0.6945–0.6960 range after the NFP spike faded; lower highs since 0.6975.
The US NFP miss lifted AUDUSD to the 0.6975 nfp high before the spike faded into a 0.6945–0.6960 range. The 0.6945 nfp low held at the 78.6% retrace of the NFP leg. Sunday's gap down to the 0.6942 gap low was filled to the 0.6958 sunday high, but the early Asia session has slipped back under the 61.8% at 0.6952 after the AU Services PMI, with RSI(14) near 41 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.69446, 0.69418
Resistance: 0.69576, 0.69752
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.6945 nfp low breaks the post-NFP range and puts the 0.6942 gap low in play
A recovery above the 0.6958 sunday high reopens the range top near 0.6960 and the 0.6975 nfp high
The TD-MI Inflation Gauge (Mon 00:00 UTC) and the AU PMI digestion could shift this read
US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC, f/c 55.7) is the next high-impact risk for the NFP leg
Tight 0.6951–0.6958 compression after Sunday gap fill.
Early Asia session. The Sunday open gapped down to the 0.6942 gap low and filled to a 0.6958 session high. Price is now pinned at the 61.8% retrace of Friday's NFP leg, the move the soft 29K payrolls print drove up to the 0.6975 NFP high. EMAs are flat around price, with RSI(14) near 45 and ATR(14) about 4 pips: compressed above the 0.6951 minor low, no setup in play.
Support: 0.6951, 0.6942
Resistance: 0.6958, 0.6975
What it said to watch
TD-MI Inflation Gauge at 00:00 UTC could break the 0.6951–0.6958 compression
M15 close below the 0.6951 minor low reopens the 0.6942 gap low
M15 close above the 0.6958 session high puts the 0.6975 NFP high back in view
Sunday gap filled, range 0.6942–0.6958 inside Friday's 0.6945–0.6975 post-NFP span.
The weak US payrolls print (29K vs 90K) lifted AUDUSD from 0.6931 to the 0.6975 nfp high on Friday. Sunday's open gapped about 13 pips below the 0.6955 close to a 0.6942 gap low and filled within the first hour, then stalled at the 0.6958 sunday high. Price now sits on the 50% retrace of the NFP rally near 0.6953, slipping slightly after the 23:00 UTC AU Services PMI, with ATR(14) near 4 pips in thin early-Asia trade.
Support: 0.69446, 0.69418
Resistance: 0.69576, 0.69752
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6945 swing low (Friday's post-NFP fade low) breaks the range floor and exposes the 0.6942 gap low and the 78.6% retrace near 0.6941
M15 close above the 0.6958 sunday high reopens the path toward the 0.6975 nfp high
TD-MI Inflation Gauge at 00:00 UTC could break the current tight Asia-session range
US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC, f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read during NY hours
23:04 UTC
Flat after weekly-open gap fill, hugging EMA20 · RSI 47 · price 0.69551
Weekly-open gap filled; tight range under the late-Friday high.
Friday's NFP miss spiked AUDUSD to the 0.6975 nfp high before it faded to 0.6945. The weekly open gapped about 12 pips lower to the 0.6942 gap low but filled back to Friday's close within the first hour. Price is now pinned in a 0.6954–0.6960 band at the 38.2% of the nfp fade fib, capped under the 0.6960 late high, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.69542, 0.69418, 0.6938
Resistance: 0.69595, 0.69752
What it said to watch
AU Services PMI (f/c 51.4) prints at 23:00 UTC on the current bar and could break the micro range
An M15 close above the 0.6960 late high opens the path to the 0.6975 nfp high
Failure to hold the 0.6954 micro low exposes the 0.6942 gap low, with the 0.6938 pre-nfp base below
US ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
22:47 UTC
Sideways after NFP spike-and-fade · RSI 49 · price 0.69559
Post-NFP range 0.6945–0.6960; weekend gap filled.
Early Asia: the Sunday open gapped about 13 pips under the 0.6955 fri close to a 0.6942 sunday low, and the gap has already filled. Price is back inside the range left after Friday's NFP spike, when the 29K miss drove a run to the 0.6975 nfp high. That spike faded to the 0.6945 ny low, and the fri late hi at 0.6960 still caps; RSI(14) is neutral near 49.
Support: 0.69548, 0.69446, 0.69418
Resistance: 0.69595, 0.69752
What it said to watch
AU Services PMI at 23:00 UTC (f/c 51.4), due within the next bar, could materially shift this read; Sunday liquidity is thin
An M15 close above the 0.6960 fri late hi brings the 0.6975 nfp high back into view
Failure to hold the 0.6955 fri close reopens the 0.6945 ny low and the 0.6942 sunday low
A break below 0.6942 would push price past the 78.6% level of the NFP spike fib and erase most of the spike
Tight range 0.6945–0.6960 after the Sunday gap filled.
The weekly open gapped about 12 pips lower to the 0.6942 gap low. The gap has since filled, and early Asia session trade is back at 0.6956, sitting on the 38.2% fib of the post-NFP fade from the 0.6975 nfp high. Since the soft US payrolls spike faded into Friday's 0.6945 ny low, price has held a 0.6945–0.6960 range, with the 0.6950 round number in the middle and RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69446, 0.69418
Resistance: 0.69595, 0.69752
What it said to watch
AU Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC (about 30 min away) could break the range either way
An M15 close above the 0.6960 range top opens the path to the 0.6975 nfp high
Failure to hold the 0.6950 round number and then the 0.6945 ny low and 0.6942 gap low would break the range lower
22:17 UTC
Post-NFP range, recovering from weekend gap · RSI 58 · price 0.69576
Sunday gap down filled; price back at Friday close inside the 0.6945–0.6975 post-NFP range.
The NFP miss (29K vs 90K) lifted AUDUSD to the nfp high at 0.6975 before a fade to the post-nfp low at 0.6945, near the 78.6% of the spike fib. The Sunday open gapped about 12 pips lower to a sunday low of 0.6942, and the gap has already filled back to the friday close at 0.6955, with price now pressing the late ny high at 0.6960 near the fib midpoint.
Support: 0.69548, 0.69446, 0.69418
Resistance: 0.69595, 0.69752, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A close above the late ny high at 0.6960 opens the path back to the nfp high at 0.6975, with the 0.7000 round number above.
Failure to hold the friday close at 0.6955 returns the gap-fill toward the post-nfp low at 0.6945 and the sunday low at 0.6942.
AU Services and Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC (f/c 51.4 and 50.8) could materially shift this read in thin early-Asia trade.
22:04 UTC
Range after NFP spike, gap nearly filled · RSI 53 · price 0.6953
Post-NFP range 0.6945–0.6960; Sunday gap down being filled.
The soft US payrolls print (29K vs 90K) spiked the pair to the 0.6975 nfp high on Friday. Sellers rejected that level, price faded to the 0.6945 nfp low, then recovered toward a 0.6960 late high. Sunday's open gapped down to the 0.6942 gap low and has nearly filled back to the 0.6955 fri close, with price at 0.6953, sitting on EMA20 and the 50% retrace of the nfp leg fib.
Support: 0.6945, 0.6942
Resistance: 0.6955, 0.6960, 0.6975
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6955 fri close completes the gap fill and exposes the 0.6960 late high
Loss of the 0.6942 gap low takes out the nfp low shelf and opens a lower-low
AU Services PMI at 23:00 UTC (f/c 51.4) lands in thin early-Asia liquidity and could materially shift this read
21:47 UTC
Post-NFP spike faded, flat at weekly open · RSI 49 · price 0.69509
Range 0.6945-0.6960 after NFP leg retrace; weekly open gap partly filled.
Friday's NFP miss lifted the pair from the pre-NFP low at 0.6931 to the NFP high at 0.6975. The move then faded to the NY low at 0.6945 before settling below the NY high at 0.6960. The weekly open gapped down to a gap low at 0.6942, near the 78.6% retrace of the NFP leg, and price is back at 0.6951 just under the Friday close at 0.6955 in thin early-Asia trade, RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 0.69446, 0.69418, 0.69314
Resistance: 0.69548, 0.69595, 0.69752
What it said to watch
AU Services/Composite PMI at 23:00 UTC could break the current range in thin liquidity
M15 close above the Friday close at 0.6955 fills the gap and puts the NY high at 0.6960 back in play
Failure to hold the gap low at 0.6942 breaks the 78.6% NFP leg retrace and exposes the pre-NFP low at 0.6931
Reclaim of the NY high at 0.6960 reopens the NFP high at 0.6975
21:32 UTC
Post-NFP fade, gapped lower at weekly open · RSI 43 · price 0.69473
Lower highs off the 0.6975 NFP spike, holding above the 0.6945 post-NFP low.
The week opened with a roughly 12-pip gap below Friday's 0.6955 close. The 0.6942 gap low held, and price sits near the 61.8% retrace of the NFP leg, just above the 0.6945 nfp low left after the soft-payrolls spike to the 0.6975 NFP high faded. Early Sunday liquidity is thin, with price below both EMAs and RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 0.69446, 0.69418, 0.69314
Resistance: 0.69548, 0.69595, 0.69752
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6942 gap low breaks the post-NFP floor and exposes the 0.6931 swing low
Gap fill back to Friday's 0.6955 close would reopen the 0.6960 late Fri high
AU Services PMI at 23:00 UTC (f/c 51.4), then the TD-MI inflation gauge at 00:00 UTC, could materially shift this read in thin early-week liquidity
Range breakout on NFP, ~70% retrace held at prior London high, lower highs since.
The soft NFP print (29K vs 90K f/c) broke AUDUSD out of the Asian and London range to a 0.6975 NFP high. The pullback retraced about 70% of the leg and held at the 0.6945 NFP low, which sits on the pre-NFP London high. Late NY is now consolidating just above the EMA50 near 0.6950 and capped at the 0.6960 swing high, with RSI(14) neutral near 51 into the Friday close.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69446, 0.69382
Resistance: 0.69595, 0.69752
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.6945 NFP low fails the breakout retest and exposes the 0.6938 Asian high
A close above the 0.6960 swing high breaks the lower-highs sequence from the 0.6975 NFP high
Loss of the EMA50 at 0.6950 shifts the late-NY consolidation lower inside the retrace
Weekend gap risk at the reopen, then AU Services PMI (Sun 23:00 UTC) and Monday's US ISM Services could reprice this structure