EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 31 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:47 UTC
Uptrend, recovering off NY flush low · RSI 68 · price 1.15408
Higher highs / higher lows since midday flush.
NY session flushed to 1.1455 around midday then recovered in a steady higher-high/higher-low chain, price now printing session highs at 1.1541 with RSI(14) hot near 68 but not extreme. Thin late-Friday liquidity (final bar volume collapsing) leaves the push into the highs light.
Support: 1.1524, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1541, 1.1550
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1541 session high opens the path toward the 1.1550 round number
Loss of 1.1524 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US ISM Manufacturing Monday could reshape the USD-led move
Higher highs after V-recovery, breakout extension.
Late NY session drove EURUSD to a session high 1.15408 after a sharp V-recovery off the 1.1455 washout, clearing Thursday's 1.1537 ceiling that now acts as a pivot. Move is USD-led — dollar short-covering faded into the NY close. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.1537, 1.1527, 1.1503
Resistance: 1.15409
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.15270 negates the breakout extension
Loss of the 1.15370 prior-high pivot re-exposes the swing low at 1.15030
ISM Manufacturing (Aug 3, 14:00 UTC) could reset this USD-led read
20:31 UTC
Uptrend, testing ceiling · RSI 63 · price 1.15353
Higher highs/lows off spike low, pressing prior high.
EURUSD recovered sharply from a spike low at 1.1455 and ground higher through the NY session, now pressing the 1.1537 six-week high ceiling flagged as the near-term cap. RSI(14) mid-60s with no divergence; the earlier flush was USD short-covering, but euro demand has held the higher-low chain intact.
Support: 1.15236, 1.1503, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1538, 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15380 clears the six-week ceiling and opens continuation
Loss of 1.15236 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
ISM Manufacturing Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this read
Recovered off sweep low, consolidating under session high.
NY session recovered sharply after a sweep of 1.1455, grinding back up to the six-week high at 1.1538 on broad USD short-covering post-Fed. Price now consolidates in a tight 1.1527–1.1538 band, RSI(14) mid-range around 60, with the session-high ceiling still capping.
Support: 1.15268, 1.1500, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1538
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1538 opens continuation past the six-week high
Failure to hold the 1.1527 range base exposes 1.1500 psych
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD-led read
Higher highs off the 1.1455 spike low, consolidating below session high.
NY session recovered sharply from a spike sweep of 1.1455, then built higher lows to tag a session high at 1.1537. Price is now consolidating around 1.1530 just below that high, RSI(14) mid-range near 58.
Support: 1.15236, 1.15085, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1537 extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 1.15236 opens the path to 1.15085
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mon 14:00 UTC) could reshape the USD leg
Recovery off flash low, consolidating near session highs.
A sharp downside sweep to 1.1455 was fully retraced through the NY session, price grinding back to the session high at 1.1537 and now consolidating 1.1527–1.1537. RSI(14) cooling near 56 with price flat into the late-session, thin close.
Support: 1.15268, 1.1500, 1.14648
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.15359
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1537 opens continuation of the recovery leg
Loss of 1.1527 range low exposes 1.1500 round number
DXY holding above the 100.00 pivot could cap upside on this pair
Higher lows off spike low, consolidating under session high.
A sharp NY-session spike to 1.1455 was fully reversed, with price grinding higher lows up to the 1.1537 session high. Late-NY action is now consolidating 1.1526–1.1537, RSI(14) cooling from stretched levels near the top.
Support: 1.15261, 1.15125, 1.14648
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
Break above 1.1537 session high extends the recovery leg
Loss of 1.1526 range floor exposes 1.1513 prior swing
US ISM Manufacturing (Mon) is the next scheduled catalyst for USD legs
Higher lows off the flush, grinding at session highs.
A sharp NY-session flush swept lows to 1.1455 before buyers reclaimed the entire move, EUR/USD now grinding at session highs ~1.1537 with RSI(14) around 64. The rebound tracks a corrective USD bounce off six-week lows fading; higher lows intact through the London-NY handoff.
Support: 1.15261, 1.1513, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15370 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.15261 marks the first lower high of the recovery
Weekend close approaching — liquidity thinning into last hours
HH/HL recovery off 1.1455 flush, now consolidating below session high.
A sharp mid-window flush swept to 1.1455 before buyers reversed it, and EURUSD has since chained higher lows back to the 1.1537 session high on broad USD softness post-FOMC. Price is now grinding sideways around 1.1533 just under that high, RSI(14) cooling toward the low 60s.
Support: 1.15268, 1.1513, 1.14706
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15370 extends the recovery leg
Loss of 1.15268 swing low breaks the HL chain
ISM Manufacturing (Aug 3 14:00 UTC) is the next USD catalyst
19:46 UTC
Uptrend, recovering after flush · RSI 62 · price 1.15333
Higher lows off the session flush low, holding near highs.
NY session flushed below 1.1490 to a spike low of 1.1455 before reversing hard, with buyers stepping in to reclaim the whole move. Price now consolidating just under the session high at 1.1537; RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s as momentum flattens into the evening.
Support: 1.1527, 1.1513, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1537 extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold the 1.1527 range low breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
US ISM Manufacturing Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this read
V-recovery off flash low, consolidating near session high.
A flash drop swept the range to 1.1455 during NY hours before a sharp V-recovery reclaimed 1.1500 and drove price to the session high at 1.1537. Price is now consolidating around 1.1530 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally into the mid-50s; the sub-1.1520 base is holding as EUR firmness meets a corrective USD bounce above 100.00 DXY.
Support: 1.1526, 1.1524, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.15355
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15370 opens continuation higher
Close below 1.15260 breaks the recent higher-low structure
US ISM Manufacturing Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session flushed to 1.1455 mid-afternoon then reversed hard, printing a HH/HL chain up to 1.1537 as USD softness resumed. Price now consolidates 1.1526–1.1537 into the late NY close, RSI(14) mid-range with momentum easing.
Support: 1.1526, 1.1512, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1537 opens continuation of the recovery
Loss of 1.1526 range low signals the consolidation rolling over
Higher lows off the flush, capped at session high.
NY session flushed to 1.1455 then fully recovered, printing a session high at 1.1537 before easing back to 1.1531. Price holds above the pullback low near 1.1527 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally; recovery HL chain intact for now.
Support: 1.15265, 1.1500, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1537 session high extends the recovery leg
Loss of 1.1527 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
US ISM Manufacturing (Aug 3, 14:00 UTC) could shift the read
Higher lows since 1.1455 flush, consolidating below session high.
NY session saw a sharp sweep down to 1.1455 mid-afternoon before an equally sharp recovery, price now consolidating near the session high 1.1537 with RSI(14) mid-range. The rally reflects broad USD softness post-FOMC; a chain of higher lows off 1.1524 remains intact.
Support: 1.15241, 1.15085, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.15355
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15241 breaks the rising higher-low chain
Break above 1.15370 opens continuation of the recovery
ISM Manufacturing Mon 14:00 UTC could reset USD tone
Higher highs off 1.1455 flush, consolidating near highs.
NY session flushed sharply to 1.1455 then V-recovered through 1.1537, with buyers stepping in on the rebound as USD reclaimed 100.00 on a yield bounce. Price now consolidating near the session high around 1.1533, RSI(14) cooling off the push.
Support: 1.1524, 1.1508, 1.1465
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15370 session high opens further upside
Loss of 1.15240 swing low points back toward 1.15080 prior swing
ISM/NFP week ahead is the dominant swing risk for this pair
NY session swept a spike low at 1.14706 then rallied cleanly to a session high of 1.1537 before easing back to 1.15269, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Price holds above EMA20/50 with the 1.15165 swing low intact; move is stalling near the highs into the late session.
Support: 1.15165, 1.1503, 1.14706
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1537 opens continuation of the intraday advance
Failure to hold 1.15165 confirms a lower-low and stalls the recovery
US ISM/NFP week ahead is the dominant swing risk for this pair
NY session swept to 1.1455 then V-recovered above 1.1530; session high 1.15370 was rejected and price is now pulling back toward 1.15260. EUR stays underpinned by the soft post-Fed USD, but the recovery leg's momentum is cooling with RSI(14) back near 58.
Support: 1.15261, 1.1513, 1.15043
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15130 breaks the rising higher-low structure
Close above 1.15370 reopens continuation on the NY recovery leg
Monday ISM Manufacturing and NFP week are the dominant swing risks for the next sessions
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 59 · price 1.15286
Higher highs / higher lows after sweep recovery.
NY session printed a sharp spike down to 1.14648 mid-window (a sweep) that was fully recovered within the hour, and price has since ground up in a clean HH/HL chain to the session high at 1.15370. Now consolidating at 1.15286 on fading late-session volume, RSI mid-range near 59.
Support: 1.15125, 1.1500, 1.14648
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15125 breaks the rising higher-low structure
Reclaim of 1.15370 opens the path back toward the day's highs
US ISM Manufacturing (Mon 14:00 UTC) could reset this intraday read
V-recovery off session low, consolidating below session high.
NY session swept the session low with a sharp spike to 1.1455 midday, then V-recovered to print a session high at 1.1537; price now consolidating around 1.1527 as RSI cools from the rally. The rebound tracks a DXY bounce off its six-week low near 99.85 back above 100.00.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1500, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.1550
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1537 reopens the path toward 1.1550
Failure to hold 1.1513 breaks the recovery structure back toward 1.1500
18:16 UTC
Recovery uptrend after flush · RSI 61 · price 1.1527
Higher lows post-spike, near session high.
NY open flushed EUR/USD to 1.1455 on the USD safe-haven bounce before a full V-recovery back to the session high at 1.1537. Price now consolidating around 1.1527 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally; the 1.1500 psych level held on the pullback and higher lows are intact.
Support: 1.1512, 1.1500, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1500 psych negates the recovery read
Failure to hold 1.1512 swing low confirms a lower-low
US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3, 14:00 UTC) could reset this read
18:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend after V-recovery · RSI 69 · price 1.15332
Higher highs / higher lows off the low.
NY session staged a sharp recovery after a sweep of lows to 1.1455 during the London-NY transition, with EUR/USD grinding back to the session high at 1.1537 as the dollar bounced off a six-week low. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) hot near 69 but not extreme.
Support: 1.1522, 1.15085, 1.14648
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1537 session high opens continuation
Failure to hold 1.1522 prior pivot signals a lower-low
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, V-recovery from NY flush · RSI 70 · price 1.15342
Higher highs, price at session high.
NY session flushed to 1.1455 around the open then reversed sharply, with buyers reclaiming the entire move to print a session high at 1.15356. EUR stayed firm on the sticky core HICP beat and a soft-USD backdrop; RSI(14) near 70 and price extended above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15125, 1.1500, 1.14648
Resistance: 1.15356
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15356 opens continuation of the recovery
Loss of 1.15125 breaks the rising support from the NY low
US ISM Manufacturing (Mon 14:00 UTC) could shift the USD-driven read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, recovery off lows · RSI 69 · price 1.15342
V-reversal after sweep, higher highs into session highs.
NY session flushed to 1.14550 around 13:30 UTC then reversed hard, reclaiming the entire range back to session highs at 1.15356 as the post-Fed dollar stayed heavy. Price stalling at 1.15342 into late NY with RSI(14) elevated near 69 — area to watch for rejection or break of the session high.
Support: 1.1517, 1.1503, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15356
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15356 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold the 1.15170 retest risks a return toward 1.15030
Loss of the 1.14550 sweep low invalidates the recovery read
NY session saw a sharp ~45-pip flush into 1.1455 that was fully reclaimed within the hour, with price grinding steadily back toward the 1.1535 range high on post-Fed dollar softness. RSI(14) near 65, price holding above EMA20/50 as the recovery extends into the session close.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1500, 1.14706
Resistance: 1.15351
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15351 opens path back toward the prior session range
Failure to hold 1.15130 marks a lower-low and stalls the recovery
US ISM Manufacturing (Mon) could materially shift the dollar tone
17:31 UTC
Recovering, momentum up · RSI 64 · price 1.15294
V-recovery off flash low, higher lows into NY.
A flash spike down to 1.14550 during NY hours swept the lows before a sharp V-recovery back toward the session high at 1.15353. Price is grinding higher lows into the NY afternoon with RSI(14) in the low-60s; 1.15000 held as psych support on the way back up.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14706, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15353, 1.1545
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15353 opens the path back to 1.15450
Failure to hold 1.15000 reopens the 1.14706 spike-close area
Friday-close weekend gap risk; ISM Manufacturing Mon could reset the read
NY session flushed to 1.1455 then reversed hard, price now back at 1.15219 on a chain of higher lows after the Eurozone core HICP beat kept EUR firm. Rally is pressing session-high resistance at 1.1525 with RSI(14) in the low-60s, room before overbought.
Support: 1.1512, 1.1500, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1525, 1.1535
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1525 opens the path to 1.1535
Loss of 1.1500 psych would stall the recovery leg
US ISM Manufacturing Mon could shift the USD tone
17:17 UTC
Recovery uptrend off the flush low · RSI 62 · price 1.15219
Higher lows reclaiming pre-flush range.
NY session saw a sharp flush to 1.1455 mid-session that was fully recovered within hours, with price back above 1.1520 and probing the 1.15258 session high. Buyers reclaimed the pre-flush 1.1500 area repeatedly through the London-NY transition; the flush low now reads as a sweep rather than a directional break.
Support: 1.1512, 1.1500, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15258, 1.15351
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15258 opens the path to 1.15351
Failure to hold 1.1500 reopens the 1.1455 flush low
Thin late-NY / month-end liquidity can distort late bars into the close
Early NY hours saw a sharp flush to 1.1455, sweeping the day's lows before a full V-recovery back through the 1.15178 pivot. Price now sits at 1.15219 with RSI(14) around 61; higher lows have built since the 1.14648 base.
Support: 1.15178, 1.1500, 1.14706
Resistance: 1.15295, 1.15352
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.15178 pivot keeps the recovery intact
Reclaim of 1.15295 session high opens the path to 1.15352
Failure back below 1.15000 round number undoes the recovery
17:02 UTC
Recovering, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 1.15173
V-recovery off flush, higher lows into range.
NY session saw a sharp flush to 1.1455 (suspected BoJ intervention dragging the dollar complex), immediately reversed in a V-recovery back to the session high at 1.15188. Price now consolidating tight between 1.15085 and 1.15188 with RSI cooling, both EMAs reclaimed.
Support: 1.15085, 1.15011, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15188, 1.15245
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15188 opens the path to 1.15245
Failure to hold 1.15085 range low exposes 1.15011
Thin liquidity into the weekend can distort late-Friday moves
Higher lows off flush low, retesting session high.
A sharp NY-session flush to 1.14550 was swept and fully reclaimed, with price grinding back through a chain of higher lows to retest the session high at 1.15188. RSI(14) near 58 as the recovery leg flattens just under resistance; the wide ATR reflects that flush candle still in the window.
Support: 1.1503, 1.1484, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15188, 1.15258, 1.15353
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15188 opens path toward 1.15258
Loss of 1.15030 signals a lower low back toward the 1.14550 flush low
US ISM Manufacturing (Mon) could reset the dollar tone driving this pair
16:46 UTC
Recovered from washout, ranging near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.15149
V-recovery, consolidating below session high.
NY session printed a sharp sweep down to 1.1455 before a full V-recovery back to 1.15188. Price now ranging around 1.1515 into the session close, RSI(14) mid-range after cooling from the recovery push; ATR remains elevated from the flash move.
Support: 1.1503, 1.1484, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15188, 1.15258, 1.1535
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15188 opens the path toward 1.15258
Loss of 1.15030 exposes the 1.14840 pre-spike shelf
ISM Manufacturing (Mon) could reset this range read
16:46 UTC
Recovering after sharp flush · RSI 54 · price 1.15127
V-recovery off sweep low, consolidating near top.
NY session flushed sharply to 1.1455 — a sweep well below the round number — then fully recovered back to the session high at 1.1518 as the post-FOMC USD softness reasserted. Price now consolidating just under 1.1518 with RSI(14) back near neutral; range top capping.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14706, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1518, 1.1535
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15180 opens the path back toward 1.15350
Failure to hold 1.15000 reopens the 1.14706 spike low
ISM Manufacturing Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
V-recovery off swept lows, rising lows into session highs.
NY session flushed hard to 1.1455 in a single bar then reversed — a false break of the lows swept before a V-recovery back to 1.15127, underpinned by USD softness post-Fed. Price now presses the session high at 1.15188 with RSI(14) around 60, ATR at ~14 pips.
Support: 1.14988, 1.1465, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15188, 1.1525
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.14988 breaks the recovery support and reopens the swept lows
A close above 1.15188 clears the session high toward 1.15250
ISM Manufacturing Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since flush, capped under session high.
NY session flushed to a spike low at 1.1455 (~46-pip candle on the USD-weakness tape) then fully recovered, tracing a chain of higher lows back toward the round number. Price now consolidates ~1.1513 just under the session high at 1.1518, RSI(14) mid-range near 59.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14648, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15188, 1.1525
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15188 extends the recovery toward 1.1525
Loss of 1.1500 round number reopens the swing low at 1.14648
US ISM Manufacturing Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD tone
16:17 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 60 · price 1.15163
V-recovery, higher lows into NY.
NY session flushed to 1.1455 in a single-bar sweep before a sharp V-recovery reclaimed the 1.1500 round number and pushed back to 1.15188, aided by broad USD softness post-Fed. Price is now grinding higher lows with RSI(14) near 60, off the earlier washout.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14648, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15188, 1.15305
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.15000 reopens the 1.14550 spike low
Break above 1.15188 session high opens the path to 1.15305
ISM Manufacturing Mon 14:00 UTC could reshape the USD tone
NY session flushed to 1.1455 on a fast spike then V-recovered ~60 pips, reclaiming the 1.1500 round number and printing higher highs into the 1.15188 session high — a classic sweep-and-reverse. USD remains soft post-FOMC while sticky EZ core HICP underpins EUR; RSI(14) near 60 after the bounce.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14706, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15188, 1.15305
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15188 session high extends the recovery toward 1.15305 prior high
Loss of the 1.15000 round number reopens the 1.14706 recovery low
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this read
16:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 62 · price 1.15174
V-recovery after downside sweep.
NY session saw a sharp sweep down to 1.1455 mid-afternoon on a USD bounce, fully reversed in a V-recovery back to the session high near 1.1518. RSI(14) has climbed back to ~62 with price reclaiming both EMAs; buyers stepped in repeatedly through the 1.1465–1.1497 recovery leg.
Support: 1.1503, 1.1465, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1518, 1.15258, 1.1535
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15180 opens the path toward 1.15258 then 1.15350
Failure to hold 1.15030 puts the recovery low back in play
DXY 100.00 pivot — a break below keeps pressure on the pair's floor
16:01 UTC
Recovering after downside sweep · RSI 61 · price 1.15173
V-recovery off 1.1455 spike low, back at session high.
NY session printed a violent spike down to 1.1455 then a full V-recovery back to the session high at 1.15183, tape driven by post-Fed USD softness. RSI(14) around 61 as buyers stepped in repeatedly off the 1.1465 area; ATR is elevated (~125 pips) on the back of that spike so ranges are wide.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14648, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15183, 1.1525
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15183 opens the path toward 1.1525
Failure to hold 1.1500 reopens the spike-low zone near 1.1455
DXY 100.00 pivot remains the driver behind this recovery
15:46 UTC
Recovering after flush, near session mid · RSI 55 · price 1.15042
V-recovery off a swept low; retracing back into prior range.
NY session flushed to 1.1455 in a single spike near the open, then fully V-recovered to 1.1504 as the USD bounce faded. Price is now pressing the recovery high at 1.15076 with RSI(14) back to neutral; the earlier sweep low sits untested below.
Support: 1.14969, 1.14648, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15076, 1.15218, 1.15353
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15076 opens the path back to 1.15218
Failure to hold 1.14969 exposes a retest of the 1.14550 sweep low
Recovery stalls if the rising support line off 1.14648 breaks
15:31 UTC
Sharp sell-off, full recovery · RSI 54 · price 1.15042
V-shaped reclaim after spike low.
A sharp NY-session flush swept the range to 1.1455 before a full V-reclaim back to 1.1504, unwinding the spike within an hour. Price now balancing just under session high 1.15076 with RSI(14) back to neutral ~54; broader move remains a dollar-led drift lower off 1.153.
Support: 1.14969, 1.14811, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15076, 1.15216
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15076 reopens the path toward prior high 1.15216
Loss of 1.14969 session low reasserts the downside and risks a retest of the 1.1455 spike low
US ISM Manufacturing Mon 14:00 UTC could materially shift the dollar leg
NY open triggered a sharp flush to 1.14550, sweeping session lows before a rejection wick and V-recovery back above the 1.1500 psych level, RSI(14) climbing off oversold. Move fits the choppy USD bounce on Mid-East risk against a dovish post-FOMC dollar; price now testing session high at 1.15070.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1465, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1507, 1.1516
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15070 session high opens the path to 1.15160 prior swing
Failure to hold 1.1500 psych re-exposes the 1.14650 flush base
A revisit of 1.14550 sweep low would confirm sellers back in control
15:16 UTC
Flush then V-recovery, momentum turning up · RSI 56 · price 1.15025
Sweep of session lows, full retrace back into prior range.
NY session flushed sharply to 1.1455 around 13:30 UTC then fully recovered back to 1.1503, leaving the down-spike as a false break. RSI(14) has swung back to the mid-50s from oversold as buyers stepped in twice near 1.1465.
Support: 1.1489, 1.1462, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15071, 1.1520
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.15071 session high opens the path back toward 1.15200
Loss of the 1.14890 recovery low reopens the 1.14550 spike low
US ISM Manufacturing (Mon) is the next dollar-side driver for this pair
Sweep of session low then full recovery to balance point.
NY session flushed hard to 1.14550, sweeping the session low, then reversed in a full V-recovery back to 1.15059 into the last few bars. RSI(14) has climbed off oversold to the mid-50s; price now sits at the balance point around 1.1517 the digest flags, still under prior highs.
Support: 1.1484, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.15353
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15200 needed to confirm the recovery extends toward the session high at 1.15353
M15 close back below 1.14840 reopens the sweep low at 1.14550
US ISM Manufacturing (Mon) could shift the dollar leg and this read
Spike low swept then reclaimed, back inside range.
NY session drove a sharp flush that swept 1.1455 before buyers snapped price back above 1.1500, with USD in a post-FOMC squeeze around DXY 100.00. The spike low was rejected quickly, and price is now retesting the 1.15165 prior high from below.
Support: 1.14664, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15165, 1.15216, 1.15351
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15216 negates the downtrend read and opens the 1.15351 session high
Failure to hold 1.14664 re-exposes the 1.1455 sweep low
US ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
Lower lows into a spike low, corrective recovery underway.
NY session saw a violent flush that swept to 1.1455 before snapping back, price now recovering to 1.14929 and pressing the 1.15001 pre-drop shelf. RSI(14) lifting off oversold as the sweep low holds; broader structure still a downtrend with lower lows.
Support: 1.14648, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.15001, 1.1517
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15001 pre-drop shelf opens the path back to the 1.1517 pivot
Loss of the 1.14648 swing low reopens the 1.1455 spike low
US ISM Manufacturing (Mon 14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Range break below 1.1500, bouncing off session low.
EURUSD held a 1.1500–1.1535 range through Asia and London, then broke down hard into the NY session with a single M15 candle spiking to 1.1455 as the dollar drew a safe-haven bid. Price has since recovered to 1.1480; RSI(14) lifting off the flush near 40, but price stays below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14648, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.14915, 1.1500, 1.1517
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15000 needed to negate the range break lower
Failure to hold 1.14550 session low confirms a lower low
Range broken to downside, low swept, buyers reclaiming.
EUR chopped in a 1.1500-1.1535 range for most of the window before a violent NY-session breakdown drove it ~50 pips to sweep 1.14550, despite the firm core HICP print — the soft-USD backdrop failed to hold the bid. Buyers reclaimed off the low back to 1.14801, RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 34.
Support: 1.14648, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.14915, 1.15001
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14915 pre-drop hi negates the breakdown read
M15 close below 1.14550 swing low confirms a lower low
Failure at 1.14648 session low keeps downside pressure in play
Lower highs, lower lows; range break to the downside.
EURUSD flushed sharply during NY hours, a single bar breaking from ~1.1500 down to a 1.1455 spike low on the Mid-East safe-haven USD bid, before recovering to 1.14798. RSI(14) is lifting off the lows near 40 and price is holding above the session low; 1.14915 caps the bounce.
Support: 1.14648, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.14915, 1.15001
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14915 swing high would neutralise the downside break
Loss of 1.14648 session low reopens the 1.14550 spike low
US ISM Manufacturing (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next major USD catalyst
NY session cracked below the 1.1500 psych level with a sharp drop to a spike low of 1.1455, then snapped back to 1.14753 as buyers stepped in on the wick. USD firmed on the Friday short-covering bounce; the break unwound the prior 1.1500-1.1535 range.
Support: 1.14648, 1.1455
Resistance: 1.14874, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15000 would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.14648 session low opens a retest of the 1.1455 spike low
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Price held a 1.1490–1.1535 range for most of the window, then broke hard lower into the NY afternoon as the USD firmed on the ECI beat and UoM data, slicing through 1.1500 to a 1.14550 session low. RSI(14) near 29 after the flush; price now consolidating just above the low around 1.1465.
Support: 1.1455, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.15000 round number invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.14550 session low opens continuation lower
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reshape USD leg
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, sharp impulsive leg · RSI 27 · price 1.14646
Range break lower, fresh session low.
EURUSD held a tight 1.1500-1.1525 range through Asia and early London before an aggressive NY-session breakdown drove it ~46 pips lower, sweeping the day's range floor to 1.1455 on a USD short-covering bid around the UoM read. Price bounced modestly to 1.1465 with RSI(14) deeply oversold; the 1.1500 shelf that broke is now the nearest overhead pivot.
Support: 1.1455, 1.1450
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.15001, 1.1500
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1455 confirms a lower-low and extends the breakdown
Reclaim of 1.15001 negates the range-break read
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations release could add fresh USD-driven volatility
NY session broke down through the 1.1500 psych level on a USD short-covering bounce, spiking to a session low of 1.1455 before recovering to 1.14689. The prior 1.1500-1.1535 range flipped to resistance, with 1.15034 the last defended shelf; RSI(14) near 31 after the impulsive leg.
Support: 1.1455, 1.14666
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15034
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.1500 psych level would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold the 1.1455 spike low opens further downside
UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could extend the USD move
13:46 UTC
Sharp breakdown, momentum down · RSI 27 · price 1.14689
Range failure, fresh lower lows.
Price chopped in a 1.1500–1.1530 range through the Asia/London session then flushed hard in the NY session, a single bar spiking down to 1.1455 as the USD short-covering bounce pressed EUR lower. RSI(14) near 27, closing 1.14689 just off the lows with the 1.1500 pivot now overhead resistance.
Support: 1.1455, 1.14666
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15216
What it said to watch
US UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could extend or reverse this leg
Reclaim of 1.1500 pivot would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.1455 spike low confirms continuation lower
EUR/USD drifted lower through the NY session as the dollar reclaimed 100.00 off its six-week low, tagging a session low at 1.14811 before a sharp recovery bar swept back to test 1.15000. RSI(14) has lifted back toward the midline from the lows; the 1.15000 round number caps the bounce for now.
Support: 1.1484, 1.14811
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15034, 1.1513
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15034 bounce high reopens the path to 1.15130
Failure to hold 1.14811 session low confirms a fresh lower low
EUR/USD slid through the London-NY transition, tagging a session low of 1.14811 near 12:00 UTC as DXY bounced off its six-week low; a sharp recovery candle pushed price back to the 1.1500 pivot. RSI(14) is climbing off its lows near 44, and price stalled just under 1.1500 into the current bar.
Support: 1.14811, 1.1484
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15216
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15000 psych re-opens the 1.15216 swing high
Failure to hold 1.14811 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
Chicago PMI and UoM prints in the next hour could shift this read
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1526 swing high down to a 1.14811 session low as the dollar bounced off its six-week low and reclaimed 100.00 on firmer oil. RSI(14) near 37 after the drop; a shallow bounce is testing back toward 1.14915.
Support: 1.14811, 1.1480
Resistance: 1.14915, 1.1500, 1.15258
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.14915 eases the immediate downside pressure
Loss of 1.14811 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.14800
US Chicago PMI / UoM prints could reprice the dollar leg
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, lower lows · RSI 31 · price 1.14854
Steady NY decline, HH chain broken.
EUR faded steadily through the NY session from the 1.1537 high, printing a chain of lower lows into 1.14811 as the dollar bounced off six-week lows on Iran-driven risk-off and the 100-day SMA cap. Price is below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 30; last bars are grinding sideways just above the session low, no relief bounce yet.
Support: 1.14811, 1.14695
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15165
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14811 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.14695
Reclaim of 1.15000 psych level negates the intraday downtrend read
US UoM sentiment / inflation expectations could shift dollar bid in next bars
EUR peeled off six-week highs at 1.15367 through the session, and the last two hours saw an accelerating slide under 1.15000 to a session low at 1.14811 as the dollar clawed back above 100.00. RSI(14) near 30 flags short-term oversold, but no basing yet — each bounce is being sold into.
Support: 1.14811, 1.1475
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15216, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14811 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15000 would neutralise the intraday decline
US Chicago PMI (~13:45 UTC) and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations (~14:00 UTC) due within the hour — could shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the London session, breaking the 1.1500 psych level as the dollar rebounded above 100.00 on the safe-haven bid. Steady chain of lower highs and lower lows leaves price at 1.14833 pressing the session low near 1.1481, RSI(14) around 26.
Support: 1.1481, 1.1450, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.1516, 1.1535
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1500 psych would neuter the downside pressure
Loss of the 1.1481 session low opens 1.1450
US UoM / ECI at 14:00 UTC could shift dollar direction and this read
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 31 · price 1.14833
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
EURUSD broke down through the 1.15000 round number and has trended lower through the NY window, printing fresh session lows near 1.14811 with RSI(14) around 31. The slide tracks the USD safe-haven bounce back above DXY 100.00; supply capped every bounce beneath the descending lower-highs line.
Support: 1.14811, 1.14691
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15088
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15000 would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of 1.14811 session low confirms continuation toward 1.14691 swing low
US UoM sentiment / Chicago PMI 13:45-14:00 UTC could shift dollar direction
EURUSD sold off through the London-NY transition, breaking under 1.15000 psych level and printing a fresh session low at 1.14811 as the USD short-covering bid firmed. RSI(14) near 28 shows momentum stretched to the downside; price sits below both EMAs with no sign of a base yet.
Support: 1.14811, 1.14691, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.1510
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15000 psych would neutralise the breakdown
US ECI 12:30 GMT / Chicago PMI / UoM later could sharply shift this read
Failure to hold 1.14811 opens 1.14700 round then 1.14691 prior low
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 16 · price 1.14831
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 1.15000 psych level as DXY rebounded above 100 on a safe-haven bid, printing a fresh low at 1.14831. The decline is one-directional with RSI(14) deeply oversold near 16, and price is well below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1474, 1.14691
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.1510, 1.15216
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15000 psych would ease the downside pressure
EUR/USD peaked at 1.15367 in early trade then bled lower all session, breaking the 1.1500 psych level and printing fresh session lows at 1.14831 with RSI(14) near 30. Move fits the DXY short-covering bounce back above 100.00 on Mid-East safe-haven flows.
Support: 1.1474, 1.1469
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.1513, 1.15258
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15000 would neutralise the lower-low sequence
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 GMT could shift the read
Loss of 1.14740 extends the downtrend toward the asia low
11:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, sellers in control · RSI 34 · price 1.1490
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.1536 peak.
EUR/USD has slid steadily through the NY morning, breaking the 1.1500 psych level and printing fresh session lows at 1.1489 in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain from the 1.1536 peak. RSI(14) near 34, not yet extreme; ECI (12:30 UTC) and Chicago PMI are imminent USD catalysts.
Support: 1.14891, 1.14742
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15165, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1500 psych would stall the lower-low sequence
US ECI/Chicago PMI within the hour could sharply shift this read
Loss of 1.1489 session low extends the intraday decline toward 1.1474
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, fading off highs · RSI 33 · price 1.14912
Lower highs, lower lows off 1.15367.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.15367 session high and broke the 1.1500 psych level, now pressing session lows at 1.14912 as a Middle East risk-off USD bid lifts the Dollar. RSI(14) sub-33, momentum firmly down with a chain of lower highs since the early-window rally.
Support: 1.14912, 1.14647
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15258, 1.15367
What it said to watch
US ECI at 12:30 UTC (~1h) could shift this read
Loss of 1.14912 opens the path toward the 1.14647 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.1500 psych level would blunt the breakdown
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1537 session high in a clean chain of lower highs, breaking the 1.1500 psych pivot late London as the pair eased off six-week highs into modest risk-off. Price is pressing the 1.14969 session low with RSI(14) cooling near 35 — approaching oversold but not extreme.
Support: 1.14969, 1.1465
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15216, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14969 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.15000 needed to neutralise the downtrend read
US Chicago PMI / UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.15367 session high in a clean lower-high chain and has now broken the 1.1500 psych level to session lows near 1.1497, RSI(14) pressed into the low-30s. Sellers have capped every rebound below 1.1520 through the London session.
Support: 1.1497, 1.14655
Resistance: 1.1500, 1.15165, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 reclaim of 1.1500 would negate the fresh lower-low read
US ECI, Chicago PMI and UoM sentiment (12:30-14:00 UTC) could shift the tape
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, drift lower after early spike · RSI 41 · price 1.1503
Lower highs, testing 1.1500 psych.
EUR spiked to 1.1537 early in the window then bled steadily lower through Asia into the London session, printing lower highs and now pressing the 1.1500 psych level. In-line eurozone HICP gave no fresh EUR fuel while USD firmed on safe-haven demand; RSI(14) sits soft near 40 with price below both EMAs.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1490
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 opens the path toward 1.1490
Reclaim of 1.1520 needed to break the lower-high sequence
US Chicago PMI / UoM sentiment today could shift USD and this read
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.1503
Lower highs since 1.1536, 1.1500 holding.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.1536 during the London morning then bled lower in a descending channel back to the 1.1500 round number, which is holding into the current bar. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under EMA20/50 — momentum tilted lower but no capitulation through 1.1500.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485
Resistance: 1.1525, 1.1536
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1485
Reclaim of 1.1525 negates the descending channel read
US ECI, Chicago PMI and UoM sentiment later today could shift the tape
Lower highs off 1.15367 session high, testing 1.1500 pivot.
EUR/USD carved a session high at 1.15367 during the London session then bled lower in a chain of lower highs, now pressing the 1.1500 psych pivot into NY hours. RSI(14) around 37 as sellers keep capping bounces near 1.15165; the pair sits at fresh session lows with the 1.1500 round number the last shelf.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15165, 1.15258, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms a lower low and opens 1.14985
Reclaim of 1.15165 negates the intraday downtrend read
US ECI / Chicago PMI / UoM sentiment today could drive the broad USD and shift this read
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.1537 back to the 1.1500 pivot as the dollar found a safe-haven footing, with the pair now printing lower highs and sitting at session lows near 1.1504. Rejection capped the last bounce at 1.15258; price holds just above the 1.1500 psych level.
Support: 1.1503, 1.1500, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15165, 1.15258, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.14985 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15165 swing high negates the intraday fade
US Chicago PMI / UoM sentiment in coming hours could shift the USD leg
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into 1.1500 · RSI 40 · price 1.15035
Lower highs after double top, testing session low.
EUR/USD is grinding lower into the 1.1500 pivot after double-topping near 1.1535 during the European session, with the pair holding just above 1.1503 as the dollar stages a corrective bounce off six-week lows. RSI(14) is soft near 40 and price sits below both EMAs; the digest's 100-day SMA cap near 1.1510 is aligning with the drift.
Support: 1.1503, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15216, 1.15353
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 pivot confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15216 needed to negate the lower-high structure
US ECI (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, intraday fade from session high · RSI 42 · price 1.15047
Lower highs since 1.1536, testing 1.1500.
EURUSD rallied to a session high of 1.1536 early in the window then bled lower through the day, printing lower highs and now grinding into the 1.1500 psych level near six-week highs. The 1.15258 spike was rejected and price sits at the session low with RSI(14) in the low 40s.
Support: 1.1503, 1.1500, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15258, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low toward 1.14985 prior low
Reclaim of 1.15258 spike high needed to negate the downtrend
US ECI (12:30 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift USD and this read
09:31 UTC
Early rally, now consolidating lower · RSI 45 · price 1.15107
Range after impulsive leg up, fading from highs.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.15367 early in the window on the soft-USD / hot EZ core-HICP backdrop, then rolled into a range and faded. A spike back to 1.15258 was rejected and price now sits mid-range near 1.15107, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 45.
Support: 1.1504, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15258, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15258 reopens the path to the 1.15367 day high
Failure to hold 1.1504 exposes the 1.15000 psych level
US ECI / Chicago PMI / UoM (12:30-14:00 UTC) could shift this read
EURUSD faded from the London session high at 1.15367 through the day, bottoming at 1.15041 in the US session. The 09:00 UTC flash HICP spiked price to 1.15258 but the move was rejected back to 1.15160, leaving the pair mid-range and capped under the 100-day SMA cited in the digest.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15258, 1.15367
What it said to watch
A close above 1.15258 opens the path back to the 1.15367 session high
Loss of 1.15041 confirms a lower low
US ECI at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 53 · price 1.15164
Ranging 1.1504–1.1537 after faded impulse.
Flash HICP at 09:00 UTC spiked EURUSD to 1.15258 but the move was sold straight back to 1.15160, leaving the pair mid-range. Price has spent the London session boxed between the 1.15040 session low and the 1.15367 session high, with the 1.1510 pivot acting as a hinge.
Support: 1.1510, 1.1504
Resistance: 1.15258, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15258 opens a retest of the 1.15367 session high
Failure to hold 1.15040 confirms a lower low
US ECI 12:30 UTC could shift this range read
09:02 UTC
Range after spike fade, momentum flat · RSI 55 · price 1.15235
Spiked to session high then faded into range.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.15367 during the Jul 30 NY session on the soft US GDP/PCE-driven USD selloff, then faded and ranged 1.1505–1.1530. Last bar bounced off the 1.1504 session low into the London open, with the flash HICP print landing around 09:00 UTC; RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1530, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP released ~09:00 UTC could drive the next leg and shift this read
M15 close below 1.15041 confirms a lower-low out of the range
Reclaim of 1.15300 puts the 1.15367 session high back in play
EUR bounced off a 1.1504 double bottom into the flash HICP print, reclaiming the mid-range near 1.1524 with RSI(14) back above midline. Session capped below 1.1537; the last bar spiked to 1.1526 on the release then settled.
Support: 1.15041, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15258, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 invalidates the range read and opens the session high
Failure to hold 1.15041 confirms a lower low
US ECI/Michigan (12:30-14:00 GMT) could shift this read
08:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, pullback from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.15091
Lower highs, drifting toward 1.1500.
EUR faded from the session high at 1.15367 back toward 1.1500, capped under the 1.1510 barrier and 100-day SMA. A chain of lower highs into the current bar, with RSI(14) mid-40s and price below both EMAs; session low at 1.15041 is the near-term floor.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.15245, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~15 min) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms a lower low
Reclaim above 1.15200 breaks the lower-high sequence
EUR faded from the six-week high at 1.15367 set in yesterday's NY session and has ground lower, now pinned just under the 1.1510 100-day SMA cap with RSI(14) cooling near 42. Lower highs stack from 1.15367 to 1.15245 while 1.15040 has held on retests.
Support: 1.1504, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1510, 1.15245, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~15 min out) is the key catalyst that could shift this read
M15 close below 1.15040 confirms a lower low toward 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.1510 needed to challenge the 100-day SMA cap
08:32 UTC
Pulled off highs, rolling over · RSI 43 · price 1.15067
Rally, range, now lower highs into 1.1500.
EUR ran through the London session yesterday to a 1.15367 session high, then consolidated and has since rolled over into 1.1500 with a chain of lower highs. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 100-DMA cap near 1.1510 is now acting as resistance ahead of Eurozone flash HICP.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1510, 1.15245, 1.15367
What it said to watch
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~30 min) could materially shift this read
Close below 1.15000 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15100 100-dma needed to negate the fade
EUR ran to a session high of 1.15367 during yesterday's NY hours, then bled back to consolidate around the 1.1510 100-DMA cap. Lower highs since the peak with RSI(14) mid-range; flash HICP due shortly is the swing factor.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15245, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP in ~30 min could materially shift this read
Close below 1.15041 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15245 reopens the session high
08:16 UTC
Range after London spike, drifting lower · RSI 47 · price 1.15107
Ranging below session high, lower highs into NY.
EUR spiked to 1.15367 on the London session, then rolled into a 1.1504–1.1524 range as US-Iran risk-off capped upside near the 100-DMA. Price sits at 1.15107 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-range, with lower highs printing into the NY open.
Support: 1.1504, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15245, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~45m) — core vs 2.4% f/c can break this range
M15 close below 1.15040 confirms a lower low
M15 close above 1.15245 reopens the 1.15367 session high
EUR is grinding sideways between 1.1504 and the 1.15245 session high after yesterday's London-hours leg up toward the 1.15367 day high faded. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, a series of lower highs capping into the Eurozone flash HICP print.
Support: 1.1504, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15245, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~45m) could break the 1.1504–1.15245 range
M15 close below 1.1504 confirms a lower low toward 1.14985 prior low
Reclaim of 1.15245 session high needed to re-test the 1.15367 day high
EUR faded from the overnight six-week high at 1.15367 and is now consolidating near 1.1513 in the London session. Price is chopping in a 1.1504–1.1521 range with RSI(14) neutral; the 1.15040 shelf has been defended repeatedly.
Support: 1.1504, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15213, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~1h) is the key catalyst and could break this range
Close below 1.15040 opens the path toward 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.15213 range top puts the 1.15367 high back in play
08:01 UTC
Recovering after pullback from session high · RSI 53 · price 1.1518
Ranging below 1.1536 after fade from six-week high.
EUR spiked to a six-week high at 1.15367 on the strong Eurozone GDP and hot German CPI, then faded through the session to a 1.15041 swing low before buyers stepped in twice around that shelf. Price now ranges near 1.1518, capped by a descending series of lower highs off the peak.
Support: 1.15041, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.15304
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~1h) is the key catalyst and could break this range
M15 close below 1.15041 confirms a lower low toward the 1.14985 prior low
Reclaim of the 1.15367 session high reopens the June-17 high area
07:46 UTC
Faded from highs, stabilising · RSI 53 · price 1.1518
Consolidation above 1.1504 after Thursday spike.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1536 during Thursday's NY session on the Eurozone GDP beat and hot German CPI, then faded through the Asian session to a 1.1504 low. Price has since rounded higher into early London and is now consolidating around 1.1518, holding above EMA20 but capped by the 1.1521 recent high.
Support: 1.1504, 1.1460
Resistance: 1.1521, 1.1536
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the immediate catalyst and could break this consolidation either way
Close above 1.1521 reopens the 1.1536 session high
Loss of 1.1504 exposes the 1.1460 range shelf
07:46 UTC
Range after impulsive spike · RSI 50 · price 1.15136
Consolidating below faded session high.
EUR/USD spiked to a 1.15367 session high on the Eurozone GDP double-beat and hot German CPI, then faded and has spent the Asian session ranging 1.1504–1.1521. RSI(14) neutral near 50, price pinned around the 0.236 retracement of the up-leg with the session high untested since.
Support: 1.15044
Resistance: 1.15213, 1.15367
What it said to watch
German unemployment 07:55 UTC and Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC are the immediate catalysts and could break the range
M15 close above 1.15213 opens the path back toward the 1.15367 session high
Failure to hold the 1.15044 shelf confirms a lower low
07:31 UTC
Consolidating below session high · RSI 52 · price 1.15136
Range after NY spike, gradual drift lower then bounce.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.15367 during yesterday's NY session on soft US GDP/PCE, then drifted through Asia into a 1.1504–1.1521 range. London morning bounced off the 1.15041 session low back to 1.15136, RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15213, 1.15367
What it said to watch
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~1.5h) is the day's main catalyst and could break this range
M15 close above 1.15213 reopens the path to the 1.15367 session high
Failure to hold 1.15041 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1500
The NY-session rally into 1.15367 faded and price has ground sideways through Asia into the London session, holding a 1.1504–1.1521 range. Buyers stepped in at 1.15041 and the pair is now mid-range at 1.15163, coiling ahead of the EZ flash HICP print.
Support: 1.1504, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15213, 1.15367
What it said to watch
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~1.5h) is the main catalyst for this range
M15 close above 1.15213 reopens the 1.15367 range high
Failure to hold 1.15040 exposes 1.14985
07:16 UTC
Rally faded into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 1.15163
Ranging below session high after pullback.
EUR spiked to a six-week-high area near 1.15367 during yesterday's soft-US-GDP dollar selloff, then eased into consolidation. Buyers stepped in at the 1.15045 swing low and price recovered to 1.15163, ranging mid-band with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.15045, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15213, 1.15367
What it said to watch
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the day's catalyst and can break this consolidation
German unemployment at 07:55 UTC is imminent
M15 close below 1.15045 opens the 1.14985 prior support
Reclaim of 1.15213 needed to retest the 1.15367 session high
07:16 UTC
Pullback from highs, stabilising · RSI 53 · price 1.1517
Range after failed push to session high.
EUR eased off the 1.1536 six-week high and consolidated, carving a double low near 1.1504 during the London session before buyers stepped back in toward 1.1517. RSI(14) sits mid-range with ATR compressing; price is ranging 1.1504–1.1521 ahead of the EZ flash HICP print.
Support: 1.1504, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1521, 1.1536
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1521 reopens the 1.1536 session high
Loss of 1.1504 session low exposes the 1.1500 psych level
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could break the range
07:02 UTC
Up then faded, now recovering · RSI 55 · price 1.1517
Pullback off session high, consolidating.
EUR spiked to 1.1536 during NY hours yesterday on soft US GDP/PCE, then drifted lower through the quiet Asian session to a 1.1505 low. London has recovered price to 1.1517, back above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 55; the 1.1521 swing high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1460
Resistance: 1.1521, 1.1536
What it said to watch
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~2h) is the main catalyst and could shift this read
Close above 1.1521 opens the path back to the 1.1536 day high
Failure to hold 1.1505 exposes the 1.1460 prior support
07:01 UTC
Range after impulsive rally, drifting · RSI 49 · price 1.1517
Range 1.1504–1.1537, price mid-range.
EUR spiked to a 1.15367 session high early in the window on soft US GDP/PCE, then faded into a 1.1504–1.1537 range and now sits ~1.1517 mid-range with RSI neutral. Price holds above the 1.15000 psych level but the swing high at 1.15213 has capped the latest bounce.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15213, 1.15367
What it said to watch
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~2h) is the main catalyst and could break this range
German unemployment 07:55 UTC could add pre-HICP noise
M15 close below 1.15041 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15367 session high reopens the upside
EUR/USD is consolidating below the 1.15367 session high after yesterday's NY-hours rally on soft US GDP and cooling core PCE. Price drifted to 1.15041 then bounced, RSI(14) flat near 50; range-bound between 1.1504 and the highs into the London session.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15213, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could break the consolidation
German unemployment at 07:55 UTC is imminent
M15 close above 1.15367 reopens the upside; loss of 1.15041 sets a lower low
06:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 57 · price 1.15157
Consolidation below 6-week high after NY rally.
EUR/USD spiked to a 6-week high at 1.15367 during NY hours on strong Eurozone GDP and hot German CPI, then faded into a 1.1504-1.1537 consolidation. Price is now mid-range near 1.1516, RSI(14) neutral at 57; buyers stepped in twice around 1.1504 overnight, day high still capping.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1498, 1.1483
Resistance: 1.15213, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) could break this consolidation
German unemployment at 07:55 UTC ahead of it
Loss of 1.15041 session low opens 1.1498 swing low
Close above 1.15213 swing high reopens 1.15367 day high
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.15367 during NY hours yesterday as the dollar sold off on soft US GDP/PCE, then drifted back to 1.1504 overnight. Early London has bounced off that low toward 1.1521, holding a tight range with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.1504, 1.1487
Resistance: 1.1521, 1.1535, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1521 opens a retest of 1.1535 range top
Failure to hold 1.1504 confirms a lower low
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC and German unemployment at 07:55 UTC could shift this read
06:31 UTC
Range after rally, drifting lower · RSI 52 · price 1.15176
EURUSD is consolidating yesterday's GDP/CPI-driven push to a six-week high near 1.1537, drifting down to test 1.1504 twice where buyers stepped in. Price has recovered to 1.1518 into pre-London hours; RSI(14) back near neutral. Range between the 1.1504 session low and the 1.1521 swing high is the near-term structure.
Support: 1.1504, 1.1498
Resistance: 1.15213, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the key swing factor and can break this range
German unemployment at 07:55 UTC precedes the HICP print
M15 close above 1.15213 reopens the 1.1537 session high
Close below 1.15040 session low confirms a lower low
EUR rallied to 1.1537 during NY hours on soft US GDP/PCE and suspected BoJ intervention, then stalled at a triple top near 1.1535. The Asian session drifted lower to a 1.1504 session low before a bounce to the 1.1516 area; RSI(14) sits mid-range with ATR thin around 5 pips, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15165, 1.15352
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1535 triple top reopens the 1.1537 high
Loss of the 1.1504 session low confirms a lower low toward 1.1500 psych
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.15153
Consolidating below six-week high after rally.
EUR spiked to a six-week high at 1.1537 during NY hours yesterday on the soft US GDP/PCE prints, then drifted lower into the Asia session and is now consolidating near 1.1515. Lower highs stacking below 1.1520 while buyers defended the 1.1504 session low; RSI(14) mid-range at ~46.
Support: 1.1504, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.1537
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~3h) is the key catalyst that could break this consolidation
Loss of 1.1504 session low opens the path toward the 1.14985 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1520 swing high re-tests the 1.1537 spike high
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, grinding off the high · RSI 40 · price 1.1506
Lower highs since the 1.1537 peak, near session low.
EUR/USD ran to a 1.1537 day high during the NY session yesterday on the soft US GDP print, then rounded over into a steady drift lower through the Asian session, now pinned at the 1.1504 session low. RSI(14) sits near 40 and ATR is compressed at ~3.5 pips into the pre-London lull.
Support: 1.1504, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.1537
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (Core f/c 2.4%) is the key EUR catalyst in the next bars
M15 close below 1.1504 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1520 consolidation would break the sequence of lower highs
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, pullback from six-week high · RSI 41 · price 1.1506
Lower highs since 1.1537 peak, testing session low.
EUR spiked to a 1.1537 six-week high during NY hours on the soft US GDP/PCE prints, then drifted lower through the Asian session into a gentle downtrend, printing steady lower highs. Price now sits at 1.1506, probing the 1.1504 session low with RSI(14) subdued near 41.
Support: 1.1504, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.1537
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the biggest EUR catalyst — could reset this read
Loss of 1.1504 session low opens the 1.1500 round number
Reclaim of the 1.1520 prior high would break the chain of lower highs
EUR/USD spiked to a six-week high at 1.15367 during the prior NY session on strong Eurozone GDP/German CPI and broad USD weakness, but the Asian-into-London grind has bled it back to 1.15058, near session lows. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41; lower highs since the peak, buyers holding the 1.15041 area so far.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.1513, 1.1523, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~3h) is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.15130 needed to challenge the descending highs
Lower highs since 1.15367 peak, holding above 1.1500.
EUR/USD spiked to a six-week high at 1.15367 during NY hours yesterday on the double-beat Q2 GDP and hot German CPI, then drifted lower through the Asian session to 1.15041, holding just above 1.1500. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 40; ranging 1.1504-1.1516, no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.14985 base
Reclaim of 1.15160 needed to challenge the 1.15367 session high
05:31 UTC
Pullback lower after NY rally · RSI 41 · price 1.1506
Lower highs grinding off session high.
EUR spiked to a six-week-high zone at 1.1536 during NY hours on the GDP/German CPI beat, then drifted lower through the Asian range in a chain of lower highs. Price now sits at 1.1506, pinned just above the 1.1504 session low and below both EMAs ahead of the Eurozone flash HICP.
Support: 1.1504, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1518, 1.1536
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1504 confirms a lower low into the 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.1518 needed to challenge the descending lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~3.5h) is the decisive catalyst and could break this drift either way
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, fading NY spike · RSI 40 · price 1.1506
Lower highs after rounded top off 1.1536.
NY session spiked to 1.15367 on broad USD weakness and suspected BoJ intervention, but the move has since bled off in a slow grind lower, price now at 1.1506 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 40. Lower highs are printing under the 1.1531 plateau while the 1.1504 session base is being tested repeatedly.
Support: 1.1504, 1.1483
Resistance: 1.1531, 1.1536
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1504 opens the path toward 1.1483
Reclaim of 1.1531 negates the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could reshape this read
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower off NY high · RSI 41 · price 1.15055
Lower highs since 1.1537, testing session low.
EUR/USD is grinding lower through the Asian session after the NY-hours push to 1.1537, printing a chain of lower highs and now retesting the session low near 1.1504. RSI(14) sits sub-45 and price trades below EMA20/50, keeping the micro read heavy into the London open.
Support: 1.1504, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.1515, 1.1530
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15040 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.14985
Reclaim of 1.15150 breaks the descending lower highs
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~225 min) could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.15055
Lower highs since 1.15367 peak.
EUR pulled off the 1.15367 session high and has drifted lower through the Asia session, stringing together lower highs into 1.15055 with RSI(14) cooling near 41. Buyers held 1.15041 on the last dip; a shallow retrace of the earlier rally is in play.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15207, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15041 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15207 breaks the lower-high chain
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC and US ECI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.15067
Lower highs since 1.15367 peak.
EURUSD spiked to a six-week high 1.15367 during the NY session on broad USD weakness, then drifted lower through the Asian session in a chain of lower highs, now probing the 1.1500 psych level and holding just above the 38.2% retrace of the prior rally. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI near 40; momentum has cooled into the pullback.
Support: 1.15041, 1.1500, 1.14974
Resistance: 1.1524, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.15041 confirms a lower low toward the 38.2 fib at 1.14974
Reclaim of 1.15240 needed to stall the descending highs
05:01 UTC
Pulled back from six-week high, rolling over · RSI 37 · price 1.1506
Lower highs since 1.1537, range break lower.
EUR spiked to the six-week high 1.1537 during NY hours on broad USD weakness after soft US GDP and PCE. It has since rolled over; the Asian session broke below the 1.1520 prior range floor and is now testing the 1.1505 session low with RSI(14) sub-40.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1500, 1.1485
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1520 negates the range break lower
Loss of 1.1500 psych opens the path toward 1.1485 prior swing
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.1506
Lower highs, lower lows since NY spike.
EUR spiked to 1.1537 during NY hours on broad USD weakness after soft US GDP and cooler core PCE, then drifted lower through the Asian session making a chain of lower highs. Price now sits at 1.1506 session lows, RSI(14) soft near 38 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.1537
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (high impact) can break this grind either way
Loss of 1.1505 confirms a lower low toward 1.1499
Reclaim of 1.1520 needed to challenge the lower-highs sequence
04:46 UTC
Pulling back off highs, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 1.15097
Downtrend within pullback after six-week-high push.
EUR spiked to a session high 1.15367 during the NY leg on the broad USD sell-off (soft US GDP/PCE), then rolled over into a chain of lower highs and is now grinding lower through the Asian session near 1.1510. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling around 40; session low 1.15058 is the nearest floor.
Support: 1.15058, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1525, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15058 session low confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of the 1.15250 lower high negates the intraday downtrend
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (~4h) is HIGH impact and can reset this range
US ECI at 12:30 UTC could spark a USD squeeze and shift the read
04:31 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 1.15097
Lower highs off session high, testing session lows.
EUR spiked to a session high of 1.15367 during NY hours on broad USD weakness after the soft US GDP and cooler core PCE prints, then rolled over. Price consolidated 1.1520-1.1537 before breaking lower into Asia, now grinding near the session low around 1.1510 with RSI(14) cooling to ~41.
Support: 1.15058, 1.1500, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15207, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (Core f/c 2.4%) could reset this range
Close below 1.15058 confirms a lower-low, opens 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.15207 lower high negates the intraday downside drift
EUR ran to a 1.1537 session high during the London push, lifted by strong EZ Q2 GDP and hot German CPI against a soft USD, then faded into a series of lower highs and now grinds near 1.1510. RSI(14) has cooled into the low-40s with price back below EMA20/50; buyers stepped in around 1.1506 late in the window, keeping the session low intact.
Support: 1.15058, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.1523, 1.15351
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC (core f/c 2.4%) can materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.1500 opens the path toward 1.1485
Reclaim of 1.15230 needed to break the lower-high sequence
EURUSD spiked to a 1.15367 session high on soft US GDP/PCE and suspected BoJ-intervention Dollar weakness, then went sideways through the quiet Asia session. Price has since drifted lower to 1.1512, printing lower highs off 1.1537 and holding just above the 1.15058 session low; RSI(14) cooling near 42.
Support: 1.15058, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.15305, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15058 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1498 area
Reclaim of 1.15305 range top puts the 1.1537 session high back in play
German unemployment 07:55 UTC and Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD spiked to a six-week high at 1.15367 on the soft US GDP and cooler core PCE prints, then bled lower through the quiet Asia session in a chain of lower highs. Price broke below the 1.1520-1.1535 consolidation and sits at 1.15117, trading under EMA20/50 with RSI cooling near 40 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.15058, 1.1500, 1.14986
Resistance: 1.15207, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15058 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1500 round number
Reclaim of 1.15207 challenges the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rolled off session high, printing lower highs and lower lows.
EUR spiked to a session high of 1.15367 during the London-NY window on broad USD weakness after the soft US GDP and Core PCE prints, then rolled over into a steady grind lower. Price now sits at session lows near 1.15085, below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) around 37; 1.1517 is capping and 1.1506 is the level being tested.
Support: 1.15058, 1.1500, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.1517, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15170 pivot needed to stall the pullback
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
03:46 UTC
Pullback lower after NY rally · RSI 38 · price 1.15085
Lower highs off session high, testing session low.
EUR spiked to a session high 1.15367 during NY hours on the soft US GDP/PCE and USD-wide weakness, then drifted lower through the Asian session, printing lower highs and now probing the 1.15058 session low. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 38 — momentum has cooled from the rally.
Support: 1.15058, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1523, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Break below 1.15058 session low opens the 1.15000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.15230 swing high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Short-term pullback off session high · RSI 36 · price 1.15085
Lower highs, fading from range top.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1537 session high printed during yesterday's London-NY USD selloff, now drifting lower through Asia to 1.1508 on a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) soft near 36 and ATR(14) only ~5 pips in thin Asian trade; the 1.1506 session low is the immediate floor.
Support: 1.15058, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1506 session low opens the 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.1520 negates the lower-high chain
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could reset this intraday read
03:31 UTC
Pullback after NY rally · RSI 39 · price 1.15095
Lower highs, drift off 1.1537 high.
NY session drove EUR/USD to a six-week high at 1.1537 on the hot Eurozone Q2 GDP beat and broadly soft USD, then it stalled and rolled over through Asia to 1.1509. Price has broken below the 1.152-1.153 consolidation with RSI(14) cooling near 39; recent structure is a chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.15083, 1.1500, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.1524, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1500 psych confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15240 range top negates the pullback read
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could reset this read
Lower highs since the 1.1537 spike, probing session low.
EURUSD spiked to a session high of 1.1537 during NY hours on broad USD weakness after soft US GDP/PCE, then rolled over into a series of lower highs. Asia session is grinding lower, now retesting the 1.1508 session low with RSI(14) cooling near 38 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.15083, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.1530, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1508 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1500 round number
M15 close back above 1.1520 breakdown negates the downward drift
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could reset this read
03:16 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum easing · RSI 38 · price 1.15108
Lower highs off session high, drifting in Asian session.
EUR/USD spiked to a six-week high at 1.15367 during the NY session on broad USD weakness (soft US GDP/core PCE, suspected BoJ intervention), then drifted lower through the Asian session on thin volume. Price now sits at 1.15108 with RSI cooling toward 38 and a chain of lower highs; session low 1.15083 and the 1.1500 psych level are the near-term floors.
Support: 1.15083, 1.1500, 1.1498
Resistance: 1.15215, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15000 psych opens room toward 1.14980
Reclaim of 1.15215 needed to re-challenge the 1.15367 session high
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum fading · RSI 41 · price 1.15108
Rounded top rolling into lower highs.
EUR/USD spiked to a 1.15367 session high during yesterday's NY session on the soft US GDP/PCE prints and suspected JPY intervention, then rolled over into a rounded top. The Asian session is quiet and drifting lower to 1.1510, holding just above the 1.15083 session low with ATR compressed to ~6 pips and price back under EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.15083, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15083 session low opens the 1.15000 round number
Reclaim of 1.15200 prior range would negate the rounded top read
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Uptrend fading, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 1.15111
Lower highs off session peak, drifting into support.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high near 1.1537 during yesterday's US session as soft US GDP/PCE pressured the dollar, then twice stalled around 1.1535 forming a rough double top. Price has since bled lower through the Asian session to 1.1511, RSI(14) cooling near 40 with the session low at 1.1510 now being tested.
Support: 1.15096, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1523, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15096 confirms continuation of the pullback toward 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.15230 needed to re-engage the session high
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD surged to a six-week high near 1.1537 during the US GDP/PCE miss, then rounded over and slipped back through the 1.1520–1.1535 consolidation into Asia, now probing the session low at 1.1510. RSI(14) has cooled to the high-30s as price prints lower highs beneath EMA20.
Support: 1.15096, 1.1500, 1.1483
Resistance: 1.15207, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1500 round number confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15207 needed to negate the lower-highs read
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Pullback after NY rally · RSI 41 · price 1.1512
Consolidating below session high, drifting lower.
NY session drove EUR/USD to six-week highs at 1.1536 on soft US GDP/PCE and suspected BoJ intervention weighing on the dollar. Asian hours have bled that move lower to 1.1512, with lower highs capping under 1.1520 and 1.1510 holding so far.
Support: 1.1510, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.1536
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1510 opens the path to 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.1520 re-engages the 1.1536 session high
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Pullback after rally topped · RSI 41 · price 1.1512
Lower highs off 1.1537 session high.
EUR/USD spiked to a 1.1537 session high on the broad USD unwind — soft US GDP/Core PCE plus suspected BoJ intervention lifting the euro to six-week highs — then faded through a string of lower highs into Asia hours. Price now grinds at 1.1512, just above the 1.1510 session low with RSI(14) cooled to the low 40s.
Support: 1.15096, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.1525, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1510 session low confirms continuation of the intraday downtrend
Reclaim of 1.1525 intraday resistance neutralises the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.15135
Lower highs off 1.1537, drifting lower.
EUR/USD spiked to a six-week high near 1.1537 during NY hours on strong Eurozone GDP and soft US data, then rolled over into a series of lower highs. Thin Asian-session flow has price drifting toward 1.1510, RSI(14) sub-45, holding just above the 1.15096 session low.
Support: 1.15096, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15307, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15096 opens the path to the 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.15307 negates the lower-high sequence
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could reshape this read
02:16 UTC
Pullback off range top · RSI 41 · price 1.1514
Consolidation rolling over, lower highs.
EUR/USD spiked to a six-week high near 1.1537 during NY hours on broad USD weakness (soft US GDP, suspected JPY intervention), then consolidated overnight. Asia session is grinding lower off the range top, now pressing the session low near 1.1510 with RSI cooling to the low 40s.
Support: 1.15096, 1.1500, 1.14827
Resistance: 1.1524, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1483
Reclaim above 1.1524 puts the range top back in play
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 1.1514
Lower highs off session high, drifting into Asia.
NY session drove EURUSD to a session high at 1.15367 on broad USD softness (soft US GDP/Core PCE, suspected BoJ intervention), then rejected and consolidated. Price has since slipped below the ema20 near 1.1524 and is grinding lower in thin Asia trade toward the swing low at 1.1510, RSI cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 1.1510, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1524, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1510 swing low opens the 1.1500 round number
Reclaim of the ema20 near 1.1524 would revive the rally toward the session high
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Pulling back from session highs · RSI 38 · price 1.15106
Lower highs into Asia after NY rally.
NY session drove EUR/USD to a session high of 1.15367 on the broad USD slide (soft US GDP/PCE, suspected JPY intervention), then price consolidated 1.1520-1.1535 and has since bled lower into Asia hours, breaking the 1.1520 floor to print 1.15096. RSI(14) cooling near 37 as the pullback extends.
Support: 1.15096, 1.1500, 1.1498
Resistance: 1.1520, 1.15305, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15200 negates the downside range break
M15 close below 1.15000 opens a path to 1.14980
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session broke above 1.1500 into six-week highs near the 1.1535 session high, driven by soft US GDP/PCE and JPY-intervention-led USD selling. Asia session is now drifting lower, testing the 1.1513 recent low with RSI(14) cooling toward 40 and price back under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1502, 1.14985
Resistance: 1.1523, 1.15353, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15130 recent low opens the 1.15020 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15230 near-term resistance would re-engage the session high at 1.15353
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 38 · price 1.15135
Topped near 1.1535, lower highs forming.
EURUSD spiked to a session high at 1.15367 during the London-NY push on broad USD softness, then rolled over and consolidated below the 1.1535 range top. Price has drifted lower through the Asia session to the 1.1513 session low with RSI(14) cooling near 38; lower highs are stacking as the rally stalls.
Support: 1.15134, 1.15095, 1.15023
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15095 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.1535 range top reopens the 1.15367 session high
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC is a material risk to this read
Consolidation below session high, minor lower highs.
EUR/USD spiked to a six-week high at 1.15367 in the NY session on soft US GDP/PCE and suspected JPY-intervention USD selling, then stalled. Asia hours are drifting lower in a tight range, now 1.15172 back below EMA20/50 after repeated rejections around 1.1530.
Support: 1.15148, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15307, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15148 opens the path to the 1.1500 round number
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling after rally · RSI 42 · price 1.15172
Consolidating below session high.
NY session drove EUR/USD to a six-week high near 1.15367 on soft US GDP and cooler Core PCE; Asian session has drifted back to 1.1517, RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s. Price sits under EMA20/50 with 1.15148 marking the near-term swing low.
Support: 1.15148, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.1530, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15148 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of 1.15300 puts the 1.15367 session high back in play
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.15367 during the NY session on broad USD softness post-FOMC and soft US GDP, then rolled over and is drifting lower into the Asian session near 1.1517. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as price sits below EMA20; the 1.15148 session low is the near-term pivot with the 1.15367 high capping.
Support: 1.15148, 1.15095
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15148 confirms a lower low and opens the swing low at 1.15095
Reclaim of 1.15300 puts the 1.15367 session high back in play
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove EURUSD to a six-week high near 1.1537 on the soft US GDP/PCE dollar unwind, then price stalled and consolidated into the Asian hours. The 1.1535 range top capped repeatedly and price is now easing to test 1.1515 support with RSI(14) cooling toward 40.
Support: 1.15148, 1.1500, 1.14785
Resistance: 1.15352, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15148 opens the path toward 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.15352 needed to re-engage the session high
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.1518
EURUSD rallied through the NY session to a six-week high near 1.1537 on soft US data and firm EUR, then stalled and rolled into a thin Asia-session drift back to 1.1518. RSI(14) has cooled toward 42 with price now under the EMA20; recent structure shows lower highs off 1.1537 and a probe of the 1.1515 session low.
Support: 1.1515, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1524, 1.1537
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC is the next test — soft print carries downside asymmetry given priced-in ECB hike
Failure to hold 1.1515 opens the path toward the 1.1500 round number
Reclaim of 1.1524 ema20 and a push above 1.1537 session high revives the uptrend
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 41 · price 1.1518
Consolidating below session high after NY rally.
EUR/USD ran to a six-week high near 1.1537 during the NY session on strong Eurozone GDP and hot German CPI, then drifted through the quiet Asia session to 1.1518, RSI(14) cooling to ~41. Ranging between 1.1515 support and the 1.1530-1.1537 highs, no fresh setup in play.
Support: 1.1515, 1.1502, 1.1490
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.1530
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1515 opens the 1.1502 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1537 session high reopens the six-week-high probe
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD posted a six-week high near 1.1537 during the prior NY session after strong Eurozone Q2 GDP and hot German CPI, then stalled into a tight consolidation. Asia hours are slipping through lower highs, now pressing the 1.1515 session low with RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 1.1515, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1531, 1.1537
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1515 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1500
Close back above 1.1531 puts the 1.1537 swing high in play
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.15164
Consolidation off six-week high, edging lower.
EUR/USD spiked to a six-week high near 1.1536 during the NY session on strong Eurozone GDP and hot German CPI, then spent Asia hours consolidating the 1.1520–1.1536 range. Price is now slipping toward 1.1516 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s after repeated rejections at the range top.
Support: 1.1515, 1.1500, 1.1483
Resistance: 1.1530, 1.1536
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1500 psych confirms a lower-low off the high
Close back above 1.1536 resumes the rally
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove EUR to a six-week high near 1.1537 after soft US GDP and cooler PCE pressured the dollar; since then price has consolidated 1.1518-1.1535 through thin Asia hours. Price now sits in the lower half of that range with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.15184, 1.15095, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.15352, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP 09:00 UTC is a HIGH-impact risk that could break this range
M15 close below 1.15184 opens the path toward 1.1510
EUR/USD spiked to a six-week high at 1.15367 during yesterday's NY hours as soft US GDP/PCE pressed the dollar, then settled into a 1.1513-1.1537 range. Thin Asia-session trade has price drifting to the lower end near 1.1522 with RSI(14) mid-40s; range floor still holding.
Support: 1.1513, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.15305, 1.15367
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the near-term catalyst and could break this range
M15 close below 1.15130 opens the 1.15020 swing low
Reclaim of 1.15305 puts the 1.15367 session high back in play
NY session drove EUR/USD to a six-week high at 1.15367 on soft US GDP/PCE and a firm EUR data slate; Asian hours have since drifted into a tight 1.1520–1.1530 consolidation. Price sits below EMA20 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s, no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.1530
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC is the near-term catalyst and can break this range
M15 close above 1.15367 reopens the highs; loss of 1.15200 session low exposes 1.1500 psych
EURUSD broke through 1.1500 into the NY session and spiked to a 1.15367 session high on the soft-US-data / firm-EUR mix. Asia hours have gone quiet, consolidating 1.1520–1.1530 and drifting to 1.15225, now slipping under EMA20 while holding above EMA50.
Support: 1.1520, 1.15095, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15367, 1.15305
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1509 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation floor
Reclaim of 1.15367 session high needed to extend the breakout
EURUSD ripped through 1.1500 into the NY session, tagging a 1.15367 six-week high on the soft-USD / firm-EUR mix, then stalled. Asia has since drifted the pair back to the 1.15200 range base, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s; the 50% retrace of the impulse (~1.1501) held earlier.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1512, 1.15028
Resistance: 1.15305, 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 reopens the extension path
Loss of 1.15200 on a close exposes 1.15120
US ECI at 12:30 UTC later today could shift the USD tone
EURUSD spiked to a fresh six-week high at 1.15367 during NY hours on post-Fed USD softness, then rolled into a tight Asia-session range around 1.1525. Price is coiling between 1.1520 and 1.1537 with RSI(14) back to neutral and momentum flat.
Support: 1.1520, 1.15095, 1.14827
Resistance: 1.15367
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15367 reopens the path to fresh multi-week highs
Loss of 1.15200 range low exposes 1.15095 swing low
EZ flash HICP at 09:00 UTC could break this consolidation