Recovery toward session high after holding 1.3959.
USDCAD has climbed back to 1.3988, pressing the session high at 1.39956 after buyers stepped in at 1.3959 during NY hours. The pair sits just under the 1.40-1.41 congestion band; RSI(14) in the mid-60s, not yet stretched. Move tracks a firm USD and softer Oil noted in the broader CAD backdrop.
Support: 1.3974, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39956 opens the 1.40000 round number and congestion band
Failure to hold 1.39740 reopens the 1.39587 session low
20:46 UTC
Ranging, edging back toward top · RSI 62 · price 1.39875
Range 1.3959–1.3996, price near range top.
Late NY session: USDCAD recovered from the session low at 1.39587 back toward the range top 1.39956, with RSI(14) near 62 and price holding above EMA20/50. The grind reflects CAD on the back foot after a hot US PPI print and soft Oil, with the pair pressing the 1.40 congestion band.
Support: 1.3974, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39956 opens the path into 1.40 congestion
Failure to hold 1.39740 reopens the 1.39587 swing low
USDCAD has ground back toward the session high at 1.39900 after the NY dip into 1.39587, with price chaining higher lows and holding above EMA20/50. Hot US PPI and softer Oil keep the Loonie on the back foot; RSI(14) near 63 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.3974, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3990, 1.39956
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39956 window high extends the recovery toward the 1.40 congestion band
Loss of 1.39740 minor pivot reopens the 1.39587 swing low
US Retail Sales / FOMC on Jun 17 the next major catalysts for this pair
20:31 UTC
Ranging near range top, mild bid · RSI 61 · price 1.39847
Range between 1.3966 and 1.3996, price grinding back to upper edge.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3966–1.3996 near YTD highs, with price recovering to 1.3985 into NY afternoon as a hot US PPI and soft Oil kept the Loonie pressured. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; the move sits just under the 1.3992–1.3996 session/range high.
Support: 1.39756, 1.3966, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.39956
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39956 opens the path toward the 1.40–1.41 congestion band
Failure to hold 1.39756 risks a return to the 1.3966 range low
Ranging below day high, higher lows since the 1.3958 base.
USDCAD chopping in a 1.3958–1.3996 band near YTD highs, supported by the hot US PPI print and softer Oil weighing on CAD. Price recovered off the 1.3958 session low on a chain of higher lows and is pressing back toward the 1.3990 congestion; RSI(14) mid-60s, not stretched.
Support: 1.39687, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3990, 1.39956
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39956 opens the 1.40-1.41 congestion band
Failure to hold 1.39687 reopens the 1.39587 session low
US Retail Sales + FOMC Jun 17 could materially shift this read
USDCAD is grinding sideways near YTD highs, capped at the 1.3995 session high and supported on dips into 1.3960 after the slide to 1.3959 was bought back during NY hours. Price sits in the upper half of the range at 1.3983 with RSI(14) neutral around 58; soft Oil and a hot US PPI keep the Loonie on the back foot but no fresh impulse on this TF.
Support: 1.3965, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3995 opens the path toward the 1.4000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.3960 reopens the 1.39587 swing low
FOMC and US Retail Sales Jun 17 could materially shift this read
USD/CAD is grinding inside a 1.3958–1.3996 range just under the 1.40 congestion, supported by hot US PPI and softer Oil weighing on the Loonie. NY hours pushed to a 1.39956 session high then saw rejection back to the 1.39587 swing low; price has since recovered to 1.3983, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3972
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39956 / 1.40000 round number opens the path into the 1.40 congestion
Failure to hold the 1.39587 swing low confirms a lower-low
20:02 UTC
Sideways near YTD highs · RSI 57 · price 1.39829
Range, recovering off session low.
USDCAD ranging 1.3959–1.3996 just below the round 1.40000 figure, with the pair grinding back up after dipping to a 1.3959 session low earlier in NY hours on the softer-Oil/firm-USD backdrop. RSI(14) mid at ~57, price holding above both EMAs but capped under the 1.3996 session high.
Support: 1.39687, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39956 opens the path to the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of 1.39687 swing low re-exposes the 1.39587 session low
Oil moves and US-Iran headlines remain the near-term CAD driver
19:46 UTC
Consolidating near session highs · RSI 55 · price 1.39815
Range after rejection from 1.3996.
USDCAD coiling around 1.3980 in late NY hours after rejection from the session high at 1.39956, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of that pullback. RSI(14) neutral mid-range and ATR compressed near 5 pips — no momentum extension in play.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.39956
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39956 reopens the path toward the 1.40 area
Failure to hold 1.39660 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
19:46 UTC
Ranging, recovered off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.39815
Consolidation below session high.
USDCAD pulled back from the 1.39956 session high to a 1.39587 swing low before grinding back to 1.39815, holding near multi-month highs as hot US PPI and a dovish-leaning BoC hold keep the Loonie pressured. Price now consolidating in the upper third of the day's range, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.3974, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.39956
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39920 opens a retest of the 1.39956 session high
Close below 1.39740 puts the 1.39587 swing low back in play
Pulled back from session high, ranging mid-retrace.
USDCAD pushed to a fresh session high 1.39956 during the NY session on hot US PPI, then was rejected and slid to 1.39587 before recovering. Price now sits mid-retrace, consolidating 1.39750–1.39810 into late NY hours with RSI flat near 50.
Support: 1.3968, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3981, 1.39956
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39810 reopens the path back to 1.39956
Loss of 1.39680 reopens the 1.39587 session low
Tight 1.39750–1.39810 range; a break either side ends the consolidation read
Consolidation mid-range after pullback from session high.
USDCAD printed a fresh multi-month high at 1.39956 mid-window on hot US PPI, then faded to the 1.39587 session low before recovering. Price now coils tightly around 1.3976 into the late session on thin Friday-evening volume, sitting near the 50% retrace of that move with RSI flat at ~49.
Support: 1.39658, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.39825, 1.39956
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39825 reopens the 1.39956 window high
Loss of 1.39658 swing low confirms a lower low toward the 1.39587 session low
Iran de-escalation headlines could drain safe-haven USD bid and pressure the range
19:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging near highs · RSI 52 · price 1.3976
Consolidation under the 1.3980 session high.
USDCAD extended to a fresh 24h high at 1.3996 on the hot US PPI print, then faded and is now coiling between 1.3959 and 1.3980. Buyers stepped in at 1.3959 during the NY session; RSI(14) neutral near 52, no momentum edge in play.
Support: 1.3959, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.3996
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 reopens the 1.3996 high
Failure to hold 1.3959 confirms a lower-low and shifts the range lower
US-Iran de-escalation headlines could sap the safe-haven USD bid
19:16 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 1.3976
Consolidating mid-range after pullback from session high.
USD/CAD pressed a fresh session high at 1.39956 on the hot US PPI print, then faded to 1.39587 before recovering into a tight 1.3976-1.3980 band in late NY hours. RSI(14) sits flat near 51, no momentum extreme; price is coiling around the 50% retrace of the high-to-low move.
Support: 1.3959, 1.3934
Resistance: 1.3981, 1.3996
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3981 reopens the 1.3996 session high
Failure to hold 1.3959 confirms a lower low
FOMC and US Retail Sales Jun 17 could materially shift this read
19:03 UTC
Recovering off lows, range-bound · RSI 57 · price 1.39792
Range, mid-retrace of intraday drop.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.39587 session low to retrace roughly 62% of the drop from the 1.39956 day high, now stalling just under the 1.3981 recent high. Late-NY action is consolidating in a tight band as USD holds firm post-PPI; no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.3974, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3981, 1.39956
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3981 reopens the 1.39956 day high
loss of 1.3974 minor pivot puts the 1.39587 session low back in play
19:02 UTC
Range, drifting off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.39792
Intraday range, mid-range recovery.
USDCAD topped at the 1.39956 session high then sold back to 1.39587 during NY hours before recovering to mid-1.398, leaving price boxed in a ~37-pip intraday range. Move tracks a firm USD after hot US PPI and a soft Loonie; RSI(14) is neutral near 54 with no extreme in play. Currently mid-range and quiet into the late NY close — no setup active.
Support: 1.39657, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.39852, 1.39956, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39956 reopens the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39657 puts the 1.39587 session low back in play
18:46 UTC
Sideways, no momentum edge · RSI 51 · price 1.39762
Ranging below session high after rejection.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3959–1.3996 through the NY session after rejection at the 1.3996 session high and a slide to the 1.3959 session low. Price has retraced into the 1.3976 midpoint and stalled at 1.39762, with RSI(14) flat near 50 and a chain of lower highs capping rallies.
Support: 1.39674, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3981, 1.39956
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39810 then 1.39956 reopens the path toward 1.40
USD/CAD pressing multi-month highs; the session high at 1.39956 was rejected and price unwound to 1.39587 before recovering into the middle of the 1.3959-1.3996 range. RSI(14) flat near 53, no momentum extreme; price now stalling at 1.39762 just under the 1.3981 swing.
Support: 1.39657, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3981, 1.39956
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39810 reopens a retest of the 1.39956 session high
Close below 1.39657 reopens the 1.39587 session low
USDCAD is ranging in the upper half of the 1.3959–1.3996 band late in the NY session, with price grinding back to 1.3978 after a dip to 1.39587. The pair pressed fresh multi-month highs near 1.3996 earlier on hot US PPI and Oil softness; momentum is now flat with RSI(14) mid-50s and no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39587, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3981, 1.39956
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3981 reopens a retest of the 1.39956 session high
Loss of 1.39587 confirms a lower low and shifts the range floor
US-Iran de-escalation headlines could drain the safe-haven USD bid
Consolidation under intraday high after pullback recovery.
USDCAD is pressing multi-month-high territory ~1.3980 after a hot US PPI print kept the dollar firm and an oil slump weighed on CAD. Price dipped to 1.3959 during the NY session then recovered, and is now coiling just under the 1.39820 intraday high with RSI(14) flat near 54.
Support: 1.39706, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3982, 1.39956
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.39820 opens the path to the 1.39956 window high
Loss of 1.39706 swing low reopens the 1.39587 session low
US-Iran de-escalation headlines could drain the safe-haven USD bid and shift this read
18:16 UTC
Range, recovering off the lows · RSI 55 · price 1.39786
Intraday range with rising lows since the London-NY dip.
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.3959-1.3996 after the London-NY dip to 1.39587 was bought back, lows stepping higher into the NY afternoon toward 1.3980. RSI(14) neutral near 55, ATR a tight ~6 pips — no clean break either way yet.
Support: 1.39658, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3981, 1.39956
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39810 opens the path to the 1.39956 day high
Loss of 1.39658 reopens the 1.39587 session low
US-Iran de-escalation headlines remain a near-term safe-haven swing factor
18:16 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.39786
Intraday range 1.3958–1.3996, mid-range.
USDCAD chopping under the 1.39956 session high after a dovish-leaning BoC hold and firm USD kept the pair near multi-month highs. NY hours sold off to a 1.39587 swing low before buyers reclaimed 1.3979; price is back mid-range with no clean break of either edge. The 1.40000 psych level caps just above.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3968
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39956 opens the path toward the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of 1.39587 swing low confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
18:02 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.39773
Balancing inside intraday range.
USDCAD ranging 1.3959-1.3993 through the NY session after stalling below the 1.3996 session high, with the pair pinned near multi-month highs on a dovish-leaning BoC and hot US PPI. Price has settled back to the 50% retrace of the late-NY drop and is coiling tightly near 1.3977 into thin after-NY trade; no setup in play.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.39852, 1.39926
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39852 reopens the 1.39926 session high
Failure to hold 1.39660 confirms a lower-low toward 1.39587
Iran ceasefire headlines could drain the safe-haven USD bid
USDCAD churning in a ~1.3960–1.3995 range near multi-month highs, holding gains after hot US PPI underpinned the dollar. Price bounced off the 1.39587 session low and reclaimed the 50% retrace of the prior drop; RSI(14) back to neutral, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.39956
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39920 reopens the session high at 1.39956
Failure to hold 1.39660 exposes the 1.39587 session low
US-Iran ceasefire headlines could drain the safe-haven USD bid and shift this read
17:46 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 52 · price 1.3976
Intraday range 1.3959-1.3996, mid-range.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3959-1.3996 after pressing fresh multi-month highs near 1.3996, with sellers rejecting that level and buyers stepping in around 1.3959 during NY hours. Price has recovered to 1.3976 with RSI(14) neutral near 52 — no clear directional momentum into the late NY session.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3990, 1.39956
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3990 reopens the 1.39956 session high
Loss of 1.39587 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.3953
US-Iran ceasefire headlines could drain the safe-haven USD bid and shift this read
17:46 UTC
Range, near multi-month highs · RSI 51 · price 1.3976
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in the 1.3959–1.3996 band after stalling at fresh multi-month highs, with hot US PPI keeping the dollar underpinned. Price pulled back to 1.3959 during NY hours and has since recovered to mid-range near 1.3976, RSI(14) flat around 51 — no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.3960, 1.3959
Resistance: 1.3996, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3996 reopens the path to the 1.4000 round number
Failure to hold 1.3960 exposes a lower-low and the session low at 1.3959
Strait of Hormuz / US-Iran headlines could shift the safe-haven USD bid
NY afternoon ranging around 1.3974 after a dip to the 1.39587 session low was bought back to 1.3978. Price now coils in a tight 1.3972–1.3978 band just under EMA20, RSI(14) flat near 46 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.39657, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3978, 1.39851, 1.39934
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39780 opens the path back toward the 1.39934 24h high
Failure to hold 1.39657 reopens the 1.39587 session low
Oil/Iran-ceasefire headlines could shift this read intraday
USDCAD ranging roughly 1.3960-1.3990 just below the late-2025 highs after a hot US PPI print kept the dollar firm. Price pulled back from the 1.39926 range top to a 1.39587 swing low during NY hours, then recovered to 1.39743 with RSI back at neutral.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39587
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.39926
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39926 reopens the path to the 1.40 zone
Loss of 1.39587 swing low confirms a lower-low
Fed dot plot Jun 17 (18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read
17:16 UTC
Range, slight drift lower · RSI 47 · price 1.3973
Range-bound below 1.4000.
USDCAD has ranged roughly 1.3960-1.3990 through the session after stalling below the 1.4000 round number, failing to extend the multi-month high. Price sits mid-range near 1.3973 with RSI neutral around 47 and ATR near 7 pips; the leg-up from 1.3951 has retraced about half. Context: hot US PPI underpins the dollar against CAD, but the pair looks overbought into next week's FOMC.
Support: 1.3958, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3996, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3996 reopens the 1.4000 round number
Break below 1.3958 confirms a lower low
FOMC dots / US Retail Sales (Jun 17) are the dominant catalysts
USDCAD is consolidating between 1.3959 and 1.3990 through NY hours, holding near multi-month highs after the hot US PPI print earlier in the week. Price drifted back from the 1.3990 session high to retrace into the 1.3973 area, RSI(14) flat near 49 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.3959, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3990, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3990 reopens the 1.4000 round number
Loss of 1.3959 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.3953
FOMC dot plot (Jun 17, 18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
17:03 UTC
Range, pulling back from highs · RSI 46 · price 1.39721
Ranging 1.3958–1.3996, lower highs since topping.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3958–1.3996 after rejection at the 1.3996 session high; the pair slipped back under EMA20/50 and bounced off the 1.3958 session low into 1.3972. Move sits in late-week congestion as a dovish-leaning BoC hold and hot US PPI keep the broader bid intact while USD looks overbought.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3978, 1.39956
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39780 reopens the path to 1.39956 session high
Loss of 1.39587 session low confirms a lower low
17:02 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.39721
Intraday range 1.3958–1.3996.
USDCAD ranged 1.3958–1.3996 through the NY session after sliding off 1.4010 in Asia on a softer USD tone. The dip to 1.3959 was bought back up to 1.3978 before easing to 1.3972; RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with price hugging the EMA20.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3978, 1.39956
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3978 reopens the 1.3996 session high
Break below 1.3959 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.3953 swing low
USDCAD chopped in a 1.39587–1.39956 band through the NY session, pressing the session low at 1.39587 before recovering to 1.39776 into the afternoon. RSI(14) neutral near 54, no momentum extreme; price is grinding back toward the intraday cap at 1.39850.
Support: 1.3966, 1.39587, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.3993, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39930 reopens the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39587 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.39510
US-Iran de-escalation headlines could drain USD safe-haven bid
Late NY session: USDCAD ranged 1.3960–1.3990 through the day before a slide to the session low at 1.39587, then recovered to 1.39776 — roughly a 50% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.39956
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.39800 reopens the 1.39956 session high
Failure to hold 1.39587 confirms a fresh lower-low
NY afternoon has USDCAD ranging just under multi-month highs after a rejection near 1.39934 and an intraday slide to 1.39587. Price has recovered to 1.3973 with RSI(14) flat near 48; no directional break yet between the 1.3958 floor and 1.3993 cap.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39934, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39934 reopens the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39587 confirms a lower low toward 1.39530
US-Iran de-escalation headlines could sap safe-haven USD bid
16:31 UTC
Ranging, mild bounce · RSI 49 · price 1.3973
Range 1.3958–1.3993, recovering off session low.
USDCAD is chopping in a 1.3958–1.3993 NY-session range after dovish-leaning BoC and hot US PPI kept the pair near fresh highs. Sellers faded the 1.3993 session high, then buyers stepped in at 1.3958; price now sits mid-range near 1.3973 with RSI flat around 49.
Support: 1.3958, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.3993
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3958 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 1.3993 reopens the path toward the 1.40 area
Lower highs from 1.3993, holding above 1.3959 session low.
NY session ground lower in a lower-highs sequence off 1.3993, printing a 1.3959 session low before a tepid bounce to 1.3970; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme. USDCAD remains pinned near multi-month highs as a dovish-leaning BoC and soft Oil weigh on CAD, but the intraday tape has cooled below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3974, 1.39934
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3974 negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.3959 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.3993 session high reopens the multi-month high test
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, retracing · RSI 46 · price 1.39696
Lower highs, bounce off session low.
Late NY session drifted lower, USDCAD sliding from ~1.3993 to a session low at 1.39587 before a modest bounce to 1.39696. Softer US data and easing safe-haven demand are weighing on the dollar; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.39956
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.39850 reopens the session high at 1.39956
Loss of 1.39587 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.39510
16:02 UTC
Downtrend, late bounce · RSI 43 · price 1.39686
Session range broken lower, recovering.
USDCAD drifted off the 1.3993 session high through NY hours, sweeping the 1.3959 session low before reclaiming back to 1.3969. Price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 42; structure is a controlled downtrend, no clean setup with price mid-zone.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3979, 1.39934
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39587 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim above 1.39790 EMA20 puts the 1.39934 session high back in play
US-Iran de-escalation headlines could sap safe-haven USD bid intrabar
16:02 UTC
Ranging, recent pullback from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.39686
Lower high off 1.3993, range holding 1.3959–1.3993.
USDCAD rejected the 1.3993 session high during NY hours and faded to 1.3959 before a shallow bounce to 1.3969, RSI(14) holding mid-40s. Price sits below EMA20/50 inside the 1.3959–1.3993 range, with the broader bid intact after the dovish BoC hold and hot US PPI.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.39934
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3959 confirms a lower-low and opens the session low at 1.3951
Reclaim of 1.3980 puts the 1.3993 high back in play
US-Iran peace headlines could drain safe-haven USD bid and pressure this read
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, attempting a bounce · RSI 43 · price 1.39675
Lower highs off 1.3993, recent low at 1.3959.
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.39934 session high into a 1.39587 low during NY hours, with sellers stepping in repeatedly below the 1.3975 pivot. Price is bouncing back to 1.39675; RSI(14) near 43 after cooling, structure still building lower highs.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3975, 1.3985, 1.39934
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39587 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim above 1.3985 lower high negates the downside read
Weekend US-Iran headlines could gap the open and shift safe-haven USD flows
15:46 UTC
Range, recent leg lower · RSI 43 · price 1.39675
Intraday range, lower high then pullback off session low.
USDCAD held a 1.3960–1.3990 range through the NY session before a leg lower printed a session low at 1.39587, with USD easing as safe-haven demand drained on Iran de-escalation talk. Price bounced to 1.39693 and closed 1.39675, back below EMA20/EMA50; sellers capped the 1.39850–1.39926 area earlier.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.39926
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39587 opens the path toward 1.39510
USDCAD rolled over through the NY session, carving lower highs off 1.39926 and breaking to a fresh session low at 1.39587, in line with a broad safe-haven USD unwind. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3978, 1.39926
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39587 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.39530
Reclaim of 1.39780 neutralises the intraday downtrend read
FOMC dot plot (Jun 17) is the dominant USD catalyst ahead
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 37 · price 1.39614
Lower highs, pressing session low.
USDCAD ground lower through the NY afternoon, fading from the 1.39850 supply and printing a fresh session low at 1.39587 with RSI(14) at 36, well below both EMAs. Sellers have held a lower-high chain since the 1.39934 push, keeping the bias pinned to the downside of this intraday range.
Support: 1.39587, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3970, 1.3985
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.39700 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.39587 confirms continuation toward the 1.39530 swing low
FOMC dot plot Jun 17 is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
15:16 UTC
Intraday range, rolling over off the highs · RSI 40 · price 1.39644
Lower highs into the close after testing the session top.
USDCAD spent the NY session boxed between 1.3953 and the 1.39956 session high, with sellers rejecting the top and dragging price back to the 1.39634 session low. The fade ties to the broader USD safe-haven unwind; RSI(14) near 39 reflects the late roll-over, with the 1.3980 swing high now capping.
Support: 1.39634, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.39956
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39634 confirms a lower low and extends the decline
Reclaim of the 1.3980 swing high negates the roll-over and reopens the session high
US-Iran peace headlines could shift safe-haven USD flows
NY afternoon sees USDCAD fading from the ~1.39934 high toward session lows at 1.39640, printing a chain of lower highs with RSI(14) near 37. Price sits below EMA20/50; the 1.39510 swing low is the next downside reference if 1.39640 gives way.
Support: 1.39639, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.39934
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.39850 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.39640 opens the path to the 1.39510 swing low
Iran de-escalation headlines could drain the safe-haven USD bid
15:02 UTC
Intraday slide within range · RSI 41 · price 1.39675
Rangebound, lower highs into NY.
USDCAD faded from the 1.39950 session high through NY hours and is now pressing the 1.39670 session low, RSI(14) near 40. The 1.39670–1.39950 range has held all day, with sellers repeatedly capping rallies under 1.39800.
Support: 1.3967, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.3995
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39670 opens the path toward the 1.39510 swing low
Reclaim of 1.39800 needed to neutralise the intraday slide
FOMC dot plot Jun 17 is the dominant USD catalyst ahead
15:02 UTC
Range fading off highs · RSI 43 · price 1.39675
Rotating in 1.3951-1.3995, recent lower highs.
USD/CAD faded from the 1.3995 session high back to 1.3967 through NY hours, rejecting the 1.3990 zone after the hot US PPI bid stalled. Price now pressing the lower end of the day's 1.3951-1.3995 range with RSI near 42; no fresh thrust in play.
Support: 1.3967, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.39955
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3967 opens the 1.3951 swing low
Reclaim of 1.3980 puts the 1.39955 session high back in view
FOMC dot plot Jun 17 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD catalyst ahead
14:46 UTC
Ranging, slight pullback · RSI 46 · price 1.39781
Range-bound mid-session, off the highs.
USDCAD ranging 1.3953-1.3996 through the session, now at 1.39781 mid-range after rejection at the 1.3992-1.3996 highs. RSI neutral near 46, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.39674, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.39956
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39920 reopens the session high at 1.39956
Break below 1.39674 exposes the 1.39530 swing low
No tier-1 catalyst in the next 8h; FOMC dot plot Jun 17 is the week's key USD event
USDCAD is rotating in a 1.39530–1.39934 range after the early drop off 1.4016 was bought back into the NY session. Price stalled at the 1.39900 session high and slipped to 1.39687 around the 14:00 UTC Michigan release before steadying near 1.39744; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum edge.
Support: 1.39687, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3990, 1.39934
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39934 reopens the path toward the 1.40 figure
Loss of 1.39687 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.39530 day low
UoM inflation expectations follow-through could shift the USD read
14:31 UTC
Ranging after early drop, no clear bias · RSI 46 · price 1.39744
Rangebound 1.3970-1.3992 post-decline.
After an early slide from 1.4016 to 1.3953, USDCAD recovered and has chopped in a 1.3970-1.3992 band through the NY session. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and price sits just under EMA20/EMA50; the 1.39956 session high capped the latest push, no setup in play.
Support: 1.39687, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39926, 1.39956
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39956 breaks the session range top
Loss of 1.39687 opens the path back to the 1.3953 swing low
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session, USDCAD faded from the 1.3993 session high to 1.3974 as stretched USD longs trimmed into Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC. Price is ranging in the upper 1.39s; the 1.3951 swing low has held all session.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3993, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3993 reopens the 1.4000 round number
Loss of 1.3951 swing low confirms a lower low
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation fallout could shift this read
14:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower late · RSI 44 · price 1.3974
Consolidation after early drop, capped near 1.3993.
USDCAD slid off the 1.4013 area early in the window to 1.3953, then chopped in a 1.3960–1.3990 range through the NY session. The latest leg faded from the 1.3993 session high back to 1.3974, leaving price below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.3969, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3993, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3993 session high reopens the 1.4000 round number
Loss of 1.3969 recent low exposes the 1.3953 session low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could break the range
14:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.39791
Ranging in upper half of 1.3953–1.3993 band.
USDCAD is consolidating in the upper half of a 1.3953–1.3993 band through the NY session, fading from the 1.39926 session high back to 1.39791. RSI(14) is mid-range and price has slipped just under both EMAs as the late-session push stalled.
Support: 1.39734, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39926, 1.4003
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39926 reopens the path toward 1.4003
Loss of 1.39734 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.3953 range low
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
14:02 UTC
Range, no clear bias · RSI 45 · price 1.39791
Ranging after recovery off session low.
USDCAD ranging 1.3973-1.3996 through the NY session after recovering off the 1.3953 session low, supported by hot US PPI and soft oil. Price now sits mid-range near 1.3979, RSI(14) flat around 45, no setup in play.
Support: 1.39734, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.39734 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.3953
Close above 1.39956 reopens the 1.4000 round number
13:46 UTC
Recovering off lows, ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.39848
Range 1.3973–1.3996 after recovery from 1.3953.
USDCAD dropped to 1.3953 during the prior NY session then ground back up to a session high of 1.39956, with CAD soft at YTD lows after the dovish BoC hold and hot US PPI. Price is now ranging 1.3973–1.3996 into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 1.3973, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39955, 1.40125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39955 opens the path back toward 1.40125
Failure to hold 1.39730 reopens the 1.3953 low
Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
13:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.39848
Range after intraday rebound from 1.3953.
USDCAD sold off early to 1.3953 then ground higher through the session, with the Loonie offered on soft oil and a hawkish-Fed US PPI read. Since the 1.39956 session high, price has been ranging 1.3975–1.3992, RSI(14) neutral near 53; current bar sits mid-range at 1.39848.
Support: 1.3975, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39920 reopens the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39750 swing low exposes the 1.39530 session low
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
13:31 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.3977
Consolidation between 1.3953 and 1.3995 after early drop.
USDCAD ranging 1.3953–1.3995 after an early London flush, now drifting back off the 1.3995 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 44. Price slipped below EMA20 into the lower half of the range as the NY session matures.
Support: 1.3974, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3995, 1.4002
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3995 opens the path to the 1.4002 round number
Failure to hold 1.3974 exposes the 1.3953 swing low
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
13:31 UTC
Ranging, pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.3977
Consolidation 1.3975-1.3995 after early drop.
USDCAD has chopped sideways through the NY session, holding a 1.3975-1.3995 band after fading the 1.39956 session high. Price slipped to 1.3977 into the close with RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s; demand stepping in around 1.3975 on the last two dips.
Support: 1.3975, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3993, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3975 opens the 1.3953 swing low
Reclaim of 1.3993 reopens the 1.4000 psych level
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could break the range
13:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 49 · price 1.39791
Consolidation between 1.3975 and 1.3993 after early drop.
NY session has USDCAD chopping in a 1.3975-1.3993 band after the early sharp drop from 1.4023 down to 1.3951. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 with price pinned around EMA20/EMA50, no momentum either way; broad USD bid from hot PPI is keeping the Loonie offered near YTD lows.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3963, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39935, 1.4002
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39935 opens the path back toward 1.40020
Failure to hold 1.39730 exposes the 1.39630 swing low
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read intraday
13:16 UTC
Range after recovery, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.39791
Ranging 1.3975–1.3996 post NY recovery off 1.3953.
NY session chopping in a 1.3975–1.3996 band after recovering from the 1.3953 low; price was rejected at the 1.39956 session high before drifting back into the middle. USD/CAD holding the 1.40 congestion area noted by desks, RSI(14) neutral near 47 with no momentum edge.
Support: 1.3975, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.40125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39956 reopens the topside toward 1.40125
Loss of 1.3975 puts the 1.3953 session low back in play
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
13:03 UTC
Consolidation after early drop, recovered · RSI 49 · price 1.39827
Range-bound, holding above session lows.
USDCAD sold off from 1.40235 into the European session before buyers stepped in near 1.39510, and price has since coiled in a tight 1.39750–1.39930 band. RSI(14) flat near 49, ATR compressed to ~8 pips — no momentum either way as the higher-for-longer USD bid meets overbought congestion ahead of 1.40.
Support: 1.3975, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3993, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39930 reopens the 1.40000 round-number area
Loss of 1.39750 puts the 1.39510 swing low back in play
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break this range
Consolidation between 1.3975 and 1.3993 after London drop.
USDCAD is chopping in a 1.3975-1.3993 band through NY hours after the London-session drop from 1.40235 down to 1.39510. Buyers have stepped in repeatedly near 1.3975, but the 1.3993 session high continues to cap; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum edge.
Support: 1.3974, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3993, 1.4000
What it said to watch
US Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break this range
Close above 1.39930 opens the path back toward 1.40000
Failure to hold 1.39740 reopens the 1.39510 range low
12:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 1.39861
Ranging near session highs after recovery.
USDCAD sold off from 1.40235 into a 1.39510 swing low during the prior NY session, then ground back up to consolidate around 1.3986 inside YTD-high congestion. Price is now ranging 1.39730–1.39920 with RSI(14) flat near 54; no setup in play.
Support: 1.3973, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.40125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39920 session high opens path back toward the 1.40125 prior high
Loss of 1.39730 range floor reopens the 1.39510 swing low
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD sold off from 1.4023 in the London window to 1.3953, then based and ground back into the 1.3975-1.3994 zone through NY hours, holding near YTD highs as hot US PPI and a soft loonie keep the pair bid. Currently chopping below session high 1.3994 with RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.3975, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39935, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3994 / 1.4000 opens path back toward the 1.4023 prior high
Failure to hold 1.3975 reopens the 1.3953 swing low
Michigan Consumer Sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD swept the 1.3951 session low then recovered, building higher lows and grinding back toward the 1.4000 round number; RSI mid-range and ATR compressed near 8 pips. Pair holds near YTD highs after the dovish BoC hold and hot US PPI.
Support: 1.3975, 1.3951, 1.3963
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40167, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4000 opens the path to the 1.40167 prior high
Failure to hold 1.3975 reopens the 1.3951 session low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:31 UTC
Recovery off session low, grinding up · RSI 61 · price 1.39915
Retracing the Asian-session drop, higher lows building.
USDCAD has clawed back roughly 60% of the Asian-session drop from 1.40235 to 1.39510, now pressing the 1.40000 round number with USD firm near YTD highs on hot US PPI. Price is carving higher lows off 1.39734 through the London-NY session; ATR sits tight at ~7 pips and RSI(14) near 61, hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40000 round number opens the path to 1.40125 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.39715 swing low confirms the recovery has stalled
US Michigan Consumer Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD flushed from the 1.40235 range top to 1.39510 in late NY yesterday, then carved out a rounded recovery through the Asian and London sessions back toward the session high. Price now consolidates 1.3974–1.3996 with RSI mid-range; the broad USD bid off hot PPI keeps the pair pinned near YTD highs.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.40125, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.39956 opens the path to 1.40125
Failure to hold 1.39735 reopens the 1.39510 session low
USDCAD sits mid-range near 1.3988 after a London-session slide to 1.3951 was bought back, with the pair holding the broad USD bid as hot US PPI keeps it near YTD highs. Price has chained higher lows back into the 1.3990 area, RSI(14) around 60 — constructive but not extended; the 1.4000 round level caps the recovery.
Support: 1.3975, 1.3953, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40235 day high
Loss of 1.39750 puts the 1.39510 day low back in play
Range after early-session sweep, grinding back toward 1.4000.
Early in the window USDCAD spiked to 1.40235 then sold off sharply to 1.3951 as the Hormuz risk premium ebbed; price has since ground back into a 1.3975–1.3996 range below the 1.4000 round number. RSI(14) near 56, ATR ~7 pips — no extension underway, sitting near the upper third of the recovery.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3996, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the 1.40235 prior high
Loss of 1.39735 swing low confirms a lower-low back toward 1.3951
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
After the NY-afternoon flush from 1.40235 down to the session low at 1.39510, USDCAD has carved a series of higher lows back to 1.399 through the Asia and London sessions, supported by the firm dollar on hot US PPI. Price now presses the 1.39920 recent high with RSI(14) near 57 — neither stretched. The 1.40000 round number caps just above.
Support: 1.39755, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.4000, 1.40125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39920 opens the path back to the 1.40000 round number
Loss of the 1.39755 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is consolidating roughly 1.39735-1.39956 below the 1.40000 psych level after the early-window spike to 1.40235 was rejected and faded toward 1.39530. Price sits near YTD highs following the dovish BoC hold and hot US PPI; RSI(14) neutral near 52 with ATR around 8 pips.
Support: 1.39735, 1.39634, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39956 / 1.40000 reopens the path toward the 1.40235 spike high
Loss of 1.39735 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.39634
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Range after selloff, drifting up · RSI 53 · price 1.39824
Ranging post NY-session flush, holding above session low.
USDCAD spiked to 1.4023 then flushed to 1.3951 through the NY session as the Hormuz-driven USD bid faded, and has since coiled between 1.3974 and 1.3992. RSI(14) neutral near 53; no directional setup, range-bound just under the session high.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.40125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39920 reopens the 1.40125 prior high
Loss of 1.39735 swing low exposes 1.39510 session low
US Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could break this range
USDCAD sold off from 1.40235 to 1.3953 mid-window, then ground back to retrace roughly half that down-leg, now hovering near 1.39866 below the 1.39907 session high. RSI(14) mid-range, ATR around 8-9 pips; price holding above EMA20/50 with hot US PPI keeping the dollar firm near YTD highs.
Support: 1.3979, 1.39735, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39907, 1.40003, 1.40235
What it said to watch
A close above 1.39907 reopens the 1.40003 prior-high area
Loss of 1.39790 consol support exposes the 1.39735 swing low
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off from the 1.40235 session high to 1.39510 mid-window, then ground back to ~1.39866 — roughly the 50% retrace of that drop — with the pair sitting near YTD highs on the hot US PPI print. Last few hours show higher lows into the swing-high cluster at 1.39919; RSI(14) neutral around 57.
Support: 1.3973, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39919, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39919 swing high opens room back toward the 1.40000 round number
Loss of the 1.39730 swing low reopens the 1.39510 session low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD recovered off the 1.3951 session low and is grinding back toward the 1.4000 round number, RSI(14) near 59. The 1.3975 area held as support repeatedly through European hours, with the pair sitting near YTD highs after hot US PPI and a dovish BoC hold.
Support: 1.3975, 1.3963, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40125, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4000 reopens the 1.40125–1.40235 highs
Failure to hold 1.3975 risks a retest of the 1.3951 session low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD recovered the midday flush to 1.3951 and is grinding back up to retest the session high band at 1.3955–1.3996 during London hours. Higher lows are intact off 1.3975; RSI(14) near 61, room before stretched. Move is headline-driven — hot US PPI keeps the dollar firm, with UoM sentiment due at 14:00 UTC.
Support: 1.3975, 1.3953, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39955, 1.4000, 1.40125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39955 opens the 1.4000 round number and 1.40125 prior high
Failure to hold 1.39750 reopens the 1.3953 swing low
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
11:02 UTC
Choppy recovery within range · RSI 55 · price 1.39867
Consolidating after pullback off the high.
Price sold off from the 1.40235 day high to 1.39530 during NY hours, then recovered to grind sideways in a 1.39735–1.39920 band; current 1.39867 sits around the 50% retrace of that drop. RSI(14) mid-range near 55, no momentum extreme, ATR ~7.5 pips. USD/CAD holding near YTD highs as hot US PPI keeps the dollar firm.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39920 reopens the path to the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39735 confirms a lower low back toward the session low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC (~3h) could shift this read
11:02 UTC
Range after morning selloff, recovering · RSI 54 · price 1.39867
Ranging between 1.3975 and 1.3990 post-drop.
USDCAD sold off from 1.40235 to 1.39510 then clawed back into a 1.3975–1.3990 range, holding near YTD highs on hot US PPI and a dovish BoC. London session is grinding sideways below the 1.39955 session high with RSI(14) mid-range; demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.39735.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39955, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39955 reopens the 1.40000 round number and 1.40235 prior high
Loss of 1.39735 swing low exposes 1.39510 session low
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:46 UTC
Recovery off lows, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.39805
Range after drop, higher lows building.
USDCAD sold off from the 1.40235 day high into the Asia session, bottoming at 1.39530, then ground back up through London on the hot US PPI / firm-USD backdrop. Price is now ranging 1.39735–1.39920 around 1.398 with RSI neutral; no setup in play.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.4001, 1.40235
What it said to watch
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.39920 reopens the 1.40010 round level
Failure to hold 1.39735 exposes the 1.39530 swing low
10:46 UTC
Ranging after London fade · RSI 49 · price 1.39805
Consolidation inside 1.3974–1.3995.
USDCAD spiked to 1.40235 early in the window then faded to 1.3953 on the broad USD wobble; price has since recovered into a tight 1.3974–1.3995 range with RSI flat near 49. No directional structure in play heading into the NY session.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3995, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39950 reopens 1.40000 round number and the prior high
Loss of 1.39735 range low confirms a lower-low toward 1.39510
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break this range
10:31 UTC
Range after intraday selloff · RSI 53 · price 1.39851
Spiked to 1.4023 then faded, basing mid-range.
USDCAD spiked to a 1.40235 day high mid-window then sold off through London to 1.39510 before basing. Price has since drifted back to 1.39851, ranging 1.39735–1.39960 with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3996, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39960 reopens the 1.40000 psych and 1.40235 day high
Loss of 1.39735 swing low exposes the 1.39510 session low
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, mid-range · RSI 53 · price 1.39851
Range between 1.3953 and 1.4023, holding mid.
USDCAD bounced off the 1.3953 swing low and is chopping around 1.3985 in the middle of the day's range, RSI neutral near 53. Sellers capped the move at 1.3992 with rejection into the recent high; pair stays boxed between 1.3973 support and 1.3992 resistance.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read sharply
M15 close above 1.3992 opens the path toward the 1.40235 session high
Failure to hold 1.39735 reopens the 1.3953 swing low
10:16 UTC
Ranging after pullback from highs · RSI 49 · price 1.39806
Consolidation between 1.39735 and 1.39956.
USDCAD is ranging 1.39735-1.39956 through the London session, having recovered off the 1.39510 swing low after the earlier slide from the 1.40235 high. Price sits mid-range near 1.39806 with RSI flat around 49; no fresh directional break in play as USDCAD hovers near YTD highs.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39956 reopens the path to 1.40235
Loss of 1.39735 exposes the 1.39510 session low
UoM Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Range after pullback · RSI 48 · price 1.39806
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ran to 1.40235 early then dumped to 1.3953 before settling into a 1.39735–1.39920 range, with RSI(14) neutral near 48. Price sits mid-range at 1.39806; the prior session high at 1.39920 and the round 1.40000 cap, while 1.39735 has held the recent lows.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3963
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39920 reopens the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39735 swing low exposes 1.39630
UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could break this range
10:01 UTC
Consolidation near YTD highs · RSI 53 · price 1.3982
Range 1.3975-1.3992 after pullback from 1.4020.
USDCAD is consolidating between 1.3975 and 1.3992 after the spike to 1.4020 was sold back, the pair drifting in a tight London-session range near YTD highs underpinned by hot US PPI and a dovish BoC. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 53 with ATR near 8 pips; price holds just above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.3974, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3992 reopens the path to 1.4020
Failure to hold 1.3974 exposes 1.3951 swing low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:01 UTC
Ranging, no clear momentum · RSI 52 · price 1.3982
Consolidation in mid-range after morning swing.
USDCAD chopping around 1.3982 near YTD highs after the dovish BoC hold and hot US PPI kept the dollar bid. Price is mid-range between 1.3974 support and the 1.3996 session high, EMA20/50 flat beneath; no setup in play.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3996 reopens the 1.4023 window high
Loss of 1.3974 exposes the 1.3953 swing low
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Ranging after NY spike faded · RSI 51 · price 1.39817
Sideways range, capped below 1.3996.
USDCAD ranging 1.3973–1.3996 through the Asian session after Wednesday's NY push to the 1.40235 swing high was rejected and faded toward 1.3953. RSI(14) neutral near 51 with price pinned to the EMAs; supply capped the overnight bounce at the 1.3996 session high.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3996 reopens the 1.40000 round number and 1.40235 swing high
Loss of 1.39735 session low exposes the 1.39530 range low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Ranging after pullback from highs · RSI 52 · price 1.39817
Range-bound between 1.3973 and 1.3996 post-reversal.
After an early spike to 1.4023 and a sharp reversal down to 1.3951, USD/CAD has consolidated between 1.3973 and 1.3996, sitting near YTD highs on the dovish BoC hold and hot US PPI. RSI(14) is neutral around 52 and ATR is compressed near 9 pips; no setup in play inside the range.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.40003
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40003 reopens the path to the 1.4023 high
Failure to hold 1.39735 exposes the 1.3951 session low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could break the range
09:31 UTC
Range, fading from session high · RSI 45 · price 1.39752
Intraday range 1.3973–1.3996, lower highs since drop off 1.4023.
Early London push tagged 1.3996 then faded, with price back at the session-low cluster near 1.3975 — RSI(14) cooling around 45. Lower highs persist beneath the 1.4023 spike, keeping USDCAD boxed in a 1.3973–1.3996 range after the dovish-BoC/hot-PPI rally stalled.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.40125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3996 reopens the path to 1.4012+
Failure to hold 1.39735 exposes the 1.3953 swing low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
09:31 UTC
Range, faded from session high · RSI 45 · price 1.39752
Intraday range 1.3953-1.3996 after rejection of 1.4023.
USDCAD spiked to 1.4023 during the European session on hot US PPI then sold off hard to 1.3953, and has since chopped in a 1.3953-1.3996 range. NY session probed 1.39956 and was rejected, fading back to 1.3975 with RSI cooling toward mid-range.
Support: 1.39634, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.40125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39956 reopens the path to the 1.40125 prior high
Loss of 1.39634 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 1.3953
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
London session grinding inside 1.39735–1.39919 after the earlier rejection from the 1.40235 prior high near YTD highs. The push to 1.39919 faded back to the EMA20 around 1.39830, RSI(14) flat near 54; no setup in play.
Support: 1.39735, 1.39634, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39919, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39919 reopens the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39735 confirms a lower-low toward 1.39634
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
London session is grinding back up after the prior NY selloff from the 1.40235 swing high, with price ranging roughly 1.39735–1.39956. RSI(14) neutral near 52, price holding above EMA20/50; CAD stays soft on oil weakness but USD's failure to extend caps upside at the session high.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39956 reopens the 1.40 psych level
Close below 1.39735 breaks the rising-lows structure
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
09:02 UTC
Recovered into range, flat · RSI 54 · price 1.39839
Ranging 1.3974-1.3996 after rebound off 1.3951.
USD/CAD spiked to 1.40235 then sold hard to 1.39510 during the Asia-London window, and has since chopped back into a 1.3974-1.3996 range with CAD soft on the dovish BoC hold and weaker oil. Price holds above both EMAs near the mid-range, RSI(14) neutral around 54.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39956 then the 1.40000 round number opens the path back to 1.40235
Failure to hold the 1.39735 session low reopens the 1.39510 asia low
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 1.39839
Range after sharp drop and grind-back.
USDCAD sold off from the 1.4023 early-window high down to 1.3953, then ground back through Asia to retest the 1.3996 session high before easing to 1.3984 — firm USD on hot US PPI underpinning. Now ranging roughly 1.3974–1.3996 with no clean directional structure.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40000 psych reopens the 1.4023 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.39735 session low exposes the 1.3953 swing low
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD recovered off the 1.3953 swing low through the session and tagged 1.39956 before fading back to 1.3981, with the 1.40 round number capping. Price is mid-range, RSI(14) flat near 51 — no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39956 / 1.40000 opens the path toward 1.40235
Loss of 1.39735 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.39530
UoM Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the read
Consolidating mid-range after a spike-and-fade day.
London session has USDCAD grinding back toward the 1.3992 session high after an earlier sweep down to 1.3951; price is now mid-range and holding just above EMA20/50. Dovish BoC hold plus oil weakness keep the pair pinned near YTD highs, but the spike to 1.4023 has faded into chop with no clean break.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3992 opens the path back to the 1.4000 round number and 1.4023 spike high
Failure to hold 1.3973 reopens the 1.3951 swing low
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:31 UTC
Range with upward drift · RSI 54 · price 1.39826
Rangebound, holding above session base.
USD/CAD reclaimed 1.3970 and ran to 1.3992 into the London session, holding near YTD highs on a firm USD post-PPI and a dovish-leaning BoC. Price is now easing back toward the middle of the 1.3953–1.3992 range, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39919, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3992 opens 1.40000 and the 1.40235 day high
Loss of 1.39735 reopens the 1.3953 session low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
USDCAD spiked to a session high at 1.40235 then was rejected sharply, sweeping back to 1.39510 before the Asia session ground higher — USD kept firm by yesterday's hot US PPI. Price has since settled into a 1.39735–1.39920 range, last cooling from 1.39956 to 1.39826.
Support: 1.39735, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3992, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39920 reopens the path to the 1.40000 round number and session high
Failure to hold 1.39735 confirms a lower low back toward the session low
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Recovering, pressing session high · RSI 62 · price 1.39885
Higher lows off 1.3951, testing range top.
USDCAD ground back to the session high at 1.39956 during London hours after recovering off the 1.3951 low, firm USD on hot US PPI underpinning the bid. RSI mid-60s with room before overbought; price broke the 1.3980 consolidation cap on the latest leg.
Support: 1.3974, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.40125, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39956 opens the path to the 1.40125 prior high
Failure to hold 1.39740 reopens the 1.3951 session low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
08:16 UTC
Recovering, micro-uptrend off London lows · RSI 63 · price 1.39885
Higher lows, retracing prior drop toward session highs.
USDCAD spiked to 1.40235 early then flushed to 1.39510 before grinding back through London hours; price now stalling at the 50% retrace of that drop near 1.3988, just under the 1.39956 session high. RSI(14) around 62, room left before hot. The de-escalation-driven Oil softness keeps the loonie heavy as USD holds firm on PPI.
Support: 1.39738, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.40125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39956 opens the path to the 1.40125 prior high
Failure to hold 1.39738 swing low reopens the 1.39510 session low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the read
08:02 UTC
Recovering off intraday lows · RSI 57 · price 1.39863
Higher lows since the 1.3951 base.
USD/CAD spiked to a fresh YTD high at 1.4023 in NY then sold off sharply to 1.3951; Asia has ground higher, reclaiming 1.3990 before easing to 1.3986. Higher lows intact off the 1.3951 base with RSI(14) mid-50s, the 1.39956 session high the immediate cap.
Support: 1.39738, 1.39715, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39738 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of the 1.39956 session high and 1.40000 round number reopens the 1.4023 ytd high
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
08:01 UTC
Recovering off range low, micro uptrend · RSI 59 · price 1.39863
Range after pullback from 1.4023 high.
Price was rejected at the 1.4023 high earlier and sold off to a 1.3953 swing low, then based and ground back up to the session high near 1.39956. Last bars holding above the 1.3973 range low with RSI(14) near 59 — recovery intact but capped under 1.39956 so far.
Support: 1.3973, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.40125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39956 session high opens the path back toward 1.40125 prior high
Failure to hold 1.39730 range low reopens the 1.39530 swing low
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
07:46 UTC
Recovering, pushing toward range top · RSI 62 · price 1.39899
Consolidation breaking higher off intraday lows.
USDCAD broke above the 1.3960-1.3980 consolidation during the London session, printing a session high at 1.39956 before easing to 1.39899. RSI(14) firm near 62 with the 1.40000 round number and prior 1.40125 high directly overhead — the zone that capped the earlier Asia spike.
Support: 1.39707, 1.39634, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39956, 1.4000, 1.40125
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40000 opens the path toward the 1.40125 prior high
Failure to hold 1.39707 breaks the recent higher-low chain
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, retesting psych · RSI 66 · price 1.39899
Higher lows off session low, grinding back to 1.4000.
USD/CAD ground back to YTD-high territory, climbing off the 1.3951 session low through London and now retesting the 1.4000 psych level into NY hours, USD firm on the hot PPI print. Higher lows since the prior-day NY drop from 1.40235; RSI(14) near 66, hot but not extended.
Support: 1.3971, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4000 opens the path back to the 1.40235 session high
Failure to hold 1.39710 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Recovering after intraday sell-off · RSI 62 · price 1.39902
Retrace higher off the session low, back inside prior congestion.
USDCAD spiked to a 1.40235 window high before a sharp rejection dumped it to 1.39510, then chopped in a 1.39740–1.39800 band through Asia. London hours have ground price back to 1.39902, with RSI(14) near 62 and the round-number 1.40000 the next test overhead.
Support: 1.3974, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 reopens the path to the 1.40235 window high
Failure to hold 1.39740 consolidation reopens the 1.39510 swing low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCAD is grinding back toward the 1.40 figure into Asia after rejection from the 1.40167/1.40235 session high earlier in the window, with a chain of higher lows since the 1.39530 dip. The grind sits with the broad USD-firm, CAD-soft backdrop after hot US PPI; RSI(14) near 63 with room before extremes.
Support: 1.39738, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 round number opens the path to the 1.40167 session high
Failure to hold 1.39738 recent low reopens the 1.39530 swing low
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 56 · price 1.3982
Consolidation under session high after pullback from spike.
London session has USD/CAD holding near YTD highs at 1.3982 after rejecting the 1.40235 spike, with USD firm on hot PPI and CAD soft. Price is consolidating between the 1.3951 swing low and the 1.3982 session high; RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.3970, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39834, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3985 toward the 1.40000 round number opens the path higher
Failure to hold the 1.3970 recent low reopens the 1.3951 swing low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground back up to ~1.3982 in early London after the pullback off the 1.4023 high, supported by a firm USD on hot PPI. Price is consolidating between 1.3974 and the 1.3985 session high, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.3974, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.4000, 1.4023
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3985 reopens the path toward the 1.4000 round number
Loss of 1.3974 range floor exposes 1.3953 swing low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Range, off the highs · RSI 51 · price 1.39753
Consolidation under prior swing high.
Asian session pushed USDCAD to a session high at 1.40235 before a sharp rejection dropped price to 1.39510, with the firm USD on hot PPI keeping CAD on the back foot near YTD highs. Early London is now ranging 1.39710–1.39850, RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 1.3971, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39850 reopens the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39710 range low exposes 1.39510 swing low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
07:02 UTC
Pulled back from highs, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.39753
Consolidation under prior session high.
USDCAD tagged a session high at 1.40235 then sold off hard on profit-taking before settling into a tight 1.3970–1.3985 range, the bid underpinned by hot US PPI and a soft Loonie. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips into the London open — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.3970, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39850 reopens the path to the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39700 session low exposes the 1.39530 swing low
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the range
06:46 UTC
Pullback from highs, ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.39773
Ranging below 1.4000 after rejection of session high.
USDCAD was rejected at the 1.40235 session high during NY hours and shed ~50 pips into 1.3953 before stabilising. Since then it has ranged 1.39700–1.39850 through Asia into early London, RSI(14) neutral near 49 with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.3970, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.4002
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39850 range top reopens 1.40020 prior high
Loss of 1.39700 floor exposes the 1.39530 swing low
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the broad USD read
06:46 UTC
Range after NY sell-off · RSI 49 · price 1.39773
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD spiked to 1.4023 then was sold hard through the NY session, with one bar sweeping down to 1.3953 as oil and USD haven flows whipsawed the Loonie. Since then it has churned in a 1.3953-1.3985 range; price now sits mid-range near 1.3977 with RSI flat around 49.
Support: 1.3971, 1.39634, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39853, 1.4002
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39853 reopens the 1.40 congestion
Loss of 1.39530 session low confirms a lower-low
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could break this range
06:31 UTC
Ranging after sell-off from highs · RSI 48 · price 1.39762
Consolidation mid-range below 1.3985.
USDCAD tagged 1.40235 in the NY session before a sharp leg lower swept to 1.39530 as the dollar pared its 3-month-high gains. Price has since consolidated 1.3970–1.3985 into the London open, RSI(14) back at neutral 48; the 1.39850 session high caps and the 1.39715 spike low is holding.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39850 reopens the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39715 exposes the 1.39530 swing low
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
06:31 UTC
Range after sharp reversal · RSI 50 · price 1.39762
Consolidating below failed 1.40 push.
USDCAD tagged 1.40235 then reversed hard to 1.39530 as the failed push above 1.40 unwound, with oil flows and a stretched USD long behind the move. Price now ranges 1.39700–1.39850 into the Asian-London transition, rejecting 1.39852 on the latest probe with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.3970, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39852, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39850 reopens the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39700 targets the 1.39530 swing low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
06:16 UTC
Pulled back from highs, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 1.39767
Consolidation under session high after rejection.
USDCAD spiked to a 1.40235 window high mid-session then sold off ~70 pips on the intraday oil slump, sweeping back to 1.3951 before stabilising. Price now consolidates 1.3970-1.3985 and sits right on the 61.8% retrace of the prior advance with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 1.3970, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.4008, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39850 reopens the path toward the 1.40080 pivot
Failure to hold 1.39700 exposes the 1.39510 session low
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Range after rejection from highs · RSI 51 · price 1.39767
Consolidating below session high, sweep low held.
USDCAD spiked to a fresh ~1.40235 high then sold off sharply, sweeping down to 1.39715 as the oil-driven CAD pressure eased intraday. Price is now ranging 1.3972–1.3985 with RSI(14) neutral near 51; rejection at the 1.40000 round number still caps.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3985, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39850 reopens 1.40000 and the 1.40235 high
Failure to hold 1.39715 confirms a lower-low toward 1.39530
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Rising lows since the session low, testing session high.
USDCAD is grinding higher through the Asia session after the prior NY selloff from the 1.40235 prior high. Recovery now testing the 1.39852 session high on a chain of rising lows off the 1.39510 session low, RSI(14) mid-range near 60.
Support: 1.3970, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39852, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39852 session high opens the path to the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39700 swing low risks a retest of the 1.39510 session low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the broad USD read
Consolidation under session range top after sweep lower.
USDCAD probed 1.40235 during NY hours then got rejected, dumping to 1.39530 as USD longs trimmed; price has since ground back to the 1.39830 range top in quiet Asia/early-London trade. RSI(14) near 61, ATR a thin ~4 pips — momentum constructive but contained below the YTD-high zone.
Support: 1.3971, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3983, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39830 reopens the 1.40000 round number and 1.40235 high
Failure to hold 1.39710 risks a retest of the 1.39530 session low
US Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
NY session rejected 1.40235 and dropped to a 1.39530 swing low; Asia has since ground higher into the London open, retracing roughly half that move. Price now tests 1.39821 just under the 1.40000 round number with RSI(14) near 62 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.3970, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40000 opens path to the 1.40235 session high
Failure to hold 1.39700 reopens the 1.39530 swing low
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
05:46 UTC
Recovering off lows, ranging · RSI 59 · price 1.39821
Rebound after sharp selloff, grinding back into resistance.
USDCAD spiked to 1.40235 then was rejected and sold off sharply to 1.39510 during the NY session. Price has since stabilised and ground back to 1.39821, now testing the 1.39880 session-high area with RSI(14) near 59. ATR sits around 4 pips, signalling a quiet recovery rather than directional drive.
Support: 1.3971, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3988, 1.4002
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39880 opens path back to the 1.40020 prior high
Failure to hold 1.39710 recent low reopens the 1.39510 swing low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the broad USD read
Asia session grinding in a tight 1.3971-1.3980 band after the NY pullback off the 1.4023 high, RSI neutral near 55. Price holds above EMA20/50 but momentum is flat; no setup in play.
Support: 1.39707, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.39797, 1.3983
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 session high opens path toward 1.3983 and prior 1.40 area
Failure to hold 1.3971 exposes the 1.3953 swing low
Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the broad USD read
05:31 UTC
Consolidating after pullback from highs · RSI 54 · price 1.39786
Range-bound 1.3971-1.3983, holding mid-fib.
USDCAD spiked to 1.4023 then dumped to 1.3951 and has since coiled in a tight 1.3971-1.3983 range, now parked on the 38.2% retrace at 1.3979. CAD stays soft on the post-BoC, oil-led backdrop but momentum has stalled — RSI(14) neutral near 54, no setup in play.
Support: 1.3971, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3983, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39830 reopens the path to 1.40000
Loss of 1.39710 exposes the 1.39510 swing low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
05:16 UTC
Range-bound after intraday drop · RSI 51 · price 1.39753
Consolidation under 1.3980 following a sharp NY-session sell-off.
USDCAD rejected the 1.40235 high in the prior NY session and dropped sharply to 1.3951 before stabilising. Asia hours have been a tight consolidation between 1.3970 and 1.3980, price now coiled at 1.39753 with RSI(14) flat near 51 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.3970, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39800 session high reopens the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39700 recent low exposes the 1.39510 swing low
Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break this range
05:16 UTC
Range after NY rejection · RSI 48 · price 1.39753
Tight consolidation under prior shelf.
Pair rejected from 1.40235 during the prior NY session and dropped to 1.3953 on the intraday oil-led CAD move, then recovered into a tight Asian-session range 1.3970-1.3980. RSI(14) neutral near 48, price pinned around the EMAs with no momentum in play.
Support: 1.3970, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4008, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 reopens the path toward the 1.40080 shelf
Break below 1.3970 exposes the 1.3953 swing low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
05:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.39721
Range after rejection off 1.4023 high.
USDCAD ran to a 1.40235 high then saw a sharp rejection back into the 1.3960s as oil and USD haven flows wobbled. Price has since spent the Asia session ranging 1.3960–1.3980, now hugging the lower half near 1.3972 with RSI neutral and price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.39636, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4002, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 reopens 1.4002 and the 1.40235 high
Loss of 1.3951 asian low confirms a lower low
US Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the broad USD read
05:02 UTC
Range after sharp rejection · RSI 47 · price 1.39721
Consolidating below 1.3980 cap.
USDCAD spiked to 1.40235 then was sharply rejected mid-window, an ~300-pip intrabar flush back to 1.3953 as the broad USD bid wobbled. Since then price has chopped between 1.3962 and 1.3980, now sitting mid-range at 1.3972 with RSI flat near 47 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.3962, 1.3951, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 reopens the 1.40000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.39620 range floor exposes the 1.39510 swing low
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
04:46 UTC
Range after NY rejection · RSI 45 · price 1.3971
Ranging below intraday high, lower high posted.
USDCAD rallied to a fresh 1.4023 NY high before a sharp rejection dumped it to 1.3953, in line with USD safe-haven flows and soft oil pressuring CAD. Since then it has ranged 1.3953–1.3980 through the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 45 with price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3935
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4023
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 range top reopens 1.4023 NY high
Loss of 1.3953 swing low confirms a lower low toward 1.3935 session low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift broad USD and this read
04:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.3971
Consolidation under session high after rejection.
USDCAD probed a fresh YTD high at 1.4023 then sold off sharply back through 1.4000, with the loonie failing to hold an earlier advantage around the BoC hold. Price has since drifted into a 1.3960–1.3980 range, sitting near the 0.618 retrace of the prior impulse with RSI(14) neutral and Asian-session volume thin.
Support: 1.3960, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4003, 1.4023
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3980 range top puts 1.4003 and the 1.4023 ytd high back in play
Loss of 1.3960 swing low confirms a deeper retrace toward the session low at 1.3953
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the broad USD read
04:31 UTC
Range after NY rejection · RSI 46 · price 1.39729
Consolidating below 1.3980 after slump from 1.4023.
USDCAD spiked to a 1.4023 swing high during NY then got slapped back to 1.3951, and Asia has since ground sideways in a tight 1.3971-1.3980 band. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 and ATR has collapsed to ~3 pips, reflecting a dead Asian session ahead of London.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 reopens the 1.4000 psych level and 1.4023 swing high
Loss of 1.3953 swing low confirms a lower low
London open could lift volatility out of this Asian range
04:31 UTC
Pullback from highs, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.39729
Lower high after rejection, consolidating.
USDCAD spiked to 1.40235 in the NY session before a sharp rejection back through 1.40, reflecting the broad USD bid into 1.40-1.41 congestion. Asian session is now ranging 1.39712-1.39800 beneath the EMAs, RSI(14) neutral around 44 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.39712, 1.3953, 1.39572
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.40023, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39800 reopens the 1.40023 swing high
Loss of 1.39712 session low confirms a lower-low
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the broad USD read
04:16 UTC
Rangebound after rejection from highs · RSI 47 · price 1.39736
Ranging 1.3953-1.3980 below faded 1.4023 high.
USDCAD spiked to 1.4023 during NY then got slammed ~290 pips intrabar on the oil-led move, settling into a 1.3953-1.3980 range. Asian session is quiet with ATR compressed to ~3 pips, price drifting toward the range floor at 1.3971.
Support: 1.3971, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40125
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 reopens the 1.40 psych level
Loss of 1.3971 exposes the 1.3953 swing low
Michigan Sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift broad USD and break this range
04:16 UTC
Rally faded, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.39736
Rejection at 1.4023, consolidating 1.3950-1.3980.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh high at 1.40235 before a sharp rejection dropped it ~250 pips, in line with the broad USD bid into 1.40-1.41 congestion. Asia is now consolidating between 1.3950 and 1.3980, RSI neutral near 44 with price under EMA20.
Support: 1.39637, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3980 range top reopens 1.4000 psych and the 1.40235 session high
Failure to hold 1.39637 swing low exposes 1.39510
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the broad USD read
USDCAD spiked to a 1.40235 day high during the NY push then was sharply rejected back below 1.3980, tracking the broad USD/oil flows around the YTD highs. Price has since coiled between 1.39530 and the 1.39800 session high; now drifting at 1.39727 with RSI near 45 and below both EMAs.
Support: 1.39634, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39800 session high reopens the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39530 session low confirms a lower-low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift USD broadly
04:02 UTC
Pullback after rejection, now ranging · RSI 43 · price 1.39727
Consolidation below day high, drifting to range floor.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh day high near 1.40235 before a sharp rejection dumped price to 1.39510, in line with USD near the 1.40 congestion. Into quiet Asia hours the pair is consolidating 1.39715–1.39800 and drifting toward the range floor.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.40125, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39715 reopens the 1.39510 session low
Reclaim of 1.39800 range top eases the pullback read
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift broad USD
03:46 UTC
Pulled back from highs, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.39711
Consolidation after rejection of 1.4023.
NY session spiked to a fresh high at 1.4023 then sharply rejected, dropping to 1.3951 on the oil-led, USD safe-haven flows behind the YTD push. Price has since ranged 1.3960–1.3980 through the Asia session and now sits near the lower edge at 1.3971, RSI in the low 40s.
Support: 1.3951, 1.3963
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 1.3980 reopens the 1.4023 high
Loss of 1.3951 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
03:46 UTC
Rangebound after rejection · RSI 46 · price 1.39711
USD/CAD ranging near 1.3970 in late-Asia hours after the US-session push to 1.4023 was rejected and sold sharply to 1.3953. The recovery stalled below 1.3980; RSI(14) neutral and ATR compressed as the pair drifts.
Support: 1.3964, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4003, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 reopens the 1.4003 congestion
Loss of 1.3953 swing low confirms a lower low
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCAD tagged 1.4023 then sold off ~70 pips as an intraday oil slump and renewed USD safe-haven bid swung the cross, before buyers reclaimed ground toward 1.3980. Price now coils in a tight 1.3974–1.3980 band through the Asia session, RSI neutral near 45.
Support: 1.3965, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4003
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 session high reopens the path toward 1.4003 prior high
Failure to hold 1.3965 swing low exposes the 1.3953 range low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.39737
Ranging below 1.3980 after rejection at 1.4023.
USDCAD spiked to 1.4023 on the oil-led CAD selloff before a sharp rejection dumped it back to 1.3951; thin Asian-session trade has since coiled in a tight 1.3970–1.3980 range, drifting to 1.3974. RSI(14) neutral near 46, price pinned around EMA20.
Support: 1.3963, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.40003, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 opens the path back to 1.4000 round number
Failure to hold 1.3963 reopens the 1.3951 session low
Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USDCAD is consolidating tightly around 1.3977 in the Asia session, having clawed back from the NY-session selloff that swept down to 1.3953 off the 1.40235 day high — USD stayed broadly bid post-PPI. RSI(14) is neutral near 56 and ATR has compressed to ~3.6 pips as the range narrows under 1.3980.
Support: 1.3972, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3980 then round 1.4000 reopens the 1.40235 day high
Loss of 1.3953 session low reopens the downside
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could break this range
03:16 UTC
Pullback off highs, now flat · RSI 56 · price 1.3977
Consolidation after rejection from 1.4023.
USDCAD rallied to a 1.4023 session high during NY hours on the oil slump and firm USD, then was rejected and dropped to 1.3953 before recovering. Asian session is dead quiet — price coiling in a tight 1.3975–1.3980 band, ATR collapsed to ~3.6 pips.
Support: 1.3963, 1.3953, 1.3930
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4003, 1.4023
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3980 reopens the 1.4003–1.4023 area
Loss of 1.3953 confirms a lower low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
03:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 1.39767
Consolidation under range top after NY rejection.
USDCAD rallied to a 1.40235 NY high, then a sharp rejection swept the pair down to 1.39510 before buyers recovered it into a tight Asia-session range. Price now coils just under the 1.39800 range top, RSI(14) mid-range near 54, energy-led USD bid keeping CAD pinned near YTD highs.
Support: 1.39632, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39800 reopens the path toward 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39632 range floor confirms a lower low back toward 1.39510
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
USDCAD pushed to a fresh ytd high near 1.40235 through the NY session on broad USD demand, then saw a sharp rejection back to 1.39510. Asian hours have flattened into a tight 1.39715–1.39800 consolidation on thinning volume, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39800 reopens the 1.40000 round number and ytd high
Loss of 1.39715 swing low confirms a lower low toward 1.39510
Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
02:46 UTC
Mild recovery within range · RSI 57 · price 1.39777
Ranging in upper third after NY rejection.
USDCAD probed 1.4023 during NY before a sharp rejection back to 1.3951, and Asia has since coiled tightly between 1.3970 and 1.3980. RSI(14) neutral near 57 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips — no directional setup in play, range top at 1.3980 still capping.
Support: 1.39715, 1.39542, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.40003
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 reopens the 1.40 psych zone
Failure to hold 1.39715 confirms a lower low and range break down
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
02:46 UTC
Rejection from highs, now flat · RSI 55 · price 1.39777
Consolidation under 1.3980 after NY rejection.
NY session pushed to a session high near 1.40235 then saw a sharp rejection back to 1.39530, with USD broadly firm and CAD soft post-BoC. Asia hours have coiled into a tight 1.39715-1.39800 range, RSI mid-range and ATR thin at ~4 pips.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39800 reopens the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39715 confirms a lower low toward 1.39530 session low
UoM Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could break the range
02:31 UTC
Pullback off highs, consolidating · RSI 55 · price 1.39772
Sharp drop from 1.4023, now ranging 1.3951–1.3980.
USDCAD was rejected at the 1.4023 NY swing high in a single sharp sell candle, then consolidated 1.3951–1.3980 through Asia hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 55; price holds above EMA20 but stays capped under EMA50 ~1.3983, grinding back toward the 1.3980 session cap.
Support: 1.39634, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.40003, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 reopens the 1.40 congestion
Failure to hold 1.3965 reopens the 1.3951 session low
UoM Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
02:31 UTC
Intraday range after NY rejection · RSI 54 · price 1.39772
Ranging below 1.3980 after lower high off 1.4023.
USDCAD ran to 1.4023 then was sharply rejected back to 1.3971 during NY hours, leaving a lower high. Price has since coiled 1.3951–1.3980 through the Asia session, now grinding back toward session resistance at 1.398.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3951, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.40003, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 reopens the path toward the 1.40 round number
Loss of 1.39715 spike low exposes the 1.3951 swing low
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the broad USD read
02:16 UTC
Pullback after rally, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 1.39766
Rangebound 1.3955-1.3980 after sharp drop from highs.
USDCAD spiked above 1.4000 to 1.40235 during NY hours then was sharply rejected, sweeping back to 1.3951 as the dollar's safe-haven bid wobbled. Through the Asia session price has consolidated 1.3955-1.3980 with RSI(14) neutral near 53; higher lows are building off 1.3951 but the session high near 1.3980 still caps.
Support: 1.3963, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3980 reopens the 1.4000 round number and the 1.40235 prior high
Loss of 1.3963 swing low exposes the 1.3951 session low
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the broad USD read
USDCAD rejected the 1.4024 NY-session high and sold off sharply to 1.3951 before basing through the Asia session. Price has recovered to 1.3977, sitting near the 50% retrace of the prior rally with RSI neutral; range 1.3951–1.3980 still defining the move.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39799, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3980 reopens the 1.40-1.41 congestion
Failure to hold 1.3951 confirms a lower-low
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
02:02 UTC
Pullback within uptrend, recovering · RSI 56 · price 1.3979
Rejected session high, grinding off swing low.
USDCAD spiked to a session high of 1.40235 during NY hours, then sold off sharply to 1.3953 as the move unwound, before grinding back to 1.3979 through the Asia session. Price sits between the 1.3953 swing low and the 1.4000 round number, with USD firm into FOMC and oil-led CAD weakness underpinning the broader push.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4000 reopens the path to the 1.40235 session high
Failure to hold 1.3953 swing low confirms a lower low
Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
02:02 UTC
Recovering after rejection at highs · RSI 58 · price 1.3979
Range, rising lows into Asia.
USDCAD printed a fresh YTD high at 1.40235 during the NY session before a sharp rejection dumped it to 1.3951, the move tied to a brief oil bounce against the firm safe-haven USD. Asia session has been quiet, grinding back to 1.3979 on rising lows; RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with ATR compressed around 5 pips.
Support: 1.39634, 1.3951, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.4002, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40020 reopens the path to the 1.40235 ytd high
Loss of 1.39634 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the recovery
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the read
01:46 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff, micro uptrend · RSI 62 · price 1.39793
Higher lows off 1.3951, capped under 1.3982.
USDCAD spiked to a fresh YTD high near 1.40235 in NY hours on the oil slump and safe-haven USD bid, then rejected and sold off to 1.3951. Asia session has ground back up in a chain of higher lows to 1.3979, RSI mid-60s, with the 1.3982 session high yet to be cleared.
Support: 1.3963, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3982, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3982 reopens the 1.40000 round number and the 1.40235 ny high
Loss of 1.3963 higher low breaks the recovery sequence toward the 1.3951 session low
Michigan Sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:46 UTC
Recovery grind after rejection at YTD high · RSI 59 · price 1.39793
Higher lows rebuilding under 1.3982 after the 1.4023 rejection.
USDCAD was rejected at the fresh YTD high near 1.40235 and dumped to 1.39510 on an oil-driven whipsaw, then ground back up through Asia hours to 1.3979. Price is carving higher lows inside a recovery channel but capped below the 1.39820 recent high; RSI(14) mid-range near 59, no extreme.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3960, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3982, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39820 opens the path back toward the 1.40000 round number
Failure to hold 1.39600 reopens the 1.39510 swing low
US Michigan Sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:31 UTC
Pullback within uptrend, recovering · RSI 57 · price 1.3978
Rejection from YTD high, grinding back up off swing low.
USDCAD spiked to a fresh YTD high at 1.40235 during NY hours on firm USD and an oil slump, before a sharp rejection dumped it to 1.3953. Asia session has clawed back to 1.3978, holding above the 38.2% retrace of that drop with RSI near 57.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39613
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4000 reopens the path to the 1.40235 session high
Loss of 1.3953 confirms a lower low
US Michigan Sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD spiked to a fresh YTD high near 1.4023 in the NY session before a sharp rejection dumped it to 1.3953 on safe-haven and oil-driven flows. Since then it has consolidated 1.3953–1.3980 with a chain of higher-lows into Asia, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range. Session high at 1.3980 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3922, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000, 1.4023
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3980 reopens path to the 1.4000–1.4023 congestion
Failure to hold 1.3953 swing low confirms a lower-low
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, grinding up · RSI 60 · price 1.39783
Higher lows off 1.3951 base, sub-1.3980 cap.
Asia session grinding higher off a 1.3951 double bottom after the NY-hours drop from the 1.40235 day high. RSI(14) mid-50s/60s, volatility thin (ATR ~7 pips); 1.3980 prior-high area is capping the recovery for now.
Support: 1.39637, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3982, 1.40003, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3980/1.40003 opens the path back to the 1.40235 day high
Loss of 1.39637 swing low reopens the 1.3951 session low
UoM Michigan Fri 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
01:16 UTC
Pullback off highs, recovering · RSI 59 · price 1.39783
Consolidation after sharp NY sell-off.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4023 swing high during NY hours and dumped to 1.3951 on the oil/safe-haven swings flagged into FOMC week. Asia session has carved a 1.3960–1.3980 range, grinding back toward the 1.3983 session high; RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.3963, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.39831, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3983 reopens the 1.4000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.3963 confirms a lower-low and threatens 1.3951
Oil / Middle East headlines remain the exogenous driver for CAD
01:02 UTC
Pullback from NY high, ranging · RSI 56 · price 1.39768
Sharp rejection off 1.40235, then sideways recovery.
USDCAD topped at 1.40235 during NY hours then sold off sharply to 1.39510 as the safe-haven USD bid faded into the close, leaving the pair near a six-month high. Asia session has been a quiet drift back to 1.39768, retracing roughly 38% of that drop; ATR has collapsed to ~6 pips on thin overnight flow.
Support: 1.3963, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3982, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39820 swing high reopens the path toward 1.40000
Loss of 1.39630 pivot exposes the 1.39510 session low
Move is oil/safe-haven driven — fresh Middle East headlines could shift this read
After tagging a session high at 1.4023 the pair sold off sharply to 1.3953 on the renewed safe-haven USD bid, then clawed back to 1.3977 through the low-liquidity Asian session, printing higher lows off the base. Price is now stalling just under the 1.3982 swing high, holding around the 38% retrace of the selloff with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.3970, 1.3953
Resistance: 1.3982, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3982 swing high opens the path back toward 1.4000 round number
Failure to hold the 1.3970 intraday base exposes the 1.3953 swing low
Oil / Middle East headlines could reignite USD safe-haven flows and shift this read
00:46 UTC
Range, recovering after rejection · RSI 59 · price 1.39768
Spike-rejection then sideways recovery inside 1.3951–1.3988.
NY session spiked to 1.4023 and was sharply rejected back below 1.40 — a false break driven by USD safe-haven flows. Asia session has ground back to 1.3977 on light volume, holding inside the 1.3951–1.3988 band with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.39715, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3987, 1.4003, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3988 reopens the 1.40 area
Failure to hold 1.3951 confirms a lower low
UoM Michigan Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
00:46 UTC
Rebounding off lows, consolidating · RSI 56 · price 1.39768
Consolidation after NY selloff.
NY session sold off hard from 1.40235 down to a 1.39510 session low, with the loonie pressured as the USD held its safe-haven bid. Asia hours have stabilised into a 1.3964–1.3977 grind, price retracing ~38% of that drop and reclaiming EMA20 while still capped below EMA50.
Support: 1.39636, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3983, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39830 extends the recovery toward the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39636 recent low reopens the 1.39510 session low
Fri Michigan Sentiment (14:00 UTC) could reset USD safe-haven flows
00:31 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 61 · price 1.39727
NY session rejected the 1.4023 high and sold off sharply to 1.3971 around 17:30 broker-adjusted, RSI cooling from overbought. Asia session has since ground back to 1.3973 on thin volume, posting higher lows off 1.3951; the 1.3977 swing high is capping for now.
Support: 1.3965, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3977, 1.4005
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3977 reopens the path toward 1.4000
Failure to hold 1.3965 puts the 1.3951 session low back in play
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff, now ranging · RSI 55 · price 1.39727
Range above 1.3953 swing low, sub session-high.
NY session spiked to 1.40235 then sold off hard to 1.3953 on the loonie's oil/safe-haven swing, a sharp rejection of the day high. Asia is now consolidating 1.3953–1.3977 with price grinding back to mid-range near 1.39727; RSI(14) neutral around 55, ATR thinned to ~9 pips in the quiet hours.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39613
Resistance: 1.3977, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3977 session high opens path back to 1.4000
Failure to hold 1.3953 confirms a lower-low extension
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this range
00:16 UTC
Ranging after NY sell-off · RSI 57 · price 1.39758
Consolidation, recovering off session low.
Pair spiked to 1.40235 in NY hours then sold off hard to 1.3951 as oil and safe-haven USD flows whipsawed the loonie. Asian session is thin and ranging between 1.3951 and 1.3977, with price grinding back up to the swing high after a ~34% retrace of the NY drop.
Support: 1.3963, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3977, 1.4000, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3977 reopens the 1.4000 round number
Recovering after intraday selloff · RSI 53 · price 1.39758
Consolidation, higher lows off 1.3951.
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.40235 NY-session high and dumped to 1.39715 on the oil-driven safe-haven swing, then steadied. Thin Asia session is grinding back toward 1.3976 on higher lows off 1.3951, RSI neutral near 53; the 1.3982 cap is still respected.
Support: 1.39634, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3982, 1.40235
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39820 reopens the 1.40235 high
Failure to hold 1.39510 confirms a fresh lower low
UoM Michigan Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD safe-haven flows
00:02 UTC
Pulled back from highs, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 1.39719
Lower highs into range above 1.3953.
USDCAD spiked to 1.40235 then collapsed to 1.39715 on a single bar during NY hours, rejecting the day high. Since then it has ranged 1.3953–1.3983 under a series of lower highs; the quiet Asia session has price grinding back toward 1.3972 on thin volume.
Support: 1.39572, 1.3951
Resistance: 1.3983, 1.40003
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39830 challenges the lower-highs structure
Failure to hold 1.3953 session low reopens the downside
Oil and Middle East safe-haven headlines remain the primary CAD driver
00:02 UTC
Pullback after rejection, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.39719
Rejected at session high, consolidating off lows.
NY session drove USDCAD to a session high of 1.40235 before a sharp ~50-pip rejection knocked it back, as an intraday oil slump and safe-haven USD flows whipsawed the loonie. Asia session is consolidating 1.3951–1.3980 with RSI back near neutral; the 1.39800 prior swing caps for now.
Support: 1.3951, 1.39572
Resistance: 1.3981, 1.40003, 1.40235
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39810 reopens the 1.40000 round number and session high
Failure to hold 1.39510 confirms a lower low
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift USD flows