USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 23 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat into Asia · RSI 55 · price 1.42115
Consolidation below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.42167 — fresh 14-month-high territory — then stalled into thin Asian trade, coiling 1.4209–1.4212 on falling volume. No directional impulse in play; the recent push reflects the BoC-hold vs hawkish-Fed divergence keeping CAD heavy despite this week's hot Canadian CPI.
Support: 1.4204, 1.42012, 1.41936
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.42117
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 reopens the upside toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.42012 session low marks the first lower-low and breaks the consolidation
Thursday Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground up through the session to a 14-month-high print of 1.42167 on broad USD strength and soft crude, then stalled into thin Asia trade and is consolidating in the low 1.4210s. RSI(14) has cooled off its peak into the mid-50s; price holds above EMA20/50 with the 1.4200 round level as the nearest demand shelf.
Support: 1.42012, 1.4200, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4220
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 reopens the path toward 1.4220 psych
Loss of 1.42000 breaks the rising intraday structure toward 1.41686
Thursday Core PCE is the next macro catalyst for the USD leg
Higher highs into 14-month peak, now consolidating near highs.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42167 before stalling, with the dollar firm on hawkish-Fed flows and soft crude weighing on CAD. Price has since drifted into a quiet Asian range between 1.4201 and 1.4212, RSI(14) cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.42012, 1.41936, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4220
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 reopens the path toward the 1.42200 round number
Failure to hold 1.42012 asia low confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.41936
US Core PCE Thursday could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 1.4217, now consolidating below.
Steady M15 uptrend carried USDCAD from 1.4156 to a session high of 1.4217 (14-month high zone) on broad USD strength and soft oil. Asia session is consolidating thin between 1.4201 and 1.4212, RSI cooling off the highs as momentum flattens.
Support: 1.42012, 1.41896, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42012 asia low opens a deeper pullback toward 1.41896
Reclaim and close above 1.42167 session high resumes the trend toward 1.4250
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key risk to this read
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 59 · price 1.4211
HH/HL chain, consolidating near highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a 14-month high at 1.42167 before stalling, with CAD heavy on the BoC-hold vs hawkish-Fed divergence and soft crude. Price now coils in the low 1.4210s in thin Asian-hours trade, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral after the run.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 reopens the path toward 1.4225
Loss of 1.4200 round level breaks the intraday HL chain
Thu Core PCE could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 59 · price 1.4211
Consolidating near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY into 14-month-high territory, tagging 1.42167 before stalling, with the broader bid tied to hawkish-Fed/soft-oil divergence. Now consolidating 1.4200–1.4217 in a thin Asia session; RSI cooling off the highs and volume drying up into the current bar.
Support: 1.4200, 1.42012, 1.41929
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4220, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42167 reopens the path toward 1.4250
Close below 1.4200 breaks the consolidation and exposes 1.41929
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.4211
Higher highs into highs, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY to a session high at 1.42167, in line with USD firmness at 13-month highs and CAD as the weakest major. Price has since stalled into thin Asia hours, consolidating around 1.4210 above the 1.4204 swing low with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4188, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42167 opens the path to 1.4250
Loss of 1.42040 swing low signals deeper pullback toward 1.4188
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 1.4211
Rising HH/HL chain, consolidating near session high.
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh 14-month-high zone at 1.4217, with price now consolidating near 1.4211 in thin Asia hours and RSI(14) cooling off its highs. CAD stayed pressured despite hot Canadian CPI as the hawkish-Fed vs BoC-hold divergence kept the dollar bid. Intraday HL structure holds above 1.4201.
Support: 1.4201, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.4217, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4217 reopens the path toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.4201 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Thin liquidity in the Asia session can exaggerate moves
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating below.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.42167, supported by a firm USD and soft crude, before stalling and consolidating around 1.4210 into the late, thin tape. Structure stays constructive above 1.4200 but the advance has flattened near the highs.
Support: 1.42012, 1.4200, 1.41936
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42167 extends the uptrend toward 1.42250
Loss of 1.42000 / 1.42012 breaks the rising intraday structure
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst, ~38h out
Stair-step higher highs, consolidating near session top.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY, tagging a session high at 1.42167 before stalling into thin late-session/Asia hours. Price now consolidates around 1.4212 above EMA20/50; CAD remains the soft major as BoC-hold vs hawkish-Fed divergence and weak crude cap any recovery.
Support: 1.42012, 1.41929, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 opens the path toward 1.42250
Failure to hold 1.42012 confirms a lower-low and stalls the climb
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 1.4212
Higher highs, consolidating below session high.
USD/CAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.4217 during the London-NY run on the hawkish-Fed vs soft-CAD divergence, then drifted into thin Asia-hours consolidation between 1.4204 and 1.4216. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s and ATR is compressing as the late-session range tightens.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4200, 1.4188
Resistance: 1.4217, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4217 resumes the intraday up-leg toward 1.4225
Failure to hold 1.4204 opens the path back to 1.4188
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 58 · price 1.4212
Higher highs, consolidating near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high of 1.42167, extending the broad CAD-weakness move, and is now consolidating around 1.4210-1.4212 on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s after the push; price holds above EMA20/50 with 1.4204 acting as the near-term floor.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4200, 1.4196
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42167 reopens the path toward the 1.4250 upside objective
Loss of 1.4204 swing low would mark the first lower-low of this leg
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst that could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a peak at 1.42167 — CAD the weakest major near 14-month highs — before cooling into thin Asia hours, now consolidating 1.4201–1.4210. Momentum has flattened; price slipped back under the EMA20 while holding above the 1.42012 pullback low.
Support: 1.42012, 1.41936, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.42118
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42167 extends the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.42012 opens the 1.41936 swing low
Core PCE Thu is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
Consolidating below session high after grind higher.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY to a 14-month session high at 1.42167, backed by a firm USD and soft crude. Price has since rolled into a tight consolidation through Asia on thin volume, RSI(14) cooled back to neutral around 51 and sits just under the 1.42012 swing low it is now testing.
Support: 1.42012, 1.4196, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 reopens the path toward 1.42250
Loss of 1.42012 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.41960
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst for the pair
USDCAD ground to a session high of 1.42167 on the eighth up-leg of the rally to 14-month highs, supported by BoC-Fed divergence and soft oil despite hot Canadian CPI. Price has since drifted into a thin Asia-session range around 1.4205-1.4210, RSI(14) cooling back to neutral.
Support: 1.42012, 1.41985
Resistance: 1.4212, 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 extends the up-leg toward 1.4225
Loss of 1.42012 opens a deeper pullback toward 1.41985
Core PCE Thu is the week's main USD catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.42167 before easing into a tight 1.4205-1.4210 band as the late-session tape thinned out. The climb reflects ongoing CAD weakness at 14-month highs despite hot Canadian CPI; momentum has cooled with RSI back near neutral and price slipping below the EMA20.
Support: 1.42012, 1.41936
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.42123
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42012 breaks the rising-low structure
Pullback from session high, consolidating mid-range.
Steady NY-session uptrend extended to a session high of 1.4217 before stalling; price has since drifted back to 1.4206 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. The grind higher fits the CAD-weak, hawkish-Fed-vs-BoC-hold theme, with crude soft. Volume thins into the late-session/Asia handover.
Support: 1.42012, 1.41936
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.42117
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42167 reopens the session-high extension
Failure to hold 1.42012 confirms a deeper pullback
USD/CAD ground higher all session to a fresh high at 1.42167, extending the BoC-hold vs hawkish-Fed divergence, then faded into thin late-session liquidity around 1.4206 with RSI cooling from the highs. Price is consolidating above 1.4200, holding the prior HL structure.
Support: 1.42012, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.42000 exposes the 1.41776 swing low
Close above 1.42167 resumes the trend toward 1.42250
Core PCE Thu is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
USDCAD ground up through the NY session to a 1.42167 session high, in line with broad USD strength and a weak-CAD tape, before stalling and slipping back to 1.42045. RSI(14) has cooled toward neutral as price rolled off the high and fell below the EMA20; the 1.42012 session low is the first pivot being tested.
Support: 1.42012, 1.4200, 1.41877
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4212
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42012 session low confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
Reclaim above 1.42120 prior high reopens the 1.42167 session high
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst that could reshape this read
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high 1.42167 before easing back to 1.4205, with the broader bid still tracking firm USD and soft CAD. Price has stalled into the 1.4200 round number, RSI cooling off the highs but structure holding the rising sequence.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41936, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41936 breaks the micro higher-low chain
Close above 1.42167 reopens the path toward 1.4250
USD/CAD ground higher through the window to a session high at 1.42167 before easing back to 1.42045, with CAD soft on the BoC-hold vs hawkish-Fed divergence. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as price consolidates just under the high; the 1.4200 round level is the first thing buyers must defend.
Support: 1.42012, 1.4200, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4200 round opens 1.41776 swing low
Reclaim of 1.42167 session high resumes the uptrend
Higher highs into 1.4217, now consolidating below.
USDCAD ran an orderly uptrend through London-NY, tagging a session high at 1.42167 before stalling on a CPI-beat-but-CAD-soft tape. Price has drifted back to 1.4205 on thin late/Asia volume, sitting just under EMA20 with RSI cooled into the mid-40s.
Support: 1.41986, 1.41776, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.42123
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41986 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.42167 resumes the climb toward 1.4225
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session to a fresh session high at 1.42167, extending the CAD-weakness theme after firm US PMIs. Price has since stalled, consolidating just above the 1.4200 round number into late NY with RSI(14) cooling back toward the mid-50s.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41978, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 reopens the advance toward the 1.4225 upside objective
Loss of the 1.4200 round number exposes the 1.41978 swing low
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a 14-month-high area at 1.42167, with CAD the weakest major on the BoC-hold vs hawkish-Fed split. Price is now consolidating just below that session high, RSI(14) cooling around 61 as the push flattens.
Support: 1.42054, 1.4200, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42167 session high opens path toward the 1.42250 objective
Failure to hold the 1.42054 swing low breaks rising support and exposes 1.42000 round number
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42167, extending the hawkish-Fed vs BoC-hold, soft-oil divergence, before stalling and consolidating in a tight 1.4208–1.4212 band into the close. RSI(14) cooling off recent highs as the late-session push loses pace; 1.42167 still caps.
Support: 1.42062, 1.4200, 1.41896
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42167 extends the uptrend toward 1.42250
Failure to hold 1.42000 opens a pullback toward 1.41896
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high of 1.42167 before stalling, the grind extending the broader CAD-weak/USD-firm theme that survived a hot Canadian CPI. Price is now consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) cooling off the push, holding above 1.42060.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4193, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.42167 extends the uptrend; loss of 1.42060 breaks the recent higher-low chain
US Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst into this read
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
NY session drove USD/CAD to a fresh 14-month-area high at 1.42167 on the hawkish-Fed/soft-oil CAD-weakness theme, now consolidating near 1.4209 with RSI cooled from earlier highs. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50; the 1.42062 swing low has contained the pullback so far.
Higher highs and higher lows, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh window high at 1.42167 before easing back to 1.42092, RSI cooling from overbought. CAD stayed soft despite the hot CPI as broad USD firmness and weak crude keep the trend intact; price is consolidating just under the high in late NY hours.
Support: 1.42062, 1.4200, 1.41929
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.42167 opens the path toward 1.42250
Loss of 1.42000 swing-low support breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Core PCE Thu is the next USD catalyst that could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.42167 before stalling, consistent with a firm USD and soft-oil-pressured CAD. Price now drifting back toward the 1.42062 swing low and the 1.42000 round number, RSI(14) cooling from the highs but structure still building higher lows.
Support: 1.42062, 1.4200, 1.41936
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42062 swing low and 1.42000 round number breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.42167 session high reopens the path to 1.42250
Core PCE Thu is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
Higher highs, higher lows; pulling back from session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London and NY sessions, posting a session high at 1.42167 before easing back toward 1.4209 as RSI(14) cooled from overbought. CAD stayed pressured on the BoC-hold vs hawkish-Fed divergence; price holding above the 1.4200 round number keeps the intraday uptrend structure intact.
Support: 1.42062, 1.4200, 1.41878
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42062 swing low would mark the first lower-low of the session
Close back below 1.42000 round number weakens the intraday uptrend read
Break above 1.42167 session high reopens the path toward 1.42250
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, tagging 1.42167 before stalling and consolidating around 1.4209; RSI(14) easing off highs near 60. The grind reflects the broad USD bid and soft crude keeping CAD on the back foot; rising lows from 1.41686 remain intact.
Support: 1.42054, 1.4200, 1.41957
Resistance: 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42000 breaks the rising support and points back toward 1.41957
Reclaim of 1.42167 reopens the session-high extension
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst, off-window for now
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.42167 before stalling, the move backed by a firm USD and persistent CAD weakness. Price now consolidates just under 1.42100, holding above 1.42000 with RSI(14) cooling off mid-50s after the run.
Support: 1.42062, 1.4200, 1.4188
Resistance: 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42062 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.42167 session high resumes the uptrend
Rising HH/HL chain, pulling back from session high.
NY session extended the grind to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42167 before easing back to 1.42086, RSI(14) cooling from overbought. The leg reflects broad CAD weakness on soft oil and the hawkish-Fed/BoC-hold divergence; pullbacks have held above the 1.42000 round level so far.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41776, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.42000 breaks the rising channel structure
Acceptance above 1.42167 opens path toward the 1.42250 objective
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could reset this read
19:45 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 64 · price 1.42092
Rising highs and lows, near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.42167, the move extending the 14-month-high push on hawkish-Fed/soft-oil flows. RSI(14) is hot but cooling off the peak as price stalls just under 1.42167; buyers stepped in repeatedly above 1.42054 on the climb.
Support: 1.42054, 1.41936, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42054 pullback low would break the rising-low chain
M15 close above 1.42167 session high opens the path to the 1.42250 objective
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst for this pair
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, USD firm near multi-month highs, posting a session high at 1.42167 with RSI(14) elevated near 69 but not extreme. Price holds well above the 1.4200 round number after clearing it, structure remains a clean chain of higher lows off the 1.41686 session low.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41936, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4200 round number would break the higher-low chain
Break above 1.42167 session high opens path toward the 1.4250 trend objective
Core PCE Thu is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
19:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 67 · price 1.42122
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCAD grinding to fresh 14-month highs, printing 1.42167 in NY hours on the firm-USD/soft-CAD divergence theme. Pullbacks have been shallow and bought along a rising intraday support line; RSI(14) ~67 is hot but not extreme on M15.
Support: 1.42054, 1.41936, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.42054 swing low breaks the rising support and signals momentum stalling
Acceptance above the 1.42167 session high opens room toward the 1.42500 psych level
US Core PCE Thu is the next USD catalyst that could shift this read
NY session drove USD/CAD to fresh session highs at 1.42167, CAD the weakest major after the BoC-hold vs hawkish-Fed divergence overrode hot Canadian CPI. RSI(14) elevated near 73 as the breakout above 1.4200 continues to hold, no pullback signal in the intraday tape.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4188, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.42000 would break the uptrend continuity
Loss of the rising support line off 1.41686 signals exhaustion
Core PCE Thu is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
19:15 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 72 · price 1.42135
Higher highs, higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.42167 through the NY session, a steady stair-step rally with CAD pressured by the BoC-hold vs hawkish-Fed divergence and soft oil. RSI(14) running hot near 71 as the move stays one-directional; pullbacks have held the rising channel since the 1.41686 low.
Support: 1.42054, 1.4200, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.42000 round number breaks the rising channel
Sustained break above 1.42167 session high opens the path toward 1.42250
Core PCE Thu is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 72 · price 1.42135
Chain of higher highs/higher lows into fresh highs.
NY session grinding to fresh 14-month highs at 1.42167, RSI(14) hot near 72 as USD held bid on the hawkish-Fed/soft-oil read against a weak CAD. Pullbacks have been shallow, with 1.4200 holding as the nearest demand shelf; move is stretched but no rejection yet.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Break above 1.42167 opens the path toward 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.4200 would break the higher-low chain
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 75 · price 1.42135
HH/HL chain intact, fresh session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42167, riding the BoC-hold vs hawkish-Fed divergence and soft crude. RSI(14) hot near 74 as price stacks higher-highs above the 1.42000 round number; no pullback structure yet.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41776, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42167
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42000 round number would break the intraday HH/HL chain
Failure to hold 1.41776 swing low confirms a corrective leg
Core PCE Thu is the next USD catalyst for this read
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, steady momentum · RSI 74 · price 1.42122
HH/HL chain, fresh 14-month highs.
USDCAD ground higher all through the NY session to fresh 14-month highs at 1.42125, supported by a firm USD and weak CAD on the hawkish-Fed vs BoC-hold divergence and soft crude. RSI(14) is hot near 73 but consistent with the trend; price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4207–1.4212 band at the highs.
Support: 1.41985, 1.41776, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42125, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41985 would break the intraday HL chain
Sustained close above 1.42125 opens the path toward 1.4250
Core PCE Thu and oil/Iran headlines are the next CAD catalysts
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 72 · price 1.42122
Chain of higher highs / higher lows, momentum flattening.
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.42125, extending the broader uptrend on firm USD and soft crude. Momentum is cooling — the last few bars flattened just under the high with RSI(14) elevated near 72.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4187, 1.4175
Resistance: 1.42125, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42125 opens the path toward 1.42500
Failure to hold 1.42000 / 1.41870 signals a corrective pullback
RSI near 72 with stalling price flags short-term exhaustion
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 69 · price 1.42075
Higher highs and higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground to fresh 14-month highs at 1.42117 through the NY session, clearing the 1.42000 round number on the hawkish-Fed vs BoC-hold, soft-oil divergence. RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not extreme on this TF; price consolidating just under the session high.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41936, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42117, 1.42193
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.42000 round number would stall the breakout
Loss of the 1.41936 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Core PCE Thu is the next USD catalyst that could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.42117, extending the 14-month-high move; RSI(14) ~71 is hot but normal in this trend. Higher-low chain intact from the 1.41686 low, with price consolidating just under the highs into late NY.
Support: 1.41948, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42117
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41776 breaks the higher-low chain
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the main USD catalyst that could shift this read
Stretched daily move (RSI hot) leaves room for a corrective dip toward 1.41948
18:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 72 · price 1.42085
Chain of higher highs / higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.42117, RSI(14) running hot as the firm-USD / weak-CAD divergence keeps the bid intact. Last few bars are stalling just under the high with momentum cooling, but the higher-high/higher-low structure is still clean.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4193, 1.41775
Resistance: 1.42117, 1.4220
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42117 extends the leg toward the 1.42200 psych area
Failure to hold 1.42000 round opens a pullback toward the 1.41930 swing low
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst beyond this session
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4212, holding a clean higher-high/higher-low chain after breaking the 1.42000 round number. CAD stayed offered despite the hot CPI beat as hawkish-Fed/soft-oil divergence keeps sellers in control; RSI(14) is hot at ~72 but not yet at extreme.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41776, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42117, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42000 round number would break the intraday HL chain
Failure to hold 1.41776 swing low confirms a corrective leg
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the main USD catalyst into the back half of the week
Chain of higher highs and higher lows into fresh highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to fresh 14-month highs near 1.42117, holding above the 1.4200 round number with RSI(14) hot in the low 70s. The bid has persisted despite Canada's hot CPI, with USD strength and soft crude driving the leg; price is now consolidating just under the session high.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41776, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42117
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4200 round number would stall the breakout read
Loss of 1.41776 swing low confirms a lower-low and corrective dip
Core PCE Thu is the next USD catalyst that could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.42117, extending the broader USD-firm/CAD-soft move; RSI(14) sits hot near 71 but still in trend. Price is stalling into the high on a flat final bar, holding well above the 1.4200 round number.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41776, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42117, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42000 round number opens the path back to the 1.41776 swing low
Sustained M15 close above 1.42117 session high keeps the higher-high sequence intact toward 1.4250
Core PCE Thu is the next major USD catalyst for this read
Chain of higher highs and higher lows, fresh session highs.
NY session drove USDCAD to fresh session highs above the 1.4200 round level, RSI(14) running hot near 78 on an extended push. CAD stayed soft on the BoC-hold versus hawkish-Fed divergence despite the firm CPI; price is pressing the 1.42117 session high with the next reference at the SocGen 1.4250 objective.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41896, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42117, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4200 round level negates the breakout read
RSI ~78 leaves room for a corrective dip toward the 1.41896 swing
Core PCE Thu could materially shift the USD leg of this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 72 · price 1.42104
Higher highs, near session high.
NY session pushed USDCAD to fresh session highs above the 1.4200 round number, extending the hawkish-Fed/soft-CAD divergence trend with RSI(14) running hot near 72. Price is printing higher highs with no intraday pullback held; the 1.42005 breakout shelf is the nearest reference below.
Support: 1.42005, 1.4190, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42117, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42005 breakout shelf would mark first lower-high attempt
Close back under 1.41900 prior high stalls the uptrend read
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's main USD catalyst
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to fresh 14-month highs near 1.42102 on broad USD strength and soft crude, with CAD the weakest major after Macklem held the line. Price sits above EMA20/50 in a clean HH/HL chain; RSI(14) running hot but not at extremes.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4190, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42102, 1.42193, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42102 opens the path to the 14mo high at 1.42193
Failure to hold 1.41900 breaks the rising HL structure
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key USD catalyst that could reset this read
17:30 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 74 · price 1.42078
HH/HL chain, no pullback.
USDCAD ground to fresh session highs through the NY session, clearing the 1.4200 psych level on the back of broad USD strength and soft crude. RSI(14) is hot near 74 with price riding the EMA20; momentum intact but the tape is stretched with no meaningful pullback in the last 8 hours.
Support: 1.41948, 1.41776, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42102, 1.42193
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41948 swing low would break the HH/HL chain
Close above 1.42102 session high opens path toward the 1.42193 14mo high
Thu Core PCE is the week's USD catalyst and could shift this read
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, steady momentum · RSI 73 · price 1.42073
Clean HH/HL chain, fresh highs.
NY session has USDCAD grinding to fresh session highs at 1.42081 on broad USD strength and soft crude, taking out the prior 14-month high near 1.4193. The advance is an orderly HH/HL chain holding above the 1.42000 round number, with RSI(14) hot near 73 but not yet at exhaustion extremes.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41936, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42081
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42000 round number would break the rising sequence and open 1.41936 swing low
Failure to hold 1.41776 swing low confirms a deeper intraday pullback
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key USD catalyst that could reshape this read
USDCAD ground to fresh 14-month highs at 1.42081 through the NY session, holding a clean HH/HL chain since the London-NY transition low at 1.41686. RSI(14) running hot near 73 as price sits at the session top, but no rejection yet — round-number 1.4200 now acts as the nearest support.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4186, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42081
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41860 breaks the HH/HL chain
Failure to hold 1.4200 signals momentum cooling
Core PCE Thu is the key USD catalyst into the next sessions
NY session drove USDCAD to fresh 14-month highs above 1.4200, clearing the prior 1.4193 peak as CAD stayed the weakest major. The HH/HL chain is intact and RSI(14) sits hot near 73, with price riding the top of the session range at 1.4208.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41775
Resistance: 1.42081, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.42000 stalls the intraday up-structure
Loss of 1.41775 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising channel
RSI hot near 73 — bearish divergence on a new high would flag exhaustion
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 73 · price 1.42073
Rising HH/HL chain, fresh session highs.
NY session drove USDCAD to fresh 14-month highs, clearing the 1.42000 round number on a USD safe-haven/hawkish-Fed bid while crude stayed soft. RSI(14) elevated near 73 on an unbroken HH/HL chain; rising lows from 1.41776 still intact.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4188, 1.41776
Resistance: 1.42081, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42000 round number would break the intraday HH/HL chain
Acceptance above 1.42081 session high opens path toward 1.42500 objective
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near round number · RSI 64 · price 1.42005
Higher highs into 1.4200, now consolidating.
NY session pushed USD/CAD through the 1.4193 14-month high to a session high at 1.4203, with CAD staying offered despite yesterday's CPI beat as USD safe-haven and hawkish-Fed flows dominate. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.4200 round number, RSI(14) cooling near 64 after the breakout impulse.
Support: 1.4193, 1.41776, 1.4170
Resistance: 1.42035, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4193 negates the breakout and returns price into prior range
Sustained hold above 1.4200 keeps the path open toward 1.4250
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to new highs · RSI 67 · price 1.42005
Rising HH/HL chain, consolidating at highs.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY to 14-month highs, stalling just under the 1.42035 session high at the 1.4200 psych level. CAD's failure to firm after the hot CPI beat kept sellers absent; the last four bars are flat-lining beneath 1.4200 as RSI cools off the move.
Support: 1.4185, 1.41776, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42035, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42035 opens the path toward 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.41776 breaks the rising-low sequence
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USDCAD to fresh session highs near 1.42035, extending the 14-month high theme as USD held firm and crude stayed soft. Buyers broke 1.41940 and consolidated above it; RSI(14) ~70 — hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.4194, 1.41775, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42035, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41940 stalls the breakout extension
Failure to clear 1.42035 sets up a session-high rejection
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 72 · price 1.41986
HH/HL chain, fresh session highs.
NY session drove USD/CAD to fresh 14-month highs at 1.42035, now hovering just under the round 1.4200 with RSI(14) running hot near 72. The push extends the firm-USD bid; CAD failed to rally even after yesterday's CPI beat, leaving sellers absent on this leg.
Support: 1.4193, 1.41776, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42035, 1.4200, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41930 prior high would break the HH/HL chain
Sustained close above 1.42035 opens the path to 1.4250
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke the 1.4193 14-month high during NY hours and printed a session high at 1.4203, RSI(14) hot near 72 on firm USD and depressed crude. The rally accelerated off the 1.4169 dip with no pullback yet; 1.4193 now flips to support.
Support: 1.4193, 1.4178, 1.4169
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4203
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4193 reopens the 1.4178 swing low and questions the breakout
Hold above 1.4200 round number keeps the breakout intact
Crude rebound or USD pullback could trigger a squeeze given stretched RSI
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 71 · price 1.4198
HH/HL chain, breakout above prior 14-month high.
NY session drove USDCAD to fresh 14-month highs above the 1.4193 prior peak, RSI(14) hot near 71 as the firm-USD/weak-oil read persists. Buyers stepped in repeatedly at 1.4177 through the London-NY transition; the breakout zone is holding so far.
Support: 1.4193, 1.4177, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4204, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4193 reopens 1.4177 and questions the breakout
Acceptance above 1.4204 session high keeps path toward 1.4250 open
Thu Core PCE could materially shift the USD leg of this read
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 73 · price 1.4198
Rising HH/HL, breakout above prior high.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 14-month high at 1.4193 to fresh peaks near 1.4203, with the firm-USD/soft-oil read still dominant and yesterday's hot Canadian CPI shrugged off. RSI(14) elevated around 73 but not extreme; the rising HH/HL chain since the 1.4169 dip remains intact.
Support: 1.4193, 1.4178, 1.4169
Resistance: 1.4203, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4193 would put price back inside the prior range and negate the breakout
Acceptance above 1.4203 opens the path toward 1.4250
RSI near overbought — squeeze risk on any oil rebound or USD pullback
NY session drove USD/CAD to a fresh 14-month high, clearing the prior 1.4193 high and printing 1.42035 with RSI(14) near 69. The breakout is holding; price is consolidating just above 1.4193 after the push, with demand stepping in on each dip toward 1.41776.
Support: 1.4193, 1.41776, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42035, 1.4220
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4193 negates the breakout and puts price back in range
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could reshape the USD leg of this move
NY session drove USD/CAD through the 1.4193 14-month high to print 1.42010, extending the firm-USD bid after the US PMI beats. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but typical for this trend; the 1.41776 pullback low was bought and the breakout area holds.
Support: 1.41776, 1.41686, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.4201, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41776 would break the intraday higher-low chain
A close back below 1.41930 puts the breakout back inside prior range
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 75 · price 1.41968
Higher highs, fresh 14-month high.
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42010, clearing the 1.4193 prior high as firm USD post-PMI beats and weak crude weighed on CAD. RSI(14) elevated near 74 after the impulsive run off 1.41686; momentum hot but no rejection yet at the session high.
Support: 1.41857, 1.41776, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.4201, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41930 negates the breakout read
Failure to hold 1.41776 confirms a lower-low
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 69 · price 1.41937
Higher highs into fresh session high.
NY session drove USD/CAD to a fresh 14-month session high at 1.4201, extending the firm-USD, soft-oil move; yesterday's hot Canada CPI failed to dent the trend. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — with price easing to 1.4194 on the last bar after the push.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41776, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.4201, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41776 breaks the recent higher-low chain
Sustained break above 1.42010 opens the 1.4225 area
Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD to fresh highs at 1.42010, USD bid on June PMI beats while soft oil keeps CAD pressured. RSI(14) near 70, hot but normal in trend; dip-buyers stepped in at 1.41686 before the leg higher.
Support: 1.41776, 1.41686, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4201, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41776 breaks the HH/HL chain
Rejection at 1.42000 psych would cap the session high
Failure to hold 1.41686 confirms a lower-low
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 73 · price 1.41974
HH/HL chain, breakout to new highs.
NY session drove USD/CAD to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4200, with firm USD and soft oil behind the leg up after a dip got bought at 1.41686. Price broke the prior 1.419 high; RSI(14) elevated near 72 but not at extreme.
Support: 1.4185, 1.41776, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.41992, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41850 negates the breakout retest read
Failure to clear 1.42000 round number keeps the session capped
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 74 · price 1.41974
Fresh session highs, HH/HL chain.
NY session pushed USD/CAD to fresh 14-month highs near 1.42000, riding firm USD after the beat US flash PMIs; RSI(14) elevated around 74. Dip-buyers absorbed the slide to 1.41686 and price reclaimed the prior 1.41913 high, now stalling just under the round number.
Support: 1.41776, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.41992
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42000 round number opens path higher
Failure to hold 1.41776 swing low signals pullback toward 1.41686 session low
Core PCE (Thu 12:30 UTC) is the week's catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.41913 during NY hours before sellers capped it, with a sharp dip to 1.41686 bought back to 1.41817 as a firm USD and soft oil keep the pair near 14-month highs. The intraday uptrend stays intact above the rising support, RSI(14) cooled to ~51 off the highs.
Higher highs into session high, pullback off 1.41913.
NY session extended the uptrend to a fresh session high at 1.41913 before rejection dragged price back to 1.41686 around the PMI/Macklem window, recovering to 1.41817. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the dollar holds firm and oil stays soft, keeping USDCAD bid.
Support: 1.41686, 1.4175
Resistance: 1.41913, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41686 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday rising structure
Break above 1.41913 reopens the path toward the 1.42000 round number
Further Macklem/oil headlines could shift this read intraday
Higher highs / higher lows, capped at session high.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh 14-month session high near 1.41913, with USD broadly bid and soft oil keeping the Loonie offered. Price has been capped three times around 1.419 and pulled back to 1.41864, still holding above 1.41817 minor support; the ascending intraday structure off the 1.41672 swing low remains intact.
Support: 1.41817, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41913
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41913 opens the path higher
Loss of 1.41817 exposes the 1.41672 swing low
Macklem speech and live US PMIs could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground to a fresh session/14-month high at 1.41913 through NY hours, holding the Loonie offered as a firm USD and soft oil override yesterday's hot CPI. Higher lows intact above 1.41830; current bar consolidating just below the high with RSI cooling off the push.
Support: 1.4183, 1.4175, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41913, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41830 swing low breaks the rising HL chain
Close above 1.41913 session high opens 1.42000 round number
Macklem commentary could shift the CAD read intraday
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to highs · RSI 69 · price 1.41897
Higher highs / higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh 14-month high near 1.41913, with CAD offered despite the hot CPI as a firm USD and soft oil dominate. Clean higher-low chain off the 1.41672 swing, RSI(14) ~69 — hot but not extreme; price coiling just under the 1.4193 high.
Support: 1.4180, 1.41672, 1.41507
Resistance: 1.41913, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41800 then 1.41672 would break the M15 higher-low chain
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
A clean close above 1.41930 opens the path toward 1.4250
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to highs · RSI 66 · price 1.41897
Rising HH/HL chain into fresh highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY morning to a fresh 14-month high at 1.41913, holding bid as a firm USD and soft oil override yesterday's hot CAD CPI. Price is riding a steady ascending channel with RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not extreme. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 1.41780 keeping the rising-low chain intact.
Support: 1.41783, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41913, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41930 14-mo high opens the path toward 1.4250
Macklem speech live (13:00 UTC) could inject a CAD relief bounce
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC may shift the USD read into the next bars
Loss of 1.41780 rising low breaks the channel structure
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high 1.41913, holding 14-month highs as firm USD and soft oil overrode yesterday's hot Canadian CPI. RSI(14) cooling toward 62 on the late stall just under the high, but the rising-low structure off 1.41507 stays intact.
Support: 1.4180, 1.41672, 1.41507
Resistance: 1.41913, 1.4250
What it said to watch
S&P Global flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift USD tone
Macklem speech (live) — hawkish lean would pressure the up-move
Loss of 1.41800 intraday base breaks the rising-low chain
NY session pushed USD/CAD to a fresh 14-month high at 1.41913, the pair bid as a firm USD and soft oil override yesterday's hot Canadian CPI. Price grinds higher in a clean HH/HL chain, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before extremes; pullbacks held above 1.41817.
Support: 1.41817, 1.41755, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41913, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Macklem speaking now (13:00 UTC) — a hawkish lean could spark a CAD relief pullback
Close above 1.41913 opens the path toward 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.41755 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Chain of higher highs/higher lows, late-stage push.
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours into the 1.41913 session high, just shy of the 1.4193 14-month peak, with RSI(14) hot but not extreme. The advance follows a hot Canadian May CPI that gave the Loonie only a brief bounce; price is now stalling in a tight 1.4185-1.4191 band into the Macklem speech.
Support: 1.41817
Resistance: 1.41913, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 GMT is the immediate catalyst and could shift this read
A clean break of 1.41913 opens the 1.4193 14-month high
Loss of 1.41817 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.41867
Higher highs, higher lows into session top.
USD/CAD ground to a fresh session high near 1.41913 through the London-NY transition, holding the 14-month high zone with a firm USD and weak CAD after a patient Macklem message. The last bar has just opened (thin) and price sits at 1.41867, still inside the recent rising channel.
Support: 1.4178, 1.4173, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41913, 1.4193
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read in the next bar
Close above 1.41913 opens the path to the 1.41930 14-month high
Failure to hold 1.41780 breaks the recent higher-low chain
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.41896
Chain of higher highs/higher lows into fresh highs.
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.41913, just under the 1.4193 14-month high, on a broadly bid USD and steady CAD softness post-CPI. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the persistent intraday uptrend; the rising-low structure off 1.41672 is intact.
Support: 1.41817, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41913, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 1.41930 opens continuation; rejection there marks a double top
Loss of 1.41817 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into 14-month high · RSI 74 · price 1.41896
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours into the 14-month high zone at 1.4193, RSI(14) hot near 73 but consistent with the steady CAD weakness post-CPI. Buyers stepped in repeatedly along a rising support line; session high at 1.41913 is the immediate ceiling. Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC is the live catalyst into a stretched, well-bid tape.
Support: 1.41855, 1.41715, 1.4160
Resistance: 1.41913, 1.4193, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read into a crowded long position
Clean break above 1.41930 opens the path toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.41855 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower-low
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 75 · price 1.41901
Rising HH/HL into 14-month highs.
USD/CAD ground steadily higher through the NY session, printing fresh session highs at 1.41908 just shy of the 1.4193 14-month high as the broad USD bid held. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but consistent with the trend; buyers stepped in repeatedly above 1.41810 with no clean pullback in play.
Support: 1.4181
Resistance: 1.41908, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Macklem speech (13:00 GMT) is the immediate catalyst and could shift this read
Close above 1.41930 extends the move toward the next upside objective
Loss of 1.41810 breakout support would mark the first lower-low of the session
12:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 74 · price 1.41901
HH/HL chain into session high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 1.41908 and pressing the 1.4193 14-month high. RSI(14) elevated near 73 but no divergence; pullbacks held at the rising 1.41803 swing low, in line with the broad USD bid and soft-oil CAD pressure.
Support: 1.41803
Resistance: 1.41908, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could reprice stretched USD/CAD longs
A clean break above 1.4193 opens the path higher; failure to hold 1.41803 breaks the rising-low chain
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 72 · price 1.41894
Rising HH/HL chain, fresh session high.
NY session ground steadily higher into a fresh session high at 1.41904, USD/CAD extending its uptrend as broad USD strength keeps CAD heavy near 14-month lows. RSI(14) hot near 72 but consistent with the trend; buyers stepped in on each dip along the rising 1.41672–1.41817 support track.
Support: 1.41817, 1.41743, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41904, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC (~45m) is high-impact and could shift this read
A close above 1.41904 opens the path toward the 1.4200 psych level
Failure to hold 1.41817 breaks the rising support and signals a lower-high
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 68 · price 1.41894
Higher highs / higher lows intact.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.41904, extending the rising-lows sequence from 1.41672. Price holds above both EMAs with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme. CAD stayed heavy despite the hot May CPI as broad USD strength dominated.
Support: 1.41803, 1.41672, 1.4155
Resistance: 1.41904, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42000 round number opens further upside
Loss of the 1.41803 swing low breaks the rising-lows sequence
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to highs · RSI 71 · price 1.41894
Higher highs, near session top.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to fresh highs at 1.41904, USD broadly firm into Macklem and US PMIs. Price is pressing the session high with RSI(14) hot near 71; demand stepped in repeatedly at 1.41770 on the way up.
Support: 1.4177, 1.41672, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41904, 1.4200, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC and US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.42000 opens the path to 1.42250
Loss of 1.41770 breaks the rising intraday support and signals a lower-low
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.41894
Rising HH/HL chain, fresh session high.
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.41904 through NY hours as the USD held firm broadly, with a steady HH/HL chain off the 1.41503 session low. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but not stretched; price sits right under the 1.42000 round number ahead of Macklem at 13:00 UTC.
Support: 1.41803, 1.41672, 1.41503
Resistance: 1.41904, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A close above 1.42000 extends the breakout
Loss of 1.41803 swing low breaks the rising HL chain
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, steady momentum · RSI 68 · price 1.41851
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCAD has ground higher through the session, posting a fresh session high near 1.41888 with RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not extreme. A steady chain of higher lows holds the ascending support off 1.4150, with the prior high at 1.4193 the next overhead area to watch.
Support: 1.4172, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41888, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4193 prior high opens further upside
Loss of 1.41720 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 72 · price 1.41851
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through London into NY, printing a fresh session high at 1.41888 with RSI(14) hot near 71 as broad USD strength kept the Loonie heavy near 14-month lows. Pullbacks held above 1.41743, keeping the higher-low chain intact.
Support: 1.41743, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41888
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are a near-term USD catalyst
Loss of 1.41743 breaks the higher-low chain
A close above 1.41888 extends the session high
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to highs · RSI 71 · price 1.4187
Rising higher-highs/higher-lows.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the London session, posting a fresh session high at 1.4189 with USD broadly bid near the DXY 13-month high. RSI(14) is hot around 71 but consistent with the trend; the rising-lows structure off 1.4167 remains intact.
Support: 1.4180, 1.4167, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4189, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4189/1.4200 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of the rising trendline / break below 1.4167 breaks the higher-low chain
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.4187
HH/HL chain into session high.
USDCAD ground higher all session toward the 1.4189 high, CAD unable to capitalize on the hot May CPI as broad USD strength dominates. RSI(14) near 70 but ATR is thin at ~5.5 pips, a steady low-volatility climb rather than an impulse.
Support: 1.4177, 1.4167, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4189, 1.4200
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC (~1.5h) is the main near-term catalyst
USD/CAD ground to fresh session highs at 1.41886, clearing the 1.41857 swing top as broad USD strength kept the Loonie heavy near 14-month lows. RSI(14) hot at ~71 but the HH/HL chain holds; price is pressing the 1.41900 psych line into Macklem (13:00 UTC) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC).
Support: 1.41743, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.4190, 1.4193
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.41743 swing low breaks the rising structure
Acceptance above 1.41900 opens the 1.41930 prior high
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.41886
Rising highs and lows, at session high.
USDCAD has ground to a fresh session high at 1.41886, just under the 1.41900 round number, with broad USD strength keeping the Loonie heavy near 14-month lows. Micro-structure is a clean chain of higher lows from the London-NY transition; RSI(14) near 71 is hot but normal for this leg.
Support: 1.4177, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.4190, 1.4195
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 1.41900 opens the path toward 1.41950
Failure to hold 1.41770 breaks the higher-low chain
USDCAD grinds higher on broad USD strength, printing a fresh session high at 1.41886 with RSI(14) hot near 71. Loonie failing to hold any relief despite the hot May CPI; higher-low chain off 1.41672 stays clean.
Support: 1.41803, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.4193, 1.4200
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Break of 1.41930 opens the path to the 1.4200 psych level
Loss of the 1.41803 rising low breaks the higher-low chain
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 70 · price 1.41886
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USDCAD grinding to a fresh session high at 1.41886 near 14-month highs as the USD stays broadly bid; price is riding a chain of higher lows up from the 1.41437 swing. RSI(14) hot around 70 but normal in this kind of trend, and the 1.4200 psych level is the next overhead area to monitor.
Support: 1.41743, 1.41672, 1.41503
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.41886
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC (~2h) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4200 opens the path higher; loss of 1.41743 breaks the higher-low chain
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 65 · price 1.41836
Higher highs into 14-month high zone.
USDCAD ground back to the session high at 1.41857 after an earlier rejection there sent it to 1.41672, with USD broadly firm near its 13-month DXY high. Price is pressing the 14-month high zone on cooling momentum; the 1.41857 cap is being retested into the Macklem speech and US PMIs.
Support: 1.41672, 1.41507
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41857 opens the path toward 1.42000
Second rejection at 1.41857 with a drop below 1.41672 confirms a lower high
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41836
Higher highs, holding near session high.
London session has ground USDCAD higher off the 1.41437 low to a session high at 1.41857, now holding above 1.4180 near 14-month highs. RSI(14) firm but not extreme; chain of higher lows intact. Macklem speech (13:00 UTC) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC) land inside the next window.
Support: 1.41776, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.41814
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC are a near-term catalyst
Close back below 1.41776 breaks the recent-low structure
Acceptance above 1.41857 session high opens further upside
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.41816
Higher highs / higher lows off 1.41523.
USDCAD ground higher through London hours, tagging a session high at 1.41857 before settling into a tight consolidation near 1.41816 on a fading volume bar. A clean chain of higher lows off 1.41523 keeps the intraday uptrend intact with RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not stretched.
Support: 1.4177, 1.41693, 1.4160
Resistance: 1.41857
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41857 session high extends the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 1.41693 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
10:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.41816
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session toward the 1.41857 session high, holding above rising EMAs as broad USD strength and a heavy Loonie kept the bid intact near 14-month lows. Price stalled just under the high with RSI(14) around 64, well short of an extreme.
Support: 1.41693, 1.41523
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4200
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC into the USD leg
Break above 1.41857 session high opens path to the 1.4200 psych level
Loss of the 1.41693 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.41797
Higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, posting a session high at 1.41857 before easing back toward 1.41800, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price holds above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows; the broader bid sits near the 14-month high at 1.4193 as a firm USD and soft oil weigh on CAD.
Support: 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41857 opens the path to the 1.41930 14-month high
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could trigger sharp CAD short-covering
US PMIs 13:45 UTC a near-term catalyst for the pair
Loss of 1.41672 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41797
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.41857 and is consolidating just below near 1.418, holding a clean chain of higher lows. CAD remains pinned near 14-month lows as the hot CPI failed to lift the Loonie; price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range, leaving room before the 1.42000 round number.
Support: 1.41672, 1.41507
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4200
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC are a near-term catalyst
Break above 1.41857 opens the path to 1.42000
Loss of 1.41672 breaks the higher-low chain
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41797
Higher lows into session high.
USDCAD grinding higher through London on a chain of higher lows, holding just under the 1.41857 session high with the pair pinned near 14-month highs and a firm USD. RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extreme; price tracking above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.41715, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41831, 1.41857
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41857 opens the path higher; failure to hold 1.41715 breaks the rising support
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.41797
Rising series of higher lows, pressing session highs.
USDCAD ground back to the session high at 1.41857 through London, holding above EMA20/50 as the firm-USD, soft-oil theme keeps the Loonie pinned near 14-month lows. Price now coils just under 1.4193, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before extremes.
Support: 1.41693, 1.4153
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4193, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41857 opens the path to the 1.4193 14-month high and 1.4200 psych
Loss of 1.41693 breaks the higher-low chain
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London session toward the 1.41857 session high, holding a stair-step of higher lows after demand stepped in at 1.41672. Price is consolidating just under the highs near 1.41790; the petro-Loonie stays pressured with oil soft and a firm USD. Macklem at 13:00 UTC and US PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next catalysts.
Support: 1.4175, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41857 opens the path toward 1.42000
Loss of 1.41750 then 1.41672 breaks the higher-low chain
Macklem speech (13:00 UTC) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through London toward the 1.41857 session high, RSI(14) easing back near 61 after the 1.4185 rejection. Demand has stepped in repeatedly along the rising 1.41672 low, keeping the higher-low chain intact as the pair holds the 14-month-low USD/CAD strength theme.
Support: 1.41735, 1.41672, 1.41488
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41857 opens the path to the 1.4200 round number
Failure to hold 1.41672 breaks the higher-low chain
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 1.41804
Higher lows since 1.41437, near session top.
USDCAD is grinding higher into the London session, holding a chain of higher lows off 1.41437 and pressing back toward the 1.41857 session high after dip-buyers re-emerged at 1.41672. CAD stays the weakest major near 14-month lows; RSI(14) around 63 leaves room before stretched.
Support: 1.41735, 1.41672, 1.41535
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41857 opens the path to the 1.4200 barrier
Failure to hold 1.41672 breaks the rising support read
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.41804
Higher highs into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session in a clean higher-high, higher-low chain, now stalling just under the 1.41857 session high with RSI(14) near 66. ATR is thin at ~6 pips; CAD stays the weakest major after yesterday's hot CPI failed to lift it, with the Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC the next catalyst.
Support: 1.41715, 1.41672
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41857 session high opens the path to the 1.41930 prior high
Loss of 1.41715 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition, holding above EMA20/50 and reclaiming the 1.41857 session high after a dip to 1.41672. Loonie stays the weaker side near 14-month lows; RSI(14) ~71 is hot but typical in this drift.
Support: 1.41672, 1.41572
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, building a chain of higher lows off 1.4144 and pressing back toward the 1.4185 session high. CAD remains the soft side after yesterday's CPI failed to lift it; RSI(14) ~68, hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.4174, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC and US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4193 prior high opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.4174 base breaks the higher-low sequence
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 63 · price 1.41824
Higher highs / higher lows intact.
USDCAD has ground higher through the London morning, posting a fresh session high at 1.41857 before pulling back to 1.41693 where dip-buyers re-emerged, then reclaiming toward 1.41824. Higher-low chain intact and price sits above EMA20/50 with RSI near 63 — momentum firm but short of extreme on this TF.
Support: 1.41693, 1.4160, 1.41523
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4193, 1.4200
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A break above 1.41857 opens the path to the 14-month high near 1.41930 then 1.42000
Failure to hold 1.41693 breaks the higher-low chain
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 68 · price 1.41824
Higher highs / higher lows intraday.
USD/CAD grinding higher through London hours, last at 1.41824 just under the session high at 1.41857, RSI(14) firm but not yet stretched. Dip-buyers held 1.41672 after the earlier pullback, keeping the intraday higher-low chain intact. Macklem at 13:00 UTC and US PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the near-term risk events into this push toward the 1.4193 14-month high.
Support: 1.41672, 1.41507
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4193, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41857 opens the path to the 1.4193 14m high then 1.4200 psych
Loss of 1.41672 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Macklem 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 59 · price 1.41768
Higher lows into session high, capped.
London session pushed USD/CAD to a session high at 1.41857 before rejection trimmed it back toward 1.41768, with the 1.41800 round number capping. Higher lows have held along rising support; RSI near 60, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.41693, 1.4160
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4180
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41857 session high opens the path higher
Loss of 1.41693 swing low breaks the rising support, exposing the 1.41600 prior low
NY session drove USD/CAD to a session high of 1.41857 before easing back to 1.4177 as dip-buyers re-emerged near 1.4170, with CAD pressured after the hot CPI beat. Price is now consolidating just under the session top, RSI(14) around 60 after cooling from the push.
Support: 1.4170, 1.4165, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4180
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41857 opens the path back toward the 14-month high
Failure to hold 1.41700 exposes 1.41650 and the rising support line
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling near session high · RSI 57 · price 1.41756
Higher lows since 1.4152, capped at 1.41857.
London session drove USD/CAD to a session high of 1.41857 before easing back toward 1.4175, with price building higher lows off the 1.4152 base. Rejection at 1.41857 is capping for now, just shy of the 14-month high at 1.4193.
Support: 1.41672, 1.41523
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41857 opens the path to the 1.4193 14-month high
Loss of 1.41672 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since London low, capped under 1.4186.
USD/CAD ground higher off the London low at 1.4150 into a session high of 1.41857, where supply capped and price eased back to 1.4175. Structure holds a higher-low chain above 1.4170 but the push at 1.4186 was rejected; ATR near 6 pips keeps swings tight.
Support: 1.41693, 1.41503, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41693 breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.41857 reopens the 1.4193 14-month high
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into London · RSI 57 · price 1.41766
Higher lows, recent session high capping.
USDCAD ground higher overnight and pushed to a session high of 1.41857 before easing back to 1.41766, with dip-buyers re-emerging near 1.41693. RSI(14) mid-range at ~57 leaves room either way; the recent high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.41693, 1.4160, 1.41523
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41857 opens the path toward 1.42000
Failure to hold 1.41693 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.41600
BoC Macklem 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 59 · price 1.41766
Higher lows, holding above recent base.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, tagging a session high at 1.41857 before sellers rejected it and price pulled back toward 1.41693, where dip-buyers re-emerged. Broad USD strength and CAD weakness keep the bias firm; RSI(14) near 59 leaves room either way.
Support: 1.41693, 1.41572
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.41811
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41857 opens the path back toward the day's highs
Loss of 1.41693 breaks the recent higher-low chain
BoC Macklem (13:00 UTC) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 1.4152, holding below session high.
London session held a chain of higher lows off 1.4152, pushing to a session high at 1.41857 before fading to 1.4176, RSI(14) cooling from the rally. Price is consolidating above EMA20/50 with the session high still capping.
Support: 1.41672, 1.41523
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.41811
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41857 opens the path back toward 1.4193 highs
Loss of 1.41672 breaks the higher-low chain
Macklem speech (13:00 UTC) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 62 · price 1.41766
Higher highs/higher lows into 14-month high zone.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, tagging a session high at 1.41857 near 14-month highs before easing to 1.41766, RSI(14) mid-60s. The dip to 1.41693 was bought, keeping the higher-low chain intact with broad USD strength and soft oil pressuring CAD.
Support: 1.41693, 1.41572, 1.41503
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.41822
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41857 opens path toward 1.4200
Loss of 1.41693 session low breaks the higher-low chain
London session pushed to a session high at 1.41857 before a clean rejection dragged price back to 1.41672, with a partial recovery to 1.41715 and RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. The rising sequence of lows off 1.41503 is still intact, keeping the intraday structure constructive while supply caps near 1.41857.
Support: 1.41672, 1.4160, 1.41503
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.41806, 1.4193
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.41857 opens the path toward the 1.41930 14-month high
Loss of 1.41672 breaks the rising-low sequence and exposes 1.41600
NY hours pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.41857 before sellers rejected it back to 1.41672, with the pair recovering to 1.41715 and RSI(14) easing to mid-range. Price stays above EMA20/50 within the broad uptrend toward 14-month highs, but the latest leg has stalled.
Support: 1.41672, 1.41562
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.41806
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could shift the CAD read sharply
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially move the pair
Close back above 1.41857 reasserts the session uptrend
Loss of 1.41672 confirms a lower-low and pressures 1.41562
London session printed a fresh high at 1.41857 before being rejected, easing back to 1.41739 with RSI(14) cooling from the push. Climb off the 1.41488 session low remains intact while 1.41700 holds.
Support: 1.4170, 1.4160, 1.41488
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41857 opens the path toward 1.42000
Loss of 1.41700 breaks the rising-low chain
Macklem speech at 13:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session high, pullback off 1.41857.
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a fresh high at 1.41857 before rejecting back to 1.41739, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Price holds above the 1.41700 base with EMA20/50 below; the broader bid persists on firm USD and a soft Loonie post-CPI.
Support: 1.4170, 1.4165, 1.41488
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.41806
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.41700 base opens 1.41650 then session low 1.41488
Close above 1.41857 session high resumes the higher-high sequence
Higher highs into session high, last bar rejecting.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session from 1.41700 to a fresh session high at 1.41857, then the last bars rejected back to 1.41781 with RSI cooling off 60. CAD stays soft post-CPI; price holding above EMA20/50 with intraday higher lows intact.
Support: 1.4170, 1.4156, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.41822
What it said to watch
Macklem speech 13:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41857 opens the path toward the 1.4200 area
Higher highs / higher lows into fresh session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London hours to a fresh session high at 1.41857 before sellers rejected it back to 1.41781, CAD still soft after yesterday's hot CPI. Price holds above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows from the 1.41488 session low; RSI(14) easing from the push.
Support: 1.41705, 1.4160, 1.41488
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.4200
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.41705 breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.41857 opens the 1.42000 round number
07:02 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 63 · price 1.41781
Higher highs into 1.4185 then minor pullback.
USDCAD ground higher through London, breaking to a session high at 1.41847 before easing back to 1.41781, RSI(14) cooling from the push. The grind sits well above the rising support off the 1.41523 session low, consistent with the firm-USD/soft-CAD tone into Macklem.
Support: 1.41705, 1.41523
Resistance: 1.41847, 1.41811
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41705 swing low would break the rising-low sequence
A close above 1.41847 session high opens the path higher
BoC Macklem (13:00 GMT) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, rejection at session high · RSI 61 · price 1.41781
Higher highs into 1.4186, capped.
London session ground higher off the 1.41503 low, tagging a session high at 1.41857 before a wick rejection pushed price back to 1.41781. USDCAD sits near 14-month highs; RSI(14) around 61 leaves room but the upper wick shows supply at 1.41857.
Support: 1.4170, 1.41595, 1.41503
Resistance: 1.41857, 1.41822
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41857 extends the up-leg toward 1.4200
Loss of 1.41700 base puts 1.41595 swing low back in play
Macklem speech ~13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 67 · price 1.41803
Higher highs/higher lows off Asian range low.
London-session grind higher off the Asian range, breaking 1.4175 to tag the session high at 1.41811; RSI(14) ~67, hot but not extreme. Rising support off the 1.41503 low is intact, and the 1.42000 round number is the next barrier into Macklem at 13:00 GMT.
Support: 1.41646, 1.41532
Resistance: 1.41811, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Macklem speech at 13:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41811 session high opens 1.42000
Failure to hold rising support / 1.41532 swing low signals a lower-low
USDCAD ground higher through the London open, breaking the prior consolidation to print a session high at 1.41811 with RSI(14) near 68. Rising intraday lows hold above 1.41700; the pair sits just under the 1.41894 prior high after CPI-driven CAD softness.
Support: 1.4170, 1.41503, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41811, 1.41894
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41894 opens continuation toward the 1.4200 area
Loss of 1.41700 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence
Macklem speech ~13:00 GMT (in ~6h) could materially shift this read
Rising lows off session low, pressing session highs.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.41437 session low and ground higher through Asia into early London, now pressing the session high at 1.41806 with RSI(14) near 68. Rising lows since the low are intact; the late push broke prior 1.4174 consolidation.
Support: 1.41705, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41806, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41806 opens the path to 1.4193 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41705 breaks the rising-lows chain
Macklem speech 13:00 GMT and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Recovering, momentum building late · RSI 66 · price 1.41798
Range break attempt off intraday lows.
USDCAD spent most of the window grinding inside a 1.41560-1.41700 band before the Asia session lifted price through the range top, with the latest bar tagging a session high at 1.41806. RSI(14) near 66 — firm but not stretched on this TF.
Support: 1.4170, 1.4156, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41806, 1.4193, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41700 returns price into the prior range
Acceptance above 1.41806 opens the path to 1.41930 then 1.42000 psych
Macklem speech 13:00 GMT and US PMIs 13:45 GMT could materially shift this read
Grinding higher off overnight low, capped at session high.
USDCAD ground higher through Asia into the London open, recovering from the 1.4144 overnight low to stall just under the 1.41760 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 58. ATR is compressed at ~4 pips as price coils in a tight band below resistance, with CAD on the back foot near 14-month lows.
Support: 1.4156, 1.4144
Resistance: 1.4176, 1.4188
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41760 extends the recovery toward 1.41880
Loss of 1.41560 reopens the 1.41440 swing low
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session has ground higher off the 1.41507 overnight low, building a chain of higher lows but stalling at the 1.41760 session high with RSI mid-range. Price is coiling tight in the last few bars ahead of BoC's Macklem.
Support: 1.4160, 1.41507
Resistance: 1.4176, 1.4188
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41760 opens the path to 1.41880
Loss of 1.41600 breaks the higher-low chain
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD dropped to 1.41437 during yesterday's London hours then clawed back, and the Asia session has ground higher into 1.41760, the session high. Price now sits mid-range near the rising support line off the 1.41488 low, RSI(14) neutral around 57; BoC's Macklem speaks at 13:00 UTC.
Support: 1.4165, 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4176, 1.4188
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41760 session high opens the path to 1.41880 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41650 recent low reopens the 1.41500 range low
Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the Asian session, recovering from the 1.4144 swing low to press the 1.4176 session high; RSI near 58, no extreme. Higher lows intact into early London, with Macklem's 13:00 UTC speech the next catalyst.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4176, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4176 session high opens path to the 1.4193 day high
Failure to hold 1.4150 session low reopens the 1.4144 swing low
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since session low, capped below 1.4188.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.41437 session low and has ground back to 1.4174, the 62% retrace of the 1.4193-1.41437 drop, on the broader firm-USD/soft-CAD backdrop. Higher lows are holding through the Asian-into-London hours, with 1.4188 capping for now and RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.41646, 1.41488, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4188, 1.4193
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4188 reopens the 1.4193 session high
Loss of 1.41646 rising support exposes 1.41488 swing low
Asia session ground higher off the 1.4149 session low, reclaiming both EMAs and pressing the 1.4174 session high with RSI(14) in the mid-60s. Move is orderly and not yet overbought on this TF; 14-month high zone at 1.4193-1.4200 sits just overhead.
Support: 1.4156, 1.41488, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4175, 1.4193, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4176 opens the path to the 1.4193 prior high and 1.4200
Failure to hold 1.4156 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Recovery, grinding higher into session high · RSI 62 · price 1.41738
Ranging 1.4150-1.4175, pressing range top.
Asia session ground higher off 1.4150, now testing the session high at 1.41746 with RSI(14) firm near 62. Move is contained within the overnight 1.4150-1.4175 range; ATR thin at ~5 pips into the London open.
Support: 1.41503, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41746, 1.41776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41776 opens the path back toward 1.4193
Failure to hold 1.41503 reopens the 1.4144 swing low
BoC Macklem 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Rising lows into session high, capped near 1.4175.
USDCAD ground higher off the 1.41437 session low set during the prior NY drop, now retesting the session high at 1.41746 with RSI(14) mid-range near 60. Price is parked at the 61.8% retrace of the earlier 1.4193-1.41437 slide as Asia hands to London.
Support: 1.4160, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41746, 1.41877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41746 opens the path back toward 1.41877
Failure to hold 1.41600 reopens the 1.41437 session low
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session into the London open, stalling at the 61.8% retrace of the 1.4193–1.41437 drop right at current price. Higher lows are holding rising support off the 1.41488 low; CAD stayed offered after yesterday's CPI beat failed to lift it. RSI(14) is mid-range with ATR thin near 4 pips.
Support: 1.41572, 1.41488, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41776, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41776 opens the path back to the 1.4193 session high
Failure to hold 1.41572 rising support exposes the 1.41437 day low
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session low, inside broader range.
USDCAD recovered off the 1.4144 session low and ground higher through the Asia session, now pressing 1.41743 ahead of the London open with RSI(14) around 62. Price holds a chain of higher lows but remains inside the broader 1.4144-1.4188 range; prior high at 1.41776 caps for now.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41503, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41776, 1.4188
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41776 opens the path toward 1.41880
Failure to hold 1.41650 exposes the 1.41503 swing low
BoC Macklem 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the session floor into 61.8% retrace.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session off the 1.41600 range floor and now sits on the 61.8% retrace of the earlier drop at 1.41742, RSI ~61, ATR ~5 pips. BoC Macklem (13:00 UTC) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC) are the next catalysts in this thin pre-London window.
Support: 1.4160, 1.41507, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41776, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41776 opens the path to the 1.41930 day high
Loss of the 1.41600 range floor reopens the 1.41507 swing low
Macklem 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could reshape this intraday read
05:02 UTC
Grinding higher off Asia low · RSI 62 · price 1.41743
Range with rising intraday lows.
Thin Asia/early-London grind has lifted USDCAD off the 1.41437 session low back to 1.41743, a chain of higher lows holding. Price is pressing the 1.41800 prior high with RSI(14) near 62; broader structure remains a 1.4144-1.4180 range.
Support: 1.41572, 1.41488, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4180, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41800 opens the path back toward 1.41930
Loss of the rising 1.41572 low reopens 1.41488/1.41437
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD slid to a swing low at 1.4144 during the London-NY slide, then ground back up through thin Asia hours and is now pressing the session high at 1.4172. RSI(14) mid-range near 60; CAD stays offered into Macklem after yesterday's CPI beat failed to lift it.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4144
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4188
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4172 opens the path to 1.4188 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4150 session low re-exposes 1.4144 swing low
BoC Macklem 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has clawed back from the prior-day flush to 1.4143, building a chain of higher lows through the Asia session and now pressing the 1.4175 session high. RSI(14) near 61 with price above both EMAs; structure constructive but capped at the range top.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4143
Resistance: 1.4175, 1.4193
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4175 opens the path back to 1.4193
Failure to hold 1.4150 reopens 1.4143 session low
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off to a session low at 1.41437 then clawed back through the Asia session, now consolidating in the 1.4160-1.4172 band with RSI(14) neutral near 55. Recent highs capped at 1.41716; the broader 1.4144-1.4192 range still frames the move.
Support: 1.4159, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41716, 1.4189
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41716 swing high opens the path back to the 1.4189 prior high
Loss of 1.4159 swing low re-exposes the 1.41437 session low
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC can shift this read
04:31 UTC
Ranging after pullback from highs · RSI 54 · price 1.41673
Consolidation, mid-range.
USDCAD pulled back from 1.4193 to a 1.41437 swing low then recovered, and has spent the Asia session chopping in a 1.4150-1.4172 band; price sits near the 50% retrace of that move with RSI(14) neutral around 54. No CAD-specific driver since yesterday's hot CPI failed to lift the Loonie.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4172 reopens the 1.4193 prior high
Loss of 1.4150 asian low exposes the 1.41437 swing low
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD recovered from the 1.41437 swing low and is now ranging between 1.41560 and 1.41716, last 1.41645 with RSI(14) neutral near 51. No setup in play through the thin late session; the daily uptrend backdrop persists but momentum has flattened intraday.
Support: 1.4156, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41716, 1.41889
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41716 reopens the path toward 1.41889
Loss of 1.41560 exposes the 1.41437 swing low
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Consolidating after intraday dip · RSI 51 · price 1.41645
Range between 1.4150 and 1.4177.
USDCAD is ranging between 1.4150 and the 1.4177 prior high after NY hours dipped to the 1.4144 day low; RSI(14) sits neutral near 51. Price chopped sideways through the Asia session with no clean break of either edge, parking at 1.41645 mid-range.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41716, 1.41776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41776 prior high reopens the broader uptrend
Loss of 1.4150 asia low exposes the 1.41437 day low
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range
USDCAD sold off from 1.4193 to a session low at 1.41437 then recovered, and is now drifting in a quiet Asia-session range between 1.4150 and 1.4172. Volume is thin and RSI(14) sits mid-band near 56, price holding just above EMA20/50 with no setup in play.
Support: 1.41507, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41716, 1.41776, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41716 reopens 1.41776 then the 1.4193 session high
Loss of 1.41507 exposes the 1.41437 session low
BoC Macklem (13:00 UTC) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC) later today could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Range after intraday drop · RSI 52 · price 1.41645
Consolidating above swing low.
USDCAD slid from 1.4193 to a 1.41437 swing low during the London-NY session, then recovered and has been consolidating in a 1.4155-1.4172 band. RSI(14) neutral near 52, no directional impulse into the Asia hours.
Support: 1.41507, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41716, 1.41776
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41716 session high reopens 1.41776
Loss of 1.41507 session low exposes the 1.41437 swing low
BoC Macklem 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could break the range
03:46 UTC
Ranging, drifting toward range top · RSI 56 · price 1.41683
Intraday range with rising lows.
Thin Asia-session trade has USDCAD grinding higher within a 1.41437–1.41716 range, holding rising lows since the session low. Price sits just under the session high with RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.41507, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41716, 1.41776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41716 opens the path to 1.41776
Loss of 1.41507 puts the 1.41437 session low back in focus
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Consolidating after pullback · RSI 55 · price 1.41683
Range, holding 1.4150 support.
USD/CAD sold off from 1.4193 to a session low at 1.4144 during the prior NY session, then recovered into an Asian-session range between 1.4150 and 1.4172. Price now sits at 1.41683, the 50% retrace of that down-leg, RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4172, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4172 swing high reopens the 1.4193 window high
Loss of 1.4150 recent low exposes the 1.4144 session low
Macklem speech (13:00 UTC) and US PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift the read sharply
03:31 UTC
Range, drifting higher · RSI 62 · price 1.41686
Ranging after intraday down leg, edging toward range top.
Quiet Asian session drift higher, with USDCAD grinding back toward the 1.41715 swing high after the earlier dip to 1.41437. Price holds above both EMAs and RSI sits mid-range near 61 — no extreme, consolidating the 14-month-high uptrend within 1.4156–1.4172.
Support: 1.4156, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41715, 1.41776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41715 reopens the path to 1.41776
Loss of 1.41560 reasserts the lower-half of the range
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst for CAD
Consolidation off 1.4144 low, higher lows building.
USDCAD has chopped in a 1.4156-1.4172 range through the Asia session after the earlier flush to 1.4144, now ticking up to retest the session high near 1.4172 (≈50% of the 1.4193-1.4144 drop). Higher lows are stacking but the move stays inside range; CAD remains broadly offered after the CPI beat failed to lift it.
Support: 1.4156, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41715, 1.41776
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41715 opens the path back toward 1.41776
Loss of 1.41560 reopens the 1.41437 swing low
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst
USDCAD ground into a tight Asia-session range after London/NY drove it off the 1.4193 high to a 1.41437 low. Price is drifting back toward the 1.41679 swing high with RSI(14) neutral around 55; demand stepped in repeatedly near 1.4150.
Support: 1.41507, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41679, 1.41762
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4168 opens the path to 1.41762
Loss of 1.41507 exposes the 1.41437 window low
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read later in session
USDCAD pulled back from the 1.4193 day high to a 1.41437 spike low through the London-NY hours, then chopped sideways. Asia session has held a tight 1.4150-1.4168 range, price now probing the 1.41679 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 1.41507, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41679, 1.41762, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41679 reopens the path to 1.41762
Loss of 1.41507 exposes the 1.41437 spike low
Macklem speech (13:00 UTC) and US PMIs later could shift this read
03:01 UTC
Consolidation after NY pullback · RSI 54 · price 1.41666
Ranging 1.4150-1.4170 above session low.
USDCAD slid from 1.4190 to a 1.4144 swing low during NY hours, then recovered into an Asian-session range of roughly 1.4150-1.4170. Price sits mid-range at 1.41666 with RSI neutral; CAD stayed heavy after the hot CPI beat but failed to extend the dollar move.
Support: 1.41507, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4168, 1.41762
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41762 reopens the prior highs
Loss of 1.41507 reopens the 1.41437 swing low
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session is quiet and thin, with USDCAD consolidating between the 1.41507 session low and the 1.41679 recent high after rebounding off the 1.41437 swing low. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 57 and price holds just above EMA20/50; no setup in play on this timeframe.
Support: 1.41507, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41679, 1.41762
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41679 reopens the 1.41762 prior high
Loss of 1.41507 session low exposes the 1.41437 swing low
BoC Macklem speech later today could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Ranging after pullback · RSI 49 · price 1.41596
Range-bound, mid-range.
USDCAD sold off from the 1.4193 14-month high to 1.41437 in earlier hours, then recovered and has chopped sideways through the thin Asia session, holding the 1.4150–1.4168 range. RSI(14) sits mid-band near 48, no momentum extreme; price is pinned around the EMA20/EMA50 cluster.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4168, 1.41762, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41680 swing high reopens the 1.41762 recent high and 1.41930 14m high
Loss of 1.4150 support exposes the 1.41437 swing low
BoC Gov. Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.41596
Consolidating below intraday range high after sweep of session low.
USDCAD is ranging through the Asia session between 1.4150 and the 1.4168 swing high, holding well above the 1.41437 session low printed during NY hours. Price slipped back below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range; no momentum, choppy two-way drift.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4168, 1.41762
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4168 reopens the 1.41762 prior high
Loss of 1.4150 exposes the 1.41437 session low
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC is the key near-term CAD catalyst
02:31 UTC
Ranging after pullback · RSI 48 · price 1.41595
Consolidation between 1.4150 and 1.4168.
USDCAD is chopping in a tight 1.4150–1.4168 band through quiet Asia hours after the NY-session slide off 1.4193 to 1.41437 stalled. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with price pinned around EMA20/EMA50, no momentum either way.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4168, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4168 reopens the 1.4193 14-month high
Break below 1.4150 exposes the 1.41437 session low
BoC Macklem speech later today (13:00 UTC) is the key CAD catalyst that could break this range
02:31 UTC
Ranging near session lows · RSI 49 · price 1.41595
Consolidation after recovery off 1.4144.
USDCAD is chopping through the Asia session between 1.4150 and 1.4168 after recovering from the 1.4144 session low set during the London-NY hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 49 with price pinned around the EMA20; no setup in play.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4144
Resistance: 1.4168, 1.4176
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41680 reopens the 1.4176 swing high
Loss of 1.41500 puts the 1.4144 session low back in play
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC is the key CAD catalyst that could break this range
02:16 UTC
Range-bound, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 1.41619
Consolidation off session lows.
Thin Asia session chop, USD/CAD pinned in a 1.41503-1.41680 range after the London-NY pullback off the 1.4193 14-month high. Price holds mid-range near 1.4162 with RSI(14) flat around 53 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.41503, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4168, 1.41762
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41680 session high reopens 1.41762 prior high
Loss of 1.41503 session low exposes the 1.41437 swing low
BoC Macklem (13:00 UTC) and US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) can break this range
02:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear bias · RSI 51 · price 1.41619
Consolidating sub-1.4170 after pullback from 1.4193.
USDCAD is chopping in a tight 1.4150-1.4170 band through the Asia session after sliding off the 1.4193 high earlier in the window, with CAD heavy on the divergent BoC/Fed story despite a hot CPI print. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 51, no momentum extreme; price is pinned around the EMAs with nothing structural in play.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4168, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4170 reopens the path to the 1.4193 range top
Loss of 1.4150 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.4144 window low
Macklem speech (13:00 UTC) and US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Consolidating after pullback · RSI 54 · price 1.41619
Range, mid-recovery balance.
Asia session is consolidating 1.4150–1.4168 after the recovery off the 1.4144 swing low earlier in the window; RSI(14) neutral near 54 and ATR thin at ~5 pips. Price sits around the midpoint of that bounce, capped below the 1.4168 recent high with demand holding the 1.4150 range low.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41679, 1.41712
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4168 recent high opens the 1.4171 prior high
Loss of 1.4150 range low exposes the 1.4144 swing low
BoC Macklem (13:00 UTC) and US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read
02:01 UTC
Ranging near lows, flat · RSI 52 · price 1.41619
Consolidation between 1.4150 and 1.4170.
Quiet Asia session chopping between 1.4150 and 1.4170 after recovering off the session low at 1.4437 during prior NY hours. RSI(14) neutral near 52 and volume thin; no setup in play with swing high 1.4168 capping and prior high 1.4176 above.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4168, 1.41762
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4150 session low reopens 1.4437 swing low
Close above 1.4168 swing high targets prior high 1.4176
BoC Macklem 13:00 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range
USDCAD sold off through the London/NY session to a 1.41437 swing low, then based and is grinding back up in a thin Asia session. Price now probes the 1.41700 range top after holding the 1.41500 base; RSI mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41762
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41700 opens the 1.41762 swing high
Loss of 1.41500 reopens the 1.41437 low
BoC Macklem (13:00 UTC) and US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read
01:46 UTC
Range-bound, minor recovery off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.41666
Basing after NY selloff, mid-range.
USDCAD sold off during NY hours to a session low at 1.41437 — the hot CAD CPI failed to lift the Loonie — then snapped back to 1.41762. Thin Asia trade has it grinding between 1.4155 and 1.4176, now 1.41666 holding above the fib midpoint.
Support: 1.4155, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41762, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4176 reopens the 1.4193 range top
Loss of 1.4155 exposes the 1.41437 session low
BoC Macklem 13:00 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could shift this read
01:31 UTC
Down then ranging, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.4164
Lower highs capped above a 1.4150 base.
USDCAD slid from the 1.4193 prior high through London-NY to a 1.41437 swing low, then settled into an Asia-session range between 1.4150 and the 1.4166 session high. RSI(14) neutral near 54, price holding just above EMA20/50 as it recovers off the base.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4166, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4166 session high opens a retest of 1.4193 prior high
Loss of 1.4150 session low exposes the 1.41437 swing low
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift the CAD read
01:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.4164
Consolidation off 14-month high.
USDCAD rejected the 1.4193 14-month high during London/NY and slid to 1.4144, then settled into a tight 1.4150-1.4165 range through the quiet Asia session on thin volume. RSI(14) is neutral near 53; price hugs EMA20/50 with no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4144
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4165 reopens the 1.4193 high
Loss of 1.4150 exposes the 1.4144 swing low
Macklem speech 13:00 UTC is the key CAD catalyst and could break this range
01:16 UTC
Pullback from highs, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.4160
Consolidation near 14-month-high zone.
USDCAD faded from the 1.4193 session high to 1.41437 during the London-NY window after hot Canadian CPI failed to lift CAD, then stabilised. Now chopping in a 1.4150-1.4170 range through the thin Asian session, RSI back near 46.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.4189
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41700 reopens the 1.41890 prior high
Break below 1.41500 exposes the 1.41437 swing low
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 1.4160
Consolidation near lows after decline.
USDCAD slid off the 1.4193 14-month high through the NY session and has since gone quiet, ranging 1.4150–1.4165 into thin Asia hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 with no momentum extreme; price is pinned just above the session low.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4144
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4165 range top reopens the 1.4193 high
Loss of 1.4150 session low exposes the 1.4144 window low
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC is the key near-term CAD catalyst
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.4160
Ranging near session lows after selloff.
USDCAD sold off from the 1.4193 prior high to a 1.4144 session low, then settled into a tight 1.4150-1.4165 range through the Asia session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with no momentum extreme; price is pinned at EMA20 below EMA50.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4144, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4144 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.4130
Close above 1.4165 reopens the 1.4193 prior high
BoC Macklem speech Tue 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.4160
Asian-session range after pullback from highs.
USDCAD is grinding in a tight Asian-session range between 1.4150 and 1.4165 after fading from the 1.4193 14-month high; ATR has compressed to ~6 pips with RSI neutral near 50. No setup in play — price pinned mid-range below the 1.4176 intraday high.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4144
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.4176, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4165 reopens the 1.4176/1.4193 highs
Loss of 1.4150 exposes the 1.4144 swing low
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC can break this range
00:46 UTC
Pullback from highs, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.41583
Consolidating after rejection at 1.4193.
USDCAD pulled back from the 1.4193 14-mo high and is now chopping in a tight 1.4150–1.4165 band through the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 46. The CPI beat yesterday failed to lift CAD, but momentum on this TF has cooled with price stalling under the 1.4165 intraday cap.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.41762, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41650 reopens the 1.41762 swing high
Loss of 1.41500 confirms a lower-low toward 1.4144
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD is ranging through Asia hours between 1.4150 and 1.4164 after the NY session sold off from 1.4193 to 1.4144 and bounced. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; CAD stayed heavy after the hot May CPI failed to lift the Loonie.
Support: 1.41503, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41642, 1.41762, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4150 confirms a lower low toward 1.4144
Reclaim of 1.4164 reopens the 1.4176 area
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Off the highs, consolidating · RSI 54 · price 1.41631
Range near session lows after sweep lower.
USDCAD swept down to 1.4144 from the 1.4193 high and has since coiled in a tight 1.4150–1.4165 range through thin Asia hours. Price is pressing the 1.4165 session high with RSI mid-range; no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.4176
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4176 reopens the 1.4193 highs
Failure to hold 1.4144 confirms a lower-low
BoC Macklem speech at 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.41631
Consolidating above session low after pullback.
USDCAD sold off from the session high at 1.4193 to 1.4144 during the London-NY stretch, then stabilised into a tight Asia-session range between 1.4150 and 1.4165. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 with price pinned around the EMAs; no setup in play.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4178, 1.4193
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4178 reopens the 1.4193 session high
Failure to hold 1.4150 exposes the 1.4144 swing low
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into Asia · RSI 44 · price 1.41602
Lower highs, consolidating near session low.
USDCAD drifted off the 1.4193 intraday high through NY and into Asia, now chopping around 1.4160 just above the 1.41488 session low. RSI sits mid-40s and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips on thin Asian-session volume; no setup in play.
Support: 1.41488, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.4177, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41488 confirms a lower low toward 1.41437
Reclaim of 1.41650 needed to challenge the 1.41770 prior swing
BoC Macklem 13:00 UTC and US Flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Downtrend faded, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.41602
Consolidation under prior highs.
USDCAD faded from the 1.4193 range high and is now consolidating between 1.4150 and 1.4165 through the quiet Asia session on thin volume. CAD stayed heavy after the hot May CPI failed to lift the Loonie, but momentum has stalled with RSI(14) flat near 48.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4165, 1.4176, 1.4193
What it said to watch
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4165 reopens the 1.4176/1.4193 highs
Failure to hold 1.4150 exposes the 1.4144 session low
00:01 UTC
Pullback off highs, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.41602
Consolidation after slide from 1.4193.
USDCAD slid off the 1.4193 14-month high and is now ranging 1.4150-1.4165 through quiet Asia hours, CAD still heavy on the BoC-Fed rate divergence. Price hugging EMA20 with RSI mid-zone; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.41652, 1.41762, 1.4193
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41652 reopens the 1.4176 / 1.4193 highs
Loss of 1.41500 confirms a lower-low toward 1.41437
BoC Gov. Macklem speech Tue 13:00 UTC is the key near-term CAD catalyst
00:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 1.41602
Choppy range, drifting lower in Asia.
USDCAD slid off the 1.4193 high during NY hours and has since gone sideways, ranging roughly 1.4150-1.4170 on thin Asia-session volume. Price is hovering near the 50% retrace (~1.4160) of the 1.4144-1.4178 bounce, RSI neutral around 47.
Support: 1.41488, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4168, 1.41776
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41488 reopens the 1.41437 swing low
Close back above 1.41680 puts the 1.41776 prior high in play
BoC Macklem speech 13:00 UTC could materially shift this read