Lower highs off 162.42, thin Asia drift near 162.00.
USDJPY faded from the 162.42 session high back to 162.00, and the last several hours are low-volume Asia-session drift between 162.00 and 162.11 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Broad JPY weakness keeps the pair pinned near 40-year highs, but momentum has stalled after the rejection.
Support: 162.00, 161.94
Resistance: 162.11, 162.25, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.11 reopens 162.25
Loss of 162.00 session low exposes 161.94
Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) and MoF intervention risk near highs could shift this read
23:46 UTC
Pullback after topping at 162.42 · RSI 43 · price 162.053
Lower highs off session peak, hovering above 162.00.
USDJPY topped at the 162.42 session high during European hours then bled lower into thin Asia trade, now hovering just above the 162.00 round level with price below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as the carry-driven rally paused near 40-year highs; Labor Cash Earnings just crossed the wire at 23:30 UTC.
Support: 162.00, 161.90
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.00 opens the path toward 161.90 swing low
reclaim of 162.30 needed to re-engage the 162.42 session high
Labor Cash Earnings reaction and MoF intervention risk near 40-yr highs could shift this read
USDJPY rallied through London-NY to a session high of 162.42 before fading back to 162.03, carry flows keeping JPY pinned near 40-year lows. Thin Asia-session trade now holds just above the 162.00 psych level after a string of lower highs; RSI(14) sits in the low 40s.
Support: 162.00, 161.99, 161.77
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.00 psych level opens 161.77 swing low
Reclaim of 162.30 recent high puts the 162.42 session high back in play
Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) and 162.84 intervention trip-wire could shift this read
Rally to 162.42 during NY hours was rejected, and price has since ground out lower highs, sliding to the 162.00 psych level into a thin Asian session. RSI(14) has cooled toward the mid-40s with price now under both EMAs, dovetailing with the broad short-JPY carry theme.
Support: 162.00, 161.80
Resistance: 162.42
What it said to watch
Break and hold below 162.00 opens the path toward 161.80
M15 close back above 162.42 reasserts the intraday uptrend
Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) just released could shift this read on next bars
23:17 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 162.03
Rejected 162.42, drifting to session lows.
London/NY drove USDJPY to a 162.42 session high before it stalled and rolled over, with the pair now grinding along the 162.00 session low into a thin Asia session. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s; JPY remains pressured near 40-year highs on carry flows.
Support: 162.00, 161.77
Resistance: 162.11, 162.42
What it said to watch
close above 162.11 prior high reopens the path to session high 162.42
loss of 162.00 session low exposes 161.77
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
162.84 40-yr high remains the intervention trip-wire
23:16 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 162.03
Lower highs since 162.42, drifting to 162.00.
USD/JPY faded off the 162.42 session high through NY and is grinding into the 162.00 round number on thin, late Asia-hours liquidity. Price sits below EMA20/50 with a lower-high chain intact; RSI cooling near 40, no extreme.
Support: 162.00, 161.80
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.00 opens the path toward 161.80
Reclaim of 162.30 negates the pullback read
JPY Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
23:01 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 162.052
Pullback from session high, now consolidating.
USDJPY topped at 162.42 during the NY session then bled back to the 38.2% retracement near 162.05, in line with the broad JPY-weakness-into-carry theme. Now consolidating 162.02–162.11 in a very thin Asian session, RSI(14) mid-range around 44 and price sitting below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 162.02, 161.94
Resistance: 162.11, 162.42
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.11 asia top would re-open the 162.42 session high
Loss of 162.02 recent low confirms a lower-low toward 161.94
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
MoF intervention risk building near the 162.84 40-year high
23:01 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 162.052
Consolidation after lower highs off session high.
USDJPY faded from the 162.42 session high and is now grinding in a thin Asian range around 162.04-162.11, price sitting on the 38.2% retrace of the earlier up-leg. Volume has collapsed into single digits, RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no intraday setup in play.
Support: 162.03, 161.94
Resistance: 162.11, 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could inject volatility and shift this read
M15 close below 162.03 confirms a lower-low toward 161.94
Reclaim of 162.11 reopens the 162.30 area
22:46 UTC
Pullback after intraday uptrend · RSI 44 · price 162.081
Faded from session high, now consolidating.
USDJPY faded from the 162.42 session high toward 162.02 through the NY session and is now consolidating in a tight 162.04–162.13 band into the Asia handover on thin, late-session volume. RSI(14) neutral near 44; the Yen stays broadly pressured near 40-year highs on carry flows.
Support: 162.02, 161.94
Resistance: 162.13, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.13 reopens the 162.42 session high
Loss of 162.02 confirms a lower low, exposing 161.94
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
22:46 UTC
Pullback off session high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 162.081
Consolidation after intraday high.
USDJPY rallied from 161.41 to a 162.425 session high before rejection trimmed it back; price now coils 162.02-162.11 in thin late-session trade. Under EMA20 with RSI mid-40s, momentum has flattened after the earlier grind higher.
Support: 162.017
Resistance: 162.114, 162.425
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.114 reopens the 162.425 session high
Loss of 162.017 confirms a lower low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could inject JPY volatility
22:31 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 162.084
Rolled off session high, now ranging.
NY session pushed USDJPY to a 162.42 session high before rolling over to 162.02 as the carry-driven bid faded; price now consolidates 162.02-162.13 in thin early-Asia trade, RSI mid-40s and price back under EMA20/50. The 162.84 40-year high and MoF intervention line still cap the broader picture above.
Support: 162.02, 162.00
Resistance: 162.13, 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
Close above 162.13 reopens 162.30 and the 162.42 session high
Failure to hold 162.02 extends the pullback toward 162.00
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could inject volatility into thin Asia trade
22:31 UTC
Intraday pullback after session high · RSI 45 · price 162.084
Faded from 162.42, tight Asia range.
NY session pushed USD/JPY to a 162.42 session high before sellers rejected it, dragging price back toward 162.04. Now grinding in a tight Asia-session range 162.02-162.10 on thin volume, RSI mid-range and price below EMA20/50 after the leg down.
Support: 162.02, 161.94
Resistance: 162.34, 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.34 recent swing reopens the 162.42 session high and the 162.84 40yr high
Loss of 162.02 session low confirms a lower-low toward 161.94 swing low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Consolidating below session high after lower highs.
USDJPY faded from the 162.42 session high and is now grinding sideways between 162.02 and 162.11 in thin Asian-session trade, RSI(14) around 41 and price below EMA20/50. The pair holds near 40-year highs as broad JPY weakness persists; ATR is compressed at ~5 pips.
Support: 162.02, 162.00
Resistance: 162.11, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.02 confirms a lower-low and opens 162.00
Reclaim of 162.11 puts the 162.42 session high back in play
Labor Cash Earnings (Tue 23:30 UTC) could jolt this thin JPY tape
22:16 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 47 · price 162.066
Lower highs since 162.41, basing near 162.05.
USDJPY rejected the 162.41 session high and drifted lower through the day, printing a 162.02 low before flattening near 162.06 in thin late-session trade. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-range; the chain of lower highs marks a corrective pullback within a broader push toward 40-year highs.
Support: 162.02, 162.14
Resistance: 162.41
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.14 and EMA20 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 162.02 confirms a fresh session low and extends the pullback
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; MoF intervention risk near 162.84
USDJPY rallied through the London-NY window to a session high 162.425, then faded across the NY afternoon to a session low near 162.02 as the broad USD bid cooled. Now consolidating 162.02-162.11 in thin Asia-open trade, holding the 38.2% retracement of the up-leg; RSI(14) mid-40s with price under both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 162.02, 161.94
Resistance: 162.11, 162.425
What it said to watch
Close below 162.02 session low exposes 161.94 prior pivot
Reclaim of 162.11 minor pivot puts the pullback back in balance
Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) could shift JPY tone
22:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend stalled, pullback in play · RSI 44 · price 162.053
Rolled off 162.42 high, ranging near lows.
NY session rolled over from the 162.42 swing high, shedding ~40 pips to 162.02 before stabilising. Price now ranges 162.02–162.13 into thin late-session flows with RSI(14) mid-range; USD stays firm near 40-year highs on the broad King-Dollar/safe-haven bid.
Support: 162.02, 161.94
Resistance: 162.13, 162.31, 162.84
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.31 revives the push toward the 162.84 40-year high
Close below 162.02 session low opens 161.94
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could jolt JPY within the next bars
USDJPY tagged the session high at 162.42 during London hours before drifting lower through NY, now consolidating near 162.05 just above the 162.02 low. RSI sub-45 as the pullback plays out, though carry-driven demand keeps price pinned near 40-year highs.
Support: 162.02, 161.94
Resistance: 162.15, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.02 confirms a lower low, exposing 161.94 swing low
Reclaim of 162.15 (ema20) needed to stall the pullback
JPY Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the read
21:46 UTC
Pulled back from session high, drifting · RSI 43 · price 162.061
Lower highs off 162.42, holding above 162.02.
USD/JPY sold off from the NY session high at 162.42 toward the 40-year-high zone, bottoming near 162.02 before flattening into thin Asia-session trade around 162.06. RSI(14) cooling near 43 with price below EMA20 and EMA50; micro-structure printing lower highs.
Support: 162.02, 161.99
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.00 confirms continuation of the pullback toward prior demand
Reclaim of 162.30 needed to re-engage the 162.42 session high
Japan Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
NY session pushed to a session high of 162.41 before fading through late NY, USD/JPY now ranging 162.02–162.11 into the Asia session with RSI(14) around 42. Price sits below EMA20/50 after the pullback; the 40-year-high zone near 162.84 remains the broader ceiling and intervention trip-wire.
Support: 162.02
Resistance: 162.11, 162.30, 162.41
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.02 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 162.11 reopens the path toward 162.30
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
21:31 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 162.052
Rolled over from session high, now consolidating.
NY session drove USDJPY into a double top around 162.42 near the 40-year-high zone before rolling over to 162.02. Price is now consolidating near 162.05 in thin post-NY/Asia hours with RSI back in the mid-40s and price below both EMAs.
Support: 162.017, 161.94
Resistance: 162.28, 162.425
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.28 reopens the 162.42 session high
Break below 162.02 confirms a lower low toward 161.94
Japan Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
21:17 UTC
Pulled back off session high, momentum flat · RSI 41 · price 162.055
Lower highs since 162.42, basing near 162.02.
USDJPY rolled over from the 162.42 session high and ground down into a base around 162.02, twice defended into thin late-NY hours with volume drying up. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41; broad USD strength keeps the pair pinned near 40-year highs but intraday momentum has stalled.
Support: 162.02, 161.94
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
A reclaim of 162.30 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 162.02 exposes 161.94
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could inject volatility into thin conditions
USD/JPY rolled over from the 162.42 session high and has drifted into a tight 162.02–162.11 consolidation as NY wound down, RSI(14) mid-range near 43. The advance stalled well below the 40-year high at 162.84, where intervention risk is flagged.
Support: 162.02, 161.94
Resistance: 162.11, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.02 opens the path toward 161.94
Reclaim of 162.11 challenges the lower-high sequence
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
USD/JPY rallied through the London-NY sessions to a session high at 162.42 as carry and broad USD strength pinned the yen near 40-yr lows, but the last few hours have carved lower highs and price is now grinding back into 162.02 support with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Below both EMAs on this timeframe; the 162.30 swing high caps the topside.
Support: 162.02
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.02 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 162.30 reopens the 162.42 session high
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC (~2.5h) could shift the JPY read
Consolidating near session lows after pullback from the high.
USD/JPY rallied from 161.27 to a session high at 162.42 through the London-NY window on broad USD strength, then faded steadily into the NY close. Price now consolidates around 162.02-162.11 just above the session low, RSI(14) mid-40s, holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 162.02, 162.00
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.30 reopens the path to the 162.42 session high
Break of 162.02 session low confirms continuation lower toward 162.00
JPY Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs off session peak, holding above 162.02.
USDJPY pressed toward the 40-year high at 162.42 during NY morning on broad USD strength, then was rejected and has ground lower into late NY, printing lower highs with RSI(14) cooling to ~41. Price is holding just above the 162.02 swing low, below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 162.02
Resistance: 162.16, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.02 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 162.16 needed to challenge the 162.42 session high
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
20:46 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 41 · price 162.095
Lower highs since 162.42 top, basing near 162.02.
USDJPY topped at 162.42 in the NY session then rolled over into a string of lower highs on broad USD carry demand; price now consolidating 162.02-162.11 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Rejection at 162.16 has capped the last few bounces, keeping price pinned to the lower end of the intraday range.
Support: 162.02, 162.00
Resistance: 162.16, 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.16 opens the path to 162.30
Break below 162.00 confirms a lower low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
Rally into 162.42 rejected, grinding along 162.05.
NY session pushed USD/JPY to a session high of 162.42 on broad USD strength before sellers capped it; price has since faded under EMA20 to grind along 162.05, RSI cooling to the low 40s. Still holding the 162.00 round number after the pullback, day high at 162.42 unbroken.
Reclaim of 162.30 session high reopens the 162.42 day high
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the near-term read
162.84 40-year high is the intervention-risk line
20:31 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 41 · price 162.07
Lower highs after topping near 162.42.
USD/JPY rejected the session high at 162.42 during NY hours and drifted lower on a chain of lower highs, now consolidating around the 162.03 swing low. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range; broad USD strength and carry keep it pinned near the 40-yr-high zone.
Support: 162.03, 162.00
Resistance: 162.19, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.19 lower high negates the pullback read
Loss of 162.00 round number confirms further downside from the swing low
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift JPY tone
NY session pushed to 162.42 then rolled over, printing lower highs as USD/JPY eases back toward the 162.02 swing low; RSI(14) mid-40s after the pullback. Broad USD strength and carry keep price pinned near the 40-yr high, but momentum has cooled into late NY.
Support: 162.02, 161.94
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.02 confirms a lower-low and opens 161.94
Reclaim of 162.30 puts the 162.42 day high back in play
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read next session
162.84 is the 40-yr high — area to watch for rejection or intervention headlines
20:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 162.083
Lower highs off session high.
After grinding to a session high at 162.42, USD/JPY rolled over through the NY session on the familiar carry bid fading, printing a chain of lower highs and drifting back to 162.02. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50; 162.11 is capping the bounce.
Support: 162.02, 161.94
Resistance: 162.11, 162.42
What it said to watch
Close back above 162.11 would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 162.02 confirms continuation lower toward 161.94
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
20:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 40 · price 162.039
Lower highs off 162.42, testing session low.
USD/JPY grinded to a 162.42 session high on broad USD strength then rolled over into the late NY session, printing lower highs and slipping back to test the 162.02 session low. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s with price now below both EMAs; the intraday bid has faded but the wider 162.84 high still overhead.
Support: 162.02, 161.80
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.02 opens the path toward 161.80
Reclaim of 162.30 would negate the lower-high sequence
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
20:01 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 40 · price 162.039
Lower highs off 162.42, testing 162.02.
USD/JPY topped at 162.42 in the NY session and has drifted lower to 162.04 on a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) near 39 and price below both EMAs. Broad USD firmness on carry underpins, but the 40-year high at 162.84 remains untested this window.
Support: 162.02, 161.95
Resistance: 162.11, 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.02 session low opens the 161.95 psych zone
Reclaim above 162.11 recent high needed to challenge the 162.42 session high
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
19:46 UTC
Micro pullback within uptrend · RSI 35 · price 162.097
Lower highs off session high, testing 162.00.
USDJPY faded from the 162.42 session high through late NY, printing lower highs and probing 162.02 before a shallow bounce to 162.10, RSI(14) near 35. Broad USD strength and carry keep the pair pinned near 40-yr highs, but momentum has stalled well below the 162.84 intervention trip-wire.
Support: 162.02, 162.00
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.30 negates the lower-high sequence
Break and hold below 162.00 exposes further downside
MoF intervention risk intensifies on any approach to 162.84
19:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 162.097
Lower highs off session high, correcting the London-NY leg up.
USDJPY ran to a session high of 162.425 during NY hours before stalling shy of the 162.84 40-yr high, then rolled over on broad USD firmness. Price is now retracing that leg, making lower highs and sitting below EMA20/50 at 162.10, with RSI cooling to the low 40s.
Support: 162.017, 162.00
Resistance: 162.30, 162.425
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.00 confirms a deeper pullback toward the 162.017 swing low
Reclaim of 162.30 reopens the 162.425 session high
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and MoF intervention risk near 162.84 could shift this read
19:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 162.094
Lower highs off session high, testing swing low.
USDJPY rejected the 162.425 session high and has since carved lower highs, dropping to a 162.017 swing low during late NY hours as the earlier carry-driven push toward the 40yr high stalled. Price is back at 162.09 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s and trading below EMA20/50.
Support: 162.017, 161.77
Resistance: 162.30, 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.017 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback toward 161.77
Reclaim of 162.30 swing high reopens the grind to the 162.425 session high
162.84 40yr high is the MoF intervention trip-wire — headline risk on any approach
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
19:31 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 162.094
Lower highs off session high, testing 162.00.
NY session rolled over from the 162.425 session high into a clean sequence of lower highs, dipping to 162.017 before a shallow bounce to 162.09; RSI(14) sits near 40 and price is back under EMA20/50. USD/JPY remains pinned near 40-year highs on carry demand, but the intraday tape has lost the upside push. Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC is the near-term wage-cycle risk.
Support: 162.017, 161.94
Resistance: 162.28, 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.28 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes 161.94
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the yen read
162.84 remains the MoF intervention trip-wire on any renewed push higher
19:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 38 · price 162.08
Double top capped, lower highs forming.
USDJPY was bid up toward the 40-year high on broad USD strength, printing a double top around 162.42 before rolling over into the NY afternoon. Price has since slid back to 162.08 with RSI(14) near 38 and trading below both EMAs; the session low at 162.02 is now the immediate pivot.
Support: 162.02, 161.94
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.02 exposes the 161.94 swing low
Reclaim of 162.30 swing high revives the push toward the 162.42 double top
162.84 40-year high remains a MoF intervention trip-wire
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read
19:16 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 37 · price 162.08
Lower highs, lower lows after topping near 162.42.
NY session faded from the 162.42 session high, sliding to a 162.02 session low as RSI(14) cooled into the 30s amid broad USD firmness near the 162.84 40-year high. Price bounced modestly to 162.08 but the 162.30 shelf now caps the recovery.
Support: 162.02, 162.00
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.00 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 162.30 shelf negates the pullback read
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
19:01 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 35 · price 162.069
Lower highs since 162.42 peak.
USDJPY rejected the 162.42 session high during NY hours and has faded to 162.07, sliding under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 35. Sellers pressing toward the 162.00 psych level after a clean lower-highs sequence; broader tape sits just below the 162.84 40-yr high.
Support: 162.00, 161.85
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.00 opens the 161.85 fib 50% zone
Reclaim of 162.30 swing high negates the pullback read
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC (~4.5h) could shift the JPY read
NY session pressed to a session high of 162.42 near the 40-yr high zone, then rolled over into a chain of lower highs, with the last bars sweeping the 162.02 session low. RSI(14) has cooled to the high-30s as the pullback deepened off 162.42.
Support: 162.02, 161.94
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.02 opens the 161.94 swing low
Reclaim of 162.30 swing high needed to re-challenge the 162.42 session high
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
18:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 31 · price 162.114
Lower highs since session peak.
USDJPY rejected the session high at 162.43 and has bled off through the NY afternoon, printing lower highs into 162.10 with RSI(14) around 31 and price below EMA20/50. The pair remains near 40-year highs on carry demand, but the intraday leg is corrective off the peak.
Support: 162.10, 162.00
Resistance: 162.28, 162.43
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.00 extends the pullback and confirms lower lows
Reclaim of 162.28 puts the 162.43 session high back in play
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read into the next bars
Lower highs off session high, testing session low.
USDJPY faded off the session high at 162.425 through NY hours, printing a chain of lower highs and slipping under 162.15 to press the session low near 162.10. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-30s as the pullback extends within the broader uptrend that carried price up from 161.27.
Support: 162.099, 162.00
Resistance: 162.30, 162.425
What it said to watch
Close below 162.099 confirms continuation lower toward the 162.00 psych level
Reclaim of 162.30 swing high would neutralise the pullback and reopen the session high at 162.425
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC (JPY) could inject volatility into this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 40 · price 162.156
Pullback from session high, lower highs forming.
USD/JPY ran to a session high of 162.42 near the 40-year peak on firm carry demand, then rolled over through NY hours with RSI(14) cooling toward 40; price now testing the 162.13 session low. Micro-structure has printed lower highs since the rejection, with the up-move only shallowly retraced.
Support: 162.13, 162.00, 161.76
Resistance: 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close below 162.00 opens the 161.76 area
Reclaim of 162.42 reopens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and standing intervention risk could shift this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading into NY close · RSI 41 · price 162.156
Pullback from session high after grind up.
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY session toward 162.42 before stalling, twice rejected near the highs and now fading to 162.13 into the late NY hours with RSI(14) cooling to ~40. Carry-driven bid still intact off the 161.27 base but the intraday leg has lost momentum.
Support: 162.13
Resistance: 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.13 opens the deeper retrace of the up leg
Reclaim of 162.42 puts the 162.84 40-yr high back in play
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY pulled back through NY hours from the 162.42 session high to 162.14, printing lower highs and slipping below EMA20/50, RSI(14) cooling near 36. The broader post-open bid stalled below the 162.45 resistance flagged into 40-year highs; sellers now capping at 162.34.
Support: 162.143, 162.00
Resistance: 162.34, 162.425
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.14 opens 162.00
Reclaim of 162.34 negates the pullback read
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read; intervention risk near 162.80
USDJPY faded off the 162.42 session high through NY hours, grinding to the 162.14 session low into the close with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-30s. The pair sits near 40-yr highs on carry, but the intraday leg has stalled and price is retesting the lower edge of the day's range.
Support: 162.143, 162.00
Resistance: 162.313, 162.425
What it said to watch
Close below 162.14 opens the path to 162.00
Reclaim of 162.31 negates the pullback
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
18:01 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 42 · price 162.17
Lower highs since 162.42, testing 162.14.
USDJPY rolled over from the 162.42 NY session high and has slipped below the EMAs, printing a chain of lower highs into late NY hours. Sellers pressed a fresh session low at 162.14, RSI cooling to the low 40s as the intraday grind higher stalls short of the 162.80 40-year high.
Support: 162.14, 162.00
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.14 opens 162.00
Reclaim of 162.30 negates the pullback and re-exposes 162.42
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 40 · price 162.17
Pullback off session high after HH chain.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to 162.42 near the 40-year high, but the last hour saw supply cap that level and price fade to 162.15, RSI(14) cooling to ~40. Carry-driven bid remains intact on the broader move, yet momentum has stalled into the session close.
Support: 162.14, 162.00
Resistance: 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.00 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday rising support
Reclaim of 162.42 reopens the 162.84 40-yr high
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
USD/JPY grinding near 40-year highs, printed a session high at 162.42 during NY hours before slipping back to 162.15 as haven USD demand held the broader bid. RSI(14) has cooled into the low 40s on the pullback; the 162.14 recent low is the immediate floor.
Support: 162.14, 161.76
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.14 opens 161.76
Reclaim of 162.30 puts the 162.42 session high back in play
JPY Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC (f/c 3.4%) could shift the read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend rolling over, pullback in progress · RSI 37 · price 162.154
Lower highs off session high, testing session low.
USDJPY grinding near 40-year highs faded from the 162.42 session high through NY, printing lower highs and now breaking below the 162.25 congestion floor to test the 162.14 session low as RSI(14) cools to the high-30s. Price sits below EMA20/50 for the first time this window; carry demand and Hormuz haven flows still underpin the broader bid noted in the JPY read.
Support: 162.14, 162.11
Resistance: 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
Close below 162.11 confirms a lower-low and opens further downside
Reclaim of 162.30 congestion negates the rollover
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
17:31 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 43 · price 162.204
Lower highs, lower lows after 162.42 rejection.
NY session pushed to a session high of 162.42 before rolling over into a chain of lower highs and lower lows, with USDJPY holding near 40-year highs on carry demand. RSI(14) cooling near 43 as price tests the session low around 162.17; still below EMA20/50.
Support: 162.168, 162.00
Resistance: 162.30, 162.425
What it said to watch
Close back above 162.30 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 162.17 confirms the intraday lower-low toward 162.00
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
USDJPY ran from the 161.27 Asian base to a 162.42 session high on renewed JPY carry weakness and haven USD demand, then rolled over into lower highs through the NY afternoon. Last bar tagged 162.17 with RSI(14) cooling near 42; price now sits below EMA20 but holding above EMA50.
Support: 162.17, 161.94
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.17 exposes the 161.94 swing low
Reclaim of 162.42 session high reopens the path toward 162.84
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY rallied through the London-NY sessions from 161.27 to a session high of 162.41 on renewed carry/haven demand, then rejected and drifted lower into the NY afternoon, now holding above 162.24 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price has slipped below EMA20/50 as the advance stalls beneath the 40-year high band.
Support: 162.24, 162.11, 161.76
Resistance: 162.41, 162.45, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.24 exposes 162.11 then 161.76
Reclaim of 162.41 reopens the path to 162.45 and the 162.84 40-yr high
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift the intraday read
Consolidating below session high after strong push.
USD/JPY ran from the 161.27 open-gap low to 162.42 through the London-NY window, riding renewed carry demand near 40-year highs, then stalled and coiled below the highs into late NY. Price is now drifting toward the 162.24 session low with RSI(14) cooling below 50, no fresh push in play.
Support: 162.24, 162.15, 162.11
Resistance: 162.42, 162.45, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.45 reopens the path to the 162.84 40yr high
Break below 162.24 confirms a lower-low and exposes 162.15
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY ran the NY session up from 161.27 to a 162.41 session high on renewed carry/haven USD demand, then stalled and drifted back to 162.26 with RSI(14) cooling to ~41. Price is now pinned to the 162.24 recent low, EMA20 rolling over just overhead; the 162.41 session high caps for now.
Support: 162.24, 162.15
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.24 recent low opens the 162.15 swing low
Reclaim of 162.41 session high reopens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Pullback from session high, holding above swing low.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session toward the 162.43 session high before rejecting, with the pair back above 162.00 near 40-year highs as JPY stays soft on carry. Price is now easing back into 162.24, RSI(14) cooling to ~42 and sitting below EMA20 while EMA50 still supports.
Support: 162.24, 162.15
Resistance: 162.43, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.15 confirms a lower low and opens 161.76
Reclaim of 162.43 session high reopens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through London on renewed JPY weakness, tagging a session high at 162.42 before stalling below the 162.84 40-yr high. NY session is now consolidating around 162.28, RSI(14) cooled back to mid-40s and price slipped under EMA20 as the leg stalls.
Support: 162.24
Resistance: 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close below 162.24 confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
Reclaim of 162.42 reopens the path to the 162.84 high
Labor Cash Earnings today 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ran to a 162.425 session high on renewed JPY weakness near 40-year highs, then stalled and is now consolidating 162.24-162.42 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price has slipped just under EMA20 while holding above EMA50 — momentum flattening after the carry-driven grind higher.
Support: 162.24, 162.10
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close above 162.425 reopens the path to 162.45 and the 162.84 40-yr high
Close below 162.24 confirms a lower low and exposes 162.10
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high at 162.42, extending the yen-weak grind toward 40-yr-high territory, before stalling. Price is now consolidating around 162.25, RSI cooling to the mid-40s after the rejection at the highs.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.42, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.42 opens the path to the 162.80 40-yr high
Failure to hold 162.15 swing low signals a deeper pullback
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the read
NY session drove USD/JPY off 161.27 up to a session high at 162.42 as yen stayed the G10 laggard, before fading back to 162.25 into the late-session drift. Price now sits below EMA20 but holds above the 162.15 swing low; the rally is consolidating well short of the 162.84 40-yr high.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.15 confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
A push through 162.42 reopens the path to 162.84
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and intervention chatter near 162.80 could shift this read
USDJPY rallied from 161.27 to a session high of 162.42 on broad yen weakness, then stalled and is now consolidating around 162.28-162.36 into NY hours with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range. Demand held twice near 162.27; price is drifting under EMA20 but well above EMA50.
Support: 162.27, 162.11
Resistance: 162.42, 162.80
What it said to watch
Close below 162.27 confirms a lower low and opens 162.11
Break above 162.42 session high reopens the path to the 162.80 40-yr high
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
HH/HL chain into 162.42, now consolidating below the high.
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY session from 161.27 toward a 162.42 session high on the crowded short-yen carry theme, then rolled back to 162.28 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is now consolidating below the session high, holding above the 162.27 session low; upside stalled short of the talked-up 162.80 40-year high.
Support: 162.27, 162.15
Resistance: 162.42, 162.80
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.42 session high reopens the path toward the 162.80 40-yr high
Loss of 162.27 session low confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday structure
MoF/BoJ intervention chatter near 162.80 is the live tail risk given stretched yen shorts
Consolidating below session high after impulse up.
USDJPY ran from 161.27 to a session high at 162.425 during NY hours on carry-driven Yen weakness, then stalled and is now grinding sideways in a 162.27–162.42 band. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price slipped back under EMA20 as the push toward the 40-year high near 162.84 lost steam.
Support: 162.271, 162.112
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.271 breaks the session low and opens 162.112
Reclaim of 162.425 puts the 40yr high at 162.84 back in play
Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) and MoF intervention chatter could shift this read
NY session ground USD/JPY toward 40-year highs, tagging 162.425 before easing back as the USD safe-haven/carry bid stayed intact. Price is now consolidating just under EMA20 around 162.29, holding the 162.27 swing low; RSI(14) has cooled toward neutral.
Support: 162.27, 162.11
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close below 162.27 opens the path to 162.11
Close above 162.425 resumes the push toward the 162.84 40yr high
Japan Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
FOMC minutes Wed is the week's key catalyst for USD
Consolidating just below session high after grind up.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session on carry flows, tagging 162.41 before stalling; price now consolidating around 162.29, just below the session high. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs to the mid-40s as the leg pauses beneath the 40-year high at 162.84.
Support: 162.253, 162.153
Resistance: 162.409, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.409 reopens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
Loss of 162.253 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
Consolidating below session high after strong NY leg up.
USDJPY ran to a 162.425 session high during NY hours on carry-driven Yen weakness, then rejected and settled into a 162.27–162.36 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral near 51 as the grind toward 40-year highs pauses; price is holding above the rising intraday support line off 162.11.
Support: 162.272, 162.112
Resistance: 162.425, 162.313, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.425 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
Loss of 162.27 confirms a lower-low and cracks the rising support line
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
Consolidating below session high after strong NY run.
USDJPY ran from 161.27 through the NY session to stall twice near 162.42, carry-driven JPY weakness keeping the bid intact. Price is now consolidating around 162.33 with RSI(14) back near neutral after the push. Rejection at 162.42 has capped the last few hours.
Support: 162.27
Resistance: 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.42 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
Loss of 162.27 confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) could shift the JPY read
Higher highs/lows, now consolidating below session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session toward 162.425 on carry-driven JPY weakness before stalling; price now chops around 162.30 after rejection at the session high. Pullback has so far held the 162.27 swing low, keeping the intraday uptrend structure intact.
Support: 162.272, 162.153
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.272 breaks the higher-low chain
Break above 162.425 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
Japan Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session toward 40-year highs, tagging 162.42 before stalling; RSI(14) has cooled back to ~51 as price consolidates around 162.30. Dollar stayed firm post-Waller with the pair pinned near multi-decade highs, but the last few bars are rangebound between 162.27 and 162.42.
Support: 162.27
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.42 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
Failure to hold 162.27 confirms a lower-low into the range
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and Wed FOMC minutes could reset this read
Consolidating below session high near 40-yr highs.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session toward 40-year highs, tagging 162.42 before stalling as safe-haven and carry demand kept the yen offered. Price now consolidates 162.27–162.42, RSI(14) neutral near 50 after the earlier push cooled; buyers stepped in twice at 162.27.
Support: 162.27
Resistance: 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.42 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
Loss of 162.27 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation floor
Labor Cash Earnings tonight 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
USDJPY gapped higher at the open and ground steadily through the NY session toward the 40-year high, USD bid on safe-haven and carry demand. Rally stalled at 162.425; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s on the pullback, which held above 162.27.
Support: 162.272, 162.153
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.425 opens the path to the 162.84 40-year high
Failure to hold 162.27 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday uptrend
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and FOMC minutes Wed could shift this read
Higher highs into 40-yr high zone, consolidating below session high.
NY session extended the JPY-carry grind toward 40-yr highs, tagging 162.425 before fading, RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s. Pullback held the 162.27 swing low and price is now consolidating just under the session high.
Support: 162.272, 162.153
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.425 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
Loss of 162.27 swing low turns the near-term structure to a lower low
Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) and intervention risk near multi-decade highs could shift this read
Grinding higher into 40-yr highs, consolidating below session high.
USD/JPY climbed steadily through the London-NY session toward the 40-yr high, rejecting 162.42 twice and easing back to 162.32 as the Dollar carry bid held. Price is consolidating below the session high with RSI(14) back near neutral after the run.
Support: 162.27, 162.11
Resistance: 162.42, 162.80
What it said to watch
Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) — dovish tone could loosen the grip below the session high, hawkish eyes 162.80
M15 close above 162.42 opens the path toward the 162.80 40-yr high
Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below session high.
USDJPY ground higher through London and early NY to a 162.425 session high before stalling, JPY offered as carry demand dominates near 40-yr highs. Price now consolidating 162.27–162.42, hovering around EMA20 with RSI back to neutral after the rally.
Support: 162.27, 162.15
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.425 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
Failure to hold 162.27 confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation lower
Fed's Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read intraday
NY session ground USD/JPY to a fresh session high at 162.425 before rejection stalled the push short of the 162.84 40-yr high, RSI cooling back to ~51 on the pullback to 162.27. Dollar stayed firm on the intact hawkish-Fed carry story; price now hugging EMA20 after a shallow fade.
Support: 162.272, 162.15
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.425 opens the path toward 162.84
Failure to hold 162.272 confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday read
Fed's Waller 15:00 UTC could materially move this read
Consolidating below session high after post-holiday rally.
Post-holiday session gapped up and rallied from 161.27 toward the 162.41 session high, driven by resumed USD/Asia buying with JPY pinned near 40-yr lows. Price is now consolidating between 162.25 and 162.41, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s and price slipped just under EMA20.
Support: 162.253
Resistance: 162.409, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high
Failure to hold 162.25 confirms a lower-low and shifts the intraday read
Fed's Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, pulling back from session high.
Steady M15 uptrend off the 161.27 base, printing a session high at 162.425 before easing back to retest 162.27 with RSI cooling toward neutral. USD/JPY grinding near 40-yr highs as USD stays firm and JPY pinned; price now sitting just under EMA20 after the pullback.
Support: 162.272, 162.153, 161.271
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close above 162.425 opens the path back toward the 162.84 40yr high
Failure to hold 162.15 breaks the higher-low chain
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY session toward 40-year highs, tagging 162.425 before sellers capped it; carry demand and a firm USD kept the trend intact. Price has since eased back to 162.29, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range as the move pauses just under the session high.
Support: 162.272, 162.153
Resistance: 162.425, 162.45, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.425 reopens the path to the 162.84 40yr high
Failure to hold the 162.272 session low confirms a lower-low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and intervention headlines near multi-decade highs could shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY session toward multi-decade highs, carry demand keeping the yen offered, then stalled into a tight 162.31-162.43 consolidation below the 162.425 session high. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the rally caught its breath just shy of the 162.84 40-year high.
Support: 162.31, 162.15
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close above 162.425 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr high
Loss of 162.31 recent low exposes the 162.15 swing low
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and intervention chatter near 162.84 could shift this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session on the carry-driven bid, tagging a session high at 162.43 before stalling. Price is now consolidating around 162.33 with RSI(14) cooling from earlier highs; the 40-year high at 162.84 remains the upside marker and intervention trip-wire.
Support: 162.25, 162.11
Resistance: 162.43, 162.84
What it said to watch
ISM Services (f/c 54) at 14:00 UTC could jolt the read on either side
M15 close above 162.43 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr high
Loss of 162.11 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
NY session ground USD/JPY to a session high of 162.42, extending the multi-decade-high push as carry keeps JPY heavy. Price is now consolidating in the 162.30–162.42 band with RSI(14) cooling from its highs; the 40-yr high at 162.84 remains the upside marker.
Support: 162.30
Resistance: 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.42 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
Failure to hold 162.30 breaks the intraday HL chain
ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session high, consolidating below 162.42.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, extending a carry-driven grind toward the 40-year high at 162.84; RSI(14) near 61 shows momentum cooling as price stalls under the 162.42 session high. Consolidating in a tight 162.25–162.42 band after the impulse from 161.27, with buyers repeatedly defending the 162.25 area.
Support: 162.253, 162.109
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.42 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high, the noted intervention trip-wire
Loss of 162.25 exposes the 162.11 prior low
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 56 · price 162.347
HH/HL chain, pausing below session high.
NY session extended the carry-driven grind higher to 162.42 before stalling, with USDJPY pressing multi-decade highs as JPY stays the G10 laggard. Price is now consolidating in the 162.30-162.42 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 56 after cooling from the highs.
Support: 162.30, 162.16
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.30 opens a retest of the 162.16 swing low
Break above 162.425 session high puts the 162.84 40yr high / intervention trip-wire in view
Japan Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
USDJPY ground higher through NY hours on entrenched carry demand, tagging a session high at 162.42 before easing back to 162.35. Price is consolidating in the 162.25–162.42 band just under the 40yr high at 162.84, with rising support holding the intraday lows.
Support: 162.25, 162.11
Resistance: 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.25 session pivot breaks the rising support and opens 162.11 swing low
Grind above 162.42 session high extends toward the 162.84 40yr high and MoF intervention zone
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
13:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 162.346
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USD/JPY extended a second-day grind toward the 40-year high, tagging a session high at 162.425 before easing to 162.35 as the wide US-Japan rate gap keeps yen soft. RSI(14) cooling from the highs but structure intact — higher highs and higher lows holding above the 162.25 swing low.
Support: 162.25
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.425 opens the path to the 162.84 40-year high
ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift this read within the hour
Failure to hold 162.25 breaks the near-term higher-low chain
162.84 remains primary intervention-risk zone on further grind higher
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, printing a session high at 162.425 before easing back to 162.35 as the pair pressed toward the 162.84 40-year high. RSI(14) cooling from the highs and price holding above both EMAs; wide US-Japan rate gap keeps the yen soft, but intervention risk is the standing brake this close to the record.
Support: 162.253
Resistance: 162.425, 162.84
What it said to watch
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) could shift this read within the next bar
Approach to 162.84 is the primary intervention trigger zone — area to watch for rejection
M15 close below 162.253 breaks the session's higher-low chain
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 162.41
Higher highs, higher lows into 40-yr high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 162.42 as the wide rate gap keeps the yen soft. Buyers absorbed the dip to 162.25 and price is now pressing back toward the highs, RSI(14) near 63 — hot but not extreme. The 40-yr high at 162.84 sits above as the primary resistance and intervention-watch zone.
Support: 162.25
Resistance: 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bars
A push into 162.84 raises MoF intervention risk
Loss of 162.25 breaks the near-term higher-low chain
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 162.41
Chain of higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below session high.
USDJPY extended its NY-session grind toward the 162.84 40-year high, printing a session high at 162.43 before stalling into 162.30-162.40 consolidation. Wide US-Japan rate gap keeps the pair bid; RSI(14) near 63, hot but not extreme. Price holds well above EMA20/50 with a clean higher-low chain intact.
Support: 162.25, 162.11
Resistance: 162.43, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close above 162.43 opens the path toward the 162.84 40yr high, the primary intervention trigger zone
Loss of 162.11 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Fed's Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below session high.
NY session extended Friday's rebound, pressing USD/JPY to a 162.41 session high before stalling into a tight 162.25–162.41 consolidation as the pair edges toward the 40-year high at 162.84. RSI(14) near 61 with momentum cooling; the yen stays soft on the wide rate gap.
Support: 162.25, 162.11
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 session high opens the path to 162.84
Failure to hold 162.25 recent low exposes the 162.11 swing low
ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a 162.41 session high before stalling, now consolidating around 162.30-162.40 as it presses toward the 162.84 40-year high. RSI(14) near 62 and price above both EMAs; the wide US-Japan rate gap keeps the bid intact.
Support: 162.25, 162.15
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40-year high
Loss of 162.15 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
Intervention rhetoric intensifies as price nears 162.84
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
NY session extended Friday's rebound to a session high of 162.41 before stalling into a 162.25–162.35 consolidation, RSI(14) easing from overbought near 61. Carry-driven grind keeps the pair pressed toward the 162.84 40-year high, where intervention risk caps.
Support: 162.25, 162.15
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
Failure to hold 162.15 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower low
ISM Services PMI (14:00 UTC) and MoF intervention rhetoric could shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session toward the 162.84 40-year high, printing a session high at 162.41 before stalling into a tight 162.25–162.35 consolidation. RSI(14) has cooled to the high-50s off the rally, and price holds above both EMAs. ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC is the near-term driver.
Support: 162.25
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40-year high
Failure to hold 162.25 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the consolidation
ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Intervention rhetoric intensifies as price nears 162.84
HH/HL chain stalling into consolidation below session high.
USDJPY ground higher through the London-NY session toward the 40-year high, tagging 162.41 before stalling into a tight consolidation around 162.30. Rejection at 162.41 capped the leg; RSI(14) has cooled off the highs but price holds well above EMA20/50.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could break this consolidation
Break of 162.41 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
Loss of 162.15 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
NY session drove USD/JPY to a session high at 162.41 before stalling; price now consolidating 162.25–162.35 as RSI(14) cools from the rally. The 40-year high at 162.84 sits just above, where intervention rhetoric caps.
Support: 162.25, 161.94
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high
Failure to hold 162.25 exposes the 161.94 swing low
ISM Services PMI 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through NY hours toward the 40-year-high zone, USD firm ahead of ISM Services with the yen pinned by the rate gap. Price is now consolidating 162.25–162.35 just under the 162.41 session high, RSI(14) cooling from the push.
Support: 162.15, 162.112
Resistance: 162.409, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.409 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
ISM Services 14:00 UTC (f/c 54) could shift the USD leg
Intervention risk elevated near 162.84 — sharp reversal possible on MoF action
Loss of 162.11 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday uptrend
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session toward the 40-year high, tagging 162.41 before easing into a tight consolidation around 162.30. The wide US-Japan rate gap keeps the pair bid; RSI(14) near 59 leaves room but MoF intervention risk grows as 162.84 approaches.
Support: 162.158
Resistance: 162.409, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
Intervention risk intensifies into 162.84 and could trigger a sharp reversal
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
Failure to hold 162.16 breaks the intraday rising-low structure
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session, tagging 162.41 before stalling. Price now coils in a tight 162.25-162.34 band with RSI(14) cooling from its highs; the 40-year high at 162.84 remains the overhead reference and intervention watch zone.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close above 162.41 session high opens the path to the 162.84 40-year high
Failure to hold 162.15 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after strong NY push.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session on the wide US-Japan rate gap, tagging 162.41 before stalling. Price is now consolidating in a tight 162.28-162.34 band just below the session high, RSI easing back toward the mid-50s with the 40-year high at 162.84 still overhead.
Support: 162.16
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close above 162.41 opens the path toward the 162.84 40-year high and MoF intervention zone
Loss of 162.16 swing low would break the intraday rising structure
Japan Labor Cash Earnings tonight 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session to a 162.41 high before stalling; carry demand and a defended dollar keep the pair pinned near the 40-year high at 162.84. Price is now consolidating in a tight 162.25–162.31 band, RSI cooling off but holding above 50.
Support: 162.25, 162.11
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 session high opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
Loss of 162.25 session base exposes 162.11 swing low
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 55 · price 162.30
Consolidating below session high after rally.
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session toward the 162.41 session high, carry demand keeping the pair pinned near 40-year highs. Price is now consolidating in the 162.25-162.34 band, RSI(14) cooling from the rally into the low 50s.
Support: 162.15, 162.11, 162.00
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
Failure to hold 162.15 exposes 162.00
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
MoF intervention risk elevated as pair grinds toward 162.84
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 162.30
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
Carry-driven grind higher through London took USDJPY to a session high of 162.41 before a rejection back to 162.30, RSI(14) cooling from overbought. Price is now consolidating just under the highs, with the 40-yr high at 162.84 the upside reference and intervention chatter live.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 session high opens the path toward the 162.84 40-yr high
ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Intervention risk near 162.84 raises two-way tail risk
Failure to hold 162.15 swing low signals a deeper pullback
11:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 162.30
Higher highs into session top, now consolidating.
USDJPY ground higher through the session on carry demand, tagging 162.41 before easing back to consolidate around 162.30, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price sits just under the 40-yr high at 162.84 with intervention rhetoric live.
Support: 162.25, 162.11
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
Loss of 162.25 session base signals a deeper pullback toward 162.11
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and intervention headlines near the highs could shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through the session, tagging 162.41 before slipping back to 162.30 as RSI(14) cooled from the highs. The intraday HH/HL structure holds above 162.15; carry demand keeps the pair pressing toward the 40-year high at 162.84.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
Failure to hold 162.15 breaks the intraday HL chain
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
NY session ground USD/JPY up toward the 40-year high, tagging 162.41 before rejection back into a 162.25-162.35 consolidation; RSI(14) cooling from the push. Carry-driven yen selling keeps the intraday HH/HL chain intact, with 162.84 the level markets are using to test MoF tolerance.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
Failure to hold 162.15 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings tonight 23:30 UTC and intervention risk near 162.84 could shift this read
10:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling off session high · RSI 58 · price 162.307
HH/HL chain, pullback from 162.41 high.
USD/JPY extended the carry-driven grind back toward 40-year highs, printing a session high of 162.41 before a sharp rejection wick pulled it back to 162.31. Price holds well above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-50s; the 162.84 intervention zone caps the upside.
Support: 162.11
Resistance: 162.409, 162.84
What it said to watch
Rejection at 162.409 session high — area to watch for retest or break
162.84 intervention zone above is the acute risk on any extension
Close below 162.11 breaks the higher-low structure
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the London session in a clean HH/HL sequence toward 162.41, carry flows keeping the yen pinned near multi-decade lows. Rejection at 162.41 stalled the rally; price now consolidating around 162.30 with RSI(14) easing back from the highs.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 opens the path to the 162.84 40yr-high zone where intervention risk is acute
Failure to hold 162.15 breaks the intraday HL chain
Labor Cash Earnings tonight 23:30 UTC could shift the read
Higher highs / higher lows, stalling at session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the NY session to a 162.409 session high before stalling, carry flows keeping the pair pinned near multi-decade highs. Price is now consolidating in a 162.22–162.41 band just under the 162.84 intervention zone, RSI(14) around 62 and cooling off the recent push.
Support: 162.22, 162.11
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.41 opens the path toward the 162.84 intervention zone
Loss of 162.11 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session toward multi-decade highs, rebuilding carry-driven gains back to 162.34. Buyers stalled at 162.41 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs; the 162.84 intervention zone caps the upside.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
Rejection at 162.41 session high — area to watch for a break or fade
162.84 intervention zone is the acute risk on any extension higher
Loss of 162.15 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
USDJPY ground higher through the NY session toward 40-year highs, tagging a session high at 162.409 before a sharp rejection back to 162.30, RSI(14) cooling from stretched territory. Intraday uptrend intact above the 162.15 swing low; the 162.84 intervention zone caps the upside.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.409, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.409 opens the path toward the 162.84 intervention zone
Failure to hold 162.15 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and acute MoF intervention risk at these multi-decade highs
Chain of higher highs, holding above intraday support.
USD/JPY ground higher through the session back toward 40-year highs, printing 162.41 before easing to 162.30 as carry demand and firm US yields dominate. RSI(14) cooling from the highs but structure intact above 162.16; upside remains capped by the 162.84 intervention zone.
Support: 162.16, 162.11
Resistance: 162.41, 162.84
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 162.41 opens the 162.84 intervention area
Loss of 162.11 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
JPY Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USDJPY ground higher through the London session toward 162.31, extending the rate-differential/firm-USD driven advance back toward 162.00-plus. Price is now coiling just under the 162.31 session high, RSI(14) around 63 — hot but not extended. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 162.15 on shallow pullbacks.
Support: 162.153, 162.00
Resistance: 162.313, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.313 opens the path toward 162.45
Loss of 162.153 breaks the higher-low chain
162.45/162.60 zone lifts MoF intervention risk near multi-decade lows
Labor Cash Earnings tonight 23:30 UTC could shift the read
USDJPY grinding higher through the London session, a second day of yen weakness on the wide US-Japan rate differential, printing session highs at 162.346. Structure remains a clean higher-high/higher-low chain with price above both EMAs; RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not extreme. Price is closing in on the 162.45 zone flagged for intervention risk.
Support: 162.153, 162.112
Resistance: 162.346, 162.45, 162.60
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 162.346 opens the path toward the 162.45 intervention zone
Loss of 162.153 breaks the higher-low chain and shifts the read
Japan Labor Cash Earnings tonight 23:30 UTC could reprice the BoJ hike view
USDJPY ground higher through London back toward 162.00+ on the wide US-Japan rate gap, printing a session high at 162.31 before stalling into a tight 162.15–162.31 range. RSI(14) has cooled to the high-50s as the advance flattens just under the 162.45 intervention-risk zone.
Support: 162.153, 162.112
Resistance: 162.313, 162.45
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 162.313 opens the path toward the 162.45 intervention-risk zone
Loss of 162.11 swing low breaks the intraday HL chain
Labor Cash Earnings tonight 23:30 UTC could reprice the BoJ read and shift this move
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 162.282
Higher highs into 162.31, coiling below the high.
USDJPY ran a second-day leg toward 40-year highs, printing 162.31 during NY hours as the wide US-Japan rate differential kept yen selling in play. Price is now coiling in a tight 162.22-162.31 band just under the session high, RSI(14) mid-60s. Demand has held above 162.15 on each dip.
Support: 162.15, 162.11
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.31 opens the 162.45 prior high — intervention odds rise into that zone
Failure to hold 162.15 confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation lower
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the read on a JPY snap-back
London session drove USD/JPY through 162 to a 162.313 high, now consolidating in the upper 162.20s with RSI(14) cooling off the push. The pair sits near multi-decade highs where Tokyo intervention chatter remains a live factor.
Support: 162.11
Resistance: 162.313, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.11 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Sustained break above 162.313 opens the path toward 162.45
Intervention risk near 162+ could sharply reverse this leg
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
London session extended a two-day climb, tagging 162.313 before stalling; USDJPY now consolidating 162.15–162.31 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. Rate-differential bid persists but intervention chatter caps the topside near 40-year highs.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.313, 162.45
What it said to watch
Close above 162.31 session high opens the path to 162.45
Failure to hold 162.15 breaks the rising support and the HL chain
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 162.28
Higher highs into session top, capped at 162.31.
Steady uptrend through the Asian and London hours, USD/JPY tagged a session high at 162.31 three times and stalled, RSI(14) easing near 62. Pullbacks held above 162.15; the 162.45 cap and intervention chatter near the 162.60–162.83 highs remain the overhead references.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.45 opens a retest of the 1986-era highs
Failure to hold 162.15 confirms a lower-low and stalls the uptrend
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 63 · price 162.28
Higher highs, capped at 162.31.
NY session extended the second-day climb to 162.31, where price has stalled on repeated tests, RSI(14) cooling from overbought into the low 60s. USD/JPY sits pinned near multi-decade highs with intervention chatter and tonight's Labor Cash Earnings both live risks.
Support: 162.11
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.31 opens the path to the 162.45 resistance
Failure to hold 162.11 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) and Tokyo intervention rhetoric could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through the London session from 161.27 to a 162.31 session high, holding above both EMAs as the yen stayed soft on the rate differential. Price is now consolidating near 162.24 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs; the topside is capped by the 162.313 session high with intervention chatter near 162+.
Support: 162.11
Resistance: 162.313, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.313 opens the path to the 162.45 cap
Failure to hold 162.11 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC and standing intervention risk could shift this read
USD/JPY extended a second day of gains toward multi-decade highs, printing a session high at 162.31 before stalling into 162.24. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-50s after cooling from the push, and momentum has flattened just under the topside.
Support: 162.11
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
Close above 162.31 opens the path to the 162.45 prior high
Loss of 162.11 swing low breaks the intraday HL chain
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and standing intervention risk near 162.60+ could shift this read
NY session extended a second-day USD/JPY grind to a session high at 162.31 before stalling, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as price consolidates around 162.25. Buyers held the 162.11 pullback low, keeping the intraday HH/HL chain intact near multi-decade highs.
Support: 162.11
Resistance: 162.313
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.11 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Rejection at 162.31 session high — area to monitor for break or fade
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and persistent MoF intervention risk near highs could shift this read
London session drove USDJPY off the 161.27 open to a session high of 162.31 before easing into a tight consolidation near 162.25, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Yen sits pinned near multi-decade lows and price is holding above rising support at 162.11-162.16.
Support: 162.16, 162.11
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.31 opens the path toward 162.45 resistance
Loss of 162.11 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Japan Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) could shift this read
Intervention headlines remain a squeeze risk near multi-decade highs
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near session high · RSI 63 · price 162.226
Higher highs and higher lows, pulling back from 162.31.
USDJPY ground higher through the Asia session to a fresh session high at 162.31 near multi-decade highs, then eased to 162.23 with RSI(14) cooling from the low-70s. Higher-low structure intact off the 162.15 pullback; supply capping into 162.31.
Support: 162.15
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.31 opens the path toward 162.45
Failure to hold 162.15 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
MoF/BoJ intervention risk elevated at these levels could sharply reverse the read
Higher highs into session top, stalling under 162.31.
USDJPY ground higher through the London session to a session high of 162.31 before stalling, RSI(14) cooling from an earlier push as import-cost yen weakness kept the tape bid near 40-year highs. Price now consolidating around 162.22, holding above the 162.11 swing low.
Support: 162.11, 161.77
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.31 extends the up-leg toward the 162.45 intervention zone
Failure to hold 162.11 opens a pullback to 161.77
MoF/BoJ verbal or actual intervention risk elevated at these multi-decade highs
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Chain of higher highs into 162.31, first pullback underway.
London session extended the second-day rally to a session high of 162.31 before easing to 162.23, RSI(14) cooling from overbought as USD stayed heavy post-NFP miss. Price holds well above EMA20/50; 162.11 is the first pullback support after the break above 161.94.
Support: 162.11, 161.94
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
Loss of 162.11 breaks the higher-low chain and opens 161.94
Approach to 162.45 flags fresh intervention risk near 40-yr highs
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 65 · price 162.226
Higher highs / higher lows off session low.
USDJPY ground higher through the session to a fresh high at 162.31 as the yen stayed pinned near 40-year lows, then eased to 162.23 with RSI cooling from overbought. Micro-structure intact: higher lows holding above 162.11, session high still capping.
Support: 162.11, 162.00
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
Hold above 162.11 keeps the higher-low chain intact; loss of it opens 162.00
Close above 162.31 extends toward the 162.45 area
Intervention risk near multi-decade highs could sharply reverse this leg
Japan Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) and ISM Services could reset the read
Higher highs / higher lows, pullback from session high.
London session extended the climb to a 162.31 session high before pulling back to 162.17, RSI(14) cooling from the rejection. Price is closing in on the 162.45 zone flagged as the MoF intervention-ambush window; rising structure off 162.11 still intact.
Support: 162.11
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 162.11 breaks the rising higher-low chain
A push into 162.45 interv zone risks a sharp fade on intervention headlines
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the yen read
NY session drove USDJPY off 161.27 to a session high of 162.31, stalling just under the 162.45 intervention zone flagged by MoF, with RSI cooling from hot. Price has faded to 162.17 and the 162.11 swing low is the near-term pivot; the broader leg stays intact while 161.94 holds.
Support: 162.11, 161.94
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.31 opens the path to the 162.45 intervention zone
Loss of 162.11 exposes 161.94 and confirms a deeper pullback
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the yen read
Chain of higher highs into session high, first pullback.
London session drove a steady leg higher, printing a session high at 162.31 before the current pullback to 162.17 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought. Price is now within striking distance of the 162.45 intervention zone flagged around prior multi-decade highs.
Support: 162.00
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 162.31 opens the 162.45 intervention zone
Loss of 162.00 psych level would break the intraday HH/HL chain
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum intact · RSI 66 · price 162.172
Chain of higher highs / higher lows.
London session extended the rally, breaking the 162.00 psych level and tagging a session high at 162.31 before the last bar faded to 162.17. RSI(14) near 66 — hot but not extreme; 162.45 sits just above as the flagged intervention zone.
Support: 162.00, 161.80
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45
What it said to watch
A push toward 162.45 re-enters the MoF intervention ambush window flagged in context
Loss of 162.00 psych then 161.80 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
USD/JPY ran a clean intraday uptrend from 161.27 to a 162.31 session high through the London hours as the dollar clawed back part of Thursday's NFP drop. RSI(14) near 70 shows short-term heat but not yet extreme; the latest bar stalled at 162.21 just under the highs.
Support: 162.11
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45, 162.83
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.11 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
162.45 resistance cap — area to watch for rejection or break toward the 162.83 high
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and MoF intervention risk near 162+ could shift this read
07:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 68 · price 162.214
Chain of higher highs and higher lows, testing session high.
USD/JPY rallied hard through the London morning, printing a session high at 162.31 as the dollar clawed back Thursday's NFP-shock losses on rate-differential support. Price is stalling into the 162.45 resistance cap flagged by desks, RSI(14) cooling from a hot reading; ATR(14) ~10 pips. Higher-low chain intact above 162.11.
Support: 162.11
Resistance: 162.31, 162.45, 162.83
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.11 breaks the higher-low chain
162.45 resist cap — area to watch for rejection or break toward 162.83
MoF intervention risk elevated as price revisits 162+
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
Chain of higher highs and higher lows into resistance.
USD/JPY ran from 161.27 to 162.31 through the London session as the dollar clawed back Thursday's NFP-shock losses, RSI(14) hot near 74. Price now stalling just under the 162.45 resistance cap with the 40-yr high at 162.83 above; buyers held the 162.11 swing low on the last pullback.
Support: 162.11
Resistance: 162.45, 162.83
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.45 opens the path toward 162.83
Loss of 162.11 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
MoF intervention chatter elevated as price revisits 162+
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 162.239
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDJPY ground steadily higher through Asia into London, clearing 161.77 and 161.94 to print a session high at 162.313 as the dollar clawed back part of Thursday's NFP-driven drop. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; price holds above both EMAs and now sits just under the 162.45 resistance cap, with 40-yr-high intervention chatter live above.
Support: 161.94, 161.77
Resistance: 162.313, 162.45
What it said to watch
Rejection at 162.45 resist cap keeps the move capped; a close above opens the path toward the 162.83 high
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Fed's Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
Failure to hold 161.94 breaks the higher-low chain
MoF intervention risk elevated in thin liquidity above 162
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 73 · price 162.279
Clean HH/HL chain, pressing highs.
USDJPY ground higher through the session in thin US-holiday liquidity, clearing 162.00 on rate-differential support and printing a fresh high at 162.30. RSI(14) hot near 73 but consistent with the trend; price now approaching the 161.90–162.45 supply cap ahead of the 162.83 multi-decade high.
Support: 161.94
Resistance: 162.45, 162.83
What it said to watch
Close above 162.45 opens the path toward 162.83
MoF intervention risk elevated as price revisits 162+
Failure to hold 161.94 breaks the HL chain
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the read
USDJPY pushed higher through the NY session, printing a run of higher highs to 162.31 as the dollar clawed back part of Thursday's NFP-miss drop; RSI(14) near 79 is hot but normal in this leg. Price is closing in on the 162.45 resistance cap, with the 40-yr high at 162.83 above.
Support: 162.11
Resistance: 162.45, 162.83
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 162.45 opens the path toward 162.83
Loss of 162.11 breaks the higher-low chain
MoF intervention risk elevated on approach to 162.45+
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift JPY read
USD/JPY ground higher through the Asian-into-London hours, clearing 162.00 and printing a session high at 162.272 before easing to 162.12; RSI(14) is hot near 73. The recovery off Thursday's NFP-driven 160.60 low is stretching toward the 162.45 intervention cap flagged in verbal MoF warnings.
Support: 162.00
Resistance: 162.272, 162.45
What it said to watch
Move into 162.45 raises MoF intervention risk — area to watch for sharp rejection
Failure to hold 162.00 breaks the rising support chain
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 68 · price 162.121
HH/HL chain, minor pullback from session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the session off 161.27, printing a session high at 162.27 before easing to 162.12, RSI(14) near 68. The bounce extends the recovery off Thursday's NFP-driven low, but price now sits back near multi-decade highs where MoF intervention risk is live.
Support: 161.94
Resistance: 162.27, 162.45
What it said to watch
Close below 161.94 breaks the near-term higher-low chain
162.45 area to watch for rejection or break into 162.83
Japan Labor Cash Earnings at 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Intervention risk elevated near multi-decade highs
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 74 · price 162.173
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the Asia-London handover, printing a fresh session high at 162.27 on the USD retracement bounce after Thursday's soft NFP. Clean HH/HL structure with RSI(14) around 73, hot but consistent with the trend; 162.45 above is the flagged intervention cap.
Support: 161.94
Resistance: 162.27, 162.45
What it said to watch
Close above 162.45 lifts into intervention-risk territory
Break back below 161.94 breaks the higher-low chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone into the next bars
Series of higher highs and higher lows, fresh session high.
USD/JPY ground higher through the session in a clean HH/HL chain, breaking the 162.00 round number and printing a fresh high at 162.272 as the dollar found footing off Thursday's NFP miss. RSI(14) is hot near 79 with price extended above both EMAs; the 162.45 intervention line-in-sand caps overhead.
Support: 162.00
Resistance: 162.272, 162.45
What it said to watch
Push into 162.45 is the flagged MoF intervention zone — area to watch for rejection in thin liquidity
Close back below 162.00 round number breaks the higher-low chain
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift JPY tone
USD/JPY ground steadily higher through the session, printing fresh highs at 162.164 as the pair recovers from Thursday's NFP-driven dip. RSI(14) near 77 is hot but consistent with the trend; price is now closing on the 162.45 intervention line flagged as MoF's line-in-sand.
Support: 161.94
Resistance: 162.45
What it said to watch
Push into 162.45 raises MoF intervention risk — area to watch for sharp rejection
Failure to hold 161.94 breaks the higher-high chain
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through the Asia-London handover, breaking 162.00 and printing a session high at 162.164 as the dollar retracement bounce noted after Thursday's NFP miss extends. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but consistent with the trend; price sits just below the 162.45 intervention cap flagged by the MoF.
Support: 162.00
Resistance: 162.164, 162.45
What it said to watch
Close above 162.45 opens the path to the 162.83 high — MoF intervention risk elevated at this level
Loss of 162.00 would break the intraday higher-low chain
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift JPY tone
Steady M15 uptrend off the weekend-open low at 161.27, printing a fresh session high at 162.085 as JPY weakness resumes after last week's intervention scare. RSI(14) is hot near 74 but that is normal in trend; 162.45 — the flagged intervention line — is the next resistance overhead.
Support: 161.80, 161.27
Resistance: 162.085, 162.45
What it said to watch
A close above 162.085 opens the path to 162.45
Failure to hold 161.80 breaks the higher-low chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher all session off 161.27, printing a fresh session high at 162.085 with RSI(14) hot near 75 — the residual bid off Thursday's weak NFP holding firm. Rising-low structure intact; the 162.45 zone flagged as the intervention line-in-sand is the next overhead area to watch.
Support: 161.94
Resistance: 162.085, 162.45
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 162.085 opens the path to the 162.45 intervention line
Loss of 161.94 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Stealth MoF intervention risk into thin liquidity near 162.45
USD/JPY has ground higher through the reopen from 161.27 to just under the 161.988 session high, holding a clean HH/HL chain despite the soft-NFP USD backdrop. Price is consolidating in the 161.94-161.95 area with RSI(14) around 68, not yet stretched, but 162.45 remains the noted intervention line above.
Support: 161.77
Resistance: 161.988, 162.00, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.988/162.00 opens the path toward the 162.45 area
Failure to hold 161.77 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC (f/c 3.4%) could shift this read
Intervention risk building into thin liquidity near 162.45
USD/JPY climbed steadily from the 161.27 session low to a 161.99 high, holding a clean HH/HL structure with RSI(14) hot near 73. The move rides residual JPY softness near 40-year lows; intervention chatter and the 162.45 cap loom just above.
Support: 161.77, 161.27
Resistance: 161.99, 162.45
What it said to watch
Close above 161.99 opens the path toward 162.45
Loss of 161.77 breaks the rising HL chain
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and MoF intervention risk could sharply shift this read
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, extending into highs · RSI 72 · price 161.962
Chain of higher highs / higher lows.
USDJPY ground steadily higher through the Asian session off the post-gap 161.27 base, printing a fresh session high at 161.99 with RSI(14) around 72 — hot but consistent with the trend. The rebound extends Thursday's bounce from the 160.62 intervention low as the dollar steadied after the soft NFP.
Support: 161.75
Resistance: 161.99, 162.45
What it said to watch
A break above 161.99 opens the path toward the 162.45 resistance
Loss of 161.75 breaks the higher-low chain and neutralises the uptrend
Intervention risk remains elevated near these levels in thin holiday liquidity
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 161.962
Higher highs, higher lows since session open.
USDJPY has ground steadily higher off the Sunday reopen near 161.27, printing an unbroken chain of higher lows into 161.96 as the post-NFP soft dollar stabilised. RSI(14) is hot at ~71 but not extreme; price is stalling just under the 162.00 round number after tagging a 161.99 session high.
Support: 161.80
Resistance: 162.00, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.00 opens the path to the 162.45 prior high
Loss of the 161.80 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
ISM Services at 14:00 UTC and JPY intervention risk could reset this read
Asia session grinding USDJPY higher to 161.95, retaking ground after Thursday's NFP-driven drop and intervention scare, now pressing the 162.00 psych area with the session high at 161.988. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but normal in this steady climb; buyers stepping in on each pullback into 161.80.
Support: 161.80
Resistance: 161.988, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.988 / 162.00 opens the path to 162.45
Failure to hold 161.80 breaks the higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and lingering intervention risk near 40yr lows could reset this read
05:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 74 · price 161.952
Post-gap higher highs / higher lows into session high.
USDJPY has ground higher through the Asian session off the 161.27 gap low, printing a clean HH/HL chain and stalling at the 161.99 session high. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but consistent with the trend; ATR just ~6 pips, so this is a slow grind rather than an impulsive move. The pair sits ~161.95 after Thursday's soft NFP left USD soft, with intervention chatter capping any run toward 162.45.
Support: 161.807, 161.271
Resistance: 161.988, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.99 opens the path toward the 162.45 resistance
Failure to hold 161.80 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 75 · price 161.937
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDJPY ground higher through the Asia session in a clean higher-high, higher-low chain, printing a fresh session high at 161.94 as the dollar stabilised after Thursday's soft NFP. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but normal for this run; price is now pressing into the 161.90–162.45 zone flagged for intervention risk, where prior rebounds have been sold.
Support: 161.77
Resistance: 161.94, 162.45
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 161.94 opens the path toward 162.45
Loss of the 161.77 higher low breaks the intraday uptrend structure
Any MoF/BoJ intervention headline in thin liquidity could sharply reverse this read
USD/JPY ran a clean intraday uptrend off the 161.27 session low to 161.94, RSI(14) hot near 74 as price pushes into the 161.90-162.45 supply band flagged as a sell-into zone. The dollar's post-NFP softness is being offset by structurally short-yen positioning and a wide rate gap, keeping the grind higher intact for now.
Support: 161.80, 161.27
Resistance: 162.00, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.00 opens the path toward 162.45
Failure to hold 161.80 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
Intervention risk in thin holiday liquidity could sharply cap rebounds
04:46 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 72 · price 161.924
Higher highs / higher lows into session high.
Asia session grinding higher; USD/JPY printed a fresh session high at 161.93 with the dollar still heavy after Thursday's soft NFP, RSI(14) hot in the low-70s and price extended above EMA20/50. Price is pushing into the 161.90–162.45 band flagged as resistance, with MoF intervention risk elevated in thin holiday liquidity.
Support: 161.77
Resistance: 161.931, 162.00, 162.45
What it said to watch
Approach into 162.00 psych / 162.45 — area to watch for rejection
Intervention or BoJ headlines could sharply reverse this in thin liquidity
M15 close below 161.77 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC (f/c 3.4%) a JPY input
USDJPY ground higher through the Asia session, clearing 161.77 and printing a fresh session high at 161.93 with RSI(14) hot near 74. The move is a rebound after last week's NFP-driven dip toward 160.60; context flags 161.90-162.45 as an area rebounds have been sold into.
Support: 161.77
Resistance: 161.93, 162.00, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.77 breaks the Asia uptrend structure
162.00 round number — area to watch for rejection or break
ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could shift this read; intervention risk in thin liquidity
04:31 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 68 · price 161.846
Higher highs, higher lows off post-gap low.
USD/JPY climbed through the Asian session from the post-gap low near 161.27 to 161.86, breaking back above the 161.00 pivot with RSI(14) firm around 67 but not yet extreme. Price is consolidating just under the 161.86 session high after the 161.77 breakout held on the pullback.
Support: 161.77
Resistance: 161.86, 161.90, 162.45
What it said to watch
Close above 161.90 opens the path toward 162.45 resistance
Failure to hold 161.77 breaks the rising sequence
MoF intervention risk in thin liquidity could sharply cap upside near 161.90
USDJPY has ground steadily higher through the Asian session off the Monday gap-open at 161.27, printing a fresh session high at 161.86 with RSI(14) around 70. The advance is orderly with shallow pullbacks holding above 161.77; intervention chatter near 161.90-162.45 is the overhead zone to monitor.
Support: 161.77, 161.27
Resistance: 161.86, 162.45
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.77 breaks the higher-low chain and stalls the grind
Rejection into 161.90-162.45 where intervention risk is flagged
ISM Services at 14:00 UTC and Waller at 15:00 UTC could shift the read
Asian session ground USD/JPY higher off the 161.27 post-gap low, breaking above 161.60 and stalling into the 161.86 session high — an oversold bounce consistent with the recovery flagged in the digest after the recent soft-USD, intervention-wary drift. RSI(14) around 65 is cooling as the last few bars consolidate just under the high; ATR near 7-8 pips.
Support: 161.60, 161.47, 161.27
Resistance: 161.86, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.86 session high extends the leg toward 162.00
Loss of the 161.60 breakout re-opens 161.47 swing low
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and MoF intervention risk could shift this read
Asia session ground steadily higher, USD/JPY climbing from 161.27 to a session high at 161.859 as post-NFP dollar softness stalled and an intraday bounce ran. Price is consolidating just under 161.86 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s; the 161.75 pullback low has held.
Support: 161.747, 161.60
Resistance: 161.859, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.86 opens the path toward 162.00
Failure to hold 161.60 breaks the higher-low chain
MoF intervention risk in thin holiday liquidity could cap and reverse this bounce
USDJPY ground steadily higher through the Asian session, breaking 161.77 and printing a session high at 161.86 with RSI(14) around 71 — short-term hot but consistent with the trend. The bounce off the post-gap 161.27 low leaves a clean higher-low chain; softer USD post-NFP has done little to cap the intraday climb.
Support: 161.77, 161.60
Resistance: 161.86, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.60 breaks the higher-low chain
162.45 rebound cap — area to watch for rejection
ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 161.836
Higher highs, higher lows.
USD/JPY climbed steadily through the Asian session, breaking 161.60 and printing a session high at 161.859, with the yen still underpinned by post-NFP USD softness and intervention chatter. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not stretched — as price consolidates just under the session high.
Support: 161.60, 161.457
Resistance: 161.859, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.86 opens the path toward 162.45
Failure to hold 161.60 negates the breakout and reopens 161.457
ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, stalling near session high · RSI 65 · price 161.795
HH/HL chain into 161.85 cap.
Asian session rallied off 161.27 to a session high at 161.85, an oversold bounce after last week's post-NFP drift lower. Price is stalling just under that high with RSI cooling from the mid-60s; the rising-low structure remains intact above 161.60.
Support: 161.60
Resistance: 161.848, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.85 opens the path to 162.00
Failure to hold 161.60 breaks the rising-low structure
ISM Services 14:00 UTC (f/c 54.2) + Waller could reprice USD
Higher highs into 161.85, tight consolidation at highs.
USDJPY reopened after the weekend gap at 161.27 and ran a clean sequence of higher highs to a session high at 161.85, price above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling from overbought toward 65. Now coiling in a tight 161.75–161.85 band at the highs; buyers stepped in at 161.75 after the 161.85 rejection.
Support: 161.75, 161.60, 161.27
Resistance: 161.85, 162.00
What it said to watch
Close above 161.85 opens the path to 162.00
Loss of 161.75 exposes 161.60 and confirms a lower-high
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and MoF intervention risk in thin liquidity could shift this read
Early-Asia Monday relief bounce off the 161.27 session low, printing a clean chain of higher highs to 161.85 as the dollar steadied following Thursday's soft NFP. RSI(14) elevated near 73 with price stalling just under the session high — consolidation at the top of the intraday range.
Support: 161.70, 161.27
Resistance: 161.848, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.85 opens the path to the 162.00 round number
Failure to hold 161.70 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
MoF intervention chatter into thin liquidity remains the dominant wildcard for JPY
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
03:31 UTC
Uptrend, extended into highs · RSI 72 · price 161.822
Higher highs / higher lows since the weekend gap.
USDJPY gapped lower over the weekend to 161.27 then rallied steadily through the Asian session to a high of 161.848, riding the post-NFP dollar recovery, with RSI(14) running hot near 72. Price is consolidating just below the session high after the leg up.
Support: 161.27
Resistance: 161.848, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.85 opens the path toward 162.45
Failure to hold 161.60 negates the intraday higher-low chain
MoF intervention headlines into thin liquidity remain the wildcard
USDJPY put in a steady Asia-session relief bounce off Friday's post-NFP slide, climbing from 161.27 to a 161.848 session high before stalling. Price is now consolidating around 161.80 with RSI(14) easing back from the highs; the 161.848 top is the near-term area to watch for rejection or a break.
Support: 161.747, 161.70
Resistance: 161.848, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.70 breaks the rising-low sequence
Break above 161.848 extends the bounce toward 162.45
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and intervention chatter could shift this read in thin liquidity
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 66 · price 161.808
Higher highs, higher lows off the reopen low.
Thin holiday reopen saw USD/JPY grind up from 161.27 to a session high at 161.848, a clean HH/HL chain despite the broader post-NFP soft-USD backdrop. Price now consolidating just below the high with RSI(14) around 66, cooling from the push. Pullback found buyers at 161.747.
Support: 161.747
Resistance: 161.848, 162.00
What it said to watch
Break above 161.848 opens the 162.00 psych area
Loss of 161.747 pullback low breaks the HH/HL chain
MoF intervention chatter into thin liquidity could sharply cap upside
HH/HL chain into new session high, minor pullback.
Asia session opened with a steady grind from 161.27 up through the 161.53 consol base into a session high at 161.848, a relief bounce as USD stays soft post-NFP miss. Price is easing back toward 161.77 with RSI(14) ~74 cooling from the highs; the rising structure holds while 161.60 swing low is intact.
Support: 161.60, 161.53, 161.30
Resistance: 161.848
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.60 breaks the rising sequence and exposes the 161.30 session low
Intervention chatter into thin holiday liquidity could sharply cap the bounce near 162.45
Asia session opened with a firm bid, USDJPY rallying off two-week lows near 161.27 to a session high of 161.85 as the post-NFP dollar softness partly unwound. Price now pulling back to 161.77 with RSI(14) cooling from ~70; the rising sequence of higher lows is intact above 161.70.
Support: 161.70, 161.00
Resistance: 161.85, 162.45
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.70 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Acceptance below 161.00 exposes the 160.60 pivot
MoF intervention headlines into thin holiday liquidity could sharply reprice this move
Asian session opened with a steady climb off the 161.27 base, breaking prior consolidation and printing a session high at 161.85, RSI(14) running hot near 74. Relief bounce fits the softer-USD post-NFP tone, though 162.45 caps above and intervention risk lingers into thin holiday liquidity.
Support: 161.60, 161.27
Resistance: 161.85, 162.00, 162.45
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 161.85 opens 162.00 then 162.45
Failure to hold 161.60 breaks the higher-low chain
MoF intervention headlines could sharply reverse this rally
ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reset the USD read
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 74 · price 161.80
Higher highs and higher lows off Monday open.
USDJPY has run a steady relief bounce through the Monday Asia open, climbing from 161.27 to a 161.85 session high after last week's slide toward 161.00. Price holds at 161.80 with RSI(14) near 73 — hot but consistent with the trend; the prior swing high at 161.40 flipped to support on the break.
Support: 161.60, 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.85, 162.45
What it said to watch
Close above 161.85 opens the path toward the 162.45 resistance
Failure to hold 161.60 threatens the higher-low chain
ISM Services at 14:00 UTC and MoF intervention risk could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 72 · price 161.805
Higher highs, rising lows off 161.27.
USD/JPY has run a relief bounce off 161.27 in thin holiday liquidity, breaking above 161.60 and printing a session high at 161.848 with RSI(14) around 72. The move fits a short-covering rebound after the post-NFP slide; price is holding just under the highs into the current bar.
Support: 161.60, 161.27
Resistance: 161.85
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.60 would negate the breakout and reopen 161.27
ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 54.2) could materially shift this read
MoF intervention chatter into thin liquidity remains a wildcard
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 72 · price 161.805
Higher highs and higher lows.
USDJPY ground higher through thin Asia-session trade, running from 161.27 to a 161.85 session high and clearing the 161.60 shelf on soft-USD short-covering. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; the higher-high/higher-low chain remains intact.
Support: 161.60, 161.47, 161.27
Resistance: 161.85
What it said to watch
Acceptance back below 161.60 negates the breakout
Loss of 161.47 breaks the higher-low chain
MoF intervention chatter into thin liquidity could sharply reverse this rally
Asian session Monday ground steadily higher from 161.27, accelerating into a session high at 161.848 with RSI(14) hot near 78. Relief bounce off the post-NFP lows, matching the digest's recovery-toward-161.90 scenario; price now pressing the session high.
Support: 161.70, 161.27
Resistance: 161.85, 161.90, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.90 opens the path to 162.45 supply
Failure to hold 161.70 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain
MoF intervention risk remains the dominant wildcard into thin liquidity
USDJPY climbed steadily off the 161.27 Sunday open to a fresh session high at 161.85, recovering ground after last week's post-NFP slide. RSI(14) is stretched near 76 as the move accelerated through 161.60; the 161.85/161.90 zone is the near-term cap.
Support: 161.60, 161.27
Resistance: 161.85, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.90 opens the path toward 162.45
Failure to hold 161.60 breaks the rising-low chain
MoF intervention risk remains the dominant wildcard into thin liquidity
Monday Asia open drove a sharp recovery off the 161.27 gap low, USD/JPY grinding higher in a clean HH/HL chain to a session high of 161.81 — the oversold bounce back into the 160.80–161.90 range flagged after Friday's soft-NFP slide. RSI(14) near 73, hot but consistent with the trend; 161.90 range top is the immediate hurdle overhead.
Support: 161.60, 161.27
Resistance: 161.90, 162.45
What it said to watch
161.90 range top — area to watch for rejection or break toward 162.45
Failure to hold 161.60 breaks the intraday HL chain
MoF intervention risk remains live in thin liquidity near 40-yr lows
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC (f/c 3.4%) could shift the JPY read
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 81 · price 161.806
Chain of higher highs, HH/HL intact.
Thin early-Asia trade gapped USD/JPY higher and buyers extended the leg from 161.27 to a 161.81 session high, RSI(14) running hot near 81. This is an oversold bounce against the softer-USD/firmer-JPY backdrop after Thursday's NFP miss; momentum stretched into 161.90 resistance.
Support: 161.70
Resistance: 161.81, 161.90, 162.45
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.70 pullback low would stall the higher-high sequence
Acceptance above 161.90 opens the path toward 162.45 resistance
MoF intervention headlines remain a two-way swing factor in thin liquidity
Higher highs off session low, testing session high.
Monday Asia open pushed USD/JPY off 161.27 through 161.77 in thin liquidity, an oversold bounce after Friday's soft-payroll slide. RSI(14) near 71 and the last two bars stalled at the 161.77 session high, buyers pausing after the run.
Support: 161.60, 161.47
Resistance: 161.77, 161.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.77 opens the path toward 161.90
Failure to hold the 161.60 breakout returns price into the 161.47 swing zone
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 71 · price 161.715
Rising lows, session breakout.
Thin early-Asia Monday trade lifted USD/JPY off the 161.27 open to a session high of 161.77, a recovery bounce after the NFP-driven yen strength. Price is holding near the highs with RSI(14) hot around 70; buyers stepped in repeatedly on the way up, printing a rising-low chain.
Support: 161.60
Resistance: 161.772, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.77 opens the path toward 161.90
Failure to hold 161.60 breaks the rising-low chain
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and MoF intervention risk could shift this read
Early-week Asia trade drove an impulsive rally off 161.27 straight into the 161.77 session high, closing at the top with RSI(14) stretched near 80. Move looks like an oversold bounce after last week's NFP-driven slide; each pullback held higher, no sign yet of a pause into the high.
Support: 161.53, 161.27
Resistance: 161.77, 162.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.53 breaks the rising HL chain and cools the impulse
Acceptance above 161.77 opens the path toward 162.00
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could reprice JPY and shift this read
Thin early-Asia Monday trade ground higher off 161.28, breaking the prior session high with a clean push to 161.77, RSI(14) near 71. Move fits the oversold-bounce read after the NFP-driven slide, buyers stepping in on each dip toward the 161.90 range top.
Support: 161.45, 161.28
Resistance: 161.90, 162.45
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.45 breaks the higher-low chain and stalls the bounce
Acceptance above 161.90 opens the path toward 162.45
Labor Cash Earnings Mon 23:30 UTC could reset this read in thin liquidity
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 72 · price 161.618
Higher highs post-gap, at session high.
USDJPY opened after the weekend gap near 161.27 and ground higher through the session to a fresh high at 161.618, RSI(14) around 71. Buyers held each dip against a rising sequence of lows; the 161.455 swing low is the nearest structure below despite the broader intervention-watch backdrop near 162.45.
Support: 161.455, 161.40
Resistance: 161.618, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.455 breaks the post-gap higher-low chain
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) could reset this read
MoF intervention headlines near 162.45 remain a near-term wildcard
Asia session ground USDJPY steadily higher off 161.27 to a fresh session high at 161.62, RSI(14) running hot near 74 as the dollar bounces after last week's NFP shock. Higher-low chain intact; the move is one-directional with shallow pullbacks.
Support: 161.45, 161.27
Resistance: 161.62
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.45 breaks the higher-low chain
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) can shift this read
MoF intervention chatter near 162.45 keeps upside spike risk live
Thin Asia session opened after the weekend gap and ground steadily higher, printing a clean higher-high chain into 161.60 with RSI(14) around 72. USD/JPY is firming back toward the 161.90/162.45 zone despite the JPY intervention narrative, with buyers absorbing dips at each post-gap higher low.
Support: 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.60 opens the path toward 161.90/162.45
Failure to hold 161.27 breaks the post-gap higher-low chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and MoF intervention headlines near 162.45 could shift this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 72 · price 161.55
Higher highs, higher lows off session low.
Asia session opened Monday grinding higher from 161.27 to a session high 161.55 after a weekend gap, with USD staying heavy post-NFP miss. RSI(14) near 72 — hot but consistent with the intraday push; price holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 161.46, 161.27
Resistance: 161.60, 161.90
What it said to watch
Close above 161.60 extends the session leg toward 161.90
Loss of 161.46 breaks the higher-low chain
MoF intervention headlines and Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) could abruptly shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 69 · price 161.527
Higher highs since Monday open.
Asia session grinding higher off 161.27 into the Monday open, printing a session high at 161.584 before settling near 161.52. RSI(14) around 69 — short-term hot but not extreme — with a clean chain of higher lows holding the rising structure.
Support: 161.457
Resistance: 161.584
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.584 extends the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 161.457 breaks the higher-low sequence
Labor Cash Earnings (Mon 23:30 UTC) and MoF intervention headlines near 162.45 could shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 161.527
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
Asian session pushed a steady chain of higher lows, breaking through 161.40 and printing a session high at 161.584 before easing to 161.527, RSI(14) near 67. Move runs against the broader USD-heavy backdrop, so intervention chatter around 162.45 remains the wildcard.
Support: 161.457, 161.40
Resistance: 161.584, 161.54
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.40 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Close above 161.584 extends the session high
Labor Cash Earnings (23:30 UTC) and any MoF intervention headline could reset this read
Early Asian session reopened with a weekend gap and a steady grind higher off 161.28, part of the oversold bounce after last week's NFP-driven slide toward 160.60. Session high printed 161.58 before a shallow pullback to 161.49; RSI(14) hot but not extreme in the thin holiday tape.
Support: 161.41, 161.28
Resistance: 161.58
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.28 negates the session uptrend
Rejection at 161.58 caps the reopen rally
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and MoF intervention risk can jolt this thin tape
USDJPY has ground higher through thin holiday-liquidity Asia hours, printing a chain of higher lows from 161.271 into a 161.584 session high before easing to 161.489. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not extreme, with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50; the broader context remains a JPY short-squeeze off 40-yr lows with MoF intervention chatter live.
Support: 161.457, 161.40, 161.271
Resistance: 161.584
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 161.584 extends the intraday higher-high sequence
Loss of 161.457 breaks the rising support and stalls the up-leg
Discretionary MoF intervention risk elevated in thin liquidity; sub-160.60 remains the broader pivot
Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
00:16 UTC
Uptrend off the week-open low · RSI 71 · price 161.531
Higher highs, higher lows post-gap.
Thin week-open liquidity, USDJPY ground up from 161.27 to a session high 161.58 after Thursday's soft NFP already reset the pair lower; RSI(14) near 71, short-term hot but normal in this grind. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on the 161.42 swing low; move is a corrective bounce inside the broader slide toward 160.60.
Support: 161.42, 161.27
Resistance: 161.58, 161.90
What it said to watch
Rejection at 161.58 caps the bounce and re-exposes 161.27
Close above 161.58 opens the path back toward 161.90
MoF intervention chatter keeps thin-liquidity ambush risk live; Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Monday Asia reopen gapped slightly lower to 161.27 then ground higher in thin holiday-thinned liquidity, tagging a fresh session high at 161.584. RSI(14) near 68 and price holds above both EMAs; the intraday HL chain off the reopen remains intact.
Support: 161.42, 161.27
Resistance: 161.58
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.42 breaks the reopen higher-low chain
USD/JPY near 160.60 pivot keeps MoF intervention risk live in thin liquidity
Japan Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift the JPY read
Thin Asia-session Monday open: USDJPY gapped down near 161.27 then ground higher to a session high at 161.50, retracing part of last week's NFP-driven slide. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but ATR sits at ~5 pips, reflecting holiday-thin liquidity.
Support: 161.40, 161.27
Resistance: 161.50
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.50 session high extends the recovery
Failure to hold 161.40 swing low reopens the 161.27 gap open
JPY Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC could shift this read
Thin Monday Asia open recovered from the 161.28 gap low and climbed to a session high at 161.50, clearing Friday's 161.42 top; move sits against Thursday's NFP-miss USD weakness that dragged the pair toward 160.62. RSI(14) near 71 flags a short-term hot but not extreme reading on tiny holiday-thin volumes.
Support: 161.40, 161.28, 160.62
Resistance: 161.50
What it said to watch
Loss of 161.40 puts the 161.28 asia low back in play
JPY Labor Cash Earnings 23:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reset this read
Sustained trade above 161.50 extends the intraday higher-high sequence