USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Wednesday, 11 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
22:02 UTC
Uptrend, stretched into overbought · RSI 75 · price 0.83304
Break above the multi-week range top at 0.8313 after a higher low at 0.8174.
The pair spent most of the window inside a 0.8127–0.8313 range. It then rebounded from the 0.8127/0.8133 lows, printed a higher low at 0.8174 and has now pushed through the prior high at 0.8313 to a swing high at 0.8337. Strong NFP and Tuesday's hot US CPI drove the leg higher, and the CPI high at 0.8268 marks where the advance accelerated. EMA(20) has crossed above EMA(50) and both are rising. RSI at 75.4 is overbought, while ATR(14) has eased to 23.8 pips, so the move has come on contracting rather than expanding ranges.
Support: 0.8313, 0.8268, 0.82495
Resistance: 0.8337, 0.8400
What it said to watch
An H4 close back below the prior high at 0.8313 would turn the breakout into a false break inside the old range
Failure to hold the CPI high at 0.8268 would expose ema20 near 0.8250 and the 38.2% of the rally fib
A sustained hold above the 0.8337 swing high leaves the 0.8400 round number as the next reference
Fed speakers Thursday (Hammack, Goolsbee, Daly, Williams) and Friday's core PPI (f/c 5%) could materially shift this read
A break of the higher-lows trendline from 0.8133 would undo the post-NFP structure
Higher lows off 0.8127 base, break above 0.8313 prior high.
USDCHF has built higher lows along a rising higher-low trendline from the 0.8127 base. The hot US CPI beat and Waller's 50bp talk then carried the pair through the 0.8300-0.8315 prior high to a fresh high at 0.8337. EMA20 crossed above EMA50 this week, and both are rising beneath price. RSI at 77.2 is overbought, while ATR(14) at 25 pips sits below last week's ~29, so the leg looks stretched rather than expanding. The fib 38.2% of the 0.8127-0.8337 advance sits near 0.8257, just above the ema20 at 0.8241.
Support: 0.8313, 0.8257, 0.8241
Resistance: 0.8337, 0.8400
What it said to watch
H4 close back below the 0.8313 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Holding above 0.8313 on a retest keeps the fresh high and the round number at 0.8400 in play, with 0.8382 cited in between
Thu Fed speakers (Williams, Daly) and jobless claims could trim the 50bp premium driving this leg
Fri core PPI YoY (f/c 5%) is the key test of the USD rally
Loss of the ema20 at 0.8241 and the fib 38.2% would break the higher-low sequence
14:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended into resistance · RSI 75 · price 0.83191
Double bottom at 0.8127–0.8133 resolved higher; higher low at 0.8174, now testing the 0.8313 prior high.
The double bottom near 0.8130 gave way to a higher low at 0.8174. The 165K NFP beat and Tuesday's hot CPI then drove a run of more than 180 pips through the 0.8205–0.8220 neckline and the 0.8268 CPI high, with EMA20 now crossed above EMA50. Price is pressing the 0.8313 prior high at the top of the 0.8300–0.8315 zone with RSI overbought at 74.8. ATR is steady near 25 pips, so the leg has extended without any volatility expansion.
Support: 0.8268, 0.82311, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8313, 0.8350
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 0.8313 prior high opens the 0.8350 window high, with 0.8382 cited beyond
Slip back below the 0.8268 cpi high returns focus to ema20 at 0.8231
Loss of the 0.8174 higher low breaks the higher-low line and the post-double-bottom structure
Thu Fedspeak (Hammack, Daly, Williams) and Fri core PPI 13:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Overbought RSI at the prior high leaves room for rejection back toward the 38.2% fib of the rally
Double bottom at 0.8127-0.8133 broken through neckline; higher highs and higher lows.
USD/CHF built a double bottom at 0.8127-0.8133 and cleared the 0.8227 neckline after Tuesday's hot US CPI. It has since extended to 0.8288 with higher highs and higher lows from the two-month low, as Fed December-hike pricing firmed. EMA20 has crossed above EMA50 with price above both, and RSI at 69.7 sits just shy of overbought. ATR(14) has eased to 24.7 pips from near 29, a measured grind rather than an expansion. The rally fib's 38.2% lines up with the neckline, and the 0.8268 cpi high is the first shelf below.
Support: 0.8268, 0.8227, 0.8214
Resistance: 0.8300, 0.8313
What it said to watch
The 0.8300 round number and the 0.8313 prior high cap the move. An H4 close above them opens the 0.8383 window high.
An H4 close back below the 0.8227 neckline would undercut the double-bottom breakout. The ema50 at 0.8214 sits just below.
A break of the higher-low line from 0.8133 would end the higher-low sequence.
Thursday Fedspeak (Hammack, Daly, Williams) and Friday core PPI could materially shift the 25 vs 50bp debate and this read.
06:02 UTC
Recovering, higher lows off the two-month low · RSI 66 · price 0.82639
Double bottom at 0.8127/0.8133, higher lows, now testing the 0.8268 cpi high.
USDCHF has carved a double bottom at 0.8127/0.8133 and printed a higher low at 0.8174. The hot US CPI beat then drove the break above 0.8250 to the 0.8268 cpi high, and the shallow pullback low at 0.8245 has held since. EMA20 (0.8216) has crossed above EMA50 (0.82115) with price above both, and RSI at 66 is firm but short of overbought, while ATR(14) easing to 24.5 pips shows the advance coming without range expansion; the 0.8300 round number and the 0.8313 prior high mark the next structural ceiling.
Support: 0.82449, 0.8216, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8268, 0.8300, 0.8313
What it said to watch
H4 close above the 0.8268 cpi high opens the 0.8300 round number and 0.8313 prior high
Slip back below the 0.8245 pullback low and the ema20 at 0.8216 would undercut the breakout
Break under the 0.8174 higher low negates the double bottom read
Thu jobless claims and Fedspeak, then Fri PPI on 25 vs 50bp Fed pricing, could materially shift this read
Higher lows since 0.8127 double bottom; lower-high sequence broken.
After a three-week grind lower to the 0.8127/0.8133 double bottom, USDCHF has printed higher lows at the 0.8174 swing low and pushed through the 0.8250 prior cap. The hot US CPI drove the move to the 0.8268 cpi high, and EMA(20) at 0.8211 has just crossed above EMA(50) at 0.8209, with price above both. RSI at 64.5 is firm but not overbought, while ATR(14) has eased from 30 to 25.6 pips, so the rally has come without range expansion.
Support: 0.8250, 0.82111, 0.8174
Resistance: 0.8268, 0.8313, 0.8395
What it said to watch
H4 closes back below the 0.8250 prior cap would mark the breakout as a false break
A push through the 0.8268 cpi high exposes the 0.8313 swing high, with the 0.8395 window high beyond
Loss of the ema20 near 0.8211 and the rising higher-lows line would undercut the rebound read
A break below the 0.8174 swing low ends the higher-low structure
Thu Fed speakers and jobless claims, then Fri PPI, could materially shift this read