EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Tuesday, 30 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.14256
Double bottom base, higher lows building.
H4 carved a multi-week downtrend from 1.1644 into a 1.1325 double-bottom base, with EUR pressured all week by soft German and Italian CPI undercutting the ECB-hike case. Price has since reclaimed the 1.1400 psych pivot and is pressing the 1.1436 week high, building a sequence of higher lows off the base. ATR is moderate and the recovery has lifted price back above both the EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1388, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC and US ADP/Warsh could materially shift this read
H4 close above 1.1436 week high opens the path toward the 1.1500 round level
Failure to hold the 1.1400 psych pivot reopens the 1.1325 double bottom
Higher lows off the 1.1325 base, capped below EMA50.
H4 has been in a downtrend since the mid-June break below 1.1500, bottoming near 1.1325 and grinding back with a series of higher lows into 1.1416. EUR stayed soft after German and Italian CPI misses revived ECB-pause doubts, yet the recovery has reclaimed the 1.1400 psych pivot and EMA20 while still capped below the EMA50 and the 1.1436 recent high. ATR(14) near 29 pips marks a moderate regime as the base builds.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1378, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1450, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1436 recent high opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold the 1.1378 higher low reopens 1.1325 swing low
Eurozone flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained multi-week downtrend from 1.1650 to the 1.1325 swing low, with price now stabilising in a tight 1.1382-1.1434 range as the slide loses pace. The soft German CPI miss kept EUR dovishly tilted but two-way ahead of tomorrow's EZ flash HICP, leaving the pair pinned around 1.1400. ATR has compressed off the mid-window expansion, consistent with the current consolidation.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1434
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1325 confirms a fresh lower low and resumes the downtrend
H4 close above 1.1434 swing high breaks the consolidation and challenges the ema50
EZ flash HICP Wed 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Stabilising in a range above 1.1325 after the June leg down.
EURUSD remains in a multi-week downtrend from the 1.165 area, with the slide to yearly lows at 1.1325 reflecting fading ECB hike bets and a firm USD. Price has since carved a consolidation between 1.1382 and the 1.1433 rejection cap, with ATR(14) compressing as the impulse stalls. The pair sits near the 50% retrace of the last leg down, capped under the H4 EMA50.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1433
What it said to watch
German HICP at 12:00 UTC is the main EUR catalyst and could shift this read
H4 close above 1.1433 invalidates the consolidation read
Failure to hold 1.1382 reopens the 1.1325 yearly low
The multi-week slide from 1.165 found a floor at the 1.1325 13-month low, and price has since carved higher lows in a corrective bounce that stalled at the 1.1434 swing high. ATR(14) has compressed as the move flattened into a tight band, with EMA20 reclaimed but EMA50 still capping overhead. The hawkish ECB Sintra tone underpins the tactical bid, though 1.1450 remains the range cap bulls have failed to clear.
Support: 1.1338, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1450
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1450 range cap would confirm the recovery and open a test of 1.15
Failure to hold the 1.1325 13-mo low confirms a fresh lower low
German prelim CPI today is the main EUR catalyst and could shift this read
The H4 downtrend from the early-June highs near 1.1620 bottomed at a 13-month low of 1.1325 before a base built and price reclaimed the 1.1400 pivot, printing a higher low near 1.1378. ATR(14) near 64 pips marks a steadying after the impulsive sell-off, with EUR cushioned by the ECB's hawkish Sintra tone ahead of today's eurozone CPI batch. Price now sits above EMA20 but still capped below EMA50, the recovery testing the descending lower-high line.
Support: 1.1378, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1470
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1434 swing high opens the path to 1.1470 resistance
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens the 1.1325 13-mo low
EZ CPI batch and US ADP/ISM today could materially shift this read