XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 18 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Short-term uptrend off the Monday open · RSI 67 · price 4,183.22
Higher lows inside the early Asia range, testing the 61.8% retrace of Friday's NY drop.
Gold gapped modestly higher at the Asia session open on weekend Hormuz headlines. It cleared Friday's late 4155–4172 range, printing a session high at 4185.55, about the 61.8% retrace of Friday's NY drop from 4198.77 to 4155.84. A higher low at 4174.4 holds above the open low at 4166.25, and RSI(14) at 67 is warm but not stretched.
Support: 4,174.40, 4,166.25, 4,155.84
Resistance: 4,185.55, 4,192.28, 4,198.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4185.55 session high and the 61.8% retrace opens Friday's London high at 4192.28, then the Friday high at 4198.77
Failure to hold the 4174.4 higher low breaks the Asia uptrend sequence and exposes the open low at 4166.25
Loss of the open low puts the Friday low at 4155.84 back in view
Hormuz/Iran headlines into the Monday open could reprice haven flows quickly
Friday range 4155.84–4198.77; Monday Asian open printing higher lows from a small gap up.
Gold gapped up slightly at the weekly open (4168.37) with weekend Hormuz vessel attacks in the background, then pushed off the asia pivot near 4174.42 to a 4185.23 asia high. Price now sits at the 61.8% retracement of Friday's NY slide from the 4198.77 friday high to the 4155.84 friday low. RSI(14) near 69 is short-term hot but not stretched.
Support: 4,174.42, 4,168.37, 4,155.84
Resistance: 4,185.23, 4,192.28, 4,198.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4192.28 london high puts the 4198.77 friday high in play and breaks the 61.8% cap
Loss of the asia pivot at 4174.42 and the rising Asia line points back toward the weekly open gap at 4168.37
Hormuz/Iran headlines into the Asian session could materially shift this read; the weekend gap reflects only part of that risk
23:17 UTC
Two-way, mild recovery off Friday NY low · RSI 58 · price 4,175.43
Asia open range 4166–4181 inside Friday's 4156–4199 NY swing.
Gold opened the Monday Asia session slightly above Friday's 4165.79 close and lifted to an open high at 4180.56. It is now holding near 4175, between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of Friday's NY fade from the 4198.77 friday high to the 4155.84 ny low. Weekend Hormuz/Iran headlines are the live driver into thin early trade.
Support: 4,166.25, 4,155.84
Resistance: 4,180.56, 4,198.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4180.56 open high clears the 61.8% retracement near 4182.4 and opens the path back toward the 4198.77 friday high
Failure to hold the 4166.25 open low exposes the 4155.84 ny low
Escalation in Hormuz/Iran headlines during Asia hours could materially shift this read in thin liquidity
23:04 UTC
Recovering from Friday NY sell-off, early-week bounce · RSI 66 · price 4,177.30
Small weekly-open gap up, testing 50% retrace of Friday's NY drop.
Sunday reopen gapped modestly above the 4165.79 Friday close and climbed to an open high of 4178.33. That sits at the 50% retrace of Friday's NY drop from 4198.77 to 4155.84, the leg that faded the post-Industrial Production spike as yields firmed. Early Asia session, thin bars, rising lows off the 4155.84 NY low intact.
Support: 4,165.79, 4,155.84
Resistance: 4,178.33, 4,189.84, 4,198.77
What it said to watch
Close above the 4178.33 open high clears the 50% retrace and opens 4189.84 swing high, then 4198.77 friday high
Gap fill back below the 4165.79 fri close breaks the rising lows and puts the 4155.84 ny low back in play
Hormuz/Iran weekend headlines could drive a haven move through the Asia session
22:46 UTC
Rebounding at the weekly open inside Friday's range · RSI 64 · price 4,176.73
Higher low off 4155.84, testing the 50% retrace of Friday's NY drop.
Gold gapped slightly above the 4165.79 Friday close at the Sunday Asia open and pushed to an open high of 4178.33, a haven bid after weekend Hormuz vessel attacks. Price is stalling at the 50% retrace of Friday's NY drop from the 4198.77 Friday high to the 4155.84 NY low. The rising support line off that low is intact.
Support: 4,165.79, 4,155.84, 4,147.22
Resistance: 4,178.33, 4,181.54, 4,198.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4181.54 swing high clears the 50% retrace and puts the 4198.77 Friday high back in view
Gap fill back below the 4165.79 Friday close breaks the rising support line and reopens the 4155.84 NY low
Loss of 4155.84 would expose Friday's Asia low at 4147.22
Hormuz/Iran headlines are the main swing factor for this session; thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate the move
22:32 UTC
Rebounding at the reopen inside Friday's lower-high sequence · RSI 61 · price 4,175.83
Friday range 4147–4199; reopen push to the 50% retrace of the NY drop.
Friday's NY spike to the 4198.77 ny high faded to the 4155.84 ny low as yields firmed. The Sunday reopen gapped slightly above the 4165.79 fri close and ran to 4177.33, which sits on the 50% fib of that drop. It has also reclaimed the 4172.52 fri pivot, and RSI(14) has lifted to around 61.
Support: 4,172.52, 4,165.79, 4,155.84
Resistance: 4,177.33, 4,192.28, 4,198.77
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 4177.33 reopen high and 50% fib keeps Friday's lower-high sequence intact
M15 close above 4182.4 (61.8% fib) opens the path to the 4192.28 london high
Slip back below the 4172.52 fri pivot and a fill of the gap to the 4165.79 fri close refocus the 4155.84 ny low
Weekend IMF headlines in thin Asia session liquidity could distort the reopen read
22:17 UTC
Two-way range, early bounce at weekly open · RSI 59 · price 4,175.16
Friday NY spike to 4198.77 fully reversed; weekly open gapped higher into the 38.2–50% fib zone.
The weekly open gapped up from the 4165.79 Fri close and cleared the 4172.52 late NY high. Price now sits between the 38.2% and 50% fib of Friday's 4198.77–4155.84 NY reversal. Friday's spike on softer yields fully unwound into the US close as yields firmed. This is the first hour of a thin Asia session, still inside the broader 4155–4199 range.
Support: 4,172.52, 4,165.79, 4,155.84
Resistance: 4,177.30, 4,192.28, 4,198.77
What it said to watch
A slip back under the 4172.52 late NY high exposes the 4165.79 Fri close for a gap fill
The 50% fib at 4177.30 is the first cap; an M15 close above it opens the london high at 4192.28 and the NY high at 4198.77
Failure to hold the 4155.84 NY low breaks Friday's range floor
Weekend IMF meeting headlines and Tue Oct 20 12:30 UTC housing starts could shift yields and this read
22:04 UTC
Intraday down from NY high, stalling into the close · RSI 47 · price 4,165.79
Lower highs from 4198.8; base near the 4155.8 swing low.
The NY-session spike to the 4198.8 ny high was rejected as yields firmed into the US close. Price then put in lower highs down to a 4155.8 swing low. The late bounce stalled at a 4172.5 lower high, near the 38.2% retracement and the descending line, and the Friday close sits mid-range below EMA20.
Support: 4,155.80, 4,147.20
Resistance: 4,172.50, 4,186.30, 4,198.80
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4155.8 swing low exposes the 4147.2 asian low
Close above the 4172.5 lower high breaks the descending sequence; 4186.3 asian high is the next reference
Weekend IMF headlines could gap the open; Tue 12:30 UTC housing starts/permits are the next scheduled US risk
21:47 UTC
Two-way range, lower highs since NY spike · RSI 47 · price 4,165.79
Lower highs capping above a 4155 base.
NY session swept below 4155 and then spiked to a 4198.77 ny high. That high briefly cleared the London peak at 4192 but failed, a false break, and price sold back to the 4155.84 ny base as yields firmed into the US close. The late bounce stalled at 4172.52, the 38.2% retrace of the selloff, leaving price at 4165.79, just under EMA20, with RSI(14) near 47 at the weekly close.
Support: 4,155.84, 4,147.22
Resistance: 4,172.52, 4,186.34, 4,198.77
What it said to watch
Close above the 4172.52 late high and the descending lower-highs line reopens 4186.34 asian high
Failure at the 4155.84 ny base exposes the 4147.22 asian low
Weekend IMF headlines carry gap risk into the Monday open
4198.77 ny high marks the top of the session range; only a reclaim negates the false break
21:32 UTC
Post-spike pullback, flat into the weekly close · RSI 51 · price 4,165.79
NY false break above London high fully retraced; base at 4155–4157, lower high at 4172.5.
The NY session spiked through the London high to a 4198.77 NY high, then fully reversed as yields firmed again. Lows at 4156.79 and the 4155.84 swing low held, but the late-NY bounce high at 4172.52 stalled at the 38.2% retracement of the NY drop. Price is drifting near 4166 into the weekly close, with RSI(14) neutral around 51.
Support: 4,155.84, 4,147.22
Resistance: 4,172.52, 4,186.34, 4,198.77
What it said to watch
A close above the 4172.52 bounce high (38.2% of the NY drop) opens a move toward the 4186.34 asian high
Failure to hold the 4155.84 swing low exposes the 4147.22 asian low
A reclaim of the 4198.77 NY high would invalidate the rejection read
Weekend IMF meeting headlines risk a gap at the Monday open
21:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend from day high, basing late session · RSI 45 · price 4,165.79
False break above Asian high fully reversed; late-NY range 4155.84–4172.52.
The NY open bid on a softer DXY broke the Asian high at 4186.34 and printed a day high at 4198.77. That move was rejected as yields firmed into the close, unwinding $43 to the NY low at 4155.84. Late NY held a 4155.84–4172.52 range, with the swing high stalling at the 38.2% fib, and the week closed mid-range at 4165.79 just under EMA20.
Support: 4,155.84, 4,147.22
Resistance: 4,172.52, 4,186.34, 4,198.77
What it said to watch
Weekend IMF headlines could gap the Monday Asia session open away from the 4165.79 close
A break of the 4155.84 NY low exposes the 4147.22 Asian low
An M15 close above the 4172.52 swing high (38.2% fib) puts the 4186.34 Asian high back in play
Tue 12:30 UTC US housing starts/permits are the next scheduled data risk to the range read
21:06 UTC
Intraday downtrend after NY spike rejection · RSI 46 · price 4,165.79
Lower highs off 4198.77; tight 4155–4173 range into the weekly close.
The early-NY spike to a 4198.77 session high was rejected short of $4,200. Gold unwound the move to a 4155.84 swing low as yields firmed into the US close. The late bounce stalled at the 38.2% retracement of the NY selloff near the 4172.52 swing high, and the week closed at 4165.79 under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 4,155.84, 4,147.22
Resistance: 4,172.52, 4,192.28, 4,198.77
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4155.84 swing low exposes the asian low at 4147.22.
M15 close above the 4172.52 swing high breaks the lower-high trendline and reopens the 4192.28 london high.
Weekend IMF headlines could gap the Monday Asia session open away from Friday's range.
Tue 12:30 UTC housing starts and permits feed October hike pricing and could shift this read.