EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 29 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 1.14647
Post-FOMC breakout, HH-HL intact.
NY session ripped from 1.1390 to 1.1474 on the Fed's expected hold, removing the hike premium that had backed the dollar. Price is now consolidating just under the 1.14710 session high into the Asia session, RSI cooling from overbought with an intact HL chain off 1.14475.
Support: 1.1455, 1.14475, 1.1433
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.14743
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14743 extends the breakout toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.14475 breaks the ascending structure
EZ Q2 GDP / German HICP Thu 07:00 GMT and US Core PCE 12:30 GMT could reset this read
FOMC hold at the NY session drove EUR sharply through the 1.1400 psych pivot to a session high of 1.14743. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1457-1.1474 band through Asia hours with RSI(14) cooling from the impulse; the swing low at 1.14467 marks the consolidation floor.
Support: 1.14467, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14743
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14467 breaks the post-FOMC consolidation and confirms a lower low
Sustained trade back under 1.14000 reverses the breakout read
EZ flash Q2 GDP / German HICP Thu 07:00 GMT could reshape this read
FOMC hold triggered a sharp breakout from ~1.1394 to a session high of 1.14743 during NY hours, and price is now consolidating just below that high on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) has cooled off the spike; the range low at 1.14593 has held on the pullback.
Support: 1.14593, 1.14474, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14705
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14743 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.14593 puts the 1.14474 swing low back in view
EZ GDP / German HICP Thu 07:00-09:00 GMT could reshape this read
Breakout from 1.1380s range, consolidating near highs.
FOMC hold at 3.75% triggered a sharp breakout from the 1.1380s range up to 1.14743, adding roughly 90 pips. Price is now drifting sideways in thin Asia trade just under the session high, RSI(14) cooling from its post-spike peak.
Support: 1.14475, 1.14332, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14705
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.14475 breaks the consolidation and questions the breakout
EZ flash Q2 GDP / German HICP Thu 07:00 GMT could reprice EUR
US Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 UTC is the key post-FOMC USD test
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 68 · price 1.14693
Post-FOMC breakout, HH/HL chain intact.
The FOMC hold triggered a ~100-pip EURUSD spike through 1.1400 during NY hours, extending to a 1.14743 session high. Price is now consolidating just below the high into Asia with RSI(14) elevated near 68; buyers held the first pullback at 1.14475.
Support: 1.14475, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14475 breaks the post-FOMC uptrend structure
Break above 1.14743 session high opens continuation
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the FOMC move
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, extending into new highs · RSI 71 · price 1.14716
Post-FOMC breakout, chain of higher highs/higher lows.
FOMC hold sparked a sharp EUR/USD spike from 1.1394 up through the 1.1400 cap during the NY session, breaking the prior range. Price has since ground to fresh session highs near 1.1472 with RSI(14) elevated around 71 but not yet extreme; shallow pullbacks to the rising support line have been bought.
Support: 1.14455, 1.14273
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14455 spike low would break the up-structure
Thu EZ GDP / German HICP and US Core PCE clusters could materially reprice this move
Failure to clear 1.14705 session high risks a lower-high
Post-FOMC breakout, consolidating near session high.
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1394 to a 1.14705 session high after the Fed's hold read dovishly against stretched USD longs. Price is now grinding sideways just below that high in thin late-NY trade, RSI(14) cooling from the surge.
Support: 1.14475, 1.1433, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14663
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14705 extends the breakout
Failure to hold 1.14475 swing low signals a deeper pullback
EZ Q2 GDP and German HICP Thu, plus FOMC aftermath, could reshape this read
22:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after spike · RSI 66 · price 1.14675
Breakout above 1.1400, holding highs.
The FOMC hold triggered a sharp USD-negative leg; EUR/USD broke through the 1.1400 figure and ran to 1.14705 during NY hours, reclaiming lost ground on a dovish read. Price is now consolidating just under the session high with RSI cooling off the spike.
Support: 1.14475, 1.1400, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14475 swing low would signal the post-FOMC leg is stalling
Failure to hold the 1.1400 figure pivot re-opens the downside
Thu 07:00/08:00 GMT German HICP and EZ Q2 GDP plus 12:30 GMT US Core PCE could reset this read
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 66 · price 1.1468
Post-FOMC breakout, now consolidating near highs.
Dovish FOMC hold at 18:00 UTC ripped EUR/USD through the 1.1400 prior cap, running to a session high 1.14705. Price now consolidates around 1.1468 with RSI cooling from the spike; the 1.1450 consol floor is holding.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1470
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1450 opens a retest of the 1.1400 prior cap
Eurozone Q2 GDP and German HICP + US Core PCE/GDP Thu could reset this read
M15 close back below 1.1400 invalidates the breakout
Post-FOMC breakout, consolidating near session high.
A dovish-leaning FOMC hold triggered a sharp breakout through 1.1400, EUR/USD running to a 1.14705 session high. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1455–1.1470 zone with RSI cooling from the spike; buyers holding above 1.14475 keep the move intact.
Support: 1.14475, 1.14332, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14663
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14475 opens a pullback toward 1.1400
Acceptance above 1.14705 extends the breakout
EZ Q2 GDP and US Core PCE later today could reshape this read
FOMC hold sparked a sharp EUR leg up as the dollar softened, driving a breakout through the 1.1400 psych level to a session high of 1.14705. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1445–1.1470 band into the Asia session, RSI cooling off from overbought.
Support: 1.14455, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.14455 swing low would signal the breakout is stalling and open a retest toward the 1.1400 psych level
US Core PCE/GDP cluster Thu 12:30 UTC and EZ Q2 GDP + German HICP could materially shift this read
The Fed's hold triggered a vertical FOMC leg, ripping EUR/USD from ~1.1394 to a session high of 1.14705 as the USD softened. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1450s just under that high, RSI(14) cooling from the spike but still elevated at ~70; the pullback low at 1.14475 has held so far.
Support: 1.14475, 1.14063
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14705 session high opens continuation higher
Failure to hold the 1.14475 pullback low signals the FOMC spike fading
Eurozone Q2 GDP and German HICP (early Thu) could reprice this move
EUR/USD ripped ~90 pips off 1.1394 into a session high of 1.14705 as the dollar softened on the FOMC hold and dovish tilt. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1455–1.1470 zone just under the high, RSI(14) cooling off from overbought as the spike digests.
Support: 1.14475, 1.14332, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14663
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14705 extends the breakout leg
Failure to hold 1.14475 signals the post-FOMC pop is fading
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ripped through the 1.1400 cap on the FOMC hold as the USD softened, running from ~1.1394 to a 1.14705 session high in the NY afternoon. Price is now consolidating around 1.1463 with RSI cooling from the spike; the prior 1.1400 ceiling now acts as breakout support.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1440, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.1466
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1450 keeps the post-FOMC breakout structure intact
Close above 1.14705 opens continuation higher
Eurozone Q2 GDP and US Core PCE/GDP tomorrow could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ripped through 1.1400 on the FOMC hold, surging from 1.1387 to a session high of 1.14705 as stretched USD longs unwound. Price is now consolidating around 1.1460 just below the high, RSI(14) easing off from overbought.
Support: 1.14475, 1.1440, 1.14273
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14663
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14475 signals the post-FOMC breakout is fading
Close back below the 1.1400 psych level invalidates the breakout read
EZ Q2 GDP and German HICP tomorrow could reprice the EUR leg
NY session ripped through the 1.1400 figure on the FOMC hold, running from ~1.1394 to a session high 1.14705, RSI(14) now easing off the highs. Buyers held 1.14475 on the pullback and the breakout base at 1.14332 remains untested.
Support: 1.14475, 1.14332, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14663
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14332 invalidates the breakout read
Thu Core PCE/GDP cluster and FOMC aftermath could reshape this leg
Failure to reclaim 1.14705 keeps price capped in a post-spike range
NY session ripped through the 1.1400 cap post-FOMC as the USD softened on the in-line hold, tagging a session high at 1.14663 with RSI(14) around 73. Price is holding the upper end of the move; buyers stepped in at 1.14475 on the last pullback.
Support: 1.14475, 1.1400, 1.13869
Resistance: 1.14663
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14475 opens a retest of the 1.1400 cap turned support
Eurozone Q2 GDP and German HICP tomorrow could reprice this leg
EUR/USD ripped through the 1.1400 cap into the FOMC hawkish-hold aftermath as the USD softened, printing a session high at 1.14663 with RSI(14) hot near 71. Price is now consolidating in a 1.14467-1.14580 band just under that high, momentum cooling after the vertical leg.
Support: 1.14467, 1.14332, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14663, 1.1458
What it said to watch
A close back below 1.1400 psych would invalidate the breakout read
Sustained bid above 1.14663 session high extends the leg
Eurozone Q2 GDP (08:00 GMT) and US core PCE (12:30 UTC) Thu could materially shift this read
A dovish read of the FOMC hold ripped EUR/USD out of the 1.1350–1.1400 range, spiking to a session high 1.14663 before settling near 1.1456. RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price consolidates above the reclaimed 1.1400 handle; the pullback lows at 1.14395 have held so far.
Support: 1.14395, 1.14149, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14663
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14395 opens a retrace toward the 1.14149 spike low
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout read
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC Thu could materially shift this read
EUR ripped from ~1.1394 to a session high of 1.14663 as the USD softened on the Fed's hawkish hold. Price is now consolidating around 1.1450 into the NY session, RSI(14) cooling from the spike but still elevated; the 1.14455–1.14663 band holds the recent action.
Support: 1.14455, 1.14332, 1.14063
Resistance: 1.14663, 1.14583
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14455 opens the breakout base at 1.14332
Close above 1.14663 extends the post-FOMC leg
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 UTC could reprice the USD leg
A dovish-lean FOMC hold at 18:00 GMT ripped EUR/USD off 1.1394 and through the 1.1400 handle, printing a session high at 1.14663 on heavy expansion. Price has since eased back to 1.1447 and is consolidating above the 1.1400 pivot, RSI(14) cooling from hot territory.
Support: 1.14332, 1.1415, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14663, 1.14552
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14332 reopens the 1.1400 pivot and questions the breakout
Loss of 1.1400 acceptance points back toward pre-spike range
Core PCE and Q2 GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could reprice the USD leg
20:01 UTC
Sharp uptrend post-FOMC · RSI 79 · price 1.14563
Impulsive breakout, holding near highs.
The dovish-lean FOMC hold squeezed stretched USD longs, sending EUR/USD vertical from 1.1394 to a session high of 1.14663 in five bars. Price is consolidating just below the high with RSI(14) hot near 79; the 1.14332 spike origin is the first area to watch on any pullback.
Support: 1.14332, 1.14149, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14663
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14332 would unwind the breakout impulse
FOMC aftermath still driving flow; Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP could reshape the USD leg
The 18:00 GMT FOMC hold triggered a vertical breakout, USD softened and EUR/USD ripped from 1.1390 to a session high of 1.14663, clearing the 1.1400 handle it had been rejected at all day. RSI(14) is hot near 77 and the final bar stalled just under the highs — momentum extended after a 40+ pip impulse candle.
Support: 1.14332, 1.14063, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14663
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.1400 now confirmed; loss of 1.14332 would be the first sign the breakout is fading
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE / Q2 GDP cluster could materially shift this read
A stall/rejection at 1.14663 marks the near-term session cap
19:46 UTC
Sharp uptrend post-FOMC · RSI 77 · price 1.14481
Range break, impulsive leg higher.
The FOMC hold triggered a vertical break from the 1.1374–1.1400 range straight to a session high at 1.14663, RSI(14) running hot near 77. Price is now consolidating the leg around 1.14481, holding well above the 1.14332 spike base.
Support: 1.14332, 1.14149, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14663
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.14332 spike base would signal the breakout leg is stalling
Sustained trade back below 1.1400 psych level reopens the prior range
Warsh presser aftermath and Thu EZ GDP / core PCE could reprice this move sharply
Impulsive breakout above 1.1400, new session highs.
A dovish-lean FOMC hold sparked a vertical leg up, EUR/USD reclaiming 1.1400 and driving to a 1.14545 session high on heavy participation. RSI(14) is stretched near 84 after five straight up-closes; the move has left prior structure well below with no intraday pullback yet.
Support: 1.14395, 1.1400, 1.1378
What it said to watch
A close back below 1.1400 would negate the breakout and put 1.1378 back in play
Thu US Core PCE / Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT could reshape this USD-driven move
19:16 UTC
Sharp breakout, momentum hot · RSI 85 · price 1.14516
Range break above 1.1400, new session highs.
EUR/USD ripped through the 1.1400 ceiling into the NY session on the FOMC hold, spiking from ~1.1394 to a 1.14536 session high in four bars with volume surging. RSI(14) is stretched above 84 — short-term overheated after a near 80-pip vertical move.
Support: 1.14273, 1.1400, 1.13774
Resistance: 1.14536, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Pullback into the 1.1400 flip level would test whether the breakout holds
FOMC presser tone still driving the USD leg — could extend or unwind this spike
Loss of 1.14273 breakout base signals a stall in the impulse
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, sharp post-FOMC leg · RSI 78 · price 1.14354
Breakout above 1.1400, near session high.
EUR/USD ripped through the 1.1400 psych level on the FOMC hold and softer Warsh read, tagging a session high at 1.1437 with RSI(14) stretched near 78. Price is holding the reclaim of 1.1400; the pullback to 1.14150 was bought back toward the highs.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1415, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.1437
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1400 psych negates the breakout
Thu US Q2 GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could shift the USD leg
RSI(14) near 78 — short-term stretched after the surge
18:46 UTC
Breakout higher, momentum hot · RSI 79 · price 1.14354
Range broken to upside on FOMC.
EUR/USD spiked out of the 1.1377–1.1403 range and cleared the 1.1400 round level as the USD softened on the Fed hold, tagging 1.1437. RSI(14) near 79 flags a hot short-term extension into fresh session highs.
Support: 1.1400, 1.14063
Resistance: 1.1437
What it said to watch
Warsh press conference tone could sharply extend or reverse this move
Failure to hold 1.1400 negates the breakout and reopens the prior range
18:46 UTC
Breakout higher, momentum hot · RSI 74 · price 1.14258
Range break above 1.1400 figure.
EUR/USD spent the session capped 1.1376–1.1400, then a single FOMC bar ripped through the figure to a session high of 1.14303 as USD softened on the hold. Price pulled back to 1.14149 and reclaimed, holding above 1.1400 into the presser; RSI(14) hot near 73.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14303
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.1400 figure keeps the path toward the session high at 1.14303
M15 close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and re-opens the prior range
Warsh presser still live and Thu EZ GDP/German HICP could reshape this read
EUR/USD ripped through the 1.1400 figure on a single 43-pip candle as the Fed held and USD softened into the Warsh presser, printing a session high at 1.14303. RSI(14) is stretched near 84 after price spent the prior 24h capped below 1.1400 in a 1.1374–1.1403 range.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13943, 1.13743
Resistance: 1.14303
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1400 on retest negates the breakout back into range
Warsh press conference underway — tone can extend or unwind this spike
EZ Q2 GDP 08:00 GMT and German HICP 07:00 GMT Thu could re-price the move
EUR ripped through the 1.1400 cap on a dovish FOMC surprise, the final bar spiking 33 pips to 1.14283 after coiling sub-1.1400 all session. RSI(14) is hot near 78 on the impulse; the former 1.1400 ceiling now flips to pivot support.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1386, 1.13743
Resistance: 1.14283, 1.1450
What it said to watch
FOMC press conference at 18:30 GMT can materially reprice this move
A close back below 1.1400 negates the breakout and re-exposes 1.1386
Holding above 1.1400 keeps 1.1450 target zone in view
EURUSD based twice at the 1.1374 session low during NY hours and pushed back to 1.13958, holding above EMA20/50 but still capped below the 1.1400 psych level that rejected earlier at 1.14033. Momentum firm into the FOMC, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14033
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the binary driver — a dovish read could clear 1.1400, a hawkish hold exposes 1.1374 again
M15 close above 1.1400 opens the path back to 1.14033
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1374 session low back toward the 1.1400 pivot ahead of the FOMC, RSI(14) mid-range near 55. Repeated rejection has kept the pair capped sub-1.1400, with the session high at 1.1403.
Support: 1.13774, 1.13851
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14033
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~15min out) is a binary risk that overrides this read
M15 close above 1.1400 pivot exposes the 1.14033 session high
Loss of 1.13774 session low reopens the intraday downside
EUR/USD is grinding back toward the 1.1400 cap after twice basing near 1.1374 during NY hours, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range. Price stalled repeatedly under 1.1400 through the session with no clean break; still boxed 1.1374-1.1403 into the FOMC.
Support: 1.1380, 1.1374
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1400, 1.1403
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~30min) is a binary risk that overrides current structure
M15 close above 1.1400 opens the path back to 1.1403 and higher
Failure to hold 1.1374 exposes the 1.1324 YTD low
17:16 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.13853
Consolidation between 1.1374 and 1.1400.
EURUSD is compressing between the 1.1374 session low and the 1.1400 psychological cap during the NY session, with RSI(14) flat near 50. Price bounced off 1.1374 back to mid-range at 1.1385 but has failed to reclaim the 1.1394 swing high into the FOMC decision.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~45m out) is a binary risk that can override this range read
M15 close above 1.1394 exposes the 1.1400 psych cap
Break below 1.1374 opens the path toward the 1.1360 round number
EUR/USD is coiling in the 1.1374–1.1403 band, drifting to 1.1382 into tonight's FOMC as the dollar eases pre-decision. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; buyers defended the 1.1374 session low twice but rallies stall short of 1.1400.
Support: 1.13743, 1.13764
Resistance: 1.13966, 1.14033
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~1h) is the dominant driver and can invalidate this range read
Break below 1.1374 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1353
EURUSD ranging 1.1374-1.1403 through the NY session, pinned just under 1.1400 into the FOMC decision. Price rejected the 1.14033 session high and slid back to 1.1381, RSI hovering mid-40s with no directional edge.
Support: 1.13743, 1.13764
Resistance: 1.13966, 1.14033, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~1h15) is the dominant near-term driver and can void this range read
Close below 1.13743 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.1350
Reclaim of 1.13966 puts the 1.1400 session high back in play
16:31 UTC
Drifting lower, heavy sub-1.1400 · RSI 42 · price 1.13765
Lower highs, ranging 1.1374-1.1396.
EUR/USD stayed heavy under 1.1400 through NY hours ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC. A bounce off the 1.13743 session low stalled at 1.13966 and price has since drifted back toward the lows, printing 1.13765 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.13966, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~1.5h) is the dominant driver and can override this structural read
Break below 1.13743 session low confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.1350
Close back above 1.13966 needed to negate the lower-highs sequence
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into FOMC · RSI 39 · price 1.13765
Lower highs, testing session low.
EURUSD drifted lower for a second day into the FOMC, rejected at 1.1392 and now pressing the session low near 1.1374 with RSI(14) around 39. Price sits below both EMAs; the 1.1400 pivot capped every attempt higher through the window.
Support: 1.13743, 1.13324
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1400, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13743 opens the path toward the 1.1324 ytd low
Reclaim of 1.1400 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
FOMC ~18:00 GMT (~2h) is the dominant catalyst and could override this read
16:16 UTC
Range with soft downward drift · RSI 45 · price 1.1382
Ranging 1.1374–1.1404, mid-lower zone.
EUR/USD grinding just under the 1.1400 pivot, pinned ahead of the FOMC as the USD de-risked. NY session swept the session low at 1.1374 then recovered to 1.1394 before fading to 1.1382; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum edge.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1394, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC ~18:00 GMT in under 2h will dominate — a hawkish surprise risks a break of the 1.1374 session low toward the 1.1324 ytd low
M15 close above the 1.1400 pivot opens the path back to session highs
Failure to hold 1.1374 confirms a lower-low continuation
EUR/USD grinding lower under the 1.1400 pivot into tonight's FOMC, printing a chain of lower highs across the NY session. The bounce to 1.13966 was rejected and price is back near the session low at 1.13743, RSI in the mid-40s with sub-6-pip ATR.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13966, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~18:00 GMT (under 2h) is the dominant risk and can override this structure
Loss of 1.13743 opens the path toward the 1.1370 round number
M15 close back above 1.13966 swing high neutralises the lower-high sequence toward the 1.1400 pivot
EUR/USD pinned under the 1.1400 pivot through the NY session, dipping to a 1.1374 session low before a bounce stalled at 1.1396 and faded back to 1.1379. Price ranging into the FOMC decision, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC decision ~18:00 GMT (approx 2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.1374 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1324 ytd low
Reclaim of the 1.1400 pivot invalidates the sub-pivot range read
EURUSD is chopping in a 1.1374–1.1400 range through the NY session, pinned just under the 1.1400 pivot into the FOMC. Price rejected the 1.13966 swing high on the last push and slid back toward 1.1380, RSI(14) hovering mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.13966, 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC ~18:00 GMT (~2.5h out) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14000 pivot opens a retest of 1.14048
Break below 1.13743 session low confirms a lower-low
EURUSD faded hard in the last bar, rejecting 1.13966 and slipping back toward the 1.13743 session low; RSI(14) rolling over near 41. Price remains trapped in the 1.1374-1.1405 range ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC, pressing the lower edge.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.13966, 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13743 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1370
Reclaim of 1.13966 negates the rejection and keeps the range intact
FOMC at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
EURUSD swept the session low to 1.1374 during NY hours then reclaimed back to 1.1391, keeping the 1.1374-1.1405 range intact ahead of the Fed decision. RSI(14) recovered to mid-range as the USD drifted lower into the event; move is positioning-led, not a euro revival.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1405
What it said to watch
FOMC 18:00 GMT (~3h) could materially shift this read
Bounce from 1.1374 double bottom, capped under 1.1400.
EUR/USD sold off through the session to a 1.1374 low before buyers stepped in twice, lifting price back to 1.1391 as the dollar eased into the Fed. RSI(14) is mid-range near 54; the 1.1400 psych level and 1.14048 session high remain the cap overhead.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision in ~3h (18:00 GMT) — dominant driver, can invalidate this read
M15 close above 1.1400 opens the path to the 1.14048 session high
V-recovery from 1.1374 base within 1.1374–1.1405 range.
EUR/USD carved a twin base at 1.1374 during the NY session, then bounced sharply back to 1.13956 as the dollar eased into the Fed, RSI(14) recovering to the high-50s. Price is back inside the 1.1374–1.1405 range with the 1.1400 round number the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~3h away) is the dominant driver and can override this read
M15 close above 1.1400 opens the path back to the 1.14048 session high
Double-tap low at 1.1374, bounce stalling near 1.1392.
EURUSD double-tapped a session low at 1.1374 then rebounded to 1.1392 before easing back to 1.13875, keeping it inside the 1.1374-1.1400 range. The bounce stalled near the 61.8% retrace of the earlier 1.14048-1.1374 drop, with RSI(14) flat around 51.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1392 opens the path to the 1.1400 round number
Failure to hold 1.1374 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC at 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver — likely to break this range either way
14:16 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 1.13875
Range 1.1374–1.1400, double bottom near lows.
NY session sold EURUSD to 1.13743 twice before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 1.13920 then easing to 1.13875, RSI(14) neutral near 51. Pair holding the lower end of the 1.1374–1.1400 range with FOMC (18:00 GMT) the dominant driver ahead.
Support: 1.13743, 1.13784
Resistance: 1.1393, 1.14005, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Close below 1.13743 confirms a lower-low and breaks the double bottom
Close above 1.13930 opens the path back toward the 1.14000 round number
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, sharp recovery late · RSI 56 · price 1.13919
Session low swept, bouncing.
EURUSD slid through the NY afternoon to a session low of 1.13743 before buyers stepped in, rebounding ~17 pips into the current bar with RSI(14) recovering off the lows. Move stays within a cent of the summer/YTD low; the 1.14000 round number caps the topside and the FOMC decision looms in roughly 3-4 hours.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~3.7h out) can override this read
M15 close above 1.14000 opens the path back toward 1.14048
Loss of 1.13743 session low confirms a lower low
14:01 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.13919
Session low swept, snapped back into range.
EURUSD spent the day ranging 1.1385-1.1405 before a NY-hours flush swept the session low to 1.13743, then snapped straight back to 1.1392 — a false break of the range floor. RSI(14) has recovered to the low-50s off the dip; the pair sits a cent above its YTD low into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.13975, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1374 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14048 session high negates the down leg
NY session ground to a session low at 1.1374 before a base formed and price recovered to 1.1389, RSI(14) back near 48. Move is a shallow retrace of the decline off 1.1400; swing high at 1.1396 remains the immediate cap ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1400, 1.1405
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~3h) can override this read entirely
M15 close above 1.1396 opens the 1.1400 psych cap
Failure to hold 1.1374 confirms a lower low toward 1.1362 monthly low
Lower highs from day high, recent recovery off 1.1374.
EUR/USD leaked from the day high 1.1405 to a session low at 1.1374 during NY hours, then bounced ~15 pips to 1.1389 as the USD softened into the Fed. Price is back above EMA20 but still under a chain of lower highs capped at 1.1396.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1405
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~4h out) is the pivot for this read
M15 close above 1.1396 opens the path back to the day high 1.1405
Failure to hold 1.1374 confirms a lower low toward the monthly low 1.1362
EUR/USD drifted lower through the NY session from the 1.1400 prior high, printing a session low at 1.13743 before recovering to 1.1385. Price sits just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43; the 1.1400 area has capped repeatedly ahead of the 18:00 GMT Fed decision.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.14033
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14033 prior high negates the intraday downtrend
Loss of 1.13743 session low opens the 1.1362 monthly low
FOMC at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
EURUSD faded from the 1.14047 session high and broke the 1.1385-1.1400 range, printing a session low at 1.13743 during the London-NY overlap before a shallow bounce to 1.13797. RSI(14) near 38 as the pair drifts lower into the 18:00 GMT Fed decision — move reads as a USD square-up, not euro strength.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.14047
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~4.5h) can materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.13900 invalidates the range-break read
Failure to hold 1.13743 confirms a lower low toward 1.13700
13:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.13797
Lower highs, lower lows since NY approach.
EUR/USD faded off the 1.1403 session high through the London-NY transition, printing a fresh low at 1.13743 before a shallow bounce to 1.1380 as traders square up. RSI cooling near 40, price under EMA20/50 — a steady dollar-driven drift, not euro strength.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.14003, 1.14033
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13743 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.13900 negates the downside drift
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~5h) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.1390 congestion during NY hours and broke to a fresh session low at 1.13743, RSI(14) near 36. Move is a dollar tick-up into the Fed, keeping the pair pinned toward the low end of its 24h range.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1366
Resistance: 1.1390
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~5h out) will override this read
Reclaim of 1.13900 negates the downside range break
Loss of 1.13743 session low opens the window low at 1.13660
NY session grinding to fresh session lows at 1.13743 in a steady M15 downtrend, price capped below the descending EMA20 near 1.13920. Move is USD-led as longs trim into tonight's Fed decision; RSI(14) around 34, soft but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver — likely to override this intraday read
Close below 1.13743 opens the path toward the 1.13530 monthly low
Reclaim of 1.14000 round number needed to negate the lower-high sequence
NY session drifted lower, breaking below the intraday floor near 1.13820 and printing a session low at 1.13743 before a shallow bounce to 1.13792. RSI(14) is oversold in the low-20s after a clean chain of lower highs, USD firming into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1396
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver — a hawkish hold pressures toward the 1.13530 monthly low, soft guidance risks a squeeze back to 1.13960
Reclaim of 1.13960 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13743 session low confirms continuation lower
EURUSD slid through the London-NY session into a fresh session low at 1.13743, RSI(14) near 34 as sellers pressed. Small stabilisation to 1.13792 but price holds below EMA20/50; move is USD-led positioning ahead of tonight's Fed.
Support: 1.13743, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.1385, 1.1394
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (~5h) is the dominant driver — can override this read
Close below 1.13743 confirms continuation toward the 1.1370 area
Reclaim of 1.13940 (EMA20) neutralises the intraday downtrend
EURUSD broke down out of the 1.1385-1.1405 range in the last few hours and is grinding fresh session lows at 1.1374, RSI(14) near 31 and stretched. Move is USD-led drift into tonight's Fed hold, with the pair pinned toward the 1.1353 monthly low.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14047
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1353 opens the 1.1324 YTD low
Reclaim of 1.1400 invalidates the downside read
FOMC at 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver — could reset this read
Lower highs, breaking down from 1.1385-1.1405 range.
EUR/USD rolled over from a double top at 1.1405 and broke the 1.1385-1.1405 range floor, printing fresh session lows at 1.1374 into the NY session as the USD holds firm ahead of tonight's Fed. RSI(14) near 31 reflects the momentum but is not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1353, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.1405
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver — a dovish hold would pressure USD and lift EUR/USD, a hawkish hold opens the 1.1353 monthly low
Close below 1.1353 monthly low confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.1390 range floor negates the breakdown
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.14047 session high and has ground out fresh session lows at 1.13774 through the London-NY transition, RSI(14) near 33 but not yet extreme. Move is USD-led into tonight's Fed, price now sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the earlier intraday rally.
Support: 1.13774, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.13920 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.13774 opens the path toward the 1.13530 monthly low
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~5.5h out) is the dominant driver and can override this read
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.14048 session high and has ground lower through the London-NY session, breaking the 1.1390 range floor and printing fresh session lows near 1.13775 with RSI(14) into oversold territory. Move is USD caution unwinding into tonight's FOMC rather than fresh euro selling.
Support: 1.13775, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC statement at 18:00 GMT (~6h) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.13775 opens the path toward the 1.1353 monthly low
Reclaim of 1.1390 range floor negates the breakdown
12:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, rolling off 1.1400 · RSI 35 · price 1.13807
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.14000 round-number cap and printed lower highs and lows through the London-NY transition, now pressing the 1.13800 session low with RSI(14) near 35. Move is USD-driven caution ahead of the FOMC rather than fresh euro selling.
Support: 1.1380, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has faded from the 1.14048 session high into a lower-low sequence, breaking 1.13850 and now pressing 1.1380 — roughly the 61.8% fib of the earlier London push off 1.1362. RSI(14) around 34, no extreme yet; FOMC at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this micro-structure.
Support: 1.1380, 1.1365, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1396, 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1380 opens 1.1362 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1396 negates the lower-high chain
FOMC 18:00 GMT can materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Downdrift off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.13823
Lower highs, testing range floor.
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.14048 and is now pressing the session low near 1.13812 as traders trim exposure into tonight's FOMC. Repeated rejections in the 1.13975–1.14005 band capped the recovery, and price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) around 37.
Support: 1.13812, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.13975, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC statement 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.13812 opens the path toward the 1.1353 monthly-low zone
Reclaim of 1.13975 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
11:46 UTC
Short-term down after rejection · RSI 38 · price 1.13823
Faded off 1.1400, breaking range low.
EUR/USD repeatedly rejected the 1.14000 round number through the NY session and has since slid to a fresh session low at 1.13818, breaking below the 1.1385–1.1400 range. Move is USD caution unwinding into tonight's FOMC; RSI(14) near 37, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.1381, 1.1365
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13810 opens the path toward 1.13650
Reclaim of 1.14000 invalidates the range-break read
FOMC at 18:00 GMT can override intraday structure
11:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 1.13867
Range with lower highs into FOMC.
EUR/USD ranging 1.1383–1.1405 after rejecting the 1.14048 session high, grinding lower with RSI(14) near 42 as traders trim exposure into tonight's FOMC. Series of lower highs, but 1.1383 session low is holding on the pullback.
Support: 1.13829, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1383 session low opens the 1.1353 monthly low zone
Reclaim of 1.1400 psych needed to challenge the 1.14048 session high
FOMC at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and will drive the next directional move
11:31 UTC
Early rally faded, now ranging · RSI 43 · price 1.13865
Range 1.1383-1.1405, drifting toward lows.
EURUSD rallied off 1.1363 to a session high near 1.1405, then settled into a 1.1383-1.1405 range on softer USD ahead of FOMC. Price is now drifting toward the range floor with RSI cooling to the low 40s; supply capped repeatedly at 1.1405.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1383 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1353
Close above 1.1405 revives the upside toward 1.1400+ recovery cap
EURUSD ranged 1.1385-1.1405 through the session after an early push to the session high at 1.14048 stalled. Price has since drifted back to the range base near the 1.1382 session low, RSI(14) cooling toward 40 with sub-5-pip bars as traders sit on hands ahead of the 18:00 GMT FOMC.
Support: 1.13818, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13818 opens the path toward the 1.1353 monthly low
Reclaim of 1.1400 puts the 1.14048 session high back in play
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT will override this intraday read
11:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 1.13855
Range top rejected, lower highs into support.
EURUSD ranged 1.1385-1.1403 through the London session after an early rally stalled at 1.14047; the last few bars printed lower highs and slid to 1.1385 with RSI(14) near 40. Price sits at the lower edge of the range, below EMA20/50, as traders sit on hands into the FOMC.
Support: 1.1383, 1.13818
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1382 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.1400 reopens the 1.14047 session high
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term driver
11:01 UTC
Mild downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.13868
Lower highs into session lows, sub-1.1400.
EUR/USD has been carving lower highs off the 1.1400 psych level through London hours, drifting back toward the 1.13818 session low pre-FOMC. RSI(14) cooling near 39 with price below both EMAs; ATR(14) around 5 pips reflects the pre-event drift.
Support: 1.13818, 1.1380, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14047
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver and can override this micro-structure
Loss of 1.13818 session low opens the path toward the 1.1353 monthly low
M15 close back above 1.1400 psych level negates the lower-high sequence
Ranging 1.1385-1.1405 for most of the last 24h; two rejections at the 1.1405 range top and price is now fading toward the session low near 1.1387 as traders sit on hands pre-FOMC. RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme, ATR compressed near 4-5 pips.
Support: 1.1387, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT could break this range in either direction
M15 close below 1.1385 opens the path to the 1.1353 monthly low
M15 close above 1.1405 invalidates the range read
10:31 UTC
Range after early rally, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.1391
Consolidating below session high, coiling near 1.1390.
EURUSD ran from 1.1357 to a session high at 1.1405 during the London window, then stalled and has chopped between 1.1385 and 1.1405 through NY hours; last bars drifting to 1.1390 with RSI(14) mid-range. Price sits just under EMA20/50 as traders sit on hands ahead of the FOMC hawkish-hold decision.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1368, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1402
What it said to watch
FOMC at 18:00 GMT (~7.5h) is the key driver and can reset this read
M15 close above 1.1405 reopens the 1.1400 handle break
Failure to hold 1.1385 exposes the 1.1368 swing low
EUR/USD is boxed between 1.1382 and the 1.1405 range high after the early rally stalled at 1.14047; the pair has drifted back to 1.1391, hugging the 38.2% retracement of that move as traders sit on hands pre-Fed. RSI(14) near 43 and sub-5-pip ATR reflect a compressed, pre-event range.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1375
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14047
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant driver and can break this range either way
M15 close above 1.1400 reopens the 1.14047 range high
Loss of 1.1382 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1375 fib
10:16 UTC
Up early, now flat/ranging · RSI 45 · price 1.13906
Range after London leg up, holding mid-range.
EURUSD ran from 1.1354 to 1.1405 through the London session then stalled, now oscillating 1.1385-1.1400 with price drifting back to 1.1391 below EMA20. RSI(14) mid-range near 44, momentum flat as traders sit on hands pre-FOMC.
Support: 1.13835, 1.13545
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 GMT (~8h) is the dominant catalyst for the next move
M15 close above 1.1400 reopens the 1.1405 session high
Loss of 1.1383 range low exposes 1.1354 session low
EUR/USD is coiling in a tight 1.1385–1.1405 band around the EMAs, holding the recovery from the 1.1353 monthly low as the dollar softens into FOMC. RSI(14) is flat near 50 and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips — a classic pre-event squeeze with no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1375, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC tonight (18:00 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and will likely break this range
M15 close above 1.1405 opens the path back toward 1.1418
Loss of 1.1385 reopens the 1.1353 monthly low
09:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13939
Consolidation between 1.1385 and 1.1405.
EURUSD ranging 1.1385–1.1405 through the London session, price drifting back to mid-range at 1.1394 after failing to hold 1.1400. RSI(14) neutral near 47 with no momentum extreme; the whole window is compressing ahead of tonight's FOMC.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1405 opens the path back toward prior highs
Loss of 1.1385 exposes the 1.1353 monthly low
FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst and will likely break this range
EUR/USD rallied off 1.1353 through the London session to tag 1.14048 as the dollar eased pre-Fed, then settled into a tight 1.1385–1.1400 range. Price is coiling just under the 1.1400 round level with RSI(14) mid-band; no directional setup while the FOMC decision looms.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13818, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.14005, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC — a hawkish hold or hike could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.14005 reopens the 1.14048 session high
Loss of 1.13818 confirms a lower-low and shifts the range lower
09:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.13945
Consolidation under session high after London rally.
EUR/USD rallied through London from the 1.1353 Asian low to a 1.14048 session high as the dollar eased pre-Fed, then settled into a 1.1385-1.14005 range. Price sits mid-range at 1.13945 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; no directional setup in play ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13818, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14005, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 reopens the session high
Loss of 1.1385 range floor exposes 1.13818 swing low
FOMC decision ~9h out could materially shift this read
EURUSD is grinding sideways between the 1.1383 range low and the 1.1400 round number, with the 1.14047 session high having capped attempts higher earlier in the window. Price holds just above EMA20/EMA50 and RSI sits mid-range near 57 — no momentum extreme as the Dollar eases into the FOMC decision.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1383
Resistance: 1.14005, 1.14047
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14047 session high opens room to extend the bounce
Loss of the 1.1383 range low confirms a lower-low
08:46 UTC
Sideways, capped at 1.1400 · RSI 50 · price 1.13945
Range beneath the 1.1400 figure.
Ranging 1.1382-1.1405 with repeated rejection at the 1.1400 round figure; the 1.14047 and 1.14033 highs form a double top. RSI(14) neutral near 50, ATR compressed as traders sideline into the FOMC.
Support: 1.13897, 1.13818, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14047 session high invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 1.13818 range low reopens the 1.1362 monthly low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.13957
Ranging below 1.1400 after intraday rally stalled.
EUR/USD rallied off 1.1353 to tag 1.14048 then stalled, repeatedly failing above the 1.1400 figure and now chopping around 1.1396. Price sits between the 1.1383 range low and 1.1400 pivot with no clean setup in play into the Fed.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1400 opens a retest of 1.14048 session high
Failure to hold 1.1383 range low exposes 1.1362 monthly low
FOMC today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Range, marginally firmer · RSI 56 · price 1.13974
Capped below 1.1405, holding above 1.1385.
EURUSD chopping in the upper half of a 1.1385–1.1405 range, grinding back toward the 1.1400 psych level after tagging the range top twice. Buyers repeatedly stepped in near 1.1385; the range top has capped every push. Compressed ATR (~5 pips) reflects position-trimming ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could break this range either way
A close above 1.1405 opens room toward the range top break
Failure to hold 1.1385 shifts focus back to the 1.1353 session low
08:01 UTC
Sideways, capped near 1.1400 · RSI 54 · price 1.13974
Intraday range after London leg up.
EURUSD ran up through the London session from the 1.1353 low but stalled at the 1.1400 psych ceiling, tagging 1.14048 twice with rejection. Now chopping 1.1387–1.1405, RSI(14) mid-range and neutral, traders sidelined into tonight's FOMC.
Support: 1.1387, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 session high opens a retest of the range top
Failure to hold 1.1387 swing low exposes the 1.1353 monthly low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can void this range read
08:01 UTC
Range after intraday rally, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.13976
Consolidation sub-1.1400 below session high.
EUR/USD rallied off 1.1353 into the 1.14048 session high during the London morning, then settled into a tight range between the 1.1385 swing low and the 1.1400 round number. RSI(14) mid-range near 53, price pinned just below the figure with traders sidelined ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13818
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
M15 close above 1.14048 breaks the session-high ceiling
Loss of 1.13818 range floor confirms a lower-low
07:46 UTC
Recovery, ranging near highs · RSI 55 · price 1.13976
Consolidation below session high.
EUR clawed back toward 1.1400 through the London session after softer US Consumer Confidence knocked the dollar off its highs. Price is now ranging between 1.1385 and the 1.1402-1.1405 top, RSI mid-range with no momentum extreme; the Fed decision at 18:00 UTC is the swing factor.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1375
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.14047
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could override this range read
M15 close above 1.1405 opens continuation toward the range top
Failure to hold 1.1385 confirms a lower-low
07:46 UTC
Range after rally, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.13957
Consolidation below 1.1405 session high.
EUR/USD recovered toward 1.1400 through the US session as softer Consumer Confidence and Richmond Fed data knocked the dollar, capping at 1.14047. Since then price has consolidated in a tight 1.1390–1.1405 band into London, RSI(14) flat near 50 and price hugging EMA20.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13818
Resistance: 1.14047, 1.14033
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14047 session high extends the recovery leg
Loss of 1.139 recent low exposes the 1.13818 session low
FOMC ~10h out (18:00 UTC) could break the range decisively
London morning: EUR/USD ranging 1.1390–1.1404 after the earlier rally peaked at the 1.14048 session high and stalled. RSI(14) neutral near 48 with price hugging EMA20; the 1.1400 round number is capping while the 1.13897 swing low holds. FOMC today is the immediate swing factor.
Support: 1.13897, 1.13835
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 breaks the session range higher
Failure to hold 1.13835 confirms a lower-low and range break
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Consolidation below range top · RSI 46 · price 1.13937
Capped near 1.1405, drifting off highs.
EUR/USD is ranging under the 1.1405 range top after two rejections there during the prior NY session and this London open; softer US Consumer Confidence had knocked DXY off its highs. Price is now drifting mid-range near 1.1394, holding above the 1.1382 session low with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14048, 1.14005
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 range top opens the path back to the psych 1.1400 breakout extension
Loss of 1.13820 session low exposes the 1.1353 prior low
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this range
07:16 UTC
Sideways after intraday leg up · RSI 51 · price 1.13937
Range-bound below 1.1405 session high.
EUR/USD pushed from 1.1353 to a session high of 1.1405 during the London-NY window yesterday, then settled into a 1.1385-1.1405 range as position-trimming set in ahead of the Fed. Price now sits mid-range near 1.1394 with RSI neutral and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14047, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the immediate swing factor and can break this range in either direction
M15 close above 1.14047 session high opens the path back toward 1.1400 psych and beyond
Loss of 1.13850 session low exposes the 1.1353 swing low
07:16 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.13912
Consolidating below 1.1403 range top after two rejections.
EURUSD was rejected at the 1.1403 range top twice through the London session and eased to 1.1391 as USD firmed into the Fed. RSI(14) near 45 and price back below EMA20; the 1.1385 support that capped Asian-range dips is still holding.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1403, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14030 reopens the 1.14048 window high
Loss of 1.13850 exposes the 1.13820 swing low
FOMC decision later today could reset this range read
07:01 UTC
Range after a leg up, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 1.13925
Consolidation below session high, easing off.
EURUSD ran up from the Asian low near 1.1356 to tag 1.14048, then boxed in a 1.1387–1.1405 range through NY hours; the 1.1400 round number capped repeated pushes. Price now easing to 1.13925 into the FOMC with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-40s.
Support: 1.1387, 1.1382, 1.1356
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can break this range
EUR/USD ran from the 1.1353 dip up to 1.14048 during NY hours as US Consumer Confidence slipped and the dollar eased, then stalled. Asian session has been rangebound 1.1385–1.1403 with RSI(14) flat near 46; price now drifts at the lower edge near 1.1392.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1385 opens the 1.1382 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1400 round number reopens 1.14048 session high
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1353 day low on the softer US Consumer Confidence print and twice tapped the 1.1405 range top without a close through it, now easing back to mid-range near 1.1393 in early London. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price has slipped under EMA20, leaving it boxed between the 1.1386 range floor and 1.1405 cap.
Support: 1.1386, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14047, 1.14005
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14047 invalidates the range top and opens higher
Failure to hold the 1.13860 range floor exposes the 1.1353 day low
FOMC decision later today can materially reshape this read
EUR/USD ground higher through London toward 1.1400 as the DXY slid on soft US data, then stalled with twin rejections at 1.14033/1.14048. Now consolidating in a tight 1.1395–1.1403 band into the FOMC decision, RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 1.13949, 1.13835, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14033, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 clears the double top and opens continuation
Loss of 1.13949 swing low exposes the 1.13835 range low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC will dominate and can invalidate this range read
EUR/USD rallied through early London from 1.1353 to the 1.14048 session high as the DXY faded on soft US data, and is now consolidating just under it around 1.1398. RSI(14) mid-range near 55; higher lows into 1.1385 have held on the pullback.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 opens continuation toward 1.1420
Failure to hold 1.1385 exposes the 1.1362 monthly low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD rallied from 1.1353 to 1.1405 during the NY session as DXY slid toward 101.30 on soft US data, then coiled into the London session between 1.1384 and the 1.14048 session high. Price is holding just under the 1.1400 round number with RSI(14) mid-range near 55, no clean directional push.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1384, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 opens continuation past the session high
Loss of 1.1384 swing low reopens the 1.1362 monthly low
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Ranging near session highs after recovery off 1.1382.
EUR/USD drifted back toward 1.1400 through the Asian session, pinned in a tight 1.1382–1.1403 range after softer US Consumer Confidence eased DXY yesterday. Volume and ATR have collapsed into thin pre-London trade; RSI mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.13835, 1.13818
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 opens continuation toward the 1.1400s highs
Failure to hold 1.13835 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
FOMC at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 56 · price 1.13995
Consolidating below session high after NY rally.
EUR/USD ran up to 1.1405 during NY hours yesterday as the dollar eased off its highs on soft US Consumer Confidence, then went sideways overnight in a 1.1385–1.1405 band. Early London is probing the 1.1400 pivot again on thin volume, RSI neutral near 56.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1382, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1405
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1405 extends the NY rally
Loss of 1.1385 opens 1.1382 swing low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could reprice this range entirely
05:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 60 · price 1.13984
Higher lows off 1.1353, capped near 1.1405.
EUR/USD ground back toward 1.1400 through the Asian session after basing at 1.1353, DXY easing toward 101.30. Price is now consolidating just under the 1.1400 psych level, with prior attempts capped at the 1.14048 session high.
Support: 1.13835, 1.1356
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14048 session high extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.13835 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground higher through Asia, carving higher lows off 1.1353 and pressing the 1.1400 pivot, where repeated tests near 1.14048 have stalled the advance. Move fits the soft US Consumer Confidence read that pared the dollar toward DXY 101.30; RSI(14) around 61, no extreme.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1368, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 shifts bias and extends toward 1.1420
Loss of 1.1385 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC decision (18:00 UTC) is the dominant risk into the next sessions
EUR/USD ground higher through the Asia session into the London morning, clawing back toward 1.1400 as DXY eased on soft US Consumer Confidence. Twin rejections at the 1.14031-1.14048 session-high band leave the 1.1400 pivot as the immediate cap; RSI(14) near 59 shows no extreme.
Support: 1.13835, 1.1356
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14048 session high extends the up-leg
Failure to hold 1.13835 swing low breaks the rising support
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 1.1400 · RSI 58 · price 1.13984
Higher lows, testing session high.
EUR/USD reclaimed a chain of higher lows through the Asian session and is grinding back toward the 1.14048 NY session high, with the 1.1400 psych pivot the immediate cap. The move followed soft US Consumer Confidence and a slip in DXY toward 101.30; RSI(14) neutral near 58 with no extreme.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13818
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 opens continuation past the psych 1.1400 pivot
Loss of 1.1385 breaks the higher-low base and reasserts the range
FOMC at 18:00 UTC (~30% hike priced) will override this intraday read
05:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into prior high · RSI 65 · price 1.1402
Higher highs and higher lows off the London low.
EUR/USD is grinding back toward the 1.14048 prior high after NY-session buyers stepped in on soft US Consumer Confidence yesterday. Early London holds a chain of higher lows above 1.1385, with price now nudging back above the 1.1400 round number.
Support: 1.13958, 1.1385, 1.13818
Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14048 prior high opens continuation; failure caps the range
Loss of 1.13958 higher low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
FOMC later today is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg and could reset this read
EUR/USD ground higher through the Asian session, printing a chain of higher lows off 1.1385 and pressing the 1.1405 session high as the USD eased on soft US Consumer Confidence. RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not stretched; last bar thin heading into London.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1405 opens the path toward 1.1420
Failure to hold 1.1385 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg
05:02 UTC
Uptrend, testing session high · RSI 64 · price 1.14005
Higher lows into 1.1405 cap.
EUR pushed to 1.14047 during NY hours after a soft US Consumer Confidence print, then held gains through Asia and is now retesting that session high near 1.1400. Higher lows off the 1.13826 swing keep the intraday grind constructive, RSI(14) elevated but not stretched.
Support: 1.1396, 1.13826
Resistance: 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14047 opens the path toward 1.1410+
Loss of 1.1396 intraday hl exposes the 1.13826 swing low
FOMC later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst for this pair
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 64 · price 1.14005
Higher highs and higher lows, retesting 1.1405 cap.
EUR/USD ground higher through the Asian range and into early London, reclaiming 1.1400 and retesting the session high near 1.14048 as the dollar eased on soft US Consumer Confidence. Micro-structure holds a clean chain of higher lows, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before it runs hot.
Support: 1.1393, 1.13818
Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 opens the path higher; rejection there keeps the range capped
Failure to hold 1.13930 breaks the recent higher-low chain
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
04:47 UTC
Uptrend, testing prior high · RSI 66 · price 1.1402
Higher lows into session high.
EUR ground higher through the Asia session, lifting off the 1.1385 swing low to retest the 1.1405 prior high after EUR/USD bounced toward 1.1400 on soft US confidence. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme; the up-move stalls just under the prior high.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1405
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1405 extends the up-move; rejection there sets up a possible double top
Loss of 1.1385 swing low negates the higher-low sequence
FOMC 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
04:46 UTC
Uptrend, testing session high · RSI 66 · price 1.1402
Higher lows into 1.1400 cap.
EUR ground back toward 1.1400 after basing near the 1.1353 session low, recovering on soft US Consumer Confidence and an easier DXY. Price is now retesting the 1.14048 session high on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) firm near 66 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1382, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1405 opens the path back toward this week's highs
Failure to hold the 1.1382 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC this week and EZ/German GDP tomorrow are the dominant catalysts for the USD leg
04:31 UTC
Uptrend, retesting session high · RSI 63 · price 1.13981
Higher lows off 1.1353, coiling below 1.1404.
Asia session grinding back toward the 1.14048 session high after recovering off the 1.1353 low, price reclaiming the 1.1385 consolidation. RSI(14) near 63, momentum firm but not stretched into the retest.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13818, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1402, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 opens continuation on the recovery leg
Failure to hold 1.1385 reopens the 1.1353 session low
FOMC today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove EURUSD off the 1.1353 low up to a 1.14047 session high before the Asian range consolidated between 1.1385 and 1.1392. Price is now recovering toward that high with RSI(14) mid-60s and holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13818, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14047, 1.1402
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14047 reopens the session-high test
Loss of 1.13850 asia range flips the read back into pullback
FOMC later today is the dominant USD catalyst and can override this intraday read
EUR/USD reclaimed the 1.1400 handle after basing at the 1.1353 session low, a bounce out of the mid-1.13s despite the broadly firm dollar into the Fed. Price is pressing session highs near 1.1405 with RSI(14) around 64; the 1.1385 swing low held on the last pullback.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1360, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1405 opens the path back toward 1.1418
Failure to hold 1.1385 reopens the 1.1360 prior low
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.13996
Higher lows off the 1.1353 base, retesting 1.1400.
Asian session has ground EUR/USD back up to the 1.1400 psych level after the NY-session high at 1.14048, holding a chain of higher lows off the 1.1353 base. RSI(14) mid-60s, price stalling just under 1.1400 as a heavy Fed day looms.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13818
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and can override this intraday read
M15 close above 1.14048 extends the uptrend toward the next leg
Failure to hold 1.13850 breaks the higher-low chain
04:01 UTC
Recovery off session low, stalling at 1.1400 · RSI 58 · price 1.1397
Higher lows, capped below 1.1405.
EUR clawed back off the 1.1353 session low to retest the 1.1400 handle through late Asia, but 1.1405 has rejected twice with the latest push fading to 1.1397. RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme; move sits on a chain of higher lows off 1.1353.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1360, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1405
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1405 opens a path back toward the 1.1405 session high extension
Failure to hold 1.1385 exposes the 1.1360 and 1.1353 lows
FOMC today 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD driver and could override this intraday read
Intraday recovery off the 1.1382 swing low during Asia hours, grinding a chain of higher lows back up to the 1.1400 handle where price was rejected at 1.14005. RSI(14) mid-60s, price above both EMAs; the 1.1400 round number remains the near-term cap.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 prior high opens continuation
Failure to hold 1.1383 swing low negates the recovery
FOMC later today is the dominant driver — can override this read
EURUSD has climbed off the 1.1353 session low and is grinding back toward the 1.14048 prior high, sitting just under the 1.1400 psych level with RSI(14) around 67. This is a corrective bounce within a broader soft EUR tone into today's FOMC; recent bars are shallow, ATR compressed near 5 pips.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1382, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14048 prior high opens path back to the 1.1405+ zone
Failure to hold 1.1385 swing low breaks the rising trendline
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reprice this move
EURUSD recovered from the mid-1.13s session low back toward the 1.14047 NY session high, now stalling at the 1.1400 psych level the digest flags as capping resistance. Asia hours are grinding a chain of higher lows off 1.13818, RSI(14) firm near 64 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.13818, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14047
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14047 opens room beyond the 1.1400 psych cap
Loss of 1.13818 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the session low
FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could override this intraday read
EUR rallied to 1.14048 during the NY session then faded to 1.1385, and Asia has grinded back to retest the 1.1400 round number. RSI(14) around 65, structure holding higher lows off the 1.1358 session low.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1358
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14048 reopens the session high; failure back below 1.1385 marks a lower high
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD driver and could override this intraday read
EURUSD clawed back off the 1.13818 session low on a chain of higher lows and is now retesting the 1.14048 session high, RSI(14) firm near 64 but not stretched. Move fits a USD that stays bid into Wednesday's FOMC while EUR holds near monthly lows.
Support: 1.13826, 1.13818, 1.13557
Resistance: 1.14048, 1.14018
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14048 opens continuation toward the 1.1400 handle region
Loss of 1.13818 reverts the read to lower lows
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
03:16 UTC
Recovering toward range top · RSI 61 · price 1.13956
Range 1.1385–1.1405, higher lows building.
London-NY drove EUR/USD off the 1.1353 session low to 1.14048 before fading back into a 1.1385–1.1405 range. Asia hours are grinding higher lows back toward the 1.1400 psych level, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 reopens the 1.14048 session high
Loss of 1.13850 breaks the higher-low sequence and reasserts the range floor
FOMC Wednesday 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver — likely to override intraday structure
03:16 UTC
Recovering off intraday base · RSI 62 · price 1.13956
Higher lows into 1.1400 after NY pullback.
Asia session grinding higher off the 1.1385 base after the NY pullback from the 1.14048 swing high, now pressing the 1.1400 round number with RSI(14) in the low 60s. Move sits within a broader USD-firm backdrop ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13818, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 opens the path to the 1.14048 swing high
Loss of 1.13818 session low negates the recovery and reopens the 1.1385 base
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read
Higher lows off 1.1353, testing back toward 1.1400.
EUR/USD recovered from the 1.1353 swing low made during London and now grinds higher into Asia hours, RSI(14) firm near 66 without stretching. The 38.2% pullback held around the 1.1382 base; buyers are pressing back toward the 1.1400 psych level and prior high at 1.14048.
Support: 1.13826, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 opens a retest of the 1.14048 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.1382 base reopens the 1.1353 swing low
FOMC today 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
03:02 UTC
Recovering off session low, drifting up · RSI 59 · price 1.13949
Consolidation below 1.1400 cap, higher lows.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1353 session low to tag 1.14048 during NY hours, then pulled back into a 1.1385–1.1395 consolidation through the Asian session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 59 with price edging back toward the 1.1400 cap on thin Asia volume.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14048 reopens the 1.1400 handle and prior session high
Loss of the 1.1385 range floor exposes the 1.1353 session low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed to a high at 1.14048 before rejection back toward 1.1383; Asian hours have coiled in a tight 1.1383–1.1395 range, RSI(14) neutral near 55. No setup in play with FOMC the dominant driver later this week.
Support: 1.13826, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 reopens the 1.14048 session high
Loss of 1.13826 asia low exposes the 1.13530 session low
FOMC decision Wednesday can override this intraday range read
NY session pushed EUR/USD to a high at 1.14048 before fading back to the low-1.138s as pre-FOMC USD strength reasserted. Asia hours have been quiet and range-bound between 1.13850 and 1.13957, with price now grinding back toward the recent high on thin volume.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13818, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.13957, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13957 reopens 1.14048 session high
Loss of 1.13850 range floor exposes 1.13818 swing low
FOMC Wednesday is the dominant driver and could override this intraday read
EURUSD rallied off the 1.1353 monthly-low zone into the NY session, tagging 1.14048 before drifting back to consolidate. Through the Asia session it has held a tight 1.1387-1.1395 range, RSI(14) mid-band near 57; price sits above EMA20/50 but the session high at 1.14048 caps recovery attempts.
Support: 1.1387, 1.13826, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 round number reopens 1.14048 session high
Loss of 1.13826 swing low reasserts the downside toward 1.13530
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC and Warsh presser could override this intraday range
Consolidating below 1.1400 after fade from session high.
Price rallied to 1.14048 mid-window then faded and rejected 1.1400, settling into a 1.1385-1.1394 consolidation through the quiet Asia session. RSI(14) mid-range near 57; grinding back toward the 1.1400 ceiling on thin volume.
Support: 1.1385, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14000 reopens the session high at 1.14048
Loss of 1.13850 range low exposes the 1.13530 swing low
FOMC decision Wednesday is the dominant driver into this pair
NY session drove a clean rally off the 1.1355 low to a session high at 1.14048, a bounce from monthly lows before the Fed. Price has since consolidated 1.1383–1.1404 through the Asia session, now holding 1.1394 with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.13835, 1.13557
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14000 reopens the 1.14048 session high
Loss of 1.13835 turns focus back to the 1.13557 swing low
FOMC decision Wednesday is the dominant driver and can override this range read
NY session pushed EUR/USD to 1.14048 before sellers capped it, fading back into a tight Asia-session range around 1.1390. Price has ticked up toward the 1.13944 recent high on quiet flow; still boxed between 1.1385 and 1.1394.
Support: 1.1385, 1.13818
Resistance: 1.13944, 1.14048
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13944 opens a retest of the 1.14048 session high
Loss of 1.13818 swing low confirms a lower-low
FOMC decision ~16h out is the dominant upcoming driver for this pair
02:01 UTC
Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 1.13906
Consolidation below session high after NY rally.
NY session drove a clean rally off 1.1353 to a session high of 1.1405, then price faded into the Asia session and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1382-1.1391 band. RSI(14) has cooled back to mid-range as momentum stalled below the 1.1400 handle.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1405, 1.1400
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could override this range read
M15 close below 1.1382 range base exposes the 1.1353 session low
Reclaim of 1.1405 session high needed to resume the upside move
02:01 UTC
Pullback stalling into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 1.13906
Ranging below NY session high after rejection.
NY session drove a rally to 1.14048 before rejection faded price into an Asia-session consolidation around 1.1389, RSI(14) neutral near 53. Range now compressing between 1.13835 and 1.1400 ahead of today's FOMC.
Support: 1.13835, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13835 opens the path back toward the 1.13530 swing low
Close above 1.14048 session high resumes the prior leg up
FOMC decision today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can override this range
01:46 UTC
Pullback stalling, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.13857
Consolidation below faded NY high.
NY session pushed to 1.14048 before fading through the London-NY transition; price has since drifted into a tight 1.1382-1.1392 range through thin Asia hours. RSI(14) neutral near 49, no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
M15 close above 1.1392 reopens the 1.14048 high
Loss of 1.1382 exposes the 1.1353 swing low
01:46 UTC
Pullback stalling, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.13857
Ranging after fade off session high.
EUR/USD rallied to 1.14048 mid-window then faded, now grinding in a tight 1.1382–1.1392 band through the thin Asia session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with price hugging the EMA20/50 cluster; no directional structure in play ahead of FOMC.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1374, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1392 reopens 1.14048 session high
Loss of 1.1382 exposes 1.1374 prior swing
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will override this range read
01:32 UTC
Range after rally, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.13895
Consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD ran up from 1.1353 to a session high of 1.14048 before rejection capped the move; price has since drifted into a tight 1.1382–1.1392 range through the Asia session. RSI(14) sits mid-band near 53 with EUR still pinned near monthly lows ahead of the FOMC.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 needed to resume the upside
Failure to hold 1.13820 opens a retrace toward 1.1353
FOMC later today is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
NY session drove EURUSD to a session high at 1.14048 before fading; the current Asian session is ranging tightly 1.1382–1.1392 on thin volume. Price holds above the 50% retrace (1.1379) of the 1.1353–1.14048 up-move, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1379, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 resumes the intraday upside toward 1.1400 psych and beyond
Failure to hold 1.1382 opens the 1.1353 swing low
FOMC decision later today (18:00 UTC) is the dominant driver and can override this range
01:17 UTC
Up-leg faded, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.13886
Consolidation after retrace of NY rally.
EURUSD rallied to a session high at 1.14048 during NY hours then faded, and price is now grinding sideways in a tight 1.13833-1.13918 range through thin Asian trade (last bar volume just 18). Momentum is neutral with RSI near 52 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips as the market pauses ahead of the Fed.
Support: 1.13833, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.13918, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC Wednesday 18:00 UTC is the dominant driver and could break this range
M15 close above 1.13918 reopens the 1.14048 session high
Loss of 1.13833 exposes the 1.1362 monthly low
01:16 UTC
Up move stalled, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.13886
Tight Asia range after pullback from 1.1405.
Prior session pushed to a 1.14048 day high then rolled over; Asia hours are now grinding a tight 1.13818-1.13918 range on thin volume with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Price holds a shallow 38.2% retrace of the 1.1353-1.14048 leg, no directional setup in the current window.
Support: 1.13818, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.13918, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13918 range top reopens the 1.14048 day high
Loss of 1.13818 range base exposes the 1.1353 swing low
FOMC statement 18:00 UTC is the dominant risk and can override this range read
01:01 UTC
Sideways after NY rally faded · RSI 55 · price 1.13908
Consolidating below NY session high, holding above Asia low.
NY session drove EUR/USD up to 1.14048 before it faded back into the 1.1383–1.1391 zone. Asia is now ranging in thin volume with RSI mid-range and price pinned near the top of the Asian range. FOMC later today is the dominant driver.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.14048, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 reopens the path toward 1.1400+ NY high
Loss of 1.1382 asia low exposes the 1.1353 swing low
FOMC 18:00 UTC will override this intraday range read
NY session drove EUR/USD from the 1.13557 session low up to 1.14048 on hopes of a hawkish FOMC repricing the USD; the Asia session has since consolidated in a tight 1.13835-1.13911 band, holding above the 50% retracement of that rally. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-50s with the range top still intact.
Support: 1.13835, 1.13803, 1.13557
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 reopens the session-high push
Loss of 1.13835 range low exposes the 1.13803 50% fib and 1.13557 session low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC today can override this intraday read entirely
00:46 UTC
Range after NY rally faded · RSI 51 · price 1.13887
Consolidation below session high.
NY session drove EUR/USD off 1.13557 up to 1.14048 before the move faded; Asia has since coiled in a tight 1.13818–1.13920 range around 1.1388. No directional structure in play ahead of today's FOMC.
Support: 1.13818, 1.1365, 1.13557
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC today is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
M15 close above 1.13920 reopens the 1.14048 session high
Loss of 1.13818 exposes the 1.13650 swing low
00:46 UTC
Ranging after NY rally, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.13887
Consolidation below session high 1.14048.
NY session pushed EUR/USD from 1.1353 to a session high of 1.14048 before fading; thin Asian hours have price coiling around the 38.2% retracement near 1.1388, RSI neutral. Range low 1.13818 holding as consolidation continues.
Support: 1.13818, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14048 session high reopens upside toward 1.1400 psych break
Failure to hold 1.13818 range low exposes the 1.1353 swing low
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this range read
00:31 UTC
Pullback within short-term uptrend · RSI 52 · price 1.13888
Consolidating below session high after NY rally.
EUR/USD rallied through the NY session to a high of 1.14048, then drifted into a tight Asian-session range around 1.1388, holding above the 1.1382 session low. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 with no momentum extension, and the euro remains pinned near monthly lows into the Fed.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision at 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14048 would resume the NY up move
Loss of 1.1382 opens the path back to 1.1370 and the 1.1353 swing low
00:31 UTC
Recovery stalled into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 1.13888
Tight range after bounce off session low.
EUR/USD bounced off the 1.1356 session low to tag 1.14048 before fading, and is now coiled in a 1.1383–1.1392 range through the quiet Asian session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 and ATR is compressed at ~3 pips — no directional structure in play ahead of FOMC.
Support: 1.1383, 1.1374, 1.1356
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1400 reopens the 1.14048 rally high
Loss of 1.1383 range low exposes 1.1374 and the 1.1356 session low
FOMC decision 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and will override this range read
NY session pushed EUR/USD up to 1.14048 before fading; price has since drifted into thin Asia-hours consolidation around 1.1383, holding just above the 1.13818 session low. RSI(14) mid-range near 44, price back below EMA20/50 after the pullback.
Support: 1.13818, 1.13557
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.14048
What it said to watch
FOMC decision today 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
Close below 1.13818 opens the path toward the 1.13557 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13920 would re-engage the session-high test at 1.14048
Rolled over off 1.1405, now range-bound near lows.
EUR/USD ran up to a session high of 1.14048 during NY hours then faded, and has since coiled into a tight 1.1382–1.1392 range in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) sits neutral near 45 with price pinned under EMA20/50. FOMC later today is the dominant catalyst overriding the current micro-structure.
Support: 1.13818, 1.13557
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13818 session low confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.1356 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13920 minor high needed to threaten the 1.14048 session high
FOMC decision (18:00 UTC) will likely override this intraday read
00:01 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.13833
Consolidating below session high.
NY session ran a rally from the 1.1356 session low to 1.14048 before rejection capped it and price bled back to the 1.1383 area. Now grinding a tight 1.1382-1.1392 range through thin Asia hours, RSI mid-range near 45 and ATR compressed. FOMC later today is the dominant catalyst overhanging the read.
Support: 1.13818, 1.1370, 1.13557
Resistance: 1.1392, 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13818 range low reopens the 1.1370 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.13920 range high puts the 1.14000 round number back in play
FOMC decision ~18h out could invalidate this consolidation read
NY session pushed to 1.14048 before fading; Asia hours have drifted the pair back to 1.1383, sitting just above the 1.13818 session low with RSI(14) mid-range. Thin late-session volume, no clean setup — coiling between 1.13818 and 1.1390 ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.13818, 1.1360, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1400, 1.14048
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13818 opens the 1.1360 monthly low
Reclaim of 1.1390 range top needed to reopen 1.14000
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and will override this intraday read