0.8236–0.8259 range since London open, lower highs off the 0.8263 Asia peak.
Contained in a 0.8236–0.8259 range since London. The 19:00 UTC NY spike to 0.8257 was rejected under the lower-highs line from the 0.8263 prior Asia high, and the range floor at 0.8236 has held three times. A soft USD tone after the housing misses keeps a lid on the range top. Early Asia is drifting near 0.8242 with RSI(14) ~47 and ATR compressed below 3 pips.
Support: 0.8236, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8246, 0.8259, 0.8263
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8236 range floor exposes 0.8225 key support, the double-top neckline flagged in the CHF digest
Close above the 0.8246 post-gap high, then 0.8259 range top and the lower-highs line, invalidates the fading-highs read; prior Asia high 0.8263 sits just above
Thu 12:30 UTC US jobless claims (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD catalyst for range resolution
23:16 UTC
Sideways after early-London drop · RSI 47 · price 0.82434
Range 0.8236–0.8259 below broken Asian range.
The prior Asian range of 0.8251–0.8264 broke lower in early London. Since then the pair has held a 0.8236–0.8259 range, with three rejections at the range top, including a late-NY spike to 0.8257 that fully reversed, against a soft-dollar backdrop. Price now drifts at 0.8243 in thin Asia session trade, just above a late base at 0.8240, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.8240, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8258, 0.8264
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8258 range top reopens the 0.8264 Asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8240 late base exposes the 0.8236 range low; a break there extends the lower-low sequence
US Initial Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC, f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD catalyst for the range
23:02 UTC
Sideways, lower highs into early Asia · RSI 53 · price 0.82451
0.8236–0.8263 range, lower highs off the day high, triple test of day low.
USD/CHF held a 0.8236–0.8263 range all day, printing lower highs off the day high. The late-NY spike to 0.8257 was fully rejected under the lower-highs trendline, and the soft USD tone kept the day low in play. Early Asia has ground back to the 38.2% fib of that drop near 0.8245, pressing against ema50 with ema20 just below, while ATR sits near 3.4 pips in thin trade.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.82475, 0.8258, 0.8263
What it said to watch
Hold above ema20 near 0.8243 keeps the early-Asia grind intact; a slip back under it puts the 0.8236 day low back in focus
Close above the fib 50% at 0.82475 opens the 0.8258 lower highs band, which is the next area to watch for rejection or break
Failure at the 0.8236 day low after three tests would break the range floor
A move through the 0.8263 day high would invalidate the lower-highs read
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD catalyst
22:46 UTC
Sideways, lower highs · RSI 48 · price 0.82443
0.8236–0.8259 range since London, lower highs.
London broke the Asian range low near 0.8251, and the day low printed at 0.8236 into the London-NY transition. Demand stepped in at 0.8236–0.8238 three times, including the rollover gap low. Rallies off it were rejected at 0.8259 and 0.8257, extending lower highs from the 0.8264 Asian high in line with the soft USD tone. Price is mid-range at 0.8244 in a quiet Asia open, sitting on a flat EMA50, with RSI(14) ~48.
Support: 0.8236, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8257, 0.8264
What it said to watch
M15 close above the lower highs line near 0.8257 breaks the descending sequence and puts the 0.8264 Asian high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8236 day low exposes 0.8225 key support, the level flagged as the double-top trigger
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Sideways-to-lower, lower highs since Asia · RSI 44 · price 0.8244
0.8236–0.8259 range under a descending cap.
USDCHF faded from the 0.8263 Asian high through London to a 0.8236 day low. NY then ranged 0.8236–0.8259 under a run of lower highs, and a late spike was rejected at 0.8257 as the soft USD tone after the housing misses kept rallies contained. Price is sitting at 0.8244, just under the 0.8250 psych level, in thin early-Asia trade, with RSI(14) at 44 and ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 0.8236, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.8258, 0.8263
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8258 lower highs breaks the descending cap and brings the 0.8263 Asian high back into play.
Failure to hold the 0.8236 day low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 0.8225 range floor.
A rejection at the 0.8250 psych level keeps price pinned in the lower half of the range.
Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD risk; the calendar is empty until then.
22:17 UTC
Mild downtrend, lower highs over a flat floor · RSI 43 · price 0.82433
Lower highs from 0.8264 against a 0.8236–0.8238 floor; post-NY consolidation.
London broke the Asian low at 0.8251 and set the day low at 0.8236 on the soft-USD backdrop. NY's rebound stalled at 0.8259, and a late spike was rejected at 0.8257, extending the lower-highs trendline from the Asia peak. Price is consolidating under the 0.8245 range cap in thin post-NY trade, flat on EMA20 and holding above the 0.8238 swing low.
Support: 0.8238, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8245, 0.8251, 0.8258
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8258 lower high clears the lower-highs trendline; the 0.8251 asian low is the first hurdle
Failure to hold the 0.8238 swing low and the 0.8236 day low confirms a lower low
Overnight Meta earnings read-through to yields and the USD could shift this read
US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD risk
22:02 UTC
Drifting lower, lower highs since Asia · RSI 46 · price 0.82413
0.8236–0.8259 range with descending highs, price near lower half.
Each high since the 0.8264 Asian high has printed lower, and the late-NY spike to 0.8257 failed at the descending line and reversed within the hour. Price is sitting at 0.8241 in thin early-Asia trade, under the 0.8245 shelf and just above the 0.8236–0.8238 day low and late NY low, with the soft-USD tone after the housing misses keeping rebounds shallow.
Support: 0.8238, 0.8236, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8245, 0.8259, 0.8264
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8236 day low exposes the 0.8225 neckline flagged as double-top support
Hold of the 0.8238 late NY low keeps the range intact
Reclaim of the 0.8245 shelf reopens the 0.8259 lower highs and descending line
Close above the descending line and the 0.8264 asian high invalidates the lower-highs sequence
US Initial Claims Thu 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD catalyst
Lower highs inside a 0.8236–0.8259 range since London open.
London broke the prior Asian range (0.8251–0.8264) lower and the pair has since held a 0.8236–0.8259 range. Each rally since then has stalled at a lower high, the latest being the late-NY spike to 0.8257 that was rejected and fully retraced. Price sits at 0.8241 in early Asia, just above a small rollover gap low at 0.8238 and below the 0.8245 gap fill, with RSI(14) near 47 and ATR around 4 pips. This fits the soft-USD tone after the housing misses trimmed October hike pricing.
Support: 0.82375, 0.8236, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.82447, 0.82589, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8236 day low breaks the range floor and exposes the 0.8225 support
Holding the 0.8238 gap low with a close above 0.8245 fills the rollover gap and reopens the range middle
A push through the lower highs trendline near 0.8257, then the 0.8264 Asian high, invalidates the lower-high sequence
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled catalyst for range resolution
Since the 0.8264 Asian high, USD/CHF has printed lower highs at 0.8259 (NY high) and 0.8257. The late-NY spike was rejected back under 0.8245, while the 0.8236 day low from the first hour of NY held on two retests. The rollover gap down from 0.8244 leaves price sitting just above that base in thin trade, against a soft USD backdrop after the housing misses.
Support: 0.82357, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.82438, 0.82589, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8236 day low breaks the flat base and exposes key support at 0.8225
Failure to fill the gap back above 0.8244 keeps price pinned against the lows
A close above the lower highs trendline near 0.8257 and the 0.8259 NY high invalidates the descending read; the 0.8264 Asian high sits above
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD risk
21:03 UTC
Sideways, contracting · RSI 49 · price 0.82438
0.8236–0.8259 range, flat-to-lower highs vs rising lows.
USDCHF has held a 0.8236–0.8259 range since London broke below the Asian range. The range top capped price three times, most recently with a late-NY rejection at 0.8257, while lows rose from the 0.8236 day low to 0.8238 (rising low) and 0.8241 (intraday low). Price sits near 0.8244 into the NY close, just under both EMAs, with RSI(14) ~49 and ATR ~4 pips; the soft USD after Tuesday's housing miss explains the heavy session, but no break is in play.
Support: 0.8241, 0.8238, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8253, 0.8258, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8236 day low ends the rising-low sequence and breaks the range floor
Close above the 0.8258 range top reopens the 0.8263 Asian high; the 0.8253 spike high is the first cap
Thu 12:30 UTC Initial Jobless Claims (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Sideways, lower highs · RSI 49 · price 0.82435
Range 0.8236–0.8259 since midday, highs capped on a falling line.
London broke below the Asian range, and price has ranged 0.8236–0.8259 since the midday session low. Highs are stepping lower from the 0.8264 Asian high. A late-NY spike to the 0.8257 spike high was rejected straight back to the 0.8241 late low, leaving price just under both EMAs with RSI(14) flat near 49, in line with the dollar's soft drift.
Support: 0.82412, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82574, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8236 session low breaks the range floor and confirms a lower low
Failure to hold the 0.8241 late low puts the range floor back in focus
Close above the 0.8257 spike high would test the lower-highs line, and the 0.8264 Asian high sits behind it
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD risk
20:31 UTC
Heavy, lower highs since Asia · RSI 48 · price 0.82413
Compressing between 0.8236 lows and descending highs.
Late NY session sees price back at 0.8241 after the 19:00 UTC spike to 0.8257 was fully rejected. That is a third lower high off the 0.8264 Asia high, while the 0.8236 London low and 0.8238 NY low hold underneath. Soft USD after Tuesday's housing misses keeps the tape heavy, but price stays inside a ~25-pip compression with RSI neutral near 47.
Support: 0.8238, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.8245, 0.82574, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8236 london low prints a lower-low and breaks the day's compression
Close above the 0.8257 lower high breaks the descending highs line and puts the asia high at 0.8264 back in play
Price holding under the ema20 near 0.8245 keeps the post-spike rejection intact
Meta earnings after the US close and Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims could shift USD tone into the Asia session
20:16 UTC
Sideways-to-lower, lower highs since Asia · RSI 46 · price 0.82427
0.8236–0.8259 range under a descending line of lower highs.
Sellers capped the Asian high at 0.8263, and London broke the Asian range low to print the session low at 0.8236. The NY rally stalled at 0.8259 (ny high), and the late spike to 0.8257 (late high) was rejected at the lower-highs line, pulling price back to 0.8243 near the NY low at 0.8238. Soft USD after this week's housing misses matches the fading bounces.
Support: 0.8238, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82574, 0.82589, 0.82635
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8238 ny low and 0.8236 session low confirms a lower-low below the range
Close above the 0.8257 late high and the 0.8259 ny high breaks the lower-highs line and invalidates the fade read
Asian high at 0.8263 is the top of the 24h range if the lower-highs line gives way
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could shift the range
20:02 UTC
Sideways to soft, lower highs below Asian high · RSI 46 · price 0.82427
0.8236–0.8259 range since London; late-NY spike rejected.
USD/CHF has held a 0.8236–0.8259 range since the London session low. The range top capped both the London and NY highs below the 0.8264 Asian high, against a soft USD tone after the US housing misses. A late-NY spike to 0.8257 was fully rejected, putting price back under EMA20 near the 0.8238 NY low with RSI(14) neutral at 46.
Support: 0.8238, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82574, 0.82589, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8236 session low breaks the range floor and extends the lower-low sequence from London
Recovery through the 0.8257 spike high and 0.8259 range top reopens the 0.8264 Asian high
Thu 12:30 UTC US jobless claims (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD catalyst; the Asia session has no calendar risk before it
24h range 0.8236–0.8263, lower highs on flat lows.
USDCHF has been capped by a run of lower highs since the 0.8263 Asia high, while lows hold flat near the 0.8236 day low and the 0.8238 NY low. A late NY spike to 0.8257 was rejected and fully unwound to 0.8245, with the soft USD undertone limiting follow-through.
Support: 0.8238, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8257, 0.8263
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8236 day low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
M15 close above the late spike at 0.8257 and the lower-highs line invalidates the compression read; the 0.8263 Asia high is next
No scheduled events in the next 8h; Thu 12:30 UTC US jobless claims is the next USD catalyst
19:31 UTC
Sideways, lower highs over the session · RSI 53 · price 0.82523
0.8236–0.8264 day range compressing; lower highs vs a higher low at 0.8238.
London broke the Asian range low and set the day low at 0.8236 as USD stayed soft after Tuesday's housing misses. NY bounced to the 0.8259 NY high, faded to a higher low at 0.8238, and a late-NY spike was rejected at 0.8257 on the lower highs line, leaving price parked on the 0.8250 round number with the 0.8264 Asian high capping above.
Support: 0.8250, 0.8238, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8259, 0.8264
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8259 NY high breaks the lower highs line; 0.8264 Asian high is next
Failure to hold the 0.8250 round number puts the 0.8238 higher low back in play
Break below the 0.8236 day low ends the higher low read and resumes the range break lower
Meta earnings tonight could shift the risk tone and the USD read
19:16 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since Asia · RSI 56 · price 0.82526
0.8236–0.8259 range since London open, late-NY spike off the floor.
London opened by breaking below the 0.8251–0.8264 Asian range. Price has since rotated between a 0.8236 range floor and a 0.8259 range top, with highs capped along a lower-highs trendline as the soft-USD digest tone held. After London close, a 10-pip spike off 0.8243 retraced about 70% of the NY pullback fib, leaving price mid-range near 0.8253.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8259, 0.8264
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8259 range top and the lower-highs trendline exposes the 0.8264 Asia high
Failure to hold the 0.8243 spike base puts the 0.8236 range floor back in play
Meta earnings tonight could shift risk sentiment and the haven bid in CHF
Thu 12:30 UTC US jobless claims (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD risk
19:02 UTC
Intraday range, late-NY bounce off the day low · RSI 53 · price 0.82526
0.8236–0.8264 range with lower highs; twin lows at 0.8236/0.8238.
An 18:45 UTC bar lifted price 10 pips off the 0.8238 retest of the 0.8236 day low. That move reclaimed the asian low at 0.8251 and retraced about 70% of the NY drop. The session is still a 0.8236–0.8264 range, with lower highs capped near the ny high at 0.8259 as soft-USD tone after the housing misses limited both rallies.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8237
Resistance: 0.8259, 0.8264
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asian low at 0.8251 neutralises the late-NY bounce
Close above the ny high at 0.8259 clears the lower-highs trendline and exposes the asian high at 0.8264
Break of the 0.8236 day low voids the double bottom and extends the London downswing
Meta Q3 earnings tonight: AI-risk sentiment has been driving the dollar and yields
Lower highs from Asia; late NY back near the 0.8236–0.8238 lows.
London broke below the Asian range and set the London low at 0.8236. The NY rebound was rejected at 0.8259, a lower high under the 0.8264 Asia high, and has retraced about 75% of the NY rally to sit just above the 0.8238 NY low late in the NY session. Weak US housing data and AI-related risk jitters kept the dollar soft.
Support: 0.8238, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8244, 0.8259, 0.8264
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8236 London low confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.8225 area flagged in the market digest
Reclaim of the 0.8244 minor high would put price back inside the 0.8236–0.8259 range
A break above the 0.8259 lower high, and then the 0.8264 Asia high, invalidates the lower-highs read
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
0.8236–0.8259 day range, price back at range floor.
London broke below the 0.8251–0.8264 Asian range and set the day low at 0.8236. The NY rally stalled at 0.8259, a rejection that matches the London high and marks the range top. Price has since retraced almost all of the NY rally into late NY, with the dollar soft after weak housing data and a 20y auction that failed to lift USD.
Support: 0.8236, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8246, 0.8259, 0.8264
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8236 day low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.8225 flagged support (flagged sup)
Reclaim of the 0.8246 lower high puts price back mid-range
Repeat rejection at the 0.8259 range top, below the 0.8264 Asian high, keeps the range read intact
Meta earnings risk tone after London close and Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims could shift the read
Lower highs since Asia; NY rally rejected at 0.8259, price back retesting the session low.
London broke below the Asian range (0.8251–0.8264, asia high 0.8264) and pressed to a 0.8236 session low by midday. The NY rally stalled at 0.8259, the ny high matching London's morning peak, and has since retraced nearly in full into late NY as the USD stays soft after the weak housing data. RSI(14) near 36 is not stretched.
Support: 0.82357, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.82434, 0.82589, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8236 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward key support at 0.8225
Recovery above the 0.8243 london low puts price back inside the 0.8236–0.8259 afternoon range
Close back above the 0.8259 ny high breaks the lower-high chain; full NY rally fib retrace is already near 88%
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD risk; calendar thin until then
0.8236–0.8259 range since London, price retesting the floor.
London broke the Asian range low near 0.8251 and set a day low at 0.8236. The NY rally stalled at 0.8259, a double cap with the London high under the lower-highs line from the 0.8264 Asian high. Price has since retraced almost all of that NY rally and sits at 0.8238, back at the day low, below the 0.8245 London low. RSI(14) is near 37 and ATR(14) about 4.6 pips, and the late-NY fade fits the soft-USD tone in the digest.
Support: 0.82357, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.82445, 0.82589, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8236 day low confirms a lower low and exposes 0.8225 key support
Reclaim of the 0.8245 london low returns the read to the mid-range
Another rejection at the 0.8259 double cap keeps the range top intact; acceptance above reopens the 0.8264 asian high
US initial jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) is the next scheduled USD risk; thin late-NY/Asia liquidity until then
17:46 UTC
Intraday range, fading from the top · RSI 41 · price 0.82428
0.8236–0.8259 range since London; lower high after the NY peak.
London broke below the Asian range (0.8251–0.8264) and set the day low at 0.8236 as soft US housing data weighed on the dollar. The NY rally stalled at the 0.8259 NY high, matching the London high, and has since retraced about 69% of the NY rally fib. Price sits at 0.8243, just above the 0.8241 session low, below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.8241, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8259
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8241 session low shifts focus to the 0.8236 day low
An M15 close below the 0.8236 day low breaks the range and exposes the 0.8225 support flagged in commentary
A reclaim of the 0.8251 asian low reopens a test of the 0.8259 ny high
US jobless claims, Thu 12:30 UTC, are the next scheduled USD risk; the calendar is empty until then
17:31 UTC
Range, intraday drift lower late NY · RSI 40 · price 0.82416
Lower highs from Asian high, NY rally fully faded.
Late NY session: price has given back ~75% of the NY rally fib from the 0.8236 day low to the 0.8259 NY high, a second rejection there after London, and is pressing the 0.8241 swing low with RSI(14) near 40. Lower highs from the 0.8264 Asian high keep the day inside a 0.8236–0.8264 range, with soft US housing data keeping USD rallies shallow.
Support: 0.8241, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8248, 0.8259, 0.8264
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8236 day low breaks the session range floor
Reclaim of the 0.8248 ny pivot negates the late-NY fade
Break above the lower highs line and 0.8264 Asian high invalidates the range read
Meta Q3 earnings tonight and Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims could shift USD tone
Lower highs below the Asia high; price testing the NY higher low.
London broke below the Asian range low near 0.8251 and set the day low at 0.8236 by midday. The NY rebound was rejected at the 0.8259 NY high, a lower high under the 0.8263 Asia high. Late NY, after London close, price has given back about 61.8% of that NY leg to 0.8244 and sits just above the 0.8242 higher low, with soft US housing data keeping USD rallies shallow.
Support: 0.82424, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82589, 0.82635
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.8242 higher low exposes the 0.8236 day low; a close below it extends the London lower-low sequence
M15 close above the 0.8259 NY high and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.8263 Asia high
Meta Q3 earnings tonight: AI-growth headlines have been weighing on USD and could shift this read
17:02 UTC
Intraday range, lower highs off the Asian high · RSI 51 · price 0.82438
0.8236–0.8259 range since London; NY bounce rejected at range top.
London open broke below the 0.8254–0.8263 Asian range and extended to a 0.8236 day low by midday, with the soft-USD backdrop from weak housing data and AI jitters still in play. The NY rally stalled at the 0.8259 range top and has given back about 65% of the leg, with price now sitting just above the 0.8242 NY low after London close.
Support: 0.8242, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8250, 0.8259, 0.8263
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8236 day low breaks the range and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of the 0.8250 round number and a close above the 0.8259 range top reopens the 0.8263 Asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8242 NY low leaves the 61.8% fib of the NY rally broken
Meta Q3 earnings tonight could shift AI-risk sentiment and USD tone
Lower highs from 0.8264 Asian high; NY rally retracing toward its midpoint.
London broke the Asian low and pushed to a 0.8236 session low as soft US housing data weighed on USD. NY recovered to the 0.8259 ny high, where it was rejected under the lower-highs line from the 0.8264 asian high. Price is now flat on EMA20/EMA50 near 0.8249, between the 38.2% and 50% levels of the NY rally fib, just above the 0.8248 swing low.
Support: 0.82477, 0.82435, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82589, 0.82635
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.8248 swing low exposes the 0.8244 london low and the 61.8% NY rally fib near 0.8245
An M15 close above the 0.8259 ny high and the lower-highs line reopens the 0.8264 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8236 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday range
Meta earnings after the NY close could shift risk tone and USD/CHF
Higher low at 0.8248 after NY rebound; capped below the Asian high.
London broke below the 0.8251 Asian range low and extended to a 0.8236 day low as the soft-USD tone persisted. NY reclaimed the Asian range, but the move stalled at the 0.8259 NY high. The pullback held the fib 50% near 0.8248, leaving price mid-range late in NY hours.
Support: 0.8248, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8259, 0.8263
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8263 Asian high clears the range top and the NY high rejection
Loss of the 0.8248 fib 50% and the NY trendline puts the 0.8236 day low back in focus
Meta earnings after the US close could shift USD via AI-risk sentiment
16:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling below London high · RSI 62 · price 0.82532
Higher lows off 0.8236 day low; capped at 0.8259.
London broke below the 0.8251–0.8264 Asian range, with a double bottom at the 0.8236 day low against soft-USD housing misses. The NY session rebound built higher lows into a rejection at the 0.8259 London high, and the pullback low at 0.8248 held at the 50% retracement.
Support: 0.8248, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8259, 0.8264
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8259 london high opens the 0.8264 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8248 pullback low and the rising trendline puts the 0.8236 day low back in play
Meta earnings tonight could shift AI-driven USD tone and alter this read
16:02 UTC
Intraday rebound from session low, capped below Asian high · RSI 57 · price 0.82532
Higher lows off 0.8236 session low; back inside Asian range after London break.
London broke the 0.8251 Asian low to a 0.8236 session low with the dollar soft after weak US housing data. NY recovered along a rising trendline but met rejection at the 0.8259 NY high, short of the 0.8263 Asian high. Price is now retesting the Asian low from above, with the 0.8248 NY swing low sitting near the 50% fib of the rebound.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8248, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8259, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8248 NY swing low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising trendline, putting the 0.8236 session low back in view
M15 close above the 0.8259 NY high opens a test of the 0.8263 Asian high
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close; AI-driven risk-off has recently weighed on USD rather than lifting it
London lower low at 0.8236, NY rally capped at 0.8259 below Asian high.
London broke the Asian range low near 0.8251 and extended to a 0.8236 session low by midday, in line with the soft-USD tone after the weak housing data. The NY rally was rejected at the 0.8259 NY high, matching the London bounce high, and price is back at the 38.2% retracement near 0.8250, with the 50% fib at 0.8247 next below.
Support: 0.82473, 0.82434, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82589, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8259 NY high reopens the 0.8263 Asian high
Failure to hold the 50% fib at 0.8247 and the 0.8243 London low exposes the 0.8236 session low
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close could swing USD via risk sentiment
15:31 UTC
Intraday recovery from session low, testing range top · RSI 63 · price 0.82565
London broke below the Asian range to 0.8236; NY reclaimed it and is now inside the Asian range.
London broke below the asian low and extended to a 0.8236 session low, but three tests of that level held. That turned the break into a false break, and NY recovered about 23 pips back into the Asian range. Price is now pressing the 0.8259 london high with RSI(14) near 63, as oil-linked support for the dollar offsets the heavy USD tone from the weak housing data.
Support: 0.82514, 0.82473, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.82589, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8259 london high puts the 0.8264 asian high and prior-day top in play
Slip back below the 0.8251 asian low and the fib 50% at 0.8247 would undercut the NY recovery
Loss of the 0.8236 session low invalidates the triple bottom
Meta Q3 earnings after the NY close could shift AI-driven risk sentiment and the haven CHF bid
US jobless claims Thursday 12:30 UTC are the next scheduled USD catalyst
Higher-low chain off a 0.8236 double bottom, under the London high.
London broke the Asian low at 0.8251 and pressed to a 0.8236 session low, which held twice into the London-NY transition. NY has since printed a higher-low chain back above 0.8251, retracing ~85% of the London leg with RSI(14) near 64. Price now sits just under the 0.8258 London high, with oil-led USD support from today's larger EIA crude draw running against the soft-dollar backdrop.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8258, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8258 london high exposes the 0.8263 asian high
Slip back below the 0.8251 asian low returns focus to the 0.8236 session low
Break of the NY rising trendline undercuts the higher-low chain
Meta Q3 earnings tonight could shift USD via AI sentiment
15:02 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since early NY · RSI 64 · price 0.82551
London break below the Asian range reversed; price back at the Asian low.
London broke below the 0.8252 asian low and extended to a 0.8236 session low, which held on repeated tests in early NY. NY has since stepped up through a chain of higher lows to 0.8255, retracing about 80% of the London leg from the 0.82585 london high, even as the dollar stays soft on Fed-pause pricing.
Support: 0.8252, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.82585, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8252 asian low would mark the reclaim as a false start and return price to the London range
M15 close above 0.82585 london high puts the 0.82635 asian high in play
Break of the NY rising-low trendline would signal the recovery stalling
Loss of the 0.8236 session low would confirm a lower-low and erase the double bottom
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close and Thursday's jobless claims (f/c 200K) are the next USD risk points
14:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, NY bounce off the lows · RSI 54 · price 0.82485
Lower highs since Asia; base at 0.8236, bounce stalling near 61.8% retrace.
London broke below the Asian range and extended to a 0.8236 day low as the dollar stayed soft after the housing misses. NY built a double base there and bounced to a 0.8251 NY high, stalling near the 61.8% retrace of the London leg. Price is back above the EMA20 near 0.8245 and sitting just under the EMA50, with RSI(14) neutral at 54.
Support: 0.8245, 0.82357
Resistance: 0.82514, 0.82585, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8251 NY high opens the London high at 0.8259
Loss of the ema20 near 0.8245 puts the 0.8236 day low back in focus; a break there extends the lower-high sequence
Asian high at 0.8264 tops the lower-highs line; only a reclaim breaks that sequence
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled USD risk for this read
14:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing in NY · RSI 43 · price 0.82441
London lower highs below Asian range; NY holding 0.8236 lows.
London broke the 0.8251 Asian low and stepped down through lower highs into a 0.8236 session low, matching the prior day's low as soft US housing data and AI jitters kept USD heavy. Early NY has tested that floor three times and built a 0.8239 shelf. Price is now pressing the 38.2% retrace of the London-high decline near 0.8244, flat on EMA20.
Support: 0.8239, 0.8236
Resistance: 0.8246, 0.8251, 0.8259
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8246 lower highs exposes the 0.8251 Asian low, then the 0.8259 London high
Failure to hold the 0.8239 NY shelf and the 0.8236 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC could reset the intraday range
14:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, basing at the lows · RSI 44 · price 0.82441
Lower highs since Asia; Asian range broken lower; 0.8236 base tested three times.
London broke the 0.8251 Asian low and extended the lower-high chain to a 0.8236 session low. That low was tested three times into the NY open, with USD soft after weak housing data. Price has lifted to 0.8244, sitting on EMA20 and the 38.2% retrace of the London leg down from the 0.8258 lower high, just under the 0.8246 base top.
Support: 0.8236, 0.8225
Resistance: 0.8246, 0.8251, 0.8258
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8246 base top opens the 0.8251 Asian low, then the 0.8258 lower high
Failure to hold the 0.8236 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8225 neckline
Meta Q3 earnings later today could shift risk tone and CHF demand
13:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 37 · price 0.82403
London broke the Asian low, LH/LL chain, basing at 0.8236.
London broke the 0.8251 Asian low and has printed lower highs since, from the 0.8259 lower high down to a 0.8236 session low tested three times into the first hour of NY. The bounce stalled at the 38.2% fib near 0.8245, with soft US housing data keeping USD heavy.
Support: 0.8236, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82452, 0.82514
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8245 38.2% fib and trendline breaks the lower-high chain
Reclaim of the 0.8251 Asian low shifts the read back to range
Failure to hold the 0.8236 session low exposes Tuesday's 0.8223 prior low
Meta Q3 earnings later today could swing risk tone and CHF
London broke below the 0.8244–0.8264 Asian range and set a chain of lower highs, from the 0.8259 London high down to a 0.8245 lower high, along a falling trendline. The 0.8236 session low has held three tests into the NY open, with RSI(14) near 37, as AI-risk jitters keep the franc supported. The 0.8223 prior low from yesterday's NY session sits below.
Support: 0.8236, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.8245, 0.82585, 0.82635
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8245 lower high and the falling trendline breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.8247–0.8250 fib zone in play.
Failure to hold the 0.8236 session low exposes the 0.8223 prior low, which sits near the 0.8225 neckline flagged in the digest.
A return above the 0.8259 London high would put price back inside the Asian range, with the 0.8264 Asian high as the range top.
Meta Q3 earnings after the NY close could shift USD through AI-risk sentiment.
Asian range broken lower at London open; lower-high chain intact into early NY.
London open broke below the 0.8251 Asian low, and price has printed lower highs since the 0.8259 swing high. The 12:00 UTC drop set a 0.8236 session low as NY opened, in line with the softer USD tone ahead of Meta earnings. RSI(14) near 31 is weak but not yet oversold, and price is below both EMAs.
Support: 0.82357, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82452, 0.82514
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8236 session low exposes Tuesday's 0.8222 prior low near the 0.8225 neckline area
A close above the 0.8245 lower high breaks the lower-high chain, putting the 0.8251 Asian low back in focus
Recovery through 50% of the drop from the 0.8259 swing high (~0.8247) on the fib, then a reclaim of the swing high itself, would void the downtrend read
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close are an AI-risk driver for USD tone
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through London into NY · RSI 31 · price 0.82374
Asian range broken lower in London, lower-high/lower-low chain intact.
London broke the Asian range low near 0.8251, below the 0.8264 asian high. The lower-high chain extended into the NY open, printing a session low at 0.8236, and the 12:15 UTC bounce stalled at the 0.8245 lower high, near the 38.2% retracement of the drop from the 0.8259 swing high. RSI(14) sits near 31, soft but not oversold, with AI-risk jitters keeping USD on the back foot.
Support: 0.82357, 0.82228
Resistance: 0.82452, 0.82585, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8259 swing high invalidates the lower-high sequence
Holding below the 0.8245 lower high keeps the trendline of lower highs intact
Break of the 0.8236 session low exposes the 0.8223 prior low, near the 0.8225 neckline flagged in market commentary
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close could shift AI-risk sentiment and the USD read
LH/LL chain since London broke the Asian range low.
London broke below the 0.8251–0.8264 Asian range at the open. The lower high at 0.8259 then gave way to a new session low at 0.8236 into the London-NY transition, taking out the 0.8243 london low. RSI(14) sits near 40 and ATR is about 5 pips, with the drift matching the softer-USD, firmer-CHF digest.
Support: 0.82357, 0.82228
Resistance: 0.82434, 0.82585, 0.82635
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim the 0.8243 london low keeps the lower-low sequence intact; the 38.2–50% fib retrace sits at 0.8244–0.8247.
An M15 close above the 0.8259 lower high and the descending trendline invalidates the intraday downtrend read.
A break of the 0.8236 session low exposes yesterday's 0.8223 prior low, which is also the 0.8225 double-top neckline flagged in the digest.
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close could shift risk tone and safe-haven CHF demand.
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs through London · RSI 37 · price 0.82373
Asian range broken lower; LH/LL chain 0.8259→0.8246, lows 0.8243→0.8236.
The oil-driven Asian bounce stalled under the 0.8263 asian high. London then broke the 0.8251 range floor and printed lower highs at the 0.8259 swing high and the 0.8246 lower high. The latest leg into the London-NY transition set a 0.8236 session low as the softer USD tone reasserted. RSI(14) near 37 sits short of oversold, with yesterday's 0.8222 prior low next below.
Support: 0.82357, 0.82223, 0.8220
Resistance: 0.82461, 0.82585, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8246 lower high breaks the LH/LL chain and the downtrend-line read
Failure to hold the 0.8236 session low exposes the 0.8222 prior low, the double-top neckline flagged in the digest, then the 0.8200 round number
Reclaim of the 0.8259 swing high puts price back inside the Asian range toward the 0.8263 asian high
Meta Q3 earnings tonight could shift risk tone and CHF safe-haven demand
Lower highs and lower lows since London broke the Asian range.
London broke below the Asian low at 0.8251, with the 10:00 UTC bounce capped at a lower high of 0.8258, well under the 0.8264 Asian high. That fits the digest's softer USD and ongoing long unwind. Price is holding just above the 0.8241 session low into the NY open, with RSI(14) neutral near 45 and ATR around 4.6 pips.
Support: 0.82406, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.82585, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8241 session low extends the lower-low sequence and puts the 0.8222 prev day low in focus
Recovery back above the 0.8251 Asian low returns price to the Asian range and weakens the downtrend read
A break of the lower highs trendline near 0.8257 would negate the intraday downtrend structure
Meta Q3 earnings after the US close and oil/Iran headlines could shift risk tone and USD/CHF late in the NY session
Asian range broken to the downside; London printing lower highs and a fresh session low.
The Asia rebound toward the 0.8263 asian high, driven by the oil-led USD bid, faded into a lower-highs chain. London broke the 0.8251 asian low, and the mid-session bounce was capped at the 0.8259 london high before a fresh session low at 0.8241. Price is late in the London session, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) mid-range near 45 and the soft USD undertone intact.
Support: 0.8241, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8252, 0.8259, 0.8263
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8241 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.8222 prior low, near the 0.8225 support flagged in the digest
An M15 close back above 0.8252 (asian low, ~50% of the asia-london drop) undercuts the downtrend read
A break of the lower-highs trendline and the 0.8259 london high invalidates the intraday structure
No scheduled data in the next 8h; at the NY open, US yields and US-Iran/oil headlines are the live drivers
11:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 44 · price 0.82444
London broke below the Asian range; the corrective bounce stalled at a lower high and price is retesting the London low.
London broke below the Asian range (0.8251–0.8263) and the bounce from the London low stalled at a lower high of 0.8259. That extends a lower-high chain from the Asian high, and price is back at 0.8243 late in London. The read fits the soft USD tone in the digest, with long-USD positions still being unwound.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8259, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8243 london low confirms a lower-low and opens Tuesday's prior low near 0.8222
Recovery back above the 0.8251 asian low puts price back inside the Asian range
Close above the 0.8259 lower high breaks the descending trendline and negates the lower-high sequence
US-Iran and oil headlines into the NY open are the main swing factor for USD, as no data is scheduled in the next 8h
11:31 UTC
Mild downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 48 · price 0.8248
London broke below the Asian low; lower highs over a 0.8243 floor.
London broke below the Asian low near 0.8251 and has held a tight 0.8243–0.8259 band. The 10:00 UTC bounce stalled at a lower high of 0.8259, and price is back under both EMAs as the oil-driven USD bid from Asia faded. RSI(14) is near 48 and ATR is about 4.6 pips, so ranges are compressed late in the London session.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8259, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8243 london low exposes yesterday's prior low at 0.8222, near the 0.8225 double-top trigger
Reclaim of the 0.8251 asian low plus a close above the 0.8259 lower high breaks the descending sequence and opens the 0.8263 asian high
No scheduled data in the next 8h; US-Iran and oil headlines into the NY open could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Sideways, mild downside drift since Asia · RSI 43 · price 0.82474
0.8243–0.8264 range, lower highs from the Asian high.
USD/CHF faded from the 0.8264 Asian high after the oil-driven Asia bid. London broke the Asian floor and found demand at the 0.8243 London low three times. The rebound to the 0.8259 London high was rejected under the lower-highs line, and price is back at 0.8247 mid-London, below both EMAs with RSI(14) at 43.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8259, 0.8264
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8243 London low breaks the range and exposes yesterday's 0.8222 prior low
Close above the 0.8259 London high and the lower-highs line puts the 0.8264 Asian high back in play
No scheduled US or Swiss data in the next 8h; US-Iran and oil headlines remain the swing factor
11:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 48 · price 0.82474
Asian range broken lower in London; retest of Asian low rejected.
London broke below the 0.8251–0.8264 Asian range and set a London low at 0.8243. The rebound stalled at a 0.8259 swing high, extending the lower-highs sequence from Asia, and price has faded back to 0.8247 below EMA20/50 into the London-NY transition. Asia's oil-driven bounce has unwound, with RSI(14) flat near 48.
Support: 0.82434, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82514, 0.82585, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8243 London low extends the lower-low chain toward Tuesday's prior low at 0.8222, the 0.8225 band in the CHF digest
Reclaim of the 0.8251 Asian low back into the range neutralises the break; a close above the 0.8259 swing high breaks the lower-highs line
Asian high at 0.8264 caps the range on any squeeze
No scheduled data in the next 8h; US-Iran and oil headlines are the main intraday swing factor for USD
10:46 UTC
Sideways to soft, lower highs since Asia · RSI 49 · price 0.82494
London broke below the Asian range, based near 0.8243 and the rebound was rejected back below the Asian low.
London open broke below the 0.8251 Asian low, and the pair based three times around the 0.8243 London low. The bounce to the 0.8258 London high stalled back inside the Asian range and was rejected. Price now sits near the 61.8% of that London swing, under lower highs from the 0.8263 Asian high, as the oil-driven USD bid fades with no data due before NY.
Support: 0.8243, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8258, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8243 London low extends the break toward yesterday's 0.8222 prior low
Reclaim of the 0.8251 Asian low and a close above the 0.8258 London high puts price back inside the Asian range and breaks the lower-highs line
NY open in about 2h; US-Iran / Hormuz headlines can move oil and yields and shift this read at any time
10:31 UTC
Intraday range, recovering from London low · RSI 56 · price 0.82558
London swept Asian low, price back inside Asian range.
London swept the Asian low at 0.8251 down to 0.8243, matching the late-NY low near 0.8244, before demand lifted price back into the Asian range at 0.8256 as the USD stabilises on firmer oil. Price holds above the 61.8% retrace of the London drop. The London high at 0.82585, near the 78.6% level, is capping so far, with the Asian high at 0.8263 overhead.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8244
Resistance: 0.82585, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the London high at 0.82585 opens a retest of the Asian high at 0.8263
Slip back below the Asian low at 0.8251 puts the London low at 0.8244 back in play
A break of the 0.8244 London low would undo the double bottom read
US-Iran / Hormuz headlines could swing oil and USD sharply at any time
10:16 UTC
Range-bound, rebounding from London dip · RSI 59 · price 0.82567
Back inside Asian range after false break below its low.
London broke the asian low at 0.8251 and extended to a london low at 0.8243 before reclaiming the range late in the session. Price is back at 0.8257, about 74% through the London leg fib, as the oil-supported USD bounce holds. The asian high at 0.8263, also yesterday's session high zone, caps the range.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8243, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close above the asian high at 0.8263 breaks the 24h range top
Failure back below the asian low at 0.8251 reopens the london low at 0.8243
Loss of 0.8243 exposes the prior low near 0.8222 from yesterday's NY session
No scheduled data in the next 8h; US-Iran and oil headlines are the live risk for a range break
London false break below Asian low reclaimed; back inside 0.8251–0.8264 range.
London open broke below the Asian low at 0.8251 and stalled at a 0.8243 session low, matching yesterday's late-NY floor. Demand stepped in there and price has recovered about 73% of the London drop fib to 0.8257, back inside the Asian range. Oil-driven USD support keeps the pair pinned below the 0.8261 swing high and the 0.8264 Asian high, with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8243, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8261, 0.8264
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8264 asian high breaks the Asian range to the upside
Slip back below the 0.8251 asian low reopens the 0.8243 session low; a break there exposes yesterday's 0.8222 prior low
US-Iran and oil headlines remain the swing factor for USD intraday
09:46 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia · RSI 44 · price 0.82524
London drop to 0.8243 held at the Asian low; bounce into 50% retrace.
London open sold off from the 0.8262 lower high to a 0.8243 London low. That low sat right on the Asian low, where buyers stepped in, and the bounce has reclaimed the ema20 near 0.8250 and reached the 50% retrace of the London drop. USD is trading with oil and Iran headlines, and price is still capped below EMA50 and the 0.8255 fib 61.8.
Support: 0.8250, 0.82434, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82546, 0.82615, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8255 fib 61.8 opens the 0.8262 lower high and the 0.8264 Asian high; a break there ends the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the ema20 near 0.8250 and then the 0.8243 London low breaks the Asian range lower, exposing yesterday's 0.8222 prior low
No USD/CHF data in the next 8h; US-Iran and oil headlines are the main risk to this read
London broke the Asian range low; lower highs and lower lows since 07:00 UTC.
The Asian range held 0.8251–0.8264 on the oil-driven USD bid, then London open broke the asian low and printed lower highs down to the london low at 0.8243. RSI(14) sits near 33 and bar ranges are narrowing into the mid-London session, so the leg lower is losing pace above the 0.8239 swing low.
Support: 0.82434, 0.82393, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82514, 0.82535, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8251 (asian low and the London lower-highs line) invalidates the lower-high sequence and opens the fib 50% at 0.8254
Failure to hold the 0.8243 london low exposes the 0.8239 swing low, then the 0.8222 tue low near the 0.8225 support band
Recovery through the 0.8264 asian high would put price back at Tuesday's highs
No US or Swiss data in the next 8h; US-Iran/oil headlines and US yields are the likely intraday drivers
London broke below the Asian range; lower highs since 06:00 UTC.
London opened with a range break below the Asian low at 0.8251. The Asian range had held 0.8251–0.8263 after the oil-driven USD rebound. Price is now stalling at the 0.8244 London low, which matches Tuesday's late-NY floor, with a falling London trendline capping bounces and RSI(14) near 34.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8244 london low opens the path toward Tuesday's 0.8222 prior low
Reclaim of 0.8251 (asian low) puts price back inside the Asian range and neutralises the break; 0.8263 asian high above
Close above the London trendline breaks the lower-high chain
No USD/CHF data in the next 8h; oil and US-Iran headlines remain the likely intraday driver
09:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend from Asian high, momentum soft · RSI 31 · price 0.82455
London broke below Asian range; lower highs since 0.8262, testing session low.
London open broke the Asian low at 0.8252 and printed lower highs into a 0.8244 session low, which matches yesterday's late-NY floor. RSI(14) sits near 31. The 0.8263 range top held twice overnight as oil and Iran headlines kept USD two-way, and Tuesday's prior low at 0.8222 sits below.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8252, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8244 session low exposes the 0.8222 prior low
Reclaim of 0.8252 asian low returns price to the Asian range and voids the lower-highs read
Break above 0.8263 range top needed to flip the intraday structure
No US or Swiss data in the next 8h; oil, US-Iran headlines and yields set direction
08:46 UTC
Short-term down after London open, momentum flattening · RSI 37 · price 0.8248
Asian range broken lower, lower highs since 06:00 UTC, basing above 0.8245.
London open broke the Asian range low at 0.8251 and printed a london low at 0.8245. Price is now compressing just under that broken level with RSI(14) near 37. The upper boundary of the move is the asian high at 0.8263, which capped Asia twice. Oil, yields and US-Iran headlines are the live drivers, with no USD or CHF calendar events in the next 8 hours.
Support: 0.8245, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8263
What it said to watch
Close back above the asian low at 0.8251 turns the London break into a false break
Failure to hold the london low at 0.8245 opens yesterday's NY prior low at 0.8222
0.8251 is the 38.2% retrace of the asian high to london low drop; rejection there keeps lower highs intact
Oil and US-Iran headlines could break the 0.8245–0.8251 compression
08:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 31 · price 0.82471
London broke the Asian range low; testing prior low.
The Asia rebound on firmer oil capped at 0.8263 (asian high) with lower highs into London. London open broke the 0.8251 asian low and pushed to 0.8245, back at Tuesday's late-NY prior low, with RSI(14) near 31 but not stretched.
Support: 0.82443, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82514, 0.82635
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.8251 asian low invalidates the range break
Failure to hold 0.8244 prior low exposes Tuesday's 0.8222 ny low, where the pair double-tapped
No US or Swiss data in the next 8h; oil, yields and US-Iran headlines are the swing factors
A lower-high trendline break above ~0.8261 would neutralise the Asia-to-London sequence
08:16 UTC
Short-term downtrend inside a two-day range · RSI 34 · price 0.8247
Asian range broken lower at London open; lower highs since 0.8262.
The Asia rebound on oil-driven USD demand stalled at the 0.8263 Asian high, matching yesterday's NY high, and London open broke the 0.8251 Asian low. Price is now pressing the 0.8244 NY low, close to the 50% fib of yesterday's 0.8222–0.8263 rally. RSI(14) at about 34 is soft but not oversold.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8244 NY low and 50% fib exposes the 0.8222 day low, near the 0.8225 support flagged in CHF context
Reclaim of the 0.8251 Asian low puts price back inside the Asian range and negates the break
Second rejection at the 0.8263 Asian high keeps the range top intact
No US or Swiss data in the next 8h; oil, yields and US-Iran headlines are the intraday drivers
08:01 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since 06:00 UTC · RSI 34 · price 0.8247
London open broke below the Asian range; price testing the 0.8244 swing low.
The Asian range of 0.8251–0.8263 gave way into the London open. Price slid to 0.8245 and is stalling at the 0.8244 swing low, which is also the 38.2% level of the NY rally fib from Tuesday's 0.8223 double low. RSI(14) sits near 34 and is not stretched, and the oil-driven USD bid seen in Asia has faded.
Support: 0.8244, 0.8223
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8251 asian low would turn the move into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.8244 swing low exposes the 61.8% ny rally fib near 0.8238, then the 0.8223 double low
Recovery through the 0.8263 asian high would negate the London breakdown
No US or Swiss data in the next 8h; oil and US-Iran headlines are the likely intraday driver
07:46 UTC
Intraday pullback, early London weakness · RSI 39 · price 0.82486
London open broke below Asian range low; lower high at 0.8261 under 0.8263 Asian high.
London open broke the Asian low at 0.8251. The slide ran from a lower high at 0.8261 to a 0.8247 London low and is giving back part of the oil-driven Asia bounce. Price is retesting the 38.2% retracement of Tuesday's NY rally (0.8222–0.8263), with RSI(14) near 39 and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.82467, 0.8244, 0.82225
Resistance: 0.82514, 0.8261, 0.82635
What it said to watch
A reclaim of 0.8251 asian low negates the London break and reopens 0.8261 lower high and 0.8263 asian high
Failure to hold 0.8247 london low and 0.8244 late ny low exposes the 50% NY rally retracement near 0.8243, then the 0.8222 ny low
No USD or CHF data in the next 8h. Oil and US-Iran headlines are the likely intraday driver.
07:31 UTC
Intraday pullback inside a broader recovery from Tuesday's low · RSI 41 · price 0.82502
London open broke below the Asian range; lower high at 0.8262 under the 0.8263 Asian high.
The oil-driven USD bid held the Asian range at 0.8251–0.8263 below a double top, but London open broke the asian low and printed a london low at 0.8247, near the 38.2% fib of the rally from the tuesday low. A lower high at 0.8262 caps the session, and price is retesting 0.8251 from below with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.8247, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8251, 0.8263
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above 0.8251 asian low would turn the London break into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.8247 london low and 0.8244 ny low exposes the 0.8222 tuesday low
A move through the lower highs line and the 0.8263 asian high would void the pullback read
Oil and US-Iran headlines can move USD intraday; no scheduled USD/CHF data in the next 8h
Inside Asian range 0.8251–0.8263, testing range floor at London open.
London open finds USD/CHF pressing the Asian low at 0.8251 after a pre-London rejection at the 0.8261 early high. Price sits just under both EMAs with RSI(14) neutral at 46. Tuesday's NY dip to the yday low at 0.8222 was fully reversed, and firmer oil reviving USD demand kept Asia contained above the ny swing low at 0.8244.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8261, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the asian low at 0.8251 exposes the ny swing low at 0.8244, near the 50% of the NY rally fib
Reclaim of the 0.8261 early high and the 0.8263 asian high breaks the lower-high sequence and the range read
Loss of 0.8244 puts the yday low at 0.8222 back in play
No scheduled USD/CHF data in the next 8h; oil and US-Iran headlines are the main intraday catalyst
London open finds USD/CHF at the asian low near 0.8251 after a rejection from 0.8261 late in Asia, with highs drifting lower. The overnight range sits on the rally from yesterday's NY double low at 0.8222, lifted as firmer oil revived safe-haven USD demand. The ny late low at 0.8244 and the 50% fib of that rally sit just below; RSI(14) 46, ATR(14) ~3.5 pips.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8261, 0.8264
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8251 asian low breaks the range, exposing the ny late low at 0.8244 and the 50% fib
Reclaim of the 0.8261 rejection high breaks the lower highs line and puts the 0.8264 asian high back in play
Failure of 0.8244 shifts focus back to the 0.8222 double low
US-Iran/Hormuz and oil headlines can jolt the range at any time; no scheduled data in the next few hours
Asian range 0.8251–0.8263 inside yesterday's NY rally off 0.8222.
USDCHF has met supply at the 0.8263 asian high three times since yesterday's NY rally off the 0.8222 dbl bottom. Asia held a 0.8251–0.8263 range above the 0.8244 ny base, and price is back near the cap into London open as firmer oil revived safe-haven USD demand. RSI(14) is neutral at 54 and ATR(14) is about 3 pips, so intraday ranges are tight.
Support: 0.82514, 0.8244, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8263 asian high breaks the cap and exposes the 0.8270 prior reject from Tuesday
Failure at the 0.8251 asian low reopens the 0.8244 ny base and the NY rally fib 38.2% near 0.8248
A break of the 0.8222 dbl bottom, the digest's 0.8225 neckline, would flip the structure to lower lows
US-Iran and oil headlines are the main intraday driver, with no scheduled US or Swiss data in the next 8h
06:31 UTC
Sideways, upward drift in Asia · RSI 51 · price 0.82589
Tight Asian range 0.8251–0.8263 with rising lows, capped at the prior high.
Pre-London, USDCHF holds the upper half of a 12-pip Asian range (0.8251–0.8263) as oil-driven USD demand keeps it near 0.8260. The overnight low at 0.8244 held near the 50% retrace of yesterday's 0.8222–0.8263 rally, and the asian high still caps at the prior high. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 and ATR(14) is a thin ~3 pips.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
London open M15 close above the 0.8263 asian high opens a test of the 0.8270 rejection area from Tuesday
Break of the rising lows trendline and the 0.8251 asian low exposes the 0.8244 overnight low
Loss of 0.8244 puts the 0.8222 prior low (yesterday's NY double low) back in focus
No scheduled data in the next 8h; US-Iran/oil headlines are the main risk to this range read
06:16 UTC
Sideways after NY-session recovery · RSI 46 · price 0.82565
Asian range 0.8251–0.8263, lower highs since 01:45 UTC.
Late Asia, ahead of the London open: USD/CHF is flat on EMA20 inside a 0.8251–0.8263 Asian range, after the NY-session rally off the 0.8222 ny low and an overnight dip that held the 0.8244 rollover low near the 50% NY rally fib. Oil-driven USD demand kept the pair firm in Asia. The 0.8263 asian high has seen rejection three times since late NY, with lower highs fading into 0.8259.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8259, 0.8263
What it said to watch
London-open break and hold above the 0.8263 asian high ends the range read
Close back above the 0.8259 lower high would reopen a test of the asian high
M15 close below the 0.8251 asian low exposes the 0.8244 rollover low and the 50% NY rally fib
Loss of 0.8244 shifts focus to the 0.8222 ny low, near the digest's 0.8225 double-top neckline
No scheduled data in the next 8h; US-Iran and oil headlines are the main intraday swing factor
06:02 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.82565
Inside Asian range 0.8252–0.8263, lower highs since 01:30 UTC.
Pre-London, USDCHF sits mid Asian range 0.8252–0.8263 under a chain of lower highs, with the latest at 0.8259. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and ATR(14) is under 3 pips. The 0.8263 asian high has capped price three times since yesterday's NY rally from the 0.8222 double low, as firmer oil lifted USD in Asia.
Support: 0.8252, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8259, 0.8263
What it said to watch
London open break of the Asian range: an M15 close above the 0.8263 asian high ends the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.8252 asian low exposes the 0.8244 rollover low, roughly the half-way retracement of the NY rally
Loss of the 0.8244 rollover low puts the 0.8222 double low back in focus
No scheduled USD or CHF data in the next 8h; Iran/oil headlines could materially shift this read
05:46 UTC
Sideways, mild fade from Asian high · RSI 44 · price 0.82558
Asian range 0.8251–0.8263, lower highs since 01:45 UTC.
Late Asia, about an hour before London open. The pair recovered from yesterday's NY low at 0.8222 and held above the 50% of that NY rebound fib. Firmer oil revived safe-haven USD demand overnight, but supply capped the asia high at 0.8263 twice, and price is drifting on lower highs near the asia low at 0.8251, RSI(14) around 44.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8251 asia low breaks the Asian range and exposes the 0.8244 rollover low
Close above the 0.8263 asia high clears the Asian lower highs line; the 0.8300 psych level sits above
Loss of 0.8244 puts the 0.8222 ny low, a double low from yesterday, back in view
London open range expansion versus ATR near 3 pips will set today's direction
US-Iran / oil headline flow can override this range at any time
05:16 UTC
Rebound stalled, sideways in late Asia · RSI 41 · price 0.82555
Asian range 0.8251–0.8263 above Tuesday's 0.8222 double bottom.
Late Asia, ahead of London open. Price is coiling inside a 0.8251–0.8263 Asian range after Tuesday's NY-session double bottom at 0.8222 drove a 41-pip rebound, with the Asian high matching Tuesday's 0.8263 peak. RSI(14) near 41 and price sits just under EMA20 and on EMA50, while oil-led dollar firmness keeps the pair off the 0.8225 lows.
Support: 0.82514, 0.8244, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8251 Asian low opens the late NY low at 0.8244
Close above the 0.8263 Asian high breaks the range and brings the 0.8270 prior cap into view
Loss of 0.8222 would break the double bottom and turn the rebound into a lower-low
London open is the first test of the Asian range edges
US-Iran / Hormuz headlines are a continuous risk: an oil-driven move in yields could shift this read abruptly
05:02 UTC
Recovery from NY low, stalling below 0.8263 · RSI 38 · price 0.82555
Asian range 0.8251–0.8263 with lower highs, price mid-range into London open.
USDCHF rebounded from a double bottom at the 0.8222 NY low and was capped at 0.8263 twice, late NY and again at the Asian high. USD firmed in Asia on renewed oil-inflation worries. The Asian range of 0.8251–0.8263 is compressing under a lower-high trendline into London open, with RSI(14) near 38 and ATR(14) around 3 pips.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8257, 0.8263
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.8251 asian low exposes the 0.8244 late ny low, which sits near the 38.2% of the NY low to asian high move
A close above the 0.8257 lower high breaks the Asian trendline and puts 0.8263 back in play
Acceptance above the 0.8263 asian high ends the range read
London open usually expands the range beyond the ~3 pip ATR
US-Iran or Hormuz headlines could reprice USD abruptly, and no scheduled data falls in the next 8h
Late Asia session. Price is slipping toward the 0.8251 Asian low after two rejections at the 0.8263 Asian high, which also matches yesterday's NY peak. Lower highs have formed since 01:45 UTC with RSI(14) near 43, and price is below EMA20 at the 23.6% fib of the 0.8222–0.8263 rebound. Dollar softness on US-Iran deal headlines and lower yields frames the tape.
Support: 0.8251, 0.8245, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8257, 0.8263
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8251 asian low exposes the 0.8245 late ny base, which sits at the 38.2% fib of the rebound
M15 close back above the ema20 and the Asian lower-highs line reopens the 0.8263 asian high
The 0.8222 ny low sits at the 0.8225 double-top neckline flagged in the CHF digest; failure to hold it confirms a lower low
US-Iran headlines and the US 10y near 5.12% remain the driver; no scheduled data in the next 8h, so the London open sets the next range test
04:31 UTC
Intraday range, drifting lower in late Asia · RSI 36 · price 0.82514
0.8222–0.8263 range; triple cap at 0.8263, Asian floor 0.8255 giving way.
Late Asia session is slipping below the 0.8255 Asian low after a third rejection at the 0.8263 triple cap. Price now sits under both EMAs with RSI(14) near 36, not stretched. This follows the NY rebound off the 0.8222 NY low double bottom, which came as USD eased on US-Iran deal hopes and lower yields.
Support: 0.8250, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8255, 0.8263
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.8250 round number and the 0.8244 late-NY low exposes the 0.8222 NY low
Recovery back above the 0.8255 Asian low restores the upper-range read
M15 close above the 0.8263 triple cap breaks the session-high cluster
US-Iran headlines and US 10y yield moves are the live driver; no scheduled data in the next 8h
04:16 UTC
Intraday range, drifting lower late Asia · RSI 38 · price 0.82542
Asian range 0.8254–0.8263, price at range low under ema20.
Tuesday's NY session double-tested 0.8222 (tue ny low) as the dollar eased on Iran-deal headlines and softer yields, then rebounded to 0.8263. That level capped again twice in the Asia session (asian high) and price is now sliding back to the asian low at 0.8254 under ema20 at 0.8258, with RSI(14) at 38 and ATR near 3.4 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 0.8254, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8258, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8254 asian low exposes the 0.8244 late-NY low, near the 38.2–50% zone of the NY rally fib
Close back above ema20 at 0.8258 and the 0.8263 asian high cap breaks the range lid
Loss of the 0.8222 tue NY low would put the 0.8225 double-top neckline flagged in the CHF digest back in play
US-Iran headlines and US 10y yields near 5.12% could materially shift this read at any point in the session
04:02 UTC
Intraday range, drifting lower in Asia · RSI 39 · price 0.82542
Lower highs off 0.8263 since early Asia, pressing the Asian low.
Yesterday's NY session held a twin low at the 0.8222 ny low before rebounding to 0.8263. Asia has since logged a third rejection at that triple cap and printed a chain of lower highs, the latest at 0.8259, which leaves price on the 0.8254 asian low and the 23.6% fib, with the USD still heavy on US-Iran deal hopes. RSI(14) sits near 39 and ATR around 3.4 pips, a quiet tape.
Support: 0.8254, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8259, 0.8263
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8254 asian low exposes the 0.8244 rollover low and the 38.2% fib near 0.8248
A break of the lower-high trendline and 0.8259 lower high reopens a test of the 0.8263 triple cap
Loss of 0.8244 puts the 0.8222 ny low back in focus
US-Iran headlines could materially shift this read, and no US or Swiss data is scheduled in the next 8h
03:46 UTC
Sideways after NY recovery, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 0.82565
Asian range 0.8256–0.8263 under a repeatedly tested range top.
Yesterday's NY session recovered from a double bottom at 0.8222 as yields eased, but the Asia session has stalled. Supply capped price three times at the 0.8263 range top. Price is now pressing the Asian range low at 0.8256, and RSI(14) is neutral at 46.
Support: 0.82562, 0.82443, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.8256 asia low exposes the 0.8244 ny low, near the 50% fib of the 0.8222–0.8263 leg
Close above the 0.8263 range top breaks the Asian cap, with the 0.8270 prior cap next
Loss of 0.8222 double btm would erase the NY recovery
No scheduled data in the next 8h, but US-Iran headlines and the US 10y near 5.12% can jolt the range
03:31 UTC
Recovered NY dip, flat in Asia · RSI 53 · price 0.82581
Tight Asian range 0.8255–0.8264 above 50% retrace of the NY rebound.
USDCHF rebounded the full NY dip from the 0.8222 swing low, printed around the weak US housing data, back to 0.8263. Mid-Asia, price is holding a 9-pip range between the 0.8255 Asian low and a 0.8263 range top capped three times. RSI(14) is neutral near 53, and ATR(14) has compressed to about 3.6 pips.
Support: 0.82548, 0.8244, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8264 range top exposes the 0.8270 cap
Loss of the 0.8255 Asian low reopens the 0.8244 50% fib of the NY rebound, the late-NY pivot
Break of the 0.8222 swing low would confirm the double-top neckline break flagged near 0.8225
London open in ~4h is the first test of the Asian range
US-Iran headlines and the US 10y near 5.12% remain the main swing factors; no scheduled data in the next 8h
03:16 UTC
Recovery from NY flush, flattening into Asia · RSI 57 · price 0.82593
Tight Asian range under a triple cap, higher lows.
USD/CHF has fully retraced the NY-session flush to 0.8222, which came as Iran-deal hopes and the soft US housing data weighed on the dollar. The overnight dip held near the 50% retrace of the NY rebound at the 0.8244 overnight low. Mid-Asia, price is boxed in a 0.8254–0.8264 range: the 0.8263 triple cap rejected three times since late NY, while a higher low at 0.8256 compresses the range, with RSI(14) neutral near 57 and ATR around 3.6 pips.
Support: 0.82562, 0.82545, 0.8244
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8264 breaks the triple cap and exposes the 0.8270 cap flagged in the digest
Loss of the 0.8254 Asian low and the 0.8256 higher low ends the Asia higher lows sequence, putting the 0.8244 overnight low and 50% retrace back in play
London open in about four hours is the usual test of the Asian range; US-Iran headlines remain the swing driver for USD
03:02 UTC
Recovered from NY low, flat in Asia · RSI 58 · price 0.82593
Tight Asian range 0.8256–0.8264 capped below session high.
Tuesday's London-NY slide on softer USD (Iran deal hopes, weak housing data) found a double bottom at 0.8222–0.8223 during NY hours, near the 0.8225 support flagged in the CHF digest, and price has since retraced the full drop. Mid-Asia, price is pinned in a 0.8256–0.8264 range with three rejections at the 0.8263–0.8264 session high. The range low sits on the 38.2% of the asian leg from the 0.8244 asian low, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.82562, 0.82438, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270, 0.8300
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8264 session high breaks the Asian range and exposes the 0.8270 prior cap, then the 0.8300 round number
Loss of the 0.8256 range low brings the asian leg fib 50% near 0.8254 and the 0.8244 asian low into view
A return to the 0.8222 double bottom would put the CHF digest's 0.8225 double-top neckline back in focus
US-Iran headlines and moves in the US 10y yield around 5.12% can shift this read before London open
02:46 UTC
Short-term recovery, stalling at session high · RSI 53 · price 0.8257
Double bottom at 0.8222 into a higher low; Asia range 0.8244–0.8264 with the top rejected twice.
Asia session has tested 0.8263–0.8264 twice, matching yesterday's NY high, and both tests were rejected. Price is back on the 0.8257 asia floor. The bounce came off a double bottom at the 0.8222 ny low around the NY open, where the 0.8225 support cited in news coverage held despite USD softness on US-Iran deal headlines and the weak housing data.
Support: 0.8257, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8257 asia floor exposes the 0.8244 pre-asia low, near the 50% fib of the ny low–asia high move
M15 close above the 0.8264 asia high opens the 0.8270 cap
Break of the 0.8222 ny low invalidates the double bottom
No scheduled US or Swiss events in the next 8h. US-Iran negotiation headlines remain unscheduled risk.
02:31 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling at prior high · RSI 55 · price 0.82587
Higher lows pressing into a flat 0.8263–64 cap.
Yesterday's NY flush to the 0.8222 day low came on the US housing starts miss and Iran-deal headlines, and it was fully reversed into the 0.8263 high. Mid-Asia, price has twice been rejected at the 0.8263–64 session high after the rollover low pop off 0.8244. Price sits on a rising trendline inside a 0.8255–0.8264 Asian range with RSI(14) neutral near 55 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.82545, 0.82438, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.82635 session high breaks the triple cap and exposes the 0.8270 cap flagged in the digest
Loss of the 0.8255 asian low breaks the rising trendline and the asia leg fib 50% zone, opening the 0.8244 rollover low
Break of the 0.8222 day low would put the 0.8225 double-top neckline back in play
Unscheduled US-Iran headlines and moves in the US 10y around 5.12% could materially shift this read ahead of London open
Double bottom at 0.8222, rising Asia lows under flat 0.8263 cap.
The softer-dollar slide stopped twice at 0.8222 during the NY session, forming a double btm. It rallied to 0.8263, and the pullback held the ny low at 0.8244, near the 50% fib. Early Asia is printing rising lows off the 0.8257 asian low into a third test of the 0.8263–0.8264 prior high, with RSI(14) near 61 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.82566, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8264 prior high clears the double cap and exposes the 0.8270 cap
Break of the rising lows and the 0.8257 asian low returns price toward the 0.8244 ny low and the 50% fib
Loss of 0.8222 double btm would void the recovery read
US-Iran headlines on Hormuz reopening remain an unscheduled driver through Asia hours
02:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend off NY low, pressing day high · RSI 62 · price 0.82614
Asian higher-high/higher-low chain capped at 0.8263-64.
The NY-session double btm at 0.8222 sits on the 0.8225 support flagged in the digest, and the rebound held despite softer USD on Iran-deal hopes. In late Asia, the asia hl chain has carried price back to the 0.8263-64 day high, now tested three times. RSI(14) is near 62 and ATR is about 3 pips.
Support: 0.82566, 0.8244, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8264 day high breaks the range top and brings the 0.8270 round number into view
Break below the 0.8257 asia hl ends the Asian higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.8244 ny late low returns focus to the 0.8222 double btm
Iran deal headlines or a move in the US 10y around 5.13% could reprice USD into London open; no calendar events in the next 8h
01:46 UTC
Recovering from NY low, flattening in Asia · RSI 63 · price 0.82603
Higher low at 0.8244 after 0.8222 double bottom; tight Asian range under session high.
The dollar slide into the NY open, on Iran-deal hopes and softer yields, bottomed in a double bottom at the 0.8222 NY low. The rebound recovered the whole leg, and the late NY low at 0.8244 held between the fib 38.2% and 50% levels. Early Asia trade is compressing in a 0.8255–0.8264 range just under the session high, with RSI(14) near 63 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.82548, 0.82443, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8264 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 0.8270 prior cap
Loss of the 0.8255 range low reopens the 0.8244 late NY low and the fib 38.2–50% zone
Break below the 0.8222 NY low negates the double bottom
Iran-deal headlines and the US 10y near 5.13% are the swing factors; no scheduled data in the next 8h
01:31 UTC
Recovering, flat in Asia · RSI 63 · price 0.82579
V-recovery from NY low, now ranging under 0.8264 session high.
Tuesday's NY sell-off on USD softness stalled twice at 0.8222, the ny low, and the pair recovered the full leg to 0.8263, close to the 61.8% fib area of that rebound. Asia stepped up from the 0.8244 swing low to tag a 0.82635 session high and is now holding the 0.8255 asian floor, with ATR(14) compressed near 3 pips.
Support: 0.8255, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.82635 session high exposes the 0.8270 cap flagged in the digest
Loss of the 0.8255 asian floor reopens the 0.8244 swing low and the asian trendline
Break below the 0.8222 ny low voids the double bottom and puts the 0.8225 neckline in play
US-Iran deal headlines and moves in the US 10y around 5.13% remain the main swing factor
01:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling at the highs · RSI 59 · price 0.82582
Higher lows off 0.8222 NY low, capped by a 0.8263 double high.
Early Asia lifted off the 0.8244 session low into a retest of Tuesday's 0.8263 high, which rejected again to form a double high. Price is holding the 0.8254 asia base, with RSI(14) near 59 and ATR(14) about 3 pips. The pair has fully retraced the early-NY dip to the 0.8222 NY low, a move that came on soft US housing data and Iran-deal USD selling; the late-NY pullback held the 50% retrace of that rally.
Support: 0.8254, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8263 double high opens the 0.8270 prior cap
Loss of the 0.8254 asia base puts the 0.8244 session low and rising support back in play
Break of rising support exposes the 0.8222 NY low, near the 0.8225 neckline cited in the CHF digest
Iran-deal headlines or a move in the US 10y yield around 5.13% could materially shift this read; no US or Swiss data due in the next 8h
01:02 UTC
Recovering from NY low, flattening in Asia · RSI 61 · price 0.82582
Tight Asian range 0.8254–0.8264 under a thrice-rejected session high.
The 0.8222 NY low printed as Iran-deal hopes weighed on USD. Price then recovered about 40 pips, retracing the full NY low to high move. Early Asia is holding a 10-pip range after the jump off the 0.8244 late-NY base, with the 0.8263–0.8264 session high rejecting price for a third time and RSI(14) near 61.
Support: 0.8254, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8264 session high breaks the Asian range and puts the 0.8270 prior cap in play
Loss of the 0.8254 Asian low reopens the 0.8244 late-NY base, near the 50% retrace of the NY low to high move
Iran-deal headlines and a move in the US 10y around 5.13% could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Recovering, pressing day high · RSI 67 · price 0.82605
Higher lows from NY low 0.8222; repeated tests of 0.8263 day high.
Early Asia session is retesting the 0.8263 day high, the third test after the open and late NY. The run started from a double bottom at the 0.8222 NY low, and an Asian low of 0.8244 after the rollover kept the rising lows intact. Iran deal headlines and softer yields weighed on USD earlier, but NY recovered about 40 pips. RSI(14) near 67 is firm, not stretched. The asian shelf at 0.8255 is holding below price.
Support: 0.82555, 0.82438, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82635, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8263 day high opens the 0.8270 cap flagged in the digest
Slip back under the 0.8255 asian shelf returns focus to the 0.8244 asian low and the rising lows line
Break of the 0.8222 NY low undoes the double bottom
Iran deal or talks-breakdown headlines via oil and US yields could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher low in place · RSI 60 · price 0.82591
Double bottom at 0.8222, higher low at 0.8244, Asia consolidating below 0.8263 NY high.
USD/CHF put in a double low at 0.8222 in early NY, holding the 0.8225 double-top support flagged in the macro digest, then recovered to a 0.8263 NY high. The late-NY pullback stopped at 0.8244, near the 50% fib of that rally and on rising support. Asia has pushed back to 0.8259 and is consolidating above a 0.8254 Asia shelf, with RSI(14) near 60 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.8254, 0.8244, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8263 NY high exposes the 0.8270 prior cap from Monday's session
Loss of the 0.8254 Asia shelf returns focus to the 0.8244 Asia low and rising support
A break below the 0.8222 double low invalidates the double bottom
No scheduled data in the next 8h; Iran-deal headlines and the US 10y near 5.13% are the main swing factors
00:16 UTC
Recovering intraday, higher low in place · RSI 66 · price 0.82575
Asia breakout above late-NY range, below day high.
Tuesday's slide on broad USD softness from US-Iran deal hopes double-bottomed at the 0.8222 NY low near the NY open. The rebound reached the 0.8263 day high, and the pullback held the 50% fib at 0.8243. The early Asia session has broken out of the 0.8244–0.8248 late-NY range to 0.8257, with RSI(14) at 66 and the 0.8263 day high the next cap.
Support: 0.8254, 0.8243, 0.8222
Resistance: 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8254 breakout level returns price to the late-NY range above the 50% fib at 0.8243
M15 close above the 0.8263 day high opens the 0.8270 prior cap
A break below the 0.8222 ny low would undo the double bottom
Iran deal headlines and the US 10y near 5.12% remain the swing factor in thin Asia liquidity; FOMC next week
Double bottom at 0.8222, higher low at 0.8244, tight early Asian range.
NY session double-bottomed at the 0.8222 NY low and reversed to a 0.8263 day high. The pullback held the 0.8244 overnight low, near the 50% retrace, with USD heavy on US-Iran deal reports. Early Asia lifted 10 pips off that base and is holding a 3-pip-ATR range between the 0.8254 Asian base and the 0.8259 Asian high, RSI(14) at 58.
Support: 0.82545, 0.8244, 0.82223
Resistance: 0.82586, 0.8263, 0.8270
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8259 Asian high puts the 0.8263 day high, then the 0.8270 prior cap, back in play
Loss of the 0.8254 Asian base returns price to the 0.8244 overnight low and 50% retrace
Break below the 0.8222 NY low voids the double bottom and confirms the 0.8225 double-top neckline break
US-Iran headlines and the US 10y vs 5.12% drive this read. No scheduled US or Swiss data in the next 8h