USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 0.82063
Tight coil inside prior-day range, no directional break.
USDCHF has coiled into a 0.82040-0.82071 band through the Asia session after the NY leg stalled at the 0.82230 ny high and sold off to 0.81963, a move now retraced about 37%. Price sits on EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) ~54 and ATR(14) only ~4.5 pips; thin-liquidity gaps around the rollover bars distort the last hour of prints, so the coil base at 0.82040 and the 0.82118 prior high are the cleanest intraday markers.
Support: 0.8204, 0.81977, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82118, 0.8223
What it said to watch
15m close above the 0.82118 prior high reopens the 0.82230 ny high
Loss of the 0.82040 coil base puts the 0.81977 asia low, then the 0.81834 london low, back in play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC and the SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC are the event risks that would break this low-ATR coil
Price was rejected at the 0.82230 ny high mid-NY session, sold back to 0.81963 and has since stalled in a 0.8205-0.8207 coil through the thin Asia open, hugging a flat EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 51. The 0.82000 round number and the 0.81963 ny low have contained the downside twice, keeping the higher-low chain off the 0.81834 london low intact, consistent with the firmer CHF tone that dragged the pair under 0.8200 earlier in the window.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82133, 0.8223
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82133 ny pivot re-engages the 0.82230 ny high
Loss of 0.81963 ny low and the 0.82000 round number confirms a lower low toward 0.8190
SNB decision 07:30 UTC Thu plus the US flash PMIs later Wed could reprice this range entirely
ATR(14) at ~4 pips reflects Asia-session compression; expect expansion at the London open
23:16 UTC
Sideways, no intraday trend · RSI 52 · price 0.82053
Range between 0.8183 and 0.8223, price mid-range after NY fade.
Two rejections at 0.8223 — a double top formed on the London high and again into the 16:15 NY push — capped the day, with the subsequent fade bottoming at the 0.81963 ny low before price recovered to the 0.8200 round number and stalled. CHF's fourth firmer session kept rallies short-lived; last bars are post-NY-close thin, coiled between the 0.8200 round number and the 0.82133 swing high with RSI(14) flat near 52 and ATR(14) at just 4.6 pips.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82133, 0.8223
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.82133 swing high re-opens the 0.82230 double top area
Loss of the 0.8200 round number and the 0.81963 ny low would extend the range low toward 0.81834 session low
US flash PMIs 23 Sep 13:45 UTC and SNB decision 24 Sep 07:30 UTC are the events that would break this intraday range
A double top at 0.82230/0.82246 capped both the London and NY pushes, and price has drifted back to 0.82053 — roughly mid-retrace of the NY leg off the 0.81834 day low, with the 0.81963 ny low holding late in the session as CHF firmed for a fourth day. Asia has opened thin: ATR(14) has compressed to ~3.6 pips, RSI(14) is flat near 50, and price is pinned on the EMA20 just beneath the EMA50 — no structural setup in play between 0.81963 and the 0.82133 intraday cap.
Support: 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82133, 0.8223
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82133 intraday cap reopens the 0.82230 double top
Loss of the 0.81963 ny low breaks the rising support off the day low and puts 0.81834 back in play
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC Wed are the next dollar-side catalyst, ahead of the SNB decision Thursday
Range between 0.81963 and 0.82069 after a double top failure.
Two failed pushes at 0.82246/0.82230 (the ny high area) capped the NY session, and price has since stalled in a tight 0.81963–0.82069 band either side of the 0.82000 round number, with CHF firm ahead of Thursday's SNB. Thin early-Asia bars, ATR(14) near 5 pips and RSI(14) around 44 — nothing structural in play, price sits just above EMA20 and just below EMA50.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.8223
What it said to watch
Close back above the 0.82110 prior pivot would end the range read and re-open 0.82230
Loss of the 0.82000 round number and then the 0.81963 session low would extend toward the 0.81834 prior low
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the events that can break this compression
Lower highs off the ny high, holding above the session low.
London hours sold USDCHF to 0.81834, NY recovered the whole leg to a 0.82230 ny high before fading back through 0.82130; price is now mid-range at 0.82065 with RSI(14) near 46 and ATR(14) around 5 pips. Post-NY-close bars are thin and coiled between the 0.81980 session low and the 0.82118–0.82130 prior high, consistent with the fourth session of CHF recovery keeping the pair pinned under 0.8220.
Support: 0.8198, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.8213, 0.8223
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82130 prior high breaks the sequence of lower highs off the ny high
Failure to hold the 0.81980 session low reopens the 0.81834 day low
Thin Asia-hours liquidity can distort the range read until London volume returns
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC and the SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC are the next event risks for this range
London morning slide bottomed at the 0.81834 london low before a steady grind to the 0.82227 ny high around 16:00 UTC, where price was rejected and has since bled back to the 0.8200 psych level — CHF now firmer for a fourth session despite USD sitting at two-month highs. Late-NY/rollover bars are paper-thin and pinned between the 0.81963 session low and 0.82133 swing high, with RSI(14) mid-40s and price under both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82133, 0.82227
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.82133 would negate the lower-highs sequence off the ny high
Loss of the 0.8200 psych and 0.81963 session low re-opens the 0.81834 london low
Liquidity is minimal into rollover — Asia open may redraw the range
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the events that could reset this structure
22:03 UTC
No trend, mid-range drift · RSI 44 · price 0.82047
Intraday range 0.81834-0.82246, lower highs since NY high, price back to mid-range.
London sold the 0.82246 print down to 0.81834 before NY retraced the whole leg into 0.82230, where the move was rejected and price has since settled back around the 0.82000 round number as CHF firmed for a fourth session. Last five bars are rollover-thin with price pinned to the EMA20/EMA50 cluster near 0.8205 and RSI(14) mid-40s — no structure in play inside 0.81963-0.82133.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82133, 0.8223
What it said to watch
Acceptance back above the 0.82133 swing high would re-open the 0.82230 ny high
A close below the 0.81963 ny low puts the 0.81834 london low back in range
Thin post-NY-close liquidity distorts the current bars; Asia open is the first real test of the 0.82000 round number
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC and the SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC can invalidate this range read
Lower highs off 0.82230, holding above 0.8200 psych.
NY rejected 0.82230 and price slid back to the 0.8200 psych level, with the 20:30 UTC drop marking a session low at 0.81963 before a shallow bounce that stalled under the ema20 near 0.82060. Move sits between the 50% and 61.8% retracement of the 0.81834-0.82230 London-NY rally; CHF has now firmed a fourth session as USD/CHF slips under 0.8200, and the final bars are post-NY-close thin.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.8206, 0.82133, 0.8223
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes back under 0.81963 session low would extend the lower-high sequence toward the 0.81834 day low
Reclaim of the ema20 at 0.82060 and the 0.82133 swing pivot would negate the pullback read
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT and SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC can reset this intraday range
ATR(14) at ~4 pips — ranges are compressed into the Asia handover
21:31 UTC
Rangebound, rolling over from session highs · RSI 37 · price 0.81995
Lower highs since the NY high, holding above the session low.
Pair capped twice near 0.8223 — the 0.82246 London high and the 0.8223 NY high forming a double top — before fading through the NY afternoon to a 0.81963 session low, with CHF firm for a fourth day and USDCHF back under the 0.8200 handle. Price is now pinned around the 61.8% retracement of the 0.81834–0.8223 NY leg, below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 37; the final two bars are thin post-NY-close prints and carry little structural weight.
Support: 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.8206, 0.82133, 0.8223
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.82133 lower high negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.81963 session low exposes the 0.81834 24h low
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT, then SNB Thursday, are the events capable of resetting this intraday range
Lower highs off 0.8223 NY high, higher low base at 0.81963 above day low.
Rejection at the 0.8223 NY high mid-session sent price back under the 0.8200 psych level, with the 0.81963 NY low holding on the late-session dip and the 0.81834 day low untested since the London flush. Last two bars are near-zero volume end-of-day prints; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 38, CHF firmer for a fourth session.
Support: 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8206, 0.8223
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.82060 micro high would negate the lower-high sequence off the NY high
Loss of 0.81963 ny low puts the 0.81834 day low back in play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT and the SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC can reset this intraday range
Range between 0.81963 and 0.82230 after NY rejection, mid-range in early Asia.
NY hours topped out at 0.82230 and the pair faded back through 0.82133, printing a 0.81963 low before stabilising near 0.8205 into the Asia open — consistent with a fourth session of CHF firmness. Price sits just under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 40 and ATR(14) at roughly 5 pips; nothing structural in play while 0.81963–0.82133 holds.
Support: 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82133, 0.8223
What it said to watch
A 15m close above 0.82133 prior high puts the 0.82230 ny high back in range
Loss of the 0.81963 recent low re-opens the 0.81834 london low
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT can reset this intraday range
20:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend inside a day range · RSI 38 · price 0.82047
Lower highs since the NY-afternoon peak, price mid-range above the session low.
USDCHF was rejected at the 0.8223 day high in the first NY hours and has since stepped down through 0.82133, tagging a session low at 0.81963 before stabilising under the EMA20 near 0.8209 — consistent with a fourth straight session of firmer CHF. RSI(14) around 38 and ATR(14) at 4.5 pips; the pair sits roughly mid-way between the 0.81834 day low and 0.8223 day high with the London-NY rally about half retraced.
Support: 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.8209, 0.82133, 0.8223
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.82133 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.81963 session low exposes the 0.81834 day low
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and Wed US flash PMIs can reset this intraday read
20:31 UTC
Rangebound, momentum fading after double top · RSI 40 · price 0.82039
Two rejections at 0.8223/0.8225, lower highs into late NY, holding above the rising low chain.
USDCHF was capped twice at 0.8223/0.82246 — once in the London-NY overlap, again mid-NY — and has since bled back to 0.82039, parked on the 50% fib of the 0.81834–0.8223 leg and just under EMA20/EMA50. Late-NY trade is quiet (ATR ~6 pips, RSI 40) with the pair still inside the day's 0.81834–0.82246 range as CHF holds a fourth firmer session.
Support: 0.81963, 0.82032, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82133, 0.8223, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.81963 session low re-opens the 0.81834 day low
Reclaim of the 0.82133 swing high is needed before the 0.8223 double top is back in play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT and SNB Thu 07:30 GMT are the next drivers that could void this range read
20:17 UTC
Intraday range, lower highs late NY · RSI 44 · price 0.82037
Double top at 0.8223/0.8225 then rotation back to the middle of the day range.
The NY high at 0.82230 stalled almost exactly where the London-hour push topped (0.82246), and the rejection has dragged price back to the 50% retracement of the 0.81834–0.82230 leg, with RSI(14) at 44 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50. CHF has been the firmer side for a fourth session, and the late-NY dip to 0.81963 was bought back into 0.82037, leaving 0.8200 psych as the pivot into the close.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82133, 0.8223
What it said to watch
Close below 0.81963 ny low re-opens the 0.81834 day low
Reclaim of 0.82133 minor high would negate the late-NY lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.8200 psych level on the Asia handover would confirm the double top read
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the next scheduled risks for this pair
20:02 UTC
Rolling over from the NY high, momentum soft · RSI 38 · price 0.82037
Lower highs off 0.82230 after a full recovery of the London slide.
London hours sold USDCHF to 0.81834 before NY reclaimed the whole move and stalled twice at 0.82230, the pair rejected there and faded into late NY with a fresh session low at 0.81963. Price is back under the ema20 near 0.82120 with RSI(14) at 38 and ATR near 5 pips; this is a fourth day of CHF firmness with the pair pinned below 0.8200-0.8210 for much of the session.
Support: 0.81963, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.8212, 0.8223
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the ema20 at 0.82120 would negate the lower-high sequence off the session high
A close below the 0.81963 session low re-opens the 0.81834 london low
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT and the SNB decision Thu 07:30 GMT are the near-term event risks for this range
19:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend after NY rejection · RSI 34 · price 0.82053
Lower highs off 0.8223 inside the 24h 0.8183-0.8225 range.
The NY session failed a second time at the 0.8223 ny high, echoing the 0.82246 london high, and price has bled back to 0.82050 — the pullback low — with a chain of lower highs capped at 0.82133 and RSI(14) near 34. That fade retraces about half of the 0.81834 london low-to-0.8223 recovery, with CHF the firmer side for a fourth session.
Support: 0.8205, 0.8195, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82133, 0.8223, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82133 lower high would negate the late-NY fade
Failure to hold 0.82050 exposes the 0.81950 swing low, then the 0.81834 london low
Thin Asia liquidity ahead of Wed 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs; SNB decision Thursday is the larger CHF event risk
19:31 UTC
Recovery off day low, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 0.82109
Late-NY consolidation inside 0.8206-0.8223 after session-high rejection.
London hours flushed USDCHF to the day low at 0.81834 as CHF extended its fourth day of gains, and the NY session clawed it back to a session high of 0.8223 before rejection there set up a drift to 0.82063. Last four bars are compressed under a 0.82133 micro cap with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR near 5 pips — no directional structure into the close.
Support: 0.82063, 0.81955, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82133, 0.8223, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82133 micro cap re-opens the 0.8223 session high
Loss of 0.82063 ny low puts the 0.81955 swing pivot and 0.81834 day low back in play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC and SNB Thursday 07:30 UTC can reset this intraday range
19:16 UTC
NY uptrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 0.82119
Higher lows off session low, capped below 0.8223.
London's slide to the 0.81833 session low was fully retraced through NY, with the advance rejected at the 0.82230 session high before a slip to the 0.82063 pullback low. Late-NY hours are now flat around 0.8212 under EMA20, RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR(14) only ~4.5 pips — a compressed consolidation inside the NY range.
Support: 0.82063, 0.8200, 0.81833
Resistance: 0.8218, 0.8223
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.82180 minor pivot and a close above 0.82230 session high would restore the NY higher-low sequence
Loss of the 0.82063 pullback low exposes the 0.82000 round number
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC plus US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the near-term repricing risks for this range
V-shaped bounce off 0.8183, lower high after the 0.8223 rejection.
London poked above the Asia range to 0.8225 then failed, dumping to 0.81834 before NY hours retraced the whole leg into a 0.8223 rejection — consistent with the softer-dollar, CHF-recovery tone. Late NY is fading back to 0.8212 with price under EMA20, RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR only ~4.6 pips, so the 0.82064 ny swing low is the near pivot for the higher-low chain off the london low.
Support: 0.82064, 0.82002, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.8223, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8223 ny high re-opens the 0.8225 day high
Loss of 0.82064 breaks the higher-low sequence and puts the asia low at 0.82002 back in play
Thin late-NY / Asia liquidity ahead; SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the next scheduled risk for CHF
18:46 UTC
Intraday recovery off the low, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 0.82082
Higher lows from 0.81834, capped twice near 0.82230.
London's slide to 0.81834 was fully retraced through the NY session, but the 0.82230 session high rejected price and the late-NY fade has taken it back under the EMA20 with RSI(14) at ~43. CHF has firmed four sessions on the softer USD/oil mix, and price is now sitting on the rising support line off the day low at roughly 0.82085.
Support: 0.82064, 0.81955, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.8223, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.82064 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.81955 swing low
Reclaim of 0.82230 session high required to re-engage the day high at 0.82246
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC can reset this intraday read
Higher-low chain off London low, capped below 0.82230.
London's slide to the 0.81833 session low was fully retraced through NY, but the advance stalled twice at the 0.82230 ny high before a 16-pip fade back under the 0.82135 ema20. Price is now parked between the 38.2% and 50% fib of that NY leg with RSI(14) back near 46; the backdrop is a softer USD as risk-on flows support CHF.
Support: 0.82032, 0.8200, 0.81833
Resistance: 0.82135, 0.8223
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.82032 50% fib puts the 0.82000 round number back in play
Loss of 0.82000 breaks the NY higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.81833 session low
Reclaim of the 0.82135 ema20 would keep the 0.82230 ny high as the active cap
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the next scheduled risk capable of resetting this read
Higher-high/higher-low chain off 0.81833, now pulling back under EMA20.
USDCHF carved a V off the 0.81833 london low during London hours and ground back up through NY in a higher-high/higher-low chain to 0.8223, the session high, where it was rejected. Late-NY fade has price back under EMA20 at 0.82117 with RSI(14) around 52; 0.82072 swing low is the first structural marker, with the softer dollar tone and CHF's fourth-session recovery still the backdrop.
Support: 0.82072, 0.81946, 0.81833
Resistance: 0.8223, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.82072 swing low breaks the NY higher-low chain and re-opens 0.81946 ny low
Acceptance above the 0.8223 session high puts the 0.82246 london high back in play
Loss of the 0.81833 london low invalidates the intraday recovery read
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts for this pair
18:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend off session low, momentum fading late NY · RSI 54 · price 0.82117
Higher-high/higher-low chain since the London low; first lower high in place below 0.82230.
London dumped the pair to 0.81833 before NY ground it back up in a rising channel to a 0.82230 ny high, in line with the fourth straight session of CHF recovery on a softer dollar. Last bars faded to 0.82117 with RSI(14) near 54 — a first lower high, with the higher-low chain still intact above the 0.82077 ny pivot.
Support: 0.82077, 0.8202, 0.81833
Resistance: 0.8223, 0.82246
What it said to watch
15m close below the 0.82077 ny pivot breaks the NY higher-low chain
Reclaim of the 0.82230 ny high needed to extend the recovery toward the 0.82246 spike high
Loss of 0.82020 swing low re-opens the 0.81833 session low
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC could reset this intraday structure
Higher lows off 0.8183, stalling under session high.
London hours drove USDCHF to 0.81834 before NY reclaimed the whole move, printing a chain of higher lows back through the 0.82084 pivot to a 0.8223 session high — recovery tied to the softer dollar tone on risk-on headlines. Price is now coiling in a 0.82146–0.8223 band in late NY with ATR(14) near 7 pips and RSI(14) at 64, off its intraday peak.
Support: 0.82146, 0.82084, 0.81927
Resistance: 0.8223, 0.82246
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8223 session high puts the 0.82246 prior high back in play
Loss of 0.82146 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.82084 pivot
A move back under 0.81927 ny low would negate the NY recovery entirely
Thin late-NY liquidity ahead of Wed US flash PMIs and Thu SNB can distort intraday range
17:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the London low, momentum flattening · RSI 65 · price 0.82182
Higher highs / higher lows through NY, capped under 0.8223-0.8225.
London morning knocked USDCHF down to 0.81834 as the franc extended its fourth-session recovery on a softer dollar, but NY hours retraced the entire leg in a clean HH/HL chain to 0.8223. Price is now consolidating just under that session high, with the 0.82246 prior high the last intraday cap; ATR(14) around 6 pips shows normalising ranges after the London spike.
Support: 0.82146, 0.82072, 0.81927
Resistance: 0.8223, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82246 prior high would extend the intraday uptrend beyond the London-NY range
Loss of 0.82146 swing low, then 0.82072 ny hl, would break the NY higher-low chain
Wed 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs and Thu 07:30 UTC SNB decision are the events capable of resetting this range
17:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the day low, momentum flattening · RSI 66 · price 0.82165
Higher lows since the London flush, capped under a matched high.
NY hours have ground USDCHF back up from the 0.81833 day low in a clean higher-low chain, but the 0.82230 session high stalled right under the 0.82246 London high — a matched top and the first 6-pip pullback of the leg. The recovery comes after CHF's four-session bounce off 16-month lows knocked the pair under 0.8200; RSI(14) near 66, ATR(14) about 6 pips.
Support: 0.8213, 0.8202, 0.81833
Resistance: 0.8223, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82246 invalidates the double-top read at the London high
Loss of the 0.82130 higher low breaks the NY higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.82020 swing low
Fed's Barkin speaking around the current bar; Wednesday's US flash PMIs are the next scheduled risk to this intraday structure
Higher highs and higher lows since the NY low, now stalling under the session high.
London dumped USDCHF to 0.81834 as the franc extended its fourth-session recovery on a softer dollar, then NY hours retraced the entire move in a clean HH/HL chain to 0.82230. Price has since rejected that session high and is drifting back to 0.82165 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-70s; ATR(14) at ~7 pips keeps ranges tight into the late NY session.
Support: 0.82124, 0.82011, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.8223, 0.82246
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.82124 swing low breaks the NY higher-low chain and re-opens 0.82011
M15 close above the 0.82230 session high puts the 0.82246 prior high back in play
Fed's Barkin speaking at 17:00 UTC is the only near-term event risk before Wednesday's US flash PMIs
SNB decision Thursday remains the dominant scheduled risk for this pair
Higher highs and higher lows since the 0.81836 session low, now at the top of the 24h range.
USDCHF was sold through the London-NY transition to a 0.81836 session low as the franc extended its fourth-session recovery on softer USD and lower crude, then ground back up in a clean higher-high/higher-low chain through the NY afternoon to 0.82230. Price has broken back above the 0.82130 micro pivot with RSI(14) near 69 and ATR(14) around 7 pips; the 0.82246 prior high is the last cap of the window.
Support: 0.8213, 0.8202, 0.81836
Resistance: 0.82246, 0.8230
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 0.82246 prior high would extend the intraday uptrend toward the 0.82300 round number
Loss of the 0.82130 micro pivot breaks the higher-low chain and puts 0.82020 swing low back in play
Fed's Barkin due shortly and Wednesday's US flash PMIs can reset this intraday structure; SNB decision Thursday is the larger event risk for CHF
16:31 UTC
Recovering, higher highs into NY · RSI 72 · price 0.8222
Double bottom at 0.8184, HH/HL chain since.
Mid-NY session: after the London-NY slide bottomed twice at 0.8184, price has ground back in a clean HH/HL chain and is now pressing the 0.82246 prior high with RSI(14) near 72. The recovery has fully retraced the earlier drop, undoing the CHF-led push below 0.8200; 0.8230 round number is the next reference above.
Support: 0.8213, 0.8196, 0.8184
Resistance: 0.82246, 0.8230
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 0.82246 prior high would cap the recovery and leave the NY range intact
A 15m close back below the 0.8213 micro pivot breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.8196 pullback low would re-expose the 0.8184 session low
Higher highs / higher lows off session low, full retrace of the NY slide.
The sharp NY-session slide into 0.81834 (session low) has been almost fully retraced, with a double bottom at 0.81834/0.81839 giving way to a chain of higher lows back to 0.82195 — CHF's four-session recovery on softer USD/oil has stalled here. The move cleared the 0.8213 micro pivot in the last hour of NY with RSI(14) near 70 and price above both EMAs; 0.82246 session high is the next reference, 0.8202 range mid the first shelf below.
Support: 0.8213, 0.8202, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82224, 0.82246
What it said to watch
Rejection at 0.82224–0.82246 session high would cap the recovery and leave the intraday range intact
A close back below the 0.8213 micro pivot breaks the higher-low chain
Loss of 0.8202 range mid re-opens the 0.81834 session low
Fed's Barkin in roughly 1h could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since NY low, retesting pre-drop supply.
USDCHF sold off through the NY open to a session low at 0.81834 as the franc extended its fourth-session recovery on softer USD and lower crude, then built a clean higher-high/higher-low chain back up through the 0.82133 shelf into the late NY hours. Price is now at 0.82195, retesting the supply that capped the earlier drop, with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme — and ATR(14) around 7 pips.
Support: 0.8207, 0.81955, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82246, 0.82133
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.8207 swing low breaks the higher-low chain built off the session low
0.82246 prior high is the nearest cap — area to monitor for rejection or a break
Fed's Barkin in roughly 1h can inject volatility into an already stretched intraday move
Higher lows since 10:30 UTC after false break above the Asian range high.
The London push above the Asian range high stalled at 0.82246 and reversed hard to 0.81834 as the franc extended its fourth-session recovery on softer USD and Hormuz-reopening headlines. NY hours have retraced roughly three-quarters of that slide via a clean chain of higher lows, price now 0.82138 with RSI(14) at 64 and ATR(14) near 7 pips.
Support: 0.82072, 0.81946, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82198, 0.82246
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.82198 swing high would put the 0.82246 session high back in play
Loss of the 0.82072 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 0.81946
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the only near-term event risk before Thursday's SNB decision
London hours sold the spike at the 0.82246 day high down to a double bottom at the 0.81833 session low, and price has ground back up in a higher-low chain through NY to retest 0.82133. RSI(14) at 61 with ATR near 7 pips — recovery is orderly, not impulsive, with the softer USD tone from the Hormuz-reopening headlines the backdrop to the earlier slide.
Support: 0.82011, 0.81927, 0.81833
Resistance: 0.82133, 0.82198, 0.82246
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.82133 recent high opens the 0.82198 swing high
Loss of the 0.82011 ny low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.81927 ny open low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the only near-term event risk; SNB decision Thursday is the larger repricing point for this pair
Higher lows since the London slide, capped under 0.8212.
London dumped USDCHF from 0.82246 to 0.81833 as the softer dollar tone and the franc's fourth-session recovery bit, and the 0.8183 area then held twice into midday. NY hours have ground price back into the 61.8% retracement around 0.8209, with the 0.82122 NY high the first cap and RSI(14) mid-50s — no extreme.
Support: 0.82011, 0.81955, 0.81833
Resistance: 0.82122, 0.82246
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 closes above the 0.82122 ny high would extend the retracement toward the 0.82246 london high
Loss of the 0.82011 pivot low, then 0.81955 ny open low, re-opens the 0.81833 session low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the only scheduled driver inside the next few bars and could reset the intraday range
Sell-off from 0.82246 based at 0.81833, higher lows since.
London rejected 0.82246 and dumped 41 pips into the 0.81833 session low, where a double bottom formed before a steady grind back through the 0.618 retracement — consistent with the fourth session of CHF recovery on softer USD/oil. Early NY has stalled at the 0.82122 ny high with RSI(14) near 57 and ATR at 7.6 pips.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81955, 0.81833
Resistance: 0.82122, 0.82198, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82122 ny high opens the path back toward the 0.82198 london high
Loss of the 0.81955 higher low and 0.82000 round number re-exposes the 0.81833 session low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the next scheduled driver within this session
Lower highs from 0.82246 into a 0.81834 double bottom, higher lows since.
London sold the 0.82246 spike hard into a 0.81834 double bottom, in line with the broader CHF recovery on a softer USD and lower oil; NY hours have ground price back up through the 0.82000 psych level to a 0.82069 NY high, roughly half the drop retraced. RSI(14) near 57 with ATR(14) about 7.5 pips — recovery is orderly, but the 0.82119 break level where the slide began is untested.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81927, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82069, 0.82119, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82119 would negate the lower-high sequence off the session high
Loss of 0.81927 swing low re-opens the 0.81834 session low
Fedspeak in the next hours (Barkin 17:00 UTC) and Thursday's SNB decision are the live risks to this read
Lower highs into 0.8183 base, now higher lows inside 0.8195-0.8203.
USDCHF dropped ~41 pips through the London session from the 0.82246 day high to a 0.81833 session low, with CHF bid for a fourth session on the softer USD and lower oil, then based twice at 0.8183. NY hours have clawed price back to the 0.82034 prior high, which sits on top of the EMA50 at 0.82025; RSI(14) back to a neutral 52 and ATR(14) around 7 pips.
Support: 0.81946, 0.81833
Resistance: 0.82034, 0.82119, 0.82246
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.82034 prior high clears the EMA50 and opens the 0.82119 swing high
Loss of the 0.81946 swing low re-exposes the 0.81833 session low
Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the near-term USD headline risk; SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC is the larger catalyst for this pair
Double-bottom base at 0.81834, higher lows into NY.
London swept 0.82246 then reversed hard, dumping 41 pips into a 0.81834 double bottom as the franc extended its fourth-session bounce on a softer dollar and lower oil. NY hours have ground price back onto EMA20 and EMA50 around 0.8198-0.8202, with the 0.82034 NY high capping so far and lows stepping up from 0.81834 to 0.81946.
Support: 0.8192, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82034, 0.82119, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82034 ny high opens the 0.82119 swing pivot
Loss of 0.8192 recent lows re-exposes the 0.81834 session low and invalidates the higher-low chain
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) can reprice this range inside the next few bars
SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC is the dominant scheduled risk for this pair
London morning sold the pair from 0.82246 to 0.81833 in under two hours, part of the fourth-session CHF bounce as the Dollar stalled below mid-100.00s; the last four hours are a flat base 0.8183–0.8203 with price back above a rising EMA20. Bounce high 0.82032 has capped twice and RSI(14) is neutral near 52 — no directional expansion since the drop.
Support: 0.81945, 0.81833, 0.8178
Resistance: 0.82032, 0.82119, 0.82246
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.82032 bounce high opens the prior shelf at 0.82119
Loss of the 0.81833 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
ATR(14) at ~7.5 pips: the base is compressing, so a break either side likely comes with an expansion bar
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next bars and can reprice the USD leg
Flat base under 0.8197 broken; rising lows into NY.
London hours dumped the pair from 0.82246 to a 0.81834 session low — consistent with the fourth straight session of CHF recovery on a softer USD — then price built a flat six-hour base between 0.81834 and 0.81969. The first hour of NY has reclaimed 0.8200 with a chain of rising lows, RSI(14) back to ~57 and ATR(14) at roughly 7 pips.
Support: 0.81969, 0.81904, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82246
What it said to watch
A close back below 0.81969 puts the 0.81834 session low base back in play
Acceptance above 0.82124 swing high would extend the retrace of the London downleg
Fed's Williams, Jefferson and Barkin speaking through the NY session can re-price this move
SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC is the dominant scheduled risk for the CHF leg
London break lower, now grinding higher lows into NY open.
London sold the 0.82246 high hard, breaking the 0.8200 shelf into a 0.81834 low as the softer USD / firmer CHF tone from the sub-0.8200 break persisted. Price has since built higher lows off 0.81834 and is pressing the 50% retrace at 0.8204 in the first hour of NY; RSI(14) back to 54, ATR(14) ~7.6 pips.
Support: 0.8192, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.8204, 0.8212, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8204 50% retrace opens the path back to the 0.8212 swing high
Loss of the 0.8192 range floor reopens the 0.81834 london low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC could reprice the USD leg within the next few bars
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC remains the dominant event risk for this pair
London hours broke the overnight 0.8200–0.8225 band, selling from 0.82246 down to a session low of 0.81834 as the franc extended its fourth-session recovery on a softer USD. Price has since coiled in a 0.81834–0.81968 range for the last three hours with RSI(14) near 39 and ATR(14) at roughly 8.5 pips; both EMA20 and EMA50 sit above spot.
Support: 0.81834, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.81968, 0.82035
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.81968 range top would put the broken low at 0.82035 back in play
Loss of 0.81834 session low exposes the 0.81800 psych area
NY open plus Fed speakers (Williams 14:05 UTC, Jefferson 14:20 UTC) fall in the next few bars and can break this consolidation
Lower highs and lower lows, now coiling above the session low.
London hours rejected the 0.82246 london high and the break under 0.8200 accelerated into 0.81834, the session low, with CHF firmer a fourth day as the post-Fed dollar rally stalls. Price has since coiled in a tight 0.8183–0.81968 range top, RSI(14) near 39 and price holding below EMA20 — no fresh directional move into the NY open.
Support: 0.8190, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.81968, 0.82037, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.81968 range top puts the 0.82037 breakdown level back in play
Failure to hold the 0.81900 psych area re-exposes the 0.81834 session low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC can reset this intraday read
Lower highs and lower lows since the London break; flat-based consolidation.
London hours broke the overnight balance decisively, dumping USDCHF from the 0.8225 day high to 0.8183 as the post-Fed dollar rally stalled for a fourth session against a firmer franc. Price has since gone flat between the session low and a 0.8196 micro top, with RSI(14) at 34 and ATR(14) near 8.5 pips ahead of the NY open.
Support: 0.8183, 0.8155
Resistance: 0.8196, 0.8204, 0.8225
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.8196 micro top and then the 0.8204 swing pivot would negate the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.8183 session low extends the London break and puts the 0.8155 range floor in focus
Fed speakers Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20 and Barkin 17:00 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reprice the dollar leg
Continued flat closes inside 0.8183-0.8196 keep the read as consolidation, not continuation
Lower highs and lower lows, now coiling above the session low.
A sharp London-session leg lower broke the 0.82037 prior swing and printed a session low at 0.81834, with the franc firm for a fourth day as the post-Fed dollar push stalls. The last six bars are compressing in a 0.81912-0.81968 band, RSI(14) near 34 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) ~9 pips.
Support: 0.81912, 0.81834
Resistance: 0.81968, 0.82037
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.81968 range high would break the current consolidation and put 0.82037 prior swing back in focus
Loss of the 0.81912 range low and then the 0.81834 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC into the NY session can re-price the dollar leg within the next few bars
SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC is the main scheduled risk to this intraday structure
11:46 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg cooling · RSI 30 · price 0.8193
Range break lower, lower highs into a basing shelf.
Asia held a tight 0.8205–0.8215 shelf before the London session rejected 0.82246 and knifed through the break level at 0.82037, printing 0.81834 — a clean range break lower consistent with the fourth straight day of dollar fade. Price is now basing between the session low and session high at 0.81956, RSI(14) ~30 and turning up from the extreme, ATR(14) 8.8 pips.
Support: 0.81834, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.81956, 0.82037, 0.82246
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.82037 break level would negate the range break read
Close below 0.81834 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.81800 round number
Failure at the 0.81956 session high keeps the lower-high sequence intact
US ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC land inside the next few bars
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the main scheduled risk to this intraday structure
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg cooling · RSI 31 · price 0.81915
Lower highs and lower lows after Asian-range breakdown.
London hours knifed through the 0.8200 handle and the entire Asian range, tagging a session low at 0.81833 with the dollar's post-Fed rally stalling; price is now pinned under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) near 31. The bounce off 0.81833 has stalled twice below 0.81956, leaving 0.82037 as the level that capped the reaction.
Support: 0.8190, 0.81833, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.82037, 0.82101, 0.82246
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.82037 break level would neutralise the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.81833 session low and the 0.8180 round number extends the leg
Reclaim and hold of the 0.8190 pivot needed to stabilise the intraday structure
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land around the NY open and could reshape this read
SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC is the week's main CHF risk event
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg extending · RSI 30 · price 0.81859
Lower highs, lower lows after false break of the Asian range high.
London opened with a push to the session high at 0.82246, immediately faded, then broke straight through the Asian low at 0.82002 — a clean false break followed by a 40-pip impulse to the session low at 0.81834. Price is basing in the low 0.8180s with RSI(14) near 30 and both EMAs overhead, extending a fourth session of dollar slippage against the franc as risk-on headlines cap USD.
Support: 0.81834, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.81956, 0.82002, 0.82246
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.81956 swing high would break the intraday lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 0.81834 session low exposes the 0.8180 round number and the 0.8155 area below
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land within the next few bars and could reshape this leg
SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC is the main scheduled CHF risk
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg extending · RSI 30 · price 0.81859
Lower highs and lower lows after Asian-range breakdown.
London rejected the 0.82246 session high and price sliced the flat 0.8200-0.8210 Asian range, extending the fourth-day franc bid flagged in the macro read. The breakdown through 0.82033 ran ~40 pips into the 0.81833 session low, with RSI(14) near 30 and price capped by the 0.81956 lower high; ATR(14) ~9 pips.
Support: 0.81833, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.81956, 0.82033, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.81956 lower high would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold the 0.81833 session low exposes the 0.81800 round number
Fed's Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC, plus ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC, can reset intraday direction
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg extending · RSI 32 · price 0.81911
Lower highs and lower lows; 0.8200 range floor broken, price basing above the session low.
London session sliced through the 0.8200 range floor that had held since the Asia hours, printing a session low at 0.81834 and extending the franc's fourth day of gains as the post-FOMC dollar bid stalled. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.81834–0.81956 band with RSI(14) near 31.6 and ATR(14) at ~8.6 pips; the descending chain of lower highs from 0.82246 remains intact.
Support: 0.81834, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82124, 0.82246
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.82000 (broken low) would invalidate the range break read
A close below 0.81834 session low exposes the 0.818 round number
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land in the NY session and could reprice the dollar leg
SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC is the main scheduled CHF risk
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg lower · RSI 37 · price 0.81933
Range break lower, lower highs and lower lows since the 0.82246 spike.
The 24h 0.8200–0.8225 range was broken to the downside in the London session after a rejection at 0.82246, with price now holding 0.8193 just off the 0.81834 session low. Consistent with a fourth straight session of USD softness as the post-FOMC dollar rally stalls; RSI(14) at 37 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50, ATR(14) ~9 pips.
Support: 0.81834, 0.8180, 0.8155
Resistance: 0.82035, 0.8210, 0.82246
What it said to watch
A reclaim of the broken low at 0.82035 would invalidate the range break read
Failure to hold 0.81834 session low opens the 0.8180 round number and the 0.8155 prior low
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and US PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Chain of lower highs / lower lows; Asian range low broken and not reclaimed.
London probed up to the session high at 0.82246 early, failed, then sold through the 0.82002 asian low in three consecutive bearish bars to a session low of 0.81836 — a clean range break with the dollar's post-FOMC bid still stalling. Price is consolidating at 0.81889 just above that low, RSI(14) near 31 and both EMA20 and EMA50 overhead; ATR(14) ~8.5 pips has doubled versus the Asian session.
Support: 0.81836, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82124, 0.82246
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above 0.82000 (asian low) would negate the range break read
Failure to hold 0.81836 session low exposes the 0.81800 round number
Bars stalling under the 0.82124 swing high keep the lower-high sequence intact
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC and US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts for this pair
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg lower · RSI 31 · price 0.81889
Range floor broken, lower highs and lower lows.
London session broke the 24-hour range floor: price sliced through 0.8190 and printed a session low at 0.81836 as the post-FOMC dollar bid kept stalling. Lower highs from the 0.82246 session high remain intact, with the 0.82000 round number now overhead and RSI(14) near 31; ATR(14) has expanded to ~8.6 pips.
Support: 0.81836, 0.8155
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82124, 0.82246
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above the 0.82000 round number would invalidate the downside range break
Failure to hold 0.81836 session low exposes the 0.8155 next support area
US ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC can reprice the dollar leg within the next few hours
SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC is the main scheduled CHF risk to this read
Sequence of lower highs; price pinned at the session low after a failed push higher.
London hours produced a push to 0.82246 that was immediately rejected, and the following two bars swept back through the prior lows to 0.81999 — a false break that left price back at the session low with RSI(14) near 39 and trade under both the EMA20 (~0.8209) and EMA50. The move fits the digest's fourth-session dollar fade into Thursday's SNB; ATR(14) is running ~7 pips per bar.
Support: 0.81999, 0.8190
Resistance: 0.8209, 0.82171, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8209 (ema20) would negate the lower-high sequence
Acceptance below the 0.81999 session low opens 0.8190, the cited support
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reset the intraday range
09:31 UTC
Choppy, no intraday trend · RSI 52 · price 0.82084
Range with failed London breakout; back inside prior balance.
The London leg pushed to 0.82246 before being rejected hard, cutting straight back through the day's balance to 0.81999 — a false break on both sides in under two hours. Price has settled at 0.82084, just under the EMA20 near 0.82105, with RSI(14) back at 52 and ATR(14) at ~7 pips.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8190
Resistance: 0.82105, 0.82246
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.82246 session high would invalidate the false break read
Failure to hold 0.82000 session low confirms a lower low with the 0.81900 round number next
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC fall inside the next few bars and could reset the intraday range
SNB decision Thu 07:30 UTC is the bigger CHF-side risk to this structure
Range with a failed London breakout; lower high back inside.
London morning stretched to the 0.82246 session high and gave the entire leg back within two bars, dipping through 0.8200 to the 0.82000 session low before stabilising at 0.8208 — a false break of the Asian range top, consistent with the profit-taking after last week's 0.8263 high. Price now sits under the ema20 near 0.82105 with RSI(14) back at neutral ~49 and ATR(14) around 6.5 pips.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8204
Resistance: 0.82105, 0.82198, 0.82246
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82198 swing high invalidates the false-break read; above 0.82246 session high reopens the range top
Acceptance below the 0.82000 session low, after losing the 0.82040 swing low, confirms a lower low toward the 0.8190 area
Fed speakers later today and the SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:03 UTC
Downtrend, corrective bounce sold · RSI 49 · price 0.82079
Lower highs into London, session low at 0.82000 defended.
London open pushed USDCHF from the 0.82000 session low up to a 0.82246 session high, then the move was fully retraced within two bars back to 0.82079 — a false break that leaves price under both EMA20 (0.82098) and EMA50. Fourth-day franc firmness as the post-Fed dollar rally stalls remains the backdrop; RSI(14) near 48.6 and ATR(14) at ~6 pips describe a 24-hour grind of lower highs rather than a trend leg.
Support: 0.8200, 0.82033
Resistance: 0.82098, 0.82198, 0.82246
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.82150 and a close above the 0.82198 prior high would invalidate the false-break read
Loss of the 0.82000 session low confirms a lower low and opens the 0.8190 area cited in the digest
ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams at 14:05 UTC land inside the next few bars and could reset the intraday range
08:46 UTC
24h drift lower, London reversing up · RSI 69 · price 0.82216
Double bottom off 0.82002, higher highs since London open.
Asia ground down to a session low of 0.82002 before London open flipped the intraday structure: an impulse to 0.82172, a shallow retest at 0.82017 forming a double bottom, then a higher session high at 0.82224. RSI(14) near 69 with ATR(14) at ~4.7 pips — momentum is hot but the pair is still inside the 0.8155-0.8255 band that has framed price since the post-Fed franc bid trimmed USD/CHF for a fourth day.
Support: 0.8217, 0.8211, 0.82017
Resistance: 0.82224, 0.82254, 0.82335
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.82254 pd pivot would extend the London recovery toward the 0.82335 pd high
Loss of 0.82170 prior high back under the ema20 neutralises the double bottom read
A close below the 0.82017 session low re-establishes the 24h downward drift
US ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC can reprice the dollar leg within the next few bars
08:31 UTC
Intraday recovery off the lows, momentum firming · RSI 62 · price 0.82181
Double bottom at 0.8200, higher low chain into London.
Price based twice around the 0.8200 round number in late Asia and again at the 0.82017 higher low, then London took it back through the mid-session high to a session high of 0.82198 — the first clean higher-low chain after a session of drift, with the dollar otherwise soft for a fourth day. RSI(14) at 62 is firm but not stretched; ATR(14) is a thin 4.6 pips, so the ranges are compressed.
Support: 0.82017, 0.82002, 0.81955
Resistance: 0.82198, 0.82254, 0.82352
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 0.82198 session high would put the 0.82254 prior high back in range
Loss of the 0.82017 higher low re-opens the 0.8200 round number and negates the double bottom read
US ADP 4-week average 12:15 GMT and Fed speakers from 14:05 GMT can reset intraday direction
SNB decision Thursday remains the dominant scheduled risk for this pair
Asia range broken to the upside, higher lows since the twin lows.
Price ground lower through Asia to twin lows at 0.82002/0.82017 before the London open cleared the asia high at 0.82115 in one 10-pip candle; the pullback held above that level and price is now pressing the session high at 0.82180 with RSI(14) at 63. The bounce is USD profit-taking after last week's 0.8263 peak rather than a fresh impulse — ATR(14) is only 4.3 pips, so ranges are tight.
Support: 0.82115, 0.8204, 0.82002
Resistance: 0.8218, 0.82254
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82180 session high opens the path to 0.82254 prior high
Loss of the 0.82115 asia high invalidates the range break and puts the 0.82040 london low back in play
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC are the main intraday USD risk; SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC is the CHF event
Overnight range low taken at 0.8200, higher low chain since.
Price drifted lower through the Asia session into the 0.8200 round number, then the European morning has retraced roughly half of the prior slide, with 0.82174 now pressing the session high at 0.82180. The earlier pop to 0.82172 was rejected and gave back the whole move before buyers stepped in again at the 0.82040 pivot low — twin highs near 0.8218 remain the immediate cap. Digest reads the move into 0.8200 as USD profit-taking rather than a CHF re-rating; RSI(14) at 66 is warm but not extended, ATR(14) ~4.5 pips.
Support: 0.8204, 0.82002
Resistance: 0.8218, 0.82254
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above the 0.82180 session high opens the path to the 0.82254 prior high
Loss of the 0.82040 pivot low re-exposes the 0.8200 round number and negates the bounce read
Fed speakers (Williams 14:05, Jefferson 14:20 GMT) and ADP 12:15 GMT can reprice USD intraday
SNB decision Thursday 07:30 UTC is the dominant CHF-side risk for this range
Series of lower highs into a 0.8200-0.8217 band after failed European-open pop.
USDCHF ground lower through the Asian session to a session low at 0.8200, then a sharp pop at the European open stalled at the 0.8217 session high and was fully retraced within four bars — consistent with the fourth straight session of USD profit-taking on risk-on headlines rather than a CHF re-rating. Price sits back under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 49 and ATR(14) around 3 pips; 0.8202 swing low is the nearest shelf, 0.8227 prior high caps the lower-high chain.
Support: 0.8202, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8217, 0.8227
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8217 session high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.8200 session low confirms intraday downtrend continuation
Fed speakers later today (Williams, Jefferson) and Thursday's SNB decision at 07:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since yesterday's London session; Asian range low at 0.82002 still intact.
Early European trade popped 17 pips off the asian low to a session high of 0.82172 and the move was fully faded within four bars, back under the fade mid at 0.82110 and into the pre-pop base around 0.82040 — a false break of the Asian range top. The slide fits the fourth straight session of USD/CHF losses as risk-on flows and softer Treasury yields cap the dollar; RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR(14) is a thin 3.4 pips.
Support: 0.8204, 0.82002
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.82172
What it said to watch
A 15-minute close back above 0.82172 invalidates the false-break read and re-opens the session high
Loss of the asian low at 0.82002 confirms a lower low and extends the downtrend
Sustained hold of the pre-pop base at 0.82040 keeps the 0.82002-0.82172 range in play
Fed speakers later today (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) and Thursday's SNB decision are the near-term risks to this structure
Asia base then London break higher, faded back into the middle.
Asia ground out a 0.82002-0.82055 base before the London open bar popped 10 pips to a 0.82172 london high, which was immediately rejected and price is back at 0.82083, mid-leg and pinned to EMA20. Context is the fourth day of USD/CHF slippage on softer dollar/risk-on flows; ATR(14) just 3.2 pips, so ranges are compressed.
Support: 0.82027, 0.82002, 0.8196
Resistance: 0.82172, 0.82273, 0.8238
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82172 london high would re-open the 0.82273 prior high
Loss of the 0.82027 asia base and then 0.82002 asia low confirms a fresh lower low
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 GMT is the next intraday catalyst; SNB Thursday is the larger CHF risk to this read
The fourth-day USD/CHF slide ran into the Asia session, printing a 0.82002 session low before a sharp London-open pop to the 0.82172 session high was rejected and almost fully retraced. Price now sits just above the 0.82040 range base with RSI(14) back to mid-50s and ATR(14) near 3.4 pips — ranges are tight, no clean structure in play.
Support: 0.8204, 0.82002
Resistance: 0.82172, 0.82215
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82172 session high invalidates the lower-high sequence; 0.82215 prior swing is the next reference above
Loss of 0.82002 session low extends the down leg and breaks the 0.82040 range base
US ADP 4-week average at 12:15 GMT today is the first scheduled catalyst inside this range
06:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, momentum turning up off the low · RSI 58 · price 0.82134
Lower highs / lower lows into 0.82002, first higher high in 24 bars on the early-Europe pop.
Price ground lower through the Asian session in a tight descending channel to a session low at 0.82002, extending the four-day USD/CHF slide, then broke the channel with a 9-pip impulse into early Europe to tag 0.82172 before closing back at 0.82134. RSI(14) has lifted to ~58 from the low-30s and price is back above EMA20 at 0.82055, but 0.82172 capped the first attempt.
Support: 0.82055, 0.82002, 0.82027
Resistance: 0.82172, 0.82214, 0.82273
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.82172 session high opens 0.82214 prior high
Loss of the 0.82055 ema20 and a return under 0.82002 session low re-establishes the lower-low chain
ATR near 3.4 pips means the London open can double typical bar range
ADP 4-week average at 12:15 GMT is the nearest USD event risk for this range
Chain of lower highs into 0.82002, first higher high on the European open.
A slow grind of lower highs through the NY and Asia hours bottomed at the session low 0.82002, USDCHF's fourth day lower as risk-on flows trimmed the dollar. The first European bar broke the asian high at 0.82111 with a 10-pip impulse — nearly 4x the 2.9-pip ATR — and price is now pinned just under the session high 0.82141, RSI(14) back to ~59 from mid-30s.
Support: 0.82111, 0.82033, 0.82002
Resistance: 0.82141, 0.82162, 0.82215
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.82111 asian high would frame the break as a false break
Rejection at the 0.82141 session high / 0.82162 prior high keeps the lower-high chain intact, with 0.82215 swing high capping above
Loss of the 0.82033 prior low re-opens the 0.82002 session low
SNB decision and press conference Thursday is the main scheduled CHF catalyst
Fourth straight leg of USD/CHF softening: the Asia session ground down to a 0.82002 session low before a shallow bounce into early European hours, with risk-on flows ahead of the Trump–Xi summit keeping the dollar offered. Lower highs from 0.82273 are intact, price is capped by the 0.82104 asia high and still under the ema50 near 0.82075, while RSI(14) near 47 and a 2.0-pip ATR show volatility compression rather than fresh direction.
Support: 0.82027, 0.82002
Resistance: 0.82075, 0.82104, 0.82162
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82104 asia high breaks the lower-high chain and puts the 0.82162 swing high back in view
Reclaim of the ema50 at 0.82075 would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Failure to hold the 0.82027 prior low and 0.82002 session low confirms another lower low
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT and SNB Thu 07:30 UTC are the events capable of ending this 2-pip ATR compression
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower on small ranges · RSI 46 · price 0.82049
Chain of lower highs, lower lows; Asia range holding near lows.
Fourth-day USD/CHF slide extended through the London-NY transition and Asia hours, with the Asia high at 0.8211 rejected twice before a marginal session low at 0.82002; price now 0.82049 into early European hours. Ranges are compressed — ATR(14) just 2.3 pips — and RSI(14) near 46 sits neutral despite the lower-high chain, consistent with a softer dollar on risk-on flows rather than fresh CHF strength.
Support: 0.82002, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.82162, 0.82254
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above the 0.8211 asia high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.82002 session low exposes the 0.8185 pivot
Acceptance back above 0.82162 prior high would negate the intraday downtrend read
SNB decision and press conference Thursday could materially reset this intraday structure
05:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into Asia · RSI 38 · price 0.82032
Chain of lower highs, tight Asian range above 0.8200.
Grinding lower through the Asia session in a very thin 0.82002–0.82104 range, extending the multi-session slide off 0.8263 as the dollar eased on trade-summit risk-on. Each attempt higher has been capped along a lower-high chain, most recently at the 0.82054 minor pivot, with RSI(14) near 38 and ATR(14) just 2.3 pips — no expansion yet.
Support: 0.82002
Resistance: 0.82054, 0.82104, 0.82162
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82104 asia high breaks the lower-high chain and negates the intraday downtrend read
Failure to hold the 0.82002 session low confirms a lower-low extension
London open flows and US flash PMIs later today (13:45 GMT) are the likely trigger for a break of this 10-pip range
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower on thin Asia flow · RSI 26 · price 0.8201
Chain of lower highs and lower lows; Asia range low giving way.
Price has ground down through the whole window, printing lower highs from 0.82162 into the 0.82105 asia high and now slipping through the 0.8200 round number, the low end of the overnight range — consistent with the fourth session of dollar softening on risk-on trade-summit headlines. RSI(14) at 26 with ATR only 2.6 pips: the move is persistent rather than impulsive, and the 0.82053 minor shelf now caps.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.82053, 0.82105, 0.82162
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.82053 minor shelf would break the lower-high chain that has held since London hours
Acceptance below the 0.8200 round number extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.8185 pivot
London open typically expands range from a 2.6-pip ATR base — current read is Asia-thin
SNB decision and press conference Thursday is the next scheduled CHF catalyst
Lower-high chain since Monday's London high, new low on the latest bar.
Monday's decline from 0.8239 has extended through a quiet Asia session, with price slipping under the 0.82111 asia high and the 0.82053 minor high to close at 0.82008 — a fourth straight day of USD/CHF softness as the dollar eased on trade-optimism risk-on flows. RSI(14) near 29 with ATR(14) just 2.4 pips: a low-volatility grind lower, not an impulse, and the lower-high chain is intact.
Support: 0.82002, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.82053, 0.82111, 0.82162
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.82111 asia high would break the lower-high chain; 0.82162 prior high is the next reference
Sustained trade below the 0.82002 session low exposes the 0.8185 pivot
Fed speakers Williams and Jefferson later today, with SNB Thursday, can reset this intraday read
Lower highs and lower lows, Asian range low broken.
Asia hours have ground USD/CHF through the 0.82107 Asian high-to-low range and down to a fresh session low at 0.82002, extending the softer-dollar drift flagged in the risk-on tape. Chain of lower highs intact with price under EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 30 and ATR(14) just 2.5 pips — slow, low-range selling rather than an impulse.
Support: 0.82002, 0.8185
Resistance: 0.8207, 0.82107, 0.82162
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.82002 and the 0.8200 handle would extend the lower-low sequence toward the 0.81850 pivot
A reclaim of 0.82070 minor high breaks the lower-high chain and puts the 0.82107 asian high back in focus
London open liquidity plus US ADP 4-week average and Fed speakers later today can widen the 2.5-pip ATR materially
SNB decision Thursday is the larger structural risk to this read
Chain of lower highs and lower lows; Asian range low broken.
USDCHF has slipped out of the 0.8205–0.8211 Asian range, printing a session low at 0.82026 with price under both EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) near 36 — a slow drip lower rather than an impulsive break, ATR only ~2.7 pips. The sequence of lower highs from 0.82162 through 0.82107 remains intact as the fourth straight day of profit-taking off last week's 0.8263 high extends.
Support: 0.82026, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82107, 0.82162
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.82026 exposes the 0.82000 round number as the next reference
A close back above the 0.82107 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Fed's Williams, Jefferson and Barkin later today plus Thursday's SNB decision are the catalysts that could reset this intraday read
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, grinding lower on low range · RSI 42 · price 0.82039
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, tight 8-pip band late Asia.
USDCHF has bled lower all window, extending the third-day pullback from the 0.8263 high, with the NY session rejecting 0.82104 and late Asia printing a fresh session low at 0.82026. Price sits under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) just 2.6 pips — a slow, low-volatility drift rather than an impulse.
Support: 0.82026, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82055, 0.82104, 0.82162
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 0.82104 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 0.82026 session low exposes the 0.82000 round number
SNB decision Thu 07:30 GMT and US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the catalysts that could override this intraday structure
Chain of lower highs and lower lows; late-Asia break of the 0.8205–0.8211 shelf.
Slow drip lower through the whole window: the 0.8238 London-hours high gave way and late-Asia trade broke the 0.8205–0.8211 shelf to print a session low at 0.82027, extending the third-day pullback from the 0.8263 peak. Price sits under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) only ~2.6 pips — directional but very low energy ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.82027, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82107, 0.82162
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.82107 asia high would break the lower-high chain and neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Acceptance below the 0.82000 psych level would confirm continuation of the lower-low sequence
London open liquidity can widen this 2-3 pip ATR regime quickly
SNB decision Thu 07:30 GMT is the dominant CHF catalyst and could reset this structure entirely
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, fresh 24h low.
USDCHF ground lower through the Asia session and printed a fresh 24h low at 0.82027 into the pre-London hour, extending the multi-session fade from the 0.8263 peak. Price sits under EMA20 (~0.82060) with RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) only 2.7 pips — a thin, drifting tape rather than an impulsive move, with each bounce capped below the Asia high at 0.82111.
Support: 0.82027, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8206, 0.82111, 0.82162
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.82000 round number would extend the lower-low sequence
A reclaim of the 0.82111 asia high breaks the lower-high chain and neutralises the downtrend read
Liquidity and ranges typically expand at the London open; SNB decision Thursday is the dominant CHF catalyst ahead
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, compressing near session low.
Steady intraday slide from 0.8239 through London and NY into a 0.8204–0.8210 coil in Asia hours, consistent with the third session of profit-taking off last week's 0.8263 high. Repeated rejection at the asia high near 0.82105 with price below EMA20 and EMA50; RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR only ~3 pips, so ranges are thin.
Support: 0.8204, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82105, 0.82162, 0.8223
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above the 0.82105 asia high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 0.8204 session low confirms another lower low toward the 0.8200 round number
SNB decision Thursday 07:30 GMT is the dominant CHF catalyst and can reset this intraday read
Grinding lower through the Asia session in a 0.8204-0.8211 band, price pinned under EMA20 and EMA50 as the third day of post-0.8263 profit-taking bleeds into intraday structure. Lower highs at 0.8216 then 0.8211 cap, while 0.8204 session low has held twice; ATR near 3 pips shows how thin the range is ahead of London.
Support: 0.8204, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.8216
What it said to watch
Sustained break of the 0.8204 session low extends the lower-high chain toward the 0.8200 round number
A close back above the 0.8211 asia high would neutralise the intraday downward drift
London open typically expands the 3-pip ATR and resolves this band
SNB decision Thu 07:30 GMT is the dominant CHF catalyst and could invalidate any intraday read
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, compressing into a tight Asia range.
Pair has ticked lower through the whole window — the NY high at 0.82184 gave way, and the Asia session is now pinned in a 0.8204–0.82107 band with price under EMA20 and EMA50, consistent with the third day of profit-taking off the 0.8263 spike. ATR(14) is just 2.6 pips and RSI(14) at 41 is flat, so the move is drift rather than impulse; buyers have defended 0.8204 twice in the last two hours.
Support: 0.8204, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82107, 0.82155, 0.82184
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82107 asia high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.8204 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.8200 round number
Thin Asia liquidity ahead of Wed's US S&P Global PMIs and Thursday's SNB decision can distort intraday range
Lower highs since the 0.8239 NY high; last 6h compressed into a 7-pip Asian range.
Third session of profit-taking off last week's 0.8263 spike has left price grinding lower under a chain of lower highs, with Asia holding a tight 0.82040–0.82111 range. Current bar sits in the lower half of that range, below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) around 42 — no directional expansion yet, ATR only ~3 pips.
Support: 0.8204, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82111, 0.82162
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82111 asia high would break the Asian range and put 0.82162 prior high back in play
Failure to hold 0.82040 asia low exposes the 0.8200 psych level
SNB decision Thu 07:30 GMT and Wed's US PMIs are the dominant catalysts; range reads carry little weight through them
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, marginal new low into Asia.
Third session of drift lower, consistent with profit-taking after last week's 0.8263 spike; NY hours capped at 0.82162 swing high and the rollover gap down opened Asia below it. Price has just printed a marginal lower low at 0.8204 with RSI(14) near 38 and ATR only ~2.6 pips — thin, mechanical selling rather than an impulse.
Support: 0.8204, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82107, 0.82162
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82107 asia high breaks the intraday lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.8204 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.8200 round number
Reclaim of 0.82162 swing high would neutralise the downtrend read
SNB decision Thu 07:30 GMT remains the dominant CHF catalyst; US PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT can reshape this range first
Lower highs into a tight Asian range above a triple-touch floor.
Price has ground lower from 0.82389 through the London-NY hours and is now coiled in a 0.82053-0.82120 Asian range, consistent with the profit-taking off last week's 0.8263 high described in the CHF digest. Buyers have defended 0.82053 three times while EMA20 (0.82085) and EMA50 (0.82100) cap upside; RSI(14) near 48 and ATR at 2.6 pips confirm no directional expansion in play.
Support: 0.82053, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8212, 0.82162, 0.82273
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82120 asia high would break the current range read and put 0.82162 swing high back in scope
Loss of the 0.82053 triple low opens the 0.82000 round number and invalidates the base
ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) later today can break this Asian range
Third-session profit-taking off the 0.8263 high has flattened out: price has spent the last eight hours pinned between the 0.82053 double low and a 0.82120 range top, with lower highs from 0.82162 through the NY close. ATR(14) is just ~2 pips and RSI(14) is neutral near 50 — no structural break in the Asia session so far, price sitting right on EMA50.
Support: 0.82053, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8212, 0.82162
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82120 range top would re-open 0.82162 swing high
Loss of the 0.82053 double low confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed speakers later today are the first liquidity events for this range
SNB decision Thu 07:30 GMT is the dominant CHF catalyst beyond this session
Lower highs from 0.82389, Asia range 0.82053-0.82116.
Price rolled over from 0.82389 through London and NY hours, printing lower highs into a 0.82053 base, and Asia has since compressed into a 6-pip band with ATR(14) down to ~2.3 pips. RSI(14) near 48 is neutral; the 0.82225-0.82265 consolidation band flagged in the CHF read sits well above, so this is drift within the post-profit-taking pullback rather than fresh direction.
Support: 0.82053, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82116, 0.82162, 0.82225
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.82116 asia high opens the path back to the 0.82162 ny swing high
Loss of the 0.82053 asia low confirms continuation of the lower-high chain toward 0.82000
Sustained hold inside the current band keeps the range read intact until Tokyo-London transition volume arrives
US ADP 4-week average and Fed speakers later today are the next scheduled catalysts; SNB Thursday is the dominant CHF event risk
01:46 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.82101
Tight Asia range after Monday's slide.
Monday's grind lower from 0.82389 stalled into the Asia session, with price compressed between the 0.82053 session low and the 0.82162 range top — the third day of pullback from the 0.8263 high on post-FOMC profit-taking. Current bar sits mid-range just above EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 53 and ATR(14) down to ~2.8 pips; no structure in play.
Support: 0.82053, 0.82085
Resistance: 0.82162, 0.82229
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.82053 session low confirms a lower low and reopens the 0.8200 area
Close above the 0.82162 range top would end the range read and put the 0.82229 ny swing hi back in focus
Loss of EMA20 on a closing basis returns the intraday drift lower
US ADP 4-week average and Fed speakers later Tuesday are the first scheduled risk to this compression
Monday's London-NY sessions ground the pair down from 0.8238 to the 0.8206 area — a third day of profit-taking off the 0.8263 high — and Asia has simply compressed at the lows, holding a 0.82053-0.82111 band on ATR of roughly 2 pips. Price is pressing the asia low again with RSI(14) near 42 and both EMA20 and EMA50 overhead; no expansion yet.
Support: 0.82053, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82111, 0.82162
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below the 0.82053 asia low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.82000 round number
Reclaim of the 0.82111 asia high would break the lower-highs sequence off Monday's decline
Liquidity is thin until London; US ADP and Fed speakers later in the session are the first catalysts capable of breaking this range
Grinding lower through the Asia session after the NY leg down from 0.82389 stalled, with profit-taking off last week's 0.8263 high still the dominant flow; price is pinned at the session low 0.82053 and capped by the ema20 near 0.82085. ATR(14) is just ~2.8 pips and RSI(14) sits mid-40s — no expansion, sequence of lower highs intact below the asian high at 0.82111.
Support: 0.82053, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82085, 0.82111, 0.82162
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 0.82053 session low exposes the 0.82000 round number
M15 close back above the 0.82111 asian high breaks the lower-high chain; 0.82162 ny high is the next reference
ADP 4-week average Tue 12:15 UTC and Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) could break this Asian range
Lower highs into a tight 0.8205-0.8216 band; session low twice defended.
Monday's London-session slide off 0.8238 — the third day of profit-taking from the 0.8263 high — bottomed at 0.82053, and price has since compressed into a 0.8205-0.8216 band through NY and Asia. The session low has been tapped twice without follow-through, while the 0.82160 ny range top has capped every bounce; RSI(14) near 46 and ATR at roughly 2 pips show volatility drained to nothing in early Asia.
Support: 0.82053, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8216, 0.82273
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82160 ny range top would break the lower-high sequence and re-open 0.82273 ny high
Failure to hold the 0.82053 session low confirms range break toward the 0.8200 round number
Liquidity thin until London open; US PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst for this read
NY session faded the 0.82273 high and price has since coiled between the 0.82053 session low and the 0.82120 range top, with the 0.82162 swing high unchallenged for ten hours. Momentum is neutral (RSI 43) and ATR has compressed to ~2.6 pips in thin early-Asia liquidity; profit-taking off last week's 0.8263 high remains the backdrop.
Support: 0.82053, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8212, 0.82162, 0.82273
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.82162 swing high would end the range read
Loss of the 0.82053 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.82000 round number
London open typically expands this compressed range; direction of the first break defines the session
Lower highs since London, now coiled in a tight Asian range.
Monday's NY session sold the 0.82273 bounce back to a 0.82053 session low into rollover — profit-taking off last week's 0.8263 extreme, per the broader dollar consolidation. Early Asia is compressed into a 6-pip band around 0.82089, price pinned under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR(14) just 2.2 pips.
Support: 0.82053, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82111, 0.82162
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.82111 asia high would end the lower-high sequence and put 0.82162 swing high back in play
Loss of the 0.82053 session low exposes the 0.82000 round number
Asian liquidity is thin; ranges this tight often expand on the London open
Lower highs into a tight Asia consolidation above 0.82053.
The late-London/NY slide from 0.82389 — profit-taking on last week's post-FOMC USD push — bottomed at 0.82053 and Asia has coiled into a ~6-pip band with ATR(14) down to 2.4 pips and RSI(14) near 43. Price is pinned marginally below EMA20 and EMA50, with the asia high at 0.82111 capping every attempt higher.
Support: 0.82053, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82111, 0.82162, 0.82273
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82162 swing high would break the lower-high chain running from 0.82389, with 0.82273 prior high next
Loss of the 0.82053 session low exposes the 0.8200 psych level
Range this tight means the first liquid London bars, not Asia, define the next leg