AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 6 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 63 · price 0.6959
Grinding to fresh session highs on thin Asia volume.
AUDUSD ground higher through the Asia session to a fresh session high at 0.6959 on very thin volume, holding above EMA20/50. RSI(14) mid-60s and momentum is flattening as price stalls at the highs after a slow rising sequence off 0.6921.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6935, 0.6921
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6980 opens the path toward the range cap noted in context
Loss of the 0.6950 consol base negates the grind higher and reopens 0.6935
23:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 0.6959
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
AUDUSD ground higher through London-NY into a slow Asia-session drift, tagging 0.6959 after basing at 0.6921. The grind up carries the AUD proxy but stalls just under the 0.6980 interim cap flagged in the broader range; momentum is thinning on low Asian volume.
Support: 0.6952, 0.6935, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6960, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Sustained push through 0.6960 opens the 0.6980 interim cap
AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session off the 0.69245 low, tagging a session high at 0.69594 before stalling. Price is now drifting sideways just under that high in thin post-NY-close liquidity, holding above the ascending 0.69527 low; broader tone stays capped into the 0.6980 area per the softer-AU-inflation backdrop.
Support: 0.69527, 0.69344, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69594, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69594 opens the path toward the 0.6980 cap
Loss of 0.69527 breaks the ascending higher-low structure
FOMC minutes later this week could reset the USD leg
Steady grind higher through the London-NY leg lifted AUDUSD off 0.6923 to a session high at 0.69594, and price is now drifting sideways just below it on thin Asia-session volume. RSI(14) around 61 with no extreme; the 0.6952 area has held on the pullbacks.
Support: 0.69523, 0.69435, 0.69234
Resistance: 0.69594, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69594 opens room toward the 0.6980 cap
Loss of 0.69523 breaks the rising support and the intraday HL chain
AUDUSD ground higher through the window off the 0.6924 base to a session high at 0.69594, clawing back from softer AU inflation, now stalling in a thin Asia-session drift around 0.6958. RSI(14) mid-60s and flat — momentum cooling as price coils just under the high.
Support: 0.69505, 0.69435, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69594
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69594 extends the up-move toward 0.6980
Failure to hold 0.69505 opens a pullback to the 0.6944 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed could reset the USD leg and this read
Recovery off intraday lows, consolidating below session high.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.6921 London low to tag 0.69594 and is now consolidating 0.6950–0.6959 in thin Asia hours. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 60 cooling from the push; digest flags AUD fading from the 0.6950 area on softer inflation, but M15 structure remains higher-low.
Support: 0.69505, 0.6934, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69594, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69505 breaks the rising structure and exposes 0.6934
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
NY session drove AUDUSD up from the 0.69214 low to a session high at 0.69586; Asia hours have gone quiet with price pinned in a tight 0.69505-0.69586 range on thin volume. RSI(14) around 57 and ATR compressed to ~2.5 pips reflect the low-liquidity drift into the highs.
Support: 0.69505, 0.69433, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6960
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens a push toward the 0.6960 psych level
Loss of 0.69505 range low confirms a fade back toward 0.69433
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
HH/HL chain, now consolidating below session high.
NY session drove AUDUSD off 0.69245 up to a session high at 0.69586, then price stalled and coiled in a tight 0.6954-0.6957 band through the low-volume Asia hours. Holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 57 — no fresh momentum, just consolidation under the high.
Support: 0.6954, 0.6950, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6960
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens the 0.69600 psych level
Loss of 0.69540 session low breaks the rising support
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
HH/HL chain into consolidation below session high.
AUDUSD ground higher through the session from 0.69214 to a session high 0.69586, then stalled into a tight 0.6952-0.6958 consolidation on thinning late-session volume. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs and price is holding above EMA20/50; the session high is the immediate ceiling.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6935, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6959, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6959 opens the path toward the 0.6980 cap
Loss of the 0.6950 round number would break the intraday HL chain
US FOMC minutes later this week could reset the USD leg
London-NY hours rallied AUDUSD from the 0.69245 session low to a 0.69586 high, and price has since stalled in a tight 0.6952-0.6958 band through thin late-session trade. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the advance flattened just under the session high.
Support: 0.6952, 0.69361, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 extends the intraday high; rejection there keeps the consolidation intact
Loss of 0.6952 range floor exposes 0.69361 swing low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key USD-side catalyst
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
NY session drove a clean climb from 0.6925 to the 0.69586 session high, and price is now consolidating tightly around 0.6955 into thin late hours. RSI is cooling from its highs while the rising structure holds above the 0.6950 round number.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69433
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 session high opens the 0.6980 cap
Loss of 0.6950 round number breaks the micro higher-low sequence
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD leg of this read
AUDUSD ground up through the NY session from the 0.6921 low to a 0.69586 high, tracking a firmer USD on Hormuz-driven safe-haven flows offset by risk-relief in AUD. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6950–0.69586 band in early Asia hours on thin volume, RSI cooling from the push but holding above midline.
Support: 0.69505, 0.6950, 0.69433
Resistance: 0.69586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 extends the intraday higher-high sequence
Loss of 0.69505 opens a retest of the 0.69433 swing
Thin Asia-hour liquidity can exaggerate moves out of the 0.6950–0.69586 range
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69214 low to a session high at 0.69586, and price is now consolidating in thin early-Asia liquidity around 0.6956 with RSI cooling from the rally. The digest flags AUD fading toward 0.6920, but intraday the move higher is holding its gains just under the session top.
Support: 0.69505, 0.69433, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens the path to the 0.6980 cap
Loss of 0.69505 breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
Thin Asia liquidity may exaggerate any move ahead of London
Higher highs into session top, now consolidating near highs.
AUDUSD rallied from the 0.69214 range low to a session high of 0.69586 through NY hours, part of the recovery toward the 0.6980 cap flagged after softer US data. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.69505–0.69586 band in thin early-Asia trade, RSI cooling from the push higher.
Support: 0.69505, 0.6944, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.69586 extends the uptrend toward 0.6980
Loss of 0.69505 breaks the consolidation and exposes 0.6944
FOMC minutes later this week could reset the USD leg
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
AUDUSD climbed steadily through the NY session from the 0.6921 low to a session high at 0.69586, then stalled into thin early-Asia flow, consolidating 0.6950-0.6958. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-50s as the advance flattened; price still holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.69505, 0.69433, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6970
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 0.69586 session high extends the uptrend toward 0.6970
Loss of 0.69505 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC minutes later this week could shift the USD leg materially
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
AUDUSD climbed through the London-NY hours from 0.6921 to a session high at 0.69586, then stalled into thin late-NY/Asia trade holding 0.6954-0.6957. Move fits the risk-on rebound noted in the context, but AUD is fading from broader 0.6950 supply; RSI(14) has cooled toward mid-range as price flattens.
Support: 0.69505, 0.6944, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 extends the session high
Loss of 0.69505 breaks the recent higher-low chain
Consolidating just below session high after NY rally.
NY session drove a clean run from 0.6925 to a session high at 0.69586, clearing the 0.69440 breakout shelf before stalling. Price is now consolidating in the 0.6950s on thin late-session volume with RSI(14) cooling back toward the mid-50s; USD firmed into the move on renewed safe-haven demand.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6944, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens the path toward the 0.6980 cap
Loss of 0.69500 round level exposes the 0.69440 breakout shelf
Volume is thin into late session — moves may lack follow-through
AUD rallied through the London-NY session off 0.69245 to a session high of 0.69586, a bounce against the broader AUD fade story. Price is now consolidating 0.6952-0.6956 into the Asian open on thin volume, RSI cooling from the highs.
Support: 0.69505, 0.6944
Resistance: 0.69586
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69586 session high would resume the intraday advance
Loss of 0.69505 swing low exposes the 0.6944 prior swing
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD leg
NY session drove AUDUSD up from the 0.69245 swing low to a 0.69586 session high, then stalled and coiled into 0.6950–0.6956 through thin late/Asia hours. Momentum has flattened with price sitting on its EMA20; the session-high rejection at 0.69586 remains the pivot.
Support: 0.69505, 0.69434, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 resumes the intraday upleg toward the 0.6980 cap
Failure to hold 0.69505 opens 0.69434
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD leg
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating below 0.6959.
AUDUSD ground higher through London-NY, printing a chain of higher lows from 0.69245 to a session high at 0.69586. Price is now consolidating around 0.6954 on thin late-session volume, holding above the rising sequence; the 0.69505 swing low is the near-term pivot.
Support: 0.69505, 0.69433, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6960
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69505 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
Break above 0.69586 reopens the 0.696 psych level
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves into Asia open
Consolidating just under session high after NY rally.
NY session lifted AUDUSD off the 0.69245 swing low to a 0.69586 session high, and price is now consolidating tightly near 0.6955 as momentum cools into the Asia transition. Volatility has collapsed (ATR ~3 pips) with price holding above the 0.6950 psych level and above both EMAs.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6934, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6950 psych opens the prior range toward 0.69340
Break and hold above the 0.69586 session high extends the breakout
FOMC minutes Wed could materially shift the USD leg
21:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into session end · RSI 58 · price 0.69545
Higher highs / higher lows, consolidating near session high.
AUDUSD climbed steadily through NY hours from 0.6924 to a 0.69586 session high, holding above EMA20/50. Late-session volume has thinned and price is consolidating in a tight 0.6951–0.6958 band, RSI easing back toward the mid-50s after the leg up.
Support: 0.69505, 0.6943, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69586 opens the path toward the 0.6980 cap
Loss of 0.69505 breaks the rising intraday structure
FOMC minutes Wed could shift the USD leg and this read
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.6921 low up through the 0.6950 psych level to a session high of 0.69586, aided by lingering post-NFP USD softness. Price is now consolidating just below that high around 0.6954, RSI cooling from the push.
Support: 0.6954, 0.6950, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.6950 signals the intraday leg is unwinding toward 0.6935
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape this read
HH/HL chain into 0.6958, stalling below 0.6950 rejection zone.
AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, printing a HH/HL chain from 0.6924 to a 0.6958 session high before flattening into the close. RSI(14) has cooled to ~58 as the advance stalls just under the 0.6950 rejection zone flagged for the pair; price now coiling in a tight 0.6952–0.6958 band.
Support: 0.6952, 0.69435, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.6958, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6952 breaks the session-low support and threatens the HL chain
Sustained push through 0.6958 opens the 0.6980 range top
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this intraday read
Higher highs into NY, now consolidating below session high.
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69245 low to a 0.69586 session high before stalling; the corrective bounce echoes the USD's post-NFP softness. Price now consolidates around 0.6954 just under the high with RSI cooling from the push, holding above both EMAs.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6934, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 extends the session high toward the 0.6980 area
Loss of 0.69500 psych level opens a retrace toward the 0.69340 swing
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this intraday read
AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session from 0.6924 to a session high of 0.69586, aided by lingering post-NFP USD softness. Price is now consolidating around 0.6954 into late NY, RSI cooling from the push, with the round 0.6950 level holding as near support.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6943, 0.6934
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.69500 round number would break the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could reset the USD read
Higher highs into NY, now consolidating near session high.
NY session drove AUDUSD from 0.6934 up through the 0.6950 hurdle to a session high at 0.69586, aided by post-NFP USD softness. Price now consolidating tight around 0.6955 just under that high, RSI cooling from the push.
Support: 0.69505, 0.69435, 0.6934
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens a path toward the 0.6980 band cap
Loss of 0.69505 back below the prior cap reverts to range trade
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next USD-side catalyst for this pair
Higher highs into 0.6958, consolidating just below.
Steady grind through the NY session lifted price off the 0.69214 low to 0.69586, but the advance has stalled around 0.6955 — the 200-DMA / 0.6950 hurdle flagged in the macro read. RSI cooling from the up-leg as the last few bars flatten just under the session high.
Support: 0.69505, 0.69433, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens a retest of the 0.6980 band cap
Loss of 0.69505 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this USD-driven read
NY session drove AUDUSD from the 0.6925 low up to a 0.69586 session high on the post-NFP USD softness, and price is now flat-lining near 0.6955 with RSI cooling off from the push. The move has stalled just under the session high, holding above the 0.6950 psych level.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69436, 0.6935
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens the path to the 0.6980 band cap
Failure to hold 0.6950 signals a pullback toward 0.69436
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read via the USD
NY session extended the recovery off the 0.69214 low, tagging a session high at 0.69586 before flattening around 0.6955. RSI(14) cooling from mid-60s as price consolidates just under the 0.6950-area pivot flagged near the 200-DMA/38.2% hurdle.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69433, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens a retest of the 0.6980 range cap
Loss of 0.6950 psych would negate the recovery and expose 0.69433
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.6925 low to a 0.69586 two-week area high, aided by a soft-but-not-collapsing US session tone. Price has since stalled in a tight 0.6955-0.6957 band, RSI cooling from its highs as the advance flattens near the top.
Support: 0.69505, 0.69433, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens the path to the 0.6980 band cap
Failure to hold 0.69505 swing low signals a deeper pullback
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
NY session drove a clean rally off the 0.69245 session low to a 0.69586 high, and price is now consolidating just below it near 0.6956 as RSI(14) cools from the low-70s. Aussie tone stays two-way but this leg tracked broad USD softness; structure remains a chain of higher lows.
Support: 0.69505, 0.69435, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens the path toward the 0.6980 band cap
Loss of the 0.69505 pullback low breaks the rising structure
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-driven read
NY session ground higher off the 0.69245 London low to a session high at 0.69586, RSI(14) cooling near 62 as the last few bars stall. Move reads as a corrective rebound with USD firm on Hormuz risk-off; buyers held the 0.69505 shelf on the pullback.
Support: 0.69505, 0.6935, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69586 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Steady NY-session grind higher from the 0.69245 low to a 0.69586 session high, price holding above EMA20/50. Last few bars flattened just under the high with RSI(14) cooling from the low-70s, momentum easing into the round 0.69600.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6943, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6960
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69500 breaks the rising structure
Sustained push through 0.69586 opens 0.69600 then range top near 0.6980
FOMC minutes Wed is the swing risk for USD-side direction
NY session ground steadily higher off the 0.6924 low, clearing the 0.6950 pivot flagged in the range as USD gave back some ground. Price is stalling just under the session high at 0.69586 with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69435, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6950 pivot negates the intraday uptrend and reopens 0.6935
Break above 0.69586 puts the 0.6980 range top in play
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD-side risk
AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 0.6950 two-week pivot to a session high at 0.69586 as the USD eased intraday. Momentum is cooling into that high — the last few bars are flat around 0.69555 with RSI(14) rolling off from the mid-60s.
Support: 0.69505, 0.69433, 0.6934
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69586 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.69505 exposes the 0.69433 swing
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the main catalyst that could reshape this read
Higher highs and higher lows, extended into session high.
AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 0.6950 pivot and printing a session high at 0.69586 as the USD softened intraday. RSI(14) near 68 with the last four bars stalling below 0.6958 — momentum flattening at the highs.
Support: 0.69505, 0.69325, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.69505 breaks the rising-low chain
Acceptance above 0.69586 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the main USD-side risk
NY session pushed AUDUSD off the 0.6921 low to a session high at 0.69586, a corrective rebound with USD softening after last week's weak NFP. RSI(14) near 72 shows momentum extended but the HH/HL chain remains intact above the 0.69505 swing low.
Support: 0.69505, 0.6943, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69586, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69505 breaks the higher-low chain and puts 0.69430 in play
Acceptance above 0.69586 session high opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended into session high · RSI 72 · price 0.69564
Higher highs / higher lows, broke above 0.6950.
NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.6950 two-week high, extending a steady climb off the 0.69234 low to a session high at 0.69586 with RSI(14) hot near 72. The corrective bid pushed above prior resistance; 0.6950 now the level to watch as flipped support.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69361, 0.69234
Resistance: 0.69586
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6950 reasserts the prior range read
Failure to clear 0.69586 caps the session and risks a lower high
FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the key USD catalyst that could shift this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 71 · price 0.69564
Higher highs and higher lows off session low.
NY session grinding higher from the 0.6923 low, printing a clean chain of higher highs into 0.6959 and reclaiming the 0.6950 pivot. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the trend; the 0.6950 level flipped from resistance to intraday support.
Support: 0.69505, 0.6950, 0.69234
Resistance: 0.69586
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6950 would negate the reclaim
0.69586 session high — area to watch for rejection or continuation
FOMC minutes tomorrow (18:00 UTC) could reset this USD-driven read
18:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 74 · price 0.69572
Higher highs into session high.
NY session drove through the 0.6950 pivot to a fresh session high at 0.69575, RSI(14) hot near 74 but not extreme. Clean breakout with no rejection yet; buyers stepped in repeatedly off the 0.69245 session low earlier.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69333, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69575, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6950 negates the breakout
Loss of 0.69333 confirms a lower high
0.6980 range top is next resistance to monitor for rejection
NY session pushed AUDUSD off the 0.6924 low through the 0.6950 psych level to a fresh session high at 0.6957, a corrective rebound off last week's soft-NFP move. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but consistent with the one-way climb; the 0.6943 breakout level is the nearest reference below.
Support: 0.6943, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69575
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.69430 unwinds the breakout read
0.6950 as reclaimed level — failure to hold flags exhaustion
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key USD-side catalyst
NY session grind higher off the 0.69245 swing low; price broke through the 0.6950 psych level and is pressing the 0.69536 session high, RSI(14) near 70 but not extreme. Digest reads the AUD recovery as corrective, with sellers expected into 0.6950/0.6980.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6944, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69536
What it said to watch
Rejection at 0.69536 session high would cap the NY leg
Loss of 0.69500 psych then 0.69440 would break the higher-high chain
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-side read
18:32 UTC
Uptrend, extended into NY · RSI 69 · price 0.69528
Higher highs / higher lows off 0.6925.
NY session drove a steady climb from the 0.6925 swing low through the 0.6950 pivot to a session high at 0.69536, RSI(14) hot near 69. Price stalled at 0.6953 into the current bar, holding just above the 0.6950 area flagged as pivotal resistance.
Support: 0.69433, 0.69365, 0.69249
Resistance: 0.69536, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.69433 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Rejection at the 0.6950 pivot / 0.69536 would cap the NY push
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD-side direction
18:17 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 72 · price 0.69525
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
NY session ground higher off the 0.69245 low into two-week highs at 0.69533, a corrective USD-side rebound after last week's soft NFP. Price is holding near the top of the run with RSI(14) hot around 72, and the 0.6950 area is now behind price as a former cap.
Support: 0.69436, 0.69327, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69533, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69533 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.69436 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD tone
18:17 UTC
Uptrend, extended into resistance · RSI 69 · price 0.69525
Higher highs / higher lows through NY session.
NY session drove AUDUSD through the 0.6950 pivot to a session high at 0.69533, RSI(14) hot near 69. The digest frames this as a corrective USD-driven rebound within a broader 0.6870–0.6980 range, so the leg into 0.6950/0.6980 sits at known supply.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69325, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69533, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.6950 psych pivot on a retest reopens 0.69245 session low
M15 close above 0.69533 session high exposes the 0.6980 range top
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD-side direction
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, extending into NY · RSI 71 · price 0.69512
Higher highs and higher lows off 0.6925.
NY session drove a steady grind from the 0.6925 low up through the 0.6950 pivot flagged as two-week resistance, printing a session high at 0.69533. RSI(14) near 71 shows momentum hot but not extreme; 0.6950 now acting as support on the retest.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69365, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69533, 0.6960, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6950 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
Acceptance above 0.69533 opens the path toward the 0.6960 round number then 0.6980 range top
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD side of this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 0.69512
Higher highs off intraday low, above 0.6950 pivot.
NY session pushed AUDUSD through the 0.6950 pivot (context's two-week high / 38.2% Fibo hurdle) to a session high of 0.69533, RSI(14) running hot near 71 as the corrective rebound extends on a soft USD. Price is holding above the broken 0.6950 level; a clean chain of higher lows from 0.69214 underpins the move.
Support: 0.6950, 0.69245, 0.6934
Resistance: 0.69533, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6950 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
0.69533 is the immediate cap — area to watch for rejection or continuation toward 0.6980
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD side of this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 74 · price 0.6952
Higher highs from 0.6925 low, testing 0.6950.
NY session drove AUD off the 0.6925 swing low straight through the 0.6950 two-week high, with a clean chain of higher lows since the London-NY transition. RSI(14) near 73 flags a hot but trending tape; the move fits the corrective USD-soft rebound, where the context flags sellers into 0.6950/0.6980.
Support: 0.6934, 0.69245, 0.6910
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path to 0.6980 range top
Rejection at 0.6950 and loss of 0.6934 swing low negates the breakout
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, RSI hot into resistance · RSI 74 · price 0.6952
Chain of higher highs off 0.6925, testing session high.
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69245 low up to the 0.6950 two-week high, the pivotal 38.2% Fibo/range hurdle flagged in the digest, with RSI(14) running hot near 74. Price is pressing session-high resistance at 0.6953 after a clean break of the 0.6935 intraday shelf.
Support: 0.6935, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.6953, 0.6980
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.6953 opens the 0.6980 range top
Rejection at 0.6950 and loss of 0.6935 intraday support reverts to range drift
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape USD-side momentum
17:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 74 · price 0.69509
Higher highs since 0.69245 low.
AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 0.6950 two-week pivot to print a session high at 0.69519 with RSI(14) elevated near 74. The advance off the 0.69245 session low is a clean chain of higher highs; the 0.6950 pivot flipping from cap to support is the near-term test.
Support: 0.6950, 0.6934, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69519, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.6950 would flag a false break of the two-week pivot
0.6980 range top is the next resistance overhead
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key USD-side risk to this read
NY session drove a steady climb from the 0.6925 session low to 0.6952, breaking out of the earlier 0.6930–0.6935 consolidation with RSI(14) hot near 74. Price is now pressing the 0.6950 two-week-high pivot flagged as key resistance.
Support: 0.69365, 0.69249, 0.6910
Resistance: 0.69519, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6952 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.69365 consolidation would neutralise the breakout
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-side read
17:17 UTC
Uptrend into resistance, momentum hot · RSI 71 · price 0.69504
Higher highs, testing 0.6950 pivot.
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.6921 low back up to tap the 0.6950 two-week high, with RSI(14) running hot near 71. The digest reads this rebound as corrective USD-side softness rather than an Aussie bid, so the 0.6950/0.6980 zone is the area to watch for rejection or a clean break.
Support: 0.6944, 0.69245, 0.6921
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold above 0.6944 puts 0.69245 swing low back in play
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift the USD-side read
NY session drove a steady grind off the 0.6925 low into the pivotal 0.6950 two-week high, with price pressing 0.69504 and RSI(14) hot near 74. The 0.6944 prior high has flipped to support on the way up; buyers stepped in repeatedly through the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.6944, 0.69361, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.6950, 0.6980
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6950 opens the path to the 0.6980 range top
Rejection back below 0.6944 signals a failed test of the two-week high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape USD-side risk
17:03 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 0.69465
Higher highs into session high.
AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, breaking above the 0.6935 consolidation and printing a fresh session high at 0.69465 with RSI(14) near 71. The 0.6950 two-week high looms just overhead as the pivotal cap, with the corrective lift built on last week's soft US NFP.
Support: 0.6940, 0.69327, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69465, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6950 opens a run at the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.69400 would stall the intraday higher-high chain
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-side read
Series of higher highs and higher lows off 0.69245.
AUDUSD ground higher through the NY session, printing successive higher lows off 0.69245 and pushing the session high to 0.69465 with RSI(14) near 71. The 0.6950 two-week high sits just overhead as the next resistance to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.6940, 0.69325, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69465, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69500 opens the 0.6980 range top
Loss of 0.69400 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
FOMC minutes Wed could reset the USD-side read
16:47 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to session high · RSI 68 · price 0.69438
Higher highs / higher lows since London.
NY session pushing a clean HH/HL chain off the 0.69245 swing low up to the session high at 0.69455, RSI(14) hot near 68 but not extreme. The advance is corrective, Aussie clawing back after cooler AU inflation and a Hormuz risk-off tone earlier weighed it toward 0.6920s.
Support: 0.6940, 0.69325, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69455, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69455 opens the path to the 0.695 psych level
Failure to hold 0.694 threatens the intraday uptrend, exposing 0.69325
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD-side read
NY session ground steadily higher off the 0.69245 session low, tagging a session high at 0.69455 with RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not yet extended. The corrective recovery sits inside AUD's broader 0.6870–0.6980 range; USD stayed resilient near DXY 101 on Hormuz safe-haven flows, capping the Aussie's advance.
Support: 0.6937, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69455, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69455 opens the path to the 0.6950 2wk high
Failure to hold 0.69370 breaks the rising intraday support
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD-side risk
NY session ground higher off the 0.69245 session low into a fresh session high at 0.69455, RSI(14) running hot near 71. USD stayed firm on Hormuz haven flows, but the Aussie kept posting higher lows through the last few hours; the 0.6950 round level caps just above.
Support: 0.69335, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69455, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69500 opens the path toward the 0.6980 range top
Failure to hold 0.69335 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 0.69443
Higher highs and higher lows off 0.69249.
NY session climbed off the 0.69249 swing low, reclaimed the 0.694 round number and printed a session high at 0.69455. RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not extreme; the rally is USD-driven weakness fading rather than an AUD story.
Support: 0.69365, 0.69249, 0.6940
Resistance: 0.69455, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69455 opens the path toward the 0.695 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69365 intraday base signals the up-leg stalling
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ground higher off the 0.69245 swing low, breaking through 0.694 to a session high at 0.6945 as the earlier AUD softness on cooler AU inflation was reclaimed. RSI(14) near 71 — short-term hot but consistent with the trend leg; 0.694 round level now the first area to watch on a pullback.
Support: 0.6940, 0.69327, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.694 would negate the breakout and re-open 0.69245
0.695 range top — area to watch for rejection or extension
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape the USD side of this read
NY session drove AUDUSD up from the 0.6924 swing low to a session high at 0.6945, extending a clean HH/HL chain as the USD-led NFP softness lingered. Price is consolidating just under the highs with RSI(14) around 68 — hot but not extreme.
Support: 0.6937, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.6945, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 0.6945 opens the path to the 0.6950 psych level
Loss of 0.6937 breakout level would neutralise the intraday uptrend
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reshape the USD-driven read
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, extending into NY afternoon · RSI 67 · price 0.69429
Higher lows into a fresh session high.
AUDUSD broke above the 0.6935 consolidation and pushed to a session high at 0.6944, closing at 0.69429 with RSI(14) near 67. The move builds on a chain of higher lows off the 0.69214 base; 0.69376 is the reclaimed breakout shelf.
Support: 0.69376, 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69376 would put the higher-low structure at risk toward 0.69245
Acceptance above the 0.69440 session high opens the path to 0.69500
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset USD-driven price action
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, pushing session high · RSI 68 · price 0.69429
Higher lows into breakout above intraday range.
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69214 low through the 0.69376 consolidation to a session high at 0.6944, RSI(14) around 67 — hot but not extreme. Buyers stepped in repeatedly near 0.6932 during the London-NY transition; the breakout base at 0.69376 is now the immediate pivot.
Support: 0.69376, 0.6932, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.6944, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69440 opens the path to the 0.6950 round number
Failure to hold 0.69376 negates the breakout and returns price into the range
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 72 · price 0.69429
Higher highs off 0.69245 low.
NY session grinding higher; AUDUSD broke the 0.69365 consolidation and printed a session high at 0.69438 with RSI(14) near 71. Move follows the soft-NFP USD wobble, though the digest keeps upside corrective within a broader 0.6870–0.6980 band.
Support: 0.69365, 0.6930, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69438, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69438 opens the path toward 0.69500 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69365 breakout puts 0.69300 back in play
Risk-sentiment/Hormuz headlines could shift this high-beta read quickly
15:47 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 68 · price 0.69429
Higher highs off intraday low.
NY session drove AUDUSD off the 0.69245 low up to a session high of 0.69438, riding broad USD softness after the weak NFP print. RSI(14) near 68, hot but consistent with the trend; the last swing is a clean HH-HL chain into the session top.
Support: 0.6937, 0.6930, 0.69245
Resistance: 0.69438, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69438 extends toward the 0.69500 psych level
Failure to hold 0.69370 breaks the higher-low chain
Fed's Waller / FOMC minutes ahead could reprice USD and shift this read
15:32 UTC
Recovery off session low, testing top · RSI 64 · price 0.69406
Higher lows into session high resistance.
Price based at the 0.69245 session low during NY hours and has ground back to the session high at 0.69413, printing a chain of higher lows off the 0.69214 pivot. Move is USD-led — the Aussie is riding risk sentiment after the soft NFP; RSI(14) firm near 64 but not stretched.
Support: 0.69327, 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69413, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69413 opens the path toward the 0.6950 range top
Loss of 0.69245 session low reopens the 0.69214 pivot low
Fed's Waller / FOMC minutes ahead could shift USD tone materially
AUDUSD ground back up through NY hours to retest the 0.69413 prior high after dipping to the 0.69214 session low, with USD firm despite the soft NFP. RSI(14) elevated near 64 as price stalls at 0.6940 for a second time; the range top is still capping.
Support: 0.69325, 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69413 invalidates the range read and opens the path toward 0.6950
Failure to hold 0.69325 pivot re-exposes the 0.69245/0.69214 lows
Fed's Waller (today) then FOMC minutes Wed could materially shift this read
AUDUSD recovered from the session low at 0.6921 during NY hours, printing higher lows and pushing back to the session high at 0.694. RSI(14) mid-range near 58, price holding above EMA20/50 — the 0.694 top is the level to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 0.6934, 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.694 opens the path toward 0.69413
Failure to hold 0.6934 exposes the 0.69245 higher low
Waller speech and Hormuz headlines could shift risk sentiment for the high-beta Aussie
15:17 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 0.69375
Consolidation, higher low after 0.6921 base.
AUDUSD chopping in a 0.6921–0.6940 band through the London-NY session, price back to 0.69375 after buyers absorbed the 0.69245 dip. The bounce keeps a higher-low structure intact but 0.6940 has capped the last few pushes; move stalling with RSI mid-range around 57.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214, 0.69297
Resistance: 0.6940, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6940 opens the path back toward 0.6950
Loss of 0.69245 reopens the 0.69214 session low
Fed's Waller comments (15:00 UTC) could inject volatility into the range
AUDUSD has ground back to the session high near 0.6939 after basing twice around 0.6921–0.6924, a higher low that firmed through the London-NY transition. Move is USD-led — DXY held above 101.00 on Hormuz safe-haven flow — with the Aussie corrective rather than trending; range top at 0.6939/0.69413 still capping.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69413 opens the path back toward the 0.6950 top of the band
Failure to hold 0.69245 re-exposes the 0.69214 session low
Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) could inject USD volatility into this read
15:02 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 60 · price 0.69382
Intraday range 0.6921–0.6941, near range top.
AUDUSD has climbed back to the top of its 0.6921–0.6941 intraday range, retesting the session high near 0.6939 into NY hours with RSI(14) around 60. Demand stepped in twice near 0.6921/0.6925, and price now sits above both EMAs as USD holds firm on renewed Hormuz-driven safe-haven flows.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69413 opens the path back toward the 0.6950 range extreme
Failure to hold 0.69245 puts the 0.69214 session low back in play
Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) could shift the near-term USD read
14:47 UTC
Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 0.69339
Range-bound between session extremes.
AUDUSD is ranging between 0.69214 and 0.6939, chopping around the EMAs with RSI near 50 — the Aussie a passenger to a firm USD after the digested NFP miss. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.69245 while 0.6937/0.6939 continues to cap; no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.6939
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6939 opens the path toward 0.6950
Failure to hold 0.69245 exposes the 0.69214 session low
Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) and ISM Services could shift the USD leg driving this range
AUDUSD sold from 0.6939 to 0.6921 through the NY session then clawed back to 0.6934, now oscillating in a 0.6925–0.6937 band with RSI(14) neutral near 52. The Aussie is a passenger to a firm USD — no clean directional structure into the Waller remarks.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.6939
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6937 challenges the 0.6939 prior high
Failure to hold 0.6925 reopens the 0.6921 swing low
Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) could shift this read within the next bar
14:32 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 52 · price 0.69339
Consolidation, higher low off session low.
NY session grinding in a 0.6925–0.6937 range after AUD gave back its post-NFP spike. Price bounced off the 0.69245 session low back to the 0.6937 session high and has since settled mid-range near 0.69339, RSI neutral around 52.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6937 session high opens the path to 0.69413 prior high
Loss of 0.69245 session low confirms a lower low toward 0.69214 swing low
14:32 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 49 · price 0.69339
Range-bound after recovery off session low.
AUDUSD is ranging around 0.6934 after buyers stepped in at the 0.69214 swing low during NY hours and lifted price back into the middle of the 0.6921–0.6941 band. RSI(14) neutral near 48, no directional edge; USD firm near 101.00 keeps the Aussie corrective within the range.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
Close above 0.6937 opens the path back to the 0.69413 session high
Fed's Waller comments could inject fresh USD volatility
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6921–0.6937 through NY hours after cooler Aussie inflation and a Hormuz-driven risk-off bid capped the pair below its 2-week high. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.6924/0.6921 and price has recovered to 0.6935, back at the range top with RSI(14) neutral around 53.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214, 0.6910
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.69413, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6937 opens the path to the 0.69413 session high and 0.6950
Failure to hold 0.6924 exposes the 0.6921 swing low and 0.6910 range floor
Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) and US ISM Services could shift the USD leg within the next bars
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6924–0.6940 through the NY session; buyers stepped in twice at 0.6924 and price recovered to 0.6935, RSI(14) back near neutral. The Aussie remains a USD passenger after slipping from the 0.6950 two-week high, with a soft-inflation and risk-off backdrop capping rallies.
Support: 0.69245, 0.6910
Resistance: 0.6940, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6940 opens the path to 0.6950
Failure to hold 0.69245 exposes the 0.6910 range floor
Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg and this read
14:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 46 · price 0.69306
Range ~0.6921–0.6937, higher low forming.
AUDUSD is boxed between 0.6921 and 0.6937 with price ticking just under EMA20/50 as the USD holds firm around the ISM Services print due at 14:00 UTC. Buyers stepped in at 0.6924 to hold a higher low, but the 0.6935/0.6937 swing area continues to cap.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.6939
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6921 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Close above 0.6937 opens the 0.6939 session high
ISM Services and Waller (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD is chopping in a 0.6925–0.6937 band through the NY session, price back at 0.6931 after a dip to the 0.69245 swing low was bought. ISM Services just released and Waller speaks shortly — either can jolt the dollar leg out of this range.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6937 opens a retest of 0.69413
Failure to hold 0.69245 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.69214 session low
ISM Services aftermath and Waller at 15:00 UTC could break this range
AUDUSD is chopping in a 0.6921–0.6939 band after slipping off two-week highs; USD firmer post-NFP and cooler AU inflation keep the tone soft. Two dips into 0.6921/0.6924 found buyers, but rallies stall under 0.6937. ISM Services at 14:00 UTC is the near-term catalyst.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69372, 0.6939
What it said to watch
ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg materially
AUDUSD is ranging roughly 0.6921–0.6941 after sliding off 0.69413 during the London session; the 0.69245/0.69214 lows held twice and price recovered to 0.6933 before fading into the NY session. No clean setup — price sits mid-range at 0.69316 with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6936, 0.69413
What it said to watch
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC (~14min) can break this range either way
M15 close above 0.6936 opens the path back to the 0.69413 session high
Failure to hold 0.69245/0.69214 confirms a lower low
Consolidation, recent dip to session low reclaimed.
AUDUSD chopping in the low-0.69s ahead of the NY session, drifting off the 0.69360 area after retreating from the 0.6950/38.2% Fibo hurdle earlier. A dip to 0.69245 was bought back to 0.69304, keeping price mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Soft AU inflation gauge and job ads capped the earlier bid.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6936, 0.69413
What it said to watch
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) is the key USD driver into the next bars and could break this range
M15 close below 0.69245 confirms a lower low toward 0.69214
Reclaim of 0.69360 puts the session high at 0.69413 back in play
Range-bound in low-0.693s after fading off 0.6940.
AUDUSD is chopping in the low-0.693s after rejecting the 0.6940 area, in line with the digest's corrective-fade read. Price dipped to 0.69245 then reclaimed 0.69300; RSI(14) neutral near 46, no clean intraday trend in play.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.6936, 0.69391, 0.69413
What it said to watch
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) is imminent and can drive the next USD leg
AUDUSD consolidated 0.6930–0.6937 through the session before breaking lower into NY hours, printing 0.69234 as domestic data (softer TD-MI inflation gauge, negative ANZ job ads) and a firmer USD weighed. RSI(14) near 40 with price under both EMAs; the corrective bounce off the 0.6950 Fibo hurdle continues to fade.
Support: 0.69234, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69345, 0.69367, 0.69391
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69345 negates the breakdown
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could drive the USD leg and shift this read
AUDUSD drifted lower through the NY session, faded from the 0.69372 area and printed a fresh session low at 0.69245 before stabilising at 0.69278. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) around 41; the retreat lines up with the softer TD-MI inflation gauge and firmer USD ahead of ISM Services.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69333, 0.69372, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69245 confirms the lower-low and opens 0.69214
M15 close back above 0.69333 challenges the lower-highs read
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could shift this read
13:03 UTC
Downside drift within range · RSI 39 · price 0.69256
Lower highs, pressing session low.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the NY session, giving back gains after fading from the 0.6950 Fibo/200-day hurdle noted in the macro read. Price is pressing back toward the 0.69214 session low with RSI cooling near 39; the last bounce to 0.6937 was rejected, keeping lower highs intact.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.69335, 0.69391
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 opens the 0.6910 range floor
Reclaim of 0.69335 negates the downside drift
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg and this read
AUDUSD rolled over into the NY session, sliding back toward the 0.6921 session low after repeated rejection at 0.6937 — the soft TD-MI inflation gauge and firmer USD kept the Aussie heavy. Price is pinned near lows with RSI(14) sub-40 and holding below both EMAs.
Support: 0.69245, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69333, 0.69372
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69372 negates the lower-high sequence
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could drive the next USD leg
AUDUSD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 0.6930-0.6936 consolidation and printing a fresh low at 0.69245 with RSI(14) near 38. Cooling TD-MI inflation and a firmer USD ahead of US ISM Services kept the Aussie on the back foot, now testing the 0.69214 swing low.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.69346, 0.69379
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.69346 negates the range break
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 35 · price 0.69246
Rolling over from 0.6937, pressing session lows.
AUDUSD broke down out of the 0.6928-0.6937 range in the last two bars, printing 0.69246 as the domestic bid softened (cooler TD-MI inflation gauge, negative ANZ job ads) and a mild safe-haven USD firmed. Price is now testing toward the 0.69214 swing low with RSI(14) around 34.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.6936, 0.6939
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69214 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6920 psych zone
Reclaim of 0.69360 session high invalidates the breakdown read
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) could drive the USD leg
12:32 UTC
Recovering off session low, now flat · RSI 45 · price 0.69316
Ranging 0.6930-0.6937 after bounce from 0.6921.
London session sold AUDUSD down to 0.69214 as the softer TD-MI inflation gauge and safe-haven USD bid weighed, then buyers recovered it back into a 0.6930-0.6937 band. Price now sits mid-range near 0.69316 with RSI(14) neutral around 44; no directional edge in play.
Support: 0.6929, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.6939
What it said to watch
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) could break this range
M15 close below 0.69290 reopens the 0.69214 session low
Reclaim of 0.69367 range top would restore intraday upside
AUDUSD sold off to 0.69214 during London hours as the softer TD-MI inflation gauge and a mild safe-haven USD bid weighed, then recovered into a tight 0.6929–0.6937 range. Price sits mid-range near 0.69316 with RSI flat around 46 — no clean intraday setup in play.
Support: 0.6929, 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
US ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.69367 opens the path toward 0.6939
Failure to hold 0.69290 exposes 0.69256 then the 0.69214 session low
12:17 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 52 · price 0.69345
Consolidation after intraday bounce.
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.69214 session low and is now chopping in a tight 0.69295–0.69372 range, the Aussie kept heavy after the softer TD-MI inflation gauge and a mild safe-haven USD bid. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 52 with no momentum edge; price holds just above EMA20 but structure is flat.
Support: 0.69295, 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69372, 0.69413
What it said to watch
US ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.69295 reopens the 0.69256/0.69214 lows
M15 close above 0.69372 exposes the 0.69413 session high
12:16 UTC
Sideways after recovery off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.69345
Consolidation inside 0.6929-0.6937.
AUDUSD is grinding in a tight 0.6929-0.6937 band after recovering from the 0.69214 swing low, with the Aussie kept heavy by a softer TD-MI inflation gauge and a mild safe-haven USD bid. Price sits mid-range at 0.69345, RSI(14) neutral near 53 into the NY session.
Support: 0.6929, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6937 opens path back to the 0.69413 session high
Loss of 0.6929 exposes the 0.69214 swing low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after sweep of 0.69214 low.
AUDUSD sold off to 0.69214 earlier in the session as Hormuz-driven USD demand and a softer AU inflation gauge weighed, then recovered to stall around the 61.8% retrace near 0.69337. Price now chops in a tight 0.69300-0.69367 band, RSI(14) flat near midline.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.69413
What it said to watch
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
M15 close above 0.69367 opens a retest of the 0.69413 session high
AUDUSD sold to a session low of 0.69214 during NY hours as USD firmed on Hormuz safe-haven flows, then recovered to grind sideways around 0.6933. Now boxed between the 0.69280 swing low and 0.69370 swing high with RSI hovering near 52 — no clear directional structure in play.
Support: 0.6928, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.69413
What it said to watch
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
AUDUSD slipped to a 0.69214 session low during the London hours as a soft TD-MI inflation print and a mild USD safe-haven bid weighed, then recovered and is now consolidating in a 0.6930–0.6935 band. Higher lows since the base, RSI(14) back near neutral around 53.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69214 confirms a lower low and breaks the recovery structure
Reclaim of 0.69390 session high reopens the 0.6945 area
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating above 0.6930 after basing at 0.69214.
AUDUSD sold off to a session low of 0.69214 after soft TD-MI inflation and weaker job ads, then buyers stepped in twice to base and grind back to 0.6935. Price is now consolidating between 0.69280 and 0.69390, with ISM Services (14:00 UTC) the near-term risk.
Support: 0.6928, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69390 opens the path to the 0.69413 session high
Failure to hold 0.69280 reopens the 0.69214 session low
ISM Services 14:00 UTC could break the consolidation either way
AUDUSD sold off to 0.69214 through the session as a soft TD-MI inflation gauge and a mild USD safe-haven bid weighed, then recovered ~15 pips to consolidate around 0.6934. Price is pinned between the 0.6929 low and the 0.6937 swing high, RSI back near neutral.
Support: 0.6929, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.6939, 0.6945
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6937 opens the path toward the 0.6945 range top
Failure to hold 0.6929 reopens the 0.69214 swing low
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could shift this read
Bounce from 0.6921 low, now consolidating below 0.6937.
AUDUSD swept the session low at 0.6921 during NY hours then recovered to 0.6937, softness tied to the weak TD-MI inflation print and a mild USD safe-haven bid. Price now grinding sideways in the 0.6930–0.6937 band with RSI mid-range; no directional impulse in the last few bars.
Support: 0.6928, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69379, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6937 opens the path back to the 0.6941 session high
Loss of 0.6928 reopens the 0.6921 session low
FOMC minutes Wed and Waller comments could shift USD tone
Session low posted at 0.69214, consolidating below 0.6937.
AUDUSD sold off to a session low of 0.69214 as a soft TD-MI inflation gauge and a mild USD safe-haven bid weighed, then buyers stepped in and dragged price back into a 0.6929–0.6937 range. RSI(14) has normalised to mid-range as the recovery flattens under the 0.6937 cap.
Support: 0.6928, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6937, 0.6939
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6937 opens the path back to the 0.6939 session high
Loss of 0.6928 reopens the 0.69214 session low
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read via the USD
11:17 UTC
Recovering off session low, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.69341
Consolidation after bounce from 0.6921.
AUDUSD sold off to 0.6921 during the session as a soft TD-MI inflation print and a mild USD safe-haven bid weighed, then buyers stepped in twice to lift it back toward 0.6937. Price is now chopping around 0.6934 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; range floor at 0.6928 holding.
Support: 0.6928, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69379, 0.6939
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6939 opens the path back toward 0.6945
Failure to hold 0.6928 reopens the 0.6921 session low
US ISM Services and Waller (15:00 UTC) could shift this read
11:02 UTC
Recovered from session low, now flat · RSI 50 · price 0.69338
Consolidation after bounce off intraday low.
AUD slipped to a session low at 0.69214 after soft TD-MI inflation and an ANZ Job Ads miss, then recovered to 0.69372 and has been chopping in a 0.6929–0.6937 band. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 50 with ATR compressed around 4 pips, no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.6929, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69372, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6929 reopens the 0.69214 session low
M15 close above 0.69372 exposes the 0.69413 prior high
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could break the range
Swing low at 0.69214 held, consolidating mid-range.
AUDUSD slid through the London session to a 0.69214 low after soft TD-MI inflation undercut the Aussie, then buyers stepped in and dragged price back to 0.6934. Now consolidating between 0.6929 and 0.6937, RSI(14) neutral near 49 after basing off the lows.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.69391
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 reopens the downside toward the 0.6900 psych level
Reclaim of 0.69391 session high would confirm the recovery leg
Fed's Waller and ISM Services aftershocks could shift USD tone into next bars
Recovery off 0.6921 low, holding a 0.6928–0.6937 band.
AUDUSD sold off through the Asian session to 0.69214 as soft TD-MI inflation and a Hormuz-driven USD safe-haven bid weighed, then recovered into London to consolidate in a 0.6928–0.6937 band. RSI(14) back near 51, momentum neutral after the bounce; recent high at 0.69391 caps the recovery.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69391, 0.69413, 0.6945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69391 opens a retest of prior high 0.69413
Loss of 0.69256 higher low reopens session low 0.69214
ISM Services / Waller headlines could break the 0.6928–0.6937 band
10:47 UTC
Downdrift, stabilising off lows · RSI 52 · price 0.69331
Recovered from session low, now consolidating.
AUDUSD slid to a session low of 0.6921 as soft TD-MI inflation and a Hormuz-driven USD safe-haven bid weighed, then recovered to consolidate around 0.6933. Price is chopping in a tight 0.6929–0.6937 band with RSI near neutral, no fresh directional catalyst in play.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69369, 0.69391
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69369 swing high opens a retest of 0.69391
Loss of 0.69256 swing low re-exposes the 0.69214 session low
ISM Services and Waller commentary could shift the USD read this session
Consolidation under session high after bounce from swing low.
AUDUSD slid to a 0.69214 swing low as softer TD-MI inflation and Hormuz-driven USD safe-haven flows weighed, then buyers recovered price into a 0.6930–0.6934 consolidation. Price is now stalling just under the 0.69367 session high, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.6928, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69367 session high opens the path to 0.69413
Loss of 0.69280 reopens the 0.69214 swing low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.69214 swing low and has since consolidated in the 0.6930–0.6935 area, holding above short-term EMAs after softer TD-MI inflation and Hormuz safe-haven USD flows capped the pair. Session high at 0.69391 is the near-term cap; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69391, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69391 opens the path toward the 0.69413 prior high
Loss of 0.69256 higher low reopens the 0.69214 swing low
US ISM Services / Fed minutes this week could shift the USD leg driving this pair
Recovery off session low, chopping into a tight range.
AUDUSD sold off from the post-weekend high at 0.69413 to a session low of 0.69214 through Asia and early London, pressured by softer TD-MI inflation and Hormuz safe-haven USD flows. Price has since recovered to 0.69367 and is now chopping in a tight 0.6929–0.6333 range around the EMAs, RSI(14) flat near 48. No directional structure in play into the London session.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69367 reopens the path toward the post-gap high at 0.69413
Failure to hold 0.69256 exposes the 0.69214 session low again
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
10:17 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 49 · price 0.69324
Session range after selloff, higher low base.
AUDUSD sold to a session low of 0.69214 during the London session then recovered, capped by rejection at 0.69372; softer TD-MI inflation plus Hormuz-driven USD safe-haven flows keep the Aussie heavy near 0.6930. Price now consolidating between 0.69280 and 0.69372 with RSI back at neutral.
Support: 0.6928, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69372, 0.6939
What it said to watch
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC + Waller 15:00 UTC could shift the USD leg and this range
M15 close above 0.69372 opens the path back toward 0.69390
Loss of 0.69280 exposes the 0.69214 session low
10:02 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 44 · price 0.69303
Lower high, holding above swing low.
London session sold AUDUSD from 0.6939 to a 0.69214 swing low, a bounce to 0.69367 then faded and price is now coiling near 0.6930 — softer TD-MI inflation and mild Hormuz safe-haven USD flows behind the drift. RSI(14) neutral around 44 with price pinned under EMA20/50; no directional setup in play, tight range between 0.69290 and 0.69335.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69367 opens the 0.69413 session high
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD rejected 0.69379 during NY hours and has ground back down to 0.69303, printing a chain of lower highs. Price sits just above the 0.69256 swing low with RSI(14) mid-40s; consolidation near session lows, no clean setup while USD holds a firm base ahead of ISM Services.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69327, 0.69379
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69256 exposes the 0.69214 session low
Reclaim of 0.69379 negates the lower-high sequence
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD sold off to 0.6921 in early London trade, then clawed back to consolidate tightly between 0.6929 and 0.6937, in line with the two-way range read near the 200-DMA. Price now sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range around 47 — no directional momentum in play.
Support: 0.6925, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.6939
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower-low
Close above 0.69367 reopens the 0.6939 high
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could break this range
Bounced off session low, now consolidating below recovery high.
London session: AUDUSD sold off to 0.69214 then bounced to 0.69379 before fading back to consolidate around 0.6930, in line with the softer TD-MI inflation read. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range, no fresh momentum either way.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69379, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69256 opens a retest of the 0.69214 session low
Reclaim of 0.69379 revives the recovery leg toward 0.69413
US ISM Services / Fed speak in the coming hours could shift the USD leg
09:32 UTC
Mild downdrift, ranging · RSI 46 · price 0.69312
Consolidation after bounce faded.
London session sold from 0.6939 down to a 0.69214 low, then bounced to 0.69367 before fading back to 0.6931 — AUD stayed heavy after the TD-MI inflation gauge cooled to 3.9% YoY. Price now consolidating mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 46; no clean setup in play.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.6939
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69367 bounce high reopens the 0.69390 prior high
Loss of 0.69256 swing low reopens the 0.69214 session low
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
09:32 UTC
Down then recovering, now flat · RSI 46 · price 0.69312
Consolidating above session low.
AUDUSD sold off to a session low of 0.69214 in early trade before recovering to the 0.69379 swing high, then fading back to consolidate around 0.6931. Move follows the softer TD-MI inflation gauge (3.9% YoY) that trimmed the RBA-hike story; RSI(14) neutral near 46 with price pinned to the EMAs.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69379, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69379 swing high opens the path to the 0.69413 session high
Failure to hold 0.69256 swing low reopens the 0.69214 session low
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) could shift this read via USD
09:17 UTC
Recovered off session low, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69314
Consolidating mid-range after V-recovery.
AUDUSD sold to a session low of 0.69214 as softer TD-MI inflation (3.9% YoY) undercut the RBA-hike story, then recovered to 0.69379 on the back of a soft USD post-NFP. Price now stalling around 0.69314, holding a higher low at 0.69256 with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69379, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69379 opens session high at 0.69413
Failure to hold 0.69256 reopens the 0.69214 session low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift this read
09:17 UTC
Down then recovering, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.69314
Recovered off session low, ranging.
AUDUSD sold off through London into a 0.69214 session low as the TD-MI inflation gauge cooled and softened the RBA-hike case, then clawed back to 0.69372 before stalling. Now hovering at 0.69314 on flat RSI(14) near 46, chopping between the 0.69256 swing low and the 0.69372 recent high with no clear direction.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69372, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69256 reopens the 0.69214 session low
Reclaim of 0.69372 targets the 0.69413 session high
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller could set USD direction into the next session
09:03 UTC
Downtrend, recovering · RSI 47 · price 0.69307
Post-selloff consolidation, higher lows.
AUD slipped to 0.69214 through the NY session after the TD-MI inflation gauge cooled to 3.9% YoY, then recovered to 0.69367 and is now ranging 0.6928–0.6937. Higher lows since the session base keep the recovery intact but price sits back below EMA20/50 near 0.69307.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69370 swing high reopens 0.69413
Loss of 0.69256 rising support exposes 0.69214 session low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:03 UTC
Intraday down, now stabilizing · RSI 46 · price 0.69307
Sold off then recovered, ranging.
AUDUSD slid to a 0.69214 session low before buyers lifted it back to 0.69367, and it now chops around 0.6930 after the cooler TD-MI inflation gauge trimmed RBA-hike bets. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI mid-range — no directional setup, just a 0.69256–0.69367 range.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69367 reopens the 0.69413 session high
Loss of 0.69256 exposes the 0.69214 session low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC are the near-term USD drivers
AUD softened back toward 0.6930 during London hours after the TD-MI inflation gauge cooled to 3.9% YoY, thinning RBA-hike bets. The session low at 0.69214 held and price bounced to 0.69379, but that recovery has since faded into lower highs with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69379, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69379 needed to unwind the lower-high sequence
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Lower highs into range base, corrective bounce fading.
London session leaked from 0.6939 to the 0.69214 swing low before a bounce to 0.69367 was rejected, price now back at 0.69301. AUD stays soft after the TD-MI inflation gauge slipped to 3.9% YoY, keeping intraday rallies corrective.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.6939
What it said to watch
Failure to reclaim 0.69367 keeps the lower-high chain intact
Break of 0.69214 opens the path toward the range base
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
08:32 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 48 · price 0.69315
Chopping around 0.6930 pivot.
Ranging around the 0.6930 pivot after the Asia-session dip to 0.6921 was bought back, with the recovery stalling into 0.6937. RSI(14) near 48, neutral; AUD stays capped at the 200-day/0.6930 area after softer TD-MI inflation trimmed RBA-hike bets.
Support: 0.6930, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69372, 0.69391
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6939 breaks the range top
Loss of 0.6921 confirms a lower-low
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD leaked to a 0.69214 session low before buyers stepped in, bouncing back to 0.6937 then fading to 0.69315 — AUD soft after the TD-MI inflation gauge slipped to 3.9%. Price is now consolidating just under EMA20 with RSI mid-range; the recent high at 0.69379 caps.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69379, 0.69413
What it said to watch
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.69379 reopens the 0.69413 recent high
Asian hours sold AUDUSD down to 0.69214 as the softer TD-MI inflation gauge trimmed RBA-hike bets; London has clawed price back into a 0.6925-0.6937 range. RSI(14) has normalised near 49 with price hugging the EMA20 and capped below the 0.69367 swing high.
Support: 0.6925, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69367, 0.69397
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69367 opens the path to 0.69397
Failure to hold 0.6925 exposes the 0.69214 session low
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Choppy range around 0.6930 pivot; higher lows since session low.
London-morning AUDUSD is coiling around the 0.6930 pivot after recovering from the session low at 0.69214, with rallies capped near 0.69379 on soft TD-MI inflation (3.9%). RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 and ATR is a thin ~6 pips; no directional break in play.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69379, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69214 session low confirms a lower-low and voids the recovery
M15 close above 0.69379 recent high opens the path back toward 0.69413
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller could shift USD and this range
08:02 UTC
Down-leg recovering, buyers stepping back in · RSI 58 · price 0.6937
Sold to 0.6921 session low, now higher lows into 0.6937.
AUDUSD slid to a 0.69214 session low then recovered through the London morning, with the last bar pushing back to 0.6937 on a clean higher-low chain from 0.6925. USD stayed firm post-NFP but soft TD inflation kept the Aussie a passenger; price is now pressing the 0.6939 session high.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
close above 0.69390 extends the recovery toward 0.69413
failure to hold 0.6925 rising support reopens the 0.6921 low
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 58 · price 0.6937
Bounce from 0.6921, higher lows building.
AUDUSD carved a base near 0.6921 during London hours and has clawed back to 0.6937, recovering most of the earlier slide as a firm USD tone eased. Price sits back above the short EMAs with RSI(14) near 58, but the 0.6941 prior high still caps.
Support: 0.6925, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69413, 0.6945
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69413 opens the path back to the 0.6945 session high
Loss of 0.6925 reopens the 0.69214 swing low
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg driving this pair
07:47 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69362
Intraday decline into 0.6921, recovering.
AUDUSD slid to a 0.69214 swing low during the London morning before buyers stepped in, and the last bar snapped up to 0.6936. Move fits the softer TD inflation gauge trimming RBA-hike bets while a firm USD caps rallies below the 0.6939 prior high.
Support: 0.6928, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6939 prior high opens the path toward 0.69413 session high
Failure to hold 0.6928 recent base reopens the 0.69214 swing low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and Waller 15:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
Lower lows into 0.6921, base building and higher closes.
London morning: AUDUSD sold off to a 0.69214 session low then carved out a rounded base, with the last bar snapping back from 0.6928 to 0.6936. Softer TD-MI inflation had trimmed hawkish-RBA bets, but demand stepped in at 0.6925 and price is now pressing the 0.6939 session high.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6939 opens a retest of 0.69413
Failure to hold 0.6925 reopens the 0.69214 session low
AUDUSD drifted lower through Asia hours, sweeping the 0.69214 session low before recovering to 0.69347. That bounce faded and price is back near 0.69289, holding below EMA20/50 as the corrective USD-weakness rally stalls near the 200-DMA cited in the digest.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.69391
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69347 reopens the 0.69391 prior high
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Fed's Waller could reset the USD leg driving this pair
London session drove AUDUSD down from 0.6941 to a 0.69214 session low as the USD steadied after Thursday's soft NFP; buyers stepped in and price has consolidated 0.6925–0.6935 since. Now trading 0.69289, back below EMA20/50 after failing to reclaim the 0.69347 swing high.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.6939
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69347 negates the consolidation break lower
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could shift this read via the USD leg
07:17 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 0.69305
Sold to 0.6921 low, now consolidating.
AUDUSD drifted lower from 0.6939 through the early session, printing a swing low at 0.69214 as the USD firmed off NFP-shock lows. Price has since recovered into a 0.6926-0.6934 range; RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69337, 0.69391
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69337 opens the 0.6939 session high
Failure to hold 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
US ISM Services and Fed minutes this week could reset the USD leg
07:17 UTC
Downdrift, stabilising · RSI 47 · price 0.69305
Lower highs off 0.6941, holding above 0.6921 low.
AUDUSD slipped from the 0.6941 session high to a 0.6921 low then bounced, now consolidating around 0.6930 in thin, holiday-affected trade. Move fits the corrective read after the USD's payrolls-driven wobble; price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range. Series of lower highs from 0.6941 caps the recovery.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69347 lower high would break the descending sequence
Loss of 0.69214 session low confirms lower-low extension
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read via the USD leg
AUDUSD slid through the London session, bouncing off 0.69214 to 0.69347 before sellers rejected the level and dragged price back toward the low, RSI(14) mid-40s. Move is corrective within a soft-USD backdrop after Thursday's payrolls miss; price sits pinned near the session base with EMA20/50 capping.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.6939
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69347 negates the fade back toward the low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg driving this pair
AUDUSD rolled off 0.6939 through early London and is grinding back toward the 0.69214 session low, RSI(14) mid-40s with no divergence. The weak-USD backdrop into Thursday's soft payrolls kept the pair supported earlier, but this leg is corrective and supply capped the bounce at 0.69347.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.6939
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69347 neutralises the intraday downtrend
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg driving this pair
AUDUSD slid from the post-weekend open near 0.6941 to a session low of 0.69214 in Asian hours, then recovered to 0.69337 before stalling; now ranging around 0.6930 on soft-USD flows post-NFP. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47, ATR about 5 pips, with the corrective bounce respecting 0.69337 into the European session.
Support: 0.69266, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69337, 0.6939
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69337 reopens the 0.69390 post-gap high
Failure to hold 0.69214 confirms a lower low
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD leg
Asian session drifted lower into 0.69214 before a corrective bounce back to 0.6933, now consolidating near 0.6930 below EMA20/50. Move fits the corrective-USD-bounce read, with AUD gains hinging on the dollar leg rather than local flow.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69337, 0.69391
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.69337 swing high reopens 0.69391
Loss of 0.69214 session low confirms fresh lower-low
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read via the USD leg
Lower low at 0.6921 then recovery, consolidating near 0.6930.
AUDUSD slid to a session low of 0.6921 during Asian hours before buyers stepped in, lifting it back to 0.6935; price now consolidates near 0.6930, just below EMA20/50. USD stayed soft after Thursday's NFP miss but the move is corrective — direction hinges on US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.6939
What it said to watch
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC is the near-term driver via the USD leg
AUDUSD slid to a session low of 0.69214 before buyers stepped in and lifted it back toward 0.69347, in line with a soft-USD backdrop after Thursday's NFP miss. Price is now consolidating near 0.6930 between the 0.69256 swing low and the 0.69347 bounce high, RSI(14) recovering off intraday lows.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.6939
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.69347 bounce high opens the 0.69390 prior high
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read via the USD leg
AUDUSD slid through the Asian session to 0.69214, bounced to the 0.69347 high, then rolled back to 0.69281 — a corrective move within the weak-USD bounce after Thursday's soft NFP. Lower highs are capping the recovery and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.69391, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69347 bounce high needed to break the lower-highs sequence
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could shift this read via the USD leg
06:17 UTC
Corrective bounce within pullback · RSI 44 · price 0.69281
Recovered off session low, fading.
AUDUSD sold off through Asia into a 0.69214 low, then staged a corrective bounce to 0.69347 that has since faded back to 0.6928 — dollar stays soft after Thursday's NFP miss but the Aussie move looks corrective. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range near 44.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.69391
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69347 reopens 0.6939
Loss of 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg driving this pair
Monday Asia session drifted lower, sweeping down to 0.69214 before buyers stepped in to lift price back toward 0.6935. AUD/USD is holding a corrective bounce off the session low; the recent swing high at 0.69355 caps for now with RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6927
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.6939, 0.6950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69355 breaks the intraday down-structure
Failure to hold 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could reset the USD leg driving this pair
AUDUSD sold off through the Asian session to 0.69214 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to the 50% retrace at 0.69308 as the USD stayed soft after Thursday's weak NFP. Bounce is corrective; the swing high at 0.69347 still caps.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.69391
What it said to watch
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD leg
Higher lows since session low, retracing the drop.
AUDUSD sold off into the NY session to a low of 0.69214 before a corrective bounce built higher lows back to 0.69336, now stalling near the 61.8% retrace of the 0.69413-0.69214 drop. Move fits the soft-USD/two-way tone after Thursday's weak NFP; thin holiday liquidity keeps ATR compressed near 4 pips.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD leg
Close above 0.69390 opens the path back to the 0.69413 prior high
Failure to hold 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
Asian session sold off into 0.69214 before buyers stepped in, and price has since ground back to 0.69336 on a chain of higher lows. Recovery stalled just under 0.69347; RSI back near neutral off the flush. USD stays soft after Thursday's 57K NFP miss, but the leg remains corrective.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.69347, 0.6939
What it said to watch
Break above 0.69347 opens the 0.69390 prior high
Loss of rising support / 0.69256 swing low reopens 0.69214
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could reset the USD leg
Asia session slid from 0.6939 to a 0.69214 session low before demand stepped in twice around 0.6921, forming a double bottom and a chain of higher lows back to 0.69319. AUD is trading as a USD passenger post soft NFP; the bounce is corrective within the lower intraday structure.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.69337, 0.6939
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69390 would break the intraday down-leg read
Loss of 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower-low
US ISM Services today and Fed minutes Wed could shift this USD-driven read
AUDUSD slid from the 0.6939 session high to a 0.69214 low before buyers stepped in, and price has retraced roughly half the move to 0.6932 as USD stayed soft post-NFP. Still-corrective bounce inside a short-term downtrend; RSI back near neutral off the lows.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69390 invalidates the lower-high structure
Loss of 0.69214 confirms continuation of the down leg
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and FOMC minutes are the next USD catalysts for this pair
05:17 UTC
Recovery within short-term downtrend · RSI 49 · price 0.69317
Higher lows off session low, capped under 0.6935.
AUDUSD sold off through the Asian session to 0.69214, then recovered in a chain of higher lows to 0.69317, the bounce riding a soft-USD impulse after Thursday's weak NFP. RSI(14) has climbed back to ~49 but price still sits below the 0.6935 swing high, keeping the recovery capped.
Support: 0.69256, 0.69214
Resistance: 0.6934, 0.69375, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69355 opens the path to 0.69375
Loss of 0.69256 reopens the 0.69214 session low
US ISM Services / Fed minutes this week could shift this read
05:17 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 0.69317
Lower highs into session low, corrective rebound underway.
AUDUSD slid from 0.6939 to a session low of 0.69214 during Asian hours before a corrective rebound to 0.6932, still trading as a USD passenger after Thursday's soft NFP. Lower highs cap the structure while price probes back toward the 0.6935 swing zone.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.69354, 0.69391
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69391 prior high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69214 session low confirms a fresh lower low
US ISM Services and Fed minutes this week could shift the USD-driven read
05:03 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 46 · price 0.69316
Lower low at 0.6921, corrective recovery.
AUDUSD sold off through the Asian session to a lower low at 0.69214 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 0.69316. RSI(14) recovered from oversold as the pair retraces roughly half of the 0.69413-0.69214 leg; 0.69355 pivot caps the bounce for now.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69355 pivot would extend the corrective bounce toward 0.69390
Failure to hold 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower-low and reasserts the downtrend
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD
05:03 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 46 · price 0.69316
Lower highs into 0.69214, recovery underway.
Aussie leaked lower through the Asia session, sweeping into 0.69214 before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 0.69316. Move sits inside Thursday's soft-NFP-driven USD weakness, but the pair keeps handing gains back, with supply capping the 0.69390-0.69413 zone.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69390 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69214 confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6900 range floor
US ISM Services / Fed minutes could shift this USD-driven read
Asian-session slide from 0.69413 bottomed twice near 0.6921 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 0.69317 and reclaiming EMA20. RSI(14) has recovered off its low but the pair is still capped below the 0.69355 EMA50 and session high — reflecting the USD's soft-NFP-driven tone with no AUD conviction behind the bounce.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6929
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69355 opens the path back to the 0.69413 session high
Loss of 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower-low and reasserts the downtrend
US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone materially
Monday Asia opened bid then sold through 0.6930, printing a session low at 0.6921 before buyers stepped in. Price is retracing roughly half of that leg, hovering just below EMA20 near 0.6932 with RSI(14) lifting off the lows.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6929
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.6939
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6939 negates the intraday lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.6921 opens the 0.6900 range floor
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this USD-driven read
04:32 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 0.69307
Lower highs into 0.69214, minor recovery.
AUDUSD slid through the Asian session from 0.69390 to a 0.69214 low, riding a fading post-NFP USD-weakness bid. Buyers stepped in at 0.69214 and price has recovered to 0.69307, but the sequence of lower highs keeps structure soft.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.6945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69390 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69214 confirms a fresh lower low
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reprice USD and shift this read
AUDUSD slid through the NY session to a session low at 0.69214, printing a lower-high chain under a descending trendline, with price trading below EMA20/50. Buyers stepped in at 0.69214 and lifted price back to 0.69307, RSI(14) recovering from the low-40s. Move is USD-led, riding soft US payrolls with no local AUD catalyst.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69375, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69375 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69214 confirms a lower-low, exposing 0.6900
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD drifted lower through the session, printing a chain of lower highs and a fresh session low at 0.69214 as the USD firmed off its post-NFP lows. A modest bounce to 0.69284 has price sitting near the 38.2% retrace of that down leg, still below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.69214, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.6939
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69355 breaks the lower-high sequence and neutralises the down leg
Loss of 0.69214 extends the session downtrend toward 0.6920
US ISM Services / Fed minutes are the near-term USD driver for this pair
AUD/USD rolled over through the NY session, breaking the 0.6935 floor and printing fresh lows into 0.69214 despite the softer post-NFP USD backdrop — the Aussie can't hold gains. Price is basing near 0.6928 off that low with RSI(14) climbing off oversold.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.6939
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69214 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.69355 prior swing negates the breakdown read
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller could shift USD tone
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, extending · RSI 33 · price 0.69257
Lower highs, lower lows.
Asia session sold AUDUSD steadily from 0.6939 to a fresh session low at 0.69214, a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows; RSI(14) near 32 but not yet extreme. USD is only modestly softer post-NFP and the Aussie is handing back weekend gains, with price now pinned below both EMAs at 0.6926.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6920, 0.6910
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6939, 0.6945
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69350 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69214 exposes the 0.6920 round number
US ISM Services / Fed minutes this week could shift the USD-driven read
AUDUSD sold off through the latest session, breaking the 0.6935 base and printing a fresh low at 0.69214 before a shallow bounce to 0.69257. RSI(14) near 31 with price under both EMAs; the pair is handing back its post-NFP USD-weakness gains as the hawkish-RBA story fades.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6920, 0.69256
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6939
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69350 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.69214 exposes the 0.6920 round number
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this USD-driven read
AUDUSD rolled over from 0.69413 into a clean lower-high, lower-low sequence and just broke the session floor near 0.69256, now at 0.69248 with RSI(14) sub-30. This fits the digest read of the Aussie fading toward its range base — the post-NFP USD-driven bounce keeps handing gains back.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.6929, 0.69355, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69290 swing would stall the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.69214 session low exposes 0.69200 psych
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could reprice USD and shift this read
Aussie sold off through the Asian session, breaking below 0.69290 and printing a fresh low at 0.69214 before the last bar closed at 0.69248. Chain of lower highs from 0.69413 intact; the softer TD-MI inflation gauge (3.9%) undercuts the hawkish-RBA story and price is riding the wider bearish structure.
Support: 0.69214, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.6929, 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69290 swing high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.69214 session low exposes the 0.69200 psych level
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift USD direction and this read
03:32 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 32 · price 0.6923
Lower highs, lower lows into close.
AUDUSD rolled over through the session, breaking the 0.6935 shelf that had capped as old support and printing successive lower lows to a fresh session low at 0.6921 on the close. RSI(14) near 31 is soft but not yet extreme; move fits the digest's fade near range highs as the post-NFP USD dip stalls.
Support: 0.6921, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6935, 0.6939, 0.6945
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6935 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.6921 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
US ISM Services / Fed minutes ahead could shift USD tone and this read
AUDUSD drifted lower through the session, breaking prior support near 0.6928 and printing fresh session lows at 0.6921 into 0.6923. The Aussie is handing back its USD-driven gains, RSI(14) sub-30 as the sell-off accelerates.
Support: 0.6920, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.6945
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6920 opens the path to the 0.6900 range floor
Reclaim of 0.6939 swing high negates the lower-low sequence
US ISM Services later today could shift the USD-driven read
Monday Asia session opened near 0.6935 and sold steadily to a fresh session low at 0.69248, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows; RSI(14) near 30. The soft-USD post-NFP backdrop hasn't been enough to steady AUD, which keeps handing back gains.
Support: 0.69248, 0.6920, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.6939, 0.6945
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 0.69248 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.6920
Reclaim of 0.69355 needed to break the lower-high chain
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD-driven read
Asia session ground steadily lower, selling from the 0.69413 session high down to 0.69248 in a clean chain of lower lows on thin holiday liquidity. RSI(14) near 29 and price sits below both EMAs; ATR ~5 pips keeps expected moves compressed.
Support: 0.69248, 0.6920, 0.6915
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69355 swing pivot would neutralise the lower-low sequence
Failure to hold 0.69248 opens the path toward the 0.6920 psych level
US ISM Services later today could shift the USD leg driving this move
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 0.69295
Lower highs, lower lows into Asia open.
Thin Monday Asia open drifted lower after failing to hold 0.6939, then broke the intraday base with a run of lower lows to 0.6927. RSI(14) around 35 and price sits below both EMAs; move is USD-driven, AUD still a passenger after Thursday's soft US payrolls.
Support: 0.6927, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.6945
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.6939 negates the lower-low sequence
Failure to hold 0.6927 exposes the 0.6900 psych level
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD-led read
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, lower lows into current bar · RSI 34 · price 0.69295
Lower highs, lower lows through Asia session.
AUDUSD drifted lower through the Asia session, printing a chain of lower highs and lower lows down to 0.6927 before settling near 0.69295. Move reflects the two-way tone as the soft-US-payrolls USD weakness fades; RSI(14) around 34, soft but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.6927, 0.6925
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.6939
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6927 extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.6925
Reclaim of 0.69355 swing high would neutralise the intraday downtrend
AUDUSD leaked lower through the Asian session, printing successive lower lows to 0.6927 with RSI(14) near 32. Price broke below the 0.69355 pivot and sits pinned at session lows, USD holding a mild bid after Thursday's soft NFP failed to extend the risk-on move.
Support: 0.6927, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6927 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward 0.6920 psych
Reclaim of the 0.69355 swing pivot neutralises the intraday downtrend
US ISM Services / Fed minutes later this week are the external driver for AUD as a USD proxy
02:47 UTC
Downtrend, intraday leg lower · RSI 36 · price 0.69284
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
AUDUSD drifted lower through late trade, breaking the 0.6935 shelf and printing a fresh session low at 0.6927 as the USD firmed. Price is pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 36 — a run of lower highs from 0.6941 remains intact. AUD continues to hand back its post-NFP bounce.
Support: 0.6927, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.6939, 0.6945
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6939 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.6927 exposes 0.6900 range floor
US ISM Services / Fed minutes could shift the USD leg driving this move
Asia session leg lower: AUDUSD broke intraday support near 0.6935 and printed a fresh session low at 0.69284, RSI(14) pressed toward the low-30s. The Aussie is handing back post-NFP USD-weakness gains — a passenger move rather than domestic conviction.
Support: 0.69284, 0.6925
Resistance: 0.69375, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.69375 negates the lower-low sequence
Failure to hold 0.69284 extends the session downtrend
US ISM Services / Fed minutes ahead — externally driven AUD risk
Thin Asia-session trade drifted lower, breaking through 0.69327 and printing a fresh session low at 0.69284 with RSI(14) near 33. AUD handing back its USD-driven bounce as the post-NFP dollar softness fails to give the Aussie fresh legs; price sits pinned at the lows.
Support: 0.69284, 0.6925
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69284 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.69355 needed to stall the downtrend read
US ISM Services later today could shift USD tone and this read
Thin post-weekend trade opened near 0.6939 but faded through the session, printing a fresh low at 0.69284 with RSI(14) in the mid-30s. AUD unable to hold its soft-USD/NFP bid, price slipping under both EMAs and stalling around 0.6930.
Support: 0.69284, 0.6925
Resistance: 0.69355, 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69284 confirms continuation lower toward 0.6925
Reclaim of 0.69355 pivot negates the lower-high sequence
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller could shift USD tone and this read
Asia session drifting lower, printing a fresh session low at 0.69284 before a small bounce to 0.69305. Sequence of lower highs holding below 0.69390, RSI(14) soft near 34 but not yet oversold; move is USD-side driven with the Aussie a passenger after Thursday's soft NFP.
Support: 0.69284, 0.6900
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69284 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward 0.6900
Reclaim of 0.69390 swing high negates the intraday downtrend read
US ISM Services later today could shift USD tone and this read
Asia session drifting lower off the 0.69413 open high, breaking the 0.69340 shelf to print a fresh session low at 0.69284, RSI(14) sub-35. Price sits below EMA20/50 with USD only softly bid post-NFP miss — AUD staying a passenger and giving back the early pop.
Support: 0.69284, 0.69255
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413, 0.6945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69284 confirms a lower-low and extends the downtrend
reclaim of 0.69390 negates the intraday break-lower read
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift USD flows and this read
Early Asia trade has bled lower, price rejecting 0.69390 twice and printing a fresh session low at 0.69284 on the last bar. RSI(14) near 35 and price below both EMAs; softer TD inflation (3.9%) keeps the Aussie a passenger while USD sits soft post-NFP.
Support: 0.69284, 0.6925
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69284 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.69390 recent high neutralises the intraday downtrend read
01:47 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 47 · price 0.69345
Range-bound after weekend gap.
Thin Asia-session trade opened with a weekend gap and has since coiled in a tight 0.69297–0.69413 band, RSI(14) flat near 47. Sellers rejected 0.69413 and buyers absorbed the dip to 0.69297; no directional break in play.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69315
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69297 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
M15 close above 0.69413 opens the 0.6945 area
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and Waller could inject volatility into a quiet range
AUDUSD is chopping in a tight 0.6930–0.6941 band during Asia hours, drifting off the 0.69413 session high after a soft TD inflation print (3.9%). A dip tagged 0.69297 and buyers stepped in, but price sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69315
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69297 session low confirms a lower-low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 0.69413 session high needed to reopen upside
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could break this range on a USD move
Thin early-Asia trade with AUDUSD grinding lower off 0.69413, printing lower highs into the 0.69297 session low. The bounce off Thursday's soft US payrolls has stalled; RSI(14) near 41 reflects fading momentum as price sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69315
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69297 confirms a lower low and opens the base
Reclaim of 0.69390 negates the lower-high sequence
TD-MI Inflation Gauge and later US ISM Services could shift this read
01:32 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 42 · price 0.69317
Post-weekend range, lower highs into session low.
Thin post-weekend trade; AUD faded from the 0.69413 Sunday high back toward the session low at 0.69297 as the soft-NFP USD bounce showed no follow-through. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41, near the bottom of a 0.69297–0.6941 range.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69315
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413, 0.6945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69297 opens continuation lower
reclaim of 0.6939 needed to revisit the 0.69413 Sunday high
TD-MI Inflation Gauge (~01:00 UTC) could inject volatility into thin liquidity
01:17 UTC
Ranging, directionless · RSI 46 · price 0.69344
Tight range, no clear swing chain.
Thin holiday-affected Monday open, AUDUSD chopping in a 0.6930-0.6941 band with price at 0.69344. Dip to the session low 0.69297 was bought back, but the recovery stalls under 0.69391; no setup in play. Bounce remains USD-driven after Thursday's soft NFP, lacking domestic follow-through.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69327
Resistance: 0.69391, 0.69413, 0.6945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69297 opens the 0.69327 swing area giving way to a lower low
M15 close above 0.69391 puts 0.69413 prior high and 0.6945 back in play
TD-MI Inflation Gauge (~01:00 UTC) could break this range
01:16 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 48 · price 0.69344
Tight consolidation post-sweep.
AUDUSD is grinding sideways between 0.69297 and 0.69390 in thin early-Asia trade, holding just above the 200-day per the USD-driven bounce after Thursday's soft NFP. A brief sweep of the session low at 0.69297 was bought back, but price sits mid-range with RSI(14) flat near 47 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no setup in play.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69318
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69390 opens the path back toward the 0.69413 session high
Loss of 0.69297 confirms a lower-low and extends the fade
TD-MI Inflation Gauge (~01:00 UTC) and US ISM Services later could inject volatility into this range
Thin early-Asia Monday trade with AUDUSD ranging 0.69297-0.69413 after Thursday's soft US NFP kept the USD heavy. Price slipped back to the lower edge near 0.69319, rejected at 0.69391, RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69271
Resistance: 0.69391, 0.69413, 0.6944
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69297 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.69271
Reclaim of 0.69391 puts session high 0.69413 back in play
TD-MI Inflation Gauge (~01:00 UTC) could inject the first directional move of the week
01:03 UTC
Range, drifting lower into session close · RSI 43 · price 0.69319
Range-bound, fading from session high.
Thin post-holiday Asian session, AUDUSD ranging 0.6930–0.6939 with the last bar fading to 0.69319 after a rejection at 0.69391. Move is USD-driven off Thursday's soft NFP; Aussie lacks its own catalyst and price sits back below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69327
Resistance: 0.69391, 0.69413
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69297 confirms a lower-low and opens the range floor
Reclaim of 0.69391 needed to re-test 0.69413 session structure
TD-MI Inflation Gauge (~01:00 UTC) could inject volatility into this thin range
00:47 UTC
Ranging, flat into Asia open · RSI 53 · price 0.69387
Tight balance around 0.6938.
Thin Monday Asia open with AUDUSD balancing around 0.6938 after a brief dip to the 0.69297 session low was bought back. Price stalled below 0.69413 through the week's earlier USD-driven bounce; RSI(14) neutral near 52, ATR compressed near 10 pips.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69327
Resistance: 0.69413, 0.69443
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69413 opens the 0.6944 prior high
Loss of 0.69297 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6932
TD-MI Inflation Gauge ~01:00 UTC and later US ISM Services could inject volatility into this thin range
Thin Monday Asia session, AUDUSD ranging 0.6930-0.6941 after last week's soft-NFP USD-driven bounce. Price swept the session low at 0.69297 then recovered back to 0.69387; RSI(14) neutral near 54, no directional impulse in play.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69327
Resistance: 0.69413, 0.6945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69413 session high extends the corrective bounce toward 0.6945 range res
Loss of 0.69297 session low reopens the downside
TD-MI Inflation Gauge (~01:00 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
00:32 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 45 · price 0.69349
Tight consolidation in thin Asia trade.
Thin early-Asia trade with AUDUSD hemmed between 0.69297 and 0.69390, the pair holding just above its 200-day after Thursday's soft US NFP drove the corrective bounce. A dip to the 0.69297 session low was bought back, but volume is light and no directional structure is in play.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69327
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413
What it said to watch
TD-MI Inflation Gauge ~01:00 UTC could inject the first real move of the session
M15 close above 0.69390 reopens the 0.69413 area
Loss of 0.69297 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.6865-0.6895 zone
00:31 UTC
Rangebound, no direction · RSI 48 · price 0.69349
Tight range in thin Asia session.
Thin holiday Asia session grinding sideways between the 0.69297 session low and 0.69390 session high, RSI(14) flat near 47. A brief dip to 0.69297 was bought back, but price is idling just under the EMAs with no directional impulse — the post-NFP USD-driven bounce is corrective and lacks an Aussie catalyst here.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69327
Resistance: 0.6939, 0.69413, 0.6945
What it said to watch
TD-MI Inflation Gauge ~01:00 UTC could inject the first real move of the session
M15 close above 0.69413 opens the path toward 0.69450 near-term resistance
Loss of 0.69297 session low confirms a lower-low
00:17 UTC
Ranging, no momentum · RSI 47 · price 0.69352
Tight range, corrective.
Thin Asia-session Monday trade holding a tight 0.69297–0.69413 range after last week's soft-NFP USD bounce. Supply capped the 0.69413 session high and the last bar swept the 0.69297 session low before closing back at 0.69352; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no momentum.
Support: 0.69297, 0.6934
Resistance: 0.69413, 0.6945
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.69297 confirms a lower low and reopens the broader downtrend
Break above 0.69413 session high, then the 0.69450 prior high, needed to extend the corrective bounce
TD-MI Inflation Gauge near 01:00 UTC could inject volatility into AUD
Thin post-holiday session grinding in a tight 0.6930-0.6941 range with volumes light. Last bar swept the sweep low at 0.69297 and recovered to 0.69352; RSI(14) mid-range, no directional lean. AUD firmness this week is USD-driven off the soft NFP print, not domestic strength.
Support: 0.69297, 0.69327
Resistance: 0.69413, 0.6945
What it said to watch
TD-MI Inflation Gauge ~01:00 UTC could inject the session's first real move
Close above 0.69413 opens 0.6945 near-term resistance
Thin Monday Asia trade has AUDUSD boxed between 0.6934 and the 0.69413 session high, price now sitting on the lower edge at 0.6934. The pair keeps the USD-driven post-NFP bounce intact but momentum is flat, with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed to just a few pips in the holiday-thin conditions.
Support: 0.6934, 0.69312, 0.6930
Resistance: 0.69413, 0.6945
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69413 opens the 0.6945 near-term resistance
Loss of 0.6930 psych level confirms a lower low
TD-MI Inflation Gauge ~01:00 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 could break this range
00:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower into thin open · RSI 42 · price 0.6934
Tight range, sub-swing lower.
Thin Sunday/Asia reopen after the weekend gap, AUDUSD ranging 0.6934-0.6941 with the current bar pressing the session low at 0.6934. The broader lift toward 0.6941 remains corrective, USD-driven off Thursday's soft US payrolls (57K vs ~110K); no fresh AUD catalyst yet and volume is sparse.
Support: 0.6934, 0.69312, 0.69275
Resistance: 0.69413, 0.69445, 0.6945
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6934 on a close opens the 0.69312 spike low
Reclaim of 0.69413 needed to reopen the 0.6945 area
TD-MI Inflation Gauge (~01:00 UTC) could shift this thin-liquidity read