USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 1.4100 confluence and tagging a session high at 1.4111 in line with the two-day recovery off 1.4000. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.4105–1.4111 band on thin Asia-hours volume, RSI mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.4105, 1.40765, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.4111, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4111 extends the move toward the 1.4130 upper band
Loss of 1.4105 recent floor puts 1.40765 prior shelf back in play
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could shift this read
USDCAD ran a steady NY-session grind from the 1.4054 low to a one-week high at 1.4111, stalling below the 1.4110 confluence flagged in the CAD read. Asia hours have gone flat, coiling in a tight 1.4105–1.4110 band with RSI(14) easing off the highs.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4084, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4111, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41110 opens the path to the 1.41300 confluence
Loss of 1.41000 round number would confirm rejection of the session high
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this intraday read
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.4054 low up to a one-week high near 1.4111, in line with the tariff-driven CAD softness. Price is now pinned in a tight 1.4105-1.4111 band through the thin Asia session, RSI cooling in the low-60s and the 1.4100 round number holding as a floor.
Support: 1.4105, 1.4085, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4111, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4111 opens the path to 1.4130
Failure to hold 1.4105 exposes the 1.4085 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the 1.4100 confluence during NY hours and is now consolidating tight near the 1.41110 session high on thin late-session volume. Soft June CPI keeps CAD heavy, but the rally has stalled just below resistance with RSI cooling and ranges compressing.
Support: 1.41037, 1.4095, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4111, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41110 opens the path toward the 1.41300 upper band
Loss of 1.41037 recent low reopens the 1.40950 swing low
Thin Asia-session liquidity can exaggerate moves off these levels
USDCAD ground higher off the 1.4055 swing low through the NY session, peaking at the 1.4110 confluence that the two-day CAD-soft recovery has stalled against. Price now coiling in a tight 1.4105-1.4110 band in the Asian lull, ATR compressed to ~5 pips as momentum flattens.
Support: 1.4105, 1.4099, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41106, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path toward the 1.4130 confluence
Failure to hold the 1.4105 range floor exposes 1.4099 and the 1.4055 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the intraday read
NY session drove a steady grind up to the 1.4110 confluence before stalling; price is now consolidating just beneath it in thin Asian-hours trade, RSI(14) cooling near 59. The 1.4105 floor is holding for now, keeping the intraday uptrend intact.
Support: 1.4105, 1.4076, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4110 confluence opens the path to 1.4130
Loss of 1.4105 consol floor puts 1.4076 prior high back in play
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
NY session drove USDCAD off 1.4055 up to a session high at 1.41105 on fresh Trump tariff headlines, then the pair flattened into Asia just under the 1.4100 confluence. Price is coiling in a 1.41050–1.41105 band with RSI(14) cooling from earlier highs, momentum easing.
Support: 1.4105, 1.4087, 1.40576
Resistance: 1.41105, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41105 opens the path toward the 1.4130 upper band
Failure to hold 1.41050 breaks the intraday uptrend line and exposes 1.40870
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.4055 low into the 1.4110 confluence, driven by fresh Trump tariff threats on CAD. Price is now coiling in a tight range just under 1.4110 through quiet Asia hours, RSI cooling into the mid-50s.
Support: 1.4105, 1.4085, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4110 confluence opens the path to 1.4130
Loss of 1.4105 range floor points back toward the 1.4085 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session lifted USDCAD off the 1.4055 swing low to the 1.4100/1.4110 confluence on fresh Trump tariff threats, then stalled. Late-session tape is a tight 1.4100-1.4110 consolidation on thin volume, RSI(14) cooling from the push.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40763, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41105, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41105 opens the path to the 1.4130 upper band
Loss of 1.4100 shifts price back into the prior intraday range
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session on fresh Trump tariff threats capping CAD, tagging a session high at 1.41105 into the 1.4100 confluence before stalling. Price is now flat and thin in the Asia hours, coiling between 1.4105 and the 1.4110 ceiling with RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.4105, 1.4084, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.41105, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41105 opens the path to 1.4130 upper band
Loss of 1.41050 range floor would break the intraday higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/CAD ground up from the 1.40555 session low through the 1.4100 confluence during NY hours, tagging a session high at 1.41105 as firmer USD and the CAD tariff overhang carried the recovery. Price is now consolidating just above 1.4100 in thin Asia-hour volume, with RSI(14) cooling off from the push and 1.4100 flipping to support.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40763, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41105, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41000 puts price back inside the prior range
Break and hold above 1.41105 opens the 1.4130 upper band
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.40555 low to a one-week high at 1.41105 on a firmer USD, then stalled just above the 1.4100 round number. Asia hours are thin and flat, ATR near 4 pips, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s as price coils under the session high.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41105
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4100 puts the 1.40555 session low back in play
Break and hold above 1.41105 extends the intraday uptrend
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.4055 low up to a session high near 1.4110, with CAD soft after the June CPI miss and tariff overhang. Price is now consolidating just under 1.4110 in thin Asian trade, RSI cooling from earlier highs; the 1.4100 confluence still caps.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path to 1.4130
Failure to hold 1.4085 signals a pullback toward the session low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the CAD read
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.4055 low to a one-week high near 1.41105, stalling under the 1.4100 confluence flagged in context as soft CAD CPI and tariff overhang capped the Loonie. Price is now consolidating 1.4104-1.4110 into thin late-session liquidity, RSI cooling from the push.
Support: 1.41037, 1.4095, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41105, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41105 session high opens the path toward the 1.4130 upper band
Loss of the 1.41037 rising support risks a pullback to the 1.4095 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session broke above the 1.4100 confluence and tagged a session high at 1.41105 after soft Canadian CPI weighed on CAD. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4105-1.4110 band through Asian hours with RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41105, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4100 would put the breakout into retest
Sustained close above 1.41105 opens 1.4130
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
Higher highs / higher lows, now consolidating at session top.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.4054 low, cleared the 1.4100 confluence and printed a session high at 1.41105 as soft Canadian CPI kept the Loonie offered. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4105-1.4110 band into late session, RSI(14) cooling from the push.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40555, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.41105, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.4100 confluence would negate the breakout read
Sustained break of 1.41105 extends the intraday uptrend
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.4054 low, clearing the 1.4100 confluence flagged as the key hurdle after soft Canadian CPI. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4105–1.4110 band on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) mid-range near 57.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4095, 1.4076
Resistance: 1.4110
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 hold above 1.4100 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below 1.4095 opens a pullback toward the 1.4076 session low
Rejection at the 1.4110 session high would cap the move
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
USDCAD ground higher off the 1.4054 London low through NY, clearing the 1.4100 confluence after soft Canadian CPI. Price is now consolidating 1.4105–1.41105 into the late session, RSI cooling off its highs while holding above 1.4100.
Support: 1.4105, 1.4095, 1.40763
Resistance: 1.41105, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4105 recent floor reopens the 1.4095 swing low
M15 close above 1.41105 session high extends the breakout
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
21:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into session high · RSI 58 · price 1.41067
Higher highs since London low, consolidating at 1.4110.
USDCAD ground higher through the 1.4100 confluence after soft Canadian CPI, printing a session high at 1.41105 and now stalling just below it on thinning late-session volume. RSI(14) has cooled to the high-50s as the advance flattens into consolidation.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41105
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41105 extends the breakout toward 1.4130
Loss of the 1.41000 confluence reopens 1.40850 and the 1.40555 session low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours off the 1.40555 session low toward the 1.4100 confluence after soft Canadian CPI kept the pair bid. Price is now consolidating 1.4103-1.4110 just under the hurdle, RSI cooling off the push and end-of-session volume thin.
Support: 1.41033, 1.4090, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41105, 1.4110
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41105 needed to clear the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.41033 rising support opens 1.4090
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session, clearing the 1.4100 confluence after softer Canadian CPI kept the Loonie on the back foot, and is now consolidating 1.41050-1.41105 into the late NY close. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the flat top prints, with price holding above the round number.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4095, 1.40776
Resistance: 1.41105, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 1.4100 keeps the breakout intact; a close back below reopens 1.40950 swing low
Rejection at the 1.41105 session high would cap the range near-term
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst that could shift this read
USDCAD climbed through the NY session from 1.4055 to a session high 1.4110, clearing the 1.4100 confluence after soft Canadian CPI. Price is now consolidating just above 1.4100 into thin late-session hours, RSI cooling toward the mid-line and volume drying up.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40763, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41105
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41105 extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.4100 confluence puts the breakout at risk of a false break
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could reset this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.40555 low to the 1.4100 psych confluence after soft Canadian CPI, tagging 1.41105 as a session high. Momentum is flattening in a tight 1.4105–1.4110 range, RSI(14) cooling near 60.
Support: 1.4105, 1.4085, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41105, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41105 opens the path to 1.4130
Failure to hold the 1.4105 range low exposes 1.4085
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.40555 low up through 1.4100 after softer Canadian CPI, but the advance has stalled into 1.41105 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4105–1.4110 band, the 1.4100 confluence holding as near-term support.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41105, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41105 opens the path to 1.4130
Failure to hold 1.4100 confluence exposes 1.4085 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this range
Higher highs and higher lows, capped below 1.4110.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session after soft Canadian CPI, tagging 1.4110 before stalling into the 1.4100 confluence. Last few bars have gone flat around 1.4105 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs — momentum is fading right below resistance.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4089, 1.40763
Resistance: 1.41104, 1.4110
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path higher
Failure to hold the 1.4100 round number breaks the intraday HL chain
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
Higher highs into 1.4110, consolidating below highs.
USDCAD rebounded off the mid-window 1.4055 session low and pushed through the 1.4100 confluence during NY hours, following softer Canadian CPI. Price is now stalling just under the 1.4110 session high, RSI cooling near 57 as the last few bars flatten into a tight range.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path toward 1.4130
Loss of the 1.4100 confluence puts 1.4085 swing back in play
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.40555 session low toward the 1.41100 session high, aided by softer Canadian CPI. Price now consolidates just above the 1.4100 confluence with RSI cooling from the highs; repeated stalls at 1.4110 show supply capping there.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4084, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4110 opens the path toward 1.4130
Loss of the 1.4100 confluence returns price into the prior range
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
Higher highs into 1.4110, consolidating above 1.4100.
NY session pushed USDCAD through the 1.4100 confluence following soft Canada CPI, tagging a 1.4110 session high. Price is now coiling just above 1.4100 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs; the round level is being held so far.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.40763
Resistance: 1.41104, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.4100 opens the 1.4085 swing low
Sustained close above 1.41104 session high extends the breakout toward 1.4130
Higher highs/higher lows, consolidating at session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 1.4100 confluence after soft Canada CPI and now stalling just below the 1.41104 session high. RSI has cooled off the earlier push and price is holding above rising EMAs, consolidating in a tight 1.4105–1.4110 band.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40763, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41104
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 1.4100 keeps the breakout intact
Slip back below 1.40763 swing low signals loss of intraday momentum
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
NY session drove USDCAD up from the 1.4054 low through the 1.4100 confluence to a session high of 1.4110, helped by softer Canadian CPI. Price is now consolidating just under the high, RSI cooling from mid-session heat with the 1.4100 psych level flipped below.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40763, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.41104
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4110 session high opens path higher
Loss of 1.4100 psych negates the breakout read
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session and broke the 1.4100 confluence, now consolidating 1.4105-1.4110 into after-hours. Move follows soft Canadian CPI keeping CAD offered; RSI(14) around 60 and flattening as the drive stalls at the session high.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4076, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41104, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41104 extends the uptrend toward 1.4130
Loss of 1.4100 psych opens a retest of the 1.4076 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
20:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into confluence · RSI 61 · price 1.41062
USDCAD ground up through the NY session off the 1.4055 low, breaking the 1.4100 confluence after yesterday's soft Canadian CPI. Price now consolidating just above 1.4100 into the session close, capped at the 1.41104 session high with RSI holding in the low 60s.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40763, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41104, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4100 confluence reopens the 1.40763 swing low
Break and hold above 1.41104 exposes the 1.4130 prior high
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
19:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.41092
Chain of higher highs / higher lows through NY session.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.4054 low, taking out the 1.4100 psych confluence and printing a session high at 1.41102 as softer Canadian CPI kept the Loonie on the back foot. RSI(14) near 65 — firm, not extreme; price is stalling at the top of the leg rather than reversing.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4076, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.41102
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4110 extends the leg; failure back below 1.4100 opens 1.4076
Loss of 1.4076 breaks the higher-low chain toward the 1.4054 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking the 1.4100 confluence after soft Canadian CPI kept CAD on the back foot, and is now holding just above it near 1.4109. RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s as the session high at 1.4110 caps for now.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4065, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41104, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4100 on a close would negate the breakout and flip back into the 1.4055-1.4100 range
Sustained push through 1.4110 opens 1.4130
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
NY session pushed USDCAD through the 1.4100 confluence after yesterday's soft Canada CPI, extending a clean HH/HL chain off the 1.4055 session low. RSI holding the mid-60s with price stalling just under the 1.4110 session high.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.4110
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4100 negates the breakout and reopens 1.4085
1.4110 session high — area to watch for rejection or extension
19:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 65 · price 1.4106
Higher highs, higher lows off session low.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking the 1.4100 confluence and printing a session high at 1.4110 after softer Canadian CPI kept the Loonie on the back foot. Uptrend intact with a clean chain of higher lows off the 1.4054 session low; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4100 confluence would break the higher-low chain
A sustained push through 1.4110 opens the 1.4130 area
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.41081
Higher highs, higher lows; broke 1.4100.
NY session extended the grind higher, breaking the 1.4100 psych level after soft Canadian CPI kept the Loonie on the back foot; session high printed 1.41102. RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not extreme, price holding above EMA20/50 with shallow pullbacks.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40968, 1.40763
Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 1.4100 keeps the uptrend intact; loss of it reopens 1.40968 swing low
Close above 1.41102 session high opens the path toward 1.4130
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 66 · price 1.41081
HH/HL chain, broke 1.4100.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 1.4100 confluence hurdle to print a session high at 1.4110 after softer Canadian CPI kept the loonie on the back foot. RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme; buyers stepped in repeatedly on dips from the 1.4054 base.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4084, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 1.4100 reaffirms the breakout; a drop back below fades it into a false break
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC and US flash PMIs Fri could reshape this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 1.4100 confluence hurdle after soft Canadian CPI and printing a session high at 1.41102. The advance is a clean chain of higher lows off the 1.40540 base; RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not yet at an extreme.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 confirms the breakout; failure to hold re-opens the 1.4085 prior high
Rejection at the 1.41102 session high would cap the leg
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 1.4100 · RSI 63 · price 1.41058
Higher highs, higher lows off the session low.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session and broke the 1.4100 confluence, printing a session high at 1.41102 after softer Canadian CPI kept the pair firm. Price is now consolidating just above the level with RSI(14) mid-60s, well short of extreme.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4076, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4100 on a close reverts to the intraday range and negates the breakout
Failure to hold 1.40760 confirms a lower low
Sustained hold above 1.41102 opens the path toward 1.4130
NY session pushed USDCAD through the 1.4100 confluence hurdle, printing a session high at 1.41102 as soft Canadian CPI kept the Loonie soft. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but consistent with the grind higher; no rejection yet at the highs.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.40763
Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4130
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4100 psych level reopens 1.4085
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Sustained hold above 1.41102 opens the path toward 1.4130
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended into NY · RSI 70 · price 1.41091
Higher highs, breakout above 1.4100.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session and cleared the 1.4100 confluence hurdle, printing a session high at 1.41102 as soft Canadian CPI keeps CAD offered. RSI(14) near 70 — hot but consistent with the trend; the breakout level at 1.4100 is now the immediate reference below.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40763, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.41102, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4100 on a close reopens the 1.40763 swing low
A push through 1.41102 exposes the 1.4130 prior-high zone
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into NY · RSI 66 · price 1.41057
Chain of higher highs and higher lows, breakout above 1.4100.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the London-NY session, breaking the 1.4100 confluence flagged as the near-term hurdle after yesterday's soft Canada CPI. Price is holding just under the 1.41085 session high with RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not extreme. Higher-low structure remains intact off the 1.4054 base.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.4076
Resistance: 1.41085, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41085 opens the 1.4130 upper band
Loss of the 1.4100 psych level would put the breakout retest in play
Break below 1.4076 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended into highs · RSI 69 · price 1.41057
Chain of higher highs / higher lows.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking above the 1.4100 confluence to a session high at 1.41085 as soft Canadian CPI kept the BoC-pause narrative in play. RSI(14) near 69 is hot but not extreme for the trend; price is holding just under the round number after the break.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4095, 1.4076
Resistance: 1.41085, 1.4110
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41085 extends the uptrend toward the confluence overhead
Failure to hold 1.41000 reopens the 1.40950 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Chain of higher highs and higher lows into 1.4100.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session after soft Canada CPI, breaking above 1.4076 and stalling into the 1.4100 confluence with the session high at 1.4108. RSI(14) around 66 — elevated but not extreme; higher-low structure intact off the 1.4055 session low.
Support: 1.4076, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4108
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 confluence opens the path toward 1.4130
Failure to hold 1.4076 prior high breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next near-term catalyst
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 65 · price 1.41073
Higher highs and higher lows through NY session.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.4054 low, extending toward the 1.4100 confluence hurdle after softer Canada CPI kept BoC-pause pressure on CAD. Price is stalling just above 1.4100 with RSI(14) near 65 — momentum intact but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4089, 1.4076
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4113
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41100 confluence opens the path to 1.41130 upper band
Failure to hold 1.41000 round number risks a slip back to the 1.40890 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into 1.4100 confluence, stalling at session high.
NY session ground higher through the 1.4100 confluence after soft Canadian CPI, printing a session high at 1.41049, and is now consolidating in a tight range at the highs. RSI(14) elevated near 62 but off its peak; ATR sits near 9 pips.
Support: 1.40968, 1.40763, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.41049, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40968 breaks the higher-low chain
Sustained break above 1.41049 extends the intraday leg toward the 1.4130 band
Loss of the 1.4100 psych level puts 1.40763 swing low back in play
Higher highs into 1.4100 confluence, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, rallying from 1.4055 to a 1.41049 session high on the softer-than-expected Canada CPI and broad USD strength. Price is now stalling just above the 1.4100 psych level, holding a tight range with RSI(14) around 61.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4095, 1.4076
Resistance: 1.41049, 1.4110
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4105 opens the 1.4110 confluence band
Loss of 1.4100 psych puts the 1.40950 swing low back in focus
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 62 · price 1.4103
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD extended its NY-session climb to a one-week high at 1.4104 after softer Canada CPI kept the BoC-pause narrative in play, printing higher highs and higher lows off the 1.4055 session low. Price now stalls at the 1.4100 confluence with RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4095, 1.40763, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41042, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4104 opens the path toward the 1.4130 upper band
Loss of the 1.4095 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.4103
Chain of higher highs and higher lows into 1.4100.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, extending the post-CPI rebound and pressing the 1.4100 confluence with the session high at 1.4104. RSI(14) near 63 leaves room but the advance is stalling into the round number; demand has stepped in repeatedly on shallow pullbacks toward 1.4076.
Support: 1.4095, 1.4076, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.4104, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4104 opens the path to the 1.4130 upper band
Loss of 1.4076 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the intraday read
NY session ground USD/CAD up off the 1.4055 session low to a session high at 1.41042, following softer Canadian CPI; the advance has stalled into the 1.4100 psych level with RSI(14) cooling near 57. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.4095–1.4104 band, upper edge repeatedly capped.
Support: 1.4095, 1.40763, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41042
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41042 opens continuation toward the 1.4130 band
Loss of 1.40950 exposes the 1.40763 swing low and breaks the intraday higher-low chain
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session after yesterday's soft CAD CPI print, lifting off the 1.4054 session low toward the 1.4100 psych level. Price is now stalling just under the 1.41042 session high with RSI cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.40763, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.41042, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41042 session high extends the uptrend toward the 1.4130 area
Failure to hold 1.40763 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Higher highs into 1.4100, stalling at session high.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.4100 psychological level to a session high at 1.41042 after soft Canada CPI kept the BoC pause narrative alive. Price is now consolidating just above 1.4100 with RSI cooling from the highs; the 1.4100 confluence is the pivot being tested.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4088, 1.4076
Resistance: 1.41042, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41042 opens the 1.4130 upper band
Loss of 1.4088 swing low negates the 1.4100 breakout
Thu Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session after soft Canada CPI cemented the BoC-pause read, breaking above 1.4085 to a session high at 1.41042. Price now testing the 1.4100 psychological/confluence hurdle with RSI(14) cooling from the push; last bars are stalling just under the session high.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40888, 1.40763
Resistance: 1.41042, 1.4110
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41042 opens the 1.4110 confluence
Loss of 1.4100 psych level would signal the rally stalling into 1.40888
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session off soft Canadian CPI, tagging a session high at 1.4104 before stalling; last four bars faded back to 1.40948 with RSI cooling from the highs. Price holds above EMA20/50 but the push above the 1.4100 round number has lost thrust.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4076, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4104, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4090 swing low breaks the intraday HL chain
M15 close above 1.4104 reopens the path higher
Thu Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) is the next data catalyst
NY session drove USDCAD off 1.40555 up to a session high 1.41042, stalling at the 1.41 psych level after softer Canadian CPI kept the pair bid. Price is easing back to 1.40948 with RSI cooling from the highs; the intraday uptrend structure holds while higher lows stack up.
Support: 1.4088, 1.4076, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41042, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41042 opens the path toward 1.4130
Loss of 1.4088 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next near-term catalyst
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.4055 low to test the 1.4100 psych confluence after soft Canada CPI reinforced the BoC-pause read, RSI(14) elevated near 68. Move is stalling just under the level with the session high capping at 1.4104.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4076, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.4104, 1.4100, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 opens the path to 1.4130
Failure to hold 1.4090 breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next near-term catalyst
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.4099
Chain of higher highs and higher lows into 1.4100.
NY session extended the London-built uptrend, pressing the 1.4100 psych confluence with a session high at 1.4104 after soft CAD CPI kept USD/CAD supported. RSI(14) hot near 68 but not extreme; higher lows intact along the ascending trendline.
Support: 1.4075, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.4104, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4104 opens room past the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.4075 breaks the higher-low chain and threatens the uptrend read
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this intraday structure
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended into confluence · RSI 72 · price 1.4101
Chain of higher highs / higher lows, NY leg.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, breaking last week's 1.4085 high and pressing the 1.4100 confluence flagged post-soft Canada CPI and fresh US tariffs. RSI(14) near 72 — hot but consistent with the trend; session high 1.41021 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4076, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.41021, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41021 opens the 1.4130 upper band
Failure to hold 1.4076 breaks the higher-low chain
US-Iran ceasefire headlines could unwind the USD bid
Chain of higher highs and higher lows, breakout above psych 1.4100.
NY session ground steadily higher and cleared the 1.4100 psych level to a fresh session high at 1.4102, aided by a firm USD and softer Canadian CPI keeping CAD on the back foot. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; the rally off the 1.4055 range low held a chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.4088, 1.4076, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.4102, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 1.4100 opens the path to the 1.4130 confluence
Loss of the 1.4088 swing low breaks the rising higher-low structure
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 1.40998
Chain of higher highs into 1.4100.
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session, tapping the 1.4100 psych level with a session high at 1.41021 on the tariff-driven USD bid. RSI(14) is hot near 71 but the higher-high chain remains intact; buyers held the 1.4088 dip.
Support: 1.4088, 1.40763, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41021, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 psych opens the path toward 1.4130 confluence
Failure to hold 1.40880 swing low would break the higher-high chain
Thu Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could shift this read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended into NY · RSI 72 · price 1.40998
HH/HL chain, testing 1.4100.
NY session drove a steady grind higher, USD bid on the fresh 50% Canada tariff and soft CAD CPI cementing a BoC pause. Price is pressing the 1.4100 psych/confluence with RSI(14) hot near 72; session high tagged 1.41013 before a shallow pullback.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4076, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.41013, 1.4100, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 opens the path toward 1.4130
Failure to hold 1.4090 swing low stalls the breakout attempt
Thu Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could shift this read
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, testing 1.4100 · RSI 72 · price 1.40981
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
NY session extended the London rally in a clean HH/HL chain, USD/CAD grinding up off soft-CPI-driven bids near 1.4055 to a session high 1.41013. Price now stalling at the 1.4100 confluence with RSI(14) hot near 71.
Support: 1.40763, 1.40553
Resistance: 1.41013, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 opens the path toward the 1.4130 area
Failure to hold 1.40763 breaks the intraday HL chain
US flash PMIs Fri could shift this read
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, pressing into resistance · RSI 71 · price 1.40981
Higher highs, testing 1.4100.
NY session ground higher through the London range and is now pressing the 1.4100 confluence, RSI(14) hot near 71 after a clean run off 1.40555. USD bid and soft Canadian CPI keep the trend firm; the 1.4100 round number is the immediate hurdle.
Support: 1.4076, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.41013
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 confluence extends the leg toward 1.4130
Failure to hold 1.40760 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, testing 1.4100 cap · RSI 69 · price 1.4097
Chain of higher highs into confluence resistance.
NY session drove USDCAD up in a clean higher-high chain to a 1.40991 session high, stalling just under the 1.4100 psych confluence as USD's safe-haven bid held. RSI(14) near 69 is hot but not extreme; the 1.4078 breakout base has held on the way up.
Support: 1.4078, 1.4063
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.40991
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.4100 psych opens the path toward 1.4130
Rejection at 1.4100 and loss of 1.4078 prior high would signal the leg is stalling
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could reshape this read
NY session rally lifted USDCAD off 1.4055 up to test the 1.4100 confluence, RSI(14) running hot near 70 on soft-CAD CPI and tariff headlines. Price stalling just under the psych level after a clean intraday leg higher.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 opens the path to 1.4130
Loss of 1.4085 breaks the intraday rising structure
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended into NY · RSI 71 · price 1.40936
Higher highs, testing session high.
NY session drove USDCAD off the London low near 1.40555 up into the 1.4100 confluence, printing a session high at 1.40991 with RSI(14) around 71. Price stalled just under the round-number wall on the final bar; the breakout above 1.40782 remains intact.
Support: 1.40782, 1.4065, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.40991, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 confluence opens the path to 1.4130
Rejection at 1.40991/1.4100 caps the rally
Loss of 1.40782 breaks the intraday breakout structure
NY session drove a steady breakout above 1.4080, tagging a session high at 1.40991 just under the 1.4100 confluence flagged in the CAD read after soft June CPI reinforced a BoC pause. RSI(14) near 70, hot but not extreme; last bar stalled into the round number.
Support: 1.4078, 1.4065, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.40991, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 opens the path toward 1.4130
Failure to hold 1.40780 negates the breakout and exposes 1.40650
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could shift this read
NY session drove USD/CAD from 1.4055 up to 1.40991 as firm USD met the CAD BoC-pause backdrop, RSI(14) hot near 72 and stalling just under the 1.4100 confluence noted as resistance. Uptrend intact with a clean higher-low chain; current bar pressing the session high.
Support: 1.40782, 1.40652, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.40991
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 opens the path to 1.4130
Rejection at 1.4100 with loss of 1.40782 breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT could shift this read
NY session ran USDCAD from the 1.4056 range low to a session high of 1.40991, stalling just under the 1.4100 confluence that has capped rebounds since the soft CAD CPI. RSI(14) near 73 flags a short-term hot but trending tape; firm oil and BoC-pause pricing frame the push.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4056, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40991, 1.4100, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 confluence opens the path to 1.4130
Rejection at 1.40991 session high, failure to hold 1.4085 swing signals a pullback
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 1.40929
HH/HL chain, pressing session highs.
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.40555 low in a clean HH/HL rally toward the 1.4100 confluence, the pair now pinned at session highs near 1.40929 after June CPI reinforced a BoC pause. RSI(14) around 71 is hot but consistent with the trend; 1.40991/1.4100 caps the move.
Support: 1.40763, 1.4065, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.40991, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 confluence extends the breakout toward 1.4130
Loss of 1.40763 swing low breaks the rising support and the HH/HL chain
Iran ceasefire headlines could soften USD and shift this read
Higher highs into session high, testing round number.
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.4055 Asian low up to a session high of 1.40991, stalling just under the 1.4100 confluence resistance as the post-CPI-miss rebound extends. RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not stretched. Higher-low chain intact off 1.40763.
Support: 1.40763, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.40991, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.40763 breaks the higher-low chain
Iran ceasefire headlines could soften USD and cap the bid
USDCAD rallied through the NY session, breaking above 1.4085 to press the 1.4100 confluence, last close 1.4090 with the session high at 1.40953. Move tracks the BoC-pause repricing after soft June CPI; RSI(14) is elevated near 71 as price runs into resistance.
Support: 1.4085, 1.4076, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.40953, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 opens the path toward 1.4130
Loss of the 1.4085 breakout level would flag a failed break
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 72 · price 1.4090
HH/HL, testing session high.
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.4056 base up to a 1.40953 session high, breaking the 1.4076–1.4085 area as the softer CAD CPI read and firm USD held. Price now presses the 1.4100 confluence with RSI(14) hot near 71.
Support: 1.4076, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.40953
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4100 confluence extends the up-leg
Rejection at 1.4100 with a slip back under 1.4076 stalls the breakout
RSI above 70 flags short-term stretch into resistance
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 1.40916
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
USD/CAD pushed higher through NY hours to a session high 1.40921, extending the rebound off 1.4000 after yesterday's soft Canadian CPI. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — with the move stalling just under the 1.4100 round number.
Support: 1.40763, 1.40555, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40921, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 opens continuation higher
Loss of rising support and a break of the 1.40555 swing low ends the higher-low chain
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.4055 base to a session high 1.4092, breaking prior resistance as CAD stays soft after yesterday's cool CPI and USD holds firm. Price now presses the 1.4100 confluence with RSI(14) near 71 — short-term hot but consistent with the trend.
Support: 1.40763, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.4100, 1.40921
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 confluence opens continuation higher
Rejection at 1.4092/1.4100 and loss of 1.4076 swing low stalls the breakout
Higher highs into session high, stalling below 1.4100.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.40892 before stalling below the 1.4100 confluence, extending the rebound off 1.4000 on softer Canadian CPI and a firm USD. RSI(14) near 63, cooling from the 1.40892 spike; buyers stepped in near 1.40763 on the last pullback.
Support: 1.40763, 1.4065, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.40892, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 confluence opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.40763 pullback low confirms a lower-low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT is the next scheduled driver
NY session drove USDCAD to a one-week high near 1.40892, extending the rebound off the 1.4055 session low as soft Canadian CPI keeps CAD heavy. Momentum cooled at the 1.4100 confluence — last bar rejected back to 1.4076 before recovering to 1.4081.
Support: 1.40763, 1.40555, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40892, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40892 opens the path toward the 1.4100 psych level
Loss of the 1.40763 recent low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
14:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 69 · price 1.40859
Higher highs into NY session, breakout above 1.4082.
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.4089 after softer Canadian CPI kept CAD offered, with price clearing the 1.4082 breakout level. RSI(14) near 69 is hot but not extreme; the 1.4100 confluence still caps overhead.
Support: 1.4080, 1.4065, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.40892, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Rejection at 1.4089-1.4100 confluence would stall the breakout
M15 close back below 1.4080 negates the breakout read
Oil reversal or Iran de-escalation headline could pull the safe-haven bid from USD
NY session drove USDCAD to a session high near 1.4089, clearing the earlier 1.4082 shelf with RSI(14) hot around 70 on soft Canada CPI and a firm USD. The 1.4100 confluence caps overhead; 1.40555 marked the session low before this leg.
Support: 1.4076, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.4089, 1.4100, 1.4130
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4100 opens the path to 1.4130
Failure to hold 1.4076 reopens 1.40555 session low
Rejection at 1.4089-1.4100 confluence would stall the breakout
13:46 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 69 · price 1.40839
Higher highs / higher lows off 1.40555.
NY session grinding higher; price broke out of the 1.4060-1.4080 range to tag a session high of 1.40892 before easing to 1.40839, RSI(14) hot near 68. Move follows softer Canada CPI and a firm USD, with the 1.4100 confluence flagged in context the immediate hurdle overhead.
Support: 1.4076, 1.40555, 1.40409
Resistance: 1.40892, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40892 opens the 1.4100 psych confluence
Failure to hold 1.40760 breaks the rising-low chain
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.40555 low up through the 1.4080 breakout to a session high at 1.40892, RSI(14) hot near 70. Pair is pressing the 1.4100 confluence flagged in context after soft Canadian CPI, holding above the 1.40765 breakout shelf.
Support: 1.40765, 1.40655, 1.40555
Resistance: 1.40892, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41000 confluence opens further upside
Failure to hold 1.40765 breakout signals a pullback into 1.40655
US S&P PMIs Fri could shift the near-term read
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum picking up · RSI 68 · price 1.40835
Higher highs into resistance confluence.
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.40540 low up to a session high of 1.40892, pressing the 1.4085-1.4100 confluence flagged in the CAD read after soft June CPI. RSI(14) near 68, hot but not extreme; price stalling just under the round-number hurdle.
Support: 1.4076, 1.4065, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.40892, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40892 opens the 1.4100 confluence
Failure to hold 1.40760 signals the breakout is fading
Canada Retail Sales Thu is the next scheduled catalyst
NY session drove a clean breakout above the 1.40820 prior high, tagging a session high at 1.40892 before pulling back to 1.40835, RSI(14) hot near 71. Advance is stalling just under the 1.41000 confluence flagged as the range cap.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.40892, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41000 confluence extends the breakout
Failure to hold 1.40650 swing low negates the breakout read
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.4079
Higher lows, retesting session high.
USDCAD rebounded through the NY session back toward the 1.4082 session high after soft Canadian CPI and a firm USD kept the Loonie on the back foot. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-60s, higher lows off 1.4055 intact but the 1.4100 confluence overhead still uncleared.
Support: 1.40555, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.40826, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40826 opens the path to the 1.4100 confluence
Failure to hold the 1.40555 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Crude oil swings remain the key CAD offset near term
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.4079
Higher lows into session high.
USD/CAD extended its second-day rebound during NY hours, holding the 1.4055 swing low before grinding back toward the session high at 1.4085 — CAD pressured by yesterday's soft CPI miss and Trump's Canadian tariff headline. Price stalled just under the 1.4100 confluence, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme.
Support: 1.4055, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 opens the path to the 1.4100 confluence
Failure to hold 1.4055 exposes the asia low near 1.4040
13:03 UTC
Recovering, near session high · RSI 61 · price 1.40754
Rally off session low, retesting range top.
USDCAD rallied off the 1.4054 session low into NY hours, reclaiming EMA20/50 and pushing to a session high at 1.4081 after softer Canadian CPI kept the loonie heavy. Price now consolidates just under that high with RSI(14) around 61, the 1.4100 confluence still capping above.
Support: 1.40655, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.40808, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4081 opens the 1.4100 confluence
Failure to hold 1.4065 reopens the 1.4054 session low
Crude direction and Aug-19 tariff headlines could shift the CAD read
13:02 UTC
Recovering into session high · RSI 61 · price 1.40754
Range, upper-third test.
USDCAD dipped to 1.40555 mid-session then NY hours drove it back to retest the 1.40808 session high, RSI(14) around 61. Soft Canadian CPI and a firm USD keep the loonie heavy; still ranging 1.40555-1.40850 with the top yet to give way.
Support: 1.40555, 1.4045, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40808, 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 opens the 1.4100 confluence hurdle
Failure to hold 1.40555 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.40450
Crude oil swings remain the key CAD offset near term
NY session pushed USDCAD back toward the 1.4085 session high after a double bottom held at 1.4054, RSI(14) around 60 with room before it runs hot. Move stalls below the 1.4100 confluence as soft Canadian CPI and the fresh 50% US tariff weigh on CAD.
Support: 1.4054, 1.40616
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 opens the path to the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.4054 negates the double bottom and reopens 1.4016 lower range
Oil spike on Iran escalation could cap upside near 1.4085-1.4100
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.40757
Higher lows, capped below 1.4083.
USDCAD ground higher off the 1.4042 day low, tagging the 1.4083 session high twice but stalling there as CAD stays soft after yesterday's cooler CPI and the fresh US tariff proclamation. Price consolidates near 1.4076 below the 1.4100 confluence, RSI(14) around 60 with room before extremes.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4054, 1.40419
Resistance: 1.40826, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Clean break of 1.4083 session high opens the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of the 1.4065 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Elevated crude could cap USDCAD upside near 1.4085-1.4100
USD/CAD carved higher lows off the 1.4054 session low and broke the 1.4070 consolidation into NY, spiking to 1.40808 before easing to 1.40755 as CAD stays soft on cool CPI and the fresh 50% tariff proclamation. Move stalls below the 1.4085 session high and the 1.4100 confluence; RSI(14) around 61 leaves room but isn't hot.
Support: 1.4062, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4081, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Clean close above 1.4085 opens the path to the 1.4100 confluence
Failure to hold 1.4054 session low negates the recovery structure
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
USDCAD dipped to 1.4055 late in the window then rallied back toward the 1.4085 session high, RSI(14) around 62. Move fits the soft Canadian CPI plus fresh 50% US tariff story, but price is stalling below the 1.4100 confluence.
Support: 1.4055, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 opens the 1.4100 confluence
Failure to hold 1.4055 reopens 1.4040
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.4079
Recovery off session low, testing session high.
USDCAD rallied off the 1.4055 session low back toward the 1.4085 session high, CAD still soft after yesterday's CPI miss and the fresh US tariff headline. Move stalls below the 1.4100 confluence, RSI(14) firm near 64 but not extended.
Support: 1.4055, 1.4037
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 1.4100 confluence opens the upper band
Failure to hold 1.4055 session low re-exposes the 1.4037 range low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, pushing session high · RSI 66 · price 1.4079
Consolidation below 1.4085, recent bid.
NY session driving USDCAD back toward the 1.4085 session high after ranging 1.4055–1.4085 through the London-NY transition, with USD firm on tariff and geopolitics-led hawkish repricing. Last bar spiked to 1.4079 with RSI(14) near 66; the 1.4100 confluence caps directly overhead.
Support: 1.4055, 1.4037
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4100 confluence extends the up leg toward the 1.4130 band
Failure to hold 1.4055 swing low reopens the 1.4037 session low
12:02 UTC
Range after intraday pullback · RSI 53 · price 1.40664
USDCAD rallied to a session high at 1.40850 during London then rejected, unwinding to the 1.40540 session low as softer Canadian CPI and the new US tariff proclamation keep the pair bid on the day. Price is now consolidating around 1.40590 fib 50% and drifting back toward the 1.40700 recent high; no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4059
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.40773, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40700 reopens the 1.40773 swing high and 1.40850 session high
Loss of 1.40540 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.40590 fib 50% failure
Middle East / oil headlines could shift the safe-haven-driven read fast
12:02 UTC
Range after pullback, drifting sideways · RSI 53 · price 1.40664
Session high faded, holding above 1.4054 floor.
USDCAD pulled back from the session high at 1.40817-1.40850 to a 1.40540 floor where buyers stepped in twice, and is now grinding back toward 1.40700 near 1.40664. Soft Canadian CPI plus fresh US tariff headlines underpin the bid, but the move stalls below the 1.4100 confluence noted on the CAD read.
Support: 1.4054, 1.40616
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.40817
What it said to watch
close above 1.40700 opens a retest of the 1.40817 session high
loss of 1.40540 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
USDCAD topped near the 1.4085 session high early London, faded to 1.4055 and is now grinding back up to 1.4066 as soft CAD CPI keeps the pair bid below 1.4100. Choppy range between 1.4055 and 1.4085, no clean directional structure right now.
Support: 1.40555, 1.4053
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 opens a retest of the 1.4100 confluence
Break below 1.40555 swing low exposes the 1.40530 range floor
Canada Retail Sales Thu is the next domestic catalyst for the pair
11:46 UTC
Choppy, off session high · RSI 53 · price 1.40662
Consolidation below 1.4085 after pullback.
USDCAD rallied to a session high of 1.4085 overnight — CAD soft after the June CPI miss and the fresh US 50% tariff proclamation — but stalled ahead of the 1.4100 confluence and drifted back. Now consolidating around 1.4066 between 1.4054 and the session high, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.4054, 1.40286
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 1.4085 reopens the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.4054 swing low exposes the 1.4033 range low
Canada Retail Sales Thu could shift the intraday read
11:32 UTC
Drift lower off session high, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 1.40642
Range within 1.4054–1.4085, lower highs into NY.
USDCAD stalled below the 1.40850 session high and drifted through the NY session to a 1.40540 low before bouncing back to 1.40642 — softer Canadian CPI and the fresh US tariff proclamation kept a bid under the pair but the 1.4100 confluence is capping. Price now consolidates mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 51, back above EMA20 but below EMA50.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4046
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40700 swing high reopens the 1.40850 session high
Loss of 1.40540 session low confirms a lower-low toward 1.40460
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst for CAD
11:32 UTC
Pullback from session high, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 1.40642
Range after lower-high sequence off 1.4085.
USDCAD stalled at the 1.40850 session high overnight and unwound into a 1.40555–1.40680 range through London, CAD staying heavy on softer CPI and the fresh 50% US tariff proclamation. Price is back near range mid at 1.40642, RSI(14) flat around 51, sitting below EMA50 with no clean break in play.
Support: 1.40555, 1.40528
Resistance: 1.4068, 1.4079, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40680 opens a retest of 1.40790
Loss of 1.40555 confirms a lower-low toward 1.40528
Oil moves and tariff headlines could shift the CAD read intraday
11:16 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.40607
Lower highs off 1.40850, consolidating near 1.40600.
USD/CAD ran to a session high of 1.40850 during NY hours as soft Canadian CPI and the fresh 50% US tariff weighed on CAD, but the move stalled below the 1.4100 confluence and has since bled into lower highs. Price is now consolidating 1.40540–1.40670 with RSI near neutral; the 1.4100 hurdle remains untested.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4080, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40670 swing high reopens the path to the 1.40800/1.40850 session high
Loss of 1.40540 session low confirms a deeper pullback
Clean break of 1.4100 confluence would reaffirm the upside structure
USD/CAD ran to a session high near 1.4085 after softer Canadian CPI and the fresh 50% tariff proclamation, then rolled over and is now drifting in a 1.4054-1.4069 range. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 with price back below its short EMAs; the 1.4085 stall remains the ceiling.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4069, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4069 swing high reopens the 1.4085 session high
Loss of 1.4054 range low exposes the 1.4000 psych level
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reshape this read
USD/CAD stalled and rejected below the 1.4100 confluence after tagging a session high at 1.4085, then drifted into a 1.4054-1.4067 range with a chain of lower highs. Softer Canadian CPI kept the pair bid earlier but momentum has cooled, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 and price holding under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4080, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4067 reopens the 1.4080-1.4085 highs
Break of 1.4054 confirms a lower low toward 1.4040
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
11:02 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.40592
Range after session-high rejection.
USDCAD stalled at the 1.4085 session high during NY hours and rolled back into a 1.4055–1.4067 range, price now below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s. The pullback follows the CAD-soft leg after yesterday's cooler CPI and the fresh 50% US tariff headline; no setup in play inside the range.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4045
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4067 reopens the 1.4085 session high and the 1.4100 confluence
Lower highs off 1.4085, demand holding near 1.4055.
USDCAD faded from the session high at 1.4085 through the last few hours, finding demand twice near 1.4055 before bouncing to 1.4062. Soft Canadian CPI and the fresh US tariff headline kept the pair bid earlier but the move stalled well below the 1.4100 confluence, and RSI sits mid-range on the recovery.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4070 pivot opens a retest of 1.4085 session high
Loss of 1.4055 swing low exposes the 1.4000 psych level
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
10:46 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 50 · price 1.40623
Lower highs, holding above session low.
USDCAD drifted off the session high at 1.4085 — the stall below the 1.4100 confluence flagged after softer Canadian CPI and the new US tariff proclamation. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.4054 and price is grinding back toward 1.4066; RSI(14) flat near 49.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4066, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4066 puts the 1.4085 session high back in play
Failure to hold 1.4054 confirms a lower low, exposes 1.4050
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD rejected the session high at 1.4085 during the NY hours and has ground lower into the London session, printing lower highs and probing the 1.4054 session low. Soft Canadian CPI and fresh tariff headlines underpin the pair but the move stalled well below the 1.4100 confluence; RSI(14) is mid-range with price back under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4066, 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4066 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.4054 session low opens 1.4050
Reclaim of 1.4085 session high re-tests the 1.4100 confluence
10:31 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.40569
Lower highs since 1.4085 peak.
USDCAD stalled below the 1.4100 confluence overnight, printing a session high at 1.4085 before drifting lower through London — soft Canadian CPI and fresh tariff headlines had underpinned the earlier bid. Price now sits mid-range at 1.4057 on a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) cooling near 42, holding just above the 1.4054 session low.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.40773, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4054 extends the lower-high sequence toward the 1.4050 psych level
Reclaim of 1.4067 swing high needed to challenge the descending highs from 1.40773
Oil headlines and Aug 19 tariff narrative could shift the CAD read intraday
10:17 UTC
Pullback after topping near 1.4085 · RSI 43 · price 1.40585
Lower highs off session high, holding above 1.4054.
USDCAD stalled below the 1.4085 session high and has drifted back toward 1.4054, price now under both EMAs with RSI(14) near 43. Soft Canadian CPI and the fresh US tariff proclamation kept a bid earlier, but London hours are seeing a series of lower highs into the 1.40585 area.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40665, 1.40837
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40665 swing high reopens the 1.4085 session high
Failure to hold 1.4054 session low exposes the 1.4000 monthly low
10:16 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 44 · price 1.40585
Lower highs off 1.4085, drifting toward session low.
USD/CAD stalled below the 1.4085 session high — the move higher on soft Canadian CPI and fresh US tariff headlines ran out of steam near the 1.4100 confluence. NY hours have carved a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s as price drifts toward the 1.4054 session low.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4040, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Break below 1.4054 session low confirms a lower-low toward 1.4040
Reclaim of 1.4067 swing high reopens the 1.4085 session high
Canada Retail Sales Thu could shift this read
10:02 UTC
Pullback after topping near 1.4085 · RSI 41 · price 1.40572
Lower highs since session high, testing session low.
USDCAD rallied to a session high of 1.4085 before rejection, then bled into a lower-high sequence and just printed a fresh session low at 1.4055; the pair stays capped sub-1.4100 with high oil supporting CAD. RSI(14) near 41 tracks the pullback, price below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4055, 1.4040, 1.4022
Resistance: 1.40689, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4055 opens 1.4040 as next support
Reclaim of 1.40689 negates the lower-high sequence
Fri S&P Global PMIs (13:45 GMT) could shift this read
Rolling over from 1.40850, grinding into session low.
USDCAD rolled off the 1.40850 session high and has printed a sequence of lower highs into the London hours, now testing the 1.40555 session low with price holding below EMA20/50. The advance stalled ahead of the 1.4100 confluence, consistent with the tariff/CPI-driven CAD softness capping short of resistance.
Support: 1.40555, 1.40504
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40555 opens 1.40504 and extends the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of 1.40700 negates the current lower-high structure
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT is the week's tier-1 CAD catalyst
Lower high off 1.4085, breaking below the consolidation.
USDCAD topped at 1.40850 in the Asia-London window and drifted lower into a 1.4063-1.4067 consolidation that just broke down to a session low of 1.40555, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. The 1.4100 confluence capped the advance as firm oil offsets the tariff/divergence CAD drag; price now sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.40555, 1.40465
Resistance: 1.4066, 1.40773, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40660 prior range voids the breakdown read
Close below 1.40465 swing low extends the pullback
No tier-1 catalysts until Fri S&P Global PMIs; quiet intraday backdrop
Lower highs since session peak, breaking to new low.
USDCAD peaked near the 1.40850 session high mid-window then ground steadily lower into fresh session lows, the last bar breaking the 1.40620 consolidation floor to 1.40555. Move fits the CAD-supportive tone with USD/CAD capped sub-1.4100; RSI(14) near 40, no oversold stretch yet.
Support: 1.40555, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.4066, 1.4075, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40660 swing high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Consolidating below EMA20 after fading from session high.
USDCAD rallied from the early low near 1.4019 to a session high of 1.40838 before fading through the London-NY window on soft CAD data. Price now consolidates around 1.4064 below EMA20, capped below 1.4100 by elevated oil while tariff/CPI drag keeps CAD offered.
Support: 1.40576, 1.40615, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.40838, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40576 opens the next leg toward 1.4000
Reclaim of 1.40700 puts the 1.40838 session high back in play
Lower highs off 1.4085, consolidating above 1.4058.
Prior NY push tagged the session high at 1.4085 and stalled ahead of the 1.4100 confluence, then rolled over into the London session. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4063-1.4067 band just above the 1.4058 swing low, RSI mid-range with momentum fading.
Support: 1.4058, 1.4030
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4085 reopens the 1.4100 confluence
Loss of 1.4058 exposes 1.4030 session low
Canada Retail Sales Thu could shift the CAD read
09:16 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 44 · price 1.40634
Consolidating below 1.4070 after fade from 1.4085.
USDCAD pushed to a session high 1.4085 on the soft CAD CPI and tariff overhang, then faded back to 1.4063 and is now coiling in a tight 1.4058-1.4070 band. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; no directional impulse into the current bar.
Support: 1.4058, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.4070 re-opens the 1.4085 session high
Loss of 1.4058 session low exposes 1.4040 swing low
US ADP 4-week avg later today could inject volatility
09:16 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.40634
Consolidating below faded highs.
USDCAD ran to a session high of 1.4085 on the CAD-soft CPI/tariff backdrop, then rolled over and got rejected under a descending line of lower highs. Price now grinds sideways at 1.4063 just off the 1.4058 session low, RSI mid-range and price back below both EMAs.
Support: 1.4058, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4067 and the descending line would reopen 1.4085
Loss of 1.4058 exposes the 1.4000 psych pivot
Canada Retail Sales Thu could shift this read
09:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.4066
Rolled off session high, consolidating.
USDCAD ran to a session high 1.4085 on CAD weakness after the soft June CPI miss and fresh Trump tariff headlines, then faded to 1.4058 and is now grinding sideways near 1.4066 under EMA20/50. Momentum has flattened, RSI(14) mid-range around 48.
Support: 1.4058, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.4072, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4072 puts the 1.4085 session high back in play
M15 close below 1.4058 confirms a lower-low toward 1.4040
USDCAD pressed a one-week high at 1.4085 after soft Canada CPI and fresh US tariff headlines, then faded into a tight 1.4058-1.4070 consolidation. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; the up-move has paused rather than reversed.
Support: 1.40576, 1.40437, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4080
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4058 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback toward the 1.4044 fib
Reclaim of 1.4085 reopens the topside
Canada Retail Sales Thu could reset the range
08:47 UTC
Uptrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.40661
Lower highs off day high, range holding.
Pair rallied to a 1.40850 day high late NY on CAD weakness (soft June CPI, tariff headlines), then drifted lower overnight into a series of lower highs. London session dipped to 1.40576 and recovered to 1.4066, keeping a 1.4058–1.4077 range intact with RSI mid-band.
Support: 1.40576, 1.40616
Resistance: 1.40773, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40773 swing high reopens the 1.40850 day high
Loss of 1.40576 session low confirms a lower low
S&P Global PMIs Fri are the main near-term catalyst
08:46 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 51 · price 1.40661
Off session high, holding above 1.4058.
USDCAD ran to a session high at 1.40850 in early London then rejected, sliding to 1.40576 where buyers stepped in during the NY hours; price now consolidates near 1.4066 below EMA20/50. CAD stays heavy after yesterday's soft June CPI (2.8%) and the tariff overhang, keeping the pair bid off the 1.4000 pivot.
Support: 1.40576, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40773, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40576 re-opens the 1.4000 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.40773 puts the 1.40850 session high back in play
Canada Retail Sales Thu could shift this read
08:32 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 50 · price 1.40667
Pullback from session high, recovering off low.
USDCAD rallied to a session high near 1.4085 after soft Canadian CPI, then rejected and sold off to 1.40576 before buyers stepped in. Price now recovering to 1.40667, holding just under the EMA20/EMA50 cluster with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.40576, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4075, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40576 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40750 needed to retest the 1.40850 session high
Lower highs since 1.4085, consolidating mid-range.
USDCAD faded from the 1.4085 session high after yesterday's soft Canada CPI bid, printing lower highs into the London morning and dipping to 1.40576 before stabilising near 1.40667. RSI(14) is neutral around 47 and price sits below both EMAs; pair is consolidating between 1.40576 and the 1.40773 swing high with no clean intraday setup.
Support: 1.40576, 1.4043
Resistance: 1.40773, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40773 reopens the 1.40850 session high
Loss of 1.40576 confirms a lower low toward 1.40430
US ADP 4-week employment (12:15 GMT) could shift this read
08:17 UTC
Uptrend faded, now pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.40663
Rolled off session high, lower highs forming.
USDCAD ran through London to a session high near 1.4085 on soft Canadian CPI, then rolled over into a rounded top and shed toward the 1.40576 low before a modest bounce to 1.40663. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; lower highs cap the pullback.
Support: 1.40576, 1.40528
Resistance: 1.4075, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40750 negates the rollover and reopens the 1.40850 session high
Break below 1.40576 confirms a lower low toward 1.40528
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 GMT is the nearest domestic catalyst
08:16 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 47 · price 1.40663
Lower highs since 1.4085, bounce off 1.4058.
USDCAD rolled off the 1.4085 session high after two days of buying on soft Canadian CPI and the tariff headline, carving lower highs into NY hours. Sellers pressed a low at 1.40576 before a modest bounce back to 1.40663; RSI mid-range, no momentum edge.
Support: 1.40576, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.40700 negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.40576 confirms a fresh lower low
Crude/US-Iran headlines could shift CAD tone intraday
08:02 UTC
Uptrend paused, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.40643
Lower highs off session high, bouncing off session low.
Asia set a one-week high at 1.40850 on the soft Canadian CPI/tariff-driven USD/CAD bid, and London has since drifted lower into a chain of lower highs. Price found a session low at 1.40576 and is bouncing to 1.40643, holding below EMA20.
Support: 1.40576, 1.40528, 1.40409
Resistance: 1.40717, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.40717 reopens the 1.40850 high
Failure to hold 1.40576 exposes 1.40528 then 1.40409
08:02 UTC
Pullback from session high, short-term momentum down · RSI 46 · price 1.40643
Retracing an intraday rally, holding above the 1.4057 pivot.
USDCAD rallied from 1.40155 to a session high at 1.40850 through Asia, driven by the soft Canadian CPI miss, then rolled over into the London open and slipped back below EMA20/50 to 1.40643. Buyers stepped in at 1.40576, but the pair is now grinding sideways after the rejection at the highs.
Support: 1.40576, 1.40528, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40576 opens the path toward the 1.40528 prior low
Reclaim of 1.40850 reasserts the session-high test
Canada Retail Sales Thu and US PMIs Fri are the next catalysts for this read
07:47 UTC
Pulled back from highs, lower highs · RSI 46 · price 1.40665
Topped at 1w high, easing off.
USDCAD ran to a one-week high near 1.4085 overnight on the soft Canadian CPI, then eased through the London session to 1.40576 before recovering to 1.4066. Lower highs since the peak with RSI(14) sitting mid-range; price now sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.40576, 1.4045, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4075, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4075 negates the lower-highs read
Break of 1.40576 opens the path toward 1.4045
Canada Retail Sales Thu could shift the CAD read
07:46 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 46 · price 1.40665
Lower highs since 1.4085, bouncing from 1.4057.
USDCAD carried a CPI/tariff-driven bid to a session high at 1.4085 before rolling over into a chain of lower highs, dipping to 1.4057 during the London session. Price is off the low near 1.4067 but holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; 1.4075 caps the bounce.
Support: 1.40576, 1.40528
Resistance: 1.4075, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4075 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.4057 confirms continuation toward the 1.4053 swing low
Any Mid-East / oil headline could reprice the CAD side sharply
07:32 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.40615
Lower highs since 1.4085 peak.
USDCAD was rejected at the 1.4085 session high and has ground lower through the London morning, now testing 1.40576 with RSI(14) near 41. Soft Canadian CPI keeps the broader pair bid, but the recent M15 leg is corrective with a chain of lower highs off the peak.
Support: 1.40576, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40773, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40576 session low opens the path toward the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40773 lower high needed to re-challenge the 1.4085 session high
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
07:32 UTC
Pullback off session high, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 1.40615
Lower highs since the 1.40850 top.
USDCAD topped near 1.40850 late in the prior NY session and has since carved lower highs, with the London session pressing it down from 1.40770 to 1.40576. Price now sits mid-range near 1.40615 below EMA20/50; soft Canadian CPI keeps the broader pair firm, but intraday momentum is offered.
Support: 1.40576, 1.4045, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40576 opens the path toward 1.40450
Reclaim of 1.40700 negates the lower-high sequence
London session sold off from the 1.4075 area, breaking the multi-hour 1.4070–1.4080 range to print a session low at 1.4058, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. The fade unwinds part of the earlier firming that followed soft Canadian CPI.
Support: 1.40576, 1.40528, 1.4045
Resistance: 1.4075, 1.40837
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4075 negates the range breakdown
Failure to hold 1.4058 opens 1.4053 then 1.4045
07:16 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 36 · price 1.40615
Breakdown from 1.4070-1.4080 range, lower highs.
USDCAD topped at 1.40850 in the Asian session then coiled in a 1.4070-1.4080 band; London hours broke that floor, dropping to 1.40576 with price now pinned below EMA20/50. Move follows the earlier CAD softness on the sub-forecast CPI print unwinding as the pair fades from highs.
Support: 1.40576, 1.40528
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.4079, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Break of 1.40576 opens 1.40528 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.40700 range floor negates the breakdown
Canada Retail Sales Thu could reset this read
07:02 UTC
Pulled back from session high, momentum easing lower · RSI 43 · price 1.40626
Faded off 1.4085 high, printing lower highs into early London.
USDCAD climbed through the US session toward 1.4085 on the soft Canadian CPI print, then rolled over and faded back to 1.4063 into early London. RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s as the last bars printed lower highs; the 1.4062 session low is now the first pivot in play.
Support: 1.40622, 1.40541
Resistance: 1.4070, 1.40773, 1.40826
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40541 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.40773 needed to threaten the 1.4085 session high
Uptrend rolling over into pullback · RSI 39 · price 1.40626
Overnight range broke lower.
USD/CAD firmed off sub-1.40 after yesterday's soft Canadian CPI, pushing to a 1.4085 session high before rolling over. The overnight 1.4067–1.4082 consolidation broke lower into the London session, RSI(14) cooling toward 38 as price prints 1.4062.
Support: 1.4053, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4082, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.4067 negates the downside break and puts 1.4082 session high back in play
Loss of 1.4053 swing low opens the path toward the 1.4050 psych level
06:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.40686
Lower highs since 1.4085 peak, holding above 1.4067.
USDCAD rallied through the Asian session on the softer Canadian CPI miss to a session high at 1.4085, then stalled and drifted back into 1.4067-1.4080 as London opened. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price sits below both intraday EMAs — momentum has faded from the highs.
Support: 1.4067, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4080
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4085 reopens the upside push
Break below 1.4067 exposes 1.4055
Tariff/oil headlines the dominant intraday wildcard
06:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.40686
Off session high, drifting into consolidation.
USDCAD ran up through the London-NY window to a session high of 1.40850 after the soft Canadian CPI miss, then rejected and drifted back below 1.40800. Now consolidating around 1.40686 with RSI mid-40s; 1.40667 session low is the near-term floor.
Support: 1.40667, 1.4054
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40667 confirms a lower-low toward 1.40540
Reclaim of 1.40800 reopens the 1.40850 session high
Canada Retail Sales Thu could shift the intraday read
06:32 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 1.40694
HH sequence broken; retracing from session high.
USDCAD ran to 1.40850 through the London-NY move as CAD stayed soft after yesterday's cool June CPI, then rolled over. Price is now retracing below EMA20, holding just above 1.40670 with RSI(14) cooling near 41.
Support: 1.4067, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.40826
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40670 confirms a lower low, exposes 1.40600
Reclaim of the 1.40826 session high resumes the uptrend
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 1.40694
Consolidating below session high after climb.
USDCAD ran from 1.4003 to a session high of 1.4085 through the window, extending the post-CPI CAD softness alongside a firmer USD. Price has since rejected 1.4085 and is drifting back into the 1.4067–1.4082 consolidation, now sitting below EMA20 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.4067, 1.40528, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.4082, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4085 resumes the uptrend toward fresh session highs
Break below 1.4067 opens the path to 1.4053 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset the CAD read
USDCAD extended the post-CPI rally through the Asia-London window, peaking near 1.4085 before stalling. Price is now consolidating between 1.4067 and 1.4082 in early London hours, RSI(14) cooled back to mid-range as momentum faded off the high.
Support: 1.4067, 1.40528
Resistance: 1.40851, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 reopens the upside toward 1.4130
Loss of 1.4067 exposes 1.4053 and breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US ADP data 12:15 GMT could inject fresh USD volatility
Consolidating near session highs after impulse up.
USDCAD extended its rally from 1.4003 to a session high at 1.4085 after yesterday's soft Canadian CPI (2.8% vs 2.9%) killed BoC tightening hopes. Price is now consolidating around 1.4075 through the Asia/early-London hours, RSI(14) mid-range with momentum cooling.
Support: 1.4067, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 resumes the uptrend toward 1.4130
USDCAD ground higher through the Jul 20 London-NY sessions to 1.40850 after Canada's soft June CPI and a firm USD, and is now easing to 1.40697 in Asia with RSI(14) cooling near 44. Price has slipped back below EMA20/50 as the pullback develops, with 1.40670 the immediate floor.
Support: 1.4067, 1.40528, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4077, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40670 exposes 1.40528 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40770 needed to retest the 1.40850 session high
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY toward the 1.4085 session high, extending the leg off 1.4018 as cool Canadian CPI kept CAD soft and DXY firm. Price is now consolidating in early Asia between 1.4067 and 1.4085, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s as momentum flattens near the top.
Support: 1.4067, 1.4053, 1.4028
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40817
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4067 exposes the 1.4053 swing low
Sustained break above 1.4085 extends the uptrend
05:47 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.40685
Consolidating below session high after HH chain.
USDCAD climbed through the NY-Asia hours from 1.4003 to a 1.4085 session high on the CAD-soft/USD-firm backdrop after Canada's undershooting June CPI, then drifted lower into early London to 1.4068. Rejection at 1.4085 and RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s; price now sits below EMA20 but holds above EMA50.
Support: 1.4067, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4067 opens the path toward 1.4050
Close above 1.4085 resumes the intraday uptrend
Canada Retail Sales Thu could shift the CAD read
05:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 1.40685
Pullback from session high after HH chain.
USDCAD ground higher through the window to a session high at 1.40850, extending the rebound off sub-1.4000 that followed Canada's soft June CPI, then rolled over into the current London hours with RSI(14) cooling near 41. Price now sits back below EMA20 at 1.40685, buyers stepping in at the 1.40670 session low.
Support: 1.4067, 1.40528, 1.4026
Resistance: 1.4079, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40670 opens 1.40528 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40790 puts the 1.40850 session high back in play
Oil / US-Iran headlines the primary offsetting CAD driver
05:32 UTC
Up-leg stalled, ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.40702
Consolidation below session high.
USDCAD ran up to a session high of 1.40850 during Asia hours, extending the bid seen after yesterday's soft Canada CPI, then stalled and is now ranging 1.40695–1.40800. Price sits at the range floor with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s; ATR near 5 pips shows tight, low-volatility conditions.
Support: 1.40695, 1.40528
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.4085
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.40800 puts the 1.40850 session high back in play
Loss of 1.40695 opens the path toward the 1.40528 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Thu is the next domestic catalyst, outside this window
USDCAD ran from 1.4003 to a session high at 1.4085 as CAD stayed soft after yesterday's cool June CPI, then flattened into a tight range around 1.4070-1.4080. Price now drifts near the session low at 1.40695 with ATR compressed to under 4 pips, RSI mid-range — momentum has stalled.
Support: 1.40695, 1.4059
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4080
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 resumes the up-leg toward 1.4130
Close below 1.40695 exposes 1.4059 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs Fri are the week's key USD catalyst
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session to a 1.40850 high, aided by soft Canadian June CPI keeping a bid under the pair. Since then it has consolidated below 1.40800 and eased back to 1.40718 into Asia hours, with RSI cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.40800 puts the 1.40850 session high back in play
Loss of 1.40700 psych exposes the 1.40650 swing low
US S&P Global PMIs Fri are the week's next catalyst
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session, tagging a swing high at 1.40850 before rejecting, and is now pulling back to 1.40718 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. The rally follows the soft Canada CPI miss that lifted the pair off sub-1.4000; price is holding above the 1.40691 swing low into the London open.
Support: 1.40691, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.40826, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40650 breaks the rising support and prints a lower low
Reclaim of the 1.40826 session high reopens the 1.40850 swing high
05:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.40703
NY-session rally topped, Asian drift lower.
USDCAD climbed through the NY session to a high near 1.40850 — extending the post-CPI CAD softness — before rounding over. The Asian session has drifted back to 1.40703, now sitting below EMA20 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s; 1.40690 session floor is being tested.
Support: 1.4069, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4078, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40690 confirms a lower low and opens 1.40560
Reclaim of 1.40780 needed to resume the prior up-leg
Canada Retail Sales Thu is the next domestic catalyst for the pair
05:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back from highs · RSI 43 · price 1.40703
Consolidating below session high after rally.
USDCAD ran to 1.40850 through the prior session then rejected, drifting back to 1.40700 as CAD stays soft post-cool June CPI. Price now sits below EMA20 but holds above EMA50, RSI(14) cooling near 42 as the pullback shallowly retraces the leg off 1.40028.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40656, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4080
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40700 round number opens the 1.40656 fib 23.6 area
Reclaim of 1.40800 prior high puts the 1.40850 session high back in play
USDCAD ground higher through the July 20 London-NY sessions after the soft Canada CPI miss, peaking at 1.40850 before rejection there. Price is now consolidating 1.40700-1.40820 into the Asia session, RSI(14) flattening near mid-range as the impulse stalls.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4059, 1.4045
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40700 range low opens a retest of the 1.40590 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40850 session high would resume the up-leg
Canada Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next domestic catalyst
USDCAD ground higher through the prior sessions from 1.4005 to 1.4085 as soft Canadian CPI kept a bid under the pair, then stalled into the Asia session and is now consolidating in a 1.4070-1.4082 band. Price slipped back under EMA20 with RSI cooling to ~48; 1.40700 has held as the near-term floor.
Support: 1.4070
Resistance: 1.4082, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40700 turns the consolidation into a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.40820 reopens the 1.40850 session high
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
USDCAD ground higher through the prior London-NY hours from 1.4004 to a 1.4085 session high after soft Canadian CPI kept a bid under the pair. Asian session is now consolidating in a tight 1.4070-1.4080 band, ATR compressed to ~9 pips with RSI back at neutral.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4065, 1.40528
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 reopens the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.4070 exposes 1.4065 and the 1.4053 intraday low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
04:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.40752
Consolidating below session high after HH chain.
USDCAD ground higher through the prior session to a 1.40850 session high — extending the rebound seen after Canada's cool June CPI — then stalled into consolidation around 1.4075 during Asia hours. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral; price is pinned between the 1.40700 session low and the 1.40850 high.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40528
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 resumes the uptrend toward the next round figure
Failure to hold 1.40700 opens the 1.40528 swing low
London open in coming hours could break this Asian consolidation
Consolidating near session highs after intraday grind up.
USDCAD ground from the Asia low near 1.4004 up to a session high at 1.4085, lifted by yesterday's soft Canada CPI, and is now consolidating tightly between 1.4070 and 1.4082 into the late Asia session. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and ATR is compressed at ~4 pips — momentum has stalled just below the highs.
Support: 1.40704, 1.4064
Resistance: 1.40826, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40826 range top reopens the 1.4085 session high
Loss of 1.40704 swing low breaks the intraday ascending structure toward 1.4064 pivot
London open could break the current tight range in either direction
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the prior London-NY hours after soft Canadian June CPI cemented the BoC pause, tagging 1.40850 before stalling. Asian session is now coiling in a tight 1.4076-1.4082 band just under the high; RSI(14) mid-range with ATR compressed near 5 pips.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.40817, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 extends the uptrend toward the 1.4090s
Loss of 1.40700 breaks the consolidation and exposes 1.40650
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
Steady grind higher through the London-NY session, lifting USDCAD from 1.4004 to a 1.40850 session high after the soft Canada CPI miss revived rate-divergence upside. Asian hours have stalled the move, consolidating 1.40690-1.40820 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range; the rising support off the intraday lows still holds.
Support: 1.4069, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40690 swing low breaks the rising support and confirms a lower-low
A push and close above the 1.40850 session high extends the uptrend toward 1.41000
Canada Retail Sales Thu 23 Jul is the next domestic catalyst that could shift this read
HH/HL chain stalling into consolidation below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the session off soft Canada June CPI, tagging 1.40850 before stalling. Price now coils in a tight 1.40704–1.40826 band during Asian hours with RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s; the up-move has paused without a clear pullback.
Support: 1.40704, 1.40194
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40826
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 reopens the grind higher
Failure to hold 1.40704 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
Canada Retail Sales (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the next domestic catalyst
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY after the soft Canada CPI miss, peaking at the session high 1.40850 before Asia hours stalled the drive. Now consolidating 1.40700-1.40820 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-50s; the uptrend structure holds but momentum has flattened.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4064
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 extends the uptrend leg
Loss of 1.40700 opens 1.40640 swing low
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is next domestic catalyst
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the window after soft CAD CPI, tagging a 1.4085 session high before stalling. Now consolidating 1.4070–1.4080 in early Asia hours, RSI(14) cooled to mid-range from the push.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40528
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
Break above 1.4085 session high extends the uptrend leg
Loss of 1.4070 swing low opens the path back to 1.4053
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the read
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through NY into Asia, extending the leg that followed yesterday's soft Canadian CPI miss, and printed a session high at 1.40850. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.40700-1.40820 band, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range as the climb stalls just under the high.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4056, 1.4041
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 resumes the uptrend toward the next round-number zone
Loss of 1.40700 breaks the consolidation floor and exposes 1.40560
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY into Asia, lifted by soft Canadian June CPI reviving rate-divergence upside; the run stalled at 1.40850. Price now coils in a tight 1.40700–1.40820 range, RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 session high extends the uptrend leg
Loss of 1.40700 swing low opens 1.40560 prior high
Crude/US-Iran headlines the main offset to the CAD-negative CPI read
Consolidating below session high after steady climb.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY into 1.40850 and is now consolidating 1.4070-1.4085 in the Asia session, price holding above EMA20/50 as momentum flattens. Soft Canada CPI yesterday underpinned the leg up, though an oil bid is capping extension.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
Break above 1.40850 session high opens continuation of the uptrend
M15 close below 1.40700 range low breaks the intraday HL chain
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next CAD catalyst
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 1.40793
Higher highs, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the session after soft Canadian June CPI revived the rate-divergence bid, tagging 1.40850 before stalling. Price now coils in the 1.40700–1.40850 band during Asia hours, RSI(14) mid-range and cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.40704, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40826
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 extends the uptrend leg
Failure to hold 1.40704 breaks the rising structure toward 1.40650
Canada Retail Sales Thu could reset this read
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 1.40797
Higher highs and higher lows, stalling below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY window off 1.4004 to a session high 1.4085, backed by soft Canada CPI cementing the BoC pause. Price has since consolidated in the low 1.408s, holding above the 1.4070 swing low through the Asia session; RSI(14) neutral around 57 with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.40704
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40704 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
M15 close above 1.40850 session high extends the uptrend
Crude/US-Iran headlines the main offset to dovish-BoC CAD weakness
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.40797
Chain of higher highs / higher lows.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the London-NY-Asia stretch after soft Canadian June CPI cemented the BoC pause, printing a clean HH/HL chain from 1.4003 to a session high at 1.40850. Price is pressing back toward that high into Asia hours with RSI(14) around 62 — firm but not extended.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4065, 1.40528
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.40850 opens the path toward the 1.4100 psych level
Loss of 1.40700 swing low would break the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into a session-high stall, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session off 1.4003 to a session high at 1.40850, supported by yesterday's soft Canada CPI print. Momentum has cooled into the Asian session, with price consolidating in a 1.40704-1.40783 band just under the highs, RSI(14) drifting back toward neutral.
Support: 1.40704, 1.4065, 1.4053
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 resumes the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.40704 swing low exposes 1.40650 then the 38.2% fib at 1.40530
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session, CAD soft after the June CPI miss (2.8% vs 2.9%) revived rate-divergence flow. Price stalled at the 1.4085 session high and is consolidating in the low-1.4070s during Asia hours, RSI cooling from earlier highs.
Support: 1.40704, 1.4064
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 opens the path to the 1.4100 round number
Failure to hold 1.4070 swing low breaks the intraday HL chain
USDCAD ground higher through London/NY on the soft Canada CPI print, topping at 1.40850 before easing back. Now consolidating 1.4070–1.4083 in the Asia session with RSI(14) cooling off the highs; rising support intact.
Support: 1.40691
Resistance: 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40850 opens continuation higher
Break below 1.40691 breaks the rising support line
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is next domestic catalyst
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session, extending the leg off soft Canadian June CPI to a session high at 1.40850. Price has since stalled into the Asian session, consolidating in the low-1.4080s above rising EMAs with RSI cooling toward mid-range.
Support: 1.40704, 1.40655
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
Break above 1.40850 session high extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.40704 recent low signals momentum stalling
Canada Retail Sales Thu could shift the near-term read
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session after soft Canada CPI revived rate-divergence buying, tagging a session high at 1.40850. Price is now consolidating 1.40704–1.40850 in early Asia trade with RSI cooling to mid-range; the session high still caps.
Support: 1.40704, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40826
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 extends the uptrend toward 1.4130
Failure to hold 1.40704 opens a deeper pullback to 1.40600
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the next domestic catalyst
USDCAD ground higher through the window off the soft Canada CPI miss, tagging a session high at 1.4085 before easing. Price is now consolidating in the 1.4070–1.4078 band with RSI back near neutral; the 1.4085 high still caps.
Support: 1.40704, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4080
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40704 opens a deeper pullback toward 1.40650
M15 close above 1.40850 resumes the higher-high sequence
Crude/US-Iran headlines could shift the CAD read intraday
USDCAD climbed through the prior London-NY window to a session high at 1.40850 after soft Canada CPI revived rate-divergence buying, then stalled. Asia session is consolidating in the 1.4070–1.4078 band with RSI cooling to mid-50s; the 1.40700 swing low is holding for now.
Higher highs into late NY, consolidating below session high.
Late NY grind lifted USDCAD to a session high at 1.40850 after soft Canada CPI revived rate-divergence buying, but Asia has stalled the move. Now consolidating 1.40700–1.40850, RSI(14) cooled back to neutral with price pinned just under EMA20.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4053, 1.4041
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 extends the session high
Loss of 1.40700 pivot opens the 1.40530 swing low
Crude/US-Iran headlines the main intraday offset to CAD softness
USDCAD rallied through the London-NY window to a session high at 1.4085 after soft Canada CPI (2.8% vs 2.9%) revived rate divergence, then stalled and drifted into the low-1.4070s. Price is now consolidating just under EMA20 in early Asia hours, RSI(14) flat around 49.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4055, 1.4028
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 resumes the uptrend toward 1.4130
London-NY lifted USDCAD off 1.4004 to a 1.4085 session high after soft Canada CPI cemented the BoC pause. Asia session now consolidating 1.4070-1.4080 with RSI(14) back near 52; the 1.4085 high remains untested since the pullback.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 reopens the uptrend leg
Loss of 1.40700 recent low exposes 1.40650 swing low
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the window from 1.4003 to a session high at 1.4085, backed by soft Canada CPI and a firm USD. Price is now consolidating 1.4070-1.4078 in Asia hours with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral, sitting just under EMA20 but holding above EMA50.
Support: 1.40704
Resistance: 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4070 breaks the intraday rising structure
Break above 1.4085 session high resumes the uptrend
Oil remains the key CAD swing factor; a sharp reversal removes the recent support
USDCAD ground higher through the window after soft Canada CPI met a firmer USD, tagging a session high at 1.40850 before easing back. Price now consolidates near 1.4074 in Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral as the up-move stalls.
Support: 1.40704, 1.4065, 1.4059
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40850 resumes the up-leg toward 1.4090+
Loss of 1.40704 session low opens 1.40650 swing low
Crude reversal removes the CAD tailwind and can shift this read
Higher highs stalling near session high, consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a 1.40850 high, aided by a firm USD and softer Canada CPI, and is now flatlining around 1.40757 in thin Asia hours with RSI(14) cooled to the low 50s. Price holding above the 1.40704 swing low keeps the intraday uptrend intact; session high still capping.
Support: 1.40704
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40717
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40704 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
Close above 1.40850 resumes the uptrend toward the 1.4085+ extension
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session into Asia, extending after soft Canada CPI and a firm dollar, topping at the session high 1.40850. Momentum has cooled since — price pulled back to 1.40700 and is now consolidating near 1.40757, RSI back to neutral. Uptrend structure intact while 1.40700 holds.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40700 swing low would break the higher-low chain
Reclaim and close above 1.40850 session high reopens the upside
Oil reversal on Middle East de-escalation could shift the CAD read
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY, printing a session high at 1.40850 before easing into the Asian session; the soft Canada CPI yesterday and a firm USD kept the pair bid off the 1.4007 base. Now consolidating around 1.40742 with RSI(14) back near neutral, holding above the rising trendline.
Support: 1.40704, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40704 breaks the rising trendline and the HL chain
Break above 1.40850 session high extends the uptrend
Crude reversal on Mideast de-escalation could shift the underlying CAD bid
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY on Jul 20, tagging a session high at 1.40850 before easing back to 1.40742 as CAD's soft June CPI met a firmer USD. Now consolidating in the Asia session just below the highs, holding above the 1.40700 pivot with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range.
USDCAD trended higher through the London-NY sessions, tagging a session high at 1.40850 before rejecting and pulling back; the leg fits the firmer USD / soft CAD CPI backdrop from yesterday. RSI(14) has cooled into the high-40s and price now sits just below the EMA20 at 1.40765, holding above the 1.40704 pullback low.
Support: 1.40704
Resistance: 1.40765, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40704 breaks the intraday uptrend line and confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of the EMA20 at 1.40765 reopens the 1.40850 session high
USDCAD rallied through the London-NY session to a high at 1.4085 — the soft Canada June CPI and firmer USD kept the pair bid — before drifting back into Asia hours. Price now hugs 1.4074 just under EMA20, RSI cooling toward 47 as the move pauses; 1.4069 swing low is holding the pullback.
Support: 1.4069, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
Break above 1.4085 session high reopens upside continuation
Loss of 1.4069 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.4060
Oil headlines remain the primary CAD swing factor overnight
00:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 54 · price 1.4076
Higher highs into session top, stalling.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY window after the soft Canadian CPI, tagging a session high at 1.4085 before stalling. Price has drifted back to 1.4076 on thin Asia-session volume with RSI cooling toward mid-range; the rising sequence of intraday lows is still intact.
Support: 1.4069, 1.4055
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Break above 1.4085 session high opens the 1.4100 round number
Loss of 1.4069 recent low breaks the rising-low sequence
Oil moves remain the primary CAD swing factor
00:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 1.4076
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating below it.
London-NY hours drove USD/CAD from 1.4012 to a session high at 1.4085 as CAD's oil tailwind eased against a firmer USD after soft Canadian CPI. Asia session is now consolidating just below the high with RSI(14) back near 52; 1.4070 has capped the pullback so far.
Support: 1.4070, 1.4053, 1.4050
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 session high extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.4070 swing low opens 1.4053
Canada Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading late · RSI 49 · price 1.40723
Higher highs into session high, now pulling back.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY, tagging a session high at 1.40850 before the Asia session eased it back to 1.40723, now sat below EMA20. Move follows soft Canadian June CPI meeting a firmer USD; buyers have so far defended 1.40691.
Support: 1.40691, 1.4064
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40826
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40640 breaks the rising-low structure
Higher highs into NY, now pulling back from session high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through NY and into Asia, extending to 1.40850 as USD stayed firm against a soft-CPI CAD. Price has since faded to 1.40723, slipping under EMA20 with RSI back near neutral; the 1.40700 swing low is the near-term floor.
Support: 1.4070, 1.40528, 1.40409
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.4082
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40700 opens the 1.40528 swing low and breaks the rising sequence
Reclaim of 1.40850 session high resumes the intraday uptrend
Oil and Middle East headline flow remain the primary CAD swing factor
Higher highs and higher lows, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD climbed steadily through the London-NY window to a session high at 1.40850, helped by yesterday's soft Canadian CPI meeting a firm USD. Price has since eased to 1.40700 on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-50s; the higher-low structure holds while 1.40650 caps the pullback.
Support: 1.4065, 1.4056, 1.4041
Resistance: 1.4079, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40850 resumes the session-high advance
Failure to hold 1.40650 breaks the higher-low chain toward 1.40560
Crude oil swings remain the primary CAD driver — a reversal shifts this read
Consolidating just below session high after NY rally.
NY session drove USD/CAD from 1.4004 up to a 1.4085 session high, extending on the soft Canadian CPI print meeting a firmer USD. Asia is now consolidating just below that high, price easing to 1.4070 with RSI cooling toward mid-range.
Support: 1.4066, 1.4056, 1.40409
Resistance: 1.4085, 1.40817
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4085 resumes the up leg toward 1.4130
Loss of 1.4066 breaks the rising-low chain and opens 1.4056