Silver has reclaimed ~14% off the 61.49 swing low on US-Iran de-escalation, a softer USD and collapsing oil, printing higher lows into 71.30. The advance is now consolidating in a 69.00-71.30 band just under the 100-day SMA, with EMA20 back above EMA50 but ATR still elevated from the crash. Price is coiling sub-71.30 ahead of the FOMC decision.
Support: 69.05, 68.04, 66.55
Resistance: 71.30, 72.25
What it said to watch
H4 close above 71.30 opens the path to 72.25
Loss of 69.05 re-exposes 68.04 and the 66.55 swing low
FOMC rate decision tomorrow 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation below 70.50 pivot after sharp bounce.
Silver staged a violent ~14% recovery off the $61.49 low on US-Iran de-escalation, a softer USD and collapsing oil, and is now consolidating in a 69.26-71.31 range just below the $70.50 pivot. ATR(14) stays elevated, reflecting the expansion that drove the rebound, but price has stalled with repeated rejection near 70.79. EMAs sit below price after the recovery, with the read now pivoting on the FOMC decision.
Support: 69.26, 68.04
Resistance: 70.79, 71.31
What it said to watch
H4 close above 71.31 swing high extends the recovery toward $72.25
Loss of 69.26 swing low re-exposes the 68.04 prior high
FOMC rate decision at 18:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
Silver rebounded ~14% off the 61.49 low, retracing the prior collapse as the US-Iran framework drained the risk premium and softened the dollar. Price now consolidates in a 69.30-71.31 band, stalling beneath the 100-day SMA and the 70.50 breakout pivot, with ATR still elevated after the sharp bounce. Higher-low structure remains intact but upside momentum has flattened into the FOMC window.
Support: 69.30, 68.59, 67.80
Resistance: 71.31, 72.25, 70.50
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot-plot 18:00 UTC and US Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H4 close above 71.31 opens the path toward 72.25
Loss of the 68.59 200-day SMA re-exposes 67.80 and the lower range
Silver has rallied ~14% off the $61.02 YTD low on the US-Iran peace framework and a softer USD, but the advance is stalling beneath the $70.50 pivot and the 100-day SMA. Price carved a higher low at 69.26 after the 71.31 swing high was rejected, leaving a tight consolidation into the FOMC decision. ATR remains elevated from the recent crash-and-bounce, so the compression here sits inside a still-wide volatility regime.
Support: 69.26, 68.59, 66.20
Resistance: 70.50, 71.31, 72.25
What it said to watch
FOMC rate decision + dot-plot 18:00 UTC tomorrow could materially shift this read
Sustained H4 close above 70.50 opens the path toward 72.25
Loss of 69.26 then 68.59 re-exposes downside back toward 66.20
Silver has rebounded roughly 6-8% off the $61.49 YTD-low zone, printing higher lows and now consolidating just beneath the $71-72 resistance ladder and the 100-day SMA. The leg up came on USD softness and the US-Iran framework deflating haven/oil bids rather than any Fed shift, and price stalling under 71.31 shows bulls de-risking into the event calendar. ATR remains elevated after the crash, so the consolidation sits inside a wide range.
Support: 68.59, 63.80
Resistance: 71.31, 72.25
What it said to watch
H4 close above 71.31 opens the path to 72.25
Loss of the 68.59 pivot reopens 63.80
Retail Sales (Wed 12:30 UTC) and FOMC + dots (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Silver has staged a sharp recovery off the $61.49 YTD-low cluster, carving higher lows and reclaiming the 70 handle; the bounce was USD-softness and Iran-framework driven rather than a Fed shift. Price is now consolidating just under the 70.79-71.31 ceiling, with EMA20 and EMA50 both below spot but the advance flattening as the FOMC nears. ATR(14) remains elevated, reflecting the wide two-way swings of the past two weeks.
Support: 68.59, 67.32
Resistance: 70.79, 71.31, 72.25
What it said to watch
FOMC decision + dot-plot at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US Retail Sales tomorrow 12:30 UTC a secondary risk
Silver staged a sharp recovery off the 11-week low at 61.49, reclaiming the 200-DMA at 68.59 and the $70 handle on the US-Iran de-escalation and a softer dollar. Price is now consolidating just below the 71.30 swing high with ATR still elevated, leaving the rally extended but stalling. FOMC and its dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst into the next sessions.
Support: 68.59
Resistance: 71.30
What it said to watch
H4 close above 71.30 opens the path toward the $74-75 supply zone
Failure to hold 68.59 (200-dma) risks a slip back toward $67
FOMC dot-plot Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the 61.5 bottom, capped under 71.3.
Silver staged a sharp V-recovery off the 11-week low at 61.49, reclaiming the 200-DMA (68.59) and the 70 handle on the US-Iran de-escalation and a softer USD. The move is capping under the 71.31 swing high, with price now pulling back to retest the 70/69 zone; ATR remains elevated after the crash-and-rebound. A hawkish-risk FOMC sits directly ahead of this read.
Support: 68.59, 61.49
Resistance: 71.31
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC dot-plot is the key catalyst and can override this structure
H4 close above 71.31 opens the path toward the 74-75 cap
Failure to hold the 68.59 200-DMA risks a slip back toward the 67 swing low
Silver staged a sharp V-shaped recovery off the $61.49 low, reclaiming $70 as the US-Iran ceasefire and Hormuz reopening unwound the war premium. Price is now consolidating below the $71.31 swing high with the higher-low sequence intact, while ATR stays elevated from the crash-and-rebound. Wednesday's FOMC dot plot is the swing factor — a hawkish projection has room to bite given how stretched the bounce is.
Support: 69.16, 67.25
Resistance: 71.31, 74.55
What it said to watch
FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC — hawkish path could pressure non-yielding silver back toward 67.25
H4 close above 71.31 swing high opens the path to the 50d ema at 74.55
Failure to hold the 9d ema 69.16 risks a slide to the 200d sma at 67.25
01:04 UTC
Uptrend off the lows, momentum cooling · RSI 59 · price 69.912
Higher highs and higher lows since the $61.50 base.
Silver staged a V-shaped recovery off the $61.50 base on the US-Iran peace deal and Hormuz reopening, gapping higher into the new week and tagging 71.31 before fading. Price is now retesting the 70.00 area as momentum cools, with the rising support line off the lows still intact and the prior high at 70.79 capping. The week pivots on Wed's FOMC dots, the swing factor for whether this stretched bounce extends toward the 50-day or fades back to the 200-day sma near 67.25.
Support: 69.38, 67.25
Resistance: 70.79, 71.31
What it said to watch
FOMC dots Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H4 close above 71.31 swing high resumes the advance
Failure to hold 69.38 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 200-day sma