GBP/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 20 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Sideways after NY rally, momentum faded · RSI 42 · price 1.33731
Post-spike range 1.3365–1.3385, Asia coiling mid-range.
The UK jobs beat lifted cable through the Asian range at the London open, and soft USD on US-Iran deal reports carried NY to a 1.3409 day high, where price was rejected. It has since ranged between the 1.3365 swing low and the 1.3385 range top, and early Asia is coiling near the session low at 1.3370, around the 50% fib of the NY leg, on a 3–4 pip ATR.
Support: 1.3370, 1.3365
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
UK CPI at 06:00 UTC (f/c 3.4% YoY) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 1.3365 swing low exposes the 61.8% fib and breaks the range
M15 close above the 1.3385 range top reopens 1.3400 psych and the 1.3409 day high
Loss of the 1.3370 session low puts the 1.3365 swing low in play
Tight Asian range below late NY high, holding 50% retrace.
Cable gapped higher on the UK jobs beat at the London open, then ran to a 1.3409 session high during NY hours as soft US housing data and Iran-deal headlines weighed on USD. It has since retraced to the 50% fib near 1.3373 and is idling in a 1.3370–1.3381 Asian range below the late NY high at 1.3385. RSI(14) sits near 42 with price just under both EMAs.
Support: 1.3365, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3409
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3365 swing low, which aligns with the 61.8% fib, exposes the 1.3336 london low
M15 close above the 1.3385 late ny high puts the 1.3409 session high and the 1.3400 psych level back in play
UK CPI at 06:00 UTC (f/c 3.4% YoY, core 2.7%) could materially shift this read; a soft print risks a deeper unwind of the jobs-data rally
Lower high under 1.3409 day high, Asia drifting at 50% retrace.
The UK jobs beat at London open and USD selling into NY lifted cable from the 1.3336 swing low to a 1.3409 day high. Price was rejected just above the 1.3400 psych level and has since printed a lower high at 1.3385. Early Asia is drifting on thin ranges at the 50% retrace near 1.3373, just above the 1.3370 rollover low, with price below both EMAs.
Support: 1.3370, 1.3365, 1.3352
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
UK CPI at 06:00 UTC, about 7h out, could materially shift this read; f/c 3.4% YoY, 2.7% core
A break of the 1.3370 rollover low exposes the 1.3365 ny low and the 61.8% retrace
Failure to hold 1.3365 points back toward the 1.3352 breakout base from the 12:15 UTC leg
Close above the 1.3385 lower high breaks the descending sequence and reopens 1.3400 psych and the 1.3409 day high
US-Iran deal headlines could reverse the USD leg that drove the NY spike
23:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, now stalling · RSI 44 · price 1.33728
Post-rejection range 1.3365–1.3385 below the 1.3409 session high.
Cable jumped through the 1.3358 London high on the UK jobs beat. It then ran to a 1.3409 session high in NY as USD softened on US-Iran deal reports and weak housing data, before a rejection back to the 1.3365 swing low near the 61.8% fib. Early Asia session is ranging between that swing low and the 1.3385 range top, with price on the 50% fib, pinned between the ema50 near 1.3370 and EMA20 overhead.
Support: 1.3370, 1.3365, 1.3358
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3365 swing low breaks the range and exposes the 1.3358 london high
M15 close above the 1.3385 range top reopens 1.3400 and the 1.3409 session high
Loss of the ema50 at 1.3370 tilts the range toward its lower half
UK CPI at 06:00 UTC (f/c 3.4% YoY, core 2.7%) could materially shift this read
US-Iran deal confirmation or denial headlines could move USD during the Asia session
Tight range 1.3365–1.3385 below the rejected 1.3409 session high, holding the 50% fib.
The UK jobs beat at 06:00 UTC took price through the Asian range and the London high at 1.3359. Broad USD selling in NY extended the move to a 1.3409 session high, where it was rejected back below the 1.3400 round number. Since then, price has compressed after NY close between the 1.3365 NY low and a 1.3385 range top, sitting on the 50% fib with RSI(14) near 39 and ATR shrinking to about 5 pips ahead of UK CPI.
Support: 1.3370, 1.3365, 1.3359
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
UK CPI at 06:00 UTC (f/c 3.4% YoY, 2.7% core) could break the compression range in either direction
Close below the 1.3365 NY low puts the london high at 1.3359 and the 61.8% fib in play
Close above the 1.3385 range top breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 1.3400 round number and 1.3409 session high
Loss of the 1.3370 rollover low after the thin rollover period would extend the lower-highs sequence
Any confirmation or denial of the US-Iran deal reports overnight could shift USD and this read
Lower high at 1.3385 below 1.3409 session high, compressing in 1.3365–1.3385 band.
The UK jobs beat lifted cable at 06:00 UTC, and USD softness in NY hours extended the move to a 1.3409 session high. Price was rejected back below 1.3400 psych and has since held a 1.3365–1.3385 band, with the 1.3385 lower high capping. In thin early Asia, price sits on the 50% fib near 1.3373, just above the 1.3370 rollover low, with RSI(14) at 43 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 1.3370, 1.3365, 1.3337
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
UK CPI at 06:00 UTC (f/c 3.4% YoY, core 2.7%) lands at London open and could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 1.3365 NY low (61.8% fib) breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 1.3337 London low
M15 close above the 1.3385 lower high reopens 1.3400 psych and the 1.3409 session high
Rejection at 1.3409 session high, lower high at 1.3385, holding above NY low.
Strong UK jobs data at the London open, then broad USD selling in NY on the US-Iran deal reports, lifted cable from the 1.3336 London low to a 1.3409 session high. That high was rejected just above the 1.3400 round number, and the pullback found a floor at the 1.3365 NY swing low, near the 61.8% retracement. Since the NY close, price has compressed in a 1.3370–1.3385 band under the lower high, with ATR shrinking to ~6 pips into the Asia session.
Support: 1.3370, 1.3365, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3385 lower high reopens the 1.3400 round number and the 1.3409 session high
Loss of the 1.3370 rollover low and the 1.3365 NY swing low breaks the 61.8% retracement and exposes the 1.3336 London low
UK CPI at 06:00 UTC Wed (YoY f/c 3.4%) is the binary for this structure; a soft print puts the full jobs rally at risk
Asian range broken higher; NY spike rejected at 1.3409, holding 1.3365–1.3385.
The UK jobs beat at London open broke the 1.3305–1.3335 Asian range, and soft USD carried the NY session to a 1.3409 session high before a rejection just above 1.3400. The pullback held the ny low at 1.3365, near the 61.8% fib of the 1.3336–1.3409 leg. Price has since compressed under the 1.3385 range top in thin post-NY trade, with RSI(14) flat at 50.
Support: 1.3365, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3409
What it said to watch
UK CPI at 06:00 UTC (London open) could break the 1.3365–1.3385 consolidation either way
M15 close above the 1.3385 range top reopens the 1.3409 session high
Failure to hold the ny low at 1.3365 (61.8% fib) puts the london low at 1.3336 back in play
Rollover spread spikes around 21:00 UTC distort the lows; levels are more reliable once Asia liquidity returns
The UK jobs beat at the London open and a softer USD broke the Asian range high at 1.3335. Cable then ran to a 1.3409 session high during NY hours, where it met rejection just above the 1.3400 round number. The NY pullback held at the 1.3365 pullback low, near the 50% of the jobs rally fib, and price is now coiling between the 1.3376 range floor and the 1.3385 evening high in thin post-NY trade.
Support: 1.3376, 1.3365, 1.3358
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3385 evening high reopens the 1.3400 round number and 1.3409 session high
Loss of the 1.3376 range floor and the higher lows trendline exposes the 1.3365 pullback low, then the 1.3358 london high
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC (f/c 3.4% YoY) could materially shift this read; a miss puts the 1.3358 london high back in focus
US-Iran deal headlines can jolt USD during the Asia session
21:31 UTC
Post-spike consolidation below day high · RSI 46 · price 1.33764
Tight 1.3370–1.3385 range after a 61.8% pullback held.
Cable ran from the Asian range near 1.3330 to a 1.3409 day high on the UK jobs beat and soft US housing data. It then pulled back to the 1.3365 swing low near the 61.8% fib. Since late NY it has drifted in a 1.3370–1.3385 band into the Asia open, the rollover low at 1.3370 holding and RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.3370, 1.3365, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3365 swing low breaks the 61.8% fib and exposes the 1.3336 london low
Close above the 1.3385 evening high reopens the 1.3409 day high and the 1.3400 psych level
Failure to hold the 1.3370 rollover low during Asia shifts the band lower
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read; a soft print carries the larger downside risk given crowded BoE pricing
21:16 UTC
Post-spike consolidation below the day high · RSI 46 · price 1.33764
Rejected at 1.3409, holding a 1.3365–1.3385 range into early Asia.
The UK jobs beat broke the 1.3309–1.3335 Asian range at London open. A soft-USD leg then ran to a 1.3409 day high, where price was rejected just above 1.3400 psych. The pullback held a swing low at 1.3365 near the 61.8% fib, and price has since compressed under the 1.3385 late NY high, with the thin-liquidity rollover low at 1.3370 the nearest floor.
Support: 1.33697, 1.33651, 1.33586
Resistance: 1.33849, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3385 late ny high reopens 1.3400 psych and the 1.3409 day high
Failure to hold the 1.3365 swing low exposes the 1.3359 london high, the morning breakout shelf
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC (f/c 3.4% YoY, core 2.7%) could materially shift this read; the digest flags a miss as the higher-impact outcome
21:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, now pausing after rejection · RSI 53 · price 1.33793
Jobs-data breakout, rejection at 1.3409, tight late-NY range.
UK jobs beat at 06:00 UTC broke cable out of the 1.3300s Asian range. Soft US housing data and a weaker USD then carried it to a 1.3409 session high in NY, where it was rejected. The pullback held 1.3365, at the fib 61.8% retracement, and price is now compressing between the late NY low at 1.3376 and late NY high at 1.3385 into the session close.
Support: 1.3376, 1.3365, 1.3358
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3365 (fib 61.8%) exposes the 1.3358 london high from the breakout
Close above the 1.3385 late ny high reopens the 1.3400 round number and 1.3409 session high
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC (YoY f/c 3.4%, core 2.7%) could materially shift this read; a miss carries the larger risk given ~95% Nov BoE hike pricing
Unconfirmed US-Iran deal headlines can move USD independently of UK data
NY breakout to 1.3409, retraced to 61.8%, rising lows into tight late-NY range.
The UK jobs beat at 06:00 UTC lifted cable out of the Asian range, and softer USD after weak US housing data drove the NY rally leg through the london high to a 1.3409 session high. Price was rejected just above 1.3400 and pulled back to the 61.8% fib, with the 1.3365 pullback low holding. Late NY has built rising lows into a 1.3376–1.3385 range, sitting on the 38.2% fib with ATR contracting.
Support: 1.3376, 1.3365, 1.3358
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3376 range low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 1.3365 pullback low
Close above the 1.3385 late ny high reopens 1.3400 and the 1.3409 session high
Loss of the 1.3358 london high would erase most of the NY rally leg
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC (YoY f/c 3.4%, core 2.7%): with a November hike ~95% priced, a miss carries the larger reaction risk
20:31 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after day high · RSI 57 · price 1.33791
Higher lows off the 61.8% hold, tight post-NY consolidation.
Cable cleared the Asian range on the 06:00 UTC UK jobs beat and extended in NY on USD softness to a 1.3409 day high, then pulled back to the 61.8% fib near 1.3365, which held twice. Since then price has compressed into a 1.3376–1.3385 band after NY close, with late lows edging higher on the rising lows line and ATR down to about 5 pips.
Support: 1.3376, 1.3365, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3376 late lows breaks the rising lows line and reopens the 61.8% fib at 1.3365
Close above the 1.3385 late high puts the 1.3400 round number and the 1.3409 day high back in play
Loss of 1.3365 exposes the 1.3336 london low and negates the higher-low sequence
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read. A miss carries more downside risk given crowded BoE pricing.
20:16 UTC
Uptrend, pausing below day high · RSI 55 · price 1.3379
Higher lows off 1.3365, tight late-NY range under 1.3385.
Cable stepped up twice today, first on the UK jobs beat at the London open to the 1.3358 london high, then through the NY session on soft US housing data. It was rejected just above the 1.3400 round number at the 1.3409 day high. The pullback held the swing low at 1.3365, near the 61.8% retracement, and price has since compressed in a 1.3376–1.3385 band after NY close.
Support: 1.3376, 1.3365, 1.3358
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3365 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 1.3358 london high
Break of the 1.3385 range top puts the 1.3400 round number and 1.3409 day high back in play
Loss of the 1.3376 late-ny low ends the post-NY compression
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC (YoY f/c 3.4%) lands at the London open and could reset this range; a miss carries the larger risk given the near-fully-priced Nov BoE hike
Higher lows off 1.3365 after the 1.3409 peak, compressing under 1.3385.
The UK jobs beat at London open, then USD weakness in NY hours on soft housing data and Iran headlines, lifted cable through the 1.3359 London high to a 1.3409 session high. The pullback low at 1.3365 held near the 61.8% of the NY leg. Late NY is grinding higher on rising lows, with the 1.3376 late low under price and a 1.3385 late high capping, RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 1.3376, 1.3365, 1.3359
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3385 late high reopens the round number at 1.3400 and the 1.3409 session high
Loss of the 1.3365 pullback low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 1.3359 London high
UK CPI at 06:00 UTC Wed lands at London open and could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Uptrend, pausing below day high · RSI 63 · price 1.33794
Higher low at 1.3365 after rejection from 1.3409; late-NY drift capped at 1.3385.
Cable broke the Asian range on the 06:00 UTC UK jobs beat, then cleared the London high at 1.3359 during NY as soft US housing data and Iran headlines weighed on USD, before rejection at the 1.3409 day high. The pullback found a higher low at the 1.3365 NY low near the 61.8% retracement, and late NY is grinding between the 1.3377 micro low and the 1.3385 late high on shrinking ranges.
Support: 1.3377, 1.3365, 1.3359
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3377 micro low breaks the late-NY rising trendline and exposes the 1.3365 NY low
Loss of 1.3365 and the london high at 1.3359 negates the breakout and higher-low read
Close above the 1.3385 late high reopens the 1.3409 day high and 1.3400 psych
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC (YoY f/c 3.4%) could materially shift this read; a miss is the larger-move risk given crowded BoE pricing
Lower high after 1.3409 peak; late-NY band 1.3365–1.3385.
The UK jobs beat at the London open lifted cable out of the 1.3309–1.3335 Asian range. USD softness then carried NY to a 1.3409 session high before a pullback held 1.3365, near the 61.8% fib. After London close price is flat at EMA20 in a 1.3365–1.3385 band, with the late NY high at 1.3385 rejected and RSI(14) neutral at 52.
Support: 1.3365, 1.3359
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3385 late NY high reopens the 1.3409 session high and the 1.3400 round number
Failure to hold the 1.3365 pullback low (61.8% fib) exposes the 1.3359 london high
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled risk; a soft print could unwind the jobs-day leg
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating below the day high · RSI 59 · price 1.33832
Spike to 1.3409, pullback held 1.3365, higher lows rebuilding late NY.
The UK jobs beat lifted cable out of the 1.3305–1.3335 Asian range at London open. USD weakness during NY hours then drove a spike to the 1.3409 day high. The pullback held the 1.3365 swing low near the 61.8% retrace, and rising lows late in NY are now pressing the 1.3385 late high with RSI(14) near 59.
Support: 1.3374, 1.3365, 1.3359
Resistance: 1.3385, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3385 late high opens the path to 1.3400 psych and the 1.3409 day high
Break of the rising lows and the 1.3374 higher low turns the late-NY grind into a range
Loss of the 1.3365 swing low exposes the 1.3359 london high, the top of the morning range
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read; a soft print carries the larger downside risk given crowded BoE pricing
Higher low at 1.3365 after 60% pullback; late-NY ranges compressing.
The UK jobs beat lifted cable out of the Asian range at 06:00 UTC. NY then extended the move from the 1.3336 london low to a 1.3409 session high as soft US housing data and US-Iran headlines weighed on the USD. The pullback held a 1.3365 swing low near the 61.8% retracement, above the 1.3358 london high, and after London close price is grinding back to 1.3382 beneath the 1.3400 round number on shrinking bars.
Support: 1.33651, 1.33586, 1.33361
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3409 session high resumes the HH chain; repeated rejection at the 1.3400 round number keeps a range between the swing low and the session high
Break below the 1.3365 swing low and the higher-low trendline exposes the london high at 1.3358, then the london low at 1.3336
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC, before London open, could materially shift this read
Higher low at 1.3365 after rejection under 1.3409.
Cable cleared the Asian range on the 06:00 UTC UK jobs beat, then held a 1.3336 london low to 1.3358 london high band through the morning. Soft US housing data and USD weakness drove an NY run to a 1.3409 session high, where price was rejected. The drop found a 1.3365 pullback low near the 61.8% of the NY rally fib, and price is now grinding back toward the 1.3400 psych level in a tight late-NY range.
Support: 1.3365, 1.3358, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3409 session high clears the psych 1.3400 cap
Failure to hold the 1.3365 pullback low puts the 1.3358 london high back in play
A break below the 1.3336 london low would erase the NY rally
UK CPI Wed 21 Oct 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US-Iran deal confirmation or denial is headline risk for USD
Higher low at 1.3365 after rejection at 1.3409, holding above London high.
Cable broke out of the Asian range on the UK jobs beat. It extended in NY as the USD softened on weak housing data and US-Iran headlines, printing a 1.3409 session high before rejection around the 1.3400 round number. The pullback held the 1.3365 swing low, near the 61.8% fib and on rising support above the 1.3359 London high, and late NY is grinding back toward the 1.3382 local high with RSI(14) neutral at 56.
Support: 1.3365, 1.3359, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3382, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3382 local high reopens the 1.3400 round number and 1.3409 session high
Break of the 1.3365 swing low and rising support puts the 1.3359 London high and 1.3336 London low back in play
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read; thin post-NY liquidity until then
18:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, rebuilding after NY pullback · RSI 58 · price 1.33804
Higher low at 1.3365 after 1.3409 session high.
The UK jobs beat lifted cable off the 1.3300 open. NY then broke the 1.3336–1.3359 London range on Iran-deal USD selling and soft US housing data, and the session high printed at 1.3409. The pullback held the 1.3365 pullback low near the 61.8% fib, and price is grinding back above the ema20 at 1.3375 into late NY with RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 1.3375, 1.3365, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3365 pullback low breaks the higher low line and exposes the 1.3336 london low
Acceptance above the 1.3400 round number and the 1.3409 session high resumes the NY uptrend
Daily rollover in the next hour can thin liquidity and distort the ema20 reaction
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT (f/c 3.4% YoY, core 2.7%) could materially shift this read; a soft print undercuts the hike pricing behind today's leg
Higher low at 1.3365 after rejection at 1.3409; late-NY rebuild above ema20.
The UK jobs beat lifted cable out of the 1.3309–1.3335 Asian range to a 1.3358 London high. NY extended to a 1.3409 session high on soft US housing data and US-Iran deal headlines, then saw rejection just above 1.3400. The pullback formed a higher low at 1.3365, near the 61.8% fib of the NY leg, and price is now rebuilding above ema20 late in NY hours, with the 1.3384 lower high overhead.
Support: 1.3374, 1.3365, 1.3358
Resistance: 1.3384, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3384 lower high puts the 1.3409 session high back in focus; a break there extends the uptrend
Failure to hold the 1.3365 higher low exposes the 1.3358 london high and weakens the NY-leg structure
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT is the next major catalyst for GBP and could materially shift this read
Unconfirmed US-Iran deal headlines remain a live USD risk outside scheduled data
London range broken higher, 61.8% retracement held.
Cable jumped from 1.3328 to 1.3349 at 06:00 UTC on the UK jobs beat. It then broke the London high at 1.3358 into early NY as US-Iran deal reports softened the USD, printing a session high of 1.3409. The 44-pip pullback held a 1.3365 pullback low near the 61.8% retracement, and price is now back above the ema20 / 50% zone at 1.3373 late in NY, with the 1.3384 lower high capping the rebound so far.
Support: 1.3373, 1.3365, 1.3358
Resistance: 1.3384, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3384 lower high reopens the 1.3409 session high
Failure to hold the 1.3365 pullback low exposes the 1.3358 london high and puts the breakout under question
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT is the next major catalyst for GBP
US-Iran deal confirmation or denial headlines can move USD at any time
17:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 46 · price 1.33755
NY breakout of London range rejected at 1.3409, holding above 61.8% retrace.
The UK jobs beat at 06:00 UTC lifted cable out of the Asian range. The NY session then broke the 1.3336–1.3359 London range on USD softness before a rejection at the 1.3409 session high, just above 1.3400. The pullback has held the 1.3365 pullback low near the 61.8% retracement, with price just under EMA20 and RSI(14) neutral at 46.
Support: 1.3365, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3384, 1.3409
What it said to watch
Close below the 1.3365 pullback low exposes the 1.3336 london low and a return into the London range
Recovery above the 1.3384 lower high reopens the 1.3409 session high and 1.3400
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read
US-Iran deal confirmation or denial could swing USD into the Asia session
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back after rejection · RSI 44 · price 1.33713
HH/HL from Asia, now basing above 1.3365 swing low.
The UK jobs beat at London open lifted cable out of the Asian range. Soft US housing data and US-Iran deal reports then carried NY to a 1.3409 session high before a rejection at 1.3400 psych. The pullback has stalled twice at the 1.3365 swing low, near the 61.8% fib, and price is coiling beneath a 1.3384 lower high with RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 1.3365, 1.3359, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3384, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3365 swing low exposes the 1.3359 london high and rising support near 1.3355
Failure at 1.3336 london low unwinds the NY breakout
Reclaim of the 1.3384 lower high reopens 1.3400 psych and the 1.3409 session high
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read; a soft print targets the jobs-led gains
US-Iran deal denial would revive USD and test the pullback lows
17:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 48 · price 1.33712
NY breakout to 1.3409, now retesting the 1.3365 breakout zone.
The UK jobs beat lifted cable out of the Asian range at the London open. USD selling on US-Iran deal reports and weak housing data then drove a NY breakout above the 1.3359 London high to a 1.3409 session high, with a rejection just over 1.3400. After London close price has eased to the 50% NY rally fib, with the 1.3365 retest zone holding twice, a lower high at 1.3384 and RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.3365, 1.33586, 1.33361
Resistance: 1.33841, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3365 retest zone and rising support exposes the 1.3359 London high, then the 1.3336 swing low
M15 close above the 1.3384 lower high reopens the 1.3409 session high and 1.3400 psych
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Confirmation or denial of the US-Iran deal reports could reverse the USD leg that drove the NY breakout
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 51 · price 1.33719
Lower highs off 1.3409, holding above 1.3365 NY low.
The UK jobs beat took cable through the Asian range at London open. Soft US housing data and US-Iran deal reports then extended the NY leg to a 1.3409 session high, which was rejected just above 1.3400 psych. The pullback is holding the 1.3365 NY low near the 61.8% fib, with price pinned at EMA20 and the 1.3384 lower high capping.
Support: 1.3365, 1.3358, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3384, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3365 NY low exposes the 1.3358 london high, then the 1.3336 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.3384 lower high puts the 1.3409 session high and 1.3400 psych back in play
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read; a soft print targets the 1.3350/1.3300 area
US-Iran deal confirmation or denial headlines during late NY hours
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back after session high · RSI 53 · price 1.33723
Higher-low chain intact; lower highs since 1.3409 rejection.
The UK jobs beat at London open broke the Asian range high. A softer USD after weak US housing data then carried price to a 1.3409 session high in NY hours. Rejection just above 1.3400 psych pulled price back to the 1.3367 swing low near the 61.8% fib, and after London close it is coiling between 1.3367 and the 1.3384 lower high, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.33669, 1.33586, 1.33361
Resistance: 1.33841, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.3367 swing low exposes the london high at 1.3359, then the london low at 1.3336
A close above the 1.3384 lower high reopens 1.3400 psych and the 1.3409 session high
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read; US-Iran headlines remain a USD driver into the Asia session
16:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 53 · price 1.33751
Asian and London range breakouts, rejection at 1.3409 and higher low at 1.3367.
The UK jobs beat at London open lifted cable out of the Asian range. USD selling on soft housing data and US-Iran reports then broke the 1.3336–1.3359 London range in NY and ran to a 1.3409 session high, where price was rejected at the 1.3400 handle. The pullback found a higher low at 1.3367, near the 61.8% fib, and price is now flat around EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 53 and the bounce high at 1.3384 capping.
Support: 1.3367, 1.3359, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3384, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3367 pullback low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 1.3359 london high
Loss of the 1.3336 london low would erase today's NY breakout
Close above the 1.3384 bounce high puts the 1.3409 session high and 1.3400 handle back in play
UK CPI at 06:00 GMT tomorrow and US-Iran deal headlines could materially shift this read
NY breakout of London range, lower high forming after the 1.3409 rejection.
The UK jobs beat at 06:00 GMT lifted cable out of its 1.3309–1.3335 Asian range. Soft US housing data and US-Iran headlines then carried NY above the 1.3358 london high to a 1.3409 session high. The push above the 1.3400 round number was rejected within the hour, and price has retraced to the 50% fib near 1.3373, with a 1.3384 lower high capping the bounce and RSI(14) back at neutral.
Support: 1.3367, 1.3358, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3384, 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3367 pullback low exposes the 61.8% fib at 1.3364 and the 1.3358 london high
Reclaim of the 1.3384 lower high reopens the 1.3400 round number and 1.3409 session high
Loss of the 1.3336 london low would unwind the entire NY breakout
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT (~14h) could materially shift this read
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 57 · price 1.33762
NY impulse higher, false break of 1.3400, higher lows intact above 1.3365.
The UK jobs beat at 06:00 GMT lifted cable to a 1.3359 London high. Soft US housing data and US-Iran headlines then extended the NY leg to a 1.3409 session high, but the move above the 1.3400 psych level was a false break. Price has eased to the 1.3374 pullback low, between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the 1.3336–1.3409 leg, with RSI(14) cooled to ~57 and price just above EMA20.
Support: 1.3374, 1.3365, 1.3359
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3400 psych level and 1.3409 session high would negate the false-break read
Failure to hold the 1.3374 pullback low opens the 1.3365 NY base, which sits at the 61.8% fib
Loss of the 1.3365 NY base breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 1.3359 London high
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT (~14h) could materially shift this read at London open
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 59 · price 1.33774
NY breakout above London range, now retracing toward last week's high.
The UK jobs beat lifted cable through the Asian range at the 06:00 UTC release. After London held a 1.3337–1.3359 range above its london floor, a soft USD broke the pair out from the 1.3365 ny base during NY hours to a 1.3409 session high. The rejection there gave back about 33 pips, and price is now retesting last week's high near 1.3371, close to the 50% retrace of the 1.3336–1.3409 leg. RSI(14) has cooled to about 59.
Support: 1.3371, 1.3365, 1.3337
Resistance: 1.3382, 1.3409
What it said to watch
Hold of last week's high at 1.3371 keeps the intraday higher-low structure intact
M15 close below the 1.3365 ny base, near the 61.8% retrace, exposes the 1.3337 london floor
Reclaim of the 1.3382 broken pivot reopens the 1.3409 session high
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC could reprice the jobs-driven leg
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from day high · RSI 62 · price 1.33871
Higher highs and higher lows since the London low; first pullback after a NY breakout.
The UK jobs beat at 06:00 UTC lifted cable out of its 1.3296–1.3335 Asian range. London then held a 1.3336–1.3359 box until NY broke the london high on soft US housing data, running to a 1.3409 day high. Rejection just above the 1.3400 round number has pulled price back to the 38.2% fib at 1.3382, and RSI(14) has cooled to ~62.
Support: 1.3382, 1.3365, 1.3359
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 38.2% fib at 1.3382 exposes the 1.3365 ny pivot and the 50% retracement near 1.3373
A break back under the 1.3359 london high would turn the NY breakout into a false break
Acceptance above the 1.3400 round number and the 1.3409 day high resumes the higher-high chain
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC (f/c 3.4% YoY, core 2.7%) could materially shift this read; GBP downside on a miss is the larger risk
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after rejection at 1.3409 · RSI 67 · price 1.33932
HH/HL chain from London range break; first lower close off session high.
The UK jobs beat lifted cable at the London open, and the London range topped at the 1.3358 London high. NY broke that range as soft US housing data weighed on USD, running to a 1.3409 session high. The 14:30 bar rejected above the 1.3400 round number, and price is easing toward the 1.3388 swing low as RSI(14) cools from the low 70s.
Support: 1.3388, 1.3365, 1.3358
Resistance: 1.3400, 1.3409
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3388 swing low exposes the 38.2% fib near 1.3381 and the trendline support
A break of the trendline opens the 1.3365 pullback low near the 50% fib
An M15 close back above the 1.3409 session high resumes the HH chain
Loss of the 1.3358 London high would negate the NY range break
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC is the next major catalyst and could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Strong uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 82 · price 1.3409
HH/HL chain after NY broke the London range high.
GBP's bid on the UK jobs beat and a softer USD carried NY through the 1.3359 London high, extending a HH/HL chain to a fresh session high at 1.3409, just above the 1.3400 round number. RSI(14) near 82 is stretched after London range lows around 1.3336 held three times before the break.
Support: 1.3400, 1.33652, 1.33586
Resistance: 1.3409, 1.3450
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3400 round number brings the 38.2% fib of the breakout leg (~1.3381) into play
A break below the 1.3365 NY pullback low ends the HH/HL chain
An M15 close back below the 1.3359 London high would mark the breakout as a false break
A clean extension through the 1.3409 session high leaves 1.3450 psych as the next round level
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:16 UTC
Uptrend, stretched into round number · RSI 79 · price 1.33916
Stepped higher lows; London range high broken in NY.
The UK jobs beat lifted cable through the Asian range high near 1.3335. London then held a 1.3336–1.3359 band, with the london low defended three times. Around NY open a softer USD pushed price through the london high, and a ny base at 1.3365–1.3378 fed a fresh session high at 1.3395 just under the 1.3400 round number, with RSI(14) near 79.
Support: 1.3365, 1.3359, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.33953, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 1.3400 round number with RSI(14) near 80 would mark the session high as a short-term cap
A close back below the 1.3365 ny base would put the 61.8% fib and london high at 1.3359 in play as a retest
A break under the 1.3336 london low would undo the London-NY breakout read
US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 UTC could jolt the USD leg intraday
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC: a miss on 3.4% YoY or 2.7% core could materially shift this read
14:01 UTC
Strong uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 77 · price 1.33892
London range broken higher, HH/HL chain from 1.3337.
The jobs-beat leg resumed into the NY open as a softer USD after the Housing Starts miss lifted cable out of the 1.3337–1.3358 London range. Price has cleared last week's 1.3371 high and is printing a session high at 1.3391, with RSI(14) near 77, hot but normal for this trend. The prior high at 1.3377 and the 1.3365 pullback low are the nearest supports, with the 1.3400 round number overhead.
Support: 1.3377, 1.3365, 1.3358
Resistance: 1.3391, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3365 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain on the NY rally fib
Rejection at the 1.3391 session high or the 1.3400 round number would mark the leg stalling with RSI elevated
A drop back through the 1.3358 london high puts price back inside the London range and below the rally trend
Holding above the 1.3377 prior high keeps the breakout above last week's high intact
US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 UTC is minor; UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC is the main risk to this read
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs in NY session · RSI 70 · price 1.33776
London range broken to the upside; higher lows since Asian low.
The UK jobs beat at the London open lifted cable from 1.3328 to the 1.3359 london high. London then held a 1.3336–1.3359 range, and the NY session broke it on a softer USD, clearing last wk high at 1.3371 to a 1.3381 session high. The ny pullback lows at 1.3365 have held three times, which keeps the ny leg fib 38.2% intact, and RSI(14) is near 70, hot but not stretched.
Support: 1.3371, 1.3365, 1.3359
Resistance: 1.3381, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3359 london high (ny leg fib 50%) would turn the range break into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.3365 ny pullback lows puts last wk high at 1.3371 at risk as support
Acceptance above the 1.3381 session high opens the 1.3400 round number
Break of rising support from the Asian low would end the higher-low chain
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read; Pending Home Sales 14:00 UTC is minor
HH/HL chain; NY-hours break above the London range top.
The 06:00 UTC UK jobs beat lifted GBPUSD out of the Asian range, and London then held a 1.3336–1.3359 box. Around the NY open, soft USD and a Housing Starts miss drove a range break through the london high to a 1.33775 session high, with three pullbacks holding the 1.3365 pullback low. Price now sits on the digest's 1.3371 friday high, and RSI(14) at 67 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.3371, 1.3365, 1.3359
Resistance: 1.33775, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33775 session high extends the breakout leg toward the 1.3400 round number
Loss of the 1.3365 pullback low and a close back below the 1.3359 london high would mark the breakout as a false break
Failure to hold the 1.3371 friday high keeps price in a pullback toward the breakout leg fib 50% near 1.3357
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC (f/c 3.4% y/y, core 2.7%) could materially shift this read; US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 UTC is low impact
Range break above London high, pullback retesting the break.
London broke the Asian range on the 06:00 UTC UK jobs beat. Price then held between a 1.3336 London base and a 1.3359 London high until soft USD into the NY open drove a range break to a 1.3378 session high. Price is now consolidating at a 1.3365 pullback low just above the old London high, with RSI(14) cooling to 63.
Support: 1.3365, 1.3359, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3378, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3359 London high would turn the breakout into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.3365 pullback low puts the 38.2–50% breakout fib (1.3362–1.3357) in play
Clearing the 1.3378 session high opens the 1.3400 round number
A slide back under the 1.3336 London base negates the intraday higher-high structure
UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst likely to reset this structure
The UK jobs beat lifted GBP/USD from the Asian range top near 1.3335 to the 1.3359 London high. A softer dollar then drove a range break at 12:15 UTC, and the breakout leg reached a 1.3378 session high during the London-NY transition. Price is stalling just under that high, near the 1.3371 resistance area, with RSI(14) near 67 and not stretched.
Support: 1.3359, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.33775, 1.3400
What it said to watch
A close back below the 1.3359 london high would turn the range break into a false break.
Failure to hold 1.3336 london low would erase the session's breakout leg entirely.
A sustained move above the 1.3378 session high opens the path to the 1.3400 round number.
UK CPI on Wed 06:00 GMT is the next major risk for this read. US Pending Home Sales at 14:00 UTC is low impact.
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh range break · RSI 68 · price 1.33701
London range 1.3336–1.3359 broken higher; HH at 1.3374.
UK jobs data at 06:00 UTC lifted cable through the Asian range top near 1.3335. London then held a 1.3336–1.3359 range, with the range floor defended three times, before a 22-pip bar into the London-NY transition broke the London high and printed a session high at 1.3374. RSI(14) sits near 68 after the push, and the 50% retrace of the Asia-low move lines up with the range floor.
Support: 1.3359, 1.3336
Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Holding above the 1.3359 London high keeps the breakout read intact. A return inside the range flags a false break.
An M15 close above the 1.3374 session high opens the 1.3400 round number.
A loss of the 1.3336 range floor (50% fib) would unwind the post-jobs structure.
UK CPI at 06:00 GMT tomorrow could materially shift this read.
12:31 UTC
Post-data uptrend, now ranging · RSI 55 · price 1.33528
London range 1.3336–1.3359 above the pre-data high; higher-low base intact.
The headline-strong UK jobs report lifted GBP/USD from 1.3328 to a 1.3359 data high at London open. Since then the pair has held a 1.3336–1.3359 range, and buyers defended the range floor three times near the 38.2% fib of the Asia-to-high move. A late-London bounce is pressing the upper half of the range into the London-NY transition, with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 1.3336, 1.3328
Resistance: 1.3359, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3359 data high breaks the range and brings the 1.3400 round number into view
Failure to hold the 1.3336 range floor (38.2% fib) exposes the 1.3328 release low and puts the breakout under question
NY session liquidity may test either range edge; ATR near 8 pips frames typical bar size
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT (~17.5h) could materially shift this read; positioning already discounts a hawkish BoE path
12:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling after jobs spike · RSI 46 · price 1.33436
Post-jobs lower highs pressing a flat 1.3336 base.
The UK jobs beat at 06:00 GMT (ILO 4.7% vs 4.9%) broke price out of the Asian range near 1.3335 to a 1.3359 session high. Through London the pair has printed lower highs under a descending trendline against a flat 1.3336 london low, and now sits at the 50% retrace of the jobs leg with RSI(14) neutral at 46.
Support: 1.3336, 1.3328
Resistance: 1.3349, 1.3359
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3336 london low breaks the post-jobs base and exposes the 1.3328 pre-jobs low
Close above the descending trendline and the 1.3349 lower high reopens the 1.3359 session high
NY open may resolve the 1.3336–1.3349 squeeze; UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT is the next scheduled catalyst
Broke Asian range high on UK jobs, now compressing above it.
The UK jobs beat at 06:00 GMT drove GBPUSD through the Asian range high near 1.3335 to a 1.3359 session high. Since then London has printed lower highs into 1.3349 while the london low at 1.3336 holds twice, with price on the 61.8% retrace of the jobs spike and RSI(14) neutral at 44 ahead of the NY open.
Support: 1.3336, 1.3328
Resistance: 1.3349, 1.3359
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3336 london low puts the spike back inside the Asian range and exposes the 1.3328 pre-data low
M15 close above the 1.3349 lower high breaks the lower-high trendline and reopens the 1.3359 session high
US ADP 12:15 UTC and housing starts 12:30 UTC into NY open; UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT is the larger risk to this read
Lower highs pressing a flat 1.3336 base, holding above Asian high.
The UK jobs beat (ILO 4.7% vs 4.9%) at London open drove a breakout of the Asian range to a 1.3359 session high, but price has since stalled. Lower highs are compressing price against the 1.3336 london low, which sits on the Asian high and the 38.2% fib of the overnight move. RSI(14) is neutral near 51.
Support: 1.3336, 1.3335, 1.3329
Resistance: 1.3353, 1.3359
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3353 lower high breaks the descending trendline and reopens the 1.3359 session high
Close below the 1.3336 london low and the 1.3335 asian high turns the breakout into a false break, exposing the 1.3329 pre-data low
US housing starts and permits at 12:30 UTC could jolt the compression during the NY session
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT is the larger risk; a soft print would put the post-jobs breakout at risk
London lower highs off 1.3359; testing 1.3336 session low above Asian high.
UK jobs beat at 06:00 GMT lifted cable out of the 1.3309–1.3335 Asian range to a 1.3359 session high. London has since printed lower highs at 1.3357 and 1.3353 under a descending trendline, with price now pressing the 1.3336 session low and the 38.2% retrace of the Asian low-to-high leg, just above the Asian range top.
Support: 1.3336, 1.3328, 1.3309
Resistance: 1.3353, 1.3359
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3336 session low puts price back inside the Asian range and exposes 1.3328 pre-data base
Close above the 1.3353 lower high breaks the descending trendline and reopens the 1.3359 session high
Failure of the 1.3328 pre-data base retraces most of the jobs move toward the 1.3309 asian low
US housing starts/permits at 12:30 UTC early in NY session; UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT is the larger risk to this read
Lower highs above a flat 1.3336 base, holding over the Asian high.
The UK jobs beat at the London open lifted GBPUSD through the Asian high near 1.3335 to a 1.3359 session high. Since then the pair has printed lower highs at 1.3357 and 1.3353, while the 1.3336 session low has held on three tests, close to the 38.2% fib of the overnight move. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 45, a retest of the breakout zone in late London.
Support: 1.3336, 1.3328, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3353, 1.3359
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.3336 session low turns the jobs breakout into a false break and exposes the 1.3328 pre-data low.
Failure at 1.3328 reopens the 1.3300 round number and the overnight low area.
An M15 close above the 1.3353 lower high breaks the lower-high chain, with the 1.3359 session high next.
US ADP and housing starts (12:15–12:30 UTC) and UK CPI on Wed at 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read.
10:46 UTC
Intraday up, fading from post-data high · RSI 41 · price 1.3339
Break above Asian range, now retesting it with lower highs since 1.3359.
The UK jobs beat in early London lifted cable out of the 1.3296–1.3335 Asian range to a 1.3359 session high. A firmer dollar in European trade has since printed lower highs at 1.3357 and 1.3353, and mid-London price is retesting the breakout at the 61.8% of the jobs move fib, with twin lows at 1.3337 holding, the ema20 at 1.3342 overhead and RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 1.3337, 1.3328, 1.3296
Resistance: 1.3342, 1.3353, 1.3359
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.3337 twin lows and the 1.3335 Asian high turns the retest into a false break, exposing the 1.3328 pre-data low
Loss of the 1.3328 pre-data low puts the 1.3296 Asian low back in play
A recovery above the ema20 and the 1.3353 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 1.3359 session high
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read; US housing data at 12:30 UTC is second-tier
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after data spike · RSI 49 · price 1.33456
Post-breakout range 1.3337–1.3359 above Asian range.
The UK jobs beat at 06:00 GMT lifted the pair through the Asian high at 1.3335 to a session high of 1.3359. Since then London has held a tight 1.3337–1.3353 band, with the intraday cap near 1.3353 rejecting three pushes. The 08:45 dip to the london low at 1.3337 found demand near the 38.2% retracement and the rising support line from the Asian low. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 and ATR is about 7 pips.
Support: 1.33374, 1.33353, 1.33281
Resistance: 1.3353, 1.33586, 1.3371
What it said to watch
A close below the 1.3337 london low breaks the rising support line and exposes the asian high at 1.3335, then the pre-data low at 1.3328
A close above the 1.3353 intraday cap and the 1.3359 session high reopens the 1.3371 prior high
US housing data at 12:30 UTC is second-tier, but the NY open could test the London range
UK CPI tomorrow at 06:00 GMT (f/c 3.4%) could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Post-data impulse, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 1.33504
Tight range 1.3337–1.3359 above broken Asian high.
The headline-strong UK jobs print at 06:00 GMT lifted GBPUSD through the Asian high at 1.3335 to a 1.3359 session high. Mid-London, price is coiling under a 1.3357 lower high, and the 09:00 GMT dip to 1.3337 (dip low) held near the 61.8% retrace of the jobs impulse. RSI(14) ~54 is neutral.
Support: 1.33374, 1.33353, 1.33281
Resistance: 1.33567, 1.33586, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3359 session high exposes the prior high at 1.3371
Break of the 1.3337 dip low puts the Asian high at 1.3335 and the 1.3328 pre-data low back in play, unwinding the jobs breakout
US housing data at 12:30 GMT is second-tier; UK CPI on Wed at 06:00 GMT is the main risk to this structure
The UK jobs beat at 06:00 UTC broke the Asian high at 1.3335 and spiked GBPUSD to the 1.3359 jobs high. London has since held a 1.3345–1.3355 range; a 09:00 UTC dip to the 1.3337 spike low reversed quickly, leaving price at the 50% fib of the jobs spike, flat on EMA20, with RSI(14) near 54.
Support: 1.3337, 1.3335, 1.3328
Resistance: 1.3355, 1.3359, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3337 spike low reopens the asian high at 1.3335 and the pre-jobs base at 1.3328
M15 close above the 1.3355 range top and 1.3359 jobs high exposes the 1.3371 prior high
US ADP and housing starts at 12:15–12:30 UTC in the NY session could break the London range
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT (f/c 3.4% y/y) is the next major GBP catalyst for this structure
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating after data spike · RSI 58 · price 1.33471
Post-breakout range 1.3345–1.3359 above the Asian range high.
The UK jobs beat (ILO unemployment 4.7% vs 4.9%) at the London open drove cable through the Asian range high at 1.3335 to a 1.3359 session high, and London has since held a 1.3345–1.3359 range. A late-morning flush below the range low to a 1.3337 dip low stalled near the 38.2% fib of the Asia-to-London leg and was reclaimed, with RSI(14) back to neutral near 58.
Support: 1.3345, 1.3337, 1.3309
Resistance: 1.3359
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3359 session high extends the post-data leg and ends the range read
Close back below the 1.3337 dip low turns the 09:00 UTC wick into a lower low and opens the 50% fib near 1.3334
Loss of the Asian range would expose the 1.3309 asian low
US ADP 12:15 UTC and housing starts/permits 12:30 UTC early in the NY session could shift the USD leg; UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT is the larger GBP risk
The UK jobs beat at 06:00 UTC lifted cable through the asian high at 1.3335 to a data high of 1.3359. London then held a 1.3346–1.3357 band until the 09:00 UTC bar broke the london floor and printed a london low at 1.3337, near the 38.2% retracement. Price is now sitting on Monday's prior high at 1.3342, with RSI(14) neutral at 54.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3337, 1.3335
Resistance: 1.3346, 1.3359
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the london low at 1.3337 exposes the asian high at 1.3335 and the 50% fib near 1.3334
Reclaiming the london floor at 1.3346 negates the range break and puts the data high at 1.3359 back in focus
US housing starts, permits and pending home sales at 12:15–14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg during the NY session
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after data spike · RSI 66 · price 1.33511
Breakout above Asian range, tight consolidation below session high.
The UK jobs beat (UE 4.7% vs 4.9%) drove a ~30-pip breakout through the Asian high at 1.3335 and Monday high at 1.3342, topping at the 1.3359 session high, with a softer USD adding to the move. Mid-London, price is holding a 1.3345–1.3357 consolidation above the breakout, with RSI(14) cooled to ~66 from the spike.
Support: 1.3345, 1.3342, 1.3335
Resistance: 1.3359, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3345 london low puts the 1.3342 Monday high retest in play
Clearing the 1.3359 session high opens the 1.3371 swing high
Failure to hold the 1.3335 asian high on a pullback undoes the breakout read
US housing starts / building permits in the NY session could shift the USD leg
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT is the larger catalyst for this structure
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after jobs spike · RSI 63 · price 1.33521
Asian range broken higher, tight post-release consolidation.
The UK jobs beat (ILO unemployment 4.7% vs 4.9%) lifted cable through the Asian high at 1.33353 to a jobs high of 1.33586. Through early London it has held a 1.3346–1.3355 box above the jobs floor, near the 38–50% zone of the jobs move fib, with the Asia trendline still rising underneath.
Support: 1.3346, 1.33353, 1.33289
Resistance: 1.33586, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.33586 jobs high reopens the 1.3371 prior high
Loss of the 1.3346 jobs floor exposes the asian high at 1.33353 for a retest
Return below the 1.33289 pre-jobs low and the Asia trendline marks the breakout as a false break
US housing starts and permits during NY hours, then UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT, could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, post-data pause · RSI 63 · price 1.33483
Impulse breakout above Asian range, tight London consolidation below spike high.
The 06:00 UTC UK jobs beat (ILO unemployment 4.7% vs 4.9%) broke the pair out of the Asian high at 1.3335 to a spike high at 1.3359, helped by a softer USD. Since then London has held a 1.3345–1.3352 consolidation just above the 38.2% fib of the jobs leg. RSI(14) has cooled to about 63.
Support: 1.3345, 1.3335, 1.3328
Resistance: 1.3359, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3345 range low opens a retest of the 1.3335 Asian high
Loss of the 1.3328 pre-jobs low would turn the jobs move into a false break
Close above the 1.3359 spike high puts the 1.3371 recent high in play
US housing data, 12:15–14:00 UTC during NY hours, could break the London range
UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT is the next GBP catalyst for the jobs-driven move
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after jobs spike · RSI 66 · price 1.3348
Tight 1.3345–1.3359 range above Asian high.
The UK jobs beat (ILO 4.7% vs 4.9%) at 06:00 UTC lifted GBP/USD about 30 pips, from the pre-data low at 1.3329 through the Asian high at 1.3335, to a jobs high of 1.3359. London has since held a tight range, with the range floor at 1.3345 tested five times; that floor sits on the 23.6% fib of the Monday low–jobs high leg. RSI(14) has cooled to ~66 and ATR(14) is near 6 pips.
Support: 1.3345, 1.3335, 1.3329
Resistance: 1.3359, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the range floor at 1.3345 exposes the Asian high at 1.3335
Loss of the pre-data low at 1.3329 (50% fib of the Monday low–jobs high leg) undoes the jobs breakout
Acceptance above the jobs high at 1.3359 puts the Friday high at 1.3371 in play
US housing starts/permits 12:15–14:00 UTC during NY hours, and UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT, could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, consolidating after data spike · RSI 64 · price 1.33505
Breakout above Asian range, tight post-data range 1.3345–1.3359.
GBP spiked ~30 pips at 06:00 UTC on the UK jobs beat (ILO 4.7% vs 4.9%), clearing the Asian high at 1.3335 and Monday's prior high at 1.3342 to print a spike high at 1.3359. Since London open, price has held a tight range above the london low at 1.3345, a shallow pullback near the 23.6% fib, with RSI(14) cooling to ~64.
Support: 1.33451, 1.33417, 1.33353
Resistance: 1.33586, 1.3371
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3345 london low exposes the 1.3342 prior high and 1.3335 Asian high as retest zones
Break of the 1.3359 spike high opens the 1.3371 Friday high
US housing starts/permits 12:15–14:00 UTC and Wed 06:00 GMT UK CPI could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, cooling after data spike · RSI 65 · price 1.33475
Asian range break; post-spike lower highs.
The 06:00 UTC UK jobs beat, with unemployment at 4.7% against a 4.9% forecast, lifted cable out of the 1.3309–1.3335 Asian range. It cleared Monday's 1.3342 prior high and printed a 1.3359 session high. Early London has since carved out a series of lower highs, and price is holding near the 38.2% fib and the 1.3345 swing low, with RSI(14) cooled to ~65 as weak claimant-count details temper the move.
Support: 1.33451, 1.33417, 1.33353
Resistance: 1.33538, 1.33586
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3345 swing low exposes the 1.3342 prior high and the 50% fib at 1.3343
Close back below the 1.3335 asian high unwinds the jobs-data breakout
Close above the 1.3354 lower high, then the 1.3359 session high, breaks the pullback sequence
US housing starts/permits at 12:30 UTC; UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC is the larger event risk
07:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back after data spike · RSI 59 · price 1.3346
London breakout above Asian range and Monday high, now retracing with lower highs.
The UK jobs beat (ILO 4.7% vs 4.9%) at the London open lifted cable from the 1.3328 spike base through the Asian high near 1.3335 and Monday's high at 1.3342 to a 1.3359 session high. Price has since faded on the softer claimant details, with lower highs capping near 1.3355 and the pullback sitting on the 38.2% of the jobs spike fib around 1.3347, about 90 minutes into London.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3335, 1.3328
Resistance: 1.3355, 1.3359
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3342 Monday high turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the 1.3335 Asian high
Loss of the 1.3328 spike base would erase the jobs-data move
Reclaim of the 1.3355 lower highs and the 1.3359 session high resumes the breakout leg
US housing starts and permits at 12:30 UTC during NY hours, with UK CPI Wed 06:00 UTC as the larger risk to this read
Breakout above Asian high and prior high, first pullback.
The 06:00 GMT UK jobs beat (ILO 4.7% vs 4.9%) on a soft USD drove GBPUSD through the 1.3335 Asian high and yesterday's 1.3342 prior high to a 1.3359 session high. The first pullback is holding above the 1.3345 spike low near the 23.6% fib as London opens, with RSI(14) cooling to 67 and price still inside the Asian uptrend.
Support: 1.33454, 1.33417, 1.33353
Resistance: 1.33586, 1.3405
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3342 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 1.3335 Asian high puts the 38.2–50% fib zone (1.3340–1.3334) and the asia uptrend line in play
Close above the 1.3359 session high clears the 1.3360 range top and opens 1.3405 res
US housing starts 12:30 UTC and UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive leg pausing · RSI 72 · price 1.33526
London-open breakout above Asian range, first pullback holding.
The UK jobs beat at 06:00 GMT drove a 30-pip London-open breakout from the 1.3309–1.3335 Asian range to a session high at 1.3359, clearing Monday's prior high at 1.3342. The first pullback is holding 1.3351 with RSI(14) cooling to ~72, and the softer USD tone is adding support.
Support: 1.33506, 1.33417, 1.33353
Resistance: 1.33586, 1.3405
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3351 pullback low exposes the 1.3342 prior high and the fib 38.2% near 1.3347
An M15 close back below the 1.3335 asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
A close above the 1.3359 session high opens the path to 1.3405 resistance
Loss of the asian uptrend line would end the higher-low sequence
US housing starts at 12:30 UTC, and UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT, could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive after UK jobs data · RSI 79 · price 1.33564
London open broke above Asian range and Monday's prior high; HL chain intact since Asia.
The 06:00 UTC UK labour beat (ILO unemployment 4.7% vs 4.9%) lifted price from the 1.3328 pre-data low through the 1.3335 Asian high and Monday's 1.3342 prior high to a 1.3359 session high, extending the Asia-London leg on a soft USD. RSI(14) near 79 is stretched after a roughly 30-pip move against a 5-pip ATR, and the rising Asia trendline sits well below price.
Support: 1.33417, 1.33353, 1.33281
Resistance: 1.33586, 1.3405
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 1.3359 session high, just under the 1.3360 range top, puts the 1.3342 prior high in focus for a retest
M15 close above 1.3360 opens the path to 1.3405 resistance
M15 close back below the 1.3335 Asian high returns price to the pre-data range and exposes the 1.3328 pre-data low
Break of the Asia trendline ends the higher-low chain from the Asian session
US ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) and housing starts (12:30 UTC) in early NY hours could shift USD tone; UK CPI Wed 06:00 GMT is the larger event risk
Cable built higher lows through the Asia session along the Asia trendline from 1.3309. The 06:00 GMT UK jobs release then drove a 21-pip bar that cleared the asian high at 1.3335 and the prior high at 1.3342, printing a spike high at 1.3349. RSI(14) sits near 74 and ATR is about 4.4 pips, with London open the first test of whether price holds above the prior high.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3335, 1.3328
Resistance: 1.3349, 1.3360
What it said to watch
A return below the 1.3342 prior high turns the jobs breakout into a false break
Loss of the 1.3328 spike base and the Asia trendline would unwind the post-data move toward the asian high and the 38.2% fib
A close above the 1.3349 spike high opens the 1.3360 range top
US housing starts and permits at 12:30 UTC are today's next scheduled risk; Wednesday's UK CPI is the larger one
06:16 UTC
Uptrend, spiking at London open · RSI 75 · price 1.33419
Asia higher-low chain from 1.3309; jobs bar broke the Asian high and prior high.
GBP/USD ground higher through the Asia session in a higher-low chain off 1.3309 as the USD softened. The 06:00 GMT UK jobs bar then broke the asian high at 1.3335 and yesterday's London prior high at 1.3342, printing a spike high at 1.3345. RSI(14) is near 75 and price is now sitting on the old prior high.
Support: 1.33417, 1.33353, 1.33289
Resistance: 1.33449, 1.3360
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 1.3342 prior high would turn the jobs spike into a false break
A drop through the 1.3335 asian high and the 1.3329 pre-data low would erase the release move and break the Asia trendline
Acceptance above the 1.3345 spike high puts the 1.3360 range top in view
A pullback toward the 50–61.8% zone of the asia rally fib (1.3327–1.3323) would test the Asia structure
US ADP and housing starts at 12:15–12:30 UTC could shift this read during NY hours
Asia HH/HL climb stalling into tight shelf under Asia high.
Asia session ground higher from 1.3311 to an Asia high at 1.3335, retracing ~79% of Monday's 1.3342–1.3299 drop on a softer USD. Since 04:00 UTC the climb has flattened into a 1.3330–1.3335 shelf, drifting under the Asian trendline with RSI(14) near 75, ahead of the 06:00 UTC UK jobs print.
Support: 1.3330, 1.33252, 1.32986
Resistance: 1.33353, 1.33417
What it said to watch
UK jobs at 06:00 UTC lands on the next bar; pay vs the 3.6% ex-bonus forecast could break the 1.3290–1.3360 range either way
M15 close above the monday high at 1.3342 erases Monday's drop
Failure to hold the shelf low at 1.3330 exposes the 61.8% fib at 1.3325
Loss of 1.3325 puts the monday low near 1.3299 back in view
HH/HL chain since 23:15 UTC, testing range top below Monday high.
Asia session ground about 30 pips higher from 1.3304 in a clean HH/HL chain as the USD softened, and price now sits at the 1.3336 range top, just under the 1.3342 Monday high. RSI(14) near 78 is hot. ATR has compressed to roughly 3.6 pips ahead of UK jobs, with micro lows at 1.3331 holding each dip.
Support: 1.3331, 1.33256, 1.3309
Resistance: 1.33365, 1.33417
What it said to watch
UK jobs/earnings at 06:00 UTC (15 min) could materially shift this read. Pre-data ATR of ~3.6 pips understates the likely move
M15 close above the 1.3342 Monday high breaks the range top and extends the Asia leg
Close below the 1.33256 swing low breaks the HL chain and exposes the 38.2% Asia leg fib near 1.3324
Loss of the 1.3309 asia base would reverse the whole overnight advance
US housing starts at 12:30 UTC are a secondary USD-side risk
Asia HH/HL chain off NY low, flattening under prior high.
Asia rallied about 36 pips off the 1.3299 NY low in a steady HH/HL chain. Price is flattening at 1.3333, just under the 1.3335 asian high and Monday's 1.3342 prior high, with RSI(14) near 81 and price slipping under the asia trendline. Sterling's firm tone and a soft USD drove the move, and the window ends 45 minutes before the 06:00 UTC UK jobs print. Price sits inside the 1.3290–1.3360 range flagged in the digest.
Support: 1.33256, 1.3309, 1.32986
Resistance: 1.3335, 1.33417, 1.3360
What it said to watch
UK jobs/earnings at 06:00 UTC (ex-bonus pay f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 1.3342 prior high breaks Monday's range, with the 1.3360 range top next
Loss of the 1.3326 swing low after the asia trendline gave way exposes the 50% fib near 1.3317 and the 1.3309 asian low
Close back below the 1.3299 ny low unwinds the whole Asia rally
Higher-low chain from Asia low; tight compression under Asia high.
Asia session ground higher from the 1.3309 Asia low in a steady higher-low chain, on a softer USD. Price has retraced about 78.6% of Monday's 1.3342–1.3299 decline and is now compressing just under the 1.3335 Asia high. RSI(14) near 82 is stretched into the London open, with UK jobs data landing at 06:00 UTC.
Support: 1.3331, 1.3309, 1.3299
Resistance: 1.3335, 1.3342
What it said to watch
UK jobs and earnings at 06:00 UTC, just ahead of London open, could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 1.3342 Monday high clears the prior session range top and the decline fib
Break of the Asia trendline near 1.3331 puts the 1.3309 Asia low back in focus
Failure to hold 1.3299 (Monday low) confirms a lower-low and unwinds the Asian advance
Asia HH/HL chain from 1.3309, now at session high below Monday high.
The Asia session ground higher in a clean HH/HL chain from the 1.3309 pullback low to a 1.3334 Asia high. That leg has retraced most of Monday's NY slide from the 1.3342 Monday high to the 1.3299 Monday low, with USD soft below DXY 102.00. RSI(14) near 82 is stretched on low Asian ranges (ATR ~4 pips) heading into UK jobs.
Support: 1.3326, 1.3309, 1.3299
Resistance: 1.3334, 1.3342, 1.3360
What it said to watch
UK jobs and earnings at 06:00 UTC (pay f/c 3.6% ex-bonus) could materially shift this read within the hour
M15 close above the 1.3342 Monday high puts the 1.3360 range top in play
Failure to hold the 1.3326 swing low breaks the Asia HH/HL chain; the 50–61.8% zone of the Asia leg sits near 1.3321–1.3318
Loss of the 1.3309 pullback low unwinds the Asia leg back toward the 1.3299 Monday low
Steady higher-low chain through Asia, pressing the Asian high.
Asia has unwound Monday's NY slide to the 1.3299 prior low. A clean higher-low chain off the 1.3309 Asian low has carried price to the 1.3334 Asian high, about 79% back into the 1.3342–1.3299 drop, as the USD softened. RSI(14) near 79 is hot, and ATR is under 4 pips in thin late-Asia trade ahead of UK jobs data.
Support: 1.3328, 1.3309, 1.3299
Resistance: 1.3334, 1.3342, 1.3360
What it said to watch
UK jobs and earnings at 06:00 UTC, before London open, could materially shift this read
Close above the 1.3342 prior high opens the 1.3360 range top
Break of the 1.3328 swing low and the Asia trendline ends the higher-low chain; the 1.3309 Asian low is next below
An Asia rally lifted GBPUSD about 35 pips off the 1.3296 rollover low in a steady higher-low chain. It recovered Monday's NY slide and is now pressing toward the 1.3336 prior cap, with the 1.3342 Monday high just above. RSI(14) near 76 is stretched but consistent with the grind, on a softer USD ahead of UK jobs.
Support: 1.3326, 1.3309, 1.3296
Resistance: 1.3336, 1.3342, 1.3360
What it said to watch
UK jobs/earnings at 06:00 UTC, ahead of London open, could materially shift this read in either direction
A close above the 1.3336 prior cap and 1.3342 Monday high opens the 1.3360 range top
Failure to hold the 1.3326 higher low stalls the Asia climb
A break below the 1.3309 Asia pivot (near the 50% retrace) unwinds the rally toward the 1.3296 rollover low
HH/HL chain off the 1.3296 rollover low, now testing Monday's London swing area.
Asia session ran a clean HH/HL climb from the 1.2996 rollover low to 1.3331 as USD softened, recovering most of Monday's NY slide. RSI(14) is running hot near 74 and ATR is a narrow ~4 pips. Price is pressing the 1.3336 prior swing, with Monday's London prior high at 1.3342 above.
Support: 1.33256, 1.3311, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.33365, 1.33417, 1.3360
What it said to watch
UK jobs data at 06:00 UTC (09:00 broker; f/c 4.9% unemployment, 3.6% ex-bonus pay) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 1.3342 prior high clears Monday's London top and opens the 1.3360 range top
Failure to hold the 1.3326 micro low breaks the Asia trendline and exposes the 1.3311 asia pivot, then 1.3300 psych
Higher-low chain off rollover low, testing Monday's London-open area.
The Asia session has retraced most of Monday's drop. Price climbed from the 1.3296 rollover low to an Asia high at 1.3331 on a clean higher-low chain along the Asia trendline, with RSI(14) near 73 as USD softened. Price is now back at Monday's London-open area below the Monday high at 1.3342, with ATR(14) only about 4 pips ahead of UK jobs.
Support: 1.33256, 1.3315, 1.32986
Resistance: 1.33308, 1.33417
What it said to watch
UK jobs and earnings at 06:00 UTC (about 2h) can override the Asia structure; a sharp range expansion from the ~4-pip ATR is likely
An M15 close below the Asia trendline and the 1.3326 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the Asia shelf near 1.3315
A close above the Asia high, then the Monday high at 1.3342, opens the upper half of the 1.3290–1.3360 range
Failure to hold the Monday low at 1.3299 would confirm a lower low
03:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below Asian high · RSI 67 · price 1.33261
Asia HH/HL chain off 1.3304; price capped near the 61.8% retrace of Monday's drop.
Asia session built a steady HH/HL climb from 1.3304 to the 1.3330 Asian high as USD softened on Fed-pause pricing, recovering most of Monday's NY slide. Price is stalling at the 61.8% fib of the 1.3342 prior high to 1.3299 prior low drop. RSI(14) is near 67 and ATR is about 4 pips, with late Asia drifting into the London open.
Support: 1.33252, 1.3311, 1.32986
Resistance: 1.33296, 1.33417
What it said to watch
UK jobs and earnings at 06:00 UTC (about 2h out) can sharply exceed the current ~4-pip ATR and reset this read
M15 close above the 1.3330 Asian high opens the 1.3342 prior high
Loss of the 1.3311 swing low breaks the Asia trendline and HL chain, exposing the 1.3299 prior low
Repeated failure at the 61.8% fib keeps Monday's drop in a corrective-bounce read
HH/HL chain off the 1.3296 asia low, pressing the 1.3330 asia high.
The Asia rally off the 1.3296 asia low broke the flat NY range at the 1.3317 breakout and has stepped higher along a rising trendline. Price is now testing the 1.3330 asia high, just under yesterday's 1.3342 london high, as USD softened on Fed-pause pricing; RSI(14) near 78 is stretched on bars averaging only ~4 pips.
Support: 1.3317, 1.3309, 1.3296
Resistance: 1.3330, 1.3342, 1.3360
What it said to watch
UK jobs and earnings at 06:00 UTC (09:00 broker) could materially shift this read; the digest flags an outsized reaction either way.
An M15 close above the 1.3342 london high clears yesterday's session top and opens the 1.3360 range top.
A break of the rising trendline and the 1.3317 breakout undoes the Asia advance.
Failure to hold the 1.3309 swing low exposes the 1.3296 asia low.
Higher highs and higher lows off the rollover low, now under Monday's swing highs.
The Asia rally has climbed in steady higher lows from the 1.2996 rollover low to 1.3327, recovering Monday's NY-session drop as USD softened. RSI(14) is near 75. Price is pressing toward the 1.3335 swing high, with Monday's London prior high at 1.3342 above, ahead of UK jobs data.
Support: 1.3320, 1.3309, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3335, 1.3342
What it said to watch
UK jobs at 06:00 UTC (pay vs 3.6% ex-bonus) could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 1.3320 higher low breaks the Asian HH/HL chain
Loss of the 1.3309 swing low (61.8% of the Asia rally fib) puts 1.3300 psych back in play
Close above the 1.3335 swing high exposes the 1.3342 prior high
03:01 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows through Asia · RSI 73 · price 1.33231
HH/HL chain in Asia after Monday's NY lower low; price testing the 61.8% retrace.
Asia has lifted GBPUSD from the 1.3300 area to 1.3323 in a clean higher-low chain. The move has retraced most of Monday's NY slide from the 1.3342 London session high to the 1.3299 NY low. Price is now pressing the 61.8% fib at 1.3325, with RSI(14) near 73 and ATR around 4 pips, ahead of UK jobs data.
Support: 1.3317, 1.3309, 1.32986
Resistance: 1.33252, 1.3330, 1.33417
What it said to watch
Close above the 61.8% fib at 1.3325 opens the 1.3330 round number and the 1.3342 London session high
Break of the Asia trendline and the 1.3317 breakout level would stall the higher-low chain; below the 1.3309 Asian low the bounce unwinds toward the 1.3299 NY low
UK labour data at 06:00 UTC (ILO f/c 4.9%, ex-bonus pay f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows through Asia · RSI 74 · price 1.3322
Asia higher-low chain retracing Monday's NY selloff, pressing the session high.
Asia session has climbed from the 1.3304 Asia low in a higher-low sequence, with the 1.3309 Asia HL holding. Price is now at the 1.3322 session high, just under the 61.8% retrace of Monday's 1.3342–1.3299 selloff, as GBP stays firm into UK jobs data. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but not stretched, and the 1.3328 NY pivot that capped Monday's breakdown sits directly overhead.
Support: 1.3309, 1.3304, 1.3299
Resistance: 1.3328, 1.3342
What it said to watch
UK labour data at 06:00 UTC (09:00 broker), ~3h out, could materially shift this read
An M15 close above the 1.3328 NY pivot opens the 1.3342 Monday high
A break of the Asia trendline and the 1.3309 Asia HL puts the 1.3304 Asia low and 1.3299 Monday low back in focus
Rejection at the 61.8% retrace near 1.3325 would turn the Asia advance into a lower-high retest
02:31 UTC
Intraday rebound off 1.3300, short-term momentum hot · RSI 73 · price 1.33198
Asia higher lows after a false break of 1.3300; price at the 50% retrace of the London-NY sell-off.
Firmer USD and higher yields pushed the pair from the 1.33417 day high to a false break below 1.3300 psych, bottoming at the 1.32964 window low at rollover. Asia has built higher lows, with the 1.3309 asia hl the latest, and lifted price to the 50% retrace near 1.3320. RSI(14) sits near 73 and the fib 61.8 at 1.33244 is the next cap.
Support: 1.3309, 1.3300, 1.32964
Resistance: 1.33244, 1.33282, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the fib 61.8 at 1.33244 puts the ny lower hi at 1.33282, then the 1.33417 day high, in play
Break below the 1.3309 asia hl breaks the rising support and reopens 1.3300 psych
Loss of 1.3300 psych exposes the 1.32964 window low
UK labour data at 06:00 UTC (unemployment f/c 4.9%, ex-bonus pay f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read
Asian range 1.3309–1.3318 at the 38.2% fib, higher lows since rollover.
Monday's fade from the 1.3342 London high ran through 1.3300 psych in NY as US yields rebounded, but the break failed and price reclaimed the level. A 7-pip Tokyo-open pop now holds an Asian range under the 1.3318 Asian high, at the 38.2% fib, with higher lows building at 1.3309 ahead of UK jobs.
Support: 1.3309, 1.3300, 1.3296
Resistance: 1.3318, 1.3335, 1.3342
What it said to watch
UK labour data at 06:00 UTC could break the Asian range; firm pay data puts the 1.3335 london cap and the 1.3342 monday high in play
M15 close above the 1.3318 asian high clears the 38.2% fib and opens the 50% at 1.3320 and then 1.3335
Loss of the 1.3309 higher low and the higher-lows line returns focus to 1.3300 psych and the 1.3296 monday low
A clean close below the 1.3296 monday low would turn the 1.3300 false break into a confirmed lower-low
Monday's London high at 1.3342 gave way to a NY session slide to the 1.3299 NY low on a firmer USD and rebounding yields. Price then based near the 1.3300 round number. The Asia session has lifted off a 1.3309 Asia base to a 1.3317 Asia high, stalling near the 38.2% retrace of that London-NY fib leg with RSI(14) at 64 and higher lows intact.
Support: 1.3309, 1.3300, 1.32986
Resistance: 1.33173, 1.3320, 1.33417
What it said to watch
UK labour data at 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read; ATR near 3.6 pips understates release volatility
M15 close above the 1.3320 breakdown area reclaims the NY sell-off origin and puts the 1.3342 London high back in view
Failure to hold the 1.3309 Asia base breaks the higher lows and exposes the 1.3300 round number and NY low
01:46 UTC
Recovering in Asia after Monday's NY sell-off · RSI 65 · price 1.3314
Tight Asian range 1.3309–1.3317 capped at the 38.2% retrace.
Monday's late-London day high at 1.3342 gave way in NY to a slide to the 1.3300 NY low. Asia popped at 00:00 UTC to a 1.3317 Asia high, the 38.2% retrace of that drop, and the pullback held the 1.3309 Asia dip low; UK jobs data lands at 06:00 UTC.
Support: 1.3309, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3317, 1.3342
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3317 Asia high clears the 38.2% retrace and puts the 1.3342 day high back in view
Break of the 1.3309 Asia dip low returns focus to the 1.3300 NY low
UK labour data at 06:00 UTC (unemployment f/c 4.9%, ex-bonus pay f/c 3.6%) could materially reset this range
01:31 UTC
Asia recovery inside Monday's range, momentum firm but not stretched · RSI 65 · price 1.33149
Higher lows off the rollover low; retest of the late-NY shelf held, capped below the NY breakdown area.
Early Asia: GBPUSD reclaimed 1.3300 after a thin rollover dip to the 1.3296 rollover low, and now sits just above the 38.2% fib of Monday's 1.3342→1.3296 selloff with RSI(14) near 65. The pullback to the 1.3309 asia base held as a retest of the 1.3303 ny shelf, while the 1.3317 asia high and the 1.3320 ny breakdown area cap the bounce.
Support: 1.3309, 1.3303, 1.32964
Resistance: 1.33173, 1.3320, 1.33417
What it said to watch
UK labour data at 06:00 UTC around the London open could materially shift this read. The digest frames 1.3300 as the floor and 1.3360 as the cap.
An M15 close above the 1.3320 ny breakdown and 50% fib opens a retest of the 1.3342 day high.
A break of the asia trendline and the 1.3309 asia base puts the 1.3303 ny shelf and the 1.3296 rollover low back in play.
Lower high at 1.3342 day high; Asia range 1.3296–1.3317.
Tuesday's Asia session pushed to an asia high of 1.3317, then the rejection came just short of the 50% fib of Monday's London-NY slide from the 1.3342 day high, leaving price at 1.3309 around flat EMAs. Monday's ny low at 1.3299 and the thin rollover low at 1.3296 hold the floor of a quiet base into UK jobs data, with ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 1.32986, 1.32964
Resistance: 1.33173, 1.33417
What it said to watch
UK labour data at 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read; a break of the 1.3296–1.3317 Asia range is likely on the release
M15 close below the 1.3299 ny low and 1.3296 rollover low confirms a lower-low below 1.3300
Close above the 1.3317 asia high and the 50% fib near 1.3320 reopens 1.3342 day high
Lower highs from 1.3342 broken; Asia breakout above NY range.
Monday's drop ran in lower highs from the 1.3342 monday high to the 1.3299 monday low in NY, with GBP range-bound against a steadier USD. The 00:00 UTC Asia bar broke the falling trendline and the 1.3300–1.3312 NY range, stalling at the 1.3317 asia high just above the 38.2% fib of the Monday drop.
Support: 1.3312, 1.3299
Resistance: 1.3317, 1.3325, 1.3342
What it said to watch
Holding the ny range top at 1.3312 keeps the breakout intact. A slip back below it reopens the 1.3299 monday low.
A close above the 1.3325 61.8 fib clears Monday's London breakdown zone and opens the path to the 1.3342 monday high.
UK labour data at 06:00 UTC (unemployment f/c 4.9%, wages ex-bonus f/c 3.6%) could materially shift this read around London open.
Asia breakout from flat base, stalling at 38.2% retrace.
Monday's NY session unwound the London rally from the 1.3342 prior high to a 1.3299 prior low, as the USD firmed on higher yields. Asia lifted off the 1.3305–1.3309 asia shelf at the open to a 1.3317 session high, which sits on the 38.2% retrace. RSI(14) is near 72 after the jump, with the ny pivot at 1.3328 overhead.
Support: 1.3309, 1.32986
Resistance: 1.33173, 1.33282, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3317 session high opens the 50% retrace at 1.3320 and the 1.3328 ny pivot
Slip back below the 1.3309 asia shelf negates the breakout and puts the 1.3299 prior low back in view
UK jobs and wages at 06:00 UTC could reset the range; a hot print brings the 1.3342 prior high into play
US housing data from 12:15–12:30 UTC is a secondary risk during NY hours
Lower highs through NY; Asia broke above overnight range, testing fib zone.
London open swept the Asian high near 1.3336 and stalled at the 1.3342 london high. NY hours then ground out lower highs to the 1.3299 ny low as the USD firmed on a 7bp rise in 10y yields. Asia has lifted off a flat 1.3300–1.3309 overnight range. The latest bar broke the 1.3309 overnight hi to 1.3317 with RSI(14) near 70, just under the 50% fib of the London-NY decline at 1.3320.
Support: 1.3309, 1.3299
Resistance: 1.3320, 1.3328, 1.3342
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3320 (50% fib, NY lower-high cap) opens the 1.3328 ny swing hi, then the 1.3342 london high
Slip back below the 1.3309 overnight hi returns price to the overnight range and fades the breakout
Failure to hold the 1.3299 ny low confirms a fresh intraday lower-low below 1.3300
UK labour data at 06:00 UTC (London open) could materially shift this read; the digest frames 1.3300 floor vs 1.3360 cap
Lower highs from 1.3342 London high; Asia recovery testing NY swing high.
Monday's London high at 1.3342 was rejected midday, and NY printed lower lows to 1.3299 as USD steadied on firmer yields. The 1.3300 round number held through the rollover low at 1.3296. Early Asia has lifted price back to 1.3309, just under the NY swing high at 1.3312 and the 38.2 fib at 1.3315.
Support: 1.3300, 1.32964
Resistance: 1.3312, 1.33151, 1.33417
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3315 (38.2 fib) breaks the lower-high sequence from the london high
Rejection at the 1.3312 ny swing hi keeps the NY range below the broken 1.3315 lows intact
Loss of the 1.3300 round number and the 1.3296 rollover low extends the lower-low chain
UK jobs data Tue 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read