USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 8 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.41676
Consolidating mid-range after intraday pullback.
USDCAD slid from near 1.4200 to a 1.41546 session low as oil firmed on Iran tensions, bounced to a 1.41947 session high, and is now drifting near 1.41676 in thin post-NY liquidity. Price sits in the 0.618–0.786 retrace of that bounce, holding above the recent low but capped under the 1.41750 swing high.
Support: 1.41587, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4175, 1.41947
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41546 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.41750 reopens the session high at 1.41947
Thin post-NY liquidity; late moves may not hold into Asia open
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, now flat in Asia · RSI 43 · price 1.41676
Consolidating above session low after leg down.
USDCAD slid from 1.4208 to a 1.4155 swing low through London-NY, CAD firm on the oil bid, then chopped back to 1.4195 before fading. Thin Asian session now coiling around 1.4168 with ATR compressed to ~7 pips; session high at 1.4195 and low at 1.4155 frame the range.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41959, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4155 opens a fresh lower-low toward 1.4130
Reclaim of 1.4195 needed to challenge the 1.4200 pivot
Liquidity returns at London open; Asian range likely resolves then
USDCAD slid from 1.4208 to a 1.4155 swing low through the London-NY session as CAD firmed on rallying oil, then recovered to consolidate tightly around 1.4170 into thin Asia hours. RSI(14) sits near 50 and price is pinned between 1.4159 and 1.4175 with volume drying up — no setup in play.
Support: 1.41587, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41754, 1.41959
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4175 session high opens path back toward the 1.4195 swing high
Break below 1.4159 asia low reopens the 1.4155 swing low
Thin liquidity — moves may exaggerate until London returns
23:31 UTC
Range after intraday downshift · RSI 50 · price 1.41705
Consolidating near fair value 1.4158.
USDCAD ground lower through London to a 1.41568 session low, bounced to 1.41947, then settled into a tight consolidation around fair value ~1.4158 with CAD supported by firmer oil. Thin, low-volume Asia hours have kept price pinned 1.4159–1.4175; RSI(14) flat near 50, no directional edge in play.
Support: 1.4157, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4175, 1.4183, 1.41947
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4157 opens the path to the 1.4150 psych area
Reclaim of 1.4175 recent high would reopen the 1.4183 swing high
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the near-term catalyst for this range
USDCAD is consolidating near 1.4170 in thin Asia-session trade after rebounding from the 1.4155 session low to 1.4195 and fading back. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR has compressed sharply as volume dries up; oil-driven CAD firmness has kept price below the 1.4200 pivot.
Support: 1.41587, 1.41546, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41947, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4195 opens the 1.4200 psych level
Break below 1.4155 confirms a lower low
Thin Asia liquidity — moves may not hold into London
23:16 UTC
Range after bounce, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.41696
Consolidating above session low.
USDCAD bounced off the 1.41568 session low to 1.41947, then faded back and is now coiling tightly around 1.4170 through thin Asian-session hours. Price sits near fair value (~1.4158) with no directional push; RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.41568, 1.4115
Resistance: 1.41947, 1.42083
What it said to watch
Break back above the 1.41947 session high reopens 1.42083
Loss of 1.41568 session low exposes the 1.41150 fair-value area
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the near-term swing factor
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.4169
Consolidation after NY leg lower.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4208 to a 1.4155 swing low, then went sideways into a thin Asia session, coiling 1.4165–1.4172 just above fair value near 1.4158. Price holds well below the 1.4200 pivot; RSI(14) mid-40s reflects the stall, with ATR compressed on Asian-hours volume.
Support: 1.4155, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4183, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4155 opens the path toward 1.4130 range support
Reclaim of 1.4183 prior high would neutralise the NY downside
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the near-term structural risk
23:02 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 46 · price 1.4169
Consolidating near session lows below the 1.4200 pivot.
USDCAD drifted off 1.4200 through London/NY to a session low near 1.4157, with CAD firm on rallying oil. Price has since flattened around 1.4170 on thin Asia-session volume, holding below the 1.4200 pivot and capped by the 1.4182 swing high.
Support: 1.4157, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4182, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4182 would reclaim the swing high and challenge the 1.4200 pivot
Break below 1.4157 session low opens the path to 1.4150
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT could reset this intraday read
22:46 UTC
Recovered, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.41706
Consolidation above session lows.
USDCAD is coiling around 1.4170 in thin Asian-session trade, holding just above the ~1.4158 fair-value area after recovering from the 1.4155 session low. Price sits mid-way in the 1.4159–1.4177 band with RSI flat near 49; no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.41587, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41775, 1.41947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41775 range top opens path to the 1.41947 swing high
Loss of 1.41587 session low exposes 1.41546 swing low
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the near-term swing factor for this pair
22:46 UTC
Downtrend faded into range · RSI 48 · price 1.41706
Consolidation above session low.
USDCAD sold from 1.4208 down to 1.4155 through the London session as CAD firmed on the oil bid, then stalled into a tight 1.4159–1.4175 range around the 1.4158 fair-value zone. Late Asia bars are thin and flat near 1.4170, RSI(14) neutral around 48 with no directional push.
Support: 1.41587, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4175, 1.41947
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4157 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.4155
Close above 1.4175 puts the 1.4195 swing high back in play
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the main scheduled risk to this range
22:31 UTC
Downtrend faded to range · RSI 46 · price 1.41707
Consolidating mid-range, thin post-NY trade.
USDCAD sold from the 1.42000 psych area to a 1.41546 session low, bounced to a 1.41947 session high, then faded back to mid-range near 1.41707. Now consolidating in thin post-NY/early-Asia trade, holding below the 1.42000 pivot as the oil-driven CAD bid caps upside.
Support: 1.41608, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4183, 1.41947, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41546 session low reopens the downside leg
Reclaim of 1.41947 session high needed to challenge 1.42000 psych
Liquidity thin into Asia; ranges may distort until London open
22:31 UTC
Sideways, off session lows · RSI 48 · price 1.41707
Range-bound, price mid-band.
USDCAD is chopping in a 1.4155–1.4195 band after sliding from 1.4202; the recovery to 1.4195 faded and price sits mid-range near 1.4171, close to fair value ~1.4158. Late-session bars are thin post-NY close, RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.41587, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4183, 1.41947, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41546 confirms a lower-low and opens the range floor
Reclaim of 1.41830 puts the range top at 1.41947 back in play
US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC and Canada jobs Fri could break this range
22:16 UTC
Range-bound after intraday recovery · RSI 50 · price 1.41714
Consolidating below 61.8% retrace of the bounce off session low.
USDCAD sold from 1.4204 to a session low at 1.4155 through London before buyers pushed it back to 1.4194; oil-driven CAD demand kept the pair capped below the 1.4200 pivot. Now stalling near the 61.8% retrace at ~1.4170 on thin late-session volume, boxed between 1.4159 support and 1.4175.
Support: 1.4159, 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4175, 1.41947, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4175 opens the path back to the 1.4194 session high
Break below 1.4159 puts the 1.4155 swing low back in play
Consolidation after down-leg, holding above session low.
USDCAD faded from 1.4195 through London-NY and is now consolidating 1.4159–1.4175 in thin Asian hours, RSI(14) flat near 50. Price holds just above the 1.4159 session low with buyers stepping in twice; CAD supported by the oil bid on Iran headlines.
Support: 1.41587, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41752, 1.4183, 1.41947
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41830 invalidates the consolidation read
Failure to hold 1.41587 confirms a lower-low toward 1.41546
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the near-term swing factor
22:02 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.41731
Consolidation after recovery off session low.
USDCAD is chopping in a 1.4159–1.4195 band after recovering from the session low near 1.4155; the FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC produced a wick to 1.41765 but no follow-through. RSI(14) sits near 51 and liquidity is thin into the late-NY/Asia handover, no setup in play.
Support: 1.4159, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41947, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4159 opens the path back to 1.4130 key support
Reclaim of 1.41947 session high puts the 1.4200 pivot back in focus
Thin liquidity into Asia open can exaggerate moves on light volume
USDCAD faded from 1.4204 through the London session to a swing low at 1.41546, then chopped back into a 1.4160–1.4195 band. FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC drew only a mild dip; price now sits mid-range at 1.4173 on thin late-session/Asia liquidity, no clean directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4159, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4183, 1.41947, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41590 reopens the swing low at 1.41546
Reclaim of 1.41830 puts the 1.41947 swing high back in reach
US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this range read
21:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.41722
Consolidation band ~1.4155-1.4195.
USDCAD is chopping around 1.4172, holding the 1.4155-1.4195 consolidation band near the cited fair value at 1.4158 as CAD stays firm on the oil bid. Late NY liquidity is thin — last bars show minimal volume — and RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum edge.
Support: 1.4159, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4183, 1.41947
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.41830 prior high, then 1.41947 swing high, would break the range top
Loss of 1.41590 swing low and the 1.41546 session low reopens the downside
Iran/Strait of Hormuz headlines feed both oil and USD flows and could jolt this range
21:46 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 1.41722
Consolidation after intraday recovery.
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.41546 mid-window, rebounded to 1.41947 then faded back into a tight 1.41660–1.41750 band; CAD held firm on the oil bid. Late-session bars are thin (volume near zero), RSI(14) neutral around 53, no setup in play into the Asian handover.
Support: 1.4166, 1.41587, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4175, 1.4183, 1.41947
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41750 reopens the 1.41830 area
Loss of 1.41660 exposes 1.41587 swing low
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the near-term catalyst for the range
21:31 UTC
Downtrend fading into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 1.41711
Range-bound after late-NY fade from 1.4195.
USDCAD faded from the 1.4195 bounce high through late NY as the oil-supported CAD capped upside, now consolidating in the 1.4155–1.4175 band. Price recovered off 1.4159 on thin post-NY-close volume, sitting near the 61.8% retrace of the earlier rebound. No clean setup — chop around EMA20.
Support: 1.41587, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41752
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41546 confirms a lower low and reopens the session downside
Reclaim of 1.41752 needed to challenge the descending highs from 1.4195
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT is the near-term swing factor for this pair
21:31 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 49 · price 1.41711
Consolidation between session low and swing high.
USDCAD drifted off the London highs near 1.4208 to session lows around 1.4155, with CAD firm on the oil bid; last bars bounced back to 1.4171 on thin late-NY/rollover volume. Price is chopping inside a 1.4157–1.4194 band, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum edge.
Support: 1.4157, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4182, 1.4194
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4150 confirms a lower-low and breaks range support
Reclaim above 1.4194 invalidates the range-top rejection
Iran/Strait of Hormuz headlines feed both oil and USD flows overnight
USDCAD ranging near fair value 1.4158 after the earlier down-leg from 1.4208 to 1.4157 and a corrective bounce that stalled at 1.4194; CAD holding firm on the oil spike. Price now drifting mid-range around 1.4166 with the final bars thin into the close, RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.4157, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4194, 1.4200, 1.4208
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4194 reopens the 1.4200 pivot and 1.4208 session high
Failure to hold 1.4157 exposes the 1.4130 prior range top
FOMC minutes landed after close; US CPI Jul 14 the larger risk to this read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.4166
Range in lower half after sell-off.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4208 through London-NY into a base near 1.4155, CAD firm on the oil spike as Iran tensions bit. Late NY/Asia now consolidating 1.4160-1.4175 around the 1.4158 fair-value zone, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.4160, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4175, 1.4190, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4175 opens the path back to 1.4190
Failure to hold 1.4160 exposes 1.4150 support
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT could break this consolidation band
USDCAD is consolidating in a 1.4155–1.4200 band, pinned near fair value as oil strength offsets a firm USD on Iran headlines. Buyers stepped in around 1.4160 into the late NY hours and price has ticked back to 1.4173, RSI(14) mid-range with no directional extreme.
Support: 1.4160, 1.4155, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4195, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4200 pivot would break the consolidation upside
Failure to hold 1.4155 session low confirms a lower-low
Iran/Strait of Hormuz headlines can move both oil and USD outside the range
21:03 UTC
Range, edging up off lows · RSI 57 · price 1.4173
Intraday range, recent higher lows.
USDCAD ranged 1.4155-1.4210 through the window with CAD kept supported by the oil bid; price is recovering off the 1.4160 area toward the 1.4180 intraday pivot. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.4160, 1.4155
Resistance: 1.4180, 1.4196, 1.4210
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4196 reopens the 1.4210 session high
USDCAD leaked lower through the session as CAD stayed firm on the oil spike, sliding from 1.4208 to a 1.4155 low before basing around 1.4165. Price is now coiling between 1.4160 and 1.4195 with a small bounce into the current bar, RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.4160, 1.4155, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4183, 1.4195, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4195 breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens 1.4200
Failure to hold 1.4155 confirms a fresh lower-low
Iran/Strait of Hormuz oil headlines the dominant near-term driver for CAD
Consolidation after London slide, holding mid-range.
USDCAD is consolidating around 1.4165–1.4177 after the London-session slide bottomed at the 1.4155 swing low; CAD stayed firm on the oil spike. RSI(14) is mid-range near 48 with price hugging EMA20 while capped below the 1.4177 recent high.
Support: 1.4160, 1.4155, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4177, 1.4195, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4155 swing low confirms a lower-low
Break above 1.4177 opens the path to the 1.4195 session high and 1.4200 pivot
FOMC minutes just landed after the close — could shift this read into the next bars
USDCAD faded from the NY session high at 1.4195 back toward the 1.4155 swing low, now drifting around 1.4166 in quiet late-NY hours on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under EMA20/50; CAD firm on rallying oil keeps the pair pinned below the 1.4200 pivot.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4160
Resistance: 1.41947, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4155 opens a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.4195 session high needed to reopen 1.4200 pivot
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 GMT could reprice this range
USDCAD drifted lower through the NY session, failing at the 1.41947 session high and grinding back to 1.4166 as oil-supported CAD kept the pair pinned near fair value ~1.4158. Price is coiling in a tight 1.41608–1.41758 band with RSI mid-range, no impulse in play.
Support: 1.41608, 1.41546, 1.4158
Resistance: 1.41758, 1.41947
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41546 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.41758 needed to break the lower-high sequence
USDCAD drifted off 1.4208 through the NY session and printed a session low at 1.41546 before bouncing to 1.4194; price now grinds sideways just above 1.4160 as CAD holds a bid from the oil rally. RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR ~5 pips reflect a tight, late-session range with lower highs still capping.
Support: 1.4160, 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4175, 1.4194
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4160 exposes the 1.41546 session low and 1.4150
Reclaim of 1.4175 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could reset this range
20:16 UTC
Downward drift within range · RSI 43 · price 1.41641
Range, price pressing lower third.
USDCAD drifted lower through the NY afternoon, holding a 1.4156–1.4194 range with price now pressing the lower third near the ~1.4158 fair-value area. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; the pair is consolidating ahead of the FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.4156, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4194
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4150 psych opens the 1.4130 zone
Reclaim of the 1.4194 session high negates the downward drift
FOMC minutes today could shift this range read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce faded · RSI 43 · price 1.41652
Lower highs since 1.4194 rejection.
USDCAD faded through late NY, slipping from the 1.4194 bounce high back to 1.4165 as the WTI-driven CAD bid weighs. Sequence of lower highs since that rejection, price under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s — no extreme.
Support: 1.41608, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41775, 1.41944
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4155 opens the path to the 1.41546 session low
Reclaim of 1.41775 breaks the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could reprice this range
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, grinding into lows · RSI 41 · price 1.41652
Lower highs, pressing session lows.
USDCAD drifted lower through the NY session from 1.4200 to 1.4165, with CAD firm on the oil bid; price stalled at a recent low of 1.41608 into the late session. RSI(14) mid-40s, no extreme, and price sits below EMA20/50 as lower highs stack from the 1.41947 session high.
Support: 1.41608, 1.41568, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41758, 1.4183, 1.41947
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41568 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.41758 negates the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 40 · price 1.41632
Sequence of lower highs since the 1.4196 bounce, drifting into support.
USDCAD ground lower through the late NY session, printing lower highs since the 1.4196 rejection and pressing toward the 1.4156 swing low with RSI(14) sub-40. CAD kept a firm tone on the oil bid, with the pair sitting near Scotiabank's ~1.4158 fair value ahead of Friday's Canadian jobs.
Support: 1.41568, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41746, 1.41959
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41568 opens the 1.4150 range base
Reclaim of 1.41746 negates the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD drifting to session lows near 1.4160 through late NY hours after rejection at the 1.4195 session high. Oil-driven CAD bid (WTI spike on Hormuz headlines) is keeping steady pressure on the pair; RSI(14) soft near 38 but not yet stretched.
Lower highs off 1.4196 session high, range floor 1.4155.
USDCAD faded from the 1.4196 session high back to 1.4164, printing a series of lower highs into the late NY session as the oil-led CAD bid persisted. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, no extreme; the 1.4155 range floor from the earlier dip is still intact.
Support: 1.4155, 1.4150, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4196
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4155 opens the path to 1.4130 range low
Recovery above 1.4196 session high negates the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Pullback lower within range · RSI 42 · price 1.41642
Lower highs off 1.41959, testing range base.
NY session drifted lower after the 1.41959 rejection, printing a chain of lower highs back into the 1.41600 session low near fair value. RSI(14) mid-range around 42, no extreme; pair still bound by the broader 1.4155-1.4196 range.
Support: 1.4160, 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41758, 1.4189, 1.41959
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41546 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.41500
Reclaim of 1.41758 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes today could inject a USD-side impulse into this range
Lower highs off session high, holding above range low.
USDCAD is grinding lower off the session high at 1.41959, printing lower highs into the NY afternoon as the oil-led CAD bid (Iran MoU headlines) caps rallies. Price sits near 1.4164 with RSI(14) mid-range, still holding above the 1.41546 swing low.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41758, 1.41959
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41546 confirms a fresh lower low
Lower highs since 1.4196, holding above session low.
USDCAD slid back from the 1.4196 NY-session high toward 1.4164 as the oil-led CAD bid resurfaced; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41. Still inside the broader 1.4150-1.4250 consolidation, respecting session lows near 1.4155.
Support: 1.41596, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41758, 1.41833, 1.41947
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41546 confirms a lower-low and opens the range base
Reclaim of 1.41758 recent high neutralises the intraday downtrend
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Recovery off session lows stalling, lower highs building.
USDCAD sold to 1.4155 through London morning, then rebounded into early NY to 1.4194 on oil-led CAD strength before rejection there faded the pair back to 1.4167. Price now sits under EMA20/50 with lower highs stacking; RSI(14) around 41 keeps this a range read between 1.4155 and 1.4194.
Support: 1.4155
Resistance: 1.4183, 1.4194
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4155 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.4183 would negate the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes today can inject a USD-side impulse into this read
Lower highs off session high, holding above session low.
USDCAD faded from the 1.4195 session high back toward 1.4167 during NY hours, oil-led CAD strength keeping the pair pinned to the lower end of its range. Price is stalling near the 61.8% retrace of the 1.4155–1.4195 recovery, printing lower highs beneath the 1.4180 pivot with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.4164, 1.4155, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4180, 1.4195
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4155 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.4130
Reclaim of 1.4180 pivot puts the 1.4195 session high back in play
FOMC minutes today could inject fresh USD-side impulse
18:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.41652
Lower highs since 1.4196 rejection, back toward range floor.
NY session drifted lower after the 1.4196 session high was rejected, price now leaning on 1.41615 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Oil-led CAD strength has kept USDCAD capped inside the 1.4150–1.4196 range; no clean break in play.
Support: 1.41615, 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41775, 1.41959
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41546 confirms a lower low toward the 1.4150 range floor
Reclaim of 1.41775 puts the 1.41959 session high back in reach
FOMC minutes today plus Canada jobs Fri could shift this range read
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.41944 NY-session high back toward session lows near 1.41650, oil-led CAD strength keeping the pair heavy through the afternoon. Price sits below EMA20/50 inside a 1.4157–1.4194 range with RSI(14) around 41; no fresh extreme in play.
Support: 1.41569, 1.41646, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41826, 1.41944
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41569 opens the path toward 1.4150
Reclaim of 1.41826 would neutralise the pullback within the range
FOMC minutes today could materially shift this read
Pullback within session range after rejection at 1.4194.
USDCAD faded off the 1.4194 session high and drifted lower into the 18:00Z FOMC minutes, which nudged the pair down to 1.4168, roughly the 61.8% retrace of the 1.4155–1.4194 recovery. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI near 43; range floor at 1.4164 is the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.4164, 1.4156
Resistance: 1.4178, 1.4194
What it said to watch
Break below 1.4164 opens the 1.4156 session low
M15 close back above 1.4178 negates the pullback toward the 1.4194 high
FOMC minutes digestion could still shift the intraday read
18:31 UTC
Mild downtrend, rolling over · RSI 43 · price 1.41689
Range fade off 1.4196 back toward session low.
USDCAD slid from 1.4206 to the 1.4155 session low, then bounced to 1.4196 before rejecting and fading through the NY afternoon — the FOMC minutes at 18:00Z left USD softer and the pair lower. Price now sits at 1.4169 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s, back inside the 1.4155–1.4196 intraday range.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41959, 1.42083
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41546 opens the path toward 1.4130 range low
Reclaim of 1.41959 swing high would negate the fade
Canada jobs Fri 12:30Z is the next major CAD-side risk
18:16 UTC
Downtick within intraday range · RSI 43 · price 1.41682
Range, lower high after rally.
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.41947 session high back to 1.41682 as the pair digested the 18:00Z FOMC minutes during NY hours. Price is holding just above the 1.41639 swing low, still inside the broader 1.4150–1.4250 consolidation with lower highs capping the recovery.
Support: 1.41639, 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41947, 1.42083
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41546 session low opens the 1.4150 range base
Reclaim of 1.41947 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs Fri 12:30Z could reset this intraday range
18:16 UTC
Range, rotating lower off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.41682
Intraday range 1.4155-1.4196, pulling back into mid-range.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4196 session high and rotated back to 1.4168 into the 18:00Z FOMC minutes. Price holds mid-range between 1.4155 and 1.4196, with the last two bars fading; RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41959, 1.42083
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4155 confirms a lower low and cracks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.4196 puts the 1.4208 prior high back in play
FOMC minutes just released (18:00Z) can materially shift this read
Canada jobs Fri 12:30Z is the next scheduled risk
18:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower off intraday high · RSI 44 · price 1.41731
Consolidating below 1.4195 swing high.
USDCAD rallied off the 1.4155 session low to 1.4195 during NY hours as oil pushed the Loonie firmer, then rolled over and is now retracing back toward the mid-1.4170s. Price is holding a range between the 1.4166 swing low and the 1.4195 swing high, RSI(14) neutral near 44, with the FOMC minutes hitting right at the current bar.
Support: 1.4166, 1.4155
Resistance: 1.4195
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes (18:00 UTC) landing on this bar could break the 1.4166–1.4195 range either way
M15 close below 1.4166 opens the path to the 1.4155 session low
Reclaim of 1.4195 swing high would negate the drift lower
18:02 UTC
Sideways after recovery bounce · RSI 46 · price 1.41731
Range-bound, mid-range pullback.
USDCAD sold to a session low near 1.4155 on the oil-led CAD bid, then recovered to 1.4194 before rolling back to mid-range. Sitting at 1.4173 into the FOMC minutes with rejection noted at the 1.4194 swing high; RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.4166, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41947
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes (just released, 18:00 UTC) can materially shift this read
Close above 1.4194 swing high reopens the upper range
USDCAD recovered off the 1.4155 session low to reject 1.4194 during NY hours, and is now drifting back into the 1.4170s with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Price is pinned to the EMA50 as the intraday range holds; FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC land within minutes and can break the balance either way.
Support: 1.41666, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41947, 1.42083
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could break this range
Close below 1.41666 swing low targets 1.4155 session low
Reclaim of 1.41947 swing high reopens 1.4208 prior high
17:47 UTC
Choppy, mid-range after recovery · RSI 46 · price 1.41748
Consolidation between session low and session high.
USDCAD sold off through London on the oil rally to a session low at 1.41546, then recovered to reject the session high at 1.41959 before fading back to 1.4175 in NY hours. Price now sits mid-range at the ~50% retrace of that bounce, RSI(14) near neutral and no directional edge on the chart.
Support: 1.41666, 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4183, 1.41959
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~15m out) is the immediate catalyst and can break this range
Close below 1.41666 swing low reopens the session low at 1.41546
Reclaim of 1.4183 minor high puts the session high 1.41959 back in play
17:31 UTC
Intraday down leg within range · RSI 42 · price 1.41706
Lower highs off 1.4196, probing session low.
USDCAD faded from the 1.4196 swing high in a chain of lower highs, now sitting on 1.4171 at the 78.6% retrace of the prior leg, RSI(14) cooling near 42. Price is grinding on the 1.4167 session low ahead of the 18:00 UTC FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.41666, 1.41568
Resistance: 1.41833, 1.41959
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~30m out) can materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.4167 confirms a lower low toward 1.4157
Reclaim of 1.4183 lower high negates the down leg
17:31 UTC
Pullback within intraday range · RSI 42 · price 1.41706
Choppy consolidation, faded from session high.
USDCAD faded from the 1.41959 session high back to 1.41666 into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) cooling near 42 as price sits below EMA20/50. Move stalled ahead of the 18:00 UTC FOMC minutes with oil-driven CAD support offset by a firm safe-haven USD.
Support: 1.41666, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41826, 1.41959
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~30m out) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.41666 exposes the 1.41546 range low
Reclaim of 1.41826 reopens the 1.41959 session high
17:16 UTC
Range-bound, easing off highs · RSI 44 · price 1.41703
Consolidation, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD eased to 1.4170 into the June FOMC minutes (18:00 UTC), rejected at the 1.41959 session high and rolling back through EMA20/50. Price is holding a broad 1.4155-1.4210 consolidation with buyers defending 1.41666 on the last dip.
Support: 1.41666, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4183, 1.41959, 1.42083
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC is the immediate catalyst and could break this range
M15 close below 1.41666 exposes the 1.41546 swing low
Reclaim of 1.41830 reopens the 1.41959 recent high
17:16 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower late NY · RSI 44 · price 1.41703
Intraday range, rejection off session high.
USDCAD chopping in a 1.4155–1.4208 range through the NY session, easing back to 1.4170 after a rejection at the 1.4195 swing high. Sellers faded the bounce and price is sliding toward the 1.4166 recent low with RSI(14) near 43, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.41666, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41947, 1.42083
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could break this range read within the hour
M15 close below 1.4155 confirms a lower low and range break
Close back above 1.41947 reopens the 1.4208 session high
17:03 UTC
Range, recent leg lower · RSI 42 · price 1.41712
Pullback from session high into support.
NY afternoon: USDCAD rejected at the 1.41959 swing high and slid back to the 1.417 recent low, RSI(14) mid-40s. Price consolidating in the lower half of the 1.4155-1.4196 intraday range ahead of the FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.4170, 1.41568, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41959, 1.4200, 1.42083
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.417 opens the path to 1.41568 swing low
Reclaim of 1.41959 puts the 1.4200 psych level back in play
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Recovery stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.41712
Range with pullback off session high.
USDCAD rejected the 1.41947 session high during NY hours and slid back to 1.41712, sitting on the session low near 1.41700 with RSI(14) mid-range. Move contained inside the broader 1.4155–1.4195 band as the market holds ahead of the FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.4170, 1.4164, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4180, 1.41947
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~1h) is the immediate catalyst and can break this range
Loss of 1.41700 opens the 1.41640 swing low and range low at 1.41546
Reclaim of 1.41800 puts the 1.41947 session high back in play
16:46 UTC
Pullback within consolidation · RSI 42 · price 1.41706
Range 1.4155-1.4196, testing lower half.
USDCAD pulled back from the 1.4196 session high to 1.4171 through NY hours, retracing roughly 62% of the London-NY leg higher as USD held firm into the FOMC minutes. Price now sits below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s; consolidation between 1.4155 and 1.4196 is intact near Scotia fair value ~1.4158.
Support: 1.4158, 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41959
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.4155 session low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of EMA20 and 1.4196 re-opens the range top
16:46 UTC
Pullback within intraday range · RSI 42 · price 1.41706
Faded from swing high, testing lower leg.
USDCAD rejected the 1.41959 swing high in NY hours and has faded to 1.41706, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the prior up-leg. Move is corrective within the 1.4157–1.4208 range as the dollar holds firm ahead of the FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.41639, 1.41568
Resistance: 1.4183, 1.41959
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.41639 opens the path to the 1.41568 session low
Reclaim of 1.41830 re-engages the 1.41959 swing high
USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.4155 during the US session and recovered into NY to 1.4194 before rolling back to 1.41785 — oil strength on Iran headlines is capping the Loonie's downside. Price now sits mid-range around the 50% retrace of the 1.4155–1.4196 leg, RSI back to neutral.
Support: 1.41639, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41959, 1.4206
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4196 session high opens the path toward 1.4206
Loss of 1.4155 session low negates the double bottom
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Corrective bounce within range · RSI 48 · price 1.41785
Recovery off session low, fading from session high.
NY session recovered USDCAD off the 1.41546 session low, tagging 1.41959 before fading to 1.41785 as crude firmed on Iran headlines. Move is corrective inside a broader 1.4155-1.4196 consolidation; RSI(14) back near mid-range after the rejection.
Support: 1.41664, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41959
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.41664 swing low reopens the 1.41546 session low
Reclaim of 1.41959 session high needed to extend the bounce
16:16 UTC
Corrective bounce within range · RSI 52 · price 1.41834
Recovery off session low, capped below 1.4195.
USDCAD bounced off the London-NY session low near 1.4155 to tag 1.4195 before rejecting back to 1.4183, oil-supported after fresh Iran headlines. Price is ranging near the middle of the 1.4155-1.4195 band with RSI(14) neutral around 52.
Support: 1.4166, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41947, 1.42083
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~2h out) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41947 opens the path back to the 1.4208 prior high
Loss of 1.41660 exposes the 1.41546 session low
16:16 UTC
Recovery off day low, momentum easing · RSI 55 · price 1.41834
Higher lows into NY, pullback from session high.
USDCAD carved a chain of higher lows off the 1.41546 day low, recovering to a session high at 1.41959 before rejecting and slipping back to 1.4183 as USD softened on Iran/oil headlines. Move is corrective within the wider range; RSI(14) near 55 after cooling from the high.
Support: 1.4175, 1.4164, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41959, 1.4208
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41959 opens the path to the 1.42080 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41750 exposes the 1.41640 session low
Bounce from 1.4155, higher lows into 1.4196, now easing.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.4155 NY-session low, tagging 1.4196 before easing back to 1.4187, consistent with the corrective bid from firmer crude noted in the context. RSI(14) cooling from the bounce highs and the last bar stalling below 1.4196 shows the session high capping for now.
Support: 1.41664, 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41959, 1.42083
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4196 opens the path to 1.4208 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4166 swing low reopens the 1.4155 session low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
USDCAD clawed back from the 1.4155 swing low toward the session high at 1.4196 before stalling, with RSI(14) easing back from the push. Corrective bounce within a soft consolidation near Scotia fair value ~1.4158; supply capped the tape at 1.4196.
Support: 1.4172, 1.4158, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41959, 1.4206
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4196 opens the path to the 1.4206 prior high
Loss of 1.4172 exposes the 1.4155 swing low again
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD recovered off the 1.4155 session low back to 1.4195, stringing higher lows through the NY session near Scotia fair value ~1.4158. RSI(14) firm near 65 with price back above the short EMAs; the 1.4200 round number is the near-term cap.
Support: 1.4175, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.42083
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4200 opens the path to the 1.4208 session high
Failure to hold 1.4175 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD bottomed at 1.41568 mid-window and ground back up in a higher-low chain through the NY session, now testing the 1.4200 psych level with RSI(14) near 67. Move is corrective within the broader USD/CAD structure; crude strength on Iran headlines has lent CAD some support but the recovery is holding.
Support: 1.4176, 1.4164, 1.41568
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.42045, 1.42083
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.42083 reopens the range-high push
Failure to hold 1.41760 breaks the higher-low chain
Higher lows after double bottom, capped near session high.
USDCAD recovered off London-session lows near 1.4155, the oil-linked CAD firming with WTI bid; pair now 1.41845 in NY hours. Higher lows have built since the double bottom with RSI(14) near 58, but the 1.4190 session high still caps.
Support: 1.41664, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.42079
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4190 swing high opens path back to the 1.4208 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4166 reopens the 1.4155 session low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC (~2.5h out) could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Corrective bounce within range · RSI 61 · price 1.41845
Higher lows off session low, capped under 1.4190.
USD/CAD grinding higher off the 1.41639 session low during NY hours, RSI mid-range near 60 with price back above both EMAs. Move is corrective within the broader 1.4155-1.4190 consolidation near Scotia fair value; session high at 1.41898 still caps.
Support: 1.41639, 1.4156
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4200
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.41898 session high opens the path toward the 1.4200 psych level
Loss of 1.41639 session low reopens the 1.41560 swing low
15:17 UTC
Corrective bounce within range · RSI 49 · price 1.41778
Recovered off lows, ranging.
USD/CAD recovered off the 1.41546 range low to tag the 1.4189 swing high, then eased into a 1.4164–1.4185 range with oil-driven CAD support offsetting a firm USD. RSI(14) neutral near 49, ATR ~8 pips; move stays corrective within the broader USD/CAD structure.
Support: 1.41639, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4189, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41639 reopens the 1.41546 range low
close above 1.4189 swing high reopens the 1.4200 round number
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could break the range
15:16 UTC
Corrective range after London decline · RSI 46 · price 1.41778
Consolidating 1.4164–1.4189 post-selloff.
USD/CAD sold through the London session to 1.41546 as firmer crude lent the Loonie support, then recovered to 1.41898 before stalling. NY session now ranging 1.4164–1.4189 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 and price hugging EMA20.
Support: 1.4164, 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.42083
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4164 reopens the session low at 1.41546
Close above 1.41898 puts the day high 1.42083 back in play
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the London session to 1.41546 as firmer crude weighed on the pair, then recovered into NY to a 1.41898 session high. Price is now consolidating 1.4164-1.4189, holding just below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.4164, 1.41546, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4206
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41898 swing high reopens the 1.4206 prior range
Loss of 1.4164 swing low reasserts the move toward session low 1.41546
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold from 1.4206 through the London-NY transition to a 1.4155 low, then bounced to 1.4190 on the oil bid before rolling back to 1.4176. Now consolidating 1.4164-1.4190 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; the swing high at 1.4190 capped the recovery.
Support: 1.4164, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4200
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4190 swing high reopens 1.4200
Loss of 1.4164 session low exposes 1.4155 swing low
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, pulling off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.41693
Lower high at 1.4189, retracing recent up-leg.
USDCAD rolled over from the London high at 1.4189 back to the 61.8% retrace of the 1.4155–1.4189 leg, RSI(14) mid-40s, price sitting below EMA20. Oil-linked CAD bid has kept the pair heavy through the NY open as it hovers near 1.4169.
Support: 1.41639, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4177
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4155 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.4177 ema20 negates the near-term downside read
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session rolled the pair off the 1.41898 session high back toward the 1.41639 session low, RSI(14) mid-40s and price below both EMAs. Rotation persists between 1.4155 and 1.4190 with no clean directional break.
Support: 1.41639, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4175, 1.41898
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.41546 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.41750 puts the 1.41898 session high back in play
USDCAD rejected the session high at 1.41895 and rolled over through NY hours, printing lower highs back to 1.41665 near the 61.8% retrace of the prior up leg. Oil bid keeps the Loonie firm; pair still sits inside the broader 1.4150-1.4250 consolidation.
Support: 1.41639, 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4175, 1.41895
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41639 session low exposes the 1.41546 swing low
Reclaim of 1.4175 recent high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, rolling back to lows · RSI 41 · price 1.41665
Lower highs after failed bounce.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4189 session high and is grinding back toward the 1.4155 session low, with RSI(14) near 41 and price under both EMAs. Move fits the soft-CAD, oil-capped consolidation between the 1.4150 range floor and 1.4200 resistance.
Support: 1.41615, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4175, 1.41898
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41898 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41546 exposes the 1.4150 range floor
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London hours swept the session low into 1.4155 then buyers reclaimed to 1.4190 before the pair faded back to 1.4174, oil bid capping downside per the CAD context. Now consolidating mid-range 1.4155-1.4190 with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.41686, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4155 reopens the session-low sweep
Close above 1.4190 puts 1.4200 round number in play
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:16 UTC
Recovered off session low, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.41735
Range after bounce, mid-range pullback.
USDCAD sold off through NY-prev into the 1.41546 session low as an oil bid lifted the Loonie, then recovered to 1.41898 before fading. Price now sits mid-range near 1.4173, back below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around the midline — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.41686, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.4185, 1.41898
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41686 swing low reopens the 1.41546 session low
Close above 1.4185 puts the 1.41898 session high back in play
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD held the 1.4155 session low twice and rallied to 1.41898 before fading to 1.4174 into NY hours. RSI(14) mid-range near 44 as the bounce cools; oil bid is capping Loonie downside per the CAD read. Price now sits back below EMA20/50 with the 1.4169 swing low as the near pivot.
Support: 1.41686, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4207
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.4169 reopens the 1.4155 session low
Reclaim of 1.4190 puts the 1.4207 prior high back in play
NY session: USDCAD recovered off the 1.41546 session low as firmer crude supported CAD, tagging 1.41898 before rejection dragged it back to 1.41743, roughly a 44% retrace of the rally leg. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45, price hugging EMA20 — no clear intraday direction.
Support: 1.41686, 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.42079
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC is the immediate driver and could reset this read
Close below 1.41546 confirms a lower low
Break above 1.41898 opens the path toward 1.42079
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 46 · price 1.41715
Recovery off session low stalling below NY high.
USDCAD slid through London to a 1.41546 session low before the NY bounce tagged 1.41895 and was rejected; price now retraces ~60% of that leg back to 1.4171. Loonie kept supported by firmer crude, with the pair hovering near the ~1.4158 fair-value anchor.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4158
Resistance: 1.41895
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41546 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.4130
Reclaim of 1.41895 negates the rejection read
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Range, pullback in play · RSI 44 · price 1.41715
Faded off 1.4190, mid-range.
NY session faded USD/CAD from a 1.4190 rejection back to 1.41715, unwinding roughly half the London-NY rally off 1.4155. Price is boxed between the session low near 1.4169 and 1.4190, RSI(14) mid-range with lower highs forming.
Support: 1.4169, 1.4155, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4190, 1.4207
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4169 opens the 1.4155 swing low
Reclaim of 1.4190 reopens 1.4207
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Recovery stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.41713
Bounce off base, rejected below session high.
USDCAD carved a base near 1.4155 and rallied into the NY session high at 1.4189 before getting rejected, now pulling back to 1.41713 as the bounce loses steam. RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s, price back below EMA20; oil-linked support and stretched short-CAD positioning keep the tape boxed ahead of FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41898
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41546 confirms a lower low, opening 1.4150
Reclaim of 1.41898 session high needed to resume the recovery
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 44 · price 1.41713
Boxed 1.4155-1.4189, rolling over from top.
USD/CAD rejected the session high at 1.4189 and slid back toward the lows, closing 1.41713 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Price remains boxed 1.4155-1.4189; the bounce off session lows has stalled into the NY session.
Support: 1.41615, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.42079
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4155 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.4130
Reclaim of 1.4189 negates the rejection and re-tests 1.4205
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD eased to a 1.4155 session low mid-morning, twin lows there sparking a recovery to 1.4190 as firmer crude cushioned the Loonie. Price now consolidating around 1.4182, holding above EMA20 but capped by the 1.4190 session high; RSI(14) mid-range near 53.
Support: 1.4155, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4190, 1.4205
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4190 opens the path back toward 1.4205
Failure to hold 1.4155 confirms a lower-low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since London low, testing session high.
USDCAD sold through London to a session low near 1.4155, then based twice and recovered into NY, tagging 1.41898 before easing to 1.41842. Crude strength on Iran headlines is supporting CAD while safe-haven USD demand keeps a floor; RSI(14) mid-range around 56.
Support: 1.41615, 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4200, 1.42064
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41898 opens the path back toward 1.4200
Failure to hold 1.41615 reopens the 1.41546 session low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through London to a session low at 1.41546 before NY hours pulled it back to a 1.41898 high, where price was rejected and eased to 1.41842. RSI(14) mid-range near 55 after the bounce; pair holding above EMA20/50 but capped below the session high.
Support: 1.41759, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41898 session high opens the path to the 1.42000 round number
Failure to hold 1.41759 swing low re-exposes the 1.41546 session low
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~5h out) could materially shift this read
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.41546, rallied through NY hours to tap 1.41898 twice before rejection, and is now pulling back to 1.41775 — a ~35% retrace of that leg. Oil-driven CAD support and a safe-haven USD floor have kept the pair boxed near Scotiabank fair value.
Support: 1.41615, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4200
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41898 opens the path to 1.42000
Failure to hold 1.41615 reopens the 1.41546 session low
USDCAD slid to a session low at 1.41546 through London before NY bought it back up to 1.41898, where price was rejected and is now retracing toward the 1.4177 midpoint. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with the pair boxed inside the 1.4155-1.4190 intraday range; oil-linked CAD support offsetting a mild safe-haven USD floor.
Support: 1.41615, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4206
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41898 opens the path back toward 1.42060
Loss of 1.41615 reopens the 1.41546 session low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD slid from 1.4222 to a session low at 1.41546 as firmer crude on Hormuz tensions gave the Loonie support, then carved a double bottom and bounced to a session high near 1.41898 before easing back to 1.41799, holding just above EMA20. RSI(14) mid-range after cooling from the bounce; FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.41616, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4200, 1.42222
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.41898 session high opens the path to the 1.42000 round level
Failure to hold the 1.41616 swing low reopens the 1.41546 session low
Bounce off 1.4155 base, pulling back from session high.
NY session bounced off a 1.4155 double bottom carved during London, tagging 1.41898 before fading back to 1.41799. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s and price sits above EMA20 but under EMA50, with the session high capping.
Support: 1.4163, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4206
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41898 opens the path to 1.42060
Failure to hold 1.41546 confirms a lower low
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through London into a midday low at 1.41546, then based twice around 1.4155 before the NY session drove a recovery to a 1.41898 session high — near the 50% retrace of the day's decline. Oil-linked CAD support and softer USD momentum are behind the fade, with price now consolidating just under the session high.
Support: 1.41693, 1.41546
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41898 session high opens the path to the 1.42000 round number
Loss of the 1.41693 higher low reopens the 1.41546 swing low
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold through London to a 1.41546 swing low then snapped back on the NY open, tagging 1.41898 before easing to 1.41834 with RSI(14) around 60. Crude-linked support and stretched USD longs drove the squeeze; the session high at 1.4190 caps the bounce so far.
Support: 1.41546, 1.41616, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41898, 1.4200, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41898 opens the path to 1.4200
Failure to hold 1.41546 resumes the lower-low sequence
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 63 · price 1.41876
Based at session low, higher lows into session high.
USDCAD carved a base around the 1.4155 session low and has clawed back through the London-NY transition, now pressing the session high near 1.4190 — coinciding with the 61.8% retrace of the earlier drop from 1.4208. RSI(14) near 63, firm but not stretched; oil-supported CAD kept the pair contained on the way down.
Support: 1.4155, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4190, 1.4200, 1.4206
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4190 session high opens the path to the 1.4200 psych level
Failure to hold 1.4155 session low reopens the prior low at 1.4130
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 63 · price 1.41876
Higher lows since 1.4155 base.
USDCAD carved a double bottom near 1.4155 through the NY session and has since ground back up to 1.4188, RSI(14) recovering into the low 60s. The bounce coincides with an oil-supported Loonie easing, but the pair is now pressing the 1.4190 session high after a clean break of the 1.416-1.4165 consolidation.
Support: 1.4175, 1.4155, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4190, 1.4204, 1.4225
What it said to watch
A close above 1.4190 opens the path to 1.4204
Failure to hold 1.4175 reopens the 1.4155 session low
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session sold USDCAD to a 1.41546 session low, twice held, before a ~50% recovery of the drop to 1.4182 on a firm safe-haven USD bid. RSI(14) back near 62 as buyers stepped in off the double bottom; session high at 1.4189 caps for now, 1.4200 round number above.
Support: 1.41546, 1.41615
Resistance: 1.41895, 1.4200, 1.42083
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41895 session high opens the path to 1.4200
Failure to hold 1.41546 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 63 · price 1.41819
Double bottom, higher lows building.
USDCAD sold down through the NY session to a 1.4155 double bottom before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 1.4182 as the safe-haven USD bid held. RSI(14) at 63 reflects the recovery momentum with room before overbought; a clean break of the 1.4189 swing high is still needed.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41895, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4155 reopens the session low and negates the double bottom
Break above 1.4189 swing high exposes the 1.4200 round number
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
London downtrend, recovering into NY · RSI 58 · price 1.41771
Lower lows into 1.4155, bounce underway.
London hours sold USDCAD from 1.4208 down to a 1.4155 double bottom, with buyers stepping in twice on the safe-haven USD bid. Price is recovering into the NY open, RSI(14) back near 58 and reclaiming EMA20, though EMA50 caps overhead near 1.4185.
Support: 1.4155, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4192, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4192 opens the path to the 1.4200 round number
Failure to hold 1.4155 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs into 1.4155 double bottom, recovering.
London session sold USD/CAD from 1.4208 down to 1.4155 on the safe-haven USD bid against a soft CAD undertone; buyers stepped in twice at 1.4155 and price has recovered to 1.4177, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI back near neutral. The 1.4155 base held as a double bottom but EMA50 near 1.4185 still caps.
Support: 1.4155, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4185, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4155 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.4200 psych negates the down leg
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Sold to session low near 1.4155, basing and recovering.
USDCAD sold from 1.4208 through the London-NY transition down to a session low at 1.4155, where buyers stepped in twice. Price has since recovered to 1.4170, RSI(14) lifting off its lows back near 54; safe-haven USD bid on Hormuz headlines is offsetting the soft CAD undertone.
Support: 1.4155, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4173, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.4173 opens the path back toward 1.4200
M15 close below 1.4155 confirms a lower low and resumes the downtrend
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 51 · price 1.4170
Lower lows into 1.4155, early higher lows forming.
USDCAD sold off through the European session to a 1.4155 session low, twice rejected there before buyers stepped in to lift price back to 1.4172 into NY hours. RSI(14) has recovered to neutral around 51 as the pair carves early higher lows; safe-haven USD bid near DXY 101 is underpinning the bounce.
Support: 1.4155, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4172 recent high opens the path back to 1.4200 psych level
Failure to hold 1.4155 session low confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4208 to a session low at 1.41546 as the safe-haven USD bid faded intraday, and price is now basing between 1.41546 and 1.41723. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold to the mid-40s as the last few bars carve out higher lows.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41723, 1.41765
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41765 negates the intraday downtrend
Failure to hold 1.41546 opens 1.4150
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
USDCAD ground lower through the session on the softer CAD undertone, printing a session low at 1.41546 before buyers stepped in twice to hold the 1.4155 area. Price has recovered to 1.41683 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold, but the descending sequence of lower highs into 1.41723 still caps.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41723, 1.41806
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41723 breaks the lower-high sequence and opens 1.41806
Failure to hold 1.41546 confirms continuation to 1.4150
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session drove USDCAD down from 1.4200 to a session low at 1.41546, safe-haven USD bid fading against firm oil. Price now consolidating 1.4155-1.4172 with RSI(14) recovering off lows; lower-high sequence intact.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41723, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41723 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41546 opens the 1.4150 round number
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session drove USDCAD down from 1.4192 to a swing low at 1.41546 on the renewed safe-haven flows, and price is now consolidating 1.41546–1.41723 near Scotiabank fair value ~1.4158. RSI(14) mid-40s, momentum flat; the 1.41765 spike higher was rejected sharply.
Support: 1.41546, 1.41568
Resistance: 1.41723, 1.41765, 1.4206
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41723 opens the path back toward 1.42060
Failure to hold 1.41546 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, holding near lows · RSI 41 · price 1.41621
Lower highs / lower lows into session low.
USDCAD ground lower through the London morning session, sweeping the session low at 1.41546 before a shallow bounce to 1.41621; RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 41. Safe-haven USD bid keeps price pinned under a chain of lower highs, with the 1.41723 swing high capping the rebound.
Support: 1.41546, 1.41568
Resistance: 1.41723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41546 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.41723 breaks the lower-high sequence
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the London-NY transition, printing a session low at 1.41546 before a shallow bounce back to 1.41621; RSI(14) recovering off oversold but structure stays lower-high, lower-low. The safe-haven USD bid keeps a floor while stretched short-CAD positioning caps downside momentum.
Support: 1.41546, 1.41596
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.41723
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41723 session high invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41546 session low extends the downtrend toward 1.4150
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.41658
Lower highs, lower lows into 1.4155.
USDCAD sold off through London hours, breaking to 1.41546 as the USD safe-haven bid met stretched short-CAD positioning near Scotiabank's 1.4158 fair value. Price has since ticked back to 1.41658, RSI recovering off its lows; the 1.41546 session low remains the pivot.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41723
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41723 session high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41546 swing low confirms continuation toward 1.4150 support
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session, printing a run of lower highs into a 1.41546 swing low as the softer CAD undertone after the Ivey miss met a firm safe-haven USD. Buyers stepped in at 1.41546 twice and price is retracing toward the 1.41723 session high; RSI(14) recovering off the low near 43.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41723, 1.41765
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41765 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.41546 confirms continuation lower toward 1.41500
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD direction
USDCAD ground lower through NY hours to a fresh session low at 1.41546 as the safe-haven USD bid held; RSI(14) near 40, no oversold extreme yet. Price sits below EMA20/50 with an intact chain of lower highs, the last capped at 1.41723.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41723
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41723 breaks the lower-high chain
Break below 1.41546 extends the downtrend toward 1.41300 prior range
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 41 · price 1.41597
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCAD stepped down through the London session into a fresh session low at 1.41546, holding a chain of lower highs as the safe-haven USD bid keeps pressure on CAD. Price is hugging the lows with RSI(14) near 40; the 1.41723 swing high caps recent bounces.
Support: 1.41546, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41723
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41546 confirms continuation to the 1.41500 round number
Reclaim of 1.41723 breaks the sequence of lower highs
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 35 · price 1.41575
Lower highs, lower lows.
USDCAD sold off through the London session, breaking prior support at 1.41785 and printing a fresh session low at 1.41568 as the CAD undertone stayed soft after the Ivey PMI miss. Chain of lower highs and lower lows intact, RSI(14) near 34 but not yet oversold; the 1.41720 rejection area caps the last bounce.
Support: 1.41568, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.41785
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41720 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.41568 confirms continuation lower toward 1.41500
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
USDCAD sold off steadily through the London session, breaking below 1.4180 and printing a fresh session low at 1.41568 as CAD firmed off the record trade surplus while USD held its safe-haven bid. Sequence of lower highs intact; RSI(14) near 34, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.41568, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41723, 1.41785
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41723 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.41568 opens the path toward the 1.4150 support
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session pushed USDCAD down from 1.4200 to a session low of 1.41581 on the safe-haven USD bid, before a shallow bounce to 1.41723 stalled and rolled back to 1.41632. Chain of lower highs intact; RSI(14) near 39 with price pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.41581, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41723, 1.41785, 1.4199
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41581 confirms a lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 1.41785 swing high invalidates the downtrend read
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.41632
Lower highs, session low swept.
USDCAD sold off through the London session to a 1.41581 low as the safe-haven USD bid dominated, with price now hugging 1.4163. RSI(14) recovering from oversold as the last bars swept the low and snapped back; the 1.41765 spike high caps the bounce.
Support: 1.41581, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41765
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41765 would ease the intraday downside pressure
Failure to hold 1.41581 confirms continuation lower toward 1.4150
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the London session, sweeping down to 1.41581 near Scotiabank's cited fair value before buyers stepped in and lifted it back to 1.41714. RSI(14) is recovering off oversold as the pair holds above the session low, but price remains capped below EMA20/50 in a clear lower-high, lower-low sequence.
Support: 1.41581, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41785
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41785 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41581 session low resumes the downtrend toward the 1.41500 round level
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 41 · price 1.41714
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
USDCAD sold off through London morning, breaking to a session low at 1.41581 before a modest bounce to 1.41714. The spike to 1.41765 was rejected and RSI(14) is recovering from oversold near 30. FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC is the key test.
Support: 1.41581
Resistance: 1.41765, 1.4186
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41765 needed to challenge the 1.41860 swing high
Failure to hold 1.41581 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, lows being swept · RSI 37 · price 1.41641
Lower highs and lower lows through London.
USDCAD ground lower through the London session in a clean lower-high/lower-low chain, printing a session low at 1.4158 before a small bounce. The 1.41765 spike was faded straight back, and price now sits mid-drop near 1.4164 with RSI(14) around 37; USD safe-haven bid remains the backdrop.
Support: 1.4158, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4177, 1.4186
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4158 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.4150
Reclaim of the 1.4186 swing high invalidates the downtrend read
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the London session, breaking 1.4180 to a session low at 1.4158; a spike to 1.41765 was rejected and price closed back lower. RSI(14) near 33, cooling but not yet oversold. FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC are the key test.
Support: 1.4158, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4180
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4158 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.4130
Reclaim of 1.4180 negates the breakdown
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke down through 1.4180 into the London session, printing fresh lows at 1.41596 as the safe-haven USD bid faded against a firm CAD undertone. A spike to 1.41765 was rejected and closed back below 1.4162, keeping the down-leg intact with RSI(14) near 30.
Support: 1.41596, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41715
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41765 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.41596 opens the path toward 1.4150
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, pressing session lows.
USDCAD in a clean M15 downtrend through the London session, printing lower highs and breaking to a session low at 1.41596 as the WTI rebound and stretched short-CAD positioning weigh. A spike to 1.41765 was rejected and price is sitting on the lows, RSI(14) near 31 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.41596, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41765
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4150 support opens continuation lower
Reclaim above the 1.41765 sweep high negates the fresh lower-low
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the London session, breaking the prior 1.4190 base and printing fresh session lows at 1.41596 with RSI(14) near 29. A spike to 1.41765 was rejected on the last full bar; supply capping the bounce while price hugs the lows.
Support: 1.41596, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41785, 1.4189
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41785 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.41596 opens the 1.4130 range support
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the London session, carving lower highs and printing a fresh session low at 1.41596 as the safe-haven USD bid failed to hold above 1.4200. A late spike to 1.41765 was rejected immediately, keeping the down-leg intact with RSI(14) near 34.
Support: 1.41596, 1.4150, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41685, 1.41785, 1.4196
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41596 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Recovery above 1.41785 breaks the lower-high structure
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD tone
USD/CAD sold off through the London session, breaking the 1.4196 pivot and 1.4180 swing to print 1.4160 in a clean lower-low chain. RSI(14) near 30 but not yet oversold; price is now testing Scotiabank's 1.4158 fair-value zone as the safe-haven USD bid meets stretched short-CAD positioning.
Support: 1.4158, 1.4150, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4180, 1.4196
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4158 opens the path to 1.4150 then 1.4130
Reclaim of 1.4180 would break the lower-high chain
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the London session, breaking the 1.41785 swing and extending to a fresh session low at 1.41601 as CAD firmed toward Scotiabank's 1.4158 fair value. RSI(14) near 25 flags a short-term oversold condition after the run of lower lows.
Support: 1.4158, 1.4150, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41785
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41785 would neutralise the breakout and lower-low sequence
Loss of 1.4150 psych opens the path toward 1.4130 range support
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Sharp leg lower through the London session broke the 1.41785 support and printed a session low at 1.41612, RSI(14) near oversold. Price now sits at the ~1.4158 fair-value area flagged in the CAD read, with no base formed yet.
Support: 1.41612, 1.4150, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41785
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41785 would signal the breakdown failing
Loss of 1.4150 opens 1.4130 prior-range support
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD tone
USDCAD sold off through the London morning, breaking the 1.4180 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 1.41612 as safe-haven USD demand eased and CAD firmed. RSI(14) sits near 24, short-term oversold, but no basing has formed yet; 1.4130 prior-range support is the next reference below.
Support: 1.41612, 1.4130, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4180
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4180 broken shelf would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 1.41612 session low opens the path to 1.4130
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session accelerated the sell-off, breaking below 1.41900 and printing a fresh session low at 1.41614, with USD carrying a safe-haven bid. RSI(14) is in oversold territory near 24 as the down-leg extends without a base.
Support: 1.41614, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41785, 1.4190
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41785 would stall the lower-low sequence
Break of 1.41614 opens the path toward the 1.41500 area
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session saw USDCAD break down through the 1.4190 base, printing a fresh session low at 1.41614 with RSI(14) pushing into oversold near 27. Selling is steady on the safe-haven bid unwinding into fair value around 1.4158; no sign of a base yet on the current bar.
Support: 1.41614, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41785
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41785 would question the fresh lower-low structure
Sustained close below 1.4150 opens the path toward 1.4075/80
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke below the 1.4190-1.4200 consolidation in early London hours and slid to a fresh session low at 1.41667, extending a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) near 27 shows momentum stretched but not yet at a divergence extreme; price remains below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.41667, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41785, 1.4199, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.41990 would negate the lower-low sequence
Hold below 1.41785 keeps the downside structure intact
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the London session, breaking to a fresh low at 1.41667 with RSI(14) near 29. The lower-high, lower-low structure stays intact after supply capped the 1.4200 area earlier in the window; safe-haven USD bid noted but oil beta keeps CAD supported.
Support: 1.41667, 1.4150, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41806, 1.4200, 1.42083
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41806 would break the lower-high sequence
Sustained break of 1.4150 opens 1.4130 range support
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session broke the 1.41860 shelf and printed a session low at 1.41729, extending a clean lower-high/lower-low chain, RSI(14) near 31. CAD firmness has capped USD/CAD despite the broad safe-haven USD bid; the prior 1.41960 range now acts as overhead resistance.
Support: 1.41729
Resistance: 1.4186, 1.4196
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41729 confirms another lower low
Reclaim of 1.41860 negates the break and reopens 1.41960
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
USDCAD broke the intraday floor around 1.4185 and printed a fresh session low at 1.41729, extending a clean lower-high/lower-low chain as the safe-haven USD bid pressed through the NY-Asia handover. RSI(14) near 32 is stretched but not extreme; ATR ~34 pips frames current move size.
Support: 1.41729, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.42083, 1.42259
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.42000 would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.41729 confirms continuation lower toward 1.4150
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London hours drove USD/CAD through the 1.4186 support, printing a fresh session low at 1.4173 with RSI(14) near 33. Sellers extended after a mid-session drift lower; price stalling just above the low into the current bar.
Support: 1.41729, 1.4150, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4186
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4186 negates the breakdown
Break below 1.4173 session low opens 1.4150 then 1.4130
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke the 1.4196–1.4200 shelf during London hours and printed a fresh session low at 1.41729, RSI(14) near 35 but not yet oversold. Price is coiling just above the low around 1.41789 after the impulsive leg down; the broken 1.41890 shelf now caps as resistance.
Support: 1.41729, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4189, 1.4200, 1.42083
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41890 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.41729 confirms continuation toward 1.4130
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session drove USDCAD off the 1.4200 shelf and through the 1.4190 floor, printing a fresh session low at 1.41729 with RSI(14) near 33. The mid-window range broke down cleanly; price now sits below EMA20/50 as sellers press.
Support: 1.41729, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4196, 1.42083
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41960 negates the breakdown
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled CAD catalyst
Breaking below the intraday range, lower low printed.
USDCAD broke below the 1.4185 floor into the London open, printing a session low at 1.41729 with RSI(14) near 31. The move extends a slow grind lower off the 1.42226 session high; USD stays broadly bid on Hormuz safe-haven flows while stretched CAD shorts have muted the reaction.
Support: 1.41729, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4206, 1.42226
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42060 would neutralise the lower-low read
Failure to hold 1.41729 opens room toward the 1.41500 area
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session extended the slide, breaking below the 1.4190 shelf to print fresh session lows at 1.41767 with RSI(14) near 31. USD holding firm broadly as the market consolidates into today's FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.41767, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4196
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4196 negates the lower-high sequence
USDCAD slid to fresh session lows at 1.41767 through the London morning, breaking the 1.4186 pivot after a steady grind lower with no calendar catalyst — Canada jobs don't land until Friday. RSI(14) near 30 shows momentum is stretched but not yet at extreme.
Support: 1.41767, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4186
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41767 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.4150 range low
Reclaim of 1.4186 would neutralise the breakdown read
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia into early-London window, printing a fresh session low at 1.4183 with price pinned below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 37. The pair remains in the lower half of the 1.4150-1.4250 range noted in the CAD read, no bounce established yet.
Support: 1.41825, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.4196, 1.4201, 1.42083
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.4196 would negate the latest lower-low sequence
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD drifted lower through the Asian into early London hours, printing a fresh session low at 1.41825 with price holding under EMA20/50. Move is orderly rather than impulsive, RSI(14) mid-30s and not yet extended.
Support: 1.41825, 1.4180
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.42083
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.41825 opens the path toward the 1.4180 psych area
A reclaim of 1.4200 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD leaked lower through the Asian session and broke the 1.4196-1.4206 range floor, printing fresh lows at 1.41825 into the pre-London hours with RSI(14) near 36. Move is orderly but sub-5-pip ATR bars mean this is a slow grind rather than an impulsive break.
Support: 1.41825, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4196, 1.4206, 1.4224
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4196 negates the range break lower
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could reshape the USD leg of this read
Break of 1.41825 opens the path toward the 1.4150 range base
USD/CAD drifted lower through the Asian session and into the London approach, slipping to a fresh session low at 1.41825 after losing the 1.4190 shelf. RSI(14) near 38 with price pinned below EMA20/50; the pair sits at the soft end of its 1.4150-1.4250 range with sellers pressing round-number support at 1.4200.
Support: 1.4182, 1.4175, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4206
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4200 negates the breakdown and returns price into the range
Loss of 1.4182 confirms continuation toward 1.4175/1.4150
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building late · RSI 32 · price 1.41829
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session low.
USDCAD ground lower through Asia into the early London hours, breaking the mid-window base and printing a fresh session low at 1.41825, RSI(14) near 32 and approaching oversold. Sellers have held below the descending lower highs; the 1.4200 psych level caps upside.
Support: 1.41825, 1.4170
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4206, 1.42259
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.4200 would break the chain of lower highs
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.41825 confirms the next lower low toward 1.4170
USDCAD sliced below the overnight 1.4190-1.4210 range in early London hours, printing a fresh session low at 1.41825 with RSI(14) sub-35 but not yet extreme. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50; supply has capped every bounce toward 1.4200.
Support: 1.41825, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.42083, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4200 negates the range breakdown
Failure to hold 1.41825 opens the path toward 1.4150
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 40 · price 1.41872
Range-bound, testing lower edge.
USDCAD ground lower through the Asia session, slipping back to retest the 1.4187 session-low cluster with RSI(14) around 40. Pair stays inside its broader 1.4150-1.4250 range, price capped below EMA20/50 as a modest descending resistance line off the 1.4226 high holds.
Support: 1.4187, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4206, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4187 opens the path toward 1.4150 range low
Reclaim of 1.4206 negates the lower-edge test
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC and FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could reset this range
USDCAD grinding to session low 1.41863 into the London open, holding below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs intact. Moves have stayed shallow, consistent with the 1.4150-1.4250 range the digest flags ahead of Friday's Canada jobs.
Support: 1.4183, 1.4175
Resistance: 1.4206, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42060 breaks the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.41830 opens the path toward 1.41750
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
05:16 UTC
Range, drifting to lower end · RSI 40 · price 1.41874
Descending highs inside 1.4183-1.4226 range.
USDCAD drifting lower into thin Asia hours, pressing the 1.41832 session low after rejection at 1.42083. RSI(14) near 40 and price below both EMAs; the pair stays boxed in the 1.4183-1.4226 range flagged in the macro read.
Support: 1.41832, 1.4180
Resistance: 1.42083, 1.42226
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41832 confirms a lower low and range break down
Reclaim of 1.42083 negates the current downside drift
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD drifted lower through the Asian session, slipping below the 1.4196 EMA20 and pressing into the 1.4188 pivot toward the 1.4183 swing low. RSI(14) near 40, no extreme; price capped below prior highs at 1.4208 as the USD held its firm tone into FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.41832
Resistance: 1.4196, 1.42083, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4196 would neutralise the downside grind
Break and hold below 1.4183 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD faded from the 1.4208 recovery high back to 1.4191 through the Asia-into-London handover, printing lower highs below EMA20 with RSI(14) around 40. Price sits mid-range in the wider 1.4183–1.4208 band that has held all session; pair stays inside the broader 1.4150–1.4250 range flagged into Friday's Canada jobs.
Support: 1.4187, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4196, 1.4208, 1.4220
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4183 confirms a lower-low and breaks the session range
Reclaim of 1.4196/1.4208 negates the fade
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Range, mild downdrift · RSI 38 · price 1.41911
Ranging, drifting toward session low.
Asian session grinding lower after the London-hours slide off 1.4226 to 1.4183; USDCAD now hovering near 1.4191 with RSI(14) around 38 and price under both EMAs. Ranging 1.4183–1.4208 with sellers leaning on the 1.4208 recent high, buyers so far defending the 1.4187 session low.
Support: 1.4187, 1.4183, 1.4175
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4226
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4183 confirms a lower low and opens 1.4175
Reclaim of 1.4208 neutralises the downdrift toward 1.4226
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.41949
Consolidation between 1.4187 and 1.4208.
USDCAD drifted off the 1.4226 session high and is now ranging in Asia between the 1.4187 swing low and 1.4208 swing high, RSI(14) neutral near 46. Buyers stepped in around 1.4183 earlier; ATR is compressed at ~4 pips as the pair holds inside the broader 1.4150-1.4250 band.
Support: 1.4187, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4206, 1.4208
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4187 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.4183
M15 close above 1.4208 breaks the range top
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD drifted off the 1.42259 London high toward the 1.41832 session low, now churning in a tight 1.4187–1.4206 band with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Move sits inside the broader 1.4150–1.4250 range flagged by the digest; price is stalling below EMA20/50 in early Asia hours.
Support: 1.4187, 1.41832, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.42064, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42064 reopens the path to the 1.42259 range high
Failure to hold 1.41832 confirms a lower low toward 1.4150
FOMC Minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is coiling in a tight 1.4192-1.4200 Asian range after recovering off the NY-session low near 1.4183. RSI(14) flat near 49 and ATR compressed to a few pips — no setup in play, price glued to its short EMAs.
Support: 1.4192, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4206
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4206 opens the path back toward 1.4225
Break below 1.4183 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Minutes today 18:00 UTC could break the range
04:31 UTC
Range-bound, no momentum · RSI 46 · price 1.41968
Consolidation after intraday drop.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4226 to a session low at 1.4183 during the NY session, then recovered into a tight 1.4192–1.4206 range now holding through Asia hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with price pinned to the EMAs; no setup in play ahead of FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.4192, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42064, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4206 reopens the 1.4226 high
Loss of 1.4192 exposes the 1.4183 session low
FOMC Minutes today 18:00 UTC could break the range
04:16 UTC
Downtrend faded into range · RSI 47 · price 1.41976
Basing after NY selloff, ranging 1.4190-1.4208.
USDCAD sold from 1.4226 through London-NY to a 1.4183 swing low, then based and recovered into a 1.4190-1.4208 range through the Asia session. Price now drifting at 1.4198 on thin late-Asia volume, RSI neutral near 47; range top at 1.4208 still caps.
Support: 1.41917, 1.4187, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42083, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42083 range top opens 1.4226 prior high
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC later today could shift this read
04:16 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 1.41976
Consolidating after London pullback.
USDCAD is chopping between 1.4187 and 1.4208 after the London-session drop from 1.4226 to the 1.4183 session low, with RSI(14) flat near 48. Price stalled below EMA20 into the Asia hours; no clean directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4187, 1.41832, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42083, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42083 opens the path back toward 1.4226
Loss of 1.4187 exposes the 1.4183 session low then 1.4150 range floor
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could break the range
04:02 UTC
Downtrend faded to range · RSI 45 · price 1.41968
Ranging after lower highs.
USDCAD sold from 1.4226 to 1.4183 through the NY session, then chopped into a 1.4188-1.4206 range as USD stayed firm and CAD soft into Friday's jobs. Price is mid-range at 1.41968, RSI(14) neutral near 45, no directional edge in Asian hours.
Support: 1.4188, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4206, 1.4226
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4206 reopens 1.4226
Break of 1.4183 confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could shift this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend flattened into range · RSI 46 · price 1.41968
Ranging after a down leg, low volatility.
USDCAD is drifting in a tight Asian-session range around 1.4197 after fading from the 1.4226 high, with ATR compressed to ~7 pips. Price sits mid-range between the 1.4187 session low and 1.4208 recent high; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4187, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42083, 1.42259
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4208 reopens the 1.4226 high
USDCAD drifted off the 1.4226 prior high through London and is grinding in a 1.4187–1.4208 range during Asia hours, price hugging 1.4196 below EMA20/50. USD stays firm on Hormuz safe-haven demand while CAD is soft; RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme, ATR near 5 pips signalling a quiet tape.
Support: 1.4187, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42083, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4187 session low confirms a lower low toward 1.41832
Reclaim of 1.42083 recent high reopens the 1.42259 prior high
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could break this range
03:46 UTC
Sideways after intraday decline · RSI 47 · price 1.41962
Consolidation below broken support.
USDCAD slid from the 1.42260 swing high to 1.41832 through late London, then stabilised into a tight 1.4187–1.4208 range during the Asia session. Price now sits at 1.41962, just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4187, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42083, 1.4226
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42083 session high opens the path back to 1.42260
Failure to hold 1.41870 session low confirms a lower low toward 1.41832
FOMC Minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 1.4194
Range-bound, lower-highs into Asia.
USDCAD ranging 1.4183–1.4226 with the London-NY leg fading; price drifted back to 1.4194 in thin Asia trade, holding below EMA20. Rejection off 1.4226 left a lower high at 1.4208, RSI(14) mid-40s — no setup in play.
Support: 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4226
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4183 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
USDCAD is boxed 1.4187–1.4208 through the Asian session, easing back to 1.4194 with RSI(14) mid-range near 44. The 1.4208 top has capped the last four hours; sellers pressed toward 1.4187 but the prior 1.4183 low held.
Support: 1.4187, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4213
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4208 reopens the 1.4213 swing high
Loss of 1.4183 confirms a lower low and extends the drift
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could reset the range later today
USDCAD boxed between the 1.4183 session low and 1.4226 swing high through the NY session, now drifting back down in Asia after rejection near the 1.4208 recent high. RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme, and the pullback has retraced a chunk of the earlier down leg. FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.4183, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4226
What it said to watch
Break below 1.4183 session low opens the path toward 1.4150 support
Reclaim of 1.4208 recent high shifts the intraday drift back up toward the 1.4226 swing high
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could break the 1.4183-1.4226 range
03:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 43 · price 1.41913
Boxed between session extremes, micro lower highs.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4183–1.4206 through the Asia session, edging lower into the current bar with price back under EMA20/50 and RSI(14) mid-40s. USD stayed firm on Hormuz safe-haven flows and hawkish Fed pricing, but the pair has no directional impulse here; the late-NY push to 1.4206 was rejected and price has faded to 1.4191.
Support: 1.4188, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42064, 1.4216
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41832 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.42064 reopens the 1.4216 prior high
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Downtrend faded, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 1.41952
Consolidation between 1.4185 and 1.4206.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4225 into a 1.41832 low, then chopped back to 1.4206 before easing to 1.4195 in thin Asia-session trade. Now boxed between 1.4185 and 1.4206 with RSI(14) mid-range; no setup in play as USD holds firm on Hormuz safe-haven flows.
Support: 1.4185, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.4206, 1.42225
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4185 confirms a lower low
Break and hold above 1.4206 opens the path back to 1.4225
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Mild downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.41952
Range below intraday highs after leg lower.
USDCAD slid off the 1.4225 swing high through the London-NY session and bottomed at 1.41832 before basing near 1.4195 into thin Asia hours. Price is boxed between 1.41880 support and the 1.42060 recent high, sitting just under EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.4188, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.4206, 1.42225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42060 recent high reopens the 1.42225 swing high
Break below 1.41832 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC Minutes today 18:00 UTC could break this range
02:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.41948
Consolidation, capped below 1.4208.
Thin Asia-session tape, USDCAD rolling off the 1.42083 session high back toward the 1.41924 low, RSI(14) mid-40s. Pair remains boxed in the 1.4183–1.4208 range noted while USD sits firm near the DXY 100.90 pivot ahead of the FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.41924, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42083, 1.42226
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41832 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.42083 reopens the 1.4226 prior high
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could shift this range read
02:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower late · RSI 42 · price 1.41948
Consolidation between 1.4183 and 1.4208.
USDCAD is boxed between 1.4183 and 1.4208 through the session, easing off the 1.4208 recent high back toward 1.4194 into early Asia hours. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42, no directional break in play.
Support: 1.4188, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4226
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4183 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 1.4208 recent high reopens the 1.4226 prior high
FOMC Minutes today 18:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst for USD tone
02:31 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 43 · price 1.41947
Consolidating below session high after leg lower.
USDCAD sold off from 1.42259 into the London-NY session and has since chopped in a 1.4188–1.4208 band, with the pair failing to hold the 1.42083 session high. Price is drifting lower again in thin Asian-session trade, sub-EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s — CAD staying soft with USD underpinned by Hormuz safe-haven flows.
Support: 1.4188, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42083, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41830 confirms a lower low and extends the leg down
Reclaim of 1.42083 puts the 1.4226 area back in play
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower late · RSI 44 · price 1.41947
Consolidation, capped below 1.4208.
Asia session grinding sideways between 1.4188 and 1.4208 after the NY-session slide off 1.4226; USD stayed firm on Hormuz safe-haven flows while CAD failed to track oil. Price rolled off the 1.4208 prior high into the close, RSI(14) hovering mid-40s.
Support: 1.4188, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41880 opens the 1.41832 swing low
Reclaim of 1.42080 prior high negates the range fade
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could reset USD direction
02:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 1.41965
Consolidation inside 1.4183–1.4226.
USDCAD is ranging through the quiet Asia session, hovering near the lower half of the 1.4183–1.4226 band with the last bar slipping to 1.41965. Price failed to hold the 1.42060 swing high, and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4187, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4206, 1.42226
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42060 opens a retest of the 1.4226 day high
Failure to hold 1.41830 confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Sideways after NY selloff · RSI 45 · price 1.41965
Range-bound, holding above session low.
USDCAD is churning in the 1.4183–1.4208 band through early Asia hours after sliding off the 1.4226 high during NY, with price now back below EMA20/50 near 1.4197. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, no momentum extreme; the recovery off 1.4183 has stalled under 1.4208.
Support: 1.4187, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42085, 1.4226
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42085 reopens the path to 1.42260
Failure to hold 1.41832 confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could shift USD direction
NY session dragged USD/CAD from 1.4225 to a 1.4183 swing low as CAD failed to track firmer oil and a stronger trade surplus. Asia hours have since clawed back to consolidate around 1.4200, RSI(14) flat near 52 with the session high capped at 1.4208.
Support: 1.4197, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4208 opens the path back to 1.4225
Loss of 1.4197 range base reopens 1.4183 swing low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.42012
Consolidation below 1.4208 after basing at 1.4183.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4225 to a 1.4183 session low, then rounded back to consolidate around 1.4200 into Asia hours, tagging 1.42083 before easing. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR is compressed at ~5 pips, consistent with the pair stuck below 1.4250 as noted in the CAD read.
Support: 1.4196, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.42083, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42083 recent high reopens the path toward 1.4225 prior high
Loss of 1.41960 asia low exposes the 1.41830 session low
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Range after NY selloff, recovering · RSI 55 · price 1.42045
Consolidation just above prior swing low.
NY session sold USDCAD from 1.4226 down to a 1.4183 day low, and Asia has since recovered into a tight 1.4195–1.4208 consolidation, sitting on the 50% retrace of that drop near 1.4205. RSI mid-range, no setup in play.
Support: 1.4188, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4226
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4208 opens a retest of the 1.4226 ny high
Loss of the 1.4188 swing low resumes the downside toward 1.4183 day low
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Recovering off session low, range-bound near highs · RSI 56 · price 1.42045
Higher lows since 1.4183, capped at 1.4208.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.4183 session low and is grinding sideways near 1.4205, sitting on the 50% retrace of the earlier 1.4226-1.4183 drop. Asia hours ranging 1.4196-1.4208 with RSI mid-range; pair remains stuck below the 1.4225 swing high, consistent with the flat 1.42 consolidation noted in the CAD read.
Support: 1.4196, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42083, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4208 opens the path back to 1.4225 swing high
Failure to hold 1.4196 reopens the 1.4183 session low
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD sold through the London-NY session to a low at 1.4183, then ground back to 1.4206 into the Asia handover, with a matched low near 1.4187 leaving a double-bottom base. RSI(14) mid-range near 56; price consolidating below 1.4208 inside a 1.4183–1.4225 range.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4196, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4215, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4225 reopens the 1.4250 area
Loss of 1.4183 confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone
01:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 56 · price 1.42062
Range after v-shaped bounce.
Price sold from 1.4226 down to a 1.4183 session low mid-window, then recovered to consolidate 1.4196–1.4208 through Asia hours; USD/CAD held near 1.4205 in line with the firm-USD, soft-CAD backdrop. RSI(14) neutral near 56 with price back above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4196, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.42079, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42079 opens the path back to 1.4225
Failure to hold 1.4196 reopens the 1.4183 session low
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD sold off to a session low at 1.4183, then recovered and is now consolidating in a tight 1.4197–1.4208 band. RSI(14) sits neutral near 55; buyers held the 1.4197 intraday low into the Asia hours with the session high capping at 1.4208.
Support: 1.4197, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4208 session high opens 1.4225 swing high
Loss of 1.4197 intraday low reopens 1.4183 session low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 1.42022
Consolidation after NY selloff and rebound.
NY session sold USDCAD from 1.4226 down to 1.4187, then buyers stepped in and lifted it back near the 50% mark of that leg. Price is now consolidating 1.4196–1.4208 through the Asian session, RSI(14) neutral near 51 with USD holding firm ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.4196, 1.4200, 1.4187
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4225
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4208 opens the path back toward 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.4196 reopens the 1.4187 swing low
01:03 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.4202
Recovered off session low, tight consolidation near 1.4200.
USDCAD ground down from 1.4225 to a session low at 1.4183 through the prior sessions, then recovered and is now consolidating in a tight ~7 pip band around 1.4200 during thin Asia hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and price is pinned to its short EMAs, with the pair stuck sub-1.4250 as the digest notes CAD ignoring firm oil and strong trade data.
Support: 1.4197, 1.4188
Resistance: 1.4206, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4206 then 1.4225 reopens the upside toward 1.4250
Break below 1.4188 confirms a lower-low and resumes the drift
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC today is the near-term USD driver
01:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.4202
Consolidation after retrace of the intraday drop.
USDCAD sold from the session high at 1.4225 down to 1.4183 through NY, then clawed back to ~1.4202 where it has stalled into thin Asia hours. Price is coiling between 1.4196 and 1.4206, roughly 50% of the earlier drop, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.4196, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4206, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4206 range top opens a retest of the 1.4225 session high
Failure to hold 1.4196 range floor exposes the 1.4183 session low
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is consolidating around the 1.4200 round number through the Asian session after the NY-hours drop from 1.4225 to the 1.4183 session low. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips on thin overnight volume; range top 1.4208 and base 1.4188 both holding.
Support: 1.4188, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4208 range top opens the path back toward 1.4225
Break below 1.4183 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
NY session sold USDCAD from 1.4226 down to a session low of 1.4183, then buyers stepped back in to reclaim 1.4200. Price is now ranging near 1.4200 with RSI(14) neutral around 49; the 1.4206 session high has capped the bounce.
Support: 1.4183, 1.4190
Resistance: 1.4206, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4206 opens the path toward 1.4225 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4183 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could break the range read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.41982
Consolidating after NY leg lower.
NY session drove USD/CAD down from 1.4226 to a 1.4183 session low, before a recovery back to 1.4206; the pair is now consolidating around 1.4198 in Asian hours with RSI(14) mid-range. Price sits just under both EMAs, capped by the 1.4206 bounce high.
Support: 1.4188, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.4206, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4206 reopens the path to the 1.4226 day high
Loss of 1.4183 session low confirms continuation lower
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Range after NY-session fade · RSI 46 · price 1.41982
Recovered off session low, consolidating mid-range.
USDCAD faded from 1.4226 to a 1.4183 session low through NY hours, then recovered into a tight 1.4195–1.4207 range. RSI(14) near 46 with price pinned to its EMAs on thin late-session volume — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4188, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42079, 1.42225
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42079 session high opens the path back toward 1.42225
Break below 1.41832 session low confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes later today (18:00 UTC) is the next material catalyst for USD
00:17 UTC
Range after selloff, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.41993
Consolidating mid-range post-drop.
USDCAD sold off from the session high at 1.4226 to 1.4183 during the NY session, then recovered to consolidate around 1.4200 — roughly a 38% retrace of that leg. Now ranging 1.4188-1.4208 through Asian hours on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 48 with no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4188, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4226
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4208 range top opens the path back to 1.4226
Failure to hold 1.4183 swing low confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Recovered off session low, now flat · RSI 52 · price 1.41993
NY sell-off then recovery, consolidating.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.42259 to a session low at 1.41832, then recovered to 1.42079 and is now consolidating near 1.42000 on thin Asia-session volume. RSI(14) sits neutral around 52 with price pinned to EMA20.
Support: 1.4188, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42079, 1.42259
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42079 reopens the 1.42259 session high
USDCAD sold off from the 1.4226 swing high to a 1.4183 session low, then recovered to roughly the 61.8% fib near 1.4208; price now consolidates 1.4198-1.4208 in thin post-NY conditions. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 with no directional pressure.
Support: 1.4198, 1.4183
Resistance: 1.4208, 1.4226
What it said to watch
close above 1.4208 opens the path back to 1.4226
loss of 1.4198 range floor reopens the 1.4183 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD tone
USDCAD sold from 1.4226 to a session low at 1.41832 during the active hours, then ground back to 1.42042 — roughly a 50% retrace of that down-leg. Now ranging 1.4198–1.4206 into thin late-session flow, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.41984, 1.41832
Resistance: 1.42059, 1.42259
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42059 session high opens the path back toward 1.42259 prior high
Loss of 1.41984 range low re-exposes the 1.41832 session low
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the week's key CAD catalyst