London broke the Asian range high and NY extended from the 0.6950 ism low after the 14:00 UTC ISM services print. That extended the soft-NFP rebound, but the 0.6973 session high has now capped price three times. Early Asia is holding a rising trendline of higher lows, with the 0.6966 swing low and the 0.6961 ny low beneath. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR is tight at about 2.6 pips.
Support: 0.69664, 0.69608, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69734, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Break below the rising trendline and the 0.6966 swing low exposes the 0.6961 ny low and the 50% fib
Loss of the 0.6950 ism low would unwind the NY leg
Fed's Williams (13:05 UTC) and Bowman (14:45 UTC) on Tue could shift USD tone
23:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below range top · RSI 50 · price 0.69695
Higher lows under a flat 0.6973 cap, tight Asia range.
Early Asia is holding 0.6965–0.6973 after the NY rally off the 0.6950 NY low, which started on the ISM services miss at 14:00 UTC. The range top at 0.6973 has rejected three times since then. Higher lows at the 0.6961 swing low and the 0.6965 Asia low keep the rising trendline intact. RSI(14) is flat near 50 and ATR is about 2.8 pips.
Support: 0.69655, 0.69608, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69734, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6973 range top opens the 0.7000 psych level
Break of the 0.6965 asia low and rising trendline exposes the 0.6961 swing low, then the 0.6950 ny low and 50% of the NY rally
US 10y yields near 5.34% and Fed's Williams/Bowman on Tue could materially shift this read
23:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under session high · RSI 49 · price 0.69676
Higher lows from 0.6950 NY low, flat top at 0.6973 tested three times.
The soft NFP and Australian PMI beats carried AUDUSD from the 0.6932 Asian low through London. The NY rally off the 0.6950 NY low ran to a 0.6973 session high after the ISM miss. Early Asia retested 0.6973 and was rejected, and price is now holding 0.6968 just above the 0.6965 rollover low, with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR around 2.5 pips.
Support: 0.6965, 0.6961, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high breaks the flat top and exposes the 0.7000 round number
Loss of the 0.6965 rollover low and the 0.6961 swing low breaks the rising lows line from the NY rally
Break below the 0.6950 NY low unwinds the full NY rally
Fed's Williams and Bowman on Tue NY hours, plus US 10y yield moves, could shift this read
23:03 UTC
Up from Asia low, now flat below session high · RSI 44 · price 0.69676
Tight range 0.6961–0.6973 after NY rally, lower high risk.
Price lifted from the 0.6950 pre-ism low to a 0.6973 session high after the ISM Services miss, and the pullback held 0.6961 (ny swing low), close to 50% of the NY rally fib. Early Asia gapped down to the 0.6965 gap low, recovered, then met rejection again at 0.6973. That leaves a tight 0.6961–0.6973 range, with RSI(14) near 44 and ATR(14) about 2.6 pips.
Support: 0.6965, 0.6961, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high breaks the range and opens the 0.7000 round number
Loss of 0.6965 gap low and 0.6961 ny swing low exposes the 0.6950 pre-ism low, below the 61.8% of the NY rally fib
US 10y yields near 5.34% and Fed's Williams (Tue 13:05 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows from Asia low 0.6932, capped at 0.6973.
Higher lows since the Asia low at 0.6932: London lifted the pair to 0.6966, and NY extended from the 0.6950 ny low through the ISM services release, with soft NFP and firm AU PMIs behind the move. In early Asia, the rollover gap to the 0.6965 rollover low has filled, but 0.6973 has now rejected price three times and RSI(14) is flat near 52.
Support: 0.6965, 0.6961, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.6965 rollover low and the rising trendline exposes the 0.6961 pullback low (50–61.8% of the NY rally fib)
Break below the 0.6950 ny low would end the higher-low sequence
ADP and Fed's Williams early in Tuesday's NY session could shift USD tone and this read
22:32 UTC
Uptrend, stalling under 0.6973 · RSI 55 · price 0.69727
Higher lows from 0.6950; flat cap at 0.6973 tested repeatedly.
London broke above the 0.6932–0.6940 Asian range. The NY rally from the 0.6950 pre-NY low, helped by the soft-NFP bounce and AU PMI beats, set a 0.6973 NY high. That cap has now been tested for a fourth time in early Asia with higher lows intact at the 0.6961 swing low and the thin-liquidity 0.6965 rollover low; RSI(14) is neutral near 55 and ATR is only about 2.6 pips.
Support: 0.6965, 0.6961, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 NY high breaks the cap and opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Close below the 0.6961 swing low breaks the higher-lows chain from the NY rally
Loss of the 0.6950 pre-NY low reopens the Monday Asian range
Thin early-Asia liquidity; US yield moves or Middle East headlines driving safe-haven USD could override the intraday structure
22:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 55 · price 0.69722
Higher lows from 0.6950; double test of 0.6973 high.
Price climbed from the 0.6932 Asia low through London and NY, helped by the soft NFP backdrop and firm Australian PMIs. It printed higher lows at 0.6950 and 0.6961, along a higher-lows trendline. Early Asia is retesting the 0.6973 session high after a thin rollover gap dipped to the 0.6965 rollover low, with RSI(14) near 55 and ATR around 2.7 pips.
Support: 0.6965, 0.69608, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 round number; a second rejection there flattens the higher-low sequence
Loss of the 0.6965 rollover low and the higher-lows trendline exposes the 0.6961 ny pullback, then the 0.6950 ny low
No scheduled AU/US data in the next 8h; US yield moves and safe-haven USD flows could shift this read in thin Asia liquidity
Higher lows at 0.6950, 0.6961 and 0.6965 beneath a flat 0.6973 cap.
Early Asia is retesting the 0.6973 session high for a third time after the thin-liquidity rollover dip held the 0.6965 rollover low. London cleared the 0.6932–0.6958 Asian range, and NY extended the post-NFP recovery from the 0.6950 NY low despite a firm USD, printing higher lows at the 0.6961 swing low and 0.6965 under a flat cap.
Support: 0.6965, 0.69608, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6973 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 round number, where the digest flags capping supply.
A break below the 0.6965 rollover low and the 0.6961 swing low ends the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.6950 NY low.
US yield moves and Tuesday's Fed speakers (Williams 13:05, Bowman 14:45 UTC) could materially shift this read.
Higher low at 0.6961 under a twice-tested 0.6973 session high.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.6958, and NY bounced off the 0.6950 NY low after ISM to a 0.6973 session high, helped by soft NFP and firm AU PMIs. That high was rejected on a second test while the 0.6961 swing low held as a higher low. Thin post-rollover bars gapped price to 0.6967, just under EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69576, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Failure to hold the 0.6961 swing low (50% fib) breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the Asian high at 0.6958
Break of the rising NY low trendline toward 0.6950 would negate the intraday uptrend read
Rollover gap printed on thin liquidity; Asia session reaction to US yields and Middle East headlines could materially shift this read
Higher lows 0.6950 → 0.6961 → 0.6969; day high 0.6973 capping.
London lifted AUDUSD off the 0.6932 Asian low, and demand stepped in at the 0.6950 ny low around the ISM Services print, extending to a 0.6973 day high on the soft-NFP backdrop. A thin-liquidity gap at rollover has dropped price to 0.6966, near the 38.2% fib of the NY leg. The ny swing low at 0.6961 holds the higher-low chain.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6961 ny swing low (~50% fib) breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.6950 ny low
M15 close above the 0.6973 day high opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Post-rollover spreads and gap fill in early Asia session may distort the next few bars
Firmer US yields or safe-haven USD headlines could reverse the NY gains
21:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum stalling under session high · RSI 60 · price 0.69698
The NY rally from the 0.6950 swing low came as the ISM Services miss hit, adding to the soft-NFP lift, and pushed price to a 0.6973 session high. The pullback held the 0.6961 higher low near the 50% retracement, and the retest of 0.6973 stalled. Price is now compressing in a 4-pip range just under the session high into the rollover, with ATR down to about 2.6 pips.
Support: 0.6969, 0.69608, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 round number
Break of the 0.6969 range low exposes the 0.6961 higher low
Loss of the 0.6950 swing low breaks the higher-low chain from the Asian low
US yield moves during Asia hours are the main external driver; no AU or US data is due in the next 8h
21:05 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flattening late NY · RSI 70 · price 0.6972
HH/HL chain since the NY dip; compressing under session high.
London broke above the Asian range of 0.6932–0.6958. The NY leg from the 0.6950 pre-ism low, which started on the ISM Services print, set a session high at 0.6973, and the 0.6961 higher low has held since. Late in the NY session, price is pressing the session high again for the third time, with ATR near 2 pips and RSI(14) around 70.
Support: 0.6969, 0.69608, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high exposes the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.6969 micro low shifts focus to the 0.6961 higher low and the rising support line
Break below the 0.6961 higher low ends the NY HH/HL chain; the 0.6950 pre-ism low is next
Thin Asia session open with no scheduled data; US yield moves remain the main swing factor
Higher lows from 0.6950 and 0.6961; tight 0.6969–0.6973 box under the session high.
London broke the Asian high at 0.6958, and the 0.6950 pre-NY low held. NY then lifted the pair after the 14:00 UTC ISM services miss, printing a 0.6973 session high. A 0.6961 swing low followed, and late NY is now compressing just under the high with RSI(14) near 66 and ATR shrinking to about 2.6 pips.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69576, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 round number
Break of the 0.6961 swing low ends the higher-low chain and points back to the asian high at 0.6958
Loss of the 0.6950 pre-ny low would retrace the full NY rally
Thin Asia calendar; Tue ADP and Fed's Williams/Bowman are the next USD risks
20:32 UTC
Uptrend since Asia low, stalling late NY · RSI 63 · price 0.69692
Higher lows from 0.6950 and 0.6961, flat cap at 0.6973.
London broke the Asian high at 0.6958. NY dipped to the 0.6950 NY low, then rallied from the 14:00 UTC bar to a 0.6973 session high, with the soft NFP backdrop and today's ISM Services miss feeding the bid. Late NY has retested the session high twice (0.69733 and 0.69728) without a break, and price is compressing around 0.6969 on a higher-low line off 0.6950 and the 0.6961 swing low.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69495, 0.69576
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 round number
Break below the 0.6961 swing low ends the higher-low line and points back toward the 0.6950 NY low and 0.6958 Asian high
US yield moves and Fed Williams/Bowman remarks on Tue could shift this read
The rally from the 0.6932 Asia low on soft-NFP follow-through extended in London, and buyers stepped in at the 0.6950 NY low after ISM to print a 0.6973 session high. A second test of 0.6973 stalled late in NY hours, and price is compressing just above the 0.6969 micro low, holding the rising trendline off the 0.6950 and 0.6961 swing lows.
Support: 0.69689, 0.69608, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.6973 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 psych level
A close below the 0.6961 swing low breaks the rising trendline and turns the equal highs at 0.6973 into a double top
Loss of the 0.6950 NY low would retrace past the 61.8% fib of the Asia-low rally
Fed Williams/Bowman (Tue) and FOMC Minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could shift the USD side of this read
Asia sold to a 0.6932 asia low before London cleared the Asian range top. After a dip to the 0.6950 ny low into the ISM release, NY rallied to a 0.6973 session high, extending the post-NFP AUD bounce. Late NY has capped twice just under that high, while the pullback held the 0.6961 swing low near the 50% of the ny rally fib.
Support: 0.6961, 0.6950, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 round number, where the digest sees the cap
Break of the 0.6961 swing low ends the NY higher-low chain and exposes the 0.6950 ny low
Loss of 0.6950 puts the 0.6932 asia low back in play
Day roll into Asia is thin; no AU data until AiG Tue 22:00 UTC, so US yields and Middle East headlines are the main swing factor
19:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under session high · RSI 61 · price 0.69699
Higher lows since 0.6950; flat top at 0.6973.
London broke above the 0.6932–0.6958 Asian range, and the asia high gave way again in NY after the soft ISM Services print lifted AUD off the 0.6950 swing low to a 0.6973 session high. Higher lows are holding, with the 0.6961 higher low sitting near the 50% of the NY leg fib. Late NY is consolidating just under that high on a second test, with ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69576, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 round number
Break below the 0.6961 higher low ends the NY higher-lows sequence and puts the asia high at 0.6958 back in play
Loss of the 0.6950 swing low returns price to the Asian range
Thin calendar overnight; US yield moves remain the main swing factor into Asia
19:32 UTC
Uptrend, higher lows intact, pressing day high · RSI 58 · price 0.69703
HL chain from Asia low 0.6932; retest of 0.6973 day high late NY.
The Monday open gap filled within the first hour. Asia set a 0.6932 low, London broke the Asian range and capped at the 0.6967 london high, and NY extended to a 0.6973 day high after the soft ISM Services print. The pullback held the 0.6961 swing low near 50% of the NY leg, and the late-NY grind is now retesting the day high with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.69668, 0.69608, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 day high opens the path to psych 0.7000
Loss of the 0.6967 london high and the rising trendline turns the retest into a rejection
A break of the 0.6961 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.6950 pre-ny low
Fed Williams and Bowman on Tue, plus ADP, could reset USD tone into the next session
Higher lows (0.6950, 0.6961), pressing the 0.6973 session high late NY.
London broke above the Asian range and filled the weekend gap. After the ISM Services miss, price rebounded from the 0.6950 NY low to a 0.6973 session high. Late NY, a higher low at 0.6961 has price back testing 0.6973, with RSI(14) near 59 and ATR at about 3 pips.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69495, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 round number
Break of the 0.6961 higher low and rising support exposes the 0.6950 NY low, near 50–61.8% of the day rally
Asia low at 0.6932 marks the base of the day rally
Fed's Williams and Bowman (Tue 13:05/14:45 UTC) and FOMC Minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Thin liquidity after NY close into the Asia session
19:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, late NY grind higher · RSI 58 · price 0.69707
Higher low at 0.6961 after the ISM-driven break of the London high; price pressing the session high.
AUD broke above the Asian range at London open. It then bounced from the 0.6950 NY low after the softer US ISM Services print, clearing the 0.6967 London high and peaking at the 0.6973 session high. The pullback held a higher low at 0.6961, and late in the NY session price is back testing the session high, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.69668, 0.69608, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.69733 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Slip back under the 0.69668 london high puts the breakout in question
Failure to hold the 0.69608 higher low breaks the trendline and the HH/HL chain, exposing the 0.69495 NY low and the 61.8% of the NY rally fib near 0.6959
Fed's Williams and Bowman on Tue and the US yield direction could materially shift this read
18:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pausing under session high · RSI 56 · price 0.6969
Higher highs and higher lows since the 0.6932 Asian low; higher low at 0.6961 holding.
After a weekend gap lower and an Asian low at 0.6932, London reclaimed Friday's 0.6955 close. NY dipped to 0.6950 (ny low), then the soft ISM services print lifted it to a session high of 0.6973. Late NY, the 0.6961 higher low sits at the 50–61.8% fib, and price is coiling just under the high on ~3 pip ATR.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69495, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.6961 higher low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 0.6950 ny low
Below 0.6950, the 0.6932 asian low comes back into view
Thin Asia session ahead; Fed's Williams and Bowman on Tuesday are the next USD risk
Higher lows since the Asian low; holding above the broken Asian range.
London broke above the Asian range. NY retested it at the 0.6950 pre-ISM low before the ISM services miss lifted AUDUSD to a 0.6973 session high, extending the soft-NFP bounce off the 0.6932 asian low. Late NY holds a higher low at 0.6961, near the 50% of the NY leg fib and above the rising trendline, with RSI(14) in the mid-50s.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69495, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high opens the path to the 0.7000 round number
Break of the 0.6961 higher low exposes the 0.6950 pre-ISM low and the rising trendline
Loss of the 0.6950 pre-ISM low shifts focus back to the 0.6932 asian low
Fed's Williams and Bowman on Tuesday and the US ADP read could shift the USD tone
18:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling below NY high · RSI 53 · price 0.69665
Higher lows from 0.6950; tight range 0.6961–0.6973 late NY.
London cleared the Asian high at 0.6956 after the 0.6932 Asia session low, and the slight ISM services miss at 14:00 UTC drove a NY leg from the 0.6950 ny low to the 0.6973 ny high. After London close, the pullback low at 0.6961 held near the 50% of the ny leg fib and the higher-low trendline, with price compressing just under 0.6970 on a ~3 pip ATR.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69563, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 pullback low and the higher-low trendline turns structure into a lower-low; asian high 0.6956 and ny low 0.6950 next
Close above the 0.6973 ny high reopens the 0.6975–0.7000 zone, with 0.7000 psych as the cap flagged in the digest
Thin late-NY/early Asia liquidity; US yields and Middle East headlines remain the main drivers with no scheduled data in the next 8h
HL chain from Asia low; NY broke London high, retest held.
The soft-NFP bounce extended in NY. Price broke the London high near 0.6967 to a 0.6973 session high, held the 50% fib of the NY leg at the 0.6961 swing low, and is pressing back toward the highs late in the NY session. Higher lows from the 0.6932 Asia low and the 0.6950 NY low keep rising support intact, with RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69495, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high reopens the 0.7000 round number, which is also the top of the published 0.6975–0.7000 resistance band
Failure to hold the 0.6961 swing low breaks rising support and the 50% fib retest
Loss of the 0.6950 NY low unwinds the session breakout back toward the 0.6932 Asia low
Thin late-NY / Asia-open liquidity; Fed's Williams and Bowman on Tue could shift the USD read
Higher low at 0.6950, shallow pullback holding near 50% fib.
After the Asia-session dip to 0.6932, AUDUSD broke the Asian range high and printed a 0.6967 London high. The ISM services miss lifted the pair off the 0.6950 NY low to a 0.6973 session high; late-NY trade is now rotating below the London high, with the 0.6961 swing low holding near the 50% fib of that leg.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69668, 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.6961 swing low breaks the 50% fib hold and exposes the 0.6950 NY low
Hold below the 0.6967 London high keeps price in a late-NY consolidation
Close above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Failure of the day uptrend line near 0.6956 undercuts the higher-low sequence
Fed's Williams and Bowman on Tue, then FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read via USD and yields
HH/HL chain off asian low; lower highs since session high.
After a weekend gap down that filled early, the 0.6932 asian low held. London broke the Asian range, and NY extended to a 0.6973 session high after the slightly soft ISM services print. After London close, price is pulling back toward 23.6% of the move with lower highs under the 0.6967 london high, while the 0.6961 swing low holds just below EMA20.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69495, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69668, 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6961 swing low exposes the 0.6950 ny low and the 38.2% fib near 0.6958
Close above the pullback line and the 0.6973 session high puts the 0.7000 psych level in play
US yields and DXY near annual highs remain the main driver, with Fed's Williams and Bowman speaking Tue
17:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 54 · price 0.69632
Higher low at 0.6950 and higher high at 0.6973; now a 50% retrace after London close.
Monday's opening gap filled in Asia before a dip to 0.6932. London broke above the Asian range, and NY carried price to a 0.6973 session high after the soft ISM services print. Price is now back below the 0.6967 London high, retracing to the 50% fib near the 0.6961 pullback low and sitting on ema20, with RSI(14) cooling to ~54.
Support: 0.69608, 0.69586, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69668, 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.6967 london high reopens the 0.6973 session high and the 0.7000 round number
Failure to hold the 0.6961 pullback low exposes the 61.8% fib at 0.6959
A break below the 0.6950 higher low ends the higher-lows sequence
Fed's Williams and Bowman on Tue, plus the direction of US yields, could materially shift this read
Higher lows since NY open; Asian and London highs broken, pullback holding above 0.6963.
London broke the Asian range high near 0.6958. NY extended from the 0.6950 ny low through the 0.6967 London high to a 0.6973 session high after the 14:00 UTC ISM services miss, with the soft-NFP dollar dip still behind the bounce. After London close, price is holding the 0.6963 swing low near the 38.2% fib, and RSI(14) has cooled to about 61.
Support: 0.6963, 0.6950, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6963 swing low and the rising line opens a retest of the 0.6950 ny low
Loss of 0.6950 breaks the NY higher-low chain and puts the 0.6932 asian low back in view
M15 close above the 0.6973 session high brings the 0.7000 psych level into play
No scheduled data in the next 8h; US yields and haven USD flows remain the main swing factor into the Asia session
16:32 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 56 · price 0.69637
HH/HL chain from the Asian low; shallow pullback after London close.
London broke the Asian range high and NY extended to a 0.6973 session high after the slightly soft ISM Services print lifted AUD off the 0.6950 NY low, extending the higher-low chain from the 0.6932 Asian low. After London close, price is easing back to the 38.2% level of the NY rally fib near 0.6964 and EMA20. The 0.6958 London low sits at the 61.8% fib below.
Support: 0.6958, 0.69495
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6958 London low (61.8% fib) breaks the pullback structure and exposes the 0.6950 NY low and the rising trendline from the Asian low
Acceptance above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.6975 range top, then 0.7000 psych
US yields and haven USD flows dominate into the Asia session; the AU calendar is thin until AiG on Tue 22:00 UTC
16:17 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 57 · price 0.69657
HH/HL chain since Asian low, Asian range broken higher.
London broke the Asian range high near 0.6958 and set the London high at 0.6967. NY dipped to a 0.6950 NY low, then the soft ISM Services print (54.9 vs 55) lifted price to a 0.6973 session high; late in NY it is easing back to retest the London high, RSI(14) cooling to 57.
Support: 0.6966, 0.6958, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6973, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Holding the 0.6958 london lows, the 38.2–61.8% zone of the NY rally fib, keeps the higher-low chain intact
A break below the 0.6950 NY low and the rising support from the Asian low would negate the uptrend read
An M15 close above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 round number
USD headlines on Middle East risk could shift this read during the thin post-NY hours; AiG index Tue 22:00 UTC
16:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since Asia · RSI 62 · price 0.6967
HH/HL chain; London high broken, now under retest.
The slightly soft ISM Services print (54.9 vs 55) lifted AUDUSD from the 0.6950 NY low to a 0.6973 session high, clearing the 0.6967 London high. Price is now retesting that level with RSI(14) near 62, and higher lows from the 0.6932 Asia low keep the rising trendline intact.
Support: 0.69668, 0.69495, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.6967 london high turns the breakout into a false break
A close above the 0.6973 session high opens the 0.7000 round number; rejection there leaves a flat top in place
A pullback holding the 50–61.8% ny leg fib (0.6959–0.6961) keeps the higher-low chain intact
Loss of the 0.6950 ny low breaks the rising trendline and the HL structure
Middle East headlines and UST yields remain the main USD swing factors into the late NY session
Higher lows off the 0.6932 Asian low; NY broke above the London range high.
After the in-line ISM Services print, NY bid the pair off a 0.6950 ny low and through the 0.6967 london high, tagging a 0.6973 session high. Price is now pausing just under that high with RSI(14) near 61. The rising lows from the 0.6932 asian low remain intact.
Support: 0.69668, 0.69495, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69733, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.6967 london high turns the breakout into a false break and brings the 0.6950 ny low back into play
A close above the 0.6973 session high clears the digest's 0.6975 spike high and puts the 0.7000 round number in view
A break of the rising lows line, now near 0.6955, exposes the 50% retrace of the ny leg fib around 0.6961 and the 0.6950 ny low
AU AiG Industry Index Tue 22:00 UTC and USD safe-haven flows on Middle East headlines could shift this read
Higher lows from Asia low; NY broke above London range high.
After the in-line ISM Services print, NY lifted off the 0.6950 ny low and cleared the London high at 0.6967, setting a 0.6970 session high. Price is mid London-NY overlap. Higher lows from the 0.6932 asia low remain intact, and RSI(14) near 65 is not stretched. The 0.6975 spike high and 0.7000 psych level sit overhead.
Support: 0.69668, 0.69495, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69704, 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6967 london high would turn the breakout into a false break
Pullbacks holding the 50% of the NY leg (~0.6960) keep the rising lows chain intact
A break below the 0.6950 ny low undercuts the rising lows from the 0.6932 asia low
0.6975 spike high and 0.7000 psych are the next resistance; Middle East headlines could revive safe-haven USD demand
15:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since Asia · RSI 63 · price 0.69682
HL chain 0.6932→0.6950, London high broken in NY.
The in-line 54.9 ISM Services print at 14:00 UTC sparked a 21-pip run off the 0.6950 NY low. That leg extends the higher-low chain from the 0.6932 Asia low and pushed through the 0.6967 London high to a 0.6970 session high. RSI(14) near 63 is not stretched, and price holds above the rising trendline and the 0.6958 Asia high.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6958, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6970, 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6967 London high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.6958 Asia high (61.8% fib of the NY leg) puts the 0.6950 NY low back in play
Break under the 0.6950 NY low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 0.6970 session high opens the 0.6975 spike high, then 0.7000 psych
Middle East headlines and yields remain the USD swing factor; Fed's Williams and Bowman speak Tue
Higher lows from 0.6932 Asia low, London high 0.6967 broken in NY.
London ranged 0.6958–0.6967 before a pre-ISM slide to the 0.6950 ny low, which sits at the 50% of the day rally fib. In-line ISM Services (54.9) brought a 17-pip NY push through the london high to 0.6969, extending the higher lows chain from the 0.6932 Asia low; RSI(14) at 64 is not stretched.
Support: 0.6967, 0.6958, 0.6950
Resistance: 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6967 london high turns the break into a false break and the 0.6958 range floor back into play
Failure to hold the 0.6950 ny low breaks the higher lows sequence
0.6975 spike high is the next test; a close above it opens the 0.7000 round number
ISM prices paid at 74 and Middle East headlines are the main USD swing factors into the NY afternoon
14:47 UTC
Intraday recovery off Asian low, capped below session high · RSI 52 · price 0.69613
0.6950–0.6967 range since London; higher low at the 50% retrace.
London lifted AUDUSD about 35 pips off the 0.6932 Asian low to a 0.6967 session high, where two pushes were rejected. The NY dip held 0.6950, the 50% retrace and now the NY low. The in-line ISM Services print with prices paid at 74 sparked a rebound to 0.6962, leaving price mid-range just above the range floor near 0.6958, with RSI(14) neutral.
Support: 0.6958, 0.69495, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69668, 0.69695
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6967 session high breaks the London range and brings the 0.6970 Friday high into play
Hold of the 0.6958 range floor keeps the post-ISM higher low intact
Close below the 0.6950 NY low and 50% retrace breaks rising support and reopens the 0.6932 Asian low
Fed's Williams and Bowman on Tue, then FOMC Minutes on Wed, are the next scheduled USD risks after ISM
14:32 UTC
Intraday recovery, now ranging below London high · RSI 50 · price 0.69589
0.6950–0.6967 range holding above the Asian range, weekend gap filled.
The weekend gap lower ran to an Asian low at 0.6932 before London reversed it, filling the gap and printing a rejection at the 0.6967 London high. Since then price has rotated in a 0.6950–0.6967 range. The 0.6950 swing low, the 50% retrace of the Asian-London leg, held into the 14:00 UTC ISM window, and the bounce is stalling at a 0.6963 lower high with RSI flat near 50.
Support: 0.69495, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.6963, 0.69668
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6950 swing low breaks the range and exposes the 0.6932 Asian low
Close above the 0.6967 London high invalidates the range read
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) reaction still developing. A sustained USD bid or a fade erases the post-release bounce off 0.6950
Middle East headlines driving safe-haven USD flows could override the range during NY hours
14:17 UTC
London rally stalled, lower highs since 11:30 UTC · RSI 47 · price 0.69578
Double top at 0.6967, pullback held 50% fib of Asia-London leg.
London lifted AUDUSD out of the 0.6932–0.6958 Asian range to a 0.6967 double top, then a lower-highs sequence pulled price back to the 50% fib of that leg at 0.6950. The ISM-hour bar bounced off 0.6950 in the first hour of NY and is now pressing the lower-highs trendline near 0.6958. RSI(14) is neutral at 47 and ATR is about 5 pips.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6964, 0.6967
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6964 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence and reopens the 0.6967 london high
Failure to hold the 50% fib at 0.6950 exposes the 0.6932 asian low
ISM Services components (prices paid, employment) are still being digested in NY hours and could extend or reverse the ISM-hour move
13:47 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since the session high · RSI 42 · price 0.69503
London range floor at 0.6958 broken, price in the 38.2–50% retrace of the Asia-London rally.
AUDUSD has rolled over from the 0.6967 session high and slipped below the 0.6958 range floor as haven USD demand persists. Lower highs have formed since late London, and price at 0.6950 is testing the 50% fib of the 0.6932–0.6967 Asia-London rally in the first hour of NY.
Support: 0.6949, 0.6945, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6958, 0.6967, 0.6975
What it said to watch
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55) could materially shift this read within the next bar
Failure to hold the 50% fib at 0.6949 exposes the 61.8% fib near 0.6945 and the asian low at 0.6932
An M15 close back above the range floor at 0.6958 and the lower-high trendline reopens the session high at 0.6967, with the friday high at 0.6975 above
London lifted AUDUSD from the 0.6932 asia low through the Asian high to a 0.6967 session high. That high was rejected twice into the London-NY transition, forming a double top. The 0.6958 range floor has now given way ahead of ISM, with safe-haven USD demand weighing. Price sits at the 38.2% retrace near 0.6953, just under EMA20 and on EMA50, with the 0.6950 psych level directly below.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69446, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69578, 0.69668, 0.69752
What it said to watch
US S&P Composite PMI 13:45 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC (f/c 55) could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.6950 psych exposes the 61.8% retrace near the 0.6945 friday low
Reclaim of the 0.6958 range floor negates the range break, reopening the 0.6967 session high
Break of the 0.6967 session high brings Friday's 0.6975 nfp high into view; failure below 0.6945 puts the 0.6932 asia low back in play
13:17 UTC
Intraday up from Asian low, stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.69571
0.6956–0.6967 range with lower highs since 11:30 UTC.
London lifted AUDUSD out of the Asian range (0.6932–0.6958) to a 0.6967 session high. Since 09:00 UTC price has held 0.6956–0.6967 with lower highs, and it is now pressing the range low just under EMA20 ahead of ISM Services, with haven USD demand in the background.
Support: 0.6956, 0.6953, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6967, 0.6975
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6956 range low exposes the 38.2% fib at 0.6953, then the 0.6932 asian low
Close above the 0.6967 session high breaks the lower highs line and reopens the 0.6975 friday high
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55) could materially shift this read
London lifted AUDUSD from the 0.6932 Asia low to 0.6967, where a double top capped price. Since then it has been boxed in an 11-pip range above the 0.6956 london low, holding the 23.6% retracement of the rally. RSI(14) is neutral near 52 and ATR is about 4 pips, with the USD haven bid keeping the range tight into US data.
Support: 0.69557, 0.69494
Resistance: 0.69668, 0.69752
What it said to watch
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55) could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.6956 london low breaks the range and exposes the 50% fib at 0.6949
Close above the 0.6967 double top opens the Friday high at 0.6975
12:47 UTC
Intraday up from Asian low, now stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.6958
London broke the Asian range high; 10-pip box 0.6957–0.6967 since 09:00 UTC.
After the Monday gap-down and a 0.6932 session low in Asia, London lifted price through the 0.6957 Asian high to a 0.6967 session high, extending the soft-NFP USD offer. Price has since compressed in a 0.6957–0.6967 box and is now retesting the Asian high, with RSI(14) back near 46 and the 0.6953 fib 38.2 just below.
Support: 0.6957, 0.6953, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6967, 0.6975
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6957 Asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and exposes the 0.6953 fib 38.2
Close above the 0.6967 session high opens Friday's high at 0.6975
Failure through 0.6950 would put the 0.6932 session low back in view
US S&P Global PMI 13:45 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC (f/c 55) during the NY open could materially shift this read
After the weekly-open gap lower and a 0.6932 asian low, London broke the Asian range high near 0.6958 and lifted to a 0.6967 session high. Since 08:00 UTC price has held a 0.6958–0.6967 range low-to-high band into the London-NY transition, with dips into the range low absorbed. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 and ATR is about 4 pips.
Support: 0.6958, 0.6945, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6967, 0.6975
What it said to watch
US ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.6967 session high exposes the 0.6975 friday high
M15 close below the 0.6958 range low reopens the 0.6945 london base and the 38.2% fib of the Asia-London rally near 0.6953
Loss of 0.6945 would bring the 0.6932 asian low back into view
12:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling under session high · RSI 60 · price 0.69609
London HH/HL leg off 0.6932, now compressing in a 0.6958–0.6967 band.
London broke above the Asian high at 0.6958 in a 35-pip rally off the 0.6932 Asian low, running against the haven-USD tone in the digest. Since 10:00 UTC price has compressed between 0.6958 and 0.6967. The session high was probed four times, and the 12:00 UTC bar closed back near 0.6959 after a rejection.
Support: 0.6958, 0.6950, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6967, 0.6975
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6967 session high opens the 0.6975 Friday high (NFP spike)
Close back below the 0.6958 Asian high puts the 0.6950 round number and 38.2% of the London rally (~0.6953) in play; losing that exposes the 0.6932 Asian low
US S&P Global Composite PMI 13:45 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC (f/c 55) during the London-NY transition could materially shift this read
11:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend from Asian low, stalling · RSI 51 · price 0.69584
Asian range broken higher; consolidating 0.6958–0.6967 below session high.
London cleared the Asian range high near 0.6958 and ran to a 0.6967 session high off the 0.6932 Asian low. The 11:30 UTC push to the session high was rejected, and price is back at the 0.6958 range low, which sits on the 23.6% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 heading into the NY open.
Support: 0.6958, 0.6953, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6967, 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6958 range low puts the 38.2% fib at 0.6953 and rising support near 0.6956 in play
A break of rising support reopens the path back toward the 0.6932 Asian low
Close above the 0.6967 session high exposes the 0.6975 Friday high, then the 0.7000 round number
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55, TD 54.0) could materially shift this read
Higher lows from the Asian low; tight 0.6958–0.6967 band in late London.
London broke the Asian range high near 0.6958 and lifted price back above the 0.6950 pivot to a 0.6967 session high. This holds despite haven-USD headlines. Since then price has compressed above the 0.6958 London low, with the rising support from the 0.6932 Asian low intact, RSI(14) near 61 and ATR(14) around 4 pips.
Support: 0.69576, 0.6950, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69668, 0.69752, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6958 London low breaks the higher-low chain and rising support
Loss of the 0.6950 pivot puts the 38.2% fib (~0.6953) and the 50% retracement (~0.6949) in play
Acceptance above the 0.6967 session high exposes the Friday high at 0.6975, then 0.7000 psych
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (NY session) could materially shift this read
A move back toward the 0.6932 Asian low would mark a full retrace of the London rally
London break above Asian range high, now a tight flag-like hold at 0.6958–0.6966.
The London leg lifted AUDUSD 34 pips off the 0.6932 Asian low and through the 0.6958 Asian high. It printed a 0.6966 session high and has since compressed in a 0.6958–0.6966 band, with the 09:45 UTC dip holding the broken Asian high. RSI(14) has cooled to ~63. Friday's post-NFP high at 0.6975 sits just above, and the price action runs counter to the digest's haven-USD tone.
Support: 0.69576, 0.69531, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69662, 0.69752, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6958 Asian high returns price to the Asian range and exposes the 0.6953 fib 38.2 of the London leg
Close above the 0.6966 session high opens Friday's 0.6975 NFP high, then 0.7000 psych
Loss of the 0.6932 Asian low would erase the London leg entirely
US S&P PMI 13:45 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London breakout above Asian high, retest held, tight 0.6958–0.6966 consolidation.
London reversed the Asia-session slide to the 0.6932 session low, cleared the asian high at 0.6958 and printed a session high at 0.6966. The pullback retested the asian high near the 23.6% fib of the session rally and held. Price is now compressing in 0.6958–0.6966 ahead of the NY open, despite the haven-USD backdrop flagged in the digest, with RSI(14) near 61 and ATR(14) around 4.3 pips.
Support: 0.69576, 0.69531, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69662, 0.69752, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the asian high at 0.6958 turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the 38.2% fib at 0.6953
A close above the 0.6966 session high opens the Friday high at 0.6975, with the 0.7000 round number beyond
Loss of 0.6953 puts the 0.6932 session low back in play
US S&P PMI at 13:45 UTC and ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (17:00 broker) could materially shift this read
London break above Asian range, higher low on retest of asian high.
After a dip to the 0.6932 asian low on safe-haven USD demand in Asia, London broke the 0.6958 asian high at 08:00 UTC and printed a session high at 0.6966. The pullback held a retest of the asian high, RSI(14) is near 62 and ATR(14) is about 4.4 pips. Price sits mid-London, still below the 0.6975 friday high from the NFP spike.
Support: 0.69576, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69662, 0.69752
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6958 asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
M15 close above 0.6966 session high opens the 0.6975 friday high
Loss of 0.6958 exposes the Asian range interior toward the 0.6932 asian low
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55) could materially shift this read
Asian range break higher, higher lows since the 0.6932 Asia low.
Monday's opening gap down was filled during London. Price broke the Asian high at 0.6958 off the 0.6932 Asian low and printed a 0.6966 session high. The 09:30 UTC pullback held the Asian high on a retest near the 23.6% retracement, while RSI(14) cooled to about 67 with Friday's NFP high at 0.6975 overhead. The bid runs against the digest's safe-haven USD tone.
Support: 0.69579, 0.69531, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69662, 0.69752, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6958 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range
Loss of the 38.2% fib at 0.6953 breaks the higher-low sequence; the asian low at 0.6932 is the next structural floor
A close above the 0.6966 session high exposes the 0.6975 friday high, with the 0.7000 psych level beyond
US S&P Composite PMI 13:45 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC (f/c 55) during NY hours could materially shift this read
10:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend since London open · RSI 63 · price 0.6960
Asian range break, higher lows, retest held.
London lifted AUDUSD out of the Asian range (0.6932–0.6958). The London leg ran to a 0.6966 session high before the 09:30 UTC pullback held the Asian high on a retest, with RSI(14) near 63. The move runs against the safe-haven USD tone in the digest, with Friday's soft NFP still the backdrop.
Support: 0.6958, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6966, 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (S&P Composite 13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
M15 close back below the asian high at 0.6958 turns the breakout into a false break and reopens the 0.6950 fib zone
Clearance of the 0.6966 session high brings the friday high at 0.6975, then the 0.7000 round number, into play
Asian low at 0.6932 is the floor of today's structure if the London leg fully unwinds
London breakout above Asian range, retest holding.
After a 12-pip weekend gap lower and a 0.6932 asian low, London broke the 0.6958 asian high and printed a 0.6966 session high. The pullback is holding a retest of the asian high near the 23.6% retracement, and RSI(14) has cooled to about 65. AUD has been a relative holdout against the broadly firm, haven-bid USD.
Support: 0.6958, 0.6953, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6966, 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6958 asian high returns price to the Asian range; the fib 38.2 at 0.6953 is next
Break of the 0.6966 session high exposes the 0.6975 friday high, then the 0.7000 round number
Loss of the 0.6932 asian low would fully unwind the London breakout
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) during NY hours could materially shift this read
09:48 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 65 · price 0.69577
HH/HL chain off session low; retesting broken Asian high.
London open broke the Asian high at 0.6958 and set a session high at 0.6966, extending the HH/HL chain off the 0.6932 session low. That low matches Friday's pre-NFP low, and the bounce follows the soft US payrolls and the Australian PMI beats. Price is now back at the Asian high with RSI(14) cooled to ~65, and the EMA20/38.2% retrace sits just below at 0.6953.
Support: 0.69576, 0.6953, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69662, 0.69752, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6958 asian high turns the London breakout into a false break and puts EMA20/38.2 at 0.6953 in focus
Loss of 0.6953 breaks the HL chain and leaves the 0.6932 session low as the next swing pivot
Close above the 0.6966 session high resumes the HH sequence toward the Friday high at 0.6975, with round number 0.7000 beyond
US ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
09:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extended after London breakout · RSI 73 · price 0.69628
Higher lows from the 0.6932 Asian low; London broke above the Asian high.
After a weekly gap lower and an Asian low at 0.6932, London cleared the Asian high at 0.6958 from the 07:30 UTC breakout bar and printed a session high at 0.6966, 34 pips off the low. RSI(14) is near 73, hot but normal for the move. Price is pausing just under the session high, still below Friday's NFP high at 0.6975 as the haven USD bid competes with soft-payrolls short-covering.
Support: 0.69576, 0.69532, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69662, 0.69752, 0.7000
What it said to watch
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Holding the asian high at 0.6958 on a retest keeps the London breakout intact; a slip under the breakout bar at 0.6953 points to a false break
M15 close above the 0.6966 session high opens the 0.6975 NFP high, then the 0.7000 round number
A break of the rising lows line returns focus to the 0.6932 asian low
London break above Asian range, higher highs since 0.6932 low.
Mid-London, AUDUSD cleared the 0.6958 Asian high after holding the 0.6932 Asian low. It extended to a 0.6966 session high on the back of Asia's PMI beats and the soft-NFP backdrop, with RSI(14) near 79. The first pullback held above the Asian high, and the fib 38.2 of the 0.6932–0.6966 leg sits just below at 0.6953.
Support: 0.6958, 0.6953, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69662, 0.69752, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6966 session high exposes the 0.6975 Friday high, with the 0.7000 round number above
An M15 close back below the 0.6958 Asian high, then the 0.6953 fib 38.2, would mark the breakout as a false break and put the 0.6932 Asian low back in play
RSI(14) pushing past 80 into resistance would leave the move stretched relative to its ~5-pip ATR
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (17:00 broker), with S&P PMI at 13:45 UTC, could materially shift this read
Asian range break higher, holding above Asian high.
After the Asian low at 0.6932, London broke the Asian high at 0.6958 and set a session high at 0.6963. Two dips since have held that Asian high, and RSI(14) is near 79. The digest points to AUD short-covering after Friday's soft US NFP, with Mideast haven USD demand the offset.
Support: 0.69576, 0.69441, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69634, 0.69752, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6958 asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
Clearance of the 0.6963 session high opens the 0.6975 friday high, then the 0.7000 round number
Loss of the 0.6944 breakout base and the asian low trendline would undo the London rally structure
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC, and any Mideast escalation headlines, could materially shift this read
08:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asia low, momentum cooling · RSI 68 · price 0.69594
London broke the Asian range high; higher-low chain intact, retesting the breakout.
Safe-haven USD demand dragged the pair to a 0.6932 asia low before a higher-low grind along the rising trendline. Mid-London, price broke the Asian high at 0.6958 and capped at a 0.6963 session high. It is now retesting the asian high with RSI(14) cooling from the upper 70s.
Support: 0.69576, 0.69441, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69634, 0.69752, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asian high at 0.6958 turns the breakout into a false break and exposes the 0.6948 50% fib and the 0.6944 london low
Close above the 0.6963 session high opens the friday high at 0.6975, then the 0.7000 round number
Loss of the rising trendline from the 0.6932 asia low breaks the higher-low chain
US ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC (S&P Composite 13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the Asian low; Asian range high broken at London open.
The London open lifted AUDUSD out of the 0.6932–0.6958 Asian range to a 0.6963 session high, despite the safe-haven USD bid flagged in the news digest. RSI(14) sits near 67, firm but not stretched. Price is holding just above the Asian high, with Friday's post-NFP fri high at 0.6975 the next cap overhead.
Support: 0.6957, 0.6945, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6963, 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.6957 asian high would turn the London breakout into a false break
Failure to hold 0.6945, the fri ny low near the 61.8% fib of the asian low to session high leg, reopens 0.6932
A close above the 0.6963 session high opens 0.6975 fri high, then the 0.7000 round number
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC and Middle East headlines could materially shift this read
London breakout above Asian range, recovering from Asia low.
Asia's safe-haven dip to the 0.6932 asia low has been fully reversed. The London open pushed price out of the 0.6945 london base and through the 0.6958 asia high, and the pair now sits above the 61.8% retrace of the Friday high-to-Asia low drop. RSI(14) near 82 is stretched, with the fib 78.6 at 0.6966 and the 0.6975 friday high (post-NFP peak) directly overhead.
Support: 0.6958, 0.6945, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6966, 0.6975, 0.7000
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.6958 asia high keeps the London breakout intact; slipping back inside the Asian range reads as a false break
Rejection at the 0.6966 fib 78.6 with RSI rolling over from 80+ would flag the move as exhausted
M15 close above the 0.6975 friday high opens the 0.7000 psych level
Loss of the 0.6945 london base puts the 0.6932 asia low back in focus
US S&P Global Composite PMI at 13:45 UTC and ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) in ~6h could materially shift this read
08:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asian low, RSI warm · RSI 68 · price 0.69541
Higher-low chain from 0.6932, testing the Asian range top.
The weekend gap lower on haven USD demand ran to an Asian low at 0.6932 by 03:00 UTC. A higher-low chain then closed the gap, and the London open pushed price through the 0.6950 psych to 0.6957, just under the 0.6958 asian high, with RSI(14) near 68.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69441, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69576, 0.69595, 0.69752
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.6958 asian high clears the 0.6960 fri pm high and opens the path to the 0.6975 nfp high.
Holding the 0.6950 psych on dips keeps the higher-low line intact.
A break below the 0.6944 london base (near the 50% fib of the Asia-London leg) breaks the higher-low line and puts the 0.6932 asian low back in play.
US S&P Composite PMI at 13:45 UTC and ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read.
07:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend off Asia low, momentum firm · RSI 65 · price 0.69543
Higher lows since 0.6932 Asia low; price pressing session high after weekend gap fill.
Sunday's gap down to 0.6942 is now filled. A 9-pip breakout bar in the first hour of London lifted price back to Friday's 0.6955 close, extending a higher-low chain off the 0.6932 Asia session low along rising support. Price now sits just under the 0.6957 session high, with AUD holding firm after Friday's soft US NFP.
Support: 0.6944, 0.6941, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6957, 0.6975
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6957 session high exposes the 0.6975 NFP high
Failure back below the 0.6944 breakout bar and rising support near 0.6941 turns the read back to range
Loss of the 0.6932 session low invalidates the higher-low chain
US S&P Global PMI 13:45 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:33 UTC
Short-term recovery, still inside Asian range · RSI 55 · price 0.69453
Higher-low chain off 0.6932 Asian low, pressing the 50–61.8% retrace of the Asia drop.
The Asia drop from the 0.6958 Asian high to the 0.6932 Asian low came as a haven USD bid returned and the soft TD-MI inflation print weighed on AUD. Price has since built higher lows along a rising tl, and the first London bars are retesting Friday's low at 0.6945 from below, just under the 61.8% fib at 0.6948 and flat against EMA50.
Support: 0.69446, 0.6941, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6948, 0.6958
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 61.8% fib at 0.6948 opens the path back to the 0.6958 Asian high
Rejection at the friday low followed by a close below the rising tl near 0.6941 exposes the 0.6932 Asian low again
US S&P Composite PMI at 13:45 UTC and ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
07:17 UTC
Recovery off asian low, higher lows · RSI 56 · price 0.69458
Rising lows inside 0.6932–0.6958 asian range.
Asia faded from the 0.6958 asian high to a 0.6932 asian low as the USD haven bid returned, giving back Friday's post-NFP gains. Since 03:00 UTC a rising-lows chain has carried price into early London, now pressing the 61.8% of the Asia drop fib and the 0.6947 london high, with RSI(14) mid-range and EMA50 flat near 0.6945.
Support: 0.69415, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69469, 0.6950, 0.69576
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6950 psych shelf opens the asian high at 0.6958
Break of the rising-lows line and the 0.6941 higher low returns focus to the 0.6932 asian low
US ISM Services PMI 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
07:05 UTC
Recovering from Asia sell-off, higher lows · RSI 58 · price 0.69436
Higher-low chain off 0.6932 double low, testing 50% retrace.
Asia faded from the 0.6958 Asian high to 0.6932 as the USD haven bid returned, matching Friday's low for a double low. Rising lows since then have lifted price into the 50% fib at 0.6945 into London open. Price is holding just above EMA20 but remains below EMA50.
Support: 0.6941, 0.6934, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6948, 0.6958
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6948 (61.8% fib) brings the 0.6958 Asian high back into view
Break of the rising lows near 0.6941 exposes the 0.6934 swing low
Close below the 0.6932 double low breaks the Friday/Monday floor
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Asia session opened on a ~12-pip weekend gap lower, filled it to the 0.6958 asia high, then slid to a 0.6932 session low as the USD safe-haven bid returned. Rising lows since have lifted price into 0.6945, the 50% fib of the Asia drop and the late-Asia high, heading into London open.
Support: 0.6940, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6958
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6945 (50% fib) opens a run back toward the 0.6958 asia high
Break of the rising lows line near 0.6940 stalls the recovery and puts the 0.6932 session low back in focus
Failure to hold the 0.6932 session low confirms a lower-low
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:32 UTC
Asia sell-off, intraday rebound in progress · RSI 57 · price 0.69415
Higher lows off the 0.6932 session low, testing 50% fib.
The week opened about 12 pips below the 0.6955 fri close. Asia then faded from the 0.6958 asian high to a 0.6932 session low as USD regained a safe-haven bid on French fiscal stress and Yemen headlines. A higher-low chain along the rebound trendline has lifted price to the 38.2% fib, with the 0.6945 bounce high (50% retrace, near Friday's post-NFP low) capping into London open.
Support: 0.69371, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.69447, 0.69548, 0.69576
What it said to watch
London open in ~30 min. M15 close above the 0.6945 bounce high reopens the fri close gap toward 0.6955.
Loss of the 0.6937 higher low breaks the rebound trendline and exposes the session low at 0.6932.
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7, TD 54.0) could materially shift this read.
06:17 UTC
Rebounding off Asia low, higher lows · RSI 61 · price 0.69427
Higher lows off 0.6932, pressing through 0.6940 prior cap.
Monday gapped down from Friday's 0.6955 close and briefly reached a 0.6958 Asia high before USD safe-haven demand drove a slide to a 0.6932 session low. Price has since printed a chain of higher lows along a rising trendline and is pushing through the 0.6940 prior cap late in the Asia session, near the 38–50% retrace of the Asia drop, with the 0.6950 range floor overhead.
Support: 0.6940, 0.69371, 0.69319
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.69576
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.6940 prior cap would mark the push as a false break
Break of the 0.6937 higher low and the rising trendline puts the 0.6932 session low back in play
Failure to hold the 0.6932 session low confirms a lower-low below Friday's 0.6931 trough
Acceptance above the 0.6950 range floor opens the 0.6958 Asia high and the Friday-close gap fill
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Asia sell-off from 0.6957, now a tight 0.6932–0.6941 range with a higher low at 0.6934.
Asia faded from the 0.6957 Asian high to a 0.6932 session low, matching Friday's pre-NFP trough. The drop erased the post-NFP gains as Yemen headlines revived a USD haven bid. Price has since printed a higher low at 0.6934 and is pressing the 0.6941 range top, where EMA20 and the fib 38.2% converge, about an hour before London open.
Support: 0.6934, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6941, 0.6950, 0.6957
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6941 range top confirms the double bottom and opens the 0.6950 asia floor that gave way at 01:45 UTC
Failure at 0.6941 followed by a break of the 0.6932 session low resumes the intraday downtrend
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7, TD 54.0) and Middle East headlines could materially shift this read
05:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, stalling in late Asia · RSI 41 · price 0.69387
Lower highs off the Sunday high into a 0.6934–0.6941 range above the Asia low.
AUD slipped from the 0.6950–0.6955 Asia shelf to a 0.6932 Asia low as a Middle East haven bid lifted USD. That low matches Friday's pre-NFP low near 0.6931. Late Asia is compressing in a tight 0.6934–0.6941 band under the range top, EMA20 and the 38.2% fib, with RSI(14) near 41 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 0.69319, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69406, 0.6950, 0.69576
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6941 range top and the 38.2% fib reopens the 0.6950 asia shelf; the 0.6958 sunday high caps above that
A break of the 0.6932 asia low (Friday low confluence) confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.6900 psych area
London open in about 75 minutes is the first test of the late-Asia range
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower; tight base between 0.6934 and 0.6940.
AUD/USD broke below the 0.6950–0.6958 Asian range around 01:45 UTC as USD drew a Yemen-driven safe-haven bid. The slide stopped at a 0.6932 swing low, matching Friday's pre-NFP low. Since then price has compressed between the 0.6934 range low and the 0.6940 range top, below the 38.2% retrace, with RSI(14) near 40 and ATR(14) about 4 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 0.6934, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69448, 0.69576
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6940 range top opens the fib 50% at 0.6945, also Friday's post-NFP low
Failure to hold the 0.6932 swing low confirms a lower-low below Friday's support
Reclaim of the 0.6958 asian high would negate the range-break read
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower, tight base 0.6934–0.6941.
The Asian range of 0.6950–0.6958 gave way around 02:45 UTC as USD caught a Yemen-driven safe-haven bid. The slide stalled at a 0.6932 session low, matching Friday's pre-NFP low. Price has since compressed below the 0.6941 bounce high, about two hours before London open, with RSI(14) near 41 and both EMAs overhead.
Support: 0.6932
Resistance: 0.6941, 0.6950, 0.6958
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.6932 session low breaks the double floor with Friday's low
Recovery above the 0.6941 bounce high exposes the 0.6945 50% fib of the Asian high-to-low drop
Reclaiming the 0.6950 pivot puts price back inside the Asian range toward the 0.6958 asian high
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.6958 Asian high; tight base 0.6934–0.6941 after drop.
Late Asia session. The early drift to the 0.6958 Asian high gave way as USD safe-haven demand firmed, breaking the 0.6950 pivot and tagging 0.6932, a third test of the Friday low zone. The bounce stalled at the 0.6941 bounce high, short of the 38.2% retracement of the Asia drop. Price is compressing above the 0.6934 range low into London with RSI(14) in the mid-30s.
Support: 0.69345, 0.6932
Resistance: 0.69406, 0.6950, 0.69576
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6932 friday low confirms a lower-low below the post-NFP range
Close above the 0.6941 bounce high and the lower highs line opens a retracement toward the 0.6950 pivot
Reclaim of the 0.6958 asian high would negate the Monday drop
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read during NY hours
Lower highs from 0.6956 Asia high; base forming at 0.6932.
Late in the Asia session AUD/USD slid from 0.6956 to 0.6932 as the USD drew safe-haven demand. The move erased the weekend gap fill and tested Friday's pre-NFP low. The bounce stalled at the 0.6941 bounce high, right at the 38.2% retrace, and price is holding below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 32.
Support: 0.69319, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69406, 0.6950, 0.69576
What it said to watch
Break of the Friday low at 0.6932 exposes the 0.6905-0.6900 psych zone flagged in the macro read
M15 close back above the 0.6941 bounce high and the 0.6950 pivot would neutralise the Asia leg
Asia high at 0.6958 marks the top of the session range into London open
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from the 0.6958 Asian high; holding the Friday swing low at 0.6932.
Mid-Asia session: after a weekend gap lower and a 0.6958 Asian high, AUDUSD printed lower highs and slid about 26 pips into the 0.6932 Friday swing low as USD firmed on safe-haven demand. The bounce has capped at the 0.6941 bounce high, just under the 38.2% fib, with RSI(14) near 34 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.6932, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6941, 0.6950, 0.6958
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6932 swing low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6900 round number
Reclaim of the 0.6950 pivot breaks the lower highs trendline and invalidates the downtrend read
London open (07:00 UTC) is the first test of the 0.6941 bounce high and 38.2% fib
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows after a break below the Asian range.
From 02:00 UTC the Asia session broke lower out of the 0.6950–0.6958 range, retracing most of Friday's post-NFP gains as USD firmed on safe-haven flows. The 0.6932 session low held, matching Friday's pre-NFP low, and the bounce stalled at the 0.6941 lower high, just under the 38.2% fib and the 0.6942 weekly open. RSI(14) is near 31, with price below both EMAs and the downtrend line intact.
Support: 0.69319, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.69406, 0.69424, 0.69576
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6932 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.6930 round number
Close above the 0.6941 lower high and the 0.6942 weekly open breaks the downtrend line
Recovery above the 0.6958 asia high would negate the range break
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower, lower high forming under 0.6941.
Monday opened with a gap below Friday's close. Price filled it, then the Asia session dropped out of its range below the 0.6950 pivot from 01:45 UTC as safe-haven demand lifted USD. The slide reached a 0.6932 session low, matching Friday's pre-NFP low, and the bounce stalled at the 0.6941 bounce high near the 38.2% retrace. Price is below both EMAs, with RSI(14) at about 34 and ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 0.6932, 0.6910
Resistance: 0.6941, 0.6950, 0.6958
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6950 pivot puts price back inside the Asian range up to the 0.6958 session high and negates the break
Failure to hold the 0.6932 session low opens the 0.6910 prior low cited in the news
London open in about 3h is the first test of the 0.6941 bounce high at the 38.2% retrace
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower, lower highs into Friday low.
Asia session broke the 0.6949–0.6958 range lower after a weekend gap down. The slide ran to 0.6932 at 02:45 UTC, matching Friday's pre-NFP low, as revived haven USD demand erased the post-payrolls spike. The bounce is stalling below the 0.6942 breakdown area, which lines up with the 38.2% fib of the Asian high-to-low leg.
Support: 0.6932, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6942, 0.6950, 0.6958
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.6942 breakdown level (38.2% fib) breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.6932 Friday low exposes the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim of the 0.6950 round number and the 0.6958 Asian high would restore the prior range
US ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia range break lower; lower highs through the session, below the friday low.
Monday's gap-down open recovered to a 0.6958 session high, then Asia broke the 0.6950 range floor and Friday's post-NFP low at 0.6945. The slide erased the NFP spike back to a 0.6932 session low at the pre-NFP base as haven USD demand returned. RSI(14) is near 28 with price below both EMAs, and 0.6945, near the fib 50% of the session drop, is the first overhead test.
Support: 0.69319, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.69446, 0.6950, 0.69576
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6945 (friday low, fib 50%) negates the range break read
Failure to hold the 0.6932 session low exposes the 0.6930 round number and confirms another lower-low
Reclaim of the 0.6950 range floor puts the 0.6958 session high back in focus
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower, lower highs since 0.6956.
The post-NFP lift has unwound. Mid-Asia, price broke under the 0.6950 Asian range floor, the gap open at 0.6942 and Friday's post-NFP low at 0.6945, printing a session low at 0.6932 as haven USD demand returns. RSI(14) is near 23 and stretched, and price now sits back at Friday's pre-NFP levels, just above the 0.6930 round number and the 0.6928 Friday low.
Support: 0.69323, 0.6930, 0.69281
Resistance: 0.6942, 0.69446, 0.69563
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6932 session low exposes the 0.6930 round number and the 0.6928 Friday low
Recovery above the 0.6942 gap open, near the fib 38.2%, would mark a deeper retracement of the Asia sell-off
Reclaiming the 0.6945 post-NFP low and the 0.6956 Asian high invalidates the range-break read
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Asian range 0.6950–0.6958 broken lower; price below Friday's post-NFP low.
AUDUSD gapped lower at the weekly open and held a 0.6950–0.6958 Asian range before breaking its range floor around 01:00 UTC. Price is now below Friday's nfp low at 0.6945 and printed an asia low at 0.6940, as the USD digest points to haven dip-buying in Asia unwinding part of the post-NFP slide. RSI(14) near 27 shows the drop is stretched but not extreme.
Support: 0.6940, 0.6931
Resistance: 0.69446, 0.6950, 0.69576
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the nfp low at 0.6945 would mark the break below it as a false break
A return through the range floor at 0.6950, near the 61.8% of the asian drop, would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold the 0.6940 asia low exposes the Friday swing near 0.6931
Supply capped price below the 0.6958 asian high; a reclaim there would invalidate the lower-high read
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 31 · price 0.6944
Monday's gap down from Friday's 0.6955 close filled within the first hour. Asia then built lower highs below the 0.6958 session high and broke Friday's post-NFP low at 0.6945, printing a 0.6940 session low as USD haven bids lean against the soft-NFP bounce. RSI(14) near 31 is heavy but not stretched, and ATR(14) is about 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.6940, 0.6931
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6958, 0.6975
What it said to watch
M15 closes back above the 0.6945 nfp low, then the 0.6951 61.8% of the Asia drop fib, would neutralise the breakdown
A break and hold above the falling trendline and 0.6958 session high reopens the 0.6975 nfp high
Failure to hold the 0.6940 session low exposes the 0.6931 pre-nfp low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
02:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs through Asia · RSI 31 · price 0.69449
Weekend gap down, Asian bounce faded, retesting range base.
Monday opened about 12 pips below the 0.6955 Friday close. The early Asia bounce was rejected at the 0.6958 session high, a lower high followed at 0.6956, and price has since slid to a fresh 0.6944 session low, just above the 0.6942 weekly open. Haven USD demand is unwinding part of the soft-NFP lift; RSI(14) near 31 with ATR around 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.6944, 0.6942, 0.6931
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6955, 0.6958
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6942 weekly open breaks the Asian range base and exposes the 0.6931 pre-NFP low
Reclaim of the 0.6950 psych level and the 0.6955 Friday close (gap fill) would break the lower-high sequence, with the 0.6958 session high next
London open around 07:00 UTC often resets the Asian range
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
02:04 UTC
Flat to soft, lower highs since Asia open · RSI 39 · price 0.69493
Compression: lower highs vs flat 0.6949 asia shelf.
Monday opened on a weekend gap down to the 0.6942 gap low, which filled to a 0.6958 session high in the first hour. Since then the Asia session has printed a lower high at 0.6956 while holding a flat asia shelf at 0.6949–0.6950, now under test at the 50% of the gap-fill leg. RSI(14) is near 39 and both EMAs sit above price, with Friday's post-NFP spike to 0.6975 already fully faded.
Support: 0.6949, 0.69446, 0.69418
Resistance: 0.69563, 0.69576, 0.69595
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6949 asia shelf opens the 0.6945 swing low and the 0.6942 gap low
A close above the 0.6956 lower high and the 0.6958 session high breaks the lower-highs trendline and the compression; the late-Friday prior high at 0.6960 sits just above
Hold of the 61.8% of the gap-fill leg near 0.6948 keeps the shelf intact
US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC, f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Tight Asian range 0.6949–0.6958 inside Friday's post-NFP range.
Monday opened with a gap down to the 0.6942 gap low that filled within the first hour as the dollar stayed soft after the 29K NFP miss. Since then the Asia session has compressed between the 0.6949 asian low and the 0.6958 asian high. That range sits on the 50% level of the NFP rally fib, with RSI(14) near 46 and price pinned around EMA20/EMA50; no momentum in play.
Support: 0.69494, 0.69446, 0.69418
Resistance: 0.69576, 0.69595, 0.69752
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6949 asian low reopens the 0.6945 friday low and the 0.6942 gap low
M15 close above the 0.6958 asian high exposes the 0.6960 fri late hi, then the 0.6975 nfp high
Loss of the 61.8% NFP rally fib near 0.6948 would undercut the post-NFP bounce
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC, f/c 55.7) and its Prices Paid component could materially shift this read
ATR(14) ~3.4 pips reflects thin Asian conditions; expect expansion into London open
Tight Asia range 0.6949–0.6958 after weekend gap fill.
Monday's Asia session gapped about 12 pips lower to the 0.6942 gap low, then filled the gap within the first hour as the soft-USD tone after Friday's 29K NFP miss carried over. Since then price has held a 0.6949–0.6958 range, with the range floor sitting on the 50% retrace of the opening leg; RSI(14) near 49 and ATR around 3 pips point to a compressed session range.
Support: 0.69494, 0.69418
Resistance: 0.69576, 0.69752
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6958 session high breaks the Asian range and opens the 0.6975 nfp high
Failure to hold the 0.6950 range floor exposes the 0.6942 gap low
US ISM Services PMI later Monday (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
Friday's soft NFP drove a spike to the 0.6975 nfp high, then the move faded to the 0.6945 friday low. Monday opened with a gap down to the 0.6942 gap low, which was filled within the hour. Early Asia session is now coiling in a 0.6949–0.6958 range, between the asian low and asian high, near the 50% retrace of the NFP leg, with RSI(14) flat near 49 and price pinned between EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.69494, 0.69446, 0.69418
Resistance: 0.69576, 0.69752
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6958 asian high opens the path back toward the 0.6975 nfp high
Failure to hold the 0.6949 asian low exposes the 0.6945 friday low and 0.6942 gap low
US ISM Services PMI (14:00 UTC, f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
01:05 UTC
Sideways, post-NFP range holding · RSI 54 · price 0.6953
Early Asia range 0.6949–0.6958 after Sunday gap fill.
Sunday's open gapped about 12 pips below Friday's 0.6955 close to a 0.6942 gap low. The gap filled inside the first hour as the dollar stayed soft after the 29K NFP miss. Early Asia is now a tight range between the 0.6949 session low and the 0.6958 asian high, with price sitting near the 50% of the NFP leg fib and flat on EMA20.
Support: 0.6949, 0.6942
Resistance: 0.6958, 0.6975
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.6958 asian high opens a retest of the 0.6975 nfp high
Failure to hold the 0.6949 session low exposes the 0.6942 gap low
US ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC, f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read
00:47 UTC
Flat, drifting off Asia session high · RSI 52 · price 0.69521
Lower highs pressing a flat range base after gap fill.
Asia session opened with a gap below Friday's 0.6955 close to the 0.6942 gap low, filled it and stalled at the 0.6958 session high. Since then lower highs have been pressing a flat range base at 0.6949, near the 61.8% retrace of Friday's NFP leg. RSI(14) is flat near 52 and ATR is about 3 pips, so the pair is compressed ahead of US ISM Services.
Support: 0.6949, 0.69446, 0.69418
Resistance: 0.69576, 0.69752
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6949 range base exposes the 0.6945 post-nfp low and the 0.6942 gap low
Close above the 0.6958 session high breaks the lower-highs trendline and opens the 0.6975 nfp high
London open could expand range from the current ~3-pip ATR
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:32 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat after gap fill · RSI 48 · price 0.6951
Tight Asia session range 0.6949–0.6958, mild lower highs.
The Asia session opened with a 12-pip weekend gap down to the 0.6942 gap low. With USD still soft after Friday's NFP miss, the gap filled within the first hour. Price has since compressed between the 0.6949 session low and the 0.6958 session high, near the 61.8% level of the NFP leg fib, with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR(14) about 3.6 pips.
Support: 0.6949, 0.6945, 0.6942
Resistance: 0.6958, 0.6960, 0.6975
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6949 session low exposes the 0.6945 post-NFP low (78.6% of the NFP leg fib) and the 0.6942 gap low
Break above the 0.6958 session high and the 0.6960 swing high reopens the 0.6975 NFP high
US ISM Services PMI (f/c 55.7) at 14:00 UTC today could materially shift this read
Gap filled at Asia open, lower highs pressing 0.6950 pivot.
Early Asia session opened with a 12-pip gap down to the 0.6942 gap low and filled it within the hour to a 0.6958 asian high. Lower highs since have pressed price back onto the 0.6950 asia pivot. That keeps it mid-range in Friday's soft-NFP spike to the 0.6975 nfp high and the fade to the 0.6945 ny low, near the 38.2% of that post-NFP fade.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69446, 0.69418
Resistance: 0.69576, 0.69595, 0.69752
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6950 asia pivot exposes the 0.6945 ny low and 0.6942 gap low
Close above the 0.6958 asian high breaks the lower-high trendline and brings the 0.6960 fri ny high into play, then the 0.6975 nfp high
US ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC (f/c 55.7) could materially shift this read during NY hours
00:04 UTC
Post-NFP pullback, flat in early Asia · RSI 44 · price 0.69516
Tight range 0.6950–0.6958 after Monday gap fill.
Friday's US payrolls miss (29K vs 90K) lifted AUDUSD from 0.6938 to the 0.6975 nfp high. It then faded to the 0.6945 friday low, near the 78.6% of that leg. The Monday open gapped down to the 0.6942 gap low, and the gap filled within the first hour. Since then, price has held a narrow early-Asia range between the 0.6950 session low and the 0.6958 session high. That range is sitting on the 61.8% of the NFP leg, with ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 0.69495, 0.69446, 0.69418
Resistance: 0.69576, 0.69595, 0.69752
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.6950 session low exposes the 0.6945 friday low and 61.8% fib loss
Break above the 0.6958 session high and the 0.6960 friday high reopens the 0.6975 nfp high
Failure to hold the 0.6942 gap low would erase the Monday gap fill
TD-MI inflation gauge (00:00 UTC) and AU Services PMI digestion could break the Asian range
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC is the next event that could materially shift this read