EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 29 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, flat into Asia · RSI 47 · price 1.14228
Consolidation just below session high.
EURUSD ground higher through the London-NY session off the 1.1380 base to a 1.14303 session high, then went flat. Thin, low-volume Asia-hours consolidation now sits between 1.1421 and 1.1428 with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.14206, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14274
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 reopens the session-high break
Loss of 1.14206 confirms a lower low and ends the consolidation
German Retail Sales 06:00 GMT / prelim CPI 06:45 GMT can break this range
NY pushed EUR up to a 1.14303 session high then faded; Asia is grinding sideways in a 1.1420-1.1427 band on thin volume. EUR remains capped under the 1.1400-area pivot region after the broad rally off 1.1392, with momentum flat as RSI sits mid-range.
Support: 1.14206, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14274
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 reopens the upside push
Loss of 1.14206 exposes the 1.1400 pivot
German Retail Sales / French CPI at 06:00-06:45 UTC could break the Asian range
23:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14245
Consolidation under session high.
NY session pushed EURUSD to 1.14303 before stalling, and thin Asia-hours trade has it pinned in a tight 1.1420-1.1428 band, RSI(14) flat near 50. The session high at 1.14303 caps; demand has held the 1.1420 floor repeatedly during the slow hours.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14186
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14287
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 reopens upside toward 1.1470
Loss of 1.1420 floor exposes the 1.14186 swing low
EZ flash CPI prints from 06:00 UTC could break this thin-hours range
23:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 52 · price 1.14227
Ranging near session high after impulse up.
EURUSD rallied through London-NY from 1.1381 to a session high of 1.1430, then went flat in thin Asia trade, oscillating 1.1418-1.1430 around 1.1422. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and volume has dried up; price is holding above the reclaimed 1.1400 pivot with no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 reopens the path toward 1.1470
Loss of 1.1418 exposes the 1.1400 pivot
German Retail Sales / French CPI at 06:00 UTC could break the Asia range
22:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, flat into Asia · RSI 49 · price 1.14238
Consolidation near session highs.
NY session drove EUR from 1.1380 up to a session high at 1.14303 as the dollar cooled for a third day, clearing the 1.1400 pivot. Price has since gone flat near 1.1424 through the low-volume Asian hours, holding above the 1.14206 swing low with no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 1.14206, 1.1413
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14274
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 reopens the upside toward 1.1470
Loss of 1.14206 marks the first lower-low of the Asian range
German Retail Sales / French flash CPI at 06:00-06:45 UTC could break this consolidation
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.14249
Consolidating near session highs.
NY session drove EURUSD from 1.1380 up to 1.1430 before stalling; price has chopped sideways in 1.1421-1.1430 through thin late-Asia hours. RSI(14) back near 50 and price pinned on EMA20 — no momentum in either direction, the 1.1400 cap from the macro read still overhead.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 reopens the path toward the 1.1470 cap
Loss of 1.1421 exposes the 1.1400 pivot
German Retail Sales / French CPI ~06:00 UTC could break this consolidation
22:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.14235
Consolidation under session high.
EUR climbed from 1.1380 through London-NY into a 1.14303 session high before stalling; price now coils 1.1420-1.1430 on thinning late-session volume. RSI(14) has flattened near 49 after the rejection at 1.1430, momentum drained out of the move.
Support: 1.14206, 1.1415, 1.1404
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14274
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 reopens the path toward the 1.1470 cap
Loss of 1.14206 confirms a lower-low and pressures 1.1415
German Retail Sales and French CPI from 06:00 UTC could shift this read
The London-NY rally stalled at the 1.14303 session high and price has since coiled into a tight 1.1420-1.1430 band through the quiet Asia hours, RSI(14) flat near 51. Buyers held 1.1420 repeatedly while supply capped attempts above 1.1427.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.1427
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 opens the path toward the 1.1470 area
Failure to hold 1.14200 exposes the 1.1400 pivot
German Retail Sales and French CPI at 06:00-06:45 UTC could break this range
EUR ground higher through the London-NY session from 1.1380 to a session high at 1.14303, helped by beat-ESI/services surveys, then stalled into late NY hours. Price is now coiling around 1.1424, RSI cooled to neutral, with supply capping under 1.14303 and demand holding the 1.14206 dip.
Support: 1.14206, 1.13986, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 opens the path toward the 1.14470 cap
Loss of 1.14206 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.13986
German Retail Sales / French CPI ~06:00 UTC tomorrow could shift this read
EUR ground higher through London-NY from 1.1380 to a session high of 1.14303, supported by firm Eurozone sentiment beats and a softer dollar. Price has since stalled into a tight 1.1421-1.1428 band on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) cooled back to neutral near 52.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1399
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 reopens the path toward 1.1434
Failure to hold 1.1421 exposes the 1.1399 swing low
German Retail Sales / French CPI at 06:00-06:45 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD climbed through the 1.1400 pivot during the session and peaked at 1.14303, then settled into a tight 1.1420-1.1428 range as the Asia handover approaches. RSI has cooled back to neutral and ATR is compressing; price is drifting just under EMA20 but holding above EMA50.
Support: 1.14206, 1.14003, 1.13922
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14274
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 reopens upside toward the 1.1470 cap
Loss of 1.14206 exposes the 1.1400 pivot
German Retail Sales and French CPI Tue 06:00-06:45 UTC could break this range
EUR ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 1.1400 pivot and tagging a session high at 1.14303 before fading, helped by upside Eurozone sentiment beats. Price is now coiling between 1.1421 and 1.1430 into late NY, RSI(14) easing back toward the mid-50s and price slipping just under EMA20.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1414, 1.14044
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14274
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 opens the path back toward the highs
Failure to hold 1.14210 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.14140
German Retail Sales / French flash CPI at 06:00-06:45 UTC Tue could shift this read
EURUSD ran through the NY session to a 1.14303 session high, reclaiming the 1.1400 pivot on the back of firm Eurozone sentiment beats. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation between 1.1421 and 1.1427 as the move loses steam, RSI cooling back near neutral.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1414, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1427
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 reopens upside toward the 1.1470 cap
Loss of 1.1421 then 1.1414 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the NY rally
Tue German Retail Sales and French CPI (06:00 UTC) could shift the EUR read
EUR rallied through the London-NY session from 1.1380 to a session high at 1.1430, supported by beats in Eurozone sentiment surveys, then stalled into a tight 1.1421-1.1430 range late in the day. RSI(14) has cooled from the rally peak with price holding above EMA20/50, no fresh extension into the post-NY hours.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1406, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 reopens upside toward 1.1447
Loss of 1.1421 breaks the consolidation and exposes 1.1406
Tue German Retail Sales and French CPI flash (06:00-06:45 UTC) could shift this read
Consolidating near session highs after steady climb.
NY session ground higher to 1.1430 then stalled, with EUR firm after better-than-expected eurozone confidence data and a hawkish Sintra tone. Price is now consolidating 1.1422-1.1428 just below the session high, RSI cooling from earlier highs.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1413, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14287
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1421 breaks the consolidation and opens 1.1413
Close above 1.1430 extends the intraday uptrend
German Retail Sales / CPI tomorrow 06:00 UTC could shift this read
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 1.1425
Higher highs into 1.1430, now consolidating below the high.
EUR ground higher through the NY session to a 1.1430 high, supported by a string of better-than-expected Eurozone confidence data, and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1421-1.1430 band as RSI(14) cools toward neutral. Momentum has flattened after the run; price is pinned just below the session high after NY close.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1414, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1427
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 extends the uptrend toward the 1.150 area
Loss of 1.1421 opens a deeper pullback to 1.1414
German Retail Sales/CPI from 06:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD climbed through the NY session to a 1.14303 high, helped by firmer Eurozone confidence data and a softer dollar, then stalled and is consolidating around 1.1425. RSI(14) has cooled to ~50 as price drifts off the high; 1.14210 swing low has held as the base of the range.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1414, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14274, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 reopens the upside extension
Loss of 1.14210 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
German CPI / Retail Sales 06:00-09:00 UTC tomorrow could shift this read
EUR ground higher through NY hours to a session high at 1.14303, underpinned by better-than-expected EZ confidence data and a hawkish Sintra lean. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1421–1.1430 band with RSI cooling off mid-50s; momentum is flattening into the close.
Support: 1.1421, 1.14188, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14274
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 reopens the grind higher
Failure to hold 1.14210 exposes 1.14188 then the 1.1400 round number
EZ Retail Sales and German prelim CPI tomorrow could shift this read
NY session extended the grind to a session high of 1.14303 with EUR underpinned by hawkish Sintra commentary and a softer dollar. Price is now consolidating just below that high around 1.1423, RSI cooling off the highs as momentum flattens.
Support: 1.14187, 1.14044, 1.13986
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14287
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.14187 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday uptrend
EZ Retail Sales and German prelim CPI tomorrow could shift this read
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session, peaking at 1.14303 before stalling — EUR underpinned by the hawkish Sintra tone and a batch of beat EZ confidence data. Price is now consolidating around 1.1426 just below the session high, RSI(14) cooling off the highs but holding above the midline.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1414, 1.14044
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14274
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 extends the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.1414 breaks the higher-low chain
EZ Retail Sales and German prelim CPI from 06:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session, supported by hawkish Sintra tone and a batch of better-than-forecast euro confidence data, tagging a session high at 1.14303 before stalling. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.14210–1.14290 band with RSI(14) easing back from the highs.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1410, 1.13986
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14247
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 reopens the path higher
Loss of 1.14210 breaks the rising intraday structure
EZ Retail Sales and German prelim CPI tomorrow could shift this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 64 · price 1.14274
Higher highs and higher lows intact.
NY session extended a clean intraday uptrend, EUR firm after better-than-expected eurozone sentiment and M3 data plus hawkish Sintra tone. Price grinds along a rising channel into the session high at 1.14303, RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not stretched. Demand stepping in on each pullback, holding the higher-low chain.
Support: 1.1421, 1.14113, 1.14029
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14274
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14210 breaks the higher-low chain and questions the uptrend
Close above 1.14303 extends the channel toward fresh session highs
EZ retail sales / German prelim CPI tomorrow could shift this read
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 1.1428
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session, posting a session high at 1.1430 with EUR underpinned by the hawkish Sintra tone and beat-heavy EZ confidence data. Higher highs and higher lows remain intact, RSI(14) near 63 — hot but not stretched. Price is holding above 1.1421 after the late push.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1410, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1424
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1421 breaks the rising-low chain
Failure to clear 1.1430 keeps the session range capped
EZ Retail Sales and German prelim CPI tomorrow could shift this read
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.14272
Higher highs and higher lows intact.
EURUSD ground steadily higher through the NY session, EUR underpinned by hawkish Sintra tone and a batch of better-than-expected confidence data. Session high 1.14303 capped the latest push; price holding near the top with RSI(14) around 63 and structure of higher lows intact above 1.14210.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1404, 1.13986
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14274
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14303 extends the session range higher
Loss of 1.14040 breaks the rising lower-low structure
EZ Retail Sales and German prelim CPI tomorrow could shift this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
NY session extended the grind higher to a session high at 1.14303, EUR underpinned by the hawkish Sintra tone and beats on ESI/M3 earlier today. Price has since stalled into a tight range near 1.1424 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs; the 1.14210 swing low is holding as near-term support.
Support: 1.1421, 1.14095, 1.13986
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14247
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14303 reopens the path toward 1.1450
Loss of 1.14210 confirms a lower-low and stalls the up-leg
EZ Retail Sales / German prelim CPI tomorrow morning could reset this read
EUR ground higher through the NY session, tagging a session high at 1.14303 before easing back to 1.14218 as RSI(14) cooled from overbought. The move is backed by firm Eurozone sentiment data and a hawkish Sintra tone; the rising sequence of higher lows off 1.1399 stays intact above 1.1414.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1404, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.14274
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.1414 breaks the ascending higher-low chain
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
EUR ground higher through the NY session, supported by a batch of better-than-expected Eurozone sentiment data, with the rally topping at 1.14303 before stalling. Price is now coiling tightly between 1.14230 and 1.14303 as momentum cools, RSI(14) easing off into the low 60s.
Support: 1.14187, 1.1400, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.1435
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14303 extends the uptrend toward 1.14350
Loss of 1.14187 marks the first lower-low and breaks the rising structure
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 68 · price 1.14253
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
NY session ground higher in a clean HH/HL chain, EUR firm on better-than-forecast Eurozone sentiment data and a hawkish Sintra drumbeat. Session high 1.14303 just tapped with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; demand stepping in on each pullback above 1.14000.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1404, 1.13985
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.1423
What it said to watch
ECB's Lagarde at 17:30 UTC (30m out) could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.14150 breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.14303 extends the leg toward 1.150
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 73 · price 1.14256
Higher highs and higher lows.
NY session pushed EUR to a fresh session high at 1.14274, extending the steady grind off the 1.14000 area as the sentiment-data beats and hawkish Sintra tone kept EUR bid. RSI(14) near 73 — hot but consistent with the trend; the breakout above 1.14130 has held as support.
Support: 1.1413, 1.1400, 1.1392
Resistance: 1.14274
What it said to watch
Lagarde speech at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.14130 breakout level would mark the first lower-low of the NY rally
M15 close above 1.14274 extends the session high
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 70 · price 1.14241
Higher highs, higher lows.
NY session drove EURUSD to a session high of 1.14274, EUR firm on hawkish Sintra tone and a batch of better-than-expected eurozone sentiment data while the dollar stays soft. Price is consolidating just below the high with RSI(14) near 70 — hot but normal in this kind of grind.
Support: 1.1413, 1.13986, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14274, 1.1430
What it said to watch
ECB's Lagarde at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.14130 breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.14274 opens the path toward 1.1430
NY session ran a clean uptrend, EUR firm into Lagarde's Sintra opener with price stair-stepping to a fresh session high at 1.14274. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; no rejection yet at the highs.
Support: 1.1411, 1.14029, 1.13922
Resistance: 1.14274, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Lagarde Sintra speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.14110 breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.14274 opens the path toward 1.1450
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 68 · price 1.14236
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
NY session drove EURUSD to a fresh session high 1.14247, clearing the 1.1420 break level with RSI(14) hot near 68 but not extreme. EUR underpinned by firm Eurozone June sentiment (ESI 95 vs 94.3) into Lagarde's Sintra opener; price grinding the highs, no pullback yet.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.13922
Resistance: 1.14247
What it said to watch
ECB Lagarde speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.14160 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
NY session drove EURUSD through 1.1420 to a session high at 1.1424, EUR firm on hawkish ECB hold-premium and a softer dollar. RSI(14) near 67 — hot but not extreme; price is pressing the session high with the breakout level at 1.1420 now acting as the nearest reference.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400, 1.1392
Resistance: 1.14241, 1.14201
What it said to watch
ECB Lagarde Sintra speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.1414 would stall the breakout and risk a fade toward 1.1400
Acceptance above 1.14241 opens room higher into the next session leg
NY session drove EUR/USD up through 1.1414 to a fresh session high at 1.14235, with EUR underpinned by firmer eurozone sentiment beats. RSI(14) is hot near 71 but consistent with the trend; price closed pinned at the session high.
Support: 1.1414, 1.13955, 1.1378
Resistance: 1.14235, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close back below 1.1414 negates the breakout
Lagarde Sintra speech (~17:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 1.14235 opens the path toward 1.1430
NY session drove EURUSD to a session high of 1.1423, EUR underpinned by firmer eurozone sentiment beats while the Dollar logs a third down-day. Price is consolidating just under the high with RSI(14) near 69, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1404, 1.1395, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1423, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Lagarde Sintra speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1423 extends the session breakout
Failure to hold 1.14040 marks the first lower-low of the up-leg
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 71 · price 1.1421
Higher highs, fresh session high.
NY session drove EUR/USD through the 1.1400 round number and onto a fresh session high at 1.1423, USD soft on a third down-day as the Iran truce bled safe-haven demand. RSI(14) is hot near 71 but consistent with the impulsive leg; the breakout above 1.1400 holds so far.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1386, 1.1378
Resistance: 1.1423
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1400 puts the breakout back inside the prior range
Lagarde Sintra speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, NY session push · RSI 66 · price 1.14126
Higher highs, higher lows above 1.1400.
NY session pushed EURUSD through the 1.1400 pivot to a session high of 1.14219 on a third day of USD softness, before easing back to 1.14126. RSI(14) near 66, hot but not extreme; the 1.1400 level now flips to first support.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13922, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14219
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 pivot negates the breakout read
Lagarde Sintra speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 1.14219 session high opens room higher
NY session pushed EUR/USD above the 1.1400 pivot, breaking the prior 1.1385-1.1400 consolidation and tagging a session high at 1.14201; soft USD into NFP week is doing the lifting, per the digest. RSI(14) near 72 — short-term hot but consistent with the trend; ATR around 7 pips.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13922, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14201
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1400 reverts price into the prior consolidation and negates the breakout
Lagarde speech at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A close above 1.14201 extends the up-leg
14:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.14073
Higher highs and higher lows since London.
EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session, reclaiming the 1.1400 handle and now retesting the session high near 1.14147 with RSI(14) around 62. Higher lows have held since London as the soft USD theme persists into Lagarde's Sintra speech.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13986, 1.13921
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.1420
What it said to watch
ECB Lagarde Sintra speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14147 extends the breakout toward 1.1420
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens 1.13986 swing low
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.14103
Higher lows off session base, pressing range top.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session, tagging a session high at 1.14147 before basing in a 1.1395-1.1410 band; EUR steadied near 1.1400 as the USD stayed soft on the US-Iran truce. Price is now pressing the range top at 1.14103 with RSI(14) around 61, leaving room before stretch.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13922, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.14126
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14147 session high opens path higher
Failure to hold 1.1400 round number reopens 1.13922 swing low
Lagarde Sintra speech 17:30 UTC could shift this read
London push reclaimed 1.1400 and tagged a session high at 1.14147 before fading. Into the NY session price is consolidating in a 1.13986-1.14073 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 53. EUR firmness is a soft-USD story, with majors sidelined ahead of the ECB Sintra and US data risk.
Support: 1.13986, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.14073, 1.14147
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14073 reopens the session high at 1.14147
Loss of 1.13986 exposes the session low near 1.13940
Lagarde Sintra speech 17:30 UTC could break this range
EUR/USD climbed off the 1.13784 Asia low through the London session, spiking to 1.14147 before settling into a tight 1.13986–1.14086 consolidation near the highs, USD soft on the third down day. RSI(14) mid-range at 56 — no extreme. Move is USD-led; Lagarde's Sintra speech (17:30 UTC) is the next binary.
Support: 1.13986, 1.13922, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14086, 1.14147
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14147 reopens the session-high break
Loss of 1.13986 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Lagarde Sintra speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR ground up off the 1.1380s through the London-NY transition, spiking to 1.14147 before settling into a tight 1.1399-1.1407 band. Higher lows holding above EMA20/50, RSI mid-range near 55 — no extreme, structure constructive but stalling under the session high.
Support: 1.13986, 1.13922
Resistance: 1.14073, 1.14147
What it said to watch
Lagarde Sintra speech 17:30 UTC (~4h) is the binary that could break this range
EUR/USD recovered from the early session low at 1.13784 through London, spiking to a session high of 1.14147 before fading back toward the 1.14000 round number. Price now consolidates around 1.1403 on a chain of higher lows, RSI neutral near 52 with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1396, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14088, 1.14147
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14088 reopens the session high at 1.14147
Loss of 1.13960 breaks the higher-low chain
Lagarde Sintra speech at 17:30 UTC could shift this read
Rising lows off session low, consolidating below 1.1414.
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1380 session low through the London session, spiking to 1.1414 before settling back around 1.1403. Price is consolidating below the session high with RSI mid-range; the wider euro leg stays pinned ahead of Lagarde.
Support: 1.13985, 1.13802
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14147
What it said to watch
Lagarde Sintra opener at 17:30 UTC could reprice the front-end and shift this read
M15 close above 1.14147 opens the path to extend the intraday move
Failure to hold 1.13985 risks a retest of the 1.1380 session low
Rally off session low now consolidating below intraday high.
London hours drove EUR/USD up from the 1.1378 session low to an intraday high at 1.14147 before stalling, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range. Price is now chopping around 1.1400-1.1406, holding above EMA20/50 with the session-high cap intact.
Support: 1.13986, 1.13922, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14073, 1.14147, 1.14246
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14147 resumes the advance toward 1.14246
Loss of 1.13986 swing low opens 1.13922
Lagarde Sintra speech at 17:30 UTC could reprice the EUR leg
EUR/USD ground higher through London, reclaiming 1.1400 and stalling just under the 1.14147 session high. Rising lows off 1.13784 hold, RSI(14) cooling near 57 after the push, with price coiling in a tight 1.1400-1.1411 band.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13922, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.14113
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14147 opens the path toward 1.1434
Failure to hold 1.13922 negates the rising-lows structure
Lagarde at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD climbed off the 1.13784 session low to tag 1.14147, then consolidated 1.1392-1.1405 before the latest bar broke higher to 1.1408. Move is Dollar-driven as DXY logs a third down day; pair now sits just under the session high with RSI near 61.
Support: 1.13986, 1.13922, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14147 opens the path toward 1.14336
Failure to hold 1.13922 confirms a lower low
Lagarde at ECB forum 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Range after NY pop · RSI 49 · price 1.13993
Consolidation under session high.
NY hours pushed EURUSD to 1.14147 before fading back to 1.1399, in line with a softer Dollar on the US-Iran truce. Now ranging 1.1394–1.1414 with RSI(14) flat near 49; price hovering on EMA20, holding above EMA50.
Support: 1.1394, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14071, 1.14147
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14147 reopens the session-high break
Loss of 1.13940 swing low exposes 1.13784
Lagarde at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Rally off 1.1379, consolidating under session high.
London pushed EURUSD up to a session high of 1.14147 before fading back to consolidate around the 1.1400 round number, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Price holds above EMA20/50 with rising lows off 1.1379 intact.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1379
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.1407
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14147 reopens the path toward last week's 1.1434 high
Failure to hold 1.1395 breaks the rising-low chain
Lagarde speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1380 area through the London-NY transition and is grinding back toward the 1.14147 session high, RSI(14) near 61. Higher lows built from 1.13922; the session-high zone is the level being retested.
Support: 1.13922, 1.13806
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14147 opens the path toward 1.1434
Failure to hold 1.13922 breaks the higher-low chain
Lagarde speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London open spiked to 1.14147 then faded, EUR/USD now coiling around 1.1405 after a higher-low chain off the 1.1378 low. Move is USD-led consolidation sub-1.1400 per the digest; RSI(14) neutral near 58, ATR a thin ~9 pips.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1392, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.1410
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14147 extends the intraday higher-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1397 reopens the 1.1392 session low
Lagarde at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London session pushed into 1.14147 then faded, with price now coiling either side of the 1.1400 psych level. RSI(14) neutral near 51 and ATR around 5 pips — no momentum, range-bound after the morning pop. EUR/USD weakness this week is USD-led; price holding above the 1.13922 swing low keeps the intraday bounce intact.
Support: 1.13922, 1.13806
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14147
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14147 reopens the upside path
Failure to hold 1.13922 confirms a lower-low
Lagarde at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
European session pushed EUR/USD up to 1.1414 before retracing into a 1.1396-1.1404 coil around the 1.1400 round number, with RSI(14) back to neutral. The bounce off the recent low fits the USD-led, sticky-euro-inflation backdrop rather than fresh EUR demand.
Support: 1.1392, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1407
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1414 resumes the intraday leg higher
Loss of 1.1392 opens a retest of the 1.1382 session low
Lagarde at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Rejected at session high, consolidating below 1.1400.
EUR/USD pushed to a session high of 1.14147 during NY hours then was rejected, pulling back to 1.13922 before steadying right on the 1.1400 psych level. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the rally stalled into the well-flagged 1.1400 ceiling; price is now chopping in a tight 1.1392–1.1414 band.
Support: 1.13922, 1.13806
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14147
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14147 reopens the path higher
Loss of 1.13922 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the up-leg
Lagarde speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after rally off 1.1378.
London session lifted EURUSD off 1.1378 to a session high at 1.14147 before rejection trimmed gains back to 1.1403, just above the 1.1400 round number. Price is now consolidating in the upper half of the move, RSI(14) neutral near 54 after cooling from the rally.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1392, 1.1378
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.1425
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1400 round number reopens the 1.1392 swing low
M15 close above 1.14147 session high resumes the up-leg toward 1.1425
Lagarde speech at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Rangebound, pullback after spike · RSI 48 · price 1.13978
Swept 1.1400, rejected back into range.
London session pushed above the 1.1400 cap to a session high of 1.14147, then rejected straight back below it, leaving a false break. Price has since drifted to 1.1398, holding above the 1.1392 session low with RSI cooling toward neutral.
Support: 1.13922, 1.13819
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14147
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.1400 reopens 1.14147
Loss of 1.1392 session low exposes 1.13819 swing low
London session lifted EURUSD off the 1.1383 base to a session high at 1.14147 before a shallow pullback; price now holding the 1.1400 round number with RSI(14) cooling to the low 50s. Move sits on the 38% retrace of the intraday rally, with the higher-low sequence intact.
Support: 1.13957, 1.13827
Resistance: 1.14147
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13957 breaks the higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14147 reopens the session-high break
Lagarde speech 17:30 UTC could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Minor uptrend, pulling back · RSI 49 · price 1.13991
Rally off 1.1378 faded below 1.1400 pivot.
London session pushed EURUSD up to a 1.14147 session high before rejecting back below the 1.1400 pivot; price now hovers at 1.13991 around EMA20 with RSI(14) cooled to neutral. The 1.13922 swing low marks the pullback floor of the prior up-leg.
Support: 1.13922, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14147
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 1.1400 reopens the 1.14147 high
Loss of 1.13922 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the rally
Lagarde 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Uptrend leg fading into pullback · RSI 50 · price 1.13957
Rally to session high, ~50% retrace.
London session pushed EUR/USD to a session high of 1.14147 before fading ~50% of the leg back to 1.13957, with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. The move fits EUR's third-day bounce off 13-month lows, but 1.14150 is capping for now.
Support: 1.1392, 1.13806, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.14078
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14078 reopens the path back to the 1.14147 session high
Loss of 1.13920 swing low confirms a deeper retrace toward the 1.13806 leg low
ECB Lagarde speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 51 · price 1.13972
Higher highs into session high, now retracing.
London session pushed to a 1.14147 session high before rejection dragged price back to 1.13972, now sitting on the 50% retrace of the up-leg with RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s. EUR holding its three-session bounce off 13-month lows; momentum has stalled below the round 1.1400.
Support: 1.13965, 1.13806, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14147 reopens the session-high break
Loss of 1.13784 swing low negates the intraday bounce
ECB Lagarde 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 1.1403
Higher lows into session high, now pulling back.
London session extended the third-day EUR bounce to a session high of 1.14147 before fading back to 1.1403, holding just above the 1.1400 round number. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the move consolidates; in-line June flash HICP gave no fresh repricing impulse.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14147 reopens the path toward 1.14336
Failure to hold 1.1400 exposes the 1.13800 session low
Lagarde speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London session drove EUR/USD up from ~1.1378 to a session high at 1.14147 before stalling, RSI(14) easing off into the mid-50s. Price has pulled back to 1.1402 and is holding above the 1.1400 round number, the move broadly tracking the soft-USD/oil-driven risk tone in the digest.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14147
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14147 reopens the session-high extension
Failure to hold 1.14000 exposes the 1.13784 swing low
ECB Lagarde 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London session lifted EURUSD off the 1.13784 swing low through 1.1400 and tagged the session high at 1.14147 before rejecting back to 1.14036, RSI cooling from the push. The recovery tracks the softer USD / oil-driven risk tone in the digest; price is holding above the 1.1400 psych level for now.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13868, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.14246
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14147 opens the path to 1.14246
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens 1.13868 then the 1.13784 swing low
ECB Lagarde 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs / higher lows into session high, minor pullback.
London session drove EUR/USD up off 1.1380 to a session high of 1.14147 as a softer dollar tone held, then price eased back to 1.1406. RSI(14) cooling from overbought near 67, with the move retracing toward the 1.1395 swing.
Support: 1.1395, 1.13806, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.14336
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13950 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.14147 reopens the path toward 1.1434 prior high
ECB Lagarde 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows into session high, pullback from spike.
EUR ground higher off the 1.13784 session low through London, spiking to a session high of 1.14147 before sellers capped it and price pulled back to 1.1406. Recovery to 1.14078 keeps the higher-low chain intact; the move fits the oil-driven USD softness lifting EUR back above 1.1400.
Support: 1.1406, 1.13819, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14147 extends the breakout toward 1.14336
Loss of 1.1406 reopens the 1.13819 swing low
ECB Lagarde speech 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing · RSI 64 · price 1.1408
Higher highs off session low, pullback in progress.
London session broke above the Asian range and tagged 1.14147 before easing back to 1.1408, USD softening on quarter-end flows lifting EUR/USD off the lows. RSI(14) cooling from the push but holding above 60, structure intact with higher lows tracking up from 1.1378.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1392, 1.1378
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1420 invalidates the near-term downside scenario, opening room toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1392 breaks the higher-low chain
Lagarde speech 17:30 UTC (HIGH) could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum building · RSI 70 · price 1.14092
Higher highs off session low, breakout from range.
London session pushed EUR/USD out of the 1.1380–1.1392 band and reclaimed 1.1400, printing a session high at 1.14147 as a softer USD and lower oil offered a tailwind. RSI(14) near 70 — short-term hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; price holding above both EMAs.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.14147, 1.1420, 1.14336
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1420 invalidates the broader bearish setup and exposes 1.14336
Failure to hold the reclaimed 1.1400 reopens 1.13820 session low
German HICP and Lagarde speech later today could materially shift this read
EUR ground higher through Asia into early London, reclaiming the 1.1400 round number after basing around 1.1382; the digest ties the bounce to softer oil and a cooler USD. Last bar tagged 1.14021 and stalled, RSI elevated near 67 but not stretched.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1387
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14021
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14021 session high opens room higher
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.1382 session low breaks the higher-low chain
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into London · RSI 66 · price 1.1397
Rising lows, pressing session high.
Price ground higher through the Asian range into early London, reclaiming the 1.1395 area and pressing the 1.1400 round number with a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) sits mid-60s — firm but not extreme — and ATR near 3 pips reflects thin pre-data conditions.
Support: 1.1387, 1.1379
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1434
What it said to watch
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1400 opens the path toward 1.1434 prior high
London session grinding higher off the Monday low at 1.13784, with price breaking the 1.1390 shelf toward the session high at 1.1395. RSI(14) firming into the low-60s as EUR/USD edges back toward the 1.1400 pivot.
Support: 1.1380, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.13955, 1.1406
What it said to watch
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.13955 opens the path to 1.14060
Failure to hold 1.13800 puts the 1.13784 low back in play
06:01 UTC
Micro uptrend off Asia range · RSI 64 · price 1.1393
Ranging, recent higher lows into London open.
EURUSD ranged 1.1378–1.1394 through the Asia session and ticked up into the London open, printing a session high at 1.1395 with RSI(14) near 63. Higher lows holding above 1.1382; German HICP at 07:00 UTC is the swing factor into the next bars.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1378
Resistance: 1.1395, 1.1407, 1.1420
What it said to watch
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1395 opens the path toward 1.1407
Failure to hold 1.1382 reopens the 1.1378 session low
Asia session ground higher off the 1.13784 low, with price now pressing the 1.13930 session high into the London open. ATR is tight at ~4 pips and RSI mid-60s; no momentum extreme yet. German HICP at 07:00 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.13845, 1.13806, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.13975
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13930 extends the intraday up-leg toward 1.13975
Loss of 1.13845 swing low flattens the grind back into the session range
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Ranging, low volatility · RSI 54 · price 1.13869
Tight consolidation in Asia session.
Asia session grinding in a tight 1.1380-1.1393 band after Friday's rejection from 1.1434, with ATR(14) compressed to under 4 pips and RSI(14) neutral near 53. No setup in play; price is sitting on its EMA20 ahead of London. German HICP at 07:00 UTC is the next event that can break the calm.
Support: 1.1380, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.1406
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1393 opens the path back toward 1.1406
Loss of 1.1380 exposes the 1.13784 swing low
German HICP 07:00 UTC could break the Asian range
05:16 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 1.13867
Tight consolidation band, post-weekend.
EURUSD coiling in a tight 1.1378–1.1393 band through the Asian session, RSI(14) neutral near 53. Price reclaimed 1.1385 after a dip toward the session low; the 1.1400 pivot remains the line into London. No setup in play.
Support: 1.13784, 1.13806
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1400 pivot opens the path toward 1.1420
Loss of 1.13784 session low extends the range lower toward 1.1380
German HICP at 07:00 UTC and Lagarde at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD ranging 1.1378–1.1393 in thin holiday-skewed flow, current bar sitting near the range low after a rejection at 1.1393. RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum either way; price holds below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.13784, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German HICP 07:00 UTC could break the 1.1378–1.1393 range
M15 close below 1.13784 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1370
EURUSD is grinding in a tight 1.1378–1.1393 range on thin Asian-session flow, holding above the 1.1325 13-month low after reclaiming 1.1400 earlier. Rejection at the 1.1393 session high pulled price back to mid-range near 1.1383, RSI neutral around 44.
Support: 1.13784, 1.13815
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.1400
What it said to watch
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could break this range either way
A close above 1.1393 reopens the 1.1400 pivot
Failure to hold 1.1378 exposes the range floor below
Thin Asia-into-London flow, EUR/USD ranging 1.1378–1.1393 with price drifting back toward the session low at 1.13841. RSI(14) mid-range near 44, no momentum extreme; the pair sits just below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.13784, 1.13325
Resistance: 1.1393
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1378 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1333
Close above 1.1393 reclaims the session high and range top
German HICP 07:00 UTC and Lagarde 17:30 UTC could break this range
Thin Asia-into-London flow with EUR consolidating near 1.1382 after reclaiming 1.1400 earlier this week off the 1.1325 low. Rejection at the 1.1393 session high pushed price back to the session low at 1.1378; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme. Range remains intact between 1.1378 and 1.1393.
Support: 1.13784, 1.1371
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1393 session high reopens the 1.1400 round number
Failure to hold 1.1378 session low exposes 1.1371 prior low
German HICP 07:00 UTC could break the consolidation either way
Thin early-session flow has EURUSD chopping in a 1.1378–1.1393 band after the bounce off 13-month lows held. Price has eased back to 1.1384 from the 1.1393 session high with RSI(14) flat near 48 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.13784, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1393 opens the path to the 1.1400 psych level
Failure to hold 1.1378 confirms a lower-low
German HICP 07:00 UTC and Lagarde 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Mild uptrend within range · RSI 52 · price 1.13865
Ranging, higher lows into session high.
Thin holiday-skewed flow has EURUSD grinding a narrow 1.1378–1.1393 band below the 1.1400 pivot, with higher lows lifting price off the early-session 1.13784 low. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 and the move stalled at 1.13930 before easing back to 1.13865; no setup in play.
Support: 1.13815, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.1403
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13930 reopens the path toward 1.14030
Loss of 1.13784 breaks the rising-low sequence
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Thin early-week Asia session; EURUSD grinding a tight range 1.1379–1.1393 with a chain of higher lows off 1.1379. RSI(14) neutral near 56, ATR compressed around 5 pips — no impulsive move in play yet as price sits below the 1.1400 pivot.
Thin Monday Asian session; EUR/USD grinding in a 1.1378–1.1393 band after reclaiming 1.1400 late last week on softer oil and a modestly easier USD. Buyers nudged price to the session high at 1.1393 before fading back to 1.13881, RSI(14) neutral near 56. No setup in play inside the range.
Support: 1.13815, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1393 opens a test of the 1.1400 pivot
Loss of 1.13784 confirms a lower-low and breaks the Asian range
German HICP at 07:00 UTC and ECB Lagarde at 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Thin holiday Asia session, EURUSD consolidating 1.1378–1.1393 after the weekend gap with RSI(14) mid-range. A modest grind into the session high at 1.1393 stalled; structure flat ahead of European hours.
Thin Asia-session flow, EURUSD ranging 1.1378-1.1393 with a series of higher lows nudging price toward the session high. RSI(14) mid-50s and ATR near 4.5 pips — no momentum, no setup in play.
Support: 1.13815, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13930 opens a push toward 1.14048
Loss of 1.13784 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could inject the first real volatility of the day
Thin Asian-session flow grinding higher off the 1.1378 session low; price pressing the session high at 1.1393 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Chain of higher lows intact along the 1.1384 trendline, structure constructive but capped at range top.
Support: 1.1384, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.14063
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1393 opens the path to the prior high at 1.1406
Failure to hold the 1.1384 trendline negates the higher-low sequence
German HICP 07:00 UTC and Lagarde 17:30 UTC could shift this read
Thin holiday Asia session grinding sideways between 1.1378 and 1.1391 after EUR stabilised above 1.1400-area pivot earlier in the week. Mild higher-low drift with RSI(14) neutral near 58; ATR compressed to ~4 pips, no setup in play.
Support: 1.13815, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.13906, 1.13934
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1391 opens room toward 1.1393
Loss of 1.1378 confirms a lower-low and breaks the Asian range
German HICP (07:00 UTC) and Lagarde later could inject volatility into this quiet range
Thin early-week Asia session, EURUSD consolidating in a 1.1378–1.1391 band after last week's recovery above the 1.1400 pivot faded. Higher lows building off 1.13784 with RSI(14) mid-range; no breakout yet.
Support: 1.13784, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13906, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13906 session high opens 1.1400
Loss of 1.13784 reopens downside drift
German HICP (07:00) and Lagarde (17:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
EURUSD opening the new week in a tight 1.1378–1.1391 range, drifting back toward the session high after basing at 1.13784. RSI(14) neutral near 56, price holding above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows but no decisive break of the range top.
Support: 1.13784, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.13906, 1.1403
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13906 extends the higher-low sequence toward 1.1403
Failure to hold 1.13784 negates the rising-low structure
ECB Lagarde speech (17:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Thin Asian-session open after the weekend gap, EUR/USD grinding in a 1.13784–1.13895 band with sub-6-pip bars and rising intraday lows. Price sits at the range top, RSI(14) neutral near 57; no setup in play until the session range resolves.
Support: 1.13784, 1.13796
Resistance: 1.13895, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13895 opens a test toward the 1.14000 round number
Failure to hold 1.13784 confirms a lower low and reopens the post-gap base
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Thin early-Asian session trading a tight band between the session low at 1.13784 and session high at 1.13892, volumes a fraction of prior London/NY bars. Price holds a gentle higher-low structure into 1.13869 but lacks range expansion; EUR remains below the 1.1400 psych level despite last week's bounce off 13-month lows.
Support: 1.13784, 1.1373
Resistance: 1.13892, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13892 then 1.14000 psych extends the Asian drift higher
Loss of 1.13784 session low opens 1.13730 prior low
Early Asia session in thin, post-weekend liquidity (volumes a fraction of Friday's): EURUSD is ranging 1.1380–1.1389 with a mild upward drift, RSI(14) neutral near 56. Price holds just above EMA20 but under EMA50, consistent with the broader stabilisation off the 1.1325 13-month low.
Support: 1.13802, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.13892, 1.13917
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1389 opens room toward 1.1392/1.1417
Failure to hold 1.1380 reopens the 1.13784 low
Lagarde speech (17:30 UTC) and German HICP could break the range
00:46 UTC
Flat, thin range · RSI 56 · price 1.13866
Tight consolidation post weekend gap.
Thin early-week Asia open with volumes a fraction of Friday's; EURUSD is coiling in a 1.1380-1.1388 band after the soft-USD bounce off 1.1325. No directional structure in play — price hugging EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1379, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 extends the range top toward 1.1400
Loss of 1.1379 opens a retest of the prior session base
Lagarde (17:30 UTC) and Eurozone CPI tomorrow are the catalysts that break this range
00:31 UTC
Ranging, low volatility · RSI 51 · price 1.13839
Thin early-week range.
Thin early-week Asia session opened the weekend gap near 1.1382 and has held a tight 1.1378–1.1388 band, RSI(14) flat near 50. No directional structure in play; volatility compressed with ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 1.13784, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13881, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13881 opens the 1.1400 area
Loss of 1.13784 exposes 1.1370
German HICP 07:00 UTC and Lagarde 17:30 UTC could break the range
Thin early-week Asia session, EURUSD pinned in a ~10-pip band between 1.13784 and 1.13881 with RSI(14) flat near 53. No setup in play; price drifting just under the 1.1400 round number that capped the prior recovery from the 13-month low.
Support: 1.13784, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13881, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13881 opens the path back toward 1.14000
Loss of 1.13784 session low exposes 1.13700
German HICP Mon 07:00 UTC and Lagarde 17:30 UTC could break this range
00:01 UTC
Consolidating after Friday pullback · RSI 47 · price 1.13831
Tight range, low-volume Asian session.
Thin Monday open gapped marginally higher then settled into a tight 1.1378–1.1388 band on very low Asian-session volume. Price sits below EMA50, a hangover from Friday's pullback off the 1.1433 high; no setup in play while the session range holds.
Support: 1.13784, 1.1375
Resistance: 1.13876, 1.13937
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13876 reopens the path toward 1.13937
Failure to hold 1.13784 confirms a lower-low
German HICP 07:00 UTC and Lagarde 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read