USD/JPY AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 7 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/JPY 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 74 · price 162.321
Higher highs into 40yr high.
Asia session grinding higher on thin volume, breaking the 162.05–162.10 range and printing a session high at 162.32 as it approaches the 40-year cycle high at 162.84. RSI(14) hot near 73 but not extended into extreme territory; the 162–163 zone carries intervention risk given stretched short-yen positioning.
Support: 162.05
Resistance: 162.32, 162.84
What it said to watch
Push into 162.84 keeps intervention watch alive in the 162–163 zone
Loss of 162.05 prior range breaks the intraday higher-high chain
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
23:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm into Asia · RSI 71 · price 162.321
Higher highs, range broken to upside.
Asia session ground higher, breaking out of the 161.86–162.10 range and pushing into a fresh session high at 162.32 with RSI(14) hot near 71. Move stalls just below the 162.84 cycle high inside the 162–163 zone flagged for intervention risk.
Support: 162.05, 161.86
Resistance: 162.32, 162.84
What it said to watch
Loss of 162.05 breakout base signals a failed break back into range
Approach to 162.84 cycle high — area to watch for rejection or extension into the 162-163 intervention zone
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
USDJPY ground out of the 161.85-161.95 range in thin late-session trade and pushed to fresh session highs at 162.29, RSI(14) hot near 71 on very light volume. Price is now grinding into the 162.40 rejection zone, with the 40-year cycle high at 162.84 as the ceiling and intervention risk flagged across the 162-163 area.
Support: 162.05, 161.90
Resistance: 162.40, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close above 162.40 opens the path to the 162.84 cycle high
Loss of 162.05 breakout level returns price into the prior range top at 161.90
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC and 162-163 intervention risk could shift this read
23:31 UTC
Uptrend, breaking to session high · RSI 78 · price 162.282
NY-session recovery, printing higher highs.
USD/JPY ground higher through the late-NY/Asia handover, breaking above 162.20 to a fresh session high at 162.29 with RSI(14) hot near 78. Carry-driven bid intact but price is closing in on the flagged 162.40 rejection zone with intervention risk live into the 162-163 area.
Support: 162.05
Resistance: 162.40, 162.84
What it said to watch
Sustained push above 162.40 reopens the 162.84 40-yr high and sharpens intervention watch
Loss of 162.05 session low signals the breakout is fading
162-163 official intervention risk could trigger a sharp reversal
Thin late-session grind higher: USDJPY broke above the 162.05-162.14 range and printed fresh highs at 162.28, RSI(14) ~74, hot but not extreme. Price is edging toward the 162.40 rejection zone flagged into intervention territory below the 162.84 40-year high.
Support: 162.05
Resistance: 162.40, 162.84
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 162.40 opens the 162.84 40yr high
Loss of 162.05 negates the breakout and returns price into range
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reprice the USD leg
162-163 intervention zone in play near cycle highs
USDJPY ground higher through a thin late session, breaking the 162.13 shelf to print 162.28 with RSI(14) around 71. Price is now stepping into the 162.40 rejection zone flagged into FOMC minutes, with the 40-year high at 162.84 the next ceiling; the earlier 161.66 session low held cleanly.
Support: 162.05, 161.66
Resistance: 162.40, 162.84
What it said to watch
Push above 162.40 opens 162.84 40yr high and heightens intervention watch in the 162-163 zone
Loss of 162.05 prior high would neutralise the breakout back into consolidation
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 68 · price 162.178
Higher lows into session high, thin late-session tape.
USD/JPY dug a session low at 161.68 during London hours then recovered, with a fresh leg from 161.86 through the NY afternoon lifting price to a session high of 162.194. Thin late-session volume (last bar just 11) shows the pair grinding higher on higher lows; the softer USD tone kept the earlier fade contained.
Support: 162.05, 161.86, 161.68
Resistance: 162.194, 162.40
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 162.194 opens the path toward the 162.40 prior high and the 162-163 intervention zone
Loss of 162.05 pullback low would break the rising-support sequence
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/JPY ground higher through late NY into Asia, rallying from 161.86 to a 162.194 session high after fading Monday's 162.40 area earlier in the window. Price is stalling just under the highs, RSI(14) around 67 — hot but not extreme; the intervention zone at 162.40+ sits overhead.
Support: 162.05, 161.86
Resistance: 162.194, 162.40
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.194 opens the path toward the 162.40 prior high
Failure to hold 162.05 breaks the HL chain and reopens 161.86
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:46 UTC
Recovery, grinding to session high · RSI 67 · price 162.165
Breakout above intraday consolidation, HH/HL.
USD/JPY reclaimed 162.00 through the NY-Asia transition and pushed to a session high 162.193 after fading Monday's 162.40. RSI(14) firm near 67 with price holding above the prior 161.85–161.95 consolidation; 162.00 now acting as support.
Support: 162.00, 161.90
Resistance: 162.19, 162.40
What it said to watch
Close back below 162.00 returns price into the prior 161.90 range
Push above 162.40 enters the 162-163 MoF intervention zone
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 63 · price 162.165
Higher lows off session low, pressing session high.
Thin Asia-session grind higher lifted USDJPY off the 161.68 session low back to a fresh session high at 162.19, RSI(14) around 63 with room before extremes. Price is now approaching the 162.40 MoF intervention zone flagged into Wednesday's FOMC minutes; volume on the late push is light.
Support: 162.05, 161.86, 161.68
Resistance: 162.193, 162.40
What it said to watch
Close above 162.40 enters the 162-163 intervention window
Loss of 162.05 reopens 161.86 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main driver for the differential
USDJPY broke out of the 161.85-161.95 consolidation late in the session, pressing to a 162.19 session high before easing to 162.14 on thin Asia volume. Pair sits just below the 162.40 intervention zone flagged by MoF risk; RSI(14) elevated but not extreme.
Support: 162.05, 161.90
Resistance: 162.19, 162.40
What it said to watch
Loss of 162.05 puts price back inside the prior range
A close above 162.40 enters the 162-163 intervention zone
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main USD catalyst
USD/JPY carved a session low at 161.68 during London-NY, spent hours pinned to a 161.90 consolidation, then broke higher into Asia hours to print 162.19 — pair now consolidating just under the cycle high. Move fits the softer-USD/mild-yen-relief backdrop, but price is grinding straight into the 162-163 MoF intervention zone.
Support: 162.00, 161.90, 161.68
Resistance: 162.19, 162.40
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 162.19 opens the path back toward 162.40
Loss of 162.00 puts the 161.90 consolidation floor back in play
162.40+ enters the acute intervention window flagged into FOMC minutes
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Recovery, pushing session high · RSI 68 · price 162.173
Range break to the upside.
USD/JPY ground back to a session high at 162.19 in thin Asian hours, reclaiming the 161.85-161.95 range top after basing off the 161.66 session low. The push sits just below the 162.40 intervention watch zone, and volume is light so the move lacks conviction.
Support: 161.86, 161.66
Resistance: 162.19, 162.40
What it said to watch
Close above 162.40 enters the MoF intervention zone
Loss of 161.86 puts price back inside the range
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main driver
Recovery off 161.68 low, breaking prior consolidation back toward cycle high.
USD/JPY based at the 161.68 session low, chopped in a 161.85–161.95 range through the quiet hours, then broke higher into 162.18 on the late push. Pair sits back near the cycle high with positioning stretched and the 162–162.40 intervention zone overhead.
Support: 162.05, 161.86, 161.68
Resistance: 162.18, 162.40
What it said to watch
Push into 162.40 puts price in the MoF intervention zone
Failure to hold 162.05 reopens the 161.86 base
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main driver for this pair
22:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 64 · price 162.164
Recovered off session low, higher highs into range top.
USDJPY clawed back from the 161.66 session low and broke above the 162.10 consolidation on thin late-session volume, now pressing the 162.18 session high near 40-yr highs. RSI(14) around 64 — hot but not extreme; upside runs straight into the 162.40 intervention zone MoF has flagged.
Support: 162.05, 161.66
Resistance: 162.18, 162.40
What it said to watch
Sustained push above 162.40 enters the acute MoF intervention window
Failure to hold 162.05 negates the late-session breakout
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main USD driver
21:46 UTC
Recovering, near session high · RSI 63 · price 162.129
Consolidation broke upside into late NY.
USDJPY chopped in a 161.86–161.95 consolidation through the London-NY stretch, then a late-session push lifted it to a session high 162.174 and back above the 162.00 pivot. RSI(14) around 63, not yet stretched; upside runs into MoF intervention risk flagged near 162.40.
Support: 162.00, 161.86
Resistance: 162.174, 162.40
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.18 session high opens the path toward the 162.40 mof cap
Failure to hold the 162.00 pivot reopens 161.86 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main USD driver
Breakout from 161.90 consolidation, testing session high.
USDJPY chopped in a 161.85–161.95 band through most of the window before a late-session push reclaimed the 162.00 pivot and ran into the 162.17 session high. Volume thinned into the close, so the breakout is running on light participation; the digest flags MoF intervention risk overhead near 162.80.
Support: 162.05, 161.86
Resistance: 162.17, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.86 negates the breakout and returns price to the consolidation band
Rejection at 162.18 keeps the session range capped
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main USD driver
Reclaim of pivot after intraday washout, testing session highs.
NY afternoon lifted the pair off 161.86 and back through the 162.00 pivot, now grinding toward the 162.18 prior high into thin early-Asia hours. RSI(14) mid-60s, room before overbought; buyers stepped in repeatedly along a rising support line off the 161.65 washout low.
Support: 162.00, 161.86, 161.65
Resistance: 162.18, 162.40
What it said to watch
Close above 162.18 opens the path toward the 162.40 intervention zone
Loss of 162.00 pivot reopens 161.86 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the main upcoming USD catalyst
USD/JPY dipped to a 161.68 session low as JPY firmed on fiscal-discipline comments, then recovered through the 162.00 pivot into late NY, now probing the 162.18 session high with RSI(14) near 69. Price has fully retraced the earlier drop from 162.18.
Support: 162.00, 161.68
Resistance: 162.18, 162.40
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.18 opens the path toward the 162.40 intervention zone
Failure to hold 162.00 pivot reopens 161.68 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the main near-term USD driver
21:16 UTC
Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 58 · price 162.056
Reclaim of 162.00, holding below session high.
NY session rallied off 161.857 back through the 162.00 pivot, printing a session high at 162.137 before flattening into a tight 162.05-162.10 consolidation. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 58 with price holding above EMA20/50. FOMC minutes Wednesday remain the key USD catalyst.
Support: 162.00, 161.857
Resistance: 162.137, 162.18, 162.40
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.137 opens the 162.18 prior high and 162.40 intervention zone
Loss of the 162.00 pivot re-exposes the 161.857 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Recovery, consolidating near highs · RSI 57 · price 162.056
Higher low into NY bounce, ranging sub-162.14.
NY session lifted the pair off 161.86 to a 162.137 high around 18:00 UTC, breaking the prior session range; price is now consolidating 162.05-162.14 into the Asia open with RSI(14) cooling from the push. The 162.00 pivot has held as a floor after the bounce.
Support: 162.00, 161.85, 161.68
Resistance: 162.137, 162.40
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.14 opens the path toward the 162.40 intervention zone
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes 161.85 and the 161.68 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
21:02 UTC
Uptrend, recent breakout · RSI 63 · price 162.108
Higher low then breakout, consolidating below session high.
NY session lifted off the 161.85 base and broke back through 162.00 to a session high of 162.137, a largely USD-led move. Price now consolidating just under that high with RSI cooling from the push; the 161.65 day low remains the anchor of the range.
Support: 161.85
Resistance: 162.137, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.137 opens the path toward the 162.18 prior high
Failure to hold 161.85 reopens the 161.65 day low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next catalyst for this pair
21:02 UTC
Short-term uptrend after breakout · RSI 63 · price 162.108
Broke above multi-hour range, higher highs.
USDJPY spent most of the London-NY window ranging 161.85–161.95 before a late-NY leg lifted it through the range top to a session high of 162.137, aligning with the broadly softer USD read. Price now consolidates just under that high with RSI(14) around 63 — hot but not extreme.
Support: 162.05, 161.86
Resistance: 162.137, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 161.86 negates the breakout and returns price into the range
Break of 162.137 opens the path toward the 162.18 prior high
Approach to the ~162.84 cycle high raises MoF intervention risk
NY session recovered the earlier London drop, rallying from 161.86 back to the 162.137 session high; move was USD-led with USD/JPY still pinned below the 162.84 cycle high. Price now consolidating around 162.09 just under session high, RSI easing from the rally peak.
Support: 161.86, 161.68
Resistance: 162.137, 162.18
What it said to watch
Close above 162.137 opens the path toward 162.18 and the 162.84 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.86 reopens the 161.68 day low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Recovering, back near intraday high · RSI 62 · price 162.099
Rebound off 161.86, coiling below session high.
Late NY rally broke the hours-long 161.87–161.95 coil, spiking to 162.137 before easing to 162.099 on a retest of the breakout. RSI mid-60s, price holding above EMA20/50 with the session high the immediate cap.
Support: 162.05, 161.86
Resistance: 162.137, 162.18
What it said to watch
Close above 162.137 opens the path to the 162.18 prior high
Failure to hold 162.05 risks a slide back toward the 161.86 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next catalyst for this read
20:31 UTC
Recovering, upside pressure into NY · RSI 66 · price 162.084
Broke above London consolidation.
USD/JPY spent London pinned in a tight 161.85–162.00 consolidation, then broke higher on the NY session, tagging a session high at 162.14 before easing to 162.08 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Price sits above the reclaimed 162.00 breakout line; the 40-yr/cycle high at 162.84 remains the flagged intervention area above.
Support: 162.00
Resistance: 162.14, 162.18, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 162.00 puts price back inside the London range
Push through 162.14 opens 162.18 and the 162.84 cycle high, where intervention risk rises
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session rally lifted USDJPY off the 161.86 base and out of a multi-hour consolidation, tagging 162.137 before easing to 162.08 — a USD-led move with the yen pinned near cycle lows. RSI(14) around 61, cooling off the high; the 162.84 cycle/intervention line still sits ~75 pips above.
Support: 162.00, 161.86
Resistance: 162.137, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.137 opens the path toward the 162.84 cycle high
Failure to hold 162.00 puts the 161.86 breakout base back in play
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session lifted USDJPY off the 161.86 consolidation and back above 162.00 to session highs at 162.14 as the USD firmed. RSI(14) near 66, momentum constructive but not yet stretched; the 162.14 area caps for now.
Support: 161.86
Resistance: 162.14, 162.42
What it said to watch
Close above 162.14 opens the path toward 162.42 prior high
Failure back below 161.86 returns price into the prior range
162.42/162.84 remains an intervention risk zone on further USD strength
Late NY hours saw price break out of the tight 161.86–161.95 consolidation and push to a session high of 162.137, now easing back to retest 162.00. RSI(14) has cooled from the impulse; USD/JPY sits below the ~162.84 cycle high with intervention rhetoric the main two-way risk.
Support: 162.00, 161.86
Resistance: 162.137
What it said to watch
Hold above 162.00 keeps the breakout intact; failure back below returns price into the 161.86–161.95 consolidation
Close above 162.137 session high opens the path toward the ~162.84 intervention zone
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Recovery, breakout from range · RSI 63 · price 162.063
Consolidation broke upward late NY session.
USDJPY ground sideways in a tight 161.85-161.95 band through the NY session before breaking up to a 162.14 session high late, pulling back to 162.06; RSI cooling from the push. Move was USD-led as DXY held below its 101.00 pivot; the 161.68 session low held earlier on the day.
Support: 161.90, 161.68
Resistance: 162.14, 162.42
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 162.14 opens the path toward the 162.42 intervention zone flagged by authorities
Loss of the 161.90 range top puts 161.68 session low back in focus
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:46 UTC
Recovering, late NY momentum up · RSI 62 · price 162.063
Breakout from mid-range consolidation.
Late NY buyers pushed USDJPY out of the 161.86–161.96 consolidation, tagging a session high of 162.137 before easing to 162.06. Earlier London hours swept down to 161.68; move higher is USD-led with the pair pinned near cycle highs.
Support: 162.00, 161.86, 161.68
Resistance: 162.137, 162.40
What it said to watch
Close above 162.137 opens the path toward the 162.40 intervention zone
Failure to hold 162.00 returns price into the 161.86 consolidation
FOMC minutes tomorrow (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Range breaking higher, momentum picking up · RSI 66 · price 162.079
Multi-hour range base broken, fresh intraday high.
Price coiled in a tight 161.83–161.96 range through the NY session, then broke the range top in the last hour to tag 162.137, closing 162.079 with RSI(14) around 66. Move is USD-led, in line with the firm-dollar tone; 162.18 prior high is the next area to watch.
Support: 161.90
Resistance: 162.137, 162.18, 162.40
What it said to watch
Close back below 161.90 negates the breakout and returns price to the range
162.18 prior high / 162.40 intervention zone — areas to watch for rejection
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Late NY session: USD/JPY broke out of a multi-hour consolidation around 161.90, rallying to a session high of 162.137 with RSI(14) near 67. Move fits the firm-USD tone and keeps price stalking the prior high at 162.18, still well below the ~162.84 intervention line.
Support: 161.86
Resistance: 162.137, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.18 opens the path toward the 162.84 cycle high
Failure to hold 161.86 returns price into the prior consolidation
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read
19:16 UTC
Recovery, back at session highs · RSI 63 · price 162.103
Reclaimed range top after London dip.
USD/JPY snapped out of the 161.85–161.95 consolidation into the NY session, rallying to 162.10 and recovering the full London drop to 161.68. Price now sits just under the 162.18 prior high with intervention chatter noted near 162.40.
Support: 161.86, 161.68
Resistance: 162.18, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.18 opens path toward the 162.42 intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.86 range base reopens the 161.68 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key USD driver for this pair
19:16 UTC
Recovering, momentum picking up · RSI 71 · price 162.103
Breakout from intraday consolidation.
Price coiled in a tight 161.85–161.95 band through the NY afternoon, then broke sharply higher into 162.10 on the last two bars, clearing the consolidation. RSI(14) cooling in from 71 as USD/JPY grinds back toward the 162.18 session high with intervention chatter noted near 162.40.
Support: 161.90
Resistance: 162.18, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.18 opens the path toward the 162.42 intervention zone
Slip back below 161.90 negates the breakout and returns price to the range
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key USD driver for the next legs
19:01 UTC
Sideways, low volatility · RSI 57 · price 161.968
Range after earlier flush, coiling near top.
USDJPY flushed to 161.68 in the Asian hours then recovered into a tight range between 161.85 and 162.03, ATR compressed to ~5.5 pips as USD softened and price sits well below the 162.84 cycle high. Last bar ticked up to 161.968, mid-range; no setup in play.
Support: 161.85, 161.68
Resistance: 162.03, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 reopens the path to 162.18 and the cycle high
Failure to hold 161.85 reopens 161.68 session low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next material driver; intervention risk elevated near 162.84
19:01 UTC
Recovering from intraday low, grinding up · RSI 59 · price 161.968
Tight consolidation, edging toward 162.00.
USDJPY faded from the 162.18 session high to 161.655 before basing and consolidating tightly around 161.90 through the quiet late session. The last two bars pushed back toward 162.00, roughly the 61.8% retrace of that decline, with RSI(14) near 59 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 161.85, 161.655
Resistance: 162.00, 162.18
What it said to watch
Close above 162.00 opens the path to the 162.18 prior high
Failure to hold the 161.85 range floor reopens the 161.655 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat · RSI 44 · price 161.863
Range 161.85–161.95 after breakdown.
USD/JPY broke down from the 162.18 session high through the Asian hours to 161.66, then recovered through London to stall at a 161.85–161.95 band. NY has kept it pinned at the range floor near 161.86 with RSI mid-40s; softer USD ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes is capping the rebound.
Support: 161.85, 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 161.95, 162.08, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.85 range floor reopens the 161.66 session low
Reclaim of 161.95 range top needed to challenge 162.08 prior high
FOMC minutes Wed could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Downtrend faded to consolidation · RSI 43 · price 161.863
Ranging near lows after fade from 162.18.
USDJPY faded from the 162.18 session high to 161.655 and has since coiled in a 161.78–161.955 band, now drifting to the lower edge at 161.86. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; price is pinned just below EMA20/50 in a quiet, post-NY tape.
Support: 161.78, 161.655
Resistance: 161.955
What it said to watch
Close below 161.78 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 161.655 session low
Reclaim of 161.955 puts the range top back in play
Japan Current Account (23:50 UTC) is a minor near-term risk
18:31 UTC
Faded from highs, now flat · RSI 46 · price 161.892
Consolidation after intraday decline.
USD/JPY faded from 162.18 through the Asia and London sessions to a 161.65 session low, then coiled into a tight 161.85–161.96 band through NY hours. Momentum is flat, RSI(14) mid-range near 46, with the pair pinned just below the 162 handle ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 161.85, 161.65
Resistance: 161.96, 162.08
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 range top reopens the 162.08 prior high
Loss of 161.85 range floor exposes the 161.65 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for the rate-differential leg
18:31 UTC
Downtrend faded to range · RSI 49 · price 161.892
Tight consolidation after intraday sell-off.
USD/JPY sold off from the 162.18 session high to 161.65 during the early hours, then based and coiled into a tight 161.85–161.96 band through the NY session. Price is pinned at EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 48 — no directional impulse in the last several hours as the pair holds within the 161.50–162.45 intraday consolidation.
Support: 161.85, 161.78, 161.655
Resistance: 161.96, 162.02, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.85 reopens the session low at 161.655
Close above 161.96 puts the 162.02 prior high back in play
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this range decisively
18:16 UTC
Sideways after intraday fade · RSI 48 · price 161.894
Tight consolidation above session low.
USDJPY faded from 162.16 to a 161.66 session low mid-window, then recovered and has coiled into a tight 161.85–161.95 band on thinning volume through NY hours. RSI(14) sits neutral near 48 with price pinned around the EMAs — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 161.85, 161.78, 161.66
Resistance: 161.95, 162.02
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.85 exposes 161.78 then the 161.66 session low
Close above 161.95 breaks the consolidation band toward 162.02
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next catalyst for this pair
18:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 161.894
Consolidation after intraday fade.
USD/JPY has gone flat into the NY afternoon, coiling in a tight 161.85–161.96 band after fading from the 162.18 high to a 161.655 session low earlier in the window. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 and ATR has compressed to ~7 pips — no setup in play ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 161.85, 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 161.96, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 range top opens the path back toward 162.03
Break below 161.75 swing low exposes the 161.655 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst for the rate-differential read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 46 · price 161.889
Tight consolidation after morning drop.
USD/JPY faded from the 162.18 morning high toward 161.655 during the NY session, then coiled into a tight 161.85-161.96 band for the last several hours with RSI(14) neutral near 46. No setup in play — price is pinned mid-range into the late NY session, holding well below Monday's 162.84 cycle high.
Support: 161.85, 161.655
Resistance: 161.96, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 range top reopens 162.03 swing high
M15 close below 161.85 range floor exposes the 161.655 day low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next catalyst for the rate-differential leg
18:01 UTC
Down then flat, consolidating · RSI 46 · price 161.889
Range after intraday selloff.
USDJPY sold off from the 162.18 session high to a 161.66 low, then coiled in a tight 161.78-161.96 band with RSI(14) sitting mid-range near 46. Price is drifting on thin late-session volume, pinned just under its EMAs with no fresh direction.
Support: 161.78, 161.66
Resistance: 161.96, 162.03, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.78 reopens the 161.66 swing low
Reclaim of 161.96 needed to challenge 162.03
Japan Current Account at 23:50 UTC could stir the JPY leg
17:46 UTC
Sideways after intraday fade · RSI 47 · price 161.902
Consolidation in 161.85–161.96 band.
USDJPY faded from the 162.17 area through London to a 161.65 session low, then recovered to stall at the 162.03 swing high. Late-NY hours have it boxed in a tight 161.85–161.96 band around 161.90, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 161.85, 161.78, 161.65
Resistance: 161.96, 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
Close above 161.96 range top opens 162.03 swing high
Break below 161.85 range floor exposes 161.78 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst for the USD leg
17:46 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 47 · price 161.902
Consolidation band after London drop.
USDJPY faded from 162.18 into a London flush to 161.655, then recovered and has coiled in a tight 161.85–161.95 band through the NY afternoon. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with price pinned at EMA20, no directional impulse in play.
Support: 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 162.02, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.02 reopens the path to 162.13
Failure to hold 161.75 exposes the 161.655 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key near-term catalyst for the USD leg
17:31 UTC
Range after morning slide, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 161.926
USDJPY slid from 162.19 to a 161.65 session low, then based and is grinding a tight 161.85–161.96 range into the NY afternoon on a softer dollar ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Volatility has compressed (ATR ~6 pips) with RSI mid-range; no directional resolution in play.
Support: 161.85, 161.78, 161.65
Resistance: 161.96, 162.02, 162.40
What it said to watch
Close above 161.96 targets the 162.02 swing, then the 162.40 intervention zone
Break below 161.85 range floor exposes 161.78 and the 161.65 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
17:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 53 · price 161.926
Tight range after V-shaped bounce.
USD/JPY fell through the London session to a low near 161.66, twice defended, then recovered into NY and is now pinned in a tight 161.85–161.955 band with price just above both EMAs. Move follows a softer dollar and the pair fading Monday's 162.40 area ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes; no fresh setup in play near 161.93.
Support: 161.85, 161.79, 161.655
Resistance: 161.955, 162.022, 162.40
What it said to watch
Close below 161.85 range floor reopens the 161.79 swing low
Break above 161.955 range top targets the 162.022 swing high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
162.40 remains an intervention-risk zone capping extension
17:16 UTC
Range after downside flush · RSI 51 · price 161.916
Consolidation, 161.78-162.03 band.
USD/JPY is consolidating around 161.90 after a sharp London-session flush to a session low of 161.69, with price recovering and ranging 161.78-162.03 through NY hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 and the 162.40 area remains the implicit intervention zone above.
Support: 161.78, 161.69
Resistance: 161.97, 162.03
What it said to watch
Break above the recent high at 161.97 reopens the 162.03 range top and the 162.40 zone
Loss of 161.78 swing low reopens a retest of the 161.69 session low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 161.916
Consolidation in tight band after earlier drop.
USDJPY faded from 162.20 to a 161.655 session low then recovered, and is now pinned in a tight 161.85–161.96 band through late NY hours with RSI(14) flat near 51. Consolidation follows the softer-dollar tone ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes; the 162.40 intervention-watch zone remains untested.
Support: 161.85, 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 161.96, 162.02, 162.40
What it said to watch
Close below 161.85 reopens 161.75 and the 161.655 session low
USDJPY dropped to 161.655 in the Asia session then ground higher through London-NY, now consolidating 161.85–161.97 into the NY afternoon. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 with ATR ~7 pips; no fresh momentum, price pinned just under the session high.
Support: 161.85, 161.79, 161.655
Resistance: 161.97, 162.02, 162.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.97 opens the path back toward 162.00/162.02
Failure to hold 161.85 exposes the 161.66 day low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main USD-side driver for this pair
17:02 UTC
Range after intraday selloff · RSI 54 · price 161.934
Consolidation above session low.
USD/JPY faded from 162.26 to a 161.655 day low through the London-NY stretch on a softer DXY, then based and clawed back to a mid-46% retrace. Price has coiled in a tight 161.85-161.96 range through the NY afternoon with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 161.85, 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 161.96, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 range top reopens 162.03 swing high
Loss of 161.85 range floor exposes 161.75 session low then 161.655 day low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next macro driver for this pair
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 161.924
Tight range after session decline.
USD/JPY faded from 162.25 through the London-NY hours to a session low at 161.65, then stalled into a tight consolidation between 161.78 and 161.97 into late NY. RSI(14) neutral near 53 with price hugging EMA20 — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 161.78, 161.65
Resistance: 162.00, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.00 reopens 162.13
Break below 161.78 exposes the 161.65 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this consolidation
16:46 UTC
Recovering, ranging late NY · RSI 54 · price 161.924
Consolidation above session low, tight range.
USD/JPY faded from the 162.25 area to a session low of 161.655 during the London-NY transition, then recovered and is now coiling 161.85–161.96 into the NY afternoon on a softer DXY. JPY stays structurally weak with the pair a big-figure below the 40-year high; range top at 161.96 and floor at 161.85 both intact.
Support: 161.85, 161.78, 161.655
Resistance: 161.96, 162.03, 162.08
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 opens the path back toward 162.08
Failure to hold 161.85 exposes 161.78 and the 161.655 session low
FOMC minutes Wednesday 18:00 UTC is the main driver ahead
16:31 UTC
Sideways after NY selloff · RSI 54 · price 161.923
Consolidating above session lows.
USD/JPY faded from 162.30 and sold sharply to 161.68 through NY hours as the dollar softened into Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Price has since coiled in a tight 161.78–162.02 band and sits right on the 38.2% retrace of that down leg near 161.92; no fresh setup in play.
Support: 161.78, 161.68
Resistance: 162.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.02 breaks the consolidation toward the 162.30 area
Loss of 161.78 reopens the 161.68 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst
16:31 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 53 · price 161.923
Consolidation near session lows.
USDJPY faded from 162.30 to a 161.655 session low as the dollar softened into Wednesday's FOMC minutes, then based in a tight 161.85-161.95 range through the NY session. RSI(14) is neutral near 53; price is hugging the EMA20/50 with no directional impulse.
Support: 161.78, 161.655
Resistance: 161.97, 162.03
What it said to watch
Close above 162.03 reopens the path toward the 162.84 cycle high
Break below 161.655 confirms continuation of the intraday lower-low chain
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Consolidating after intraday selloff · RSI 49 · price 161.898
Ranging 161.75-161.95 below prior 162.13 high.
USDJPY faded from the 162.13 area back below 162.00 as the dollar softened into Wednesday's FOMC minutes, then based around 161.75-161.95 through the NY session. RSI(14) neutral near 49; price is chopping just either side of EMA20 with no directional push.
Support: 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 161.95, 162.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 reopens the 162.02-162.13 zone
Failure to hold 161.75 exposes the 161.655 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the nearest catalyst to break this range
16:01 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 161.912
Range near session lows after decline.
Price slid from 162.28 through the London session to a 161.65 session low, then recovered and has been consolidating 161.78–162.02 through NY hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 50 with a sharp rejection off 162.02 keeping the range top intact ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 161.78, 161.65
Resistance: 162.02, 162.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.02 reopens the path to 162.30
Loss of 161.65 session low confirms a fresh lower low
Price faded from the 162.28 top into a NY-session range, swept 161.65 and recovered to hold 161.90; now coiling just under the 162.00 handle with RSI(14) neutral near 52. Pullback ties to a softer dollar into Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 161.78, 161.65
Resistance: 162.00, 162.28
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.00 opens the path back to 162.28
Failure to hold 161.78 exposes the 161.65 sweep low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this range
Intervention risk noted near 162.40-163.00 on any push higher
15:47 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 161.881
Range between 161.78 and 161.97 after a stepped decline.
USD/JPY faded from the 162.30s through the London session to a 161.65 day low, then based and is now chopping around 161.88 into NY afternoon. Recent swing lows have ticked up (161.65 to 161.78) but 161.97 caps the bounce — pair coiling mid-range near flat EMAs.
Support: 161.78, 161.65
Resistance: 161.97, 162.08
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.97 breaks the range top toward 162.08
Failure to hold 161.78 reopens the 161.65 day low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary driver into the 162.84/163.00 zone
15:46 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 161.881
Range after fade from session highs.
USDJPY faded from the ~162.30 session high through the window and swept the 161.655 low before recovering into a tight 161.75–161.97 range, now sitting at 161.88 mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 50. Softer May wage data gave the yen no lift; price is coiling ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes with the 162.84/163.00 intervention zone above.
Support: 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 161.97, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.97 opens 162.03 then 162.13
Failure to hold 161.75 re-exposes the 161.655 session low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary catalyst for this range
15:32 UTC
Prior downleg, now flat · RSI 51 · price 161.898
Consolidating after a sell-off, tight range near 161.90.
USD/JPY faded from 162.30 to a 161.65 swing low then recovered into a tight 161.83–161.96 range; RSI(14) back to neutral near 51. Softer dollar and profit-taking capped the pair below the 162.02 prior high, with buyers stepping in near the 161.75 session low.
Support: 161.75, 161.65
Resistance: 162.02, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.75 opens a retest of the 161.65 swing low
Break above 162.02 exposes the 162.13 range top
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary near-term driver for this read
15:31 UTC
Faded off highs, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 161.898
Range with higher lows off session low.
USD/JPY faded from ~162.18 to a session low of 161.66 mid-window on a softer dollar and profit-taking, then recovered into a 161.78–161.96 range. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 as price carves a series of higher lows off that low, holding just under the EMA50.
Support: 161.78, 161.66
Resistance: 161.96, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 opens the path to 162.03
Loss of 161.78 exposes the 161.66 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary near-term catalyst
15:16 UTC
Sideways after intraday drop · RSI 52 · price 161.902
Range-bound below 162.00, holding above 161.75.
USD/JPY faded from the 162.18 area toward a 161.66 session low on a softer dollar, then stabilised and has coiled between 161.78 and 162.03 through the NY session. Price sits mid-range at 161.90 with RSI(14) neutral near 52; no directional setup in play.
Support: 161.78, 161.66
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 reopens the 162.13 area
Failure to hold 161.78 exposes the 161.66 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term USD/JPY driver
15:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 161.902
Consolidation near session lows after sharp drop.
USDJPY sold off from 162.18 to 161.66 through the London-NY transition, then stabilised into a range between 161.75 and 161.97 as the softer-dollar tone and profit-taking capped the move. RSI(14) neutral near 53, price coiling around the 50% retrace of the drop. No setup in play while the range holds.
Support: 161.75, 161.65
Resistance: 161.97, 162.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.97 range top opens the path back toward 162.02 swing high
Failure to hold 161.75 swing low exposes the 161.65 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary driver into the 162.40 zone
15:02 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 51 · price 161.922
Consolidation above session low after fade.
USD/JPY faded from the 162.13-162.33 area toward a 161.66 session low during Asia hours, then stabilised into a 161.75-161.97 range through the London-NY session on a softer dollar. RSI(14) sits mid-band near 51 with price pinned to its EMAs — no directional setup in play.
Support: 161.75, 161.66
Resistance: 161.97, 162.02, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.97 opens the path back to 162.02/162.13
loss of 161.75 exposes the 161.66 session low
FOMC minutes Wed remain the week's dominant USD/JPY driver
15:01 UTC
Consolidation after intraday fade · RSI 54 · price 161.922
Ranging above a double-tested base near 161.65.
USDJPY faded from the 162.13 area early in the window and spiked twice into 161.65 before buyers stepped in, leaving a double-tested base. NY session now grinds sideways near 161.92 with RSI neutral around 53; recent high at 162.02 caps the range top.
Support: 161.75, 161.65
Resistance: 162.02, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.02 opens the path toward the 162.13 prior high
Failure to hold 161.75 exposes the 161.65 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary driver into the 162.84 zone
14:46 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 52 · price 161.899
Range after intraday selloff.
USDJPY sold off from 162.18 into 161.66 through the London-NY transition, then stabilised, now consolidating 161.78-162.02 with RSI(14) back near neutral. Softer dollar and profit-taking capped the pair below 162.00; buyers held 161.66 into NY hours.
Support: 161.78, 161.66
Resistance: 162.02, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.02 reopens the path toward 162.18
Break below 161.66 confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the primary catalyst for the next leg
14:46 UTC
Downtrend earlier, now flat · RSI 49 · price 161.899
Consolidating after sell-off, holding above 161.65.
USD/JPY leaked from 162.37 down to 161.65 through London on a softer dollar and profit-taking, then stalled into a 161.79–161.96 range through NY. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 with price pinned to the EMA20; no directional resolution yet.
Support: 161.79, 161.655
Resistance: 161.96, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 range top opens the path back to 162.03
Failure to hold 161.655 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
USDJPY sold off through the Asian session to 161.68 as a softer DXY weighed, then based and clawed back toward 162.00 into NY hours. Now consolidating 161.75-162.02 with RSI neutral near 54; the psych 162.00 handle is the immediate cap.
Support: 161.75, 161.68
Resistance: 162.00, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.00 opens the path to 162.13 prior high
USD/JPY is grinding in a 161.65–162.02 range through the NY session after easing below 162.00 on a softer DXY. Buyers stepped in at 161.65 then 161.78, lifting price back to 161.94 with RSI(14) neutral mid-50s; the recent 162.02 swing high still caps.
Support: 161.78, 161.65
Resistance: 162.02, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.02 targets 162.13 and revives intervention chatter
Failure to hold 161.78 exposes the 161.65 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst
USD/JPY drifted lower through the London session, dropping from 162.13 to a 161.65 spike low, then based and clawed back to 161.95 into NY hours. Price now ranges 161.75-162.03 with RSI(14) neutral near 54; the soft DXY tone is capping upside while carry keeps the floor firm.
Support: 161.75, 161.65
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
Close above 162.03 reopens the path to 162.13
Loss of 161.75 resumes the lower-low sequence toward 161.65
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating in 161.65-162.10 band after intraday slide.
USDJPY slid from 162.35 to a session low of 161.65 during London-NY hours, then based and clawed back above 161.95 with RSI(14) neutral near 53. Price is coiling in the 161.65-162.10 band, consistent with the digest's pre-FOMC-minutes consolidation.
Support: 161.78, 161.65
Resistance: 162.10
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.10 opens a retest of the 162.42 area
Failure to hold 161.78 exposes the 161.65 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this range
14:02 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 47 · price 161.884
Consolidating after Asia-session flush.
USD/JPY flushed to 161.65 in the Asia session as DXY softened below 101.00, then recovered into a tight 161.78–161.95 range through London and into NY. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 with ATR around 7 pips; price is pinned just under EMA20/50, no directional setup in play.
Support: 161.78, 161.65
Resistance: 161.95, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 range top reopens the 162.42 cycle high
Break below 161.65 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key catalyst for this pair
14:01 UTC
Downtrend cooled into range · RSI 49 · price 161.884
Ranging after a soft-dollar leg lower.
USDJPY drifted from 162.38 down to 161.65 through the London session on a softer dollar, then settled into a 161.75-162.03 range. Mid-range at 161.88 early in the NY session, RSI neutral near 49; the 161.65 floor held twice.
Support: 161.75, 161.65
Resistance: 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.65 confirms a lower low and extends the downside
M15 close above 162.03 breaks the range top
162.80-163.00 remains the flagged intervention zone if upside resumes
13:46 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 47 · price 161.843
Consolidating after Asia-session drop.
USDJPY dropped to 161.655 during the Asia session then reclaimed to 161.96, and has since been ranging 161.75-161.96 through the London-NY transition with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Price sits mid-range under EMA20/EMA50, no directional setup in play.
Support: 161.655, 161.753
Resistance: 161.965, 162.031, 162.08
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.655 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 161.965 reopens the 162.03-162.08 range top
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session grinding lower; USD/JPY slipped from the 162.03 high back below 162.00 on a softer dollar and now consolidates in a tight 161.78–161.95 band. Session low at 161.66 held on the earlier flush, RSI(14) mid-40s with no extreme in play.
Support: 161.78, 161.66
Resistance: 161.95, 162.03
What it said to watch
Close below 161.66 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.95 negates the intraday drift lower
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY faded from 162.38 through the London-NY window and put in a double bottom near 161.65, easing intervention chatter as the pair holds below 162.00. Now consolidating 161.75-162.03 with RSI(14) back near neutral; price is sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the last down-leg, and recent higher lows show demand stepping in ahead of 161.75.
Support: 161.75, 161.65
Resistance: 162.03, 162.40
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 opens the path back toward the 162.40 cycle high / intervention zone
Failure to hold 161.65 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
BoJ/MoF jawboning risk resurfaces on any push back toward 162.40
13:31 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 161.893
Lower lows into 161.65, now ranging.
USD/JPY sold off from the 162.38 area through London to 161.65 as the pair eased back below 162.00 off Monday's high, keeping BoJ intervention chatter alive. NY hours have stalled the slide, chopping in a 161.78–162.03 band with RSI back at neutral; 161.65 held as the session low.
Support: 161.78, 161.65
Resistance: 161.96, 162.03
What it said to watch
Close above 162.03 reopens the path toward the 162.40 area
Failure to hold 161.65 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:16 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 44 · price 161.87
Consolidating 161.75-161.95 after decline.
USD/JPY drifted lower through the window off 162.39, sweeping to 161.655 before stabilising in a 161.75-161.95 band during NY hours as DXY softened back below 162.00. RSI(14) mid-range near 44 and price is holding just under EMA20/50 — no clean setup, range-bound near session lows.
Support: 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 161.95, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 breaks the consolidation range
Failure to hold 161.655 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:16 UTC
Downtrend cooling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 161.87
Consolidation above session low after sweep.
USDJPY leaked from 162.38 to a 161.66 sweep low, then based and is now ranging 161.75–161.97 into the US session, RSI(14) neutral near 47. Pair holding sub-162.00 as the softer DXY keeps it off the ~162.40 intervention zone.
Support: 161.75, 161.66
Resistance: 161.97, 162.03, 162.38
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.97 reopens the path toward 162.03/162.38
Failure to hold 161.75 confirms a lower low toward 161.66
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:02 UTC
Downtrend faded into range · RSI 46 · price 161.848
Consolidating above session lows after earlier leg down.
USDJPY sold off through the London session from the mid-162.30s to a 161.655 low as the dollar softened, then stabilised into a 161.75–161.96 range through NY hours. Price sits mid-range at 161.848 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 161.66–161.75.
Support: 161.75, 161.66
Resistance: 161.96, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.75 exposes the 161.66 swing low
M15 close above 161.96 breaks the range top toward 162.03
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD-side impulse
13:02 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 45 · price 161.848
Range after intraday leg lower.
USDJPY faded from the 162.36 area through the session and is now consolidating 161.75–161.96 into NY hours, RSI(14) neutral near 44. Two flush lows into 161.655 were bought back, with 161.96 capping the recoveries; price sits just under EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 161.75, 161.655
Resistance: 161.96, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 opens the path back toward 162.03
Failure to hold 161.75 reopens the 161.655 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY drifted off the 162.40 area through London into NY, printing lower highs and holding a tight 161.78–161.97 band above the 161.655 session low. Price is slipping back toward that low with RSI(14) mid-40s and price under both EMAs; grind sub-163 continues with the 40-yr high overhang capping ambition.
Support: 161.655, 161.778
Resistance: 161.965
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.655 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens 161.60
Reclaim of 161.965 would break the lower-high chain
FOMC minutes tomorrow and intervention risk near 162.84 could reshape the read
12:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 46 · price 161.835
Consolidating after leg lower.
USD/JPY sold off through the London session from 162.18 to a 161.66 session low as the dollar softened, and has since gone sideways in a 161.75–161.95 band. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; supply is capping rebounds at the 161.95 range top ahead of the NY session.
Support: 161.75, 161.66
Resistance: 161.95, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.95 opens a retest of 162.03
Break below 161.75 exposes the 161.66 session low
FOMC minutes tomorrow could reset the intraday read
USD/JPY faded through the session, and the 161.84–161.95 consolidation just broke lower, price now probing 161.76 toward the 161.655 session low. RSI(14) sits near 41 with price below both EMAs; the earlier 162.03–162.42 highs are well overhead.
Support: 161.655, 161.60
Resistance: 161.95, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.655 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 161.95 swing high negates the downside break
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; intervention risk near 162.84 caps upside
Consolidation broke below 161.87 into current bar.
USDJPY faded through the NY session, consolidating 161.87–161.96 before breaking lower into the current bar toward 161.75, RSI(14) cooling near 37. Price sits well off the 162.84 40-yr high, with the sub-163 grind pausing as USD softens ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes.
Support: 161.655, 161.75
Resistance: 161.95
What it said to watch
Close below 161.655 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.95 negates the breakdown
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD impulse
12:16 UTC
Downtrend fading into range · RSI 46 · price 161.862
Consolidating above session low after drift lower.
USDJPY drifted from 162.40 through the session, with a spike sweep of 161.65 bought back immediately. Price has since coiled in a tight 161.84-161.96 range with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Positioning sits within a big-figure of the 162.84 cycle high; FOMC minutes tomorrow are the next catalyst.
Support: 161.84, 161.65
Resistance: 161.96, 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 range high opens 162.03 swing high
Failure to hold 161.84 range low re-exposes 161.65 session low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could break this consolidation
12:16 UTC
Downtrend fading into consolidation · RSI 44 · price 161.862
Range after session-long fade, rising minor lows.
USDJPY faded from the 162.40 session high toward a 161.66 session low, then stalled into a tight 161.81–161.96 consolidation as price sits pinned near 40-yr highs with JPY broadly soft. RSI(14) mid-40s, price below EMA20/50 — no directional push into the NY hours, minor lows creeping higher.
Support: 161.81, 161.66
Resistance: 161.96, 162.08
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 reopens the path toward 162.08
Loss of 161.81 exposes the 161.66 session low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
USD/JPY slid from 162.42 through the Asia session to a 161.66 session low around the London open, then recovered into a tight 161.85–161.96 consolidation through early NY. RSI(14) neutral near 50 and ATR ~6 pips; soft Japanese wage data offered the yen no support.
Support: 161.85, 161.66
Resistance: 161.96, 162.08, 162.45
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 range top reopens 162.08
Loss of 161.85 range floor exposes the 161.66 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for the next leg
12:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 161.916
Ranging above session low after London leg down.
London hours drove USD/JPY from 162.13 down to a 161.65 session low before buyers stepped in twice around 161.65-161.68. NY session is now grinding sideways in a 161.79-161.96 band with RSI back near 52; range top capping at 161.96, and price sits mid-way on the retrace of the earlier drop.
Support: 161.79, 161.65
Resistance: 161.96, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 exposes 162.13
Failure to hold 161.79 reopens 161.65 session low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key catalyst for this pair
Basing after Asia-session drop, consolidating below 162.00.
USDJPY sold off through the Asia session to 161.655 then based, with London hours grinding a shallow recovery into 161.94, RSI(14) neutral near 54. Price is capped just under the 161.96 recent high; JPY offered no support after soft wage data, keeping the pair pinned near 40-yr highs.
Support: 161.84, 161.655
Resistance: 161.96, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 opens the path toward 162.13
Failure to hold 161.84 re-exposes the 161.655 session low
ADP 4-week average (12:15 UTC) due imminently could shift the read
11:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 161.944
Range after impulsive leg down, higher lows building.
USDJPY sold off through the London session to 161.655 then based, grinding sideways into the NY session with a chain of higher lows above 161.85. RSI(14) back near neutral around 54; price coiling below the 162.03 resistance with the pair pinned near 40-yr highs.
Support: 161.85, 161.655
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 reopens the path toward 162.13 and the 162.84 cycle high
Loss of 161.85 exposes a retest of the 161.655 session low
FOMC minutes tomorrow and any MoF intervention rhetoric near 162.80+ could shift this read
11:32 UTC
Downtrend faded to sideways · RSI 46 · price 161.899
Ranging above session low after decline.
USD/JPY drifted lower through the session, sweeping the session low at 161.65 before recovering into a tight 161.84–161.96 band. RSI(14) sits mid-range and price is hugging EMA20/EMA50, with the recovery high at 162.03 capping upside. No setup in play with the pair range-bound sub-162.
Support: 161.79
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 reopens the path toward 162.13
Failure to hold 161.65 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for the USD leg
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 161.899
Range after fade from 162.14.
USDJPY faded from 162.14 through the session and now chops between 161.655 and 161.97, RSI(14) flat near 51. Buyers stepped in twice at the 161.65 session low; the 161.97 area is capping the recovery.
Support: 161.655
Resistance: 161.97, 162.08
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.97 reopens the path toward 162.08
Loss of 161.655 confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key catalyst for the USD leg
Asia session pushed USD/JPY down from ~162.18 to a 161.655 low, then London recovered into a tight 161.81–161.97 range with price idling near 161.89 and RSI(14) flat around 48. Broad JPY weakness near the 40-yr high remains the backdrop, but the intraday tape is corrective and range-bound.
Support: 161.81, 161.655
Resistance: 161.965, 162.03
What it said to watch
Close above 161.97 range top opens the path to 162.03
Loss of 161.81 swing low exposes the 161.655 session low
FOMC minutes tomorrow (18:00 UTC) is the key catalyst that could break this range
11:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 161.89
Consolidation above session low, mid-range.
USD/JPY sold from the 162.42 area through London into a 161.65 session low, twice defended, then recovered to stall around 161.90 with JPY still pinned near its 40-yr low. Price is mid-range and drifting, RSI(14) neutral near 47 with no session extreme in play.
Support: 161.65
Resistance: 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.13 reopens the path toward the 162.84 cycle high
Loss of 161.65 confirms a lower low and negates the double-bottom recovery
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key catalyst via the USD leg
USDJPY faded from 162.18 through the London session to a 161.66 swing low, then carved a double bottom and clawed back to 161.94 on rising lows. Recovery unfolds inside a soft-USD backdrop (DXY pinned sub-101) with JPY still near 40-yr lows; momentum is neutral, RSI(14) back to mid-range near 53.
Support: 161.68, 161.79
Resistance: 162.03, 162.18
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.03 recent high reopens the 162.18 prior high
Failure to hold 161.79 minor low exposes the 161.68 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst into this range
11:01 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 161.94
Session low carved at 161.66, tight range near lows.
Overnight Asia leg lower extended into London, sweeping a 161.66 session low before buyers stepped in. Price now consolidating in a tight 161.85–161.96 band with RSI(14) neutral near 51; JPY stays pressured near cycle lows but the 162.03 swing high caps for now.
Support: 161.85, 161.66
Resistance: 162.03, 162.14
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 opens path back toward 162.14
Failure to hold 161.85 re-exposes the 161.66 session low
Fed Bowman (11:00 UTC) could inject USD volatility this session
10:46 UTC
Downtrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 161.912
Range 161.66–162.08 after down leg.
USDJPY drifted lower through European hours from 162.32, printing a sharp flush to the 161.66 session low before buyers stepped in twice to form a rough double bottom. Price now consolidates 161.85–161.96 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; the pair holds well below the ~162.84 cycle high.
Support: 161.85, 161.66
Resistance: 161.965, 162.08
What it said to watch
Close above 162.08 negates the range and reopens 162.30s
Break below 161.66 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst
MoF intervention risk builds toward the ~162.84 high
10:46 UTC
Drifted lower, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 161.912
Range after leg down, higher lows forming.
USD/JPY sold off from 162.13 into a 161.66 session low, wage data offering no yen support, and has since consolidated 161.66–162.03 with a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50; price is hugging EMA20 while capped below EMA50.
Support: 161.66
Resistance: 162.03, 162.08
What it said to watch
Close below 161.66 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Close above 162.08 puts the ~162.84 cycle high back in play
FOMC minutes tomorrow (18:00 UTC) is the key catalyst for this pair
10:31 UTC
Downtrend easing, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 161.889
Bounce off double bottom, ranging under recent highs.
USDJPY slid through the London-NY transition to a 161.655 session low, then carved a double bottom near 161.66 and recovered into a tight 161.85-161.96 range. RSI(14) sits neutral around 49 and price is drifting just under EMA20; no fresh momentum either way into the NY afternoon.
Support: 161.85, 161.655
Resistance: 161.96, 162.08
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.655 confirms a lower low and voids the double bottom read
Reclaim of 161.96 opens the path back to the 162.08 session high
Fed Bowman (11:00 UTC) could jolt USD and break this range
10:31 UTC
Down then consolidating · RSI 49 · price 161.889
Range after London drop.
USDJPY sold off through London from 162.13 to a 161.655 session low, then stabilised into a tight 161.79–161.96 band as RSI(14) reverted to neutral near 49. Price is hovering around the 50% retrace of that drop with no fresh driver; the pair holds well below its ~162.84 multi-decade high.
Support: 161.655, 161.79
Resistance: 161.96, 162.031, 162.128
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.96 targets the 162.03 swing high, then 162.13
Failure to hold 161.655 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD-side catalyst for this pair
10:16 UTC
Downtrend fading into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 161.907
Range-bound after intraday drop, holding 161.65-162.03.
USD/JPY faded from the 162.34 top through Asia and swept down to 161.65 during London hours, then stalled into a tight 161.65-162.03 band with RSI(14) back near neutral. Broad USD firmness on Hormuz risk is capping the downside, but price sits well below EMA50 after the leg lower.
Support: 161.65
Resistance: 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 161.65 confirms a lower low
Fed Bowman 11:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 54 · price 161.907
Sold off then consolidating above session low.
London session drove USD/JPY down from 162.18 to a session low of 161.655 on broad two-way USD flows, with the low set on a sharp wick. Price has since recovered into a tight 161.82–161.96 range, RSI(14) back to neutral near 53. Recent higher lows off 161.655 show demand stepping in, but 161.99 caps the bounce.
Support: 161.79, 161.655
Resistance: 161.99, 162.13
What it said to watch
Close above 161.99 opens the path back toward 162.13
Failure to hold 161.79 exposes a retest of the 161.655 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for the USD side
USD/JPY swept the session low at 161.655 during London hours and reclaimed it, now grinding up along rising lows toward the 162.031 swing high with RSI(14) back near 53. Price holds broad USD-driven bid near the 40-yr high but remains capped inside the 161.65–162.03 range.
Support: 161.655
Resistance: 162.031, 162.128
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.031 opens path back toward 162.128 and the 162.84 40-yr high
Failure to hold 161.655 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising-lows structure
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for the USD side
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 50 · price 161.937
Faded off session high, consolidating above 161.66.
USD/JPY slid from the 162.42 session high through London toward a 161.66 low, where buyers stepped in twice before a recovery to 161.94. Price now consolidates 161.85-161.96 below EMA50 amid broad USD softness; RSI(14) back to neutral near 49.
Support: 161.66, 161.79
Resistance: 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.66 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 162.03 negates the session fade
Bowman speech ~11:00 UTC could inject USD volatility
USD/JPY faded through the session from 162.43 to a 161.68 low, with a fast wick to 161.655 sweeping the lows before recovering. Price now consolidates 161.82–162.03, sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI mid-range; the soft Japanese wage print gave the Yen no lasting support.
Support: 161.79, 161.68
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
Close above 162.03 opens the path to 162.13
Break below 161.68 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst for the USD leg
162.84 cycle high keeps intervention risk live on any push higher
USD/JPY faded from 162.42 through the window to a session low of 161.655, then found footing and is consolidating 161.82–161.95 into London. Soft Japan wage data undercut BoJ hawkishness per the digest, but the pullback stays shallow with price pinned near 40-year highs; RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range.
Support: 161.655, 161.79
Resistance: 162.031, 162.174
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.031 swing high reopens the path toward 162.174
Loss of 161.655 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major USD catalyst
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after slide · RSI 46 · price 161.88
Lower highs into a 161.66-162.08 range.
USDJPY faded from the mid-162.00s and swept down to a 161.66 session low during NY hours, then stabilised into a 161.79-162.08 range. Price sits sub-EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 46 — no directional push, supply capping into 162.03-162.08.
Support: 161.79, 161.655
Resistance: 162.03, 162.08
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.08 range top reopens the path toward 162.30
Break below 161.66 session low confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for the USD leg
09:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 161.88
Range after Asian-session leg lower.
USD/JPY faded from the mid-162s to a session low of 161.65 through Asian and early-London hours, with soft Japan wage data giving the yen little help. Price now chops in a 161.65–162.03 band, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 and hugging EMA20 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 161.65
Resistance: 162.03, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 range top opens the path back toward 162.42
Failure to hold 161.65 session low confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for the USD leg
USDJPY faded through the London morning from mid-162.00s, printing a session low at 161.655 before a shallow bounce to 162.03; soft JPY wage data left the pullback lacking conviction. Price now drifts back to 161.87 under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, capped by a chain of lower highs from 162.17.
Support: 161.655, 161.79
Resistance: 162.031, 162.13
What it said to watch
15m close below 161.655 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 162.03 swing high negates the lower-high chain
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD-leg driver
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 48 · price 161.866
Faded from 162.42, double bottom at session low.
USDJPY faded through the session from 162.42 toward the 161.65 session low, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom on soft Japan wage data. Price has since recovered to 161.87 but stalls under the 162.03 swing high, RSI(14) mid-range near 48 with pair still capped below EMA20.
Support: 161.79
Resistance: 162.03, 162.14
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.65 confirms a lower low and voids the double bottom
Reclaim of 162.03 swing high reopens the 162.14 prior high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 51 · price 161.911
Session decline, basing above 161.65.
USDJPY ground lower through the London morning off the 162.42 session high, with a sharp flush to 161.65 before buyers stepped in twice near 161.66-161.69. Price has recovered to 161.91 and is consolidating below the 162.03 swing high; RSI(14) back to neutral around 51.
Support: 161.79, 161.655
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 opens the path back to 162.13
Failure to hold 161.79 re-exposes the 161.655 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key rate-differential catalyst
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, base forming · RSI 50 · price 161.911
Sold off from 162.42, twice held 161.65-161.68.
USDJPY faded from 162.42 through the London session on broad two-way USD flow, twice basing at 161.65-161.68 and now coiling around 161.85-161.95. RSI(14) is neutral near 50 after the decline; price is pinned by descending highs into 162.03.
Support: 161.79, 161.655
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 recent high reopens the path toward 162.13
Loss of 161.655 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key rate-differential catalyst
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising after sweep · RSI 47 · price 161.907
Lower highs; ranging 161.85–162.00 post-low.
USDJPY faded from the 162.42 window high through London hours, sweeping down to a 161.655 session low before recovering to 161.907. Price now consolidates 161.85–162.00 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; the descending sequence of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 161.655, 161.79
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 opens 162.13 and negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 161.655 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key rate-differential catalyst for this pair
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 46 · price 161.907
Lower highs into session low, now consolidating.
USD/JPY ground lower through the London session, fading from 162.40 to a session low of 161.655 before stabilising. Price now chops between 161.66 and 162.03 with RSI(14) mid-range; the sequence of lower highs since the Tokyo hours remains intact.
Support: 161.655
Resistance: 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.66 confirms a lower low and opens 161.50
Reclaim of 162.03 needed to break the lower-high chain
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key rate-differential catalyst
USDJPY rolled off the 162.30 session high through late NY into Asia, printing lower highs and a sweep of 161.655 before buyers stepped in. Now consolidating in the 161.79-161.99 band, RSI back to mid-range after the flush; broad JPY weakness keeps the pair pinned near cycle highs but this window is corrective.
Support: 161.655, 161.79
Resistance: 161.99, 162.18, 162.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.99 reopens the 162.18 prior high
Loss of 161.655 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDJPY ground lower off 162.42 through the session as broad USD strength kept a lid on rallies, sweeping the 161.65 session low twice before buyers stepped in. Price now recovering to 161.92 into descending resistance, RSI(14) back near neutral at 49.
Support: 161.655
Resistance: 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 161.655 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD fulcrum for this pair
Lower highs into a swept session low, mid-range bounce.
USDJPY sold off through the session from the 162.42 day high in a chain of lower highs, sweeping the 161.655 session low before buyers stepped in. Price now grinds mid-range near 161.87, RSI(14) neutral around 47 and below both EMAs — the broader carry-driven push toward the 40-yr high has stalled on this window.
Support: 161.655
Resistance: 162.03, 162.08, 162.42
What it said to watch
Close above 162.08 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 161.655 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into London · RSI 44 · price 161.872
Descending highs, swept lows at 161.66.
USDJPY has ground lower through the London session, printing a chain of lower highs off 162.18 despite the firm-USD backdrop; the 161.655 session low was swept twice and buyers stepped back in. Price stalls at 161.87 under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s — no momentum extreme, corrective tone within the wider grind.
Support: 161.655, 161.79
Resistance: 162.03, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 161.655 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, base holding · RSI 49 · price 161.948
Lower highs, session low swept and reclaimed.
A full-session grind lower from 162.43 bottomed near 161.65, and the London open swept that low before recovering to 161.95. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 with price back above EMA20 but still capped by a chain of lower highs into 162.03.
Support: 161.65
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.13 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Loss of 161.65 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main catalyst
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 49 · price 161.948
Lower highs into session low, recent recovery.
USDJPY ground lower through Asia and into London, swept the 161.655 session low then snapped back above 161.95 as broad USD strength held the pair bid. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to mid-range; price now caps under the 162.03 recent high after the bounce.
Support: 161.655
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
Close above 162.13 invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Failure to hold 161.655 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs into a session low, sideways recovery.
USDJPY sold off through the session from 162.42 to a 161.655 low, JPY firming intraday even as it holds near 40-year lows. Buyers stepped in twice around 161.66-161.69 and price has recovered to 161.97; recent bars are consolidating below the 162.03 rejection.
Support: 161.655
Resistance: 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.655 confirms a lower low
Reclaim above 162.03 negates the downtrend read
USDJPY near the 40-yr high zone keeps MoF intervention headlines a wildcard
Lower highs into a swept session low, recovery underway.
USDJPY ground lower through the session from 162.40, printing lower highs before London swept the session low at 161.66 and snapped back to close 161.97. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range off that rejection; price is back above EMA20 but capped under the descending highs near 162.03.
Support: 161.79, 161.66
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 162.03 opens a retest of 162.13
Failure to hold 161.79 reopens the 161.66 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next macro catalyst for this pair
07:32 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 46 · price 161.946
Lower highs into session-low double base.
USDJPY drifted lower through the Asian range from 162.18 and spiked down to a session low of 161.66 at the London open before recovering to 161.95. Twin bases at 161.66/161.68 held and RSI is off its lows near 46; the 162.03 bounce high caps the recovery for now.
Support: 161.66, 161.79
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.66 confirms a lower low and reopens 161.79 downside
Reclaim above 162.13 negates the lower-high sequence
MoF verbal-intervention headlines remain the wildcard given proximity to the 40-yr high
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 46 · price 161.946
Lower highs into 161.66 sweep, then recovery.
M15 stepped down from the 162.42 range high through London, printing session lows around 161.66. The last bar swept 161.655 and closed back at 161.95, with RSI(14) recovering off the mid-40s; broad USD firmness keeps USD/JPY bid but the intraday leg remains lower-high capped near 162.03.
Support: 161.66
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13, 162.42
What it said to watch
Close above 162.03 bounce high opens the path back to 162.13
Failure to hold 161.66 session low confirms a lower low
Pair well below the 162.84 40-yr high — intervention chatter only relevant nearer that zone
07:16 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 54 · price 161.992
Double bottom at 161.68, higher lows building.
A sharp Asia-session flush swept 161.68 twice before buyers stepped in, carving a double bottom; London has ground price back to 161.99, just under EMA50. RSI(14) recovered to mid-50s as the recent up-leg from 161.68 to 162.03 stalls under the bounce high.
Support: 161.68
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.68 negates the double bottom and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 162.13 opens the path back toward 162.42
FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the dominant catalyst for USD
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 161.992
Double bottom at 161.68, bounce into resistance.
Asian session sold off from 162.13 into a double bottom around 161.68, and the London open has recovered price to a 162.03 session high before easing to 161.99. Momentum has neutralised with RSI near 51; the bounce is roughly 60% of the prior drop.
Support: 161.68
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.03 session high extends the recovery toward 162.13
Failure to hold the 161.68 double bottom confirms a lower low
Approach to 162.84 40-yr high raises Japanese intervention risk
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for this pair
07:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 56 · price 162.029
Double bottom at 161.68, higher lows into London.
USD/JPY sold off to 161.68 during Tokyo hours, then based twice at the same level before the London recovery lifted it back toward 162.03. Price now grinds against the recovery high with RSI(14) neutral around 56.
Support: 161.80, 161.68
Resistance: 162.13, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.13 opens the path to the 162.18 swing high
Loss of 161.80 reopens the 161.68 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could shift this read
London session bought the double bottom near 161.68 and reclaimed the 162.00 psych level, retracing most of the earlier drop from 162.18. Higher lows have built through the recovery with RSI(14) around 58, mid-range.
Support: 162.00, 161.68
Resistance: 162.18, 162.40
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.18 opens the path toward the 162.40 prior high
Failure to hold 162.00 reopens the 161.68 session low
Approach to the 162.84 40-year high raises Japanese intervention risk
Asia down-leg based at 161.68, higher lows into London.
USDJPY sold off through Asia to 161.68 on a sharp candle, then buyers stepped in twice near there to build a base. London has recovered the pair back to 161.99, stalling just under the 162.03 bounce high, RSI(14) back to neutral around 53 after the flush. Broad USD strength on the sticky-inflation narrative underpins the grind higher near 40-year lows.
Support: 161.79, 161.68
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13, 162.42
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.13 pre-drop high opens the path back toward 162.42 session high
Loss of 161.79 minor low reopens the 161.68 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could reset this read
Pair flushed to 161.68 during Asia hours then carved a double bottom, recovering through the London-Asia transition to retest 162.00. RSI(14) back to neutral near 59 as buyers stepped in twice at 161.68; recent high at 162.03 is the immediate cap.
Support: 161.86, 161.68
Resistance: 162.031, 162.13
What it said to watch
close above 162.03 opens the path to 162.13
failure to hold 161.86 reopens the 161.68 double bottom
162.84 40-yr high approach raises MoF intervention risk
06:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off base · RSI 53 · price 161.997
Lower highs into a double-tested floor, corrective bounce underway.
USDJPY slid through the Asia session to a double-tested base at 161.68, with broad USD strength and carry keeping the yen pinned. Price is now recovering, tagging 161.997 near the 61.8% retrace of the drop, with 162.03 the immediate cap.
Support: 161.68
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13
What it said to watch
Close below 161.68 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Break above 162.13 negates the corrective read and targets prior swings
USDJPY sold off through the Asian session to a low at 161.68, then recovered toward 162.00 into the London open on broadly firm USD. RSI(14) back near 53 off the bounce; higher lows since 161.68 with 162.03 capping the recovery so far.
Support: 161.68
Resistance: 162.03, 162.13, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.13 reopens the prior range toward 162.18
Failure to hold 161.68 confirms a lower low
MoF/BoJ intervention rhetoric a two-way risk as price nears the 40-yr high
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 49 · price 161.919
Lower highs into twin lows at 161.68.
USD/JPY slid through the NY-Asia handover from 162.42 to a session low of 161.68, printing twin lows there before recovering to 161.92, RSI(14) back near neutral. Broad USD strength keeps the yen pinned near 40-year lows; the 161.95 recent high caps the current bounce.
Support: 161.68
Resistance: 161.95, 162.02
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.68 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.95 opens the path back toward 162.02
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key upcoming catalyst
USDJPY leaked from 162.43 down to a 161.68 double bottom through the Asia session as broad USD demand kept the yen pinned near 40-yr lows, then bounced to 161.92. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold and price has reclaimed EMA20; 161.95 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 161.68
Resistance: 161.95, 162.13
What it said to watch
Close above 161.95 opens the path back toward 162.13
Failure to hold the 161.68 double bottom confirms a lower low
MoF/BoJ intervention risk grows as price nears the 162.84 40-yr high
USD/JPY slid through the Asia session from 162.40 to a 161.68 low, pulling back from the 162.84 40-yr high. Buyers stepped in twice around 161.68 forming a base; pair now consolidating 161.79–161.92 below EMA20, RSI(14) recovering from the low-30s.
Support: 161.68, 161.79
Resistance: 161.92, 162.02
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.68 confirms a lower low and voids the base
Reclaim of 161.92 opens the path back toward 162.02
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst for this pair
06:01 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 161.86
Lower highs, broke prior consolidation floor.
USD/JPY slid off the 162.42 area through the Asia session, breaking the 162.02 consolidation floor and printing a session low at 161.68. Price has bounced to 161.86 but sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s — the descending sequence of lower highs is intact into the London open.
Support: 161.68, 161.79
Resistance: 162.02
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.02 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 161.68 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the read; intervention headline risk near 40-yr high remains a two-way factor
USDJPY sold off through Asian hours from 162.13 to 161.68 on a sharp candle, RSI cooling then recovering off oversold. Price is now bouncing to 161.85 with two lows parked near 161.68; broad USD strength keeps the pair near its 40-yr high but the last few hours of structure is corrective lower.
Support: 161.68, 161.79
Resistance: 161.92, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.92 breaks the descending sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 161.68 confirms a fresh lower low
MoF verbal/intervention risk near 162.84 40-yr high; FOMC minutes Wed could reset the read
USD/JPY rolled over from 162.42 into a slide below the 162.02 shelf, printing a double bottom at 161.68 as Asia trades near 40-yr highs. RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 46; buyers stepped in twice at 161.68, but price is capped under the descending lower-high line.
Support: 161.68
Resistance: 162.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.02 negates the lower-high structure
Loss of 161.68 confirms continuation of the downtrend
MoF/BoJ intervention risk near the 162.84 40-yr high remains a two-way catalyst
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 45 · price 161.845
Lower highs into a double bottom near session low.
USDJPY rolled over from the 162.42 session high, breaking down through 162.03 into a sharp slide to 161.68 despite the broad King Dollar theme. Two matched lows at 161.68 have since held, with price recovering to 161.85 into the London session; the 162.03 breakdown level now caps as resistance.
Support: 161.79, 161.68
Resistance: 162.03, 162.42
What it said to watch
Close back above 162.03 invalidates the breakdown read
Loss of the 161.68 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
US ADP 4-week avg at 12:15 UTC could move the tape within the next few hours
USD/JPY sold off from the 162.42 session high, breaking the 162.02 shelf during Asia hours to print a 161.68 session low — a pullback within the broader USD-firm theme that has JPY pinned near 40-yr lows. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows as buyers stepped in around 161.68; the 161.92 swing high now caps the bounce.
Support: 161.68
Resistance: 161.92, 162.02
What it said to watch
M15 close above 161.92 negates the lower-high sequence and reopens 162.02
Failure to hold 161.68 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC and ADP 4-week avg today 12:15 UTC are near-term catalysts
USDJPY broke down from the 162.0–162.18 consolidation on a sharp Asia-hours candle and has since carved lower highs into 161.68. Session low at 161.679 has been tapped twice; RSI(14) near 41, holding above oversold despite broad USD strength keeping the yen pinned near multi-decade lows.
Support: 161.679
Resistance: 161.924, 162.032, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.68 extends the down leg
Reclaim of 161.92 negates the lower-high chain
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the read
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, off intraday highs · RSI 41 · price 161.782
Lower highs, twin lows at 161.68.
USDJPY was sold off the 162.40 area into NY, breaking down through 162.02 and bottoming twice at 161.68 as the pull-back from the 40-year-high zone extended. RSI(14) near 41, price under both EMAs; sellers capped the bounce at 161.92.
Support: 161.68, 161.60
Resistance: 161.92, 162.02
What it said to watch
Break below 161.68 double bottom confirms a fresh lower low
M15 close back above 161.92 negates the downside push
Intervention risk stays live near the 162.84 high on any rebound
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, session lows · RSI 38 · price 161.768
Lower highs, lower lows off 162.42.
USDJPY rolled over from the 162.42 swing high through thin overnight and Tokyo-morning hours, breaking down to a session low of 161.68 as the pair backs off 40-year-high territory. A clean chain of lower highs caps rebounds near 161.92; RSI(14) is soft near 37 with price hugging the lows.
Support: 161.68
Resistance: 161.92, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 161.92 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 161.68 confirms a fresh lower low
Intervention chatter into the 162.84 40-yr high remains a snap-back risk
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 38 · price 161.768
Lower highs, lower lows; probing session low.
USDJPY sold off sharply from 162.02 during Asian hours, sweeping the session low at 161.68 and grinding just above it into pre-London. RSI(14) subdued near 37, price pinned below EMA20/50 with no reversal signal yet — the drop fits the intervention-risk tone near 40-year highs.
Support: 161.68
Resistance: 161.90, 162.02
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 161.90 would ease the lower-high chain
Sustained break below 161.68 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the read
04:46 UTC
Downtrend, session leg lower · RSI 37 · price 161.717
Lower highs and lower lows off 162.13.
Asia session drifting lower; USDJPY slid off 162.13 to a session low at 161.68 despite the broad USD bid, printing a sequence of lower highs. RSI(14) cooling near 37, price trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with the 161.92 swing capping bounces.
Support: 161.68
Resistance: 161.92
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 161.92 breaks the sequence of lower highs
USDJPY unwound ~70 pips from the 162.18 area, with a sharp breakdown bar into early Asia stopping at 161.68 despite the broadly firm USD backdrop. Price now sits pinned near the session low, RSI(14) around 34; bounces have capped below 161.92.
Support: 161.68, 161.60
Resistance: 161.92, 162.18
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.68 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 161.92 needed to ease the downside pressure
Pair sits below the 162.84 40-year high — Tokyo intervention risk stays live
FOMC Minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could reset this read
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 39 · price 161.798
Lower highs, lower lows off 162.42.
USDJPY has bled lower from the 162.42 high through the session, with one candle spiking down to sweep 161.69 before recovering, and price is now grinding back toward session lows near 161.80. RSI(14) around 39 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50; the lower-high chain remains intact.
Support: 161.79, 161.69
Resistance: 161.92
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.69 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 161.92 needed to break the lower-high chain
MoF intervention risk stays live given proximity to the 162.84 high
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, off intraday highs · RSI 39 · price 161.798
Lower highs / lower lows since 162.42.
USDJPY rolled over from the 162.42 session high, a sharp drop into Asia hours swept 161.69 before recovering to 161.90. Sellers capped the bounce at 161.92 and price is grinding back toward the lows near 161.79, RSI(14) soft around 38.
Support: 161.79, 161.69
Resistance: 161.92, 162.42
What it said to watch
Close below 161.69 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 161.92 negates the near-term downside read
Proximity to 40-yr high 162.84 keeps MoF intervention risk live on any rebound
Lower highs after Asia drop, holding above session low.
USD/JPY faded from the 162.42 peak through NY and slid in Asia, spiking down to 161.69 before recovering. Price is now grinding out lower highs and consolidating around 161.83 into the London-open transition, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 161.79, 161.69
Resistance: 161.92, 161.97
What it said to watch
Close above 161.97 negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 161.69 confirms a lower low and opens further downside
Proximity to 162.84 40-yr high keeps MoF intervention risk live on any rebound
04:16 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 41 · price 161.834
Lower highs after sweep of 161.69.
Asian session sold off from the 162.42 high, with a sharp sweep to 161.691 near 01:30 UTC before a shallow bounce. Price is now grinding along the lower end of the recovery near 161.83, capped by the 162.03 prior base and holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 161.691, 161.79
Resistance: 162.03
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.03 prior base would negate the lower-high sequence
Loss of 161.79 recent low reopens the 161.691 sweep low
Proximity to intervention zone above 162.80 remains a headline risk
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after sweep · RSI 44 · price 161.872
Lower highs into a downside break, now basing near 161.87.
Price rolled over from the 162.42 session high through a chain of lower highs, then spiked sharply to 161.69 in the Asian session — sweeping the lows before recovering to consolidate near 161.87. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price holds below EMA20/50, keeping the short-term structure heavy despite the bounce.
Support: 161.691, 161.792
Resistance: 162.05, 162.425
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.69 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 162.05 negates the downside break
MoF intervention risk elevated near 162.84 — sudden snapback possible
After grinding to 162.41 mid-window, price broke down through 162.02 and swept 161.691 in a single sharp Asia-session bar before recovering. It's now coiling in a tight 161.79–161.92 range with RSI(14) around 43, well below the highs and consistent with intervention-wary two-way flow near 40-yr highs.
Support: 161.79, 161.691
Resistance: 161.92, 162.02
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.79 confirms a lower low toward the 161.691 sweep low
Reclaim of 162.02 negates the breakdown read
MoF intervention risk elevated with the 162.84 high in reach
Range floor broken, consolidating above sweep low.
USDJPY broke the 162.02 range floor during Asia hours with a sharp spike down to 161.691, then recovered and is now consolidating 161.79–161.92. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price is capped under EMA20/50 as lower highs persist off the 162.42 session peak.
Support: 161.79, 161.69
Resistance: 162.02
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.02 negates the downside break
Break of the 161.69 sweep low opens further downside
Intervention risk elevated near 40-yr highs — sharp snapback possible
USDJPY rolled off the 162.42 session high and a fast Asia-session flush swept 161.69 before snapping back to close near 161.97. Price is now grinding sideways around 161.87 under the broken 162.02 shelf, RSI(14) mid-40s. Yen remains pinned near 40-yr lows on carry demand.
Support: 161.79, 161.69
Resistance: 162.02, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.02 puts the range top at 162.13 back in play
Failure to hold 161.79 exposes the 161.69 spike low again
MoF intervention risk elevates sharply if 162.84 is approached
Asian session sold USD/JPY off the 162.42 high, with a sharp spike to 161.69 rejected before a recovery to 161.92. Price now coils 161.79–161.92, RSI(14) near 31 after the flush. Pair sits just under 40-yr highs where MoF intervention proximity keeps downside snapback risk live.
Support: 161.79, 161.69
Resistance: 161.92, 162.02
What it said to watch
Close above 161.92 reopens the 162.02 breakdown level
Failure to hold 161.79 reopens the 161.69 session low
Intervention chatter near 162.84 could force a disorderly move
03:31 UTC
Intraday pullback off 162.42 high · RSI 42 · price 161.831
Lower highs, 161.69 swept then reclaimed.
London-NY push to 162.42 faded and price rolled over, with a sharp early-Asia sweep to 161.691 immediately bought back. Price is now drifting lower again near 161.83, below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; USD/JPY sits close to 40-yr highs so intervention risk stays live.
Support: 161.691, 161.775
Resistance: 162.022
What it said to watch
Close below 161.69 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 162.02 negates the intraday breakdown
Proximity to 162.84 40-yr high keeps MoF intervention risk elevated
Asia session saw a sharp flush from 162.13 that swept to 161.691 before buyers stepped in, recovering to 161.89 with RSI(14) rebounding off the low toward 42. Price now stalls under the 161.92 session high, still below the pre-drop 162.02 base; note JPY intervention risk remains live given proximity to the 162.84 40-yr high.
Support: 161.775, 161.691
Resistance: 161.924, 162.022, 162.144
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.691 sweep low resumes the decline
reclaim of 162.022 prior base negates the pullback
MoF/BoJ verbal intervention near 40-yr highs could trigger a disorderly move
Asia session spiked down to 161.691 in a single 33-pip bar then reclaimed 161.90, leaving a false break lower after rejection from the 162.42 high. Price now coiling in a tight 161.87-161.92 band below EMA20/50, RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 161.691, 161.79
Resistance: 162.02
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.02 negates the breakdown read
Loss of 161.691 sweep low confirms a lower-low
Proximity to 162.84 keeps MoF intervention risk live on any renewed push higher
USDJPY sold off sharply from 162.13 to 161.69 during Asia hours before recovering, an abrupt spike consistent with intervention jitters near the 40-yr high. Price now consolidating 161.85–161.92 with RSI(14) cooling to ~41 and holding below EMA20/50; the 162.02 breakdown level caps.
Support: 161.69, 161.79
Resistance: 162.02, 162.13
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.02 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 161.69 opens further downside
MoF intervention risk elevated near the 162.84 40-yr high
Sharp drop off session highs, bouncing off 161.69.
USDJPY spent the session grinding down from a 162.41 high before a sharp flush to 161.691 — a sweep on a crowded yen-short amid live MoF intervention proximity — then recovered to 161.92. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; 162.02 caps the bounce.
Support: 161.775, 161.691
Resistance: 162.022, 162.18, 162.409
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.022 restores upside toward the 162.18/162.41 highs
Failure to hold 161.775 reopens the 161.691 session low
Intervention/MoF headlines remain the tail risk given proximity to the 162.84 40-yr high
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after sweep · RSI 43 · price 161.907
Swept session low, recovering into range.
Asia hours saw a sharp break from 162.03 with a sweep to 161.69, then buyers reclaimed 161.90 as USD/JPY holds near 40-yr highs on the dominant carry theme. Price now consolidating between 161.79 and 162.03; RSI(14) recovering from oversold mid-40s, still under EMA20/50.
Support: 161.79, 161.69
Resistance: 162.03
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.03 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 161.69 sweep low confirms a lower low
Asia session sold off sharply from the 162.42 session high, wicking to 161.69 before buyers snapped it back to 161.97 — a fast move given proximity to the 162.84 intervention trip-wire. Price has since ground into lower highs around 161.90, below EMA20/50, with RSI cooling to the low 40s.
Support: 161.69
Resistance: 162.02, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 161.69 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 162.02 breakdown level negates the pullback read
Unscheduled MoF intervention risk elevated near the 162.84 high
02:31 UTC
Sharp reversal down off session highs · RSI 38 · price 161.923
Flush lower after uptrend, bounce in progress.
USDJPY was grinding higher toward 162.425 before a sharp Asia-session flush swept the lows to 161.691 and snapped back to 161.92 — the kind of disorderly move flagged as intervention risk near the 162.84 40-yr high. Price now sits below the 162.022 breakdown level with RSI(14) recovering from oversold; bounce is a shallow retrace of the drop.
Support: 161.691
Resistance: 162.022, 162.425
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.022 negates the flush lower
Close below 161.691 sweep low opens further downside
MoF/BoJ intervention proximity keeps snapback risk live near session highs
02:31 UTC
Pullback after uptrend stall · RSI 43 · price 161.923
Sweep of lows, quick recovery.
Price broke through 162.00 and swept down to 161.69 during early Asia hours before snapping back to 161.92, with the day's grind toward the 162.84 40-yr high stalling near 162.18. RSI(14) cooled into the low-40s on the leg lower; pair now consolidating just under the 162.03 breakdown shelf.
Support: 161.845, 161.691
Resistance: 162.032, 162.18
What it said to watch
reclaim of 162.032 breakdown reopens the swing high at 162.18
failure to hold 161.845 session low exposes the 161.69 sweep low
MoF intervention risk stays live given proximity to the 162.84 high
02:16 UTC
Pullback from highs, short-term down · RSI 41 · price 161.881
Range break lower, bounce off session low.
USD/JPY sold off sharply in early Asia hours, sweeping down to 161.69 before buyers recovered to 161.88; the move came on thin volume after the pair failed to hold above the 162.02 range floor. RSI(14) rebounding from a dip near 40, with the 162.40 session high untested since the drop.
Support: 161.69, 161.77
Resistance: 162.02, 162.18, 162.40
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.02 range floor negates the breakdown and reopens the 162.18 swing high
Loss of 161.69 sweep low confirms a lower low into Asia
Intervention headlines risk elevated given proximity to 40-yr highs
02:16 UTC
Short-term reversal, off highs · RSI 41 · price 161.881
Lower high then sharp break lower.
USDJPY dumped from 162.13 to 161.69 on thin early-Asia liquidity, snapping the 162.00 handle and leaving price below EMA20/50. A partial recovery to 161.88 has retraced ~38% of that leg, but the broken 162.02 area is now overhead supply.
Support: 161.691, 161.775
Resistance: 162.02, 162.13
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.13 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 161.69 confirms a lower-low
MoF intervention headlines can trigger fast JPY snap-backs near multi-decade highs
02:01 UTC
Intraday reversal, momentum down · RSI 34 · price 161.834
Breakdown from range top after failed push to 162.40.
USDJPY sold off sharply in the last two hours, sliding from the 162.40 day high through the 162.02 intraday floor and wicking 161.69 before settling near 161.83. RSI(14) rolled into the mid-30s as the grind-higher stalled; broad weak-yen context is intact but this is a clean M15 reversal with intervention chatter live near the 40-year high.
Support: 161.691
Resistance: 162.02, 162.425
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.02 negates the breakdown read
Loss of 161.69 session low opens further downside
MoF intervention headlines could sharply extend the snap-back given proximity to the 40-yr high
02:01 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 38 · price 161.834
Lower highs, swept session low.
USDJPY rolled over from the 162.42 session high through NY hours and printed a sharp Asia-session drop, sweeping 161.691 before recovering to 161.83. Broad USD firmness and carry demand keep it near multi-decade highs, but RSI(14) near 38 shows the intraday move has cooled. Descending highs cap the recovery under 162.02.
Support: 161.691, 161.775
Resistance: 162.022, 162.425
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 162.02 negates the breakdown
Loss of 161.69 opens further downside
MoF intervention headlines near multi-decade highs could snap the move
FOMC minutes tomorrow could reset the read
01:46 UTC
Pulled back off session high, lower highs · RSI 43 · price 161.961
Downside rotation after failed push to 162.42.
USDJPY rallied through London to a session high at 162.42, then rotated lower through NY into a chain of lower highs. The last bar swept the low at 161.691 on a thin-liquidity spike before recovering to 161.96; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43 with price under EMA20/50.
Support: 161.691
Resistance: 162.13, 162.425
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.13 recent high negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 161.69 sweep low signals continuation lower
MoF intervention chatter near the 162.84 40yr high could force a sharp reversal
01:46 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 43 · price 161.961
Lower highs, sharp flush then recovery.
USDJPY topped at 162.425 and ground lower through the NY-Asia handover, then flushed sharply to 161.691 on the last full bar before buyers bought it back to 161.96. Broad USD strength and carry demand keep price pinned near multi-decade highs, but the last few hours are a corrective leg lower with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 161.691
Resistance: 162.13, 162.425
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.13 puts the session high back in play
Loss of 161.69 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
MoF intervention headlines near 40-yr highs could sharply reverse this read
Lower highs off 162.42, range floor at 162.00 broke on last bar.
USDJPY drifted off the 162.42 session high and coiled 162.00-162.18 through the Asia session before the last bar broke the floor to 161.85 on thin volume. RSI(14) has cooled into the high-30s; price now sits below both EMAs after the range break.
Support: 161.85, 161.75
Resistance: 162.02, 162.18, 162.42
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 162.00 would negate the breakdown and put 162.18 back in play
Failure to hold 161.85 exposes the 161.75 Asia low
MoF intervention risk near 162.80 remains the overhead cap for any resumption
Asia session broke sharply below the 162.00-162.13 range on the final bar, dropping to 161.85 after grinding near multi-decade highs earlier. Price is rolling off the 162.42 session high with RSI cooling toward 38; the pair now sits below both EMAs.
Support: 161.85, 161.70
Resistance: 162.13, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 162.13 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 161.85 exposes the 161.70 window low
MoF intervention risk near 162.80 caps upside attempts
01:16 UTC
Pullback then stabilising · RSI 52 · price 162.122
Consolidation below session high.
USD/JPY pulled back from the 162.425 session high made during yesterday's NY hours to 162.017, and is now chopping in a tight Asia-session range around 162.12 on thin volume. Price reclaimed EMA20 but sits below EMA50, RSI(14) flat near 52 — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 162.017, 162.00, 161.94
Resistance: 162.18, 162.30, 162.425
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.18 reopens the path toward 162.30/162.42
Loss of 162.00 confirms a lower low and exposes 161.94
MoF intervention risk near the 162.80 zone caps upside extension
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove USD/JPY up to 162.42 before easing back into a 162.00–162.18 range; Asia hours are consolidating on thin volume just under multi-decade highs. Price sits back above the EMA20 after buyers defended 162.00, with the 162.80 intervention zone the standing overhead reference.
Support: 162.03, 161.94
Resistance: 162.18, 162.42, 162.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.18 reopens the 162.42 prior high
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.94 swing low
MoF intervention risk building near the 162.80 40yr high
01:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 162.126
Intraday range after NY fade.
USD/JPY pushed to a session high at 162.42 during NY hours then faded to 162.02, and is now consolidating near 162.13 in thin, low-volume Asian trade. RSI(14) sits neutral around 51 with price pinned between EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 162.03, 161.94
Resistance: 162.17, 162.425
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.17 reopens the path to 162.42 session high
Loss of 162.02 session low exposes 161.94
MoF intervention risk builds toward the 162.80 topside
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst
01:02 UTC
Pullback stalling, base attempt · RSI 54 · price 162.126
Consolidating above 162.00 after fade from 162.42.
USDJPY faded from the 162.42 NY high into the Asian session, twice holding near 162.00 before recovering to 162.13; RSI(14) back near neutral at ~53. Price is now consolidating below the 162.18 session high with thin Asia-hours volume.
Support: 162.00, 161.997
Resistance: 162.18, 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.18 reopens the path to 162.42
Loss of 162.00 confirms a lower-low and reopens Friday's descent
Intervention risk builds toward the 162.84 40-year high
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key catalyst
USD/JPY is consolidating 162.00–162.18 in thin Asia trade after fading from the 162.42 day high, with the broader carry-driven uptrend intact. Buyers stepped in at 162.00 and price has recovered toward the session high; volume is light.
Support: 162.00, 161.90
Resistance: 162.18, 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.18 reopens the 162.30–162.42 topside
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes 161.90
MoF intervention risk near 162.80 40-yr high looms overhead
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend paused, ranging · RSI 54 · price 162.132
Consolidation after pullback from session high.
USDJPY rallied to a session high of 162.41 during London/NY before pulling back to 162.00; it is now boxed between 162.00 and 162.18 in a quiet early-Asia session on thin volume. Broad USD firmness and a weak yen keep the pair pinned near multi-decade highs, with the 162.80 intervention zone overhead.
Support: 162.00, 161.94
Resistance: 162.18, 162.31, 162.41
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.18 reopens the 162.31/162.41 highs
Loss of 162.00 range floor exposes 161.94
MoF intervention risk builds toward the 162.80 zone
Thin Asia-session tape: USD/JPY faded from the 162.42 session high, held the 162.00 round-number floor and is grinding back up to 162.15, RSI(14) neutral near 54. JPY stays pinned near 40-yr lows on wide differentials, keeping the 162.84 topside in view.
Support: 162.00, 161.99
Resistance: 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
Close above 162.42 session high opens the path toward 162.84
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes the 161.99 swing low
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 54 · price 162.147
Consolidation after topping near 162.42.
USDJPY topped at 162.42 during NY hours then drifted into a thin Asia-session range, sweeping 162.00 before recovering to 162.15 — near the 38.2% retrace of the down-leg. Price is holding above EMA20 but capped under 162.18; JPY stays soft after the Labor Cash Earnings miss (3.2% vs 3.4%).
Support: 162.00, 161.76
Resistance: 162.18, 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
Close above 162.18 reopens 162.30 and the 162.42 window high
Loss of 162.00 exposes the 161.76 prior low
Intervention headlines near the 162.84 40-yr high could sharply shift this read
USDJPY faded from the 162.42 intraday high to a 162.00 session low through thin Asian-session hours, and is now recovering to 162.14 — a ~38% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 54 with no extreme; price is holding just above EMA20 but under EMA50, keeping the read range-bound between 162.00 and 162.28.
Support: 162.00
Resistance: 162.28, 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.28 reopens the 162.42 intraday high
loss of 162.00 session low exposes downside pivots below
162.84 40yr high remains the flagged intervention trigger zone
00:16 UTC
Pullback off session high, grinding back up · RSI 53 · price 162.14
Rejection at 162.42, holding above 162.00.
USDJPY tagged a session high at 162.42 during the London-NY window then rolled over to 162.00 as broad USD strength paused, and is now grinding back to 162.14 in thin Asian hours. RSI(14) neutral near 53; price recovered above EMA20 but the descending lower-high sequence off 162.42 still caps.
Support: 162.00, 161.88
Resistance: 162.42, 162.84
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.42 reopens the path to the 162.84 40-yr high
Failure to hold 162.00 exposes 161.88
FOMC minutes Wed could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 47 · price 162.097
Lower highs off 162.42, consolidating above 162.00.
USDJPY pulled back from the 162.42 session high through the NY session and is now consolidating in thin Asia hours around 162.00-162.10, with JPY soft after a Labor Cash Earnings miss. RSI(14) is mid-range near 47 and price is pinned to EMA20 while sitting below EMA50.
Support: 162.00, 161.99
Resistance: 162.11, 162.25, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close below 162.00 opens the swing low and negates the consolidation
Reclaim above 162.11 re-exposes the 162.25 prior swing and 162.42 session high
00:01 UTC
Intraday pullback, now flat · RSI 47 · price 162.097
Range after lower highs off session peak.
USDJPY was rejected at the 162.42 session high during the London-NY window and drifted lower into a tight 162.00-162.11 range on thin Asia-hours volume. JPY stays soft after the Labor Cash Earnings miss (3.2% vs 3.4%), but price is holding well below the 162.84 40-yr high.
Support: 162.00, 161.94
Resistance: 162.11, 162.30, 162.42
What it said to watch
M15 close above 162.11 reopens the path to 162.30/162.42