GBP/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 28 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Range, drifting off the session high · RSI 46 · price 1.32535
1.3240–1.3280 range after London break of Asian top; lower highs since NY high.
London broke above the Asian range top near 1.3247, with GBP firmed by hawkish BoE talk despite higher US yields. NY was rejected at the 1.3280 session high, and repeated tests of the 1.3275 range top were capped, leaving a lower-highs trendline. Price is flat at 1.3253 in thin Asia session trade, between the 50% and 61.8% retrace of the London leg and just above the 1.3249 session low.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3260, 1.3275, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3249 session low opens the 1.3240 swing low and a deeper retrace of the London leg
Recovery through the 1.3260 lower high and the lower-highs trendline puts the 1.3275 range top back in play
Close above the 1.3280 session high breaks the range
US JOLTS (Tue 14:00 UTC) and BoE Taylor (Tue 15:30 UTC) could materially shift this read later in the day
23:31 UTC
Intraday pullback from day high, flattening · RSI 40 · price 1.32533
Lower highs off 1.3280, compressing 1.3249–1.3257.
London broke the 1.3223–1.3247 Asian range higher. NY tagged the 1.3280 day high on the hawkish BoE read before a rejection, and the lower highs since have retraced the 1.3240–1.3280 NY leg to near its 78.6% fib. Price is now compressing between the 1.3249 evening low and the 1.3257 late high into the Asia open, with RSI(14) near 40 and ATR(14) about 4 pips.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3257, 1.3275, 1.3280
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.3249 evening low exposes the 1.3240 ny low, which would mark a full retrace of the NY leg.
A close back above the 1.3257 late high, then the 1.3275 lower high, would break the lower-high sequence; the 1.3280 day high sits just above.
US JOLTS at 14:00 UTC and BoE Taylor at 15:30 UTC Tuesday are the next catalysts likely to set the London/NY range.
23:01 UTC
Intraday drift lower after rejection at day high · RSI 44 · price 1.32545
Lower highs from 1.3280, compressing above 1.3249 swing low.
London broke above the 1.3223–1.3247 Asian range, and GBP's hawkish-BoE bid carried NY to a 1.3280 day high before rejection. Lower highs have followed, including a 1.3275 prior high and a 1.3260 lower high, all under the falling trendline. Price is now flat at 1.3254 in thin post-NY trade, just above the 1.3249 swing low and near the 61.8% of the NY swing fib.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3240, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3260, 1.3275, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3249 swing low exposes the 1.3240 NY low and the 78.6% NY swing fib zone
Close above the falling trendline and the 1.3260 lower high would break the lower-high sequence toward the 1.3275 prior high
Retest of the 1.3280 day high meets the Monday high cited in the digest as a resistance pivot
A slide back through 1.3247 into the Asian range would open the 1.3223 Asian low
Tuesday's JOLTS (14:00 UTC), BoE Taylor (15:30 UTC) and Fedspeak could materially shift this read once Asia's thin range gives way
22:46 UTC
Sideways, fading from session high · RSI 48 · price 1.32553
Lower highs off 1.3280, holding above 1.3249.
London broke the Asian range early and NY spiked to a session high at 1.3280 on the hawkish BoE (Ramsden) read. That spike was rejected and faded into a chain of lower highs. Price is flat near 1.3255 after the NY close, sitting on the 61.8% fib of the 1.3240–1.3280 swing, with the late low at 1.3249 holding.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3260, 1.3280
What it said to watch
Break below the 1.3249 late low exposes the 1.3240 ny low and the 78.6% fib
M15 close above the 1.3260 lower high neutralises the post-spike fade
Session high 1.3280 is the cap from the rejection; a break would signal crowded GBP shorts being squeezed
US JOLTS and Fedspeak from Tue 14:00 UTC, plus BoE Taylor at 15:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs off 1.3280 session high, holding above 1.3249 NY low.
London broke above the Asian range top near 1.3247 on hawkish BoE Ramsden comments, and NY extended to a 1.3280 session high before fading into lower highs. Late NY held the 1.3249 NY low near the 78.6% fib of the 1.3240 swing low to 1.3280 leg, and price is flat around the 61.8% level in thin post-close trade.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3263 lower high reopens the 1.3280 session high
Failure at the 1.3249 NY low exposes the 1.3240 swing low and the old Asian range top
Tuesday JOLTS, Fedspeak and BoE Taylor at 15:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Intraday up leg faded, drifting lower · RSI 40 · price 1.32538
Lower highs off 1.3280, tight coil above 1.3249 late low.
London broke above the Asian range (1.3223–1.3247) on hawkish BoE talk from Ramsden. The 1.3280 day high was rejected mid-NY, and the session then printed lower highs into the close. Price is now compressing just above the 1.3249 late low, between the 38.2% and 50% of the day move fib, with RSI(14) near 40 and the rising lows line from the 1.3240 NY low still intact.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3240, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3260, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3249 late low and the rising lows line exposes the 1.3240 NY low, then the 1.3223 asian low
Recovery above the 1.3260 lower high re-opens a test of the 1.3280 day high
Tuesday JOLTS, heavy Fedspeak and BoE Taylor at 15:30 UTC could reset this range; the Asia session is typically thin
21:46 UTC
Intraday range, fading from day high · RSI 36 · price 1.32533
Lower highs off 1.3280; late NY low 1.3249 holding.
London broke above the Asian range (1.3223–1.3247) on hawkish BoE talk from Ramsden. NY swept to the 1.3240 sweep low, reclaimed it, then printed a rejection at the 1.3280 day high. A lower-high sequence has since faded price into the 61.8–78.6% zone of that NY leg fib, with the late NY low at 1.3249 holding in thin post-NY trade.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3240, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3260, 1.3275, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3249 late ny low exposes the 1.3240 sweep low
Loss of 1.3240 returns price inside the Asian range, toward the 1.3223 asia low
Recovery above the 1.3260 lower high reopens the 1.3275 prior highs and 1.3280 day high
Oil/US-Iran headlines in Asia hours; Tue JOLTS 14:00 UTC and Fedspeak could shift this read
21:31 UTC
Intraday fade from day high, lower highs · RSI 38 · price 1.32536
Lower highs below 1.3280 inside a 1.3240–1.3280 day range.
London broke the 1.3231–1.3247 Asian range on the hawkish BoE (Ramsden) read, and NY chopped between the 1.3240 NY low and the 1.3280 day high. The day high was rejected, and price has since printed lower highs into the post-NY lull. It now sits on the 1.3249 late NY low, near the 61.8% retracement of the day rally, with both EMAs overhead.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3240, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3260, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3249 late NY low opens the 1.3240 NY low, then the 1.3231 asian low
Reclaim of the 1.3260 lower high neutralises the fade and puts the 1.3280 day high back in play
Thin Asian session conditions; Tue US JOLTS 14:00 UTC and BoE Taylor 15:30 UTC could reset the day range
21:16 UTC
London up-leg fading, lower highs since the NY peak · RSI 46 · price 1.32535
1.3240–1.3280 range after London broke the Asian high; lower highs into a quiet post-NY drift.
London broke above the Asian range near 1.3247 on the hawkish BoE tone. NY then printed a day high at 1.3280, but supply capped the 1.3275 NY highs and a run of lower highs pulled price back to 1.3253, between the 61.8% and 78.6% levels of the 1.3240–1.3280 swing fib. Post-NY trade is compressing just above the 1.3249 late-NY low, with RSI(14) at 46 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3259, 1.3275, 1.3280
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.3249 late-NY low exposes the 1.3240 swing low and a full 78.6%+ retrace of the swing fib
A close back above the 1.3259 lower high reopens the 1.3275 NY highs and the 1.3280 day high
A break above the 1.3280 day high invalidates the range read
US JOLTS (Tue 14:00 UTC) and BoE Taylor (Tue 15:30 UTC) could reset the range
20:46 UTC
Intraday range, late-NY fade into lower third · RSI 40 · price 1.32504
London broke the Asian range higher; 1.3240–1.3280 range since, lower highs through late NY.
London open broke the Asian range higher on hawkish BoE rhetoric. Four tests of the 1.3275 range top and 1.3280 session high were rejected as US yields firmed. Late NY has printed lower highs back to the fib 61.8 of the London leg at 1.3249, with price below both EMAs and RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3240, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3260, 1.3275, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3249 (fib 61.8) exposes the ny low at 1.3240
Loss of 1.3240 breaks the London-NY range floor, with the asian low at 1.3221 the next reference
Close above the 1.3260 lower high and the lower-highs line neutralises the late-NY fade, reopening the 1.3275 range top and 1.3280 session high
Thin Asia session conditions ahead; US JOLTS and BoE Taylor on Tuesday could shift this read
20:31 UTC
Intraday up-leg fading, lower highs since NY spike · RSI 39 · price 1.32514
London breakout above Asian range, then 1.3240–1.3280 range; late-NY lower-high/lower-low drift.
London cleared the Asian high near 1.3247 and ran to a 1.3280 session high as hawkish BoE headlines lifted GBP. Two NY tests of 1.3275–1.3280 met rejection, and a lower-high chain has since pulled price back to the 1.3249 swing low. That low sits at the 61.8% retrace of the London rally, with RSI(14) near 39 and price below both EMAs late in the NY session.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3245, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3259, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3245 Asian high returns price to the Asian range and exposes the 1.3240 NY low
M15 close above the 1.3259 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and neutralises the fade
Thin liquidity into the Asia session; US-Iran or oil headlines can still jolt USD and yields
BoE Taylor Tue 15:30 UTC is the next scheduled GBP catalyst
20:16 UTC
Intraday rally fading, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 43 · price 1.32516
Lower-high sequence from 1.3280, testing 61.8% of the day's advance.
GBP broke above the Asian range at London open on hawkish BoE rhetoric, but the 1.3275–1.3280 session high capped three times, the last a NY spike to 1.3280. Since then a steady run of lower highs has pulled price back to 1.3250, the 61.8% fib of the day's advance, with RSI(14) at 43 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3240, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3259, 1.3278
What it said to watch
M15 close above the lower highs trendline near 1.3259 invalidates the pullback read
Failure to hold the 61.8% fib at 1.3249 exposes the ny spike low at 1.3240
A break of 1.3240 turns the triple rejection at the session high into a reversal structure, with the pre-ldn low at 1.3231 next
Oil and US-Iran headlines during the Asia session could materially shift this read
After a small weekend gap lower, London broke the Asian range top near 1.3247, and NY extended to a 1.3280 day high on the hawkish BoE read. Three tests of 1.3275–1.3280 met rejection, and late NY has printed lower highs back to a 1.3253 swing low. Price sits between the 50% fib and 61.8% of the NY rally, below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 1.32533, 1.32452, 1.32403
Resistance: 1.32601, 1.32692, 1.32799
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3253 swing low extends the lower-low chain toward the ny low at 1.3245 and the 1.3240 spike low
Reclaim of the 50% fib at 1.3260 and a break of the 1.3269 lower high negates the pullback read
Day high at 1.3280 is the level that capped three NY tests
Tue JOLTS 14:00 UTC and BoE Taylor 15:30 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts; thin Asia session until then
19:46 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, drifting lower late NY · RSI 48 · price 1.3258
1.3240–1.3280 day range; lower highs from the 1.3280 session high.
London broke out of the 1.3221–1.3247 Asian range as hawkish comments from BoE's Ramsden lifted GBP. Price has since been capped at the range top near 1.3275 and the 1.3280 session high, with a NY sweep low at 1.3240 absorbed. Late NY is printing lower highs, most recently 1.3269, with price hovering near the 50% retrace of the London rally and just above the 1.3253 late NY low.
Support: 1.3253, 1.3245, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3269, 1.3275, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close below the late NY low at 1.3253 extends the lower-high sequence toward the Asian high at 1.3245
Loss of the 1.3240 sweep low breaks the day's range to the downside
Close above the 1.3269 lower high and the range top at 1.3275 puts the 1.3280 session high back in play
Overnight US-Iran sanctions-relief or oil headlines could shift USD and reset this range
19:31 UTC
Intraday range, fading from session high · RSI 47 · price 1.32542
Lower highs off 1.3280 inside 1.3240–1.3280 range.
London cleared the Asian high at 1.3247 after the weekend gap lower. NY printed the session high at 1.3280 on the hawkish BoE chorus, but that spike was rejected at the 1.3275 London high zone. Late in NY, price has stepped down through lower highs to 1.3254, sitting on the 1.3252 spike base just under the 61.8% retrace of the NY swing, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.3252, 1.3247, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3260, 1.3275, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3260 lower high breaks the descending trendline and reopens 1.3275–1.3280
Failure to hold the 1.3252 spike base exposes the 1.3247 Asian high, then the 1.3240 NY low
Close below the 1.3240 NY low turns the range read into a lower-low sequence
US-Iran sanctions-relief headlines could shift USD and this read quickly during thin post-NY hours
19:01 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, late-NY momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 1.32574
Asian range broken higher at London open; 1.3240–1.3280 range since, lower highs off the session high.
London cleared the 1.3221–1.3247 Asian range and GBPUSD has since chopped between 1.3240 and 1.3280. The NY spike to the 1.3280 session high on Iran sanctions-relief headlines was rejected, leaving lower highs at the 1.3275 twin highs and a 1.3269 lower high. Late NY price is testing the fib 61.8 of the 1.3240–1.3280 leg near 1.3255, with RSI(14) near 47 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 1.32555, 1.32516, 1.32403
Resistance: 1.32692, 1.32753, 1.32799
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3252 base lows exposes the 1.3240 ny low, the floor of the day's range
Recovery above the 1.3269 lower high reopens the 1.3275 twin highs; a close above the 1.3280 session high breaks the range
US-Iran headlines drove the 1.3280 spike and could move price again in thin post-NY trade
Tuesday JOLTS and the Fedspeak cluster fall outside the next few bars but could reset this range
18:47 UTC
Sideways, fading from session high · RSI 48 · price 1.32606
1.3240–1.3280 range since London open, lower highs forming late NY.
London cleared the 1.3223–1.3247 Asian range and price has since held a 1.3240–1.3280 range. Supply capped the 1.3275 range top four times, including the 1.3280 session high on the late sanctions-relief USD dip. After London close, lower highs at 1.3269 have pressed price into the 1.3260 late shelf, at the 50% level of the NY swing fib, with RSI(14) near 48.
Support: 1.3260, 1.3248, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3269, 1.3275, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3260 late shelf exposes the 1.3248 swing low and the 1.3240 NY low
Close through the lower highs trendline and above the 1.3275 range top reopens the 1.3280 session high
US-Iran sanctions headlines during Asia session could move USD sharply; JOLTS and BoE Taylor due Tue
18:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling into a range · RSI 57 · price 1.32662
Asian range broken higher at London open; NY chopping 1.3240–1.3280 below the session high.
Cable gapped down to 1.3221 at the weekly open on USD strength. London then broke the Asian range top near 1.3247, and NY printed a 1.3280 session high on hawkish BoE rhetoric before being rejected. After London close, price is compressing near 1.3265, holding above the 38.2% of the london rally fib, with twin highs at 1.3275 capping and the london low at 1.3249 underpinning a 1.3240–1.3280 intraday range.
Support: 1.3263, 1.3249, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3275, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3280 session high breaks the NY range top
Loss of the 1.3263 micro low puts the london low at 1.3249 back in play
Break below the 1.3240 ny low retraces most of the London rally and invalidates the intraday uptrend read
US JOLTS (14:00 UTC), BoE Taylor (15:30 UTC) and Fed Williams/Waller on Tue could shift this read
Wide 1.3240–1.3280 NY range above broken Asian high.
London open broke the Asian high at 1.3247 on the hawkish BoE read. NY has since chopped in a wide 1.3240–1.3280 band, with the 1.3280 day high and the 1.3275 ny highs rejecting late NY. Price is drifting at 1.3266 near the 38.2% of the london leg into the Asia session, with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.3260, 1.32472, 1.32403
Resistance: 1.3275, 1.32799
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3280 day high breaks the NY range to the upside
Loss of the 1.3260 pullback low (38.2% of the london leg) exposes the asian high at 1.3247 and the ny low at 1.3240
Tue US JOLTS and Fedspeak (Williams, Waller) and BoE Taylor could reset the range
After Monday's gap lower, London broke above the 1.3221–1.3247 Asian range as a hawkish BoE backdrop and Iran sanctions headlines trimmed the dollar. Late in NY, price is compressing under the 1.3275 range top and 1.3280 session high. It has printed a run of higher lows since the 1.3240 NY low on the rising trendline, with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.3260, 1.3247, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3275, 1.3280
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3280 session high breaks the range top and opens 1.3295
Loss of the 1.3260 higher low (50% fib) and the rising trendline shifts focus back to the 1.3247 asian high and 1.3240 ny low
US-Iran and oil headlines can move USD during Asia; next scheduled risk is Tuesday's US JOLTS and BoE Taylor
17:46 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, higher lows forming · RSI 51 · price 1.32653
1.3240–1.3280 session range; highs capped near 1.3280, higher lows since the 14:45 UTC NY low.
The Asia open gapped lower and the pair held above the 1.3221 asia low. London then cleared the Asian range high near 1.3247 as hawkish BoE rhetoric squeezed crowded GBP shorts, but repeated tests of 1.3275–1.3280 were rejected, including the 16:15 UTC spike to the 1.3280 session high. Since the 14:45 UTC ny low at 1.3240, NY hours show higher lows along the rising lows line, with 1.3260 (higher low, 50% of the 16:15 leg fib) holding. RSI(14) is neutral near 51.
Support: 1.3260, 1.3240, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3295
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3280 session high breaks the range cap and brings 1.3295 res into view
Loss of the 1.3260 higher low and the rising lows line puts the 1.3240 ny low back in play
A break below 1.3240 reopens the 1.3221 asia low
Tuesday's US JOLTS, heavy Fedspeak and BoE Taylor could materially shift this read
1.3240–1.3280 range since NY open; higher low at 1.3260 into range top.
GBP filled the weekend gap at London open on the hawkish BoE read. NY then swung inside 1.3240–1.3280, and the 16:15 UTC spike to the 1.3280 session high met rejection. The pullback held a higher low at 1.3260, the 50% fib of the rise from the NY low. Price is back at the range top after London close, with RSI(14) ~56 and ATR ~11 pips.
Support: 1.3260, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3295
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3280 session high opens the 1.3295 uob level
Loss of the 1.3260 higher low breaks the rising trendline and returns focus to the 1.3240 ny low
US-Iran/oil headlines, Tuesday JOLTS and BoE Taylor could materially shift this read
17:01 UTC
Range-bound after London rally, upper wicks at highs · RSI 52 · price 1.32633
Expanding range 1.3240–1.3280, wider swings each side.
GBP firmed on Ramsden's hawkish remarks. London lifted price off the sub-1.3235 Asian base into a wide 1.3240–1.3280 range that has held through NY hours. The 16:15 UTC spike to the 1.3280 session high was rejected straight back below the 1.3275 prior highs, and price now sits just above the ema20 near 1.3260 with RSI(14) neutral around 52.
Support: 1.3259, 1.3245, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3275, 1.3280
What it said to watch
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 1.3280 session high breaks the range top, with 1.3295 the next reference
Loss of the 1.3259 ema20 and the NY swing fib 61.8% at 1.3255 exposes the 1.3245 swing low
Failure to hold the 1.3240 ny low returns price toward the Asian range
16:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, fresh breakout after London close · RSI 64 · price 1.32728
London-NY range 1.3240–1.3275 broken higher; rising lows since Asia.
London capped GBP twice at the 1.3275 prior high, and the NY dip to the 1.3240 ny low held the rising lows line from the Asia open. The 16:15 UTC bar then broke above 1.3275 to a 1.3280 session high as BoE-hike talk from Ramsden kept sterling bid despite firmer US yields. Price is holding just above that break with RSI(14) at 64, not stretched; the 1.3252 break base marks the bar's origin.
Support: 1.3275, 1.3252, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3280, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3275 prior high would mark a false break and return price to the range
Clearance of the 1.3280 session high opens the 1.3300 round number
Loss of the 1.3252 break base and the 1.3240 ny low breaks the rising lows line
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could materially shift this read in thin late-NY liquidity
Tuesday's JOLTS and BoE Taylor speech are the next scheduled catalysts
16:31 UTC
Range after London rally, momentum neutral · RSI 47 · price 1.32541
1.3245–1.3275 range, double top at highs, NY lower highs.
London broke the Asian range top near 1.3247 and ran to 1.3275 on Ramsden's upside-inflation remarks. NY retested that high for a double top and was rejected, dipping to the 1.3240 ny low before recovering. Price now sits mid-range near 1.3254, at the 50% of the London leg fib, just under EMA20 and flat on EMA50, with NY lower highs capping after London close.
Support: 1.3245, 1.3240, 1.3222
Resistance: 1.3267, 1.3275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3267 lower high breaks the NY lower highs line and puts the 1.3275 double top back in play
Failure to hold the 1.3245 london lows and the 1.3240 ny low confirms the double top and exposes the 1.3222 asia low
Loss of the 50% London leg fib at 1.3253 shifts price into the lower half of the range
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Intraday range after London rally, momentum neutral · RSI 51 · price 1.32551
Double cap at 1.3275 session high, NY false break below 1.3245 recovered.
London broke above the Asian range on Ramsden's hawkish BoE remarks, but the 1.3275 session high capped twice. NY undercut the 1.3245 swing low to a 1.3240 NY low, the 78.6% of the London rally fib, and recovered. Price now sits near the 50% level around 1.3255, flat between EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) neutral at 51.
Support: 1.3245, 1.3240
Resistance: 1.3267, 1.3275
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3240 NY low turns the false break into a lower low
Reclaim of the 1.3267 midday high reopens the 1.3275 session high
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could shift the USD leg of this range
16:01 UTC
Range after London breakout, momentum neutral · RSI 47 · price 1.3255
1.3245–1.3275 London/NY range; the double top at the session high was rejected and the NY low swept then reclaimed.
London broke the Asian high near 1.3247 on Ramsden's hawkish remarks, then capped twice at the 1.3275 session high, a double top rejected in the first hour of NY. The drop swept below the range floor to the 1.3240 sweep low, which was reclaimed. Price is pinned on EMA50 near 1.3255, just under the 50% fib of the NY drop, with RSI(14) at 47.
Support: 1.3247, 1.3240, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3258, 1.3275
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3258 (50% fib) puts the 1.3275 session high back in play; a close above it breaks the double top
Loss of the 1.3240 sweep low re-opens the Asian range, with the asian low at 1.3221 below
Hold above the 1.3247 asian high keeps the London breakout structure intact
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could shift USD tone into the late NY session
15:46 UTC
Intraday range after London rally, momentum neutral · RSI 46 · price 1.32553
Range 1.3245–1.3275 since London; double rejection at day high, NY low swept and reclaimed.
London open ran from 1.3231 to the 1.3275 day high, helped by hawkish BoE rhetoric and a softer USD. The NY retest of that high was rejected, and the drop swept under the range floor to the 1.3240 NY low before recovering to 1.3255, near the 50% of the London rally fib.
Support: 1.3245, 1.3240, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3262, 1.3275
What it said to watch
A close back below the 1.3245 range floor and the 1.3240 NY low exposes the Asian low at 1.3221
A break above the 1.3262 Friday high brings the 1.3275 day high back in focus; a close above it ends the range read
Fed's Cook speaks at 17:15 UTC and could shift USD tone into the NY close
15:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 1.32501
Double top at 1.3275, NY rejection, testing London swing lows.
London broke the Asian range and ran from 1.3231 to 1.3275 on Ramsden's hawkish BoE comments. The NY push made only a marginal new high at 1.3275, forming a double top, then a sharp rejection took out the 1.3245 swing low to a 1.3240 ny low. Price is now back near 1.3250, around the 61.8% fib of the London move, below both EMAs with RSI(14) at 42.
Support: 1.3245, 1.3240, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3267, 1.3275
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3240 ny low confirms the double top and exposes the 1.3221 asian low
Recovery above the 1.3267 lower high negates the rejection and puts the 1.3275 double top back in play
Holding the 1.3245 swing low keeps the 61.8% fib retracement intact
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
15:01 UTC
Intraday range after London breakout, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 1.32519
London broke above the Asian range; NY high rejected, double top over 1.3245.
London broke out of the 1.3221–1.3247 Asian range, from the asian low, after Ramsden's hawkish BoE remarks. The first NY hour's marginal new session high at 1.3275 was rejected, leaving a double top over the 1.3245 neckline. Price sits on the 50% retrace of the London-NY leg near 1.3253, below the EMA20, with RSI(14) at 42.
Support: 1.3245, 1.3231, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3266, 1.3275
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3245 neckline confirms the double top and exposes the 1.3231 pre-London low
Recovery above the 1.3266 lower high negates the double-top read and reopens the 1.3275 session high
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could shift USD tone during NY hours
14:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 57 · price 1.3266
London breakout above Asian range, then 1.3245–1.3275 range with a flat top.
London broke out above the 1.3223–1.3247 Asian range on Ramsden's hawkish remarks and a softer USD. The London leg capped at the 1.3275 session high, and the 13:00 UTC dip retested the range floor near 1.3245 and held. Early NY pushed back to the session high, stalled less than a pip above it, and is holding 1.3266 over the ema20 with RSI(14) at 57.
Support: 1.3260, 1.3245, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3275, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3275 session high breaks the range top and opens 1.3300 round number
Loss of the ema20 near 1.3260 turns the flat 1.3275 top into a stalled retest
Close below the 1.3245 range floor negates the London breakout and exposes the 1.3223 asian low
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could shift USD tone within this session
Asian range broken higher at London open; 1.3245–1.3275 range since then, price at the top.
London broke the 1.3221–1.3247 Asian range and set a 1.3275 session high. Pullbacks held near the 61.8% retracement of the London leg and the 1.3245 range low. The first hour of NY reclaimed Friday's 1.3261 prior high and retested 1.3275, with a softer USD giving GBP room. RSI(14) sits near 58.
Support: 1.3261, 1.3245
Resistance: 1.3275, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3275 session high breaks the London-NY range and opens the path to the 1.3300 round number
A second failure at the 1.3275 session high leaves a double test there and keeps the range intact
Loss of the 1.3261 prior high reopens the 1.3245 range low; below that, the rising trendline support from the Asian lows comes into play
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could shift the USD tone during late NY hours
14:16 UTC
Intraday up from Asia, now stalling below the London high · RSI 55 · price 1.32628
Range 1.3245–1.3275 after London broke the Asian high; highs slipping.
After a weekend gap lower, London broke the Asian range high near 1.3247 and topped at the london high 1.32745. Price has since rotated inside 1.3245–1.3275: the london low at 1.3249 held, and NY opened with a dip to the ny low at 1.3245, near the 61.8% of the London rally fib. Buyers lifted price back to the ny high at 1.3271, where it stalled, a slight lower high below 1.32745, and price now sits just above the ema20 near 1.3259. GBP is getting support from hawkish BoE talk and a corrective USD pullback.
Support: 1.3259, 1.3249, 1.3245
Resistance: 1.3271, 1.32745
What it said to watch
M15 close above the london high at 1.32745 breaks the range to the upside
Loss of the ny low at 1.3245 breaks the range lower and puts price back toward the Asian range
Holding the ema20 at 1.3259 keeps price in the upper half of the range
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC today could shift USD tone into the NY afternoon
14:01 UTC
Sideways after London breakout, momentum fading · RSI 54 · price 1.32615
Lower highs inside a 1.3245–1.3275 box above the Asian range.
After a weekend gap lower, London broke the Asian range top near 1.3247 and ran to a 1.3275 session high as GBP firmed on hawkish BoE talk. Since then a lower high at 1.3267 and a NY-open dip to the 1.3245 ny low, which held near the 61.8% of the London leg, have compressed price into a consolidation; price is back at 1.3262, just above EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral at 54.
Support: 1.3245, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3267, 1.32745
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3267 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and reopens the 1.3275 session high
Failure to hold the 1.3245 ny low puts price back inside the Asian range, with the 1.3223 asian low next
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could shift USD tone late in NY; JOLTS Tue 14:00 UTC is the next scheduled US data risk
13:46 UTC
Intraday up, stalling below London high · RSI 54 · price 1.32623
Lower highs inside 1.3245–1.3275 after Asian range breakout.
London broke above the Asian high near 1.3247 and ran to the London high at 1.3275 on USD softness and Ramsden's hawkish remarks. Since then the session has capped at a lower high near 1.3267. Early NY dipped to 1.3245, retesting the Asian high just beyond the 61.8% of the London rally fib, and has recovered to 1.3262 with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.3245, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3267, 1.3275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3267 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and reopens the 1.3275 london high
Failure to hold the 1.3245 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range, with the 1.3221 asian low next
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could shift USD tone late in the NY session
13:31 UTC
Intraday fade from London high, RSI neutral-soft · RSI 42 · price 1.32487
Lower highs since London high, new session low at Asian range top.
The week opened with an 11-pip gap lower as USD firmed. London then broke above the 1.3221–1.3247 Asian range to a 1.3274 london high on a USD correction and Ramsden's hawkish remarks, but rejection there left a lower high at 1.3267. The early NY-hours drop to a 1.3245 session low undercut the 1.3249 intraday lows and returned price to the Asian range top, at the 61.8% fib of the London rally.
Support: 1.32452, 1.32312, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.32594, 1.32674, 1.32745
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3245 session low puts price back inside the Asian range and exposes the 1.3231 pre-ldn low
Failure to hold the 1.3231 pre-ldn low opens a move back toward the 1.3221 asian low and the gap-open level
Reclaim of the 1.3259 swing high, then a close above the 1.3267 lower high, breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 1.3274 london high back in focus
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could shift USD flows into the NY afternoon
London broke the Asian range high near 1.3247 and ran to a session high at 1.3275, helped by a softer USD and Ramsden's hawkish remarks. Since then price has chopped between the 1.3249 swing low, tested three times near the 61.8% fib, and a lower high at 1.3267 into the London-NY transition, with RSI(14) neutral around 46.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3267, 1.3275
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3249 swing low puts price back inside the Asian range and exposes the 1.3231 london low
M15 close above the 1.3267 lower high breaks the descending line and reopens the 1.3275 session high
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could shift USD tone during NY hours
13:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, rotating inside London range · RSI 47 · price 1.32532
Asian range break, then twin lows at 1.3249 and a lower high at 1.3267.
Monday opened on a gap lower to 1.3221, then London broke the Asian range high at 1.3247 and ran to a London high at 1.3275, helped by Ramsden's hawkish BoE remarks and a softer USD. Since then, twin lows at 1.3249 and a lower high at 1.3267 frame the range. Price sits near the range floor at the 50–61.8% fib into the first hour of NY, with RSI(14) neutral at 47.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3267, 1.3275
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3249 twin lows and 61.8% fib puts price back inside the Asian range, exposing the pre-ldn low at 1.3231
M15 close above the 1.3267 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 1.3275 London high
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could materially shift this read via USD rate expectations
London breakout above Asian range, now consolidating under lower highs.
London open cleared the Asian range high near 1.3247, and price ran about 43 pips from the 1.3231 rally base to a 1.3275 session high as the USD corrected and Ramsden's hawkish remarks supported GBP. The retest held the 1.3249 pullback low twice near the 61.8% of the London leg, and price is now coiling around the ema20 beneath a 1.3267 lower high into the NY open.
Support: 1.3258, 1.3249, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3267, 1.3275
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3267 lower high reopens the 1.3275 session high
Loss of the 1.3249 pullback low returns price to the prior Asian range and exposes the 1.3231 rally base
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC could materially shift this read during NY hours
12:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below London high · RSI 58 · price 1.32631
Post-breakout range 1.3249–1.3275 with lower highs.
London open broke the Asian range high near 1.3247 and ran to the 1.3275 London high on a USD correction and hawkish Ramsden remarks. The pullback held a roughly 61.8% retrace of the London rally at the 1.3249 double low. Early NY is boxed between the 1.3256 micro low and a 1.3267 lower high, with RSI(14) neutral near 57.
Support: 1.32565, 1.3249, 1.32312
Resistance: 1.32666, 1.32745
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3267 lower high reopens the 1.3275 London high; a break of the London high resumes the London rally
Failure to hold the 1.3249 double low puts price back inside the Asian range and exposes the 1.3231 London low
Fed Bowman (12:15 UTC, under way) and Cook at 17:15 UTC could materially shift this read via USD
Asian range breakout; retest held 1.3249 twice, lower high at 1.3266.
After a weekend gap lower, London broke above the Asian range (1.3221–1.3247) on a softer USD and ran to a session high at 1.3275. The pullback low at 1.3249, near the 61.8% fib of the London leg, held twice. Price now sits just above ema20 near 1.3258 and below a lower high at 1.3266 late in London, with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.3258, 1.3249, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3266, 1.32745, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3249 pullback low undoes the breakout retest and exposes the 1.3221 asian low
Close above the 1.3266 lower high and 1.3275 session high reopens the 1.3295–1.3300 round number area
Fed's Bowman (12:15 UTC) and Cook (17:15 UTC) during NY hours could shift USD and this read
Asian range break, 61.8% pullback held, higher low in place.
After the weekend gap lower, London broke the Asian range from the 1.3231 london base, cleared the friday high and set a 1.32745 session high on hawkish Ramsden comments and a softer USD. The pullback held a double low at 1.3249, near the 61.8% fib retracement and on rising-lows support. Price is now back on the friday high around 1.3263 late in London, with RSI neutral at 54.
Support: 1.3263, 1.3249, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.32745, 1.3300
What it said to watch
Fed's Bowman at 12:15 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read at the London-NY transition
M15 close above the 1.32745 session high extends the breakout toward the 1.3300 round number
Failure to hold the friday high at 1.3263 puts the 1.3249 double low back in focus
A break below 1.3249 and the rising-lows trendline negates the higher-low structure and exposes the 1.3231 london base
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC is a second USD risk during NY hours
London breakout above Asian range, higher low at 1.3249 retest.
After Sunday's gap lower, London broke the 1.3247 Asian high and Friday's 1.3263 high on Ramsden's hawkish remarks, then topped at the 1.3275 session high. The pullback held twice at the 1.3249 asian high, near the 61.8–66% level of the London leg fib. The latest bar reclaimed the ema20 near 1.3260, with RSI(14) in the mid-50s and ATR around 8 pips.
Support: 1.3260, 1.3249, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.32745, 1.3300
What it said to watch
A close back below the 1.3249 asian high turns the London breakout into a false break and exposes the 1.3231 pre-ldn low
Clearance of the 1.3275 session high opens the path to the 1.3300 psych level
Loss of the ema20 near 1.3260 puts the 1.3249 retest back in play
Fed's Bowman at 12:15 UTC and Cook at 17:15 UTC could materially shift this read into the NY session
11:31 UTC
London up-leg, now correcting · RSI 44 · price 1.32545
Pullback after the breakout, lower highs off 1.3275.
London broke above the 1.3221–1.3247 Asian range and Friday's 1.3263 high on Ramsden's hawkish remarks. The move peaked at the 1.3275 session high, then gave back about 25 pips to the 61.8% fib at 1.3249, which has held twice. Late London is now compressed between 1.3249 and a lower high at 1.3259, with RSI(14) near 44 and price just under EMA20.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3247, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3259, 1.3263, 1.3275
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3249 61.8% fib puts the asian high at 1.3247 on retest, then the 1.3231 london low
Close above the 1.3259 lower high breaks the lower-high line and reopens the friday high at 1.3263 and the 1.3275 session high
Fed's Bowman at 12:15 UTC, ahead of the NY open, could materially shift this read
London cleared the Asian high near 1.3247 and ran to a 1.3275 session high on hawkish BoE Ramsden comments and a softer USD. It then pulled back to retest the asian high at 1.3249, close to the 61.8% fib of the 1.3231–1.3275 London rally. Price now sits mid-London at 1.3256, flat on EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 52, capped below the Friday high at 1.3263.
Support: 1.3249, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3275
What it said to watch
Fed Bowman at 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read ahead of the NY open
M15 close back below the asian high at 1.3249 turns the retest into a false break and exposes the pre-ldn low at 1.3231
Close above the Friday high at 1.3263 reopens the 1.3275 session high
Loss of rising support from the pre-London low weakens the up-leg structure
11:01 UTC
Uptrend since London open, pulling back · RSI 56 · price 1.32571
Asian range break, pullback holding at the old range high.
London open broke the 1.3247 asian high and cleared Friday's 1.3263 high after Ramsden's hawkish remarks, then set a session high at 1.3275 before fading. The pullback held the asian high near the 61.8% of the London leg at 1.3249, and price is back just above EMA20 mid-London with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.3248, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3275
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3248 asian high turns the London breakout into a false break and exposes the 1.3231 pre-ldn low
Reclaim of the 1.3263 friday high reopens the 1.3275 session high
Fed's Bowman at 12:15 UTC and Cook at 17:15 UTC could shift USD pricing and this read
London broke the Asian range high; lower highs since the 1.3275 session high.
London open broke the Asian range after the weekend gap lower, with Ramsden's hawkish BoE remarks behind the move. GBPUSD ran through the friday high to a 1.3275 session high. Since then a steady London fade of lower highs has retraced to the 61.8% of the London leg, and the asian high near 1.3248 is being retested as support, with RSI(14) neutral near 51 and price just under the ema20 at 1.3255.
Support: 1.3248, 1.3231, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3255, 1.3263, 1.32745
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asian high at 1.3247 would turn the breakout into a false break and expose the pre-ldn low at 1.3231, then the asian low at 1.3223
A break of the london fade trendline plus a reclaim of the ema20 at 1.3255 would put the friday high at 1.3263 and the session high at 1.3275 back in focus
Fed's Bowman (12:15 UTC) and Cook (17:15 UTC) could materially shift this read during NY hours
10:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 51 · price 1.32531
London broke above the Asian range and Friday high, now retracing toward the breakout zone.
After a gap-down Sunday open, London lifted from the london base at 1.3231 through the asian high (1.3247) and the friday high (1.3263) on a softer USD, peaking at the 1.3275 session high. Price has since faded along a descending pullback line into and after Ramsden's 10:00 UTC remarks. It now sits at the 50% fib of the London leg near 1.3253, just above the 1.3251 pullback low and below EMA20.
Support: 1.3251, 1.3247, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3275
What it said to watch
M15 close below the asian high at 1.3247 (61.8% fib) would unwind the London breakout
Recovery through the pullback line and back above the friday high at 1.3263 reopens the 1.3275 session high
Loss of the london base at 1.3231 returns price to the Asian range
Fed's Bowman at 12:15 UTC and Cook at 17:15 UTC on October hike odds could shift this read into NY
10:16 UTC
Intraday up-leg, pulling back · RSI 58 · price 1.32582
London breakout above Asian range and Friday high, now lower highs off 1.3275.
London cleared the Asian high at 1.3247 and Friday's high near 1.3263 on a softer USD. It peaked at the 1.3275 session high, then faded in a series of lower highs. Price has slipped back under Friday's high and is holding the 38.2% fib of the 1.3231–1.3275 pre-ldn low to session high leg, with RSI(14) cooled to about 58.
Support: 1.3257, 1.3247, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3275, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3247 Asian high (61.8% fib) would turn the London breakout into a false break
Reclaim of the 1.3263 Friday high and a push through the 1.3275 session high resumes the leg toward the 1.3300 round number
Loss of the 1.3231 pre-ldn low erases the London move entirely
BoE Ramsden (10:00 UTC, in progress) and Fed Bowman at 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing after London push · RSI 61 · price 1.32611
Asian range break, HH/HL chain since the 06:15 UTC low, now in a shallow pullback.
London open broke the Asian range high at 1.3247 and Friday's high near 1.3263 on a softer USD, printing a session high at 1.3275. Price has eased back to the Friday high area, with the pullback low at 1.3259 sitting on the 38.2% fib of the London leg. RSI(14) has cooled to about 61.
Support: 1.3259, 1.3247, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3275, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the pullback low at 1.3259 puts the Asian high at 1.3247 in play as the retest level
Failure back under the London low at 1.3231 negates the breakout read
Close above the 1.3275 session high extends the HH chain toward the 1.3300 round number
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC and Fed's Bowman at 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
London breakout above Asian range and Friday high; shallow pullback holding.
London open lifted GBP/USD out of the 1.3223–1.3247 Asian range and through the Friday high at 1.3263 on a softer USD, erasing the Monday gap and printing a session high at 1.3275. Since 08:45 UTC price has held a retest of the Friday high, with RSI(14) cooled to about 66 and pullback lows at 1.3260–1.3263. The swing low at 1.3231 anchors the London leg; its 38.2% fib sits near 1.3258.
Support: 1.3263, 1.3247, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.32745, 1.3300
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the Friday high at 1.3263 turns the breakout into a false break and puts the 38.2% fib near 1.3258 and the Asian high at 1.3247 in play
A clean break of the 1.3275 session high exposes the 1.3300 round number
Losing the 1.3231 swing low negates the London leg entirely
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC and Fed's Bowman at 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
London broke the Asian range high and Friday high, now holding a shallow pullback.
The Sunday gap lower filled during Asia. London then broke the Asian high at 1.3247 and ran 39 pips from the 1.3235 rally base to a 1.32745 session high, clearing Friday's high at 1.3263 on a softer USD. RSI(14) has eased to the mid-60s, and pullbacks are holding at the friday high, which sits near the 38.2% fib of the London leg.
Support: 1.3263, 1.3247, 1.3235
Resistance: 1.32745, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3263 (friday high) turns the London breakout into a false break and puts 1.3247 (asian high) back in play
Close above the 1.32745 session high extends the HH chain toward the 1.3300 round number
Loss of the 1.3235 rally base unwinds the entire London move
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC and Fed Bowman at 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
London breakout above Asian range and Friday high, tight consolidation 1.3260–1.3275.
London open broke the Asian range high at 1.3247 and cleared Friday's high near 1.3262 as GBP outperformed on building BoE hike talk. The London leg from the 1.3231 swing low has stalled beneath the 1.32745 session high, with dips to 1.3260 absorbed and RSI(14) cooling from the high-60s.
Support: 1.3262, 1.3247, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.32745, 1.3300
What it said to watch
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC, a hike lean or hesitation could materially shift this read
M15 close back below the 1.3262 friday high puts the 1.3247 asian high and 61.8% of the London leg fib in play
Close above the 1.32745 session high opens 1.3295 and the 1.3300 round number
Loss of the 1.3231 swing low would unwind the London breakout
Fed's Bowman at 12:15 UTC adds USD event risk ahead of the NY session
09:01 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive London leg · RSI 69 · price 1.32696
Asian range break higher, HH/HL chain above Friday high.
London open broke the 1.3221–1.3247 Asian range higher and cleared Friday high at 1.3263, printing a session high at 1.32723 as GBP outperforms on BoE hike talk. The 08:15 dip held above Friday high, RSI(14) near 69 with no extreme reading.
Support: 1.3263, 1.3247, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.32723, 1.3300
What it said to watch
Close back below Friday high at 1.3263 turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the Asian high at 1.3247 (61.8% fib zone) puts the London leg and the 1.3231 swing low in play
Acceptance above the 1.32723 session high exposes the 1.3300 psych level
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC and Fed's Bowman at 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after London breakout · RSI 64 · price 1.32624
Asian range broken higher, now retesting Friday high.
London open cleared the Asian high at 1.3247 and then Friday's high at 1.3263, with GBP outperforming on building BoE hike talk. The London leg ran from the 1.3231 pre-ldn low to a 1.3272 session high, and price is now back retesting the Friday high as RSI(14) cools to 64.
Support: 1.3262, 1.3247, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3272, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3262 (friday high) turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the asian high at 1.3247
Holding the 38.2% of the London leg near 1.3257 keeps the breakout structure intact
M15 close above the 1.3272 session high opens the 1.3300 psych level
Loss of the 1.3231 pre-ldn low would fully reverse the London move
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC and Fed's Bowman at 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, fresh London breakout · RSI 69 · price 1.32666
Asian range and Friday high broken, first pause below session high.
London open broke above the 1.3221–1.3247 Asian range, rallying 41 pips off the pre-London low at 1.3231. It cleared Friday's high at 1.3263 to print a session high at 1.3272, with GBP outperforming on BoE hike talk and higher oil. The current bar is easing back toward the Friday high with RSI(14) near 69, warm but not stretched.
Support: 1.3263, 1.3247, 1.3231
Resistance: 1.3272, 1.3295
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3263 Friday high turns the break into a false break
Loss of the 1.3247 Asian high puts the London move back inside the overnight range
Close above the 1.3272 session high opens the 1.3295 flagged resistance
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Price holding the 50% of the London leg fib (~1.3252) keeps the breakout structure intact
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, impulsive London leg · RSI 69 · price 1.32658
Asian range broken higher, Friday high cleared, higher lows since 1.3231.
The first hour of London drove GBPUSD out of the 1.3221–1.3247 Asian range and through Friday's 1.3263 high to a session high at 1.3267. The move extends GBP's outperformance on a hawkish BoE read-through and higher oil. RSI(14) sits near 69 after a four-bar, ~35-pip London leg, against a 7-pip ATR.
Support: 1.32633, 1.32472, 1.32312
Resistance: 1.32672, 1.3295
What it said to watch
Holding above the Friday high at 1.3263 keeps the breakout intact. A slide back inside the range below the Asian high at 1.3247 would mark a false break.
An M15 close above the 1.3267 session high opens the path to the 1.3295 resistance flagged by UOB.
The 61.8% retracement of the London leg lines up with the Asian high near 1.3245.
A break of rising support from the 1.3231 swing low negates the higher-low sequence.
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read.
London broke above the Asian range; higher low at 1.3231, testing Friday's high.
The London open broke the Asian high at 1.3247 with a 30-pip leg off the 1.3231 swing low. That move filled the weekend gap and stalled just under Friday's prior high at 1.3263. GBP is outperforming as higher oil feeds BoE hike talk, and RSI(14) near 65 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.3247, 1.3231, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3263, 1.3300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3263 prior high opens the 1.3300 round number
A slip back below the 1.3247 asian high returns price to the Asian range and negates the breakout
Loss of the 1.3231 swing low unwinds the London leg and exposes the 1.3221 gap low
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend off Asian low, testing 1.3250 · RSI 57 · price 1.32492
Higher lows since Asia; London open breaking Asian range high.
Monday's gap down from Friday's 1.3244 close has been filled. The 07:15 London-open bar broke above the Asian high at 1.3247 after a higher swing low, and price is now pressing the 1.3250 psych level, consistent with the digest's softer-USD bounce in GBP. Rising support from the 1.3223 Asian low through the 1.3231 swing low frames the move, with Friday high at 1.3263 the next reference overhead.
Support: 1.3247, 1.3231, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3250, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3247 Asian high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 1.3231 swing low and rising support breaks the higher-low sequence
Close above 1.3263 Friday high clears the prior-session top
BoE Ramsden speech at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since Asia · RSI 44 · price 1.3237
Inside Asian range, capped by lower highs and holding the London low.
The softer-USD GBP bounce stalled at the Asian high of 1.3247, the 1.3245 area flagged as resistance. The London open has printed a lower high at 1.3243, while demand held the London low at 1.3231 twice. Price sits mid-Asian range below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 1.3231, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3243, 1.3247, 1.3262
What it said to watch
A close above the asian high at 1.3247 breaks the lower-high trendline and opens the friday high at 1.3262.
Failure to hold the london low at 1.3231 exposes the asian low at 1.3223 and the 1.3200 lows.
The 1.3243 lower high is the first cap; rejection there keeps the range intact.
BoE Ramsden speaks at 10:00 UTC and could materially shift this read.
07:16 UTC
Flat, rotating inside the Asian range · RSI 46 · price 1.32398
Weekend gap filled; higher-low range 1.3231–1.3247 into London open.
The weekend oil spike gapped GBPUSD down to a 1.3221 gap low at the open. Asia filled the gap to a 1.3247 Asian high, then the pre-London low at 1.3231 held the 61.8% of the Asian leg fib, with rising lows intact. London open is trading mid-range near 1.3240, just under both EMAs, with RSI(14) at 46.
Support: 1.3231, 1.3221, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3247, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3247 Asian high breaks the range and exposes the 1.3263 Friday high
Failure to hold the 1.3231 pre-London low breaks the rising lows and brings the 1.3221 gap low, then 1.3200 psych, into play
BoE's Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Sideways, recovering into London open · RSI 45 · price 1.32402
Weekend gap filled; Asian range 1.3221–1.3247, higher low at 1.3231.
Monday gapped down to the 1.3221 gap low, then rallied through Asia to the 1.3247 asian high, filling the gap to Friday's 1.3244 close before two rejections there. The pre-London pullback held the 61.8% retracement at the 1.3231 swing low. Price is back at 1.3240 into London open, pinned just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 45.
Support: 1.3231, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3247, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3247 asian high opens the path to the 1.3263 friday high
Failure to hold the 1.3231 swing low (asia rally fib 61.8%) exposes the 1.3221 gap low
BoE's Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could shift this read
06:46 UTC
Intraday pullback after capped Asia grind higher · RSI 32 · price 1.32332
Asia HL chain broken; lower low under 1.3240 into London open.
Monday gapped about 11 pips below Friday's 1.3244 close. Asia then ground higher from the 1.3221 Asia low but stalled at the 1.3247 Asia high, close to the 1.3245 resistance flagged in the GBP digest. The last hour broke the Asia trendline and the 1.3240 broken low, tagging a 1.3231 pullback low near the 61.8% of the Asia rally, with RSI(14) at 32 into the London open.
Support: 1.3231, 1.3221, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3240, 1.3247, 1.3263
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3231 pullback low exposes the 1.3221 Asia low, then the 1.3217 Friday low
Reclaim of the 1.3240 broken low and a close through the 1.3247 Asia high negates the rejection read, opening the 1.3263 Friday high
BoE's Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could materially shift the GBP read this session
06:31 UTC
Pullback inside the Asian range, momentum soft · RSI 37 · price 1.32351
Lower high at the Asian top, micro lower low below the 1.3239 swing.
The weekend gap down to 1.3221 was filled during Asia, but the push stalled at the 1.3247 asian high, near the 1.3245 level flagged in the GBP digest. Price has since slipped through the 1.3240 broken low to 1.3235 ahead of London open. It is sitting on the 50% asian leg fib just above the 1.3234 session low, with RSI(14) near 37 and ATR about 4 pips.
Support: 1.32336, 1.32234, 1.3217
Resistance: 1.3240, 1.32472, 1.32633
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 1.3234 session low extends the pullback toward the 1.3223 asian low
Failure to hold 1.3223 exposes the 1.3217 friday low
Reclaiming the 1.3240 broken low and closing above the 1.3247 asian high reopens the 1.3263 friday high
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could shift BoE hike pricing and this read
06:16 UTC
Sideways after Asia gap-fill rally · RSI 44 · price 1.32391
Asian range 1.3221–1.3247, top capping, pre-London dip under EMAs.
The week opened with an ~11 pip gap down to the 1.3221 asian low. Asia filled it on the GBP-outperformance tone, but the 1.3247 asian high has capped every push since 02:00 UTC, including a rejection at 05:30. Heading into London open, price has slipped just under the flat ema20 and EMA50 near 1.3241, and the 1.3236 pullback low sits between the 38.2% and 50% levels of the Asia rally fib. The friday high at 1.3263 remains overhead.
Support: 1.3236, 1.3221, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3241, 1.3247, 1.3263
What it said to watch
London open M15 close above the 1.3247 asian high breaks the Asian range and exposes the 1.3263 friday high
Failure to hold the 1.3236 pullback low and the 50% fib opens a retest of the 1.3221 asian low
A break below the 1.3221 asian low brings the 1.3200 round number into view
Price back above the ema20 near 1.3241 restores the range-top test
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read given stretched hike pricing
06:01 UTC
Asia recovery, momentum stalling under the high · RSI 46 · price 1.32408
Asian range 1.3221–1.3247, higher lows compressing into a 1.3239–1.3247 band.
The Asia session recovered the weekend gap-down from the 1.3221 asian low and filled Friday's 1.3244 close. The asian high at 1.3247 has produced three rejections since 04:00 UTC, and price is now leaning on rising support near 1.3240. GBP firmness on BoE hawkishness is holding the bounce, but RSI(14) at 46 and price flat against EMA20/50 show momentum stalling ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3234, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3247, 1.3263
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the asian high at 1.3247, near UOB's 1.3245 pivot, opens the friday high at 1.3263
A break of the 1.3239 swing low and rising support exposes the fib 50% of the Asia rally at 1.3234, then the asian low at 1.3221
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could shift this read during London hours
05:46 UTC
Asia recovery stalling below range top · RSI 52 · price 1.32433
Weekend gap filled, tight 1.3239–1.3247 box late Asia.
The Monday open gapped down to the 1.3221 Asian low. Price then retraced the gap into Friday's 1.3244 close during the Asia session on a softer USD. The last three hours have compressed between the 1.3239 swing low and the 1.3247 Asian high, with RSI(14) at a neutral 52 and ATR near 3 pips ahead of the London open.
Support: 1.32392, 1.32341, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.32472, 1.32633
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3247 Asian high breaks the range top and opens the Friday high at 1.3263
Failure to hold the 1.3239 swing low exposes the 50% fib at 1.3234, then the 1.3221 Asian low
London open in ~1.5h is likely to expand the tight Asian range
Higher lows through Asia, capped at 1.3247 Asian high.
GBP/USD gapped down to 1.3221 at the weekly open, then climbed through the Asian session on a softer USD in a higher-low chain. That climb filled the gap to Friday's 1.3244 close and set an Asian high at 1.3247. Late Asia, ahead of London open, price is stalling just under that high with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR a thin 3 pips.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3234, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3247, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3247 Asian high opens a path toward the 1.3263 Friday high
Failure to hold the 1.3239 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 50% fib at 1.3234, then the 1.3221 Asian low
London open typically expands the Asian range; the 3-pip ATR is unlikely to hold through the session
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Asia recovery, momentum stalling · RSI 58 · price 1.32432
Higher lows since Asia open, compressing under Asian high.
Monday opened with a gap down to the 1.3222 asian low. Asia has since filled it on a chain of higher lows, a move the digest ties to USD softness rather than GBP demand. Price is now compressing between the 1.3239 swing low and the 1.3247 asian high ahead of London open, with ATR(14) under 4 pips.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3222
Resistance: 1.3247, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the asia rising lows trendline and the 1.3239 swing low turns the Asia recovery into a lower-low sequence back toward the asian low
London-session close above the 1.3247 asian high opens Friday's 1.3263 friday high
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC falls in London hours and could shift GBP tone
Higher lows since the weekend gap low, pressing the Asian high.
Monday opened with a weekend gap down to the 1.3221 Asian low. Asia has since ground higher on mild USD softness, filling the gap to Friday's 1.3244 close and now pressing the 1.3247 Asian high. Late Asia, with London open about 2h away; Friday's late-NY high at 1.3254 and the 1.3263 prior high sit above.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3247, 1.3254, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3247 Asian high opens 1.3254 NY high, then the 1.3263 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.3239 swing low and the Asian trendline breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the 1.3221 Asian low
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC during the London session could shift the read
04:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 63 · price 1.32452
Higher lows from 1.3223 Asian low, capped at 1.3246 twice.
The Monday open gapped lower to 1.3221. Asia has since filled the gap back to Friday's 1.3244 close on USD softness, building a higher-low chain off the 1.3223 Asian low along a rising trendline. Price is capped at the 1.3246 session high on two tests, with the 1.3239 swing low holding beneath and London open about two hours away.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3246, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3246 session high opens the path to the 1.3263 friday high
Close below the 1.3239 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain toward the 1.3223 asian low
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could shift the read during London hours
Asia higher-low chain off the 1.3221 low, weekend gap filled, capped at the Asian high.
Late Asia session: the Monday gap-down to 1.3221 has fully retraced to Friday's 1.3244 close on a clean higher-low chain as the USD softens, with the rally supported by the rising trendline. Price has stalled for two hours just under the Asian high at 1.3246, RSI(14) near 66 and ATR about 4 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3234, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3246, 1.3254, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3246 asian high opens the prior cap at 1.3254, then the 1.3263 friday high
Loss of the 1.3239 higher low and the rising trendline puts the fib 50% at 1.3234 in play, with the 1.3221 asian low below
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could shift the GBP read during London session
04:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below Asian high · RSI 60 · price 1.32412
Gap filled; higher-low chain on rising trendline.
Monday's Asia session opened with a gap down to the 1.3221–1.3223 asian low. Price then filled the gap on a steady higher-low chain along a rising trendline, tracking the softer USD, but capped at the 1.3246 asian high. Late in the Asia session, price is easing to 1.3241 and sitting on the trendline, with RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 1.3239, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3246, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3239 pullback low breaks the rising trendline and ends the higher-low chain, exposing the 1.3223 asian low
M15 close above the 1.3246 asian high opens the path to the 1.3263 friday high
London open in ~3h, and BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC, could shift this read
04:01 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling under Asian high · RSI 56 · price 1.32417
Weekend gap filled; tight consolidation below 1.3246 after Asian higher-low stair-step.
The Sunday gap-down found a floor at the 1.3223 asian low, and the asian rally that followed filled the gap back to Friday's 1.3244 close on mild USD softness. Late in the Asia session, price is holding just above the 1.3239 pullback low and capped at the 1.3246 asian high, with EMAs flat and ATR(14) near 4 pips.
Support: 1.32392, 1.32349, 1.32234
Resistance: 1.32463, 1.32633
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3246 asian high opens the path to the 1.3263 friday high
Break of the 1.3239 pullback low puts the 50% fib of the asian rally at 1.3235 and the 1.3223 asian low in view
London open in ~3h and BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could reset the Asian range
03:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend from Asia low, now stalling · RSI 66 · price 1.32442
Asia session higher-low chain after gap fill; tight 1.3242–1.3246 band under the Asia high.
Monday opened with a ~11-pip weekend gap down to the 1.3221 gap low. The Asia session then built a higher-low chain on a softer USD and filled the gap back to Friday's 1.3244 close. Price has since flattened into a 1.3242 micro base just under the 1.3246 Asia high, with RSI(14) cooling and ATR(14) near 4 pips.
Support: 1.3242, 1.3237, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3246, 1.3254, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3246 Asia high puts the 1.3254 prior swing and the 1.3263 Friday high in play
Loss of the 1.3242 micro base and the 1.3237 swing low breaks the Asia higher-low chain; the asia leg fib 61.8% at 1.3231 sits below
A return to the 1.3221 gap low would reopen the weekend gap and negate the Asia recovery
London open in ~3.5h and BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could expand the currently compressed Asian range
Monday Asia gapped down to 1.3221 and has since ground higher in a steady higher-low sequence along a rising Asia trendline, filling the weekend gap back to Friday's 1.3244 close as the USD softens. Price now sits at the 61.8% retrace of Friday's 1.3263–1.3221 drop, with Friday's late NY high at 1.3254 the next cap. RSI(14) is in the mid-60s and ATR(14) is about 4 pips, typical of a thin Asian range.
Support: 1.3244, 1.3229, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3254, 1.3263
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 1.3244 gap fill and the rising Asia trendline would mark a failed recovery
A close above the 1.3254 late NY high opens the Friday high at 1.3263
Loss of the 1.3229 higher low exposes the 1.3221 Asia low
London open in under 4h and BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could expand the range well beyond current ATR
03:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at Asian high · RSI 53 · price 1.32436
Asia HH/HL chain off the weekend-gap low, weekend gap now filled.
Monday opened with a gap down to the 1.3221 Asian low. Asia then built a steady HH/HL climb along a rising line and filled back to Friday's 1.3244 close as the USD softened. Price is now consolidating just under the 1.3246 Asian high, which sits at the 1.3245 resistance flagged in the macro digest, with the Friday NY high at 1.3254 and the 1.3263 Friday high above.
Support: 1.3233, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3246, 1.3254, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3246 Asian high extends the Asian rally toward the 1.3254 Friday NY high and the 1.3263 Friday high
A break of the Asian rising line and the 1.3233 swing low ends the HH/HL chain and exposes the 1.3221 Asian low, near the 38.2-50% zone of the Asian rally fib
London open in about 4h typically resets the Asian range
BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could shift the GBP read
03:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 66 · price 1.3243
Higher-low chain through Asia, gap refilled.
The Asia rally off the 1.3221 session low has filled Monday's opening gap, with higher lows lifting price into Friday's close near the 1.3246 session high, a move the digest ties to a softer USD. Price is flat under that level for the last four bars, RSI(14) near 66 and ATR about 5 pips.
Support: 1.3233, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3246, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3246 session high opens the 1.3263 friday high
Break of the higher lows trendline and the 1.3233 swing low ends the Asia rally structure
Loss of the 1.3221 session low reopens the gap-down move
London open and BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend off Asian low, momentum flattening · RSI 68 · price 1.3243
Higher lows through Asia, capped at session high after weekend gap fill.
GBPUSD gapped about 11 pips lower at the weekly open, then held the 1.3223 Asian low and built a higher-low chain that filled the gap at the 1.3246 session high on softer USD. The pair is now stalling just under that level with RSI(14) near 68, while the 1.3237 swing low anchors the rising trendline and the Asian rally fib.
Support: 1.3237, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3246, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3246 session high clears the gap-fill cap and opens the Friday prior high at 1.3263
Failure to hold the 1.3237 swing low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the Asian rally fib midpoint near 1.3235
Loss of the 1.3223 Asian low undoes the gap-fill recovery
London open and BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pressing gap fill · RSI 61 · price 1.3243
Higher-low chain off Monday gap low; Asian range 1.3221–1.3244.
Monday's Asia session opened with a 23-pip gap down to the 1.3221 gap low. Price has since climbed in a rising-lows sequence on a softer USD and is now testing the 1.3245 gap fill at Friday's close, which is also the Asian range top. RSI(14) sits near 61, not stretched, and ATR(14) is about 5 pips in thin early-week trade.
Support: 1.3237, 1.3229, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3245, 1.3254, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3245 gap fill opens Friday's late high at 1.3254, then the 1.3263 Friday high
Break of the 1.3237 swing low and the rising lows trendline ends the higher-low chain, exposing the 1.3229 Friday NY low (fri ny low) and the 1.3221 gap low
A move back below the 50% retrace of the gap-low rally, around 1.3233, turns the gap fill into a rejection
London open in ~5h typically resets the Asian range; BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could shift GBP
02:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asian low · RSI 66 · price 1.32431
Higher lows since the weekend gap; price testing gap fill.
Monday opened 11 pips below Friday's close and dipped to the asian low at 1.3221. The Asian session has since printed a chain of higher lows along a rising trendline as the USD softens, lifting price to the gap fill at 1.3244. RSI(14) is near 66 with ATR around 6 pips, and Friday's prior high at 1.3263 sits above.
Support: 1.3233, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3244, 1.3263
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 1.3244 gap fill would stall the Asian rally below Friday's close
Close back below the 1.3233 higher low, near the 50% fib of the Asian rally, breaks the rising trendline
Loss of the 1.3221 asian low returns price to the weekend gap low
London open and BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Short-term uptrend off Monday gap low · RSI 61 · price 1.32385
Asia higher-low chain pressing session high, gap unfilled.
Monday's Asia session opened with an 11-pip gap below Friday's 1.3244 close. Buyers stepped in at the 1.3223 session low, and a higher-low chain now presses the 1.3240 session high, between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of the Friday high–Monday low drop. The bounce reads USD-driven on a softer dollar; price sits right at EMA50, RSI(14) is near 61 and ATR(14) is about 4.5 pips.
Support: 1.3233, 1.32234
Resistance: 1.32405, 1.32443, 1.32633
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3240 session high puts the 1.3244 fri close gap fill in play, with the 1.3263 friday high above
Break of rising support and the 1.3233 higher low stalls the Asia recovery; below the 1.3223 session low the gap lows are exposed
A hold under the 50% fib of the Friday high–Monday low drop keeps the move a retracement
BoE Ramsden Mon 10:00 UTC could shift the GBP read into the London session
01:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off Asian low · RSI 57 · price 1.32388
Rising lows from 1.3223, capped just under the weekend gap.
Asia opened with an ~11-pip gap down from Friday's 1.3244 close and set an Asian low at 1.3223. A run of rising lows has since lifted price to a 1.3240 session high on the softer USD, with the gap fill just overhead and RSI(14) near 57.
Support: 1.3233, 1.3229, 1.3223
Resistance: 1.3240, 1.3244, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3244 fills the weekend gap and opens the path to the Friday high at 1.3263
Break of the rising lows line and the 1.3233 swing low returns focus to the Fri NY low at 1.3229 and the Asian low at 1.3223
Rejection at the 1.3240 session high keeps price inside the Asian range
London open in ~5h and BoE Ramsden at 10:00 UTC could reset the session range
01:31 UTC
Flat after gap down, higher lows building · RSI 53 · price 1.32376
Asian range 1.3221–1.3239, higher lows pressing session high.
Monday opened about 11 pips below Friday's 1.3244 close. Asia session has held a 1.3221–1.3239 range, with rising lows off the 1.3223 area now pressing the session high. The gap fill at 1.3244 sits at the 1.3245 resistance flagged in the GBP digest, while RSI(14) is neutral near 53 in thin early-week flow.
Support: 1.3233, 1.3221
Resistance: 1.3239, 1.3244, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3239 session high puts the 1.3244 gap fill in play
Acceptance above the gap fill reopens Friday's 1.3263 friday high
A break of the rising lows near 1.3233 returns price to the 1.3221 session low
BoE's Ramsden at 10:00 UTC, early London, could shift this read
Higher lows through the Asia session, pressing the Asian high below the unfilled gap.
The week opened on thin weekend flow with an 11-pip gap below Friday's 1.3244 close. The 1.3222 Asian low held near the 78.6% fib of Friday's rally, and the Asia session has since built higher lows up to 1.3229 and is now testing the 1.3239 Asian high, with the gap fill at 1.3244 overhead.
Support: 1.3229, 1.3222, 1.3210
Resistance: 1.3239, 1.3244, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3239 asian high opens the 1.3244 gap fill; acceptance above it brings the 1.3263 friday high back into view
Loss of the 1.3229 higher low breaks the Asia higher-low sequence and puts the 1.3222 asian low back in play
A break below 1.3222 clears the 78.6% fib and exposes the 1.3210 friday low
BoE's Ramsden at 10:00 UTC during London could shift the read on GBP
00:46 UTC
Soft, below EMAs after weekend gap · RSI 45 · price 1.32313
Gap down, tight Asian range 1.3221–1.3238.
GBPUSD gapped about 11 pips lower at the Sunday open, below Friday's 1.3244 close, as weekend Iran shipping warnings kept energy risk alive. Early Asia session is holding a 1.3221–1.3238 range, and the push to 1.3236 at 00:00 UTC faded. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 45, while the unfilled gap fill and the Friday high at 1.3262 sit overhead.
Support: 1.3221, 1.3210
Resistance: 1.3238, 1.3244, 1.3262
What it said to watch
Break of the 1.3221 session low exposes the Friday low at 1.3210, near the 1.3200/09 floor
M15 close above the 1.3238 session high and the 1.3244 gap fill reopens the Friday high at 1.3262
Retracement of the Friday high to session low drop stalling near 1.3237 keeps the range read intact
BoE's Ramsden at 10:00 UTC and oil/Iran headlines could shift this read at the London open
00:31 UTC
Sideways after weekend gap lower, momentum soft · RSI 39 · price 1.32324
Tight Asian range 1.3221–1.3238 below Friday's close.
The Sunday open gapped about 11 pips below Friday's 1.3244 close. The Asia session has since held a 1.3222–1.3238 range, sitting on the 61.8% fib of Friday's 1.3210–1.3263 rally after Friday's USD pullback faded. The gap fill is still open, with RSI(14) near 39 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 1.3222, 1.3210
Resistance: 1.3238, 1.3244, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3238 session high puts the 1.3244 gap fill in play, with the Friday high at 1.3263 above
Break below the 1.3222 session low and the 61.8% fib exposes the 1.3210 Friday low
BoE's Ramsden speaks Mon 10:00 UTC during London hours and could shift the range read
00:16 UTC
Soft, below both EMAs after weekly-open gap · RSI 36 · price 1.32274
Gap down, tight Asian range 1.3221–1.3238.
Weekly open gapped about 11 pips below Friday's 1.3244 close and printed a 1.3221 session low. Early Asia session is compressing between that low and the 1.3238 session high, below both EMAs, with the gap fill unfilled and Friday's NY high at 1.3263 now well overhead. The backdrop is a firm, yield-driven USD, with 10y yields above 5%.
Support: 1.3221, 1.3209, 1.3200
Resistance: 1.3238, 1.3244, 1.3263
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3238 session high opens a move toward the 1.3244 gap fill
Break of the 1.3221 session low exposes the 1.3209 friday low and the 1.3200 psych level
London open in roughly 7h is likely to decide the break of the Asian range
BoE's Ramsden (Mon 10:00 UTC) could shift the GBP read ahead of Wednesday's UK GDP