EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 14 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Consolidation after CPI spike, drifting off highs · RSI 51 · price 1.14234
Post-spike range, holding above session low.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print, then faded through the NY session and has spent the thin Asia hours ranging tight between 1.14171 and 1.14260. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips; a gentle recovery off the session low is underway but the range top still caps.
Support: 1.14171, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14548, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14260 range top would reopen the post-cpi 1.14548 zone
Failure to hold 1.14171 session low confirms a lower-low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
23:46 UTC
Range after CPI spike, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.14234
Consolidating below spike high, tight Asian range.
Soft US June CPI drove a spike to the 1.1462 three-week high, which was rejected and bled back through NY. Price now consolidates around 1.1420 in a very thin Asian session (last-bar volume near zero), RSI flat near 54.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14260 puts the 1.14450 spike high back in play
Loss of 1.14170 opens the path toward 1.1360
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could break this Asian range
23:32 UTC
Range, grinding up off lows · RSI 58 · price 1.14228
Consolidating below CPI spike high.
The soft US CPI print spiked EURUSD to 1.14619 on heavy volume before an orderly bleed back to 1.14159. Since then the pair has ground sideways in a tight 1.14170–1.14260 band through the low-volume Asia session, RSI(14) recovering to ~58 with price back above EMA20.
Support: 1.1417, 1.14159
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14260 range top would extend the recovery toward the 1.14619 spike high
Loss of 1.14170 opens a retest of the 1.14159 swing low
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Up-spike faded, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.14228
Post-spike consolidation, drifting sideways.
Soft US CPI drove a sharp spike to 1.14619 during NY hours, which then faded back below 1.1430. Price is now consolidating thin in the Asian session around 1.1420, holding the 1.14159 session low with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14159 session low would confirm continuation lower
M15 close back above 1.14280 reopens the 1.1450 zone
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
23:17 UTC
Range after CPI spike faded · RSI 51 · price 1.14216
Consolidation near session lows.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 during NY hours on the soft US June CPI print, then rejected and unwound most of the move. Price has since coiled into a tight 1.14159–1.14280 range through the quiet Asia session, with RSI(14) flat near 51.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1434, 1.14575
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 opens a lower low toward 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.14280 range top would reopen the spike-high zone at 1.14575
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could shift this range read
23:16 UTC
Pullback after spike, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14216
Consolidation below rejected CPI spike high.
The post-CPI spike to 1.14619 was sharply rejected and price bled back to ~1.1420. Low-volume Asia session now consolidating between 1.1417 and 1.1426, RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1433, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14260 reopens the path toward the 1.14619 spike high
Break below 1.14159 confirms a lower low and ends the range
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US June CPI at 12:30 GMT, then faded back and settled into a 1.1417–1.1426 range through the NY afternoon and thin Asia hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 45 and ATR is compressed to ~2.5 pips, reflecting the low-liquidity late session.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14257, 1.14548
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1417 opens the 1.1390 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14257 range top puts the 1.14548 spike high back in play
German HICP (Wed 07:00 GMT) and US PPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) could break this range
23:02 UTC
Faded from spike, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14195
Consolidation under descending highs.
NY session spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US CPI unwind, then faded hard and gave most of it back. Since then price has coiled into a thin 1.1416–1.1426 Asia range, sitting right on the 50% retrace of the spike leg near 1.1420 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1450, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1426 range top opens a retest toward 1.1450
Break of 1.1416 session low confirms a lower-low
Liquidity is thin into late Asia; US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could reset the range read
22:47 UTC
Pullback after spike, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.14208
Consolidating near lows after rejection of the 1.1462 spike high.
The CPI-miss spike to 1.14619 was fully rejected, and price bled back to consolidate 1.1417–1.1425 through a thin Asia session with ATR compressed to ~3 pips. Micro-structure is flat and low-conviction after the earlier lower-high chain into 1.1416.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14450 range top needed to negate the pullback
Volume/volatility pickup at London open likely resolves the Asian coil
22:47 UTC
Post-spike fade, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14208
Tight consolidation after CPI spike, drifting toward session lows.
EUR spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI miss, then faded through the NY session back under 1.1425 as the move fully unwound. Price now consolidates thin between 1.1417 and 1.1425 in Asia hours, sitting below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 43.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1417 swing low opens the 1.1390 range pivot
Reclaim of the 1.1450 range top needed to retest the 1.14619 spike high
US PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
22:32 UTC
Range after CPI spike, drifting to lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14201
Consolidation below spike high, near post-spike lows.
EUR gapped up to a 1.14619 session high on the soft US June CPI miss, then unwound the spike through the NY session. Now consolidating 1.14159–1.14257 near the post-spike lows on thin Asia-session volume, RSI(14) flat mid-40s.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1404
Resistance: 1.14257, 1.14549, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14257 range top opens a retest toward the 1.14549 spike zone
Loss of 1.14159 session low confirms a lower low
US PPI and German HICP Wed could reshape this range read
22:32 UTC
Pullback after CPI spike, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14201
Consolidating below faded spike high.
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 GMT spiked EURUSD to 1.14619 before the move faded through the NY session back to 1.1420. Low-liquidity Asian session now has price pinned in a tight 1.1417–1.1426 band, RSI(14) mid-40s; the CPI spike high has not been retested.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14260 needed to challenge the 1.14500 prior high
Loss of 1.14159 swing low opens 1.14000 round number
US PPI + Warsh testimony Wed 12:30/14:00 GMT could shift this read
22:17 UTC
Downtrend post-spike, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.1419
Faded from session high, consolidating near lows.
Soft US June CPI spiked EUR to a 1.14619 session high at the NY release, but the move was rejected and faded through NY hours back to ~1.1416. Asia session is thin and flat around 1.1419, holding just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1425 would challenge the intraday downtrend
Break of 1.1416 session low opens the 1.1410 pivot
Wed German HICP and US PPI could reprice this range
The soft US June CPI print spiked EURUSD to 1.1462 around the 12:30 GMT release ~10h ago, but the move was fully rejected and price bled back to ~1.1419. Now grinding sideways just under EMA20 in thin Asian-hours trade, holding the 1.1416 session low.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1445, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1416 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1425 swing high reopens the 1.1445 area
Lower highs since CPI spike, drifting into support.
Soft US CPI drove a spike to 1.14619 during NY hours, which faded quickly into a string of lower highs. Price has since ground back to the 1.1417 support cluster on thin late-session liquidity, holding just above the swing low at 1.14159.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14341
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14260 negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.14159 opens the 1.1410 support zone
Liquidity thin into Asia; moves may be exaggerated
22:02 UTC
Faded off spike high, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14184
Post-spike fade into consolidation near session low.
The soft US CPI miss spiked EUR to 1.14619 during NY, then price faded steadily back to 1.1418, rejecting the highs and slipping below EMA20/EMA50. Late-NY/Asia hours are thin and flat, consolidating just above the 1.14159 session low with RSI mid-40s.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14257, 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14257 range top reopens the 1.1445 shelf
Loss of 1.14159 session low exposes 1.1410 round number and the 1.1390 pivot zone
Warsh testimony and US PPI Wed could materially shift this read
Spike into 1.14619 fully retraced, now consolidating at session lows.
A sharp NY-hours spike drove EURUSD to 1.14619 on the soft US CPI read before the entire move faded back through the 1.1450 range top — a clean false break. Price has since drifted to session lows around 1.1417 on thinning late-session volume, RSI sitting mid-range.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1417 opens 1.1400 then the 1.1390 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14250 needed to re-engage the 1.1450 range top
Warsh testimony and Core PPI Wed could reset this read
The NY-session CPI print drove a one-bar spike to 1.14619 that was fully rejected within the hour, and price has bled lower ever since, printing lower highs down to the session low at 1.14170. Asia is thin and quiet — ATR barely 3.5 pips — with price pinned below EMA20/50 near 1.1417.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14170 session low exposes the 1.14000 round level and the 1.13900 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14260 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Warsh testimony Wed could reprice the USD leg driving this
CPI spike high faded, lower highs into session low.
The soft US June CPI miss spiked EUR/USD to 1.14619 before the move fully faded back toward the pre-spike area. Price is now grinding lower into the session low at 1.14159 on thin late-session volume, RSI mid-40s and sitting below EMA20; the descending highs off the spike cap rallies.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 session low opens 1.14100 psych
Reclaim of 1.14260 micro high needed to stall the fade
Warsh testimony Wed 14:00 GMT could reshape this read
Lower highs since spike, drifting into session low.
June CPI miss spiked EUR to 1.14619 during NY, then price bled back the entire move to 1.1416 on a chain of lower highs. Now compressing near the session low in thin post-NY liquidity, RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14159 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14260 recent high would stall the fade
Fed Warsh testimony and Core PPI (Wed) could reset the read
21:17 UTC
Faded from spike, now flat · RSI 42 · price 1.14191
Spike swept then rejected, consolidating.
EUR spiked hard to 1.1462 in the NY session then faded the entire move back below 1.1420 — a clean sweep and rejection. Late session it has gone quiet, ranging roughly 1.1416–1.1426 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips and price sitting below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14260 range top reopens upside toward prior swing at 1.14340
Break of 1.14159 swing low exposes the 1.1410 pivot
Warsh testimony Wed 14:00 UTC could break this range
21:17 UTC
Pullback after spike, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14191
Consolidating near lows after false break reversal.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.14619 that fully reversed within an hour — a clean false break — before price bled back to the 1.14159 session low. Since then EURUSD has coiled into a tight 1.1416–1.1426 range into the close, with RSI(14) mid-range and price holding just under the 61.8% retracement of the spike leg.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1434, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14260 range top reopens the 1.1434 swing
German HICP Wed 07:00 GMT could break this range
21:02 UTC
Faded from spike high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14204
Lower highs post-spike, coiling near session low.
EUR spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print then faded the whole NY session, printing lower highs down to the 1.14159 session low. Price is now coiling around 1.1420 on thinning volume into the Asian open, holding just under EMA20.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1433
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 extends the fade toward 1.1400
reclaim of 1.14260 breaks the lower-high sequence
US PPI / Warsh testimony Wed could reset this read
21:02 UTC
Spike faded, now consolidating · RSI 43 · price 1.14204
Lower highs off 1.1462, ranging near 1.1420.
A sharp spike to 1.1462 during NY hours poked above the 1.1450 range top before fading straight back, leaving a string of lower highs into 1.1445. Price has since coiled between 1.1419 and 1.1426 with RSI(14) mid-range; the false break above range top has been rejected and momentum has drained.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1462
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1419 session low confirms continued downside pressure
M15 close back above 1.1445 swing high reopens the 1.1462 spike high
German HICP (Wed 07:00 GMT) and Warsh testimony are the next material risks to this range
20:47 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.14196
Descending highs inside range after spike fade.
A sharp NY-hours spike to 1.14619 fully retraced, leaving price grinding lower back to 1.1420. Now ranging 1.1416–1.1433 with a chain of lower highs into thin late-session liquidity; RSI(14) in the mid-40s, price under EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1433, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 swing low opens the 1.1400 psych area
Reclaim of 1.14330 range top would negate the lower-highs sequence
Lower highs off the spike top, basing near session low.
A sharp spike to 1.14619 on soft-US-CPI-driven USD selling has fully faded, price bleeding back through a chain of lower highs to sit on the 1.1418 swing low. NY session is late and thin; RSI(14) near 41, both EMAs capping above. Basing between 1.1418 and 1.1425 into the close.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1410 pivot opens 1.1390 range base
Reclaim of 1.1450 range top negates the lower-high sequence
US PPI + Warsh testimony (Wed) could reset this read
20:32 UTC
Faded from spike, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14191
Lower highs off session high, consolidating near lows.
EUR spiked to a session high of 1.14619 during NY hours then faded steadily, unwinding to roughly 50% of the up-leg amid the soft-CPI USD chop. Now consolidating in a tight 1.14159–1.14260 band into late-session, RSI mid-40s with price under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 session low opens the 1.14000 round number
Reclaim of 1.14260 swing high needed to re-challenge the 1.14619 session high
US PPI + Warsh testimony Wed could reset this range read
A data-driven spike to the session high at 1.14619 was fully faded through the session, price grinding back to 1.14191 into the late NY hours. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and the last several bars are compressing just above the session low at 1.14159.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14341, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14159 confirms a lower low, exposing the 1.1410 pivot
Close above 1.14260 opens a retest of the 1.14341 swing high
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could reprice USD and shift this read
EUR spiked to 1.1462 during NY hours on the soft US CPI miss, then faded steadily to print a session low at 1.1416. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1416–1.1426 band under a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) mid-40s and price beneath both EMAs.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1416 opens the 1.1390 support zone
Reclaim above 1.1445 swing high re-targets the 1.1462 spike high
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could reshape this read
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked EUR to a session high of 1.14619, but the move faded through the NY session into a chain of lower highs. Price is now grinding along session lows around 1.14190, consolidating 1.1416–1.1426 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1433, 1.14575
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 confirms a lower-low, opening the 1.1410 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14260 swing high needed to challenge 1.14330 prior swing
Soft US CPI spiked EUR to 1.14619 then it was rejected straight back, a false break of the 1.1450 range top. Price has ground down through lower highs to sit near the session low at 1.14159, RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.14587, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 opens a lower-low toward 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.14280 needed to re-challenge the 1.14619 spike area
19:47 UTC
Pullback after CPI spike, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14235
False break of range top, consolidating back inside.
The soft US June CPI (headline -0.4%) at 12:30 UTC spiked EURUSD to 1.14619, sweeping the 1.1450 range top, but the move faded back inside within the hour. Price has since drifted lower into late NY and is consolidating around 1.1416–1.1434 with RSI(14) sitting mid-range.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14341, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 exposes the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1450 reopens the 1.14619 CPI high
Warsh testimony still running could shift this read
Soft US June CPI at the 12:30 UTC print detonated a vertical spike to 1.14619 on outsized volume, EUR/USD tearing out of the prior 1.1380–1.1400 shelf. NY session since faded the extension, drifting back into a 1.14159–1.14260 range with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s; the post-CPI supply near 1.14550 has capped every retest.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1455, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14159 swing low opens the 1.1400 round number
M15 close back above 1.14260 range top puts 1.14550 cpi supply back in play
Warsh testimony / PPI Wed could reprice this move
19:32 UTC
Faded spike, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.14237
False break of range top, mean-reverted into low 1.142s.
The US June CPI miss at 12:30 UTC spiked EUR to 1.14619, sweeping above the 1.1450 range top, but the move fully faded through NY hours back into the low 1.142s. Now ranging 1.1416–1.1434 with price back below EMA20 and RSI in the mid-40s — the CPI impulse has been unwound.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1450, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1416 session low confirms a lower low and opens 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.1450 range top would re-expose the 1.1462 spike high
PPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
The 12:30 UTC US CPI miss spiked EUR to a session high of 1.1462 before sellers faded the entire move back through the NY session. Price now consolidates 1.1416–1.1433 into the NY close, RSI mid-40s and ATR compressed to ~6 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1433, 1.1450, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1416 session low opens 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of 1.1433 swing high would re-engage the 1.1450 range top
PPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) could break this consolidation
19:17 UTC
Pullback after CPI spike, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14254
Consolidation below faded spike high.
The 12:30 UTC US CPI miss spiked EUR to 1.14619, but the move was rejected immediately and faded through the NY session to a 1.1416 low. Late NY now ranging 1.1420-1.1426, RSI(14) mid-range near 44 with ATR compressed to ~7 pips.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1433, 1.1445, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1416 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1390 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1433 swing high needed to reopen the 1.1445 area
The 12:30 UTC US CPI miss spiked EURUSD to 1.14619, above the 1.1450 range top, but the move was rejected and price faded through the NY session back to a 1.1416 session low. Now consolidating in the low 1.1420s, below EMA20 and holding above EMA50; RSI(14) mid-range near 43.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1404
Resistance: 1.14341, 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1416 session low opens the pre-cpi low at 1.1404
Reclaim of 1.14341 swing high needed to re-challenge the 1.1450 range top
PPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
US June CPI miss at the 12:30 GMT print spiked EURUSD from ~1.1414 to 1.14619, but the move was rejected and price bled back through the NY afternoon to ~1.1420. Now consolidating between 1.14159 and the 1.14341 swing high, retracing roughly two-thirds of the CPI spike with RSI near 43.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14341, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim above 1.14341 swing high reopens the 1.14619 spike high
19:02 UTC
Pulling back after CPI spike · RSI 41 · price 1.14236
Lower highs into session lows post-spike.
The soft US June CPI miss spiked EURUSD to 1.14619 during the NY session before price faded straight back below 1.145. Since then it has carved lower highs and is now drifting into session lows near 1.1416, RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 1.14159, 1.14008
Resistance: 1.1433, 1.14549, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14159 session low confirms continued lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14330 swing high would stall the pullback
Warsh testimony / Beige Book later today could re-inject volatility
EUR spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print (headline -0.4%, core flat) around 12:30 UTC, then faded through the NY session in a chain of lower highs. Price now sits on session lows near 1.1416, RSI(14) around 36; the spike high has not been retested.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1395
Resistance: 1.1433, 1.1462
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1416 session low opens the 1.1395 pre-cpi low
Close back above 1.1433 breaks the lower-high chain
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could inject fresh USD volatility
EUR spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print (~12:30 UTC), then faded through the NY session in a chain of lower highs. Price now sits at 1.14196, grinding into the session low at 1.14159 with RSI cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1433, 1.1455, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14159 confirms a lower low, opening 1.14000
Reclaim of 1.14330 needed to challenge the 1.14550 prior high
Warsh testimony / Wed PPI could reset this intraday read
Lower highs fading the spike, testing session low.
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked EUR to 1.14619, but NY hours faded the entire move; price now grinding lower into the session low at 1.1419 on a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) near 40 with price below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14189, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1453, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14189 session low opens the 1.1400 round number
M15 close back above 1.1453 swing high negates the pullback read
The soft US June CPI print spiked EURUSD from 1.1412 to a session high of 1.14619 at the 13:30 UTC release, but the move faded through the NY session into a chain of lower highs. Price now consolidates near the session low around 1.1420, RSI(14) mid-range at ~42.
Support: 1.14189, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14189 opens the 1.1400 support
Close back above 1.14340 re-tests the spike-day highs
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC and oil headlines could shift this read
Lower highs off CPI high, coiling near session low.
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked EURUSD to 1.1462, but the move faded through the NY session into a chain of lower highs. Price now coils around 1.1425 near the session low at 1.1420, having retraced most of the CPI pop.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 opens the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of 1.1455 needed to reassert the CPI-driven upside
Soft US June CPI drove a 50-pip spike to 1.14619 around the NY open, but the move faded fully through the afternoon back to session lows near 1.1420. Lower highs have printed since the spike with RSI(14) cooling toward 42.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.1445 swing high reopens the path to the 1.14619 cpi high
Loss of 1.1419 session low exposes the 1.1410 support zone
18:02 UTC
Pullback after CPI spike, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 1.14233
Post-spike fade, consolidating near session low.
Soft US CPI at 12:30 UTC drove a sharp M15 spike to 1.14619, but the move faded through NY hours and price has since bled back to 1.1423, holding just above the session low at 1.14189. Repeated failures below the 1.14549 ny high leave price consolidating in the lower half of the CPI range, RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 1.14189, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14549, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14189 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1400 psych area
Reclaim of 1.14549 ny high reopens the 1.14619 cpi spike top
Warsh testimony (Jul 15 14:00 UTC) and PPI could reprice USD and shift this read
EUR ripped from 1.1400 to 1.14619 on the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss (core YoY 2.6% vs 2.8%), then faded through the NY session with sellers capping around the 1.1450 range top. Price now sits near the session low at 1.14189, around the 61.8% retrace of the CPI spike.
Support: 1.14189, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14189 opens the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of 1.1450 range top would re-engage the spike high at 1.14619
Warsh testimony / PPI tomorrow could reset this read
The soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked EUR/USD to a 1.14619 session high, but the move wasn't held and price has faded through the NY afternoon into the 1.1420s. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with a chain of lower highs building; current 1.14256 is stalling right on the 61.8% retrace of the CPI leg.
Support: 1.14189, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1453, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14189 swing low opens the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of the 1.1453 lower high would invalidate the post-CPI fade
PPI batch and Warsh testimony (Jul 15) are the next scheduled volatility risks
17:47 UTC
Pullback after CPI spike, momentum down · RSI 43 · price 1.14256
Retracing the CPI up-move, lower highs since the spike top.
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked EUR to 1.14619; price has since bled lower through the NY session, printing lower highs and now sitting at 1.14256 — roughly the 62% retrace of that CPI move. Session low 1.14189 is holding for now.
Support: 1.14189, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14341, 1.1458, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14189 opens the 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14341 needed to re-challenge the 1.1458 range top
Warsh testimony and US PPI tomorrow could reset this read
17:32 UTC
Up-spike fading, pullback in play · RSI 44 · price 1.14256
Retracing post-CPI impulse, lower highs.
The soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC spiked EUR/USD from 1.1414 to 1.1462 in one bar, then supply capped every push into 1.1455 through the NY afternoon. Price is now retracing ~62% of that impulse toward 1.1425, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s and holding just above the 1.14189 session low.
Support: 1.14189, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14189 confirms a lower low, opens 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.14550 range top reopens the 1.14619 spike high
Warsh testimony and core PPI tomorrow could reshape this read
Soft US June CPI spiked EUR to 1.14619 on the 15:30 print, sweeping the 1.1450 range top before rejection dragged price back to 1.14256 — roughly the 61.8% retrace of that move. Rally has faded under a descending series of lower highs, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1450 reopens the 1.14619 spike high
Loss of 1.1419 exposes the 1.1400 psych level
Warsh testimony and US PPI tomorrow could reset this read
EUR spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print, then faded through the NY session with a chain of lower highs, now back to the session low at 1.14201 having given back most of the move. RSI(14) cooling near 39 with price below EMA20; the 1.14530 swing high and 1.14587 post-cpi high cap the upside.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1453, 1.14587, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Sustained loss of the 1.14200 session low opens 1.14000 round then the 1.13900 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.14530 swing high revives the CPI spike toward 1.14587/1.14619
Warsh testimony and US PPI tomorrow could materially shift this read
The soft US June CPI at 12:30 GMT spiked EUR/USD from 1.1412 to a 1.14619 spike high in one bar, but NY afternoon has faded the move back to 1.1432. Lower highs since the spike and a slide into the 1.14237 swing low leave price pinned under the 1.14450 range top.
Support: 1.14237, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14587
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14450 range top revives the CPI breakout
Loss of 1.14237 swing low opens the 1.14000 psych area
PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could re-shape this read
16:47 UTC
Impulse up, now retracing · RSI 46 · price 1.14322
Spike high then lower highs, mid-retrace.
The soft US June CPI print (12:30 UTC) spiked EUR to a session high of 1.14619 on volume, then faded into a string of lower highs, retracing roughly 44% of the impulse to 1.14322. Buyers stepped in near 1.14237 into the NY afternoon; price now sits between EMA50 support and the 1.1450 prior range.
Support: 1.14237, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14500 reopens the 1.14619 spike high
Loss of 1.14237 exposes the 1.1400 psych level and negates the CPI impulse
Warsh testimony / Fed speakers today could reprice the post-CPI move
16:47 UTC
Spiked up then fading, momentum cooling · RSI 44 · price 1.14322
Post-breakout pullback into consolidation.
The soft US CPI print at the NY 12:30 UTC release spiked EUR/USD from 1.1412 to a 1.14619 high, then price faded through the NY session back to 1.14322. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the move consolidates above the 1.14237 session low, holding well below the 1.14548 post-cpi high.
Support: 1.14237, 1.1404
Resistance: 1.14548, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14548 post-cpi hi reopens the 1.14619 cpi high
Loss of 1.14237 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.14040 pre-cpi
Fed speakers into the NY afternoon could reprice the CPI reaction
Lower highs off session high, testing session low.
The soft US June CPI print at 12:30 UTC spiked EURUSD from 1.14122 to a session high of 1.14619 in a single bar. Since then price has carved lower highs through the NY session and slid back to the 1.14237 session low, with a small bounce into the close; the spike gains are more than half retraced.
Support: 1.14237, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1453, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14530 lower high reopens the 1.14619 session high
M15 close below 1.14237 session low exposes 1.14000 round number
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 UTC could revive the hawkish USD trade and shift this read
16:31 UTC
Spike higher, now fading · RSI 45 · price 1.14312
Post-breakout pullback off session high.
Soft US CPI miss around midday NY spiked EUR from 1.1412 to 1.14619 on heavy volume, then the move stalled and faded back to 1.14312. Price now sits mid-retracement of the CPI leg, below EMA20, with the 1.14237 session low the last support tested.
Support: 1.14237, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14549, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14549 reopens the spike high at 1.14619
Loss of 1.14237 exposes the 1.1400 round number
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could re-shift this read
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1412 to 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print (~12:30 UTC), then rolled over into a chain of lower highs through NY hours. Price has since bled back to 1.14276, retracing most of the CPI impulse; RSI cooled from overbought to mid-40s and the move is stalling just above the 1.14237 session low.
Support: 1.14237, 1.14139
Resistance: 1.1453, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14237 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.14139 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.1453 supply reopens the 1.14619 spike high
Fed speakers (Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) through the session could shift this read
16:02 UTC
Spiked then fading, momentum rolling over · RSI 43 · price 1.14266
Post-breakout pullback, lower highs into NY afternoon.
The soft US CPI print spiked EUR from 1.1412 to a session high 1.14619 in a single M15 bar, but the move has bled off through the NY afternoon back to 1.14266, roughly a 61% retrace of the spike. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought to the low-40s as sellers cap each bounce below 1.14548.
Support: 1.14256, 1.14122, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14548, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14122 fully retraces the CPI spike and reopens 1.14000
Reclaim of 1.14548 puts the 1.14619 session high back in play
US PPI Tue 12:30 UTC could re-ignite the USD move
16:01 UTC
Spike higher, now fading · RSI 44 · price 1.14266
Post-CPI spike retracing into NY afternoon.
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC drove a sharp spike to 1.14619, but the move has faded through the NY afternoon with price back at 1.14266, giving up most of the gain. Sellers capped the spike high 1.14619 and price is now grinding lower highs back toward the 1.1414 breakout base.
Support: 1.14256, 1.1414, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1453, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14256 session low extends the retrace toward the 1.1414 spike base
Reclaim of 1.14530 puts the 1.14619 cpi high back in play
PPI Tue 12:30 UTC and German final HICP Wed could reset this read
EUR ripped ~50 pips higher on the sub-forecast US CPI print at the 12:30 GMT release, tagging 1.1462. Price then consolidated below 1.1455 through the NY session and is now drifting back toward the 1.1430 session low, RSI cooling to mid-40s.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14139
Resistance: 1.14548, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14300 session low confirms a lower-low off the CPI spike
Reclaim of 1.14548 range top puts 1.14619 session high back in play
US PPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT and Fed speakers today could reprice this read
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1412 to 1.14619 on the 12:30 UTC US CPI miss, then consolidated in a 1.1440-1.1460 band through the NY session. Price is now leaking back toward 1.1430 as the spike momentum fades, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1410, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1455
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1430 session low opens 1.1410 pre-spike zone
Reclaim of 1.1455 range cap re-tests the 1.1460 spike high
Fed speakers today could re-shift the CPI-driven read
15:32 UTC
Sharp CPI-driven leg up, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.14394
Impulse breakout, ranging near highs.
The soft US June CPI print spiked EUR/USD from ~1.1414 to a session high of 1.14619 on heavy volume during NY hours. Price has since consolidated between the 1.14400 range base and 1.14549 range cap, now testing the lower edge with RSI cooling to neutral.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14139
Resistance: 1.14549, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14400 range base exposes the pre-cpi zone near 1.14139
Reclaim of 1.14619 post-cpi high resumes the breakout leg
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr/Goolsbee/Cook) could shift this read
15:31 UTC
Impulsive leg higher, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 1.14394
Post-breakout range at lower edge.
The soft US June CPI print at 12:30 UTC spiked EURUSD from 1.1414 to 1.1462 in a single M15 bar. Price has since consolidated 1.1440–1.1459 and is now testing the lower edge, with the 38.2% retracement of the CPI move sitting right at 1.1440.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1414
Resistance: 1.1459, 1.1462
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1440 opens the pre-cpi 1.1414 zone
reclaim of 1.1459 reopens the session high at 1.1462
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr, Goolsbee) could shift this read
15:16 UTC
Uptrend after CPI spike, now consolidating · RSI 61 · price 1.14477
Sharp breakout, sideways below session high.
EUR ripped ~50 pips higher into 1.14619 as the soft US June CPI print (all components missed forecast) hit the dollar during NY hours. Price has since consolidated 1.1440–1.1455, holding above the 1.14139 breakout point with RSI cooling off the spike.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14139
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.14587
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14619 reopens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.1440 range floor exposes the 1.14139 breakout point
Fed speakers this afternoon (Barr/Goolsbee/Cook/Bowman) could shift this read
EUR/USD spiked ~50 pips off 1.1410 to a session high 1.14619 as the soft US June CPI miss hit, then stalled and consolidated in a 1.1440–1.1459 band. Price is holding well above the breakout base at 1.14122 with RSI cooling from the spike into the high-50s.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14122
Resistance: 1.14587, 1.14619
What it said to watch
A close above 1.14619 extends the CPI breakout
Failure to hold 1.14400 session low unwinds the spike toward 1.14122
Fed speakers (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) this afternoon could reshape this read
Consolidation under session high after CPI breakout.
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1412 to 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print (core MoM 0%, YoY 3.5% miss), then stalled into a 1.14408–1.14588 range through the NY session. Price is now sitting near the lower third of that range, holding a shallow retracement of the CPI impulse.
Support: 1.14408, 1.1433
Resistance: 1.14588, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14408 unwinds the breakout back toward the fib 50% at 1.14330
Reclaim of 1.14588 puts the session high 1.14619 back in play
Fed speakers (Barr, Goolsbee) this afternoon could shift the read
NY session ripped ~50 pips to 1.14619 on the single CPI-miss bar as the soft US June core print gutted the Fed-hike thesis and USD sold off. Price has since consolidated in a 1.1440-1.1460 band with RSI cooling from the spike, holding well above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14139, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.14588
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14400 puts the pre-break 1.14139 support back in play
Session high 1.14619 — area to watch for rejection or break
Fed speakers this afternoon could re-inject volatility into the range
The soft US June CPI miss drove a sharp spike from the 1.14122 breakout base to a session high of 1.14619, gutting the Fed-hike bid. Since then EUR/USD has held a tight consolidation between 1.14408 and 1.14587, RSI(14) cooling from the spike but staying above 60.
Support: 1.14408, 1.14122
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.14587
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14408 fills the CPI spike and reopens 1.14122 breakout base
Close above 1.14619 session high extends the post-CPI leg
US PPI and afternoon Fed speakers could re-price the move
NY session saw a sharp spike from 1.1414 to 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI miss, EUR/USD tearing through the prior 1.1360-1.1450 range top. Price is now consolidating between 1.1441 and 1.1462, holding the bulk of the move with RSI(14) around 64. The 1.14619 session high is the level to watch.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1414, 1.1404
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.14588
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1441 would signal the CPI spike is fading back toward 1.1414
Close above 1.14619 extends the breakout
Fed speakers (Barr, Goolsbee, Cook, Bowman) this afternoon could shift the read
14:31 UTC
Sharp CPI-driven leg up, now consolidating · RSI 62 · price 1.14424
Breakout above 1.1415, holding a post-spike range.
The soft US June CPI miss at 12:30 GMT spiked EUR/USD off 1.1414 to a session high 1.14619 on heavy volume, then price faded and settled into a 1.1441–1.1459 range. RSI(14) has cooled from the spike toward 62 as buyers hold the 1.1441 floor into the NY afternoon.
Support: 1.1441, 1.14122, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14588, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14410 exposes the spike base at 1.14122
Reclaim of 1.14588 reopens the 1.14619 spike high
Fed speakers this afternoon and ongoing Warsh testimony could reshape this read
EUR ripped from 1.1412 to 1.1462 on the soft US June CPI print (core MoM 0%, YoY 3.5% miss) that gutted the Fed-hike thesis. Since the NY-session spike price has consolidated between 1.14410 and 1.14588, RSI(14) cooling from overbought; last bar leaning on the range low.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1400, 1.13949
Resistance: 1.14588, 1.14619
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14410 unwinds the post-CPI range and reopens 1.1400
Close above 1.14588 retargets the 1.14619 spike high
Fed speakers (Barr, Goolsbee) and ongoing Warsh testimony this afternoon could reshape this read
14:16 UTC
Sharp leg up, consolidating · RSI 62 · price 1.14506
Post-breakout range after impulse.
EUR/USD ripped ~110 pips at the NY open on the soft US June CPI print, spiking to the 1.14619 cpi high before settling into a 1.1441–1.1459 range. RSI cooled off overbought after the impulse; price is holding well above the 1.1414 breakout level.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1414
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.14588
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14410 session low would begin filling the CPI move
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Break of 1.14619 cpi high extends the impulse toward the 1.1472 area
NY session saw EUR/USD explode out of its 1.1380–1.1410 range, spiking from 1.1412 to 1.1462 on the soft US June CPI miss. Price is now consolidating around 1.1450, holding the spike low at 1.1441 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1410, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.1472
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1441 would fill the CPI spike and reopen the prior range
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1462 opens the path to the 1.1472 3-week high
EUR ripped out of the 1.1380–1.1410 range after the soft US June CPI print, spiking from 1.1414 to a session high 1.1462. Price has since consolidated just under the high around 1.1450, RSI(14) cooling from the spike but still elevated near 69.
Support: 1.1441, 1.14122
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1441 keeps the breakout intact; a slip back below 1.1414 fills the spike and negates it
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC, imminent) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1462 opens the path to the 3-week high at 1.1472
The soft US June CPI at 12:30 UTC ripped EUR/USD from 1.1414 to a session high 1.14619 on a single 130-pip bar. Price has since consolidated around 1.1450, holding above the 1.1441 spike low with RSI(14) cooling back near 67.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1414
Resistance: 1.14619
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is imminent and could reprice Fed hike odds, materially shifting this read
A close above 1.14619 extends the breakout; loss of 1.1441 signals the spike is being unwound
Range break higher, now consolidating under spike high.
Soft US June CPI (core 2.6% vs 2.8%) drove a vertical spike from 1.1413 to 1.1462, blasting through the 1.1450 range cap. Price is now consolidating 1.1441–1.1458, RSI(14) hot near 71 but not extreme; the spike high at 1.1462 caps and 1.1441 has held on the pullback.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1413, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1462 opens the path to the 1.1472 3-week high
Failure to hold 1.1441 puts the 1.1413 spike base back in play
EUR/USD ripped from the 1.1414 base to a session high of 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print, then bled back to consolidate just above the 1.1450 round number. RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the spike digests; buyers held the 1.1441 pullback low on the retrace.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1450, 1.1414
Resistance: 1.14619
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1450 keeps the breakout intact; loss of 1.1441 pullback low signals a deeper fade toward the 1.1414 base
Reclaim of 1.14619 session high reopens upside continuation
Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) imminent — could materially shift this read
13:32 UTC
Sharp uptrend, post-CPI · RSI 71 · price 1.14516
Range break, now consolidating above breakout.
The soft US June CPI print triggered a sharp breakout on the 15:30 broker-time bar — EUR/USD ripped from 1.1414 to a session high 1.14619 as the dollar unwound its hawkish lean, RSI(14) pushing into the low-70s. Price has since settled into a tight 1.1441–1.1452 consolidation, holding the breakout gains.
Support: 1.1441, 1.14139, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14619
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14410 spike low would open a breakout retest toward 1.14139
Reclaim of 1.14619 spike high needed to extend the move
Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could reprice USD and shift this read
EUR/USD ripped ~50 pips at the 12:30 GMT US CPI print — a soft core miss unwound USD longs — spiking to 1.14619 before easing back to 1.1451. Price is now consolidating in the upper half of the impulse, holding above the 1.14410 session low with RSI(14) cooling from stretched levels.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1414, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14619
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14410 fills the CPI candle and questions the breakout
Reclaim of 1.14619 reopens the spike high
Fed's Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could sharply reprice this move
Soft US June CPI at 12:30 GMT ripped EUR/USD out of its 1.1390-1.1414 range, spiking from the break base at 1.14122 to a session high of 1.14619 in one bar. Price is now digesting the move between 1.14410 and 1.1460, RSI(14) hot near 72 after the impulse.
Support: 1.1441, 1.14122
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Warsh testimony 14:00 GMT could reprice the USD leg and shift this read
A close back below 1.14122 negates the CPI breakout
Failure to reclaim 1.14619 keeps the spike high capping
EUR ripped out of the 1.1380-1.1410 range to a session high of 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print, USD sold across the board. Price has since pulled back to 1.14457 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought; the 1.14410 spike low is the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1404
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.14575
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.14410 keeps the breakout intact; loss reopens the 1.14040 pre-cpi zone
Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could materially shift the USD leg of this read
Reclaim of 1.14575 puts 1.14619 session high back in play
EUR ripped out of the 1.1377-1.1415 consolidation on the 12:30 UTC US CPI print, spiking to 1.14619 as a soft/in-line read extended the USD correction. Price has since pulled back to 1.14485 and is holding above the 1.14139 breakout, RSI(14) hot near 74 after the impulse.
Support: 1.1441, 1.14139
Resistance: 1.14619
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14410 spike low would signal the CPI move is fading
Hold above 1.14139 breakout keeps the range-break intact
Lagarde speech (13:00 GMT) could re-shape this read within the next bars
EUR ripped out of the 1.1380-1.1415 range on the June US CPI print, spiking from 1.1412 to 1.1462 before settling at 1.1448 as the softer read pressured the USD. RSI(14) near 78 flags a stretched impulse; the 1.1414 breakout level is now the pivot for any retest.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.14575, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Pullback into 1.14140 breakout level — area to watch for retest or rejection
M15 close back below 1.14000 negates the range break
Lagarde and Warsh testimony this session could materially shift this read
EUR broke hard out of the 1.1390-1.1414 range on the US CPI print, spiking ~50 pips to a session high at 1.14619 as the USD corrected on a soft/in-line read. RSI(14) is stretched near 80 on a single impulsive bar; the 1.1414 breakout level is the immediate pivot on any pullback.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14619
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1414 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below flags a false break
Lagarde speech (13:00 GMT) could extend or fade the CPI move
Rejection at 1.14619 session high would cap the impulse
EUR ripped ~50 pips to 1.14619 on the 12:30 UTC US CPI print as a soft/in-line read unwound Fed-hike bets and offered the dollar. Price broke clear of the 1.1385-1.1414 Asia/London range; RSI(14) stretched near 85, so the move is short-term hot.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1414, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14619
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1440 keeps the breakout intact; loss of it signals a false break back into range
Lagarde speech (13:00 GMT) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could extend or reverse the CPI move
Failure at 1.14619 leaves a potential double top on this leg
12:32 UTC
Sharp breakout, momentum hot · RSI 76 · price 1.14513
Range break above 1.1450 cap.
EURUSD ripped out of the 1.1390-1.1414 consolidation on the soft US CPI print, spiking to a session high of 1.1462 before closing 1.14513 — a clean break of the 1.1450 range top. RSI(14) is hot near 76 on the impulse; 1.1472 three-week high is the next reference above.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1390, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech 13:00 UTC could add or drain the EUR bid
Failure to hold 1.1414 puts price back inside the prior range
RSI extended post-spike; a stall below 1.1462 flags exhaustion
EUR spiked ~50 pips on the last bar, clearing the 1.1445 range top and printing a 1.14619 session high — a soft US CPI relief bounce out of the prior 1.1380-1.1405 coil. RSI(14) blown into the mid-80s, so this is a vertical move with no pullback yet.
Support: 1.1445, 1.1414, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14619
What it said to watch
A pullback holding above 1.1445 keeps the breakout intact; loss of it flags a false break back into the range
Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially extend or fade this move
12:17 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 66 · price 1.14064
Base at 1.1380 then higher lows into session high.
EURUSD carved a base around 1.1380 through the Asian range then recovered through the London-NY session, pushing to a session high 1.1409 into the US CPI print. RSI(14) firm near 66 and price holding above EMA20/50 on the grind higher; ATR ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1380, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1409, 1.1433
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (minutes away) is the dominant driver and can override this read
Lagarde speech 13:00 UTC could add EUR-side volatility
Close above 1.1409 session high opens the path to 1.1433 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1395 recent base puts the 1.1380 session low back in play
Higher lows since London low, testing session high.
EUR/USD ground back up from the London-set two-week low at 1.13772 through the NY approach, printing higher lows and pushing to a session high of 1.14089 as the dollar paused ahead of US CPI. RSI(14) near 66, hot but not extended; price is holding just under the 1.14100 round number into the print.
Support: 1.13946, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14089, 1.1410, 1.1425
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can reprice this move instantly
Lagarde speech 13:00 UTC could add EUR volatility
Close above 1.14100 opens the path toward 1.14250 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.13946 higher low reopens 1.13772 session low
12:01 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 1.14058
Double bottom at 1.1377, higher lows into pivot.
EUR/USD carved a double bottom at 1.1377 mid-window and ground higher through the London-NY overlap, now testing the 1.1409 session high with RSI near 61. The 1.1390/1.1410 pivot flagged in the macro read is in play just ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1394, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14089, 1.1414, 1.14329
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is imminent and will likely drive the next leg
Close above 1.1409 opens the 1.1414 pivot band
Failure to hold 1.1394 threatens a return toward 1.1377
12:01 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 1.14058
Consolidation, rising lows into session high.
EUR/USD clawed back from the 1.1377 session low to retest the 1.14089 session high, price now sitting on the 50% retrace of the earlier 1.1433-1.1377 slide with RSI(14) near 62. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC lands in roughly 30 minutes and is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair.
Support: 1.1398, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14089, 1.1420
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC will drive the next move; hot core print pressures 1.1398 then 1.13772
M15 close above 1.14089 opens the 1.1420 prior high
Loss of 1.1398 rising-lows support flags a return toward the session low
11:47 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 62 · price 1.14027
Higher lows since 1.1377 base, retracing the earlier drop.
EUR/USD clawed back from a 1.1377 Asia-session low toward the 1.14055 session high, printing higher lows through the London-NY transition as USD paused ahead of US CPI. RSI(14) around 61, holding above the 1.1390/1.1410 pivot zone flagged in the range read.
Support: 1.1394, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1410
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and can invalidate this micro-recovery
Failure to hold 1.13940 reopens the 1.1377 session low
A close above 1.14100 pivot extends the recovery toward the 1.1445 band; Lagarde 13:00 UTC adds risk
Basing after decline, grinding higher within range.
EUR/USD carved a base at the two-week low near 1.1377 through the Asian session and has ground back to 1.14027, retracing roughly half the earlier drop from 1.1430. Price sits under the 1.1405 recent high with RSI(14) mid-60s; US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the immediate catalyst.
Support: 1.1394, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1427
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1405 opens the path to 1.1427
Failure to hold 1.1394 reopens the 1.1377 session low
Lagarde at 13:00 UTC as a secondary driver
11:31 UTC
Sideways after earlier slide · RSI 49 · price 1.13957
Range-bound near two-week lows.
London session has EUR/USD chopping in a 1.1382-1.1406 band just above two-week lows, USD firm ahead of US CPI. Price tagged the session high at 1.14055 then eased back to mid-range near 1.1396; RSI neutral around 49 with ATR a thin ~5 pips.
Support: 1.13817, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.14005
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
Lagarde speech 13:00 UTC could shift the read
M15 close above 1.14055 opens the 1.1445 area; loss of 1.13817 confirms a lower low
EURUSD based at 1.13772 through the Asian session and recovered to a NY session high of 1.14055 before settling into a 1.13900-1.14055 range. Now hovering at 1.13957 with RSI near 50; price is coiling directly ahead of US CPI, the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1399
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close above 1.14055 opens the path back toward the 1.1445 range top
Break below 1.13772 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.1360
11:16 UTC
Ranging after overnight decline · RSI 49 · price 1.13938
Based at 1.1377, recovered into mid-range.
EURUSD based at a two-week low of 1.1377 during the Asia-London session and recovered to 1.1405 before stalling; now oscillating around 1.1394 with RSI(14) neutral. Rangebound between 1.1385 and 1.1405 with no setup in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1425
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~75m) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
Lagarde speech at 13:00 UTC could add EUR volatility
Close above 1.1405 opens the path to the 1.1425 ema; loss of 1.1377 resumes the lower-low sequence
Consolidation mid-range after recovery off session low.
EUR/USD ranging 1.1384–1.1405 after recovering off the two-week low, now sitting mid-range at 1.1394 having retraced ~55% of the London-NY bounce. RSI(14) neutral near 48 with ATR compressed around 5 pips — no setup in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1384, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~75m) is the dominant catalyst — a hot core print pressures 1.1384 then the 1.1377 session low
M15 close above 1.14055 opens the path toward the 1.1425 area
Lagarde speech at 13:00 UTC could shift the read
11:01 UTC
Sideways after early decline · RSI 43 · price 1.13905
Range-bound, mid-range fade.
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.14055 back to 1.139, sitting mid-range with RSI(14) around 43. Sellers capped the NY-transition push into 1.14033/1.14055; pair now drifting under EMA20 as it consolidates ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1383, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14033, 1.14055
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could break this range decisively
Loss of 1.13830 swing low opens the 1.13772 session low
Reclaim of 1.14055 session high needed to reopen upside
11:01 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 45 · price 1.13905
Consolidation below session high, mid-range.
EUR/USD sits mid-range near 1.1390 after an early slide from 1.1430 stalled and buyers built a base around 1.1384; the London push to 1.14055 was rejected and price has drifted back below EMA20/50. Two-week-low tone intact, RSI(14) neutral around 44 — no directional setup in play into the US CPI print.
Support: 1.13843, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~1.5h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14055 opens the 1.14000 area retest toward range top
Loss of 1.13843 exposes the 1.13770 session low
10:47 UTC
Range, mild pullback from session high · RSI 48 · price 1.13937
Intraday range 1.1377-1.1406, recovering off Asian low.
London session pulling back to 1.1394 after tagging the session high at 1.14055, RSI(14) neutral near 48. Price holding the middle of the 1.1377-1.1406 intraday range built off the Asian-session low, no clean directional break in play.
Support: 1.13857, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT can break this range in either direction
M15 close above 1.14055 opens the path toward 1.1425
EUR/USD is ranging 1.1377–1.1406 after clawing off a two-week low, price hovering on the EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 49. The London session recovery stalled and got rejected at 1.14055; pair now drifting into the CPI window with no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.13857, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1425
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT and Lagarde at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14055 extends the recovery toward 1.1425
Loss of 1.13772 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Session low at 1.1377 held, higher lows into London.
EUR/USD based at the 1.1377 session low overnight and recovered through the London morning to a session high at 1.1405, now easing back to 1.1395 with RSI(14) mid-range. Sellers capped the bounce below the 1.1400/1.1405 zone; US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the pivotal catalyst ahead.
Support: 1.1384, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14055
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.14055 session high opens the 1.1445 range top
EUR/USD slid to a session low of 1.13772 during the Asia/London hours then clawed back to a 1.14055 session high before easing to 1.1395. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 and price is boxed between 1.1382 and 1.1406 as traders square up ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1384, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.14033
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this range
Lagarde speech at 13:00 UTC could shift the read
M15 close above 1.14055 session high opens continuation higher
Loss of 1.13840 swing low re-exposes the 1.13772 session low
London session: EUR/USD clawed back from the 1.13772 session low to tag 1.14055 before easing to 1.13968, now ranging with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Recovery stalled below the session high as sellers cap the 1.1400/1.14055 zone, consistent with the soft-EUR read into US CPI.
Support: 1.13946, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h) is a live catalyst that could break this range
M15 close above 1.14055 opens the range top toward 1.1425
Higher lows off 1.1377, consolidating below 1.1405.
EURUSD ground back up from the 1.1377 session low through the London hours, tagging a session high at 1.14055 before easing to consolidate near 1.1397. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 52 with price holding above both EMAs; move is stalling below the session high into US CPI.
Support: 1.13946, 1.1380, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is a material catalyst for this read
London session grinding higher off the session low at 1.13772, recovering roughly 40% of the earlier drop from 1.14352; buyers stepped in repeatedly near 1.1394. RSI(14) mid-range at ~59, price holding above EMA20/50 but capped so far under the 1.14055 session high.
Support: 1.13946, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.14352
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h out) is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Lagarde speech at 13:00 UTC adds EUR-side risk
M15 close above 1.14055 extends the recovery toward 1.1425
Failure to hold 1.13946 reopens the session low at 1.13772
EURUSD based twice near 1.1377/1.1382 through the Asian session and has since ground higher into London, tagging a session high at 1.14055 before easing to 1.1401. Price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 56 — recovery intact but stalling under 1.14055.
Support: 1.13946, 1.1382, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1425
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) is the dominant catalyst and could override this read
Sustained M15 close above 1.14055 opens the 1.1425 range top
Loss of 1.13946 breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 1.1382/1.1377
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.1377 through the Asian range and recovered to a 1.14055 session high on USD softening, before pulling back to 1.1396. Structure now sits mid-range with higher lows holding; RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 1.13843, 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1425
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
Loss of 1.1384 rising support reopens the 1.1377 session low
M15 close above 1.14055 exposes the 1.1425 9-day EMA
09:46 UTC
Down early, recovering into session · RSI 52 · price 1.13959
Pullback after rejection at session high.
EUR/USD slid to a session low at 1.13772 before recovering through the London-NY transition, tagging 1.14055 where sellers capped the move. Price has since eased back to 1.1396, RSI(14) flat around 52 as the pair coils below the session high ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.13843, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1425
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the key catalyst for this read
M15 close above 1.14055 reopens the 1.1425 area
Loss of 1.13843 puts the 1.13772 session low back in play
EUR/USD carved a V off the session low at 1.13772 through the London session, printing a higher high at 1.14055 before rejecting and pulling back to 1.1398, just under the 1.1400 psych level. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 as the recovery leg loses steam; the rising support line off the session low still holds.
Support: 1.1380, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14055, 1.1410
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the main catalyst and could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground up off the 1.1377 session low through the London session, tagging 1.1406 before easing back to 1.1398. RSI cooling from the recovery high, ATR ~5.5 pips — thin and quiet ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1410
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1406 opens the 1.1410 range zone
Failure to hold 1.1390 puts the 1.1377 session low back in play
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the main catalyst — could override this read
09:16 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 1.14015
Higher lows off session low, reclaim of 1.1400.
London session clawed back above 1.1400 after basing near the 1.13772 session low overnight, with a clean leg up to 1.14055 before easing to 1.14015. RSI(14) around 61, no extreme, price holding above both EMAs.
Support: 1.1399, 1.1384, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1420
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the main catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close above 1.14055 opens the path to 1.1420
Failure to hold 1.1400 exposes the 1.13840 swing low
EUR clawed back above 1.1400 through the London session, breaking out of the 1.1385-1.1395 Asian range and printing a session high at 1.14055. RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme; the recovery leg off the 1.1377 session low holds a chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1425
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the main catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close back below 1.1385 negates the recovery leg
break above 1.14055 opens the 1.1425 prior high
09:01 UTC
Recovery off Asian low, momentum steady · RSI 61 · price 1.1400
Higher lows into London, testing round number.
London session drove a recovery off the Asian low at 1.13772, printing a session high of 1.14055 before a shallow pullback to the 1.1400 round number, RSI(14) cooling from the high-60s. Grind higher intact via a chain of higher lows; range top capping for now ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1382, 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14055 opens the path toward 1.1430
Failure to hold the 1.1382 base reopens 1.13772 swing low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the main catalyst and could reset this read
Higher lows off overnight base, testing session high.
London session clawed back off overnight lows near 1.1379, reclaiming 1.1400 and tagging the session high at 1.14055 before a shallow pullback; RSI(14) cooling from the high 60s. Recovery holds a chain of higher lows into the US CPI print.
Support: 1.1386, 1.1379
Resistance: 1.14055, 1.1414
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC are the main catalysts for the next bars
M15 close above 1.14055 opens the path toward 1.14140
Failure to hold 1.13860 breaks the higher-low chain
08:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 69 · price 1.14044
Higher lows off session low, reclaiming 1.1400.
London session lifted EUR off the Asian low at 1.13772, with a clean chain of higher lows carrying price back through the 1.1400 psych level to 1.14053. RSI(14) elevated near 69 as buyers stepped in during the London hours; move sits directly ahead of US June CPI.
Support: 1.1398, 1.13858, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1420
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the primary driver — could materially shift this read within the next bar period
Sustained trade above 1.14100 round level extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 1.13980 puts the 1.13858 swing low back in focus
08:46 UTC
Recovery leg, momentum building · RSI 71 · price 1.14044
Higher lows off Asian low, breaking 1.1400.
London session lifted EUR/USD off the Asian low at 1.1377, chaining higher lows into a break of the 1.1400 psych level to a session high at 1.1405. RSI(14) near 71 shows the push is short-term hot but not yet extreme; move sits directly ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1386, 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1425, 1.1435
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the primary driver — a hot core print could invalidate this recovery read
Close above 1.1405 session high extends the leg toward the 1.1425 9-day ema
Failure to hold the 1.1386 base reopens the 1.1377 session low
Price based through the low-volume Asia hours around 1.1377-1.1382, and London has driven a steady recovery now poking through the 1.1400 round number, RSI(14) near 66. Higher lows since the session low keep the intraday recovery intact ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13843, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1445
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~4h out) is the primary driver and could override this read
ECB Lagarde 13:00 UTC follows and may move EUR into resistance
Failure to hold 1.1400 on a close reopens the 1.13843 ascending support and session low at 1.13772
A close above 1.14250 extends the recovery toward 1.14450
08:32 UTC
Recovery off Asian low, momentum building · RSI 66 · price 1.14015
Base broken to the upside, higher lows forming.
London session reclaimed the 1.1400 round number after a rounded bottom carved out around the 1.1385 base and 1.1377 Asian low. RSI(14) near 66 with price back above both EMAs; rising support from the Asian low is intact ahead of US CPI at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1385, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.14084, 1.1420
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the primary driver and can override this structure
Close above 1.14084 fib 50% opens the 1.1420 prior swing
Loss of 1.1385 base back into 1.1377 negates the recovery
London session has ground price back up off the 1.1377 swing low, chaining higher lows toward the 1.1398 session high with RSI(14) constructive near 61. Overnight decline from 1.1440 bottomed during Asia around 1.1380; recovery is intact but capped so far below 1.1398.
Support: 1.13857, 1.1380, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1398, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the primary driver and could break this read
M15 close above 1.1398 opens the path back toward 1.1400 psych
Loss of the 1.1380 range base reopens the 1.1377 swing low
Higher lows into London morning, testing session high.
EUR/USD ground higher through the London morning off the 1.13772 session low, chaining higher lows and pressing the 1.13979 session high with price at 1.13961. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; move remains a recovery within the broader 1.1360–1.1450 range noted in the digest.
Support: 1.13857, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.13979, 1.1407
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the primary driver and could override this intraday read
Close above 1.13979 session high opens the 1.14070 prior high
Loss of 1.13857 swing low would break the rising-low sequence toward 1.13772
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1378 session low through the London open, printing higher lows into 1.1397. RSI mid-60s and ATR near 5 pips — quiet, coiled ahead of US June CPI at 12:30 UTC, the session's binary driver. Recent session high at 1.1397 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.13843, 1.13779
Resistance: 1.13971, 1.1401, 1.1406
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the binary and will likely override this intraday structure
M15 close above 1.1397 opens the path toward 1.1401/1.1406
Loss of 1.1384 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 1.1378 session low
08:01 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 62 · price 1.13963
Consolidation, grinding back toward range top.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1445 into a 1.1377 session low, then based twice around 1.1382 before grinding back to 1.1396 into London hours. RSI(14) near 62, buyers stepping in on dips as price presses the 1.1401 recent high; ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1386, 1.1382, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.1414, 1.1445
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC is the main near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1401 opens the path to the 1.1414 prior swing
Failure to hold 1.1386 reopens the 1.1377 session low
07:47 UTC
Downtrend flattened into range · RSI 57 · price 1.1392
Consolidation near top of intraday range, micro higher lows.
EURUSD sold off to a 1.1377 session low overnight, then ground back to 1.1392 through the quiet Asian hours and into early European trade, holding a tight 1.1386-1.1396 range. Buyers have stepped in on a series of higher lows; RSI(14) mid-range at 57 with ATR only ~5 pips, reflecting pre-CPI compression.
Support: 1.1386, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the main near-term driver and can break this range either way
Close above 1.1396 opens the 1.1400 psych area
Loss of 1.1386 pivot re-exposes the 1.1377 session low
Leg down from 1.1445, now consolidating above 1.1377.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1445 through the London session to a 1.1377 session low, then based twice there before grinding back to 1.1392. Now consolidating in a tight 1.1377-1.1394 band into the US CPI print (12:30 UTC), with EMA20/50 flattening beneath price.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1410, 1.1445
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the main near-term catalyst for this pair
Lagarde speech 13:00 UTC could shift the read
Break below 1.1377 opens the 1.1360 major support
Close above 1.1410 pivot invalidates the consolidation read
EURUSD ranging 1.1384–1.1396 during the London morning, steadying after the earlier slide from 1.1445 into the 1.1377 swing low. Last bar popped to 1.1394 with RSI mid-range; no directional structure in play ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1384, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.14013
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.13962 opens the path back toward 1.14013
Loss of 1.13840 re-exposes the 1.13772 swing low
07:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now basing · RSI 54 · price 1.13917
Consolidation after sell-off from 1.1445.
EUR sold off from 1.14455 to a 1.13772 session low through the Asian range, then based in a tight 1.1384-1.1394 band into the London open, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range. Last bar ticked up to retest 1.1394; the shallow bounce has retraced only ~20% of the down leg so far.
Support: 1.1384, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1406
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC ahead could materially shift this read
Close above 1.13960 opens 1.14060
Loss of 1.13772 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.1360
07:17 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.13876
Range after impulsive selloff.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1445 into a 1.1377 session low during the prior NY session, then went sideways through Asia in a 1.1377-1.1396 band; RSI(14) neutral near 45. Price sits mid-range at 1.1388 into the London reopen, having only retraced a shallow portion of the down leg.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.14036
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Lagarde at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read within the next few hours
M15 close above 1.1396 breaks the consolidation upward
Loss of 1.1377 resumes the downtrend toward the 1.1360 zone
07:16 UTC
Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 45 · price 1.13876
Range after morning sell-off.
EUR/USD sold off from the 1.14455 early high toward 1.13772 and has since gone sideways in the 1.13840–1.13960 band, price now sitting just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 44. No clean setup — chop into the London morning ahead of US CPI.
Support: 1.1384, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1401
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could break this range either side
M15 close below 1.13840 reopens the 1.13772 session low
Reclaim of 1.13960 range high needed to shift the intraday read higher
07:01 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.13849
Consolidation after London decline.
EUR/USD slid from the 1.1445 session high through London on the risk-off USD bid, bottoming at 1.13772 before steadying into a 1.13820-1.13940 range. Price now sits mid-range near 1.1385, RSI(14) neutral around 44; no intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.13772 confirms a lower low and extends the London decline
Reclaim of 1.13940 range top needed to negate the downside pressure
07:01 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 43 · price 1.13849
Consolidation above session low after day-long slide.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1445 through the session on the risk-off USD bid, then based at the 1.1377 session low and has chopped in the low 1.138s since. Recovery attempts stalled at the 1.1394 recent high; price now hugs both EMAs with RSI mid-range, no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1410
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1377 reopens the 1.1360 range base
Reclaim of 1.1394 recent high needed to challenge the 1.1410 prior swing
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:47 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.13873
Coiling near session lows after intraday slide.
EUR/USD ranging 1.1377–1.1394 through the Asia session after yesterday's slide to the 1.1377 session low on the USD safe-haven bid. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with price coiling just under 1.1394 into the London open, no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1377 session low opens 1.1360 major support
Reclaim of 1.1394 swing high needed to challenge the 1.1401 round number
Lagarde 13:00 UTC and US CPI could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 44 · price 1.13873
Range near session lows after leg down.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1445 to a session low of 1.1377 through the prior session, then flattened into a tight 1.1382–1.1396 range across the Asian window and into London. Price sits at 1.1387 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) neutral near 44; the bounce off the low has been shallow, holding under 1.1396.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is a binary catalyst that could break this range
Close below 1.1377 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
Reclaim of 1.1396 needed to challenge the 1.1400 round number
06:32 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.1387
Consolidation inside 1.1377–1.1396 range.
EUR/USD sold off from the 1.1445 London high through the session and has since gone quiet, chopping in a tight 1.1377–1.1396 band through the Asian hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43 and ATR is thin at ~4.5 pips; price is drifting back toward the 1.1377 session low into the early London open.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1410
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1377 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1396 range top would end the consolidation
US CPI 12:30 GMT and Lagarde 13:00 GMT are the dominant catalysts ahead — either can break this range
06:31 UTC
Downtrend fading into consolidation · RSI 44 · price 1.1387
Lower highs off 1.1445, basing near session low.
EURUSD ground lower from the 1.1445 window high through Asia to a session low at 1.1377, then chopped sideways in a 1.1378–1.1394 band. Price is drifting back toward the base into the London open with RSI(14) neutral near 44; no clean setup, still range-bound.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1445
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either side
Lagarde speech 13:00 UTC could shift the EUR leg
M15 close below 1.1377 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1394 neutralises the downside pressure
EUR/USD carved a rounded base at 1.1377 through the Asian session and ground back to 1.13962 before stalling; now consolidating near 1.1388 with RSI(14) mid-range. Recovery losing steam ahead of the London open.
Support: 1.1379, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.13962
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1379 reopens the 1.13772 swing low
M15 close above 1.13962 extends the recovery
US CPI 12:30 GMT and Lagarde 13:00 GMT could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13881
Consolidation after leg down.
EUR/USD sold off from the day high at 1.14455 through the prior session, bottoming at 1.13772, and has since gone flat in a tight 1.1377–1.1396 band through the Asian session. Price now sits mid-range at 1.13881, RSI hovering near 46 with ATR compressed around 6 pips.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1396 reopens the 1.1445 day high
Break below 1.1377 exposes the 1.1360 major support
US CPI at 12:30 GMT and Lagarde at 13:00 UTC are the dominant catalysts that would break this range
06:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, base forming · RSI 51 · price 1.13913
Consolidation above session low.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1445 through the Asian session to a 1.1377 low, then based and clawed back to 1.1391 into the London open. Price now grinds a tight 1.1379-1.1394 range, RSI(14) neutral near 51 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1379, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1406
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1394 opens a retest of 1.1406
Failure to hold 1.1379 confirms a lower low
Lagarde 13:00 UTC and US CPI 12:30 GMT can materially shift this read
Quiet late-Asian session grinding off the 1.1377 session low, ranging 1.1377–1.1396 after yesterday's slide from 1.1445. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1380 and the recent high at 1.1396 caps; RSI(14) neutral near 56 with ATR compressed to ~3 pips into US CPI.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1380, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1410
What it said to watch
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the dominant driver and could break this range
EURUSD ground down from the 1.1445 London high to 1.1377 through the NY session, then based across the Asian range and grinded back to 1.1393 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) mid-range near 56, ATR compressed to ~5 pips into the pre-London hours; the 1.1396 session high is still capping. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver ahead.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1396 opens the 1.1420 swing high
Loss of 1.1377 asian low resumes the lower-low sequence
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) can override this intraday read
05:32 UTC
Recovering off session low, grind up · RSI 57 · price 1.13938
Higher lows since 1.1377, capped under 1.1396.
EUR/USD ground back to 1.1394 through the Asia session after basing at the 1.1377 session low, tracking the broader 1.1360-1.1450 range where oil-shock USD demand caps upside. Higher lows are building but the 1.1396 session high still caps; ATR is thin at ~3.5 pips in quiet Asian hours.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1382, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.1406
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13962 opens 1.14060
Failure to hold 1.13900 exposes the 1.13772 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the dominant cross-driver and can override this range
EUR ground down from the 1.14455 session high to 1.13772 through the session, then based and recovered to 1.1394, retracing the down leg to around the 23.6% mark. Now consolidating just below the 1.13962 session high on thin rollover volume, RSI(14) mid-50s and flat.
Support: 1.1387, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.1400
What it said to watch
A close above 1.13962 and the 1.14000 round number opens the path back toward 1.1424
Loss of the 1.13870 swing low puts the 1.13772 session low back in play
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC (~7h) could materially shift this read
05:17 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 54 · price 1.13927
Consolidation after decline, higher low base.
EUR/USD recovered from the 1.13772 session low and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1387-1.1396 range through quiet late-Asia trade, RSI(14) mid-range near 54. ATR has compressed to ~5 pips ahead of the London open.
Support: 1.1387, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.1405
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13962 range top opens a retest toward 1.1405
Loss of 1.1387 puts the 1.13772 session low back in play
US June CPI at 12:30 UTC and Lagarde at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD is consolidating 1.1390–1.1396 in late Asian trade after clawing back from the session low at 1.1377; RSI(14) neutral near 54. The earlier slide off 1.1445 has stalled into a tight range just below the 1.1396 swing high.
Support: 1.1387, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13962 opens the 1.14000 round number
Loss of 1.1387 exposes the 1.13772 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Lagarde at 13:00 UTC could break this range
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1445 through NY and Asia into a 1.1377 double-bottom base, then ground back to 1.1390 where it has flattened. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and price is chopping around EMA20; the recovery has stalled just under the 1.1396 swing high.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.14015
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1377 base confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could reset this range
EURUSD based at the 1.1377 session low overnight and ground back to a 1.1396 swing high before stalling, now coiling near 1.1390 in thin Asian trade. Minor higher lows are holding above 1.1387; ATR is compressed at ~4 pips with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.1387, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.1401
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1396 opens a retest of 1.1401 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1387 exposes the 1.1377 session low
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Recovering after NY sell-off, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.13918
Consolidation above session low following a downswing.
Prior NY session drove EUR/USD from 1.1445 down to a 1.13772 low; Asia hours have ground price back into a tight range near 1.1392 with RSI(14) mid-range. Session high at 1.13962 caps the recovery so far.
Support: 1.1379, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.1406
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13962 opens the path back to 1.14060
Failure to hold 1.13790 reopens the session low
US CPI / Lagarde ahead could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Downtrend easing, Asian recovery · RSI 55 · price 1.13918
Higher lows off session low, capped at 1.1396.
London/US selloff from 1.1445 bottomed at 1.1377 late in the US session; Asian hours have ground back up in a rounded base, stalling at the 1.1396 recovery high. Momentum is modest with RSI near 55 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1410
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1396 extends the recovery toward 1.1410
Loss of 1.1385 reopens the 1.1377 session low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could reshape this read
04:32 UTC
Day downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 1.1393
Double-bottom base, higher lows into current bar.
EURUSD traded down from the 1.1445 London high to a 1.1377 Asia low, then based on a double bottom and ground back to 1.1393 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 57 and ATR is thin at ~9 pips in the late-Asia session; recovery is capped under the 1.1396 swing high.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1385, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1410, 1.1425
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC (~8h out) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1396 swing high opens the path to 1.1410
Loss of the 1.1377 session low confirms a lower low and resumes the downtrend
04:32 UTC
Recovery off session lows · RSI 59 · price 1.1393
Higher lows building off 1.1377 base.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1445 to 1.1377 through the prior session, then based and ground higher into Asia to 1.1393. Higher-low chain is intact but the 1.1396 minor high is capping the recovery; broader 1.1360-1.1450 range still frames price. US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1396 opens the path to 1.1420
Failure to hold 1.1384 threatens a retest of the 1.1377 swing low
Asia session recovered off the 1.1377 swing low, printing higher lows back to 1.1393 with RSI(14) mid-range near 58. Move is capped at the 1.1396 recent high and the 1.1400 round number just above.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1400, 1.1424
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1400 extends recovery toward the 1.1424 9d ema
Loss of 1.1390 support risks a retest of the 1.1377 session low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC within the session could reshape this read
04:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 56 · price 1.13927
Base built above 1.1377, grinding higher.
EURUSD sold off from the 1.14455 London high through NY to a 1.1377 low, then based and ground back to 1.1393 through the Asian session. RSI(14) recovered near 56 and price now sits above EMA20/50, with the 1.1396 recent high the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1414, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.1396 opens the 1.1414 prior swing
Loss of 1.1377 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Grinding higher chain of higher lows after Asian rebound.
EURUSD carved a session low at 1.13772 during late Jul-13 hours and has recovered through the Asian session in a chain of higher lows back to 1.1393, holding above both EMAs. RSI(14) mid-50s — no extreme; price is stalling just under the 1.13962 session high and the 23.6% fib of the 1.14455-1.13772 decline.
Support: 1.13879, 1.13772, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.1400, 1.14033
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13962 opens 1.14000 and the 1.14033 fib
Loss of 1.13879 threatens the higher-low structure and reopens 1.13772
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC later today could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 58 · price 1.13928
Higher lows forming after decline from 1.1445.
EUR/USD carved out a base near 1.1377 and has ground higher through the Asian session, now at 1.1393 with RSI(14) around 58 and no extreme. A chain of higher lows is intact but volume is thin ahead of the US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) double catalyst.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.14025, 1.1425
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC are the near-term catalysts that will define direction
Close above 1.13962 session high opens the 1.14025 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1385 risks a retest of the 1.13772 swing low
Asian session ground higher off the 1.13772 low, reclaiming 1.1390 and pressing the 1.13962 session high on thin ~4-pip ATR. RSI(14) near 62; still boxed inside the broader 1.1360–1.1450 range with the 1.14000 round number capping.
Support: 1.1380, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.13962, 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC are the day's catalysts, either can override this intraday read
Close above 1.14000 opens the path to 1.14140
Loss of 1.13772 confirms a lower low and reopens the range base
03:32 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 58 · price 1.13931
Double-bottom base, reclaiming pivot.
Price sold off from 1.1445 through the session before basing twice near 1.1378, and has since reclaimed the 1.1390 pivot to trade 1.1393. Recovery is orderly with RSI(14) mid-range; 1.1400 psych level and the 1.14058 swing cap the bounce.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1378
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14058
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 opens the 1.14058 swing high
Failure to hold the 1.1378 double-bottom base confirms a lower low
US CPI 12:30 UTC / Lagarde 13:00 UTC could reshape the range later today
EUR/USD sold from a 1.1445 high through the session to bottom at 1.1377, then twice held that area to form a double bottom during Asia hours. Grinding back up to 1.1393 with RSI near 60; the 1.1400 psych pivot caps the recovery for now.
Support: 1.1388, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1400 opens the 1.1445 session high
Loss of 1.1388 higher low re-exposes the 1.1377 double bottom
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) later today could override this intraday read
03:17 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 61 · price 1.13912
Double bottom base, higher lows.
EURUSD carved a double bottom at 1.1377/1.1378 through the quiet Asian session and is grinding higher, now testing the 1.13940 swing high after basing at 1.13805. ATR is compressed to ~6 pips; RSI(14) mid-range with room either way ahead of the US CPI and Lagarde catalysts later today.
Support: 1.13805, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13940 opens a run at the 1.14000 round number
Loss of 1.13805 base re-exposes the 1.13772 double-bottom low
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) can override this intraday structure
03:17 UTC
Recovering off lows, still range-bound · RSI 55 · price 1.13912
Double-bottom base, grinding higher.
EURUSD recovered off a 1.1377 double-bottom low back to 1.1391 through the Asia session, roughly a 20% retrace of the prior drop from 1.1446. Price holds above the Asian base near 1.1383 but is capped under the 1.1394 session high, with US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) the pending catalysts.
Support: 1.13775, 1.1383
Resistance: 1.13935, 1.1406
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13935 session high opens the 1.1406 swing high
Loss of 1.13775 recent low confirms a lower-low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC likely to redefine this range
03:02 UTC
Recovery off lows, momentum building · RSI 59 · price 1.13916
Double-bottom base, higher lows into Asia.
EURUSD grinding higher through the Asian session after twice basing at the overnight low near 1.13772, reclaiming ~1.1390 back above EMA20/50. RSI(14) mid-range near 59, with the 1.1394 recent high now capping the recovery.
Support: 1.1389, 1.1382, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1394 recent high opens the path to 1.1401
Failure to hold 1.1389 swing low reopens the 1.13772 day low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC are the near-term catalysts that can override this intraday read
Asia session grinding a recovery off the 1.13772 session low, RSI(14) back near 57 after the London-hours slide from 1.1445. Chain of higher lows since 1.1379, but the 1.13940 recent high caps and the 1.1400 psych sits just above.
Support: 1.13772, 1.13817
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13940 opens the 1.1400 psych level
Failure to hold 1.13772 confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC later today could materially shift this read
Quiet Asian session recovery: EURUSD carved a base at 1.1377 and has ground back to 1.1392 on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) firm near 62 without extending overbought. Price is pressing the 1.1394 session high; the 1.14 round number sits just above.
Support: 1.13805, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1400, 1.1414
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13805 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 1.13772 session low
A close above 1.13940 puts the 1.14000 round number in play
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) later today are the high-impact catalysts that could override this intraday read
EURUSD carved a rounded base off the 1.13772 swing low late in the prior NY session and has ground higher through Asia, printing higher lows and now testing the 1.13940 session high. RSI(14) mid-range near 58 and ATR compressed to ~9 pips, typical of a quiet Asian range after London's rejection from 1.14455.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1384
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1414
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.13940 opens the path back toward 1.14140
Loss of 1.13840 and 1.13772 re-exposes the lower base
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC later today are the near-term catalysts that could break this range
02:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 61 · price 1.13931
Basing above 1.1377 after decline from 1.1445.
Asian session grinding higher off the 1.1377 double base, now testing the session high at 1.1394 with RSI(14) mid-range. Move is a shallow retrace of the earlier drop from 1.1445; ATR compressed to ~5 pips in thin overnight flow.
Support: 1.13817, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.14001
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13940 opens the 1.14001 round number
Failure to hold 1.13772 confirms a lower low toward 1.1360
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC later today could break this range
02:17 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 57 · price 1.13909
Based off session low, grinding back to 1.1390 pivot.
London morning high at 1.14455 gave way to a steady slide into a late-NY low of 1.1377. Asia session has based around 1.1385 on thin volume and is now nudging back to the 1.1390 pivot flagged in context, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range.
Support: 1.1390, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1401, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1377 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1360 zone
Reclaim of 1.1401 needed to challenge the descending trendline
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC later today can break this range
EUR/USD sold off from the 1.14455 session high through the day and bottomed at 1.13772, and is now basing around the 1.1390 pivot in thin Asian hours. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s off the lows as price stabilises just under EMA50.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13772, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14352, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14000 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13772 session low reopens the downside toward 1.1360
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD sold off from the 1.1445 high through the NY session down to a 1.1377 session low, then coiled into a tight 1.1380–1.1390 base through Asia. RSI(14) has lifted back to mid-50s on a modest uptick into 1.1389; price probing the 1.1390 psych area with the descending highs still capping.
Support: 1.1380, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1401, 1.1414
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14010 breaks the consolidation top
Failure to hold 1.13772 confirms a lower low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC later today are the key catalysts
02:01 UTC
Downtrend off 1.1445, now flat · RSI 55 · price 1.13891
Consolidating 1.1377–1.1390 after leg down.
Price rolled off the 1.1445 high through the European session down to 1.1377, then based out in a tight 1.1377–1.1390 range through thin Asia hours. Currently pressing the 1.1390 pivot with RSI(14) mid-range; volumes are light ahead of the US CPI and Lagarde catalysts.
Support: 1.1382, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1399, 1.1414
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1390 opens the 1.1410 area
Failure to hold 1.1377 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1360
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could break this range
EURUSD slid off the session high at 1.14455 into a steady M15 downtrend, bottoming at 1.13772 before drifting into a tight low-volume Asia range between 1.13820 and 1.13900. Higher lows off that base with RSI(14) back near 51 flag mild bullish divergence against the earlier decline, but the range top at 1.13900 still caps.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1401, 1.14455
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13772 confirms a lower low and reopens the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.13900 range top targets the 1.14010 prior swing
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) later today are the material catalysts for this range
EUR/USD sold from the 1.1445 session high through prior NY hours in a chain of lower highs down to 1.1377, and now consolidates in thin Asia trade around 1.1385. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 after basing off the low; price hugs EMA20 but sits below EMA50 with 1.1390 prior support now capping.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1401, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1377 opens the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1390 prior support needed to challenge 1.1401
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could reshape this range
01:31 UTC
Downtrend faded into consolidation · RSI 46 · price 1.1385
Lower highs off 1.1445, now flat near session lows.
EUR/USD slid from the 1.1445 swing high through the London-NY sessions and has since gone quiet, coiling in a tight 1.1377–1.1390 band through the Asia session on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with no momentum signal; price is pinned to EMA20 but capped under EMA50.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1401, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1377 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1390 range top needed to challenge 1.1401
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC are the near-term catalysts that can break this range
01:17 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 1.13873
Tight range near session lows after a US-session sell-off.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1445 through the US session down to 1.1377, and has since coiled in a tight 1.1377–1.1389 range through Asian hours on thin volume, RSI back to mid-range. ATR compressed near 5 pips — no directional impulse in play right now.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1374
Resistance: 1.1389, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1377 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1360 zone
Reclaim of 1.1400 would shift the intraday range read higher
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC ahead could materially reshape this range
Sold off from 1.1445, now consolidating above session low.
EURUSD faded from the 1.1445 high through the prior session down to 1.13772, then stalled into the Asia session and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1379–1.1390 band with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range. Price is holding just above the session low but capped under the 1.1390 prior high and the descending resistance off the day's peak.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1372
Resistance: 1.1391, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13772 extends the intraday lower-low sequence toward 1.1372
Reclaim of 1.13910 would challenge the descending resistance off the 1.1445 high
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) later today are the near-term catalysts that could break this range
01:02 UTC
Downtrend off 1.1446, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.13853
Consolidating near lows in a tight Asian range.
Asian session grinding sideways in a 1.1379–1.1389 range after the NY-session slide off 1.1446. RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips on thin volume — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1379, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1389, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.1389 range top opens 1.1401 swing high
Loss of the 1.13772 session low confirms a lower low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC could reset this range
01:01 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.13853
Consolidating after sell-off from 1.1445.
Early Asia session, thin volume. EUR sold off from the 1.1445 NY high down to 1.13772, and has since gone flat, coiling in a tight 1.13772–1.13890 range. Price sits just above EMA20 but under EMA50, RSI(14) neutral near 51 — no momentum in play.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1379
Resistance: 1.1389, 1.1394, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13890 range top opens the 1.13940 23.6% fib
Loss of 1.13772 session low confirms continuation lower
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC are the day's catalysts and will override this range read
00:47 UTC
Downtrend flattening into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 1.1387
Basing near session low after decline from 1.1445.
Thin Asia-session tape: EURUSD rolled over from a 1.1445 peak through late NY and has since coiled in a 1.1380-1.1387 base above the 1.1377 swing low. Momentum is neutral with RSI near 49 and volume drying up; price sits just above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14003, 1.14036
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1377 confirms a lower-low and extends the decline
Reclaim of 1.1401 negates the downside pressure
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC are the day's catalysts and can break this range
EUR/USD sold off through NY hours from 1.1445 to a 1.1377 swing low, then flattened into thin Asia trade; last close 1.1387 with RSI recovering off the lows. Price is consolidating just under the 1.1390 psych level, capped by a chain of lower highs as safe-haven USD demand lingers.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1377 confirms a lower low, exposing the 1.1360 range low
Reclaim of 1.1401 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
US CPI and Lagarde later today could materially shift this read
00:32 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.13805
Consolidation near session lows after down leg.
The London-session high at 1.1445 unwound steadily through NY, dragging price to a 1.1377 swing low. Thin Asia trade now has EURUSD consolidating in a 1.1377–1.1385 band, pinned just under the EMA20 with RSI(14) flat around 49; ATR compressed to ~4-5 pips.
Support: 1.1377, 1.1382, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1391, 1.1401
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1377 extends the down leg toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1391 breaks the consolidation and negates the lower-high chain
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC are the session-defining risks later today
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.13805
Consolidation near session lows after leg down.
EURUSD faded from the 1.1445 high through London-NY into a quiet Asian session, now coiling in a tight 1.1377-1.1386 band on thin volume. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; no setup in play until the range resolves.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1391
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13860 breaks the consolidation top toward 1.13910
Loss of 1.13772 confirms a lower-low and extends the down-move
US CPI + Lagarde (~12h out) are the pair's next material catalysts
00:17 UTC
Downtrend faded into flat range · RSI 45 · price 1.13824
Lower highs off 1.1445, now sideways.
The NY-session slide from the 1.1445 high stalled into a tight Asian-session range between 1.1377 and 1.1386 on thinning volume, USD giving back some of its earlier safe-haven bid. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 and ATR is a compressed ~4 pips; no directional setup while price pins the EMA20.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1399, 1.14012
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13772 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.13860 needed to break the Asian range top
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde later today are the key catalysts for this pair
00:16 UTC
Prior downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13824
Consolidation at session lows.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1445 through the NY session and has since gone flat, coiling in a tight 1.1379-1.1385 band on thin Asia-hours volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43 with price pinned to the EMA20; no setup in play ahead of US CPI and Lagarde.
Support: 1.1379, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.14012
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1385 breaks the consolidation and reopens 1.1401
Failure to hold 1.1377 confirms a fresh lower low
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Lagarde (13:00 UTC) are the dominant catalysts and can override this range read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 46 · price 1.13829
Lower highs from 1.1445, coiling above 1.1377.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1445 through the session into a low of 1.1377, then went flat, chopping in a tight 1.1379-1.1386 band on thin Asia volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 and price is pinned just above EMA20 but below EMA50, keeping the near-term tone heavy with no active setup.
Support: 1.13772, 1.13795
Resistance: 1.13858, 1.13907, 1.14012
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1377 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1391 negates the heavy tone off the session lows
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Lagarde 13:00 UTC Tue could break this range
00:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13829
Consolidation near session low after down-leg.
EUR/USD slid from the London-NY high at 1.1445 to a session low of 1.1377, and is now chopping in a tight 1.1378-1.1386 band in thin Asian trade. Volume has collapsed and RSI(14) sits mid-range, no momentum in either direction ahead of the US CPI/Lagarde double catalyst.
Support: 1.13772, 1.1379
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1392
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC and Lagarde at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.1377 extends the down-leg toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1386 range top would ease the heavy tone