XAU/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Thursday, 29 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the XAU/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:04 UTC
Downtrend since post-FOMC high, inside the weekly range · RSI 46 · price 4,021.07
Lower highs and lower lows since Wednesday's spike high; the weekly higher-lows line is still intact.
The post-FOMC spike to the 4082.67 week high failed to hold above 4070. From there Thursday printed a run of lower highs, as the Q3 GDP beat and in-line core PCE kept December hike pricing firm, and the post-FOMC drop reached a 4005.38 thu low late in the NY session. Price now sits at 4021, just under EMA(20) near 4025, with RSI(14) around 46 after a bounce that stalled at the 4032.60 lower high below the 38.2% fib; the week higher lows line from Monday's 3978.16 week low still holds above the 4000 psych level and the week open.
Support: 4,005.38, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,032.60, 4,068.79, 4,082.67
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 4032.60 lower high breaks Thursday's lower highs line and opens the 50% fib of the post-FOMC drop near 4044
Failure to hold the 4005.38 thu low exposes 4000 psych and the week higher lows line
A sustained break of 4000 psych puts the 3978.16 week low back in play
Only a recovery through the 4068.79 thu high toward the 4082.67 week high would negate the post-FOMC false break
ECI Q3 at 12:30 UTC Fri plus Daly and Musalem from 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:05 UTC
Short-term downtrend inside the weekly range · RSI 46 · price 4,021.35
Lower highs since the 4082.7 post-FOMC peak, holding above 4006.8.
Gold has given back most of Tuesday's NY-session rally. The post-FOMC push to 4082.7 failed back below the 4070 wed high, and Thursday printed lower highs through London and NY as the GDP beat firmed the dollar. Price sits below ema20 (~4026.5) and EMA50 (~4030.5), near the 61.8% retracement of the week's 3978–4083 move, with RSI(14) at ~46 after bottoming near 37 on the 4006.8 thu low. The thu highs at 4037–4039 capped every bounce during NY hours, and the 4000 psych level and week open sit just below.
Support: 4,006.78, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,026.50, 4,039.31
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 4006.8 thu low exposes the 4000 psych level and the 78.6% week fib
Failure to hold 4000 puts the 3978 week low back in play
Close back above ema20 and the 4039 thu highs breaks the lower-high sequence; the 4070 wed high is the next cap
Fri ECI 12:30 GMT, Chicago PMI and Daly/Musalem remarks could materially shift this read
21:07 UTC
Short-term downtrend off the FOMC spike, inside the week range · RSI 43 · price 4,021.35
Lower highs and lower lows from 4082.67; flat cap near 4039, floor near 4007.
Tuesday's NY-session breakout from the 3978–4032 range ran to the wed high at 4070.75, and the post-FOMC spike to 4082.67 failed straight back inside it, a false break that capped the week. Thursday's Q3 GDP beat and in-line core PCE extended the lower-high sequence. The thu highs near 4039 capped every NY-session bounce, and the thu low at 4006.78 printed near the 78.6% retracement of the 3989–4083 leg. Price at 4021 sits below EMA(20) near 4026 and EMA(50) with RSI(14) around 43, while the 4000 psych level and weekly open sit just underneath.
Support: 4,006.78, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,026.30, 4,039.30, 4,070.75
What it said to watch
H1 close above the thu highs near 4039 breaks the lower-high sequence from 4082.67
Failure to hold the thu low at 4006.78 exposes the 4000 psych level and the week low at 3978.16
A reclaim of EMA(20) near 4026 is needed before the wed high at 4070.75 comes back into view
ECI Q3 at 12:30 GMT Fri, followed by Fed's Daly and Musalem, could materially shift this read
Lower highs since the post-FOMC false break above 4070; price back inside Monday's range.
Gold has given back most of Tuesday's NY-session rally. The post-FOMC spike to 4082.67 failed back below the 4069 prior high. Thursday's GDP beat then extended a sell-off that printed lower highs at the 4037.8 thu cap and a NY session low at 4006.78, just above the 78.6% retrace of the Tue-Wed rally fib. Price sits below the ema20 near 4026 and EMA(50) near 4031 with RSI(14) around 46, back inside Monday's 3978–4030 range and leaning on the rising support from the week low.
Support: 4,006.78, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,026.40, 4,037.80, 4,069.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 4037.8 thu cap breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 4069 prior high
Loss of the 4006.78 session low and the rising support line exposes the 4000 psych level and the 3978.16 week low
Fri ECI Q3 (12:30 GMT, f/c 0.8%), Chicago PMI and Daly/Musalem Fed remarks could materially shift this read
19:04 UTC
Short-term downtrend from week high, below both EMAs · RSI 39 · price 4,011.04
Lower highs since Wednesday's post-FOMC high; week's advance retraced past 61.8%.
After Monday's Asia dip to the 3978.16 week low and Tuesday's NY-session rally, gold spiked to the 4082.67 week high after Wednesday's Fed hold. Rejection there has since printed a lower-highs sequence. Thursday's GDP beat at the NY data release saw the bounce capped near 4037.7, a day cap tested four times. Price then slid to a 4006.78 day low into late NY hours, back below EMA(20) near 4026 and through the 61.8% retracement of the week advance (~4018). RSI(14) is at 39 and has not reached oversold, so momentum is pointing lower but is not stretched.
Support: 4,006.78, 4,000.47, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,026.00, 4,037.72, 4,082.67
What it said to watch
Hourly closes below the 4000.47 weekly open and the $4,000 psych pivot would put the 3978.16 week low back in play
A reclaim of EMA(20) near 4026 and the 4037.7 day cap would break the lower-highs trendline and invalidate the downtrend read
ECI Q3 Fri 12:30 UTC, then Daly 16:00 and Musalem 16:30 UTC, could materially shift this read via December hike pricing
Holding the 4006.78 day low keeps price rotating between the 78.6% retracement of the week advance and EMA(20)
17:07 UTC
Short-term downtrend from post-FOMC high · RSI 41 · price 4,018.39
Lower highs and stepping lows since Wednesday's 4082 spike.
Gold opened the week near 4000 and set the 3978 week low in Monday's Asia session. A Tuesday NY-session impulse carried it to 4065, and Wednesday's post-FOMC spike to 4082 was rejected back below the 4070 cap. Thursday's hawkish US data (GDP beat, in-line core PCE) kept NY-session lows stepping down to the 4010 day low, with lower highs capping at 4039. Price now sits under EMA(20) and EMA(50), which crossed lower today, with RSI(14) near 40 and price at the 61.8% level of the week range fib, just above the week open and the 4,000 psych.
Support: 4,010.26, 4,000.47, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,039.31
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 4010 day low extends the lower-low sequence toward the week open and 4,000 psych
Failure to hold the 4000 week open exposes the 3978 week low
H1 close back above EMA(20) and the 4039 lower high breaks the lower-highs line
Only a recovery through the 4070 cap would undo Wednesday's post-FOMC rejection
Friday's ECI (12:30 GMT), Chicago PMI (13:45 GMT) and Daly/Musalem remarks could materially shift this read
13:07 UTC
Short-term downtrend since the post-FOMC high, momentum soft · RSI 44 · price 4,025.03
Lower highs and lower lows below 4082.7, holding the 61.8% retrace zone.
Gold has given back most of Tuesday's NY rally since the post-FOMC spike to the 4082.7 week high failed back below the 4070 cap. Lower highs followed at 4068.8 and 4039.3 through today's Asia and London sessions, in line with the digest's hawkish-hold backdrop and a ~85% priced December hike. Price sits below the EMA(20) near 4034 and is flattening into the EMA(50), with RSI(14) near 44. The PCE/GDP release bar stalled at 4032.6, while the 4016 session low held near the 61.8% retrace of the week advance from 3978 to 4083.
Support: 4,016.00, 4,000.50, 3,978.20
Resistance: 4,034.00, 4,039.30, 4,082.70
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the lower-highs trendline and the 4039.3 lower high would break the post-FOMC sequence
Failure to hold the 4016 session low exposes the 4000.5 weekly open and the 4000 psych level
Acceptance below 4000 brings Monday's 3978.2 week low back into view
Core PCE/GDP actuals are not yet in the feed; a soft core print vs the 0.3% MoM forecast could materially shift this read
Friday's ECI and remarks from Fed speakers Daly and Musalem are the next event risk for the structure
12:05 UTC
Pullback from week high, lower highs since FOMC · RSI 41 · price 4,021.08
Lower highs below the 4070 cap, testing 61.8% of the week's impulse.
Gold has given back most of Tuesday's NY-session rally. The post-FOMC false break to the 4082.67 week high has been followed by lower highs through today's Asia and London sessions, as Warsh's hawkish hold revived USD dip-buying. Price trades below EMA(20) and EMA(50), both near 4036, with RSI(14) at 41, while the 4015.94 today low sits on the 61.8% retrace of the 3978–4083 week impulse and the 4070 cap has rejected three attempts since Wednesday.
Support: 4,015.94, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,035.70, 4,070.00, 4,082.67
What it said to watch
Core PCE / Q3 GDP / jobless claims at 12:30 UTC (~26 min) could materially shift this read
H1 close below the 4015.94 today low and 61.8% fib exposes the 4000 psych level
Failure to hold 4000 psych reopens Monday's 3978.16 weekly low
H1 close back above the lower highs trendline and ema20 near 4036 breaks the post-FOMC lower-high sequence
Reclaim of the 4070 cap would put the 4082.67 week high back in play
Gold rallied from Monday's 3978.16 week low, opened near 4000.47, through a strong NY-session leg on Tuesday. The post-Fed spike to the 4082.67 week high failed to hold above the 4070 area. Since then a lower high at 4068.79 and a day low of 4015.94 in the London session have taken price back under EMA(20) near 4038, with the hawkish hold reviving USD demand. Price now sits around the 50% retracement of the week's rally, while the 61.8% level aligns with the day low and the rising lows line from Tuesday.
Support: 4,015.94, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,038.40, 4,068.79, 4,082.67
What it said to watch
Core PCE and Q3 GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back above ema20 near 4038 eases the lower-highs sequence
Close above the 4068.79 lower high reopens the 4082.67 week high
Failure to hold the 4015.94 day low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 4000 psych level
Loss of 4000 puts the 3978.16 week low back in focus
Lower highs and lower lows below 4082.67, testing 50-61.8% retracement.
Gold climbed from Monday's 3978 week low and Tuesday's 3989 London low into a NY-session rally, then spiked to a 4082.67 week high after the hawkish Fed hold. The push above Wednesday's 4070 cap failed. Rejection followed as the USD recovered, and Thursday's Asia and London sessions have printed a 4068.79 lower high and a 4015.94 today low. Price now sits below ema20 (~4038) and EMA(50) (~4037) with RSI(14) at 45, holding between the 50% and 61.8% levels of the week range fib.
Support: 4,015.94, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,038.00, 4,068.79, 4,082.67
What it said to watch
Core PCE and Q3 GDP at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read; a soft core print would put the 4068.79 lower high and the 4070 cap back in play
An H1 close back above ema20 near 4038 breaks the lower-highs sequence from the week high at 4082.67
Failure to hold the today low at 4015.94 (61.8% of the week range fib) exposes the 4000 psych level and the week low at 3978.16
FOMC spike to 4082.67 fully faded. Lower highs since. Monday's higher-low trend is broken..
Gold climbed from Monday's 3978 week low, with the main leg in Tuesday's NY session, then spiked to 4082.67 on the Fed decision Wednesday evening. The spike unwound as the hawkish hold revived USD demand, a false break above the 4070 cap. Since then Thursday has printed a sequence of lower highs at 4068.79, 4046.30 and 4037.72, with price slipping below EMA(20) and EMA(50) and breaking the rising trend from Monday. Early London found demand at 4015.94, today low, close to the 61.8% retracement of the week's 3978–4082 advance, with RSI(14) holding mid-40s.
Support: 4,015.94, 4,000.00, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,039.00, 4,046.30, 4,070.00
What it said to watch
Core PCE and Q3 GDP at 12:30 GMT (15:30 broker) could materially shift this read
H1 close below 4015.94 today low exposes the 4000 psych level and the 3978.16 week low
Reclaim of ema20 near 4039 and the 4046.30 lower high would break the lower-highs sequence
4070 cap still defines the week's upper boundary after the post-FOMC rejection
Lower highs from 4082.67 week high, testing 61.8% of Tuesday's rally.
Gold has faded from Wednesday's post-FOMC NY-session spike to the 4082.67 week high. The 4070 area did not hold, and price has since printed a lower high at 4068.79 and another near 4046, as hawkish Fed pricing revived USD demand. Through Asia and early London today, price slipped below EMA(20) and EMA(50), broke Wednesday's 4028 low and set a 4022 day low, sitting on the 61.8% retracement of Tuesday's rally from 3989. RSI(14) has rolled over to 44, and the weekly open near the 4000 psych level is the next reference below.
Support: 4,022.14, 4,000.47, 3,989.15
Resistance: 4,068.79, 4,082.67
What it said to watch
Core PCE and Q3 GDP at 12:30 GMT (~4.5h) could materially shift this read
H1 close below the 4022 day low and the 61.8% of the tue rally fib exposes the 4000 weekly open
Reclaiming EMA(20) near 4041 would ease the lower-highs read; the 4068.79 lower high and 4082.67 week high sit above
Failure to hold the 3989 tue low breaks the rising lows line from Monday's 3978 low
07:05 UTC
Range-bound, rolling lower from post-FOMC high · RSI 47 · price 4,034.79
Lower highs since 4082.67 inside a 3978–4083 weekly range.
Gold has spent the week inside a 3978–4083 range. Monday's Asia-session week low held, Tuesday's NY session drove the rally through 4050, and the hawkish-hold FOMC spike printed the 4082.67 week high but failed to hold above the 4070 cap. Lower highs at 4068.79 and 4046.30 have since pushed price back below the ema20 near 4043. Thursday's asia low at 4022.14 sits just above the 61.8% retracement of the week's impulse, with RSI(14) near 47 and no momentum extreme.
Support: 4,022.14, 4,000.47, 3,978.16
Resistance: 4,082.67
What it said to watch
Core PCE and Q3 GDP at 12:30 GMT (~7h) could materially shift this read; the market_context digest flags a sharper reaction risk on a soft print
An H1 close back above the ema20 near 4043 and the lower-highs line would ease the post-FOMC rollover read
A close back above the 4070 cap reopens the week high at 4082.67, with 4092 the next reference cited in the market_context digest
Failure to hold the asia low at 4022.14 confirms a lower-low below Wednesday's 4028 and exposes the weekly open and 4000 psych, then the week low at 3978.16
06:05 UTC
Post-FOMC pullback within week's range · RSI 44 · price 4,029.07
Lower highs since FOMC high, testing 61.8% retrace.
Monday held above Friday's 3975 July-low area, and the week's dominant leg came in Tuesday's NY session, running from the 3989 tuesday low to 4065. The post-FOMC spike to the 4082.67 fomc high failed to hold above the 4070 wed high as the hawkish hold revived USD dip-buying. The Asia session has since carved lower highs and a 4022 session low near the 61.8% retrace, with price below EMA(20) near 4045 and RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 4,022.14, 4,000.47, 3,989.15
Resistance: 4,045.00, 4,082.67
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 4022 session low and 61.8% retrace exposes the weekly open near 4000, then the tuesday low at 3989
Reclaiming ema20 near 4045 and breaking the lower-highs trendline would neutralise the pullback read
Core PCE and Q3 GDP at 12:30 GMT (~6.5h) could materially shift this read
A close back above the 4070 wed high would reopen the 4082.67 fomc high
Higher lows from Monday's 3978; post-FOMC lower high, 4025–4083 range.
Gold held a 3978–4025 band from the 4000.5 week open through Monday and Tuesday's Asia and London sessions. NY hours on Tuesday drove the breakout to 4064 as oil eased on US-Iran diplomacy. The hawkish Fed hold whipsawed price between the 4025 fomc low and a 4082.7 week high, and that spike was faded. The Asia session today printed a lower high at 4068.8 and slipped back below the EMA(20) near 4046.5, with the 4036 asia low tested three times. Price is sitting on the 38.2% retrace of the week's impulse, with RSI(14) flat near 49 and EMA(50) at roughly 4040 just beneath.
Support: 4,036.00, 4,025.10, 4,000.50
Resistance: 4,046.50, 4,070.00, 4,082.70
What it said to watch
Core PCE and Q3 GDP at 12:30 GMT (~8h) could materially shift this read
H1 close below the 4036 asia low and 4025 fomc low exposes the 50% retrace near 4030 and the 4000.5 week open
Recovery back above the EMA(20) and the 4070 prior high reopens the 4082.7 week high, with $4,092 flagged in the digest above
Continued lower highs under the lower-highs line keep the post-FOMC rejection intact
Higher lows from 3989, lower highs off 4082.67 post-FOMC spike.
Gold opened the week at 4000.47 and printed a 3978 week low in Monday's Asia session. The dominant move was Tuesday's London-to-NY rally from 3989 to 4065, which carried into a post-FOMC spike to the 4082.67 week high that was rejected straight back under the 4070 cap, consistent with the firm dollar after the hawkish-leaning Fed hold. Thursday's Asia session has swung between 4036 and 4069, leaving price below ema20 near 4047 with RSI(14) around 46, pressing the 50% fib of Tuesday's impulse at 4036 and holding above the wed low at 4028.
Support: 4,036.40, 4,028.07, 4,000.47
Resistance: 4,082.67
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 50% fib at 4036 and the wed low at 4028 breaks the higher-low sequence and puts the weekly open near 4000 back in play
Recovery above ema20 and a close through the 4070 cap reopens the week high at 4082.67
Core PCE, GDP and jobless claims at 12:30 GMT (~8.5h) could materially shift this read
03:06 UTC
Rebound from week low, stalling in range · RSI 48 · price 4,044.04
Higher lows since Tuesday, capped 4070–4083.
Gold has built higher lows since Tuesday's London-session low at 3989. The NY-session rally that day cleared 4050 and stalled at the 4070 cap, which is old support now acting as resistance. The post-FOMC spike to the 4082.67 week high did not hold and slipped back into the 4025–4070 range, a false break, as the hawkish-leaning Fed hold kept the USD firm. Price now sits just below EMA(20) near 4049 and above EMA(50) near 4040, with RSI(14) back near 48 and the 38.2% retrace of the week's impulse at 4043 in play.
Support: 4,036.40, 4,025.10, 4,000.50
Resistance: 4,048.60, 4,082.67
What it said to watch
Core PCE, GDP and jobless claims Thu 12:30 GMT (~9h) could materially shift this read and resolve the post-FOMC range
H1 close below the asia low at 4036.4 and the fomc low at 4025.1 would break rising support from Tuesday and expose the weekly open at 4000.5
H1 close above the 4070 cap and the 4082.67 week high would negate the false break read, with 4092 flagged as a short-covering trigger
Reclaiming ema20 near 4049 would restore the intraday higher-low rhythm; repeated failures there would point to a lower-high sequence
Gold has printed rising lows since Monday's Asia-session low at 3978: 3989 in Tuesday's London session, 4028 on Wednesday (the wed low), and 4036 in today's Asian low, with Tuesday's NY session driving the leg above 4030. The post-FOMC spike to a 4082.67 week high faded as the hawkish-leaning Fed hold firmed the dollar. The 4065–4071 prior high zone has now capped three attempts. Price sits back above EMA20 near 4051 with RSI(14) at 55, and the dip held above the 50% week fib near 4030.
Support: 4,050.70, 4,036.42, 4,028.07
Resistance: 4,070.75, 4,082.67
What it said to watch
Core PCE and GDP at 12:30 GMT (~10h) could materially shift this read
H1 close above the 4082.67 week high clears the 4070 prior high cap
Break of the 4036 asian low and the rising lows line near 4033 ends the higher-low sequence, with the wed low at 4028 and the 50% week fib just below
Sustained trade back under the ema20 near 4051 points to the 4065–4083 rejection extending
01:06 UTC
Uptrend from Friday's low, momentum fading after Fed · RSI 48 · price 4,041.42
Higher lows intact; false break above 4070 now retracing into 50% fib.
Gold has carved higher lows since Friday's 3975.70 three-month low and Monday's 3978 retest. The dominant leg ran from 3989 to 4065 during Tuesday's London-NY transition into NY hours. The post-Fed spike to the 4082.67 fed high failed back under 4070, leaving a false break, and the Asia session fade has pulled price below EMA20 into the 50% fib of that leg near 4036, with RSI(14) reset to 48 and EMA50 near 4040 just underfoot.
Support: 4,036.39, 4,025.08, 4,000.47
Resistance: 4,048.00, 4,082.67
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 4036 fib 50% and the higher-lows trendline near 4032 exposes the 4025 fed low
Failure to hold 4025 breaks the higher-low sequence and brings the 4000 week open back into view
Reclaim of EMA20 near 4048 and a close above the 4070 prior high would negate the false break, with the 4082.67 fed high next
Core PCE and GDP Thu 12:30 GMT (~11h) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Monday's low; post-Fed spike rejected above the 4070 prior high.
Gold has printed higher lows since Monday's 3978 low near the 4000 weekly open. The dominant leg came in Tuesday's NY session, 4012 to 4065, on the oil-driven rebound. The Fed bar dipped to the 4025 swing low, then spiked to a 4082.67 week high, but the hawkish-leaning hold saw it fade back to ~4055. That leaves a rejection above the 4070 prior high and a bearish RSI(14) divergence against Tuesday's peak, with price holding just above the EMA(20) near 4050 and the 38.2% fib of the week's impulse at 4043 below.
Support: 4,049.60, 4,042.75, 4,025.08
Resistance: 4,082.67
What it said to watch
Core PCE and GDP Thu 12:30 GMT (~13h) could materially shift this read
Loss of the EMA(20) near 4050 exposes the 38.2% fib at 4043
H1 close below the 4025 swing low and the rising trendline (~4031) breaks the higher-low sequence
H1 close back above the 4070 prior high negates the post-Fed rejection, with the 4082.67 week high next