XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Wednesday, 23 September 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in a tight base · RSI 51 · price 4,286.67
Post-PMI range 4274.79–4298.69 below lower highs from the 4369 Asia peak.
Gold unwound the 4369 Asia high through London. It then broke lower on the hot US PMIs and yield spike, printing a day low at 4274.79. Since then it has held a 4275–4299 base under the post-PMI high. The new Asia session is compressing between its 4285.05 session low and 4294.43 session high, capped just under the 23.6% fib retracement near 4297, with RSI(14) flat near 51.
Support: 4,285.05, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,294.43, 4,298.69, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.69 post-PMI high and 4300 round number breaks the base and brings the 38.2% fib near 4311 into view
Loss of the 4285.05 session low exposes the 4274.79 day low; a break there resumes the downtrend
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC and Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 201K) could materially shift this read
23:32 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in a post-PMI range · RSI 54 · price 4,288.09
Lower highs inside a 4275–4299 range after the PMI flush; early Asia holding mid-range.
Gold is down about $95 from the 4369 Asia high. The hot US PMI beats drove a NY flush to 4274.79, where a sharp rejection printed, and price has held a 4275–4299 range since. Early Asia is holding 4287–4294, capped under the range top near the 50% retrace of the PMI drop. RSI(14) is near 54 and price is sitting on a flat EMA20.
Support: 4,286.93, 4,281.14, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,298.69, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.69 bounce high and 4300 psych breaks the post-PMI range and the lower-high line
Loss of the 4286.93 asian low exposes the 4281.14 swing low, then the 4274.79 day low
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC and Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC Thursday could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Downtrend paused, basing in a tight range · RSI 60 · price 4,293.20
Post-PMI range 4274.79–4294.88 with higher lows, testing range top.
Gold slid from the 4369 Asia high to a 4274.79 NY low after the hot US PMIs lifted yields, then settled into a 4275–4295 range. Early in the new Asia session, price is pressing the 4294.88 range top on a run of higher lows, with RSI(14) near 60 and price sitting just under EMA50.
Support: 4,286.93, 4,281.14, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,294.88, 4,298.69, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4294.88 range top exposes the 4298.69 swing high and the 4300 round number
Loss of the higher lows line and the 4286.93 asia low returns focus to the 4281.14 swing low and 4274.79 ny low
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC and Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC Thursday could materially shift this read
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in a tight range · RSI 52 · price 4,289.00
Lower highs and lower lows since the 4369 Asia high; 4281–4295 range since NY.
The PMI sell-off took gold down through 4,300 during NY hours to a session low at 4,274.79, as hot US PMIs lifted yields and the dollar. Since then price has held a 4,281–4,295 range into early Asia, sitting near the 38.2% retracement with RSI(14) neutral around 52.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4,295 range top and the 4,300 psych level breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 50% retracement of the PMI sell-off near 4,297 in play
A break of the 4,281 range low reopens the 4,274.79 session low
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC, then Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC Thursday (f/c 201K), could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalled into a range · RSI 49 · price 4,288.51
Lower highs from the Asia high, now a 4281–4295 range above the NY low.
Gold unwound from the 4369 Asia high in a roughly $95 selloff, accelerating on the hot US PMI beats to a 4274.8 NY low. Since late NY it has held a 4281 range floor to 4295 range top band into the new Asia session, capped under the 4298.7 NY high and the 4300 psych level, with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 4,281.14, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,294.88, 4,298.69, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4295 range top puts the 4298.7 NY high and 4300 psych in play, near the 23.6% selloff fib
Failure to hold the 4281 range floor exposes the 4274.8 NY low
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 201K) could materially shift this read
22:17 UTC
Downtrend, stalled into range · RSI 45 · price 4,287.63
Post-PMI selloff base, 4275–4299 range with lower highs.
Hot US PMIs drove the NY session selloff from 4313 to a 4274.79 NY low, and gold has since held a 4275–4299 range, with lower highs capping from the 4298.69 post-PMI high down to the 4294 range top. The early Asia session probe of the range top at 4294.43 was rejected back to about 4288. RSI(14) is neutral near 45 and price sits just above EMA20, with ATR around $6.
Support: 4,281.14, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,298.69, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4281 swing low exposes the 4274.79 NY low; failure there extends the lower-low sequence
Close above the range top and the lower highs trendline, then through the 4300 round number, opens the 38.2% fib near 4311
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 201K) Thursday could materially shift this read
22:03 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 53 · price 4,287.38
Lower highs above a flat 4281 floor after PMI selloff.
Gold has shed about $95 of the day's decline from the 4369 Asia-session high. Hot US PMIs and 10y yields above 5.1% drove it to a 4274.8 session low in NY hours. Late in the NY session price is compressing between the 4281 range floor and a 4293 lower high, with lower highs off the 4298.7 PMI high and RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 4,281.10, 4,274.80
Resistance: 4,293.40, 4,298.70, 4,319.10
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4281 range floor and the 4274.8 session low extends the downtrend
Close above the 4293 lower high and the 4298.7 PMI high breaks the lower-highs line, opening the path to 4300 and the 4319 pre-PMI high
Thursday's Williams (08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 201K) could materially shift this read
Gold slid from the 4369 Asian high through London, then extended to a 4274.79 session low after the hot US PMIs lifted yields in the NY session. Since then price has held a 4274.79–4294.88 box, with lower highs capping below the 4298.69 post-PMI high and the 23.6% of the day's decline near 4296. RSI(14) is neutral near 52, price is above EMA20 and below EMA50, and ATR sits around 750 pips.
Support: 4,281.14, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,294.88, 4,298.69, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4294.88 range top and the lower-highs trendline opens the 4298.69 post-PMI high and 4300 psych
Failure to hold the 4281.14 swing low exposes the 4274.79 session low and a fresh leg of the downtrend
Asia session open may set a new range inside the post-PMI box
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC) and Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 201K) on Thursday could materially shift this read
21:32 UTC
Downtrend, stalling into late NY · RSI 52 · price 4,287.38
Lower highs from Asia high; tight 4281–4295 range after PMI flush.
The 4369.34 Asia high gave way to a steady grind lower through London, and the hot US PMI beats extended the Asia-NY drop to a 4274.79 NY low. Since then price has held a 4281–4295 range into the late NY session, RSI(14) neutral near 52 and pressing the descending line off the Asia high.
Support: 4,281.14, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,294.88, 4,298.69, 4,319.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4294.88 range top and 4298.69 post-PMI high breaks the descending line and the consolidation read
Loss of the 4281.14 range low exposes the 4274.79 NY low
Recovery to the 4319.05 pre-PMI high would retrace roughly 50% of the Asia-NY drop
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 201K) Thursday could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in late NY · RSI 52 · price 4,287.38
Post-PMI pennant: lower highs vs higher lows above the session low.
Gold lost the Asian range low near 4326 in London and extended to a 4274.8 session low after the hot US PMIs lifted yields. Since then it has compressed into a pennant, with lower highs at the 4298.7 pmi high and 4293.4 against a higher low near 4282.1. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and price sits just above EMA20 but below EMA50.
Support: 4,282.10, 4,274.80
Resistance: 4,293.40, 4,298.70, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4293.4 lower high and the 4298.7 pmi high breaks the pennant to the upside; 4300 round number is the next cap
Loss of the 4282.1 higher low exposes the 4274.8 session low; a break there resumes the downtrend
Thursday's Fed Williams at 08:10 UTC and Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 201K) could materially shift this read
21:07 UTC
Downtrend, stalling in late NY · RSI 50 · price 4,287.38
Post-PMI consolidation 4274–4299 under descending highs.
Gold reversed from the 4369 Asia high through London and extended lower after the hot US PMIs lifted yields, printing a 4274.79 session low in NY. Late NY has compressed into a 4281–4295 band beneath descending highs, with price hugging EMA20 and RSI(14) near 50. The post-pmi high at 4298.69 sits close to the 23.6% retrace of the Asia-high-to-session-low leg, just under the 4300 round number.
Support: 4,281.14, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,294.88, 4,298.69, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.69 post-pmi high and the 4300 round number breaks the consolidation and the descending highs line
Loss of the 4281.14 swing low and then the 4274.79 session low resumes the lower-low sequence
A push through the 4294.88 lower high is the first sign the descending highs are giving way
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC and Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC Thursday could materially shift this read
20:47 UTC
Downtrend, compressing late NY · RSI 49 · price 4,285.57
Lower highs above a flat 4275-4281 base.
Gold sold off from the Asia high at 4369 through London. The hot US PMIs then broke it below 4300 from the 4313.56 pre-PMI high. Since then price has built a flat base with the session low at 4274.79 holding, while lower highs at 4298.69 (post-PMI high) and 4294.88 form a descending cap; late NY is pinned near 4285 just above the range floor at 4281, RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 4,281.14, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,294.88, 4,298.69, 4,313.56
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4274.79 session low extends the drop from the Asia high
Close above the lower highs line and the 4298.69 post-PMI high reopens the 4300 area
Recovery through the 4313.56 pre-PMI high would negate the post-PMI breakdown
Loss of the 4281 range floor puts the session low back in play
Williams at 08:10 UTC and Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC Thursday could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 4369; post-PMI range 4275–4299 compressing late NY.
Gold slid from the 4369 Asian high through London and flushed to 4280 on the US PMI beat, with the session low at 4274.79 in NY hours. The bounce stalled at the 61.8% fib of the PMI leg (4298.69), and price is now coiling under a lower high at 4293 above a range floor at 4281, hugging EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 4,281.14, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,293.36, 4,298.69
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4293 lower high and the 61.8% fib at 4298.69 breaks the post-PMI range and exposes the 4313 pre-pmi high
Failure at the 4281 range floor and a break of the 4274.79 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Williams (08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 201K) Thursday could materially shift this read
Lower highs/lows through London; post-PMI flush then 4275–4299 box.
Hot US PMIs extended the London-session downtrend. Gold broke from the 4313.56 pmi pivot to a 4274.79 session low in NY and has since compressed in a 4275–4299 box, capped under the 50–61.8% retrace of the drop (4294–4299 range top). RSI(14) is neutral near 47 and price sits just under a flat EMA20.
Support: 4,281.14, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,298.69, 4,313.56
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.69 range top clears the 61.8% retrace and exposes the 4313.56 pmi pivot
Loss of the 4281.14 recent low returns price to the 4274.79 session low; a break there resumes the downtrend
Thin Asia session liquidity ahead; Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
20:04 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in late NY · RSI 45 · price 4,284.30
NY range 4274.8–4298.7, lower highs above a flat floor.
Gold lost the 4,300 psych level after the US PMI beat in the first hour of NY and has since ranged between the 4,274.8 NY low and the 4,298.7 NY high, which sits at the 23.6% fib of the 4,371 → 4,275 drop. Lower highs at 4,294.9 and 4,293.4 are pressing into a floor near 4,275–4,278, with the 4,281 swing low the nearest pivot. Price is below both EMAs and RSI(14) is near 45.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4,293.4 lower high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the compression
Reclaim of the 4,298.7 NY high and the 4,300 psych level would shift the range higher
Failure at the 4,281 swing low, then the 4,274.8 NY low, resumes the downtrend
Thursday's Fed Williams remarks (08:10 UTC) and jobless claims (12:30 UTC) could reset the NY range
19:46 UTC
Downtrend, stalling in late NY · RSI 45 · price 4,283.57
Post-PMI range 4275–4299 with lower highs.
Hot US PMIs extended the London slide through 4300, dropping gold from 4312 to a 4274.79 session low. Late NY has since compressed into a 4275–4299 range, with lower highs off the 4298.69 range top forming a trendline. RSI(14) sits near 45 with price below both EMAs.
Support: 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,298.69, 4,312.43
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.69 range top breaks the lower-highs trendline and exposes the 4312 pre-PMI high
Failure to hold the 4274.79 session low extends the lower-low sequence from Asia
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC) and jobless claims (12:30 UTC) Thursday could materially shift this read
19:32 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in a post-PMI range · RSI 50 · price 4,286.30
Lower highs inside a 4274.79–4298.69 range after the break of 4300.
Hot US PMIs pushed gold through 4,300 early in NY, extending the slide from the 4,369 Asian high. Since then price has held between the 4274.79 session low and the 4298.69 range top, which sits at the 61.8% fib of the PMI drop, with lower highs forming beneath it. Late NY, price sits mid-range near 4,286 with RSI(14) near 50 and EMA20 just overhead.
Support: 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,298.69, 4,313.56
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4274.79 session low resumes the lower-low sequence
Close above the 4298.69 range top breaks the lower highs line and exposes 4,300 psych and the 4313.56 pre-pmi high
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) on Thursday could materially shift this read
Post-PMI range 4274.79–4298.69 below the $4,300 handle, marginally lower highs.
Gold broke below the Asian range during London and then through the $4,300 psych handle on the hot US PMI beat. It has since held a 4274.79–4298.69 consolidation through NY hours. Highs are drifting lower from the post-PMI high at 4298.69 to the range top near 4294.88, while the session low at 4274.79 and the 4277–4278 range floor have held; RSI(14) is neutral near 47 with price below both EMAs late in the NY session.
Support: 4,274.79, 4,277.62
Resistance: 4,294.88, 4,298.69, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.69 post-PMI high and 4300 psych breaks the lower-highs sequence and the consolidation read
Failure at the 4274.79 session low, after repeated tests of the range floor, confirms a lower-low and resumes the downtrend
Williams (08:10 UTC) and Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 201K) on Thursday could materially shift this read
19:04 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 48 · price 4,290.00
Post-PMI range 4274.79–4298.69 below $4,300, lower highs vs higher low.
London broke below the Asian range after the 4369.34 Asian high, and the US PMI beat, which lifted yields and USD, extended the slide to a 4274.79 session low. Late NY is compressing inside a 4274.79–4298.69 box beneath the $4,300 handle. A higher low at 4282.92 and a lower high at 4294.88 are squeezing price around 4290, with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 4,282.92, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,294.88, 4,298.69, 4,313.56
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.69 ny high and $4,300 invalidates the post-PMI range and exposes the 4313.56 pre-pmi high
A break of the lower highs line at 4294.88 tests the range top
Failure to hold the 4282.92 higher low opens a retest of the 4274.79 session low
Williams at 08:10 UTC and Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC Thursday could materially shift this read
Post-PMI coil 4275–4299, lower highs over a flat floor.
Hot US PMIs at 13:45 UTC knocked gold through 4300 toward the 4274.79 session low. Late NY trade has since coiled between 4275 and the 4298.69 range top. The 4294.88 lower high was a rejection at the fib 50% of that drop, and RSI(14) sits near 46.
Support: 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,294.88, 4,298.69, 4,313.56
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.69 range top and 4300 invalidates the coil-below-4300 read, putting the 4313.56 pre-pmi high back in view
Failure to hold the 4274.79 session low extends the lower-low sequence
A third lower high under 4294.88 along the trendline keeps the range compressing toward the floor
No top-tier US data until Thu; Williams at 08:10 UTC and Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:32 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 41 · price 4,284.78
Post-PMI range 4275–4299 below broken 4300, lower highs.
Hot US flash PMIs pushed gold through 4300 during NY hours. That extended an Asia-to-London slide from 4371, and price has since compressed between the 4274.8 ny low and a 4294.9 lower high late in the NY session, with RSI(14) near 41. Rebounds keep stalling under 4300 psych, just above the 23.6% decline fib at 4297.5.
Support: 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,294.88, 4,300.00, 4,319.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4300 psych and the 23.6% decline fib reopens 4319 pre-pmi high
Failure to hold the 4274.8 ny low extends the lower-low sequence
Another lower high under 4294.9 keeps the lower highs line intact
Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC and Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC Thursday could materially shift this read
The hot US PMI beat broke gold through $4,300 early in the NY session. It has since ranged 4274.79–4298.69, and a late-NY sweep of the session low reversed back above the ema20. The bounce is stalling near the 50% fib at 4294 under a line of lower highs, with RSI(14) neutral at 46.
Support: 4,287.20, 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,298.69, 4,313.56
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.69 pmi high and 4300 breaks the lower highs and opens the pre-pmi high at 4313.56
Loss of the 4274.79 session low resumes the lower-low sequence
Slip back below the ema20 near 4287 returns price to the range floor
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) Thursday could materially shift this read
18:04 UTC
Intraday downtrend, basing late NY · RSI 54 · price 4,293.19
Lower highs from 4,319; NY range 4,275–4,299.
Gold lost the 4,305 breakdown level in London, then extended to 4,274.79 in NY after the US PMI beat lifted USD. Since then it has held a 4,275–4,299 NY range. A late-NY rejection of the session low has lifted price back to the 38.2% fib of the 4,319–4,275 leg, with the 4,298.69 session high as the next cap.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4,298.69 session high breaks the NY range and brings the 4,305 breakdown level and 61.8% fib (~4,302) into play
Slip back below the 4,282 swing low returns focus to the 4,274.79 session low; a break there resumes the lower-low sequence
4,313.56 lower high marks the top of the post-London rebound structure
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) Thursday could materially shift this read
Post-PMI range 4275–4299 with lower highs; session low swept and rejected.
The hot US PMI beats took gold through 4300 and below the London low during NY hours. Since then price has held a 4275–4299 range with lower highs; the last closed bar swept the 4274.79 session low and was rejected, leaving price just under the ema20 near 4290 with RSI(14) neutral around 46.
Support: 4,274.79
Resistance: 4,290.00, 4,298.69, 4,318.86
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4274.79 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 4298.69 swing high brings the 61.8% of the PMI selloff fib near 4302, then the 4318.86 pre-pmi high, into view
Thu Williams (08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC, f/c 201K) could materially shift this read
Post-PMI breakdown below 4300, lower highs over a 4276–4298 base.
Gold slid from the 4369 Asian high through London, then the US PMI beat broke 4300 in the first hour of NY. Price has since compressed late in NY between the 4275.85 session low and a 4298.69 pmi high, with a 4289.64 lower high capping the bounce near the pmi leg fib 38.2%.
Support: 4,275.85
Resistance: 4,289.64, 4,298.69
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4289.64 lower high breaks the lower-high trendline
Reclaim of the 4298.69 pmi high and 61.8% of the pmi leg fib near 4299 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold the 4275.85 session low extends the downtrend
Thin liquidity around the daily break could distort the session low
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) Thursday could materially shift this read
Lower highs into a flat 4276–4278 base after the NY-session PMI break of 4300.
Hot US PMIs knocked gold from the 4313.56 pre-pmi high through 4300 early in the NY session, extending the slide from the 4369 Asian high. After London close, price is testing the 4275.85 session low for a third time under lower highs at the 4298.69 swing high and 4289.64. RSI(14) near 39, not oversold.
Support: 4,275.85
Resistance: 4,289.64, 4,298.69, 4,313.56
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4275.85 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Close above the 4289.64 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 4298.69 swing high / 61.8% of the pmi leg fib in play
Reclaim of the 4313.56 pre-pmi high would negate the post-PMI selloff structure
No calendar risk in the next 8h; Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC Thu) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) are the next catalysts
17:04 UTC
Downtrend, compressing late NY · RSI 39 · price 4,284.28
Lower highs from 4369 Asia high; post-PMI range 4277.62–4298.69.
Gold has printed lower highs since the 4369 Asian high, and the hot US flash PMIs knocked it through 4300 psych into a 4277.62–4298.69 range during NY hours. The pmi bounce stalled near the 61.8% of the PMI leg. A fresh lower high at 4289.64 is now compressing price just above the session low into the late-NY hours after London close, with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 4,277.62
Resistance: 4,289.64, 4,298.69, 4,300.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.69 pmi bounce high and 4300 psych breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 4277.62 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Failure to clear the 4289.64 lower high keeps the post-PMI range capped
Fed's Williams (Thu 08:10 UTC) and Initial Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC, f/c 201K) could materially shift this read
16:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing after the PMI flush · RSI 38 · price 4,285.01
Lower highs from the Asian high; tight base above 4277.6 late in NY hours.
Hot US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC extended the London slide through 4,300, leaving the Asian range (4,333–4,369) well above. Price has since based between the 4,277.6 session low, tested twice, and the 4,298.7 rebound high, which sits near the 50% of the PMI leg fib, under the descending lower-high trendline near 4,302.
Support: 4,277.62
Resistance: 4,298.69, 4,308.42, 4,319.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.7 rebound high breaks the lower-high chain and exposes the 4308.4 broken low and the trendline
Acceptance above 4319 swing high negates the post-PMI downtrend read
Failure to hold the 4277.6 session low extends the downtrend
Fed's Williams (Thu 08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower highs from Asia peak; NY range 4277–4299 below broken 4300.
Gold bled lower from the 4369 Asia high through London. The hot US PMI beat then drove a NY-session break of the 4294.66 london low and 4300, flushing to a 4277.62 session low that held on a second test. Price is now compressing in a 4277–4299 box beneath the lower-highs trendline and the 4298.69 swing high, with RSI(14) near 39 and ATR around $10.
Support: 4,277.62
Resistance: 4,294.66, 4,298.69, 4,319.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.69 swing high and the lower-highs trendline near 4300 breaks the intraday lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 4277.62 session low resumes the downtrend below the NY range
Reclaim of the 4294.66 london low puts price back above the broken floor; 4319.05 lower high is the next pivot above
Thursday's Williams remarks and Initial Jobless Claims (f/c 201K) are the next scheduled catalysts for the USD-led move
Lower highs since Asia; tight 4277–4299 range after PMI.
Gold broke below the Asian range low near 4333 during London. It then extended lower after the hot US flash PMIs, putting in a session low at 4277.62. After London close price is consolidating between 4277 and 4299, with the post-PMI high stalling at the 50% fib retrace of the 4319–4277 leg, just under 4300 and the falling trendline; RSI(14) is around 35.
Support: 4,277.62
Resistance: 4,298.69, 4,319.05
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 4298.7 post-PMI high and the falling trendline would break the lower-high sequence and put 4300 back in play.
Failure to hold the 4277.6 session low (tested twice) would extend the lower-low chain.
The 4319 swing high is the last lower high; reclaiming it would neutralise the intraday downtrend read.
Fed's Williams (Thu 08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (Thu 12:30 UTC) are the next scheduled USD catalysts.
Lower highs from Asia peak; 4277–4299 box after PMI flush.
Gold has printed lower highs since the 4369 Asia high. The hot US flash PMIs flushed it from the 4313.56 pre-PMI high to a 4277.88 low. The bounce was rejected at 4298.69 (bounce high), near the 50% of the pmi bounce fib, and NY is now retesting the 4277.62 session low with RSI(14) near 36.
Support: 4,277.62
Resistance: 4,298.69, 4,313.56
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4298.69 bounce high and the 4300 handle breaks the lower-high sequence and the descending highs line
Failure to hold the 4277.62 session low confirms a fresh lower-low below the post-PMI box
A move back through the 4313.56 pre-pmi high would negate the PMI leg
Williams (08:10 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) on Thu could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 4369 Asian high; NY range 4278–4299.
Lower highs have held since the 4369 Asian high. London broke the Asian range low, and the hot US flash PMIs at the NY open drove gold through 4300 to a 4277.88 session low. Late in the London-NY overlap, price is chopping between that low and the 4298.69 lower high, with RSI(14) near 36 and well off oversold.
Support: 4,277.88
Resistance: 4,298.69, 4,313.56
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4277.88 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 4298.69 lower high and 4300 exposes the pre-PMI high at 4313.56, near the 38.2% fib of the Asia-to-NY drop
Descending lower highs trendline near 4305 has capped each bounce so far
No US data in the next 8h; Fed's Williams at 08:10 UTC Thu is the next scheduled risk
Lower highs/lower lows since Asia; post-PMI breakdown below 4300, NY bounce capped.
Hot US flash PMIs knocked gold through the 4,300 round number to a 4,277.88 session low. The NY-session bounce stalled at 4,298.69, a lower high just under 4,300 and the 61.8% of the PMI drop fib. Price is back on the 4,280.90 post-PMI low, with RSI(14) near 33, soft but not oversold, and ATR around $10.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4,277.88 session low extends the lower-low chain
Close back above the 4,298.69 lower high and 4,300 round number breaks the lower highs trendline
Reclaim of the 4,313.56 pre-PMI high would negate the post-PMI breakdown
Thu Williams (08:10 UTC), jobless claims (12:30 UTC) and Hammack/Paulson are the next USD catalysts
15:17 UTC
Downtrend, NY bounce stalling under 4300 · RSI 43 · price 4,293.56
Lower highs / lower lows since the Asian 4369 top; post-PMI bounce capped below 4300.
Hot US flash PMIs pushed gold through $4,300 in the NY session to a 4277.88 session low, extending the lower-high chain from the Asian 4369 top along a falling trendline. The bounce stalled at 4298.69, the 50% fib of the drop from the 4319.05 swing high and just under the 4300 round number. The 4289.52 bounce low is now the nearest shelf.
Support: 4,289.52, 4,277.88
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,313.56, 4,319.05
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4300 round number and the 4313.56 pre-PMI high would break the falling trendline and the lower-high chain
Reclaiming the 4319.05 swing high negates the NY-session breakdown
Loss of the 4289.52 bounce low exposes the 4277.88 session low; a break below it extends the downtrend leg
Thursday's Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Williams/Hammack Fedspeak could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 4369 Asia high; NY bounce capped under 4300.
Lower highs from the 4369 Asia high carried into NY hours, where hot flash US PMIs pushed gold through the 4300 psych level to a 4277.88 session low. The bounce off a 4280.5 higher low stalled at 4298.7, the 50% fib of the drop from the 4319 swing high, just under 4300. RSI(14) is near 41.
Support: 4,280.50, 4,277.88
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,313.56, 4,319.05
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 4300 psych level would flip it to support. The descending trendline and the 4313.56 pre-PMI high sit just above as the next cap.
A break of the 4280.5 higher low and then the 4277.88 session low extends the lower-low sequence.
A clear close above the 4319.05 swing high invalidates the lower-high read.
Fed's Williams (08:10 UTC Thu) and Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC Thu) are the next scheduled USD catalysts. DXY behaviour near 101.00 is the live driver until then.
Lower highs from 4369 Asia high; fresh lower low at 4277.88.
Gold has printed a clean lower-high chain from the 4369 Asia high. The hot US flash PMIs knocked it through 4300 in the first hour of NY to a 4277.88 session low, with RSI(14) near 37 and not yet oversold. Price is now basing just under the 4300 psych level, with the descending trendline and the 4313.56 pre-PMI high (38.2% fib) overhead.
Support: 4,277.88
Resistance: 4,300.00, 4,313.56, 4,319.05
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above 4300 psych opens a retest of the 4313.56 pre-PMI high and the 38.2% fib
A break of the 4277.88 session low extends the lower-low sequence
A close above the descending trendline (~4309) and the 4319.05 swing high invalidates the lower-high read
Thu Fed speakers and jobless claims (12:30 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts, outside the current session
LH/LL chain; London range 4295–4320 broken lower after US PMIs, basing near session low.
Gold broke the London range floor near 4295 and the 4300 round number in early NY hours after the US flash PMI beat lifted USD, printing a session low at 4277.88. The first bounce stalled at 4293.5, the 38.2% fib of the 4319 lower high to 4278 leg. Price is sitting under the descending trendline from the Asia-session highs.
Support: 4,277.88, 4,250.00
Resistance: 4,293.50, 4,300.00, 4,319.05
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4300 round number and the 50–61.8% fib (4298–4303) negates the range break
Break of the 4277.88 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 4250 psych area
A move through the descending trendline and the 4319 lower high breaks the LH/LL sequence
Fed's Barr speaking now; a hawkish tone keeps USD bid, while a softer tone could trigger a squeeze back into the broken range
Lower-high/lower-low chain from 4369 Asia high; NY broke below 4300, basing just above session low.
Gold extended the Asia-to-NY drop from 4369.34 after the hot US flash PMIs lifted the dollar. The PMI bar broke the 4300 psych handle and the 4294.66 London low, and the move reached a 4280.90 session low. The early-NY bounce stalled near 4293, below the broken London low, with lower highs capped by the falling trendline and RSI(14) around 34.
Support: 4,280.90, 4,250.00
Resistance: 4,294.66, 4,300.00, 4,313.56
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4294.66 london low and 4300 psych undercuts the breakdown read
Loss of the 4280.90 session low extends the lower-low chain, with the 4250 round number the next reference
Close above the 4313.56 pre-pmi high breaks the falling trendline and the lower-high sequence
Fed's Barr speaking now could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia high; NY broke the 4295-4319 range.
Gold has printed lower highs and lower lows since the Asia session high at 4369.34. London ground down toward the 4300 round number, and in the first hour of NY a $27 flush into the flash PMIs broke 4300 and the Tuesday low at 4291, setting a 4280.90 session low. RSI(14) sits near 34, not yet oversold, as USD holds two-month highs on hawkish-Fed pricing.
Support: 4,280.90
Resistance: 4,291.00, 4,300.00, 4,313.56
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 4280.90 session low extends the lower-low chain
A return above the Tuesday low at 4291 and the 4300 round number would mark the break as a false break
Lower-high line near 4312 and the pre-pmi high at 4313.56 cap the sequence; the 38.2% of the 4371-4281 fib sits near 4315, and an M15 close above that zone breaks the lower-high structure
Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
13:47 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows into US data · RSI 31 · price 4,286.60
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia session; $4,300 handle broken.
Lower highs have held since Asia. London broke the Asian range low, and the NY session has now pushed through the $4,300 psych handle and Tuesday's $4,291 low as USD strength extends into the US flash PMIs. Price is printing a new session low at 4284.97, with RSI(14) near 31, soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 4,284.97, 4,280.00
Resistance: 4,294.66, 4,300.00, 4,313.56
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
An M15 close back above the 4294.66 prior low and the 4300 psych level would mark the break as a false break
A close above the lower highs trendline and the 4313.56 swing high breaks the lower-high chain; the 38.2% retrace of the down leg sits near 4318
Acceptance below the 4284.97 session low leaves the 4280 round number as the next reference
Lower highs from 4369 Asian high; tight range 4295–4319 into NY open.
The USD push to a two-month high drove a steady London slide from the 4369 Asian high to a 4294.66 session low. Since then price has held a 4295–4319 range: a higher low at 4298 and a range top at 4319 that sits under the descending trendline. Price is below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR around 780 pips.
Support: 4,298.04, 4,294.66, 4,291.00
Resistance: 4,319.05, 4,323.20, 4,329.00
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read within the next few bars
M15 close above the 4319 range top and descending trendline opens the fib 38.2 at 4323 and the 4329 breakdown shelf
Failure to hold the 4298 higher low and the 4294.66 session low exposes the 4291 prior low below the 4300 psych handle
Lower highs from 4369, chopping just above the session low.
Gold broke below the Asian range during London as the USD firmed on hawkish Fed repricing. It printed a session low at 4294.66, and the bounce stalled at the 4319.05 swing high under the descending lower-high line. First hour of NY is chopping between the 4298.04 NY low and 4311, with RSI(14) near 41 and ATR(14) around 745 pips.
Support: 4,298.04, 4,294.66, 4,291.00
Resistance: 4,319.05, 4,323.20, 4,337.06
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 4294.66 session low and the 4298 NY low extends the lower-low chain toward the 4291 Tuesday low
Close above the 4319.05 swing high and the fib 38.2% at 4323 breaks the lower-high line, with the 4337.06 lower high as the next cap
Lower-high/lower-low chain from 4369; bounce capped at 4319.
Gold has printed a clean lower-high sequence from the 4369 Asia-open high as DXY extended its post-FOMC rally. London broke the 4326 Asian low and set a session low at 4294.66. The late-London bounce stalled at the 4319 lower high, short of the 38.2% fib, and price is back on the 4300 psych level into the London-NY transition with RSI(14) near 36.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,294.66
Resistance: 4,319.05, 4,326.06
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4294.66 session low extends the lower-low chain
M15 close above the 4319 lower high and the falling trendline breaks the lower-high sequence; the 4326 Asian low is the next level above
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower-high chain from Asia high, sweep below 4300 then rejected bounce.
Gold has printed lower highs since the 4369 Asia high as DXY pressed seven-week highs. London extended the leg, and an 11:30 UTC spike to the 4294.66 session low swept below the 4300 round number. The snap-back to the 4319 bounce high was rejected at the falling trendline, leaving price just under EMA20 at the London-NY transition with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,294.66
Resistance: 4,319.05, 4,337.06
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4319 bounce high and falling trendline breaks the lower-high chain; 38.2–50% fib of the 4371–4294 leg (4324–4333) and the 4337 prior high sit above
Failure to hold the 4300 round number and the 4294.66 session low extends the London leg
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs / lower lows from 4371, sharp reclaim of 4300 shelf.
London hours ground gold down a stair-step chain of lower highs from 4371 into a 4294.66 flush through the 4300 round number, then price snapped straight back to 4318.86 — a false break rather than acceptance below the shelf. Driver is the post-FOMC hawkish repricing that has DXY at seven-week highs; RSI(14) back to mid-40s from oversold, with the 4320.38 lower-highs line the first thing capping the bounce.
Support: 4,303.88, 4,294.66
Resistance: 4,320.38, 4,332.84, 4,350.00
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC land inside the next few bars — high impact for this read
M15 close above 4320.38 breaks the lower-highs sequence and puts 4332.84 swing high in play
Failure to hold 4303.88 round number re-exposes the 4294.66 session low
Acceptance back above 4350 range top would invalidate the intraday downtrend read
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asian peak; bounce off session low in progress.
Asia topped at 4369 and Europe sold it in a clean chain of lower highs, with the 12:00 UTC hour flushing through the 4300 psych level to 4294.66 before closing back above it — a false break so far, RSI(14) at 40 off the lows. The slide tracks the Dollar's push to a seven-week high on hawkish Fed repricing; 4319.50 is the shelf that capped the last three hours of trade.
Support: 4,300.00, 4,294.66
Resistance: 4,319.50
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC land inside the next bars and can reset this range
Sustained M15 closes back above 4319.50 prior shelf would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 4294.66 session low confirms continuation and puts the 4300 psych level behind as resistance
Lower highs and lower lows since the NY high, fresh session low on the close.
Gold ground lower all through London, and the last two bars broke the 4313–4320 shelf that had held for three hours, printing a fresh session low at 4303.62 with RSI(14) near 29. The slide tracks the Dollar's push to a seven-week high on hawkish Fed repricing; the 4300 psych level is the first thing below.
Support: 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,316.50, 4,324.50
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Barr at 14:05 UTC land inside the next few bars and can materially shift this read
A reclaim of the broken shelf at 4316.50 would negate the breakout and restore the range
Failure to hold 4300 psych on a close extends the lower-low sequence
Rejection at the prior swing near 4324.50 would keep the lower-high chain intact
11:32 UTC
Downtrend, extending into NY pre-open · RSI 26 · price 4,303.62
Unbroken lower highs / lower lows since Asia peak 4371.
Gold has ground out a clean chain of lower highs from the 4371 Asia peak, and the last bar broke the 09:30 UTC low at 4308 to print a fresh session low at 4303.62 as the DXY held its 7-week high. RSI(14) at 26 is stretched but consistent with trend, and price is pinned under EMA20/EMA50 with the 4319 micro pivot capping every bounce this hour.
Support: 4,303.62, 4,300.00, 4,291.00
Resistance: 4,319.00
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC fall inside the next few bars — high-impact for this read
A 15m close back above the 4319 micro pivot would break the lower-high chain
Acceptance below the 4300 round number exposes 4291 prior low
Failure to hold 4303.62 session low confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Lower highs into a tight 4308–4320 shelf after London broke the Asian range low.
Gold rolled over from the Asia spike high at 4369 and London extended the slide, breaking the Asian range low and printing a session low at 4308.42 as the Dollar held seven-week highs. Last three hours have flattened into a 4308–4320 shelf with RSI(14) near 38 and price pinned under EMA20 and EMA50 — the 3h cap at 4320.4 has contained every bounce.
Support: 4,308.42, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,320.40, 4,329.00
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC fall inside the next few bars and can break this shelf either way
A 15m close above the 4320.4 3h cap would end the lower-high sequence and put 4329 swing high back in play
Loss of the 4308.42 session low opens the 4300 round number as the next reference
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia high, price basing just off session low.
Steady grind lower through the London session: a chain of lower highs off the 4371 Asia spike, with price now capped by the EMA20 near 4320.50 and the 4325.32 swing high. The 4308.42 session low was tagged two bars into the last hour and bought back immediately, leaving a shallow bounce with RSI(14) near 33 — soft but not extreme. The fade tracks the DXY push to fresh multi-week highs on the hawkish-Fed narrative.
Support: 4,308.42, 4,300.00, 4,291.00
Resistance: 4,320.50, 4,325.32, 4,337.06
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4325.32 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and re-opens the 4337.06 prior swing
A close below the 4308.42 session low exposes the 4300 round number and then 4291 (tuesday low)
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC can reset the intraday range within the next bars
Lower highs and lower lows since the Asia high, last 8 bars basing above 4313.
Asia topped at 4371.23 and London has ground price down in a clean lower-high chain as the DXY pushed to fresh seven-week highs; the spike low at 4308.42 was bought back and the last eight bars are basing between 4313 and 4320. Price sits just under EMA20 and well under EMA50 with RSI(14) near 38 — soft but not stretched.
Support: 4,313.31, 4,308.42, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,334.67
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reset this range
M15 close above 4334.67 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 4308.42 spike low exposes the 4300 round number
Repeated defence of the 4313 session low would firm up the consolidation read
Lower highs and lower lows since 4371; London broke the Asian range low.
Gold has ground lower through the London session, slicing the Asian low at 4326.06 and printing a session low at 4308.42 before stabilising near 4316 with RSI(14) at 31. The chain of lower highs off 4371 is intact, with DXY at a seven-week high on the hawkish Fed message keeping rallies capped below the ema20 at 4320.50.
Support: 4,308.42, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,320.50, 4,326.06, 4,337.06
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC land inside the next bar block and can reset this intraday structure
Sustained M15 acceptance above the ema20 at 4320.50 and then 4326.06 asian low would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 4308.42 session low puts the 4300 psych level in play as the next reference
A close back above 4337.06 swing high invalidates the downtrend read on this timeframe
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the 4371 high.
London has sold the Asian range (4355–4371) and kept a clean lower-high chain intact, with the last bounce capped at the 4324.60 lower high and price pinned under the ema20 near 4320.50 as the USD holds its seven-week high. The 4308.42 session low was probed on the prior bar and recovered, RSI(14) near 31 without a divergence yet.
Support: 4,308.42, 4,300.00, 4,291.00
Resistance: 4,320.50, 4,324.60
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4324.60 lower high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 4308.42 session low exposes the 4300 psych level and Tuesday's 4291 prior low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr 14:05 UTC land inside the next few bars and can reset this range
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the NY high.
Lower highs have stacked up since the 4371 print late in NY hours, and London extended the slide to a session low at 4313.31 with the dollar holding its seven-week high. RSI(14) near 31 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50; the 4332.8 breakdown shelf has capped every bounce attempt.
Support: 4,313.31, 4,300.00, 4,291.00
Resistance: 4,325.30, 4,332.80
What it said to watch
Reclaiming the 4325.3 swing high, then an M15 close above the 4332.8 breakdown shelf, would break the lower-highs chain
Loss of the 4313.31 session low exposes the 4300 psych level and Tuesday's 4291 prior low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr can reset this intraday range within the next few bars
Lower highs / lower lows from 4371, now basing 4315–4323.
Gold has ground down in a clean channel of lower highs since the 4371 print, with the USD at seven-week highs capping every bounce, and the last eight bars are now compressed in a 4315–4323 shelf into London hours. RSI(14) at 36 with price under both EMA20 (~4324.5) and EMA50 — no momentum extreme, just a stalled leg above the 4300 psych level.
Support: 4,315.46, 4,300.00, 4,291.00
Resistance: 4,324.50, 4,337.06
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the main risk to this read — a strong services print puts 4300 psych and the 4291 prior low in focus
M15 close back above 4337 swing high would break the chain of lower highs
Failure to hold the 4315.46 session low confirms channel continuation
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since yesterday's NY high, last 6 bars basing above 4315.
Gold has bled lower in a clean lower-high sequence from yesterday's NY high at 4371.23, with early London extending the fade as the dollar held its seven-week high on hawkish Fed pricing. Price is now coiling in a 4315–4335 band, RSI(14) near 37 without reaching oversold, and both EMA20 and EMA50 sit overhead.
Support: 4,315.46, 4,300.00, 4,291.00
Resistance: 4,334.67, 4,347.23, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
Loss of the 4315.46 session low confirms continuation toward the 4300 psych area and Tuesday's 4291 prior low
A 15m close back above the 4334.67 lower high breaks the descending sequence and puts 4347.23 asia high back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC can reprice the dollar and materially shift this intraday read
Chain of lower highs and lower lows since the 4371 NY high.
Gold has faded steadily from the 4371 NY-session high through Asia and into London as the dollar holds a seven-week high, printing a clean lower-high chain with each bounce capped near 4332.80. Price is pinned just above the 4315.46 session low, below both EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) near 36 — soft but not stretched.
Support: 4,315.46, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,332.84
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above 4332.84 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of the 4315.46 session low exposes the 4300 psych level
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC can reset the intraday range
Lower-high/lower-low chain since the 4371 NY high; price at session lows.
Gold has bled lower in a tight descending channel since the 4371.23 NY high, with Asia and early London printing an unbroken lower-high chain (4347.23, then 4337.06, then 4332.84) as the dollar held its seven-week high. Price is pinned at the session low of 4315.90 into mid-London, RSI(14) near 28 and both EMA20 and EMA50 overhead; ATR(14) ~ $6.2 per bar.
Support: 4,315.90, 4,300.00, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,332.84, 4,347.23, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC (Services f/c 56, Mfg 53.5) plus Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC can reset this intraday read entirely
Loss of the 4315.90 session low exposes the 4300 psych area and Tuesday's 4291.61 prior low
An M15 close above the 4347.23 asia lh breaks the lower-high chain and invalidates the channel
Lower highs / lower lows since the 4371 swing high.
Gold has ground down in a clean lower-high chain since the 4371 print late in the NY session, with the dollar at a seven-week high capping every bounce; early London rejected 4347.23 and then 4337.06. Price is pinned just above the 4317.14 session low, below both EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) soft at 31 but not yet extreme.
Support: 4,317.14, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,337.06, 4,347.23
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4337.06 lower high breaks the descending sequence
Loss of the 4317.14 session low exposes the 4300 psych area
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the session's main event risk for this read
Stair-step decline from the 4371 NY high; price pinned at session lows.
Asia into London has been a one-way grind lower off the 4371 NY high, a clean chain of lower highs with price now sitting on the 4317.14 session low and RSI(14) near 29. Each bounce has been capped at the 4329 ema20 and the 4337.06 lower high, consistent with the dollar holding seven-week highs on the hawkish Fed tone.
Support: 4,317.14, 4,300.00, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,329.00, 4,337.06, 4,346.80
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4337.06 lower high breaks the sequence of lower highs; the 4346.80 london high is the next reference
Loss of the 4317.14 session low exposes the 4300 psych level and Tuesday's 4291.61 prior low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr 14:05 UTC can reprice this intraday read within hours
Lower highs and lower lows since the NY high; Asia range low broken.
Gold has bled lower in a clean lower-high chain since the 4371.23 NY high, with the 4333 Asia range low broken and the bounce capped at the 4347.23 Asia high — consistent with DXY grinding to a seven-week high on the hawkish Fed speaker flow. Price is now pinned at the 4318.55 session low into the London session with RSI(14) near 29 and ATR(14) around 610 pips per bar.
Support: 4,318.55, 4,300.00, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,333.30, 4,347.23, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above the 4333 range low would invalidate the range-break read
Failure to hold the 4318.55 session low exposes the 4300 psych level and Tuesday's 4291.61 prior low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the session's main event risk and could reset this structure
07:47 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 29 · price 4,322.41
Sequence of lower highs and lower lows off 4371, at 61.8% of yesterday's advance.
Gold has ground lower through Asia and into the London open, capped at a 4369 prior high and rolling over as the USD extended to a fresh high since 30 July; each bounce has been sold at a lower high, the latest at 4337. Price is now sitting on the 61.8% retracement of the 4291–4371 advance with the session low at 4319.54 immediately beneath and RSI(14) near 29.
Support: 4,319.54, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,337.06, 4,369.34
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4337 lower high would break the descending sequence
Loss of 4319.54 session low exposes the 4300 psych level and Tuesday's 4291 prior low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr 14:05 UTC could reset this intraday read
Asian range broken lower, LH/LL chain into early London.
Gold rolled over from the 4369 Asia top and has broken the Asian range floor, printing a fresh session low at 4321.79 in the first hours of London with USD at a seven-week high. Every bounce has capped lower — 4347.23 asia pivot, then 4337.06 intraday high — and RSI(14) near 31 with ATR ~5.8 dollars per bar.
Support: 4,321.79, 4,300.00, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,337.06, 4,347.23
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4337.06 intraday high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 4321.79 session low exposes the 4300 psych level and Tuesday's 4291.61 prior low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr 14:05 UTC can reset this intraday read
Asia handed London a steady fade from Tuesday's 4371 ny high as the dollar held a 7-week high, leaving a clean 4371→4324 downswing and a chain of lower highs capped at the 4347 london high and then the 4337 lower high. Session low 4324.48 printed on the previous bar with RSI(14) near 35 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) around 5.6 dollars.
Support: 4,324.48, 4,315.03, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,337.06, 4,347.23, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4337 lower high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 4324.48 session low exposes the 4315 prior swing and the 4300 psych level
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr can reset this intraday read
07:04 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 39 · price 4,330.48
Gold has ground down from the 4371 late-NY peak through Asia in a clean lower-high chain, with the USD at a seven-week high doing the capping; the London open extended it to a session low of 4326.06 before a shallow bounce stalled under the EMA20 near 4336.50. Price is mid-range between 4326 and the 4347.23 swing high with RSI(14) near 38 — no extreme, just drift.
Support: 4,326.06, 4,315.03, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,336.50, 4,347.23
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4347.23 swing high breaks the lower-high chain and invalidates the downtrend read
Failure to hold 4326.06 session low exposes the 4315 prior low and the 4300 psych level
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the session's binary risk and can reset this structure
06:47 UTC
Downtrend, sequence of lower highs since 4371 · RSI 42 · price 4,332.60
Lower highs / lower lows off the 4371 NY high, basing just above the session low.
Gold has bled lower through the Asia session from the 4369.34 asia high, printing a chain of lower highs (4347.23 the last one) as the dollar extended to 7-week highs on hawkish fedspeak. Early London is holding just above the 4326.06 session low, RSI(14) mid-40s and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) ~545 pips per bar.
Support: 4,326.06, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,347.23, 4,369.34
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4347.23 swing high would break the lower-high chain
Loss of the 4326.06 session low opens the path toward the 4300 psych level
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the main scheduled risk to this intraday structure
Lower highs and lower lows since the 4371 NY high.
Gold has ground lower all through the Asia session from the 4369.34 asian high, printing a fresh session low at 4326.06 in the first European bars as the USD holds its seven-week high. Each bounce has been capped earlier — 4347.23 asia bounce, then the 4336.71 lower high — with RSI(14) near 37 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50; ATR(14) ~505 pips per bar.
Support: 4,326.06, 4,315.03, 4,300.00
Resistance: 4,336.71, 4,347.23, 4,369.34
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 4326.06 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 4315.03 prior swing and the 4300 psych level
M15 close back above the 4336.71 lower high would break the sequence of lower highs; 4347.23 asia bounce is the next reference
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC can reset this intraday structure
06:17 UTC
Downtrend within the day, lower highs since the NY peak · RSI 42 · price 4,327.87
Range break lower; price at session low after a chain of lower highs.
Asia rejected 4369.34 and the 4333–4347 range broke lower, leaving price pinned at the session low of 4327.70 with RSI(14) near 42 and the ema20 around 4337 now overhead. The dollar holding a seven-week high is the driver behind the fade from the NY high at 4371.23.
Support: 4,327.70, 4,315.03, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,337.00, 4,347.23, 4,369.34
What it said to watch
A reclaim of the 4347.23 range top invalidates the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 4327.70 session low exposes 4315.03 prior swing, then the 4291.61 tuesday low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially reset this intraday read
06:04 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since Asia high · RSI 47 · price 4,335.26
Lower highs / lower lows off 4369.34, holding above 4328.08.
Asia popped to 4369.34 then faded all session as the Dollar held its seven-week high, printing a lower-high chain into 4347.23 and a session low of 4328.08 in the first London hour. Price is back at 4335 but still capped by the EMA20 near 4340, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme.
Support: 4,328.08, 4,315.03
Resistance: 4,340.00, 4,347.23, 4,369.34
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4347.23 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold the 4328.08 session low exposes 4315.03 prior low
Reclaim of the ema20 near 4340 would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the session's main structural risk
Lower highs off 4371, Asia range broken to the downside.
Asia has traded a clean chain of lower highs from 4369.34, and the last two bars sliced the 4333 shelf to print a session low at 4329.04 with price back under EMA20 and EMA50. The rejection at the 4347.23 asia pivot came with the Dollar parked at seven-week highs on Fed repricing; RSI(14) near 39 is soft but not stretched.
Support: 4,329.04, 4,315.03, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,347.23, 4,369.34
What it said to watch
Acceptance below 4329.04 session low puts the 4315.03 swing low and then the 4291.61 tuesday low in play
Reclaim of the 4347.23 asia pivot invalidates the lower-high sequence and reopens 4369.34 asia high
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC are the session's main event risk and could reset this intraday structure
05:32 UTC
Pullback from Asia high, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 4,340.43
Lower highs since 4371; tight 4333–4347 coil.
Asia probed to the 4369.30 asia high and was rejected, unwinding to 4333.30 as the dollar held its seven-week high; price has since coiled into a 4333–4347 band with RSI(14) flat near 48 and spot pinned just under EMA20. Chain of lower highs off 4371 intact, but the last eight bars are pure consolidation, not directional.
Support: 4,333.30, 4,320.09
Resistance: 4,347.20, 4,369.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4347.20 recent high breaks the lower-high chain off the asia high
Loss of the 4333.30 asia low exposes the 4320.09 ny swing low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC are the session's main event risk and can void this compression read
Lower highs from the asia high, basing above the session low.
Asia faded the 4369.34 asia high in a clean chain of lower highs down to a 4333.33 session low, with the Dollar holding its seven-week highs capping the metal. Price has since ground back to 4342.50 and is coiling just under the 4347.23 bounce high, RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR(14) around 430 pips.
Support: 4,333.33, 4,320.09
Resistance: 4,347.23, 4,358.50, 4,369.34
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 4347.23 bounce high would break the lower-high chain and put the 4358.50 asia shelf back in play
Loss of the 4333.33 session low extends the downtrend toward the 4320.09 prior low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr at 14:05 UTC can reset this intraday structure
Lower highs from 4369 into a base at 4333, corrective bounce capped.
Asia session slid from the 4369.30 asia high to a 4333.30 asia low as the Dollar held its seven-week highs, then based there across three bars before a grind higher. The bounce stalled at 4347.20, the 38.2% fib of that decline, with price pinned just under the EMA20 at 4345 — no directional resolution yet.
Support: 4,333.30, 4,322.60
Resistance: 4,347.20, 4,359.20, 4,369.30
What it said to watch
M15 close above 4347.20 (38.2% fib) and the ema20 would open the 4359.20 swing high
Loss of 4333.30 asia low confirms a lower low and exposes the 4322.60 swing low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the session's main event risk and can reset this range
Asia faded the 4369 high in a clean Asia decline to 4333.3, with the USD at seven-week highs capping the metal, and price is now grinding back into the 4346 ema20 on a chain of higher lows. Roughly a 30% retracement of that leg so far; RSI(14) at 47 is neutral, ATR(14) about 490 pips ($4.90) per bar.
Support: 4,333.30, 4,322.70
Resistance: 4,346.00, 4,349.50, 4,359.20
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4349.5 breakdown pt would break the lower-high chain into the 4359.2 asia pivot
Failure to hold the 4333.3 session low reopens the prior swing at 4322.7
Rejection at the 4346 ema20 keeps the corrective read intact
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr after are the day's main risk to this structure
Asia set a lower high at the 4369.34 asia high — just under the NY high — then faded roughly 36 dollars into a 4333.30 session low, where four consecutive bars based out before the grind back to 4345. Price is still a touch under the EMA20 at ~4346.1 and below the EMA50 near 4348, with RSI(14) at 45 and ATR(14) ~510 pips; USD at seven-week highs keeps gold pinned inside the 4,300–4,400 band.
Support: 4,333.30, 4,322.60
Resistance: 4,349.50, 4,358.95, 4,369.34
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4349.50 breakdown level would put the 4358.95 asia pivot back in play
Loss of the 4333.30 session low confirms a lower low and exposes the 4322.60 prior low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Barr at 14:05 UTC are the main event risk for this range read
Lower highs from 4371 session high, first higher low off 4333.
Gold rolled over from the 4371.23 session high set late in NY hours and bled through Asia to 4333.33, with the dollar parked at seven-week highs keeping rallies capped. Price has since retraced into the 4346 area and is stalling just under the 4350 psych level; RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s, ATR(14) ~580 pips.
Support: 4,333.33, 4,320.00, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,350.00, 4,358.90, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
A reclaim of the 4358.90 broken shelf breaks the Asia lower-high chain
Failure to hold 4333.33 asia low confirms a lower low and exposes the 4320 swing low, then the 4291.61 tue low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the week's highest-impact print and can reset this intraday range
Lower highs bleeding into a 4333 base, last bars printing higher lows.
Asia has given back the late-NY push, rolling from the 4371.23 day high down to a 4333 asia low that has now been tapped four times, with the last four bars printing higher lows off it. RSI(14) near 37 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50 — the drift matches the yield/DXY cap on gold rather than any fresh headline, with the 4349.50 lower high still unchallenged.
Support: 4,333.30, 4,322.60, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,349.50, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4333.30 asia low confirms a lower low and exposes the 4322.60 swing low, with 4291.61 prior day lo the deeper reference
Reclaim of the 4349.50 lower high breaks the Asia lower-high chain
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the week's highest-impact print and could reset this intraday read
03:47 UTC
Downtrend within Asia session, momentum flattening · RSI 38 · price 4,341.87
Lower highs off 4369.3, three tests of the 4333.4 shelf.
Early Asia rejected 4369.3 and bled 36 dollars into 4333.4, where price has now stalled for three bars before a shallow bounce to 4341.9 — consistent with the firm DXY holding above 100.00 capping the Tuesday NY recovery. Price trades under both EMA20 (~4345) and EMA50 (~4348), RSI(14) near 38 with no extreme; ATR(14) ~557 pips.
Support: 4,333.40, 4,320.10
Resistance: 4,346.60, 4,369.30
What it said to watch
A close below the 4333.4 asia low extends the lower-high chain toward the 4320 ny pivot
Reclaim of the 4346.6 micro high and EMA20 breaks the intraday downtrend read
US flash PMIs at 13:45 GMT are the session's main catalyst and could reset this range
Lower highs and lower lows through Asia, basing at session low.
Gold rolled over from the 4369.3 session high early in the Asia session and has shed ~36 dollars in a clean lower-high chain, with the last five bars compressing between 4333.4 and 4340.4 — RSI(14) at 29.6 and price under both EMA20 (4345.8) and EMA50. The slide follows Tuesday's failure to extend the NY recovery, with hawkish Fed pricing and softer oil trimming the haven impulse; ATR(14) is about 586 pips per bar.
Support: 4,333.40, 4,320.10
Resistance: 4,345.80, 4,369.30
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4345.8 ema20 would break the descending Asia sequence
Failure to hold the 4333.4 session low confirms a lower low toward the 4320.1 prior swing
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC can reset this intraday structure entirely
03:17 UTC
Downtrend within the intraday range, momentum easing · RSI 40 · price 4,337.88
Lower highs and lower lows through Asia, basing at the session low.
Asia rejected 4369.30 and stair-stepped lower all session, with price now pinned under a flat EMA20/EMA50 cluster at 4346.30 as the US–Iran de-escalation bid from the prior NY session faded. Last four bars are basing on the 4333.40 session low, RSI(14) at 39.7 and ATR(14) near 600 pips ($6.0) per bar.
Support: 4,333.40, 4,325.40, 4,315.00
Resistance: 4,346.30, 4,369.30
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 4346.30 ema cluster would end the lower-high sequence
Loss of 4333.40 session low exposes the 4325.40 prior low, then 4315.00 swing low
London open in roughly two hours is the first test of the Asian range
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC (Services f/c 56, Manufacturing f/c 53.5) can reprice this structure entirely
03:05 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive Asia leg lower · RSI 30 · price 4,334.27
Lower highs and lower lows since the 4369 Asia high; price at session lows.
Asia opened contained between 4359.20 and the 4369.34 asia high before breaking the range floor at 01:00 UTC, an eight-bar slide that has price pinned at the 4333.40 session low with RSI(14) near 30. The leg fits the broader picture of a firm USD at two-month highs and a fading haven premium after the US–Iran headlines; the drop stalls right on the 50% retracement of the 4291.61–4371.23 advance.
Support: 4,333.40, 4,322.60, 4,291.61
Resistance: 4,346.60, 4,359.20, 4,369.34
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 4346.60 broken shelf would neutralise the range break read
Acceptance below 4333.40 session low exposes 4322.60 prior swing, then 4291.61 prior day low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr after are the session's main event risk for this structure
A close back above 4359.20 asia low would put the range read back in play
02:47 UTC
Downtrend, impulsive leg lower · RSI 34 · price 4,337.22
Lower highs and lower lows since the 4371.23 session high.
Asia gave back the late-NY push to the 4371.23 session high, breaking the 4358.95 range floor and running 4333.50 before stalling at 4337 with RSI(14) near 34. The reversal fits the digest's hawkish-Fed/firm-DXY cap after Hormuz-reopening headlines had earlier supported the metal; 4346.34 is the breakdown level now acting as first supply.
Support: 4,333.50, 4,322.60, 4,315.03
Resistance: 4,346.34, 4,358.95, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 4346.34 breakdown level would negate the Asia leg lower
Loss of the 4333.50 asia low exposes the 4322.60 swing low and 4315.03 prior low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr are the session's main repricing risk
Lower highs / lower lows off 4371 after overnight range break.
Early Asia broke the 4358.80 range base that had capped the overnight consolidation under the 4371.23 day high, running 35 points lower to the 4335.59 session low with RSI(14) down at 32 and price below both EMA20 (~4351) and EMA50. The leg reverses the US-Iran-headline recovery into 4371 and puts gold back in the lower half of this week's chop, with hawkish Fed pricing and firm yields the backdrop.
Support: 4,335.59, 4,322.60, 4,315.03
Resistance: 4,346.60, 4,358.80, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
Loss of 4335.59 session low opens 4322.60 swing low, then the 4315.03 ny low
Recovery through the 4346.60 micro high would break the lower-high chain
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC are the main catalyst after Asia and could reshape this read
The NY leg up from 4315.03 topped into the 4371.23 prior high, after which Asia chopped between 4355.22 and 4369.34 and printed asia lower highs. The last five bars sliced the asia low for a ~30-point slide to the 4339.07 session low, with RSI(14) near 39 and price now under both EMA20 and EMA50 as haven premium bleeds on US-Iran de-escalation headlines.
Support: 4,339.07, 4,327.40, 4,315.03
Resistance: 4,355.22, 4,369.34, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 4355.22 asia low would negate the range break
Failure to hold 4339.07 session low exposes the 4327.40 swing low, then 4315.03 ny swing low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr are the next catalysts for the intraday range
Gold held a tight 4355–4369 Asian range after the US–Iran diplomacy bid faded near the prior high at 4371.23, then broke the range base at 4355.20 in the last hour to print a session low of 4341.67. Price is now under both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) at 38, and the 4341 area coincides with the 38.2% retracement of the 4291.61–4371.23 rally.
Support: 4,341.67, 4,332.00, 4,322.60
Resistance: 4,355.20, 4,369.34, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4355.20 would repair the broken base and put the 4369.34 asia high back in play
Failure to hold 4341.67 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 4332 swing pivot and the 4322.60 swing low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC (Services f/c 56, Manufacturing f/c 53.5) can reset the intraday range entirely
Lower high at 4369 then break of the Asian range low.
Gold held a tight 4355–4369 Asian range after the NY push to 4371.23, then lost the 4355.20 asia low in the last three bars, printing 4343.21 with RSI(14) near 38 and price under both EMA20 and EMA50. The overnight bid came from US–Iran diplomacy headlines, but supply capped each attempt at the 4369.34 asia high and the metal is back mid-range for the week.
Support: 4,338.35
Resistance: 4,355.20, 4,369.34, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 4355.20 asia low would negate the range break
Acceptance below the 4338.35 swing low confirms a lower low into the London handover
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr after can reset this intraday range entirely
01:17 UTC
Corrective downtick inside range · RSI 33 · price 4,346.54
Gold ground higher through late NY to a session high at 4371.23, then spent the Asia hours coiling in a tight 4358–4366 band before the last two bars broke the range low and tagged 4346.34, closing back under the ema20 at 4356.8 with RSI(14) at ~32. The move fits the hawkish-Fed/DXY-above-100 backdrop that has capped every rally this week; the 4291.61 low from Tuesday's NY session remains the base of the larger intraday range.
Support: 4,346.34, 4,338.35, 4,327.38
Resistance: 4,356.80, 4,365.72, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the ema20 at 4356.8 would negate the range break
Loss of 4346.34 asia low exposes 4338.35 swing low then 4327.38 prior low
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC (Services f/c 56, Mfg f/c 53.5) plus Fed's Barr 14:05 UTC can reprice this range within hours
Failure below the range top at 4365.72 keeps the lower-high sequence intact
Tight Asian range at the top of Tuesday's recovery leg.
Gold recovered all day from the 4291.61 London low to 4371.23 into the NY close, and Asia has since held a tight 4355–4369 band on US–Iran diplomacy headlines. The last four bars have leaked back to the session low at 4355.12 with price slipping under EMA20 near 4361 and RSI(14) mid-40s — range low is the live reference.
Support: 4,355.12, 4,348.82, 4,336.28
Resistance: 4,361.00, 4,369.34, 4,371.23
What it said to watch
A close below 4355.12 session low exposes 4348.82 swing low, then 4336.28 prior swing
Reclaiming EMA20 near 4361 and a close above the 4369.34 asia high puts 4371.23 prior high back in play
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC (Services f/c 56) plus Fed's Barr can break this Asian range in either direction
00:47 UTC
Recovery leg stalling, flat into Asia · RSI 53 · price 4,360.05
Tight Asian range under 4371 session high after a 4291 base.
Gold based at 4291.61 in London hours and ground back to a 4371.23 session high late in NY as US–Iran diplomacy headlines trimmed the haven/inflation impulse; Asia has since coiled in a 4355.22–4369.34 band with RSI(14) back at neutral. Price is pinned around EMA20 while holding above EMA50, so the intraday structure is a pause inside the broader 4300–4400 chop rather than a fresh impulse.
Support: 4,355.22, 4,347.67, 4,336.28
Resistance: 4,371.23, 4,376.03, 4,400.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 4371.23 session high puts 4376.03 prior day hi, then the 4400 psych cap, back in play
Loss of the 4355.22 asia low re-opens 4347.67 swing low and the 4336.28 ny pivot
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr are the next catalysts capable of breaking this range
00:32 UTC
Recovery leg stalling, flat · RSI 53 · price 4,359.79
Asia range inside NY rally top.
Gold sold from 4376 into the 4291.61 London low, then recovered through the NY session to 4371.23 as US–Iran diplomacy headlines trimmed the haven/oil impulse. Since the rollover gap, Asia has compressed into a 4358.35–4369.34 band with RSI(14) flat near 53 and price pinned to EMA20; nothing structural in play until one edge goes.
Support: 4,358.35, 4,348.82
Resistance: 4,369.34, 4,371.23, 4,376.03
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 4358.35 asia low turns the read back toward the 4348.82 swing low
Acceptance above the 4369.34 session high re-opens the 4371.23 prior high and 4376.03 window high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC (Services f/c 56) can reset this intraday range entirely
00:17 UTC
Recovery off the London low, momentum flattening in Asia · RSI 54 · price 4,364.94
Higher highs / higher lows since 4291.61, now coiling in a tight band.
Gold slid to 4291.61 in the London morning before grinding back through NY to a 4371.2 prior high, with US–Iran diplomacy headlines (Hormuz reopening chatter) trimming the earlier yield-led pressure. Early Asia is compressed between the 4357.5 asia low and 4369, RSI(14) mid-50s, ATR(14) around 520 pips — no fresh structural move in play.
Support: 4,357.50, 4,350.30, 4,336.90
Resistance: 4,371.20, 4,376.00
What it said to watch
Acceptance above the 4371.2 prior high opens the 4376.0 window high
Loss of the 4357.5 asia low breaks the overnight consolidation, with the 4350.3 swing low the next reference
A close back under the 4336.9 ny swing low would end the higher-low chain off 4291.61
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and Fed's Barr 14:05 UTC can reset this intraday range
Higher lows off 4291.61, now coiling below the ny high.
Gold rebuilt from the 4291.61 London low through NY to a 4371.2 session high, then handed over to Asia in a tight 4357.5–4365.6 consolidation — the US–Iran diplomacy headlines did the lifting late in the session. RSI(14) near 60 with ATR(14) around 527 pips; nothing structural in play while the range base holds.
Support: 4,357.50, 4,348.80
Resistance: 4,365.60, 4,371.20, 4,376.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below 4357.5 breaks the range base and puts 4348.8 swing low back in focus
Acceptance above 4371.2 ny high exposes the 4376.0 prior high
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC plus Fed's Barr could materially shift this read