Higher lows off 4291.61, now coiling under session high.
Late NY hours pushed gold off the 4291.61 low through 4348.8 to a session high at 4371.2, with the softer haven-premium/firm-dollar tape from the European session fully reversed. Asia has done nothing since: a 4357.5–4365 coil above EMA20, RSI(14) mid-range at 56, ATR(14) ~520 pips and thin bar volumes.
Support: 4,357.50, 4,348.80
Resistance: 4,371.20, 4,376.00
What it said to watch
Close above the 4371.2 session high opens the 4376.0 prior high as the next reference
Loss of the 4357.5 asia low breaks the higher-low chain and puts 4348.8 swing low back in play
US flash PMIs later in the session (13:45 UTC) are the next catalyst capable of resetting this range
Higher lows off 4291.61, now coiled under prior high.
After the US session recovered off the 4291.61 intraday low and stalled at the 4371.23 prior high, Asia has held a 4360.55–4365.52 range on thin volume, RSI(14) near 59. Hawkish Fedspeak and DXY above 100 have kept the 4376.03 window high untested since the early part of the window.
Support: 4,360.55, 4,350.00, 4,322.60
Resistance: 4,365.52, 4,371.23, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Close below the 4360.55 asia low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 4350.00 round number
Acceptance above the 4371.23 prior high puts the 4376.03 window high back in play
Sustained loss of 4350.00 shifts focus to the 4322.60 swing low
US flash PMIs later in the session (13:45 UTC) could reprice this whole range
Higher lows off 4291.61, now coiling under the session high.
Gold bottomed at 4291.61 in London as DXY held above 100.00, then ground back up through NY to a session high of 4371.23 before stalling. Asia has reopened in a 4357.5–4365 coil above EMA20, RSI(14) mid-range at 58 and ATR compressing to ~570 pips — no directional expansion in play yet.
Support: 4,357.50, 4,348.80, 4,336.00
Resistance: 4,371.20, 4,376.00
What it said to watch
Close above the 4371.2 session high re-opens the 4376.0 prior high
Loss of the 4357.5 asia low exposes the 4348.8 pullback low, then the 4336.0 swing low
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr 14:05 UTC are the next scheduled catalysts for this range
23:05 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into thin Asia hours · RSI 64 · price 4,363.30
Higher highs / higher lows off the 4291.61 London low; tight consolidation at the top.
Gold bottomed at 4291.61 in London and has climbed in a clean higher-low chain, tagging 4371.2 in the NY afternoon before settling into a 4357.5–4365 consolidation; the recovery has retraced roughly 85% of the earlier 4376.0–4291.61 drop despite DXY above 100 and hawkish Fedspeak. The last five bars are post-rollover Asia prints on minimal turnover, so the 4363 area is holding by drift rather than demand. RSI(14) near 64 — firm, not stretched; ATR(14) about 520 pips per bar.
Support: 4,357.50
Resistance: 4,371.20, 4,376.00, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4357.5 session base breaks the higher-low chain built off 4291.61
Close above the 4371.2 NY high puts the 4376.0 prior high and the 4400 range cap back in play
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr 14:05 UTC can reset this intraday structure entirely
Higher lows since the 4291.61 low; micro consolidation under the session high.
Gold bottomed at 4291.61 during European hours and ground back up on a chain of rising lows, breaking the 4343 NY ceiling into a late-NY high at 4371.23 as the haven bid was rebuilt off firmer yields and a heavy dollar tape. Thin early-Asia bars are now consolidating 4357.50–4365 with RSI(14) near 57 — no fresh extension yet, ATR(14) around 640 pips.
Support: 4,357.50, 4,348.82
Resistance: 4,371.23, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4371.23 session high puts the 4376.03 prior high in play
Loss of the 4357.50 consol base exposes the 4348.82 swing low and breaks the rising lows sequence
Liquidity is minimal in early Asia — ranges here often fail to hold once London arrives
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr are the next catalysts that could reset this intraday structure
Higher highs and higher lows off 4291.61, now coiling under the session high.
Gold based at 4291.61 during London, then ground out a higher-high chain through the NY session to 4371.23 as the hawkish Fedspeak/firm-dollar pressure eased intraday. Price is now consolidating 4357.5–4365 in thin post-close bars, RSI(14) near 58 with EMA20 beneath at ~4354 — no fresh structure until the session high or the 4350.34 swing low gives way.
Support: 4,357.50, 4,350.34, 4,336.15
Resistance: 4,371.23, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Close above 4371.23 session high puts the 4376.03 prior high back in play
Loss of 4350.34 swing low breaks the higher-low chain off 4291.61
Acceptance back under the 4336.15 range pivot reopens the downside leg
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC then Fed's Barr 14:05 UTC can reprice this intraday read
Higher lows off 4291.61, coiling under session high.
Gold bottomed at 4291.61 in the European session and built a chain of higher lows, with the late NY push tagging 4371.23 before settling into a tight 4357.50–4364.61 coil through the rollover hours; dollar strength at two-month highs is still capping the advance. RSI(14) at ~61 has cooled while price holds above both EMA20 and EMA50, and the last few bars are thin, sub-100-tick ranges — consolidation, not distribution or continuation yet.
Support: 4,357.50, 4,340.43
Resistance: 4,371.23, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4357.50 range floor would put the 4340.43 swing low back in play
A close above the 4371.23 session high exposes 4376.03 prior day hi
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr are the next material catalysts for this read
Asia hours are thin — a widening of range above current ATR (~726 pips) would signal fresh participation
22:04 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening late NY · RSI 64 · price 4,358.35
Higher lows off 4291.61, tight consolidation under session high.
London dumped gold to 4291.61 as the Dollar pressed two-month highs, but NY reversed the entire leg and printed a session high at 4371.23 before stalling; last four bars are a 3-dollar coil around 4358 on fading late-NY volume. RSI(14) near 64 with price above EMA20 and EMA50, and the 4348.82 swing low is the nearest shelf under the consolidation.
Support: 4,348.82, 4,336.15, 4,315.03
Resistance: 4,371.23, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4371.23 session high exposes the 4376.03 prior high
Loss of the 4348.82 swing low breaks the higher-low chain off the rising trendline
Rejection back under 4336.15 pivot would reopen the 4315.03 ny low
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr can reset this intraday read
Higher highs/higher lows since the 4291 low; last six bars coiling under the session high.
Gold flushed to 4291.61 during London-NY hours as hawkish Fedspeak and Hormuz de-escalation trimmed the haven bid, then recovered in a steady higher-high chain through NY to a session high of 4371.23. Price is now idling at 4358 in a tight 4357-4361 coil after the NY close, RSI(14) near 63 and ATR(14) around $7.00 per bar.
Support: 4,350.34, 4,338.35, 4,322.60
Resistance: 4,371.23, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Break of 4371.23 session high would extend the recovery toward the 4376 24h high
Loss of the 4350 swing low would break the higher-low chain and put the 4338 NY pivot back in play
A close under the rising support line off 4291/4322.60 invalidates the intraday uptrend read
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially reset this structure
21:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening late NY · RSI 64 · price 4,358.35
Higher lows off 4291.61, coiling under session high.
Gold recovered through the NY session from the 4291.61 ny low, printing a higher-low chain and tagging a 4371.23 session high before settling into a 4357–4361 coil as liquidity thinned after the US close. RSI(14) at 64 with price above EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) near 660 pips, so the last four bars are unusually compressed relative to the day's range.
Support: 4,347.67, 4,332.00, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,371.23, 4,376.03, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Close back below the 4347.67 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 4332 pivot low
Acceptance above the 4371.23 session high puts the 4376.03 prior high and the 4400 range cap in play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr at 14:05 could materially reset this intraday structure
Higher lows off 4291, tight late-NY consolidation under session high.
Gold has ground higher all NY session off the 4291 European low, tagging a session high at 4371.23 before stalling; the last four bars are pinned in a 4357–4361 band into rollover with volume thinning. RSI(14) at 63 has flattened rather than rolled over, and price holds above both EMA20 and the EMA50 near 4340 — the hawkish-Fed dollar bid has not yet dragged this leg back.
Support: 4,348.82, 4,340.00
Resistance: 4,371.23, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Break of 4371.23 session high re-opens the 4376.03 prior high
Loss of the 4348.82 swing low breaks the higher-low chain built since the Europe low
Close back below the ema50 near 4340 would negate the intraday recovery read
Asia open liquidity after rollover can expand the 4357–4361 consolidation quickly given ~660-pip ATR
21:08 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum flattening late NY · RSI 63 · price 4,358.35
Higher lows off 4291.61, now consolidating under the session high.
Gold built a chain of higher lows from the 4291.61 London low, then broke the 4338 breakout base at 17:45 UTC and ran to a 4371.23 session high before stalling. Last four bars are compressed in a 4357–4364 band with RSI(14) near 63 and ATR(14) around 690 pips; the late-NY drift is holding above the 4350 swing low while a firm dollar and hawkish Fedspeak cap the upside.
Support: 4,350.30, 4,338.40
Resistance: 4,371.20, 4,376.00
What it said to watch
Close back below the 4350 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 4338 breakout base
Acceptance above the 4371 session high puts the 4376 asia high in play
Loss of 4322 ny range low invalidates the recovery structure
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr are the next material repricing risk for this read
20:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the 4291 low, momentum flattening · RSI 65 · price 4,358.08
Higher highs / higher lows since Europe low; late-NY consolidation under the session high.
Gold bottomed at 4291.61 during European hours as the dollar pressed to two-month highs, then built a clean higher-low chain through NY — 4308.96, 4322.60, 4347.67 — before topping out at the 4371.23 session high. Last four bars have gone flat in a 3-dollar coil above the ema20 at 4351.80 with RSI(14) cooling from the upper-60s into the late-NY lull.
Support: 4,351.80, 4,347.67
Resistance: 4,371.23, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Close above the 4371.23 session high re-opens the 4376.03 prior high
Loss of 4347.67 swing low breaks the higher-low chain built off the 4291 low
Acceptance back under the ema20 would flip this from consolidation to distribution of the NY rally
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr are the next catalysts that could void the intraday structure
Thin late-NY liquidity — final bar volume is minimal, ranges unreliable into the roll
20:32 UTC
Uptrend off the London low, momentum extended · RSI 68 · price 4,359.92
Higher highs and higher lows since 4291.61, late-NY consolidation under session high.
Gold based at 4291.61 in the London morning and ground out a higher-low chain through NY, breaking the 4350 round number and tagging a session high at 4371.23 before flattening in the last hour. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme; late-session bars are coiling in a tight 4358–4361 consolidation with ATR(14) around 690 pips.
Support: 4,350.34, 4,336.28, 4,322.60
Resistance: 4,371.23, 4,376.03, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 4371.23 session high exposes the 4376.03 prior high, then the 4400 psych cap
A close back below the 4350 round number breaks the higher-low chain built from 4336.28
Loss of 4322.60 swing low would invalidate the recovery structure entirely
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr shortly after can reset this intraday read
Higher highs / higher lows since the NY low, now consolidating below session high.
Late NY hours reclaimed the 4350 handle and pushed to a 4371.23 session high, a clean break of the 4338.35 breakout base that capped the afternoon chop, with dip demand off the 4291 European low still driving the HH/HL chain. Price is now consolidating around 4359 with RSI(14) at 66 rolling off its local peak; ATR(14) near 7.6 dollars keeps intraday swings wide despite the hawkish-Fed, DXY-above-100 backdrop that capped gold earlier in the window.
Support: 4,348.82, 4,338.35, 4,322.60
Resistance: 4,371.23, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Close back below the 4348.82 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and puts 4338.35 back in play
Acceptance above the 4371.23 session high opens the path to the 4376.03 prior high
Loss of 4322.60 ny low would reverse the entire NY-session advance
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next high-impact release and could reset this structure
20:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the 4291 low, momentum firm · RSI 70 · price 4,364.30
Gold based at the 4291.61 European low and ground higher through the NY session, taking out the 4350 handle late on and printing a session high of 4371.23 with RSI(14) near 70. The higher-low chain from 4323.40 (ny low) to 4348.80 (pullback low) is intact, with 4340 psych beneath the breakout; dip demand absorbing the hawkish-Fed/firm-DXY backdrop remains the theme. Last bar is a thin post-4pm-NY print, so the 4371 session high has not been properly tested.
Support: 4,348.80, 4,340.00, 4,323.40
Resistance: 4,371.20, 4,376.00
What it said to watch
Loss of 4348.80 pullback low would break the higher-low chain built since the European low
A close above 4376.00 prior high extends the recovery leg toward the 4383–4400 rejection zone
Failure to hold 4340 psych puts 4323.40 ny low back in play
US flash S&P Global PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC (Services f/c 56, Mfg 53.5) can reprice this intraday structure quickly
V-recovery off 4291, higher highs and higher lows since London low.
Late NY hours have taken gold through the 4350 round number and up to a session high of 4371.23, completing a full recovery of the London slide to 4291 as dip demand absorbed the hawkish-Fed/firm-DXY pressure. RSI(14) near 79 is hot and price sits roughly 20 points under the 4376.03 day high, the last barrier before the 4400 psych zone.
Support: 4,350.00, 4,327.38
Resistance: 4,371.23, 4,376.03, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
Rejection at 4371–4376 session high / day high would leave a lower high inside the recovery
A close back under the 4350 round number breaks the higher-low chain built through NY
Loss of 4327.38 swing low invalidates the intraday uptrend read
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled event risk for this structure
Higher lows off 4291.61, NY session pressing session high.
Gold has retraced almost all of the London slide, basing at 4291.61 and grinding higher through NY hours to a session high of 4361.40 as the post-Fed hawkish dollar bid stalled. Last six bars are impulsive with price now clear of both EMA20 (4345.6) and EMA50 (4338.2), RSI(14) near 74 — hot but not extreme; ATR(14) around 700 pips keeps intraday swings wide.
Support: 4,348.82, 4,338.20
Resistance: 4,361.40, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 4361.40 session high opens the path to the 4376.03 prior high
Loss of the 4348.82 swing low would break the higher-low chain and put the ema50 at 4338.20 back in play
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr are the next catalysts that could reset this intraday structure
19:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the London low, momentum extended · RSI 69 · price 4,358.42
Chain of higher lows since 08:30 UTC, NY grinding back into the pre-drop zone.
Gold bottomed at the 4291.61 day low during London hours on hawkish Fedspeak and a firm DXY, then built a steady chain of higher lows through NY, breaking the 4340 shelf and retesting it as support at 4348.82 before pressing the 4360.55 session high. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme; price is above both EMA20 and EMA50, and the move has retraced roughly 79% of the drop from the 4376.03 Asia high.
Support: 4,348.82, 4,322.60, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,360.55, 4,370.94, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 4360.55 session high opens the path to the 4370.94 prior high and 4376.03 Asia high
Loss of 4348.82 ny swing low would break the higher-low chain and put 4322.6 swing low back in play
Late-NY thinning liquidity can distort the final bars of the session range
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled catalyst and could reset this intraday structure
Chain of higher lows off 4291.61, range top at 4343 broken.
Gold ground out a chain of higher lows from the 4291.61 European low and broke the 4340/4343 ceiling late in the NY session, tagging a session high at 4360.55 with RSI(14) near 70. The dip into 4348.82 was bought back, so that pivot low is the first structural marker; ema20 near 4338 sits just under it. ATR(14) around 7.4 dollars keeps intraday swings wide despite the thin post-close tape.
Support: 4,348.82, 4,338.40, 4,327.38
Resistance: 4,360.55, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Close back below the 4348.82 pivot low would break the higher-low chain and put ema20 at 4338 back in play
Acceptance above the 4360.55 session high opens the path toward the 4376.03 prior high
Loss of the 4327.38 swing low invalidates the recovery read
US S&P Global flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the week's key risk and can reset this range
18:47 UTC
Recovery leg up, momentum still firm · RSI 65 · price 4,352.55
Higher lows off 4291.61, NY breakout above the 4340s cap.
Late NY session pushed through the 4340s ceiling that capped the whole afternoon, tagging a session high at 4360.55 before easing to 4352.55 — a recovery of roughly 78% of the London slide from 4376.03 to 4291.61 that followed hawkish Fedspeak and DXY holding 100.00. Rising lows at 4308.96, 4315.03 and 4322.60 built the base; RSI(14) at 65 is firm but not stretched, ATR(14) about 730 pips.
Support: 4,340.00, 4,322.60, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,360.55, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 4360.55 session high opens the path to the 4376.03 prior high
M15 close back under the 4340 breakout base would mark the move as a false break and return price into the 4315–4343 range
Loss of 4322.60 swing low re-exposes the 4291.61 london low
US S&P Global flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the week's highest-impact print and can reset this intraday read
Higher lows off 4291 low, range top broken late NY.
Late NY hours broke the 4291–4344 post-London range, with four consecutive expansion bars reclaiming 4350 and printing a session high at 4360.55; RSI(14) at 66 is firm but not stretched. The move fits the digest's dip-demand read after the 4291 European low, price now working back into the Asian decline from 4376.
Support: 4,340.00, 4,327.40
Resistance: 4,360.55, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
A close back under 4340 breakout lvl would negate the range break and put 4327 swing low back in play
Acceptance above 4360.55 session high opens the 4376.03 asia high
US S&P Global flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr after can reset this intraday structure
Higher lows off 4291.61, fresh late-NY break of the 4344 prior high.
Hawkish Fedspeak drove the Asia-London slide from 4376.03 to 4291.61, but NY has built a chain of higher lows (4308.96, 4325.4) and the last three bars broke the 4344 prior high with RSI(14) near 71. Price now sits at the 78.6% retracement of that drop, with the 4366.15 asia high the next reference into the late-NY session.
Support: 4,344.00, 4,325.40, 4,308.96
Resistance: 4,366.15, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Close back below 4344 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Acceptance above 4366.15 asia high puts the 4376.03 window high in play
Loss of 4325.4 swing low breaks the higher-low chain off the ny low
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled risk to this intraday structure
18:03 UTC
Recovery leg off session low, momentum firm into late NY · RSI 74 · price 4,351.00
Higher lows since 4291.61, late-NY break of the 4343.9 range top.
Gold bottomed at 4291.61 during the London–NY slide as hawkish Fedspeak kept the Dollar bid, then built a chain of higher lows through the NY session — that sequence defines the rising support line. The final bar broke the 4343.9 range top (also the 0.618 of the 4376–4291 downleg) and closed at 4351, just under the 4352.86 session high, with RSI(14) near 74 and price above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 4,343.90, 4,315.03
Resistance: 4,352.86, 4,365.07
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 4343.9 range top negates the late-NY breakout
Acceptance above the 4352.86 session high puts the 4365.07 prior high in focus
Loss of the 4315.03 swing low breaks the rising support line and restores the earlier decline
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next event risk capable of resetting this range
17:32 UTC
Recovering off the day low, momentum flattening · RSI 55 · price 4,338.92
Higher-low chain inside a 4315–4344 NY range.
Gold based at the 4291.61 day low in London and has ground higher through the NY session in a higher-low chain (4291.61 > 4308.96 > 4315.03 > 4322.60), but the 4344 prior high has capped four attempts. RSI(14) ~55 and ATR(14) near 841 pips; hawkish Fedspeak and a DXY holding above 100.00 are keeping the recovery contained.
Support: 4,322.60, 4,315.03, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,343.96, 4,353.66
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4343.96 prior high opens the path to the 4353.66 swing high
Loss of the 4322.60 swing low breaks the higher-low chain, with 4315.03 ny low the next shelf
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 GMT and Wednesday's US flash PMIs (13:45 GMT) could reset this intraday read
Lower highs from the Asian peak, but higher lows since the Europe low.
Gold slid from 4376 in Asia to the 4291.61 europe low as hawkish Fedspeak kept DXY above 100.00, then based through the NY session in a 4308.96–4343.96 band. Micro-structure has turned to higher lows (4308.96, 4315, 4322.60 swing low) and price is now pressing the 4343.96 ny high, which coincides with the 61.8% retracement of the 4376–4291 drop; RSI(14) mid-50s, ATR ~$8.8 per bar.
Support: 4,322.60, 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,343.96, 4,355.78
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4343.96 ny high / 61.8% fib extends the recovery leg toward the 4355.78 prior high
Loss of the 4322.60 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 4308.96 ny low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 GMT lands inside the next bars and can re-price the bounce
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the next material catalyst for this range
Range 4315-4344 after the 4291 low, higher lows in the last 8 bars.
Gold flushed to a 4291.6 day low in European hours on hawkish Fedspeak and a DXY holding above 100.00, then recovered into NY and has been pinned between the 4315 session low and the 4344 ny high for the last four hours. Price is back above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 48 and a chain of higher lows off 4315 through 4322.6 swing low.
Support: 4,322.60, 4,315.00, 4,291.60
Resistance: 4,344.00, 4,366.20
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4344 ny high would end the four-hour range read and expose the 4366 asia high
Loss of the 4315 session low re-opens the 4291.6 day low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 GMT lands inside the next bars and can reprice this range
16:32 UTC
Downtrend stalling, intraday chop · RSI 44 · price 4,327.97
Post-flush range, lower highs since NY high.
Europe sold gold from the 4355 Asian shelf down to a 4291.61 day low on hawkish Fedspeak and a DXY holding above 100.00, then NY bought it straight back to a 4343.96 ny high. Since then it has been a 4315–4344 range with a chain of lower highs capping at 4340.69, price pinned to the EMA20 near 4328 and RSI(14) mid-40s — no clean intraday structure in play late in the NY session.
Support: 4,315.03, 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,340.69, 4,343.96
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4315.03 ny low re-engages 4308.96 swing low and the 4291.61 day low
Acceptance above the 4340.69 lower high invalidates the range read and reopens 4343.96 ny high
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 GMT can reprice this range within the next few bars
US flash PMIs tomorrow 13:45 GMT are the larger risk to the current balance
16:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now stalled in range · RSI 44 · price 4,323.89
Lower highs into Europe, NY carving a 4315–4344 range.
Gold slid through the European session to a 4291.61 day low on hawkish Fedspeak and a firm DXY, then the NY bounce reclaimed 4320 and has chopped between the 4315 session low and the 4343.96 ny high. Last close 4323.89 sits back under the ema20 near 4330 with RSI(14) at 44 — mid-range, nothing structural in play.
Support: 4,315.03, 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,330.00, 4,343.96
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4343.96 ny high ends the NY range read
Failure to hold the 4315 session low reopens 4308.96 swing low and the 4291.61 day low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 GMT, then US flash PMIs tomorrow 13:45 GMT, can reprice this range quickly
16:04 UTC
Downtrend stalled, intraday range · RSI 49 · price 4,331.89
Choppy range 4315-4344 after Europe flush to 4291.61; higher lows since.
Gold sold from the 4376.03 Asia high through London into a 4291.61 spike low on hawkish Fedspeak and a DXY holding above 100.00, then snapped straight back — that low has not been retested. NY hours have been pure chop between 4315.03 and the 4343.96 ny high, with price pinned to the converged EMA20/EMA50 cluster near 4330 and RSI(14) back at neutral 49.
Support: 4,330.00, 4,315.03, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,343.96, 4,355.78, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4343.96 ny high would break the NY range top and put 4355.78 swing high back in play
Loss of 4315.03 ny low re-exposes the 4291.61 day low
Sustained trade back below the 4330 ema cluster flattens the intraday higher-low chain
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 GMT, within the next bar period, can re-price this range
15:48 UTC
Downtrend off the Asia high, now stalled · RSI 44 · price 4,326.19
Rangebound 4315-4344 after higher lows off 4291.6.
Gold slid through London from the 4376 Asia high to 4291.6 early in the NY morning, then snapped back — DXY holding above 100 and the Hormuz reopening headline trimming the risk premium explain the fade, while dip demand showed up at the day low. Since the rebound price has chopped in a 4315-4344 NY range, with the session high capping three attempts at the 61.8% retracement of the drop; last close 4326.19 sits just under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 4,315.00, 4,308.90, 4,291.60
Resistance: 4,344.00, 4,376.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4344 session high invalidates the range read and reopens 4356/4376
Loss of the 4315 ny low exposes the 4308.9 swing low and then the 4291.6 day low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the only scheduled catalyst inside this session
15:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum stalled into range · RSI 53 · price 4,331.36
Sideways range after NY sell-off, higher lows off 4291.
Gold sold off through the London-NY transition from 4376 to a 4291.61 day low as the Hormuz reopening headline trimmed the risk premium and DXY held above 100, then reclaimed most of the drop. The last six hours are pure chop between 4315 and the 4343.96 range top, with three rejections at that cap and rising lows at 4291.61, 4308.96 and 4315.03; RSI(14) mid-range at 53, ATR(14) ~12.2 dollars per bar.
Support: 4,315.03, 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,343.96, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4343.96 range top would end the intraday range read
Loss of 4315.03 session low reopens 4308.96 swing low and the 4291.61 day low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the only near-term event risk inside this session
Lower highs from 4376 into 4291 low, then higher lows inside a 4315–4344 NY range.
Gold based at the 4291.61 day low on the London-NY handover and has since compressed into a 4315–4344 range, with four rejections at the 4344 range top — which sits on the 61.8% retracement of the 4376–4291 slide. RSI(14) near 57 with price marginally above EMA20 and EMA50; the recovery coincides with Hormuz-reopening headlines easing the hawkish-Fed pressure that drove the drop from the 4355.78 prior high. Mid-range 4327 has been the pivot all afternoon and the session low 4315 is still intact.
Support: 4,315.03, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,343.96, 4,355.78
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4344 range top invalidates the 4315–4344 range read
Loss of the 4315 session low re-opens the 4291.61 day low
Failure to hold mid-range 4327 shifts control back to the lower half of the range
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC lands within the next few bars and can reprice this range
15:04 UTC
Two-way, no intraday trend · RSI 51 · price 4,327.67
Range after London flush, mid-range.
Gold sold the Asian high at 4376 down to 4291.61 through the London morning as the firm USD and hawkish fedspeak capped rallies, then reclaimed the bulk of that leg on Hormuz-reopening headlines. NY hours have been a 4315–4344 chop with three rejections at the range top and price back at 4327.67, RSI(14) flat near 50, EMA20 and EMA50 both just overhead.
Support: 4,315.03, 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,343.96, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4343.96 range top reopens the upper half of the 4376–4291 leg
Loss of the 4315 range low exposes 4308.96 swing low and the 4291.61 day low
Fed's Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the only scheduled driver into the close
US flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC can invalidate this range read entirely
14:48 UTC
Intraday downtrend, corrective chop · RSI 47 · price 4,318.67
Lower highs into a 4309–4344 NY range.
London sold gold from 4376.03 prior high down to the 4291.61 day low before a sharp recovery; NY hours have since been capped twice at 4344 and price is back on the 4315 session low with RSI(14) mid-range near 47. Heavy tone fits the firm post-FOMC USD, while the Hormuz reopening headline trimmed the risk premium that had supported the bounce.
Support: 4,315.03, 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,328.50, 4,343.96, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Close below 4308.96 swing low re-opens the 4291.61 day low
Reclaim of the 4344 cap invalidates the lower-high sequence
Price is below ema20 near 4328.5 — area to monitor for rejection or break
Post-flush base, higher lows into a 4315-4344 range.
London sold gold from 4376 to an intraday low of 4291.6 before the Hormuz reopening headlines sparked a sharp recovery; NY has since chopped in a 4315-4344 range with price pinned on the EMA20 at 4329 and just under the ema50. RSI(14) at 55.5 is neutral, and the last four bars have faded twice from the 4344 ny high while holding the 4325.4 bar lows.
Support: 4,325.40, 4,312.00, 4,291.60
Resistance: 4,344.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4344.0 ny high extends the recovery leg and breaks the NY range top
Loss of 4325.4 bar lows and then 4312.0 swing low re-opens the 4291.6 intraday low
Barkin at 17:00 UTC and Wednesday's US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) can reset this intraday range
Higher lows off 4291.6, capped at 4344 — intraday range.
European hours flushed gold to a 4291.6 day low as hawkish Fedspeak kept DXY above 100.00, then Hormuz-reopening headlines drove a sharp recovery; price has since built higher lows and is balancing between 4327.5 and the 4344 session high, exactly the 50% retracement of the 4376–4291.6 drop. Four separate pokes into 4342–4344 have been rejected, with RSI(14) mid-range at 54 and ATR(14) near $10.40 per bar.
Support: 4,327.50, 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,343.96, 4,365.07
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4344 session high would end the 4327.5–4344 balance and expose 4365 asia high
Loss of the 4308.96 swing low re-opens the 4291.61 day low
Barkin at 17:00 UTC is the next scheduled speaker risk inside this range
Lower highs from 4376 into 4291, then higher lows; 4309-4344 range since NY open.
Gold sold off through London from the 4376 asia high to an europe low of 4291, then recovered as Iran's Hormuz reopening proposal trimmed the risk premium and capped US yields. NY hours have been a 4309-4344 range with higher lows, price pinned on EMA20/EMA50 and RSI(14) back to a neutral 49 — no directional structure in play.
Support: 4,327.72, 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,343.96, 4,356.00, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Close above the 4344 session high would extend the higher-low sequence toward the 4356 london high
Loss of 4327.72 minor low and then 4308.96 ny low re-opens the 4291.61 europe low
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land inside the next bars and can break this range
ATR(14) near 1037 pips ($10.4) — range edges can be cleared inside a single bar
Asia sold off from 4376.03 and London extended the break of the Asian low into a sweep to the 4291.61 day low before a sharp snapback, helped by Iran's offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. First hour of NY has price pressing the 4343.96 range top for the third time, RSI(14) near 59 and ATR(14) around 980 pips (~$9.80 a bar).
Support: 4,327.72, 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,343.96, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4343.96 range top opens the path back toward the 4376.03 asia high
Loss of the 4327.72 swing low puts the 4308.96 london low and then the 4291.61 day low back in play
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC) and Jefferson (14:20 UTC) land within the next bars and can reshape this range read
Higher lows off 4291.61, capped repeatedly at 4343.90.
Gold slid from the 4376.03 Asia high to a 4291.61 session low in European hours, then recovered into the NY open as Iran's Strait of Hormuz reopening proposal trimmed the sell-off; hawkish fedspeak and DXY above 100 have capped the rebound. Price has been turned away three times at 4343.90 — the 61.8% retrace of that slide — while building higher lows at 4308.96 and 4320.50, leaving RSI(14) flat near 50 and price pinned on the EMA20/EMA50 cluster around 4330.
Support: 4,320.50, 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,343.90, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4343.90 session high would end the capped-bounce read and expose the 4360s
Loss of 4320.50 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 4308.96 and the 4291.61 session low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reprice this range quickly
ATR(14) near 900 pips ($9 per bar) — level breaks need follow-through beyond noise
Gold ran a leg down from the 4376.0 Asia high to a 4291.6 session low in early Europe on a firm Dollar and hawkish Fedspeak, then based through the London-NY transition with a higher-low chain off 4308.9. Price is now pressing the 4343.9 session high, the level that capped the last two pushes; RSI(14) near 54, ATR(14) ~1010 pips ($10.1) per bar.
Support: 4,330.40, 4,308.90, 4,291.60
Resistance: 4,343.90, 4,355.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4343.9 session high opens the path to the 4355.9 prior high
Loss of the 4330.4 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 4308.9
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next bar period and can reset this range
Lower highs from 4376 into 4291.6, now higher lows inside a 4309–4344 range.
The 4376.0 asia high was rejected and the London leg drove gold to 4291.6 with DXY holding above 100.00; the NY-hour bounce has stalled at the 4343.9 session high. Price is sitting on the 50% retrace of that drop and just above the ema20 near 4326, chopping in a 4309–4344 range with RSI(14) mid-50s.
Support: 4,326.30, 4,309.00, 4,291.60
Resistance: 4,343.90, 4,355.90, 4,376.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4343.9 session high would extend the higher-low chain toward the 4355.9 prior swing
Failure to hold the ema20 near 4326 and then the 4309 swing low re-opens the 4291.6 london low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next bars and can break this range either way
12:47 UTC
Downtrend, corrective bounce in play · RSI 53 · price 4,332.58
London low at 4291.61 held; higher lows inside a 4309–4344 consolidation.
London hours broke the Asian range decisively lower, printing 4291.61 at 08:30 UTC before Iran's Hormuz reopening headline and a stalling DXY allowed a recovery into the 4309–4344 consolidation. Price sits at 4332.58 in the upper half of that band with RSI(14) back to neutral near 53 and two higher lows since the low; the 4343.89 range top has capped both attempts so far.
Support: 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,343.89, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4343.89 range top would extend the bounce toward the 4376.03 asia high
Loss of 4308.96 higher low re-exposes the 4291.61 london low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land just after the NY open and can reset this range
12:33 UTC
Intraday recovery off the day low, momentum improving · RSI 59 · price 4,338.86
Higher-low chain since 10:45 UTC after a lower-low sequence in London.
London printed the day low at 4291.61 on hawkish Fed rhetoric and a firm DXY, then buyers stepped in twice — 4291.61 and again at 4308.96 — with the last eight bars building a higher-low chain through 4322.90 and price reclaiming EMA20/EMA50. Into the NY open gold is pressing the 4342.43 session high, RSI(14) at 59 with room either side; ATR(14) near 980 pips keeps bar ranges wide.
Support: 4,322.90, 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,342.43, 4,355.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4342.43 session high opens the path toward the 4355.80 prior swing
Loss of 4322.90 breaks the higher-low chain and puts 4308.96 swing low back in play
Fed's Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and could reset this read
Lower highs compressing above a higher low at 4308.96.
Asian high at 4376 gave way through London, with the slide extending to a 4291.61 london low as hawkish Fedspeak kept DXY above 100.00; the bounce off Hormuz reopening headlines stalled at the 4338.06 bounce high. Price is now chopping in a 4309-4338 consolidation, RSI(14) mid-40s and price pinned on EMA20 with EMA50 overhead.
Support: 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,338.06
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4338.06 bounce high invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 4308.96 session low re-opens the 4291.61 london low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land into the NY open and could break this range
Lower highs into a 4309-4338 base after the London flush.
London hours drove gold from the 4347.37 prior high down to a 4291.61 day low before a sharp snapback to the 4337.77 swing high, with hawkish Fedspeak and a firm DXY keeping rallies capped. Since then price has compressed into 4309-4338; RSI(14) back to mid-range, ATR(14) near 1130 pips still elevated versus the Asian range.
Support: 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,337.77, 4,347.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4337.77 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 4308.96 swing low re-exposes the 4291.61 day low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next bars and could shift this read
NY open expansion out of the 4309-4338 base would invalidate the range read
London hours extended the slide from 4376 into a 4291.61 session low, which was immediately reclaimed, and price has since chopped in a 4309-4338 band with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49. Sellers capped the bounce at the 4337.77 session high while the 4308.96 swing low has held twice, leaving price pinned just under EMA20 ahead of the NY open — the backdrop is the hawkish Fed repricing and a firm dollar holding above 100.00.
Support: 4,308.96, 4,300.00, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,337.77
What it said to watch
15m close above the 4337.77 session high breaks the lower-high sequence off 4376
Loss of the 4308.96 swing low re-exposes 4300 round number and the 4291.61 session low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC land inside the next few bars and can break the consolidation
Lower highs since the 4291.61 session low; capped inside 4309–4338.
London hours extended the second-day slide, sweeping 4291.61 before a sharp snapback to 4338.06 that has since faded into a 4309–4338 box, with hawkish Fedspeak and DXY above 100.00 keeping rallies capped. Price sits marginally under EMA20 and well under EMA50, RSI(14) mid-40s — no extreme, and lower highs are building at 4338/4334/4323.
Support: 4,308.96, 4,300.00, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,338.06, 4,346.31
What it said to watch
Close back above the 4338.06 swing high would break the lower-high chain; 4346.31 prior high is the next reference
Loss of the 4308.96 swing low re-exposes the 4300 round number and the 4291.61 session low
Fed's Williams 14:05 GMT and Jefferson 14:20 GMT land inside the next few bars and can reset this intraday range
Series of lower highs into a 4291–4338 range base.
Gold's second-day slide ran into 4291.61 during the London session before a sharp snapback to 4338.06 — a false break of the day low that has since failed to build, price rolling back under the ema20 near 4320 with hawkish Fedspeak and DXY above 100.00 capping bounces. Structure is a clean chain of lower highs (4376.03 → 4346.31 → 4338.06) with the 4308.96 session low as the immediate floor into the NY open; RSI(14) mid-40s, ATR(14) around 12 dollars per bar.
Support: 4,308.96, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,320.00, 4,338.06, 4,346.31
What it said to watch
Close back above the 4338.06 swing high breaks the chain of lower highs
Loss of the 4308.96 session low re-exposes 4291.61 day low
Fed's Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 GMT fall inside the next few bars and can reset this range
Sustained trade above the ema20 near 4320 would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Lower highs from 4376, session low swept at 4291.61 then reclaimed; chopping 4315-4338.
London hours ground gold from the 4376 session high down to a 4291.61 sweep, which was immediately reclaimed into a 46-dollar snapback to 4337.77 before rejection there dragged price back to 4321.50. Hawkish Fed rhetoric and a firm dollar remain the backdrop; structure is now a 4315-4338 balance inside the broader chain of lower highs, RSI(14) back to neutral near 50.
Support: 4,315.10, 4,299.30, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,337.77, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4337.77 bounce high breaks the lower-high chain built from 4376.03
Loss of the 4315 session base re-exposes the 4299.3 swing low and the 4291.61 session low
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 GMT land inside the next few bars and could reset this range
10:46 UTC
Downtrend, corrective bounce off the lows · RSI 53 · price 4,330.03
Lower highs / lower lows into 4291.61, now basing in a 4291–4338 range.
London hours drove a clean sell-off from 4376 through the 4320 area to 4291.61, with the hawkish-Fed/firm-DXY tone behind the slide; price has since rebounded and is chopping between 4328 and 4338. RSI(14) back to neutral at ~53 after basing sub-30 at the session low, and price is above EMA20 but still capped by EMA50 above.
Support: 4,327.90, 4,315.20, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,338.06, 4,347.37
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4338.06 session high would extend the bounce toward the 4347.37 prior high
Loss of 4327.90 intraday low re-exposes 4315.20 swing low and the 4291.61 session low
ATR(14) near 88 pips — expect wide M15 ranges
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 GMT could reset the intraday range
Lower highs into 4291.61 low, now consolidating in the upper half of the bounce.
London session drove gold from 4376 down to the 4291.61 session low, where the sub-4300 dip was rejected within a single bar and price snapped back to roughly the 50% retracement of that decline — the hawkish Fedspeak/near-5% yield backdrop still frames the slide. Since then it has coiled 4318–4338 beneath the bounce high with RSI(14) back to neutral at 53 and price above EMA20 but still under EMA50.
Support: 4,318.30, 4,300.00, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,338.06, 4,346.31
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 4346.31 london high would break the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold the 4318.30 swing low re-exposes the 4300 round number and the 4291.61 session low
Fed's Williams (14:05 GMT) and Jefferson (14:20 GMT) land inside the next few bars and can reset this intraday range
Lower highs / lower lows through London, now consolidating above the session low.
London hours extended the hawkish-Fedspeak slide, losing 4350 then 4300 into a 4291.61 session low before a sharp reclaim back above 4330. Last three hours are a 4312–4338 consolidation, price above EMA20 but still under EMA50 with RSI(14) back at neutral; ATR(14) near 12.4 dollars keeps swings wide.
Support: 4,312.01, 4,300.00, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,337.77, 4,350.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance back below 4300 round number and 4291.61 session low resumes the lower-low sequence
15m close above 4337.77 session high puts 4350 prior support back in play
Fed's Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 GMT land inside the next bars and can reset this intraday range
10:04 UTC
Intraday downtrend, sharp recovery off the low · RSI 54 · price 4,336.68
Lower highs from 4376 still intact, but higher lows building since the 4291.61 session low.
London hours sold gold from 4346 through the 4300 round number to a 4291.61 session low on the hawkish Fed repricing, then reclaimed it in two impulsive bars — a false break below 4300 with price now back above EMA20 and RSI(14) off its lows at ~54. Higher lows at 4291.61 and 4312.01 are the only constructive structure; the 4346 swing high still caps.
Support: 4,312.01, 4,300.00, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,346.31, 4,353.02
What it said to watch
M15 close back under 4312 swing low re-opens the 4300 round number and the 4291.61 session low
Acceptance above the 4346 swing high would break the intraday lower-high chain toward 4353 prior high
Fed speakers Williams 14:05 and Jefferson 14:20 GMT fall within the next few bars and can reprice this move
ATR(14) near 12.5 dollars per bar — swings of that size are currently normal, not structural
Lower highs and lower lows into 4291.61 sweep, now consolidating 4312-4335.
Gold broke down through the European morning from 4347.37 to a 4291.61 session low as hawkish Fedspeak kept the Dollar bid, then snapped back to 4335.62 in one 15-minute bar before fading again. Price is now pinned around the EMA20 at 4321 inside a 4312-4335 consolidation, RSI(14) back near 45 from oversold, with the EMA50 at ~4331 capping.
Support: 4,312.01, 4,298.30, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,321.10, 4,335.62, 4,347.37
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4312.01 reopens the 4298.30 prior low and the 4291.61 session low
M15 close above the 4335.62 bounce high would end the lower-high sequence and put 4347.37 breakdown back in play
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC), Jefferson (14:20) and Barkin (17:00) land inside the next few hours and could break this consolidation
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the London open; V-bounce off the session low already rejected.
London hours sold gold from 4347.37 down to a 4291.61 session low, hawkish Fedspeak keeping the dollar bid; the sharp V-bounce stalled at 4335.62 and price has slipped straight back under the broken 4322 shelf. RSI(14) near 43 with ATR(14) around 1120 pips — range expansion, and the 4350 pivot still caps anything above.
Support: 4,299.50, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,322.00, 4,335.62, 4,350.00
What it said to watch
15m close back above the 4322 broken shelf would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 4299.5 swing low re-exposes the 4291.61 session low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC fall inside the next few bars and could reset this read
Chain of lower highs/lower lows through London; sweep of session low then sharp recovery into the EMA20.
Gold ground lower all London session under hawkish Fedspeak and a firm dollar, losing the 4346.80 breakdown pt and the 4315 sess floor before a sweep to the 4291.61 session low was bought back hard to 4335.62. Price is now pinned around the EMA20 near 4322 after rejection at the bounce high, RSI(14) recovering from the low 30s to ~44, ATR(14) about 11.3 dollars per bar.
Support: 4,315.09, 4,299.32, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,335.62, 4,346.80
What it said to watch
Acceptance back above 4335.62 bounce high would break the London chain of lower highs
Loss of the 4299.32 sweep base re-opens the 4291.61 session low
ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reset intraday range
Lower highs / lower lows into 4291.61, V-shaped reclaim of the 4315 range floor.
London hours extended the slide from 4376 through the 4315 range floor to a session low of 4291.61, then two bars retraced the entire leg back to 4335.62 — a false break of the lows with price now holding 4327.94 just above EMA20 at ~4322. Hawkish Fedspeak framed the downside, but the reclaim leaves the 4315 shelf as the pivot for the rest of the London-NY transition.
Support: 4,315.20, 4,299.30, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,335.62, 4,346.31
What it said to watch
Close above the 4346.31 prior shelf breaks the intraday lower-high chain
Loss of the 4315 range floor reopens the 4299 swing low and 4291.61 session low
ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC land inside the next few bars
08:47 UTC
Downtrend, sharp bounce off the low · RSI 39 · price 4,316.57
Lower highs / lower lows into a 4291.61 session low, then a violent recovery bar back inside the prior 4315–4324 shelf.
London hours drove gold from 4346.31 through the 4315–4324 shelf and swept the 4300 round number down to a 4291.61 session low, before a single 15-minute bar reclaimed nearly the whole leg to close 4320.29 — a false break below 4300 on the day's heaviest activity. Hawkish Fedspeak keeping the dollar bid has capped the recovery at the shelf top around 4324.30, with RSI(14) near 39 and price still under EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,324.30, 4,346.31
What it said to watch
Acceptance back above 4324.30 shelf top would neutralise the lower-high chain; failure there keeps the descending highs intact
A second push under 4300 round number that holds below 4291.61 session low confirms continuation
ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams (14:05) / Jefferson (14:20) fall inside the next few bars and can reset this intraday range
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg in progress · RSI 23 · price 4,299.64
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session lows.
The late-Asia slide from 4346 extended through the London open: the 4315.50 shelf that held for six bars gave way and price is printing fresh session lows at 4298.30, RSI(14) near 23. Hawkish Fedspeak keeping the dollar bid is the backdrop; every bounce so far has capped below the broken shelf, with EMA20 and EMA50 both overhead.
Support: 4,298.30, 4,290.00
Resistance: 4,315.50
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4315.50 broken shelf would be the first sign the down leg is stalling
Failure to hold 4298.30 session low and a break of the 4290 psych level extends the lower-low chain
ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC land inside the next few bars and could reshape this read
08:17 UTC
Downtrend, fresh impulsive leg · RSI 25 · price 4,302.26
Lower highs and lower lows; Asian shelf floor broken.
Price rolled over from the 4376 Asian high, then the London open sold through the 4315–4324 shelf that had held for roughly two hours, printing a session low at 4299.32 with hawkish Fedspeak keeping the dollar bid. RSI(14) near 25 is the first genuinely oversold reading in this window, but the 4315.40 broken shelf now sits overhead as supply.
Support: 4,299.32, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,315.40, 4,324.30, 4,346.80
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4324.30 range top would invalidate the downside break read
Below 4299.32 session low there is no intraday reference until the 4280 round number
4346.80 london high caps any recovery leg within this window
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Wednesday's US flash PMIs could materially shift this read
08:03 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive and extending · RSI 22 · price 4,300.59
Clean lower highs / lower lows since the 4376 Asia-session high.
Gold ground lower all through the Asian session from 4376 and accelerated into the London open, slicing the 4322.95 prior low and the 4315.50 shelf it had defended for eight bars, printing 4299.61. RSI(14) near 22 with price well under EMA20/EMA50 — momentum one-way, and the hawkish Fedspeak backdrop keeping the dollar bid has left no reclaim attempt yet.
Support: 4,299.61, 4,290.00
Resistance: 4,315.50, 4,324.30
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4299.61 session low opens the 4290 round number
Reclaim of the 4315.50 broken shelf would be the first sign the impulse is stalling; a close above 4324.30 prior high breaks the lower-high chain
ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 14:05 / Jefferson 14:20 UTC can reshape this read within hours
07:47 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg extending · RSI 30 · price 4,311.52
Lower highs and lower lows; intraday range broke downside.
Asia's 4376.03 high was rejected and the pre-London slide took price through 4322, then a two-hour 4315–4324 coil broke lower into the first hour of London for a session low of 4308.87 — hawkish Fedspeak keeping the dollar bid. Price is beneath EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 30, so momentum is one-directional but stretched; ATR(14) ~866 pips frames expected M15 swing size.
Support: 4,308.87, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,324.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4324.30 range top would invalidate the downside range break read
Acceptance below the 4300 round number would confirm continuation of the lower-low sequence
Failure to make a new low while RSI holds above 30 would flag rsi divergence risk
ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC could reset this intraday structure
Lower highs / lower lows, now flat consolidation at the lows.
Asia topped at 4376 and bled lower all session before an impulsive late-Asia break through 4346.80 dumped price to 4315.09, consistent with the hawkish-Fedspeak tone keeping gold pinned sub-4350. Last two hours are a tight 4315–4325 consolidation into the London open, RSI(14) near 32 with price under both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) is elevated at roughly 823 pips.
Support: 4,315.09, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,333.25, 4,346.80
What it said to watch
Sustained reclaim of the 4333.25 break level would invalidate the lower-high chain from the Asia high
Failure to hold the 4315.09 session low exposes the psych 4300 handle
Acceptance back above the 4346.80 pre-drop high would negate the breakdown
ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC and Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC could reprice this consolidation
07:03 UTC
Downtrend, impulse leg stalling · RSI 31 · price 4,318.82
Chain of lower highs into a fresh session low, now basing 4315-4324.
Asia session leaked away from the 4376 high in a steady sequence of lower highs, then an accelerated slide into the European open sliced the 4346 prior base and printed the session low at 4315.20. Price is now basing in a tight 4315-4324 band with RSI(14) near 30 and trade below both EMA20 and EMA50; the hawkish Fedspeak dollar bid described in the digest is the backdrop to the breakdown.
Support: 4,315.20, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,324.40, 4,333.25, 4,346.30
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4333 bounce high would negate the downside break and put the 4346 prior base back in play
A close below the 4315 session low exposes the 4300 round number
Failure to clear the 4324 micro high keeps the base capped
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC), Jefferson and Barkin later today could reprice this intraday range
06:47 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg just extended · RSI 28 · price 4,320.02
Lower highs / lower lows, now basing at session low.
Asia faded the 4376.03 high in a clean lower-high chain and broke through Monday's NY low at 4322.77 into the London handover, printing a session low at 4315.20 with RSI(14) near 28. The last four bars are flat in a 4315–4321 shelf, with price under the ema20 near 4337 and the broken shelf at 4333.25 — hawkish Fedspeak has kept bullion pinned below 4350 all window.
Support: 4,315.20, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,333.25, 4,337.00, 4,347.37
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4333.25 broken shelf would invalidate the downside break, with the asia low at 4347.37 capping above
Loss of the 4315.20 session low opens the 4300 psych handle
ADP 4-week average at 12:15 UTC and Williams/Jefferson Fedspeak could reshape this intraday read
06:32 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg lower · RSI 28 · price 4,320.10
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh session low.
Late Asia hours broke the 4322 shelf hard, a 30-dollar slide from 4346.31 prior high into a 4315.20 session low, with hawkish Fedspeak keeping the Dollar bid. The bounce stalled at the 4333.25 bounce high and price is now pinned under the lost level at 4324.40, RSI(14) near 28 and ATR(14) at roughly 816 pips per bar.
Support: 4,315.20, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,324.40, 4,333.25, 4,346.31
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4324.40 lost level would neutralise the breakdown; failure keeps the lower-low chain intact
Loss of 4315.20 session low exposes the 4300 round number
ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed speakers Williams/Jefferson/Barkin later today can reset intraday range
US S&P Global PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC is the main event risk for this structure
06:17 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg lower · RSI 26 · price 4,319.91
Lower highs from Asia high, prior-day low broken.
Asia pushed to 4376.03 early then bled out in a chain of lower highs, and the last three bars broke the 4346.31 breakdown pt and sliced through Monday's 4322.77 low to a 4315.20 session low, in line with the hawkish Fedspeak tone that has kept gold capped under 4350. RSI(14) at 26 with ATR near 810 pips — the bounce off the low has so far stalled at 4323, well under the 4333.25 bounce high.
Support: 4,315.20, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,333.25, 4,346.31, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4333.25 bounce high would invalidate the breakdown read
Failure to hold the 4315.20 session low exposes the 4300 round number
London open within the hour will show whether the break extends or gets rejected
US S&P Global flash PMIs Wed 13:45 UTC are the next high-impact catalyst for this read
06:03 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg lower · RSI 27 · price 4,322.69
Lower highs and lower lows since the 4376 session high; support shelf broken.
Gold has ground lower all through the Asia session from the 4376.03 session high, and the last hour delivered a vertical break of the 4333 broken shelf down to a 4316.47 session low as hawkish Fedspeak kept the Dollar bid. RSI(14) at 27 is oversold and price is below both EMA20 and EMA50, with the first bounce stalling at 4324 into the European open.
Support: 4,316.47, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,333.25, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4333.25 broken shelf would invalidate the fresh breakdown read
Failure to hold 4316.47 session low exposes the 4300 psych handle
ADP 4-week average 12:15 UTC and Fed speakers Williams 14:05 / Jefferson 14:20 fall inside the next session and could reshape this leg
ATR(14) near 800 pips ($8.00) per bar — range has expanded sharply versus the earlier chop
05:47 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg lower · RSI 24 · price 4,322.52
Lower highs into a break of the prior session low, now basing under it.
Late-Asia/pre-London selling snapped the 4340–4347 coil, driving through yesterday's NY low at 4322.77 to a session low of 4316.47 — the 100-day SMA zone flagged in the hawkish-Fedspeak backdrop. Price is now consolidating just under the breakdown with RSI(14) near 24, the first sub-30 reading in this window, and ATR(14) around 780 pips after the last two bars alone covered ~24.
Support: 4,316.47, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,333.25, 4,346.80
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4333.25 breakdown area would negate the impulsive-leg read
Failure to hold 4316.47 session low exposes the 4300 round number
Rejection at the 4346.80 prior pivot would keep the lower-highs sequence intact
Fed's Williams (14:05 UTC), Jefferson (14:20) and Barkin (17:00) today can reset this intraday read
Lower highs / lower lows since the Asia high, holding above session low.
After the early-NY flush to the 4322.77 prev day low on hawkish Fedspeak, Asia rallied to 4376.03 and then built a clean lower-high chain (4355.78, then 4349.33) into a 4335.10 session low. Last four bars have bounced off that asia low with RSI(14) near 47, leaving price mid-range and directionless ahead of the London open.
Support: 4,335.10, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,349.33, 4,355.78, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4355.78 lower high would break the Asia lower-high chain
Loss of the 4335.10 asia low re-opens the 4322.77 prev day low
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC and Wednesday's US PMIs are the near-term catalysts for this range
Lower highs / lower lows since the Asia high, basing above 4335.
Asia has bled lower from the 4376.03 asia high in a clean chain of lower highs, with supply capping at 4355.78 and then 4349.33 as the post-Fed dollar recovery kept bullion heavy. Price is pinned just above the 4335.10 session low into the pre-London hours, RSI(14) near 39 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) is about $6.6 per bar.
Support: 4,335.10, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,349.33, 4,355.78, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4349.33 lower high, then 4355.78 supply, breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 4335.10 session low exposes the 4332.05 swing low and Monday's 4322.77 low
Fed's Williams 14:05 UTC and Jefferson 14:20 UTC are the next intraday catalysts for this read
04:47 UTC
Downtrend into Asia lows, momentum still heavy · RSI 35 · price 4,340.45
Lower highs and lower lows since the 4376 Asia high.
Asia opened with a push to 4376.03 and was rejected there, since when price has printed a clean chain of lower highs (4365, 4357, 4349) back to a 4335.10 session low. Price is pinned under EMA20 near 4347 with RSI(14) at 35, the post-FOMC hawkish Fedspeak tone still capping bounces.
Support: 4,335.10, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,349.33, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4349.33 lower high would break the descending sequence
Loss of the 4335.10 session low exposes the 4322.77 monday low
Fed speakers from 14:05 UTC and Wed 13:45 UTC US PMIs are the next material risk to this read
Lower-high chain from 4376 into fresh session lows.
Gold was rejected at the 4376.03 Asia high early in the session and has bled lower through a clean lower-high chain (4360.25, 4349.33), printing a 4335.10 session low into the London pre-open with RSI(14) near 31. The fade lines up with the firmer dollar after hawkish Fedspeak; Monday's NY drop to the 4322.77 prior day low remains the reference floor below.
Support: 4,335.10, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,349.33, 4,360.25, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4335.10 session low exposes the 4322.77 prior day low
M15 close back above the 4349.33 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and invalidates the downtrend read
ADP 4-week average and Fed speakers (Williams, Jefferson, Barkin) later today could reshape this intraday read
04:03 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since Asia peak · RSI 36 · price 4,340.63
Chain of lower highs/lower lows, last five bars compressing above 4340.
Gold spiked to an asia high of 4376.03 early in the Asian session then bled back a full 36 dollars, printing successive lower highs into 4349.33 as the dollar held its post-Fed, hawkish-Fedspeak bid. Price is now pinned on the 4339.66 session low with the last four bars barely 5 dollars wide and RSI(14) at 36 — compression, not capitulation.
Support: 4,339.66, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,349.33, 4,357.14, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Acceptance below the 4339.66 session low exposes the 4332.05 swing low and Monday's 4322.77 monday low
M15 close back above the 4349.33 lower high breaks the lower-high chain; 4357.14 swing high is the next structural cap
London open in under an hour typically expands this ATR — the tight 4340-4344 coil is likely resolved on that liquidity shift
US ADP 4-week average and three Fed speakers later today, with Wednesday's flash PMIs the week's main catalyst, can reset this intraday read
03:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the Asia high · RSI 36 · price 4,342.44
Lower highs since 4376, price pinned at session low.
Asia session pushed to 4376.03 then reversed hard, printing a clean chain of lower highs (4365, 4357, 4355.78) with price now stalling into the session low at 4339.66 and trading below EMA20 near 4350. RSI(14) at 35.5 is soft but not stretched; the last four bars are compressing in a 4339–4349 consolidation as the hawkish-Fedspeak dollar bid caps bullion inside the broader 4320–4400 range.
Support: 4,339.66, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,355.78, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4339.66 session low confirms a lower low and exposes 4332.05 prior low, then the 4322.77 monday low
A reclaim of the 4350 ema20 and a close above the 4355.78 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence
London open liquidity plus ADP 4-week average at 12:15 GMT and Fed's Williams/Jefferson later today can reset this intraday range
03:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the Asia high · RSI 38 · price 4,346.11
Lower highs from 4376, holding above session low.
Asia session spiked to 4376.03 then rolled over hard, carving a chain of lower highs back into the 4340s with price now under both EMA20 (~4354) and EMA50 (~4350). Demand stepped in twice at 4339.7–4341.8, keeping the session low intact while RSI(14) sits near 38 — soft but not stretched. ATR(14) is running near 9.00 ($895 in pips), so intrabar swings stay wide as the post-Fed, hawkish-Musalem dollar bid caps rallies.
Support: 4,339.70, 4,332.00, 4,322.80
Resistance: 4,354.00, 4,365.10, 4,376.00
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4354 ema20 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 4339.7 session low opens the 4332 swing low and the 4322.8 prior day low
Reclaim of 4365.1 swing high would put the 4376 session high back in play
Fed speakers Williams/Jefferson/Barkin later today can shift the intraday read
Lower highs / lower lows since the 04:00 broker high, price basing near the session low.
Asia Tuesday spiked to 4376.03 then gave the entire leg back, price now 4343.87 with a clean chain of lower highs (4365.13, then 4355.78) and lower lows into the 4339.82 session low. Monday's slide to the 4322.77 prior day low came on hawkish Fedspeak (Musalem) and a firmer dollar; ATR(14) near 880 pips, RSI(14) at 36 — soft but not stretched.
Support: 4,339.82, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,355.78, 4,365.13, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4355.78 breaks the lower high sequence and puts 4365.13 swing high back in play
Failure to hold the 4339.82 session low exposes 4332.05 swing low and the 4322.77 prior day low
Fed's Williams/Jefferson/Barkin plus ADP 4-week average later today can re-price the dollar and shift this read
Asia is thin ahead of London open — the 4339.82 to 4355.78 band may only resolve on the session handover
02:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the Asia high, momentum soft · RSI 40 · price 4,346.70
Lower highs from 4376 after failure below Monday's 4377.75; holding above 4339.8.
The Asia session rally stalled at 4376.03 — just under Monday's 4377.75 — and price has bled back to 4346.70 in a clean lower-high chain, with the DXY's post-Fed recovery and Musalem's hawkish remarks the backdrop. Price sits under the ema20 near 4353.5, RSI(14) ~40, and the 4339.82 session low is the last intraday shelf before Monday's 4332/4322.77 lows.
Support: 4,339.82, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,353.50, 4,365.13, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4365.13 lower high invalidates the lower-high chain
Loss of the 4339.82 session low exposes 4332.05 swing low and the 4322.77 prior day low
Reclaim of ema20 near 4353.5 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
ADP 4-week average 12:15 GMT plus Fed's Williams/Jefferson later today can reset this range
02:32 UTC
Rangebound, Asia upswing rolling over · RSI 43 · price 4,349.89
Lower highs off 4376 inside a 4322-4376 24h range.
Asia pushed through the late-NY highs to 4376.03 — the asia high — then fully retraced it, leaving a lower-high sequence and roughly a 50% giveback of the leg off the 4322.77 day low. Price is back under EMA20 and EMA50 near 4350, boxed between the 4339.82 session low and the 4360.25 swing high, with RSI(14) at 43 and ATR(14) near $9.2 per bar; hawkish Fedspeak (Musalem) is the driver behind the earlier fade from $4,383.
Support: 4,339.82, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,360.25, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4360.25 swing high would negate the lower-high sequence off the asia high
Loss of the 4339.82 session low opens the 4332.05 swing low and the 4322.77 day low
Fed speakers Williams/Jefferson/Barkin later today can reprice this range before Wednesday's US PMIs
Lower highs off 4376 asia high, price pressing session low.
Asia has handed back the entire 4346–4376 advance, with the rejection at the 4376.03 asia high followed by a clean chain of lower highs (4365.13, then 4357.14) and a close at 4342.85, right on the session low at 4341.75. Price is under both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 35 as the post-Fed dollar recovery and Musalem's hawkish remarks keep bullion capped; ATR(14) ~880 pips (about $8.8 per bar).
Support: 4,341.75, 4,332.05, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,357.14, 4,365.13, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
Loss of 4341.75 session low exposes the 4332.05 swing low and Monday's 4322.77 monday low
A reclaim of the 4357.14 lower high would break the sequence of lower highs and reopen 4376.03
S&P Global flash PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the week's main catalyst and can reset this intraday range
02:03 UTC
Rangebound, Asia rally rejected · RSI 47 · price 4,349.25
Lower highs under 4383, base holding 4332/4322.
Asia Tuesday pushed to 4376 and was rejected, with the entire overnight rally given back into 4349 as the dollar extended its post-Fed, post-Musalem recovery. Price sits back below the 4354 ema20 with RSI(14) at 47, capped by lower highs beneath Monday's 4383 prior high while 4343.5 session low holds.
Support: 4,343.50, 4,332.00, 4,322.80
Resistance: 4,354.00, 4,376.00, 4,383.40
What it said to watch
Reclaim and 15m close above 4376 asia high restores the higher-high chain toward 4383 prior high
Loss of the 4343.5 session low re-exposes 4332 swing low and Monday's 4322.8 low
Continued rejection at the 4354 ema20 keeps the day's range read intact
Fed speakers Williams/Jefferson/Barkin later Tuesday can reprice the dollar and shift this intraday read
Lower highs off 4376 back into Monday's late range.
Asia session pushed 4347 up to a 4376 session high before the move was fully retraced, price now sitting on the 50% fib of that leg and pressing the 4348.5 session low with RSI(14) back at neutral 48. The fade fits the firmer post-Fed dollar after Musalem's hawkish remarks; supply is capping at a chain of lower highs from 4376 through 4365.
Support: 4,348.50, 4,337.50, 4,322.80
Resistance: 4,365.10, 4,376.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4348.5 session low exposes 4337.5 swing low, then Monday's 4322.8 prior day low
Reclaim of 4365 lower highs would negate the false break read and re-open 4376 session high
Fed speakers Williams/Jefferson/Barkin later Tuesday, then Wed US PMIs, can reset this intraday range
Intraday range 4322-4376, price mid-range after rejection.
Monday's NY slide bottomed at 4322.77 on hawkish Fedspeak (Musalem), then Asia session hours reclaimed 30 dollars into a 4376.03 asia high before rejection dropped price back to the 4348.49 session low, which has held twice. Now mid-range at 4353 with RSI(14) near 53 and ATR(14) around 830 pips — no directional structure in play inside 4348-4376.
Support: 4,348.49, 4,337.52, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,376.03, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4376.03 asia high would extend the recovery leg toward the 4383.36 prior high
Loss of the 4348.49 session low re-exposes the 4337.52 swing low and the 4322.77 prior low
Fed speakers Williams/Jefferson later Tuesday, then Wednesday's US PMIs, can reset this intraday range
Higher lows off the monday low, capped under the asia high.
Asia session bid gold from the 4339.90 asia low up to 4376.03, where the move was rejected and price has since faded back to 4355.75, roughly on the EMA20. RSI(14) near 56 after cooling from the high; the rebound is unfolding inside the broader 4320-4400 post-Fed range with hawkish Fedspeak (Musalem) capping the upside.
Support: 4,348.49, 4,339.90, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,376.03, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4348.49 swing low breaks the Asian higher-low chain and re-exposes 4339.90
M15 close above the 4376.03 asia high reopens the 4383.36 prior high
Failure to hold 4322.77 monday low would invalidate the rebound read
US S&P Global PMIs Wed 13:45 GMT are the week's key catalyst and could reset this structure
Asia hours lifted gold out of Monday's 4339-4355 shelf and tagged 4376.03 before a sharp rejection back to 4348.49, leaving price mid-range at 4358.72 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. The dip-buying follows Monday's hawkish Musalem-driven slide into the 4322.77 monday low, with the metal holding a chain of higher lows since; ATR(14) near 715 pips shows the swings are wide, not directional.
Support: 4,348.49, 4,339.21, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,376.03, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above the 4376.03 session high opens the path toward the 4383.36 monday high
A close back under the 4348.49 session low breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes 4339.21 prior low
Fed's Williams and Jefferson later today (14:05/14:20 UTC) plus ADP 4-week average can reprice the dollar leg intraday
Higher lows off prior day lo, capped under session high.
Asia grinded up from the 4346.65 day low to a 4376.03 session high before a two-bar rejection dumped it back to 4348, price now settling mid-range at 4355. The bounce off Monday's 4322.77 prior day lo is holding as a higher-low chain, but supply at 4376 has capped this session with the dollar still firm after hawkish Fedspeak.
Support: 4,346.65, 4,337.52, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,376.03, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4370 and a close above the 4376 session high re-opens the 4383.36 prior day hi
Loss of the 4346.65 day low puts the 4337.52 swing low back in play and breaks the higher-low chain
Fed speakers later today and Wednesday's US PMIs are the catalysts that could void the range read
00:32 UTC
Intraday recovery, stalling at session high · RSI 63 · price 4,359.08
Higher lows through Asia after NY selloff; rejection at 4376.
NY hours dumped gold from 4370 to 4322.77 on hawkish Fedspeak and a firmer dollar; Asia has retraced the whole leg in a clean higher-low chain up to 4376.03, where the last bar was rejected back to 4358. ATR(14) near 630 pips and RSI(14) at 63 — hot but not stretched, with 4352.70 the first pivot beneath price.
Support: 4,352.70, 4,346.65
Resistance: 4,376.03, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
Loss of 4352.70 then 4346.65 breaks the Asian rising-low chain
Reclaim and hold above 4376.03 session high opens the 4383.36 prior high
Fed's Williams and Jefferson later Tuesday plus ADP average can reprice this intraday read
00:16 UTC
Short-term uptrend off the 4322 low · RSI 68 · price 4,365.86
Higher highs and higher lows through the Asia session, retracing Monday's NY slide.
Gold bottomed at 4322.77 during NY hours after hawkish Musalem remarks, then built a steady chain of higher lows and broke the late-NY cap near 4352 early in the Asia session, tagging a session high of 4376.03 before closing back at 4365.86. RSI(14) near 68 is hot but not extreme; the move has retraced roughly 70% of the 4383-4322 leg.
Support: 4,352.00, 4,339.90, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,376.03, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
A close above the 4376.03 session high opens the 4383.36 prior high
Loss of 4352 asia break level would invalidate the higher-low chain
Failure to hold 4339.90 asia low reopens the 4322.77 monday low
Fed speakers Williams/Jefferson later Tuesday plus ADP could reset the intraday range
00:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the NY low, momentum firm · RSI 72 · price 4,368.23
Higher highs and higher lows since 4322.77, retracing Monday's decline.
Gold bottomed at 4322.77 during NY hours on hawkish Musalem/Fed commentary and a firmer dollar, then ground higher on rising lows; Asia has broken out through 4352.70 and printed a session high at 4370.94, recovering roughly three-quarters of Monday's 4383-4322 decline. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but consistent with the intraday impulse; ATR(14) ~537 pips (5.4 dollars) per bar.
Support: 4,352.70, 4,339.90, 4,322.77
Resistance: 4,370.94, 4,383.36
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4370.94 session high exposes the 4383.36 monday high
Loss of the 4352.70 break base puts the 4339.90 asia low back in play, with 4322.77 ny low the deeper pivot
A break of the rising lows trendline off 4322.77 invalidates the intraday recovery read
Fed's Williams/Jefferson/Barkin later Tuesday, then Wednesday S&P Global PMIs, could materially shift this read