NZD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the NZD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Pullback from London high, flattening · RSI 54 · price 0.56238
NY lower highs; tight 0.5620–0.5625 range into Asia.
London broke the 0.5583–0.5613 Asian range and ran to a day high of 0.5645 on the post-midterm USD selloff. NY then printed lower highs at 0.5643, 0.5632 and 0.5625, and the pullback stalled near the 38.2% level of the London rally fib (0.5621). Price is now compressed at 0.5620–0.5625 in the new Asia session, with the ny low at 0.5616 and the rollover low at 0.5611 below.
Support: 0.56163, 0.56112, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56252, 0.56317, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close above the late NY high at 0.5625 and the 0.5632 lower high reopens the 0.5645 day high
Break of the 0.5616 NY low and 0.5611 rollover low, through the 50% London rally fib at 0.5614, exposes 0.5600 psych
US Jobless Claims Thu 13:30 UTC and Fri NFP (f/c 65K) are the next USD catalysts that could shift this read
Lower highs from the London peak; tight 0.5611–0.5632 box in early Asia.
The post-midterm USD selloff lifted the pair to the 0.5645 London high, but the move faded through NY into a lower-high sequence. Price is now compressing between 0.5611 and 0.5632 in thin early-Asia trade. The rollover dip to 0.5611 swept the 0.5616 NY low and reclaimed it, holding the 61.8% retracement of the London rally. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR is about 4 pips.
Support: 0.56163, 0.56112
Resistance: 0.56317, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5632 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 0.5645 London high
Failure to hold the 0.5611 rollover low and the 61.8% fib extends the fade from the London rally toward 0.5600
US jobless claims Thu 13:30 UTC, a USD-sensitive print ahead of Friday NFP, could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Pullback from London high, lower highs since · RSI 48 · price 0.5622
Lower highs and lower lows off 0.5645, compressing at 0.5611–0.5625.
London broke the Asian range high at 0.5613 and ran to a 0.5645 session high on post-midterm USD weakness, after the NZ jobs miss had held the pair below 0.5600. NY was capped at 0.5643, forming a double top, and the pair then slid to a 0.5616 NY low. The rollover low at 0.5611 held, and price now sits at 0.5622, near the 38.2% retrace, testing the lower-highs line under the 0.5625 late-NY cap early in the Asia session.
Support: 0.5611, 0.5616, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5625, 0.5632, 0.5645
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.5632 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence and reopens the 0.5645 session high
Loss of the 0.5611 rollover low exposes the 50% fib near 0.5614 and the 0.5600 round number
Thin rollover liquidity keeps ATR near 4 pips, so wicks through 0.5611–0.5625 are likely noise until Asia volume builds
US jobless claims at Thu 13:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD catalyst that could shift this read
23:03 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since London peak · RSI 48 · price 0.56195
Lower highs from 0.5645, compressing in a thin 0.5616–0.5625 range.
Rejection at the 0.5645 session high gave way to lower highs at 0.5643 and 0.5632. The fade came as USD pared post-midterm losses on the ADP beat, while the NY low at 0.5616 held near the 50% retracement of the Asia-London leg. Early Asia is drifting in a thin range below both EMAs, between the 0.5616 NY low and the 0.5625 range top, and the 0.5611 rollover low printed on wide spreads.
Support: 0.56163, 0.56112, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56252, 0.56317, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5625 range top and the 0.5632 lower high breaks the lower-high line
Failure to hold the 0.5616 NY low and 0.5611 rollover low exposes the 0.5600 round number and the 61.8% at 0.5607
Thu 13:30 UTC US jobless claims, then Fed's Hammack, could shift the USD tone driving this pair
22:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the London high · RSI 42 · price 0.56171
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.5646 session high.
The post-midterm USD selloff carried a London rally to a 0.5646 session high. NY then printed lower highs at 0.5643 and the 0.5632 swing high as the ADP beat helped the dollar pare losses, and late NY trade stalled under a 0.5625 NY cap. The rollover gap took price to 0.5613, the 50% fib of the rally and yesterday's Asian high. Early Asia trades below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) about 4 pips.
Support: 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5625, 0.5632, 0.5646
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5613 (50% fib) extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.5600 psych
Recovery above the 0.5625 NY cap breaks the lower-high chain; the 0.5632 swing high and 0.5646 session high sit above
Thin rollover liquidity can exaggerate moves; US Jobless Claims Thu 13:30 UTC and NFP Fri are the next USD catalysts
22:31 UTC
Rally stalled, lower highs since London · RSI 48 · price 0.56206
Lower highs off 0.5645, tight 0.5616–0.5625 band into rollover.
Post-midterm USD selling powered an Asia rally from 0.5591 to the 0.5645 day high in London after the NZ jobs miss. Highs have stepped lower since: 0.5643 on the ADP print, then the 0.5632 ny high. The pair now sits in a 0.5616–0.5625 band between the ny low and the late-ny cap, near the 50% retrace of the Asia rally, with RSI(14) flat around 48.
Support: 0.56163, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56252, 0.56317, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 ny low extends the lower-high sequence and exposes the 0.5600 round number
Reclaim of the 0.5632 ny high breaks the lower-high chain, with the 0.5645 day high above
Break of the 0.5625 late-ny cap is the first sign the band is resolving higher
Thin Asia session open; US jobless claims Thu 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since London peak · RSI 41 · price 0.56171
LH/LL sequence off 0.5646, fading toward the Asian high.
The post-midterm USD selloff carried the pair through the Asian high at 0.5613 to a London high of 0.5646. Since then the dollar has pared losses after the ADP beat, and the pair has printed a chain of lower highs at 0.5643, the 0.5632 lower high and 0.5625, the 38.2% fib, plus a lower low under the 0.5616 ny low. Price now sits near the 50% retracement of the London rally, below EMA20 and EMA50, as the Asia session opens on thin rollover liquidity.
Support: 0.56163, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5625, 0.56317, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5625 (38.2% fib / lower-highs trendline) breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.5632 lower high back in play
Acceptance below the 0.5613 asian high and 61.8% retracement exposes the 0.5600 round number
Rollover-hour gap to 0.5614 printed on thin liquidity; sustained trade back below the 0.5616 ny low is needed to confirm the lower low
Thu 13:30 UTC US jobless claims / unit labor costs and Fed's Hammack at 13:50 UTC could materially shift this read
A move back above the 0.5646 london high would negate the intraday downtrend read
Lower highs since 0.5645; tight late-NY consolidation 0.5616–0.5625.
Post-midterm USD selling lifted the pair out of the Asian range through London to a 0.5645 session high. The move faded after the US ADP beat, setting lower highs along the trendline. The bounce off the 0.5616 NY low stalled at the 50% fib near the 0.5632 swing high, and price is now coiling 0.5616–0.5625 below both EMAs into the Asia session, with ATR down to about 3 pips.
Support: 0.56163, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56252, 0.56317, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 NY low extends the lower-low sequence toward the Asian high at 0.5613 and the 0.5600 round number
Close above the 0.5625 late NY high and the 0.5632 swing high breaks the lower-high trendline and reopens the 0.5645 session high
Thu 13:30 UTC US jobless claims and unit labor costs, then Fed Hammack at 13:50, could materially shift this read
21:46 UTC
Intraday pullback after London high, late-NY compression · RSI 46 · price 0.56222
Lower highs and lower lows since the 10:15 UTC session high; price sitting below EMA20/EMA50.
London took the Asian high at 0.5613 and extended to a 0.5646 session high on post-midterm USD selling. NY then capped at 0.5643, forming a double top, and slid to a 0.5616 NY low near the 50% retracement of the Asia-London rally. Late-NY trade is compressing at 0.5618–0.5625, with RSI(14) near 46 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.56163, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56317, 0.56455
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.5616 NY low exposes the Asian high at 0.5613 and then the 0.5600 round number (61.8% sits at 0.5612)
M15 close back above the 0.5632 lower high breaks the NY lower-high sequence and reopens the 0.5646 session high
Thin Asia session liquidity; US jobless claims, ULC and Fed Hammack on Thu 13:30 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
21:32 UTC
Intraday rally stalled, lower highs since London · RSI 42 · price 0.56228
Lower highs from 0.5645; tight post-NY range 0.5618–0.5625.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss knocked the pair to 0.5579 late yesterday. Post-midterm USD selling then lifted it through the 0.5613 Asian high to a 0.5645 London high, where it met rejection. NY printed lower highs at 0.5642 and the 0.5632 swing high plus a 0.5616 NY low, and price is now coiling under the 0.5625 late cap, just above the 38.2% fib at 0.5620.
Support: 0.5620, 0.5616, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.5625, 0.5632, 0.5645
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 NY low extends the lower-high sequence and exposes the 0.5613 Asian high
Close above the 0.5632 swing high negates the post-London lower-high read and reopens the 0.5645 London high
Loss of the 38.2% fib at 0.5620 shifts focus to the 50% retracement near 0.5612
Thin early-Asia trade with no scheduled events in the next 8h; next USD risk is US jobless claims Thu 13:30 UTC
Lower highs since the London high; late-NY compression between 0.5616 and 0.5632.
The NZ jobs-miss dip to 0.5579 was fully reversed as the USD sold on the midterm result, with London printing the 0.5646 high. NY has since carved lower highs at 0.5643 and 0.5632 off a 0.5616 NY low. Late-NY trade is compressing near 0.5624 with RSI(14) neutral in the mid-40s and ATR about 3 pips.
Support: 0.56163, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56317, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5632 lower high breaks the descending sequence and reopens the 0.5646 london high
Failure to hold the 0.5616 ny low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.5613 asia high
Thu 13:30 UTC US jobless claims and unit labor costs could shift the USD leg behind this bounce
21:03 UTC
Intraday up-leg stalled, lower highs since London · RSI 45 · price 0.56229
Lower highs from 0.5645 compressing above 0.5616 session low.
Post-midterm USD selling lifted the pair from the 0.5579 post-jobs low through the Asian high at 0.5613 to a 0.5645 day high in London. The NY open drew a rejection at 0.5643, and the session low at 0.5616 is holding near the 38.2% fib. Late NY is compressing between 0.5618 and the 0.5625 late high under a line of lower highs, with RSI(14) neutral at 45 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 0.5616, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.5625, 0.5632, 0.5645
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.5625 late high and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.5632 swing high and then the 0.5645 day high
Failure to hold the 0.5616 session low exposes the 0.5613 Asian high and the 50% fib near 0.5612
No scheduled data in the next 8h; USD flows into the Asia session drive the next break, and US jobless claims follow Thursday 13:30 UTC
20:46 UTC
Intraday up-leg stalled, lower highs since London · RSI 44 · price 0.56225
Double top 0.5643–0.5646, late-NY compression 0.5616–0.5632.
The NZ jobs-miss drop to 0.5579 was fully reversed as post-midterm USD selling carried the pair through the asian high into a 0.5646 London peak. The NY retest stalled at 0.5643, forming a double top. A lower high at 0.5632 followed, and late NY is now compressing above the 0.5616 swing low with RSI(14) neutral and ATR shrinking to about 4 pips.
Support: 0.5616, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5632, 0.5643
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 swing low opens the asian high at 0.5613, which sits at the 61.8% fib
Loss of 0.5613 exposes the 0.5600 round number
Close above the 0.5632 lower high breaks the descending lower-highs line and brings the 0.5643 double top back in play
No events in the next 8h; Thu 13:30 UTC US jobless claims could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since London peak · RSI 41 · price 0.56221
The post-midterm USD selloff lifted the pair from the 0.5591 Asia low to a 0.5646 session high in London, fully reversing the NZ jobs-miss drop. NY has since printed lower highs at 0.5643 and 0.5632, and price is now compressing near the 50% fib above the NY low at 0.5616–0.5618, with RSI(14) near 41 and ATR at about 3.5 pips in thin late-NY trade.
Support: 0.56165, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56246, 0.56317, 0.56455
What it said to watch
Close below the ny low at 0.5616 opens the asian high at 0.5613 and the 0.5600 psych pivot
Close above the fib 38.2 at 0.5625 and then the lower high at 0.5632 breaks the descending NY trendline
Session high at 0.5646 caps the London leg; a break there extends the post-RBNZ resistance zone
US Jobless Claims and Fed Hammack Thu 13:30–13:50 UTC are the next USD catalysts for this read
20:16 UTC
Pullback from London high, flattening · RSI 52 · price 0.56241
Lower highs since 0.5645; late-NY range 0.5616–0.5632.
NZD dropped to 0.5579 on the Q3 jobs miss. Post-midterm USD selling then carried the pair through the Asian high in London to a session high at 0.5645. NY printed lower highs at 0.5643 and the 0.5632 swing high, with the ny low at 0.5616 holding near the 50% retrace of the London rally. Price is pinned at EMA20 near 0.5624 in thin late-NY trade.
Support: 0.5616, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5632, 0.5645
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 ny low breaks the 50% retrace and exposes 0.5600 psych
Close above the 0.5632 swing high ends the lower-highs sequence and reopens the 0.5645 session high
US Jobless Claims Thu 13:30 UTC and NFP Fri 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:03 UTC
Intraday pullback inside a recovered range, lower highs since London · RSI 50 · price 0.56228
Lower highs from the 0.5646 London high, NY lows holding near 0.5616.
The NZ jobs miss dropped the pair to 0.5579 at the start of the window. Post-midterm USD selling then lifted London to a 0.5646 London high, and NY's 0.5643 retest formed a double top followed by a lower high at 0.5632. Late NY is drifting on the 38.2% fib near 0.5620, with the 0.5616 NY low holding and RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 0.56201, 0.56163, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56317, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 NY low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.5613 Asian high near the 50% fib
Close above the 0.5632 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline; 0.5646 London high is the next reference
Thin calendar into the Asia session: USD flow ahead of Thu 13:30 UTC jobless claims is the likely driver
19:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend from the London high, momentum fading · RSI 47 · price 0.56196
Lower highs since 0.5646; tight consolidation just above the NY low.
Post-midterm USD selling lifted the pair from the 0.5579 jobs-miss low through the 0.5613 Asian high to a 0.5646 day high in London. The NY high at 0.5643 failed short of it, and the break of 0.5622 completed a double top. Late NY trades in a 0.5618–0.5623 consolidation above the 0.5616 NY low, below both EMAs, with lower highs capping each bounce.
Support: 0.56163, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56317, 0.56425, 0.56455
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.5616 NY low exposes the 0.5613 Asian high and the 0.5600 round number
A close above the 0.5632 swing high breaks the lower-highs trendline and neutralises the double top read
Retaking the 0.5643 NY high and 0.5646 day high reopens the session top
Thu 13:30 UTC jobless claims and unit labour costs could shift the USD-led flow
19:31 UTC
Intraday pullback from London high, lower highs in NY · RSI 49 · price 0.56207
Double top 0.5646/0.5643 broken; late-NY range above 0.5616.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss knocked the pair to 0.5579, then post-midterm USD selling carried it through the Asian range to a London session high at 0.5646. NY printed a lower high at 0.5643, broke the 0.5622 neckline and has since capped at 0.5632. Late-NY price is holding the 0.5616–0.5618 NY low at the 50% fib, RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 0.56165, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5622, 0.56317, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 NY low extends the double top and opens the 0.5600 psych pivot
Close back above the 0.5622 neckline and the 0.5632 lower high breaks the NY lower-high sequence
Reclaim of the 0.5646 session high would invalidate the double top
Thu 13:30 UTC US jobless claims could shift USD tone ahead of Friday NFP
Lower highs (0.5646, 0.5643, 0.5632) over a flat 0.5616–0.5618 floor.
The NZ jobs miss knocked the pair to 0.5579 at the Asia open. Post-midterm USD selling then carried it to a 0.5646 London high, but NY has printed lower highs at 0.5643 and 0.5632 after rejection near the top. Late NY, price is pinned at 0.5621 near the 38.2% fib, above the 0.5617 NY low, with RSI(14) at 44 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 0.5617, 0.5612, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5632, 0.5646
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5617 NY low breaks the floor and exposes the 0.5612 Asian high / 50% fib, then the 0.5600 round number
Close above the 0.5632 lower high ends the lower-high sequence and reopens the 0.5646 London high
Thin calendar into Asia; next USD catalyst is Thu 13:30 UTC jobless claims
19:03 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since London peak · RSI 44 · price 0.5620
Double top 0.5643–0.5646, neckline 0.5622 broken; testing ny low.
The NZ jobs miss knocked the pair to 0.5579 before post-midterm USD selling carried it through the asian high in London to a 0.5646 session high. A double top with the NY high at 0.5643 broke the 0.5622 neckline. Price is now back on the 0.5616 ny low near the 50% retracement, capped by a lower high at 0.5632.
Support: 0.56163, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56317, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 ny low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.5613 asian high, then 0.5600 psych
Close above the 0.5632 lower high breaks the descending sequence and reopens the 0.5643–0.5646 session high
Late NY into Asia is a thin session with no scheduled NZ data. Thu 13:30 UTC US claims and Fed Hammack are the next USD drivers
18:46 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since London · RSI 49 · price 0.5622
Lower highs and lower lows after a 0.5643–0.5646 double top.
London extended the Asian rebound from the NZ jobs-miss low (0.5579) to a 0.5646 London high on post-midterm USD selling. NY then rejected 0.5643, forming a double top, and printed a lower low at the 0.5616 NY low near the 50% retrace. Late NY trades at 0.5622 below both EMAs, with RSI(14) neutral near 49, after the bounce stalled at a 0.5632 lower high.
Support: 0.5616, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5632, 0.5645
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 NY low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.5613 asian high and the 0.5600 psych pivot
Close above the 0.5632 lower high breaks the descending trendline and weakens the pullback read; the 0.5645 london high is the next cap
US jobless claims and Fed Hammack (Thu 13:30–13:50 UTC) could shift the USD-led flow
18:32 UTC
Intraday pullback from London high · RSI 45 · price 0.56225
Lower highs and lower lows since 10:15 UTC.
The NZ jobs miss dropped the pair to 0.5579. Post-midterm USD selling then carried it through the Asian high and up to a London high at 0.5646. NY was rejected at the 0.5643 NY high, a shallow double top, and printed a 0.5616 NY low. Late NY now trades at 0.5622, near the 38.2% retracement of the Asia–London leg and below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.56163, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56317, 0.56425, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 NY low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.5613 Asian high and the 61.8% fib
Reclaim of the 0.5632 lower high breaks the descending lower-highs line and neutralises the double top
Loss of the 0.5600 pivot would erase most of the London rally
US Jobless Claims and Hammack Thu 13:30–13:50 UTC could reset USD direction
Lower highs since London peak, holding 0.5616 floor.
The NZ jobs-miss drop to 0.5579 fully reversed on post-midterm USD selling. London ran to a day high at 0.5646, but NY has printed lower highs at 0.5643 and 0.5632. The ny low at 0.5616 sits near the 38.2% fib of the Asia-London rally, and price is hugging EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral at 48 late in the NY session.
Support: 0.56163, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56317, 0.56425, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 ny low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.5600 psych pivot
Close above the 0.5632 lower high breaks the NY lower-highs line and puts the 0.5643 ny high and 0.5646 day high back in view
Thin calendar into Asia; USD flows remain the driver ahead of Thursday's US jobless claims
18:03 UTC
Post-jobs recovery, stalling below London high · RSI 47 · price 0.56284
Double top 0.5646/0.5643, NY lower low, late-NY bounce mid-range.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss dropped the pair to 0.5579. Post-midterm USD selling then carried it through the Asian high at 0.5613 to a London high of 0.5646. NY capped at a lower high of 0.5643 and slid to a NY low of 0.5616, and the late-NY bounce high at 0.5632 now sits just above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.56163, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56317, 0.56425, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 ny low confirms the double top and exposes the asian high at 0.5613, which sits at the 50% fib of the post-jobs rally
Close above the 0.5643 lower high negates the double top and reopens the 0.5646 london high
Holding under the 0.5632 bounce high keeps price in a 0.5616–0.5643 range into Asia
Thin calendar until Thu US jobless claims; USD flows after the midterms remain the driver
17:47 UTC
Recovery uptrend, pulling back from day high · RSI 50 · price 0.56304
Lower high at 0.5643 after 0.5646 top; NY low 0.5616 held near 38.2% fib.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss knocked the pair to 0.5579 late yesterday. Post-midterm USD selling then lifted it through Asia and into a 0.5646 London high, before rejection and a NY lower high at 0.5643. The NY low at 0.5616 held just under the 38.2% fib of the day's rally, and price is back near 0.5630 above the 0.5622 swing low in late NY, RSI(14) neutral around 50.
Support: 0.56223, 0.56163
Resistance: 0.56425, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5643 lower high and 0.5646 London high breaks the pullback structure
Break below the 0.5616 NY low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.5600 pivot
Thin calendar until Thu 13:30 UTC US jobless claims; moves likely USD-led on Fed hike pricing
Lower highs from 0.5646 London high; NY range 0.5616–0.5643.
NZD/USD has retraced all of the overnight jobs-miss drop on broad USD selling after the midterms. The pair broke above the Asian range, printed a 0.5646 session high in London, then tagged a 0.5643 NY high around ADP before rejecting from it. Late in the NY session, price has slipped through the 0.5622 london low to a 0.5616 ny low, near the 50% fib of the Asia-London leg, and is now pressing the 0.5631 lower high; RSI(14) is neutral at 46 and ATR is about 6 pips.
Support: 0.56223, 0.56163, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56305, 0.56425, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5631 lower high breaks the NY lower-high trendline and reopens the 0.5643 ny high and 0.5646 session high
Failure to hold the 0.5616 ny low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.5600 psych pivot
Thu 13:30 UTC US Jobless Claims and Unit Labor Costs, plus Hammack, are the next USD risk that could shift this read
17:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, lower high in NY · RSI 48 · price 0.56302
Range 0.5616–0.5646 after Asia/London rally; NY lower high, latest bar reclaiming 0.5630.
The post-NZ-jobs-miss low at 0.5579 gave way to a USD-led rally through Asia and London to a london high at 0.5646. NY opened with a rejection at 0.5643 (ny high, a lower high) after the ADP beat and ISM miss, then dipped to the ny low at 0.5616, near the 38.2% fib, before the latest bar reclaimed 0.5630 late in the NY session.
Support: 0.5622, 0.5616, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5643, 0.5646
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5643–0.5646 (ny high / london high) breaks the range top and resumes the HH chain
Failure to hold 0.5616 ny low and the 38.2% fib confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.5600 round number
Holding back above the 0.5622 london low keeps the dip below it as a false break
US Jobless Claims and Hammack Thu 13:30 UTC could shift the USD side of this read next session
17:03 UTC
Intraday pullback after London high, lower highs forming · RSI 38 · price 0.56206
Double top at 0.5643–0.5646, neckline at 0.5622 broken, price holding the 50% retracement.
The NZ jobs miss knocked the pair to 0.5579 late yesterday, and a broad USD selloff then drove a recovery through Asia and London to the 0.5646 London high. NY retested that high at 0.5643 and was rejected, completing a double top. The pair slid after the mixed ADP and ISM data and is now holding the NY low at 0.5616, near the 50% retracement of the Asia-London rally.
Support: 0.56163, 0.56118, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56263, 0.56455
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.5626 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence from the London high
Failure to hold the 0.5616 NY low exposes the 61.8% fib at 0.5612 and then 0.5600 psych
Post-London-close liquidity is thinning; US Jobless Claims Thu 13:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD catalyst
London range break above the Asian high, then lower highs and lower lows through NY.
The NZ jobs miss knocked the pair 30 pips to 0.5579 late yesterday. USD weakness then carried it through the Asian high at 0.5613 to a 0.5646 day high in London. NY printed a lower high at 0.5643 around mixed US data, and the fade found a swing low at 0.5616, near 50% of the Asia-London rally. Price sits just under the 0.5626 lower high and below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 0.56163, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56263, 0.56425, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5616 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward the Asian high at 0.5613 and the 0.5600 psych level
Reclaim of the 0.5626 lower high eases the pullback read and puts the 0.5643 NY high back in focus
Break of the lower-highs line from the 0.5646 day high reopens the London range top
Late-NY digestion of the ADP beat and ISM Services miss is the near-term USD driver; no further scheduled events in the next 8h
Lower high at 0.5643 and a break of the 0.5622 London low.
The 21:45 UTC NZ jobs miss knocked the pair 30 pips to 0.5579. The post-midterm USD selloff then carried it through the 0.5613 Asian high to a 0.5646 session high in London. NY printed a lower high at 0.5643 and slid to a 0.5618 ny low below the 0.5622 London pullback low, completing a small double top. Price now sits on the 38.2% retrace of the post-jobs rally, with RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 0.56178, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56263, 0.56425, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5618 ny low opens the 0.5613 asian high, which lines up with the 50% fib
Reclaiming the 0.5626 bounce high would stall the lower-high sequence; 0.5643 lower high caps above
Loss of 0.5613 puts the 0.5600 psych level back in focus, with NZ downside sensitivity elevated after the jobs miss
16:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, lower high in place · RSI 42 · price 0.56247
London HH/HL chain capped at 0.5646; NY lower high at 0.5643, brief break of the 0.5622 swing low reclaimed.
NZD/USD recovered from the 0.5579 post-jobs low and broke the 0.5613 Asian high in London, peaking at a 0.5646 day high. NY then printed a lower high at 0.5643 against mixed US data (ADP beat, ISM Services miss) and dipped through the 0.5622 swing low. The 0.5618 NY low held at the 50% fib of the London leg, so the break below the swing low has failed for now; price sits at the 38.2% level, under the ema20 at 0.5629, with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 0.56223, 0.56178, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.5629, 0.56425, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5618 NY low breaks the 50% fib and completes the double top below the swing low
Reclaim of ema20 at 0.5629, then the 0.5643 lower high, reopens the 0.5646 day high
Asian high at 0.5613 is the next reference if the 0.5618 NY low gives way
USD reaction to mixed ADP/ISM still feeding through into the late NY session; Thu claims and Fed's Hammack are next risk
Lower high at 0.5643 below 0.5646 session high, then a break below the 0.5622 swing low.
The London rally off the post-jobs Asian base, helped by the post-midterm USD dip, peaked at the 0.5646 session high. The NY open printed a lower high at 0.5643 after the ADP beat. The ISM-hour slide broke the 0.5622 swing low to a 0.5618 NY low at the 50% retracement, and price is now back under the 0.5626 broken low near the 38.2% level.
Support: 0.5618, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5626, 0.5643, 0.5646
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.5626 broken low negates the break of the higher-low chain
Failure to hold the 0.5618 ny low (50% fib) exposes the 0.5613 asian high and then the 0.5600 round number
Clearance of the 0.5643 lower high and 0.5646 session high voids the double-top read
US Jobless Claims Thu 13:30 UTC and NFP Fri could reset USD-driven swings
15:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 39 · price 0.56192
Double top at session high, swing low broken.
NZD/USD recovered from the 0.5579 post-jobs low through the 0.5613 Asian high in London. The rally capped at a 0.5645/0.5643 double top, and the 15:15 UTC NY bar broke the 0.5622 swing low as the USD recovery resumed. Price now sits on the 38.2% fib near 0.5620 with the ny low at 0.5618 just below; RSI(14) is near 39 and price is under both EMAs.
Support: 0.56178, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56223, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5618 ny low extends the lower-low and exposes the 0.5613 asian high / 50% fib
Reclaiming the 0.5622 broken low negates the break; 0.5643–0.5646 double top remains the session cap
0.5600 psych pivot is the next marker below the asian high if the 50% fib gives way
15:16 UTC
Intraday up-leg stalling, lower high in NY · RSI 46 · price 0.56277
Lower high at 0.5643 under 0.5646 session high, testing swing low.
London cleared the 0.5613 Asian high and ran to a 0.5646 session high on post-midterm USD softness. NY printed a lower high at 0.5643 around ADP and was rejected there, and mixed US data (ADP beat, ISM Services miss) has left price at 0.5628. That sits just above the 0.5622 swing low, near the 38.2% retrace of the London leg.
Support: 0.5622, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.5643, 0.5646
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5622 swing low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.5613 Asian high
Reclaim of the 0.5643 lower high and the 0.5646 session high invalidates the lower-highs read
Liquidity thins after London close, and USD swings on Fed/midterm headlines could break the range
15:02 UTC
Rebound stalling, intraday lower high in place · RSI 46 · price 0.56271
London high 0.5646, NY lower high 0.5643, price pressing the 0.5622 swing low.
London extended the bounce off the post-jobs-miss low (0.5579) through the Asian high to 0.5646. NY then capped at a lower high of 0.5643 after the ADP beat lifted USD, and price has faded to 0.5627, just above the 0.5622 swing low that marks the neckline of a developing double top. RSI(14) is neutral near 46, ATR about 5.7 pips, and price sits below EMA20 but still above EMA50.
Support: 0.56223, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56425, 0.56455
What it said to watch
ISM Services (15:00 UTC) lands on the current bar and could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.5622 swing low confirms the double top and puts the 38.2% fib (~0.5620) and the 0.5613 Asian high in view
Below 0.5613, the 0.5600 round number is the next reference
Recovery above the 0.5643 NY high negates the lower-high sequence and reopens the 0.5646 London high
14:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under London high · RSI 56 · price 0.56335
HH/HL from Asia low; NY lower high at 0.5643 over a 0.5630 higher low.
London broke the 0.5613 Asian high and ran to a 0.5646 London high, extending the recovery from the 0.5579 low printed after the weak NZ Q3 jobs data. Early NY, after the ADP beat, left a lower high at 0.5643. Price is now holding the 0.5630 NY low and sitting on EMA20 into ISM Services.
Support: 0.5630, 0.56223, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56425, 0.56455, 0.5650
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5630 ny low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.5622 swing low near the 38.2% fib
Close above the 0.5646 london high clears the lower-high trendline and brings 0.5650 psych into view
Loss of the 0.5622 swing low puts the 0.5613 asian high retest in play
US ISM Services at 15:00 UTC (f/c 54.8) and S&P PMI could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, stalling below london high · RSI 61 · price 0.5636
Higher-low chain from 0.5579, NY ranging under 0.5646.
The pair has fully reversed the 0.5579 low that followed the NZ jobs miss. It broke above the Asian high at 0.5613 at London open as the post-midterm USD dip persisted, and has printed higher lows at 0.5591 and the 0.5622 swing low on the rising trendline. NY is holding a 0.5634–0.5643 range just under the 0.5646 London high, the 38.2% fib sits near 0.5620, and RSI(14) has cooled to about 61.
Support: 0.5634, 0.5622, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.5643, 0.5646, 0.5650
What it said to watch
S&P Global PMI at 14:45 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC (f/c 54.8) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.5646 london high extends the uptrend toward the 0.5650 round number
Close below the 0.5634 ny low breaks the NY range to the downside
Loss of the 0.5622 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.5613 asian high
Higher-low chain from 0.5579, marginal lower high at 0.5643 in NY.
The NZ jobs miss knocked price to 0.5579, but the move has fully reversed. London broke the Asian high at 0.5613 and a higher-low chain carried price to a 0.5645 session high, where it was rejected. NY retested to 0.5643 after the ADP beat with little reaction, and price is holding just above the ema20 with RSI(14) at 61 ahead of ISM Services.
Support: 0.5634, 0.5622, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.5645, 0.5650
What it said to watch
S&P Global PMI at 14:45 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
An M15 close above the 0.5645 session high opens the 0.5650 round number, which the digest flags as a rebound cap
Losing the ema20 at 0.5634 puts the higher-low line and the 0.5622 swing low in focus
A break below the 0.5622 swing low ends the higher-low chain and turns the 0.5643 lower high into a double-test cap
Higher lows since Asia; early NY consolidating just under the London high.
The post-NZ-jobs low at 0.5579 has been fully retraced. London broke the Asian high at 0.5613 and set the London high at 0.56455, and the 0.56223 swing low held as a higher low on a USD-led bounce. Early NY is consolidating just under that high, riding the rising trendline, and the ADP beat has not dented the pair. RSI(14) is near 60.
Support: 0.56264, 0.56223, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56455, 0.5650
What it said to watch
S&P Global PMI 14:45 UTC and ISM Services 15:00 UTC (f/c 54.8) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.56455 London high opens the 0.5650 round number
Break of the rising trendline and the 0.56264 higher low exposes the 0.56223 swing low
Loss of 0.56223 would put the Asian high at 0.5613 back in play
13:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under session high · RSI 67 · price 0.56395
Higher low at 0.5622, testing 0.5643–0.5646 cap.
London broke the Asian high at 0.5613 as post-midterm USD weakness lifted the pair off the overnight 0.5579 jobs-miss low. Price was rejected at the 0.56455 session high, then set a higher low at 0.5622. The ADP-hour push to 0.56425 is stalling just below that high, with RSI(14) near 67 and the pivot low at 0.5630 underneath.
Support: 0.5630, 0.56223, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56455, 0.5650
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56455 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 0.5650 round number
Loss of the 0.5630 pivot low and then the 0.5622 higher low breaks the intraday rising support
A move back below the 0.5613 Asian high would unwind the London breakout
S&P Global PMI at 14:45 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since the 0.5591 Asia low; above the Asian range.
The dive to 0.5579 on the NZ jobs miss has been fully retraced on broad USD softness. London broke the Asian high at 0.5613 and set a session high at 0.5646, and the pullback held a swing low at 0.5622 on rising support. Price is back near 0.5640 in the London-NY transition, the post-ADP reaction was muted, and RSI(14) is around 57 after the Asia low at 0.5591 started the climb.
Support: 0.56223, 0.5613, 0.55909
Resistance: 0.56455, 0.5650
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5646 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 0.5650 round number
Break of the 0.5622 swing low and rising support ends the higher-low sequence and exposes the Asian high at 0.5613
ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HL at 0.5622 after London peak; lower high at 0.5640 under test.
The Q3 NZ jobs miss knocked the pair about 30 pips to 0.5579 at 21:45 UTC. The broad post-midterm USD selloff then carried it through the 0.5613 Asian high in early London, up to a 0.5646 London high. The pullback held the 0.5622 swing low near the 38.2% retracement, and price is now pressing the 0.5640 lower high just above the ema20, with ATR near 5 pips.
Support: 0.5630, 0.56223, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56396, 0.56455
What it said to watch
US ADP is releasing now, with ISM Services at 15:00 UTC; either print could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.5646 London high resumes the HH chain
Loss of the ema20 at 0.5630, then the 0.5622 swing low, breaks the higher-low sequence and the trendline support
Failure back below the 0.5613 Asian high would unwind the London breakout
V-recovery from post-jobs low, now coiling below the session high.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss knocked the pair to 0.5579. The broad USD selloff then carried it through the Asian high at 0.5613 in London to a 0.5646 session high. The pullback low at 0.5622 held near the 38.2% fib, and price now rides rising support just under a 0.5638 lower high, with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.56223, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56375, 0.56455
What it said to watch
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read.
An M15 close below the 0.5622 pullback low and rising support breaks the higher-low chain, leaving the asian high at 0.5613 as the next reference.
A close above the 0.5638 lower high reopens the 0.5646 session high; acceptance beyond it extends the London breakout.
V-recovery from 0.5579; higher low 0.5622, lower high 0.5638.
The drop to 0.5579 after the NZ jobs miss has been fully reversed. London broke the 0.5613 asian high on broad USD selling and set a 0.5646 session high. The pullback held at the 0.5622 pullback low near the fib 38.2% retrace, and the late-London bounce stalled at a 0.5638 lower high. RSI(14) is neutral near 54.
Support: 0.56223, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56375, 0.56455
What it said to watch
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.5622 pullback low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.5613 asian high
Close above the 0.5638 lower high reopens the 0.5646 session high
12:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back off highs · RSI 61 · price 0.56356
Higher highs and higher lows since the 0.5579 post-data low.
The 21:45 UTC NZ jobs miss knocked the pair 30 pips to 0.5579. A broad USD selloff then retraced the drop through Asia and into the London session. After a rejection at the 0.5646 session high, the pullback set a higher low at the 0.5622 swing low near the 38.2% fib. Price is back above yesterday's 0.5631 prior high, with RSI(14) at 61.
Support: 0.5631, 0.56223, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56455, 0.5650
What it said to watch
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read around the NY open
M15 close above the 0.5646 session high extends the HH chain toward the 0.5650 round number
Failure to hold the 0.5631 prior high, then a break of the 0.5622 swing low and the rising trendline from the 0.5591 Asia low, ends the higher-low sequence and exposes 0.5600 psych
London breakout above Asian range, rejection at 0.5646, higher low at 0.5622.
The NZ jobs miss at 21:45 UTC knocked the pair to 0.5579, but the post-midterm USD selloff carried London through the asian high at 0.5613 to a 0.5646 session high. That high was rejected, and the pullback low at 0.5622 held near the 38.2% fib and the rising trendline. Price is now coiling between 0.5622 and the 0.5631 prior high ahead of NY.
Support: 0.5622, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5631, 0.5646
What it said to watch
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.5622 pullback low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the asian high at 0.5613, then the 0.5600 round number
M15 close above the 0.5631 prior high reopens the 0.5646 session high
12:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 57 · price 0.56275
Asian range broken higher in London, higher low holding at 0.5622.
London broke the 0.5613 Asian high on the post-midterm USD selloff, fully erasing the NZ jobs-miss drop to 0.5579 and topping at the 0.5646 session high. A sharp rejection there sent price back to the 0.5622 pullback low, near the 38.2% retracement and on the rising trendline. Price is now basing just above EMA20 with RSI(14) near 57, while the 0.5631 prior high caps the bounce.
Support: 0.56223, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.5631, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5622 pullback low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 0.5613 Asian high near the 50% retracement
Reclaim of the 0.5631 prior high reopens the 0.5646 session high
US ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read in the NY session
11:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back after session-high rejection · RSI 54 · price 0.5626
HH/HL chain from Asian low broken by sharp drop off 0.5646; pullback holding 0.5622 base.
Recovery from the post-NZ-jobs low near 0.5579 extended through London on the post-midterm USD dip. Price broke the 0.5613 Asian high and pushed above yesterday's 0.5631 prior high to a 0.5646 session high, then rejected back under it in a false break. The late-London pullback is retesting the 0.5622 london base at the 38.2% fib, with RSI(14) neutral near 54 and price hugging EMA20.
Support: 0.5622, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5631, 0.5646
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.5631 prior high negates the false-break read and reopens the 0.5646 session high
Failure to hold the 0.5622 london base (38.2% fib) exposes the 0.5613 asian high, then 0.5600 psych
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read in early NY session
11:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 51 · price 0.56258
HH/HL chain from 0.5592; first lower high at 0.5633.
The London rally broke the 0.5613 Asian high and ran to a 0.5646 session high, erasing the drop to 0.5579 after the weak NZ Q3 jobs data. Price is now retracing and holding the 0.5622 pullback low at the 38.2% fib, with RSI(14) cooled to about 51 and price sitting on EMA20.
Support: 0.56222, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56328, 0.56455, 0.5650
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5622 pullback low opens a retest of the 0.5613 Asian high
Recovery above the 0.5633 lower high reopens the 0.5646 session high and the 0.5650 round number
Loss of the 0.5600 round number would unwind the London breakout
US ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
11:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, rejected at session high · RSI 58 · price 0.56253
HH/HL leg from 0.5591, false break above 0.5631 prior high.
Recovery from the 0.5579 low after the NZ jobs miss carried through London, clearing the 0.5613 Asian high and the 0.5631 prior high to a 0.5645 session high. A sharp rejection there pulled price back to a 0.5623 pullback low at the 38.2% fib of the London leg. Price sits mid-London just above EMA20, with RSI(14) cooled to ~58.
Support: 0.56228, 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5631, 0.56455
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.5631 prior high negates the false break read and reopens the 0.5645 session high
Failure to hold the 0.5623 pullback low (38.2% fib) exposes the 0.5613 Asian high near the 61.8% retrace
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read; 0.5600 psych is the deeper line
London broke the Asian high, HH/HL chain intact, first pullback testing prior high.
The NZ jobs miss dropped the pair about 30 pips to 0.5579, and Asia then held a 0.5579–0.5613 range. London broke the asian high on broad post-midterm USD weakness and ran to a 0.56455 session high. A 10-pip rejection bar followed, and price is now sitting on the 0.5630 prior high, just under the 23.6% fib, with RSI(14) cooled to 59.
Support: 0.5630, 0.5621, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56455, 0.5650
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5630 prior high opens the 38.2% fib and swing low near 0.5621–0.5625
Failure at the 0.5621 swing low exposes the asian high at 0.5613 and breaks the HL chain
Close above the 0.56455 session high puts the 0.5650 psych level in play
US ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read via the USD leg
10:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, first rejection at the high · RSI 63 · price 0.56316
Higher lows since the Asian dip; the break above the prior high is now being retested.
NZD gapped to 0.5579 on the Q3 jobs miss. The broad post-midterm USD dip then carried it through the 0.5613 Asian high in early London and above the 0.5631 prior high. A 10-pip rejection off the 0.5646 session high has returned price to that prior high, and RSI(14) has cooled to about 63.
Support: 0.5631, 0.56247, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56455, 0.5650
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5631 prior high turns the push into a false break and exposes the fib 38.2 near 0.5625
Failure to hold the 0.5613 Asian high returns price into the overnight range
M15 close above the 0.5646 session high reopens the 0.5650 round number
US ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
London fully retraced the NZ jobs-miss drop to 0.5579 on broad post-midterm USD softness. It cleared the 0.5613 Asian high and the 0.5631 prior high, then printed a 0.5646 session high. RSI(14) is near 75 with the HH/HL chain intact, and the latest bar is easing just under the session high, with the 0.5650 round number overhead.
Support: 0.5631, 0.56246, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56455, 0.5650
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5631 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.5625 area (38.2% fib) breaks the London HL chain, exposing the 0.5613 asian high
Acceptance above the 0.5646 session high and 0.5650 round number extends the HH sequence
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain through London, above Asian range and prior high.
NZDUSD has fully retraced the drop to 0.5579 that followed the NZ jobs miss. London broke the 0.5613 Asian high and yesterday's 0.5631 prior high on the post-midterm USD dip. Price is pressing the 0.5641 session high mid-London with RSI(14) near 80, and the London trendline and 0.5631 are the nearest supports.
Support: 0.5631, 0.5621, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.5641, 0.5650
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5631 prior high would mark the breakout as a false break
Loss of the 0.5621 london low breaks the London HH/HL chain
0.5650 round number is the next overhead level, also flagged as a rebound cap
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could reverse the USD-led bid
Break of the London trendline with RSI rolling off 80 would point to momentum fading
10:03 UTC
Uptrend, RSI stretched · RSI 77 · price 0.56369
London HH/HL chain, broke Asian range and prior high.
London has fully reversed the NZ-jobs drop to 0.5579. It cleared the asian high at 0.5613 and yesterday's NY prior high at 0.5631 as USD stays offered after the midterms. The recovery is printing a session high at 0.5639 with RSI(14) near 77, and the 0.5621 pullback low is the last higher low.
Support: 0.5631, 0.5621, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.5639, 0.5650
What it said to watch
Holding the 0.5631 prior high keeps the breakout read; a close back below turns it into a false break
Break of the 0.5621 pullback low ends the HH/HL chain and exposes the 0.5613 asian high, near the 38.2% of the recovery fib
Session high 0.5639: rejection here vs extension toward the 0.5650 round number
US ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain since Asia; prior-day high cleared in London.
The pair has fully retraced the post-data plunge to 0.5579 that followed the soft NZ jobs report, on broad USD selling. London broke the Asian high at 0.5613 and has pushed through the prior high at 0.5631 to a session high at 0.5636. Mid-London, the HL trendline is intact and RSI(14) is hot near 74.
Support: 0.5631, 0.56214, 0.5613
Resistance: 0.56359, 0.5650
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5631 prior high would mark a false break of the London extension
Loss of the HL trendline and the 0.5621 swing low would end the higher-low chain
38.2% of the post-data fib sits at 0.5614, next to the asian high
Round number 0.5650 is the next reference above the session high
US ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) in the NY session could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, RSI stretched · RSI 78 · price 0.56307
Higher highs and higher lows from the 0.5579 post-data low; London broke above the Asian range high.
The pair has erased the drop to 0.5579 that followed the NZ jobs miss. A broad USD selloff carried London through the Asian high and the pre-data shelf near 0.5612, and on to a session high at 0.5634, just above yesterday's 0.5631 prior high. With RSI(14) near 78, price is pressing that prior high. The 0.5622 pullback low, which lines up with the 23.6% retracement, is the first higher-low beneath it.
Support: 0.56214, 0.56115, 0.55909
Resistance: 0.56341, 0.5631, 0.5650
What it said to watch
M15 closes above the 0.5634 session high extend the breakout leg, with the 0.5650 round number as the next marker
A close back below the 0.5631 prior high, followed by a break of the 0.5622 pullback low, signals a failed breakout
Loss of the 0.5612 pre-data shelf (38.2% fib) returns price to the Asian range; the 0.5591 asia low is the higher-low that keeps the structure intact
US ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) in the NY session could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 73 · price 0.56285
HH/HL chain off the 0.5579 post-data low; Asian range broken higher in London.
London open broke the Asian high at 0.5613 on a broad USD selloff, fully retracing the drop to 0.5579 after the NZ jobs miss. Price is now at the 0.5629 session high, just under yesterday's 0.5631 prior high. London lows have stepped up toward 0.5621, with RSI(14) near 73.
Support: 0.56214, 0.5613, 0.55909
Resistance: 0.56287, 0.5631
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5631 prior high clears yesterday's range top
Break below the 0.5621 london lows ends the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.5613 asian high
Slip back under the 0.5591 asian low would undo the whole recovery off the 0.5579 post-data low
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, stalling under prior high · RSI 71 · price 0.56247
HH/HL chain since 05:15 UTC, equal highs at 0.5628.
NZD/USD has fully retraced the 30-pip drop on the NZ jobs miss, with a USD-led London leg clearing the Asian high at 0.5613. Mid-London, price is stalling under a twice-tested london high at 0.5628, just below the prior high at 0.5631; RSI(14) near 71, and the rising London trendline is still respected.
Support: 0.56214, 0.5613, 0.56101
Resistance: 0.56283, 0.5631
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5631 prior high clears the equal-highs cap
Break of the 0.5621 pullback low and the London trendline ends the HL chain; asian high at 0.5613 then becomes the retest level
Deeper pullback into the fib 50% at 0.5610 puts the full London leg in question
US ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since the post-data low; Asian range broken to the upside.
The 0.5579 low after the NZ jobs miss has been fully retraced on broad USD selling. London broke the Asian high at 0.5613 and printed a 0.5628 session high, just under the 0.5631 prior high from yesterday's NY session. Price is holding in the low 0.5620s with RSI(14) near 64, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.5613, 0.5600, 0.5591
Resistance: 0.56283, 0.5631
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5631 prior high fully erases the post-data drop and extends the higher-low chain
Failure to hold the asian high at 0.5613 brings the 0.5600 round number and the 0.5591 swing low back into play
Loss of the 38.2% retrace of the post-data rally near 0.5609 would mark the London breakout as fading
US ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) in the NY session could materially shift this read
Higher lows since 03:45 UTC; London broke above the Asian high.
The NZ jobs-miss drop to 0.5579 has been fully retraced on broad USD selling. London broke the Asian high at 0.5613 and printed a session high at 0.5628, just shy of yesterday's prior high at 0.5631. RSI(14) is cooling from near 70 as price stalls under that ceiling.
Support: 0.5613, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56283, 0.5631
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5631 prior high clears yesterday's range top
Return below the 0.5613 asian high turns the London break into a false break
Loss of the rising trendline breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.5600 round number
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since the Asian low, with an Asian range break in early London.
NZDUSD has fully retraced the 21:45 UTC NZ jobs-miss drop to 0.5579. Early London broke the 0.5613 Asian high and pushed to a 0.5628 session high, just under yesterday's 0.5631 prior high, with RSI(14) near 77. Per the digest the bounce is USD-driven rather than Kiwi strength. The Asian high sits near the 38.2% of the London leg fib.
Support: 0.5613, 0.5605, 0.5591
Resistance: 0.56283, 0.5631
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5631 prior high clears yesterday's ceiling; rejection there leaves a stall under resistance
Move back below the 0.5613 Asian high returns price to the Asian range; losing the 0.5591 Asian low unwinds the London breakout
A close below the rising trendline from 0.5592 (near 0.5605) breaks the higher-low chain
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended into London · RSI 73 · price 0.56224
Higher lows since 0.5591; Asian high broken at London open.
The ~30-pip drop on the soft NZ Q3 jobs data bottomed at 0.5579 late in the NY session. Broad USD selling then lifted the pair back above the 0.5600 round number in Asia, and the London open broke the asian high at 0.5613 to a session high of 0.56255. Price now sits just under yesterday's prior high at 0.5631 with RSI(14) near 73, hot but not extreme.
Support: 0.5613, 0.5600, 0.5591
Resistance: 0.56255, 0.5631
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5613 asian high would mark the London push as a false break
Clearance of the 0.5631 prior high extends the rally beyond the full retrace of the jobs-data drop
Loss of the rising support line and the 0.5600 round number would put the 0.5591 swing low back in play
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, RSI stretched · RSI 77 · price 0.56239
Higher lows since 0.5591, Asian high broken at London open.
NZDUSD has fully retraced the 33-pip drop on the NZ jobs miss, rising from 0.5579 through the asian high at 0.5613 in the first hour of London on broad USD selling after the US midterms. RSI(14) is near 77 and price is riding a rising trendline from the 0.5591 swing low, with the prior high at 0.5631 overhead.
Support: 0.5613, 0.5591
Resistance: 0.5631
What it said to watch
Failure to hold back above the asian high at 0.5613 would mark the London breakout as a false break
M15 close above the prior high at 0.5631 extends the rebound beyond the pre-data range
Break of the rising trendline and the 0.5591 swing low would end the higher-low sequence
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD
Higher lows from 0.5579 post-jobs low, double bottom at Asian low.
Early London finds NZDUSD retesting the 0.5613 Asian high after fully retracing the NZ jobs-miss drop to 0.5579, a bounce the digest ties to broad USD selling on the Democratic sweep rather than Kiwi demand. A double bottom at the 0.5591 Asian low and a rising trendline of higher lows carry the move. RSI(14) near 71 is warm but not stretched.
Support: 0.56054, 0.5600, 0.55909
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.56208, 0.5631
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5613 Asian high opens the 0.5621 swing high and the 0.5631 prior high
Break of the rising trendline and the 0.5605 swing low shifts focus to the 0.5600 round number
Loss of the 0.5591 Asian low voids the double bottom
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Recovery uptrend, pressing Asian high · RSI 66 · price 0.56092
Higher-low chain from 0.5591 into London open.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss knocked the pair about 30 pips to the 0.5579 data low. Broad USD selling has since retraced the whole drop. The Asian pullback held the 61.8% fib at the 0.5591 Asian low, and the higher-low chain since then has price at the 0.5613 Asian high as London opens.
Support: 0.5600, 0.55909, 0.55789
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.56212
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.5613 Asian high clears the pre-data shelf and opens the 0.5621 NY swing hi
Close back below 0.5600 psych breaks the higher-low trendline and puts the 0.5591 Asian low back in play
Loss of 0.5591 exposes the 0.5579 data low
US ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Rebounding from jobs low, higher lows intact · RSI 61 · price 0.56079
HL chain from 0.5579, testing post-jobs range top.
The Q3 jobs miss gapped NZD about 30 pips lower to the 0.5579 jobs low. Broad USD selling on the midterm results has since retraced roughly 90% of the drop, and the jobs drop fib puts the 88.6% level near 0.5608. Higher lows at 0.5591–0.5592 held through Asia, and price is now pressing the 0.5613 Asian high, the pre-release level, into the London open.
Support: 0.5600, 0.5591, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.5631
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.5613 Asian high fills the jobs gap and opens the 0.5631 prior high
Rejection at the Asian high and a loss of the 0.5600 round number shifts focus back to the 0.5591 higher low
A break of the higher-lows trendline and the 0.5579 jobs low would confirm a lower low
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Short-term uptrend, recovering the post-jobs drop · RSI 64 · price 0.56079
Higher lows from 0.5579, testing the 0.5608 pre-jobs low under the 0.5613 Asian high.
Late in the Asia session, price has retraced the full NZ Q3 jobs-miss drop from the 0.5579 jobs low on broad USD selling after the US midterms, with rising lows and the 0.5591 swing low holding at the 61.8% retrace. Price is now back at the 0.5608 pre-jobs low with the 0.5613 Asian high just above, ahead of London open.
Support: 0.5600, 0.5591, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.5631
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5613 Asian high fills the jobs gap and opens the path to the 0.5631 prior high
Rejection at 0.5608–0.5613 followed by a loss of the 0.5600 round number shifts focus back to the 0.5591 swing low
A break of the 0.5591 swing low ends the rising-lows chain and exposes the 0.5579 jobs low
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
The weak NZ Q3 jobs report knocked NZDUSD about 30 pips to the 0.5579 jobs low late in the NY session. The USD selloff on the midterm results then lifted it to the 0.5613 Asia high. The pullback held the 0.5591 swing low near the 61.8% fib, and price is now retesting the 0.5600 psych level after a lower high at 0.5607 heading into London open.
Support: 0.5600, 0.5591, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.56065, 0.5613, 0.5631
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5613 asia high breaks the Asian range and exposes the 0.5631 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.5591 swing low reopens the 0.5579 jobs low
Rejection again at the 0.5607 lower high would keep the range-top cap intact
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read via USD
Tight range 0.5591–0.5607 below the 0.5613 Asian high, above the 0.5579 jobs low.
Kiwi dropped about 30 pips to the 0.5579 jobs low on the across-the-board Q3 employment miss. A broad USD selloff on the midterm results then lifted it to a 0.5613 Asian high. Late Asia has held a 0.5591–0.5607 range, with the range floor sitting on the 61.8% fib of the rebound; the latest push to the range top was rejected back to 0.5600, with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and price sitting on its EMAs.
Support: 0.5591, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5607, 0.5613
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.5591 range floor breaks the 61.8% fib and reopens the jobs low at 0.5579
Close above the 0.5607 range top puts the 0.5613 asian high back in play
London open in roughly 2h is likely to resolve the Asian range
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read via USD
06:03 UTC
Recovering inside post-jobs Asian range · RSI 55 · price 0.56048
Higher lows off 0.5579, capped below 0.5613.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss dropped the pair 30 pips to the 0.5579 jobs low, and a softer USD on midterm results lifted it to a 0.5613 Asian high, where it was rejected. Late in the Asia session it is back above the 0.5600 round number, with higher lows at the 0.5591 Asian low still holding.
Support: 0.5600, 0.5591, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.5631
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.5613 Asian high breaks the Asian range and puts the 0.5631 prior high in view
A drop back below 0.5591 breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.5579 jobs low
London open is the first test of whether price holds above the 0.5600 round number
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian range 0.5579–0.5613; lower highs from 0.5613, higher low at 0.5591.
The Q3 jobs miss gapped NZDUSD about 30 pips lower at 21:45 UTC to the 0.5579 jobs low. The USD selloff on the midterm results then drove an Asia session rebound to the 0.5613 Asian high. The pullback held the 61.8% rebound fib at the 0.5591 swing low, and late in Asian hours price is back at the 0.5600 psych level, with EMA50 flat beneath and the 0.5606 lower high still capping.
Support: 0.5600, 0.5591, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5606, 0.5613, 0.5631
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.5606 lower high opens a retest of the 0.5613 Asian high; clearing that brings yesterday's 0.5631 prior high into view.
Losing 0.5600 psych and then the 0.5591 swing low breaks the higher-low structure and exposes the 0.5579 jobs low.
A London open break of the 0.5579–0.5613 Asian range sets the session direction.
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD.
Lower highs from 0.5613, compressing 0.5591–0.5600.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss at 21:45 UTC knocked the pair about 30 pips to a 0.5579 jobs low. The USD selloff on midterm results then lifted it to a 0.5613 session high, which was rejected. Late in the Asia session price is compressing between the 0.5591 range low, near the 61.8% retrace of that rebound, and the 0.5600 round number, under a line of lower highs, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.5591, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.5606, 0.5613
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5600 round number and the lower-highs line puts the 0.5606 lower high and 0.5613 session high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.5591 range low exposes the 0.5579 jobs low
London open in roughly 2.5h is the first test of the Asia session range
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read via USD
The Q3 jobs miss knocked NZDUSD 30 pips to a jobs low at 0.5579 at 21:45 UTC, and a softer USD on midterm results then lifted it to a 0.5613 session high in Asia before it was rejected. Late in the Asia session, price is compressing just under the 0.5600 round number, with lower highs on the trendline and the 0.5591 swing low at the 61.8% retrace of the rebound.
Support: 0.5591, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.5613
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5591 swing low puts the 0.5579 jobs low back in play
Reclaim of the 0.5600 round number and the lower-highs trendline neutralises the fade; 0.5613 session high above
London open in ~2h is likely to break the 0.5591–0.5600 compression
US ADP 13:15 UTC and ISM Services 15:00 UTC could reverse the USD election discount
05:02 UTC
Rebound fading, lower highs since Asia peak · RSI 42 · price 0.55958
Lower highs under falling trendline, flat lows at 0.5591 near 61.8% fib.
The Q3 jobs miss knocked the pair from the 0.5610s to a 0.5579 jobs low. A midterm-driven USD selloff then lifted it to a 0.5613 session high in Asia, where it met rejection just above the 0.5608 pre-jobs low. Since then, late in the Asia session, price has carved lower highs under a falling trendline and stays capped beneath the 0.5600 round number. The 0.5591 session low is holding near the 61.8% retracement.
Support: 0.5591, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.5608, 0.5613
What it said to watch
M15 close above the falling trendline and the 0.5600 round number reopens the 0.5608 pre-jobs low and 0.5613 session high
Failure at the 0.5591 session low and 61.8% fib exposes the 0.5579 jobs low
Senate race calls into London open can swing USD sharply; ADP and ISM Services land in the NY session
Lower highs pressing onto a flat 0.5591 base in the Asia session.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss gapped price down to the 0.5579 jobs low. The midterm-driven USD selloff then lifted it back to 0.5613, closing the gap before rejection at that rebound high. Since then, a lower high at 0.5606 and a descending trendline have compressed late Asia session trade into 0.5591–0.5600, with the swing low sitting on the 61.8% fib and RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.55909, 0.55789
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.56061, 0.5613
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5591 swing low breaks the 61.8% fib and exposes the 0.5579 jobs low
Close above the round number at 0.5600 and the descending trendline turns focus to the 0.5606 lower high, then the 0.5613 rebound high
US Senate race calls during the session could swing USD and shift this read
The NZ Q3 jobs miss cut the pair to a 0.5579 jobs low. A midterm-driven USD selloff then lifted it to a 0.5613 Asia session high, where it met rejection. Since then the pair has printed lower highs under a falling trendline, with the pullback low near 0.5591 (61.8% of the rebound) holding; price sits at the 50% retrace around 0.5596 with RSI(14) neutral at 49.
Support: 0.5591, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.5613
What it said to watch
M15 close above the falling trendline and the 0.5600 round number reopens the 0.5613 session high
Failure to hold the 0.5591 pullback low exposes the 0.5579 jobs low
US Senate race calls during Asia/London can reprice USD and shift this read
Lower highs from 0.5613, price testing 61.8% of rebound.
The Q3 jobs miss after NY close dropped the pair to the 0.5579 jobs low. The midterm-driven USD selloff then lifted it to a 0.5613 rebound high in early Asia session before rejection there. Since then a run of lower highs has pulled price back to the rebound fib 61.8% near 0.5592, just above the 0.5591 session low and below psych 0.5600, with RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.5591, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.5613
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5591 session low exposes the 0.5579 jobs low
Close above the lower highs line and a reclaim of psych 0.5600 reopens the 0.5613 rebound high
Senate race calls through Asia and London hours could swing USD and shift this read
Lower highs from 0.5613, testing 61.8% of rebound.
Kiwi dropped about 30 pips on the Q3 jobs miss to the 0.5579 jobs low. The USD selloff on early midterm tallies then lifted it to the 0.5613 rebound high in early Asia, where it was rejected on a retest of the pre-release base. Asia session since has printed lower highs back to the 0.5591 swing low, which sits at the 61.8% of the rebound, with price under both EMAs.
Support: 0.5591, 0.55825, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.5606, 0.5613
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5591 swing low exposes the 0.5583 higher low, then the 0.5579 jobs low
Reclaim of the 0.5600 round number and a break of the lower-highs line near the 0.5606 lower high would reopen the 0.5613 rebound high
Senate control calls in the midterm count could quickly reverse the USD move behind the rebound
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk
The Q3 jobs miss knocked NZD to a 0.5579 jobs low. The midterm-driven USD selloff then lifted it to a 0.5613 rebound high, where it met rejection just above the old 0.5610 range floor. Mid-Asia session, price is compressing between the 0.5592 61.8% fib, which sits on rising support, and a 0.5606 lower high, capped under 0.5600 psych.
Support: 0.5592, 0.5582, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.5606, 0.5613
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5592 rising support breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.5582 higher low and the 0.5579 jobs low
Close back above 0.5600 psych and the 0.5606 lower high reopens the 0.5613 rebound high
Senate control calls and ADP (13:15 UTC) / ISM Services (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
The NZ Q3 jobs miss at 21:45 UTC knocked the pair from 0.5611 to a 0.5579 jobs low. The Asia session rebound on broad USD weakness met rejection at the 0.5613 asia high, just above the pre-release base. Lower highs have since pulled price back to the 0.5592 fib 61.8, with the 0.5600 round number capping and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.5592, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.5613
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5592 fib 61.8 exposes the 0.5579 jobs low and the bottom of the Asian range
Break of the lower highs line and a reclaim of the 0.5600 round number reopens the 0.5613 asia high
US midterm Senate calls can swing the USD side of the move during Asia and London hours
ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risks
03:17 UTC
Down-leg after the jobs miss, bounce fading · RSI 42 · price 0.55965
Lower highs below 0.5613 inside the 0.5579–0.5613 post-data range.
The across-the-board Q3 NZ jobs miss at 21:45 UTC knocked the pair about 30 pips to the 0.5579 jobs low. The Asia bounce on midterm-driven USD softness was rejected at the 0.5613 session high, below the 0.5608 pre-data low. Since then price has printed lower highs back under the 0.5600 psych handle and now sits on the 50% fib at 0.5596, with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 0.5596, 0.55825, 0.55789
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.56077, 0.5613
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.5592 61.8% retrace exposes the 0.5583 swing low and the 0.5579 jobs low
Reclaim of 0.5600 psych and the 0.5608 pre-data low would break the lower-highs line and reopen the 0.5613 session high
Midterm result headlines can swing the USD during thin Asia hours; US ADP at 13:15 UTC is the next scheduled risk
The Q3 NZ jobs miss at 21:45 UTC knocked the pair about 33 pips to a 0.5579 data low. Asia then retraced the whole drop to a 0.5613 Asia high as early midterm tallies weighed on the USD. Price is now holding the 0.5600 psych handle near the 50% fib, with higher lows at 0.5583 and the 0.5596 swing low intact, and is sitting just above EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 0.5600, 0.55964, 0.55789
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.56315
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5596 swing low breaks the higher-lows sequence and exposes the 0.5579 data low
Close above the 0.5613 Asia high opens room toward the 0.5632 prior high
Midterm result calls, ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Post-data recovery, momentum stalling below the Asia high · RSI 58 · price 0.56028
Higher lows from 0.5579 intact; lower high at 0.5606 after rejection at 0.5613.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss knocked the pair about 32 pips to the 0.5579 data low at 21:45 UTC. Early Asia USD selling on midterm tallies then retraced the whole drop to the 0.5613 asia high, where price was rejected at the pre-release level. Price is now retesting 0.5600 psych above the 0.5596 swing low, which sits at the 50% fib of the rebound, with the rising lows still intact and RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 0.5600, 0.55964, 0.55789
Resistance: 0.56061, 0.5613
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5596 swing low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.5579 data low
Close above the 0.5606 swing high reopens a test of the 0.5613 asia high
Midterm House/Senate calls during the Asia session could swing USD and shift this read
US ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk
Higher lows off the 0.5579 data low; rejection at 0.5613.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss at 21:45Z knocked roughly 30 pips off the pair to a data low at 0.5579. A softer USD on early midterm tallies fuelled an Asia-session recovery that retraced the whole drop to a 0.5613 rebound high, where price was rejected at the pre-release level; the pullback low at 0.5596 sits on the 50% fib, with price between EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 0.55964, 0.55789
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.56315
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5596 pullback low breaks the higher-low line and exposes the 0.5579 data low
Close above the 0.5613 rebound high reclaims the pre-release level and puts the 0.5631 prior high in play
US midterm headlines now, then ADP at 13:15 UTC and ISM Services at 15:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher low at 0.5583 held, rejected at the 0.5613 Asia high.
The Q3 jobs miss at 21:45Z knocked NZDUSD about 30 pips to a data low at 0.5579. Midterm-driven USD softness then lifted the pair to an Asia high at 0.5613, where it was rejected. Price now sits on the 50% fib of that rebound, just under the 0.5600 round number and a flat EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.55978, 0.55825, 0.55789
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.5613
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.5600 round number and then the 0.5613 Asia high negates the rejection read
Failure to hold the 0.5583 higher low breaks the rising-lows line and exposes the 0.5579 data low
Midterm result headlines driving USD could materially shift this read during the Asia session
02:03 UTC
Post-data rebound stalling, rolling over · RSI 60 · price 0.56028
Jobs-driven drop fully retraced, then rejected at the old range floor.
The Q3 NZ jobs miss at 21:45Z knocked the pair about 30 pips out of yesterday's 0.5608–0.5631 range to a 0.5579 data low. The Asia session then retraced the whole drop to a 0.5613 rebound high, where it was rejected under the old range floor. Price now sits on 0.5600 psych, near the 38.2% of that rebound, with RSI(14) cooling toward 60 and price hovering around the EMA50.
Support: 0.5600, 0.5596, 0.5579
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.5631
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5596 fib 50% and the rising support line exposes the 0.5579 data low
Reclaim of the 0.5613 rebound high puts the pre-data range back in play toward the 0.5631 prior high
US midterm Senate calls through Asia hours could swing USD and override the intraday read
Post-data V-recovery, higher low at 0.5582, testing the session high.
The NZD Q3 jobs miss at 21:45Z took about 30 pips off in one bar, down to a 0.5579 data low. Asia has since retraced the whole drop back to the 0.5613 session high and the pre-release level, with a higher low at 0.5582 and the 0.5600 round number reclaimed. RSI(14) is near 59, easing after the 01:15Z spike bar.
Support: 0.5600, 0.55825, 0.55789
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.56315
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.5600 round number (38.2% of the recovery fib) would bring the 0.5579 data low back into view
A break of the 0.5582 higher low undercuts the rising trendline and the recovery read
Clearing the 0.5613 session high exposes the 0.5631 prior high, capped twice during London and NY
US midterm results landing through the Asia session could shift USD and this read
01:32 UTC
Sharp intraday recovery after a data-driven drop · RSI 64 · price 0.56115
Post-jobs low at 0.5579, higher lows, now retesting the pre-data level.
The Q3 jobs miss at 21:45Z dropped NZDUSD about 30 pips to the data low at 0.5579. The Asia session has since retraced the whole move, leaving the break below 0.5600 looking false: a 13-pip bar at 01:15Z put price back on the 0.5612 pre-data level, with RSI(14) near 64. The 0.5600 psych level capped the first rebound at 23:30Z and now sits as the nearest pivot below, above a higher low at 0.5583 on the rising lows line.
Support: 0.5600, 0.55825, 0.55789
Resistance: 0.56116, 0.56208, 0.56315
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.5612 pre-data level turns focus to the late-NY swing high at 0.5621, then the prior high at 0.5631
An M15 close back below 0.5600 psych revives the post-jobs downside and exposes the higher low at 0.5583
Loss of the 0.5579 data low breaks the rising lows and the recovery structure
Midterm Senate calls through the Asia session could materially shift this read via the USD
Lower high at 0.5600 psych after a range break; tight post-data range 0.5583–0.5600.
The Q3 labour miss knocked NZDUSD through its late-NY 0.5608–0.5612 pre-data base to a 0.5579 data low. The early Asia-session bounce was rejected at the 0.5600 psych level, and price is now coiling between a 0.5583 higher low and 0.5600 just under EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 0.55825, 0.55789
Resistance: 0.56003, 0.5611
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.5600 psych level points to a test of the 0.5610 pre-data base
Failure at the 0.5583 higher low exposes the 0.5579 data low, then the 0.5560 October area
US midterm results landing through Asia could materially shift this read via the USD
00:46 UTC
Downtrend after data shock, rebound stalling · RSI 41 · price 0.55903
Post-data range 0.5579–0.5600 beneath prior session base.
NZD/USD dropped about 30 pips on the 21:45 UTC Q3 jobs miss. The move broke below the 0.5610 pre-data base and set a data low at 0.5579. The rebound stalled at the 0.5600 psych level, near the 61.8% of the post-data fib, and has printed lower highs since; price is holding above the 0.5582 micro low into the Asia session.
Support: 0.55825, 0.55789
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.5611
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.5579 data low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.5560 area flagged in the digest
M15 close above the 0.5600 psych level and the lower highs line shifts the read back toward the 0.5610 pre-data base
US midterm results landing through the Asia session could materially shift the USD side of this read
Loss of the 0.5582 micro low ends the higher-low sequence inside the post-data range
00:31 UTC
Downtrend after data shock, bounce fading · RSI 36 · price 0.55878
Pre-data range broken lower; lower high under 0.5600.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss, weak on every line, broke the 0.5608–0.5612 pre-data range, and price dropped 30 pips in one bar to a 0.5579 session low. The early Asia session bounce stalled at the 0.5600 psych level, also the 61.8% of the drop, and has since printed a 0.5595 lower high. RSI(14) sits near 36 and price is below both EMAs.
Support: 0.55789, 0.5567
Resistance: 0.55951, 0.56003, 0.56077
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.5600 psych would bring the 0.5608 pre-data low back into view
Failure to hold the 0.5579 session low would open the 0.5567 ytd low
A break of the 0.5595 lower high would weaken the lower-high read
US midterm results overnight are the main USD catalyst; ADP and ISM Services later Wednesday could shift this read
The NZ Q3 jobs miss at 21:45 UTC broke the late-NY range in a 30-pip bar down to the 0.5579 jobs low. The early-Asia rebound stalled at 0.5600 psych, just past the 61.8% fib of the drop, and price is back below EMA20 (~0.5595) with RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 0.55789, 0.5567
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.56077
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.5600 psych negates the rejection and exposes the pre-jobs low at 0.5608
Failure to hold the 0.5579 jobs low opens the 0.5567 ytd low
US midterm results overnight are the main USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
Broke below prior-day range; lower high capped at 0.5600.
The NZ Q3 jobs miss (UR 5.7% vs 5.5%) cut the pair 30 pips through the 0.5608 prior low to a 0.5579 data low at the start of the Asia session. The rebound met rejection at the 0.5600 psych level, near the 38.2% fib of the slide from the 0.5631 NY high. RSI(14) has recovered to about 38 and price is still below both EMAs.
Support: 0.55789, 0.5567
Resistance: 0.5600, 0.56077
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.5600 psych level would bring the 0.5608 prior low into play
Failure to hold the 0.5579 data low would expose the 0.5567 ytd low
US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read through the USD