NY session drove USDCAD down to 1.4117 — near the 1.4130 pivot flagged after the strong CAD jobs beat — before a steady grind back to 1.4159. Price now stalling in a tight 1.4152–1.4159 band into the close, RSI(14) mid-range at ~57.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.41594, 1.41712
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41594 opens the path back toward the 1.41712 prior high
Loss of 1.41300 pivot reopens the 1.41171 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below recovery high.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.4117 session low through the NY session, grinding back to a 1.41594 recovery high before flattening near 1.4156. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the climb stalls just under the recovery high, with the 1.4130 pivot the nearest support below.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.41594, 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41594 opens the path toward the 1.4170 prior high
Loss of the 1.4130 pivot reopens the 1.4117 session low
USDCAD sold off through NY hours after the firm Canadian June jobs beat, bottoming at 1.41171 before grinding back to 1.41577 on higher lows. Late NY has settled into a tight consolidation between 1.4152 and 1.4159, RSI(14) around 61 with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.4149, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.41692, 1.41721
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41692 opens the path to the 1.41721 session high
Loss of the rising support / 1.41490 swing low threatens a lower low back toward 1.41171
Higher lows off session low, stalling under recovery high.
USD/CAD sold off to a session low at 1.41171 through NY hours as CAD firmed on the June jobs beat, then clawed back ~40 pips in a shallow rising channel. Price is now stalling just under the 1.41591 recovery high with RSI cooling and ATR compressing into a thin, late-session tape.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.41692
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41591 recovery high opens the path back to 1.41692 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41500 minor sup reopens the move toward the 1.41171 session low
Thin liquidity into session close can distort late-tape moves
USDCAD sold off through NY hours to a session low of 1.4117 before buyers stepped in, grinding back to 1.4158 with a chain of higher lows. The bounce recovers roughly three-quarters of the earlier drop; USD stays soft near three-week lows while firmer CAD jobs data cap topside, keeping price pinned under the 1.4172 session high.
Support: 1.4130, 1.4117
Resistance: 1.4172
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4172 extends the recovery leg
Loss of 1.4130 range floor reopens the 1.4117 low
US CPI Tue and BoC next week are the dominant catalysts, not in this window
Lower lows into 1.4117, recovering off session low.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session to a 1.4117 session low after the firm Canadian jobs beat, then based and recovered to 1.4158. Price now sits back above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 62; the 1.4169 prior high caps the bounce.
Support: 1.4117, 1.4130, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4169, 1.4171, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.4169 opens the 1.4200 psych level
Failure to hold 1.4130 reopens the 1.4117 session low
BoC decision Jul 15 is the dominant CAD catalyst ahead
Higher lows off 1.4117, consolidating under 1.4160.
USDCAD sold to a session low of 1.4117 during NY hours as the firm Canadian jobs beat (+18.2K) supported CAD, then clawed back a soft-dollar leg to consolidate just under 1.4155/1.4160. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-60s as the recovery stalls beneath the 1.4171 session high.
Support: 1.4149, 1.4130, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.41712
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41712 session high opens further recovery
Failure to hold 1.41490 swing low risks a retest of the 1.41171 session low
Break below the rising support line negates the recovery read
20:02 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 59 · price 1.41551
Rising lows since 1.41171 low.
USDCAD carved a rounded bottom at the 1.41171 session low and has recovered to 1.4155, roughly the 61.8% retrace of the earlier drop from 1.41720; CAD stayed firm on today's jobs beat but USD is clawing back into the NY close. RSI(14) near 59 with room before overheating; rising lows intact off the session low.
Support: 1.4149, 1.4130, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.4166, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41720 prior high extends the recovery
Loss of the 1.41490 recent pivot threatens the recovery off 1.41171
No major USDCAD catalyst next 8h; US CPI and BoC land next week
19:47 UTC
Recovery off session low, grinding up · RSI 61 · price 1.41553
Higher highs/higher lows since NY low.
NY session drove USDCAD down to 1.4117 before buyers stepped in, grinding the pair back to 1.4155 in a steady chain of higher lows. RSI(14) sits near 61, price holding above EMA20/50; the recovery has retraced roughly 70% of the 1.4171–1.4117 down leg with CAD supported by yesterday's firm jobs print.
Support: 1.4149, 1.41216, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.41611, 1.41692
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41611 extends recovery toward 1.41692
Failure to hold 1.41490 reopens 1.41216 then session low 1.41171
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the next major catalysts
Session low set, higher-lows building on recovery.
NY session sold USDCAD to a session low of 1.4117 into mid-afternoon, then buyers stepped in and lifted the pair ~40 pips back to 1.4155, where the prior support shelf now caps the recovery. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to the low-60s as price retests the 1.4158 area from below; broadly the Loonie stays firm after Friday's jobs beat.
Support: 1.4124, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.4158, 1.41692
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4158 opens the path back to the 1.4169 swing high
Failure to hold 1.4124 reopens the 1.4117 session low
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the dominant catalysts ahead
19:32 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 60 · price 1.41546
Higher lows since 1.41171, reclaiming lost ground.
USDCAD sold off through the London-NY session to a low of 1.41171 as CAD held firm after Friday's jobs beat, then recovered through the NY afternoon to 1.41546, reclaiming the 61.8% fib of the down-leg. RSI(14) has cooled back to ~60 from oversold, and price is grinding up on a chain of higher lows into the late NY hours.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4129, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.41548, 1.4166, 1.41712
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41660 prior swing opens the path back to the 1.41712 day high
Failure to hold the 1.41500 fib area risks a retest of the 1.41171 session low
BoC decision next week keeps CAD two-way; no near-term event in the next 8h
Session low set at 1.41171, price grinding back up.
NY session sold USDCAD down to a 1.41171 session low, pressured by the CAD jobs beat, before buyers stepped in and clawed price back to 1.4155 into late NY. The bounce has retraced roughly 70% of the decline; the 1.41580 swing high is the immediate cap with the 1.41692 session high above.
Support: 1.4139, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.4158, 1.41692
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41580 extends the recovery toward the 1.41692 session high
Failure to hold 1.41390 reopens the 1.41171 session low
USDCAD sold off through NY hours to a 1.4117 session low, then staged a corrective bounce that reclaimed the ~61.8% retrace near 1.4150; RSI(14) back mid-range around 57. Pair remains pinned near 1.4150 after Friday's firmer CAD jobs, capped for now under the 1.4165 swing high.
Support: 1.4130, 1.4117
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.4192
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4165 swing high extends the corrective bounce toward 1.4192
Loss of 1.4130 context support reopens the 1.4117 session low
19:17 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum up · RSI 63 · price 1.41533
Micro higher-highs after NY session low.
NY session drove USDCAD to a session low at 1.41171 mid-afternoon before a steady, stair-step recovery back to 1.41533, with CAD still supported after yesterday's jobs beat. Price has clawed back roughly two-thirds of the prior downmove and now presses the 1.41544 session high, RSI(14) climbing near 63.
Support: 1.4124, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.41544, 1.41649
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41544 opens the path toward 1.41649
Loss of 1.41240 reopens the 1.41171 session low
19:03 UTC
NY selloff, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 1.41512
Session low set, short-term HH/HL recovery.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session to a session low at 1.41171 before a steady recovery lifted price back to 1.41512, RSI(14) near 57. USD softness and firmer CAD after yesterday's jobs beat drove the leg down; the 1.41533 bounce high is now the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4134, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.41533, 1.41658
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41533 bounce high opens the 1.41658 swing high
Loss of 1.41340 recovery low reopens the 1.41171 session low
NY session drove USDCAD down to a 1.4117 session low before a steady recovery clawed back to 1.41512, RSI(14) lifting to ~63 off the lows. Price has reclaimed the EMA20 but stalls just under the 1.4155 EMA50 band, a natural retest zone for the prior decline.
Support: 1.4117, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4155, 1.4170
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4170 session high negates the downtrend read
Loss of 1.4130 support reopens the 1.4117 session low
BoC decision Jul 15 is the dominant CAD catalyst ahead
USDCAD slid through NY hours to a session low of 1.41171, then bounced ~33 pips to stall at 1.41504 — the 61.8% retrace of the 1.41712-1.41171 leg. RSI(14) back to mid-range from oversold; recovery has reclaimed the EMA20 but sits under the EMA50.
Support: 1.41171, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41555, 1.41712
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41555 extends the recovery toward 1.41712
Failure to hold 1.41300 reopens the 1.41171 session low
BoC decision next week and Tue US CPI are the bigger catalysts beyond this window
NY selloff into 1.4117, now recovering with higher lows.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session to a 1.4117 low, then bounced to 1.4148 — retracing roughly 57% of the down leg into the 1.41505 fib 0.618. CAD had firmed on yesterday's jobs beat but soft oil is capping any sustained Loonie push; RSI(14) recovered off its lows to the high-50s as a chain of higher lows built off 1.4117.
Support: 1.41171, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41505, 1.41712
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41505 (fib 0.618) opens the path back toward the 1.41712 prior high
Failure to hold above 1.41300 reopens the 1.41171 session low
Session selloff into base, higher lows off 1.41171.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session to a 1.41171 low as the USD stayed soft post-Iran de-escalation, then bounced ~31 pips into the late session to 1.41482. Recovery is holding a chain of higher lows off the base, but 1.41500 has capped the rebound so far; RSI(14) back to neutral near 47.
Support: 1.4134, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.4150, 1.41712
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41500 opens the path back to the 1.41712 prior high
Loss of 1.41340 swing low threatens a retest of the 1.41171 session low
US CPI Tue and BoC Wed are the dominant upcoming catalysts for this pair
18:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.41477
Session low set, corrective bounce.
NY session drove USD/CAD down to a session low of 1.41171 as CAD held firm after the June jobs beat, then buyers stepped in for a six-bar recovery back to 1.4147. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold; the bounce is still a correction within the down leg from 1.4171.
Support: 1.41171, 1.41244
Resistance: 1.4155, 1.41692
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4155 swing high would extend the recovery toward the 1.4169 session high
Failure to hold 1.4117 session low confirms continuation lower
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the key catalysts for the pair
NY session drove USDCAD from 1.4171 down to a 1.41171 session low as the Dollar stayed on the back foot, then price rebounded ~30 pips into 1.41477. RSI(14) has lifted back near 57 as the bounce retraces the down leg; the 1.41580 swing high is the next area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.41171, 1.4124
Resistance: 1.4158, 1.4168
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41580 swing high opens the path to 1.41680 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41171 session low confirms a fresh lower low
BoC decision Wed Jul 15 could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the NY session after Canada's jobs beat (+18.2K, u-rate 6.5%), printing a low at 1.4117 before recovering to 1.4145. RSI(14) is lifting off oversold, but price remains below EMA20 (~1.4150) and EMA50, keeping the intraday down-leg intact.
Support: 1.41171, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41448, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.4150 ema20 opens a test of descending resistance
Break below 1.4117 session low confirms a fresh lower low
BoC decision Jul 15 is the decisive CAD catalyst
18:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.41435
Lower highs / lower lows, testing session low.
NY session sold USDCAD off 1.4171 down to a session low of 1.4117 after Canada's jobs beat (+18.2K), with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Buyers stepped in at 1.4117 and the pair has retraced to 1.4144 into late NY, but the swing high at 1.4157 still caps the recovery.
Support: 1.41171, 1.4124
Resistance: 1.41567, 1.41712
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41567 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.41171 session low reopens the down-leg
US Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
17:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.41377
Lower highs, lower lows; bounce off 1.41171.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session, CAD firm after the +18.2K jobs beat, printing a swing low at 1.41171 before a bounce back to 1.41377. Chain of lower highs intact; price now testing the 1.4130 pivot region from above with RSI recovering off its dip.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.4146
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41460 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41171 confirms downtrend continuation
US Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the tone
NY session pressed USD/CAD to a session low of 1.41171 after Canada's jobs beat (+18.2K) with a softer USD backdrop; last bars bounced to 1.41409 with RSI(14) recovering off its lows. Downtrend structure intact — this is a corrective pop into a descending resistance line.
Support: 1.41171, 1.41216
Resistance: 1.41409
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41409 bounce high challenges the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.41171 session low confirms continuation of the down-leg
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the week's decisive catalysts
USDCAD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 1.4130 pivot to a session low at 1.41171 as USD stayed pinned near 3-week lows. Price is bouncing off that low to 1.41356 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold, but the lower-high chain caps rallies below the 1.41443 prior swing.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41171
Resistance: 1.41443
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.41443 negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.41171 session low extends the down-leg toward 1.4130 pivot on retest
Lower highs into session low 1.4117, now recovering.
NY session sold USDCAD from 1.4171 down to a session low of 1.4117 as broad USD softness held near three-week lows, RSI printing oversold. Price is now bouncing to 1.4136, but remains capped below the descending swing highs and under both EMAs.
Support: 1.41171, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41459, 1.41712
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4146 breaks the descending high structure
Loss of 1.4117 session low confirms continuation lower
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone this bar
NY session sold USD/CAD through SocGen's 1.4130 pivot to a fresh session low at 1.41171 as the USD stayed soft and CAD held its jobs-beat tone. Price is now bouncing to 1.41292, but sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) recovering off its lows.
Support: 1.41171, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4130, 1.4148
What it said to watch
Sustained break of 1.41171 opens the 1.4075 range low
M15 close back above the 1.4130 pivot would neutralise the downside push
BoC hold Jul 15 is the dominant near-term catalyst for CAD
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from ~1.4170 to a session low at 1.41171, extending a clean chain of lower highs after June's firmer Canadian jobs print. RSI(14) sits near oversold with a small bounce into the last bar; the 1.4130 pivot flagged in context is the near-term floor.
Support: 1.41171, 1.4113
Resistance: 1.41326, 1.41692
What it said to watch
Break of 1.41130 pivot opens the path toward 1.4075
M15 close back above 1.41326 would ease the downside pressure
US CPI Tue and BoC Jul 15 are the dominant catalysts ahead
NY session pushed USD/CAD to a session low near 1.4117, breaking the 1.4130 pivot flagged as support, with RSI(14) around 30. CAD held firm after the June jobs beat while USD stayed soft into the weekend; a late tick off the low pared the drop but sellers still cap the tape.
Support: 1.41171, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4130
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4130 pivot would invalidate the downside break
Loss of 1.41171 session low opens the path toward 1.4075
Weekend US-Iran / oil headlines are the gap risk into next open
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.41244
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.4130 pivot to a session low at 1.41171, extending the downtrend as firmer Canadian June jobs supported CAD. RSI(14) near 31 shows momentum stretched but not yet extreme; the late bar stalling at 1.41244 is a modest pause below broken support.
Support: 1.41171, 1.4100, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4130, 1.41395
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41300 pivot would neutralise the breakout
Failure to hold 1.41171 confirms continuation toward 1.4100
USDCAD sold through the 1.4130 pivot into the NY session, printing fresh session lows near 1.4117 after firmer-than-expected CAD jobs supported the Loonie. RSI(14) is oversold near 27 as the down leg extends; price is stacked below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.41171, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4130
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.4130 pivot would ease downside pressure and signal a retest
Failure to hold 1.41171 session low opens the 1.4100 round number
BoC (Jul 15) and US CPI (Tue) are the dominant catalysts ahead
NY session sold USDCAD hard through the 1.4130 range pivot, printing fresh session lows at 1.41171 with RSI(14) into oversold near 27. Soft oil-linked USD tone and the firmer CAD jobs print earlier are weighing; the decline is one-directional with no reclaim of broken levels yet.
Support: 1.41171, 1.41075
Resistance: 1.41372
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 1.41135 opens 1.41075
Recovery back above 1.41372 negates the fresh lower-low
Oversold RSI raises odds of a corrective bounce into 1.41372
NY session sold USDCAD through the 1.4130 pivot, price printing a fresh session low at 1.41202 as USD sits at 3-week lows and June's CAD jobs beat lends the Loonie support. RSI(14) near 27 is stretched but not extreme; the leg lower is intact with no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.41202, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4130 pivot negates the breakdown
Close below 1.41202 session low extends the leg toward 1.4100 psych
NY session accelerated lower, snapping the 1.4130 SocGen pivot and printing a fresh session low at 1.41202 with RSI(14) sub-25. Sellers pressed through the 1.4150–1.4130 shelf into the close; softer oil and a broadly weaker USD leave the pair pinned near the base of this week's 1.4130–1.4250 range.
Support: 1.41202, 1.4100, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4130, 1.4150, 1.41712
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4130 broken pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
Sustained trade below 1.41000 round number extends the lower-low sequence
BoC hold Jul 15 13:45 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into close · RSI 30 · price 1.4123
Lower highs, lower lows; range floor broken.
NY session extended the slide, driving through the 1.4130 range floor that had capped the pair all week to print 1.4123 at the close; RSI(14) near 30 with no bounce yet. CAD held a firmer tone after the firmer-than-forecast June jobs print earlier.
Support: 1.4123, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4135, 1.4165
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4135 negates the range break and puts price back inside 1.4135-1.4250
Sustained trade below 1.4123 session low opens the 1.4075 range target
BoC hold Jul 15 is the dominant near-term CAD catalyst
NY session sold USDCAD through the 1.4130 SocGen pivot into the close, printing a fresh session low at 1.4122 with RSI(14) sub-25. CAD stayed firm after the better-than-forecast June jobs beat; the range floor that held all day has now given way.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4120
Resistance: 1.4130, 1.4169
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4130 would neutralise the range break and put price back inside the 1.4130-1.4250 band
Sustained trade below 1.4120 opens the path toward 1.4075
BoC decision Jul 15 is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD sold off through the NY session, printing fresh session lows at 1.41326 as the firmer June CAD jobs beat and a soft USD pressured the pair toward the 3-week low. RSI(14) near 27 is stretched but the descent is orderly, no reclaim of 1.41539 yet.
Support: 1.41326, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41539
What it said to watch
A close below the 1.4130 range pivot opens the path toward 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.41539 swing high would stall the lower-low sequence
BoC hold Jul 15 is the dominant near-term CAD catalyst
Lower highs and lower lows into NY, breaking session support.
NY session drove USDCAD down through the 1.4155 pivot to a fresh session low at 1.41326, near the three-week low band, with the CAD firm after the June jobs beat. RSI(14) sits near 29 as the decline extends, price well below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.41326, 1.4130, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.41545
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.4130 pivot opens 1.4075
Reclaim of 1.41545 swing high would ease downside pressure
BoC decision Jul 15 is the dominant CAD catalyst
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.41357
Lower highs, lower lows into NY.
NY session drove USDCAD down from the 1.41712 session high to a fresh three-week low near 1.41341, with a soft USD and Friday's CAD jobs beat behind the slide. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 33 — hot but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.41341, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4150, 1.41712
What it said to watch
Break below the 1.41341 three-week low opens the 1.41300 round number
M15 close back above 1.41500 swing pivot would break the descending sequence
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 31 · price 1.41357
Lower highs and lower lows into session low.
USDCAD ground to a fresh three-week low near 1.4135 through the NY session as soft USD met a firm CAD jobs beat (18.2K vs 10K). Price broke the 1.41580 shelf and is printing lower lows with RSI(14) around 31, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.41341, 1.41075
Resistance: 1.4158
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41580 negates the lower-low sequence
Loss of 1.41341 opens the 1.4110/1.4075 area
US CPI Tue and BoC Wed are the decisive catalysts ahead
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 38 · price 1.41405
Lower highs, broke range floor to session low.
NY session pressed USDCAD lower, breaking the 1.41565 range floor to a session low at 1.41341 before closing 1.41405; the pair is tracking the three-week low flagged in the CAD read after today's across-the-board jobs beat. RSI(14) near 38 with elevated ATR (~78 pips) — momentum is down but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.41341
Resistance: 1.41565
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41565 would negate the lower-low sequence
Sustained break of 1.41341 opens the 1.4110 area below
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 38 · price 1.41405
Lower highs, break to session low.
USDCAD sold off through NY hours from ~1.4169 to a fresh session low of 1.41341 after the CAD jobs beat, now hovering 1.41405 with RSI(14) near 37. Lower highs remain intact and the three-week low at ~1.4135 is the immediate downside marker.
Support: 1.41341, 1.4135
Resistance: 1.4158, 1.41692
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.41341 opens the path toward 1.4110
Reclaim of 1.4158 would break the lower-high chain
BoC decision next week is the dominant CAD catalyst
USDCAD faded through the NY afternoon, rejected repeatedly at the 1.4170 session high and now pressing back toward the 1.4135 three-week low; move follows the CAD-supportive jobs beat (+18.2K vs 10K f/c). RSI(14) near 38, no oversold extreme yet, price capped below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41545, 1.4170
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41356 confirms a fresh lower low and opens the 1.4135 three-week low
Reclaim of 1.41545 minor pivot needed to challenge the 1.4170 session high
BoC decision Jul 15 is the week's decisive CAD catalyst
USDCAD faded through the NY session after rejection at 1.41692, carving lower highs back toward the session low at 1.41415 with CAD firm following the jobs beat and a soft USD. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, no oversold stretch yet.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41378, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41692
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.41415 opens 1.41378 then the 1.4135 three-week low
Reclaim of 1.41692 negates the lower-high sequence
BoC and US CPI next week are the decisive catalysts for this pair
15:02 UTC
Range, recent legs lower · RSI 45 · price 1.41521
Intraday range between 1.4135 and 1.4172.
USDCAD tagged a 3-week low near 1.4135 after Canada's jobs beat (18.2K vs 10K), then recovered to the 1.4170-1.4172 range top where supply capped it twice. NY session has since rolled the pair back to 1.4152, leaving it mid-range with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 1.4149, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41725
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4135 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.4110 area
Reclaim and hold above 1.4172 reasserts the range top
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC is a lower-tier risk into the next bars
15:02 UTC
Range, no clear momentum · RSI 46 · price 1.41521
Choppy range between 1.4135 and 1.4172.
USDCAD is chopping in a 1.4135–1.4172 band around the 1.4150 pivot cited as USD fair value, price closing at 1.41521 just below EMA20/EMA50. The pair probed the session high at 1.41692 during NY hours and was rejected back into range as the CAD jobs beat keeps the Loonie firm; RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with no momentum edge.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41692, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41356 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.4135 three-week low
Close above 1.41692 reopens the session high at 1.41720
US CPI Tue and BoC Wed are the decisive catalysts that would break this range
14:46 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 1.41583
Intraday range 1.4135-1.4172.
USDCAD is chopping around 1.4158 — roughly Scotiabank's cited fair value — after the strong CAD jobs beat earlier drove the pair to a 3-week low near 1.4135. Price recovered to 1.41692 then faded; RSI(14) neutral near 50 with no momentum edge.
Support: 1.4154, 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41692, 1.41725
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41415 reopens the 1.41356 3-week low
M15 close above 1.41692 exposes the range top near 1.41725
14:46 UTC
Range, no clear bias · RSI 49 · price 1.41583
Choppy consolidation around fair value.
USDCAD is chopping around 1.4158 into the NY session after the CAD jobs beat (+18.2K) drove an earlier probe toward the 3-week low near 1.4135. Price bounced back to a 1.41692 swing high then faded to mid-range; RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with no directional edge.
Support: 1.41415, 1.4135
Resistance: 1.41692, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41692 opens the path back toward 1.41720
Failure to hold the 1.41415 session low reopens the 1.4135 three-week low
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
14:32 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.41569
Choppy range ~1.4136-1.4171, price mid.
USDCAD chopped through the NY session after the CAD jobs beat drove an earlier probe to the three-week low near 1.4136. Price bounced to 1.4169, then faded back to mid-range 1.4157 with RSI(14) neutral around 51; no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41692, 1.41712
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41415 reopens the 1.4136 three-week low
M15 close above 1.41692 challenges 1.4171 prior high
USDCAD is chopping around the 1.4158 fair-value pivot after sliding toward 3-week lows on broad USD softness and an earlier CAD jobs beat. NY hours have kept it boxed between the 1.41356 session low and the 1.41692 swing high; price sits mid-range with RSI flat near 49.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41692, 1.41718
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41356 confirms a lower low and opens the downside
M15 close above 1.41718 breaks the range top
BoC decision Wed and US CPI Tue are the week's catalysts, not imminent in the next bars
Ranging between 1.4135 and 1.4172, higher lows building.
USDCAD carved a three-week low near 1.4135 after the CAD jobs beat, then ground back up through NY hours to 1.4169. Now consolidating below the 1.4172 range top with RSI(14) neutral; no clean break either side yet.
Support: 1.41537, 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41692, 1.41727, 1.41778
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41727 clears the range top and opens 1.41778
Failure to hold 1.41537 reopens the 1.4135 3-week low
No US/CAD calendar risk in the next 8h; BoC and US CPI sit next week
USDCAD is churning in a 1.4136–1.4172 range after the CAD jobs beat drove the earlier slide to the 1.4135 three-week low. Price has recovered off the 1.41415 session low back toward the 1.41700 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 54.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41720 opens the path back to the session high band
Break below 1.41415 re-exposes the 1.41356 three-week low
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
NY afternoon clawed back from the session low at 1.41415 to close 1.41636, retracing most of the earlier drop that followed the CAD jobs beat. Price is chopping between 1.41356 support and the 1.41700 prior high, RSI(14) neutral near 57.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41700 opens a push toward the 1.41720 range top
Loss of 1.41415 session low re-exposes the 1.41356 swing low
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could inject USD volatility
USDCAD slid to a session low at 1.41415 around the Canadian jobs beat (18.2K vs 10K) before recovering ~20 pips to 1.41636. Still ranging roughly 1.4135–1.4170 with RSI(14) back to neutral near 55.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4170 opens the path toward the 1.41794 range top
Failure to hold 1.41415 reopens the 1.4135 swing low
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 48 · price 1.41559
Leg down into 1.4142, bounce back into range.
NY session sold USDCAD from 1.417 down to a session low at 1.41415 before demand stepped in and lifted price back to 1.4158, near Scotiabank's cited fair value. Move ties to CAD's jobs beat (+18.2K) and a soft USD; price now sits mid-range between 1.41415 and 1.41580 with RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4158, 1.41712
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41415 opens the three-week low at 1.41356
Close above 1.41580 reopens the 1.417 area
Fed Monetary Policy Report ~18:00 UTC could shift USD tone
USDCAD sold off from 1.4171 to 1.4142 through the NY session after the CAD jobs beat (+18.2K vs 10K, wages 3.7%), then bounced back to 1.4156. Pair is grinding in a 1.4135–1.4172 range with RSI(14) neutral near 48; fair value pins around 1.4158.
Support: 1.4142, 1.4135
Resistance: 1.4158, 1.4171
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4142 opens the 1.4135 day low
Close above 1.4171 session high invalidates the range read
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read
13:31 UTC
Range, recent leg down · RSI 47 · price 1.4156
Session dip into 1.4142, sharp bounce.
NY session sold USDCAD off 1.4170 down to a 1.4142 session low before buyers stepped in, price recovering to 1.4156. Move fits the digest read — a firmer CAD jobs beat capped by soft oil, keeping the pair hugging fair value near 1.4158; RSI(14) mid-range at ~47, no momentum edge.
Support: 1.4142, 1.4135, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.4182
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4142 exposes the 1.4135 3wk low then 1.4110 channel base
Reclaim of 1.4170 swing high reopens the 1.4182 prior high
BoC hold Jul 15 and US CPI Jul 14 are the dominant catalysts, not imminent
USDCAD slipped from the 1.4170 session high to a fresh session low at 1.4142 after Canada's jobs beat (+18.2K vs 10K), then bounced to 1.4156. Price is hugging cited fair value ~1.4158 and holding the 1.4135–1.4170 range, RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 1.4142, 1.4135
Resistance: 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4135 confirms a lower low and opens range downside
Reclaim of 1.4170 session high negates the pullback
BoC Jul 15 and US CPI Jul 14 are the week's dominant catalysts
Lower highs into a session-low sweep near 1.4142, recovery underway.
NY session drove USDCAD down to a session low of 1.41415 as a firm Canadian jobs beat and a soft USD compounded the slide; price is bouncing to 1.41521 with RSI(14) recovering from the low 40s. Sellers capped the last push at 1.417 and the intraday chain of lower highs is intact until reclaimed.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4170
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41415 opens the path to 1.41356
Reclaim of 1.41700 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
Breakdown from 1.4170 range, holding above 1.4150.
NY session broke USDCAD down from the 1.4170 area toward the session low at 1.41415 as the firm Canadian jobs beat (18.2K vs 10K) kept the Loonie supported. Price has since bounced to 1.41521, holding above the 1.4150 psych level with RSI recovering from the lows.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41567, 1.4170
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41567 bounce high invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.41415 session low opens toward 1.41356 prior low
BoC decision Jul 15 is the week's dominant CAD catalyst
NY session sold off from 1.41712 to 1.41415, breaking below the 1.4150 handle as Canada's jobs beat (+18.2K vs 10K) leaned CAD-supportive. Price is pinned under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38, holding just above the session low into mid-NY.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41557, 1.41712
What it said to watch
Break below 1.41415 opens the 1.41356 day low
Reclaim of 1.41557 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
No US/CAD calendar risk in the next 8h; BoC and US CPI are next week
NY session sold USDCAD off the 1.417 session high down through 1.4160 toward a 1.41415 low, extending the leg lower after the firm Canadian jobs beat leaned mildly CAD-supportive. RSI(14) near 36, price below both EMAs; last close bounced modestly to 1.41466 but the lower-high structure holds.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356, 1.4135
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.4168
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4160 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.41415/1.4135 confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.417 session high needed to void the lower-high sequence
12:47 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 39 · price 1.41465
Range break lower, printing lower highs.
USD/CAD broke the 1.4160-1.4170 range and sold off toward 1.41415 around the Canadian jobs release, with CAD firm as the soft-dollar tone persists. Price now hugs 1.4146 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) near 38 but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41712
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.416 prior range voids the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.41415 session low opens the 1.41356 swing low
Post-jobs volatility still bleeding through; BoC Jul 15 is the next major catalyst
USD/CAD slid off 1.4170 into the Canada jobs release, dropping to 1.41415 and now sitting on the 1.4145 pivot Scotia flagged. RSI(14) near 38 after the impulsive leg; price is below EMA20/50 with the intraday range broken to the downside.
Support: 1.41415, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41556, 1.41692
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41415 opens the path toward 1.4110 channel base
Reclaim of 1.41556 swing high negates the downside break
12:31 UTC
Turning lower after jobs release · RSI 35 · price 1.41432
Session range broken to the downside.
USD/CAD sold off from the 1.4170 session high after the Canada jobs release at 12:30 UTC, breaking the NY range to test 1.41415 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-30s. Price now sits below both EMAs, hugging the 1.4145 pivot after the drop.
Support: 1.41415, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41557, 1.41712
What it said to watch
A close below 1.41415 opens the path toward the 1.4110 channel base
Reclaim of 1.41557 would negate the downside break
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 38 · price 1.41432
Broke below 1.4145 into jobs.
USDCAD sold off through the 1.4145 pivot into the Canadian jobs release, printing a fresh session low near 1.41415 with RSI(14) near 38. The prior 1.4160-1.4170 base has flipped to resistance after the downside break.
Support: 1.41356, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4145, 1.4170
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is imminent and could materially shift this read
A close back above 1.4145 negates the downside break
Loss of 1.41356 opens the path toward the 1.4110 channel base
12:16 UTC
Range, tilting lower into jobs · RSI 42 · price 1.41512
Intraday range, rejection at session high.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4170 session high and sold off toward 1.4145 in the last hour of the London-NY transition, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. Price sits at the lower half of the intraday range just ahead of the Canada jobs release, having retraced the 1.4135-1.4171 up-leg.
Support: 1.41457, 1.4138, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41712
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC will drive the next leg — high-impact into the range
Close below 1.4145 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.4138/1.4135
Reclaim of 1.4170 negates the lower-half rejection read
12:16 UTC
Choppy, rolling over late · RSI 41 · price 1.41512
Range with late lower high.
USDCAD rejected the 1.41712 swing high and dropped sharply on the last two bars into 1.41457, closing 1.41512 with RSI cooling into the low 40s. Price has spent the session boxed between 1.41356 and 1.41712 ahead of Canada jobs.
Support: 1.41457, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41712
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is imminent and can break this range either way
Close below 1.41356 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.41712 negates the late rejection
12:02 UTC
Range, rolling over into NY · RSI 42 · price 1.41571
Intraday range 1.4138–1.4180, rejection off 1.4171.
USDCAD rejected 1.41712 and slid back toward the session low at 1.41537 in the NY session, price now below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 41. Pair is holding a 1.4138–1.4180 intraday range around Scotia's ~1.4158 fair value ahead of Canadian jobs.
Support: 1.41537, 1.4145, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.41712, 1.41786
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (f/c +10K, u/e 6.6%) is imminent and can break this range
M15 close below 1.41537 opens the 1.4145 pivot then 1.4138 day low
Reclaim of 1.41712 swing high negates the current pullback
12:02 UTC
Range, tilting lower into data · RSI 43 · price 1.41571
Choppy range, lower high off 1.4170.
USDCAD is ranging around fair value near 1.4158, capped by rejection at 1.4170 with a fresh drop to 1.41537 on the last two bars. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 and RSI(14) near 42 as the market coils into the Canada jobs release at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.41537, 1.4145, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4170
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
Break below 1.4145 pivot exposes the 1.41356 swing low
M15 close back above 1.4170 negates the lower-high read
11:47 UTC
Range, mild pullback · RSI 45 · price 1.41616
Recovered off session low, retracing recent bounce.
USDCAD bounced from the 1.41356 swing low back to 1.41712 through London hours before fading to 1.41616, now below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range near 45. Price is coiling around fair value ahead of the Canada jobs print at 12:30 UTC, which dominates the near-term read.
Support: 1.4156, 1.4150, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41712, 1.4182
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~45m) is the dominant catalyst and can break this range either way
Close below 1.41560 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.41500
Close above 1.41712 puts the 1.41820 prior high back in play
Ranging under session high after Asian-low bounce.
London bought USDCAD back off the ~1.4138 Asian low to a session high near 1.4171, where price was rejected and has eased to 1.4162. RSI(14) sits neutral around 46 and ATR is a thin ~4.5 pips; still ranging 1.4155-1.4171 with Canada jobs due at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.4145, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.41712
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could break this range in either direction
Close below 1.4145 pivot exposes the 1.4138 asian low
Close above 1.4171 session high extends the recovery
Higher lows off session low, consolidating below pivot.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.41356 low into the London session, grinding back to 1.4170 on a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme. Now consolidating just under the 1.4172 swing high ahead of Canada jobs.
Support: 1.41607, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.41818
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~1h) can break this consolidation either way
Close above 1.41720 opens the path back toward 1.41818
USDCAD carved a session low near 1.41356 during the London session then recovered in a chain of higher lows to retest 1.41712, price now stalling at 1.41696 with RSI(14) mid-50s. The softer USD tone from receding Fed hike bets caps the upside; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.4160.
Support: 1.41607, 1.41539, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41712, 1.41818, 1.4182
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~1h) will drive the next leg — high-impact for this pair
Close above 1.41712 opens the path back to the 1.41818 prior high
Loss of 1.41607 breaks the higher-low chain toward the 1.41539 session low
USDCAD sank to a 1.41356 swing low mid-window then ground back through NY hours in a chain of higher lows, now consolidating just under the 1.417 round number near fair value ~1.4158. Recovery holding but stalling into the Canada jobs release at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.41607, 1.41528, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41724, 1.41837
What it said to watch
Canada employment at 12:30 UTC (~1h out) can override this structure
Close above 1.417 opens the path to the 1.41837 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41607 recent low exposes the 1.41528 session low
USDCAD swept the session low at 1.41356 during NY hours then recovered a near-full leg back toward 1.41687, buyers stepping in on a chain of higher lows as the USD stayed soft. Price now presses the 1.41721 recent high; RSI(14) mid-range at 58, ample room either way ahead of Canada jobs.
Support: 1.41607, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41721, 1.41837
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~1h out) can materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.41721 opens the path back toward the 1.41837 session high
Failure to hold 1.41607 breaks the recovery higher-low chain
USD/CAD sold to a session low near 1.4136 in the Asia session on broad USD softness, then ground higher through London and is now consolidating around 1.4165 just below the 1.4170 pivot. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 with the recovery marked by a chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.41607, 1.41539, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41727, 1.41837
What it said to watch
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4170 pivot opens the path toward the 1.4184 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4160 pullback low reopens 1.4154 swing low and the 1.4136 asia low
USDCAD bounced from an Asia-session low near 1.4135, twice-tested, and has since ground back up to consolidate 1.4160-1.4170 through London. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 with tiny 4-pip ATR bars — no momentum, price coiling under session-high resistance ahead of Canada jobs.
Support: 1.4160, 1.41552, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41826
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~1.5h) could break this consolidation either way
Close above 1.4170 opens the path back toward 1.41826
Loss of 1.4160 exposes 1.41552 then the 1.41356 session low
Higher lows since the 1.4138 base, now stalling under 1.4170.
USDCAD ground back up from the 1.4138 session low to stall just under 1.4170 as the USD extended its soft slide; price is now hovering near the 1.4158 fair-value area. Micro-structure holds higher lows but the last few bars have flattened at the top of the recovery, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.41607, 1.4138, 1.41552
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.4183
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~1.75h out) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4170 opens the path back toward 1.4183
Failure to hold 1.41607 exposes the 1.4138 session low
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.41356 during the London slide, then recovered to stall under 1.41700 with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49. Price now consolidates around the ~1.4158 fair-value area ahead of Canada jobs, capped twice at 1.4170.
Support: 1.41539, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.4183
What it said to watch
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.41700 opens the path toward 1.41830
Failure to hold 1.41539 reopens the 1.41356 session low
London session slid to 1.4138 then recovered into a 1.4155–1.4170 range as the softer USD kept a lid on the pair. Last two bars rejected the 1.4170 session high and slipped back to 1.4161; RSI(14) sits mid-range around 46.
Support: 1.4155, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.4184
What it said to watch
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC (~2h) could break this range either way
M15 close below 1.4155 reopens the 1.4138 session low
Reclaim of 1.4170 puts 1.4184 prior high back in play
10:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, stalling · RSI 45 · price 1.41612
Range 1.4154-1.4170 after bounce from session low.
USDCAD bounced off the 1.4138 session low through London and recovered to 1.417, where the last bar rejected and slipped back to 1.41612. Price is chopping in a tight 1.4154-1.4170 band; RSI(14) mid-range near 45 with the pair sub-EMA20, sitting just above EMA50 as the USD stays soft on receding Fed bets.
Support: 1.41539, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41837
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~2h out) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4170 reopens the path to the 1.41837 prior high
Loss of 1.41539 exposes the 1.4138 session low
10:16 UTC
Recovery off session low, grinding up · RSI 58 · price 1.41678
Higher lows since 1.4138 low, testing recent high.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.4138 session low through the last several hours, printing higher lows back to 1.4168 as the US dollar stayed soft. RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme; price now grinding into the 1.4172 recent high ahead of Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.4154, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4183
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4172 opens the path toward 1.4183 prior high
Failure to hold rising support near 1.4154 reopens the 1.4138 session low
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.4136 during NY hours then ground back up on higher lows to retest the 1.4170 session high, RSI(14) around 59. Price sits just under the cap with USD soft into Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.4160, 1.4136
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.4183
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4170 opens the path toward 1.4183 prior high
Loss of 1.4160 recent hl breaks the recovery chain, exposing 1.4136 session low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London session clawed price back off the Asian-session low near 1.4138 to retest the 1.4172 session high, RSI(14) mid-range around 58. Higher lows have built through the recovery with USD broadly soft into the Fed report; move stalling just under 1.4172.
Support: 1.4165, 1.4156, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4183
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain off session low, retesting resistance.
USDCAD has clawed back from the session low at 1.41356 on a soft-dollar tone and is now retesting the prior high at 1.41727. A clean HH/HL chain is intact off the low, but momentum is grinding rather than impulsive with RSI(14) mid-60s.
Support: 1.41539, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41727, 1.4183
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41727 opens the path to 1.41830
Failure to hold 1.41539 confirms a lower-low and stalls the recovery
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~2.5h out) could materially shift this read
Rebound off session low, consolidating near recent high.
USDCAD sold off through the Asian session to a low at 1.4136, then ground back up to the 1.4170 recent high where it is now stalling, RSI(14) mid-50s. Price sits just above EMA20/50 in a tight consolidation into the London morning, with Canada jobs the next scheduled driver.
Support: 1.41543, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41721
What it said to watch
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC (~3h out) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.41721 swing high extends the recovery leg
Failure to hold 1.41543 swing low reopens the 1.4136 session low
USDCAD carved a London-session low at 1.41356 then ground back up on a soft USD, now near-fully retracing the drop into the 1.4170 swing high. Buyers held a rising sequence of lows off 1.4154; RSI(14) around 58, cooling as the recovery stalls under resistance.
Support: 1.41539, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4183
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (f/c +10K, 6.6%) is the main intraday risk to this read
Close above 1.41720 swing high opens the path back to the 1.41830 session high
Failure to hold the 1.41539 rising support flips the micro-structure back down toward 1.41356
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.41356 in the London morning and has since ground higher in a shallow uptrend to 1.4168, RSI(14) near 62. Recovery is stalling under the 1.41720 swing high, tracking the soft-USD tone. Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.41539, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.41837
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41720 swing high opens the path to the 1.41837 session high
Loss of 1.41539 higher low reopens the 1.41356 session low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since the 1.4136 low, capped near 1.4172.
USDCAD recovered from a London session low at 1.4136 back to 1.4168, printing higher lows as the soft USD tone held into NY. Grind stalled at the 1.4172 swing high, RSI(14) mid-range near 57.
Support: 1.41552, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.41837
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~3h out) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
M15 close above 1.4172 opens the path to the 1.4184 session high
Failure to hold 1.4155 reopens the 1.4136 session low
USDCAD sold off through the Asia session to a day low of 1.4138, then recovered on the soft-USD tone into London morning, printing higher lows and now retesting the 1.4172 swing high. RSI(14) near 60, price holding above EMA20/50 but stalling into resistance.
Support: 1.4155, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4183
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~3h out) is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure
A close above 1.4172 opens the path to the 1.4183 prior high
Loss of 1.4155 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence and re-exposes the 1.4138 day low
USDCAD carved a rounded base at 1.4138 and has climbed a chain of higher lows back to 1.41678, retracing nearly all of the earlier drop as the softer USD offsets the crude pullback. RSI(14) near 60 with price stalling into the 1.4172 session high; ATR sits around 4 pips.
Support: 1.41543, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4184
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4172 opens the path to 1.4184 prior high
Failure to hold rising support / close below 1.41543 negates the recovery
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~3h) is a two-way catalyst for this read
09:03 UTC
Recovery, higher lows · RSI 58 · price 1.41677
Rebound off Asian low, grinding up.
USDCAD recovered off the Asian-session low at 1.4138, printing higher lows into the London session with RSI(14) firming near 58 and price back above the 20/50 EMAs. The bounce is stalling just under the 1.4170 swing high ahead of Canada jobs at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.41539, 1.4138, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.4186
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4170 opens the path to 1.4186 prior high
USDCAD carved an Asian-session low at 1.41356 and has climbed steadily through the London session, printing higher lows into 1.41688. RSI(14) around 60 with price holding above both EMAs; buyers stepping in on each dip along the rising support line.
Support: 1.41539, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41688, 1.4183
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~3.5h out) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41688 opens the path toward 1.4172/1.4183
Loss of 1.41539 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
USDCAD bottomed at 1.41380 during the London session and has ground back up in a higher-low chain to 1.41658, RSI(14) near 60. Rally is capping into the 1.41688 swing high; fair value sits around 1.4158 with soft USD tone into today's Canada jobs.
Support: 1.4155, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.41688, 1.4180
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41688 opens the path toward 1.4180 supply
Loss of 1.41550 rising support signals a lower low
USDCAD sold from 1.4189 down to 1.4138 through the NY session before buyers stepped in and carved a chain of higher lows back to 1.4166 in early London hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 60 with no extreme; 1.4172 prior high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4155, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4189
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4172 opens the path to session high 1.4189
Loss of 1.4155 threatens the higher-low chain toward 1.4138
USDCAD is grinding back up after basing at the 1.41356 session low, printing higher lows through the London morning with price stalling into the 1.41688 session high, which lines up with the 61.8% fib of the earlier decline. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, no extreme; ATR tiny at ~4.6 pips. Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.41539, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41688, 1.41727
What it said to watch
Canada employment 12:30 UTC (f/c +10K, 6.6%) can break this range
Close above 1.41688 61.8% fib opens 1.41727 prior high
Loss of 1.41539 recent low reopens the 1.41356 session low
USDCAD sold into a session low at 1.41356 during London before buyers stepped in, carving higher lows back to the 61.8% retrace near 1.41680 where price is stalling. RSI(14) mid-range around 57, no extreme; the soft-USD tone leaves the pair retesting the 1.41718 swing high into today's Canada jobs.
Support: 1.41539, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41718, 1.4180
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41718 swing high opens 1.41800 prior high
Loss of 1.41539 recent low reopens the 1.41356 session low
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC (~4h out) could reset this read
08:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, uptrend within range · RSI 61 · price 1.41673
Higher lows since 1.4135, testing recovery high.
USDCAD grinding higher off the 1.4135 session low, now pressing the 1.4172 swing high with RSI(14) mid-range near 61 and price back above EMA20/50. Rising support off the intraday lows is holding through London hours. Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is the key intraday catalyst.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4182
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4172 opens the path to 1.4182 (9-day EMA)
Failure to hold 1.4150 round level exposes the 1.4135 session low
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD carved a base at the session low of 1.4136 and has recovered through the London hours, now working into the 1.4162-1.4169 fib retracement zone with RSI(14) near 58. Micro higher lows are intact since the low, but price is still capped well below the 1.4182 prior high.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4136
Resistance: 1.4182, 1.4189
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4182 opens the session high at 1.4189
USDCAD slid to a double bottom at 1.4136 during London hours, then clawed back to 1.4165 as a softer dollar offset oil weakness. Price now sits back above its short EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 56; the day's 1.4136–1.4185 range still frames it ahead of Canada jobs.
Support: 1.4136
Resistance: 1.4182
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.4136–1.4185 range either way
USDCAD sold off through the London session to a low of 1.4138, then based and retraced to 1.4164 — roughly the 50% fib of the down leg and near the ~1.4158 fair value flagged in the CAD read. RSI(14) recovered off the lows to mid-range; no decisive edge into the Canada jobs print.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4189
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (Employment +10K f/c, U-rate 6.6%) is the marquee catalyst and can shift this read
M15 close above 1.4172 opens the path to the 1.4189 session high
Failure to hold 1.4150 support reopens the 1.4138 session low
USDCAD sold off to a session low of 1.4138 in the Asia hours, then ground back to 1.4164 through the London open. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4150–1.4165 band, RSI(14) neutral near 56, with 1.4182 the prior-high ceiling still untested.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.4182, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Canada jobs report 12:30 UTC (f/c +10K, 6.6%) is the marquee catalyst — likely to break this consolidation
M15 close below 1.4150 reopens the 1.4138 session low
Close above 1.4182 shifts the read toward the 1.4200 round number
London drop retraced ~two-thirds, now consolidating.
USD/CAD sold through the London session to 1.4136 then recovered roughly two-thirds of the move, now consolidating around 1.4160 with RSI(14) mid-range near 52. Price holds above the 1.4154 recovery low but is capped by the 1.4165 area, sitting near Scotiabank's cited fair value ~1.4158 into Canada jobs.
Support: 1.4154, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.41721
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
Close above 1.4165 opens 1.4172 prior high
Loss of 1.4154 recovery low exposes 1.4136 session low
Sharp London drop, base and recovery into balance.
USDCAD sold off through the London session to 1.41356 before buyers stepped in and drove it back to 1.4160, USD soft for a second day. Price now consolidating 1.4154-1.4164 just under the 9-day pivot, RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.41543, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4172
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (f/c +10K, 6.6%) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4172 reopens the upper end of the range
Failure to hold 1.4154 exposes the 1.41356 session low
Higher lows since Asian low, retracing prior drop.
USDCAD bounced off a double bottom near 1.4138 during the London session and has climbed back to 1.4163, retracing about three-quarters of the earlier drop from 1.4172. RSI(14) mid-range at 55, no extreme; pair grinding higher on a soft USD but capped short of prior-day structure.
Support: 1.4152, 1.4138, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4189
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4172 prior high opens the path to 1.4189 day high
Loss of 1.4152 minor puts the 1.4138 session low back in play
London hours swept the session low at 1.4135 mid-morning, buyers stepped in and dragged price back to 1.4163, near Scotiabank's fair-value 1.4158. Pair sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral around 54; soft USD offsetting weaker crude keeps it two-way ahead of Canada jobs.
Support: 1.41539, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.41722
What it said to watch
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC (~5h out) could break the range either way
M15 close above 1.41722 swing high opens the 1.4185 area
Close below 1.41539 swing low reopens the 1.4135 session low
Sold off then V-recovery, now ranging near fair value.
London session sold USDCAD down to 1.4138, then a steady recovery lifted the pair back to 1.4163 and it now hovers near the 1.4158 fair-value zone, RSI(14) neutral around 49. Softer USD tone offsetting weaker crude keeps price pinned inside the 1.4150-1.4163 range ahead of Canada jobs.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.4163, 1.4185
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4163 opens the path back toward 1.4185
Loss of 1.4150 puts the 1.4138 session low back in play
USD/CAD flushed to a session low at 1.41356 in the prior NY session, then staged a rounded recovery back to 1.4165 and is now consolidating near fair value ~1.4158 in early London. RSI(14) is neutral around 50 and ATR is a thin ~6 pips, so the range is tight into the Canada jobs release.
Support: 1.4153, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.41718
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41650 extends the recovery toward 1.41718
Failure to hold 1.41530 reopens the 1.41356 session low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (Net Change f/c +10K) likely to break this range
06:47 UTC
Downtrend faded, recovering into range · RSI 47 · price 1.41581
Sold to session low, retraced ~50%, now consolidating.
London session sold USDCAD from the 1.4189 session high down to a 1.4138 swing low, then buyers recovered the pair back toward 1.4165 — roughly a 50% retrace of that leg. Price is now consolidating around fair value near 1.4158, holding above 1.4150 support with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.4189
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) is the primary risk to this range read
Close above 1.4165 swing high opens the path back to the 1.4189 session high
Loss of 1.4150 support reopens the 1.4138 swing low
USDCAD sold off through the Asian session to a swing low at 1.4138 before buyers recovered it to the session high near 1.4163, now consolidating around 1.4159 with a soft USD backdrop. Price has stalled just above the 1.4150 support; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral after the bounce.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.4163, 1.4189
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (f/c +10K, 6.6%) is the dominant near-term risk and could reset this range
M15 close above 1.4163 opens the path back toward the 1.4189 day high
Failure to hold 1.4150 reopens the 1.4138 swing low
V-recovery from Asian low, now consolidating near fair value.
USDCAD sold through the Asian session to a low of 1.41356, then recovered into London to 1.41628 and is now stalling around 1.41589, right on the flagged fair value near 1.4158. RSI(14) neutral near 51; price holds above EMA20 but below EMA50 as the recovery loses pace.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41628, 1.4172
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41628 opens the path to 1.41720
Failure to hold 1.41500 reopens the session low at 1.41356
06:17 UTC
Recovering after intraday selloff · RSI 60 · price 1.4162
Pullback low reclaimed, higher lows forming.
USDCAD sold from the session high at 1.4189 down to 1.4138 through the Asia session, and has since ground back to 1.4162 on a softer USD. The bounce is holding above fair value ~1.4158 with a chain of higher lows; recent high at 1.4165 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4158, 1.4138, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.4182, 1.4189
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.4138-1.4189 range
M15 close above 1.4182 opens the 1.4189 session high
Failure to hold 1.4158 reopens the 1.4138 session low
USDCAD sold off to a session low at 1.4136 through NY hours, then clawed back to consolidate around 1.4160 with the soft US dollar offsetting weaker crude. Price is holding above the 1.4150 recent low, capped for now by the 1.4172 pivot; RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4136
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4185
What it said to watch
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC (~6h) could break the 1.4150-1.4172 range
M15 close above 1.4172 targets the 1.4185 session high
Loss of 1.4150 reopens the 1.4136 session low
06:02 UTC
Recovering after intraday selloff · RSI 55 · price 1.41595
Rebound off session low, back inside prior range.
USDCAD sold off from the 1.419 high through Asian hours to a session low at 1.41356, then carved a double bottom near 1.4137 and recovered to 1.416. Price is back above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range around 55; recent high at 1.41650 is the near-term cap.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.41721
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41650 opens the path back toward the 1.41721 swing high
Loss of 1.41500 recovery low reopens the 1.41356 session low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:47 UTC
Recovery off NY low, uptrend on micro · RSI 61 · price 1.41621
Higher lows since late-NY low 1.41380, grinding into prior cap.
USDCAD recovered from the late-NY low at 1.41380 and has built a chain of higher lows through the Asia session, now retesting the 1.41720 swing shelf with RSI(14) mid-60s. Move fits the softer-USD, sub-1.4200 rangebound tone; ATR is compressed at ~6 pips in the quiet pre-London hours.
Support: 1.4153, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.41721, 1.41893
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41721 extends the recovery toward the 1.41893 session high
Failure to hold 1.41530 breaks the higher-low chain
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC can materially reset this range
05:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.41621
Bounce from 1.4136, higher lows.
USDCAD sold off through the Asian session to a low of 1.41356 before buyers stepped in, retracing roughly half of the 1.41893-1.41356 leg back to 1.4162. RSI(14) near 61 as the recovery presses into the 1.4172 swing area.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.41893
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41720 confirms a higher high on the recovery
Close back below 1.41500 reopens the 1.41356 session low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 1.41621
V-bounce from 1.4138, higher lows building.
USDCAD sold off to a session low of 1.4138 before a steady grind back to 1.41621, now retesting the 1.41684 prior high that capped the earlier break. RSI(14) has recovered to the high-50s off oversold; ATR is compressed near 5 pips as the pair sits near Scotiabank's ~1.4158 fair value ahead of Canada jobs.
Support: 1.4153, 1.4138, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41684, 1.4172
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (f/c +10K, 6.6% u/r) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41684 opens the path to 1.41720
Loss of 1.41530 negates the recovery and reopens 1.4138
USDCAD based around 1.4138 through the Asian session and has ground back to 1.4162 on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) climbing near 63. Recovery capped so far below the 1.41684 prior high; CAD jobs at 12:30 UTC is the near-term driver.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4138, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41684, 1.4172, 1.41893
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41720 opens path back toward 1.41893 range high
Failure to hold 1.41500 reopens the 1.41380 session low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold to a session low at 1.41356 in the US-Asia handover, then recovered ~40 pips into early European hours with RSI(14) climbing back through the mid-50s. Price has reclaimed EMA20 but is stalling below the 1.4172 swing where the down-leg began.
Support: 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.41892
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4172 negates the down-leg and opens 1.4189
Loss of 1.41356 session low resumes the decline toward 1.4110
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.41571
Bounce from session low into early London.
USDCAD sold off through the Asian session into a 1.41356 low, then ground back up along a rising base into the early London hours toward 1.4157, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s. Price sits back above the EMA20 but the swing high at 1.4168 and the 9d ema near 1.4182 still cap the recovery.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4168, 1.4182
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4168 opens the path back to 1.4182
Failure to hold 1.4150 reopens the 1.41356 session low
05:03 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 1.4156
Range break lower then bounce back toward range low.
USDCAD broke below its 1.4160–1.4180 range overnight and swept down to 1.4138 before buyers stepped in during the Asian session, recovering to 1.4156. RSI(14) has lifted back to the mid-50s and price is back above EMA20, but the move is still capped below the 1.4182 9-day EMA area.
Support: 1.4138, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4182
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.4138 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 1.4182 negates the range break
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:03 UTC
Downtrend, recovery in progress · RSI 54 · price 1.4156
Double bottom off session low, retracing.
Overnight sell-off dragged USD/CAD from 1.4189 to a double bottom at 1.41356, where buyers stepped in twice through the Asian session. Price has recovered to 1.4156, holding a ~38% retrace of the down-leg with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.41356, 1.4150, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4182
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4172 pivot would extend the recovery toward the 1.4182 9d ema
Failure to hold 1.4150 support re-exposes the 1.41356 session low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the NY-into-Asia window to a 1.41378 session low as the USD softened, then bounced to 1.4156 — about a 55% retrace of the drop with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. Price is back above EMA20 but capped below the 1.41683 swing high; still sub-EMA50.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41378, 1.4111
Resistance: 1.41683
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41683 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41378 opens the 1.4111 support
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.41526
Sold to session low 1.4136, now retracing higher.
Asian-session slide dumped USDCAD from 1.4172 to a 1.4136 low, then buyers stepped in and price has clawed back to 1.4152, reclaiming EMA20. Move fits the corrective, overbought-USD tone; RSI recovered off oversold and sits mid-range.
Support: 1.4136, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4168
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4168 swing high would negate the downtrend read
Loss of 1.4150 support re-exposes the 1.4136 session low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian session sold off sharply to a 1.41378 session low around 02:00 UTC, then buyers stepped in and price has clawed back to 1.41526, reclaiming EMA20. Move looks corrective within the broader down-leg; USD sits soft-but-overbought ahead of Canada jobs.
Support: 1.41378, 1.41426
Resistance: 1.4168
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41680 negates the down-leg
Failure to hold 1.41378 confirms a lower low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from the 1.4189 session high to a 1.4138 swing low, and is now correcting higher into early Asia with RSI(14) lifting off oversold to ~46. Price is pressing the 1.4150 round number from below after a soft-USD, oil-driven slide.
Support: 1.4138, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4150, 1.4182, 1.4189
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4182 (9d ema) would neutralise the downtrend read
Close below 1.4138 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off ~36 pips into a 1.41356 session low during Asian hours, then bounced to 1.41491 — a shallow retrace of the decline with RSI(14) recovering off the mid-40s. Move fits the consolidation tone around fair value; 1.41710 swing high caps the recovery and 1.41820 marks the wider range top.
Support: 1.41356, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4171, 1.4182
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41710 negates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.41356 session low reopens the path toward 1.41100 deeper support
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the Asian session, breaking to a session low of 1.41356 from ~1.4172 and printing a lower low. Price has since bounced to 1.4147 but is stalling below the 1.4152 breakdown level; RSI(14) recovering off intraday lows. Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is the near-term swing factor.
Support: 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41519, 1.41684
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41519 breakdown level negates the lower-low read
Failure to hold 1.41356 session low extends the downtrend
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session sold off from 1.4172 to a low at 1.4136 into 02:00 UTC broker, and price is now grinding back to 1.4147, still below EMA20/50. RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 43; no directional break yet.
Support: 1.41356
Resistance: 1.41565, 1.4172
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41565 would repair the intraday lower-high structure
Loss of 1.41356 session low confirms fresh lower-low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is the next material driver for this pair
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near session low.
A sharp leg lower through the Asian session broke the 1.4150 shelf and printed a session low at 1.41356 before basing near 1.4142. The slide retraced most of the prior day's climb; RSI(14) is recovering off the lows but price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.41356
Resistance: 1.4150, 1.4158
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4150 would negate the breakdown and open a retest of 1.4158
Loss of 1.41356 confirms continuation toward the 1.4110 area
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off roughly 35 pips into 1.4136 during Asian hours, breaking below the prior 1.4160-1.4172 range, and is now stabilizing near 1.4142 with RSI(14) lifting off its lows. Move fits the rangebound sub-1.4200 read into today's Canada jobs.
Support: 1.41356, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.41721
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4160 would invalidate the downside break
Failure to hold 1.4136 opens the path to 1.4110
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD slid through the late NY-Asia transition, breaking down from 1.4172 to a session low at 1.41356, consistent with the softer-USD tone. RSI(14) near 33 and a small hold at 1.41356 shows the down-leg pausing, but price stays capped under the broken 1.41519 shelf.
Support: 1.41356, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41519, 1.41684
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41519 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.41356 confirms continuation toward 1.41100
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke down through 1.41513 in the Asia session and printed a lower low at 1.41356, RSI(14) near 33. Price is stabilising just above the low into 1.41401 after the sharp leg, with the breakdown level now acting as overhead resistance.
Support: 1.41356, 1.4111
Resistance: 1.41513
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41513 would neutralise the breakdown read
Break below 1.41356 extends the lower-low sequence
Canada jobs (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since London-NY handover.
USDCAD broke the 1.41513 shelf and slid to a session low at 1.41356 through the Asian session, RSI(14) near 31. The last two bars stalled just under 1.41400 with no rebound yet; sellers stepped through 1.4150 without a retest.
Support: 1.41356, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.41513
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41513 negates the breakdown read
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.41356 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Asian session drove USD/CAD through prior support into a fresh leg lower, printing session lows at 1.41356 as the softer dollar tone bled into the pair. RSI(14) near 30 shows momentum stretched but not yet reversing; price hugging the lows sub-1.4150.
Support: 1.41356, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41513
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 1.41356 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.41513 would neutralise the breakdown read
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the Asia session, slicing the 1.4150 support flagged in context and printing a fresh low at 1.41356 as the softer USD tone weighed. RSI(14) near 27 shows the move is stretched short-term, but no rebound yet — price is pinned at the lows.
Support: 1.41356, 1.4125
Resistance: 1.4150
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.41500 would neutralise the breakdown
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC (f/c +10K) is the next material driver
Failure to hold 1.41356 confirms continuation lower
USDCAD sold off through the Asian session, breaking below the 1.41500 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 1.41356 with RSI(14) sub-30. Price is stalling just above the low, extended after a clean run of lower lows.
Support: 1.41356, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4150
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41356 opens the path toward 1.41100
Reclaim of 1.41500 would neutralise the breakdown
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke down through the intraday range in late Asian hours, printing fresh session lows at 1.41376 as the softer dollar pressed. RSI(14) sits near oversold after a ~35-pip slide from 1.41721; 1.4150 now caps as former support turned resistance.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4075
Resistance: 1.4150, 1.4168
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4150 negates the downside break
1.4110 is the next support — area to watch for reaction, then 1.4075
Failure below 1.4168 keeps the lower-high structure intact
Canada jobs (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke down through 1.41513 in late Asia hours and printed a fresh session low at 1.41376, RSI(14) sub-25 as the leg extended. The soft-USD, firm-CAD tone dominated with sellers pressing each retest lower; no basing yet on this timeframe.
Support: 1.4135, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41513
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41513 would neutralise the breakdown
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (f/c +10K) can materially reset this read
Failure to hold 1.4135 opens the path toward 1.411
Asia session sold off through the 1.4150 support into a fresh session low at 1.41380, RSI(14) pressed near oversold. Momentum one-directional over the last two hours with no bounce yet; 1.4150 now caps as prior support turned resistance.
Support: 1.4138, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4150
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41500 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.41380 opens the path toward 1.4110
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the Asian session, breaking the 1.41500 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 1.41380, RSI(14) near 27. Price is pinned below both EMAs after a clean range break; the broken 1.41500 level now caps as resistance.
Support: 1.4138, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4150
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.41500 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.41380 confirms continuation lower toward 1.41100
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session saw USDCAD break down out of the 1.4166-1.4172 consolidation, slicing through 1.4150 to a session low at 1.41414 with RSI(14) into the low-20s, near-oversold. The move is one-directional off the last hour's high, no retest yet.
Support: 1.4140, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41513, 1.4168
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.41513 negates the breakdown and reopens the prior range
Loss of 1.41400 round number extends the leg toward the 1.4110 area cited as deeper support
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the Asia session, breaking the 1.41519 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 1.41414 with RSI(14) into oversold near 25. Broad USD softness post-FOMC minutes is weighing; the last leg down is a clean sequence of lower highs with no sign of a base yet.
Support: 1.41414, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41519
What it said to watch
A reclaim above 1.41519 would neutralise the breakout read
Failure to hold 1.41414 opens the path toward 1.4110
Canada jobs (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Asia session pushed USDCAD out of the 1.4165–1.4172 consolidation, printing a fresh session low at 1.4150 with RSI(14) near 31. USD is broadly soft on Iran de-escalation and a split Fed read, and price is holding just above the round 1.4150 level.
Support: 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4162, 1.41721
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.4162 invalidates the breakdown read
Canada Employment 12:30 UTC (net change f/c 10K, unemp 6.6%) could reset this range
USDCAD sold off through the Asia session, printing a fresh session low at 1.4150 after breaking the 1.41721 lower high, RSI(14) near 31. Price consolidated near fair value most of the day before the late leg down; sellers now pressing below prior support with no bounce yet in play.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41528
Resistance: 1.41721
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41721 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs (12:30 UTC) can materially reprice this move
01:46 UTC
Intraday rollover, momentum down · RSI 37 · price 1.41562
Lower highs off 1.4189, fresh session low.
USDCAD rolled over in early Asia, breaking the 1.4168 range floor to print a fresh session low at 1.41528, RSI(14) near 37. Price sits just under both EMAs with USD broadly soft; move is corrective rather than event-driven, no calendar prints in the window.
Support: 1.41528, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41683
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41683 would invalidate the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.41500 extends the downleg
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC could reshape the intraday read
USDCAD broke down from the 1.4168 balance during Asian hours, printing a fresh session low at 1.41528 before ticking back to 1.41562, with RSI(14) near 37. Move sits with the softer-USD/steady-CAD tone; price now holding just above the low.
Support: 1.41528, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41684
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41528 confirms downside continuation toward 1.41500
M15 close back above 1.41684 negates the lower-high read
Canada jobs 12:30 UTC and US CPI Jul 14 are the next real tests
USDCAD peaked near 1.4189 during the London-NY window, then ground lower and broke the 1.4160-70 range in the last hour, printing a session low at 1.41528 on a volume spike. Now hovering at 1.41564 in thin Asian hours with RSI(14) near 33, price sub-EMA20/50.
Support: 1.41528, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4170
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4170 negates the downside range break
Loss of 1.41528 opens a run toward the 1.4150 psych level
Canada jobs (12:30 UTC) is the near-term swing risk for this read
01:31 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 37 · price 1.41564
Lower highs, breakdown from 1.4170 shelf.
USDCAD faded from the 1.4189 session high into Asia hours and broke the 1.4170 shelf, printing a session low at 1.41528 before stabilising near fair value ~1.4158. RSI(14) sits soft near 37 with price under both EMAs; supply capped every attempt back toward 1.4172.
Support: 1.41528, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41684, 1.41721, 1.41893
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41684 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.41528 opens 1.41500 psych
Canada jobs later today (12:30 UTC) could reset this intraday read
Asia session saw a sharp break lower, price sliding from the 1.4170 shelf to a session low of 1.41544 with RSI(14) pressed near 20. The move unwound the earlier rally toward 1.41893; USDCAD had been pinned around 1.4170 fair value amid soft oil and a firm-but-consolidating USD.
Support: 1.41524, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41684, 1.4172
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41684 negates the downside range break
Loss of the 1.41524 swing low opens the 1.41500 psych area
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Early Asia session, USDCAD broke below the 1.4165-1.4172 range and is pressing the session low at 1.41524, RSI(14) cooling near 35. The failed push to 1.4172 was rejected, and price now sits at the lows around 1.41544.
Support: 1.41524, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4168
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41524 opens the path toward 1.41500 psych
Reclaim of 1.41680 range mid negates the breakdown read
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC (f/c +10K, UR 6.6%) could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 42 · price 1.41611
Range-bound below session high, lower highs.
USDCAD rallied to 1.41893 during the London-NY window then bled back, and Asia hours are drifting lower with a chain of lower highs. Price is now pressing the 1.41600 swing low after slipping under the 1.4165 consolidation; RSI(14) mid-40s, no extreme.
Support: 1.4160, 1.41524
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.41893
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41524 confirms a lower-low and opens the range base
Reclaim of 1.41720 negates the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the next real catalyst and can reset this range
01:02 UTC
Downdrift, range floor broken · RSI 41 · price 1.41611
Range breakdown into session low.
Quiet Asia session drifted lower and slipped under the 1.41660-1.41720 range, printing a session low at 1.41598 on the latest bar. Thin volume, RSI(14) cooling near 41; price sits just above the low with the 1.41720 range top now overhead.
Support: 1.41598, 1.41552
Resistance: 1.4172
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.41720 negates the downside break
Close below 1.41552 extends the lower-low sequence
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Range after faded rally · RSI 50 · price 1.41667
Consolidation below session high, lower highs off 1.41893.
USDCAD rallied to 1.41893 mid-window then faded, and Asia hours have thinned into a tight range around 1.4167 on low volume. Price is pinned near the 1.4158 fair-value area cited by desks, hugging lower highs while 1.41600 holds beneath.
Support: 1.4160, 1.41552, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.41818, 1.41893
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41720 reopens 1.41818 then the 1.41893 window high
Failure to hold 1.41600 exposes the 1.41552 session low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst and can break this range
00:46 UTC
Range, no directional momentum · RSI 49 · price 1.41667
Consolidating below prior session high.
USDCAD is pinned around 1.4167 in the quiet Asia session after London/NY faded the push to the 1.41893 swing high back toward fair value. Price is chopping in a tight 1.4160–1.4172 band with RSI near 50 and thin volume; no setup in play.
Support: 1.41604, 1.41553
Resistance: 1.41725, 1.41893
What it said to watch
Canada jobs (12:30 UTC) is the next catalyst and can break this range
M15 close above 1.41725 reopens the 1.41893 high
Failure to hold 1.41604 exposes the 1.41553 range low
00:32 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 1.41708
Consolidation near session mid after fading rally.
USDCAD is pinned around 1.4170 in thin Asian-session trade after fading the London rally that peaked at 1.41893, with price now hovering near the 61.8% retracement of that move. RSI neutral near 53, ranging between 1.41600 and the 1.41800 supply shelf with no setup in play.
Support: 1.4160, 1.41552
Resistance: 1.4180, 1.41893
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is the next real catalyst and could break this range
M15 close above 1.41800 supply reopens the 1.41893 session high
Loss of 1.41600 swing low exposes the 1.41552 session low
00:32 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.41708
Range, tight overnight consolidation.
NY faded off the session high at 1.4189 back into a tight range; Asia hours are consolidating between 1.4165 and 1.4172 on thin overnight volume, with price sitting on the 50% retrace of the earlier 1.4152–1.4189 leg. RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 4 pips — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4165, 1.4155, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4182, 1.4189
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst and could break the range
Close above 1.4172 opens the path back toward the session high at 1.4189
Failure to hold 1.4165 exposes the swing low at 1.4155
00:16 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 1.41706
Range-bound, mid-range drift.
USDCAD is pinned around 1.4170 in thin Asian hours, coiling inside the 1.4160–1.4173 band after fading from the 1.41893 spike. RSI(14) sits near 53 with price straddling its EMAs — no setup in play.
Support: 1.4160, 1.41524
Resistance: 1.41727, 1.41893
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41727 opens the path back toward 1.41893
Loss of 1.41600 exposes the 1.41524 session low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst and could break the range
00:16 UTC
Rangebound, no directional bias · RSI 53 · price 1.41706
Range between 1.4155 and 1.4189.
USDCAD pinned around 1.4170 through a low-volume Asia session, holding mid-range after the London push to 1.41893 faded. Price is chopping between the 1.4160 floor and 1.4182 area with no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.4160, 1.41552
Resistance: 1.4182, 1.41893
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4182 reopens the 1.41893 session high
Break below 1.4160 exposes the 1.41552 spike low
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC could break this range
00:02 UTC
Rangebound, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.4167
Consolidation after fade from session high.
USDCAD pinned around 1.4167 through the Asian session, holding the 61.8% retrace of the London rally from 1.41524 to the 1.41893 session high. Low-volume drift with RSI(14) mid-range; range boundaries 1.41524–1.41893 both respected.
Support: 1.4160, 1.41524, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4182, 1.41893
What it said to watch
Canada jobs at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
M15 close above 1.4172 targets the 1.4182 ema / 1.41893 session high
Break below 1.41524 session low opens the 1.4150 support
00:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 49 · price 1.4167
Mid-range after failed push to session high.
USDCAD pinned around 1.4167 in a thin Asian session, RSI(14) flat near 49 after London pushed to 1.4189 and faded. Price is boxed between 1.4160 and 1.4172 with volume drying up; no setup in play ahead of Canada jobs.
Support: 1.4160, 1.4152
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4189
What it said to watch
Canada Employment at 12:30 UTC today is the dominant near-term catalyst
M15 close above 1.4172 reopens the 1.4189 session high