EUR ran to a 6-week high near 1.15367 during NY hours on soft post-Fed USD and the strong EZ GDP beat; the rally has since stalled and price is coiling in a tight 1.15220–1.15305 range through the quiet Asia session. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-40s as ATR compresses to a few pips.
Support: 1.1522, 1.15187, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.15305, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 reopens continuation of the rally
Loss of 1.15187 swing low confirms a lower low
EZ flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to a 6-week high of 1.15367 during NY hours on broad post-Fed USD softness, then stalled and drifted back to 1.1525, slipping below the EMA20. Quiet Asian session with thinning volume; price is coiling between 1.1518 and 1.1537 with no fresh momentum.
Support: 1.15184, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.15184 session low opens the 1.15020 swing low
M15 close above 1.15367 resumes the advance toward fresh multi-week highs
EZ flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could break this consolidation
Consolidation under session high after strong rally.
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1434 to a session high at 1.1537 on the softer US data batch and firm EUR after the Q2 GDP beat, then stalled into consolidation between 1.1518 and 1.1537. Price is drifting mid-range near 1.1524 in thin late-session trade, RSI(14) back to neutral around 50.
Support: 1.15184, 1.1500, 1.14827
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.15352
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15367 reopens the rally leg
Loss of 1.15184 range low exposes 1.15000 round level
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst
NY session rally off 1.1434 after the soft US GDP/PCE batch drove EUR/USD to a session high of 1.15367 around the London-NY transition. Price has since drifted into a tight 1.1520-1.1537 band through the quiet Asia hours, RSI(14) flat near 51 and price idling under EMA20.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500, 1.14683
Resistance: 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 reopens the upside; loss of the 1.15200 range floor exposes 1.15000
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the week's key EUR catalyst and could break this range
23:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 1.1525
Ranging below session high, holding above 1.1500.
EUR rallied through the NY session into 1.15367 after strong Eurozone Q2 GDP and hot German CPI, then went into a tight consolidation between 1.1518 and 1.1530. Thin, late-Asia trade with ATR compressed to ~3 pips and RSI(14) flat near 49; the breakout has cooled but the range top is still respected.
Support: 1.1518, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1530, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 reopens the upside; loss of 1.1518 exposes 1.1500
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst and could break this range
EUR ran up through 1.1470 into a 1.15367 session high after the double-beat Q2 GDP and hot German CPI, then flattened into a tight 1.1520-1.1537 band. RSI has cooled to the mid-50s and price is drifting on the EMA20 as the move digests near the top.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1520 opens the path back toward 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.1537 session high extends the breakout
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst and could reshape this read
Consolidating just below session high after NY breakout.
NY session drove a clean breakout from 1.1434 up to 1.15367 on the double-beat EUR GDP/hot German CPI and a softer post-FOMC dollar. Asia session is holding a tight consolidation between 1.1508 and the 1.15367 high on thin volume, RSI cooling from the rally.
Support: 1.1508, 1.14974, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1550
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1508 range low would end the consolidation and open the 38.2% fib at 1.1497
A close above 1.15367 session high extends the breakout toward 1.1550
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst that could reset this read
22:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 1.15295
Post-breakout range under session high.
EUR/USD spiked through 1.1500 into the mid-1.15s during NY hours on soft post-FOMC USD and the Eurozone GDP/German CPI beats, printing 1.1537 before stalling. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1524–1.1535 range into the Asia session, holding just under the session high.
Support: 1.15242, 1.15134, 1.15023
Resistance: 1.15353, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15242 opens the path back to 1.1513
Break and hold above 1.15367 extends the breakout
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst
Consolidation below session high after impulsive NY leg.
NY session drove a sharp leg up from 1.1447 to the session high at 1.15367 on the dovish FOMC read and strong Eurozone GDP/German CPI. Price has since gone flat in thin Asia hours, coiling between the 1.15184 range low and the session high, RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.15184, 1.1500, 1.1498
Resistance: 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15184 breaks the consolidation and probes 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.15367 session high reopens the upside
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst and could break this range
Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.
EUR/USD ripped through 1.1500 during the NY session on soft US PCE/GDP and a double-beat Eurozone Q2 GDP print, peaking at 1.15367. Price is now consolidating in thin Asia-session trade around 1.1527, holding the 1.1518 swing low and capped by the 1.1535 range top.
Support: 1.1518, 1.15095, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 reopens the upside; failure to hold 1.15180 confirms a lower low
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst and could break this range
EUR/USD ripped higher through the NY session off 1.1470, peaking at 1.15367 as soft US PCE/GDP met firm Eurozone Q2 GDP and hot German CPI. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.15230–1.15300 range; Asia session is thin and volume-light, drifting back toward the range floor with RSI(14) cooling to ~54.
Support: 1.1523, 1.15134, 1.15068
Resistance: 1.1530, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15230 asia low opens the path back to 1.15134 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15300 range cap and 1.15367 session high needed to extend the rally
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the week's key EUR catalyst and could break this range
Consolidation below session high after impulse leg.
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1434 to a 1.1536 session high on the softer-USD lean after the Fed hold and steady core PCE, then went sideways. Asia-session bars are thin and coiling 1.1520–1.1536, RSI(14) back near 47 as the impulse cools.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500, 1.1487
Resistance: 1.1536, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1536 reopens the path toward 1.1550
Loss of 1.1520 range base exposes 1.1500
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could break this consolidation
22:01 UTC
Up then flat, momentum stalled · RSI 46 · price 1.15268
Consolidation below session high after impulsive rally.
EUR/USD spiked from ~1.1434 to 1.15367 during NY hours as the dollar softened after the Fed hawkish-hold and in-line core PCE, then went flat. Since London-NY close it has coiled in a tight 1.1518–1.1537 band on thin Asian volume, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s with price pinned just under EMA20.
Support: 1.15184, 1.15023, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 session high reopens the upside
Break below 1.15184 range low confirms a lower low
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst
EURUSD broke sharply higher through 1.1500 as the dollar softened post-Fed hold and soft US PCE/GDP prints, tagging 1.1537 before stalling. Since then price has flattened into a tight 1.1518–1.1537 range on fading late-session volume, RSI(14) cooling back to mid-50s.
Support: 1.15184, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1537 reopens the upside extension
Loss of 1.1518 range low targets the 1.1500 round number
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation below session high after impulsive rally.
NY session ripped from 1.14339 to a session high at 1.15367 on the softer-USD lean (hawkish Fed hold plus a soft core PCE print). Price is now consolidating in the 1.15184–1.15367 band into late session, drifting off the highs with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral.
Support: 1.15184, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15184 swing low opens the path back toward the 1.15020 pullback low
Reclaim of 1.15300 prior high puts the 1.15367 session high back in play
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the next EUR catalyst and could shift this read
Consolidating just below session high after impulsive rally.
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1434 to 1.15367 during NY hours as the dollar sagged on the Fed hawkish-hold and soft core PCE. Price has since gone quiet, coiling in a tight 1.1518–1.1535 band into a thin, late-session close with RSI cooling back to mid-range.
Support: 1.15185, 1.1502, 1.1479
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15367 opens continuation of the rally
Loss of 1.15185 confirms the consolidation is breaking lower toward 1.1502
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the next EUR catalyst
NY session ripped ~90 pips off 1.1437 to a 1.1537 high after the Fed hawkish-hold and soft US GDP/PCE weighed on the dollar. Price has since gone flat, consolidating 1.1510–1.1535 and drifting to 1.1523 on very thin late-session volume, RSI(14) cooled back to neutral.
Support: 1.15095, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15305, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15095 swing low would confirm consolidation break lower
Reclaim of 1.15305 consol top reopens the 1.15367 session high
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the next EUR catalyst
Consolidating below session high after impulsive leg up.
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1434 to a session high of 1.15367 during NY hours as the dollar stayed soft post-FOMC, then stalled into a tight 1.1518–1.1535 range. Price is drifting toward range lows on thin late-session volume with RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.15185, 1.1512, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15185 range low opens the path back toward the 1.15120 swing low
M15 close above 1.15367 session high resumes the up-leg
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC and US ECI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 51 · price 1.15267
Range after impulsive NY leg up.
EUR surged through 1.1500 during NY hours to a session high at 1.15367 on the dovish Fed hold and soft US GDP/PCE, then stalled into a tight range around 1.1527. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral as price drifts along the 1.1520–1.1535 shelf into the Asia open.
Support: 1.15184, 1.15023, 1.14827
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.15353
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 extends the NY leg higher
Loss of 1.15184 opens a deeper pullback toward 1.15023
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could reset this range
20:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 52 · price 1.1527
Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.
NY session ripped off the 1.1434 low up to 1.1537 as strong Eurozone Q2 GDP and hot German CPI firmed EUR; price has since stalled and is consolidating 1.1520-1.1537 into late-session hours with RSI(14) cooling to the low 50s. Rally structure intact but momentum has flattened at the highs.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500, 1.1465
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1520 range base breaks the consolidation lower
Reclaim and close above 1.1537 session high extends the impulse
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst for the next session
EUR ripped through 1.1500 into a 1.15367 session high during NY hours on the strong Q2 GDP double-beat and hot German CPI, then stalled as the priced-in Sept ECB hike capped follow-through. Price now consolidating tightly between the 1.15184 range low and the 1.15352 prior high, RSI(14) cooling to the high-50s.
Support: 1.15184, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.15352, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 session high reopens the upside
Loss of 1.15184 range low breaks the consolidation and exposes 1.15020 swing low
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst and could reset this read
NY session rally lifted EURUSD off 1.1434 to a session high at 1.15367, powered by EUR strength after double-beat Q2 GDP and hot German CPI plus a soft US GDP/PCE run. Price is now consolidating 1.1518–1.1537 just under the high with RSI(14) easing back from the extension.
Support: 1.15184, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1550
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.15184 keeps the consolidation intact; a break below opens 1.15020 breakout retest
Close above 1.15367 session high extends the rally toward 1.15500
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst and could reshape this read
20:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.15299
HH/HL chain, ranging at session top.
EUR ripped through 1.1500 into a 1.15367 session high during NY hours after Q2 GDP and hot German CPI beats firmed the bloc. Price now consolidating 1.1518-1.1537 just under that high, RSI(14) cooling off from the surge with buyers still defending 1.1518.
Support: 1.15184, 1.15023, 1.14788
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15184 breaks the consolidation and opens 1.15023
Break above 1.15367 extends the intraday uptrend
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC (f/c 2.9%/2.4%) could reset this read
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 60 · price 1.15313
Post-breakout consolidation above 1.1510.
NY session ran EURUSD from 1.1434 to a session high 1.15367 on the soft US GDP/core PCE prints, then stalled into a tight consolidation between 1.1510 and 1.1537. RSI(14) near 60, no extreme; price holding above the breakout zone into late NY.
Support: 1.15134, 1.1500, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.15352
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15134 swing low breaks the consolidation lower
Close above 1.15367 session high extends the breakout leg
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC and US ECI 12:30 UTC could reset this range
19:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 1.1532
Consolidating below session high after impulsive NY leg up.
EUR ripped through 1.1479 into the 1.15 handle during NY hours as the USD stayed offered post-FOMC and soft US data, tagging a session high at 1.1537. Price has since gone sideways in a tight 1.1518–1.1537 band, RSI cooling off from the impulse.
Support: 1.1518, 1.1479, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1518 opens a retest of the 1.1479 breakout
Close above 1.1537 extends toward the 1.1550 round number
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD tore through 1.1500 during NY hours after the soft US Q2 GDP miss and cool core PCE knocked the dollar, peaking at 1.15367. Price is now consolidating in a 1.1518-1.1537 band into the late NY session, RSI(14) easing back from the impulse highs.
Support: 1.15184, 1.1502, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 opens continuation of the breakout
Loss of 1.15184 confirms a lower low and stalls the advance
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could reset this read
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 1.1528
HH/HL chain, consolidating near session high.
NY session ripped from 1.1479 to 1.1537 on the soft US Q2 GDP and PCE misses, dragging EUR/USD to fresh session highs. Price is now consolidating 1.1520-1.1537 into the late NY hours, RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward 61.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500, 1.1487
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1520 opens a probe back toward the 1.1500 round number
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 63 · price 1.15343
HH/HL chain, NY breakout above 1.15.
NY session drove EUR/USD through 1.15 on soft US GDP/core PCE and firm Eurozone data, topping at 1.15367. Price is now consolidating 1.1513–1.1537 just under the session high with RSI cooling from the push.
Support: 1.15134, 1.15023, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 extends the intraday leg
Loss of the 1.15134 swing low breaks rising support
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could shift this read
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 1.15303
Higher highs into session top, holding above 1.1500.
EUR/USD ripped through 1.1500 on the EZ Q2 GDP double-beat and soft US GDP/core PCE, tagging a session high at 1.15367 before consolidating in the 1.1518-1.1535 band. RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak but price holding above EMA20/50; structure remains constructive above 1.1502.
Support: 1.15184, 1.1502, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.15367
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15020 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could shift this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 1.15309
Higher highs / higher lows, coiling under 1.1537.
NY session drove EUR/USD from 1.1465 to a 1.15367 high on soft US data (core PCE miss, GDP miss) before settling into a tight 1.1518–1.1537 range. Price is pinned near the highs, RSI(14) cooling around 61 as momentum flattens into late NY.
Support: 1.15184, 1.15095, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.15351
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.15367 session high extends the up-leg
Loss of 1.15184 rising low opens 1.15095
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the next major catalyst
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 63 · price 1.15316
Higher highs into NY, ranging under session high.
EUR surged through the NY session to a session high of 1.15367 on the softer USD read after the benign PCE and Q2 GDP miss. Price is consolidating just under that high, holding above 1.1518 with RSI(14) mid-60s — no overbought stretch.
Support: 1.15184, 1.15023, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.1500 zone confirms a lower-low
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key catalyst and could reset this read
NY session drove a sharp leg up through 1.1500 to a session high of 1.15367, powered by the softer US data (Q2 GDP miss, benign core PCE) against firm EUR after the Q2 GDP and German CPI beats. Price is now consolidating just under the high around 1.1525-1.1530 with RSI(14) easing back from stretched levels; the 1.15130 swing low is the near-term pivot for the intraday HL chain.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1502, 1.14827
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.15130 breaks the intraday higher-low structure
Close above 1.15367 session high opens continuation toward the 1.1540s
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the week's key catalyst for EUR
NY session drove EUR/USD from 1.1479 to a session high 1.15367 on the softer-USD tilt after the FOMC hold and hot German CPI. Price is now consolidating between 1.1502 and 1.1530 just below the high, RSI cooling off from the impulse.
Support: 1.15023, 1.14827, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.15023 pullback low signals a deeper retrace
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the week's key catalyst
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 1.1519
Higher highs into 1.1537, now consolidating.
NY session drove a clean breakout above 1.1500 on post-FOMC USD softness, peaking at the 1.1537 session high before stalling. Price now consolidating 1.1500–1.1530 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s; the breakout base near 1.1465 held throughout.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485, 1.1465
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.1530
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1537 session high opens continuation
Failure to hold 1.1500 round exposes 1.1485 swing low
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the key catalyst into next session
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 65 · price 1.15295
EUR extended its rally through the NY session after the FOMC hold and soft PCE/GDP kept USD offered, breaking 1.1500 and tagging a 1.15367 session high before easing back to consolidate near 1.1530. Buyers stepped in at 1.1502 on the pullback; RSI(14) elevated but not extreme.
Support: 1.1502, 1.1500, 1.1483
Resistance: 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 opens continuation of the rally
Failure to hold 1.1500 opens a slip toward the 1.14830 prior high
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) could reset this read
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 62 · price 1.15295
Higher highs, holding above breakout.
EUR/USD ran to 1.15367 during the NY session on the softer-USD tilt after the hawkish Fed hold and weak GDP, then settled into a tight consolidation between 1.1502 and the 1.1530 area. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-60s as price coils just below the session high.
Support: 1.1502, 1.1479, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530
What it said to watch
A close above 1.15367 extends the leg; failure to hold 1.15020 marks a lower low
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) could reset this read
NY session drove EUR/USD to a 1.15367 session high on the EUR firming after the Q2 GDP double-beat and hot German CPI. Price pulled back to 1.1500, buyers stepped in, and it's now consolidating around 1.1529 just under the session high with RSI(14) cooling off elevated levels.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 extends the up-leg
Failure to hold 1.1500 opens a slip toward the 1.14985 swing low
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could reset this range
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 66 · price 1.1529
Higher highs after breakout, consolidating below session high.
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 1.1470 pivot, spiking to 1.1537 before easing; EUR firm after the Q2 GDP double-beat and hot German CPI. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1520–1.1530 band with RSI(14) cooling from overbought.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.1520
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1500 round number would confirm the breakout is stalling
M15 close above 1.1537 session high reopens the upside extension
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) could reset this range
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 64 · price 1.15238
Higher highs after NY breakout, holding above 1.1500.
NY session drove a sharp breakout from 1.1478 up to 1.15367, EUR extending on the soft US data / hawkish-hold FOMC unwind. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1500–1.1527 zone just below the session high, RSI(14) cooling from the impulse to ~64; the 1.1500 psych level held on the pullback.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14985, 1.14783
Resistance: 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 opens continuation of the breakout leg
Failure to hold 1.1500 exposes the 1.14985 pullback low and breakout base at 1.14783
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) could reshape this read
NY session ripped higher, breaking through 1.1500 to a session high at 1.15367 as EUR stayed firm on the Q2 GDP double-beat and hot German CPI. Price pulled back to 1.14985 and has since recovered to 1.1523, RSI cooling from the spike; the breakout is holding on the retest.
Support: 1.14985, 1.15068, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.15265
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 opens continuation of the NY leg
Failure to hold 1.14985 confirms a lower low and negates the breakout
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could reset this range
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended after breakout · RSI 66 · price 1.15229
Higher highs, shallow pullback holding.
NY session broke above 1.1480 and ran to a 1.15367 session high on EUR strength after the Q2 GDP double-beat, RSI(14) hot but not extreme near 66. Pullback to 1.15023 was bought back and price is consolidating just under the high; breakout structure intact.
Support: 1.15023, 1.14783
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1520
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15023 pullback low opens a slip toward the 1.14783 breakout area
M15 close above 1.15367 session high extends the rally
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) could materially shift this read
NY session drove EURUSD from the 1.1470 pivot to a session high 1.1537 on broad USD softness after the hawkish-hold FOMC and soft Q2 GDP. Price has since faded to 1.1502 and is consolidating near 1.1515, RSI cooling off overbought; the prior breakout zone is now being retested as support.
Support: 1.1502, 1.1479, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.15195, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1502 opens a deeper retrace toward 1.1479
Reclaim of 1.15195 puts the 1.1537 session high back in play
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could reset this range
Higher highs into session high, shallow pullback holding.
NY session drove EUR/USD sharply higher to a session high at 1.15367 as a soft US Q2 GDP print and the hawkish-hold Fed weighed on the dollar. Price then pulled back to 1.14985 and is recovering toward 1.1515; the range top has not yet been retested and RSI(14) has cooled off the spike.
Support: 1.14985, 1.1500, 1.14783
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.15265
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 opens continuation of the NY leg
Failure to hold 1.14985 confirms a lower low and stalls the rebound
Eurozone flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC could reset this read
NY session ran a strong EUR bid to 1.15367 on the softer post-FOMC USD and Q2 GDP beat, then rejected and faded back to 1.15019. RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the last four bars printed lower; the 1.15000 area is holding for now.
Support: 1.15012, 1.1479, 1.14648
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.15195
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.15000 opens a slip toward the 1.14790 pivot
M15 close back above 1.15367 resumes the session-high advance
Eurozone flash HICP (Fri 09:00 UTC) could reset this read
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 61 · price 1.15018
HH/HL chain, retracing off session high.
NY session drove a sharp break above 1.14790 up to a session high at 1.15367, helped by a soft USD after the US GDP miss. Price is now pulling back to 1.15012, RSI(14) cooling from the highs but holding above 60; the breakout level around 1.14790 is the first structural floor.
Support: 1.15012, 1.1479, 1.1465
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.15195
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.15012 keeps the HL chain intact; loss reopens the 1.14790 breakout level
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, strong momentum · RSI 74 · price 1.15215
Higher highs, fresh breakout above 1.1500.
NY session drove a clean breakout above 1.1500 into a session high of 1.15367, EUR firm after the strong Eurozone Q2 GDP beat. RSI(14) hot near 74 as price consolidates just under the high; the 1.1500 breakout level is the immediate pivot below.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1480, 1.1465
Resistance: 1.15367
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15000 breakout level unwinds the breakout read
M15 close above 1.15367 extends the higher-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Fresh breakout to session highs, HH/HL chain intact.
NY session broke out hard from the 1.1450-1.1470 consolidation, printing a session high of 1.15367 as EUR stayed firm after the stronger Q2 GDP beats. RSI(14) is stretched near 79 into the current 1.15288 bar; the 1.15000 psych level now caps the breakout base.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1483, 1.1465
Resistance: 1.15367
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15000 psych would negate the breakout and pull price back into the prior range
Eurozone flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) could materially shift this read
NY session drove a clean break above the 1.1475–1.1480 range top, price surging to 1.1524 with RSI(14) running hot near 75. The move follows a firm run of Eurozone data (Q2 GDP 0.4% q/q, hot German CPI) and a softer post-FOMC dollar; chain of higher highs and higher lows intact.
Support: 1.15011, 1.1500, 1.1483
Resistance: 1.15247
What it said to watch
Hold above the 1.1501 breakout keeps the higher-low chain intact; a close back below reopens the 1.1475–1.1480 range
1.15247 session high — area to watch for rejection or extension
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove EURUSD to a session high of 1.15032, clearing the 1.14-1.15 range top and the 1.1500 psych level as USD stays soft post-FOMC and the EUR GDP beat lingers. RSI(14) is hot near 72 into the push; prior swing high at 1.14827 now flips to first support.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14827, 1.14652
Resistance: 1.15032
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15000 psych level reopens the 1.14827 prior high as support
Failure to hold 1.14652 swing low negates the breakout read
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the next range-defining catalyst
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 1.15008
Higher highs, breaking 1.15.
NY session drove EUR/USD through the 1.15 round number to a session high at 1.15032, extending the rally that built on today's Eurozone GDP and German CPI beats. Move is stretched with RSI(14) near 71; 1.14787 prior high is the first area to watch on any pullback.
Support: 1.14787, 1.14652
Resistance: 1.15032, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14787 prior high opens a retest of the 1.14650 swing low
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could reprice the whole 1.14–1.15 read
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 61 · price 1.14795
Higher highs, holding above range top.
NY session pushed EUR/USD above the 1.1475 range top after the London leg off strong Eurozone Q2 GDP, printing a session high at 1.14836; price holds near the highs at 1.14795 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.1465 during the NY grind higher.
Support: 1.1465, 1.14525, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14836, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1475 negates the breakout and returns price to the 1.14–1.15 band
Failure to hold 1.1465 opens a retest of 1.14525
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 60 · price 1.14792
Higher highs off 1.1434 low, chopping under session high.
EUR pushed through ING's 1.1475 range top during NY hours after the strong Eurozone Q2 GDP beat, tagging a session high at 1.14836 before stalling. Price is now chopping in the 1.1465–1.1484 band with RSI(14) mid-range, holding above the broken level.
Support: 1.1465, 1.14435, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14836, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14836 opens the path toward 1.1500
Loss of 1.1465 puts the 1.1475 breakout back in question
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could break this range
EUR/USD ran from the 1.1434 base to a session high of 1.1484 during NY hours after the strong Eurozone Q2 GDP beat, then eased back toward 1.1473. Price is now hovering just under the 1.1475 top of ING's 1.14–1.15 band, consolidating with RSI(14) around neutral.
Support: 1.1465, 1.14435, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.14836
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14836 clears the session high and opens the range top
Failure to hold 1.14650 puts the 1.1444 swing low back in play
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could break the 1.14–1.15 range
13:01 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 58 · price 1.14727
Higher highs, holding above 1.1475 break.
NY session pushed EUR/USD above Wednesday's 1.1475 range top to a session high at 1.14836, price now consolidating around 1.14727 with RSI(14) cooling off. The earlier surge off 1.1435 came on the post-FOMC dollar wobble; upbeat Eurozone GDP added a modest tailwind but the move is largely done.
Support: 1.1465, 1.1475, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14836
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.1465 would negate the 1.1475 breakout and put the range floor back in play
Close above 1.14836 extends the intraday uptrend
Eurozone flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Grinding higher into session high, pullback in progress.
NY session pushed EURUSD to a session high at 1.14836 before easing back to 1.14724, still holding above Wednesday's 1.1475 area. Price is coiling in the upper end of the 1.14–1.15 band, RSI(14) mid-range as the up-leg stalls into tomorrow's HICP.
Support: 1.1465, 1.14435
Resistance: 1.14836, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14836 opens the top of the 1.14–1.15 band
Loss of 1.14650 swing low breaks the intraday rising support
Eurozone flash HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could reset this range read
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 62 · price 1.14794
Higher highs / higher lows off 1.1435.
EUR recovered from the 1.1435 range floor and pushed to a session high at 1.1483 during NY hours, clearing Wednesday's 1.1475 highs. Price now consolidates just under that high with RSI(14) around 62; the 1.1474 swing low held on retest.
Support: 1.1474, 1.1465, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.1483, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1483 opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1474 puts the 1.1465 higher low back in play
Eurozone flash HICP tomorrow 09:00 UTC could reset this range
EURUSD grinding higher into the London-NY transition, pressing the session high at 1.14836 with RSI(14) in the low 60s and price holding above both EMAs. Buyers stepped in repeatedly off 1.14647 through the last few hours; the up-leg off 1.14375 remains intact.
Support: 1.14647, 1.14375
Resistance: 1.14836, 1.1500
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC is the immediate directional catalyst and can override this read
M15 close above 1.14836 opens the path to 1.15000
Failure to hold 1.14647 confirms a lower-low toward 1.14375
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 61 · price 1.14765
Higher lows, testing session high.
EURUSD ground higher off the 1.14339 session low to test the 1.14836 session high, now consolidating around 1.1476 with RSI near 61. Higher lows intact into the US GDP/Core PCE cluster; range top 1.14791-1.14836 the immediate cap.
Support: 1.14652, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14791, 1.14836
What it said to watch
US GDP + Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC (~15m) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14836 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.14652 swing low confirms a lower low
EUR bid through the London-NY session on the strong Eurozone GDP beat, breaking the earlier 1.1450–1.1470 consolidation and now pressing back toward the 1.14836 session high after a dip to 1.14339 was bought. RSI(14) around 62 — firm but not extended.
Support: 1.14648, 1.14525, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14836, 1.1500
What it said to watch
US GDP / core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 1.14836 opens the path toward 1.15000
Failure to hold 1.14648 exposes 1.14525
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after push to highs · RSI 49 · price 1.14656
Higher highs/lows, consolidating below 1.1484.
EUR ran through 1.1479 into a 1.14836 session high on the EZ growth beat, then faded back to 1.1466 with RSI cooling to the midline. Rising support off 1.14339 still intact; price is coiling mid-range below the high.
Support: 1.14648, 1.14463, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14836, 1.1479
What it said to watch
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14836 resumes the uptrend
Close below 1.14463 breaks rising support and sets a lower low
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.14669
Higher highs since the London rally, now ranging under session high.
EUR/USD ripped through the Asian range on the broad Eurozone GDP beat, then extended into NY to a session high at 1.14836 before easing to 1.14669. Price is consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) cooling off the mid-50s; the 1.14550 swing has held on the pullback.
Support: 1.1455, 1.14428, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14836
What it said to watch
German flash HICP (12:00 GMT) and US GDP/Core PCE (12:30 GMT) are imminent and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14836 opens continuation of the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 1.14550 exposes the 1.14428 swing low
EUR broke out sharply on yesterday's NY session after the Eurozone GDP beat, running from 1.1394 to 1.1485. London extended the push to a session high 1.14836 before cooling to 1.14669, RSI(14) easing back to the mid-50s. Price is holding above the rising intraday support with 1.14650 acting as the near swing low.
Support: 1.1465, 1.1452, 1.14375
Resistance: 1.14836
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT and US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14836 opens continuation of the up-move
Failure to hold 1.14650 exposes the 1.14520 prior range
Higher highs off 1.14375, rejection at session high.
EUR extended its European-session rally to a 1.14836 session high before rejection dragged it back to 1.14722, RSI(14) easing from overbought as the reflation bid (EZ GDP beat, hot German state CPIs) played out. Price holds a chain of higher lows off 1.14375; the 1.148 top is now the level to watch for another rejection or break.
Support: 1.1464, 1.14468, 1.14375
Resistance: 1.14836, 1.1500
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT and US GDP/Core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14836 opens the path toward 1.1500
Loss of 1.14375 breaks the intraday up-leg and the higher-low chain
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, extending into data · RSI 63 · price 1.14722
Higher highs, shallow pullback.
EUR ran a sustained bid off strong Eurozone/German GDP beats, printing higher highs into a 1.14836 session high before easing to 1.14722. Structure remains constructive with the pullback holding above the 1.14640 swing low; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.1464, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14836, 1.14791
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT and US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.14640 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.14836 session high resumes the up-leg
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 1.14721
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
EURUSD extended its uptrend through London, tagging a session high at 1.14836 before easing to 1.14721 — EUR firm on the broad Q2 GDP beats. Structure remains higher highs / higher lows above rising EMAs, RSI(14) cooling from the push but holding above 60.
Support: 1.14611, 1.14375
Resistance: 1.14836
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT and US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.14611 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.14836 session high reopens the upside
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 61 · price 1.14745
Higher highs, shallow pullback.
EUR ran higher through the session on the Eurozone GDP beats, breaking out and printing a session high at 1.14836 before easing to 1.14745. Structure remains higher highs with buyers defending the 1.14611 area; RSI(14) cooling from the spike but still firm.
Support: 1.14611, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14836, 1.14791
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT and US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 UTC — both due within ~1-2h and can materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.14611 breaks the higher-low chain
Break and hold above 1.14836 opens continuation of the intraday advance
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 71 · price 1.14817
Series of higher highs and higher lows.
EUR pushed to a fresh session high at 1.14836 on the back of strong Eurozone/German GDP beats, with the last three M15 bars clearing 1.1471 to print new highs. RSI(14) near 71 flags a hot but trending market; the 1.14690 breakout zone is the nearest reference below.
Support: 1.1469, 1.14468, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14836, 1.1500
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT and US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Loss of the 1.14690 breakout retest would call the higher-high chain into question
Sustained trade above 1.14836 opens the path toward the 1.15000 psych level
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 67 · price 1.14732
Higher lows into 1.1479 session high.
EUR extended through the London session after the strong Eurozone/German GDP beats, pushing to a session high at 1.14791 before closing at 1.14732. Price held a higher low at 1.14375 and reclaimed the 1.14663 swing; RSI(14) elevated but not extreme.
Support: 1.14468, 1.14375
Resistance: 1.14791, 1.14663
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT (~90m out) is the immediate catalyst for this leg
US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could sharply reprice the pair
Loss of 1.14468 breaks the higher-low structure
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing highs · RSI 68 · price 1.14731
Higher highs, higher lows into window top.
EUR ground back to the window top at 1.14731 after basing off the 1.14339 session low, with the leg up originally driven by the broad Q2 GDP beats. Price is now retesting the 1.14743 prior high; RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.14572, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14743 opens continuation toward 1.15000 psych
Failure to hold 1.14572 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
German flash HICP 12:00 GMT then US GDP/Core PCE 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, extending to new session highs · RSI 66 · price 1.14729
Higher highs after GDP-driven leg, breaking prior swing high.
EUR firmed through the European morning after the broad Eurozone Q2 GDP beats, spiking off 1.1374 and now breaking the prior swing high at 1.14705 to a fresh session high of 1.14729. RSI(14) near 66 — hot but not extreme; the pullback to 1.14339 held and buyers stepped back in during London hours.
Support: 1.14463, 1.14339, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14729
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT and US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.14463 rising low would stall the higher-high sequence
Loss of 1.14339 session low signals a deeper reversal of the GDP leg
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 63 · price 1.14647
Rally then range, buyers reclaiming highs.
EUR ripped higher on the broad Eurozone Q2 GDP beats, tagging a session high at 1.14705 before consolidating between 1.14339 and the highs. Price is now pressing back toward 1.1465 with RSI(14) mid-60s; the run remains above both EMAs.
Support: 1.14444, 1.14339, 1.14063
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14663
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT and US GDP/core PCE at 12:30 GMT could reset this range within ~2-3h
Close above 1.14705 opens continuation of the GDP-driven leg
Loss of 1.14339 confirms a deeper pullback off the range
10:01 UTC
Recovering, short-term up · RSI 62 · price 1.14615
V-shaped recovery off intraday pullback low.
EUR firm after broad Eurozone Q2 GDP beats; rallied hard to the 1.14743 day high before fading to a 1.14339 pullback low. Price now recovering to 1.14615, RSI(14) near 62 and back above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14375, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14743
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT and US GDP/core-PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Reclaim of the 1.14705 session high opens the path back to the 1.14743 day high
Loss of the 1.14339 pullback low confirms a lower low
European session ripped through 1.1394 on the EU Q2 GDP beats, spiking to a session high at 1.14743 before fading to 1.14339. Price has since recovered to 1.14615, back above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at ~60 — the session-high band remains the ceiling to watch.
Support: 1.14435, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14705 reopens the range high at 1.14743
Loss of 1.14339 session low negates the recovery
German flash HICP 12:00 GMT and US GDP/core PCE 12:30 GMT can reset this read
EUR firmed on the broad Eurozone Q2 GDP beats and hot German regional CPIs, rallying off the 1.14339 session low and now pressing back toward the 1.14705 session high with RSI around 62. Price has held a 1.14339-1.14705 range since the data-driven spike, top still capping.
Support: 1.14445, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14705 opens continuation of the leg
German flash HICP 12:00 GMT and US GDP/core-PCE 12:30 GMT can shift this read
Failure to hold 1.14445 puts the 1.14339 session low back in play
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1374 to a 1.14705 session high on the dovish-tilted Fed and clean run of EZ Q2 GDP beats, then consolidated between roughly 1.1437 and 1.1470. Price is now pressing back toward the session high at 1.14606 with RSI(14) mid-60s — not yet stretched.
Support: 1.14445, 1.14375
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14705 session high extends the impulse
Failure to hold 1.14375 session low breaks the range lower
German flash HICP ~12:00 UTC and US GDP/Core PCE ~12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD rallied off 1.1390 on yesterday's hawkishly-split FOMC and has since consolidated 1.1434–1.1466. London session is probing back toward the 1.14663 session high after basing at the 1.14339 swing low; RSI(14) mid-range near 56.
Support: 1.14435, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14663, 1.14743
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 UTC and US GDP/core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.14663 session high reopens the 1.14743 prior high
Loss of 1.14339 swing low negates the recovery
09:16 UTC
Recovering off range low · RSI 58 · price 1.14581
Range post-spike, higher low forming.
EUR/USD surged during NY hours yesterday off the hawkishly-split Fed, spiking from 1.1394 to 1.14743 before settling into a 1.1434-1.1465 range. London bounced off the 1.14375 swing low and reclaimed 1.1455, RSI(14) recovering to the high-50s with price back above both EMAs ahead of German flash HICP.
Support: 1.14495, 1.14375, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.1465, 1.14743
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 UTC (f/c 2.8% YoY) is the nearest catalyst and could break the range
M15 close above 1.14650 opens the path to the 1.14743 session high
Failure to hold 1.14375 exposes the 1.14339 range low
EUR/USD spiked to a 1.1474 session high on the post-FOMC dollar drop, then rolled into a 1.1434–1.1455 range through the Asia session and into London. Buyers stepped in at 1.1434 twice while 1.1455 caps; price sits mid-range near 1.1449 with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.14375, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14552, 1.14743
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1455 reopens the 1.1474 session high
Loss of 1.1434 session low confirms a lower low
German flash HICP ~12:00 UTC (f/c 2.8% YoY) could break this range
09:01 UTC
Range after post-Fed spike, drift lower stalling · RSI 53 · price 1.14494
Consolidation between 1.1434 and 1.1470.
EUR spiked from 1.1394 to 1.1470 on the divided-hold FOMC yesterday, then rolled into a range through the Asian session, drifting to a 1.14339 session low. London is recovering off that low back toward the 1.14552 session high; RSI(14) mid-range near 53, ATR compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 1.14375, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.14552, 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14339 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 1.14552 opens the path back to the 1.14705 post-fed high
German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT (~3h out) could break this range
EUR broke sharply higher during yesterday's NY session on the Fed's divided hold, spiking from the low-1.13s to a 1.14705 session high. London hours have since consolidated the move, ranging roughly 1.1435–1.1455 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; ATR compressed to ~9 pips.
Support: 1.14375, 1.14339
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.14705
What it said to watch
German flash HICP at 12:00 GMT and US GDP/core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14705 resumes the breakout leg
Loss of 1.14339 confirms a lower-low and opens the low-1.14s
08:46 UTC
Consolidation after post-Fed rally · RSI 53 · price 1.14517
Range-bound below session high.
Post-Fed rally spiked EURUSD to 1.1474 during NY hours, then stalled into a 1.1434-1.1470 range on the divided 9-3 hold. Price dipped to the session low at 1.1434 and has recovered toward 1.1452, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.1444, 1.1434
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1480
What it said to watch
German HICP 12:00 GMT and US GDP/PCE 12:30 GMT cluster ~3-4h ahead could break the range
Close above 1.1470 opens the path to 1.1480 resistance
Failure to hold 1.1434 confirms a lower-low
08:46 UTC
Range after post-Fed rally, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.1454
Consolidation between 1.1434 and 1.1474 following the breakout.
EUR gapped higher into the 1.1470s on the Fed's split 9-3 hold, then settled into a 1.1434–1.1474 range through the Asian session. Price is recovering to 1.1454 mid-range after a dip to 1.1434 was bought; supply capped attempts at 1.1466 and 1.1474.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1466
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1474 reopens the post-Fed high
Loss of 1.1434 confirms a lower low and range break down
German HICP at 12:00 GMT and US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked from the 1.1374 base to 1.1474 on the Fed's hawkish 9-3 hold, then faded and rejected the session high as USD demand returned. Price has since based at the 1.1434 session low and is recovering to 1.1454; RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1444
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1474 reopens the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.1434 session low confirms a lower-low back toward the swing low at 1.1444
Eurozone flash GDP now and US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~4h) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked from 1.1374 to the 1.1474 session high on the Fed's hawkish 9-3 hold, then faded through the Asia session as USD demand returned. Now consolidating mid-range near 1.1447; rejection capped the 1.1474 area and buyers stepped in twice around the 1.1434 swing low.
Support: 1.14339, 1.14063
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1480 range top opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.1434 confirms a lower-low
US Q2 GDP and Core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~4h) could break this range
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1394 to a 1.1474 session high on the Fed's hawkish hold, then faded through the London session on a chain of lower highs, now sitting at 1.14471. Price is back below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; the pullback is holding above the 1.14339 session low.
Support: 1.14339, 1.14435, 1.13774
Resistance: 1.14563, 1.14743
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14339 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the post-spike gains
Reclaim of 1.14563 lower high reopens the 1.14743 session high
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Pullback after Fed spike, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 1.14385
Lower highs fading from session high.
EUR/USD spiked from ~1.1395 to 1.14743 on the Fed's hawkish 9-3 hold, then faded steadily through the session back to 1.1438 as USD demand returned. Lower highs are stacking under a descending resistance line and price is now sitting on the 1.14339 session low with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 1.14339, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash GDP (08:00 GMT) and US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could reset this range
M15 close below 1.14339 confirms a lower low and extends the fade
Reclaim of 1.14520 consol top needed to re-challenge the 1.14743 session high
08:02 UTC
Pulling back after post-Fed spike · RSI 40 · price 1.14385
Lower highs off 1.1470 top, testing session low.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1470 during NY hours on the Fed's hawkish hold, then faded through the London session to the 1.1434 session low, now 1.14385. Price is grinding lower under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40; the congestion band at 1.1455 has capped every bounce.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash GDP at 08:00 GMT is imminent and could materially shift this read
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the next major risk event
Close below 1.1434 confirms a lower low toward 1.1400 psych
Reclaim of 1.1455 congestion needed to challenge the 1.1470 session high
07:46 UTC
Downtrend, off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14365
Lower highs since 1.1471 spike, testing session low.
Post-FOMC spike ran to a session high at 1.1471, then rolled over into a steady drift lower through the London session, printing lower highs. Price now sits on the session low near 1.1436 with RSI in the low 40s; the 1.1456 lower high caps rallies.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14563, 1.1471
What it said to watch
Eurozone Q2 GDP flash at 08:00 UTC (~15 min) could break this drift either way
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC is the larger risk to the read
M15 close below 1.1434 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1456 negates the lower-high structure
07:46 UTC
Pulling back off post-FOMC highs · RSI 41 · price 1.14364
Lower highs, range breaking to downside.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1474 on the dovish-read 9-3 FOMC hold, then faded and coiled in a 1.1452-1.1470 range through Asia. That range has now broken lower, price grinding into the 1.14339 session low with RSI(14) cooling near 40; supply capped repeatedly at 1.1452.
Support: 1.14339, 1.1428, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Eurozone Q2 GDP flash at 08:00 UTC (~15 min) is HIGH-impact and can override this read
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could reset the range
Close below 1.14339 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1428 spike base
Reclaim of 1.14520 negates the downside break and puts 1.1470 back in play
The post-FOMC dovish spike to 1.14743 has faded steadily through the London session, printing lower highs and now pressing the session low at 1.14358 with RSI(14) in the low-40s. Price sits below both EMAs, having retraced roughly 40% of the spike leg.
Support: 1.14358, 1.1428
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.14705
What it said to watch
Eurozone Q2 GDP flash at 08:00 UTC (~30 min) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.14358 confirms continuation toward the 1.14280 spike base
Reclaim of 1.14520 swing high needed to stall the sequence of lower highs
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1474 on the FOMC hawkish-hold reaction, then coiled and is now grinding back toward the session low at 1.14428 with a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) mid-range near 44, price slipping below EMA20 but holding well above EMA50.
Support: 1.14428, 1.1440, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.14563, 1.1465, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14428 confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence toward 1.1440
Reclaim of 1.14563 swing high invalidates the drift lower
Eurozone GDP/HICP (07:00-08:00 GMT) and US Core PCE/GDP (12:30 GMT) could reshape this range
Post-FOMC spike from 1.1374 stalled at the 1.1470 session high yesterday; since then EUR/USD has consolidated and is drifting toward the 1.1444 swing low, RSI(14) near 43. Range 1.1444–1.1470 still holding into the Eurozone GDP/HICP releases.
Support: 1.14435, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1444 opens a retest toward the 1.1433 post-fomc low
Eurozone GDP/HICP (07:00–08:00 GMT) could break the 1.1444–1.1470 range
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1394 to 1.1474 on the post-FOMC dollar unwind, then stalled — London hours have carved a lower-high sequence and price is drifting back to 1.1445. RSI(14) near 45 confirms momentum has cooled off the spike; pair now consolidating between 1.14435 and the 1.1470 session high.
Support: 1.14435, 1.1433
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14435 confirms a lower-low and opens the range mid at 1.1433
M15 close above 1.14705 re-engages the spike high at 1.1474
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could break this consolidation either way
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14743 on the hawkish-hold Fed reaction, then consolidated 1.1450–1.1475 before drifting toward the 1.14435 session low. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price has slipped below EMA20/50 as the range grinds lower ahead of EZ data.
Support: 1.14435, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14563, 1.14743
What it said to watch
EZ HICP flash at 07:00 UTC (~15m) and GDP at 08:00 UTC could break the range
M15 close below 1.14435 confirms a lower low toward 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14563 reopens the 1.14743 session high
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1474 on yesterday's hawkish 9-3 Fed hold, then consolidated 1.1444-1.1474 through the quiet Asian session, drifting to the lower edge with RSI(14) near 41. Price sits below EMA20/50 as the pair stalls into the EZ data window.
Support: 1.14435, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14743
What it said to watch
EZ HICP flash 07:00 UTC and GDP 08:00 UTC can break the range immediately
Close below 1.14435 opens the path toward the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14743 needed to re-engage the post-Fed high
EUR/USD gapped from ~1.1393 to 1.1470 on the Fed's hawkish 9-3 hold, then consolidated in a 1.1444–1.1471 range through the Asian session. Price is now pressing the lower edge near 1.1444 in early London hours, RSI(14) cooling to ~41 as buyers failed to reclaim the 1.1465 range top.
Support: 1.14435, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14712, 1.1465
What it said to watch
EZ HICP flash at 07:00 UTC (~30m out) can break this range either way
M15 close below 1.14435 confirms a lower-low out of the range
EZ GDP 08:00 UTC and US PCE 12:30 UTC are further catalysts
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1474 in the post-FOMC session then stalled, spending Asian hours boxed in a tight 1.1444-1.1470 range. Price is now leaking toward the session low at 1.1444, printing lower highs off 1.1456; RSI(14) near 42 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips ahead of EZ data.
Support: 1.1444, 1.1436, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1456, 1.1474
What it said to watch
EZ HICP flash at 07:00 UTC and GDP at 08:00 UTC could break this range within the next 1-2 bars
M15 close below 1.1444 opens the 1.1436 fib area and 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1456 lower-high line reopens the 1.1474 session high
EUR/USD spiked from 1.1374 to 1.1474 on the divided 9-3 Fed hold late yesterday, reclaiming the 1.1400 pivot. Since then it has consolidated and made lower highs into 1.1456, now sliding to the session low at 1.1444 during London morning; RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 1.1444, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1456, 1.1474
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1444 session low exposes the 1.1400 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.1456 lower high reopens 1.1474 session high
EZ GDP/HICP cluster (07:00-09:00 GMT) and US PCE at 12:30 UTC can reset this range
Post-FOMC EUR spiked above 1.1400 and rallied to the NY high at 1.14712, then drifted into a tight 1.14472–1.14563 consolidation through the Asian session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 with price pinned to EMA20; the range top and range low still contain the current bar.
Support: 1.14472, 1.1439
Resistance: 1.14563, 1.14712
What it said to watch
EZ GDP YoY (08:00 GMT) and German HICP (07:00 GMT) could break this consolidation
M15 close above 1.14712 ny high extends the recovery leg
Loss of 1.14472 range low exposes the 1.14390 fib 38.2 area
EUR/USD spiked from 1.1374 to a session high of 1.1470 on the post-FOMC dollar sell-off, then settled into a tight consolidation around 1.1452. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 after cooling from the rally, with price boxed between the 1.1449 range low and the 1.1470 session high.
Support: 1.1449, 1.1433
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1470 session high reopens the upside toward 1.1480
Loss of the 1.1449 range low exposes the 1.1433 breakout base
EZ GDP/HICP and US PCE/GDP clusters within ~7h could break this range
Consolidating below session high after post-FOMC spike.
EURUSD spiked from 1.1375 to 1.1474 on yesterday's hawkish-hold Fed reaction, then stalled and is now consolidating tightly between 1.1450 and 1.1457 into early London. RSI(14) neutral around 51 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no directional impulse in play ahead of the data cluster.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1440, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1480
What it said to watch
EZ flash GDP (08:00/09:00 GMT) and German HICP (07:00 GMT) can break the consolidation in the next hours
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 GMT is the next major volatility driver
Close above 1.14743 reopens the 1.1480 cap; failure to hold 1.1450 exposes 1.1440
05:31 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14545
Tight consolidation after FOMC-driven rally.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1474 on the FOMC hawkish hold reaction, then bled back and is now coiling in a tight 1.1449-1.1455 band through the Asian session, price pinned at the range top. RSI(14) neutral near 51 with ATR compressed to a few pips.
Support: 1.1449, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14550 range top reopens 1.14705 session high
Loss of 1.14490 range low exposes the 1.14400 pivot
EZ GDP/German HICP through the morning and US PCE at 12:30 GMT can break this consolidation
05:16 UTC
Range after post-FOMC spike, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14545
Consolidating in upper half of the NY breakout leg.
EUR/USD broke sharply above 1.1400 during the NY session on the Fed's hawkish-hold, spiking to 1.14705 before settling. Since then it has consolidated 1.1449–1.1470 through Asia, now drifting to the range low at 1.14545 with RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 1.1449, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14705
What it said to watch
EZ flash GDP and German HICP through the morning could break this range
M15 close below 1.14490 re-exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14705 session high needed to extend the breakout leg
EUR/USD gapped from sub-1.1390 to a 1.14743 high on the FOMC hawkish-hold repricing during the US session, then bled back to consolidate 1.1449-1.1455 through thin Asian hours. RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR compressed as price coils under the post-FOMC high.
Support: 1.1449, 1.1440, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.14743
What it said to watch
EZ GDP YoY (08:00 GMT) and German HICP (07:00 GMT) could break the 1.1449-1.1455 range
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT is the next major catalyst
M15 close above 1.1470 re-opens the post-fomc hi; loss of 1.1449 exposes the range floor at 1.1440
05:01 UTC
Pulled back from post-FOMC high, flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14499
Consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD broke above 1.1400 on the hawkish-hold FOMC pop overnight, tagging a session high at 1.14743 before drifting into a tight consolidation around 1.1450. Momentum has cooled, RSI(14) back near neutral as price coils below the session high.
Support: 1.1449, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1480
What it said to watch
EZ GDP/HICP cluster (05:30-09:00 UTC) can break the 1.1450 consolidation either way
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this read
Close back below 1.1400 pivot re-exposes downside
Reclaim of 1.14743 session high opens the 1.1480 range top
04:47 UTC
Impulsive rally, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.14525
Consolidation after post-FOMC pop.
EUR/USD ripped from sub-1.1400 to a session high of 1.14743 on the hawkish-hold Fed relief pop, then bled back to consolidate in a tight Asian-session range around 1.1450. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral and price sits just below EMA20 as the impulsive move digests.
Support: 1.14472, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14705
What it said to watch
Eurozone GDP/HICP cluster from 05:30 UTC could break the Asian range in either direction
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst for the next M15 leg
M15 close above 1.14743 session high reopens upside; loss of 1.14472 swing low exposes a lower low
04:46 UTC
Post-FOMC rally, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.14524
Lower high after spike, tight range.
EUR/USD spiked above 1.1400 on the hawkish Fed hold, extending to 1.14743 before rolling into a lower high. Asia session has it pinned in a tight 1.1447-1.1455 range, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.14472, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14663
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14743 reopens the upside path toward the 1.1480 zone
Failure to hold 1.14472 exposes the 1.1440 pivot
EZ GDP/HICP cluster (05:30-09:00 UTC) and US PCE at 12:30 UTC can break this range
Range after breakout, holding above prior day base.
EUR/USD spiked from 1.1394 to 1.14705 on the post-FOMC relief bid, then rolled into consolidation. Asia session is quiet and drifting, holding a 1.1447–1.1470 range with price now sitting at 1.14524 below EMA20 but above EMA50; RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.14472, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14663
What it said to watch
Eurozone GDP/HICP cluster 05:30–09:00 UTC and US PCE 12:30 UTC could break this range
M15 close below 1.14472 exposes the 1.1400 pivot
Acceptance above 1.14705 reopens the post-fed high
EUR/USD gapped through 1.1400 on yesterday's hawkish-hold FOMC and ran to 1.1474 before settling into a tight 1.1447-1.1466 range. Price now drifts around 1.1452 with RSI neutral near 46, having cooled from the post-decision extension.
Support: 1.14472, 1.1440, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14663, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Eurozone Q2 GDP flash cluster (05:30-09:00 UTC) could break the range in either direction
M15 close below 1.1447 swing low exposes the 1.1440 range floor
Acceptance above 1.1466 reopens the 1.1474 session high
A sharp post-Fed spike drove EUR/USD off 1.1374 and reclaimed the 1.1400 pivot, tagging a session high at 1.14743 before stalling. Price has since drifted into a tight 1.1449-1.1470 consolidation through the Asia session, RSI(14) now neutral near 47.
Support: 1.14472, 1.1440, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.14705 reopens the 1.14743 spike high
Loss of 1.14472 recent low signals the consolidation is breaking lower
US Core PCE / Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst that could shift this read
Breakout followed by shallow pullback into Asian session.
EUR/USD spiked from 1.1394 to a session high of 1.1474 on the FOMC hold, then faded through NY into a tight Asian-session drift, now holding just above 1.1449. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as price sits back below EMA20 but above EMA50.
Support: 1.14472, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1465, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.14650 reopens the session high at 1.14743
Loss of the 1.14472 session low exposes the 1.1400 pivot cap
EZ HICP (07:00 GMT) and GDP (08:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Up off FOMC spike, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 1.14518
Consolidating below session high after breakout.
EUR/USD ripped above the 1.1400 pivot cap on the post-FOMC USD unwind, tagging a session high at 1.1474 before rejection there. Price has since drifted back to 1.1452 and is now ranging just under EMA20 with RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1445, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1465
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT and EZ HICP/GDP this morning could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1450 exposes the 1.1445 swing low and reopens the 1.1400 pivot cap
Reclaim of 1.1474 would confirm the session high is being retested
EUR/USD ripped higher through 1.1430 during NY hours on the post-Fed USD unwind, peaking at 1.14743 before easing back. Now consolidating in the mid-1.145s just under EMA20, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s off the highs.
Support: 1.14472, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.14574, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14472 opens the pullback toward 1.1435 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14574 reopens the 1.14743 session high
EZ HICP (07:00 GMT) and GDP (08:00 GMT) due within hours could shift this read
Broke prior range, now consolidating below session high.
NY session drove a sharp post-Fed breakout above 1.1400, extending to a session high at 1.14743 before stalling. Asia session has drifted lower into a tight consolidation around 1.1452, RSI(14) back near 45 after the surge; the 1.14472 session low is the near-term floor.
Support: 1.14472, 1.14395
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14663
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14472 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.14395 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14663 puts the 1.14743 session high back in play
Eurozone HICP (07:00 GMT) and GDP (08:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
Post-spike consolidation, drifting off session high.
EUR spiked from 1.1390 to a session high of 1.1474 on the post-Fed reaction during NY hours, then rolled into a slow Asian-session pullback now sitting at 1.1449. Lower highs since the peak and RSI cooling to the low 40s; price is back below EMA20 with the session low at 1.1447 being tested.
A sharp late-NY impulse broke the 1.1400 prior cap and ran to a session high at 1.14743, RSI(14) since cooling from overbought. Price is now consolidating in the mid-1.145s through the Asia hours, holding the 1.14509 session low so far.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.1465
What it said to watch
EZ HICP (07:00 GMT) and GDP (08:00 GMT) land within the next few bars — elevated volatility risk
US Core PCE 12:30 GMT could reprice this move
Loss of 1.14509 opens a retest of the 1.1400 prior cap
Reclaim of 1.14743 needed to resume the leg higher
NY session ripped EUR from ~1.1390 to a session high of 1.14743 on the post-FOMC dollar easing, a sharp impulse on outsized volume. Price has since gone sideways through Asia between 1.14509 and 1.14712, RSI(14) back near 50 after cooling off. Pullback is shallow, holding well above the 38.2% fib at 1.14409.
Support: 1.14509, 1.14409
Resistance: 1.14712, 1.14743
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT plus EZ GDP/HICP through the morning could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.14509 session low opens the 38.2% fib at 1.14409
Acceptance above 1.14743 session high resumes the impulse
03:16 UTC
Impulse up, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14512
Post-spike consolidation drifting to lower edge.
Post-FOMC dovish repricing drove EUR/USD from 1.1394 to a session high at 1.14743 in one impulsive leg. Price has since consolidated and drifted to the lower edge of that range near 1.14509 through quiet Asia hours, ATR(14) compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.14509, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14509 session low opens the path back toward the 1.14332 spike base
German HICP (07:00 GMT) and EZ GDP flash (08:00 GMT) could break this consolidation
Reclaim of 1.14705 prior high needed to re-engage the session high at 1.14743
A dovish-Fed repricing ~9h ago drove a vertical breakout from 1.1394 up to 1.14743; price has since drifted lower and is consolidating around 1.1452 in thin Asian hours, RSI(14) cooled back to mid-range. Buyers holding above 1.1452 keeps the breakout intact while the session high at 1.14743 caps.
Support: 1.1452, 1.14332, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14743
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14520 consol low opens the 1.14332 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14743 session high resumes the breakout leg
German HICP (07:00 GMT) and EZ GDP (08:00 GMT) then US Core PCE (12:30 GMT) can materially shift this read
Post-FOMC breakout, now consolidating below the high.
Post-FOMC spike ~18:00 GMT drove EUR from 1.1394 to the 1.1474 session high, and Asia has since consolidated around 1.1452-1.1455 after rejection at that high. RSI(14) has cooled back below 50 as the pullback holds above the 1.14509 session low.
Support: 1.14509, 1.14475, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14705
What it said to watch
US Core PCE 12:30 GMT (high impact) can materially shift this read
EZ Q2 GDP flash / German HICP this morning are relevant EUR risk
M15 close above the 1.14743 session high resumes the rally
Loss of the 1.14509 session low opens the 1.14332 spike low
Post-FOMC dollar easing drove EUR/USD ~130 pips off the 1.1374 rally base to a 1.14743 session high late in the prior session. Price is now drifting in quiet Asia, consolidating below the 1.1467 range top with RSI cooling toward 42 and price back under EMA20.
Support: 1.14509, 1.1450, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.1467, 1.14743
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is high-impact and could reset this read
M15 close below 1.14500 opens the path back toward the 1.1433 rally base
Close back above 1.14705 reopens the 1.14743 session high
Post-FOMC EUR/USD ripped from 1.1374 to a session high 1.14743 as the dollar eased, then stalled. Asian session is drifting quietly between 1.14509 and 1.1456, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s after the impulse; the session high remains unchallenged.
Support: 1.14509, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14663
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14509 session low opens a retest of the 1.14332 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.14743 session high needed to resume the breakout
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially reset this read
02:31 UTC
Up impulse fading into consolidation · RSI 44 · price 1.1452
Post-spike range, drifting off highs.
A post-FOMC hold spiked EUR from the low-1.1390s to 1.1474 in the NY session, then price stalled and rejected off 1.1470. It has since drifted back to sit on session-low support at 1.1451, slipping under the EMA20 as the impulse cools.
Support: 1.1451, 1.1437, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1474
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1451 opens the 1.1437 swing low
Reclaim above 1.1470 re-engages the spike high at 1.1474
US Core PCE/GDP batch at 12:30 UTC and EZ GDP flash could reset this range
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 1.14518
Post-breakout pullback, lower highs off session peak.
FOMC hold at 3.75% spiked EUR/USD off 1.13743 to a 1.14743 session high, but price has since drifted to 1.14518 in thin Asian trade with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. Rejection at 1.14743 and a slide back below the 1.14690 recent high point to a pullback retracing the FOMC move.
Support: 1.14475, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.1469, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14475 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
Reclaim of 1.14690 recent high reopens the 1.14743 session high
EZ GDP flash (08:00 GMT) and US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could reset this read
02:16 UTC
Impulsive rally, now cooling · RSI 47 · price 1.14518
Post-breakout pullback off session high.
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1393 to a 1.14743 session high on the dovish-hold FOMC repricing, well clear of the earlier 1.1374 base. Price has since faded below 1.1458 and is consolidating near 1.1452, with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s after the overbought spike.
Support: 1.14332, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14580 reopens the 1.14743 session high
Failure to hold 1.14332 breakout base unwinds the FOMC move
US Core PCE / GDP batch at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Up post-FOMC, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 1.14518
Breakout then consolidation below session high.
EUR spiked from 1.139 to 1.1474 on the post-FOMC dovish repricing as the dollar eased after the expected hold. Price is now consolidating in the low-1.145s during Asian hours, holding above the 1.14332 spike low but capped below the 1.14710-1.14743 session high; RSI has cooled back to neutral.
Support: 1.14514, 1.14332, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14743 resumes the breakout leg
Loss of 1.14332 spike low negates the post-FOMC push
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
Consolidating below session high after impulsive rally.
EUR ripped from 1.1394 to a session high of 1.14743 during the NY session as a dovish-Fed repricing squeezed the dollar. Price is now consolidating in the Asian session between 1.14556 and 1.14705, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral after the run.
Support: 1.14556, 1.14475, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14556 opens a retest of the 1.14475 swing low
Acceptance above 1.14743 extends the post-FOMC leg
EZ Q2 GDP flash (08:00 UTC) and US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could reshape this read
Impulsive breakout, now consolidating below session high.
EURUSD ripped ~100 pips off the 1.1394 base into the NY session on the post-FOMC dollar move, tagging a session high at 1.14743. Asia hours have gone quiet, consolidating in the 1.1456–1.1471 band with RSI(14) cooled back to the mid-50s after the impulse; the 1.14556 session low is holding so far.
EUR ran hard on the post-FOMC dollar unwind, gapping through 1.1400 to a session high at 1.14710. Asia is now consolidating between 1.14556 and 1.14710 with RSI(14) cooled to the low-50s; the breakout base at 1.1435 sits below as the reference for any deeper pullback.
Support: 1.14556, 1.1435, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.14663
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14556 opens the path back toward the 1.1435 breakout base
M15 close above 1.14710 resumes the upside from the FOMC surge
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A sharp NY-session breakout lifted EUR/USD off 1.1387 to a session high 1.1474, clearing the prior 1.1400 pivot decisively. Price is now consolidating in the mid-1.145s, with RSI(14) cooling as the last bars pulled back to the 1.1456 session low.
Support: 1.14558, 1.1440
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14558 session low opens the path to the 1.1440 round-number area
Reclaim of 1.14743 session high would resume the breakout leg
EZ Q2 GDP flash (08:00 GMT) and US Core PCE later today could materially shift this read
The post-FOMC dollar wobble drove EURUSD from 1.1393 up to a 1.14743 session high, a clean breakout of the prior 1.1380–1.1400 range. Price is now consolidating through the Asia session, dipping to the 1.14556 session low with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral; the current bar sits just above that support.
Support: 1.14556, 1.14395, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14556 opens a retest of the 1.14395 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14743 resumes the breakout leg
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ripped through the 1.1400 pivot during NY hours to a session high of 1.14743, then rolled into a tight Asian-session range. Price has eased back to 1.14575, dipping under EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; buyers held the 1.14558 session low on the pullback.
Support: 1.14558, 1.14474, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14663
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14558 opens a retest of the 1.14474 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14663 puts the 1.14743 session high back in play
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked ~90 pips off 1.1374 into the Fed hold as stretched dollar longs unwound, peaking at 1.14743. Now consolidating near 1.14575 through Asia, holding above the 1.14475 swing low with RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.14475, 1.14332, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14705
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14475 opens a deeper retrace toward 1.14332
Reclaim of 1.14743 session high resumes the post-FOMC leg
US Core PCE + GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
The Fed's hold ~7h ago fired EUR/USD off 1.1394 through 1.1400 up to a session high of 1.14743 on the largest volume of the window. Price has since drifted into a 1.1456–1.1470 consolidation in the Asia session, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the pair holds well above the breakout zone.
Support: 1.14558, 1.14475, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14705
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 1.14558 session low exposes the 1.14475 swing low
A close back above 1.14743 session high resumes the post-FOMC advance
Euro-area Q2 GDP + German HICP (Wed 07:00–08:00 GMT) could reshape this read
Post-FOMC breakout, now consolidating below session high.
FOMC's hawkish hold triggered a USD long-unwind; EUR/USD ripped through 1.1400 and rallied to a session high near 1.1471 on heavy volume. Price is now drifting in thin Asian-session trade around 1.1457, RSI cooling back to neutral after the surge, with 1.14556 holding on the pullback.
Support: 1.14556, 1.14474, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14743
What it said to watch
Break above session high 1.14705 extends the post-FOMC leg
Failure to hold 1.14556 opens the 1.14474 swing low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster Thu 12:30 GMT could reprice this move
EUR/USD ripped from 1.1393 to 1.1474 as the FOMC hawkish-hold removed the residual hike premium and stretched dollar longs unwound. Price is now consolidating in the Asia session around 1.1457, holding above the 1.14556 low with RSI(14) back to neutral after cooling from the spike.
Support: 1.14556, 1.14474
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14663
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14556 exposes the 1.14474 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14743 session high would resume the post-FOMC leg
Eurozone Q2 GDP + German HICP (Wed) and US Core PCE (Thu) are the next catalysts
FOMC's expected hold around 21:00 broker triggered a sharp breakout from sub-1.1400 to the 1.1470s, unwinding stretched dollar longs. Price then consolidated near the session high and is now easing back to 1.14575, with the session low at 1.14558 the immediate line.
Support: 1.14558, 1.14475, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.14712, 1.14743
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14558 opens the 1.14475 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14712 puts the session high 1.14743 back in play
Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially reshape this read
EUR/USD ripped through 1.1400 in the NY session after the Fed's hawkish-hold unwound stretched dollar longs, tagging a session high of 1.1474. Thin Asian-hours trade has drifted the pair back to 1.1457, with the last bar rejecting off 1.1471 — rising lows still intact above 1.1447.
Support: 1.14474, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14663
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14474 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14743 reopens the path higher
Euro-area Q2 GDP and German HICP (Wed) plus US Core PCE/GDP (Thu 12:30 GMT) can materially shift this read
The Fed's hold removed the priced hike premium and the dollar unwound, spiking EUR/USD off ~1.1390 to a session high of 1.14743 during NY hours. Price is now consolidating 1.1455-1.1470 just below that high, RSI(14) cooling off the impulse into the low 60s.
Support: 1.1455, 1.14475, 1.1435
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.14743
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14475 breaks the consolidation lows and questions the breakout
Reclaim and close above 1.14743 opens continuation
Euro-area Q2 GDP + German HICP (Wed) and Thu Core PCE could shift this read
FOMC 'hawkish hold' removed the priced hike premium and triggered a ~85 pip USD long-unwind, spiking EUR/USD off 1.1390 to a session high at 1.14743. Price is grinding sideways just below that high with RSI(14) cooling from the surge; the 1.14475 pullback low has held on the retrace.
Support: 1.14475, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14705
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14475 pullback low would break the post-spike higher-low structure
Close above 1.14743 session high extends the breakout
US Core PCE + GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR/USD exploded out of the sub-1.1400 range after the Fed's hawkish-hold removed the ~30% hike premium and the dollar softened, spiking from 1.1394 to 1.1474. Price is now consolidating just below the 1.14743 session high with RSI cooling from the impulse, holding a series of higher lows off 1.14475.
Support: 1.14475, 1.14332
Resistance: 1.14743, 1.14663
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14743 opens continuation higher
Close below 1.14475 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
US Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read