USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 30 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 53 · price 1.40092
Consolidating above 1.4000 post-drop.
NY session swept lower off the 1.4067 high, dropping to a 1.3990 double bottom before recovering. Asia hours are now ranging tightly between 1.4000 and 1.4011, RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39905
Resistance: 1.40113, 1.40674
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40113 opens the path back toward 1.4020 and prior high
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP MoM Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this range read
23:46 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.40092
Consolidation above session low after NY selloff.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session to 1.3990 as the softer US data batch kept the dollar offered, then flatlined into Asia hours between 1.4004 and 1.4012. Price is pinned at the range top with RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR compressed — no setup in play.
Support: 1.4004, 1.39905
Resistance: 1.4012, 1.40245
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4012 opens a retest of 1.4025
Loss of 1.3990 confirms a fresh lower-low
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could break this Asian range
23:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.40094
Recovery off session low, ranging.
Pair sold off through London-NY from 1.4067 to the 1.39906 session low, then based and recovered to 1.4011. Now consolidating 1.3990-1.4011 in thin, late-Asia hours with volume drying up; price sits just above EMA20 but below EMA50.
Support: 1.39906, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40113, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4020 prior swing would negate the downside pressure
Failure to hold the 1.39906 session low reopens the selloff
Canada GDP MoM Fri 12:30 UTC could break the range
23:17 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 52 · price 1.40083
Range after NY selloff.
USDCAD sold off from 1.4067 during NY hours to 1.3990, then recovered to the 1.4010 session high. Price has since compressed into a tight 1.4000-1.4012 range through the Asian session with ATR barely 4 pips.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40119, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 breaks the range and revisits the prior swing
Loss of 1.4000 psych opens the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP MoM (Fri 12:30 GMT) could break this compression
23:16 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 52 · price 1.40083
Based near 1.4000 after NY selloff.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session near 13:30 UTC, dropping from 1.4067 to test 1.3990. Price has since based and recovered into the Asia transition, consolidating 1.4000–1.4011 just above the 1.4000 psych level.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4011, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3990 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Close above 1.4011 breaks the consolidation toward 1.4020
Canada GDP (Fri 12:30 GMT) could break this range
23:02 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 46 · price 1.40043
Consolidating above 1.3990 after selloff.
USDCAD sold off through the earlier session to 1.3990, then stalled into a tight range around the 1.4000 psych level; RSI(14) has recovered off the lows but sits mid-range. Post-FOMC USD softness capped the earlier bounce, leaving price pinned near the base of the move.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4011, 1.4025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4025 swing high reopens upside
Loss of 1.3990 session low confirms a lower low
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC Fri could break this range
NY session drove a sharp drop from 1.4066 to 1.3995 before buyers stabilised price. Asia hours have coiled into a tight 1.3995–1.4011 range around the 1.4000 round number, ATR compressed to ~5 pips with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.40113, 1.40245
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3995 confirms a lower-low toward 1.3980
Break above 1.4011 puts 1.4025 back in play
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC Fri could break the range
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, now stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.4005
NY downleg into 1.4000, consolidating.
A sharp NY-session selloff dragged USDCAD from 1.4067 to 1.3990, testing the week's 1.4000 floor as the USD firmed on hawkish Fed signals. Price has since stabilised into a tight 1.4000–1.4011 range through Asia hours on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4011, 1.4059
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3990 confirms a lower low into the range base
Reclaim of 1.4059 needed to negate the NY downleg
Canada GDP at 12:30 UTC could break the range
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.4005
Consolidating just above range low after NY sell-off.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4066 to a 1.3990 low as the softer post-FOMC dollar weighed, then clawed back to hover just above the 1.4000 round number. Price is drifting sideways in a quiet Asia session, ATR compressed to ~6 pips and RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4011, 1.4045, 1.4066
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 then 1.3990 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.4045 swing high would negate the down leg
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could break this range
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near lows · RSI 50 · price 1.40066
Recovery off session low, consolidating sub-1.4011.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4067 to a 1.3990 low, then reclaimed the 1.4000 round number and stalled. Thin Asia-session flow now has price ranging 1.4000-1.4011 with RSI(14) back at neutral.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40113, 1.40245
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40113 opens the path back to 1.40245
Failure to hold 1.40000 exposes the 1.39904 swing low
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could break this range
22:16 UTC
Downtrend flattening into base · RSI 52 · price 1.40074
Consolidation above 1.4000 after sharp drop.
Sharp NY-session sell-off dumped price from ~1.4067 to the 1.3990 swing low, after which it based and rounded back up to the 1.40113 session high before easing to 1.40074. RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR compressed to ~7 pips as the pair coils just above the 1.4000 psych level, in line with the week's 1.40–1.41 range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40113, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40113 session high opens the path back toward 1.4045 prior swing
Failure to hold 1.4000 psych exposes the 1.39906 swing low
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could break this coil
22:16 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 1.40074
Recovered off session low, now flat.
USDCAD sold off through NY hours from 1.40674 to a session low near 1.39906, then buyers stepped in and price recovered to 1.401. Late-session liquidity is thin (single-digit volume on the last bar) with price now dead flat around 1.4007, holding the round-number support.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40119, 1.40209
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39906 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.3995
Break above 1.40119 session high targets the 1.40209 swing high
Canada GDP MoM Fri 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
USDCAD sold off hard from ~1.4067 through the 1.4020 breakdown level during NY hours, bottoming near 1.3990 on the softer-USD PCE lean. Price has since based above the 1.4000 round number and drifted back to 1.4008, tagging ~23.6% of the drop; session high at 1.40110 caps for now.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4011, 1.40245
What it said to watch
close above 1.40110 opens the path back to 1.40245
failure to hold 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP tomorrow 12:30 GMT could shift this read
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after NY selloff · RSI 53 · price 1.40075
Tight consolidation above 1.4000 following lower low.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from ~1.4067 to a 1.3991 low after soft US GDP and PCE prints pressured the dollar. Price is now basing in a tight 1.4000-1.4011 band into the late session, ATR compressed to ~4 pips with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.4011, 1.4026, 1.4047
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms continuation toward the 1.39906 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.40110 session high opens the 1.40260 bounce high
Canada GDP tomorrow 12:30 GMT could break this range
21:47 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 54 · price 1.40107
Coiling above 1.4000 after NY selloff.
A NY-session selloff, tied to soft US GDP and PCE prints, dragged USDCAD from 1.4067 to a session low at 1.3990. Price has since reclaimed 1.4000 and is coiling just under 1.40113 into the Asian session on thin volume, with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40113, 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40113 opens the path back to the 1.40261 swing high
Loss of the 1.4000 round number re-exposes the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP at 12:30 GMT tomorrow could materially shift this read
Sharp NY selloff, then slow base and grind higher.
A sharp NY-session selloff dragged USDCAD from 1.4067 to a 1.3990 low, with buyers then stepping in twice around that level. Since the London-NY transition price has ground back to 1.4010 on compressed ATR (~5 pips), retracing roughly a quarter of the drop in quiet Asian trade.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4013, 1.4025, 1.4067
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4025 extends the recovery toward the 1.4067 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP tomorrow 12:30 GMT could break the low-volatility read
21:32 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.40101
Double bottom near 1.399, recovering.
NY session sold USDCAD from the 1.4067 high down to 1.3990 on soft US data (GDP and PCE misses), printing a double bottom near 1.399. Price has since ground back to 1.401 into the Asia open with volume drying up; recovery capped so far below the 1.4011 session high.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4011, 1.4045, 1.4067
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 round number reopens the 1.3991 swing low
Reclaim of 1.4045 swing high needed to negate the NY downleg
Canada GDP tomorrow 12:30 GMT could shift the range
Sharp selloff then rounded base, higher lows building.
USDCAD sold off hard through the NY session from 1.40674 to 1.39906, then based and ground back to 1.40108 on thinning late-session volume. Price is above EMA20 with RSI(14) near 58; recovery is holding higher lows above the 1.40000 round number.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40113, 1.4020
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.40000 reopens the 1.39906 session low
Break above 1.40113 opens the path to 1.40200
Canada GDP at 12:30 GMT tomorrow could shift this read
NY session sold USDCAD from ~1.4058 down to test the 1.3990 round-number support twice on post-FOMC USD softness, printing a double bottom. Price has since recovered to 1.4011, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI back to neutral around 56.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4045
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4045 swing high would confirm the recovery leg
Loss of 1.3990 session low reopens the range floor
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could break this range
21:16 UTC
Corrective bounce after NY selloff · RSI 58 · price 1.40108
Higher lows off a 1.3990 base, still below breakdown.
USDCAD sold off through NY hours from ~1.4046 to a 1.3990 session low as the USD softened post-FOMC on weak GDP/PCE. Late NY into Asia the pair has ground back to 1.4011 on thin volume, carving higher lows off the base with ATR compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 1.39906, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40261, 1.4046
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4026 bounce high extends the recovery toward the 1.4046 breakdown level
Loss of 1.3990 session low reopens the downside
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
21:03 UTC
Downtrend, basing off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.40098
NY selloff, now consolidating above 1.3990.
Sharp NY-session selloff from 1.4067 to a 1.3990 low as the USD faded on soft US GDP/PCE and the FOMC hold. Price is now basing above 1.3990 and grinding back to 1.4010, RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s; 1.4020 (ema50) caps the bounce.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4020 opens the path to 1.4045
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could reset this range
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, base forming · RSI 57 · price 1.40098
Recovery off session low after sharp NY drop.
USDCAD sold off sharply through the NY session, dropping from 1.4060 to 1.3990 as the softer USD narrative followed the dovish-leaning Fed hold. Price has since carved a rounded base between 1.3990 and 1.4010 and is grinding back toward the round number, RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-range.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.4025, 1.4045
What it said to watch
Break below 1.3990 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.4025 negates the rounded-base recovery
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could reprice this pair
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 56 · price 1.4010
Consolidating above session low.
NY session drove a sharp selloff from the 1.4066 session high down to 1.3990, then price stalled and has ground back toward 1.4010 into the close. Now consolidating just above the round 1.4000 handle with RSI(14) recovered to mid-range.
Support: 1.3990, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4045, 1.4066
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4045 negates the downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.3990 opens fresh lows
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing after NY selloff · RSI 53 · price 1.40074
Consolidation above session low post-drop.
NY session drove a sharp selloff ~7h ago from 1.4045 down to the 1.3990 session low as USD stayed offered after the hawkish-hold FOMC and soft GDP/core-PCE. Price has since based between 1.3990 and the 1.4007 psych area, RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s; the 1.4025 swing and 1.4045 pre-drop supply cap the upside.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4025, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3990 session low opens continuation lower
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4067 to a 1.3990 session low as the USD faded on the hawkish-hold FOMC and soft GDP/core-PCE. Price has since based between 1.3990 and 1.4007 into the late-NY hours, RSI(14) recovering to mid-range with the drop stalled.
Support: 1.3990, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.4007, 1.40245, 1.4046
What it said to watch
Close below 1.3990 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.40245 breaks the basing structure to the upside
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could break the 1.3990-1.4007 balance
Sold off to session low, now consolidating near 1.3990-1.4005.
NY session drove USDCAD down from ~1.4060 to a session low of 1.3990 as the USD stayed offered on soft US GDP and core PCE. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3990-1.4005 band with RSI(14) back near neutral; the drop momentum has stalled.
Support: 1.39905, 1.39984
Resistance: 1.40055, 1.40453
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3990 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.4045 swing high would negate the intraday downtrend
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near 1.4000 · RSI 47 · price 1.40037
Post-breakdown consolidation above psych 1.4000.
NY session drove a sharp breakdown from ~1.4060 to 1.3991, snapping the day's range. Price is now basing tightly around the 1.4000 psych level, RSI back to mid-range and ATR compressed to ~7 pips.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40055, 1.40245
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39906 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.40245 negates the breakdown
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could shift this read
20:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 49 · price 1.40037
Lower highs into a low consolidation.
NY session drove a sharp leg lower from ~1.4067 to 1.3990, USD softening on the GDP/core PCE misses. Price is now chopping just above the 1.4000 round number into late session, holding above the 1.39906 session low with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39906
Resistance: 1.40071, 1.40209, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39906 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.40209 swing would neutralise the downtrend read
NY session slid from ~1.4058 to a session low at 1.3990, USD offered after soft US GDP and core PCE prints yesterday. Price is now coiling in a tight ~15-pip band around the 1.4000 psych level, RSI(14) mid-range after the sell-off.
Support: 1.39906, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40071, 1.4046
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3990 opens continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.40460 negates the intraday down leg
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could shift the read
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing near lows · RSI 47 · price 1.40021
Sold off through 1.4045, basing above 1.4000 psych.
USDCAD broke down through 1.4045 during the NY session, dropping from ~1.4066 to a 1.3990 session low as the USD faded post-FOMC. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.4000 psych level, RSI(14) recovered off its lows to mid-40s. Range holding between 1.3990 support and the 1.4048 swing high.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4048, 1.4066
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4048 negates the intraday downside break
Failure to hold 1.4000/1.3990 confirms a lower-low extension
USDCAD sold off through NY hours after the soft US Q2 GDP and core PCE prints, dropping from ~1.4046 to a session low at 1.3990. Price is now coiling just under the 1.4000 psych level, RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the mid-40s.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40245, 1.40467
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40245 swing would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.4000 psych reopens the 1.3990 session low
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 50 · price 1.40049
Sharp NY drop, now consolidating above 1.4000.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session on the soft US GDP/PCE prints, sliding from ~1.4065 to a 1.3990 double bottom before basing back above the 1.4000 round number. Price is coiling in a tight 1.3990–1.4007 range with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR compressed to ~9 pips.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4007, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3990 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of the 1.4045 swing high challenges the downtrend
USDCAD sold off through the NY session into 1.3990 as the dollar softened on the Q2 GDP miss and soft core PCE. Price is now basing between 1.3990 and 1.4005 with buyers stepping in twice at the session low; RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 44.
Support: 1.3990, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4045 breaks the chain of lower highs
NY session sold off from ~1.4047, breaking clean below the 1.4000 psych level and printing a swing low at 1.39906. Price now consolidating just under 1.4000 with RSI(14) at ~43, off the lows but no reclaim of the round number yet.
Support: 1.39906
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4008, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40000 negates the downside break
Loss of 1.39906 confirms a fresh lower low
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 41 · price 1.39969
Lower highs, lower lows; now consolidating.
NY session drove USDCAD down through the 1.40000 psych level to a session low at 1.39906 as the USD stayed soft post-FOMC. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.39906–1.40004 band, RSI(14) mid-40s after cooling from the sell-off; no fresh momentum in play.
Support: 1.39906, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40071, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40071 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.39906 session low opens continuation lower
Canada GDP MoM Fri 12:30 UTC could break this range
18:46 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 39 · price 1.39979
Lower highs, lower lows into week's range floor.
NY session sold USDCAD off the 1.4058 high through the 1.4000 handle, breaking the week's range floor to a fresh low at 1.3990. Price is grinding sideways just under 1.4000 into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) subdued near 39 with no bounce yet.
Support: 1.39904, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40071, 1.40245
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4000 would neutralise the breakdown read
Sustained trade below 1.3990 confirms a lower-low
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing at lows · RSI 41 · price 1.39979
Lower highs and lows, consolidating under 1.4000.
NY session drove USD/CAD down from ~1.4047 to a 1.3990 session low as soft US GDP and core PCE kept the dollar heavy. Price now consolidating just under the 1.4000 psych level, RSI(14) around 41 off the lows.
Support: 1.3990, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4045
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.4045 swing high negates the lower-high structure
Break of 1.3990 session low opens the path toward the week's 1.3995 range base
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
18:31 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 35 · price 1.39974
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh lows.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.4000 psych level and out of the week-long 1.40-1.41 range floor, printing fresh lows at 1.3990 as the USD stayed soft after benign core PCE and a big GDP miss. Price is pinned to the 1.3990 swing low with RSI(14) sub-40, no reclaim of 1.4000 yet.
Support: 1.39904, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40045, 1.40261, 1.40585
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4000 negates the range-floor breakdown
Break and hold below 1.3990 confirms the next lower low
Canada GDP (Fri 12:30 GMT) could shift this read
18:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 35 · price 1.39915
USDCAD sold off through the NY session after soft US PCE and a big Q2 GDP miss knocked the dollar, breaking the week's 1.4000 range floor and extending to a session low at 1.3990. Price is pinned near the lows late in NY hours with RSI(14) mid-30s, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.39906, 1.3980
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4000 invalidates the range-break read
Failure to hold 1.3990 confirms continuation of lower lows
USDCAD sold through the NY session after soft US data (core PCE and Q2 GDP both missed), slicing the 1.4000 psych level and printing lower lows to 1.3992. Price is now stalling at session lows with RSI(14) near 38, no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.39916, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40216, 1.4045
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4000 psych would negate the break lower
Loss of 1.3992 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Canada GDP tomorrow 12:30 GMT could reset this range
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session, breaking beneath 1.4000 psych to print 1.39916 lows as the USD stayed soft after the weak Q2 GDP and benign core PCE prints. Price is now pinned just under 1.4000 with RSI(14) mid-30s — pressured, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.39916, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40045, 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40045 minor high stalls the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.4000 psych would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could reset this range
17:46 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 34 · price 1.39966
Lower highs, lower lows; broke below 1.4000.
USDCAD sold through the week's 1.4000 support during NY hours, printing a fresh session low at 1.3992 as CAD firmed on the softer-USD post-FOMC tilt. RSI(14) near 34 and holding a chain of lower highs; 1.4000 now caps as overhead resistance.
Support: 1.39916
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40045, 1.40245
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close back above 1.4000 would negate the breakout read
Canada GDP MoM Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; bouncing off range floor.
USDCAD sold through 1.4020 during NY hours, printing a low at 1.39916 into the week's 1.4000 range floor as the USD stayed offered post-FOMC. Price has since stabilised around 1.4004, RSI recovering from the mid-30s; the range low is holding for now.
Support: 1.3995, 1.39916
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4046
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39916 confirms a fresh lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.4046 swing high would negate the downtrend read
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could break the week-long 1.40-1.41 range
NY session drove USDCAD through the week-long 1.40 floor, printing a fresh low at 1.3992 after a hawkish-hold-but-soft-data USD tone finally gave way. Chain of lower highs and lower lows intact; RSI(14) at 34 leaves room before oversold. Price now pinned just under the 1.4000 psych level.
Support: 1.3992, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4020
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 1.4000 would neutralise the range break
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.3992 confirms continuation lower
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.39987
Lower highs and lower lows, broke below 1.4000.
NY afternoon session pressed USDCAD through the 1.4000 psych level to a fresh session low at 1.3992, extending the post-FOMC USD softness. Sellers held every bounce below 1.4020; RSI(14) near 33, hot but not yet extreme, with a tepid uptick on the final bar.
Support: 1.39916, 1.3995, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40453
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4000 psych would neutralise the breakdown
M15 close back above 1.4020 breaks the lower-high chain
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could reset this range
17:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 28 · price 1.39921
Lower highs, lower lows; sub-1.4000 breakdown.
NY session drove USD/CAD through the week's 1.4000 support to fresh lows at 1.3992, extending post-FOMC/soft-PCE USD softness. Downtrend intact with RSI(14) near 28 — hot but not yet extreme; 1.4000 now the level to watch as prior support.
Support: 1.3950, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.4045
What it said to watch
A reclaim of 1.4000 would negate the breakdown and restore the range
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 28 · price 1.39921
Lower highs and lows, broke 1.4000 floor.
NY session drove USDCAD through the 1.4000 psych floor after soft US GDP/PCE kept the USD offered, cracking the week-long 1.40-1.41 range low. Price is grinding to fresh session lows at 1.39921 with RSI(14) near 28, short-term stretched but momentum still one-way.
Support: 1.39916, 1.3984
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40245, 1.40585
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4000 would negate the range-floor break
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.39916 confirms continuation lower
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 30 · price 1.39921
Lower highs and lower lows, breakdown below 1.4000.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 1.4000 psych level and printing fresh session lows at 1.39916 as post-FOMC USD softness weighed. Chain of lower highs holds intact with RSI(14) near 30, momentum still to the downside.
Support: 1.39916
Resistance: 1.4000, 1.40209
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40000 invalidates the breakdown read
Reclaim of 1.40209 would restore the intraday range
Canada GDP (Fri 12:30 GMT) is the next material CAD risk
NY session drove a sharp leg down from 1.4058 to sub-1.4000, breaking the week's range floor with RSI(14) pressing into oversold. Price is now pinned just above the 1.4000 psych level after tagging a 1.3998 session low; sellers capped the bounce near 1.4020.
Support: 1.3998, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.4046, 1.4058
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4000 / 1.3998 confirms the range-break extension lower
M15 close back above 1.4020 negates the fresh lower-high sequence
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at 1.4000 · RSI 34 · price 1.40041
Lower highs, lower lows into round number.
NY session sold USDCAD hard from 1.4055 through the 1.4020 support, printing a session low at 1.39984 as the softer US GDP theme kept the dollar heavy. Price now grinding sideways just under the 1.4000 round number, RSI(14) near 34 after the flush.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39984
Resistance: 1.40209, 1.40546
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.40209 would break the lower-high chain
Failure to reclaim 1.4000 keeps the downside probe intact
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could reset this range
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, extended into support · RSI 27 · price 1.40013
Lower highs and lower lows, pressing week-range floor.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session, breaking the intraday 1.4020 swing shelf and pressing the 1.4000 week-range floor where the last bar closed at 1.40013. RSI(14) near 27 flags a short-term oversold condition after the sharp leg lower.
Support: 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4020
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms a break of the week's range floor
Reclaim of 1.4020 swing high would ease the downside pressure
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, testing range low · RSI 32 · price 1.40013
Lower highs and lower lows into 1.4000.
NY afternoon leg lower dragged USDCAD off 1.4055 down to the week's 1.4000 psych floor, USD softening after the mixed FOMC-hold and soft Q2 GDP. RSI(14) near 31 as price stalls right on the range low.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.4026, 1.4055
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens a range break toward 1.3995
Reclaim of 1.4026 swing high eases the downside pressure
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could shift this read
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, testing range floor · RSI 29 · price 1.40013
Lower highs into 1.4000 support.
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.4055 high straight down to the 1.4000 round number, the week's range floor. Price is now pinned on 1.4000 with RSI(14) near 29; the descending sequence of lower highs stays intact.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.4025
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens the 1.3995 range low
Reclaim of 1.4025 swing would ease the downside pressure
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could reprice this range
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 40 · price 1.40121
Lower highs into a breakdown, now basing above 1.4000.
NY session drove a sharp breakdown from 1.4058 to 1.4003 as the USD softened on the Q2 GDP miss, price now consolidating in a tight 1.4012-1.4020 band just above the 1.4000 psych level. RSI(14) near 40 after basing at the lows; sellers capping every bounce below 1.4026.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40033
Resistance: 1.40261
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4000 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 1.40261 negates the breakdown read
Canada GDP MoM Fri 12:30 GMT could reset this range
NY session drove a sharp leg down from 1.40585, cutting through the week's 1.4000-1.4100 range floor to bottom at 1.40033. Price now consolidating 1.40115-1.40261 just above the 1.4000 psych level; RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 38.
Support: 1.40033, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40261, 1.4045, 1.40585
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 psych confirms extension of the lower-low
Recovery above 1.40261 swing high pulls price back inside the week's range
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
15:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum after sharp leg down · RSI 34 · price 1.40181
Lower highs and lows, fresh session low at 1.40033.
NY session sold USDCAD through 1.40245 down to a one-week low at 1.40033 as USD stayed soft post-FOMC, breaking below the prior sub-1.4055 range. Price has since stalled just above 1.4000 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold near 34; the 1.40245 breakdown level now caps as first resistance.
Support: 1.40033, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40245, 1.4055
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40033 / 1.4000 confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.40245 negates the breakdown and re-enters the prior range
Canada GDP MoM (Fri 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
NY session sold off hard from 1.4058 into a session low of 1.4003 around midday, breaking below the prior 1.4037 base as post-FOMC USD softness reasserted. Price is now consolidating near 1.4018 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold; the swing high at 1.4026 caps the bounce.
Support: 1.40033, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40261, 1.40506
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4026 eases the downside pressure
Break and hold below 1.4000 confirms extension of the lower-low sequence
Canada GDP MoM (Fri 12:30 UTC) could shift this read materially
USDCAD sold off sharply through NY hours, breaking the 1.4045 base and printing a session low at 1.40033 as the USD stayed soft post-FOMC/GDP. RSI(14) near 34 with price bouncing modestly to 1.40181; the 1.40261 swing pivot caps the recovery so far.
Support: 1.40033, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40261, 1.4045
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40033 opens the 1.4000 psych handle
M15 close back above 1.40450 invalidates the downtrend read
Canada GDP MoM Fri 12:30 UTC could shift this read
14:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 34 · price 1.40213
Lower highs into fresh session low.
NY session drove a sharp break lower, dumping USDCAD from mid-1.4050s to a session low of 1.40033 near the 1.4000 psych level, RSI(14) pressing into the low 30s. A small bounce to 1.40213 followed but the pair holds below the 1.40468 swing high with the leg down still intact.
Support: 1.40033, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40468
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 confirms a lower low and opens 1.3995
Reclaim of 1.40468 swing high would neutralise the downside break
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 30 · price 1.40098
Lower highs, breaking to new session lows.
NY session sold off hard into 1.4010, breaking below the 1.4020 one-week low and pressing the 1.4000 psych level, with USD giving back post-FOMC gains. RSI(14) near 30 flags short-term stretch but the lower-high chain and clean break lower keep structure heavy.
Support: 1.40033, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40245
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.40245 invalidates the breakdown
Loss of 1.4000 psych opens continuation lower
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD sharply lower into a fresh session low at 1.4007, a two-bar drop breaking through the mid-1.4040s support that had capped the range. RSI(14) has pushed into oversold as the pair snaps below the earlier 1.4023 low, with the 1.4000 round number now the immediate reference.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40067
Resistance: 1.4048
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 extends the breakdown toward the next handle
Recovery back above 1.40480 broken support would neutralise the down-leg
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into NY close · RSI 26 · price 1.40069
Range break lower, fresh session lows.
USDCAD broke the 1.4020-1.4055 NY range to the downside, extending to fresh session lows near 1.4007 as the dollar stayed soft post-FOMC with the US GDP miss weighing. RSI(14) at ~26 is oversold with the 1.4000 psych level just below.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40067
Resistance: 1.4020, 1.40546
What it said to watch
Break of 1.4000 psych extends the down-leg toward the sub-1.4000 zone
Reclaim above 1.4020 broken level invalidates the breakdown read
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, breaking session support.
USDCAD sold off hard into the NY session, breaking 1.40245 and 1.4020 to print a fresh session low at 1.40067 as the soft US GDP print kept the dollar heavy. RSI(14) near 26 signals a stretched move with the psych 1.4000 level directly ahead.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40067
Resistance: 1.40245
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.4000 psych opens the sub-1.4000 zone
M15 close back above 1.40245 breakdown invalidates the leg lower
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCAD extended its NY-session slide, breaking prior support to print a fresh low at 1.4022 as USD stayed soft after today's GDP miss. Price is pinned to the lows with RSI(14) near 33, below both EMAs, chain of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.40225, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4049
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 1.4020 opens the sub-1.4000 psych zone
Reclaim of 1.4049 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 47 · price 1.40463
Consolidating after NY drop, holding 1.4037–1.4058.
USDCAD sold off from ~1.4095 to 1.4032 during yesterday's NY session, then recovered into a tight 1.4037–1.4058 range. RSI(14) neutral near 47 with price pinned to EMA20; no directional setup in play. Canada GDP and US UoM inflation data Friday are the next catalysts.
Support: 1.4037, 1.4032
Resistance: 1.4058, 1.4067
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4067 opens the path back toward 1.4095
Break below 1.4032 confirms a lower low
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could break the range
13:31 UTC
Range after London selloff · RSI 50 · price 1.40503
Consolidation mid-range.
USDCAD sold off through the London session to a 1.40230 session low, then clawed back into a 1.4037–1.4058 range with RSI(14) flat near 50. Current NY-hours bars are chopping mid-range; no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.40374, 1.4023, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40585, 1.40669
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40585 swing high reopens the 1.40669 session high
Loss of 1.40374 swing low reexposes the 1.40230 session low
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could break this range
13:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.40503
Range-bound after recovery off session low.
NY session has USDCAD ranging 1.4037-1.4067 after a sharp London-hours flush to the 1.4032 session low was bought back. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 with price hugging the EMAs; no directional setup in play mid-range.
Support: 1.40374, 1.40316, 1.4020
Resistance: 1.40546, 1.40669
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4067 session high opens the path toward 1.4110
Failure to hold 1.4037 swing low reopens the 1.4020 range floor
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 GMT could break the range
13:16 UTC
Ranging after early drop · RSI 51 · price 1.40503
Range 1.4023-1.4067, price mid-range.
USDCAD sold off early in the window from 1.4098 to the session low at 1.4023 on the US GDP-miss theme, then recovered into a 1.4023-1.4067 range. Price is chopping mid-range near 1.405, RSI(14) flat around 51 with no directional edge in play.
Support: 1.40379, 1.4023, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4055, 1.40674
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40674 session high opens the path toward 1.4110
Loss of 1.40230 session low confirms a lower low
Canada GDP tomorrow 12:30 GMT could break the range
13:02 UTC
Recovering off session low, still range-bound · RSI 58 · price 1.40548
Sharp drop then consolidation, price back near range top.
USDCAD sold off sharply during the prior US session on the post-FOMC dollar slide, bottoming at 1.4032 before consolidating in a 1.4037–1.4061 band. NY hours have lifted price back toward the range top near 1.4061 with RSI(14) climbing into the upper 50s.
Support: 1.40374, 1.40316, 1.4020
Resistance: 1.40613, 1.40674
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4061 opens the path to the 1.4067 session high
Loss of 1.4037 exposes the 1.4032 swing low
US Core PCE / GDP prints due now could shift this read
USDCAD snapped back off the 1.4037 swing low into the US data window, the 12:30 GMT Core PCE/GDP print lifting it from 1.4038 to 1.4055 as the dollar firmed. Price sits mid-range between 1.4037 and the 1.4067 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 58 with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.4037, 1.4022
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4110
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4067 opens the path to the 1.4110 range top
Failure to hold 1.4037 exposes the 1.4022 one-week low
Canada GDP tomorrow 12:30 UTC could shift this range
12:46 UTC
Range-bound after selloff · RSI 49 · price 1.4048
Ranging 1.4032-1.4067, price mid-range.
USDCAD is ranging 1.4032-1.4067 after the post-FOMC slide during yesterday's US session; price sits back mid-range at 1.4048 with RSI(14) neutral near 50. The recovery capped at the 1.4062 swing high while buyers stepped in twice around the 1.4032 session low.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4037
Resistance: 1.4062, 1.4067
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP due now is likely the next directional trigger for this range
M15 close above 1.4067 range high opens upside
Loss of 1.4032 session low exposes 1.4020
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum easing into range · RSI 43 · price 1.40417
Ranging under session high, testing session low.
USDCAD drifted lower through NY hours after rejection near the 1.40674 session high, and price is now pressing the 1.40365 session low with RSI(14) in the low 40s. Broadly ranging 1.4037–1.4067 with US Core PCE/GDP hitting the tape.
Support: 1.40365, 1.4032, 1.4020
Resistance: 1.4050, 1.40674
What it said to watch
Break of 1.40365 session low exposes 1.40320 swing low then the 1.4020 week low
Reclaim of 1.40500 prior high reopens the 1.40674 session high
US Core PCE/GDP release could drive the next few bars
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, rolling over · RSI 41 · price 1.4037
Lower highs into session low retest.
USDCAD drifted lower through the NY session after a sharp drop to the 1.4032 session low; a bounce to 1.4066 was rejected and price is grinding back toward the low near 1.4037. US Core PCE/GDP due now is the immediate directional trigger.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4020
Resistance: 1.4050, 1.4066
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP prints in the next bar can materially shift this read
Break of 1.4032 session low exposes the 1.4020 week low
Reclaim of the 1.4050 ema20 needed to challenge the 1.4066 swing high
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, fading off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.40405
Lower highs, ranging in lower half.
USD/CAD sold off from 1.4097 into a 1.4023 low during NY hours, bounced to 1.4067, and is now fading back toward session lows at 1.40405 under a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) mid-range near 44; price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with a US GDP/Core PCE cluster due imminently.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40674
What it said to watch
US GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~15min) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.40305 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.4023
Reclaim of 1.40674 negates the lower-highs structure
USDCAD sold off to 1.4023 on yesterday's hawkish FOMC hold, then recovered into a 1.4037-1.4067 range. Price has since printed lower highs and is pressing the session low near 1.40405 as RSI(14) sits mid-40s.
Support: 1.40365, 1.40316, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40514, 1.40674
What it said to watch
US GDP + core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC (~30m) can break this range either way
M15 close below 1.40365 opens the path to 1.4032 / 1.4023
Reclaim of 1.40514 lower high neutralises the drift lower
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, fading in a range · RSI 42 · price 1.40405
Lower highs since NY open, holding above session low.
USDCAD faded from the 1.40674 session high back toward the 1.40365 session low, chopping in a 1.4032–1.4067 range with price under EMA20/50. Move stalling ahead of the US GDP + core PCE cluster, with RSI mid-40s.
Support: 1.40365, 1.40316
Resistance: 1.40515, 1.40674
What it said to watch
US GDP/core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT could break this range within the next bar
M15 close below 1.40316 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.40515 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
USDCAD is pinned mid-range near 1.4050 after the NY-afternoon flush to 1.4032 yesterday, with price recovering to a ~50% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) sits neutral around 52; no directional break, buyers stepped in twice near 1.4037.
Support: 1.4037, 1.4032
Resistance: 1.4059, 1.4067
What it said to watch
US GDP/Core-PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT could break this range within the next bar
M15 close above 1.4067 opens the path back toward 1.4110
USD/CAD flushed to 1.4023 on the FOMC hold late in yesterday's NY session, then recovered into a 1.4037–1.4067 range. Price is stalling near the 32% retracement of that drop around 1.4046, holding just below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s.
Support: 1.40365, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40674
What it said to watch
US GDP/Core-PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~45m out) is the next catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close above 1.4067 session high reopens the upside; loss of 1.4037 session low targets the 1.4023 drop low
USDCAD is ranging 1.4037-1.4067 after yesterday's post-FOMC flush to 1.4023. Price rejected the 1.4067 session high and is drifting mid-range below EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 44. US GDP/Core-PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.40365, 1.4023, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4053, 1.4067
What it said to watch
US GDP/Core-PCE at 12:30 GMT (~1h) could break this range read
M15 close above 1.4067 session high opens 1.4110 barrier
Loss of 1.40365 swing low re-exposes the 1.4023 session low
11:31 UTC
Range, edging lower · RSI 43 · price 1.40437
Post-drop consolidation, lower highs.
Sharp post-FOMC drop yesterday bottomed at 1.4032, then the pair recovered to 1.4067 before rolling over into a string of lower highs. Now grinding back toward 1.4037 in NY hours, below EMA20/50 with RSI in the mid-40s; ranging 1.4037-1.4067 with no clean setup.
Support: 1.40365, 1.40316, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40571, 1.40674
What it said to watch
US GDP/Core-PCE at 12:30 GMT (~1h) is a high-impact catalyst that could break this range
Close below 1.4037 confirms a lower low toward the 1.4032 swing low
Reclaim of 1.4057 intraday high needed to re-test the 1.4067 top
11:16 UTC
Downtrend within range · RSI 43 · price 1.40437
Range 1.4030-1.4067, rolling off session high.
USDCAD rolled off the NY session high at 1.4067 and slid back toward 1.4040, RSI(14) mid-40s and price under both EMAs. Range between 1.4030 and 1.4067 still intact, no clean setup as the pair coils ahead of the US data cluster.
Support: 1.40365, 1.40305
Resistance: 1.40674
What it said to watch
US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~75min) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.4030 confirms a range break lower
Reclaim of 1.4067 needed to re-open session-high test
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.40674 session high into NY hours, stringing lower highs back down to ~1.4044 with price below both EMAs. RSI(14) around 41; pair grinding in the lower half of the 1.4032–1.4067 range with a hawkish post-FOMC USD offset by firm CAD.
Support: 1.40365, 1.40316
Resistance: 1.4053, 1.40674
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40316 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.4053 (ema20) needed to challenge the lower-high sequence
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
11:02 UTC
Mild downtrend off intraday high · RSI 41 · price 1.40416
Lower highs, retracing recovery.
USDCAD is sliding off the 1.40674 session high, carving lower highs back toward the 1.40365 session low ahead of the 12:30 UTC US GDP/Core PCE cluster. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41, mid-retracement of the earlier recovery from 1.40316.
Support: 1.40365, 1.40316, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4055, 1.40613, 1.40674
What it said to watch
US GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could break this range in either direction
M15 close below 1.40365 confirms a lower low toward 1.40316
Reclaim of 1.40550 negates the lower-high sequence
11:02 UTC
Range, rolling off recovery high · RSI 41 · price 1.40416
Boxed 1.4032–1.4067, pressing lower edge.
USDCAD sold off to 1.4023 on yesterday's post-FOMC move, then recovered to 1.4067 before rolling back into the lower half of the range; price now sits at 1.4042 under EMA20/50. RSI cooling near 41 as the pullback tests the 1.4032 range low.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4053, 1.4067
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4032 opens the path toward the 1.4023 swing low
Reclaim of 1.4053 (EMA20) neutralises the pullback
US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.4032–1.4067 range
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 1.40401
Grinding lower toward session lows after FOMC drop.
USDCAD sold off sharply post-FOMC into 1.4032, bounced to 1.4067, and is now carving lower highs back toward the session low. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; price capped under the 1.4058 swing high and pressing the 1.4030 floor.
Support: 1.40316, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40585, 1.40674
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4030 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4000
Reclaim of 1.4058 negates the lower-high sequence
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Recovery stalling, rolling over · RSI 42 · price 1.40431
Range within 1.4023–1.4067, back near lows.
USDCAD sold off to a day low of 1.4023 on the FOMC hold, then recovered to 1.4067 before rolling back toward 1.4043; price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to ~41. The recovery high was rejected and the pair is grinding back toward the lower half of the 1.4023–1.4067 range.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4055, 1.4067
What it said to watch
US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the key USD catalyst and could break this range
M15 close below 1.4032 reopens the day low at 1.4023
Reclaim of 1.4055 (ema20) needed to revive the recovery toward 1.4067
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off range top · RSI 42 · price 1.4043
Lower highs into session lows after failed recovery.
USDCAD sold off during the prior NY session from 1.4090 to a low near 1.4023, then recovered into a 1.4030–1.4067 range. Price has since rolled back off the range top, printing lower highs and pressing session lows at 1.4043 with RSI(14) around 41.
Close above 1.4067 session high negates the lower-high sequence
US Q2 GDP and Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Pulling back within range · RSI 41 · price 1.40415
Range 1.4023-1.4067, lower highs since.
Post-FOMC sell-off drove USDCAD from 1.4090 to a session low near 1.4023; the rebound stalled at 1.40674 and price has since chained lower highs back to 1.40415. RSI(14) around 40 with price below both EMAs — grinding lower inside the 1.4023-1.4067 range, no clean break yet.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4053, 1.40674
What it said to watch
US GDP + Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) could break the range read
Close below 1.4032 opens the path back to the 1.4023 session low
Reclaim of 1.4053 needed to challenge the 1.40674 swing high
USDCAD sold off sharply into the London session to a 1.4023 low, then recovered but stalled at 1.4067 and is now drifting back toward 1.4040. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41 — no momentum either way, pinned inside the 1.40-1.41 range.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4053, 1.40674
What it said to watch
Break of 1.4032 swing low reopens 1.4023 session low
M15 close above 1.4067 session high needed to resume the recovery
US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the key catalyst for the next leg
10:02 UTC
Range after flush, fading · RSI 42 · price 1.40472
Recovered off session low, now printing lower highs.
Sharp post-Fed flush drove USDCAD from 1.4090 to a 1.40316 swing low before a grind back to the 1.40674 session high. Price has since faded through EMA20 into lower highs, holding a 1.40316–1.40674 range with the fade parked near the 61.8% recovery retrace at 1.4047.
Support: 1.40399, 1.40316
Resistance: 1.40571, 1.40674
What it said to watch
US Q2 GDP / core-PCE at 12:30 GMT could break the 1.40316–1.40674 range
M15 close above 1.40674 negates the fade off the session high
USDCAD faded from the 1.40674 session high through London hours and is drifting back toward the 1.40460 base, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Pair is pinned in the 1.4046-1.4067 band, sitting mid-recovery of the earlier drop to 1.40316.
Support: 1.40396, 1.40316, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.40674
What it said to watch
US Q2 GDP + core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) could break this range
M15 close below 1.40396 reopens the 1.40316 session low
Reclaim of 1.40574 needed to challenge the 1.40674 session high
Higher lows since 1.4023, pulling back from 1.4067.
USDCAD recovered through the London session off the 1.4023 low carved after yesterday's FOMC drop, tagging a session high at 1.4067 before easing back to 1.4053. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and price is sitting on rising intraday support with the pullback holding above 1.4049.
Support: 1.40494, 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4055, 1.40674
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40494 breaks the higher-low sequence
Close above 1.40674 reopens the upper range toward 1.4110
US Q2 GDP / core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2.75h) is the pivot for this read
USDCAD sold off ~65 pips into the 1.4032 session low late in the prior NY session, then recovered to grind in a 1.4050-1.4067 range through Asia and into London. Price now easing back toward the 1.4050 range floor, RSI(14) mid-range near 43 and ATR(14) compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.40514, 1.40316
Resistance: 1.40674, 1.4110
What it said to watch
US Q2 GDP + core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT could break the 1.4050-1.4067 range
M15 close below 1.4050 opens a retest of the 1.4032 session low
Break above 1.4067 session high opens the path toward the 1.4110 barrier
09:32 UTC
Recovery, consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.40526
Range after post-Fed drop, higher lows.
USDCAD dropped to a 1.4032 swing low on the post-Fed USD wobble, then recovered and has spent the last several hours consolidating between 1.4050 and the 1.4067 session high. Latest bars faded from that high back to 1.4053, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40674, 1.4110
What it said to watch
US GDP/Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~3h out) is the key catalyst and could break this range
Close above 1.40674 session high extends the recovery toward 1.4110 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4032 swing low confirms a lower low toward 1.4000 psych
09:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 1.40537
Range base built after sell-off, mid-range chop.
USDCAD sold off through the overnight session to 1.4032, then clawed back into a 1.4050–1.4067 range where it now sits mid-band near 1.4054. RSI(14) has reset to neutral after the flush; price is pinned between the session low and the 1.4067 recent high with US GDP/Core PCE due at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4110
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4067 opens the path back toward 1.4110
Loss of 1.4032 session low confirms a lower-low
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h out) can break this range
Sharp drop then grinding recovery, consolidating below session high.
USDCAD dumped into 1.4023 during late NY hours, then staged a steady overnight-into-London recovery back to 1.4056. RSI(14) neutral near 52; price is holding above the 1.4050 pivot with the session high capping attempts at 1.4067.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4032
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4090
What it said to watch
US GDP/core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) is the near-term USD catalyst and could reset this read
Loss of the 1.4050 pivot re-exposes the 1.4032 session low
M15 close above 1.4067 session high extends the recovery toward 1.4090 pre-drop
09:03 UTC
Recovery off lows, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.40564
Higher lows off 1.4030, capped near 1.4067.
A sharp NY-session sell-off dropped USDCAD from ~1.4090 to 1.4032, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom near 1.4030. Price ground back to 1.40674 before fading to 1.40564; recovery momentum is cooling with RSI(14) back near 47 and price sagging under EMA20.
Support: 1.40545, 1.40316, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40674, 1.4110
What it said to watch
US GDP / core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) is the near-term catalyst that could break this range
M15 close below 1.4054 exposes the 1.4032 double bottom
Reclaim of 1.4067 needed to resume the recovery toward 1.4110
USDCAD recovered off the 1.4032 session low carved during the prior NY-session slide, grinding back to the 1.4067 session high where it was rejected twice. Now easing to the 1.4054 base with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR around 6 pips.
Support: 1.4054, 1.4032
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4091
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4067 opens the path toward the 1.4091 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.4054 base exposes the 1.4032 session low
US GDP / Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3.5h out) could materially shift this read
Higher-lows chain after NY drop; range base building.
USDCAD dumped from ~1.4090 to 1.4032 during NY hours on post-Fed USD softness, then based through the Asian session and London has grinded a higher-lows chain back to 1.4058. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.4048; session high at 1.4067 is the immediate cap, RSI mid-range with room either way.
Support: 1.4048, 1.4032
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.4067 opens the path back toward 1.4090
Loss of 1.4048 breaks the higher-lows chain and reopens 1.4032
US GDP/Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Recovering off post-Fed lows · RSI 59 · price 1.40582
Higher lows since 1.4023 bottom.
USDCAD sold off roughly 75 pips into the NY close on the post-Fed USD slide, bottoming at 1.4023, then ground back higher through the London session to 1.4058. The recovery is holding higher lows above 1.4051 with RSI(14) near 59 and ATR around 6 pips; last bar stalled just under the 1.4067 session high.
Support: 1.4051, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40674, 1.4074
What it said to watch
US GDP / Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4067 session high opens 1.4074 prior supply
Failure to hold 1.4051 higher low threatens the recovery sequence
USDCAD swept the session low at 1.40230 during the NY sell-off, then carved higher lows back to a session high of 1.40674 through the London grind. Price is holding above the 1.40500 range base near 1.40582, RSI mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40674, 1.4085
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40674 opens the path toward 1.40850
Failure to hold 1.40500 reopens the 1.40320 swing low
US GDP/Core PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~1h) could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off sharply to 1.4032 late in the prior NY session, then based and ground back to a 1.4067 session high through Asia and into London. Price now consolidates above the 1.4050 pivot, RSI(14) near 58 with no extreme; recovery holding a higher-low chain off the low.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4040, 1.4032
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4085
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4067 opens the path to 1.4085
Failure to hold 1.4050 exposes 1.4040 then the 1.4032 swing low
US GDP / Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC (~4h) could reprice this range
08:16 UTC
Recovery grind higher after sharp drop · RSI 61 · price 1.40616
Rising lows off session low, retracing prior selloff.
USDCAD sold off sharply to 1.4023 during late NY, then based through the Asia session and is grinding higher into the London open, now near the 50% retrace of that drop at 1.40616. RSI(14) around 60, buyers stepping in on rising lows; session high 1.40674 caps for now.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40674, 1.40767
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.40674 opens the path back toward 1.40767 swing high
Loss of 1.40500 range low reasserts the downside toward 1.40230
08:16 UTC
Recovery uptrend after sharp drop · RSI 64 · price 1.4066
Double bottom, higher lows building.
USDCAD sold off sharply mid-window to 1.4032 during London hours, then carved a double bottom near 1.4030 and ground higher into 1.4066. RSI(14) around 64 with price holding above EMA20/50; the 1.4067 session high is the immediate cap and the recovery base sits at 1.4050.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4032
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4090
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~4h out) is a HIGH-impact catalyst that could reset this read
M15 close above 1.4067 opens the path toward the 1.4090 pre-drop area
Loss of 1.4050 recovery base threatens the higher-low structure
Higher lows off session low, grinding into recent high.
Prior-session sell-off dumped USDCAD from ~1.4090 to 1.4032 on the post-FOMC dollar slide; Asia and early London have since clawed the pair back to 1.4066, RSI(14) mid-60s. Recovery holding above the 1.4050 session range, now testing the recent high at 1.4067.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4032
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4067 extends the recovery toward 1.4090
Loss of 1.4050 reasserts the prior-session downside toward 1.4032
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~4.5h out) could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off sharply in the NY session ~14h ago, dropping from 1.4090 to 1.4032 on a high-volume candle. Asia consolidated near 1.4050; London has since built higher lows and pushed back to the 1.4067 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s with no extreme.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4032
Resistance: 1.4067, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4067 session high opens the path back to the 1.4090 drop origin
Loss of 1.4050 rising support reasserts the downside toward 1.4032
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:47 UTC
Recovering, short-term up · RSI 62 · price 1.40624
Higher lows off session low, capped below pre-drop shelf.
USDCAD sold off sharply through the NY session to 1.4023, then ground higher across the Asia-London transition to a session high at 1.4066, RSI(14) near 62. Micro-structure is a chain of higher lows, but the recovery is still capped below the pre-drop shelf at 1.4090.
Support: 1.40529, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40905
What it said to watch
Break above 1.4066 session high opens the 1.4090 pre-drop shelf
Loss of the 1.4053 swing low threatens the rising-lows sequence toward the 1.4023 session low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
07:46 UTC
Recovering, higher lows · RSI 64 · price 1.40624
Rebound off session low, grinding higher lows.
USDCAD sold off sharply on yesterday's dovish Fed read, bottoming at 1.40305 before basing through the Asia session. London has carved a chain of higher lows back to the 1.40669 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s with room before overbought.
Support: 1.40529, 1.40305, 1.40396
Resistance: 1.40669, 1.40767
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.40669 extends the recovery toward the 1.40767 spike high
USDCAD sold off through NY hours yesterday on the dovish FOMC read, bottoming twice near 1.40305 to form a double bottom. Price has since ground higher into the London session, printing a fresh session high at 1.40654 with RSI(14) around 63 — recovery intact while the higher-low chain from 1.40530 holds.
Support: 1.4053, 1.40396, 1.40305
Resistance: 1.40654, 1.4077
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.40530 breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.40654 opens the path toward the 1.40770 fib zone
USDCAD ground higher through Asia and into London after yesterday's post-FOMC slide to 1.4032, now breaking the 1.4057 consolidation top toward the session high at 1.40654. RSI(14) near 63 with price holding above both EMAs; momentum constructive but heavy US data lands mid-session.
Support: 1.4053, 1.4050, 1.4032
Resistance: 1.40654, 1.4088
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.4050 puts the recovery back inside the prior range
Close above 1.4065 opens the path to the pre-drop 1.4088 level
A sharp London-session sell-off drove USDCAD from 1.409 to a session low at 1.4023, since retraced into a steady grind higher off a series of higher lows above the swing low near 1.4032. Price now presses the session high at 1.40613 with RSI near 62; the recovery sits on rising support and the 1.40490 range base.
Support: 1.4049, 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40613, 1.40767
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40490 range base opens a retest of the 1.4023 session low
Break and hold above 1.40613 session high exposes the 1.40767 bounce high
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating above post-FOMC low, higher lows into month-end.
USDCAD sold off through 1.4030 on the FOMC hold yesterday, bottoming near 1.4023, and has since ground back up into a tight 1.4048–1.4059 band. Buyers have stepped in on successive higher lows through the Asia session; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 1.4048, 1.4023, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40588, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Core PCE + Q2 GDP at 12:30 UTC (~5h) can validate or fade the post-FOMC dollar slide
Close above 1.40588 session high opens the path back toward 1.4090
Loss of the 1.40480 range floor reopens the 1.4023 fomc low
Consolidation above post-Fed low, minor higher lows.
USDCAD broke its pre-Fed base beneath 1.4090 and dropped to a post-Fed low of 1.4032 as the dollar faded a hawkish 9-3 hold. Since then price has ground back up through the Asia session, consolidating 1.4048–1.4058 with RSI neutral near 58; session high 1.4058 caps for now.
Support: 1.4048, 1.4032
Resistance: 1.4058, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4058 opens the path back toward the 1.4090 pre-fed base
Failure to hold 1.4048 asia low reopens the post-fed low at 1.4032
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Recovering after post-Fed drop, now flat · RSI 57 · price 1.40529
Based at session low, consolidating under session high.
Post-Fed USD selloff broke the sub-1.4100 range and drove USDCAD to a session low of 1.40305, after which buyers stepped in and price recovered to consolidate around 1.4053, just under the 1.40585 session high. RSI(14) is neutral near 57 and ATR has compressed to ~4.5 pips as the pair coils ahead of data.
Support: 1.4048, 1.40305
Resistance: 1.40585, 1.4076
What it said to watch
Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) can break this consolidation either way
M15 close above 1.40585 session high extends the recovery toward the 1.40760 prior swing
Loss of the 1.40480 range low reopens the 1.40305 session low
Post-Fed USD selloff drove USDCAD through 1.4100 and down to 1.4023, then price based and climbed in higher lows back to the 1.4058 session high. RSI(14) near 61, no extreme; recovery leg intact while 1.4050 holds.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4058, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Core PCE + Q2 GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h) can validate or fade the post-Fed dollar slide
Close above 1.4058 session high opens the path to the 1.4100 pivot
Failure to hold 1.4050 session low reopens the 1.4032 swing low
06:32 UTC
Recovering after post-Fed drop · RSI 56 · price 1.40585
Double bottom, higher lows into resistance.
The post-Fed USD sell-off broke USDCAD through the sub-1.4100 range and drove it to 1.4023; buyers stepped in twice near 1.4030 to form a double bottom. Price has since climbed on higher lows to 1.4058, now pressing the 1.4060 prior-support zone with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4060, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.4060 opens the path back toward the 1.4100 pivot
Loss of 1.4030 double bottom confirms a lower low toward 1.4023
06:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 62 · price 1.40585
Higher lows since 1.4023, grinding up.
USD/CAD sold off under 1.4050 on the post-FOMC USD unwind, printing a session low at 1.4023 before a steady rounded-bottom recovery back to 1.4058. RSI(14) mid-60s with higher lows holding off 1.4049; the 1.4060 pivot is the immediate cap into London hours.
Support: 1.4049, 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4060, 1.4076
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.4060 pivot opens the 1.4076 bounce high
Loss of the 1.4049 higher low breaks the recovery chain
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could reprice USD
USDCAD broke lower into the NY close as the Fed's 9-3 hold squeezed USD longs, dumping from ~1.4106 to 1.4023. Price has since based and is grinding up through the Asian session, now testing the session high at 1.4057 with RSI(14) around 60.
Support: 1.4039, 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40575, 1.4065, 1.4077
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40575 opens the path back toward 1.4065
Failure to hold 1.40390 re-exposes the 1.40305 session low
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read
Range break lower then basing, higher-lows into range top.
USDCAD broke its pre-Fed range and dropped from ~1.4090 to sub-1.4032 on the post-FOMC USD long-squeeze. The Asian session has based and ground back to the 1.40574 range top, with RSI(14) mid-range and no extreme; price now sits just under that cap.
Support: 1.4050, 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.40904
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40574 opens the path back toward the 1.4090 pre-fed high
Failure to hold 1.4050 session low re-exposes the 1.40305 swing low
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC (~6h out) could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.40517
Consolidation above swing low after sharp drop.
USDCAD sold off ~65 pips into a swing low at 1.40305 as USD softened post-FOMC, then recovered to 1.40574 and has consolidated in a tight 1.4048–1.4056 band since. ATR(14) has collapsed to ~5 pips through the Asian session; RSI(14) neutral near 53, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.4048, 1.40305
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4097
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40574 negates the consolidation and reopens 1.4097
Break below 1.40305 confirms a fresh lower low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster in ~7h can materially shift this read
USDCAD dumped through 1.4100 during NY hours to 1.4023, then base-built into a tight 1.4040–1.4055 range as oil and Fed-BoC spreads keep the pair pinned. Price holding just above EMA20 but under EMA50; RSI(14) recovered to mid-range from the drop's oversold spike.
Support: 1.4039, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40556, 1.4060, 1.4100
What it said to watch
US Core PCE/GDP cluster ~12:30 GMT could shift this read
Close below 1.4039 confirms the lower low resuming
Close above 1.4056 opens the 1.4060 prior-support retest
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 1.40489
Range break lower, basing 1.4033-1.4057.
USD/CAD sold off sharply through the NY session, breaking from ~1.4090 to a 1.4023 low as USD softened post-FOMC. Since then it has consolidated in a tight 1.4033-1.4057 band; current Asian-into-London price sits mid-range at 1.4049 on thin volume, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.4040, 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4057
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster ~7h out (12:30 UTC) could break this consolidation
M15 close above 1.4057 negates the range-lower read
Failure to hold 1.4032 reopens the 1.4023 drop low
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.40502
Tight range after breakdown below 1.4100.
USDCAD sold off sharply through the NY session, breaking below the 1.4100 psych level to a session low of 1.40316 as USD softened post-FOMC. Price has since stabilised into a tight consolidation around 1.4050 through Asia, holding the range floor near 1.40460 with the range top capping at 1.40560.
Support: 1.4046, 1.40316
Resistance: 1.4056, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40560 range top opens a retest toward 1.4100 psych
Loss of 1.40316 session low confirms downtrend continuation
US Core PCE/GDP cluster ~7h out could break this consolidation
USDCAD sold off sharply mid-window from ~1.4090 to 1.4023 before recovering to a 1.40574 high; price now grinds higher in a thin Asian session on tiny bars, holding above EMA20 but under EMA50. RSI(14) near 58, no extreme, with momentum flat into the quiet hours.
Support: 1.40478, 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.40905
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.40574 opens the path back toward the 1.4090 pre-drop zone
Loss of 1.40478 grind low reopens the 1.4032 session low
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst that can break this range
05:02 UTC
Recovering after NY sell-off · RSI 61 · price 1.40551
Base building above 1.4023, grinding higher.
A sharp NY-session sell-off dumped USDCAD from ~1.4090 to 1.4023 as stretched USD longs unwound post-Fed. Asia session has since ground back up in thin conditions, now pressing the 1.40574 swing high with RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40574 opens the path back toward 1.4090
Failure to hold 1.4032 reopens the 1.4023 swing low
US Core PCE/GDP at 12:30 GMT (~7h out) could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Recovering off NY session low, momentum mild · RSI 58 · price 1.40549
V-shaped selloff then base-and-grind higher.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from ~1.4090 to 1.4023, then based and ground back to 1.4055 into month-end/thin end-of-day flow. Price is now pressing the 1.40574 recovery high; RSI(14) mid-range, ATR compressed to ~5 pips.
Support: 1.4040, 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4060
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40574 opens the path toward 1.4060
Failure to hold 1.4040 reopens the 1.4023 day low
US PCE/GDP cluster ~12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off hard through the NY session, breaking below 1.4090 to a 1.4032 session low (spike to 1.4023) as crowded USD longs trimmed into month-end. Price has since based through Asia and ground back to 1.4053, sitting under the 1.4057 swing high and the 1.4060 Scotia pivot; RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4060
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4060 pivot would flag a fuller retrace of the selloff
Loss of 1.4032 session low reopens the 1.4023 spike low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Sharp drop, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 1.40518
Range break lower then base-building.
NY session sold USDCAD sharply from the 1.4100 pivot to 1.4032, breaking the tight pre-Fed range. Asia has since based between 1.4040 and 1.4057, with price stalling under the 1.40574 swing high.
Support: 1.40396, 1.40316
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40574 reopens the 1.41 pivot
Loss of 1.40316 confirms a fresh lower-low
US PCE/GDP cluster 12:30 GMT and Canada GDP Fri could reset this range
NY session drove a sharp sell-off from ~1.4100 to 1.40305 as stretched USD longs unwound; CAD firmed alongside better oil. Asia session is basing quietly between 1.4040 and 1.4057, RSI(14) back to neutral near 54 after the flush.
Support: 1.40396, 1.40305
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4100
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40574 reopens the path toward the 1.4100 prior range
Failure to hold 1.40396 reopens the 1.40305 session low
US PCE/GDP cluster at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilizing off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.40517
Sharp sell-off then basing, now recovering.
USDCAD broke down sharply through the NY session, printing a session low at 1.40305 before basing. Price has since recovered toward 1.40517 and is consolidating under the 1.40574 bounce high, RSI(14) back to neutral near 55.
Support: 1.40305, 1.40396
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4060
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40574 bounce high opens the 1.40600 pivot
Loss of 1.40396 swing low re-exposes the 1.40305 session low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster 12:30 GMT could reprice USD; Canada GDP Fri key for CAD
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 53 · price 1.40517
Range after impulsive NY selloff.
A sharp NY-session selloff dropped USDCAD from ~1.4090 to a 1.4023 session low, before a bounce to 1.40574 stalled and the pair drifted into a tight 1.404-1.4057 range through Asian hours. RSI(14) has reset to neutral near 53; price sits above EMA20 but capped below EMA50, keeping the recovery corrective.
Support: 1.40399, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4060
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40574 recovery high reopens the 1.4060 area
Loss of 1.40399 swing low re-exposes the 1.40230 session low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster and Fri Canada GDP could break the range
03:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 60 · price 1.40503
Sharp sell-off, now ranging near lows.
USDCAD sold off hard through the NY session, dropping from ~1.4090 to 1.4030 on heavy volume before stabilising. Since then it has ranged 1.4030–1.4057 and is now drifting toward the top of that band near 1.4050 in thin, post-session conditions.
Support: 1.40305, 1.40396
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.40905
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40574 bounce high opens the path back to the 1.4090 pre-drop zone
Failure to hold 1.40305 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
Canada GDP Fri 12:30 UTC is the nearest CAD catalyst
Broke below 1.409 range, sharp leg to 1.4023, now basing near 1.405.
USDCAD sold off sharply during NY hours, dropping from the ~1.409 range to a session low at 1.4023 before recovering. Price is now consolidating around 1.405 between 1.4032 support and the 1.4054 session high, RSI back to neutral after the flush.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40538, 1.40574
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.40574 negates the downside break read
Loss of 1.4032 reopens the 1.4023 session low
US Core PCE (12:30 GMT) is the next major catalyst for this pair
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalling into consolidation · RSI 56 · price 1.40519
Sharp NY drop, now basing in a tight range.
USDCAD broke down hard during NY hours, sliding from 1.4097 to a session low at 1.4032 before recovering. Price now consolidates in a tight 1.4040–1.4057 band on thin late-session volume, holding just above EMA20.
Support: 1.4040, 1.40316
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.40905
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4057 (swing high) opens the path back toward 1.4090
Failure to hold 1.4040 range low reopens the 1.4032 session low
US Core PCE + Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through the NY session from 1.4100 to a 1.4023 low, then buyers stepped in during the London-NY transition. Asia session has consolidated 1.4040-1.4052, recovering ~38% of the drop with RSI back near 53; 1.40575 swing high caps the bounce.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40575, 1.4066
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40575 extends the retrace toward 1.40660
Loss of 1.40230 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US Core PCE + Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 1.40494
Range-bound after impulsive sell-off.
NY session broke the pre-drop 1.4090 support and sold off sharply to 1.40316, before stabilising in a tight 1.4032–1.4057 band. Asian hours have been quiet — price drifting near 1.4049 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips and RSI back to neutral after the flush.
Support: 1.40316, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4057 bounce high would neutralise the sell-off
Loss of 1.40316 session low confirms downside continuation
US Core PCE + Q2 GDP 12:30 GMT could break this range
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 49 · price 1.40494
Range break lower, consolidating above session low.
USDCAD broke below the 1.4090 range on heavy volume during NY hours, sweeping down to 1.4023 before basing back to 1.4050. Now drifting flat in thin Asia trade, holding above the session low with the post-drop high at 1.40574 capping.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close back above 1.40574 would negate the downside break
USDCAD broke sharply lower in the NY afternoon, falling from 1.4090 to a 1.4023 swing low, then stabilised. Price has since consolidated 1.4032–1.4057 through quiet Asia hours, sitting mid-range near 1.4049 with RSI(14) flat around 46.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4057, 1.4100
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4057 opens the path back toward the 1.4100 pivot
Failure to hold 1.4032 exposes the 1.4023 swing low
US Core PCE + Q2 GDP at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 56 · price 1.40499
Post-drop consolidation above session low.
NY session drove a ~65-pip leg down from 1.4097 to the 1.4030 session low. Asian session is consolidating thin between 1.4030 and 1.4057, with price hovering near the 38.2% retrace of that drop and RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.4030, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4057 opens the path toward the 1.4090 prior range
Loss of the 1.4030 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could break this Asian range
USDCAD sold off sharply through late NY hours from ~1.4106 to a 1.4023 session low, oil-driven CAD strength weighing on the pair. Price has since based between 1.4040 and 1.4057 on thin Asian-session volume, RSI(14) recovered off oversold to neutral.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4060
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40574 bounce high opens the path toward 1.4060 range res
Loss of 1.40320 swing low resumes the decline toward 1.4023 session low
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~10h) is the next major USD driver
02:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing after NY break · RSI 55 · price 1.40504
Sharp break lower, then recovery off 1.4023.
USDCAD broke sharply lower during NY hours, dropping from ~1.409 to a 1.4023 spike low before basing. Price has recovered through the quiet Asia session to 1.405; the 1.40574 bounce high caps upside, with demand holding the 1.4032 area.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Close above 1.40574 opens the retrace toward the 1.4090 prior range
Loss of 1.40320 resumes the downside toward the 1.4023 spike low
US Core PCE / GDP batch at 12:30 UTC (~10h) is the main near-term driver
02:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 55 · price 1.40504
Sharp break lower, double bottom holding ~1.4030.
NY session drove a sharp break lower from 1.4090 to 1.4032, and USD/CAD has since based twice near 1.4030, forming a double bottom. Quiet Asia trade has nudged price back to 1.4050, RSI recovered to the mid-50s with the 1.4057 bounce high capping.
Support: 1.4030, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.4057, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4057 bounce high opens path back toward 1.4090
Loss of 1.4030 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the double bottom
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~10h) is the key USD driver and could reset this read
Range break lower, consolidating above session low.
USDCAD broke below the 1.4090 range during NY hours, selling off to a 1.4023 session low as oil firmed, then recovered to 1.40574. Price is now drifting sideways around 1.4045 in quiet Asia hours, holding above the 1.40305 swing low with RSI recovering to mid-range.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40305 opens a retest of the 1.40230 session low
Reclaim of 1.40574 puts the 1.4090 prior range back in play
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC (~10.5h) is the next major driver
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 52 · price 1.40449
Range break lower, then sideways drift.
USDCAD sold off sharply into late NY, breaking the 1.4090 range down to a 1.40230 session low as firmer oil lifted CAD. Price is now consolidating in the low 1.404s, holding above the 1.40305 recent low with the 1.40574 bounce high capping upside. Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the next driver.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.40905
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40574 bounce high unwinds the consolidation
Break below 1.40305 confirms a lower low toward the session low
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~10.5h) could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after selloff · RSI 46 · price 1.40449
A sharp selloff into the NY-Asia transition dragged USDCAD from 1.4097 to 1.4023, tracking broad USD long-unwind after the Fed hold and firmer oil. Since then price has ranged 1.4030-1.4057 with a higher low at the session low 1.40305; current bounce is probing the recent high near 1.40470, RSI recovering off the lows.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4047, 1.40574
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40574 invalidates the consolidation read
Loss of 1.40305 session low reopens the 1.40230 swing low
US Core PCE/GDP cluster (12:30 UTC) could break the range
A sharp NY-session drop broke the week-old ~1.41 range, spiking down to 1.40230 before a bounce stalled at 1.40574. Since then USDCAD has ground sideways in thin Asian liquidity, drifting between 1.40305 and 1.40574 with RSI(14) around mid-40s and no directional resolution yet.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.40905
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40305 confirms a lower low, exposing the 1.40230 drop low
Reclaim of 1.40574 bounce high needed to break the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE later today is a scheduled risk that could shift the range
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, base forming · RSI 47 · price 1.40449
Asian range after NY sell-off.
USDCAD sold off ~90 pips into the NY close, breaking the 1.409 shelf down to 1.40305 as oil-supported CAD firmed. Asia has since ranged 1.40305–1.40500, with price recovering to 1.40449 on thin volume; RSI(14) has cooled back toward neutral.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4050
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.40500 range top would negate the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 1.40305 session low reopens the 1.40230 spike low
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off sharply during NY hours from the 1.4090 shelf to 1.4023, then bounced to 1.4057 before settling into a 1.4032-1.4057 range. Price is drifting off the session low near the EMA20, RSI(14) recovered to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4023 swing low confirms a lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 1.4057 swing high opens the path back toward 1.4090
US Core PCE and GDP at 12:30 UTC can break this range decisively
FOMC hold triggered a USD long-unwind, dropping USD/CAD from ~1.4090 to a 1.4023 low during NY hours. Asia session is now consolidating a tight 1.4030-1.4050 band on thin volume, with the pair bouncing off 1.40305 and RSI(14) recovering to mid-range.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4047, 1.40574
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40470 opens a retest of the 1.40574 post-fomc high
Failure to hold 1.40305 exposes the 1.40230 fomc low
Core PCE / GDP cluster Thu 12:30 GMT could break this consolidation
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.40449
Post-drop consolidation above session low.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session after the Fed's expected hold triggered a USD long-unwind, bottoming at 1.40305. Price is now grinding back toward the 1.40490 range top; RSI(14) near 46 after basing off the lows.
Support: 1.40305, 1.40396
Resistance: 1.4049, 1.40574
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.40574 post-fomc high negates the lower-low structure
Loss of 1.40305 session low extends the down leg
Core PCE / GDP Thu 12:30 GMT could reset this read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.40449
Post-FOMC breakdown, basing above session low.
The Fed hold at 3.75% triggered a USD long-unwind mid-NY session, snapping USDCAD ~70 pips lower from 1.4090 into a 1.4023 session low. Price has since consolidated between 1.4030 and 1.4057 through the Asia hours, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 44; the bounce high at 1.40574 caps.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40305 exposes the 1.40230 session low
Reclaim of 1.40574 negates the breakdown read
Core PCE/GDP Thu 12:30 GMT is the next material catalyst
USD/CAD broke down through 1.4090 into the Fed hold, the USD long-unwind driving a slide to a 1.4023 session low. Price is now consolidating 1.4030–1.4057 through Asia with RSI(14) recovered off oversold to mid-range, holding just above EMA20 but capped under EMA50.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.40305 reopens the 1.4023 session low
Reclaim of 1.40574 swing high needed to challenge the 1.4090 prior range
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 41 · price 1.40423
Post-breakdown range after impulsive drop.
USDCAD broke down sharply during NY hours as the FOMC hold removed the USD hike premium, dropping ~70 pips to a 1.4023 session low. Price has since consolidated in a 1.4032-1.4057 band and is drifting back toward the lows in thin Asia trade, holding below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4030 confirms a lower low and extends the breakdown
Recovery above 1.40574 bounce high needed to challenge the pre-drop range
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend after impulsive drop · RSI 41 · price 1.40423
Broke below range, now consolidating near lows.
USDCAD sold off sharply out of its week-old range after the Fed held and the ~30% hike premium came out of the dollar, printing a low at 1.40230. Price is now consolidating thinly between 1.40305 and 1.40574, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4049, 1.40574
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.40574 post-drop high would negate the downside break
Failure to hold 1.40230 session low opens further downside
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 37 · price 1.40338
Range break lower, lower highs post-FOMC.
USDCAD broke its 1.4090-1.4100 range hard lower during NY hours as the Fed held rates and stretched USD longs unwound, sliding to 1.40316. Since then it's drifted in a thin, low-volume Asian range between the session low near 1.40305 and 1.40476, RSI(14) parked in the mid-30s.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40476, 1.40574
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40476 range top would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 1.40305 session low confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.40230
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
NY session dumped USDCAD from ~1.4097 to 1.4023 as the FOMC hold triggered a USD long-unwind. Asian hours have chopped sideways then rolled over again toward the 1.4030 area; RSI(14) soft near 40 with price pinned under EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.40305, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.4046
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4023 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.4046 lower high would neutralise the intraday down-leg
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP cluster could reset this read
Lower highs since the FOMC drop, coiling above session low.
The Fed's in-line hold near 18:15 broker time knocked USDCAD from ~1.4090 to the 1.4023 low as the hike premium unwound, followed by a bounce to 1.40574 that has since faded. Thin Asian-session flow now has price grinding lower toward the 1.4032 session low with RSI(14) around 41.
Support: 1.4032, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4090
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4023 confirms a lower low and extends the FOMC leg
Reclaim of 1.40574 recovery high neutralises the downside read
Thu 12:30 GMT Core PCE/GDP cluster could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend after FOMC drop, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.40361
Sharp break lower, consolidating near session lows.
FOMC hold at 21:00 broker time triggered a sharp USD sell-off from 1.4090 to 1.4032 as the ~30% hike premium was unwound. Price has since gone quiet through the Asia session, ranging 1.4032-1.4057, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s with tiny bar ranges.
Support: 1.40316, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574, 1.4090
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40316 recent low reopens the 1.4023 session low
Reclaim of 1.40574 bounce high needed to challenge the pre-drop 1.4090 zone
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE / GDP cluster could break this consolidation
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 41 · price 1.40361
Range break below 1.4060, basing in Asia.
Sharp NY-session sell-off broke the week-old 1.4060 range floor, bottoming at 1.4023 before a bounce to 1.4057 faded. Price is now pinned around 1.4036 in thin Asia trade, holding just above the swing low with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.40316, 1.4023
Resistance: 1.40574
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.4060 would negate the range break
Close below 1.4023 confirms continuation of the lower low
Thu 12:30 GMT US Core PCE/GDP could materially shift this read