USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 31 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:46 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.40102
Lower highs, testing session lows.
USDCAD spiked to a session high 1.40583 during NY hours then rolled over, printing lower highs through the afternoon and now pressing session lows near 1.40100/1.40093. RSI(14) is soft in the low-40s with price under both EMAs; momentum favours the downside for now.
Support: 1.40093, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40234, 1.4030, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40093 opens the 1.40000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40234 negates the lower-high sequence
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this read
Lower highs from 1.4058, grinding into session lows.
USDCAD spiked to a 1.40583 session high during NY hours then faded in a stair-step of lower highs back to the session low near 1.40097, where price has stalled twice. RSI(14) sits near 40 as the pair pins the 1.4010 area, the USD's broad short-covering bounce having lost steam into late NY.
Support: 1.40097, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.40234, 1.4030, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40097 exposes the 1.4000 psych level and 1.3991 2-week low
Reclaim of 1.40234 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
ISM Manufacturing Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD read
20:31 UTC
Down leg off session high, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 1.40185
Lower highs since 1.40583 spike, basing near 1.40100.
USDCAD sold off from the NY session high at 1.40583 down to 1.40093, and has since chopped sideways in the 1.40090-1.40234 zone. Recovery to 1.40185 has RSI(14) back near neutral; the down leg's swing high at 1.40234 caps for now.
Support: 1.40093, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40234, 1.4030, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40234 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.40093 opens the 1.40000 psych level
20:31 UTC
Pullback from session high, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.40185
Lower highs off 1.4057, base building near 1.4010.
USDCAD spiked to a session high of 1.4057 during NY hours then rejected, unwinding the whole rally to base around 1.4010. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 as the pair consolidates 1.4010–1.4030 into the late NY-Asia transition; the GDP beat earlier failed to move CAD, leaving rate spreads in control.
Support: 1.40098, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.40234, 1.40295, 1.40572
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4030 range top negates the pullback read
Failure to hold 1.4010 session low exposes 1.4000 psych and the 1.3991 low
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could re-arm USD momentum
NY session ran to 1.4058 on the broad USD bounce off six-week lows, then rolled over into a lower-high chain and slid back toward the 1.4009 session low. Price now consolidating near 1.4016 below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4009, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.4058
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4009 exposes the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.4023 swing high needed to break the lower-high chain
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could re-arm the USD move
20:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.4019
Lower highs, testing session low.
USDCAD rolled off the 1.4058 session high during NY hours and stair-stepped lower into a series of lower highs, testing 1.4009 before a late bounce to 1.4019. RSI(14) mid-40s with ATR near 6 pips — momentum flat as the pair drifts back toward the 1.4000 psych mark, consistent with the range-bound loonie read post-GDP.
Support: 1.4009, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4029, 1.4058
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4009 confirms a lower low toward 1.4000 psych
Reclaim of 1.4029 swing high needed to challenge the descending highs
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the intraday read
NY session spiked to 1.4058 then faded steadily back into a 1.4010–1.4020 base, price now pinned just under the 1.4023 swing/ema20 area. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.4009; RSI(14) mid-range near 47 with ATR compressing to ~8 pips.
Support: 1.4009, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.4058
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4009 opens 1.4000 psych then the 1.3991 two-week low
Reclaim of 1.4023 needed to re-challenge the 1.4058 session high
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read
19:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the 1.4058 spike · RSI 38 · price 1.40105
Lower highs, lower lows since mid-NY peak.
USDCAD spiked to 1.4058 in mid-NY then rolled over, printing a chain of lower highs into the late-NY session and pressing session lows at 1.40098. Price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38 — soft but not yet oversold; the 1.4000 psychological mark sits just below.
Support: 1.40098, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40234, 1.40396
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.40098 opens the 1.4000 psych level
M15 close back above 1.40234 breaks the lower-high sequence
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD read
Lower highs since 1.4058 peak, testing 1.4011 support.
NY session peaked at 1.4058 then rolled into a lower-high sequence, unwinding the earlier push above 1.4050 as USD's corrective bounce faded. Price now grinds around 1.4014, boxed between the 1.4011 swing low and a descending series of session highs; RSI mid-40s, ATR compressed near 7 pips into the late session.
Support: 1.40113, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40234, 1.40325
What it said to watch
Break below 1.40113 opens the 1.4000 psychological mark
M15 close above 1.40234 negates the lower-high sequence
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the read
USDCAD faded from the 1.40583 session high through NY hours, printing lower highs and now sitting at 1.40143 below EMA20/50. Move is USD-led as the Dollar holds its corrective bounce above 100.00; a retest of the 1.40113 session low is in play with the 1.4000 psych level below.
Support: 1.40113, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40234, 1.40325, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40113 opens the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40234 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD read
19:03 UTC
Pullback after NY high, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.40158
Faded off session high, consolidating above 1.4000.
USD/CAD spiked to a session high at 1.40583 during NY hours on the USD bounce, then got rejected and faded back toward the 1.4000 psych level. Price is now consolidating around 1.4016 in a tight late-session range, RSI in the mid-40s, sitting below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4011, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40237, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40110 swing low exposes the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40237 recent high needed to challenge the session high
19:02 UTC
Pullback off NY high, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 1.40158
Descending after 1.4058 rejection.
NY session pushed to 1.4058 before rejecting hard; price has since printed lower highs and now trades below EMA20/50 around 1.4016. Recent chop sits between the 1.4011 session low and 1.4023 swing high, with the 1.4000 psychological mark just beneath.
Support: 1.40113, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40234, 1.40305, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Break below 1.40113 opens the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40234 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this read
Lower highs since spike, consolidating above swing low.
NY session spiked to 1.40583 mid-afternoon then faded, carving lower highs down to the 1.40113 swing low before stabilising near 1.40204. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s; a 1.40113-1.40305 range now holds the tape.
Support: 1.40113, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40305, 1.4046, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40113 confirms a lower-low toward 1.40000 psych
Reclaim of 1.40305 swing high reopens the 1.40460 prior high
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst
18:46 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.40204
Faded off session high, ranging above 1.4000.
NY session rallied to 1.40583 then faded, now consolidating near 1.40204 into the 61.8% retrace of that leg. USD/CAD steadied above the 1.4000 psych level as the Dollar reclaimed 100.00 on firmer yields; buyers held 1.4011 on the pullback.
Support: 1.40113, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40244, 1.4035, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4011 opens the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40350 reopens the 1.40583 session high
ISM Manufacturing Mon 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
18:32 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 46 · price 1.40222
Consolidating above 1.4011 low.
NY session pushed to a session high at 1.4058 then rejected, sliding back to the 1.4011 swing low before steadying near 1.4022 as the USD reclaimed the 100.00 handle on DXY. Price now chops between 1.4011 and 1.4032 with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~7 pips.
Support: 1.4011, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4032, 1.4058
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4032 re-opens the 1.4058 session high
Break below 1.4011 exposes the 1.4000 psych level
ISM Manufacturing Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this range
18:31 UTC
Pullback after NY rally stalled · RSI 46 · price 1.40233
Retracing off session high, holding above session low.
USD/CAD pushed to a session high of 1.40583 during NY hours on the modest USD recovery back above DXY 100.00, then faded to 1.40113 before bouncing to 1.40233. Price is now consolidating near the 78.6% retrace of that rally leg, capped by a series of lower highs into late NY.
Support: 1.40113, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40315, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40315 reopens the session high at 1.40583
Break below 1.40113 session low exposes the 1.4000 psych mark
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD read
NY session ran up to a session high at 1.40583 before rejecting, USD/CAD steadying above the 1.4000 psych mark as the dollar bounces off six-week lows. Since then price has chopped between 1.40113 and 1.40315; the current bounce off 1.40113 stalls just under the swing high, RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.40113, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40315, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40315 reopens the 1.40583 session high
Loss of 1.40113 exposes the 1.4000 psych level
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon Aug 3 could shift the USD read
18:16 UTC
Pullback after intraday spike · RSI 47 · price 1.40233
Faded off session high, ranging.
NY session spiked to a 1.4058 session high then rejected, fading ~45 pips to the 1.4011 session low before recovering to 1.4023 on the broad USD bounce off six-week lows. Price now sits around the 61.8% retrace of that up-move with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.40114, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4046, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4011 opens the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.4046 prior high needed to re-challenge the 1.4058 session high
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this range
18:02 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.40184
Lower highs since 1.40583 peak, basing near 1.4011.
NY session spiked to a six-week-relevant high at 1.40583 on the USD recovery — DXY reclaiming 100.00 — then rejected, printing a chain of lower highs back to 1.40184. Price is now basing near the 1.40113 session low, sitting below EMA20 with RSI(14) around 43.
Support: 1.40113, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40295, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40113 exposes the 1.4000 psych level
reclaim of 1.40295 breaks the lower-high chain
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read
18:01 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.40184
Lower highs since 1.4057 peak.
USDCAD peaked at 1.4058 during the NY session as the USD clawed back, then sold off to 1.4011 and is now consolidating near 1.4018. Price trades below both EMAs with a chain of lower highs; 1.4030 is capping bounces while 1.4011 holds the base.
Support: 1.4011, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4030, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Break below 1.4011 opens the 1.4000 psych pivot
M15 close back above 1.4030 negates the lower-high sequence
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this read
USDCAD rolled over from the NY session high at 1.4058 and has printed a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) cooling near 40. Price is now probing session lows around 1.40110 with the 1.40000 psychological pivot just below.
Support: 1.4011, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40295, 1.4046
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40000 opens the 1.3995 support region
Reclaim of 1.40295 negates the lower-high sequence
USDCAD rallied to a 1.40583 session high near 14:30 UTC then faded through the NY afternoon, printing lower highs and breaking the 1.4020 shelf. Price now sits at 1.40156 with RSI cooling toward 40; the 1.4000 psychological mark is the next area to watch below.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3996
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4032, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4000 opens the 1.39960 cycle low
Reclaim of 1.40320 lower high negates the pullback
17:31 UTC
Pullback after NY rally · RSI 40 · price 1.40156
Lower highs off session high.
NY session spiked to a 1.40583 session high then reversed, and price has stacked lower highs back down to 1.40156 — a broad USD-led pop that's now unwinding. Grind is heading toward the 1.4000 psych area with the 1.40300 pivot capping.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.4030, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4000 psych opens the 1.39906 asia low region
Reclaim of the 1.40300 pivot negates the pullback
17:31 UTC
Pulled back from session high, consolidating · RSI 44 · price 1.40243
Rally rejected, retracing to fib zone.
NY session drove USDCAD to a session high of 1.40583 before rejection, a USD-led bounce off six-week lows rather than CAD weakness. Price has retraced to the 61.8% fib near 1.40244 and is now consolidating between 1.40200 and the 1.40315 range top, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40315, 1.4046, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40200 swing low opens the 1.40000 psych mark
Reclaim of 1.40460 prior high revives the push toward the session high
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon could reset this range
17:16 UTC
Pullback after intraday spike, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.40243
Consolidation off session high.
NY session spiked to 1.40583 near 14:00 UTC then faded, USDCAD now consolidating 1.40200-1.40320 as a modest USD recovery keeps the pair above the 1.4000 psych mark. Price sits mid-range around the 50% retracement of the day's up-move, RSI(14) cooled back to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4032, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40200 opens the path to the 1.4000 psych mark
Reclaim of 1.40320 range top puts the 1.40583 session high back in play
17:16 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 44 · price 1.40243
Rally to session high, rejected, now consolidating.
NY session pushed to a session high at 1.40583 before rejection dragged price back to the 61.8% fib near 1.40244, a USD-led bounce noted in the digest. Price is now consolidating between 1.40205 and 1.40350 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.40205, 1.40034, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4035, 1.4046, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40205 swing low opens the 1.40034 range low and 1.40000 psych
Reclaim of 1.40350 micro high reopens 1.40460 and the 1.40583 session high
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon could reset the USD tone into next session
NY session spiked to 1.4058 then rejected, retracing to the 50% fib around 1.4030 where price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4020-1.4031 band. USD-led bounce off sub-1.4000 six-week lows is stalling into the NY afternoon; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4046, 1.4058
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4046 reopens the 1.4058 session high
Break below 1.4020 swing low exposes the 1.4000 psych level
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon could reset the USD tone
17:02 UTC
Pullback stalling, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 1.40294
Spike to 1.4058 then retrace, holding above 1.4020.
NY session pushed USD/CAD up to a session high at 1.4058 on the modest USD bounce, then rejected and retraced to consolidate around 1.4025-1.4031. Move is USD-led; pair holding above the 1.4020 swing low with the 1.4000 psych level as the deeper reference.
Support: 1.40201, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4046, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4020 opens the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.4058 session high resumes the intraday advance
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the USD-led read
16:46 UTC
NY rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.40274
Pullback holding above 1.4020 after spike to 1.4058.
NY session spiked to a session high of 1.4058 before rejecting sharply back, a USD-led move as the dollar bounced modestly off six-week lows. Price is now consolidating in a 1.4020-1.4033 pocket below EMA20, RSI(14) neutral around 47.
Support: 1.40201, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4033, 1.4046, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4033 ema20 reopens the 1.4046 prior high
Loss of 1.4020 swing low exposes the 1.4000 psych pivot
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could shift this read
16:46 UTC
Pulled back from session high, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.40274
Rally rejected at 1.4058, now ranging 1.4020-1.4032.
NY afternoon rally into firm US data (ECI, Chicago PMI, Michigan beats) topped at 1.4058 and was rejected, unwinding to the 1.4020 swing low. Price now chops around 1.4027 with the ema20 capping near 1.4032; no fresh setup in play.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4032, 1.4058
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4020 exposes the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.4032 ema20 and 1.4058 session high revives the upside
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this read
16:31 UTC
Pullback after NY spike, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.40274
Rejection at session high, consolidating below.
NY session spiked to a session high at 1.40583 on the broad USD bounce, then rejected and unwound to consolidate 1.4020-1.4030. RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s as price chops just below EMA20; the 1.4000 psych pivot remains the downside reference flagged in context.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4046, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40200 exposes the 1.4000 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.40460 reopens the 1.40583 session high
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon Aug 3 could reset the USD tone
16:16 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, momentum cooling · RSI 46 · price 1.40261
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD spiked to a session high 1.40583 into the NY session as USD firmed on beats in Chicago PMI and Michigan sentiment, then gave back most of the move into 1.40201. Now consolidating 1.40201–1.40325 below EMA20, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with the impulse leg roughly 78% retraced.
Support: 1.40201, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40325, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40201 exposes the 1.40000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40325 range top reopens the 1.40583 session high
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon could reset this read on USD
16:16 UTC
Pullback after NY push · RSI 45 · price 1.40261
Rejection at session high, consolidating lower.
NY session drove USDCAD up to a session high of 1.40583 before a sharp ~35 pip rejection, the leg USD-led on a modest DXY bounce rather than CAD weakness. Price now consolidating around 1.4026 below the EMA20, with RSI(14) cooled to mid-range.
Support: 1.40205, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4032, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40205 session low exposes the 1.4000 psych mark
Reclaim of the EMA20 near 1.40320 revives the push toward 1.40583
16:02 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY spike · RSI 46 · price 1.40266
Rejected session high, consolidating lower.
NY session drove USDCAD up to 1.40583 before rejecting, with a ~35 pip pullback to 1.40205 as the modest USD bounce on Mideast risk faded. Price now consolidating around 1.4027, RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s and back below EMA20.
Support: 1.40205, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4046, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.40205 exposes the 1.4000 psych mark
Reclaim of 1.40460 needed to re-test the 1.40583 session high
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this read
16:02 UTC
Up-move stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.40266
Pullback after impulse, holding above session low.
USD/CAD rallied to a session high at 1.40583 during NY hours as firmer US data (Chicago PMI, ECI beats) supported the dollar, then pulled back into a 1.4022-1.4033 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price sits back below EMA20 but is holding above the 1.40205 swing low.
Support: 1.40205, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4046, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40205 exposes the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40460 reopens the path to the 1.40583 session high
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset this read
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 53 · price 1.40296
NY rally rejected, retracing.
NY session drove a sharp rally to 1.40583 before sellers rejected the high, dragging price back to 1.40296 near EMA20. The move is USD-led on Mid-East risk; RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s as the pullback holds above the 1.40200 session low.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4046, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40200 exposes the 1.4000 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.40460 reopens the 1.40583 session high
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
NY session drove a sharp rally to 1.40583 on broad USD selling, then rejected and faded to 1.40296. Price now sits back under EMA20 with RSI cooling to mid-range; 1.40201 swing low and the 1.40000 psych pivot mark the downside.
Support: 1.40201, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40583, 1.4046
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40583 resumes the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.40201 swing low exposes the 1.40000 psych pivot
15:31 UTC
Up leg fading, deep pullback · RSI 50 · price 1.40244
NY rally rejected at session high, retracing.
NY session drove USD/CAD to a 1.40583 session high on the Friday USD bounce, then rejected sharply and gave back ~60% of the leg to 1.40244. Price now sits below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooled back to neutral after the impulse.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4046, 1.40583
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4020 session low opens the 1.4000 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.4046 prior high would signal the up leg resuming
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reset the near-term read
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
NY session drove a sharp leg up to 1.40583 on broad USD softening, then rejected and unwound to 1.4025 with RSI cooling from overbought back to mid-range. Price is now sitting on the pullback low near EMA20, still above the 1.4000 psych pivot.
Support: 1.4025, 1.40154, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40583, 1.4046
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4025 exposes the 1.4000 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.4046 reopens the 1.40583 session high
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mon 14:00 UTC) is the next USD driver
15:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back off highs · RSI 51 · price 1.40275
NY surge to session high, now retracing.
NY session broke out of the 1.4000-1.4022 grind and ran to a session high of 1.40583 as the USD firmed on beats in Chicago PMI (57.6) and Michigan sentiment. Price has since rejected that high and retraced to 1.40275, back below EMA20 with RSI cooling to ~51.
Support: 1.40154, 1.40034, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40583, 1.4046
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40154 swing low exposes the 1.40000 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.40583 session high resumes the intraday upside
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 54 · price 1.40275
NY breakout above prior range, now retracing.
NY session pushed above the prior range to a session high at 1.40583 before fading to 1.40275, with the USD bounce stalling; the 1.4000 psych pivot has held all day. RSI(14) has cooled from the spike high back toward neutral as price sits on the 1.40250 swing low.
Support: 1.4025, 1.40154, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4046, 1.40583
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40250 swing low exposes the ny low at 1.40154 and the 1.4000 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.40460 minor high reopens the 1.40583 session high
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mon) is the next USD-side risk to this read
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong into NY · RSI 72 · price 1.40499
Breakout above prior range, higher highs.
USDCAD broke out of the 1.4000-1.4030 range during NY hours, spiking to 1.40583 on the Mideast safe-haven USD bid before easing to 1.40499. RSI(14) near 72 flags a hot but trending tape; the session high at 1.40583 is the level to watch for rejection or extension.
Support: 1.4038, 1.4017, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40583
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40380 swing low signals momentum fading
M15 close below 1.40170 range base reopens the 1.4000 psych pivot
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon 14:00 UTC could reshape the USD read
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 72 · price 1.40501
Higher highs, fresh breakout above 1.4046.
USDCAD ripped higher through the NY session, surging off 1.4017 to a session high at 1.4058 as the dollar bounced back above 100.00 on Mid-East safe-haven bid and softer oil weighed on CAD. RSI(14) is hot near 72 after the vertical run; the last bar stalled just under the high.
Support: 1.4036, 1.4017, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4058
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4036 negates the breakout thrust
Failure to reclaim 1.4058 leaves a potential double top at the session high
ISM Manufacturing PMI Mon Aug 3 14:00 UTC could reset this read
NY-session rally lifted USDCAD off the 1.4009 base to a session high at 1.40572 as the dollar firmed on its short-cover bounce back above 100.00. A sharp spike down to 1.40171 was quickly reclaimed and buyers pushed the pair back near the highs, RSI(14) running hot near 66 but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.4036, 1.40171, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40572
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40572 extends the session high
Loss of 1.40360 pullback low signals the rally fading
1.40000 psych remains the key floor below
14:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum up · RSI 58 · price 1.40402
Session sweep then reclaim above 1.4040.
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.40494 then reversed sharply, sweeping intraday lows to 1.40171 before buyers reclaimed 1.4040. RSI(14) back near 58 after the flush; the 1.4000 psychological floor held well below.
Support: 1.40171, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40494, 1.4046
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40494 reopens the session-high push
Loss of 1.40171 sweep low puts 1.4000 psych floor back in play
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD up to 1.40494 before a sharp rejection dumped price to 1.40171; buyers stepped back in and it has recovered to 1.40402. The move fits the USD short-cover bounce back above 1.4000 as oil slips against the Loonie.
Support: 1.40171, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40494, 1.4046
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment & inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift this read on the next bars
Loss of 1.40171 re-opens the 1.4000 psych floor
Reclaim of 1.40494 session high confirms continuation
Higher highs into 1.4049, sharp pullback recovered.
NY session ran USDCAD up to 1.40494 before a sharp bar dropped it to 1.40171 and buyers snapped it back to 1.40402 — a sweep of the lows that held. Pair remains above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, uptrend intact but the 1.4049 high is unbroken.
Support: 1.40171, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40494
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40494 resumes the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 1.40171 re-opens the 1.4000 psych level
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could jolt USD near-term
13:46 UTC
Intraday pop then sharp fade · RSI 46 · price 1.40165
Spike to session high rejected, back into range.
NY session spiked to a 1.40494 session high before a sharp one-bar reversal dumped price back to 1.4016, RSI(14) cooling from the run-up into the mid-40s. The move faded as fast as it came — price is back inside the day's 1.3995–1.4025 range with the 1.4000 psych floor untested below.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.4028, 1.40494
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.40280 reopens the 1.40494 session high
Failure to hold 1.40000 psych exposes the 1.39948 range low
Chicago PMI / UoM prints in the next hour could shift this intraday read
13:31 UTC
Range with a rejected spike higher · RSI 48 · price 1.40167
NY spike to session high swept then reversed.
NY session drove a sharp spike to a 1.40494 session high, then reversed hard on the 1785503700000 bar back to 1.40167 near where the rally began — a clean false break and rejection. RSI(14) cooled back to mid-range as the whole impulse was retraced; 1.40000 psychological floor sits just below.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40392, 1.40494
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.40392 would negate the rejection and reopen 1.40494
Failure to hold 1.40000 opens the path toward the June-17 low
Chicago PMI (13:45 UTC) and UoM final (14:00 UTC) due imminently — could shift this read
NY session broke above the 1.4025 range cap to a session high at 1.40494 as USD recovered back above DXY 100.00; price is now retracing to 1.40354 with RSI(14) cooling from the push. Buyers stepped in around the 1.4000 psych level earlier and the prior range top at 1.40250 now sits as support.
Support: 1.40309, 1.4025, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40494
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.40250 range top confirms the breakout has failed
Reclaim of 1.40494 session high resumes the intraday advance
Chicago PMI and UoM prints in the next hour could shift this read
Higher highs off 1.4000, rejected at session high.
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.4000 pivot up to 1.40494 as the USD steadied on Iran risk and softer oil, then hit rejection and pulled back to 1.4036. Price now sits near the 38-50% fib of that leg; the 1.4000 breakout still holds.
Support: 1.4026, 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40494
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.4000 psych pivot negates the breakout
Sustained trade above 1.40494 session high opens further upside
US Chicago PMI (~13:45 UTC) and UoM sentiment (~14:00 UTC) could shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.4000 pivot to a session high of 1.40494 as a firmer USD and softer oil pressured CAD, then rejected back to 1.4036 with RSI(14) cooling from the high 60s. Rally structure intact above 1.4020; the last bar stalled after the pullback.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40494, 1.4055
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40494 extends the intraday leg toward 1.40550
Failure to hold 1.40200 opens a retest of the 1.4000 psych pivot
Chicago PMI (~13:45 UTC) and UoM sentiment (~14:00 UTC) could shift this read within the next bars
Breakout from 1.4000-1.4020 range, fresh session high.
USDCAD broke out of the 1.4000-1.4020 consolidation on a steady 45-pip climb into the NY session, tagging a session high at 1.40494 as the USD firmed post Canada GDP. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; price now hovers just below the session high.
Support: 1.4020, 1.40034, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40494, 1.40585, 1.4110
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40494 opens path to 1.40585 then 1.4110
Failure to hold the 1.4020 range top negates the breakout
Chicago PMI (~13:45 UTC) and UoM sentiment/inflation (~14:00 UTC) could shift this read
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, NY momentum surge · RSI 74 · price 1.40452
Higher highs off session low, breakout in progress.
USDCAD ripped off the 1.4000 psych pivot into the NY session, surging ~50 pips as a soft Canada GDP and a firmer USD lifted the pair to a session high at 1.40494. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; price consolidated the 1.3990 session low earlier before the breakout.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.40494, 1.40585
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40494 opens the path to 1.40585 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.4020 breakout retest reopens 1.4000 psych pivot
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations (~14:00 UTC) could shift USD flows into next bars
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum accelerating into NY · RSI 74 · price 1.40453
Higher highs off 1.4000, breaking session range top.
USDCAD popped off the 1.4000 pivot through the NY session, breaking the 1.40140-1.40220 range top and printing a fresh session high at 1.40468 into Canada's GDP release. Move rode a modest USD bid off the 6-week low; RSI(14) now hot near 74.
Support: 1.4014, 1.40034, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40468, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40468 opens the 1.4050 barrier
Loss of 1.40140 puts price back into the prior range
US Chicago PMI (13:45 GMT) and UoM sentiment (14:00 GMT) could shift this read
USDCAD popped off the 1.4000 psych pivot and broke the 1.4020 consolidation, running ~45 pips to 1.4046 into the NY hours as CAD softened around the 12:30 GMT Canada GDP release. RSI(14) near 76 shows the leg is hot but the 1.4050 round-number cap is now in play.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.4050
What it said to watch
Rejection at 1.4050 round would stall the breakout
Loss of the 1.4020 retest reopens 1.4000 psych
Canada GDP reaction still bleeding through — could extend or fade this pop
USDCAD broke out of the 1.4010-1.4022 consolidation into the NY session, running from 1.4003 to 1.4042 on a USD bid off the 1.4000 pivot. RSI(14) near 73, short-term hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; prior high at 1.4049 is the next area to watch.
Support: 1.4020, 1.4003, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4049
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 GMT could sharply shift this read
Rejection at 1.4049 would cap the breakout and pull price back into the 1.4020 zone
Loss of 1.4000 reopens the sub-1.4000 session lows
12:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum building · RSI 71 · price 1.40355
Higher lows off 1.4000, pushing session high.
USDCAD ground higher off the 1.4000 psych pivot through the last few hours, taking out the session high at 1.40365 as the USD firmed off its lows. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the impulsive leg; Canada GDP at 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40034
Resistance: 1.40365, 1.4055
What it said to watch
Canada GDP in ~30min (f/c 0.2%) could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.40000 breaks the higher-low chain
Break above 1.40550 prior high extends the recovery
Higher lows off 1.4000, breaking consolidation top.
USDCAD ground sideways around the 1.4000 psych pivot through the session before buyers pushed it out of the 1.3990–1.4022 consolidation, tagging a session high at 1.40298. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but consistent with the recovery leg off the six-week low.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40298, 1.4049
What it said to watch
Canada GDP and US ECI both at 12:30 UTC (~45m) could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.4000 negates the recovery and reopens the 1.39906 swing low
Break and hold above 1.40298 session high opens the path to 1.40490
Higher lows off session base, testing session high.
USDCAD reclaimed 1.4000 after the early flush to 1.39904 and has ground higher through the session, now pressing the session high at 1.40265 with RSI(14) elevated but not extreme. Higher lows since the London-NY transition keep the recovery intact.
Support: 1.4016, 1.40034, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40265, 1.4030
What it said to watch
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 1.40265 opens the path toward 1.40300
Loss of 1.40160 exposes the session low at 1.40034
USDCAD dropped to a session low at 1.3990 during the London morning, then reclaimed the 1.4000 psych pivot and ground back to 1.40234 into the NY-London transition. RSI(14) mid-60s, a shallow retest of 1.4000 held on the way up.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40234, 1.4050, 1.4110
What it said to watch
Canada GDP (f/c 0.2%) at 12:30 UTC could shift this read within the next bar hour
Close above 1.4050 prior high opens the path to the 1.4110 barrier
USD/CAD reclaimed 1.4000 after an early-session flush to 1.3995 and has ground back to the session high near 1.4023 during London hours, RSI(14) around 60. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 1.4000 but the advance is slowing into the 1.4023 ceiling.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39948, 1.40034
Resistance: 1.40232
What it said to watch
Canada GDP (12:30 UTC, f/c 0.2%) can shift this read within the next bar period
M15 close above 1.4023 opens the path toward 1.4050
USDCAD reclaimed the 1.4000 psych level after basing at the 1.3990 session low, and is now consolidating 1.4007-1.4023 near the top of the intraday range. Grind is slow with RSI(14) mid-range; the pair is coiling ahead of Canada GDP.
Support: 1.4000, 1.4007, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.2%) could break this consolidation
Close above 1.4023 session high opens the path toward 1.4050
Loss of 1.4000 psych re-exposes the 1.3990 session low
USDCAD reclaimed 1.4000 and is grinding back toward the 1.4022 recent high after an early London slide to 1.39906. Price holds a tight consolidation in the upper half of the 24h range, RSI(14) neutral near 58 with no session breakout in play.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40585
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range read
Close above 1.4022 opens path back toward the 1.40585 session high
Loss of 1.4000 psych exposes the 1.39906 session low
10:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, now ranging · RSI 55 · price 1.40191
Consolidation between 1.4009 and 1.4023 after bounce from 1.3990.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4058 into a 1.3990 session low earlier in the window, then reclaimed 1.4000 as the USD steadied. Price is now boxed between 1.4009 and 1.4023, coiling into the Canada GDP release with no clear intraday break.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.2%) could break this range
M15 close above 1.4023 opens the path toward the 1.4050 barrier
Loss of 1.4000 re-exposes the 1.3990 session low
10:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 1.40156
Range 1.4000-1.4022 after v-recovery.
USDCAD sold off to 1.3990 through the Asia session then reclaimed 1.4000, printing a rounded recovery back to 1.40232 before stalling. Now boxed between the 1.4000 psych pivot and the 1.40232 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 50 — no directional setup in play ahead of Canada GDP.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.40546
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.2%) could break this range
M15 close below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 swing low
Close above 1.40232 extends the recovery toward 1.4055
10:01 UTC
Sideways after early drop · RSI 48 · price 1.40156
Ranging 1.4000–1.4022 post-selloff.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4058 into the mid-session low at 1.39906, then reclaimed the 1.4000 psych level and has since gone flat, ranging 1.4000–1.4022 with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Bounce lacks momentum ahead of Canada GDP.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.4022
What it said to watch
Canada GDP MoM at 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.2%) could break this range
M15 close above 1.4022 opens a retest of the 1.4058 highs
Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the 1.39906 session low
09:46 UTC
Sideways, corrective · RSI 51 · price 1.40164
Range above reclaimed 1.4000.
USDCAD ranging 1.4000–1.40224 through the London session after the NY sell-off to 1.39948 and reclaim of the 1.4000 round number. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 50 with ATR under 9 pips; last dip to 1.40034 was bought back to 1.40164, no directional break in play.
Support: 1.40034, 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.40224
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40224 opens the path back toward the pre-drop highs
Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the 1.39948 swing low
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.2%) could break the range read
09:46 UTC
Sideways after intraday drop · RSI 49 · price 1.40163
Range-bound above reclaimed 1.4000.
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.4000–1.4023 through London hours after reclaiming the 1.4000 psych level, a corrective bounce as the USD steadies off six-week lows. Price faded from the 1.40232 swing high and dipped to a 1.40034 swing low before recovering to 1.40163; momentum is flat with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.40034, 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.40507
What it said to watch
Canada GDP MoM at 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.2%) could break the range
M15 close above 1.40232 opens a push toward the 1.40507 prior high
Loss of 1.4000 psych re-exposes the 1.39906 session low
09:31 UTC
Sideways, choppy · RSI 49 · price 1.40144
Range around 1.4000 pivot after reclaiming it.
USDCAD reclaimed the 1.4000 psych level as the USD recovered off its six-week low and oil eased, then chopped in a 1.39904–1.40232 range through the Asian into London hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48 with price hugging EMA20; no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.40585
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range in either direction
M15 close below 1.4000 re-exposes the 1.39904 session low
Close above 1.40232 swing high opens the path back toward 1.40585
09:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.40145
Range after decline, holding above 1.4000.
USDCAD reclaimed 1.4000 after sliding from 1.4055 to a 1.39906 swing low mid-window, and is now ranging 1.3995–1.4023 with RSI(14) flat near 48. Rejection at the 1.40232 session high capped the London bounce; price sits back near the 1.4000 psych pivot.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.4055
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.3995–1.4023 range
M15 close below 1.4000 re-exposes the 1.39906 swing low
Reclaim of 1.40232 session high opens the path back toward 1.4055
09:16 UTC
Ranging, rolling off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.40077
Range 1.3990–1.4022, recent rejection at top.
USDCAD reclaimed the 1.4000 psych level overnight but London hours rejected the 1.40232 session high, dragging price back toward 1.4000. RSI(14) cooling near 42 as the pair drifts to the lower half of its intraday range ahead of Canada GDP.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.40506
What it said to watch
Canada GDP MoM at 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.2%) could break this range
M15 close below 1.3990 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40232 session high reopens the 1.4050 area
09:02 UTC
Range, fresh leg lower · RSI 38 · price 1.40056
Ranging 1.3990-1.4023, rolling off range top.
USDCAD reclaimed 1.4000 overnight and ranged 1.3990-1.4023 through the Asian and early London sessions; the last two bars rejected the 1.4023 session high and are pressing back into the 1.4000 psych level, RSI(14) cooling to the high-30s. No breakout in play, still range-bound.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4023
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens a retest of the 1.3990 swing low
Reclaim of 1.4023 session high needed to revive upside
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range
09:02 UTC
Range, edging lower · RSI 41 · price 1.40056
Rangebound 1.4000-1.4022 after London drop bottomed near 1.3990.
USDCAD reclaimed 1.4000 and has spent NY/Asia churning in a tight 1.4000-1.4022 band after the London leg down bottomed near 1.3990. Sellers rejected 1.4022 twice and price is now drifting back toward the 1.4000 psych level with RSI(14) around 40.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens the 1.3990 session low
Reclaim of 1.4022 swing high needed to revive upside
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range
08:46 UTC
Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 57 · price 1.40202
Range-bound after rebound from 1.3995.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4060 into the London low at 1.3995 before reclaiming 1.4000, and has since curled back up to consolidate between 1.4010 and 1.4023. Price is holding the upper end of the intraday range with RSI mid-range, buyers stepping in each time 1.4000 was tested.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Break above 1.40232 session high opens the path to 1.4050
Loss of 1.4000 psych re-exposes the 1.39948 swing low
USDCAD carved a session low at 1.3990 mid-window then recovered back above the 1.4000 psych pivot, now grinding in a tight 1.4010-1.4022 range through the London session. RSI(14) mid-range near 56, no momentum extreme; price sits above EMA20/50 as higher lows build.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range
M15 close above 1.4022 opens the path toward 1.4050
Loss of 1.4000 psych re-exposes the 1.3990 session low
Consolidation after selloff, double bottom at 1.3990.
Pair reclaimed 1.4000 and is grinding higher after the London selloff bottomed twice near 1.3990. Price is boxed between 1.4000 and the 1.4023 session high with RSI(14) mid-range near 55; momentum is muted ahead of Canada GDP.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.4000-1.4023 range
M15 close below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 swing low
Close above 1.4023 opens the path to the 1.4050 prior swing
USDCAD sold off from 1.4064 to a 1.3995 six-week low near the 1.4000 psych mark during NY hours, then based and ground back to 1.4020 through the Asia-London transition. RSI(14) at 56 with price holding above EMA20/50; recovery is contained under the 1.40224 session high.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.40224, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 reopens the 1.39948 swing low
M15 close above 1.40224 session high opens 1.4050 resistance
Consolidating above six-week low after sharp drop.
USDCAD carved a six-week low near 1.3990 during the earlier sell-off then ground back up on broad USD softness, and is now consolidating 1.4010–1.4022 into London. RSI(14) mid-range at ~58, no extreme in play; the recovery holds above EMA20/50 but stalls under the 1.4022 session high.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40224, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 six-week low
Break above 1.4022 session high exposes the 1.4050 supply zone
Canada GDP 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
USDCAD sold to a six-week low near 1.4000 on broad USD weakness, then based through the Asia session and ground back to 1.4020 into London hours, RSI(14) near 60. Price is now pressing the 1.4023 session high after a chain of higher lows off 1.3995.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4023 opens the path toward 1.4050
Failure to hold 1.4000 confirms a lower low back toward 1.3995
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Sideways after morning selloff · RSI 46 · price 1.40155
Range 1.4010–1.4022 above six-week low.
London mid-morning: USDCAD is ranging 1.4010–1.4022 after the morning leg lower into 1.3995, a six-week low tied to broad USD softness. Twin lows near 1.3990–1.3995 held and price recovered, but momentum has stalled with RSI(14) neutral around 46 and ATR compressed near 6 pips.
Support: 1.4010, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range
M15 close above 1.4022 opens the path to 1.4050
Failure to hold 1.4010 reopens the 1.3995 session low
07:31 UTC
Downtrend paused, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 1.40155
Range after early sell-off, based near 1.4000.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4067 to a 1.3995 base through the Asian/late session, then reclaimed and has ranged 1.4000-1.4022 into the early London hours. RSI(14) neutral near 51 and ATR compressed to ~4 pips — no directional impulse, price sitting mid-range at 1.4015.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.40224, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.3995 swing low
M15 close above 1.4022 range top opens 1.4050
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range
07:31 UTC
Range after NY selloff · RSI 47 · price 1.40154
Consolidating above six-week low.
USDCAD sold off through NY to a six-week low near 1.3990 on broad USD weakness, then recovered and has ranged 1.4010-1.4023 through Asia into the London open. Price is coiling mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 47; no directional break in play.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.4066
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4010 reopens the 1.4000 round number and session low at 1.39904
M15 close above 1.4023 session high extends the recovery toward the 1.4066 prior high
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range
07:17 UTC
Down then ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.40154
Range after selloff, mid-range.
USD/CAD sold off through NY hours to a 1.3995 six-week low on broad USD weakness, then stabilised into a 1.3995–1.4023 range. Price now sits mid-range near 1.4015 with RSI(14) neutral; no setup in play into the London session.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4023 opens the path toward 1.4050
Failure to hold 1.4000/1.3995 confirms a lower low
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 GMT could break the range
USDCAD is grinding sideways between 1.4000 and 1.4022 through the London morning after yesterday's NY-session selloff punched a six-week low near 1.3995 on broad USD weakness. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 and ATR has compressed to ~4 pips, reflecting the tight base above the round number.
Support: 1.3995, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range
Close below 1.3995 confirms six-week low continuation
USDCAD sold off sharply during NY hours yesterday to a 1.3990 six-week low on the broad USD unwind (JPY intervention, soft US GDP/PCE), then recovered and has consolidated 1.4000–1.4023 through Asia and into London. Price now drifts toward the lower end near 1.4012, RSI(14) mid-range and below both EMAs.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens the 1.39906 session low
Close above 1.40232 breaks the consolidation range high
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could shift this range read
07:02 UTC
Range-bound after selloff · RSI 46 · price 1.40125
Consolidation above 1.4000 low.
USD/CAD is ranging 1.3990–1.4022 after yesterday's soft US GDP/core-PCE prints dragged the pair to a six-week low near 1.4000. Recovery stalled at the 1.40224 session high and price is now drifting mid-range into the London open, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40224
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms a lower low toward 1.39906 swing low
Close above 1.40224 breaks the session range higher
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:46 UTC
Range after sharp drop, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.40135
Consolidation between 1.3995 and 1.4023.
USDCAD sold off to a six-week low near 1.3990 on broad USD weakness, then coiled in a 1.3995–1.4023 range through the Asia session. Price is drifting off the session high back toward the mid-range, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.4034
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms a lower low toward 1.3990
Reclaim of the 1.4023 session high reopens 1.4034
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range
06:46 UTC
Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 43 · price 1.40135
Ranging near six-week low after sharp drop.
USDCAD dumped from 1.4058 to 1.3990 in the London-NY window on broad USD selling — soft US Q2 GDP and suspected JPY intervention — then based near the 1.4000 round number. Asia session has consolidated 1.4000–1.4022; RSI(14) mid-40s as price eases back toward the range floor.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4055
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Reclaim of 1.4022 session high needed to shift the near-term tone
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.40128
Range after selloff, leaking lower.
USDCAD sold off from ~1.4066 to tag a six-week low near 1.3990 in the broad USD unwind, then recovered into a tight 1.4010-1.4022 range through the Asia-London handover. Last three bars have slipped back below 1.4016, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Reclaim of 1.4022 negates the range-break read
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:31 UTC
Range after NY sell-off · RSI 45 · price 1.40128
Consolidation between 1.3990 and 1.4023.
USD/CAD sold off to a 1.3990 session low during NY hours yesterday on the broad dollar unwind, then chopped in a tight 1.3990–1.4023 range through Asia. Price has drifted back to 1.4013 into the London open, RSI(14) near 45 and holding just below EMA20.
Support: 1.40106, 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.40467
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4023 range high opens the path toward the 1.4047 pre-drop high
Loss of the 1.4000 round number exposes the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Range after NY decline · RSI 49 · price 1.40162
Consolidation above six-week low.
NY session drove USD/CAD to a six-week low near 1.3990 on broad USD weakness, and Asia has since coiled in a tight 1.4000–1.4023 band. RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR compressed as price hovers around EMA20 — no setup in play ahead of Canada GDP.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.4055
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4023 session high opens path toward 1.4055
Break below 1.4000 psych re-exposes the 1.3990 swing low
Canada GDP 12:30 UTC and US UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could break the range
USDCAD slid to a six-week low near 1.3990 on a broad USD unwind (suspected JPY intervention plus soft US data), then based and ground back up to 1.4022 before stalling. Price now consolidates in a 1.4000–1.4022 range, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4055
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.4000–1.4022 range
M15 close above 1.4022 swing high extends the recovery toward 1.4055
Loss of 1.4000 round number reopens the 1.3990 session low
Rounded base after washout, higher lows into session high.
USDCAD washed to a six-week low near 1.3990 on the broad USD sell-off (JPY intervention plus soft US data), then carved a rounded base and ground back to the 1.4020 session high on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 55 — recovery is orderly, not impulsive.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range read
Loss of 1.4000 reopens the path toward the 1.3990 swing low
Close above 1.40232 session high confirms recovery extension
USDCAD slid through the NY session to a low near 1.3990 as soft US GDP/PCE and suspected JPY intervention fuelled broad Dollar selling. Price has since ground back up in a chain of higher lows and is consolidating around 1.4019, just under the 1.4023 swing high, with RSI neutral near 55.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4023 opens the path to 1.4050
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 swing low
USDCAD sold off to a six-week low near 1.3990 mid-window on the broad USD unwind, then rounded higher and is now consolidating just under the 1.40232 session high. RSI(14) neutral around 57 and ATR tight at ~7 pips as Asia-session drift stalls.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40232 opens the path back toward 1.4050
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens the 1.39906 session low
USDCAD flushed to a six-week low at 1.39948 during NY hours as soft US data and suspected JPY intervention dragged the broad USD lower. Price has since carved a rounded base and ground back up through the Asia session, holding above the 1.40100 prior base and 1.4000 psych level; RSI(14) neutral near 56 with the session high at 1.40232 capping.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.40232
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this Asian consolidation
M15 close above 1.40232 session high extends the recovery toward the flush origin
Loss of 1.4000 psych re-opens the 1.39948 session low
USDCAD carved a six-week low base near 1.3990 then ground back up through the quiet Asia session, now consolidating just under the 1.40232 session high into the London open. The drop was a broad USD unwind (soft US GDP/PCE, suspected JPY intervention), and Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC is the next domestic test.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 reopens the 1.39904 session low
Break above 1.40232 session high extends the recovery toward 1.4050
Canada GDP 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation either way
USDCAD sank to a six-week low near 1.3991 during the London-NY session on broad USD selling, then rounded off and reclaimed 1.4000. Price is now consolidating 1.4000–1.4022 through the Asian session with RSI mid-range; Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC is the next domestic test.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3995 confirms a lower-low and reopens the six-week low
USDCAD sold off to a six-week low near 1.3990 during NY hours on the broad USD unwind (soft US GDP/PCE, suspected JPY intervention), then based and ground back to 1.402 through the Asian session — roughly the 38.2% retrace of that drop. RSI sits mid-range at ~57 with no extreme; small 29-pip ATR reflects the quiet post-drop grind.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990, 1.4003
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.4059
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 1.4023 opens the path back toward the 1.4059 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4000 psych re-exposes the 1.3990 swing low
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD flushed to a six-week low near 1.3991 on the broad USD unwind, then clawed back above 1.4000 and is grinding higher toward 1.4022. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 59 — slow recovery, no extreme.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4067
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4022 opens the path back toward 1.4067
Loss of 1.4000 re-exposes the 1.3991 session low
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could reset this read
Grinding higher after NY selloff, capped near session high.
USDCAD bottomed at 1.3990 during the NY-session dollar selloff (soft US Q2 GDP and cooler core PCE) and has ground back to 1.4022 through the Asian session. Now consolidating just under session resistance at 1.40232, RSI mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.4066
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40232 opens the path back toward 1.4066
Failure to hold 1.40000 reopens the 1.3990 swing low
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sliced to a 6-week low near 1.3990 during the intervention-driven USD selloff, then carved a rounded base and ground back to the session high at 1.4023. RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips in thin Asia hours; price holds above the 1.4000 psych level.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.4046
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.4000 pivot
Grinding higher off the low, stalling near session high.
USDCAD carved a 6-week low near 1.3990 on broad USD weakness (Japan intervention scare, soft US data), then based and ground back up to a 1.4022 session high before flattening around 1.4018. Asian-session volatility is compressed with ATR near 6 pips; the recovery is stalling into the 1.4022 cap.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4066
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD sliced to a 1.3996 six-week low during the prior NY session on broad USD weakness, then based twice near 1.3990 and ground back to 1.4022. Asia hours have it consolidating around 1.4018 below the session high, RSI(14) neutral near 53 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4055
What it said to watch
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4022 opens the path back toward 1.4055
Loss of 1.4000 re-exposes the 1.3990 session low
04:17 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.40177
Higher lows off 1.3990 base.
USD/CAD sliced through 1.4000 to a session low near 1.3990 on broad USD weakness after soft US GDP and PCE, then based and ground higher into the 1.4020 area through Asian hours. RSI near 60 and price holding above EMA20/50; the 1.40232 session high is capping for now.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.4034
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40232 opens the path toward 1.40340
Failure to hold 1.40100 re-exposes the 1.40000 psych level and 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since 1.3990, consolidating under session high.
USD/CAD sliced to a 6-week low near 1.3990 during the London-NY drop as soft US GDP and cooler core PCE hammered the dollar broadly. Price has since ground back to 1.4018, carving higher lows and now consolidating 1.4008–1.4023 through Asia; RSI mid-range and ATR compressed.
Support: 1.4008, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.40232
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4023 session high extends the recovery toward 1.4050
Loss of 1.4000 round number / 1.3990 6wk low resumes the downside
Canada GDP 12:30 UTC could reprice CAD and shift this read
04:01 UTC
Recovering after NY selloff · RSI 54 · price 1.4018
Consolidation above 1.4000 after lower low.
NY session drove USD/CAD to a session low near 1.3990 on broad USD weakness after soft US GDP/PCE. Asia session has ground back to 1.4018, holding above the 1.4000 round level; RSI(14) neutral near 54, ATR ~36 pips.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.4066
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
M15 close below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Reclaim of 1.4023 session high shifts structure toward 1.4066
Broke below the 1.41 range, bottomed near 1.3990, climbing in higher lows.
USDCAD dropped out of its 1.41 range during NY hours to 1.3990 as the dollar was hammered on suspected BoJ intervention and soft US data. Asian session has ground the pair back to the session high near 1.40232 — a 38.2% retrace of the drop — on thin volume, RSI(14) mid-range at ~60.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40232, 1.40674
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4000 round number reopens the 1.3990 swing low
M15 close above 1.40232 session high extends the recovery toward 1.4067
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD carved a double bottom near 1.3990 (6wk low) after the USD-led selloff, and the Asia session has ground back to 1.4021 in a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) mid-range near 58; the 1.4023 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4009, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4023, 1.4032, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4032 swing high extends the recovery
Loss of 1.4000 round number reopens the 1.3990 6wk low
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD was hammered to a 6-week low near 1.3990 on broad dollar weakness (Japan intervention scare + soft US data), then based through the Asia session and ground back to 1.4022 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; the 1.3990 low is holding.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4025, 1.4055
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could reprice this move
M15 close above 1.4025 session high opens the path to 1.4055
Loss of 1.4000 psych re-exposes the 1.3990 session low
03:31 UTC
Recovery grind after sharp drop · RSI 59 · price 1.40198
Basing above 1.4000, higher lows.
USDCAD sliced to a 6-week low at 1.3995 on broad USD weakness, then built a base and has ground back up on rising lows to 1.4020. Price is holding above the 1.4000 psych level with RSI(14) near 59 — no extreme, still mid-range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.4045
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.2%) could break this recovery read
Loss of 1.4000 reopens the 1.3995 low
Close above 1.4022 extends the recovery toward 1.4045
USDCAD sold off through the London-NY window to a 1.3990 session low on broad USD weakness (soft US GDP/PCE plus the Japan intervention scare), then based and ground back toward 1.4020 into Asia hours. Higher lows are building off 1.3990 with RSI(14) mid-range; the recovery has yet to reclaim the 1.4066 prior high.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.40218, 1.40674
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Reclaim of 1.40674 would confirm the recovery extends
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Recovering off session low, slow grind up · RSI 61 · price 1.40198
Rounded base above 1.4000 after NY sell-off.
USDCAD sold off through 1.4000 during NY hours as broad USD weakness (soft US GDP/PCE plus suspected BoJ intervention) dragged the pair to a session low at 1.3990. Asia has since carved a rounded base and ground back to 1.4020, RSI(14) near 61 with price back above both EMAs; the 1.40218 session high caps for now.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40218, 1.4045
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could reprice this pair sharply
M15 close above 1.40218 session high opens 1.4045 drop origin
Loss of 1.4000 psych reopens the 1.3990 session low
USDCAD sold off to a 6-week low at 1.3990 on broad USD weakness (Japan intervention scare, soft US data), then carved a rounded base above the 1.4000 psych level and ground back to 1.4017 through the Asia session. Recovery is stalling into the 38.2% fib of the down-move near 1.4020; the 1.4000 handle held on retest.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40506
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 1.4020 (fib 38.2) opens the path back toward 1.4050
M15 close below 1.4000 psych re-exposes the 1.3990 swing low
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could reset this intraday read
USD/CAD sold off to a 6-week low near 1.3990 on broad dollar weakness (soft US data plus the suspected Japanese intervention), printing a double bottom before basing and grinding back to 1.4017. RSI(14) near 60 with price holding above EMA20/50 as the Asia-session recovery extends off the rising support.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.40181, 1.4006
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Range near lows after NY selloff, higher lows building.
NY session dumped USD/CAD from 1.4067 to a 1.3990 session low on soft US data and the suspected JPY intervention scare. Price has since carved higher lows and is ranging 1.4000–1.4018 through a thin Asia session, RSI(14) mid-range near 57.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4067
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4018 session high opens the path back toward 1.4067 prior high
Loss of 1.4000 round number re-exposes the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A sharp USD-led selloff earlier drove USDCAD to a session low near 1.3990 as suspected JPY intervention and soft US data hammered the dollar. Asia has since ground the pair back up to 1.4018 with ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips; price sits just under the session high with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4066
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4018 session high opens path toward 1.4066
Loss of 1.4000 psych re-exposes the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could reprice this recovery
02:32 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now basing · RSI 56 · price 1.40166
Recovery off session low, higher lows grinding up.
USD/CAD sold off through the NY session to a 6-week low near 1.3990 on broad USD weakness (soft US GDP/PCE, JPY intervention scare), then based through Asia and ground back to 1.4017. Rising lows off 1.3990 with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~5 pips; session high at 1.4018 is the near-term cap.
Support: 1.40089, 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40181, 1.40261
What it said to watch
Canada GDP MoM at 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.2%) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.4018 opens the path to 1.4026
Loss of the 1.4000 psych level exposes the 1.3990 session low
USD-led selling drove USDCAD out of the 1.4050 area down to a 1.399 double bottom during the London-NY breakdown. Asian session is now grinding higher, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) near 56; 1.40245 swing high is the near-term cap.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40245, 1.4050
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40245 opens the path back toward 1.4050
Loss of 1.4000 round reopens the 1.399 session low
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 56 · price 1.4011
Base after selloff, higher lows forming.
USDCAD sold off to 1.3990 during US hours on soft US GDP/Core PCE, then based twice near that low and ground higher into Asia, now 1.4011. Consolidating 1.3990-1.4018 with a shallow chain of higher lows; RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.4004, 1.3990, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4018 session high opens the path to 1.4045
NY session sold USDCAD off to ~1.3990 on broad USD weakness (suspected BoJ intervention plus soft US GDP/Core PCE). Asia has since ground back up into a tight 1.4000-1.4018 range, RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s; base near the 1.4000 round number holding.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4018, 1.4067
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4018 opens a retest of the 1.4067 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sliced to a six-week low near 1.3990 during NY hours on broad USD selling, then based and ground higher through the Asia session, recovering ~27 pips to 1.4017. Round-number 1.4000 has held as support overnight, RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 4 pips.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4030, 1.4050
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian-session basing above 1.4000 after prior selloff.
Quiet Asia session grinding higher off the 1.3990 low after yesterday's USD-led slide from 1.4067; the pair is passive here, the move driven by broad dollar weakness. Price presses the 1.4020 session high with RSI(14) near 61 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.4010, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4067
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the path toward 1.4067 prior high
Loss of 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
US ECI and Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Recovering off lows, consolidating · RSI 58 · price 1.40152
Basing above 1.4000 after sharp drop.
USDCAD sliced to a six-week low near 1.3991 on broad USD selling (soft US GDP/PCE, suspected JPY intervention), then based twice at that level and ground back to 1.4015 through Asia hours. Price now consolidating 1.4000-1.4016 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 1.4000 psych level held on the pullback.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40158, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 reopens the 1.3991 swing low
Reclaim of 1.4020 extends the recovery toward 1.4050
USDCAD slid a third straight day to a 1.3990 six-week low on broad USD weakness (JPY intervention scare, soft US GDP/PCE), then based and drifted back to 1.4013. Asia session is quiet, ranging tight between 1.4000 and 1.4015 with no clean directional structure.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.4015, 1.4026
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 swing low
M15 close above 1.4015 session high extends the recovery toward 1.4026
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could reprice this pair sharply
01:32 UTC
Range after NY selloff, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.40126
Consolidating above 1.4000 following breakdown.
NY session drove USD/CAD from 1.4067 down to 1.3990 as soft US data pressed the dollar. Price has since based above 1.4000 and is now ranging tight between 1.4000 and 1.4015 through the Asian session, RSI(14) neutral near 54, ATR compressed.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4015, 1.4026
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40150 opens the path back toward 1.40260
Failure to hold 1.40000 exposes the 1.3990 swing low
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could break this range
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from ~1.4067 to 1.3990 as the dollar bled lower on soft US data, then based and slowly recovered through late NY and Asia. Price is now grinding higher into 1.40150, the top of the post-sell-off range, RSI near 59.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.4015, 1.40245
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40150 opens the path to 1.40245
Failure to hold 1.40000 reopens the 1.39904 session low
Canada GDP 12:30 UTC and US ECI could materially shift this read
NY-hours selloff drove USDCAD into 1.3990 on broad USD softness post-FOMC; twin lows near 1.3990 held and the Asian session has ground the pair back above the 1.4000 round number. Price now presses the session high at 1.40147 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40147, 1.40222
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40147 opens the path toward 1.40222 prior high
Loss of the 1.4000 round number reopens the 1.3990 swing low
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could shift this range read
Asia session grind: USDCAD is recovering off the 1.399 swing low, chaining higher lows back toward the 1.40144 session high, RSI(14) mid-range near 56. Two-way and rangebound between 1.4000 and 1.4025, no clean setup in play with Canada GDP due at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40144, 1.40245
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40245 extends the recovery toward 1.4045
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens the 1.399 swing low
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break this range
01:03 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now basing · RSI 55 · price 1.40138
Consolidation near range top after NY drop.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session to a 1.39906 low then recovered, and is now consolidating in a tight 1.40000-1.40144 band through the Asia session. RSI(14) sits neutral near 55 with ATR compressed to ~12 pips — no directional impulse in play right now.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40144, 1.40222
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40144 range top opens the path to 1.40222 swing high
Loss of the 1.40000 round number re-exposes the 1.39906 session low
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
01:03 UTC
Down then flat, consolidating · RSI 61 · price 1.40138
Tight Asian range above 1.4000.
NY session sold USDCAD from 1.4067 down to the 1.3990 swing low on the batch of soft US data (GDP miss, cool PCE). Asia has since coiled into a tight range holding above the 1.4000 psych level, pressing the session high near 1.4014; RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.4004, 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40144, 1.40199
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4014 session high opens 1.4020 swing high
Loss of 1.4000 psych level reopens the 1.3990 swing low
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 GMT could break this range
00:46 UTC
Downtrend paused, basing · RSI 55 · price 1.40127
Consolidation above 1.4000 after NY selloff.
USD softness post-FOMC dragged USDCAD from 1.4067 down to 1.3991 through the NY session, then buyers absorbed the lows. Price is now basing in a tight 1.4004-1.4014 range through the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 55 and ATR compressed.
Support: 1.4004, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4014, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4014 range high opens path back toward 1.4045
Loss of 1.4004 range low exposes the 1.3991 swing low
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could break this range
00:46 UTC
Downtrend from NY, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.4009
Sharp NY selloff, Asia consolidation.
USDCAD dropped sharply through the NY session from 1.4067 to a 1.3990 session low as the dollar stayed soft post-FOMC and after weak US data. Asia hours have gone quiet, coiling in a tight 1.4000–1.4012 band with RSI(14) neutral near 51 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4012, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4012 range top reopens 1.4045
Loss of 1.4000 round number and 1.3990 session low confirms a lower-low
Canada GDP and US ECI at 12:30 UTC could break this range
00:32 UTC
Downtrend cooling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 1.4009
Consolidation near session lows after NY selloff.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4067 down to 1.3990 on soft US data, then settled into an Asian-session range between 1.3990 and 1.4015. Price sits mid-range near 1.4009 with RSI(14) neutral; the round 1.4000 level held on the pullback.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4015, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4015 range top opens the path to the 1.4045 prior high
Break below 1.3990 swing low confirms a lower low
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could shift this range read
NY session sold USDCAD from 1.4067 down to 1.3990 before demand stepped in around the 1.4000 round number. Asia is consolidating tight between 1.4000 and the 1.4022 range top on thin volume, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.4022, 1.40669
What it said to watch
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4022 range top opens the path back to 1.4045
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
00:16 UTC
Recovery off lows, range-bound · RSI 57 · price 1.40115
Tight consolidation above a double bottom.
USDCAD sold off through the London-NY window from 1.4067 to 1.3990, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom. Asia session is now grinding a very tight 1.4000-1.4014 range with ATR compressed to ~3 pips and RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40144, 1.4020, 1.40674
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3990 confirms a lower low and breaks the double bottom
Close above 1.40144 session high opens the path to the 1.4020 prior low
Canada GDP MoM at 12:30 UTC could break this compressed range
00:01 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 56 · price 1.40113
Tight Asia range after NY selloff.
NY session sold USDCAD from the 1.4066 session high down to 1.3990, where a double bottom formed and buyers based. Asia hours have been dead quiet — pinned in a 1.4000–1.4012 band on thin volume, RSI(14) back to neutral near 56.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4012, 1.4045, 1.4066
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4012 range top opens the path back to 1.4045
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP 12:30 UTC and US ECI/Chicago PMI could break this range
00:01 UTC
Consolidating after selloff · RSI 58 · price 1.40113
Tight range near lows, grinding higher.
USDCAD sold off through the US session from 1.4067 to 1.3990, then stabilised into a tight 1.3990-1.4012 range through the Asian session on thin volume. Price is grinding the range top at 1.4012 with RSI(14) mid-range; buyers stepped in twice at 1.4000.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.4012, 1.4048, 1.40674
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4012 range top opens the path to 1.4048
Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP MoM at 12:30 UTC could break the range either way