1.15545 session high
Loss of 1.15276 swing low exposes the 1.1500 three-month low
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the dominant upcoming risks to this read
02:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 57 · price 1.15382
Ranging in upper half of session range.
EURUSD recovered from the 1.14994 session low to tag 1.15545 before settling into a quiet Asia-session range between 1.15276 and 1.15440. Price grinds at 1.15382 with RSI mid-range; no setup in play, low volume into the new session.
Support: 1.15276, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15440 reopens the 1.15545 session high
Loss of 1.15276 exposes the 1.14994 session low
ECB Thu and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, Asia grind higher · RSI 58 · price 1.15385
Consolidation above 1.1530 after London bounce.
EURUSD bounced from the 1.1499 three-month low during London and has spent the Asia session grinding 1.1528–1.1540, currently 1.1538. Demand stepped in twice at 1.1528; the 1.1540/1.1549 zone is capping for now with RSI(14) neutral near 58.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.15016
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.15493, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1528 swing low reopens the 1.1516 then 1.1499 lows
Break above 1.1549 prior high exposes 1.1554 session high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
EURUSD has ground higher off 1.1528 through thin Asia-session liquidity, holding above EMA20/50 near 1.1538 after stabilising above the 1.1500 three-month low. Move is contained within a 1.1500–1.1555 range; RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme. Price sits near the 38.2% retrace of the prior 1.1502–1.1554 leg.
Support: 1.15276, 1.15016, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15464, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15464 prior high opens the path back to 1.15545 session high
Loss of 1.15276 swing low re-exposes the 1.1500 round number and 1.15016 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating after rebound, higher lows building.
EURUSD recovered through the prior session from the 1.14994 low to a 1.15545 high, then settled into a tight 1.1527–1.1545 range. Asia hours are grinding higher off the 1.15266 swing low with RSI(14) neutral near 57; price holding above EMA20/50 but capped under 1.15473.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1514, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15266 reopens the 1.15140 / 1.14994 lows
Close above 1.15473 puts the 1.15545 session high back in play
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu are the week's catalysts — range likely holds until then
02:16 UTC
Recovery off session low, drifting up · RSI 58 · price 1.15383
Consolidating in upper half of 24h range.
Quiet Asia session grinding higher off the 1.14994 session low, now sitting at 1.15383 inside the upper half of the 24h range. London produced the swing high at 1.15545; price has since coiled between 1.15266 and 1.15473 with RSI mid-range, no breakout in play.
Support: 1.15266, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15473 opens the 1.15545 session high
Failure to hold 1.15266 reopens the 1.14994 session low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
EUR clawed back off the 1.1499 three-month low and is grinding higher through quiet Asian hours, now pressing 1.15394 below the 1.15473 swing high. Price is consolidating in a 1.1528–1.1547 band after the earlier rally to 1.15545; momentum is constructive but unconvincing into the week's data.
Support: 1.15276, 1.1514, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15473, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15473 reopens the 1.15545 session high
Loss of 1.15276 swing low exposes 1.15140 then the 1.1499 floor
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Range-bound after NY pullback, holding higher lows.
Price ground off the 1.15545 NY high to a 1.15279 session low, then recovered through quiet Asia hours to retest 1.15394. EUR is pinned near three-month lows, consolidating Friday's NFP-driven sell-off; intraday structure is a tight range with buyers stepping in around 1.1528.
Support: 1.15276, 1.15016
Resistance: 1.15467, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15467 reopens the 1.15545 high
Loss of 1.15276 exposes the 1.15016 swing low
EZ Industrial Production 06:00 UTC could shift the Asia range read
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst this week
EUR/USD rebounded from 1.1502 to a session high at 1.1554 then settled into a tight range in the low 1.1530s through the quiet Asian hours, ticking up to 1.1537 into the close. EUR remains pinned just above its three-month low with ECB Thursday and US CPI Wednesday the dominant overhangs; the 1.1527 swing low has been defended twice.
Support: 1.1527, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.1554
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1527 reopens the 1.1502 window low
Break above 1.1554 needed to extend the recovery
US CPI Wed and ECB Thu can override this intraday range
London/NY carved a 1.1502–1.1555 range before thin Asia-session liquidity left price grinding back up to 1.1537 off the 1.1527 recent low. RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme — sitting in the middle of the day's range with no setup in play ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.15266, 1.15016, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1527 reopens the 1.1502 swing low
Close above 1.1545 puts the 1.1555 session high back in play
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next material catalyst for this read
Consolidation inside Asian range after NY rally faded.
EURUSD coiled in a tight Asian range between 1.1528 and 1.1545 after the NY rally to the 1.1554 session high stalled. Volume thinned and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 51 — no setup in play, price hovering 1.1535 just above EMA20 and below EMA50.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1554
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1528 reopens the 1.1500 psych floor / 3-month low
Close above 1.1545 puts the 1.1554 session high back in play
German/EZ Industrial Production at 06:00 UTC could break the Asian range
01:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 1.1535
Tight Asian consolidation after rebound from 1.1499.
EURUSD is grinding in a tight Asian-session range around 1.1530 after rebounding off the 1.1499 three-month low and topping at 1.1554. Volume thin and RSI(14) neutral near 53; no setup in play, price coiling between 1.1527 and 1.1540.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1500 reopens the three-month low path toward 1.1490/1.1445
Close above 1.1554 swing high re-engages upside momentum
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu could materially shift this read
Consolidation after intraday fade from session high.
Asian session is grinding in a tight 1.1527–1.1534 band after London/NY faded the 1.15545 session high back below 1.1540. RSI(14) sits near 50 and ATR has collapsed to a few pips — no directional development in play, price hovering near the 38.2% retrace of the 1.15016–1.15545 leg.
Support: 1.15266, 1.15016, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1540 reopens the 1.15545 session high
Loss of 1.15266 exposes 1.1520 then the 1.15016 swing low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu can override this range read
EUR rallied off the 1.14994 session low through London-NY to a 1.15545 swing high, then faded back into a tight Asian-session consolidation around 1.1530. Volume has thinned and price is chopping between the 1.15276 swing low and the 1.15436 prior high with no directional momentum.
Support: 1.15276, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15436, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15436 prior high reopens the 1.15545 swing high
Break below 1.15276 swing low exposes the 1.14994 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and US CPI Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead
01:01 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.15316
Consolidation below session high after NY rejection.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.15545 session high through NY and has gone flat in the Asian session, ticking between 1.15276 and 1.15436 just above the 1.1500 three-month floor. RSI(14) neutral near 46, ATR thin in quiet hours — no setup in play.
Support: 1.15276, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15436, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Break above 1.15436 reopens the 1.15545 session high
Loss of 1.15276 puts the 1.14994 swing low back in focus
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu the dominant catalysts ahead
01:01 UTC
Rangebound after intraday recovery · RSI 47 · price 1.15316
Tight Asia range below session high.
London/NY lifted EUR off the 1.14994 three-month low to a 1.15545 session high before Asia settled into a tight 1.1527–1.1535 range on thin volume. Price now hovers near 1.1531, sitting just under EMA20/50 with RSI neutral.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1500, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15545, 1.15473
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15266 reopens the 1.1500/1.14994 floor
Break above 1.15545 needed to resume the recovery leg
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and ECB Thu can override this intraday read
00:46 UTC
Pullback within Asia range · RSI 43 · price 1.15298
Ranging after intraday peak, lower highs.
EUR/USD ran to a session high of 1.15545 during London-NY hours then faded back into a tight Asia-session range around 1.15270–1.15340, with EUR still pinned near three-month lows above 1.1500. RSI(14) near 43, volume thin into the Asian open; no setup in play.
Support: 1.15266, 1.15016, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1534, 1.15473, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15266 reopens the path to 1.15016 session low
M15 close above 1.15340 puts 1.15473 back in play
Lagarde speech (Tue 16:30 UTC) and Thursday's ECB decision could materially shift this read
EURUSD held a tight London-NY range, topping at 1.1545 before fading into Asia as USD stayed bid post-NFP. Price now drifts at 1.1530 below both EMAs, RSI(14) at 42 with no momentum extreme; thin Asian-session volume.
Support: 1.15266, 1.15016, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15464, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1527 reopens 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.1546 needed to challenge 1.1554 london high
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 42 · price 1.15283
Consolidation below faded NY high.
EUR pinned near 1.1500 three-month lows; NY rally peaked at 1.15545 then faded, and the Asian session is ranging quietly between 1.15266 and the 1.15355 range top, price below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 41 — no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.15266, 1.15016
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15266 reopens the path toward the 1.15016 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15355 range top needed to challenge the 1.15545 swing high
Lagarde speech 16:30 UTC could shift this read ahead of Thursday's ECB
Quiet Asia session, EUR/USD ticking lower into 1.1528 after the London-NY push faded from the 1.1554 session high. Price holds below EMA20/50 and is parked on the 50% retrace of the 1.1502–1.1554 leg; no setup in play with volume thin.
Support: 1.15266, 1.15016, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.15474, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15266 reopens the 1.1500 session-low zone
Reclaim of 1.15350 negates the lower-high drift
Lagarde speech (Tue 16:30 UTC) and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 41 · price 1.15284
Consolidation below 1.1545 after rejection of session high.
London/NY drove EUR off the 1.1500 three-month low to a 1.15545 session high before the move stalled and drifted back to 1.1528. Asia hours are thin and range-bound between 1.15266 and 1.1545, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s with price sitting under EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1514, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15415, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1545 reopens the 1.15545 session high
Loss of 1.15266 exposes 1.1514 then the 1.1500 three-month low
Lagarde speech later today and US CPI Wed could shift this read
00:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.15284
Pullback into mid-range after topping at 1.1554.
Asia session grinding sideways after the prior session topped at 1.1554; price has drifted back to the 50% retracement of the 1.1499–1.1554 leg near 1.1528, holding below EMA20/50. RSI(14) mid-range and ATR ~17 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 1.15266, 1.15016
Resistance: 1.15418, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15266 reopens the path to the 1.1499 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15545 session high needed to revive upside
Lagarde speech (Tue 16:30 UTC) ahead — could materially shift this read
NY session pushed to a high at 1.15545 then settled into a 1.1530–1.1540 range; the thin late-Asia tape is now drifting off that floor toward 1.15268. EUR stays pinned near three-month lows with the move capped ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.15174, 1.15016
Resistance: 1.15375, 1.15545
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15174 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1500 area
Reclaim of 1.15375 puts the 1.15545 session high back in play
US CPI Wednesday is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Consolidation under session high after recovery from 1.1500.
EUR recovered off the 1.1500 swing low through London-NY, capping at the 1.15545 swing high before settling into a 1.1530-1.1545 range top. Thin Asia-session tape has price drifting back to retest mid-range near 1.1527, RSI cooling into the low 40s. Quiet positioning ahead of Wednesday's US CPI.
Support: 1.15016, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15545
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15016 swing low opens the 1.1500 psych level
M15 close back above 1.1545 range top reclaims the upper range
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst