EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 30 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 1.14146
Faded off session high, holding above 1.1400.
NY session ran a sharp rally to the 1.14363 session high before fading through late hours; EUR has since drifted back toward the 1.1400 pivot on the soft German CPI theme. Price is holding above EMA50 but back under EMA20, with momentum cooling.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14266, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens the path to the 1.13820 session low
Reclaim of 1.14266 swing high re-engages the session high
Eurozone flash HICP (Wed 09:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
23:31 UTC
Choppy, flat into late session · RSI 47 · price 1.14187
Consolidation after NY spike faded.
NY session spiked to 1.14363 then faded, with the move retracing into a tight 1.14140–1.14260 band; price now pinned near 1.14187 on thin late-Asia volume. EUR stayed soft after the German CPI miss, keeping the 1.1400 area in focus.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14140 opens the path to the 1.14000 round number
Reclaim of 1.14260 swing high re-tests session high at 1.14363
Eurozone flash HICP (Wed 09:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Consolidation after NY spike · RSI 44 · price 1.14187
Ranging below 1.1426 into Asia.
EURUSD spiked to 1.14345 during NY hours on the firm US data run before fading; Asia is flat and thin, drifting back to 1.14187 just under the 1.1400-area pivot. Price is consolidating between the session low at 1.14164 and the session high at 1.14260 with no momentum, RSI mid-range near 44.
Support: 1.14164, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14345
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could break this overnight range; hot core (>2.6%) is the bigger asymmetry
M15 close below 1.14164 exposes the 1.1400 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.14260 reopens the 1.14345 ny high
23:01 UTC
Consolidating after NY rally · RSI 50 · price 1.14195
Tight range near session highs.
NY session rallied off the 1.1382 low and spiked to 1.14363 before fading into a tight late-Asia coil around 1.1420 on thin volume. EUR stays pinned near 1.1400 with RSI(14) flat mid-range; the 1.14267 session high caps and 1.14118 holds the base.
Support: 1.14118, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14267, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14267 session high reopens 1.14363 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14118 swing low exposes the 1.14000 psych level
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC and US ADP 12:15 UTC could break this coil
22:46 UTC
Ranging after NY spike faded · RSI 49 · price 1.14203
Consolidation inside 1.1414-1.1426.
NY session spiked to 1.14363 then faded, and price has gone flat through the late session, pinned near 1.1420 on thin volume. Now ranging between the 1.1414 range floor and 1.1426 range top with RSI(14) neutral around 48.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1426 reopens the 1.14363 session high
Loss of the 1.1414 range floor exposes the 1.1400 psych pivot
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC and US ADP 12:15 UTC could break this range
22:31 UTC
Uptrend off lows, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14211
Consolidation near session highs.
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.14363 then faded back, and the Asia session is now consolidating tightly between the 1.14140 consol low and the 1.14270 recent high on thin late-day volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with price pinned just above EMA20.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1427, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14140 consol low reopens the 1.13880 session low
M15 close above 1.14270 recent high puts the 1.14363 session high back in play
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC and US ADP/Warsh from 12:15 UTC could break this range
22:16 UTC
Range after NY pop, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.14213
Consolidation under session high.
NY session spiked to 1.14363 then faded, and price has since coiled in a tight 1.14118-1.14271 range through the low-volume Asia drift, now near 1.1421. EUR stays heavy after German and Italian CPI misses, with Eurozone flash HICP the next catalyst.
Support: 1.14118, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14271, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14271 reopens the 1.14363 ny high
Loss of 1.14118 range low confirms a lower-low
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC and US ADP at 12:15 UTC could break the range
22:01 UTC
Ranging after NY spike · RSI 49 · price 1.14213
Consolidation below session high.
NY session spiked to 1.14363 mid-afternoon then faded back, with price now consolidating tightly between 1.1418 and 1.1426 into the quiet late session, RSI(14) neutral near 49. The earlier London leg printed the 1.13820 session low; the post-spike range top at 1.14271 has capped the recovery.
Support: 1.14118, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14271, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC and US ADP 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14271 reopens the 1.14363 spike high
Loss of 1.14118 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.13820
21:46 UTC
Range after intraday spike, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.14201
Consolidation below session high.
NY session spiked to 1.14363 before sellers rejected it, price settling into a 1.14140–1.14271 range with RSI(14) flat near 47. Now drifting at 1.14201 into the late-session lull, holding above the 1.1400 pivot flagged in the EUR digest.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14271, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14140 exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14271 reopens 1.14363 session high
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Recovery off session low, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.14201
Consolidating below spike high after NY rally.
EURUSD rallied off the 1.13820 session low into a 1.14363 spike during the NY session, then was rejected and is now consolidating 1.14140-1.14267 near the 1.1400 pivot. EUR stays heavy after German and Italian CPI misses; RSI(14) neutral around 51 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14267, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14140 opens the path to the 1.1400 pivot then 1.13820 session low
Close above 1.14267 re-engages the 1.14363 spike high
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Ranging after NY rally · RSI 51 · price 1.14216
Consolidation under session high.
EUR sank to 1.1382 through London then rallied hard into NY to 1.14363, with the spike rejected and price settling into a 1.1415-1.1427 range. Late-session volume has thinned to near nothing, RSI(14) flat around 51 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1427, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1427 reopens the 1.14363 session high
Loss of 1.1415 range low exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC and US ADP/Warsh later could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 1.14225
Range after a sharp NY-session spike.
EUR/USD spiked into NY hours to 1.14345 then faded as soft EU inflation flashes keep the pair heavy; price now ranges 1.1415-1.1427 with RSI(14) neutral. Spike high rejected and buyers held the range low into the late session.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1400, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.1427, 1.14345
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1415 reopens the 1.1400 pivot and pre-spike low at 1.1394
Reclaim of 1.1427 puts the 1.14345 spike high back in play
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC and US ADP 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR recovered off the 1.1382 session low during NY hours, spiking to 1.14363 before rejection, and is now consolidating between 1.14118 and 1.14271. RSI(14) sits mid-range with price holding above both EMAs ahead of tomorrow's Eurozone flash HICP.
Support: 1.14118, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14271, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14363 reopens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.14118 reopens the 1.1382 session low
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Rally stalling, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.14239
Consolidation below session high.
EUR spiked into the NY session to a 1.14363 session high then was rejected, settling into a 1.1415–1.1427 range with RSI(14) back near neutral. The advance retraced from the 1.1382 range low; price holds above EMA20/EMA50 but momentum has flattened.
Support: 1.1415, 1.14118, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1427, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1415 swing low reopens the 1.1382 range low
Close above 1.1427 puts the 1.14363 session high back in play
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC and ADP/Warsh later Wed could shift this read
Higher lows after sweep low, holding under session high.
NY session spiked to 1.14345 then faded sharply, before buyers stepped in at 1.14118 to grind price back toward the highs into the late session. EUR remains soft near 1.1400 after the across-the-board German/Italian/Spanish CPI misses, but the intraday structure is a chain of higher lows holding above 1.14118.
Support: 1.14118, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14345, 1.14266
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14345 reopens the session high; failure to hold 1.14118 confirms a lower-low
Eurozone flash HICP (09:00 UTC) and ADP/Warsh later could materially shift this read
NY session ripped from 1.1383 up to 1.1436 then faded, leaving price coiling in a 1.1414–1.1426 range into the close. RSI(14) has cooled back near neutral; the 1.14 pivot flagged in the EUR digest sits just below as the line that matters ahead of Wednesday's Eurozone HICP.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1383, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1426 reopens the 1.14363 session high
Failure to hold 1.1414 exposes the 1.14 pivot
Eurozone HICP (09:00 UTC) and US ADP/ISM later could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Range after NY spike faded · RSI 46 · price 1.14181
Consolidation below rejected session high.
NY session spiked to 1.14363 then was rejected hard, with price slipping back to consolidate around 1.14180 into the late session. Range top at 1.14260 caps while 1.14140 holds the base; EUR stays soft near 1.1400 after the run of undershooting national CPIs.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14260 reopens the 1.14363 session high
Failure to hold 1.14140 exposes the 1.14000 psych pivot
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC tomorrow could reset this range
19:31 UTC
Recovery, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 1.14217
Consolidating below NY spike high.
NY session spiked to 1.14363 then faded back, leaving a rejection wick at the session high; price now consolidating around 1.1420 between 1.14118 and 1.14266. EUR stayed soft into the rally after German CPI undershot forecasts.
Support: 1.14118, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.14266, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14266 reopens the 1.14363 session high
Loss of 1.14118 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.14060
Eurozone flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC could reset this read
19:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 56 · price 1.14217
Intraday range after NY spike rejection.
NY session spiked to 1.14345 then was rejected hard back into a 1.1412–1.1427 range, with EUR reclaiming the 1.1400 pivot after the German CPI miss earlier. Price now sits mid-range near 1.1422, RSI(14) neutral around 56, no setup in play.
Support: 1.14118, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14267, 1.14345
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14267 reopens the 1.14345 spike high
Loss of 1.14118 puts the 1.1400 pivot back in play
Eurozone flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session spiked to 1.1436 around 15:00 UTC before fading back to 1.1414; price has since ground higher and is consolidating 1.1414–1.1426 just under the session high. EUR softened earlier on the German CPI miss but recovered intraday, RSI(14) sitting mid-range near 57.
Support: 1.1412, 1.1396, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1436 session high opens path back toward the spike extreme
Failure to hold 1.1412 recent low confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1396 swing low
Eurozone flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:53 UTC
Recovering after NY spike, higher lows · RSI 57 · price 1.14247
Rebound off 1.1412, building higher lows under session high.
NY session spiked to 1.14363 then faded sharply, with price now grinding back up off the 1.14118 swing low on a chain of higher lows into 1.14266. EUR has been soft since the German CPI miss earlier, but this window shows a corrective bounce holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14118, 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14266, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14266 opens the path back to the 1.14363 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14118 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1400
Eurozone flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session spiked to 1.14363 then was rejected, EUR fading back to 1.1416 on a firmer USD after the JOLTS beat. Earlier London hours pressed the 1.1382 session low on soft German CPI; price now sits mid-range with lower highs since the spike.
Support: 1.14118, 1.1400, 1.13838
Resistance: 1.14257, 1.14363
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14118 swing low opens the path back to the 1.1400 psych pivot
Close back above 1.14257 re-engages the 1.14363 session high
Eurozone flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC could shift this read
16:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, pullback after spike · RSI 52 · price 1.14132
Rising lows, spike high rejected.
NY session printed a sharp spike to 1.14345 near 14:45 UTC, immediately rejected and faded back to roughly the 50% retrace near 1.1413. EUR had been soft on the German CPI miss but clawed back off the 1.1382 session low; the spike high is now untested above as price coils over the 1.1400 pivot.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13907, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14257, 1.14345
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14257 reopens the 1.14345 spike high
Loss of 1.1400 pivot exposes the 1.13907 swing low
Eurozone flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD spiked to a session high at 1.14363 during NY hours after a stall near 1.1400, then was rejected straight back to 1.14158 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought. The 1.13907–1.14363 impulse is now retracing; 1.14060 breakout area is the first reference below.
Support: 1.1406, 1.13907, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14060 retraces the full breakout move
Reclaim of 1.14260 would re-expose the 1.14363 session high
Eurozone flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC is the key driver for the next leg
16:01 UTC
Intraday rally fading off the high · RSI 57 · price 1.14198
NY spike to 1.1436 then rejection, pulling back.
NY session ran up off the 1.1388 session low and spiked to 1.14363, then got rejected hard back to 1.14198 with the last three bars red. Move came as USD firmed on hawkish-Fed repricing while EUR stays heavy near 1.1400 ahead of tomorrow's Eurozone HICP; 1.14060 breakout area is the immediate pivot below.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1400, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14363
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14060 reverts into the prior NY range
Reclaim of 1.14260 reopens the 1.14363 session high
Eurozone flash HICP 01-Jul 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:46 UTC
Intraday breakout, pulling back · RSI 59 · price 1.14198
Range break above 1.1400, retesting breakout.
NY session broke EURUSD out of the 1.1390-1.1400 range with a sharp spike to 1.14363, then rejected and pulled back to 1.14198. Price still holds above the 1.14060 breakout zone with RSI cooling from the spike high.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1400, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.14363, 1.14257
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14060 negates the breakout and returns price to range
Eurozone flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC is the key driver for the next leg
15:31 UTC
Intraday rebound, momentum hot · RSI 69 · price 1.14252
Session low reclaimed, sharp spike higher.
Late NY session ripped from the 1.1406 breakout to a session high of 1.14363 before sellers rejected it back to 1.14252, RSI(14) near 69. The move reverses earlier softness tied to dovish German CPI; price now sits above EMA20/50 after reclaiming the 1.1400 handle.
Support: 1.1406, 1.13838
Resistance: 1.14363, 1.1429
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14060 breakout reopens the session low at 1.13838
Reclaim of 1.14363 session high extends the intraday leg
EZ flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC could reshape this read
London downtrend reversed; NY breakout to session high.
NY session staged a sharp reversal off the 1.13833 swing low, rallying ~50 pips to a 1.14345 session high and reclaiming the 1.1400 round number, RSI(14) running hot near 73. The move ran against today's soft EUR inflation data, looking like late-session USD-side unwind ahead of tomorrow's jobs slate.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1400, 1.13833
Resistance: 1.14345
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.1406 breakout area would signal the NY rally is fading
A close back below 1.14000 reopens the 1.13833 swing low
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
15:01 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 1.14176
Bounced off session low, reclaiming 1.1400.
EURUSD carved a session low at 1.1388 under soft German CPI and a firmer USD, then mounted a sharp NY-hours recovery, breaking back above 1.1400 with the last bars tagging the session high at 1.14205. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme as the rally extends.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1394, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.14205, 1.14274
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1406 reopens the move toward the 1.1388 session low
M15 close above 1.14205 extends the recovery toward 1.14274
EZ flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY morning saw EURUSD base around 1.1382-1.1388 after the soft German/Italian CPI-driven slide, then a sharp three-bar rally reclaimed 1.1400 and tagged the 1.14155 session high. RSI(14) near 71 reflects the impulse; price is back above both EMAs after building higher lows through the London-NY transition.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1388, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14155, 1.1424
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14155 opens path to 1.14240
Loss of 1.1400 reopens 1.13880 higher low
EZ flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC could reshape this read
14:31 UTC
Recovering off intraday base · RSI 63 · price 1.14128
Higher lows, reclaim of 1.1400.
NY afternoon, EUR reclaimed 1.1400 and pushed to a session high at 1.14128 after basing twice around 1.1382, despite the soft German/Italian CPI tone weighing on the currency earlier. Higher lows since the London-NY transition, RSI(14) firming into the low-60s on the recovery.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1394, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1413, 1.14245
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1400 reopens the 1.13820 session low
EZ flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC could reset this intraday read
14:16 UTC
London downtrend, NY recovery stalling · RSI 48 · price 1.13926
Consolidating mid-range below 1.1407 after a double bottom.
London sold EURUSD from 1.1430 down to a 1.1382 double bottom on the soft German CPI lead-in; the NY recovery stalled at the 1.1407 session high. Price now consolidating mid-range near 1.1393, RSI(14) neutral around 48.
Support: 1.1382, 1.13861
Resistance: 1.1407, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1382 breaks the double bottom and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1407 session high opens the path back toward 1.1430
US JOLTS / Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
14:01 UTC
Downtrend stabilizing, recovery off base · RSI 49 · price 1.13984
Session range after lower highs; base holding near 1.1382.
NY session has EUR/USD chopping just under 1.1400 after the pair slipped below it on the German CPI miss. Price recovered off a 1.1382 base built through the London-NY transition; range top 1.14068 still capping, RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14068
What it said to watch
JOLTS & Consumer Confidence at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14068 breaks the session range top
EUR slid through the London session after the soft German CPI miss, bottoming twice near 1.1382/1.1388 before NY buyers lifted it back toward 1.1407. Price now sits at 1.14026, grinding within a 1.1388–1.1407 range with RSI(14) neutral around 53.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14068, 1.1416
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14068 session high opens the path to the 1.14160 swing high
Failure to hold the 1.13880 double bottom confirms a lower low
US Chicago PMI 13:45 UTC and JOLTS 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the London session from 1.1430 to 1.1382 as the German CPI undershoot and a firmer USD pressed price below the 1.140 floor ING flags. NY hours have seen a grind back to retest 1.140; the bounce stalls under 1.1406 with RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.1388, 1.13833
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.14092
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.14060 needed to confirm the recovery
Loss of 1.13880 reopens the 1.13833 swing low
US Chicago PMI (13:45 UTC) and JOLTS (14:00 UTC) could shift this read in the next bars
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.13961
Range after lower highs, basing near 1.1388.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1430 through the session after the German CPI undershoot and firmer USD, basing around 1.1388 into the London-NY overlap. Now ranging 1.1388–1.1402 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; the session high at 1.1402 is capping the bounce.
Support: 1.13883, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14025, 1.14072
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14025 ends the consolidation and reopens 1.1407
Loss of 1.1388 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1382 session low
US Chicago PMI (13:45 UTC) and JOLTS (14:00 UTC) could break the range
EURUSD slid from 1.1430 through the London session into a 1.1382 session low, then steadied into NY, ranging 1.1382-1.1407 just under the 1.1400 round number. Soft German CPI tilts EUR dovish while USD stays firm; RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1407
What it said to watch
US JOLTS/Consumer Confidence at 13:45-14:00 UTC could break this range
M15 close above 1.14000 reopens the 1.14070 swing high
Loss of 1.13820 session low confirms a lower low
EZ flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC is the key EUR risk
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 43 · price 1.13905
Lower highs, holding above range low.
EURUSD slid from the 1.1430 session high through the European session and is now pinned near 1.1390, holding just above the 1.1382 range low. Rallies into 1.1402-1.1407 have been faded twice, keeping the lower-high chain intact; RSI(14) mid-40s with ATR around 9 pips. USD firm after soft German CPI left EUR on the back foot.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1407
What it said to watch
US JOLTS / Consumer Confidence (13:45-14:00 UTC) could break this range
Close below 1.1382 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1407 breaks the lower-high sequence
12:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower late · RSI 46 · price 1.13944
Choppy range, lower highs into NY.
EURUSD pinned near the 1.1400 pivot, ranging roughly 1.1386–1.1407 after a soft German CPI print kept the bounce USD-driven rather than EUR-led. Price faded from the 1.1402 area into the London-NY transition, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme; tight ~7 pip ATR signals a compressed session.
Support: 1.13861, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14072, 1.1402, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13861 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.14072 reopens the 1.1430 asian high
EZ flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD is drifting around 1.1392 after rejection at 1.14060, pinned near the 1.1400 pivot through the German CPI release at 12:00 UTC. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 44, holding the 1.13861-1.13820 support band that has been defended twice this session.
Support: 1.13861, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.1416
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13860 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.13820
Reclaim of 1.14060 negates the lower-high structure
ECB Lane at 13:30 UTC could shift this read
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 46 · price 1.1395
Sold from 1.1430 to 1.1382, now ranging.
EUR/USD pinned near 1.1400, having sold from the 1.1430 session high to a 1.1382 low during London before buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom into NY. Move driven more by USD strength than EUR; price now coils below EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering off mid-40s. German CPI at 12:00 UTC lands right on this read.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1395
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.1406, 1.14303
What it said to watch
German CPI/HICP at 12:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1382 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14020 reopens 1.14060
11:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 48 · price 1.13961
Intraday range, mid-band.
EURUSD pinned around 1.1396, ranging 1.1382-1.1409 through the London-NY transition with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Price has chopped sideways since the 1.1382 session low, recovery capped at 1.1409; move is USD-led with EUR sticky into German CPI.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14092, 1.14025
What it said to watch
German CPI/HICP at 12:00 UTC could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.14092 opens the path back toward 1.1420
Loss of 1.13880 exposes the 1.13820 session low
11:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, recovering off base · RSI 52 · price 1.13984
Ranging above session low after double bottom.
EURUSD carved a double bottom at 1.1383 during the NY session and has recovered into the 1.1400 pivot, RSI(14) back to neutral near 52. Price stalled sub-1.1400 with EUR pinned near yearly lows; German HICP at 12:00 UTC is the next catalyst with price compressed between 1.1383 and the 1.1406 swing high.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1392
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1406, 1.1430
What it said to watch
German HICP at 12:00 UTC (~30m) could break the 1.1383-1.1406 range
Sustained break below 1.1383 opens a lower-low toward yearly lows
M15 close above 1.1406 swing high targets the 1.1430 reject zone
EURUSD carved a double bottom at 1.1382/1.1384 in the London session and has clawed back above the 1.1400 pivot, RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s. Price is retesting the 1.1400 level from above after rejection capped earlier near 1.1430.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13838, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14072, 1.1430
What it said to watch
German HICP at 12:00 UTC is the day's catalyst — could materially shift this read in the next bar
Sustained break below 1.1382 confirms a lower-low toward yearly lows
M15 close above 1.14072 opens the path back to the 1.1430 rejection zone
11:01 UTC
Downtrend stabilising · RSI 51 · price 1.13986
Range after decline, double bottom near 1.1382.
EUR slid through the London session to ~1.1382, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom, and price now chops back toward mid-range at 1.1399. RSI(14) neutral near 50; pair pinned sub-1.1400 ahead of German HICP at 12:00 UTC.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.1419
What it said to watch
German HICP at 12:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.1382 confirms a lower-low
Close above 1.1406 opens the path back toward 1.1419
EUR/USD was rejected near 1.1430 earlier and slid to test the 1.1382 yearly-low area, unfazed by strong German retail sales; price now consolidates 1.1383-1.1407 with the 1.1400 pivot capping. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1407
What it said to watch
German HICP at 12:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1407 invalidates the consolidation read
Failure to hold 1.1383 opens the path to yearly lows below 1.1385
EUR/USD slid from the 1.1430 session high to a 1.1382 session low as the dollar stayed broadly bid, and is now consolidating around 1.1394 with a double bottom forming near 1.1382. RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum extreme; the 1.1400 psych pivot caps the bounce.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14072
What it said to watch
Germany HICP at 12:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1400 opens the path back toward the 1.14072 swing high
Loss of 1.1382 session low confirms a fresh lower low
10:16 UTC
Downtrend from 1.1430, momentum slowing near lows · RSI 47 · price 1.13969
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.1430 rejection cap through London and bled into NY toward the session low at 1.1383, the yearly-low zone, and is now consolidating sub-1.1400. RSI(14) sits mid-range as the slide stalls; price chops back above EMA20 but holds below EMA50.
Support: 1.13833, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14063, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1400 reopens 1.14063 swing high
Failure to hold 1.13833 exposes the yearly-low zone near 1.1382
German HICP at 12:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13941
Lower highs into yearly-low zone, sideways base.
EUR/USD slid from the 1.1430 rejection through the London session into the yearly-low zone ~1.1383, twice basing there before recovering to 1.1394. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; German HICP at 12:00 UTC is the next driver.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1382 confirms a lower-low and breaks the yearly-low base
Reclaim of 1.1406 needed to challenge the 1.1430 rejection cap
German HICP at 12:00 UTC (f/c 2.6%) could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 1.13902
Lower highs from 1.1430, pressing session low.
EURUSD carved a lower-high chain after rejection near 1.1430, with the 1.1407 bounce fading back below 1.1400 on a firmer USD tone. Price now grinds at the 1.1382 session low / yearly-low zone, RSI(14) mid-40s — no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1386
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14072, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1382 opens the yearly-low break toward 1.1385 zone
Reclaim of 1.1400 pivot would neutralise the lower-high read
German HICP at 12:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the European session off the 1.14303 session high, slipping below the 1.1400 pivot and testing 1.1382 twice where buyers stepped in. RSI(14) is recovering toward mid-40s after the leg down; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1378
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14092, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1382 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1380
Reclaim of 1.1400 pivot needed to ease downside pressure
German HICP at 12:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 44 · price 1.1393
Lower highs off 1.1430, double bottom at 1.1383.
EUR/USD drifted lower across the window from the 1.1430 cap toward 1.1383, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom on firmer USD and the dovish ECB repricing. The 1.1400 psych pivot is capping the bounce, with price back at 1.1393 after a snap off the lows.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1409, 1.1430
What it said to watch
German HICP at 12:00 UTC is the key euro catalyst and could materially shift this read
Break below 1.1383 confirms a lower low toward yearly-low territory
M15 close above 1.1400 / 1.1409 invalidates the lower-high structure
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 38 · price 1.13855
Lower highs, retesting swing low.
EUR/USD slipped back to ~1.1385 during the London session after a bounce to 1.1407 was rejected, leaving a chain of lower highs from the 1.1430 peak. RSI sits in the high-30s with price below EMA20/50; the 1.1382 swing low is the level in focus.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1376
Resistance: 1.1407, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1382 opens the path toward yearly lows near 1.1376
Reclaim of 1.1407 would break the lower-high sequence
German HICP at 12:00 UTC is the main EUR catalyst this session
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 1.13925
Lower highs / lower lows intraday.
EURUSD bleeding lower through the London session, printing lower highs off the 1.14303 session peak and rejecting the 1.14063 bounce before sliding to a 1.13878 session low. Price sits back at 1.13925 below both EMAs, RSI(14) mid-40s — heavy but not stretched, in line with the firmer-USD tone near yearly lows.
Support: 1.13878, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14063, 1.1400, 1.14303
What it said to watch
German HICP at 12:00 UTC is the main EUR catalyst and could shift this read
M15 close back above 1.14063 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13878 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1382
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 1.1390
Lower highs since 1.1430 rejection, pressing session lows.
London session has EUR/USD grinding lower after rejection at 1.1430, slipping back under 1.1390 as a firmer USD reasserts. A bounce to 1.14090 failed and the last two bars sold off into the 1.1388 session low; RSI(14) near 42, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.1388, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1409, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1382 confirms a lower low toward last week's yearly lows
Reclaim of 1.14090 breaks the lower-high sequence
German HICP at 12:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce capped · RSI 44 · price 1.13952
Lower highs, session low holding.
EUR/USD slid off the 1.1430 session high to a 1.1382 low as USD firmed under hawkish-Fed repricing, snapping the prior bounce. The recovery to 1.14092 was rejected and price closed back at 1.13952; sellers cap near the 61.8% retrace of the decline while 1.1382 holds for now.
Support: 1.1382, 1.13887
Resistance: 1.14092, 1.14303
What it said to watch
German HICP at 12:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1382 opens the path toward 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14092 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
08:01 UTC
Down-leg recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.14049
Session low swept, V-recovery reclaiming 1.1400.
EUR sold off through 1.1400 into the London open, printing a session low at 1.1382 before a sharp V-recovery reclaimed the figure; price now 1.14049, back above EMA20 but under EMA50. The bounce came off softer German state CPIs against a firm USD, leaving 1.14090 as the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1388, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1409, 1.1417, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Sustained loss of 1.1400 reopens the 1.1382 session low
Close above 1.14090 confirms a higher high and exposes 1.1417
German HICP at 12:00 GMT could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 54 · price 1.14058
V-recovery after sweep of 1.1382.
London session swept the 1.1382 session low then snapped back in a sharp V-recovery, reclaiming 1.1400; price now sits near the 50% retrace of the 1.1430–1.1382 down leg with RSI(14) back to neutral. EUR has been soft sub-1.1400 on firmer USD, but demand stepped in twice around 1.1382/1.1388.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1430
What it said to watch
German HICP at 12:00 GMT is the next catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1414 opens the path back to the 1.1430 session high
Loss of 1.1400 puts the 1.1382 session low back in play
Recovery off session low after a lower-high sequence.
EURUSD slid through the European morning to a session low at 1.1382 before buyers stepped in, recovering to 1.1404. The bounce is capped under the 1.1406 prior high and RSI(14) has cycled back to neutral near 51.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.1416, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1406 opens the path to 1.1416
Failure to hold 1.1395 reopens the 1.1382 session low
German HICP at 12:00 GMT is the main near-term EUR driver
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.1402
Lower highs into 1.1382 low, sharp bounce.
London session sold the pair from the 1.1430 session high down to a fresh low at 1.1382, which was swept then quickly recovered to 1.1402. EUR stays heavy near 1.1400 with German HICP (12:00 GMT, f/c 2.6%) the next swing factor.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1395
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1416 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1382 confirms a fresh lower-low
German HICP YoY at 12:00 GMT could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.13953
Lower highs into 1.1382 low, recovery underway.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session and into London, sweeping the 1.1382 swing low before snapping back to 1.1398; EUR stays heavy sub-1.1450 as ECB hike bets fade. Price now trades just under the bounce high at 1.1398 with RSI(14) recovering off its lows but still below 50.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1386
Resistance: 1.1398, 1.1416, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1398 opens the path back to the 1.1416 swing
Failure to hold 1.1382 confirms a fresh lower-low
German HICP at 12:00 GMT (f/c 2.6%) could materially shift this read
EUR drifted lower through the Asia and early London session, printing a 1.1382 session low before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 1.13975 on the latest bar. Sequence of lower highs from 1.14303 stays intact; RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 46 with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1386
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.14168, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14060 breaks the lower-high chain and challenges the 1.14168 pivot
Failure to hold 1.1382 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1335-1.1320 base
German HICP at 12:00 GMT (f/c 2.6%) could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 35 · price 1.13894
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
EUR slid from the 1.1430 swing high to a session low at 1.1382 through the London open, now hovering 1.1389 with RSI(14) sub-35. Clean chain of lower highs and lower lows; supply has capped each bounce around 1.1400.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1424
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1382 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1400 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
German HICP at 12:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD slid steadily from the 1.14303 session high to 1.1382, the latest bar sweeping the session low as DXY softness faded into the data window. RSI(14) near 30 shows momentum stretched to the downside; price is below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1368
Resistance: 1.1399, 1.1406, 1.14303
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13990 would stall the lower-high sequence
German HICP at 12:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.13820 confirms continuation lower
EUR/USD rolled over through the Asia-London transition, fading from the 1.1424 area and breaking down to a fresh session low at 1.1389 with RSI(14) near 33. Price trades below EMA20/50; the 1.1400 pivot now caps as overhead supply after the breakdown.
Support: 1.13887, 1.1380, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1406, 1.1415
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1400 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.1389 opens 1.1380 then the 1.1370 area
German CPI/unemployment cluster in the next few hours could shift this read
05:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 33 · price 1.13909
Lower highs, breaking to session low.
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.1430 area through the NY and Asia sessions, then accelerated lower into the London open, breaking the 1.1406 shelf to print a fresh session low at 1.13861. RSI(14) near 33 reflects the impulsive sell-off, with price hugging the lows after a shallow bounce to 1.13909.
Support: 1.13861, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1399, 1.1406, 1.1416
What it said to watch
German data cluster today (Retail Sales 06:00, CPI EU-norm 06:45, Unemployment 07:55, CPI YoY 09:00) could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.13990 would stall the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13861 opens the path toward 1.1380
EURUSD faded steadily from the 1.1430 session high to a fresh session low at 1.1386, breaking below the 1.1406 pivot during late NY/Asia hours after an earlier spike above 1.1400 on the Eurozone sentiment beat stalled. RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s with price below EMA20/50; the down-leg sits just above the 13-month low zone.
Support: 1.1386, 1.1380, 1.1320
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.1416, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1386 opens the path toward the 1.1320 13-month low
Reclaim of 1.1406 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
German Retail Sales (06:00) and CPI EU-norm (06:45) due imminently could shift this read
EUR/USD slid through the 1.1400 pivot late in the window and printed a fresh session low at 1.1388, RSI(14) cooling toward oversold. The fade comes despite Lagarde's hawkish Sintra tone, with price pinned below EMA20/50 ahead of German data.
Support: 1.13877, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14168, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1380 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1400 pivot would neutralise the downside break
German prelim CPI 09:00 GMT is the main EUR catalyst in the next bars
EUR/USD has bled off the 1.14303 session high in a steady run of lower highs, breaking down through 1.14062 during the Asia session and now probing 1.13949 with RSI(14) near 34. The slide tracks a cautious EUR ahead of German prelim CPI (09:00 GMT), the day's main catalyst for ECB pricing.
Support: 1.13949, 1.13821
Resistance: 1.14062, 1.1416, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13949 confirms continuation toward 1.13821 session low
Reclaim of 1.14062 needed to stall the lower-high sequence
German Retail Sales 06:00 GMT and prelim CPI 09:00 GMT could materially shift this read
EURUSD has bled lower through the Asia session after fading from the 1.14303 NY high, printing a chain of lower highs and lower lows into 1.1396. RSI(14) near 34 reflects the persistent downside drift, ATR a thin ~5 pips. Move ties to a corrective USD bid stabilising and EUR pinned sub-1.1420 ahead of German data.
Support: 1.13949, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14062, 1.14303
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1380 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14062 needed to stall the downtrend
German Retail Sales 06:00 GMT and prelim CPI 09:00 GMT could reset this read
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 36 · price 1.13976
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.1430.
EURUSD faded from the 1.1430 swing high and broke below the 1.1416 shelf and the 1.1400 round number during Asia hours, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows. Price sits at 1.1398 just above the 1.13965 session low with RSI(14) sub-40, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.13965, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1406, 1.1416
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14060 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13965 confirms a fresh lower low
German Retail Sales (06:00 GMT) and HICP (09:00) could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, fading from session high · RSI 34 · price 1.13973
Lower highs since 1.1430 peak.
Price rejected the session high at 1.1430 and has bled lower through the late session, printing lower highs into 1.1397. RSI(14) sits near 34, soft but not yet stretched, with the move retracing the earlier 1.1380-1.1430 push almost in full.
Support: 1.13965, 1.13806
Resistance: 1.14168, 1.14303
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1382 asia low confirms a deeper lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14168 lower high would neutralise the fade
US JOLTS due in the next session hours could shift this read
EURUSD has drifted off the 1.14303 session high through the Asia session, breaking the 1.1410 floor and printing a fresh session low at 1.13965 into the European open. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.13965, 1.13806
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.14165, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13965 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14060 would neutralise the intraday downside read
German Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and German CPI 09:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD topped at 1.14303 during NY hours then faded steadily into the Asia session, now testing 1.1398 with RSI(14) near 39. Price has retraced to the 61.8% fib of the 1.1381–1.1430 leg and is struggling to hold 1.1400, consistent with the corrective recovery off the 13-month low.
Support: 1.1398, 1.13806
Resistance: 1.14163, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1398 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1381
Reclaim of 1.14163 needed to challenge the descending highs
German Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and German CPI 09:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD rolled off the 1.1430 session high through late NY, with a sharp break of the 1.1420 shelf dragging price to 1.1406. Asia hours now hold a tight 1.1401–1.1406 range, RSI(14) near 39 and price under both EMAs after the breakdown.
Support: 1.1401, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.1416, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14060 would unwind the breakdown read
German Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) and German CPI (09:00 UTC) could shift this read
Loss of 1.14010 floor confirms continuation toward 1.13980
03:16 UTC
Pullback after rounded top · RSI 42 · price 1.14043
Lower highs off 1.1430, supply capping.
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.1430 session high and is grinding lower, last pinned around 1.1404 with price below both EMAs. The 1.14145 recent high capped the bounce; a shallow Asian range is holding above the 1.14016 swing low.
Support: 1.14016, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14145, 1.1423, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14016 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1400 psych
Reclaim of 1.14145 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
German CPI at 09:00 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR faded from the 1.14303 session high after the spike failed to confirm above the 1.1400 area, then broke the 1.1413 consolidation lower into the pre-London hours. Price is now holding the 50% retrace of the prior rally near 1.14055, sitting below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling around 41.
Support: 1.14016, 1.13922
Resistance: 1.14168, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14016 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14168 negates the breakdown
German Retail Sales (06:00 GMT) and German CPI (09:00 GMT) could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.14034
Lower highs, rolling over from 1.1430.
EURUSD rejected 1.14303 session high and has bled lower into the 1.1400 psych zone, printing lower highs as the USD safe-haven unwind stalled. RSI(14) near 37 — soft but not yet oversold; price is hugging the 1.14016 session low with thin rollover-hour volume.
Support: 1.14016, 1.1400, 1.13957
Resistance: 1.14168, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14000 confirms continuation toward 1.13957
Reclaim of 1.14168 invalidates the lower-high sequence
German CPI 09:00 GMT could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Short-term downtrend off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.14022
Lower high then breakdown through 1.1416.
Double-top rejection at 1.1428–1.1430 through the Asia session gave way to a breakdown below 1.1416 into the 00:00 UTC hour, dragging price to 1.1402. RSI(14) near 42, ATR around 6 pips; price now holding just above the 1.1400 round number after a brief dip to 1.14016.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1428, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1416 negates the lower-high read
Failure to hold 1.1402 exposes the 1.1390 prior swing
German CPI at 09:00 GMT could shift this read
02:16 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 1.14046
EURUSD rallied to a 1.14303 session high through Monday's London-NY hours, then drifted into a tight 1.1422-1.1430 consolidation. Late-Asia selling broke that floor, dragging price to 1.14016 before a shallow bounce stalled near 1.14152; RSI(14) cooled into the high-30s as the move extended.
Support: 1.14016, 1.1400, 1.13868
Resistance: 1.14152, 1.1426, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14260 invalidates the downside range break
Failure to hold 1.14000 round number opens the 1.13868 base
German Retail Sales 06:00 GMT and German CPI 09:00 GMT could materially shift the EUR read
02:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, fading off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.14056
Lower highs, broke below 1.1420 consolidation.
EUR faded from the 1.1430 session high after the post-Sintra bid stalled below 1.1400, breaking the 1.1420 consolidation during the late session and now testing 1.1406 — the 50% retrace of the 1.1381–1.1430 leg. RSI(14) sits near 38 with ATR around 7 pips on thin Asian-session flow.
Support: 1.1405, 1.13985, 1.13806
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.14303
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.1405 opens the path toward 1.1399 then 1.1381
Reclaim of 1.1415 would neutralise the downside break
German Retail Sales 06:00 GMT and German CPI 09:00 GMT can materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Downtrend developing off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14143
Lower highs since 1.1430, slide into Asia.
EUR rolled over from the 1.14303 session high during NY and bled into Asia, breaking the 1.1422-1.1425 congestion and tagging a 1.14058 low before a modest bounce to 1.1414. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40; the digest's failure to confirm above 1.1400 keeps the slide read intact.
Support: 1.14058, 1.13986, 1.13822
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14250 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14058 opens the path toward 1.13986
German Retail Sales (06:00 GMT) and CPI (09:00 GMT) could shift this read
01:31 UTC
Rally faded, rolling over · RSI 38 · price 1.14073
NY session high set, consolidation broke lower.
NY session pushed to a session high at 1.14303 before EUR failed to hold above the 1.1400 line per the broader CPI-watch tone, then drifted into a tight Asian range near 1.1425. The last few bars broke that consolidation floor with a sharp drop to 1.1406, RSI(14) cooling toward 38.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1400, 1.13806
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1425 negates the breakdown
Loss of 1.1400 opens the path to the 1.13806 swing low
EZ/German CPI batch from 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14155
Lower highs/lows into Asia.
NY session pushed to a 1.14303 high then stalled; Asia hours broke below the 1.14250 consolidation floor and ground out lower lows toward 1.14121, RSI(14) cooling near 40. Price sits below both EMAs after the rejection, EUR still failing to extend the prior NY rally.
Support: 1.14121, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14121 opens the path toward 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.14250 negates the Asia breakdown
German/EZ CPI batch (06:45-09:00 UTC) could reshape this read
01:01 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.14141
Lower highs since the 1.1430 rejection.
EURUSD rolled off the 1.14303 session high through thin Asian hours and is now probing the session low near 1.1413, RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-30s. Below both EMAs with a chain of lower highs; no setup in play while 1.1413 holds.
Support: 1.1413, 1.1400, 1.1386
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1413 opens the path to the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of 1.14250 negates the lower-high sequence
German EU-norm CPI (06:45 UTC) and EZ CPI (09:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Pullback after NY rally · RSI 37 · price 1.14151
Consolidation broken to downside.
Monday's NY session pushed EUR/USD to a 1.14303 session high before stalling; the Asian session has faded back through the 1.1420-1.1428 consolidation, with the last few bars breaking down to 1.14130 and RSI(14) cooling toward the high-30s. Liquidity is thin and ATR has compressed into single pips ahead of the European data block.
Support: 1.1413, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1423, 1.14303
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.14130 keeps the pullback shallow; loss exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14230 puts the 1.14303 session high back in play
German CPI and Retail Sales (Tue 06:00/06:45 GMT) could materially shift this read
NY session pushed EUR/USD up to a 1.1430 session high before rejection, then price consolidated near 1.1425 through the Asia session. The late session has slipped to a fresh low at 1.1416 on thin liquidity (ATR ~3 pips), RSI cooling toward 40.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.1388
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1426
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1416 confirms a lower low and extends the slide toward 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.1430 reopens the session-high break
German prelim CPI Tue 06:45 GMT could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.14174
Consolidation below session high, edging lower.
EURUSD ran up through London-NY to a 1.14303 session high then stalled, churning a tight 1.1424-1.1428 band through low-volume Asia. Price has since slipped to 1.14174, back below the EMA20/50 cluster, with RSI(14) cooling toward 43 as the overnight pullback develops below 1.1400 pivot talk.
Support: 1.14168, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.14303
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14168 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14260 range top puts the 1.14303 session high back in play
German CPI/Retail Sales (06:00/06:45 GMT) could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling near highs · RSI 44 · price 1.14205
Consolidation below session high.
NY session drove EUR/USD up off the 1.1380 base to a 1.14303 session high before stalling; the EUR stayed firm but capped under 1.1400-area conviction per the rangebound macro read. Asian hours are quiet and low-volume, drifting back toward the 1.1420 range floor.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1410, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14303, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1420 opens a retest of the 1.1410 swing low and 1.1400 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.14303 session high reopens upside toward 1.1447
German CPI Tue 06:45 GMT could materially shift this read