XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Tuesday, 20 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:04 UTC
Downtrend, trading below former range floor · RSI 44 · price 4,120.19
Lower highs and lower lows since Friday's 4198.77 peak.
Gold has printed lower highs since Friday's 4198.77 NY-session peak. Monday's failure near 4190 turned into a London-to-NY slide through the 4150 range floor, and Tuesday's London session set a 4111.68 low, with the metal heavy even as yields and the USD eased on global tightening worries. A NY-hours spike to 4155 on soft US housing data and lower oil tagged the 50% fib of the week's decline and was rejected, leaving price below EMA(20) near 4127 and EMA(50), with RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 4,111.68, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,150.00, 4,155.20
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4111.68 tuesday low confirms a lower-low, with the 4100 round number next
Sustained H1 trade back above EMA(20) near 4127 would interrupt the lower-highs sequence
H1 close above the 4150 range floor and the 4155 50% fib, which also clears the lower-highs trendline, negates the breakdown read
US Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC), PMIs and UoM inflation expectations (Fri) could materially shift this read
Lower highs 4198/4190/4155 with a new week low at 4111.68; price below the 4168 weekly open.
Since Friday's NY high at 4198.77, gold has printed lower highs at 4190 in Monday's London session and 4155 in Tuesday's NY session. Monday's NY hours drove the break below 4150 and below the 4168 weekly open, and Tuesday's low at 4111.68 set the week low. Tuesday's NY spike stalled at the 50% fib of the 4198–4111 decline and faded back below EMA(20) near 4129 despite softer yields and USD on the weak housing data, consistent with the digest's read of thin dip demand against near-fully priced December Fed hike odds.
Support: 4,111.68, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,129.30, 4,155.49, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the Tuesday high at 4155, just above the former 4150 floor and at the 50% fib, would break the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 4111.68 week low extends the lower-low sequence, with the 4100 round number the next reference
Acceptance back above EMA(20) near 4129 would mark the first reclaim since Tuesday's NY fade
A return above the 4168 weekly open would erase this week's decline
Thu 12:30 UTC jobless claims and Fri 13:45–14:00 UTC PMIs and UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows; 4150 range floor lost, bounce faded.
Gold has printed lower highs since Friday's 4198.77 peak and Monday's 4190 London high. It slipped below the 4150 range floor in Monday's NY session and set a week low at 4111.7 during Tuesday's London session. Tuesday's NY bounce, which came alongside soft US housing data and easing yields, stalled at the 50% retracement near 4155 and was rejected, leaving price capped under the ema20 around 4128 with RSI(14) near 44, a sign of weak dip demand per the digest.
Support: 4,111.70, 4,100.00, 4,078.00
Resistance: 4,128.00, 4,150.00, 4,168.40
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 4150 range floor and the lower-highs trendline would undercut the breakdown read
Failure to hold the 4111.7 week low confirms another lower-low and opens the 4100 round number, then the 4078 swing low
Reclaim of the 4168.4 weekly open would negate this week's downside structure
Thu jobless claims and Fri PMIs / UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read via October hike odds
Lower highs and lower lows from 4198.77; Tuesday rebound rejected at the 50% fib.
Gold has printed lower highs since Friday's NY-session peak at 4198.77. Monday's oil and yield spike drove a London-to-NY slide from 4190, and Tuesday's London session set the week low at 4111.68. The NY-open bounce on US-Iran diplomacy headlines stalled at the 50% fib of the decline (4155.49) and has faded back below the ema20 near 4129, with RSI(14) at ~42, EMA(50) at ~4139 overhead and the weekly open at 4168.37 well above.
Support: 4,111.68, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,128.90, 4,155.49, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 50% fib at 4155.49 and the lower-high trendline would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the week low at 4111.68 confirms a lower-low, with the round number at 4100 next below
Reclaiming the ema20 (~4129) and EMA(50) (~4139) would neutralise the downtrend read; the weekly open at 4168.37 marks the upper half of the week's range
Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC, PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC and US-Iran/oil headlines could materially shift this read
19:04 UTC
Downtrend from Friday's high, lows holding near 4111 · RSI 46 · price 4,125.22
Lower highs and lower lows since 4198.77; Tuesday NY spike rejected at 50% fib.
Gold has printed lower highs since Friday's 4198.77 peak. Monday's oil-driven yield spike took it below the 4168 weekly open, and London and NY selling broke 4140. Through Asia and London on Tuesday, price found demand at 4111.7–4113.4 on three tests. The NY-session spike on US-Iran diplomacy reports stalled at 4155.5, almost exactly the 50% fib of the Friday-to-Tuesday drop, and faded back under EMA(20) near 4130.7.
Support: 4,111.70, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,130.70, 4,155.50, 4,168.40
What it said to watch
H1 close above 4155.5 (50% fib and lower-high trendline) breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the weekly open at 4168.4
Failure to hold the 4111.7 Tuesday low confirms a fresh lower low, with the 4100 round number next
Sustained H1 closes back above EMA(20) at 4130.7 would mark the first shift in the intraday sequence
US Initial Jobless Claims Thu 12:30 UTC and oil/US-Iran headlines via yields could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows from Monday's 4190 high; Tuesday holding a 4111–4155 band.
Gold has carved lower highs since Monday's 4190 peak. The main leg lower came in Monday's NY session and extended through Tuesday's London open to a 4111.7 week low, as firm oil and a 5%+ US 10y kept higher-for-longer pricing in play. The NY spike on weak US housing data stalled at 4155.5, inside the 50–61.8% zone of the week's decline, and was fully retraced, leaving price back below the H1 EMA(20) near 4131 with RSI(14) at 44.
Support: 4,111.70, 4,100.00, 4,073.60
Resistance: 4,130.90, 4,155.50, 4,168.40
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 4155.5 tue high breaks the lower-highs sequence; reclaiming the 4168.4 weekly open neutralises the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 4111.7 week low exposes the 4100 round number, with the 4073.6 swing low from Oct 14 below
Confirmation or denial of US-Iran deal headlines could shift oil and yields and materially change this read
Thu jobless claims and Fri S&P Global PMIs / UoM inflation expectations are the next scheduled catalysts for the 4100 test
Lower highs and lower lows from the 4198.77 high; NY rally rejected at the 50% retracement.
Gold has printed lower highs since Friday's 4198.77 NY top. The week opened at 4168.37, Monday's London open stalled at 4190.31, and the slide carried through the London-NY transition to a Tuesday low of 4111.68 in London hours. Today's NY spike on the weak housing data reached the 50% fib of the down-leg at 4155.49 and was rejected, with price fading back under EMA(20) near 4131. That fits the digest's read that oil and yields, not soft US data, are driving bullion. RSI(14) is near 41 and has failed to hold above 50 on each bounce.
Support: 4,111.68, 4,100.00, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,131.10, 4,155.49, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the Tuesday low at 4111.68 and the 4100 round number extends the lower-low sequence, with last week's swing low at 4073.55 the next reference
An H1 close back above EMA(20) near 4131 and then the 50% fib at 4155.5 would break the lower-highs trendline; the weekly open at 4168.37 sits above that
Thu Oct 22 jobless claims and Fri Oct 23 S&P Global PMIs and UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 4190 week high; week low 4111.68 holding.
Gold has printed lower highs since Monday's London-open peak at 4190.31 and has spent most of the week below the 4168.37 weekly open, as oil above $99 and 5%+ US 10y yields weigh on bullion. Today's NY-session spike to the 4155.49 spike high after the weak housing data was rejected between the 50% and 61.8% retracement of the week's drop, and price is back under EMA(20) near 4133. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, and the 4111.68 week low set in London is the floor of the move, with the 4100 round number just beneath.
Support: 4,111.68, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,133.10, 4,155.49, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
H1 close back above ema20 near 4133 and then the 4155.49 spike high would break the lower-highs trendline and the downtrend read
Recapture of the 4168.37 weekly open would neutralise the week's decline
Failure to hold the 4111.68 week low exposes the 4100 round number, flagged in the digest as a long-liquidation trigger
Thu Oct 22 jobless claims and Fri Oct 23 S&P Global PMIs / UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
15:04 UTC
Downtrend since Friday, NY bounce stalling · RSI 49 · price 4,141.49
Lower highs and lower lows from the 4198.77 week high.
Lower highs since Friday's 4198.77 week high. Monday's London-open peak at 4190.31 faded through NY, and the Tuesday Asia-to-London slide set a swing low at 4111.68, well below the 4168.37 weekly open, as firmer oil and US yields weighed. The NY session bounce after soft US housing data stalled at 4155.49, the 50% retracement of the Friday–Tuesday decline and the EMA(50). Price sits just above EMA(20) near 4134 with RSI(14) flat around 49.
Support: 4,134.40, 4,111.68
Resistance: 4,155.49, 4,168.37, 4,190.31
What it said to watch
H1 close above today's high at 4155.49 breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 4168.37 weekly open back in view
A push through 4168.37 brings Monday's high at 4190.31 back into focus
Failure to hold the 4111.68 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low and exposes the $4,100 psych level
Loss of EMA(20) near 4134 would show the NY bounce fully retraced
Thu jobless claims and Fri S&P Global PMIs / UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows from 4198.77, price below both EMAs.
Gold has printed lower highs since Friday's 4198.77 peak. Monday's slide ran from the London high at 4190 through the weekly open at 4168.37, and today's London session pressed to a 4111.68 swing low as oil-driven yield pressure outweighed a softer USD. The post-Housing Starts bounce in the first hour of NY stalled at 4134.30, a fresh lower high just above EMA(20) near 4132, with the descending trendline from Monday's high also overhead. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price is hovering on the 61.8% retrace of the Wednesday–Friday rally, with the 4100 psych level just below.
Support: 4,111.68, 4,100.00, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,134.30, 4,147.21, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 4111.68 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward 4100 psych and then the oct 14 low at 4073.55
Hourly close above the 4134.30 lower high and the descending trendline breaks the sequence, putting the 4147.21 asia high and then the weekly open at 4168.37 back in play
Thu 12:30 UTC Jobless Claims and Fri 13:45 UTC PMIs / UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read; WTI near $100 and the 10y yield remain the main drivers
Lower highs and lower lows below the broken $4,150 range floor.
Gold has printed a sequence of lower highs since Friday's NY-session peak at 4198.77. Monday's London-open high of 4190.31 gave way to a slide through NY that broke the $4,150 range floor, as oil above $99 and 10y yields near 5.14% kept hike pricing firm. Tuesday's Asia bounce stalled at the 4147 Asia high near the 38.2% retracement, and London then set a new low at 4111.68, with price holding below EMA(20) near 4131 and RSI(14) stuck around 40.
Support: 4,111.68, 4,100.00, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,147.21, 4,150.00
What it said to watch
Pending Home Sales at 14:00 UTC could jolt yields and this read in the NY session
An H1 close back above the 4150 range floor would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold the Tuesday low at 4111.68 exposes the 4100 round number, then the Oct 14 low at 4073.55
A close above the lower-highs trendline and EMA(20) near 4130 would break the lower-high sequence
Friday's S&P PMIs and UoM inflation expectations are the larger risk for the weekly structure
Lower highs and lower lows from 4190.31, below the 4150 range floor.
Gold has printed lower highs since Monday's London-open high at 4190.31. Monday's NY session broke the 4150 range floor, and Tuesday's London session extended to a 4111.68 session low as oil near $99 lifted yields and kept December hike pricing intact. Price is capped below EMA(20) near 4134 with RSI(14) around 41, and Tuesday's Asian bounce stalled at 4147, between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of the week decline.
Support: 4,111.68, 4,100.00, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,133.60, 4,150.00, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above the 4150 range floor and the lower-highs trendline invalidates the downtrend read, with the 4168 weekly open next above
Failure to hold the 4111.68 session low exposes the 4100 round number, then the 4073.55 prior low
Recovery above ema20 near 4134 that holds would mark the first higher low of the week
US housing data at 12:30 UTC today and Friday's S&P Global PMIs could materially shift the yield-driven read
Lower highs and lower lows below the broken 4150 range floor.
Gold has printed lower highs since Friday's 4198.77 peak. Monday's London-session high at 4190.31 failed short of 4200, and the NY session drove the slide back through the 4150 range floor as US yields and oil rebounded. Tuesday's Asian bounce stalled at 4147.21, a lower high that retested the broken floor near the 38.2% fib, before London extended to a fresh week low at 4111.81, with price now below EMA(20) near 4134, the descending trendline and RSI(14) capped under 45 on each rebound.
Support: 4,111.81, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,134.10, 4,147.21, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 4147.21 lower high and 4150 range floor would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold the 4111.81 week low confirms a further lower-low, opening the 4073.55 prior low from Oct 14
Recovery through the 4168.37 weekly open would neutralise the week's lower-high sequence
US housing starts/permits at 12:30 UTC and Friday's S&P Global PMIs could move yields and shift this read
Sustained push in the US 10y above ~5.14% keeps pressure on rebounds toward the ema20 and descending trendline
Range floor broken, lower-high/lower-low sequence.
Gold has printed lower highs since Friday's 4198.77 NY-session peak. Monday's London-to-NY slide broke the 4150 range floor as US yields and oil rebounded, and early London on Tuesday extended the drop to a 4111.81 session low. Price sits below EMA(20) near 4135, which has capped bounces alongside the 4136.6 lower high and the descending trendline from Monday's high, while RSI(14) near 33 is soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 4,111.81, 4,100.00, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,136.60, 4,150.00, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 4136.6 lower high and the descending trendline would break the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of the 4150 range floor, near the 38.2% fib of the Friday-to-Tuesday drop, shifts the read back toward the old range, with the 4168 weekly open above
Failure to hold the 4111.81 session low exposes the 4100 round number and Wednesday's 4073.55 low
US housing data 12:30–14:00 UTC and the 10y yield near 5.14% could materially shift this read
Range floor at 4150 lost; lower highs 4190 → 4147 → 4137 pressing the 4116 low.
Gold has printed lower highs since Monday's 4190 top kept the week below 4200. The NY-session slide broke the 4150 range floor as US yields and oil rebounded. Tuesday's Asian-session bounce from the 4116 week low stalled at the EMA(20) and the 38.2% fib by the 4147 tue high, and the drop into the London open put price back on the lows, well beneath the 4168 weekly open, with RSI(14) near 36, soft but not oversold, and 4100 round number the next reference below.
Support: 4,115.76, 4,100.00, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,138.00, 4,147.21, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 4147–4150 (tue high / range floor, 38.2% fib) would break the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 4116 week low exposes the 4100 round number and the 4073.55 wed low
Repeated failure at ema20 (~4138) keeps the downtrend structure intact
US housing data 12:30–14:00 UTC and the 10y yield near 5.14% could materially shift this read
08:04 UTC
Downtrend since Friday high, momentum stalling at lows · RSI 40 · price 4,126.21
Lower highs from 4198.77; 4115–4120 floor tested three times.
Gold has printed lower highs since Friday's NY-session peak at 4198.77. Monday's London failure at 4190 became a slide through the 4168 weekly open and the 4136 Monday low as Treasury yields rebounded and WTI held near $99. Tuesday's Asian bounce met rejection at the EMA(20) near 4147, a fresh lower high, and London sold it again, but the 4115–4120 area (tuesday low) has absorbed three tests on the 61.8% retracement of last week's 4073–4198 rally, with RSI(14) back near 40 from ~30.
Support: 4,115.76, 4,100.00, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,140.00, 4,147.21, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 4115.76 tuesday low breaks the 61.8% rally fib zone and exposes the 4100 round number, then the 4073.55 wed low
H1 close back above the ema20 and the lower highs line near 4140–4147 would break the sequence; reclaiming the 4168 weekly open is needed to restore Monday's range
US housing data 12:15–14:00 UTC and the 10y yield near 5.14% could shift this read; a yield retreat drove Thursday's rally from similar levels
Lower highs and lower lows below the broken range floor.
Gold has printed lower highs since Friday's 4198.77 peak. Monday's slide from the 4190 Monday high started at London open, ran through NY hours and broke the $4,150 range floor as rebounding Treasury yields and $99 oil outweighed a softer USD. In Tuesday's Asia session price set a 4115.76 session low and retested it near 4119, while the bounce stalled at 4147, where the 38.2% fib and EMA(20) meet; price now trades about $33 under the 4168 weekly open, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) recovering to ~42 from sub-30.
Support: 4,115.76, 4,100.00, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,150.00, 4,190.31
What it said to watch
An H1 close back above the 4150 range floor (where EMA50 sits) and the lower-highs trendline would challenge the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 4115.76 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 4100 round number, then the 4073.55 Wed low
A further rise in the US 10y yield from ~5.14% or fresh Iran blockade headlines lifting oil keep pressure on the rally ceiling at EMA20
Friday's S&P Global PMIs and UoM inflation expectations, with next week's FOMC behind them, could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows from 4190.31, price at the 61.8% fib.
Gold opened the week at 4168.37 and ran to 4190.31 in Monday's Asia session. It stalled below Friday's 4198.77 high and slid through London and NY as WTI above $99 pushed the 10y yield to 5.144% and firmed the USD. Tuesday's Asia session extended the lower-highs sequence: a bounce capped at 4147.21 was reversed by a 05:00 UTC drop toward the 4115.76 Asia low, leaving price below EMA(20) near 4142 and at the 61.8% fib of the 4073.55–4198.77 advance, with RSI(14) near 29 in oversold territory.
Support: 4,115.76, 4,100.00, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,142.26, 4,147.21, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
H1 close back above EMA(20) near 4142 and the 4147.21 lower high would break the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 4115.76 Asia low exposes the 4100 round number (78.6% fib), then the 4073.55 swing low
US Housing Starts/Permits at 12:30 UTC and Pending Home Sales at 14:00 UTC; a 10y yield push above 5.144% keeps pressure on the structure
A recovery through the 4168.37 weekly open would negate the week's downtrend read
Friday's S&P Global PMIs and UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Lower high Monday below Friday's week high, break of 4150 range floor, Asia sweep to 4115.76 then recovery.
Gold opened the week at 4168 and London capped Monday at 4190.31, a lower high under Friday's 4198.77 week high. The NY session then broke the 4150 range floor as firmer oil and a 5.14% 10y lifted the USD. Tuesday's Asia session swept below Thursday's low to 4115.76, near the 61.8% retracement of the Wednesday–Friday leg, before recovering. Price is now pressing the range floor and EMA20 near 4147 from below, with RSI(14) back in the low 40s.
Support: 4,130.37, 4,115.76
Resistance: 4,150.00, 4,168.37, 4,198.77
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 4150 range floor and EMA20 would negate the range break and put the 4168 week open back in play
Failure to hold the 4130 thu low and the 4115.76 asia low confirms a lower low and exposes Wednesday's 4073 swing
Break above the lower-highs line from the 4198.77 week high is needed to repair structure
US housing starts, permits and pending home sales (12:30–14:00 UTC today) could nudge yields and shift this read
Friday's S&P Global PMIs and UoM inflation expectations are the larger yield catalyst for the range floor test
04:04 UTC
Short-term downtrend, rebounding off Asia low · RSI 45 · price 4,145.95
Lower highs since Friday; 4150 range floor lost, now tested from below.
Gold has printed lower highs from Friday's 4198.77 and the 4190.31 Monday high set in London. The break under the 4150 range floor came in the first hours of NY Monday as oil-driven gains in yields firmed the USD. Tuesday's Asia session swept Thursday's 4130 lows to the 4115.76 Tuesday low before rebounding to the 38.2% retracement of the Monday-Tuesday drop near 4144, leaving price just under EMA(20) at 4147 and EMA(50) at 4153, with RSI(14) back to 45 from sub-30.
Support: 4,136.60, 4,115.76, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,150.00, 4,168.37, 4,190.31
What it said to watch
An H1 close back above the 4150 range floor and EMA(50) near 4153 would turn the break into a false break and expose the weekly open at 4168.37
Rejection at 4150 keeps the lower highs intact; a close below the 4115.76 Tuesday low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 4073.55 Wed low
Holding above the 4136.60 Monday low keeps the Asia rebound structure in place
US Housing Starts and Building Permits at 12:30 UTC today could nudge yields and shift this read
03:03 UTC
Downtrend, short-term bounce off Asia low · RSI 34 · price 4,139.27
Lower highs from 4190 week high; 4150 range floor broken.
Gold printed 4190 early in London on Monday after the weekly open at 4168. The London-NY sell-off then took price through the 4150 range floor and below EMA(20), now near 4147, as WTI above $99 lifted the 10y to 5.14%, and every hourly close since has held under that average. The Asia session tagged 4115.76 before recovering above the Thu low at 4130, with RSI(14) lifting from the low 30s. Price is still capped below the 38.2% retracement of Monday's drop near 4144.
Support: 4,130.37, 4,115.76, 4,100.00
Resistance: 4,147.00, 4,150.00, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 4150 range floor and the 50% fib near 4153 would undercut the range break read
Failure to hold the 4115.76 Asia low, after the Thu low was briefly breached, exposes the 4100 round number
A recovery through the 4168 weekly open would reverse Monday's London-NY leg
US Housing Starts/Permits at 12:30 UTC and Pending Home Sales at 14:00 UTC today could nudge yields and shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows below the broken 4150 range floor.
Gold has printed a sequence of lower highs since the London-open week high at 4190.31. The Monday sell-off ran through the 4150 range floor during NY hours as oil-driven gains in yields firmed the USD. Price now trades below EMA(20) near 4147 and under the weekly open at 4168.37, while RSI(14) near 28 sits in oversold territory after the Asian session low at 4115.76 spiked below Thursday's 4130 base before a partial recovery.
Support: 4,115.76, 4,100.00, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,150.00, 4,168.37, 4,190.31
What it said to watch
An H1 close back above the 4150 range floor and EMA(20) would undercut the lower-highs read. The Monday sell-off 38.2% retracement near 4144 sits just below that zone.
A break of the 4115.76 session low exposes the 4100 round number and the mid-week swing low at 4073.55.
A lower low below 4115.76 with RSI(14) failing to confirm would flag rsi divergence (bullish) and slow the downtrend read.
US housing data due 12:30–14:00 UTC today could nudge yields and shift this read. Friday's PMIs and inflation expectations carry the larger risk.
Reclaiming the weekly open at 4168.37 would neutralise the week's lower highs below the 4190.31 week high.
01:05 UTC
Short-term downtrend, range floor lost · RSI 26 · price 4,124.19
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday's 4190 high.
Gold has faded from Monday's London-morning high of 4190.31, a lower high beneath last week's 4198.77 peak. It lost the 4150 range floor during NY hours as WTI above $99 lifted the 10y yield to 5.14%. Asia extended the slide through the Monday low at 4136.6 to 4124.19, leaving price under EMA(20) near 4148 and EMA(50), sitting on the fib 61.8% of the 4073.55–4198.77 advance with RSI(14) oversold near 26. Successive lower highs have capped every bounce since the weekly open at 4168.37.
Support: 4,121.38, 4,100.00, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,136.60, 4,150.00, 4,168.37
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 4150 range floor and EMA(20) would negate the range break
Failure to hold the fib 61.8% at 4121 exposes the 4100 round number and the 4073.55 swing low
A higher RSI(14) low on a fresh price low would mark bullish divergence from oversold
Reclaiming the Monday low at 4136.6 would be the first sign the lower-highs sequence is stalling
Tue 12:30 UTC housing starts/permits could nudge yields; Fri PMIs and UoM inflation expectations are the larger risk to this read
00:04 UTC
Short-term downtrend since Friday's high · RSI 37 · price 4,135.92
Lower highs from 4198.77; 4150 range floor lost, Thu low under test.
Gold has printed lower highs since Friday's 4198.77 peak. Monday's London high at 4190.31 faded through the NY session as oil-led yield gains pushed the 10y to 5.14% and firmed the USD. The slide took out the 4150 range floor, with EMA(20) now sitting near 4151, and price is testing Thursday's 4130 low at the 50% rally retrace of the 4073–4199 move, RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 4,130.40, 4,121.40, 4,073.55
Resistance: 4,150.00, 4,168.40, 4,190.31
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 4150 range floor and EMA(20) would undercut the breakdown read, with the weekly open at 4168.4 next above
Failure to hold the 4130 Thu low exposes the 61.8% fib at 4121 and Wednesday's 4073.55 week low
A close above the lower-highs line from the 4190.31 Monday high would neutralise the sequence; price is pressing it near 4137
Tue ADP and housing starts/permits at 12:15–12:30 UTC; Fri PMIs and UoM inflation expectations carry larger yield-driven risk for this read