USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 22 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding near day lows · RSI 35 · price 0.81994
Lower highs since 0.8243 day high, compressing above london low.
London open swept to the 0.8192 london low and held it twice before a rally to the 0.8243 day high early in NY. The rest of NY then faded on a CHF haven bid and DXY rejection near 102.00, with a lower swing high at 0.8212 under a descending trendline. Price is back near the 0.8196 session low in thin early Asia trade, with RSI(14) near 35 and no oversold extreme.
Support: 0.81959, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 london low prints a fresh lower-low beneath the double-tested base
Close above the 0.8212 swing high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high sequence
A retrace into the 38.2–50% fib zone of the NY fade (0.8214–0.8220) is where supply capped price earlier
Fri 13:45 UTC S&P PMIs (Services f/c 57.9) and 14:00 UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.8243 NY open high; price back near the London low.
The London-to-NY open rally to the 0.8243 NY open high has fully faded as DXY stalled near 102.00 and the CHF haven bid held. NY hours and the rollover printed a steady lower-high chain, with the latest lower highs near 0.8210. Early Asia now presses the 0.8196 late NY low, just above the 0.8192 London low, with RSI at 39 and ATR around 4.6 pips in thin trade.
Support: 0.81959, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8192 London low extends the lower-low sequence to fresh session lows
M15 close above the 0.8210 lower highs breaks the descending trendline and neutralises the NY fade read
Reclaim of the 0.8220 swing high would mark the first higher high since the NY open
Fri 13:45/14:00 UTC US PMIs and UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs off NY peak · RSI 41 · price 0.82001
Lower highs from 0.8243, price back at Asia low area.
The London-NY rally off the 0.8192 Asia low stalled at the 0.8243 session high as DXY failed near 102.00. NY then gave back the entire move through a chain of lower highs, and price is now pressing the 0.8196 late low just above the Asia low in thin post-close trade, RSI(14) ~41.
Support: 0.81959, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82099, 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 Asia low extends the lower-low sequence to fresh three-week lows
Reclaim of the 0.8210 late high breaks the lower-highs trendline; 0.8220 lower high is the next cap
Fri 13:45 UTC US PMIs and 14:00 UTC UoM could materially shift this read
Haven CHF headlines (Middle East, bond stress) can override thin Asian-session ranges
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, NY fade back to day low · RSI 34 · price 0.82001
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.8243 session high.
London built a double base at the 0.8192 day low and rallied to a 0.8243 session high. NY then faded the whole move in a lower-high sequence as CHF haven demand held. Price at 0.8200 is retesting the 0.8196 late low and the day low, which sits near the 50-day SMA flagged in the digest. RSI(14) is around 34 and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.8196, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8210, 0.8220, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 day low extends the lower-low chain; the digest flags 0.8134 beyond
Close above the 0.8210 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and stalls the fade; the 0.8220 fib 50% is next
Thin liquidity at the Asia open around rollover can exaggerate moves near the late low
Friday 13:45 UTC US PMIs are the next scheduled catalyst for this read
22:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend from NY open high, momentum flat · RSI 42 · price 0.82026
Lower highs since 13:30 UTC, retesting the London double-bottom zone.
The London double bottom at 0.8192 (london low) fed a rebound that capped at the 0.8243 ny open high. A chain of lower highs since then has unwound about 78.6% of that leg as the CHF haven bid persisted. Price is drifting just above the 0.8199 rollover low in thin post-NY trade, with RSI(14) near 42 and ATR(14) around 4.4 pips.
Support: 0.81985, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82433
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8199 rollover low puts the 0.8192 london low and the double-bottom read under test
An M15 close above the 0.8212 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline
Reclaiming the 0.8243 ny open high would negate the afternoon downtrend
US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC and UoM 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, flattening into early Asia · RSI 34 · price 0.82042
Lower highs from 0.8243 NY high; basing just above 0.8199–0.8203.
Price has given back most of the London rally from the 0.8192 day low to the 0.8243 NY high, near the 78.6% fib, stepping down on lower highs at 0.8220 swing high and 0.8212 through NY hours as the haven CHF bid held. Early Asia is compressing just above the 0.8203 NY low and 0.8199 rollover low, with RSI(14) near 34 and the descending trendline from the NY high pressed only in thin rollover trade.
Support: 0.82027, 0.81985, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8199 rollover low exposes the 0.8192 day low, where the London double bottom formed
M15 close above the 0.8212 lower high clears the descending trendline and opens the 0.8220 swing high
Recovery back above 0.8243 NY high would negate the intraday lower-high sequence
No scheduled data in the next 8h; Middle East headlines and US yields drive the haven flow into Fri 13:45 UTC US PMIs
22:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, flattening in late NY · RSI 46 · price 0.82037
Lower highs from 0.8243 NY high, consolidating 0.8199–0.8212.
The rebound from the 0.8192 day low (London open) ran into rejection at the 0.8243 NY high, helped early by the firm jobless-claims print. It then bled lower through NY on lower highs as the CHF haven bid returned. Price is now back near 0.8204, close to the 78.6% retrace, in thin consolidation above the 0.8199 late NY low.
Support: 0.81985, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82433
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8199 late NY low exposes the 0.8192 day low and extends the lower-high sequence
An M15 close above the 0.8212 lower high (near the 61.8% retrace) breaks the NY fade structure
Thin rollover and Asia session liquidity can produce outsized wicks; ATR is running near 4–5 pips
Fri 13:45 UTC US PMIs are the next scheduled catalyst that could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Downtrend from NY high, stalling above 0.8200 · RSI 44 · price 0.82037
Lower highs and lower lows since 13:30 UTC, flattening into early Asia.
The London-NY rally off the 0.8192 day low (double low at London open) peaked at the 0.8243 session high after the firm claims print. NY then faded it in a lower-high chain into 0.8204, roughly a 76% retrace, with CHF haven demand still in play. Early Asia is compressing just above the 0.8199 rollover low, with the 0.8212 lower high capping and ATR down to ~4.6 pips.
Support: 0.81985, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82433
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8199 rollover low puts the 0.8192 day low back in play; a close below it extends the lower-low sequence
M15 close above the 0.8212 lower high breaks the NY downtrend structure toward the 0.8243 session high
Fri 13:45 UTC US PMIs and 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, intraday lower highs since NY open · RSI 41 · price 0.82044
Lower highs from 0.8243 session high; late low 0.8199 above 0.8192 london low.
USD/CHF has given back roughly three-quarters of the London-NY rally from the 0.8192 london low, a twin base near the 50-day SMA cited in the digest, to the 0.8243 session high. NY printed lower highs under a descending line, with the 0.8212 swing high capping and a late low at 0.8199 after NY close as the CHF haven bid persisted. Price sits at 0.8204 with RSI(14) near 41 and no extreme.
Support: 0.81985, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.82433
What it said to watch
A break below the 0.8199 late low exposes the 0.8192 london low and the 0.8193 50-day SMA flagged in the digest
An M15 close below 0.8192 breaks the double bottom and confirms a lower low
A close above the 0.8212 swing high and the descending line shifts the read back to range
The 0.8243 session high caps the London-NY rally; only a reclaim of it negates the lower-high sequence
Friday US PMIs (13:45 UTC) and UoM (14:00 UTC) are outside the next few hours but could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Downtrend from NY-open high, testing the lows · RSI 29 · price 0.82013
Lower highs and lower lows since 0.8243, price back near the London double low.
The London rebound off the 0.8192 day low peaked at the 0.8243 NY high near the open and has since printed a steady chain of lower highs, as the haven CHF bid reasserted itself late in the NA session. Price now sits at 0.8201 just above the 0.8199 rollover low, with RSI(14) near 28 and thin liquidity after NY close.
Support: 0.81985, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.8221, 0.82433
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8199 rollover low and then the 0.8192 day low extends the lower-low sequence beyond London's double low
M15 close above the 0.8212 swing high breaks the lower-highs trendline; the fib 50% near 0.8221 is the next cap
Reclaim of the 0.8243 NY high would negate the session downtrend read
Asia session liquidity is thin; Middle East headlines and bond-market stress can move the CHF haven bid before Friday's US PMIs
21:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 34 · price 0.82025
NY rally fully faded; lower highs and lower lows into the post-NY session.
The NY rally off the 0.8192 double low reached the 0.8243 NY high after the firm 194K jobless-claims print. Rejection there led to a chain of lower highs, including the 0.8220 swing high and the 0.8212 lower high. Price has now retraced about 80% of the NY rally to sit near the 0.81985 session low, with RSI(14) near 34 and not yet stretched.
Support: 0.81985, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.82124, 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8212 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and neutralises the fade
Loss of the 0.8192 double low prints a fresh low for the window, where the digest flags the 50-day SMA near 0.8193
Thin post-NY liquidity into the Asia session can exaggerate a test of the 0.81985 session low
20:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, flattening into late NY · RSI 40 · price 0.82072
Lower highs from the 0.8243 session high, basing above 0.8203.
NY faded the London rally from the 0.8192 London low to the 0.8243 session high, printing lower highs into a late-day base just above the 0.8203 NY low as the Middle East haven bid kept CHF firm. The 20:00 UTC pop was rejected at the 61.8% fib near 0.8211, and price sits below both EMAs with ATR down to about 5 pips.
Support: 0.82027, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82112, 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8203 NY low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.8192 London low
Close above the 61.8% fib at 0.8211 and the 0.8220 swing high breaks the NY lower-high chain
Thin Asia session liquidity; Gulf escalation headlines can reprice the CHF haven bid quickly
Fri 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs are the next scheduled catalyst for this read
20:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, basing late NY · RSI 43 · price 0.82113
Lower highs from 0.8243 day high, flat base above 0.8203.
The London open low at 0.8192 gave way to a London-NY rally that hit rejection at the 0.8243 day high (13:30 UTC). NY then printed lower highs back to a 0.8203 NY low, with CHF haven demand on Middle East and bond-market stress behind the fade. Late NY is basing at 0.8203–0.8212 below EMA20, with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 0.82027, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8203 NY low exposes the 0.8192 London low
M15 close above the 0.8220 lower high, near the 38.2% of the NY decline fib, breaks the lower-high sequence
A reclaim of the 0.8243 day high negates the NY rejection
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Downtrend through NY, flattening late session · RSI 37 · price 0.82063
NY lower highs from 0.8243; tight base at 0.8203–0.8209 above the 0.8192 London low.
Asia sold off from 0.8246 and London printed twin lows at 0.8192 on the CHF haven bid. The rebound to the 0.8243 NY high has unwound about 70% via a chain of NY lower highs. Price is now basing just above the 0.8203 session low into the late NY session, with ATR compressed near 5 pips.
Support: 0.82027, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.8203 session low exposes the 0.8192 London low, which sits near the 0.8193 50-day SMA flagged in the digest
An M15 close above the 0.8220 lower high breaks the NY lower-high sequence and the trendline
Recovery above the 0.8211 61.8% of the London-NY rally fib would ease the downside read; 0.8243 NY high caps above
Middle East or bond-market headlines could jolt the CHF haven bid in thin post-NY trade
Lower highs off 0.8243, tight base at 0.8203-0.8209 after NY close.
The London-NY rally off the 0.8192 day low, set during the haven bid for CHF, topped at the 0.8243 session high early in NY. It has since retraced about 72% through a lower-high chain via 0.8220, and price is now flat on a 0.8203-0.8209 base after NY close with RSI(14) near 36. Price is pressing the descending lower-highs line just under the fib 61.8 at 0.8212.
Support: 0.8203, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82115, 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8203 base exposes the 0.8192 day low
Close above the fib 61.8 at 0.8212 and the 0.8220 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence
Gulf headlines or bond-market stress in Asia session could extend the CHF bid
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since NY open, basing at the session low.
Rejection at the 0.8243 NY high opened a lower-high sequence that has unwound about 72% of the London rally off the 0.8192 London low, with CHF haven demand and a softer USD driving the fade. Late in the NY session price is basing at the 0.8204 NY low, just above the 0.8200 round number, and ranges have compressed.
Support: 0.8204, 0.8200, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.8220, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8204 NY low exposes the 0.8200 round number and the 0.8192 London low
Reclaim of the 0.8211 61.8% fib and the 0.8220 lower high would break the NY lower-high sequence
US PMIs (13:45 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) on Friday could reset this structure
19:31 UTC
Downtrend through NY, losing pace near lows · RSI 29 · price 0.82061
Lower highs from 0.8243 NY high; pressing NY low.
The London rally off the 0.8192 day low was rejected at the 0.8243 NY high, set around the US jobless claims beat. NY then printed lower highs, the last at 0.8220, and has retraced ~72% of the London rally. Price is grinding along the 0.8204 NY low late in the NY session, with RSI(14) near 30 and the 0.8200 round number just below.
Support: 0.82039, 0.8200, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
A break below the 0.8204 NY low exposes the 0.8200 round number and the 0.8192 day low
A close above the 0.8220 lower high breaks the NY lower-high sequence
Thin Asia session next; the US PMIs and UoM inflation expectations on Fri from 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst
19:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend since NY high, momentum soft · RSI 30 · price 0.82048
Lower highs and lower lows since the 13:30 UTC peak; claims rally fully retraced.
The jobless claims beat (194K) lifted USD/CHF from the London open day low at 0.8192 to a NY high at 0.8243. That rally met rejection above the 0.8225–0.8230 neckline area. Late NY has since unwound most of the move in a lower-high chain under a descending trendline, with price pressing the ny low at 0.8204 and RSI(14) near 30.
Support: 0.8204, 0.8200, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
Hold below the round number at 0.8200 puts the day low at 0.8192 back in play
Recovery above the broken lows at 0.8211 (61.8% fib zone) and the descending trendline would stall the intraday downtrend
M15 close above the 0.8220 lower high invalidates the lower-high chain; 0.8243 ny high is the next cap
US PMIs and UoM inflation expectations Fri 13:45–14:00 UTC are the next scheduled risk to this read
19:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, oversold into late NY · RSI 30 · price 0.82048
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.8243 day high; price back near the session low.
The London rally off the 0.8192 day low stalled at the 0.8243 day high twice around the NY open. NY then printed a chain of lower highs, the last at 0.8220, retracing about 75% of that rally to the 0.8204 session low with RSI(14) near 30, in line with the haven CHF bid and softer USD in the digest.
Support: 0.8204, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8204 session low exposes the 0.8192 day low and one-month low area
Break of 0.8192 extends the lower-low chain beyond the rally fib origin
M15 close above the 0.8220 lower high breaks the NY lower-highs trendline and neutralises the downtrend read
Friday 13:45 UTC flash PMIs and 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Lower highs since NY open, price back at asian low.
London's false break of the Asian range found a double low at 0.8192 (london low), and the rally peaked at 0.8243 (ny high) into the NY open, just under the Asian high at 0.8247. Since then supply has capped each bounce, leaving a lower high at 0.8220. Price has retraced past the 61.8% fib of the rally and now sits on the asian low at 0.8205, with haven CHF demand amid the bond selloff and a softer USD behind the fade. RSI(14) is near 29 and ATR is about 6.6 pips into the quiet after-NY hours.
Support: 0.8205, 0.8200, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.8243
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8205 asian low and 0.8200 round number exposes the 0.8192 london low
Reclaim of the 0.8220 lower high neutralises the post-NY-open fade
Rejection or break at the 78.6% fib near 0.8203 sets the tone for the Asia session
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since NY peak · RSI 38 · price 0.82095
Lower highs from 0.8243, price pressing the Asian low area.
The NY-session rebound from the 0.8192 London low was rejected at the 0.8243 NY high, just under the Asian range top. Price has since printed a run of lower highs and now sits below the 61.8% fib of that rebound, nearing the 0.8205 Asian low late in NY hours, RSI(14) near 38. The softer USD and haven CHF demand fit the slide.
Support: 0.82047, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8205 asian low exposes the 0.8192 london low double-bottom area
Close back above the 0.8220 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence and neutralises the downtrend read
Fri 13:45 UTC flash US PMIs and 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
18:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through NY · RSI 33 · price 0.8212
London rally fully capped at 0.8243; NY lower-high chain into the 61.8% retrace.
NY reversed the London rally off the 0.8192 London low. Price was rejected at the 0.8243 session high and has printed NY lower highs since, sitting now at the 61.8% retrace with the 0.8210 NY lows tested three times late in the session. The move fits the CHF haven bid and soft USD flagged in the digest, with the dollar's rebound attempt fading into the close.
Support: 0.8210, 0.8205, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8210 NY lows exposes the 0.8205 Asian low, then the 0.8192 London low
Recapture of the 0.8220 lower high breaks the NY lower-high chain; 0.8243 session high caps above
Fri 13:45 UTC flash PMIs and 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
NY session faded the London rally off the 0.8243 NY high. Price is printing lower highs and sits on twin NY lows near 0.8210, the 61.8% retrace of the 0.8192–0.8243 leg, with CHF haven demand and a softer USD in the background.
Support: 0.8210, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8220, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8210 NY lows exposes the 0.8192 day low
Reclaim of the 0.8220 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and stalls the fade
Fri 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs could materially shift this read
17:46 UTC
Two-way intraday range, NY session fading off the high · RSI 44 · price 0.82186
Lower highs from 0.8243, higher low holding at 0.8210.
London opened with a push to a one-month low and a double bottom at the 0.8192 london low. The claims beat and the oil spike then lifted the pair to the 0.8243 session high, where it was rejected. NY has since printed lower highs and pulled back to the 50–61.8% retracement, with the 0.8210 ny low tested twice and holding late in the session.
Support: 0.8210, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8230, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8210 ny low reopens the 0.8192 london low and the one-month low area
Close above the 0.8230 swing high breaks the NY lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8243 session high back in play
Rejection near the 0.8230 swing high keeps the fade along the NY lower highs line intact
Fri flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Lower highs from NY high 0.8243; 61.8% fib holding near 0.8210.
London open swept to a day low of 0.81915 as CHF haven demand ran. The NY rally on the claims beat and oil-driven USD bid stalled at the 0.8243 NY high, just under the Asian high, and was rejected. Late-NY selling has made lower highs and is now testing the 61.8% fib at 0.8211, which has held twice, with price back below the 0.8229 neckline and both EMAs.
Support: 0.8211, 0.8200, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8229, 0.82433, 0.82465
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 61.8% fib at 0.8211 exposes the 0.8200 round number and the 0.81915 day low
Reclaim of the 0.8229 neckline breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.8243 NY high
Asian session opens with thin liquidity; Middle East and oil headlines can still jolt USD
Fri US flash PMIs and UoM inflation expectations are the next scheduled risk for this read
17:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the NY high · RSI 31 · price 0.82133
Lower highs and lower lows since 13:30 UTC, testing 61.8% of London rally.
The Asia selloff found a double bottom at the 0.8192 London low. The rebound to the 0.8243 NY high came on the jobless-claims beat, then met rejection. Since then a lower-highs sequence (0.8243, 0.8238, 0.8230 lower high) has erased roughly 60% of that move as haven CHF demand reasserts, with price now sitting on the 0.8211 swing low at the 61.8% fib.
Support: 0.8211, 0.8200, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8224, 0.8230, 0.8243
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8211 swing low exposes the 0.8200 psych level and the 0.8192 london low
Recovery above the 0.8224 prior low and the 0.8230 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline
Bond-market stress and yield headlines into Friday's 13:45 UTC PMIs could shift CHF haven demand
17:03 UTC
Intraday pullback inside a rebound, lower highs since NY open · RSI 35 · price 0.82178
Lower highs from 0.8243 NY high, holding near 50–61.8% retrace.
The London open extended the Asian-session slide to the 0.8192 london low before a claims-led rebound (194K vs 200K f/c) set the NY high at 0.8243. A rejection there started a sequence of lower highs that has retraced to the 50% level near 0.8218, with the 61.8% fib at 0.8211 tested after London close and RSI(14) near 35.
Support: 0.82106, 0.8200, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82296, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8230 lower high breaks the descending trendline and invalidates the pullback read
Failure to hold the 0.8211 61.8% fib exposes the 0.8200 round number, then the 0.8192 london low
A return toward the 0.8243 NY high would put the earlier rejection back in focus
US flash PMIs and UoM inflation expectations Fri 13:45–14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY high rejected, lower highs into the neckline of the London double bottom.
A London double bottom at the 0.8192 london low fed a rally to a 0.8243 NY high, helped by oil-driven USD demand and the claims beat. Since that high, a chain of lower highs has given back the move to the 0.8215 neckline, between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the rally, with RSI(14) near 33 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.8211, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8223, 0.8243
What it said to watch
Hold of the 61.8% fib at 0.8211 keeps the double bottom intact; a break exposes the 0.8192 london low
Close below the 0.8192 london low marks a fresh one-month low and fits the wider double-top break
M15 close back above the 0.8223 broken low and the lower-highs line negates the NY fade; 0.8243 ny high above
No scheduled data in the next 8h; oil and Middle East headlines are the swing driver until Friday's PMIs
16:31 UTC
Pullback after NY rally, lower highs forming · RSI 39 · price 0.8221
Lower-high chain off 0.8243 NY high, testing 50% fib of the London-NY rally.
The Asian slide ended in a double bottom near 0.8192 around London open. The NY session then rallied to the 0.8243 NY high as oil and a 194K claims beat lifted USD. Lower highs since that peak have dragged price back below the 0.8230 neckline. It now sits on the 0.8217–0.8218 zone, where the 50% fib meets the asian low.
Support: 0.8218, 0.8211, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8230, 0.8238, 0.8243
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.8218 asian low / 50% fib exposes the fib 61.8% at 0.8211, then the 0.8192 double bottom
A recovery above the 0.8238 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 0.8243 NY high back in play
Repeated failure at the 0.8230 neckline keeps the post-NY pullback structure intact
Oil and Middle East headlines are driving USD intraday; Friday's US PMIs and UoM inflation expectations are the next scheduled risk
16:16 UTC
Rebound from London low, fading in NY afternoon · RSI 42 · price 0.82256
Lower highs from 0.8243 NY high, pullback holding the 38.2% fib.
After a London double bottom at 0.8192, the London low, the USD rebound on oil and the jobless-claims beat lifted the pair to a 0.8243 NY high. It stalled under the Asian range top and has since printed a lower high at 0.8238. The after-London-close pullback is testing the fib 38.2 at 0.8224, back under the 0.8225–0.8230 neckline zone, with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 0.82235, 0.82174, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8230, 0.82378, 0.82433
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the fib 38.2 at 0.8224 exposes the fib 50 at 0.8217
M15 close back above the 0.8230 neckline and the 0.8238 lower high reopens the 0.8243 NY high
Loss of 0.8217 brings the 0.8192 London low back into view
Fri 13:45–14:00 UTC US PMIs and UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Intraday rebound stalling, lower highs since 14:00 UTC · RSI 45 · price 0.82283
Double bottom at 0.8192, rally to 0.8243, now pulling back to 38.2%.
London double-bottom lows at 0.8192 gave way to an NY rally after the claims beat. It capped at the 0.8243 session high, and lower highs have formed since. The pullback found demand at the 0.8224 swing low, the 38.2% retracement of the NY rally, which overlaps the 0.8225–0.8230 neckline zone. Price is now below EMA20, RSI(14) is near 45, and it is drifting after London close.
Support: 0.82235, 0.82188, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.82378, 0.82433
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8224 swing low exposes the 0.8219 Asian low and the 50% NY rally fib near 0.8217
Close above the 0.8238 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.8243 session high
Failure back toward the 0.8192 double-bottom lows would put the day's reversal structure in question
Fri 13:45 UTC US flash PMIs are the next scheduled catalyst for this read
15:46 UTC
Intraday recovery stalling, lower highs in NY · RSI 51 · price 0.82294
London double bottom at 0.8192, rally to 0.8243 now pulling back to the 38.2% fib.
London open swept the Asian low into 0.8192, and a double bottom there launched a 52-pip rebound. The claims beat extended it to a session high at 0.8243 in the first hour of NY. Since then NY has printed lower highs down to 0.8238, and the 0.8224 ny low sits on the 38.2% fib of the rally, with RSI(14) back to neutral near 51.
Support: 0.82235, 0.82174, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82378, 0.82433, 0.82465
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8224 ny low exposes the 50% fib at 0.8217 and reopens the 0.8225–0.8230 neckline zone flagged in CHF commentary
Close above the 0.8238 lower high breaks the NY descending trendline and puts the 0.8243 session high and 0.8247 asian high back in focus
Failure to hold the 0.8192 london low would cancel the double bottom read
No scheduled data in the next 8h; Friday's US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst
V-recovery from 0.8192 double bottom, now consolidating with lower highs under 0.8243.
London based twice at the 0.8192 day low, a double bottom after the Asia-session haven drop. The rally then extended through NY on the 194K claims beat to a 0.8243 session high, just shy of the 0.8246 asian high. Late in the London-NY overlap, price is consolidating under a line of lower highs, with the 0.8228 pullback low holding above the rally fib 38.2% at 0.8224.
Support: 0.82279, 0.82236, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82433, 0.82465, 0.82574
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8243 session high and 0.8246 asian high breaks the lower highs line and brings the 0.8257 prior high into play
Failure to hold the 0.8228 pullback low exposes the fib 38.2% at 0.8224, which overlaps the 0.8225–0.8230 neckline zone cited in the CHF digest
Loss of 0.8224 would put the 0.8192 day low and double bottom back in focus
No scheduled data in the next 8h. Bond-market and yield headlines remain the swing factor ahead of Friday's US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC
15:16 UTC
V-shaped recovery stalling below Asian high · RSI 55 · price 0.82314
Lower highs off 0.8243 NY high, pullback toward fib 38.2.
The Asian-session slide hit 0.8192, the London low, and held there twice, forming a double bottom. NY then retraced the whole drop as the dollar pared losses on the 194K claims beat, but the move stalled at the 0.8243 NY high, just under the 0.8246 Asian high. Lower highs since and a dip to the 0.8228 pullback low have RSI(14) cooling to ~55, with price sitting just above EMA20 late in NY hours.
Support: 0.8228, 0.8223, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.8246, 0.8257
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8223 fib 38.2 brings the 0.8217 50% level and the 0.8192 London low back into view
Close above the 0.8246 Asian high invalidates the rejection read and opens the 0.8257 prior high
Holding above the 0.8228 pullback low keeps price above the 0.8225–0.8230 neckline zone cited in the digest
Bond-selloff or oil headlines remain the main intraday driver of CHF haven flows after London close
Double bottom at 0.8192, NY consolidation 0.8231–0.8243.
After an Asia-to-London slide on haven CHF demand, the pair printed a double btm at the 0.8192 one-month low, and the rally gained pace after the 194K claims beat at 12:30 UTC. Mid-NY session, the ny high at 0.8243 has seen two rejections just under the Asian high, and price is holding a 12-pip box above the ny low at 0.8231, with RSI(14) cooling to about 60.
Support: 0.8231, 0.8217, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.8257
What it said to watch
M15 close above the ny high at 0.8243 opens the path to the prior high at 0.8257
Break below the ny low at 0.8231 puts the swing low and rally 50% retracement near 0.8217 in play
Loss of the 0.8192 double btm would resume the one-month-low leg
Friday's US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below Asian high · RSI 69 · price 0.82388
Higher lows from the 0.8192 London low; tight 0.8231–0.8243 box in NY.
USDCHF rallied about 52 pips off the 0.8192 London low and reclaimed the 0.8225–0.8230 neckline as the dollar bounced in NY on the jobless claims beat (194K) and firmer oil. Price is now boxed between the 0.8231 ny low and the 0.8243 session high, just under the 0.8247 asian high. The rising trendline from the 0.8194/0.8206 swing lows sits near 0.8230.
Support: 0.8231, 0.8227, 0.8206
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.8247, 0.8259
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8247 asian high opens the 0.8259 prior high
Loss of the 0.8231 ny low and the rising trendline puts the 0.8227 neckline back in play, with the 38.2% retracement at 0.8224
Break below the 0.8206 swing low unwinds the NY rebound
Oil or Middle East headlines could shift USD quickly during the remaining NY hours
Higher lows off 0.8192 double bottom, capped at 0.8243 session high.
The Asia-to-London selloff ended in a double bottom at 0.8192. The NY rally, helped by the 194K claims beat, then reclaimed 0.8230 but met rejection at 0.8243, the session high and old Asian range top. The last few bars have slipped under the rally trendline, with RSI(14) cooling to ~64 while price still holds the 0.8231 swing low.
Support: 0.8231, 0.8224, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.8259
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8231 swing low exposes the 38.2% fib at 0.8224, the double-top neckline zone
Close above the 0.8243 session high reopens the 0.8259 prior high
Loss of 0.8192 double btm would resume the one-month-low leg
No scheduled data in the next 8h; oil and US yield headlines are the main shift risk
14:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling at session high · RSI 66 · price 0.82363
Higher lows off 0.8192 double bottom; capped at 0.8243.
The Asia-London slide stopped at a 0.8192 double bottom (london low). The 12:30 UTC claims beat then extended the recovery back through the 0.8225–30 area along rising support. Early NY has printed two rejections at the 0.8243 session high, and RSI(14) is cooling from the mid-70s.
Support: 0.8231, 0.8217, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8243, 0.8259
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8243 session high exposes the 0.8259 prior high
Loss of the 0.8231 pullback low and rising support puts the 0.8217 swing low back in play
Break below the 0.8192 london low resumes the one-month-low extension
No US or Swiss data in the next 8h; yields and oil headlines are the swing factor
Double bottom at 0.8192 then higher lows; testing Asian range top.
The Asia session slid from the 0.8243–0.8246 range to a London double low at 0.8192, in line with the CHF haven bid. Higher lows from 0.8206 have since carried price back to retest the Asian top at 0.8246 during NY hours. RSI(14) is near 76 after the 50-pip rebound, and the 13:45 UTC pullback low at 0.8231 is holding the rally trendline.
Support: 0.8231, 0.8206, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82433, 0.82465, 0.82574
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8246 asian top reclaims the pre-drop range and opens the 0.8257 prior high
Loss of the 0.8231 pullback low breaks the rally trendline and exposes the 0.8217 50% fib and the 0.8206 higher low
Rejection at the session high that extends back through 0.8192 would void the double low and resume the CHF-led slide
Fri US Services/Mfg PMIs and UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend from London low, momentum warm · RSI 73 · price 0.82388
Double bottom at 0.8192, HH/HL chain back into Asian range.
USD/CHF carved a double bottom at 0.8192 through London after the haven-driven slide to one-month lows. It then rallied about 50 pips into early NY, extending after the jobless claims beat and reclaiming the 0.8230 neckline. Price is back inside the Asian range, pausing under the 0.8243 session high with RSI(14) near 73.
Support: 0.8230, 0.82166, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.82433, 0.82465, 0.82589
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 0.8243 session high and 0.8246 asian high keeps price capped inside the Asian range. An M15 close above opens the path to the 0.8259 prior high.
An M15 close back below the 0.8230 neckline and the rally trendline (~0.8223) undercuts the recovery. The 0.8217 swing low at the 50% fib is next.
Failure to hold the 0.8192 double bottom resumes the slide from the one-month lows.
No scheduled releases in the next 8h. US yields and the risk tone drive the tape until Friday's 13:45 UTC US PMIs.
13:31 UTC
Uptrend off session low, RSI hot but not extreme · RSI 69 · price 0.82385
Higher lows from 0.8192 double bottom, testing Asian range base.
A double bottom at the 0.8192 session low through London (07:00 and 08:45 UTC) gave way to a ~48-pip rally that sped up after the 194K jobless claims beat. Price is back above the 0.8230 neckline the digest flags. It has retraced past the 78.6% of the Asia-London decline and now presses the 0.8246 Asian high with RSI(14) near 69.
Support: 0.8230, 0.8217, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.82465, 0.8259
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 0.8246 Asian high keeps the move a retracement of the overnight slide; a close above it opens the 0.8259 prior high
M15 close back below the 0.8230 neckline exposes the 0.8217 pullback low
A break of the rally trendline ends the higher-low sequence; losing 0.8192 session low reinstates the downtrend
No scheduled USD/CHF data in the next 8h; US yields and bond-market stress remain the swing factor into NY afternoon
Double bottom at 0.8192, higher-low chain since London.
London broke below the Asian range, then failed there, forming a double bottom at the 0.8192 day low before a higher-low chain carried price back into the range. The initial jobless claims beat (194K vs 200K) extended the leg to a 0.8238 session high in the first hour of NY. Price is now holding just above the 0.8231 NY pullback low, with RSI(14) near 70.
Support: 0.8231, 0.82166, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82378, 0.82465, 0.82589
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8231 NY pullback low and the rally trendline would stall the higher-low chain, exposing the 0.8217 swing low near the 38.2% fib of the London-NY rally
Break above the 0.8238 session high brings the 0.8247 Asia high and the 0.8259 prior high into view
Loss of the 0.8217 swing low reopens the 0.8192 day low
No USD or CHF data in the next 8h; yield and oil/Gulf headlines are the intraday swing factor
Higher-low chain off 0.8192 double bottom, now at Asian range low from below.
The late-Asia break below the 0.8238–0.8246 Asian range bottomed in a double bottom at the 0.8192 session low around London open. London and the first hour of NY then built a higher-low chain, and the beat in US initial claims extended the push back to the Asian low at 0.8238, where the latest bars are stalling. RSI(14) is near 63 and cooling from the 12:45 UTC high, with the recovery trendline intact underneath.
Support: 0.82166, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82378, 0.82465, 0.82589
What it said to watch
M15 close above the asian low at 0.8238 puts the asian high 0.8246 and the prior high 0.8259 back in play
Rejection at 0.8238 followed by a break of the 0.8217 higher low and the recovery trendline undercuts the rebound
Failure to hold the 0.8192 session low reopens the one-month low area
Gulf/oil headlines and US yields remain the live USD drivers. Friday's US PMIs and UoM inflation expectations are the next scheduled risk
12:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the 0.8192 low, RSI near 70 · RSI 69 · price 0.82378
Double bottom at 0.8192, higher lows, broken high at 0.8230 reclaimed.
The Asia drop from the 0.8246 asian high ran into a 0.8192 double bottom at London open, extending the CHF safe-haven bid and soft-USD tone. The London-NY transition rally of about 45 pips, with the move quickening around the 12:30 UTC jobless claims slot, has printed a higher low at 0.8217. Price is now back above the 0.8230 broken high and has retraced more than 78.6% of the Asia drop, with RSI(14) near 69.
Support: 0.8230, 0.82166, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.82465, 0.82589
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.8230 broken high would turn the breakout into a false break.
A loss of the rally trendline and the 0.8217 higher low would undo the HH/HL chain.
A break of the 0.8246 asian high opens the prior ny high at 0.8259.
Moves in US 10y yields and bond-market stress drive CHF safe-haven flows and could shift this read.
Higher lows off the London double bottom, testing the session high.
The Asia and early-London slide to 0.8192 matched the CHF safe-haven bid and soft-USD tone in the digest. It formed a double bottom at the London lows, and the climb since has broken the 0.8215 neckline on a chain of higher lows. Price is now pressing the 0.8230 session high, just above the 61.8% retrace of the Asian slide, with RSI(14) around 73. That sits in the 0.8225/0.8230 area the CHF digest flags as the double-top confirmation zone.
Support: 0.8215, 0.8206, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8230, 0.8246
What it said to watch
Jobless claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) land on the current bar and could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.8230 session high opens the path to the 0.8246 Asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8215 neckline and rising trendline returns focus to the 0.8206 swing low and the 0.8192 double bottom
Higher lows off 0.8192 double bottom, first pullback from 0.8227.
USD/CHF fell from the 0.8246 Asian high as soft US housing data weighed on the dollar, then carved a double bottom at 0.8192 in London and climbed on higher lows to a 0.8227 session high. Price is pausing at the EMA50 with RSI(14) near 63, just under the 0.8230 swing high and capped below the 0.8225–0.8230 breakdown zone, while the 0.8217 higher low holds.
Support: 0.8217, 0.8206, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8227, 0.8230, 0.8246
What it said to watch
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.8230 swing high reclaims the breakdown zone and opens the 0.8246 Asian high
Break of the 0.8206 swing low and rising trendline returns focus to the 0.8192 double bottom
Hold of the 0.8213 recovery fib 38.2% keeps the higher-low sequence intact
12:02 UTC
Recovering from the London low, momentum stalling at the session high · RSI 64 · price 0.82215
Double bottom at 0.8192, higher low at 0.8194, now pressing the Asian swing high.
Asia sold off from the 0.8246 Asian top on soft-yield USD weakness, and London twice held a double btm at 0.8192 before a higher low at 0.8194. The rally has reclaimed the 0.8215 breakout pivot and the 0.8219 Asian low, but it stalled at a 0.8227 session high just under the 0.8230 asia swing.
Support: 0.82188, 0.82148, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82268, 0.82301, 0.82465
What it said to watch
Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K), early in NY, could decide whether the 0.8227 session high gives way
M15 close above the 0.8230 asia swing extends the recovery toward the 0.8246 Asian top
Loss of the 0.8219 Asian low and the 0.8215 breakout pivot breaks the rally trendline
A break back below the 0.8192 double btm reopens the London lows
11:46 UTC
Downtrend into London, sharp rebound since · RSI 68 · price 0.82252
Double bottom at 0.8192, higher lows into 0.8230.
The Asia session broke down from the 0.8240s, and London extended to a double bottom at 0.8192 on soft-USD drift. A higher-low rally has since reclaimed the asian low at 0.8219 and is testing the 0.8230 swing high, near the 61.8% fib of the drop, with RSI(14) at 68.
Support: 0.8219, 0.8206, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8230, 0.8247
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8230 swing high opens the asian high at 0.8247
Failure back below the 0.8219 asian low and the rally line near 0.8206 shifts focus to the 0.8192 double btm
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
Double bottom at 0.8192, higher lows into mid-London.
The USD-led slide from the 0.8246 Asian high broke the 0.8225 prior supp area and briefly cleared 0.8200, but London printed a double bottom at the 0.8192 london low twice and has since built higher lows at 0.8197 and the 0.8206 higher low. Mid-London price is retesting the 50% fib at 0.8219 just above the 0.8215 prior high, with EMA50 flat overhead and ATR around 7 pips.
Support: 0.8215, 0.8206, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8219, 0.8225, 0.8230
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.8225 prior supp opens the 0.8230 swing high and negates the breakdown
Loss of the 0.8206 higher low breaks the rebound sequence and puts the 0.8192 london low back in play
Rejection at the 50% fib near 0.8219 keeps the move a corrective bounce inside the selloff
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K), about an hour into NY hours, could materially shift this read
Asia session broke the 0.8225 support as the USD slid on soft US housing data. London then built a double bottom at 0.8192 and has lifted through the 0.8215 neckline into the 61.8% retrace, with price pressing the EMA50 near 0.8218 and rising lows intact.
Support: 0.8215, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8225, 0.82301
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8215 neckline turns the breakout into a false break
Former 0.8225 support (broken supp) is the first test; a close above it opens the 0.8230 swing high and the 0.8230-0.8192 fib top
Loss of the rising lows line, then 0.8192, resumes the lower-low sequence
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) lands during the London-NY transition and could reset this read
London range 0.8192–0.8215 after Asian range broke lower.
Asia held below the 0.8246 asian high and then broke lower in late Asia as the USD slide stretched into a third session. London open printed 0.8192, and the 08:45 retest held for a double bottom. The rebound since 09:30 has carved a higher low at 0.8204 but stalls at the 0.8215 london high, the 38.2% fib of the 0.8246–0.8192 drop, with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 0.8204, 0.8200, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8215, 0.8225, 0.8246
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8215 london high clears the 38.2% fib cap and opens 0.8225 broken supp (61.8% fib)
Loss of the 0.8204 higher low and the 0.8200 round number puts the 0.8192 london low double bottom back under test
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing in London · RSI 48 · price 0.82114
London range 0.8192–0.8215 with higher lows after Asian low broke.
The Asia-session slide on softer US yields broke the 0.8205 Asian low at London open, but a 0.8192 double low held and the 0.8197 higher low followed. Price is now back above the Asian low and pressing the 0.8215 session high, near the 38.2% retrace of the Asia-London leg. RSI(14) is neutral at about 48.
Support: 0.8205, 0.8197, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8215, 0.8225
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8215 session high clears the London range and exposes broken support at 0.8225 near the 50% retrace
A slip back below the 0.8205 Asian low, then the 0.8197 higher low, puts the 0.8192 double low back in play; a break there resumes the down leg
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) during the first hour of NY could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalling into a London base · RSI 47 · price 0.82073
Lower highs at 0.8215 and 0.8211 over three flat lows near 0.8192.
USD softness drove a break of 0.8225 support during the Asia session. The London open extended the drop to the london low at 0.8192, which held on three tests, while lower highs at the 0.8215 london high and the 0.8211 swing high capped rebounds. Price is now mid-London, sitting on the 0.8200 round number just under EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and the triple bottom unconfirmed.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82107, 0.82148, 0.8225
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8215 london high confirms the triple bottom and breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.8192 london low resumes the downtrend
0.8225 broken support is the first upside marker if the base completes
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K), early in NY hours, could materially shift this read
London range 0.8192–0.8215 after Asia-session breakdown.
An Asia-session selloff on broad USD softness broke 0.8225 and reached the 0.8192 London low at London open. London has since held a 0.8192–0.8215 range, and buyers stepped in at the London low twice, an unconfirmed double bottom. Price is now pressing ema20 near 0.8209, below the 0.8215 London high, with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8209, 0.8215, 0.8225
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8215 London high confirms the double bottom and brings the 38.2% fib near 0.8213–0.8219 and 0.8225 broken support into play
Failure at ema20 around 0.8209 keeps lower highs intact inside the range
Break of the 0.8192 London low, back through the 0.8200 round number, resumes the downtrend
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read in the first hour of NY
Lower highs from 0.8230; flat floor at 0.8192 through London.
Soft-USD selling took the pair from the 0.8246 Asian range high through the 0.8225 broken supp level, and London open extended the drop to the 0.8192 london low, which held on four tests and leaves a tentative double bottom. Price is rotating around the 0.8200 psych level, still capped by the descending line and the 0.8215 london high near the 23.6% retrace of the Asia-London drop.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.82148, 0.8225
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8215 london high confirms the double bottom and opens the 0.8225 broken supp level
Failure to hold the 0.8192 london low resumes the lower-low sequence
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read into NY open
Repeated closes back below 0.8200 psych keep price pinned to the floor under the descending line
Lower highs from Asia shelf; London range 0.8192–0.8215.
USD/CHF broke below the 0.8230 asia shelf during the Asia session, extending the slide on soft US housing data. The London open then swept to the 0.8192 london low. A retest of 0.8192 held, and price is now capped under the 0.8200 round number inside a 0.8192–0.8215 London range, with the 0.8246–0.8192 drop still unretraced and lower highs intact.
Support: 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8215, 0.8230
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8192 london low extends the lower-low sequence
M15 close above the 0.8215 london high breaks the lower-highs line and stalls the downtrend read
Reclaim of the 0.8230 asia shelf would retrace most of the 0.8246–0.8192 drop
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalling at London low · RSI 35 · price 0.82004
Lower highs from 0.8230; double low at 0.8192.
With the soft USD tone persisting, USD/CHF broke below the 0.8238–0.8247 Asian range late in Asia and London extended the drop, probing the London low at 0.8192 twice for a tentative double bottom. Bounces keep stalling under lower highs, with the London high at 0.8215 sitting at the 38.2% retrace of the overnight drop and the 0.8230 swing high above. Price is mid-London near 0.8200 with RSI(14) at 35.
Support: 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82148, 0.82301
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 london low voids the double-bottom read and extends the lower-low chain
Close above the 0.8215 london high breaks the lower-highs sequence and exposes the 0.8230 swing high
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read in the first hour of NY
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, pausing near lows · RSI 41 · price 0.82023
Lower highs below a falling trendline, twin lows at 0.8192.
Asia broke below its 0.8243–0.8246 range as the dollar slid with yields, and London open extended the drop to the 0.8192 london low. A second test there held, leaving price near the 0.8200 round number. The 0.8230 asia swing and the 0.8215 lower high sit on a falling trendline, with the bounce stalling near the 38.2% of the Asia-London fib.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82148, 0.82301
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8215 lower high and the falling trendline breaks the lower-high chain
Close below the 0.8192 london low extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.8189
Recovery above the 0.8230 asia swing would neutralise the session breakdown
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower-high sequence after Asian range break; two probes of 0.8192 during London.
USDCHF broke below the 0.8240–0.8246 Asian range at 02:15 UTC, extending the selloff to a 0.81915 session low in the first hour of London, as the dollar slid with yields to a 3-week DXY low. A bounce stalled at a 0.82148 lower high near the 38.2% retracement of the selloff, and a second probe at 0.8192 held, leaving price pinned at the 0.8200 round number with RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82148, 0.82301
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8192 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Close above the 0.8215 lower high and the falling trendline breaks the intraday down-structure; 0.8230 swing high is the next cap
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read during NY hours
Lower highs and lower lows, retesting 0.8200 after London-open low.
The Asia session drove USDCHF through the 0.8225 broken support as the dollar slid to a three-week low on soft US housing data. The London open dipped to the 0.81915 london low before a bounce stalled at the 0.82148 session high near the 61.8% fib. Price is back retesting the 0.8200 round number with RSI(14) at 36.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82148, 0.8225, 0.82301
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8200 round number and the 0.81915 london low extends the lower-low chain
Close above the 0.82148 session high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high sequence, exposing 0.8225 broken supp and the 0.82301 lower high
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
Lower highs since Asia; post-sweep consolidation 0.8192–0.8215.
USD/CHF broke the 0.8225 double-top level, now broken supp, during Asia as the USD slide on weaker yields extended. London open swept below 0.8200 to the 0.8192 london low before rebounding. The bounce stalled at 0.8215, the 38.2% fib, and price is rotating above the 0.8203 session low with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.8203, 0.8192
Resistance: 0.8215, 0.8225
What it said to watch
An M15 close above 0.8215 (38.2% fib) opens a retest of 0.8225 broken supp
Failure to hold the 0.8203 session low puts the 0.8192 london low back in play; a break there extends the lower-low chain
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lows; Asian range broken lower, bounce from 0.8192 London low.
USD/CHF broke the Asian range lower from 0.8240 as softer US yields weighed on the dollar. It sliced through 0.8225 prior support and printed a 0.8192 London low at the open before reclaiming the 0.8200 round number. The rebound is stalling at the 38.2% fib near 0.8215, with price pinned at EMA20 and RSI(14) at 41.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8215, 0.8225, 0.8230
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8200 round number exposes the 0.8192 London low and resumes the lower-low sequence
Acceptance above 0.8225 prior supp and the 0.8230 shelf high would neutralise the breakdown
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) around the NY open could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows; 0.8225 support lost in Asia.
USDCHF gave up the 0.8225 area during the Asia session as soft US data kept the dollar heavy, and extended to a 0.8192 session low at London open. The rebound through the 0.8200 round number stalled at a 0.8213 London high, between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the 0.8230–0.8192 leg and under the lower-highs line.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82126, 0.82188
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8200 round number puts the 0.8192 session low back in play; a break there extends the lower-low sequence
An M15 close above the 0.8213 London high and the lower-highs line would test the 0.8219 broken low, prior Asia support now overhead
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) during NY hours could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows; Asian range broken lower, early London.
Late Asia broke below the Asian low at 0.8219 and the 0.8225 support, with CHF firming on soft US data. The London open extended the move to a 0.81915 session low before a sharp bounce back above the 0.8200 round number, with lower highs still capping and RSI(14) recovering from the low 30s.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81915
Resistance: 0.82188, 0.82301
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8200 round number exposes the 0.81915 session low again
Recovery through the asian low at 0.8219 (50% fib) breaks the lower-highs chain toward the 0.8230 lower high
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read in NY hours
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, stretched after the London open extension · RSI 23 · price 0.81975
Lower highs and lower lows since 0.8230; Asian range broken to the downside.
An Asia-session slide broke the 0.8225 breakdown level, and the London open extended the drop from 0.8230 through the Asian low and the 0.8200 round number to a 0.81915 session low. RSI(14) near 23 is stretched as softer US yields keep the dollar heavy.
Support: 0.81915
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82047, 0.8225
What it said to watch
A recovery back above 0.8205 (asian low) puts the London-open break in question
Failure to hold the 0.81915 session low extends the lower-low chain
A reclaim of the 0.8225 breakdown level would neutralise the downtrend read
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, extended into London open · RSI 31 · price 0.82067
Lower highs and lower lows since the late-Asia break of the Asian range.
USD/CHF broke below the 0.8240–0.8246 Asian range in late Asia and cut through the 0.8225 area as the dollar stayed heavy on sliding US yields. It printed a lower high at 0.8230 and a bounce high at 0.8218 on the way to a 0.8205 session low, and London opens with price pinned there, RSI(14) near 31 and the 0.8200 round number just below.
Support: 0.82047, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82176, 0.82301
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8205 session low exposes the 0.8200 round number
Recovery above the 0.8218 bounce high and the lower-highs trendline signals the late-Asia leg stalling
Reclaiming the 0.8230 lower high (61.8% of the drop) invalidates the downtrend read
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 32 · price 0.82083
Asia consolidation broke lower pre-London; lower highs at 0.8230, 0.8218, 0.8214.
Selling from the 0.8246 Asia session high paused in a 0.8226–0.8230 box, then broke below the 0.8225 double-top neckline into the session low at 0.8205. The move extends the third-day slide driven by weak US housing data and softer yields. The 0.8218 bounce high sits under the falling Asia trendline, and RSI(14) at 32 is soft but not stretched.
Support: 0.82047, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82176, 0.8225, 0.82301
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8205 session low exposes the 0.8200 round number
A move back above the 0.8218 bounce high and the 0.8225 neckline undercuts the break
A reclaim of the 0.8230 range top, the 61.8% of the Asia fib, invalidates the downtrend read
London open in the next bar may test the overnight break
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
Asia session broke below yesterday's 0.8236–0.8259 range (yday low 0.8236), with lower highs at 0.8246 and the 0.8230 lower high feeding a fresh session low at 0.8205 as the softer USD tone extended the third-day slide. Price is bouncing toward 0.8213 ahead of London open, with the 0.8219 prior low overhead and the 0.8200 round number just below.
Support: 0.8205, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82188, 0.82301, 0.8236
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8230 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and the trendline
Acceptance below the 0.8205 session low exposes the 0.8200 round number
Rejection at the 0.8219 prior low keeps the Asia drop intact; 50% fib retrace sits near 0.8226
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower; LH/LL chain into London open.
Late Asia broke the 0.8240–0.8246 Asian range floor, extending the third-day slide on soft US housing data. Price is printing lower highs along the descending line, with the latest at 0.8230, and a fresh session low at 0.8210 just before London open. The 0.8219 prior low is capping the bounce, and RSI(14) at 31 is soft but not stretched.
Support: 0.82096, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82188, 0.82301
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8219 prior low and the descending line weakens the lower-low chain
Failure to hold the 0.8210 session low exposes the 0.8200 round number
Reclaim of the 0.8230 lower high (61.8% of the breakdown leg) neutralises the Asia breakdown
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, RSI near oversold · RSI 25 · price 0.82104
Asian range break lower, lower-high/lower-low chain.
Late in the Asia session, price broke below the 0.8238–0.8247 Asian range at 02:15 UTC and through the 0.8225 double-top support. It then put in a lower high at 0.8230 before printing a fresh session low at 0.8210 into London open. RSI(14) sits near 25, and the move tracks the softer USD after weak US housing data and stretched-long unwinding.
Support: 0.82101, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82188, 0.82301, 0.82375
What it said to watch
Holding below the 0.8219 broken low keeps the lower-high line intact; a reclaim of the 0.8230 lower high breaks the chain
0.8200 round number is the next level in play below the session low
A move back above the 0.8238 asian low would turn the range break into a false break
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) during NY hours could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower, bounce rejected at 38.2% retrace, lower high in place.
Asia session broke below the Asian range and the prev day low at 0.8236 from 05:15 broker time, extending the three-day slide on a softer USD. The bounce stalled at 0.8230, the bounce high and 38.2% retrace of the Asia selloff from the 0.8246 Asian high. Price is back at the 0.8219 session low ahead of London open, with RSI(14) near 28, low but not extreme.
Support: 0.82188, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82301, 0.82357, 0.82465
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.8219 session low exposes the 0.8200 round number.
A recovery above the 0.8230 bounce high breaks the lower-high trendline. The prev day low at 0.8236 sits next above.
A close back above 0.8225 would weaken the breakdown read, with the Asian high at 0.8246 capping a fuller recovery.
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read during NY hours.
Late Asia session broke the 0.8242–0.8246 Asian range and the prior low at 0.8236, printing an asian low at 0.8219 as soft US data kept the USD offered. The bounce stalled at 0.8230 (bounce high), near the 38.2% fib of the drop, and price is back pressing the 0.8225 area ahead of London open.
Support: 0.82188, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82301, 0.82357
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8230 bounce high breaks the descending line and the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.8219 asian low leaves the 0.8200 round number as the next reference
Reclaim of the 0.8236 prior low would put the Asian range break in question
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
Asia range break lower, lower highs intact, pause under 38.2% retrace.
Asia broke the 0.8240–0.8246 range and yesterday's 0.8236 prior low, dropping 27 pips to a 0.8219 session low. The move came as a soft USD and AI-risk jitters lifted the franc, and it briefly pierced the 0.8225 pivot. The bounce is stalling at the 38.2% fib near 0.8230 into the London open, with RSI(14) ~38 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.8225, 0.8219, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8230, 0.8236, 0.8246
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8225 pivot and the 0.8219 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.8200 round number
Close back above the 0.8236 prior low returns price to yesterday's range, with the 0.8246 asian high above
Repeated rejection at the 38.2% fib at 0.8230 keeps the bounce corrective
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower, low-range bounce testing 38.2% retrace.
Late in the Asia session, price broke the 0.8240–0.8246 range, below the 0.8246 asian high, and cut through yesterday's 0.8236 prior low, tagging an asian low at 0.8219 as the soft USD tone persisted. It has since bounced to the 0.8230 bounce high, the 38.2% retrace of the Asia drop, with RSI(14) near 35 and price below EMA20. The 0.8225 broken supp, the double-top neckline flagged in the digest, closed only marginally below, so the break is not yet clean.
Support: 0.8225, 0.8219, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8230, 0.8236, 0.8246
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8236 prior low (61.8% retrace) would neutralise the Asia break and expose the 0.8246 asian high
Loss of the rising bounce support and a close under the 0.8225 broken supp reopens the 0.8219 asian low, then the 0.8200 round number
London open in ~2h is the first test of whether the 0.8219–0.8246 Asia session range holds
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower, lower high capped at 38.2% retrace.
The Asia session broke out of its 0.8238–0.8247 range and through yesterday's 0.8236 prior low on a soft USD and AI-jitter haven bid for CHF. The move printed a 0.8219 session low with RSI(14) near 20. The rebound has stalled at the 38.2% fib near 0.8229, and price is holding just above the 0.8225 pivot into London open.
Support: 0.8225, 0.82188
Resistance: 0.82293, 0.82357, 0.82465
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8225 pivot puts the 0.8219 session low back in play
Recovery above 0.8236 prior low would turn the Asian breakdown into a false break, with the 0.8247 asian high above
Failure to clear the 38.2% fib at 0.8229 keeps the lower-high sequence intact
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower; bounce capped at 38.2% fib of the drop.
Late Asia broke the overnight range below the 0.8246 Asian high and cut through yesterday's 0.8236 prior low to a 0.8219 session low. RSI(14) briefly fell below 20, consistent with the soft-USD, firm-CHF digest tone. The rebound stalled at 0.8229, the 38.2% fib of the drop, and price is sitting on the 0.8225 break level below EMA20.
Support: 0.8225, 0.82188, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82293, 0.82357, 0.82465
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.8236 prior low, which sits at the 61.8% fib, would undercut the range-break read
Failure to hold the 0.8225 break level plus a print below the 0.8219 session low extends lower lows toward the 0.8200 round number
London open in ~3h tests the Asian range break; US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone
Asian range broken lower; lower highs since yesterday's NY high.
The 0.8240–0.8246 Asian range gave way in late Asia. Price slid 27 pips through the 0.8225 area to a session low at 0.8219 as the softer, yield-led USD tone carried through. The bounce has reached 0.8228, near the 38.2% retracement, with the 50% fib at 0.8233 and the broken prior low at 0.8236 overhead.
Support: 0.8219, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.8233, 0.8236, 0.8246
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.8236 prior low puts price back toward the asian high at 0.8246
Failure at the 50% fib and a break of the 0.8219 session low extends the lower-low chain toward 0.8200 round number
US initial jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower high at 0.8257, Asian range broken lower, new session low.
Late in the Asia session, USDCHF broke below the 0.8240 Asian range low and yesterday's 0.8236 prior low. The drop ran through the broken 0.8225/27 support to a 0.8220 session low as the USD stays soft on sliding yields. RSI(14) is near 22 and stretched, and the first bounce stalled at 0.8226.
Support: 0.82199, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82262, 0.82357, 0.82398
What it said to watch
Recovery back above the 0.8240 Asian low would mark the break as a false break
Failure to hold the 0.8220 session low exposes 0.8200 psych
61.8% retrace of the Asian break sits at 0.8236, aligning with the prior low; rejection there keeps the lower-high sequence intact
London open in ~3.5h and US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Sideways, lower highs over a flat base · RSI 45 · price 0.82428
Asian compression inside yesterday's 0.8236–0.8262 range.
Late Asia session is coiling in a 6-pip 0.8240–0.8246 band, just under EMA20, with RSI(14) flat at 45 and ATR down to about 2 pips. Yesterday's swing highs stepped lower from the 0.8262 prior high to 0.8259 and then the 0.8257 swing high, while the 0.8236 day low held. Price now sits near the 78.6% level of the late-NY bounce, consistent with the soft-USD backdrop in the digest.
Support: 0.82398, 0.82375, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82465, 0.82574, 0.82615
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8240 asian low exposes the 0.82375 rollover low and the 0.8236 day low
Break above the 0.82465 asian high reopens the 0.8257 swing high and the 0.8262 prior high
London open in roughly 4.5h is the first test of the Asian compression
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 0.82428
24h range 0.8236–0.8261, Asia compressing near lower half.
USDCHF has held a 0.8236–0.8261 range for 24h. The range top was rejected repeatedly through London and NY, and NY dips held near the 24h low at 0.8236 on a soft USD tone. Asia is coiling in a tight 0.8240–0.8247 band between the asian low and asian high, just under ema20 and ema50, with RSI(14) neutral near 45 and ATR at about 2.6 pips.
Support: 0.82398, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82465, 0.82589
What it said to watch
London open break of the asian high at 0.8247 or the asian low at 0.8240 sets the session direction
Failure to hold the 24h low at 0.8236 breaks the range floor
M15 close above the range top at 0.8259 invalidates the capped-range read
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD catalyst
02:02 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 0.82446
Range 0.8236–0.8259 with lower highs; tight Asian range inside.
USD/CHF is boxed in a 0.8236–0.8259 range. London and NY bounces both faded under the soft-dollar tone, with lower highs from the 0.8259 NY high to 0.8257. Asia is coiling between the 0.8240 asian low and 0.8247 asian high, price hugging both EMAs, RSI(14) near 52 and ATR(14) only ~2.5 pips.
Support: 0.8240, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8247, 0.8259
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8247 asian high and the lower highs line opens a retest of the 0.8259 ny high
Failure to hold the 0.8240 asian low exposes the 0.8236 day low; a break there extends the lower-low sequence
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could break the compressed range
Tight Asian range above flat lows, lower highs since NY.
Asia session is coiling in a 7-pip box between the 0.8240 asian low and the 0.8247 session high. Price sits on the 61.8% fib of the NY rally off the 0.8236 day low. Wednesday's highs stepped lower from the 0.8259 ny high to a 0.8257 lower high that was rejected late in NY, while 0.8236–0.8240 held twice, with the soft USD tone keeping rebounds shallow.
Support: 0.8240, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82465, 0.82574, 0.82589
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8240 asian low exposes the 0.8236 day low; a break there extends the lower-high sequence into a lower-low
Close above the 0.8247 session high reopens the 0.8257 lower high and the 0.8259 ny high
Flat EMAs and sub-3-pip ATR point to compression; London open is the likely range-break window
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD catalyst
Compression: lower highs over a flat floor near 0.8236, tight Asian range.
Early Asia session is boxed between the asian low at 0.8240 and the asian high at 0.8247 after Wednesday printed lower highs at the 0.8263 prior high, the 0.8259 ny high and 0.8257 against a flat floor at the 0.8236 day low. The late-NY spike to 0.8257 was rejected, consistent with the digest's soft USD undertone; RSI near 51 and an ATR around 2.4 pips show compressed conditions.
Support: 0.82398, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82465, 0.82589, 0.82634
What it said to watch
A break of the asian high at 0.8247 or the asian low at 0.8240 sets direction for the session
Failure to hold the day low at 0.8236 resolves the lower highs compression lower
A close above the lower highs line and the ny high near 0.8259 negates the descending structure
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:17 UTC
Sideways, compressing · RSI 56 · price 0.82444
0.8236–0.8259 range from London/NY; tight Asian box below mid.
USDCHF is boxed in a 0.8236–0.8259 range built through London and NY, with three pushes capped near the 0.8258 range top and the day low at 0.8236 holding. Asia is compressing in a 9-pip band from the 0.8238 asian low to the 0.8247 asian high, with a swing low at 0.8240. RSI is near 56 and price is pinned on the averages as the dollar's soft undertone on fading Fed-hike bets keeps rallies contained.
Support: 0.82398, 0.82375, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82465, 0.82589
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8247 asian high brings the 0.8258 range top back into play
Failure to hold the 0.8240 swing low puts the 0.8238 asian low and 0.8236 day low under pressure
A break below the range floor at the 0.8236 day low exposes the 0.8225 support flagged in the digest
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC today could break the Asian compression
0.8236–0.8259 range with lower highs; tight Asian range near the lows.
USD/CHF held a 0.8236–0.8259 range through London and NY. Demand stepped in three times at the swing low near 0.8236, while the range top printed lower highs into the rollover. Early Asia is compressed in a 0.8240–0.8247 band near the range floor, with ATR near 2.6 pips and the dollar carrying a soft undertone on faded Fed-hike bets.
Support: 0.8240, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8247, 0.8259
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8247 asian high and the lower highs line opens a retest of the 0.8259 range top
Failure to hold the 0.8240 asian low exposes the 0.8236 swing low; a break there ends the range read
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
00:47 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since Asia open yesterday · RSI 49 · price 0.82435
Range 0.8236–0.8259, early Asia compressing near mid.
London and NY both saw rejection at the 0.8257–0.8259 ny high cluster, leaving a lower-highs line, while three probes of 0.8236–0.8238 held the day low. Early Asia is compressing in a 0.8240–0.82465 band near the 61.8% retrace of the NY rally, with RSI(14) flat at 49 and ATR(14) under 3 pips. The digest's soft USD tone on fading Fed-hike bets matches the capped highs.
Support: 0.8240, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.82465, 0.8259
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.8240 asian low exposes the 0.8236 day low; losing that marks a lower-low out of the range
A close above the 0.82465 asian high reopens the 0.8257–0.8259 ny high and the lower-highs line
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) is the next USD catalyst; a print well above 215K adds to the soft-data read
00:31 UTC
Sideways-to-heavy, lower highs over a flat floor · RSI 55 · price 0.82435
Range 0.8236–0.8259 capped by a descending trendline; early Asia coiling 0.8240–0.8247.
Early Asia session: after the rollover gap, price is coiling between the asian low at 0.8240 and the asian high at 0.8247, just above EMA20 and below EMA50. Yesterday's London and NY sessions held a 0.8236–0.8259 range. The day low at 0.8236 held twice, while each bounce left lower highs along a descending trendline from 0.8263. The pattern matches the soft USD undertone in the digest.
Support: 0.82398, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82465, 0.82585
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8236 day low breaks the range floor and confirms a lower-low
Close above the 0.8247 asian high and the descending trendline near 0.8256 would end the lower highs sequence
Rejection again at 0.8257–0.8259 keeps the lower highs structure intact
US Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 200K) is the next scheduled risk and could expand the range
00:17 UTC
Sideways after London leg lower, lower highs intact · RSI 53 · price 0.82445
0.8236–0.8258 range since London; descending highs cap rallies.
London broke below the prior Asian range and the pair has held a 0.8236–0.8258 range since. The day low at 0.8236 has held on retests, while the range top was rejected in NY and again on the late spike to 0.8257, both under a line of lower highs. Early Asia is holding a tight 0.8238–0.8247 band between the asia low and asia high, price hugging flat EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 53 amid a soft USD undertone on fading Fed-hike bets.
Support: 0.82375, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82465, 0.82585, 0.82634
What it said to watch
M15 close above the asia high at 0.8247 puts the range top at 0.8257–0.8259 and the lower-highs line back in play
Close below the day low at 0.8236 breaks the range floor; the CHF digest flags 0.8225 as the next support
Lower-highs sequence stays intact unless price clears the prior high at 0.8263
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
00:03 UTC
Sideways after London selloff, lower highs · RSI 48 · price 0.8242
London broke below the prior Asian range low near 0.8251, and the NY session printed the day low at 0.8236 as soft US housing data weighed on USD. Two rebounds were rejected at the 0.8257–0.8259 lower highs. Early Asia is compressing in a 0.8240–0.8246 band just under EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR at roughly 3 pips.
Support: 0.8236, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8246, 0.8258
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8246 asian high, then the 0.8258 lower highs, breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.8236 day low exposes key support at 0.8225, the level flagged as the double-top neckline
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read